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Thermometer (Read 16887 times)
Jovial Monk
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Thermometer
Jul 25th, 2017 at 8:35pm
 
Keeping track of global temperatures:

First half 2016

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/climate-trends-continue-to-break-recor...

Quote:
Two key climate change indicators -- global surface temperatures and Arctic sea ice extent -- have broken numerous records through the first half of 2016, according to NASA analyses of ground-based observations and satellite data.

Each of the first six months of 2016 set a record as the warmest respective month globally in the modern temperature record, which dates to 1880, according to scientists at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York. The six-month period from January to June was also the planet's warmest half-year on record, with an average temperature 1.3 degrees Celsius (2.4 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than the late nineteenth century.


...



First half 2017

Quote:
“Personally, I wasn’t expecting it to be as warm as it has been,” Ahira Sanchez-Lugo, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration climate scientist, said in an email. “After the decline of the strong El Niño I was expecting the values to drop a bit and rank among the top five warmest years. This year has been extremely remarkable.”

The odds are good that 2017 will stay in second place through the end of the year, and it is even more likely that it will remain in at least the top three hottest years.

NOAA released its global temperature data for June on Tuesday, and ranked June as the third warmest in its records. The four warmest Junes in its records have all happened in the past four years. (NASA, which released its June numbers on Friday, ranked June as the fourth hottest. The two agencies handle the data slightly differently, which can lead to small differences in their rankings, though they strongly agree on recent warming.)

The hotspots around the world for June included central Asia and western and central Europe. A searing heatwave in western Europe that helped fuel deadly wildfires in Portugal was made up to 10 times more likely because of Earth’s rising temperature, according to a recent study done in partnership with Climate Central.

The U.S. Southwest was another standout, with a heatwave that pushed temperatures so high they prevented some airplanes from taking off at Phoenix’s airport.

Every month of the year so far, including June, has ranked in the top three hottest for that month. Overall, the first six months of the year were 1.64 degrees F (0.91 degrees C) above the 20th century average of 56.3 degrees F (13.5 degrees C), according to NOAA. They were 0.29 degrees F (0.16 degrees C) behind the same period in 2016, which turned out to be hottest year on record, but ahead of 2015 by 0.09 degrees F (0.05 degrees C).

According to NASA, the first six months were 1.64 degrees F above the 1951–1980 average.


http://grist.org/article/the-first-half-of-2017-was-the-second-hottest-to-date/

...
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« Last Edit: Jul 25th, 2017 at 8:48pm by Jovial Monk »  

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lee
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #1 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 8:59pm
 
Which thermometer did they use?

"/ 2015 / January / 13 / Weather Instrumentation Debacle? Analysis Shows 0.9°C Of Germany’s Warming May Be Due To Transition To Electronic Measurement
Weather Instrumentation Debacle? Analysis Shows 0.9°C Of Germany’s Warming May Be Due To Transition To Electronic Measurement

By P Gosselin on 13. January 2015

Yesterday I wrote a post about how a 44-year veteran German meteorologist poured cold water on the hypothesis of a man-made global warming and pointed out that a change in temperature instrumentation is probably behind much of the reported warming that Germany has supposedly since the 1980s."

http://notrickszone.com/2015/01/13/weather-instrumentation-debacle-analysis-show...

"Hager tells the SZ (my emphasis):

    For eight years I conducted parallel measurements at Lechfeld. The result was that compared to the glass thermometers, the electronic thermometers showed on average  a temperature that was 0.9°C warmer. Thus we are comparing – even though we are measuring the temperature here – apples and oranges. No one is told that.” "

http://notrickszone.com/2015/01/12/university-of-augsburg-44-year-veteran-meteor...



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« Last Edit: Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:08pm by lee »  
 
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #2 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:00pm
 
Since the temps were 2016 and 2017 I do not know how temps from 2013–5 are relevant.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #3 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:07pm
 
The world is not warming up - it's getting colder,
Greenland ice & Antarctic ice is increasing.
Record cold temperatures have been recorded on every continent in the world.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #4 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:09pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:00pm:
Since the temps were 2016 and 2017 I do not know how temps from 2013–5 are relevant.



Your graph purports to go back to 1880.
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #5 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:11pm
 
Try to be smarter than a hammer, Booby.

The world is heating up.

Greenland lost a shitload of ice, it floated past Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.

The Arctic is losing ice.

Antarctica is losing ice.

The Himalayan icesheet is losing ice.

The US had a warm winter, the NH summer is bloody hot, wildfires galore.

Wake up!

...

This year is the second hottest year so far even without an El Nino! Read the description:
Quote:
The hotspots around the world for June included central Asia and western and central Europe. A searing heatwave in western Europe . . .The U.S. Southwest was another standout, with a heatwave that pushed temperatures so high they prevented some airplanes from taking off at Phoenix’s airport.


There was also the recent worldwide bleaching of coral reefs. That was due to hot sea water Booby, not cold!

That kinda nullifies Goulburn at -10.4°C.
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« Last Edit: Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:31pm by Jovial Monk »  

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #6 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:12pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 8:35pm:
Each of the first six months of 2016 set a record as the warmest respective month globally in the modern temperature record, which dates to 1880,



And how much of these are in the Arctic? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #7 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:13pm
 
You are aware the Arctic was warm late last year? Ice melted in winter?

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Jovial Monk
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #8 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:28pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:09pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:00pm:
Since the temps were 2016 and 2017 I do not know how temps from 2013–5 are relevant.



Your graph purports to go back to 1880.

Had a look at notrickszone

Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #9 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:36pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:07pm:
The world is not warming up - it's getting colder,
Greenland ice & Antarctic ice is increasing.
Record cold temperatures have been recorded on every continent in the world.


Hey Bobby,  check out this forecast for the weekend in my hood
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IBI
 
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #10 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:46pm
 
Bit better than Adelaide, 16-19°C for the next few days.

Have a look at this, Booby:
...

See how the Amundsun Sea glaciers are accelerating? (red color) (apart from a few bits here and there that are slowing (blue color) and see how the acceleration outpaces the slight slowdown.)

That is why I say Antarctica is losing net ice. If not now then very soon.

Get used to reality, Booby, or it will kick you very hard up your arse!

Get rid of that survival junk, prepare for increasing heat. Plant a couple of trees to shade your house in summer yet lose their leaves in fall so winter sun can reach your house.
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« Last Edit: Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:52pm by Jovial Monk »  

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #11 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:52pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:13pm:
You are aware the Arctic was warm late last year? Ice melted in winter?



Are you aware the Arctic was warm 1920-40?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #12 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:52pm
 
And you are aware of the cause, right?

And you are aware the warming spike in the 40s has been well and truly surpassed? And the cause of he earlier Arctic warming is not operating now, the melting is due to AGW. So is the loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #13 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:53pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:28pm:
Had a look at notrickszone



Obviously you didn't look at the reference material.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #14 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:55pm
 
I had a giggle.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #15 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:57pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:55pm:
I had a giggle.


Have a giggle at the article in the original German.

http://www.augsburger-allgemeine.de/bayern/Meteorologe-findet-Diskussion-um-Klim...

You did do German didn't you?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #16 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:58pm
 
A little.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #17 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 10:03pm
 
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #18 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 10:07pm
 
Why?

Face facts Lees: we are in the 21st century and this year and last year have been the hottest years we know about. Spectroscopy shows the mechanism. Why do you dredge up irrelevant crap to clog up threads?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #19 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 10:09pm
 
Keeping track of global temperatures:

First half 2016

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/climate-trends-continue-to-break-recor...

Quote:
Two key climate change indicators -- global surface temperatures and Arctic sea ice extent -- have broken numerous records through the first half of 2016, according to NASA analyses of ground-based observations and satellite data.

Each of the first six months of 2016 set a record as the warmest respective month globally in the modern temperature record, which dates to 1880, according to scientists at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York. The six-month period from January to June was also the planet's warmest half-year on record, with an average temperature 1.3 degrees Celsius (2.4 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than the late nineteenth century.


...



First half 2017

Quote:
“Personally, I wasn’t expecting it to be as warm as it has been,” Ahira Sanchez-Lugo, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration climate scientist, said in an email. “After the decline of the strong El Niño I was expecting the values to drop a bit and rank among the top five warmest years. This year has been extremely remarkable.”

The odds are good that 2017 will stay in second place through the end of the year, and it is even more likely that it will remain in at least the top three hottest years.

NOAA released its global temperature data for June on Tuesday, and ranked June as the third warmest in its records. The four warmest Junes in its records have all happened in the past four years. (NASA, which released its June numbers on Friday, ranked June as the fourth hottest. The two agencies handle the data slightly differently, which can lead to small differences in their rankings, though they strongly agree on recent warming.)

The hotspots around the world for June included central Asia and western and central Europe. A searing heatwave in western Europe that helped fuel deadly wildfires in Portugal was made up to 10 times more likely because of Earth’s rising temperature, according to a recent study done in partnership with Climate Central.

The U.S. Southwest was another standout, with a heatwave that pushed temperatures so high they prevented some airplanes from taking off at Phoenix’s airport.

Every month of the year so far, including June, has ranked in the top three hottest for that month. Overall, the first six months of the year were 1.64 degrees F (0.91 degrees C) above the 20th century average of 56.3 degrees F (13.5 degrees C), according to NOAA. They were 0.29 degrees F (0.16 degrees C) behind the same period in 2016, which turned out to be hottest year on record, but ahead of 2015 by 0.09 degrees F (0.05 degrees C).

According to NASA, the first six months were 1.64 degrees F above the 1951–1980 average.


http://grist.org/article/the-first-half-of-2017-was-the-second-hottest-to-date/

...
OK, by passing all the irrelevant crap and bringing this to the front again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #20 - Jul 25th, 2017 at 10:12pm
 
ho -hum
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #21 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 6:42am
 
Jovial never watched the videos - he ignored all evidence
to the contrary of what he wants to think.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #22 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 8:36am
 
LOL

...

Of course the alarmists have always had problems with thermometers and where they are situated.  I'm guessing some may be where they and Monk stick their heads so very frequently.

...

...

Oh and lets not forget that the colour and material of monitoring stations used in the US to contain equipment also have a bearing on temperatures that are recorded.

All factual...  oh dearie dearie me.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #23 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 8:37am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:58pm:
A little.

Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #24 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 8:55am
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 26th, 2017 at 6:42am:
Jovial never watched the videos - he ignored all evidence
to the contrary of what he wants to think.

The videos are lies, cherrypicking and bullshit.

I pointed out many of the lies and cherrypicking.

Now I have shown real evidence of 2016 and 2017 are the two hottest years we know.

I have posted real evidence of the West Antarctic ice sheet starting to slide into the sea. Not stupid videos! I have posted to show the mechanism behind AGW, the absorption and re-emission of photons of IR.

We are warming. No ice age.

...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #25 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 10:21am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 26th, 2017 at 8:55am:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 26th, 2017 at 6:42am:
Jovial never watched the videos - he ignored all evidence
to the contrary of what he wants to think.

The videos are lies, cherrypicking and bullshit.

I pointed out many of the lies and cherrypicking.

Now I have shown real evidence of 2016 and 2017 are the two hottest years we know.

I have posted real evidence of the West Antarctic ice sheet starting to slide into the sea. Not stupid videos! I have posted to show the mechanism behind AGW, the absorption and re-emission of photons of IR.

We are warming. No ice age.

https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/styles/side_image/public/thumbnails/ima...


YOU Monk Cherry pick from bullsh all the time.  Wassup, cant tell the difference?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #26 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 10:21am
 
LOL

...

Of course the alarmists have always had problems with thermometers and where they are situated.  I'm guessing some may be where they and Monk stick their heads so very frequently.

...

...

Oh and lets not forget that the colour and material of monitoring stations used in the US to contain equipment also have a bearing on temperatures that are recorded.

All factual...  oh dearie dearie me.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #27 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 11:57am
 
That chart of temps you show, roach, is really official, right?

It comes from:
http://www.tomatobubble.com/id1120.html

Tomato bubble?  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Just another raving loony rightard denier relied on by another raving loony rightard denier.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #28 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 12:02pm
 
What I think is interesting about the so–called pause:

After the 1998 very strong El Nino temperatures plunged way down. This is what we expect: El Nino heats the globe and when it goes and we get La Nina temperatures drop back to a “normal” level.

Last year we had another strong El Nino and temperature spike. This year we don’t see the big drop in temperatures. Considering how hot 2015 was that is a big surprise.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #29 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 12:59pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 26th, 2017 at 11:57am:
That chart of temps you show, roach, is really official, right?

It comes from:
http://www.tomatobubble.com/id1120.html

Tomato bubble?  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Just another raving loony rightard denier relied on by another raving loony rightard denier.

here we go again...  never been to Tomato Bubble Monk and your constant appeals to Authority don't help your arguments nor do your excuses to ignore facts, because Monkeyboy that's what counts....   is the graph correct.
Oh and I'm no Rightard either...  liar liar pants on fire monk Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #30 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 1:01pm
 
LOL

...

Of course the alarmists have always had problems with thermometers and where they are situated.  I'm guessing some may be where they and Monk stick their heads so very frequently.

...

...

Oh and lets not forget that the colour and material of monitoring stations used in the US to contain equipment also have a bearing on temperatures that are recorded.

All factual...  oh dearie dearie me.


No refutation from Monk as yet...  just baseless ridicule... Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #31 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 2:28pm
 
That chart is wrong. It is a home made job to support a viewpoint, not a chart made and conclusions drawn.

You think only deniers know about UHI etc? You are dumber than I thought.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #32 - Jul 26th, 2017 at 3:57pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 26th, 2017 at 2:28pm:
That chart is wrong. It is a home made job to support a viewpoint, not a chart made and conclusions drawn.

You think only deniers know about UHI etc? You are dumber than I thought.


Yeah, But "climate scientists" TM homogenise nearby rural stations to conform to the urban stations. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Just like Tom Karl did to the SST's. Adjusted the pristine buoy data up to match the noisy ships' "data".  Because the buoy data was providing a "cool bias". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #33 - Jul 27th, 2017 at 7:20pm
 
LOL

...

Of course the alarmists have always had problems with thermometers and where they are situated.  I'm guessing some may be where they and Monk stick their heads so very frequently.

...

...

Oh and lets not forget that the colour and material of monitoring stations used in the US to contain equipment also have a bearing on temperatures that are recorded.

All factual...  oh dearie dearie me.


