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aquascoot
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the best data is from a population study of a random town which showed that italy has a HUGE denominator error.
the icovid positive rate showed that of 94 people who tested positive in the town, only 3 had already been tested and they were (surprise, surprise) the 3 who had gone to hospital.
if you looked at the original data, you would say, covid had a 3/3 or 100 % hospitalisation rate...quite concerning.
when you look at the facts , it had a 3/94 hospitalisation rate or about 3 %.
1 of those died, so thats a case fatality rate of 1 %.
thats in line with extensive south korean testing .6% and testing froma german town where 94 % of the population were tested and the case fatality rate was .37 % .
seasonal flu has a case fatality rate of about .15 %.
yes this is going to be 3 to 4 x tthe usual flu season.
as i pointed out, seasonal flu killed 480 CHILDREN in the USA last year.
that did not spark media attention.
if 460 children die of covid, i will be surpirised.
and lets be honest.
the death of a 95 yo with multiple co morbidities is not , in any way worse then the death of a child.
if you are a 95 yo with multiple co morbidities, a very very mild illness can take you out.
just some perspective.
italy has lost 20,000 with positive tests.
but italy in the same period has had about 120,000 deaths from other things and it is reasonable to say that many people are dying with it and maybe it is a contributing factor, the 'straw that broke the camels back" but for the majority it is not a catastrophic infection
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