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History of the discovery of AGW (Read 3150 times)
Jovial Monk
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History of the discovery of AGW
Aug 24th, 2017 at 12:21pm
 
Received the book today, will be posting bits from it for a while.

Reading about the history of the discovery of AGW will maybe provide a way some can get to understand the theory.

AGW is real enough. In Ice Watch I posted a video by a scientist who has studied the ice sheets for some decades talking about how the three main icesheets are showing signs of destabilisation leading to collapse. You may have heard of the Thwaites Glacier—I posted quite a bit of information about it, might find that, bring it to the front and update it. Should give some point to looking at the history of how the Greenhouse Effect was discovered.

The history seems to start with Fourier. Tyndal and Arrhenius took it up. Will leave their stories for later but point out these early scientists were living and working at a time when the Little Ice Age was slowly ending. Keep that in mind and you will understand why Arrhenius phrased some of his results.

Poor Arrhenius—took him MONTHS of pencil and paper calculations and even then he had to simplify drastically!

First installment likely tomorrow.

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Grendel
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #1 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 3:13pm
 
Hate to tell you but mostly its an unproven theory and the alarmist claims of catastrophic warming have so far been proven to be false.
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lee
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #2 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 3:45pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 24th, 2017 at 12:21pm:
The history seems to start with Fourier. Tyndal and Arrhenius took it up. Will leave their stories for later but point out these early scientists were living and working at a time when the Little Ice Age was slowly ending. Keep that in mind and you will understand why Arrhenius phrased some of his results.



What timeframe are you putting on the LIA?
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lee
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #3 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 7:06pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 24th, 2017 at 12:21pm:
Poor Arrhenius—took him MONTHS of pencil and paper calculations and even then he had to simplify drastically!



Now they have superfast computers, and are still in the dark. So many parameters.

"With four parameters I can fit an elephant, and with five I can make him wiggle his trunk."


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Jovial Monk
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #4 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 7:41pm
 
Do you know what a parameter is, Cpl Lees?
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lee
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #5 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 8:30pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 24th, 2017 at 7:41pm:
Do you know what a parameter is, Cpl Lees?



So you can't refute it? Poor JM. So Sad  CryUndecided
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Jovial Monk
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #6 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 8:47pm
 
You don’t know what a parameter is?

Grin Grin Grin Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Grin Grin Grin
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lee
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #7 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 8:59pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 24th, 2017 at 8:47pm:
You don’t know what a parameter is?



Oh dear. Further proof the sad little old man has lost it. But it fits his creed. This is only a blog truth doesn't matter.

Poor JM. So sad. Cry
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miketrees
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #8 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 8:59pm
 


You don’t know what a parameter is?


I do


Its shorter than a meter, its for the Veggie Olympics so they don't have to run, jump,swim as far as ordinary athletes.


No need to thank me, just doing my job.
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Grendel
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #9 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 4:59pm
 
I read a piece titled "The History of AGW" on the NET.  It states early on that AGW is disputed amongst scientists.

Have you read that bit yet Monk?
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Grendel
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #10 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 5:03pm
 
Quote:
The climate records of the IPCC are still contested by many other scientists, causing new research and frequent responses to skeptics by the IPCC. This global warming discussion is still continuing today and data is constantly checked and renewed. Models are also updated and adjusted to new discoveries and new theory.


Quote:
So far not many measures have been taken to do something about climate change. This is largely caused by the major uncertainties still surrounding the theory.


Seems to me you better wait for a REAL CONCENSUS and a REAL ACCEPTED THEORY Monk.


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lee
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #11 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 6:14pm
 
A parameter is a meter with a disability. Similar to paralympian.
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Jovial Monk
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #12 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 9:30pm
 
Grendel wrote on Aug 25th, 2017 at 5:03pm:
Quote:
The climate records of the IPCC are still contested by many other scientists, causing new research and frequent responses to skeptics by the IPCC. This global warming discussion is still continuing today and data is constantly checked and renewed. Models are also updated and adjusted to new discoveries and new theory.


Quote:
So far not many measures have been taken to do something about climate change. This is largely caused by the major uncertainties still surrounding the theory.


Seems to me you better wait for a REAL CONCENSUS and a REAL ACCEPTED THEORY Monk.



I think it is great that there is discussion, checking and refinements.

That the greenhouse effect is real and is causing temperature increases is not up for debate but the amount of warming, the effects of the warming, the severe weather effects, storm frequency and intensity etc etc all up for debate, measurement etc.

But they are wrong that not a lot is being done: coal is out of favor, renewable energy is being implemented nearly everywhere etc. US emissions actually have been decreasing for some time even as their economy picked up speed after the GFC.

With idiots like trumpy coal won’t make a comeback but the east coast of the US is not being protected against sea level rise. Truly the act of an imbecile, trumpy reversed the Obama direction that coastal infrastructure be built to be proof against floods. Won’t reverse AGW but will cost the US a lot of money, maybe lives.

...
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« Last Edit: Aug 25th, 2017 at 9:43pm by Jovial Monk »  

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lee
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #13 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 10:57pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 25th, 2017 at 9:30pm:
but the east coast of the US is not being protected against sea level rise.



Which is mainly because of subsidence.

The AGU is having there next meeting in Florida. Expect alarmist messages emanating from there. Al Gore was recently there getting his feet wet, as a photo op for his latest Mockumentary.

Of course he doesn't mention subsidence, or building on barrier islands. Wink

BTW - What parts of the West Coast of America are protected against sea level rise?
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Jovial Monk
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Re: History of the discovery of AGW
Reply #14 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 10:59pm
 
No it is because of sea level rise.

Whatever, I predict there will be a big flood there within five years leading to geo-engineering with aerosols.
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