No refutation from Monk as yet...  just baseless ridicule... Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Got nothing to say eh...

Not to worry it speaks for itself. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #34 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 2:14pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:46pm:
Bit better than Adelaide, 16-19°C for the next few days.

Have a look at this, Booby:
https://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/83000/83672/westantarctica_er...

See how the Amundsun Sea glaciers are accelerating? (red color) (apart from a few bits here and there that are slowing (blue color) and see how the acceleration outpaces the slight slowdown.)

That is why I say Antarctica is losing net ice. If not now then very soon.

Get used to reality, Booby, or it will kick you very hard up your arse!

Get rid of that survival junk, prepare for increasing heat. Plant a couple of trees to shade your house in summer yet lose their leaves in fall so winter sun can reach your house.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=MdBEtPt63DQ
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #35 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 2:16pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 10:07pm:
Why?

Face facts Lees: we are in the 21st century and this year and last year have been the hottest years we know about. Spectroscopy shows the mechanism. Why do you dredge up irrelevant crap to clog up threads?

Lee has fantasies of making people choke on his big one  Cheesy

Yay, Kings vote crapper net  Roll Eyes

These fake conservatives all hate themselves .......  Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #36 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 2:19pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 26th, 2017 at 12:02pm:
What I think is interesting about the so–called pause:

After the 1998 very strong El Nino temperatures plunged way down. This is what we expect: El Nino heats the globe and when it goes and we get La Nina temperatures drop back to a “normal” level.

Last year we had another strong El Nino and temperature spike. This year we don’t see the big drop in temperatures. Considering how hot 2015 was that is a big surprise.

Are there any time series graphs on ice loss from that pine island glacier?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #37 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 2:21pm
 
Grendel wrote on Jul 26th, 2017 at 12:59pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 26th, 2017 at 11:57am:
That chart of temps you show, roach, is really official, right?

It comes from:
http://www.tomatobubble.com/id1120.html

Tomato bubble?  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Just another raving loony rightard denier relied on by another raving loony rightard denier.

here we go again...  never been to Tomato Bubble Monk and your constant appeals to Authority don't help your arguments nor do your excuses to ignore facts, because Monkeyboy that's what counts....   is the graph correct.
Oh and I'm no Rightard either...  liar liar pants on fire monk Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Grendel is trying to save face by pretending he didn't vote for crapper net whilst we all know he did: go credibility!

Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #38 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 2:43pm
 
roach’s graph doesn’t look like the real graphs I have posted.

Deniers got to deny and don’t care how silly they look doing it.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #39 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 2:55pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 28th, 2017 at 2:43pm:
roach’s graph doesn’t look like the real graphs I have posted.

Deniers got to deny and don’t care how silly they look doing it.

You can't just press calculator buttons all day: even the blue bloods need a hobby  Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #40 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 3:51pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 28th, 2017 at 2:43pm:
roach’s graph doesn’t look like the real graphs I have posted.

Deniers got to deny and don’t care how silly they look doing it.

Really?
Maybe they are different eh.
Maybe yours rely on false data and fraud.
You can always check the graph against records.
Pity the records have been fiddled with.
maybe you could look to some modelling figures...  ooops Garbage In Garbage Out. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Why is it you refer to the minor part of the post only Monk? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #41 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 3:55pm
 
Oh and BSc...  heres a little hint for you.
In Mathematics if you change the scales of your x and y vertices your graph is bound to look different.

If for instance, Chicken Littles like yourself, saw a graph that was less exaggerated, whereby making fractions of a degree NOT larger than years... you might not be so alarmist. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #42 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 4:02pm
 
Grendel wrote on Jul 28th, 2017 at 3:55pm:
Oh and BSc...  heres a little hint for you.
In Mathematics if you change the scales of your x and y vertices your graph is bound to look different.

If for instance, Chicken Littles like yourself, saw a graph that was less exaggerated, whereby making fractions of a degree NOT larger than years... you might not be so alarmist. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Why would you feel the need to say that?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #43 - Jul 28th, 2017 at 9:31pm
 
Because its an obvious truth. Roll Eyes
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #44 - Jul 29th, 2017 at 1:15pm
 
Grendel wrote on Jul 28th, 2017 at 9:31pm:
Because its an obvious truth. Roll Eyes

So why say it?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #45 - Jul 29th, 2017 at 1:39pm
 
Because Monk is dishonest and you are a TROLL.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #46 - Jul 29th, 2017 at 3:14pm
 
Not very scientific but. . .


Quote:
Strange_In_Belize
Our weather is attenuated quite a bit by Lake Superior. In Minnesota at this lattitude, away from the lake, it is considerably more extreme.
14:08:40
We are actually a Zone 5 growing area.
14:09:14
In Minnesota at this latitude they are a Zone 3
14:11:48Strange_In_Belize
With Global warming we are more li\ke the weather used to be in Madison...400 miles south. Their weather is now approaching that of what Indianapolis used to be... They in turn are having weather like Tennessee...


Chatting with this guy now.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #47 - Jul 29th, 2017 at 3:17pm
 
About the... 
WEATHER?

Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #48 - Jul 30th, 2017 at 9:30am
 
Yes, he used the term weather.

The climate bands are moving polewards, as they are here.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #49 - Jul 30th, 2017 at 1:39pm
 
Oh so not "Northwards" now eh....  picked up where I corrected you did you? Roll Eyes

So what do you think of records for temp recorded in the middle of an asphalt parking area or behind air conditioning units pumping out hot air?

What do you think of someone who chooses to ignore points brought forward like this? Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #50 - Jul 30th, 2017 at 4:37pm
 
In the northern hemisphere where the US is polewards is north.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #51 - Jul 30th, 2017 at 8:36pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 30th, 2017 at 4:37pm:
In the northern hemisphere where the US is polewards is north.

I remember what you said... Roll Eyes
Were you regurgitating stuff from someone up North were you?  I guessed as much otherwise you'd have said "the poles"...  wouldn't you? Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #52 - Jul 30th, 2017 at 8:39pm
 
One down 2 more to go eh Monk...  no use ignoring stuff all the time, its just annoying.

Grendel wrote on Jul 30th, 2017 at 1:39pm:
Oh so not "Northwards" now eh....  picked up where I corrected you did you? Roll Eyes

So what do you think of records for temp recorded in the middle of an asphalt parking area or behind air conditioning units pumping out hot air?

What do you think of someone who chooses to ignore points brought forward like this?
Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #53 - Jul 31st, 2017 at 11:49am
 
Quote:
With Global warming we are more [like] the weather used to be in Madison...400 miles south


So Madison is 400 miles south of where my fellow brewer lives, so Madison climate has moved 400 miles north which is the same as 400 miles poleward.

I don’t know what point you think you have made but I think it exists in your head only.

In SA some of the cyclones and anticyclones that affect our weather and bring us our rain have moved south and more rain now falls in the sea. That means the belt has moved polewards. Saying “polewards” just means you don’t have to indicate what direction that is. We see in both hemispheres a movement of climate bands polewards.

And I wasn’t “regurgitating” what he said I mentioned what he said. Gee, and environment board, lots of discussion (and denial  Wink ) of AGW why wouldn’t I mention what the guy said? I also made clear he was not a climatologist tho the word “weather” should have tipped people off.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #54 - Jul 31st, 2017 at 12:07pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:57pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:55pm:
I had a giggle.


Have a giggle at the article in the original German.

http://www.augsburger-allgemeine.de/bayern/Meteorologe-findet-Diskussion-um-Klim...

You did do German didn't you?

Told you I had a giggle:
[url]he meteorologist Klaus Hager from the Lechfeld finds the discussion about climate change and climate protection ridiculous. Man has little influence on it, he says.
Mr. Hager, we are currently experiencing a winter that is - with the exception of the week after Christmas - not quite one. Can this be seen as a result of climate change?
DISPLAY
Hager: With the keyword "climate change" one is now fast at hand. These assumptions have nothing to do with reality. As an example, I would like to illuminate the Augsburg region when you approach the winter . In a time series of over 60 years, the average temperature in the winter months of December, January and February is minus 0.2 degrees Celsius. In the course of the years, some regularity - for example, that it has become warmer in recent years - is not recognizable.
For the past ten winters: Three were above the average with the temperatures. But six were underneath. And one of them is quite exactly the average temperature. I could also reach other sizes like the absolute temperature minimum reached minus 27.1 degrees 20 years ago. In the years before and after, the temperatures were more or less clearly above. It is a real zigzag course, which does not show any regularity.
What do you conclude from this?
Hager: I can quote only Professor Lauscher from Vienna: "Variations dominate the climate, not trends. In the climate the change is the only constant. "And when you look back in the history of mankind, then ever colder and warmer periods emerge. The Romans drank wine in Augsburg, which in the antiquity was largely cultivated in this region. This was made possible by the climate. Around the year 350 it has gradually collapsed, which was a not inconsiderable reason for the migration of the peoples in the late antiquity. In Eastern European regions the climate has deteriorated in such a way that survival in the long term would not have been possible.
...
Meteorologist finds discussion about climate protection ridiculous - weiter lesen auf Augsburger-Allgemeine: http://www.augsburger-allgemeine.de/bayern/Meteorologe-findet-Diskussion-um-Klimaschutz-laecherlich-id32569342.html[/url]

What a heap of crap, it could have been Ajax they were interviewing!

Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #55 - Jul 31st, 2017 at 12:09pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 10:03pm:


Yeah, we found a coincidence of the decadal oscillations of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans melted a lot of polar ice.

Relevance to today. . . . ???
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #56 - Jul 31st, 2017 at 3:47pm
 
Monk, Monk, Monk...
Why is it YOU run away from the truth?

I'll repost for you eh... Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #57 - Jul 31st, 2017 at 3:49pm
 
Grendel wrote on Jul 30th, 2017 at 8:39pm:
One down 2 more to go eh Monk...  no use ignoring stuff all the time, its just annoying.

Grendel wrote on Jul 30th, 2017 at 1:39pm:
Oh so not "Northwards" now eh....  picked up where I corrected you did you? Roll Eyes

So what do you think of records for temp recorded in the middle of an asphalt parking area or behind air conditioning units pumping out hot air?

What do you think of someone who chooses to ignore points brought forward like this?
Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


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Re: Thermometer
Reply #58 - Jul 31st, 2017 at 5:47pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 31st, 2017 at 12:07pm:
Hager: I can quote only Professor Lauscher from Vienna: "Variations dominate the climate, not trends. In the climate the change is the only constant.



Wow. And you disagreed with that? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #59 - Jul 31st, 2017 at 5:49pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 31st, 2017 at 12:09pm:
Yeah, we found a coincidence of the decadal oscillations of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans melted a lot of polar ice.

Relevance to today. . . . ???



Oh, It was a oncer? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #60 - Aug 6th, 2017 at 11:35pm
 
Preliminary July 2017 temperature:

Quote:
Global Temperature Report: July 2017
Global climate trend since Nov. 16, 1978: +0.13 C per decade
Article ID: 679033
Released: 3-Aug-2017 3:50 PM EDT
Source Newsroom: University of Alabama Huntsville

July temperatures (preliminary):

Global composite temp.: +0.29 C (about 0.52 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for July.

Northern Hemisphere: +0.30 C (about 0.54 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for July.

Southern Hemisphere: +0.27 C (about 0.49 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for July.

Tropics: +0.50 C (about 0.90 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for July.



June temperatures (revised):

Global Composite: +0.21 C above 30-year average

Northern Hemisphere: +0.32 C above 30-year average

Southern Hemisphere: +0.09 C above 30-year average

Tropics: +0.39 C above 30-year average



Got a bit warmer it seems in July compared to June.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #61 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 10:18am
 
And?


Good snow season so far eh. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #62 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 10:53am
 
In winter

in the alps



Relevance—zero.

In fact, AGW causes more evaporation and consequently more precipitation.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #63 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:23am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 7th, 2017 at 10:53am:
In winter

in the alps



Relevance—zero.

In fact, AGW causes more evaporation and consequently more precipitation.

Weather is weather Monk, just as relevant as your "hot" July Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
If it was climate it would always be "hot" Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #64 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:29am
 
Geez you are thick as three bricks!

The July temperature was G L O B A L !


Your snow in the alps in winter is seasonal and very, very local.

You clearly have no science or mathematics training.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #65 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:31am
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 25th, 2017 at 9:07pm:
The world is not warming up - it's getting colder,
Greenland ice & Antarctic ice is increasing.
Record cold temperatures have been recorded on every continent in the world.

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #66 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:54am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:29am:
Geez you are thick as three bricks!

The July temperature was G L O B A L !


Your snow in the alps in winter is seasonal and very, very local.

You clearly have no science or mathematics training.

Good grief....  thickness my man is now well and truly mixed with your inability to see past your nose weather is weather...  climate is measured over longer time periods than a month...  good grief.  talk about missing the point. Roll Eyes
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #67 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:58am
 
I think I will put you on ignore.

You contribute nothing but bluster, have no insight, no training in anything that matters in the field of AGW etc. Will stop wasting my time responding to you.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #68 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 12:03pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:58am:
I think I will put you on ignore.

You contribute nothing but bluster, have no insight, no training in anything that matters in the field of AGW etc. Will stop wasting my time responding to you.


You ignore everything and everyone who challenges your world view...  you can kiss good bye any hopes of being a mod now.

I however will welcome the free-kicks and keep posting points that prove you wrong.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #69 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 12:35pm
 
Looking at those figures I posted, seems the Southern hemisphere and the tropics provided the extra warming in July.

Bit odd, that.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #70 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 12:47pm
 
Could mean we are going to get a summer from hell in the Southern Hemisphere.

If we do, the electricity generating and transmission network, especially minus Hazelwood, will not be able to cope.

I am going to make preparations for such a summer from hell. In SA we know just how gimcrack our network is.

I suggest others here consider their options. Of course, the denialists won’t make prepararions, it is only natural variation, the world is cooling yadda yadda.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #71 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 1:31pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 7th, 2017 at 12:47pm:
Could mean we are going to get a summer from hell in the Southern Hemisphere.

If we do, the electricity generating and transmission network, especially minus Hazelwood, will not be able to cope.

I am going to make preparations for such a summer from hell. In SA we know just how gimcrack our network is.


Yeah. Fancy not planning and building power stations before closing old ones down.

Oh a summer from hell. I have never lived through one of those. /sarc
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #72 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 1:40pm
 
Lived through a few days of one with no power?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #73 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 1:47pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 6th, 2017 at 11:35pm:
Preliminary July 2017 temperature:



The graph of the report -

...

