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Corona 19 - what might have been (Read 6239 times)
Sprintcyclist
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Corona 19 - what might have been
May 19th, 2020 at 4:35pm
 
Quote:
...............  Mr Miles said initial modelling showed Queensland’s COVID-19 death toll to be more than 20 times greater than the number of total cases that have been recorded.        ...................


https://www.couriermail.com.au/coronavirus/queensland-records-zero-new-cases-of-...
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billy the kid
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #1 - May 19th, 2020 at 4:46pm
 
When is someone going to question the competence of the so called experts who have given the politicians in this country this information...…
Politicians trot out this modelling crap ad nauseam to justify their actions...yet when the modelling is wrong...they simply say...well this is what it could have been...so we had to do what we did.....
Its all crap.....
And the dumbed down Australian public swallow it every time...
We had a weak strain...we are an island....
The politicians will pat themselves on the back forever and a day....
Yet, they have ruined the economy and placed hundreds of thousands on the dole queue...
ALL because of DEFECTIVE academic modelling.....
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Sprintcyclist
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #2 - May 19th, 2020 at 4:59pm
 
I assume that modelling was a 'worst case' scenario.
ie -  if no restrictions had been applied.

Am just guessing here.
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #3 - May 19th, 2020 at 5:00pm
 
billy the kid wrote on May 19th, 2020 at 4:46pm:
When is someone going to question the competence of the so called experts who have given the politicians in this country this information...…
Politicians trot out this modelling crap ad nauseam to justify their actions...yet when the modelling is wrong...they simply say...well this is what it could have been...so we had to do what we did.....
Its all crap.....
And the dumbed down Australian public swallow it every time...
We had a weak strain...we are an island....
The politicians will pat themselves on the back forever and a day....
Yet, they have ruined the economy and placed hundreds of thousands on the dole queue...
ALL because of DEFECTIVE academic modelling.....


Really?  What was the exact degree of weakness, and where were those parts of the Planet which had a different degree of weakness and to what extent was that difference, precisely?


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billy the kid
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #4 - May 19th, 2020 at 5:12pm
 
I dont know...Im not an epidemiologist...maybe you should ask our "experts"...
It was reported by the media whores that there were several strains of varying strength circling the globe and it was
suggested that Australia may have had a weaker strain....
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #5 - May 19th, 2020 at 5:18pm
 
billy the kid wrote on May 19th, 2020 at 5:12pm:
I dont know...Im not an epidemiologist...maybe you should ask our "experts"...
It was reported by the media whores that there were several strains of varying strength circling the globe and it was
suggested that Australia may have had a weaker strain....


Okay.  Link?
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billy the kid
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #6 - May 19th, 2020 at 5:21pm
 
Are you being pedantic or just taking the piss.....??
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #7 - May 19th, 2020 at 5:22pm
 

"We must listen to what the science says."




Coz scientists are always truthful and are always trustworthy,
.....AND CORRECT.
.....and scientists never 'bend' their data to suit their own [often, career] agendas.

Just like politicians, 'unbiased' political pollsters, 'unbiased' professional journalists, and used car salesmen.




WWW search....
science fraud


"About 317,000,000 results"



According to the projections, supported by health scientists, a couple of months ago it was suggested, that Australia would likely suffer 150,000 deaths to COVID-19

You do remember that projection, don't you ?



Please excuse me, but no matter what some of you may believe,
i have no confidence in real faerie tales.


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"....And he said unto him, If they hear not Moses and the prophets, neither will they be persuaded, though one rose from the dead."
Luke 16:31
 
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #8 - May 19th, 2020 at 5:26pm
 
Aussie wrote on May 19th, 2020 at 5:18pm:
billy the kid wrote on May 19th, 2020 at 5:12pm:
I dont know...Im not an epidemiologist...maybe you should ask our "experts"...
It was reported by the media whores that there were several strains of varying strength circling the globe and it was
suggested that Australia may have had a weaker strain....


Okay.  Link?



suddenly he is believing what is printed in the media... Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

a weaker strain!!! is that the same as a weaker strain of Cholera .. or HIV.... Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
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billy the kid
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #9 - May 19th, 2020 at 5:37pm
 
"There could be as many as 30 different strains of coronavirus, a study of patients in China has claimed.
Zhejiang University scientists studied a small number of patients with the disease and uncovered tens of mutations - 19 of which had never been seen before.
Some mutations boosted the virus' ability to invade cells in the body, others helped the disease multiply more rapidly.
The most deadly strains were genetically similar to the ones that spread in Europe and in New York, reported the South China Morning Post.
Meanwhile, the weaker strains were similar to those found circulating within other parts of the US, such as Washington State.
The authors say their findings - based on just 11 patients - are the first to show the mutation could affect the severity of illness.
They believe he previously unreported mutations could be the reason behind Europe and New Yorks devastating death tolls.
It is still unclear why the aggressive strain of Covid19 spread to Europe and the more mild version hit large swathes of the US"
Taken from a link which this forum does not allow me to post yet.
Its a DailyMailUK link which I cant even cut and paste due to the rules...dated today...
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« Last Edit: May 19th, 2020 at 5:44pm by billy the kid »  
 
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #10 - May 19th, 2020 at 6:27pm
 
billy the kid wrote on May 19th, 2020 at 5:21pm:
Are you being pedantic or just taking the piss.....??


Neither.
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #11 - May 19th, 2020 at 6:56pm
 
"Preliminary data from the Moscow civil registry office showed almost 20% more fatalities in April 2020 than the average April mortality over the past decade. The data, first published by The Moscow Times on Sunday, suggests that the city’s excess deaths may be linked to coronavirus. "

Russia has 146m. , av life span 72 years so 2m. die yearly or 160,000 month. 20% is 30,000 for April  so maybe 45,000 total from covid.   Russia reports 3000 deaths.
US has 92,000 deaths so the 45,000 is likely to be the true amount.
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #12 - May 19th, 2020 at 7:09pm
 
chimera wrote on May 19th, 2020 at 6:56pm:
"Preliminary data from the Moscow civil registry office showed almost 20% more fatalities in April 2020 than the average April mortality over the past decade. The data, first published by The Moscow Times on Sunday, suggests that the city’s excess deaths may be linked to coronavirus. "

Russia has 146m. , av life span 72 years so 2m. die yearly or 160,000 month. 20% is 30,000 for April  so maybe 45,000 total from covid.   Russia reports 3000 deaths.
US has 92,000 deaths so the 45,000 is likely to be the true amount.



Yes, it is scary.

those are not the final figures either
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billy the kid
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #13 - May 19th, 2020 at 7:41pm
 
Aussie see reply #9 above
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Re: Corona 19 - what might have been
Reply #14 - May 19th, 2020 at 8:03pm
 
billy the kid wrote on May 19th, 2020 at 4:46pm:
When is someone going to question the competence of the so called experts who have given the politicians in this country this information...…
Politicians trot out this modelling crap ad nauseam to justify their actions...yet when the modelling is wrong...they simply say...well this is what it could have been...so we had to do what we did.....
Its all crap.....
And the dumbed down Australian public swallow it every time...
We had a weak strain...we are an island....
The politicians will pat themselves on the back forever and a day....
Yet, they have ruined the economy and placed hundreds of thousands on the dole queue...
ALL because of DEFECTIVE academic modelling.....



This.^^^


Wake up people.
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