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Sweden (Read 3811 times)
ProudKangaroo
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Re: Sweden
Reply #15 - Sep 4th, 2020 at 8:03am
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 4th, 2020 at 7:06am:
aquascoot wrote on Sep 3rd, 2020 at 5:06pm:
amazing article mech and from a reputable source.

lockdowns, lots of testing and closing borders make no statistical difference.

that actually makes sense for a respiratory virus which can not be controlled by those measures


Well actually it does make sense, as the virus doesn't move by itself, people move

As for the UK and Spain, given that they have higher infection rates you would assume that they would have better herd immunity. Clearly this shows that herd immunity is a poor option.


Herd immunity is about creating a community with enough people immune that the virus finds it hard to move from person to person.  The goal is to stop the spread of the virus.

If you intend to reach "herd immunity" but letting the virus spread, that's not herd immunity, that's uncontrolled infections and the spread of the virus.

It's the opposite of the goal one is trying to achieve.

Now if the herd immunity was achieved by a vaccine, that would be different.  The goal is to stop the spread of the virus and the immunity is achieved without having to let it run wild.

The sort of herd immunity people are talking about now is nothing but a political tool to defend mistakes by leaders they like as if they had a plan all along.

It's just like the deliberate attempts to misinterpret the CDC data, attack Fauci and all the other conspiracy nonsense. 

People are stupid, more people than I ever was prepared to accept.

At least in terms of Americans, their fundamental knowledge is so low that they're not just uninformed or even misinformed, they're aggressively wrong.  They don't just believe dumb things, they actually resist further learning rather than let go of their beliefs.

And there is a staggering amount of people on this forum who are the same.

This place has become a hostile environment for the truth like never before.  When I first found these forums it was a nice change from the heavily controlled and often fact-driven nature of the Whirlpool political forum.  I was finally able to engage with more people who didn't just see the world as I did.

But now these people have gone off the deep end and shed all ties to reality.  It's been like watching a slow-motion car crash these few years...
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« Last Edit: Sep 4th, 2020 at 8:11am by ProudKangaroo »  
 
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freediver
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Re: Sweden
Reply #16 - Sep 4th, 2020 at 6:42pm
 
...

Thanks Mech, that's a lot of dead swedes.

6000 deaths according to google. From a country with less than half our population. We are at about 10% of that.
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People who can't distinguish between etymology and entomology bug me in ways I cannot put into words.
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aquascoot
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Re: Sweden
Reply #17 - Sep 4th, 2020 at 7:12pm
 
6000 people, median age 80.
Maybe had 5 years left to live.
Years lost 30,000.


Aussie road toll , 1000
Median age 25
Maybe had 50 years left to live.
Years lost 50,000.


The Aussie road toll is more of a catastrophe then covid left to run its course.

And the road toll is a recurring cost,
Not a one off.

Do we insist everyone keeps their cars in " lockdown" in their garage to prevent a catastrophic loss of human lives?
Do we lock cars in garages until we have 4 weeks with 0 cases of road deaths.

Do we close borders to other states when a road fatality occurs for fear of importing a dangerous driver
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freediver
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Re: Sweden
Reply #18 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 9:02am
 
Quote:
The Aussie road toll is more of a catastrophe then covid left to run its course.


You are confused. The Aussie road toll is more of a catastrophe than covid effectively contained. This is a success story. I challenge you to come up with a way to reduce road deaths by the same amount with less cost to the economy.
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« Last Edit: Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:02am by freediver »  

People who can't distinguish between etymology and entomology bug me in ways I cannot put into words.
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Sweden
Reply #19 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 9:48am
 
aquascoot wrote on Sep 4th, 2020 at 7:12pm:
6000 people, median age 80.
Maybe had 5 years left to live.
Years lost 30,000.


Aussie road toll , 1000
Median age 25
Maybe had 50 years left to live.
Years lost 50,000.


The Aussie road toll is more of a catastrophe then covid left to run its course.