Looks scary.

"Global climate trend since Nov. 16, 1978: +0.13 C per decade"

Sounds really scary.

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #74 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 3:00pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 7th, 2017 at 1:40pm:
Lived through a few days of one with no power?

LOL
Lived through quite a few in my schooldays, no fans no air con... Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #75 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:13pm
 
Well we all know how Monk dismisses various temperatures a "noise" yet not others.... Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Seems the BOM have been doing the same too.

Quote:
The story changes: first it was quality control, then equipment failure, now a smart card?

Jennifer Marohasy reports that the thermometers are working fine, but a smart card has been added to some to filter out “spurious cold” readings:

In particular, the Minister [Josh Frydenberg] was told that while the Goulburn weather station accurately measured the local temperature as minus 10.4 at 6.30 am on Sunday 2 July, a smart card reader prevented this value from being recorded as the daily minimum on the Daily Weather Observations page.

Apparently, the smart cards don’t filter out the spurious hot readings — on the hot side, all noise is good? I want the BOM to confirm or correct this. Despite knowing of this extraordinary, uncertain, situation, the Minister still has “full confidence” in the Bureau of Meteorology. A month ago, the BOM said the temperature clipping was a deliberate “quality control measure”, but then changed that to “equipment failure”. This week, Bill Kininmonth pointed out that the same equipment worked in Antarctica (where it gets to minus 50C). And I can add that David Stockwell  spotted the data sheet for an Automatic Weather Station thermometer installed at Nerriga. It claims that particular resistance thermometer has a range from -200 to +600 °C.  (You might think they can handle minus ten?)
Jen Marohasy claims that the BOM have made a fuss about replacing the faulty equipment, but all they had to do was take off the smart cards and leave the equipment alone:

All-the-while, the Minister has known that the problem is limited to the smart card readers.

To be clear, the problem is not with the equipment; all that needs to be done is for the smart card readers to be removed.  So, after the automatic weather stations measure the correct temperature, this temperature can be brought forward firstly into the Daily Weather Observation sheet and subsequently into the CDO dataset.

Graham Lloyd has picked this up and adds more in The Australian in “Temperatures Plunge after BOM orders fix”. Jen Marohasy saw a -10.6C temperature disappear from the Thredbo recording last month, but now, after the BOM’s rushed fix, Thredbo has already reached -10.6C this week in the official record. The Bureau’s CEO, Andrew Johnson said they had replaced equipment that was “not fit for purpose”. Which begs the question that if thermometers were not fit to record cold temperatures, what purpose were they fit for? Politically correct thermometers? Thermometers to justify Renewable Energy Subsidies and ARC Grants?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #76 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:17pm
 
Remember ACORN-SAT and homogenisation.

Monk dismissed it.

But...

The Australian: BoM faces storm over weather data inaccuracies

Quote:
It is the biggest public scandal for BoM since furious debate was sparked three years ago over its treatment of historic and contemporary temperature rec­ords to compile its new homogenised national temperature data series known as ACORN-SAT.

For an agency that screams from the rooftops every time the mercury nudges to the slightest record high, losing a half a degree Celsius here and there at the lower extremities is a pretty poor look.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #77 - Aug 7th, 2017 at 11:31pm
 
Oh and 1 last thing tonight.
Remember me mentioning graphs and scales and how people dishonest people manipulate them to make things look worse?
halfway down this page
http://www.climatedepot.com/2017/05/01/mit-climate-scientist-dr-richard-lindzen-...
you can see a perfect example of what I'm talking about...  One of them certainly looks like the kind of graph Monk always posts. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #78 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 12:07pm
 
http://climate.copernicus.eu/resources/data-analysis/average-surface-air-tempera...

How July fared in terms of temperature with comparison to the 1981–2010 average.

Hot, including in Australia:
Quote:
July 2017 was very much warmer than the 1981-2010 average over southern Europe, where wildfires have troubled many countries and sustaining water supplies has become a challenge in places, such as reported for Rome. Conversely, temperatures were well below average over most of the north of the continent. An exception was the far north-west of Russia, where temperatures were substantially above average, as they were in 2016. Aside from this region, the general contrast between south and north in essence continues a pattern that was present over Europe in April, May and June.

Summer heat-wave conditions prevailed over the western USA and south-western Canada, over Israel Jordan and northern Saudi Arabia, and over Mongolia and northern and eastern China. The city of Shanghai was reported to have had its warmest day on record.

Australia as a whole experienced its warmest July maximum temperatures on record. Much of South America and Africa were also warmer than average in July 2017, but eastern Brazil was colder than normal. The below-average temperatures over northern Europe were part of a band that extended around much of the northern hemisphere, including Greenland and the northern North Atlantic Ocean. Temperatures were also below average over much of the Antarctic and some oceanic regions of the southern hemisphere, although pronounced warm anomalies occurred where sea-ice cover was lower than usual around Antarctica.


Of course, Booby is going to wank on and on about Goulburn -10.4C etc. One day he will understand that it is readings over the whole country that determine the temperature record. Not holding my breath until he actually learns that tho!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #79 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 12:09pm
 
BoM agrees with the above:

Quote:
Australia in July 2017 - Bureau of Meteorology
www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/month/aus/summary.shtml
Tuesday 1 August 2017 — Monthly Summary for Australia — Product ... Average maximum temperatures were the highest on record for July over large parts of ...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #80 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 1:47pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 9th, 2017 at 12:09pm:
BoM agrees with the above:

Quote:
Australia in July 2017 - Bureau of Meteorology
www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/month/aus/summary.shtml
Tuesday 1 August 2017 — Monthly Summary for Australia — Product ... Average maximum temperatures were the highest on record for July over large parts of ...


Is that ACORN-SAT or actual temperatures? Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #81 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 1:49pm
 
It is the temperature the BoM measured.

Another silly question, Lees.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #82 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 1:56pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 9th, 2017 at 1:49pm:
It is the temperature the BoM measured.

Another silly question, Lees.


It is not clear from the reference. And we know ACORN-SAT only covers 112 stations. So unless you can prove your assertion, I will decline your kind offer of belief.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #83 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 2:04pm
 
You wouldn’t believe it anyway. Keep pushing that denialism Lees even tho it often makes you look like an idiot.

Bring in lots of references from “impeccably scientific” sites like JoNova and WattsUp  Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #84 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 2:07pm
 
You can’t read either:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/month/aus/summary.shtml#notes

ACORN-SAT was used.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #85 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 2:12pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 9th, 2017 at 2:07pm:



Bugger. All those areas represented by 112 stations. I'll let you work out out ant error bars. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #86 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 2:13pm
 
Why would they be huge?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #87 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 3:21pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 9th, 2017 at 2:13pm:
Why would they be huge?


Please try to understand the data. Roll Eyes

...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #88 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 3:23pm
 
And?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #89 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 3:25pm
 
All the crap you come up with is pointless.

We know GHGs block IR radiation from escaping to space.

We know that this warms the earth.

This warming is melting icesheets, sending glaciers into retreat.

The retreat of ice sheets means albedo adds to AGW, so does deforestation by sending more CO2 into the atmosphere. You know wildfire seasons are longer and wildfires more common and larger and more destructive. The CO2 these fires release is yet another positive feedback to AGW.

Yet you want to pretend none of this is happening? Why?

You pretend to believe in “natural variation” yet after weeks of goading by me can only come up with a weird paper that does not even mention CO2, meaning it is valueless.

Why not just accept AGW is real, is happening and is accelerating?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #90 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 3:28pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 9th, 2017 at 3:25pm:
All the crap you come up with is pointless.



Yes. Because I can't talk rationally to you, a zealot. You just don't want to know.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #91 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:02pm
 
I am the zealot?

Who keeps denying what is happening? Denying reality?

You post pointless crap all the time after I post some information. Why?

If you don’t want to debate, why keep posting?

Why not post somewhere else and I can make this board one other people would like to post in? You and roach contribute very little tho you two post a lot.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #92 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:05pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:02pm:
If you don’t want to debate, why keep posting?



it is hardly "debate" when you keep posting the same crap. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #93 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:12pm
 
I post the same crap?

I have posted on ecological house design

Superbugs

Deforestation

AGW especially the greenhouse effect

Other topics.

What topics have you started, Lees?

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #94 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:12pm
 
You still haven’t explained your natural variation “theory” why not do that now?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #95 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:19pm
 
I have shown how to test for warming.

If we want to test the greenhouse effect—the A part of AGW:

Theory: gaseous molecules with three or more atoms are greenhouse gases, absorbing and re-emitting IR in their respective parts of the IR band. Because molecules spin the IR could be re-emitted in any direction.

Alternative hypothesis: Less IR radiation reaches space, more is reflected back to the surface

Null hypothesis: The amount of IR that reaches space or the surface is independent of the concentration and make up of GHGs in the atmosphere.

Test: measure IR in space and the surface over time which means over higher GHG concentrations. Difference between means could be used.

We know from the Harries and Feldman papers discussing their findings that less IR makes its way to space and more is reflected back to the surface with increasing GHG concentrations. We therefor must reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternate.

In there we use isotopic analysis of atmospheric carbon and find the extra CO2 is anthropogenic.

AGW is real.

Q.E.D.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #96 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:19pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:12pm:
You still haven’t explained your natural variation “theory” why not do that now?


You don't UNDERSTAND natural variation? Oh dear. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #97 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:21pm
 
This is what I mean by pointless verbiage.

Explain your theory Lees!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #98 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:21pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:19pm:
AGW is real.

Q.E.D.



Oh dear. Not a mention of that dominant GHG anywhere. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #99 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 4:21pm
 
More pointless bullshit.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #100 - Aug 9th, 2017 at 5:46pm
 
It is clear Lees does not have a credible theory on temperature rises being due to natural variation. He quoted a weird article based on cycles. Supposed to start cooling down from “now” except the “now” was a couple of years ago and it has gotten warmer  Grin

Not just that, the sun has been in its quiet state since the ’80s and still it warms.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #101 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 11:01am
 
Increasing temperatures—presented as a circle not a spiral!



What were heatwaves early last century are ordinary temperatures now.

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #102 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 1:17pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 11:01am:
What were heatwaves early last century are ordinary temperatures now.



I guess that's why Marble Bar is suffering unprecedented heat.

"The town set a world record of most consecutive days of 100 °F (37.8 °C) or above, during a period of 160 days from 31 October 1923 to 7 April 1924."
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #103 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 1:31pm
 
Did it, really?

Quote:
WA's hottest recorded temperature was 50.5 degrees at Mardie in February, 1998, while the national record was set in 1960 by South Australia's Oodnadatta when it reached 50.7 degrees. Marble Bar's maximum so far of 49 degrees was reached at 3.12pm but it is just another day for locals.Jan 23, 2015
Marble Bar to nudge 50-degree record temperature - WA Today

http://www.watoday.com.au/wa-news/marble-bar-to-nudge-50degree-record-temperatur...


44–45°C just another day for Marble Bar residents.

Oceania has seen temperatures climb rapidly!

Just another installment of pointless bullshit by Lees.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #104 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 1:43pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 1:31pm:
44–45°C just another day for Marble Bar residents.

Oceania has seen temperatures climb rapidly!



And in Sunny California they calculate their weather records by the day. The LA Times. Hottest days for a particular date. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #105 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 1:53pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 1:31pm:
WA's hottest recorded temperature was 50.5 degrees at Mardie in February, 1998, while the national record was set in 1960 by South Australia's Oodnadatta when it reached 50.7 degrees. Marble Bar's maximum so far of 49 degrees was reached at 3.12pm but it is just another day for locals.Jan 23, 2015



According to BoM -
Highest  - 49.2º 03January 1922.

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/averages/tables/cw_004020_All.shtml

Damn. Fancy relying on newspapers. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #106 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 2:17pm
 
It does not invalidate the temperature increase representation.

It is just more pointless bullshit. As brainless a heap of bullshit as Booby’s stupid ice age crap!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #107 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 2:20pm
 
Increasing temperatures—presented as a circle not a spiral!



What were heatwaves early last century are ordinary temperatures now.



Just bringing this to the front again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #108 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 2:34pm
 
climate change is a lie cooked up by greedy idiot's to fool stupid idiot's - don't be an idiot- we are going into a global cooling period- idiot's
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x=^..^= x <o((((>< ~~~ x=^..^=x~~~x=^..^=x<o((((><~~~x=^..^=x


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Re: Thermometer
Reply #109 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 3:00pm
 
Look at this iceberg Agnes:

...

That used to be on Greenland.

Sea ice for 40Km from the coast, also used to be on Greenland:
...

...

The flow of huge icebergs, from Greenland past Newfoundland and Nova Scotia and later icefloes choking the sea off Newfoundland—evidence of global warming, all this ice was lost by Greenland.

Nope, the world is not cooling, Agnes, and the thermometer I posted shows just how much the world has warmed in the last 100 years.

In Australia La Nina years are now warmer than El Nino years were even just 30 years ago. This year, 2017, is the second hottest recorded year even tho it is not an El Nino year.

Global cooling is nonsense, as big a nonsense as Booby’s Ice Age nonsense.

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #110 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 3:28pm
 
Its a natural warming cycle- not linked to anything man made- natural warming cycles are natural and historically a part of earth natural rythms

Educate yourself
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #111 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 3:32pm
 
You are talking twaddle.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #112 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 3:49pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 2:20pm:
     Posted on: Today at 12:20pm
Increasing temperatures—presented as a circle not a spiral!



Based on GISTEMP reconstructions? Oh dear.

JM believes youtube is science. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #113 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:14pm
 
Why do you lie so much?

You talk absolute bullshit 90% of the time, why the hell do you have to lie for the other 10%?

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #114 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:20pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:14pm:
Why do you lie so much?

You talk absolute bullshit 90% of the time, why the hell do you have to lie for the other 10%?



Oh dear. Back on the ad homs. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #115 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:24pm
 
No, just a statement of fact.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #116 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:26pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:24pm:
No, just a statement of fact.


Oh, You mean facts like the Southern half of the continent is drying out or some other type of "fact"?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #117 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:32pm
 
BuMet has recorded the southern half of Australia warming and drying.

I really have no idea why you would deny all this, other than that you are a liar.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #118 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:39pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:32pm:
BuMet has recorded the southern half of Australia warming and drying.

I really have no idea why you would deny all this, other than that you are a liar.


