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Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI? (Read 2966 times)
freediver
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #30 - Dec 31st, 2019 at 1:06pm
 
Auggie wrote on Dec 17th, 2019 at 7:38pm:
Recently, I have become more in favour of the universal basic income. I think the welfare state is bloated, bureaucratic and often soul-destroying, particularly for the poor.

Everyone adult over the age of 18 (could be 21 or 25 years) would receive a $1000 per month without condition.

UBI is actually liberating, since no one goes through the whole rigmarole of declaring income, speaking with a case officer or having anxiety over losing the payment.

The $1000 per month would eventually replace all welfare payments, with the possible exception of disability or aged-care supplemental payments.


Have you figured out what it would cost Auggie?
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #31 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 2:44pm
 
Bam wrote on Dec 30th, 2019 at 8:19pm:
The most important point in my previous post is the Job Guarantee proposal. The reason why so many people can't find jobs is the artificial scarcity of employment, not a lack of effort. Address the job scarcity by providing jobs for everyone, abolish unpaid overtime, and any UBI proposal can work from that base.


I'm only to a job guarantee, particularly as having the government as an 'employer of last resort' for skilled people who can't get jobs. Although, having such a scheme would require significant administrative costs as the government would ultimately need to vet job seekers, otherwise it becomes at risk of just taking on dead-beat people as employers.

Bam wrote on Dec 30th, 2019 at 8:19pm:
Another thing to consider is the massive amounts of money that the mendicant rich take out of the Federal Budget. That has to be on the chopping block in any credible UBI proposal. Otherwise we have a half-baked proposal where the wealthy get to keep all of their generous tax breaks and concessions, receive UBI on top, while the poor have to make do with a lot less. Such a proposal must not be considered because it is grossly inequitable.


As part of the flat tax regime, all tax concessions would be abolished.
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #32 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 2:46pm
 
Ajax wrote on Dec 31st, 2019 at 10:11am:
Auggie wrote on Dec 17th, 2019 at 7:38pm:
Recently, I have become more in favour of the universal basic income. I think the welfare state is bloated, bureaucratic and often soul-destroying, particularly for the poor.

Everyone adult over the age of 18 (could be 21 or 25 years) would receive a $1000 per month without condition.

UBI is actually liberating, since no one goes through the whole rigmarole of declaring income, speaking with a case officer or having anxiety over losing the payment.

The $1000 per month would eventually replace all welfare payments, with the possible exception of disability or aged-care supplemental payments.


Do you think you can live on $250 a week.....???

Do that and our streets will become jungles.

Might have to start carrying guns for self defence.

When people are desperate they will do desperate things.


The UBI is not designed as a replacement for work. If people could live off the UBI then what's the incentive to work?

The UBI is designed to provide a minimum safety net that so people don't starve to death.

Not many people would argue that the Newstart Allowance should be generous enough for a person to live off, so why should that logic apply to the UBI?
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #33 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 2:50pm
 
freediver wrote on Dec 31st, 2019 at 1:06pm:
Auggie wrote on Dec 17th, 2019 at 7:38pm:
Recently, I have become more in favour of the universal basic income. I think the welfare state is bloated, bureaucratic and often soul-destroying, particularly for the poor.

Everyone adult over the age of 18 (could be 21 or 25 years) would receive a $1000 per month without condition.

UBI is actually liberating, since no one goes through the whole rigmarole of declaring income, speaking with a case officer or having anxiety over losing the payment.

The $1000 per month would eventually replace all welfare payments, with the possible exception of disability or aged-care supplemental payments.


Have you figured out what it would cost Auggie?


In reply #9, Minarchist opined that it would cost approx $245 billion, about $50 billion more than the current welfare budget. That's assuming that 75% of the population are above 18 years of age.

If we take that figure as correct, we also have to look at what the 'flow-on effects' of having such a policy. It would increase overall GDP because the middle-class would spend more money, thereby increasing demand of goods and services. This would result in more tax revenue overall in the long run.

If you're concerned about the extra $50 billion, I'd be happy to increase the age limit to 21 years or 25 years of age in order to reduce costs. Without having specific figures at hand, that would reduce the cost significantly.
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #34 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:01pm
 
Once again - let's just clarify what IS 'welfare' first.... offer a list for dissection....

It stands to simple reason that any 'reduction in welfare' will be an impact on the lowest paid in the land... hence the immediate rejection of your scheme by the many... and it is also clear to thinking heads that many on wealthfare will not be affected in any way.