And the road toll is a recurring cost,
Not a one off.

Do we insist everyone keeps their cars in " lockdown" in their garage to prevent a catastrophic loss of human lives?
Do we lock cars in garages until we have 4 weeks with 0 cases of road deaths.

Do we close borders to other states when a road fatality occurs for fear of importing a dangerous driver


The road toll doesn't overwhelm our health system.

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Kate Walker
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Re: Sweden
Reply #20 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:03am
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 9:48am:
aquascoot wrote on Sep 4th, 2020 at 7:12pm:
6000 people, median age 80.
Maybe had 5 years left to live.
Years lost 30,000.


Aussie road toll , 1000
Median age 25
Maybe had 50 years left to live.
Years lost 50,000.


The Aussie road toll is more of a catastrophe then covid left to run its course.

And the road toll is a recurring cost,
Not a one off.

Do we insist everyone keeps their cars in " lockdown" in their garage to prevent a catastrophic loss of human lives?
Do we lock cars in garages until we have 4 weeks with 0 cases of road deaths.

Do we close borders to other states when a road fatality occurs for fear of importing a dangerous driver


The road toll doesn't overwhelm our health system.



Is CoVid19 doing that?
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Sweden
Reply #21 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:05am
 
Kate Walker wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:03am:
greggerypeccary wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 9:48am:
aquascoot wrote on Sep 4th, 2020 at 7:12pm:
6000 people, median age 80.
Maybe had 5 years left to live.
Years lost 30,000.


Aussie road toll , 1000
Median age 25
Maybe had 50 years left to live.
Years lost 50,000.


The Aussie road toll is more of a catastrophe then covid left to run its course.

And the road toll is a recurring cost,
Not a one off.

Do we insist everyone keeps their cars in " lockdown" in their garage to prevent a catastrophic loss of human lives?
Do we lock cars in garages until we have 4 weeks with 0 cases of road deaths.

Do we close borders to other states when a road fatality occurs for fear of importing a dangerous driver


The road toll doesn't overwhelm our health system.



Is CoVid19 doing that?


No.

You know why not?

Lockdowns!

Thank you for pointing out that lockdowns are extremely effective.

If they weren't, our health system would be overwhelmed.

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Jasin
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Re: Sweden
Reply #22 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:05am
 
- 10% --------30%-------50%-----70%------100%
   I                                         I
Covid Deaths                        Covid Effects
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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freediver
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Re: Sweden
Reply #23 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:09am
 
Covid has been contained the same way the road toll has. We could abandon speed limits, allow people to drive drunk while texting, allow children to drive etc. We could allow covid to overwhelm our health system.
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People who can't distinguish between etymology and entomology bug me in ways I cannot put into words.
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ProudKangaroo
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Re: Sweden
Reply #24 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:11am
 
freediver wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 9:02am:
Quote:
The Aussie road toll is more of a catastrophe then covid left to run its course.


You are confused. The Aussie road toll is more of a catastrophe than covid effectively contained. This is a success story. I challenge you to come up with a way to reduce road deaths by the same amount with less cost to the economy.


That's been Scoots shtick from the beginning.  What Scoot always conflates is how things are now vs how they would be if left run wild.

The death and infection rate in Australia is so low that it means all the measures we've been taking, from public and private gathering restrictions, mask recommendations and orders, contact tracing and lockdowns have all been a massive overreaction and people should be able to bravely flourish rather than hiding under their bedsheets from a bad case of the sniffles.

When in reality, it's because of these measures that he's in the fortunate position to claim they're not necessary.

He and those like him want to wait until things are too late, the infection rate is out of control, the death rate spikes and the hospitals are overrun before any action is taken.

Case in point,

Kate Walker wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:03am:
greggerypeccary wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:05am:
The road toll doesn't overwhelm our health system.



Is CoVid19 doing that?
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Jasin
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Re: Sweden
Reply #25 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:21am
 
freediver wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:09am:
Covid has been contained the same way the road toll has. We could abandon speed limits, allow people to drive drunk while texting, allow children to drive etc. We could allow covid to overwhelm our health system.