And yet, the data, with which I have provided you, shows differently. Should I believe, You and BoM, or the BoM provided data?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #119 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:40pm
 
You have not provided data contrary to the BoM!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #120 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:47pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:40pm:
You have not provided data contrary to the BoM!


Exactly right. I showed BoM's own data. It doesn't fit the narrative. Blame BoM. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #121 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:52pm
 
What data?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #122 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:06pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 4:52pm:
What data?



...Sigh...

I went here

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/#tabs=Tracker&tracker=timeseries&tQ=graph%3...

Rainfall. Southern Australia.

I went to Download data under Southern Australia  here -

http://www.bom.gov.au/web01/ncc/www/cli_chg/timeseries/rranom/0112/saus/latest.t...

I then broke it into decade long chunks. And added the anomalies.

I then used that data to get 30 year long (WMO climate period) data. And then compared the various 30 year data.

As I noted in the entire record there are only 2 (two) climate periods of positive anomalies. And BOTH of them are since 1950. 1951-1980 was +2.8mm. 1971-2000 was +140.0mm.

You have now had the link twice. Prove me wrong.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #123 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:16pm
 
Oh, the rainfall chart that showed drying since 1970? In South Australia only?

You said you could read data. Was that another lie, Lees?

Why do you lie and bullshit so much, every single day?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #124 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:27pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:16pm:
Oh, the rainfall chart that showed drying since 1970? In South Australia only?



Boy, you are thick. If you click on the top link it takes you to rainfall Southern Australia. The second link gives the data.

So afraid of the truth. Didn't even look at the data did you? What a liar.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #125 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:33pm
 
Do you have kids and grand kids, Lees?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #126 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:34pm
 
You probably don't know how to convert the text file. Oooh look at all those nasty numbers. What do they mean? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #127 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:36pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:33pm:
Do you have kids and grand kids, Lees?



JM "Oh dear. I don't want to look at the numbers, they might prove me wrong." Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #128 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:38pm
 
Because if you do your cowardice is not serving them well, is all.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #129 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:38pm
 
Increasing temperatures—presented as a circle not a spiral!



What were heatwaves early last century are ordinary temperatures now.



Just bringing this to the front again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #130 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:42pm
 
Increasing temperatures—presented as a circle not a spiral!



What were heatwaves early last century are ordinary temperatures now.



Just bringing this to the front again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #131 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:46pm
 
JM The Regurgitator - "I'm back" Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #132 - Aug 11th, 2017 at 5:55pm
 
Increasing temperatures—presented as a circle not a spiral!



What were heatwaves early last century are ordinary temperatures now.



Just bringing this to the front again.

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #133 - Aug 13th, 2017 at 11:31am
 
The question is... why?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #134 - Aug 13th, 2017 at 12:23pm
 
Grendel wrote on Aug 13th, 2017 at 11:31am:
The question is... why?


because....CO2 Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #135 - Aug 13th, 2017 at 9:28pm
 
Ah... Roll Eyes
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #136 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 10:36am
 
2017 global monthly temps updated to July:

...

As hot as El Nino year 2016.

No sign at all of an ice age Booby!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #137 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:04pm
 
Ah yes. GISTEMP. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #138 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:12pm
 
Yup.

...

I am sure the other series show similar results. . .
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #139 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:27pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:12pm:
Yup.



Yup. And all based on reconstructions performed in the 1990's that are apparently accurate to 2 decimal places all the way back. Absolutely too funny. They probably used climate models which don't hindcast all that well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #140 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:27pm
 
Yup, and all agree.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #141 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:35pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:27pm:
Yup, and all agree.



All what agree?

The models? - Nope.
The "data" sets? - Nope

Just pulling statements out you arse again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #142 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:43pm
 
All temperature series pretty much agree with each other.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #143 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 1:43pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2017 at 12:43pm:
All temperature series pretty much agree with each other.


And have you ever wondered why?

There is really only ONE reconstructed "data" set. And then HADCRU, GISS etc add there own little algorithms which then gives a little "wriggle" in the "data".

You really do need to study some.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #144 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 1:46pm
 
Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Grin Grin Grin Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #145 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 1:47pm
 
"Astute readers then ask a deeper question: why do different institutions come up with slightly different numbers for the same planet? Although all four science institutions have strong similarities in how they track and analyze temperatures, there are subtle differences. As shown in the chart above, the NASA record tends to run slightly higher than the Japanese record, while the Met Office and NOAA records are usually in the middle.

There are good reasons for these differences, small as they are. Getting an accurate measurement of air temperature across the entire planet is not simple. Ideally, scientists would like to have thousands of standardized weather stations spaced evenly all around Earth’s surface. The trouble is that while there are plenty of weather stations on land, there are some pretty big gaps over the oceans, the polar regions, and even parts of Africa and South America.

The four research groups mentioned above deal with those gaps in slightly different ways. The Japanese group leaves areas without plenty of temperature stations out of their analysis, so its analysis covers about 85 percent of the globe. The Met Office makes similar choices, meaning its record covers about 86 percent of Earth’s surface. NOAA takes a different approach to the gaps, using nearby stations to interpolate temperatures in some areas that lack stations, giving the NOAA analysis 93 percent coverage of the globe. The group at NASA interpolates even more aggressively—areas with gaps are interpolated from the nearest station up to 1,200 kilometers away—and offers 99 percent coverage."

https://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/features/201501_gistemp/

Astute? You? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #146 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 1:54pm
 
That does not say what you said. 1/10 for effort.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #147 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 2:24pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2017 at 1:54pm:
That does not say what you said. 1/10 for effort.


"The third point is how this product differs from similar efforts at GISTEMP, NCDC, and (though not mentioned) the Berkeley Earth project. The basis for GISTEMP and NCDC is GHCN for the majority of their records, so there is a lot of overlap (95% or so), but there are big differences in how they deal with grid-boxes with missing data. GISTEMP interpolates anomalies from nearby grid points, Berkeley uses kriging, while NCDC and CRUTEM estimate global means only using grid boxes with data. Since many missing data points in CRUTEM3 were in the high latitudes, which have been warming substantially faster than the global mean, this was a source of a low bias in CRUTEM3 (and HadCRUT3), when these data products were used to estimate global mean temperature trends. The increase in source data in CRUTEM4, goes some way to remove this bias, but it will likely still remain (to some extent) in HadCRUT4 (because of the sea ice covered areas of the Arctic which are still not included). Another improvement is in how the error bars are being estimated – due to data sparsity, autocorrelation, structural uncertainty, and assumptions in the synthesis. "


http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/03/updating-the-cru-and-hadcr...

You really think there are multiple datasets for Australia etc? Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #148 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 3:42pm
 
"The recent Berkeley Earth land-surface average temperature series is based on a greatly expanded database of station temperature data, along with a completely automated statistical averaging process. In contrast, established average temperature series from NOAA, NASA and HadCrut are based primarily on the smaller Global Historical Climate Network (GHCN) database, and use empirically derived homogenization methods to remove known biases, albeit supplemented by pure statistical methods."

https://deepclimate.org/tag/hadcrut/

"In contrast to other data sets incorporating records from roughly 5000-7000 land stations, the Berkeley data set incorporates approximately 37,000 records. This is in part due to the use of additional data bases beyond GHCN, and in part to the methodology, which allows short, fragmented timeseries to be incorporated into the statistical model. "

https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/global-surface-temperatures-best-...

And use of "short, fragmented timeseries"? What could possibly go wrong?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #149 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 4:25pm
 
The lack of readings in polar regions means the temperature series seriously understate the global temperature.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #150 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 4:39pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2017 at 4:25pm:
The lack of readings in polar regions means the temperature series seriously understate the global temperature.



Nah, That's what homogenisation is for. That must be so accurate. Grin Grin Grin Grin

The lack of readings over the oceans mean any warming ascribed to them is pure bullshit. Wink

You are only just now starting to understand the uncertainties. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #151 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 4:41pm
 
2017 global monthly temps updated to July:

...

As hot as El Nino year 2016.

No sign at all of an ice age Booby!


Bringing this to the front again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #152 - Aug 16th, 2017 at 4:43pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2017 at 4:41pm:
As hot as El Nino year 2016.

No sign at all of an ice age Booby!


Bringing this to the front again.



After just acknowledging the uncertainties in the "data"? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #153 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:25am
 
And yet the temperatures are increasing. In Australia, La Nina years now are warmer than El Nino years used to be even 30 years ago. The man on the land is feeling this increased heat and has increasingly to cope with it.

Uncertainty is always with us, that is why statistical methods were invented.

If temperatures are now ± .01°C instead of what we might like, as meteorologists, ± 0.001°C it can still measure changes of .02°C or greater.

The various temperature series do show the climb in temperatures since the Industrial Revolution. That some gases are greenhouse gases has also been known since the mid 1800s. The Harries and Feldman papers show that less IR escapes the earth and more is reflected back to the surface which warms because it cannot radiate away all the warmth it has gained from the sun.

We can also measure changes in precipitation as well. That changes as temperatures keep climbing, be impossible for it not to change with temperature: higher temperatures mean more evaporation.

And the series show that this year that is not an El Nino year is only marginally cooler than El Nino year 2016. Not by chance did we note the very hot summer in the northern hemisphere and the very mild southern hemisphere winter.

We see the increase in the number and size of wildfires. When things get hotter vegetation dries out more meaning it burns easier. The wildfires now reach such ferocities that they create their own weather, cause a cloud type associated only with huge wildfires.

Glaciers and icesheets are retreating, not advancing bar a very few glaciers that are positioned just right and benefit from increased precipitation. While there might be more precision that we would like the ±, the variance or uncertainty in temperature measurements does not mean they are wrong or that the AGW theory is in doubt.

The world is warming. No doubt about that whatsoever.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #154 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 11:16am
 
Talking about CRU datasets (HADCRUT etc:)

Quote:
The third point is how this product differs from similar efforts at GISTEMP, NCDC, and (though not mentioned) the Berkeley Earth project. The basis for GISTEMP and NCDC is GHCN for the majority of their records, so there is a lot of overlap (95% or so), but there are big differences in how they deal with grid-boxes with missing data. GISTEMP interpolates anomalies from nearby grid points, Berkeley uses kriging, while NCDC and CRUTEM estimate global means only using grid boxes with data. Since many missing data points in CRUTEM3 were in the high latitudes, which have been warming substantially faster than the global mean, this was a source of a low bias in CRUTEM3 (and HadCRUT3), when these data products were used to estimate global mean temperature trends. The increase in source data in CRUTEM4, goes some way to remove this bias, but it will likely still remain (to some extent) in HadCRUT4 (because of the sea ice covered areas of the Arctic which are still not included). Another improvement is in how the error bars are being estimated – due to data sparsity, autocorrelation, structural uncertainty, and assumptions in the synthesis.


http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/03/updating-the-cru-and-hadcr...

Autocorrelation—if one day or one grid box is hot, say, then the days or gridboxes around it will also be hot.

Error bars are estimated—guess there is a limit to the “uncertainty” in the data.

And I guess I was correct about the high latitude measurements, that more would show AGW proceeding more rapidly than recorded in the time series.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #155 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 11:17am
 
Quote:
So what does the CRUTEM4 data look like?

Overall, changes are small (see figure to the right, showing the trend (°C/60 years) for each CRUTEM3 (top), CRUTEM4 (middle) and the difference in their trends (bottom)). There is no change to the big picture of global warming in recent decades, nor in its regional expression. Where there are noticeable changes, it is in coverage of high latitude regions – particularly Canada and Russia where additional data sources have been used to augment relatively sparse coverage. Given the extreme warmth of these regions (and the Arctic more generally) in recent years, combined with the CRUTEM procedure of only averaging grid boxes where there is data (i.e. no interpolation or extrapolation), this extra coverage makes a difference in the trends.


Additional data sources—guess the uncertainty just got reduced.

Quote:
There will of course be an impact on the combined ocean and land temperature record, HadCRUT4. This incorporates (and bring up-to-date) the HadSST3 product that we discussed last year. The paper describing HadCRUT4 is also in press (Morice et al, 2012).

As expected, the changes (a little from both data sets) lead to a minor rearrangement in the ordering of ‘hottest years’. This is not climatologically very significant – the difference between 1998 and 2010 is in the hundredths of a degree, and most of the attribution work on recent climate changes is looking at longer term trends, not year to year variability. However, there is now consistency across the data sets that 2005 and 2010 likely topped 1998 as the warmest years in the instrumental record. Note that neither CRUTEM4 nor HadSST3 are yet being updated in real time – they only go to Dec 2010 – though that will be extended over the next few months.


...

Quote:
But even while scientists work on ironing out the details in these products, it’s worth pointing out what is robust. All data sets show significant warming over the 20th Century – regardless of whether the raw data comes from the ocean, the land, balloons, ice melt or phenology, and regardless whether the data synthesis is performed by the scientists in Japan, Britain, the US, individual bloggers or ‘sceptics’.


Quote:
phenology
fɪˈnɒlədʒi/Submit
noun
the study of cyclic and seasonal natural phenomena, especially in relation to climate and plant and animal life.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #156 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 11:35am
 
The Berkeley Earth temperature series, they dramatically, or at all, different from the other temperature series, Lees?


Did you find anything that did go wrong with “And use of "short, fragmented timeseries"? What could possibly go wrong?”

Or were you quoting from articles you didn’t really understand?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #157 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 4:00pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:25am:
And yet the temperatures are increasing. In Australia, La Nina years now are warmer than El Nino years used to be even 30 years ago.



How do they compaer to 100 years ago. NOT based on a phony "temperature reconstruction"?Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 11:16am:
Autocorrelation—if one day or one grid box is hot, say, then the days or gridboxes around it will also be hot.



How much hotter or cooler than the measured grid box?

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:25am:
If temperatures are now ± .01°C instead of what we might like, as meteorologists



You are a meteorologist now? How many of these gauges are accurate to 0.01°C?Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:25am:
The various temperature series do show the climb in temperatures since the Industrial Revolution.



Yes and the IPCC says they couldn't measure it before the 50's because CO2 was too low., and only 50% of the warming since the 1950's. Phil Jones CRU has said that the differences in  late 19th, early 20th and late 20th century warming are statistically insignificant.

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:25am:
And the series show that this year that is not an El Nino year is only marginally cooler than El Nino year 2016.



Yes. You expected the oceans to cool faster?

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:25am:
We see the increase in the number and size of wildfires.



Citation required. Don't quote the CSIRO study that only looked at post -1970. They have good data back to 1925 or thereabouts.

