They are also making many other mistakes, like using the flawed NEDC driving cycle, which is being phased out. They assume unrealistically optimistic numbers for diesel emissions, and unrealistically pessimistic numbers for electricity emissions.
One of the biggest mistakes they are making is that they are comparing the full production and lifecycle of an electric vehicle, including the emission from the electricity uses, against the production and lifecycle of a diesel car without accounting for all the energy used to produce the diesel and supply it to the cars.
This isn’t the first time this has happened.
Many years ago a “study” was released claiming that a ~50mpg Prius was more polluting than a ~9mpg Hummer H2. That study relied on one of the same tricks as this one – it estimated that the Hummer would last 300,000+ miles, whereas the Prius would last a fraction of that. There were many other issues with the study, of course.
And let’s not forget the German auto industry’s recent experience with under-reporting diesel emissions, which resulted in thousands of deaths and billions in fines.
This study has already received widespread criticism in Norway with several factual errors scewing the results in a large way towards Diesel.
Among the bigger errors in the study are the following:
– Electric batteries in EVs have a considerable longer lifecycle than 10 years. None of the battery makers today have a 150.000km/10 year limit on their batteries. In addition the batteries can be reused for other purposes (e.g. powerwalls) after.
– Diesel consumption for the Mercedes C220D uses the old NEDC standard and not the newer more correct WLTP standard. Average consumption for the Mercedes C220D is about 42% higher based on consumer reports from Spritmonitor.de.
It's not just that. The German grid was at 523g per kWh in 2016, in 2018 its estimated at 486g per kWh. That's 486/523= 7% lower in 2 years or about 3.5% per year. Assuming this continues, the grid will be at about 392g per kWh in 2025 when EVs really become more of a real element in transportation. That's 392 * 0.162 = 63.6g of CO2 per km for a Model 3 type vehicle in terms of efficiency. I can't imagine that diesel can beat this even if car production is more energy intensive for EVs. Also, there was a study that was mentioned elsewhere which concluded that EVs result in at least 3% improvement to similar diesel cars even with 2016 German grid values.
the biggest problems with this study is that it doesn't break down how they arrived at either of the vehicle's C02 consumption, until we can get numbers it's a useless report