Good Point. I think even Bojack would agree.
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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aquascoot
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Re: Sweden
Reply #26 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 5:15pm
 
do we align our entire health system to deal exclusively with road trauma?

sweden has had no lockdown.
are their hospitals overwhelmed.

are they in florida
are they in texas

are their body bags in the streets of florida?

is it neccessary to drive cases to 0 for 4 weeks before our hospitals will be able to cope?

please explain that rationale.

as your own graph for sweden shows, it runs its course and goes down WITHOUT lockdown.

how does lockdown help except to prolong the period when hospitals are empty and other health care is put on hold, waiting for the covid influx which the strategy says must never happen.
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aquascoot
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Re: Sweden
Reply #27 - Sep 5th, 2020 at 5:19pm
 
Jasin wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:21am:
freediver wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:09am:
Covid has been contained the same way the road toll has. We could abandon speed limits, allow people to drive drunk while texting, allow children to drive etc. We could allow covid to overwhelm our health system.


Good Point. I think even Bojack would agree.



incorrect,

the analogy would be that we would reduce the speed limit to 20 kph
and we would have politicians and the roads minister give a daily briefing on road fatalities,

and if someone said on facebook, they were going to go meet up with mates at bathurst, we would send the police round to cuff them and fine them
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Ajax
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Re: Sweden
Reply #28 - Sep 6th, 2020 at 9:13am
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 4th, 2020 at 7:06am:
aquascoot wrote on Sep 3rd, 2020 at 5:06pm:
amazing article mech and from a reputable source.

lockdowns, lots of testing and closing borders make no statistical difference.

that actually makes sense for a respiratory virus which can not be controlled by those measures


Well actually it does make sense, as the virus doesn't move by itself, people move

As for the UK and Spain, given that they have higher infection rates you would assume that they would have better herd immunity. Clearly this shows that herd immunity is a poor option.


I agree with this.

The other thing is if we had no measures imagine the hysteria in the community because everyone would be looking after his or her arse.

Could be a case of sneeze and you'll be beaten to a pulp.

Sweden's case:

Cases Confirmed:........84985

Deaths:......................5835

%.............................6.8659%

Sweden Population:   10230000

To get to herd immunity they still need another

Deaths.....................696548


Herd immunity for Sweden costs:

Sweden Population:.....10230000

Current death rate........6.8659%

Total deaths.................702383

EXPENSIVE.................imo
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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freediver
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Re: Sweden
Reply #29 - Sep 6th, 2020 at 11:51am
 
aquascoot wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 5:19pm:
Jasin wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:21am:
freediver wrote on Sep 5th, 2020 at 10:09am:
Covid has been contained the same way the road toll has. We could abandon speed limits, allow people to drive drunk while texting, allow children to drive etc. We could allow covid to overwhelm our health system.


Good Point. I think even Bojack would agree.



incorrect,

the analogy would be that we would reduce the speed limit to 20 kph
and we would have politicians and the roads minister give a daily briefing on road fatalities,

and if someone said on facebook, they were going to go meet up with mates at bathurst, we would send the police round to cuff them and fine them


If road fatalities only started happening this year, that probably would be the case. The speed limit is a genuine drain on our economy. You merely do not recognise this because you take it for granted.

Given that road fatalities are already lower than the covid death toll, why do you insist that 20 km/h is the better analogy? You seem to be suffering from the anchoring and adjustment fallacy. Whatever rules we had back in February were somehow optimal to you, and any change from that need to be justified, apparently ignoring what has happened since February. Thus travel restrictions since February are analogous to reductions to whatever speed limits we had in February. It is all relative, and you are oblivious to the absolute level of restriction that already existed. You do not understand the analogy, because you cannot see any restrictions implemented prior to February as being restrictions.
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People who can't distinguish between etymology and entomology bug me in ways I cannot put into words.
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