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:25am:
Glaciers and icesheets are retreating, not advancing bar a very few glaciers that are positioned just right and benefit from increased precipitation.



You expect glaciers and icesheets to be static on a dynamic earth? They have advanced and retreated before.

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:25am:
the variance or uncertainty in temperature measurements does not mean they are wrong or that the AGW theory is in doubt.


They don't mean they are as certain as you like to pretend.

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 11:16am:
And I guess I was correct about the high latitude measurements, that more would show AGW proceeding more rapidly than recorded in the time series.


And what is the time period exactly? Oh, we don't have much historical data? If we don't have the data it didn't happen? Grin Grin Grin Grin

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #158 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 4:03pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 11:35am:
The Berkeley Earth temperature series, they dramatically, or at all, different from the other temperature series, Lees?


I see you didn't ask if they were an accurate estimation. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 11:35am:
Did you find anything that did go wrong with “And use of "short, fragmented timeseries"? What could possibly go wrong?"

Or were you quoting from articles you didn’t really understand?



You are the self-acknowledged statistics king. Maybe you need to study some. Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #159 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 4:55pm
 
2017 global monthly temps updated to July:

...

As hot as El Nino year 2016.

No sign at all of an ice age Booby!


Bringing this to the front again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #160 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:18pm
 
Lees, according to himself, is comfortable with the levels of CO2 and its inevitable consequences. Weird then that he always pops up to bury a post of mine talking about the results of increasing CO2 in the atmosphere?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #161 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 6:58pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 5:18pm:
Lees, according to himself, is comfortable with the levels of CO2 and its inevitable consequences. Weird then that he always pops up to bury a post of mine talking about the results of increasing CO2 in the atmosphere?



Yeah. Shows you shouldn't post sch!t.

"That calculation comes from NASA and NOAA. Other agencies may come up with a slightly different number because there are several techniques for calculating a global average, depending on how one accounts for temperatures above the data-sparse oceans and other poorly sampled regions.

Since there is no universally accepted definition for Earth’s average temperature, several different groups around the world use slightly different methods for tracking the global average over time"

https://www2.ucar.edu/climate/faq/what-average-global-temperature-now

Wow. No universally accepted definition? What a great way to do science. Compare apples to oranges or orang-utans, makes no difference. Grin Grin Grin

BTW- How are those temperatures for 1997 going? Still over 3ºF above 2016?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #162 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:01pm
 
I thought they were all the same? Now you are saying something else?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #163 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:13pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:01pm:
I thought they were all the same? Now you are saying something else?



There goes that incomprehension of yours again.

They all use GHCN. They then incorporate their own algorithms.

Of course it you want to disagree with what ucar.edu says their address is below.

"Postal Address: P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000 • Shipping Address: 3090 Center Green Drive, Boulder, CO 80301

The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation. Any opinions, findings and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation."

Enjoy.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #164 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:23pm
 
Well, you chop and change so much.

You “are comfortable” with increasing levels of atmospheric CO2 except it seems you are not.

Temperature series are all the same except they aren’t.

Tell me, Lees, do you accept that greenhouse gases in the atmosphere block some IR radiation from escaping to space?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #165 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:27pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:23pm:
You “are comfortable” with increasing levels of atmospheric CO2 except it seems you are not.



Citation needed. Exact quotes. Wink

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:23pm:
Temperature series are all the same except they aren’t.



Citation required. Exact quotes.

We know you are severely handicapped. You and the truth have no connection.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #166 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:30pm
 
Riiiight.

Since when have you been having delusions?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #167 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:36pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:30pm:
Riiiight.

Since when have you been having delusions?


No delusions this end. I know you can't quote any refutation.

Your delusion is in thinking I believe you. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #168 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 9:44pm
 
How to deal with the deluded?

Leave them to their delusions I suppose?

It is obvious that you are scared shitless by CO2 and the whole CO2–AGW thing and you have decided to deal with it by denying it. That is why you want to bury any and every post about AGW. Why else would someone “comfortable” with increasing CO2 levels go to so much trouble to bury any post talking about CO2 and increasing global temperatures?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #169 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 10:03pm
 
Sch!t. You're soused again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #170 - Aug 17th, 2017 at 11:00pm
 
...

We see that July 2017, not an El Nino year, was as warm as July 2016 which was an El Nino year. The opposite to what we would expect.

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #171 - Aug 20th, 2017 at 11:25am
 
Oh dear the rainbow bridge again...   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
He probably fell in the barrel and can't get back out again.

So Monk...  still making wild accusations and appeals to authoritah?

...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #172 - Aug 20th, 2017 at 12:38pm
 
The real reason for the use of anomalies. Climate of Gavin

"But think about what happens when we try and estimate the absolute global mean temperature for, say, 2016. The climatology for 1981-2010 is 287.4±0.5K, and the anomaly for 2016 is (from GISTEMP w.r.t. that baseline) 0.56±0.05ºC. So our estimate for the absolute value is (using the first rule shown above) is 287.96±0.502K, and then using the second, that reduces to 288.0±0.5K. The same approach for 2015 gives 287.8±0.5K, and for 2014 it is 287.7±0.5K. All of which appear to be the same within the uncertainty. Thus we lose the ability to judge which year was the warmest if we only look at the absolute numbers."

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/08/observations-reanalyses-an...

And remember 1997 is still more than 3ºF above the absolute temperature of 2016.

JM's protestations to the contrary. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #173 - Aug 20th, 2017 at 6:19pm
 
Poor Lees, he really means 1998 but nobody tell him.

Can you point out 1997 (really 1998 but nobody tell poor confused but comfortable Lees, OK?) here?

...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #174 - Aug 20th, 2017 at 6:48pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 20th, 2017 at 12:38pm:
And remember 1997 is still more than 3ºF above the absolute temperature of 2016.


Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 20th, 2017 at 6:19pm:
Poor Lees, he really means 1998 but nobody tell him.



"The global average temperature of 62.45 degrees Fahrenheit for 1997 was the warmest year on record,"

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/199713

"The average global temperature across land and ocean surface areas for 2016 was 0.94°C (1.69°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F)"

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201613

2016 - 1.69°F+57.0°F = 58.69°F

62.45°F - 58.69°F= 3.76°F warmer in 1997 than 2016.

Nope. I am sure I meant 1997. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #175 - Aug 20th, 2017 at 6:54pm
 
Yet 1998 was the big El Nino year?

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #176 - Aug 20th, 2017 at 7:29pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 20th, 2017 at 6:54pm:
Yet 1998 was the big El Nino year?




And yet NOAA doesn't even post a  temperature data set for 1998 anymore.

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/199813

All it says that it was warmer than 1997. V-e-r-r-r-y hard to compare temperatures when they don't post them.

I wonder what they are scared of?

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #177 - Aug 20th, 2017 at 11:26pm
 
Maybe use this?

...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #178 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 4:33pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 20th, 2017 at 11:26pm:
Maybe use this?



Why would you do that?

The data says 1997 was warmer than 2016. Except of course it doesn't appear that way on the graph. Why would that be? It couldn't possibly be NASA/NOAA cooling the past . /sarc

You mean NASA do climate. I thought that was laughed at by a certain Q&A audience. They must have been really cluey. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

When the "data" doesn't match the graph, change the graph. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #179 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 5:22pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 20th, 2017 at 11:26pm:


1997 not the hottest at all, it seems. Oh dear.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #180 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 6:32pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 21st, 2017 at 5:22pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 20th, 2017 at 11:26pm:


1997 not the hottest at all, it seems. Oh dear.


Yep. That's it folks. JM has just proved you don't need "data" when he can show you a pretty picture that shows different. Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #181 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 6:34pm
 
The graph is based on measurements.

1997 has not been the hottest year for a while.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #182 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 6:43pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 21st, 2017 at 6:34pm:
The graph is based on measurements.

1997 has not been the hottest year for a while.


The graph was based on measurements that directly dispute the measurement of 1997.  Go figure. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #183 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 6:47pm
 
It was based on measurements of years before 1997, 1997 and years after 1997.

You are getting desperate again Lees, soon you will be babbling again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #184 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 7:17pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 21st, 2017 at 6:47pm:
It was based on measurements of years before 1997, 1997 and years after 1997.



Yes. But the graph doesn't agree with the 1997 "data". What a dick. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #185 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 7:41pm
 
Or your clinging to the 1997 data? There have been hotter years you know


Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #186 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 8:52pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 21st, 2017 at 7:41pm:
Or your clinging to the 1997 data? There have been hotter years you know


Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Please show the data for the year/s warmer than 1997's 62.45ºF.  According to the graph 2016 was the warmest ever at 58.69ºF. Now I am not sure how they do it with New Maths, but Old Maths would say 1997 was warmer than 2016. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #187 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 8:57pm
 
Why do you keep up with this discredited crap?

You will be babbling in another minute. Several years since 1997 have been hotter.

Leave it Lees or act like a babbling fool once again.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #188 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:07pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 21st, 2017 at 8:57pm:
Why do you keep up with this discredited crap?

You will be babbling in another minute. Several years since 1997 have been hotter.

Leave it Lees or act like a babbling fool once again.


Oh dear. JM truly believes NOAA's "data" for 1997 is discredited crap. Have you told NOAA about their discredited crap? Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #189 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:15pm
 
Did I say the data was discredited? Nope.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #190 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:22pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:15pm:
Did I say the data was discredited? Nope.


Ah, Then you will have to elucidate what "crap" is discredited. I have only quoted the "data".
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #191 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:29pm
 
So show a table of temperatures say 1990–2016.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #192 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:51pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:29pm:
So show a table of temperatures say 1990–2016.


Why? I have shown the "data" for 1997. Warmer than the "Hottest Year Evah" 2016.

You are just in denial. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #193 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:53pm
 
So you don’t dare to show a table of temperatures 1990–2016?

Why not?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #194 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 10:10pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 21st, 2017 at 9:53pm:
So you don’t dare to show a table of temperatures 1990–2016?

Why not?



Poor JM. Throwing a wobbly. Wants his pacifier. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #195 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 10:18pm
 
Just asking the orderly room clerk to produce the return of temperatures he is relying on.
Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #196 - Aug 21st, 2017 at 11:22pm
 
...

We see that July 2017, not an El Nino year, was as warm as July 2016 which was an El Nino year. The opposite to what we would expect.

Poor Lees, clinging to some crap based on a change in base year for anomalies or something.

...

Maybe poor old Lees believes GISS?

1.2°C temperature increase since 1880.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #197 - Aug 22nd, 2017 at 5:00am
 
Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year
1981    62   57   66   50   33   38   51   54   28   11   22   47     43  41     46   50   48   20  1981
1982    12   25    0    3   26    5   18    8   10    2   13   42     14  14     28   10   10    8  1982
1983    50   41   48   41   48   28   21   46   57   35   33   19     39  41     44   46   32   42  1983
1984    24   17   38   16   47    4   19   27   27   22   11    3     21  23     20   33   17   20  1984
1985    32    3   27   21   22   27    3   36   26   15    9   14     19  19     13   23   22   17  1985
1986    39   52   40   43   33   13   15   21    3   12   12   20     25  25     35   39   16    9  1986
1987    43   53   25   38   30   55   59   27   36   34   29   56     40  37     39   31   47   33  1987
1988    67   49   62   50   62   60   45   56   55   55   18   38     51  53     57   58   53   43  1988
1989    26   46   45   43   19   15   48   52   53   43   23   40     38  38     37   35   38   40  1989
1990    53   41   85   64   55   46   62   42   31   51   53   47     53  52     45   68   50   45  1990
1991    50   63   48   74   43   70   63   57   63   36   34   33     53  54     53   55   63   44  1991
1992    51   43   54   24   28   30    8   14   -3    9    3   25     24  24     42   35   18    3  1992
1993    40   42   33   31   28   29   40   22   10   24   10   20     27  28     36   31   30   15  1993
1994    40    9   28   54   28   57   42   27   42   42   52   44     39  37     23   36   42   45  1994
1995    57   91   53   59   39   52   64   58   47   68   54   41     57  57     64   50   58   57  1995
1996    43   61   46   51   36   34   58   76   44   33   51   55     49  48     48   44   56   43  1996
1997    48   56   67   41   44   68   35   46   51   61   72   69     55  54     53   51   50   61  1997
1998    72  120   84   82   93  104   91   84   58   68   65   78     83  83     87   86   93   63  1998
1999    67   85   49   41   48   62   63   54   65   63   58   51     59  61     77   46   60   62  1999
2000    30   78   70   74   56   69   63   60   55   34   47   48     57  57     53   67   64   45  2000

Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year
2001    57   62   67   59   72   65   71   63   70   61   78   73     67  65     56   66   67   70  2001
2002    96   89  112   79   87   64   83   68   81   64   71   54     79  81     86   93   71   72  2002
2003    93   75   73   70   88   64   66   87   82   85   65   88     78  75     74   77   72   77  2003
2004    73   94   84   76   49   67   23   59   59   83   88   66     68  70     85   70   49   77  2004
2005    96   87   96   85   76   84   81   74   99  100   91   90     88  86     83   85   80   96  2005
2006    77   92   80   69   50   77   66   83   74   83   85   89     77  77     86   67   76   81  2006
2007   122   94   93   95   94   66   79   85   82   80   73   71     86  88    102   94   77   78  2007
2008    48   46   91   67   57   53   73   40   83   74   82   73     66  65     55   72   55   79  2008
2009    75   75   66   75   84   81   88   85   91   74   84   77     80  79     74   75   85   83  2009
2010    97  105  113   99   96   85   73   83   86   95  101   69     92  93     93  103   80   94  2010
2011    72   69   77   82   65   74   91   96   78   84   78   80     79  78     70   75   87   80  2011
2012    62   59   71   79   94   72   57   86   90   93   94   72     77  78     67   81   72   93  2012
2013    98   75   86   67   67   87   66   80  101   85   89   84     82  81     81   73   78   92  2013
2014    95   67   79   90  105   77   73   86  110  102   80   98     89  87     82   91   79   98  2014
2015    95  107  111   77   85   84   69   90   80  119  122  141     98  95    100   91   81  107  2015
2016   139  166  166  136  116   91   97  128  110  121  120  115    125 128    149  139  105  117  2016
2017   116  144  139  119  122   76  110 **** **** **** **** ****   **** ***    125  127 **** ****  2017
Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year

Divide by 100 to get changes in degrees Celsius (deg-C).


https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v3/GLB.Ts.txt
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #198 - Aug 22nd, 2017 at 5:11am
 
Should add Australia to this thread:

State of the Climate 2016:

...