There are many structural faults in revenue v expenditure... Social Security is not one of them .. but welfare in the form of PPL, childcare subsidies (that funnel billions into the pockets of 'insiders'), subsidies to business, deductions allowable for certain operations, basic business tax structure, the way trusts etc are handled for tax, along with one-man and family companies, the misuse of dividend imputation, and so forth ARE structural deficiencies.
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #35 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:09pm
 
Auggie wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 2:50pm:
In reply #9, Minarchist opined that it would cost approx $245 billion, about $50 billion more than the current welfare budget. That's assuming that 75% of the population are above 18 years of age.

If we take that figure as correct, we also have to look at what the 'flow-on effects' of having such a policy. It would increase overall GDP because the middle-class would spend more money, thereby increasing demand of goods and services. This would result in more tax revenue overall in the long run.

If you're concerned about the extra $50 billion, I'd be happy to increase the age limit to 21 years or 25 years of age in order to reduce costs. Without having specific figures at hand, that would reduce the cost significantly.



First define this 'middle class', then give us a clear rendition and accurate reporting of where their discretionary spending goes.. (trips to Bali, Europe, deadstock investments,etc).

Far better to improve GDP (if that were the be-all and end-all, which it is not, since the system requires balance throughout to be 'efficient - you don't get a motor running more efficiently by increasing its output of exhaust gases alone, or more interestingly, adding more fuel to an already good mixture will only increase fuel usage) by raising the income of the majority, who WILL spend any discretionary income within THIS economy, and directly so - and not into 'deadstock' such as a new pool, or car, or anything else... their money will go to the largest areas of spending - food, utilities and so forth and will remain within THIS economy until subverted by Offshorites or Hoarders, and will thus have a far greater impact in several ways on economic performance.

I've explained to you countless times that there are no 'black holes of budget' from improving the lot of the lowest paid, but there are black holes of revenue and thus of budget from giving too much to the wealthy and any with an already more than adequate level of discretionary spending.
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #36 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:02pm
 
Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:01pm:
It stands to simple reason that any 'reduction in welfare' will be an impact on the lowest paid in the land... hence the immediate rejection of your scheme by the many... and it is also clear to thinking heads that many on wealthfare will not be affected in any way.


So, do you think that giving everyone $12k per year would not have a positive impact on the lowest paid?

Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:01pm:
There are many structural faults in revenue v expenditure... Social Security is not one of them .. but welfare in the form of PPL, childcare subsidies (that funnel billions into the pockets of 'insiders'), subsidies to business, deductions allowable for certain operations, basic business tax structure, the way trusts etc are handled for tax, along with one-man and family companies, the misuse of dividend imputation, and so forth ARE structural deficiencies.


I agree, which is why I would also consider abolish any and all deductions in favour of a flat tax.
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #37 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:03pm
 
Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:09pm:
Auggie wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 2:50pm:
In reply #9, Minarchist opined that it would cost approx $245 billion, about $50 billion more than the current welfare budget. That's assuming that 75% of the population are above 18 years of age.

If we take that figure as correct, we also have to look at what the 'flow-on effects' of having such a policy. It would increase overall GDP because the middle-class would spend more money, thereby increasing demand of goods and services. This would result in more tax revenue overall in the long run.

If you're concerned about the extra $50 billion, I'd be happy to increase the age limit to 21 years or 25 years of age in order to reduce costs. Without having specific figures at hand, that would reduce the cost significantly.



First define this 'middle class', then give us a clear rendition and accurate reporting of where their discretionary spending goes.. (trips to Bali, Europe, deadstock investments,etc).

Far better to improve GDP (if that were the be-all and end-all, which it is not, since the system requires balance throughout to be 'efficient - you don't get a motor running more efficiently by increasing its output of exhaust gases alone, or more interestingly, adding more fuel to an already good mixture will only increase fuel usage) by raising the income of the majority, who WILL spend any discretionary income within THIS economy, and directly so - and not into 'deadstock' such as a new pool, or car, or anything else... their money will go to the largest areas of spending - food, utilities and so forth and will remain within THIS economy until subverted by Offshorites or Hoarders, and will thus have a far greater impact in several ways on economic performance.

I've explained to you countless times that there are no 'black holes of budget' from improving the lot of the lowest paid, but there are black holes of revenue and thus of budget from giving too much to the wealthy and any with an already more than adequate level of discretionary spending.


So, giving everyone $1000 per month wouldn't result in incomes being raised on the lowest who WILL spend any disposable income within this economy?
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« Last Edit: Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:10pm by Auggie »  

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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #38 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:06pm
 
Auggie wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 2:50pm:
freediver wrote on Dec 31st, 2019 at 1:06pm:
Auggie wrote on Dec 17th, 2019 at 7:38pm:
Recently, I have become more in favour of the universal basic income. I think the welfare state is bloated, bureaucratic and often soul-destroying, particularly for the poor.

Everyone adult over the age of 18 (could be 21 or 25 years) would receive a $1000 per month without condition.

UBI is actually liberating, since no one goes through the whole rigmarole of declaring income, speaking with a case officer or having anxiety over losing the payment.

The $1000 per month would eventually replace all welfare payments, with the possible exception of disability or aged-care supplemental payments.


Have you figured out what it would cost Auggie?


In reply #9, Minarchist opined that it would cost approx $245 billion, about $50 billion more than the current welfare budget. That's assuming that 75% of the population are above 18 years of age.

If we take that figure as correct, we also have to look at what the 'flow-on effects' of having such a policy. It would increase overall GDP because the middle-class would spend more money, thereby increasing demand of goods and services. This would result in more tax revenue overall in the long run.

If you're concerned about the extra $50 billion, I'd be happy to increase the age limit to 21 years or 25 years of age in order to reduce costs. Without having specific figures at hand, that would reduce the cost significantly.


So you hadn't thought about the cost until someone else told you what it would cost, and you just assume they are correct?

Your logic is clearly flawed on why it would increase GDP. If one group has more money to spend because of this, some other group will have less to spend.
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #39 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:09pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:06pm:
So you hadn't thought about the cost until someone else told you what it would cost, and you just assume they are correct?


I suspect you were hoping to have a 'gotcha' moment by catching me out on how it would blow out the budget??

freediver wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:06pm:
Your logic is clearly flawed on why it would increase GDP. If one group has more money to spend because of this, some other group will have less to spend.


By one group, do you mean 75% of the population instead of the remaining 25% who compromise of teenagers, kids and babies?
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #40 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:16pm
 
How much do you think it would cost Auggie?
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #41 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:51pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:16pm:
How much do you think it would cost Auggie?


$245 billion dollars.
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #42 - Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:59pm
 
Auggie wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:03pm:
Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:09pm:
Auggie wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 2:50pm:
In reply #9, Minarchist opined that it would cost approx $245 billion, about $50 billion more than the current welfare budget. That's assuming that 75% of the population are above 18 years of age.

If we take that figure as correct, we also have to look at what the 'flow-on effects' of having such a policy. It would increase overall GDP because the middle-class would spend more money, thereby increasing demand of goods and services. This would result in more tax revenue overall in the long run.

If you're concerned about the extra $50 billion, I'd be happy to increase the age limit to 21 years or 25 years of age in order to reduce costs. Without having specific figures at hand, that would reduce the cost significantly.



First define this 'middle class', then give us a clear rendition and accurate reporting of where their discretionary spending goes.. (trips to Bali, Europe, deadstock investments,etc).

Far better to improve GDP (if that were the be-all and end-all, which it is not, since the system requires balance throughout to be 'efficient - you don't get a motor running more efficiently by increasing its output of exhaust gases alone, or more interestingly, adding more fuel to an already good mixture will only increase fuel usage) by raising the income of the majority, who WILL spend any discretionary income within THIS economy, and directly so - and not into 'deadstock' such as a new pool, or car, or anything else... their money will go to the largest areas of spending - food, utilities and so forth and will remain within THIS economy until subverted by Offshorites or Hoarders, and will thus have a far greater impact in several ways on economic performance.

I've explained to you countless times that there are no 'black holes of budget' from improving the lot of the lowest paid, but there are black holes of revenue and thus of budget from giving too much to the wealthy and any with an already more than adequate level of discretionary spending.


So, giving everyone $1000 per month wouldn't result in incomes being raised on the lowest who WILL spend any disposable income within this economy?


Not if $1000 is their only income and as long as it was additional to their current income.  Sounds like a reason to put a cap on it to me.. if you're talking about replacing pensions with $1000 a month - make it $1000 a week!

Better to pay everyone a pension oh retirement and tax the income and deemed income over and above..
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #43 - Jan 2nd, 2020 at 12:21pm
 
Auggie wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:51pm:
freediver wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:16pm:
How much do you think it would cost Auggie?


$245 billion dollars.


So now Minarchist's thoughts are your own?

Did someone else tell you that a UBI was a good idea? That a UBI would increase GDP? How much of this represents an actual thought process of your own?
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Re: Should we reduce welfare in favour of UBI?
Reply #44 - Jan 2nd, 2020 at 4:49pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 12:21pm:
Auggie wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:51pm:
freediver wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:16pm:
How much do you think it would cost Auggie?


$245 billion dollars.


So now Minarchist's thoughts are your own?

Did someone else tell you that a UBI was a good idea? That a UBI would increase GDP? How much of this represents an actual thought process of your own?


Right... So I was correct. You're just wanting to have a 'gotcha' moment, aren't you?
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