Curves of changing temps:

...
Quote:
Distribution of monthly day and night-time temperature anomalies (standardised with respect to the 1951–1980 base period) aggregated across 104 locations and all months of the year, for three periods: 1951–1980 (orange, light blue), 1981–2010 (red, green) and 2001–2015 (dark red, dark blue). Very warm months correspond to two standard deviations from the mean. Detection and attribution studies use various methods to understand the significance of these distribution shifts and their cause.


Frequencies of hot days is increasing:
...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #199 - Aug 22nd, 2017 at 1:17pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 22nd, 2017 at 5:00am:
Divide by 100 to get changes in degrees Celsius (deg-C).



So you ARE saying NOAA lied about the 1997 global temperature. Wink

So having lied once, why should we believe any of their data? Roll Eyes
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #200 - Aug 22nd, 2017 at 1:22pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 22nd, 2017 at 5:11am:
Should add Australia to this thread:

State of the Climate 2016:

http://www.bom.gov.au/state-of-the-climate/images/2016-03_p4.png


Oh dear. Standardised temps? Is that the same as homogenised temps? Using ACORN-SAT "data"? Where it has been shown that the homogenisation temps bear no realtion to reality? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #201 - Aug 22nd, 2017 at 11:56pm
 
...

We see that July 2017, not an El Nino year, was as warm as July 2016 which was an El Nino year. The opposite to what we would expect.

Poor Lees, clinging to some crap based on a change in base year for anomalies or something.

...

Maybe poor old Lees believes GISS?

1.2°C temperature increase since 1880.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #202 - Aug 22nd, 2017 at 11:56pm
 
Undecided
Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year
1981    62   57   66   50   33   38   51   54   28   11   22   47     43  41     46   50   48   20  1981
1982    12   25    0    3   26    5   18    8   10    2   13   42     14  14     28   10   10    8  1982
1983    50   41   48   41   48   28   21   46   57   35   33   19     39  41     44   46   32   42  1983
1984    24   17   38   16   47    4   19   27   27   22   11    3     21  23     20   33   17   20  1984
1985    32    3   27   21   22   27    3   36   26   15    9   14     19  19     13   23   22   17  1985
1986    39   52   40   43   33   13   15   21    3   12   12   20     25  25     35   39   16    9  1986
1987    43   53   25   38   30   55   59   27   36   34   29   56     40  37     39   31   47   33  1987
1988    67   49   62   50   62   60   45   56   55   55   18   38     51  53     57   58   53   43  1988
1989    26   46   45   43   19   15   48   52   53   43   23   40     38  38     37   35   38   40  1989
1990    53   41   85   64   55   46   62   42   31   51   53   47     53  52     45   68   50   45  1990
1991    50   63   48   74   43   70   63   57   63   36   34   33     53  54     53   55   63   44  1991
1992    51   43   54   24   28   30    8   14   -3    9    3   25     24  24     42   35   18    3  1992
1993    40   42   33   31   28   29   40   22   10   24   10   20     27  28     36   31   30   15  1993
1994    40    9   28   54   28   57   42   27   42   42   52   44     39  37     23   36   42   45  1994
1995    57   91   53   59   39   52   64   58   47   68   54   41     57  57     64   50   58   57  1995
1996    43   61   46   51   36   34   58   76   44   33   51   55     49  48     48   44   56   43  1996
1997    48   56   67   41   44   68   35   46   51   61   72   69     55  54     53   51   50   61  1997
1998    72  120   84   82   93  104   91   84   58   68   65   78     83  83     87   86   93   63  1998
1999    67   85   49   41   48   62   63   54   65   63   58   51     59  61     77   46   60   62  1999
2000    30   78   70   74   56   69   63   60   55   34   47   48     57  57     53   67   64   45  2000

Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year
2001    57   62   67   59   72   65   71   63   70   61   78   73     67  65     56   66   67   70  2001
2002    96   89  112   79   87   64   83   68   81   64   71   54     79  81     86   93   71   72  2002
2003    93   75   73   70   88   64   66   87   82   85   65   88     78  75     74   77   72   77  2003
2004    73   94   84   76   49   67   23   59   59   83   88   66     68  70     85   70   49   77  2004
2005    96   87   96   85   76   84   81   74   99  100   91   90     88  86     83   85   80   96  2005
2006    77   92   80   69   50   77   66   83   74   83   85   89     77  77     86   67   76   81  2006
2007   122   94   93   95   94   66   79   85   82   80   73   71     86  88    102   94   77   78  2007
2008    48   46   91   67   57   53   73   40   83   74   82   73     66  65     55   72   55   79  2008
2009    75   75   66   75   84   81   88   85   91   74   84   77     80  79     74   75   85   83  2009
2010    97  105  113   99   96   85   73   83   86   95  101   69     92  93     93  103   80   94  2010
2011    72   69   77   82   65   74   91   96   78   84   78   80     79  78     70   75   87   80  2011
2012    62   59   71   79   94   72   57   86   90   93   94   72     77  78     67   81   72   93  2012
2013    98   75   86   67   67   87   66   80  101   85   89   84     82  81     81   73   78   92  2013
2014    95   67   79   90  105   77   73   86  110  102   80   98     89  87     82   91   79   98  2014
2015    95  107  111   77   85   84   69   90   80  119  122  141     98  95    100   91   81  107  2015
2016   139  166  166  136  116   91   97  128  110  121  120  115    125 128    149  139  105  117  2016
2017   116  144  139  119  122   76  110 **** **** **** **** ****   **** ***    125  127 **** ****  2017
Year   Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec    J-D D-N    DJF  MAM  JJA  SON  Year

Divide by 100 to get changes in degrees Celsius (deg-C).


https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v3/GLB.Ts.txt
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #203 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 12:02pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 22nd, 2017 at 11:56pm:
Maybe poor old Lees believes GISS?



Oh, you mean NASA GISS. NASA that body that apparently doesn't do climate. Wink

Also Gavin Schmidt later admitted that they were only 38% sure that 2014 was the warmest on record.

"NASA and NOAA's slightly baffling press release handed the media the pronouncement that 2014 was the hottest year on record, on a silver platter. Nonetheless, the organisations also released the data that the press release is based on, and they also recorded interviews where they discussed uncertainties about the rankings. NASA calculated the probability that 2014 was the hottest year on record to be 38 per cent, whilst NOAA's analysis came in at 48 per cent - both leaving significant wriggle room for other years to take out the top spot."

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-13/walker-was-2014-the-hottest-year-after-all...

"> 99%      "almost certain"
90% - 99%      "very likely"
66.7% - 90%      "likely"
50% - 66.7%      "more likely than not"
33.3% - 50%      "more unlikely than likely"
10% - 33.3%      "unlikely"
1% - 10%      "very unlikely"
< 1%      "almost certainly not" "

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/13/supplemental/page-1
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #204 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 12:04pm
 
So 2014 was the hottest year then?

Seems so:

Quote:

Probability NOAA
warmest year
2014 ~48%
2010 ~18%
2005 ~13%
2013 ~6%
1998 ~5%


Oh dear and the orderly room clerk still thinks 1997 was the hottest year. Guess back then it was almost a tie between 2010 and 2014.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-13/walker-was-2014-the-hottest-year-after-all...

To me the question is not very interesting. 2016 was hotter than both 2014 and 2010 and 1998. The globe, clearly, is warming and it is warming because we are burning fossil fuels.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #205 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 12:18pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 12:04pm:
So 2014 was the hottest year then?


"The annually-averaged temperature was 0.69°C (1.24°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F)"

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201413

Current ranking.

"3      2014      0.74      1.33"
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201613

Oh dear. The data has changed. From 0.69C to 0.74C. Pesky lying thermometers. Wink

Nope still below 1997. But it shows what I mean by your comprehension problems. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #206 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 12:20pm
 
Still below 1997.

...


Poor cretin.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #207 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 1:26pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 12:20pm:
Still below 1997.



Yep. And you would know that if you could read text rather than graphs that don't reflect the "data". Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #208 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 1:51pm
 
So—show the text!

BTW, graphs are constructed from data.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #209 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:39pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 1:51pm:
So—show the text!

BTW, graphs are constructed from data.


yes, sometimes. Why does the "data" show 1997 as warmer than 2016? But not the graph?
Grin Grin Grin

I have shown you the links. You are just a denier.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #210 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:45pm
 
So you can’t show the text. How unsurprising.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #211 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:53pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:45pm:
So you can’t show the text. How unsurprising.



How many times do you need it before it will sink in?

"The global average temperature of 62.45 degrees Fahrenheit for 1997 was the warmest year on record"

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/199713

See 62.45ºF

AGAIN -

" The average global temperature across land and ocean surface areas for 2016 was 0.94°C (1.69°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F)"

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201613

Now under old maths 1.69°F + 57.0°F equalled 58.69°F.

Now you can pretend all you like that 58.69°F is warmer than 62.45ºF. It won't change the "data". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #212 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:55pm
 
Gee, that crap was busted several times.

You really are a sad sack, a life driven by fear.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1490232109/59#59
That must be the latest that your crap got busted. I remember it was busted 2-3 times before that.

You are a fraud, Lees.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #213 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 4:14pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:55pm:
Gee, that crap was busted several times.

You really are a sad sack, a life driven by fear.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1490232109/59#59
That must be the latest that your crap got busted. I remember it was busted 2-3 times before that.

You are a fraud, Lees.


Oh dear. your comprehension problems are getting worse.

"From the first link;
"Please note: the estimate for the baseline global temperature used in this study differed, and was warmer than, the baseline estimate (Jones et al., 1999) used currently. This report has been superseded by subsequent analyses. However, as with all climate monitoring reports, it is left online as it was written at the time." "

Please note: They changed the baseline temperature. Now the baseline temperature will only affect anomalies. You move the baseline temperature up - the anomaly will be smaller. You move the baseline temperature down - the anomaly will be larger.

But 62.45ºF is NOT an anomaly. It is an absolute temperature. Where they use anomalies it is generally in hundredths of a degree range. If 62.45ºF was an anomaly the whole world would be in uproar.

Now if you want to argue 62.45ºF is an anomaly feel free. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Addressed here -
Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #64 - Mar 24th, 2017 at 2:08pm
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #214 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 4:24pm
 
You have been busted on that several times.

2016 and 2017 are hotter than 1998.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #215 - Aug 23rd, 2017 at 4:43pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 4:24pm:
You have been busted on that several times.


And of course the dog has eaten your homework. From memory all attempts were links to the Jones et all 1996 and changing the baseline.

But feel free to try to prove me wrong.  Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #216 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 12:49am
 
...

We see that July 2017, not an El Nino year, was as warm as July 2016 which was an El Nino year. The opposite to what we would expect.

Poor Lees, clinging to some crap based on a change in base year for anomalies or something.

...

Maybe poor old Lees believes GISS?

1.2°C temperature increase since 1880.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #217 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 9:36am
 
Oh puhlease enough
WAD
crap already.
How many times will you post the rainbow Graph?
Where's the cuckoo emoticon?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #218 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 11:46am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 24th, 2017 at 12:49am:
Poor Lees, clinging to some crap based on a change in base year for anomalies or something.


No that was you yesterday. When you failed miserably You didn't understand what you were reading, again.

You need to go back to "Comprehension Primer". "101" is too advanced for you.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #219 - Aug 24th, 2017 at 11:33pm
 
...

Global monthly temperatures.

Interesting graph from Bu Met about Australian temperatures:

...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #220 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 11:42am
 
ACORN_SAT again?

What were the stations used? The same in each case?

I notice they don't use ant "data" prior to 1950. Remember all those temperature records in West Adelaide in the 1930'-40's I showed you? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #221 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 12:33pm
 
I think the graphs are very interesting.

Notice the peaks get lower with time? Any idea what that means?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #222 - Aug 25th, 2017 at 4:53pm
 
Grendel wrote on Aug 24th, 2017 at 9:36am:
Oh puhlease enough
WAD
crap already.
How many times will you post the rainbow Graph?
Where's the cuckoo emoticon?

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #223 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 1:19am
 
...

Hot days:
Why are the later 2 peaks lower than the first one?

Cold days:
Why are the later 2 peaks higher than the first one?


It isn’t really a hard question and no tricks or anything.

Anyone?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #224 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:04am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:55pm:
Gee, that crap was busted several times.

You really are a sad sack, a life driven by fear.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1490232109/59#59
That must be the latest that your crap got busted. I remember it was busted 2-3 times before that.

You are a fraud, Lees.


Really.
The only one whose life is driven by fear is YOURS.  YOU are the alarmist scaremonger denier.
Everyone else is getting on with their lives without the FEAR of the Catastrophic Global Warming Boogeyman
YOU suffer from
W
arming
A
larmist
D
ysfunction.....

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #225 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:40am
 
Can you answer my question, roach?


Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Ha! As if!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #226 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 1:52pm
 
What question?
I think you will find the shift right is more relevant to your flawed argument.

Even if the plotting and records are correct and not fudged or simply made up, they do not prove AGW.  Catastrophic or otherwise.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #227 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 1:54pm
 
True, they only show warming.

So, you are too stupid to be able to answer my simple question. Go away, moronic buffoon!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #228 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 2:02pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2017 at 1:54pm:
True, they only show warming.

So, you are too stupid to be able to answer my simple question. Go away, moronic buffoon!

I answered the only question I found worth answering, wassup need someone to explain things to you...  I did explain it to you...  you seem to have missed that. Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #229 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 2:06pm
 
You could not explain why the peak of the hot days distribution decreased and the peak of the cold days distribution increased over time.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #230 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 4:34pm
 
It is really simple.

If the frequency at the mean or mode decreases it means the readings are dispersed a bit more widely. Read up on kurtosis.

So high temperature readings are a bit more dispersed, cold temperature readings are a bit more concentrated.

Second question: what does this mean?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #231 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 7:34pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2017 at 4:34pm:
Second question: what does this mean?



Nothing. Bell curves need normal distribution. Wink

Is the data normally distributed?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #232 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:04pm
 
The effect of changing Stevenson screens.

"While the designs of these screens have experienced some modifications during the ACORN-SAT period, the Bureau has
carried out tests that show the influence of these design changes on temperature measurements has not been material."

" However, throughout the last 100 years, Bureau of Meteorology guidance has allowed for a tolerance of ±0.5 °C for field checks of either in-glass or resistance thermometers.

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/acorn-sat/documents/ACORN-SAT_IPR_Panel_Rep...

The Stevenson screens have been reduced in size from 0.23m3 to 0.06m3.

"Short Communication
Impact of two different sized Stevenson screens on air
temperature measurements"

". The 1-year field experiment consisted of comparing air temperatures measured at the two most commonly sized Stevenson screens used by the Spanish Meteorological State Agency (AEMET) since last century; the medium-sized Stevenson screen employed at the second-order weather stations, versus the large-sized Stevenson screen mainly used at the first-order meteorological stations. The main objective was to report the air temperature difference between these two differently sized Stevenson screens, and to study the impact on the observed differences of some weather elements (i.e. relative humidity, wind speed, total cloud cover, atmospheric pressure and global solar radiation). The results show that the medium-sized Stevenson screen tended to overheat daily maximum air temperatures (0.54 ∘C on yearly average) and also air temperatures recorded at 1300 UTC."

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/272494986_Impact_of_two_different_sized...

BoM has been changing Stevenson screens to the smaller size.

And they ignore these biases.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #233 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:10pm
 
So you don’t know what the changing distributions mean?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #234 - Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:21pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:10pm:
So you don’t know what the changing distributions mean?


So you don't know what a normal distribution is?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #235 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:10pm
 
LOL
One more time for BSc geology...

Grendel wrote on Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:04am:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:55pm:
Gee, that crap was busted several times.

You really are a sad sack, a life driven by fear.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1490232109/59#59
That must be the latest that your crap got busted. I remember it was busted 2-3 times before that.

You are a fraud, Lees.


Really.
The only one whose life is driven by fear is YOURS.  YOU are the alarmist scaremonger denier.
Everyone else is getting on with their lives without the FEAR of the Catastrophic Global Warming Boogeyman
YOU suffer from
W
arming
A
larmist
D
ysfunction.....



hope you get it this time.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #236 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:11pm
 
LOL
One more time for BSc geology...

Grendel wrote on Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:04am:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 23rd, 2017 at 2:55pm:
Gee, that crap was busted several times.

You really are a sad sack, a life driven by fear.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1490232109/59#59
That must be the latest that your crap got busted. I remember it was busted 2-3 times before that.

You are a fraud, Lees.


Really.
The only one whose life is driven by fear is YOURS.  YOU are the alarmist scaremonger denier.
Everyone else is getting on with their lives without the FEAR of the Catastrophic Global Warming Boogeyman
YOU suffer from
W
arming
A
larmist
D
ysfunction.....



I think you will find the shift right is more relevant to your flawed argument.

Even if the plotting and records are correct and not fudged or simply made up, they do not prove AGW.  Catastrophic or otherwise.

hope you get it this time.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #237 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:23pm
 
Idiot! I never said or implied that the two sets of distributions showed or supported AGW. They do show warming.

I asked for meaning, might as well have asked my dog as roach and Lees.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #238 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:25pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:21pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2017 at 9:10pm:
So you don’t know what the changing distributions mean?


So you don't know what a normal distribution is?


Are the distributions normal? They are bellshaped, except not quite a bell shape is it? Are the distributions skewed?

None of this matters. I asked for the meaning in the shift in dispersion. Might as well ask my dog really.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #239 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:32pm
 
You are concentrating on the wrong shift dopey.
How many times must you be told.
As for the vertical scale??????????????

Now the major point is....  IT IN NO WAY SHOWS, POINTS TO, OR PROVES AGW YOU TWAT.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #240 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:46pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:25pm:
Are the distributions normal? They are bellshaped, except not quite a bell shape is it? Are the distributions skewed?

None of this matters.



So it doesn't matter if the data is normally distributed for Australian temperatures? OK then. Let's just use the east coast of Australia. That should work. What could possibly go wrong? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #241 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:46pm
 
I NEVER SAID THEY SHOWED AGW, CLOWN!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #242 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:48pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:46pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:25pm:
Are the distributions normal? They are bellshaped, except not quite a bell shape is it? Are the distributions skewed?

None of this matters.



So it doesn't matter if the data is normally distributed for Australian temperatures? OK then. Let's just use the east coast of Australia. That should work. What could possibly go wrong? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


There is a change between the distributions in each set. I explained what the peak declining/increasing meant, more/less dispersion.

Now I ask for meaning.

Anyone?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #243 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:55pm
 
I see you haven't commented on BoM changing Stevenson Screen sizes. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #244 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 1:07pm
 
What does the increasing/decreasing dispersion of the hot and cold distributions mean Lees?

Any tiny clue percolating to the surface?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #245 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 1:25pm
 
Quote:
Abstract
In this study we evaluated the impact of the size of two naturally ventilated wooden Stevenson screens on air temperature measurements in the first-order meteorological station of Calamocha (northeastern Iberian Peninsula, Spain). The 1-year field experiment consisted of comparing air temperatures measured at the two most commonly sized Stevenson screens used by the Spanish Meteorological State Agency (AEMET) since last century; the medium-sized Stevenson screen employed at the second-order weather stations, versus the large-sized Stevenson screen mainly used at the first-order meteorological stations. The main objective was to report the air temperature difference between these two differently sized Stevenson screens, and to study the impact on the observed differences of some weather elements (i.e. relative humidity, wind speed, total cloud cover, atmospheric pressure and global solar radiation). The results show that the medium-sized Stevenson screen tended to overheat daily maximum air temperatures (0.54 ∘ C on yearly average) and also air temperatures recorded at 1300 UTC. The differences on daily minimum air temperatures were negligible (−0.11 ∘ C on yearly average). This overheating bias (not statistically significant) occurred under anticyclonic situations that lead to clear skies, high solar radiation, weak winds and low relative humidity. The bias appeared throughout the whole year but in particular during the warm season from May through October. Air temperature observations from the nearby station Daroca confirmed an overheating bias introduced by a change from a large-sized Stevenson screen to a medium-sized one in Calamocha.

Impact of two different sized Stevenson screens on air temperature measurements (PDF Download Available). Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/272494986_Impact_of_two_different_sized_Stevenson_screens_on_air_temperature_measurements [accessed Aug 27, 2017].
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #246 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 1:27pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:46pm:
So it doesn't matter if the data is normally distributed for Australian temperatures? OK then. Let's just use the east coast of Australia. That should work. What could possibly go wrong? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


What did you mean there, lees? Did you think one side of the distribution represented Eastern Australia?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #247 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 6:10pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 1:27pm:
lee wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 12:46pm:
So it doesn't matter if the data is normally distributed for Australian temperatures? OK then. Let's just use the east coast of Australia. That should work. What could possibly go wrong? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


What did you mean there, lees? Did you think one side of the distribution represented Eastern Australia?


Nope. But it shows how stupid "Are the distributions normal? They are bellshaped, except not quite a bell shape is it? Are the distributions skewed?

None of this matters." is. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #248 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 6:13pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 1:25pm:
This overheating bias (not statistically significant)



Yes. It meteorological terms it isn't. But when you are talking climastrology to two decimal places " The results show that the medium-sized Stevenson screen tended to overheat daily maximum air temperatures (0.54 ∘ C on yearly average)" certainly is. Wink

BTW - the screens have been replaced since 1973.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #249 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 6:27pm
 
Nope not statistically significant. Too bad  Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #250 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 6:46pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 6:27pm:
Nope not statistically significant. Too bad  Wink


You men like Gavin Schmidt says any recent warming is not statistically significant? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #251 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 7:25pm
 
We were talking about the BoM.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #252 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:01pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 7:25pm:
We were talking about the BoM.


Ok. We'll talk about BoM and how a 0.54ºC annually is not statistically significant, I believe you quoted.

From another recent paper you quoted -

"Temperatures during the period spanning 2001 to 2010, for example, were around 0.2 degrees Celsius higher than the previous decade."

https://phys.org/news/2017-08-sun-current-global-temperature.html#jCp

So I guess that wasn't statistically significant either. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #253 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:04pm
 
The paper you quoted said it wasn’t significant.

You did manage to leave that out of the quote  Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #254 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:09pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:04pm:
The paper you quoted said it wasn’t significant.

You did manage to leave that out of the quote  Wink


Yes. Your paper mentions CO2 at 364ppm (30% above pre-industrial levels) you didn't include that. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #255 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:10pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:09pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:04pm:
The paper you quoted said it wasn’t significant.

You did manage to leave that out of the quote  Wink


Yes. Your paper mentions CO2 at 364ppm (30% above pre-industrial levels) you didn't include that. Wink



Jovial needs to watch a DuByne video:



Global Cooling Rundown Week of Aug 08-Aug 16, 2017 | Mini Ice Age & Grand Solar Minimum.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #256 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:12pm
 
I do not need to watch a proven liar and bullshit artist spinning lies for $$$, thank you Booby.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #257 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 9:06pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 27th, 2017 at 8:12pm:
I do not need to watch a proven liar and bullshit artist spinning lies for $$$, thank you Bobby.


But you can watch this one:




"Global Cooling" the movie - Documentary on the Grand Solar Minimum. A new mini ice-age has begun.



Published on Jul 19, 2017

"Global Cooling" the movie is a documentary on the ongoing descent into the Grand Solar Minimum and it's effects on the planet. Special excerpts of John Casey's talk on his book "Cold Sun". If you haven't figured it out yet "Global Warming" caused by man is a hoax perpetuated by falsified data and corrupt governments to achieve population reduction and dominance. What we all need to do is come together as a community and start preparing for the coming food shortages by growing food. Together we can make it through this climatic catastrophe unfolding before our very eyes.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #258 - Aug 27th, 2017 at 9:09pm
 
Piss off with your bullshit Booby!
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #259 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 7:59pm
 
Quote:
2016: a record in surface temperatures and in CO2 concentration

The activities of human beings are increasing their impact in the planet year after year. In 2016, the annual global surface temperature increased for third year in a row, becoming the hottest year in recorded history – for now.

And why should that matter to us? Because it means ice melting, sea levels rising, freshwater shortages for agricultural productivity and lack of food, which will arise more conflicts and emigration. We may survive to a temperature increase, but that’s useless if we don’t have enough food and water.

As the map below shows, in most of the planet regions, the 2016 average temperature was between 2-4 ºF higher than the average from the period 1981-2010.


...

Quote:
Moreover, year 2016 has registered the largest annual raise of global atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2). From 2015 to 2016 this value increased by 3.5 ppm, surpassing the boundary of 400 ppm for the first time ever: 402.9 ppm.


The CO2 level will be rising again as the NH moves into fall and winter.

Quote:
Besides the global surface temperatures, the sea level also rose to a record: it increased for sixth year in a row, being 3.25 inches (83 mm) higher than it was in 1993. But the alarming statistics of the State of the Climate 2016 are on the Arctic surface temperatures, both in land and sea.


See that, Booby the Gullible? Alarming Arctic surface temperatures—alarmingly warm, not cold. I thought the ice sheets were forming again? Doesn’t look like it!

Quote:
The average land surface temperature at the Arctic was 3.6°F (2.0°C) above the 1981-2010 average, while in other regions at sea this increase was much higher. In August 2016, regions of the Chukchi Sea and the west of Greenland showed an increase of 13 to 14 ºF (7 to 8ºC) above 1981-2010 average. However, that is still below the extraordinary register in the Barents Sea during the same month: 20 ºF (11ºC) above average. In fact, the rate of warming in the Arctic is twice the rate of the world average, and that is originating serious consequences for the rest of the planet.


Wow! 3.6°F (2.0°C) above average with 14 ºF (7 to 8ºC) above average and an amazing 20 ºF (11ºC) above average in the Barents sea.

Funny old ice age, Booby!

http://www.greenism.com/areas-of-the-barents-sea-reached-20of-above-average-in-2...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #260 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 8:53pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 28th, 2017 at 7:59pm:
surpassing the boundary of 400 ppm



Who was the numbnuts who put a boundary on 400ppm? Wink

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 28th, 2017 at 7:59pm:
the sea level also rose to a record: it increased for sixth year in a row,



And still not showing in tide data? Why?

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 28th, 2017 at 7:59pm:
Wow! 3.6°F (2.0°C) above average with 14 ºF (7 to 8ºC) above average and an amazing 20 ºF (11ºC) above average in the Barents sea.



Any of it above 0ºC? Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #261 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 8:56pm
 
Does it matter? You know the poles are warming faster than the rest of the globe because albedo change added to AGW.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #262 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 9:00pm
 
Where do you come up with this shyte?  hmmm.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #263 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 9:12pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 28th, 2017 at 8:56pm:
Does it matter? You know the poles are warming faster than the rest of the globe because albedo change added to AGW.


But according to you the poles and the Arctic are melting. That should raise sea levels. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #264 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 9:24pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 28th, 2017 at 9:12pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 28th, 2017 at 8:56pm:
Does it matter? You know the poles are warming faster than the rest of the globe because albedo change added to AGW.


But according to you the poles and the Arctic are melting. That should raise sea levels. Wink

You going blind? Serious question!

Quote:
the sea level also rose to a record: it increased for sixth year in a row, being 3.25 inches (83 mm) higher than it was in 1993.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #265 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 9:38pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 28th, 2017 at 9:24pm:
You going blind? Serious question!



Nope. But you must be going senile.

If there is all this sea level rise, why is it not reflected in tide gauges?

Kiribati

...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #266 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 10:07pm
 
Nope, tide gauge data and satellite data both point to increasing sea levels.

The tide gauge data picked the acceleration of sea levels from the Greenland melt.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #267 - Aug 28th, 2017 at 10:09pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 28th, 2017 at 10:07pm:
Nope, tide gauge data and satellite data both point to increasing sea levels.

The tide gauge data picked the acceleration of sea levels from the Greenland melt.


Oh, The satellite altimetry again. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Please show the tide gauge data that supports your contention. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #268 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:20am
 
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.html

Have a look at the map there. Based on tide guages.

Quote:
The Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services has been measuring sea level for over 150 years, with tide stations of the National Water Level Observation Network operating on all U.S. coasts. Changes in Mean Sea Level (MSL), either a sea level rise or sea level fall, have been computed at 142 long-term water level stations using a minimum span of 30 years of observations at each location. These measurements have been averaged by month to remove the effect of higher frequency phenomena in order to compute an accurate linear sea level trend. The trend analysis has also been extended to 240 global tide stations using data from the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL). This work is funded in partnership with the NOAA OAR Climate Observation Division.


Also, from the site you used:
Quote:
The most familiar application is global and regional sea level rise and variability. The PSMSL data set is the main source of information on long term changes in global sea level during the last two centuries. The data have been employed intensively in studies such as those of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The latest IPCC report, published in 2013, finds that "It is very likely that the mean rate of global averaged sea level rise was 1.7 [1.5 to 1.9] mm/yr between 1901 and 2010, 2.0 [1.7 to 2.3] mm/yr between 1971 and 2010 and 3.2 [2.8 to 3.6] mm/yr between 1993 and 2010. Tide-gauge and satellite altimeter data are consistent regarding the higher rate of the latter period" (www.climatechange2013.org).


http://www.psmsl.org/products/
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #269 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 11:29am
 
When will temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre–industrial?

Quote:
Abstract

Global temperature is rapidly approaching the 1.5°C Paris target. In the absence of external cooling influences, such as volcanic eruptions, temperature projections are centered on a breaching of the 1.5°C target, relative to 1850–1900, before 2029. The phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) will regulate the rate at which mean temperature approaches the 1.5°C level. A transition to the positive phase of the IPO would lead to a projected exceedance of the target centered around 2026. If the Pacific Ocean remains in its negative decadal phase, the target will be reached around 5 years later, in 2031. Given the temporary slowdown in global warming between 2000 and 2014, and recent initialized decadal predictions suggestive of a turnaround in the IPO, a sustained period of rapid temperature rise might be underway. In that case, the world will reach the 1.5°C level of warming several years sooner than if the negative IPO phase persists.


Pretty soon it seems, exactly when depends on the PDO.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #270 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 11:33am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:20am:
These measurements have been averaged by month to remove the effect of higher frequency phenomena in order to compute an accurate linear sea level trend.


That doesn't sound like measurement.  Wink
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:20am:
The latest IPCC report, published in 2013, finds that "It is very likely that the mean rate of global averaged sea level rise was 1.7 [1.5 to 1.9] mm/yr between 1901 and 2010, 2.0 [1.7 to 2.3] mm/yr between 1971 and 2010 and 3.2 [2.8 to 3.6] mm/yr between 1993 and 2010. Tide-gauge and satellite altimeter data are consistent regarding the higher rate of the latter period" (www.climatechange2013.org).



Oh dear. An appeal to authority. The IPCC uses it therefore it must be good. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #271 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 12:46pm
 
BTW - Look at the graph for maximum temperatures and then take off that 0.54ºC annual average.

...

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/#tabs=Tracker&tracker=timeseries&tQ=graph%3...
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #272 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 1:19pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 11:29am:
When will temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre–industrial?


here we go...
fact...  it's been above it and below it before Monk.
We didn't tip into Venus nor Pluto....

Who cares Monk. if we are not the primary driver.

First you must identify and prove what is the primary driver.

If it's the Sun for instance... then good luck with doing much about that.

Adapt or "die" eh Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #273 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 1:47pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 11:33am:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:20am:
These measurements have been averaged by month to remove the effect of higher frequency phenomena in order to compute an accurate linear sea level trend.


That doesn't sound like measurement.  Wink
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:20am:
The latest IPCC report, published in 2013, finds that "It is very likely that the mean rate of global averaged sea level rise was 1.7 [1.5 to 1.9] mm/yr between 1901 and 2010, 2.0 [1.7 to 2.3] mm/yr between 1971 and 2010 and 3.2 [2.8 to 3.6] mm/yr between 1993 and 2010. Tide-gauge and satellite altimeter data are consistent regarding the higher rate of the latter period" (www.climatechange2013.org).



Oh dear. An appeal to authority. The IPCC uses it therefore it must be good. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

The IPCC used their tide gauge data.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #274 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 1:49pm
 
Grendel wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 1:19pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 11:29am:
When will temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre–industrial?


here we go...
fact...  it's been above it and below it before Monk.
We didn't tip into Venus nor Pluto....

Who cares Monk. if we are not the primary driver.

First you must identify and prove what is the primary driver.

If it's the Sun for instance... then good luck with doing much about that.

Adapt or "die" eh Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

The sun has been in its less active state since the late 1970s so the warming since then is not due to the sun. Nope, it is the greenhouse effect. But the sun will enter its more active state and that warming will add to AGW.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #275 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 1:59pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 11:29am:
When will temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre–industrial?

Quote:
Abstract

Global temperature is rapidly approaching the 1.5°C Paris target. In the absence of external cooling influences, such as volcanic eruptions, temperature projections are centered on a breaching of the 1.5°C target, relative to 1850–1900, before 2029. The phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) will regulate the rate at which mean temperature approaches the 1.5°C level. A transition to the positive phase of the IPO would lead to a projected exceedance of the target centered around 2026. If the Pacific Ocean remains in its negative decadal phase, the target will be reached around 5 years later, in 2031. Given the temporary slowdown in global warming between 2000 and 2014, and recent initialized decadal predictions suggestive of a turnaround in the IPO, a sustained period of rapid temperature rise might be underway. In that case, the world will reach the 1.5°C level of warming several years sooner than if the negative IPO phase persists.


Pretty soon it seems, exactly when depends on the PDO.


Just for roach:
Quote:
Plain Language Summary

Global temperature is rapidly approaching the 1.5°C Paris target. In this study, we find that in the absence of external cooling influences, such as volcanic eruptions, the midpoint of the spread of temperature projections exceeds the 1.5°C target before 2029, based on temperatures relative to 1850–1900. We find that the phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), a slow-moving natural oscillation in the climate system, will regulate the rate at which global temperature approaches the 1.5°C level. A transition to the positive phase of the IPO would lead to a projected exceedance of the target centered around 2026. If the Pacific Ocean remains in its negative phase, however, the projections are centered on reaching the target around 5 years later, in 2031. Given the temporary slowdown in global warming between 2000 and 2014, and recent climate model predictions suggestive of a turnaround in the IPO, a sustained period of rapid temperature rise might be underway. In that case, the world will reach the 1.5°C level of warming several years sooner than if the negative IPO phase persists.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #276 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 3:30pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 1:47pm:
The IPCC used their tide gauge data.



They also used Michael Mann's hockeystick. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #277 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 4:04pm
 
The IPCC used their tide gauge data.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #278 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 4:42pm
 
This article is based on the paper I posted the abstract (and the childrens’ version for roach) a bit earlier:

Quote:
Global temperatures could exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above their preindustrial levels within the next 15 years, according to a new scientific study, crossing the first threshold under the Paris climate agreement and placing the world at a potentially dangerous level of climate change.


Remember the three main icesheets are on the verge of collapse, well almost so. More warming would not be good. Remember, the Eemian period 125,000 years ago was maybe a bit hotter than today—and had sea levels nine metres higher than today.

Quote:
The study focuses on a natural planetary system known as the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, or IPO (it’s also sometimes referred to as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation). It’s an alternating pattern of ocean temperatures that shifts periodically between warm and cool phases, helping to drive temperature and weather patterns all over the world.

During cool, or “negative,” phases, tropical regions of the Pacific Ocean tend to be colder, and the global mean temperature is lower. The system is similar to the El Niño/La Niña cycle, the major difference being that phases of the IPO tend to last much longer — sometimes a decade or more. The phenomenon is believed to be a natural form of climate variability unrelated to human-caused climate change, although it does have the potential to influence the progression of global warming.


So, what phase is it in and is it likely to move to another phase?

Quote:
For most of the 2000s, the IPO has been in a negative phase, and scientists think its cooling effect has helped to slightly offset the effect of climate change. . .


Quote:
Many scientists believe that the planet is now transitioning back into a positive, or warm, phase, which could amplify, rather than offset, human-caused climate warming. This means we could reach milestone temperature thresholds faster than we would if the IPO had remained in its negative phase. 

That’s the conclusion of the new study, written by Henley and Andrew King of the University of Melbourne. Using model projections of future climate warming under a business-as-usual scenario, they suggest that the Earth could hit the 1.5-degree temperature threshold as early as 2025, while the continuation of the negative phase probably would delay this event until after 2030. 


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/05/09/earth-could...

With those three huge icesheets already on the verge of collapse hitting 1.5°C increase is not what we want to do.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #279 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:24pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 1:49pm:
Grendel wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 1:19pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 11:29am:
When will temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre–industrial?


here we go...
fact...  it's been above it and below it before Monk.
We didn't tip into Venus nor Pluto....

Who cares Monk. if we are not the primary driver.

First you must identify and prove what is the primary driver.

If it's the Sun for instance... then good luck with doing much about that.

Adapt or "die" eh Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

The sun has been in its less active state since the late 1970s so the warming since then is not due to the sun. Nope, it is the greenhouse effect. But the sun will enter its more active state and that warming will add to AGW.


Warming is not due to the SUN.... there you have it folks, I didn't think he could top clouds staying within fencelines but he has...
Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #280 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:38pm
 
The warming, the increase in temperature since 1980 is not due to the sun. When the sun becomes active again the extra radiation will add to the warming from AGW.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #281 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:45pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 4:42pm:
Global temperatures could exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above their preindustrial levels within the next 15 years,


Yep. Might not also. I love the open ended predictions. Wink

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 4:42pm:
Remember the three main icesheets are on the verge of collapse, well almost so.



And that would COOL the planet. Oh, no. Grin Grin Grin

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 4:42pm:
and had sea levels nine metres higher than today.



And ice ages lower sea levels.  Wow. Now all you have to do is get all that melt. Wink

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 4:42pm:
The study focuses on a natural planetary system known as the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, or IPO (it’s also sometimes referred to as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation). It’s an alternating pattern of ocean temperatures that shifts periodically between warm and cool phases, helping to drive temperature and weather patterns all over the world.


I notice they don't include the North Atlantic Oscillation. Always so good to see "climate scientists" only look at one metric and make assumptions on climate. Wink
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 4:42pm:
Using model projections of future climate warming under a business-as-usual scenario, they suggest that the Earth could hit the 1.5-degree temperature threshold as early as 2025, while the continuation of the negative phase probably would delay this event until after 2030.


HO Ho Ho. The business-as-usual scenario they use is RCP8.5. That is the worst case scenario, which even most alarmists agree is most unlikely to happen.

"The worst-case scenario among the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) is known as RCP8.5. The number “8.5” refers to the radiative forcing level measured in W/m2 in the year 2100. RCP8.5, despite it often being called “business-as usual”, has been criticized as an unlikely outcome. While true, that’s more feature than bug, since, as one of the two extreme pathways, it is designed to provide climate modellers with an unlikely, but still just plausible “how bad could it be” scenario."

Your favourite source: https://skepticalscience.com/CCFBRCP85.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/05/09/earth-could...

Oh, dear, Washpo. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #282 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:52pm
 
Which is the biggest ocean?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #283 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:58pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:52pm:
Which is the biggest ocean?


What has that to do with the price of fish?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #284 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 6:09pm
 
I know you are a self opinionated know nothing but any Australian should know about El Nino/La Nina which set temperatures across most of the world.

Now, ignorant harridan, what ocean goes through the El Nino/Lan Nina cycle?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #285 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 6:20pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 6:09pm:
I know you are a self opinionated know nothing but any Australian should know about El Nino/La Nina which set temperatures across most of the world.

Now, ignorant harridan, what ocean goes through the El Nino/Lan Nina cycle?



So what do you know about the NAO? You know the one you constantly blather on about? Greenland icebergs, Newfoundland ice floes. All that cold ice entering the North Atlantic? Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #286 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 6:24pm
 
You don’t know either, Lees?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #287 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 7:45pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 6:24pm:
You don’t know either, Lees?


I now enough to know you can't look at climate through single metrics. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #288 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 8:44pm
 
yes he can
Correlation = Causation. Cheesy
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #289 - Aug 29th, 2017 at 8:46pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 29th, 2017 at 5:38pm:
The warming, the increase in temperature since 1980 is not due to the sun. When the sun becomes active again the extra radiation will add to the warming from AGW.

Really?
Now you are just laying it on...
So take away the Sun and we'd still be warm eh?
Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #290 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 10:01am
 
The Pacific is the largest ocean. Cycles such as ENSO and the PDO affect world temperatures.

Christ some people are THICK!

A change to the PDO could see a jump in temperatures, just what we want with the three main icesheets about to slide into the sea!  Roll Eyes
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #291 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:23am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 10:01am:
The Pacific is the largest ocean. Cycles such as ENSO and the PDO affect world temperatures.

Christ some people are THICK!

A change to the PDO could see a jump in temperatures, just what we want with the three main icesheets about to slide into the sea!  Roll Eyes


The ENSO and PDO are not new events. They are not caused by climate change , they are natural events.

But you don't think the ice sheets in the NAO will affect global temperatures.

BTW - Did you see this paper on coral bleaching?

" The 2015–2016 El-Niño and related ocean warming has generated significant coral bleaching and mortality worldwide. In Indonesia, the first signs of bleaching were reported in April 2016. However, this El Niño has impacted Indonesian coral reefs since 2015 through a different process than temperature-induced bleaching. In September 2015, altimetry data show that sea level was at its lowest in the past 12 years, affecting corals living in the bathymetric range exposed to unusual emersion."

https://www.biogeosciences.net/14/817/2017/
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #292 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:44am
 
lee wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:23am:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 10:01am:
The Pacific is the largest ocean. Cycles such as ENSO and the PDO affect world temperatures.

Christ some people are THICK!

A change to the PDO could see a jump in temperatures, just what we want with the three main icesheets about to slide into the sea!  Roll Eyes


The ENSO and PDO are not new events. They are not caused by climate change , they are natural events.
Did I say they were new or AGW related?


But you don't think the ice sheets in the NAO will affect global temperatures.
The Pacific is by far the largest ocean, its cycles have a much bigger effect than those of the other oceans. Now you conflate NAO with ice sheets. Yes, the Arctic influences mid latitude weather, where have I said otherwise? The disappearing Arctic ice also has consequences for mid latitude weather and I have said that more than once.


BTW - Did you see this paper on coral bleaching?

" The 2015–2016 El-Niño and related ocean warming has generated significant coral bleaching and mortality worldwide. In Indonesia, the first signs of bleaching were reported in April 2016. However, this El Niño has impacted Indonesian coral reefs since 2015 through a different process than temperature-induced bleaching. In September 2015, altimetry data show that sea level was at its lowest in the past 12 years, affecting corals living in the bathymetric range exposed to unusual emersion."

https://www.biogeosciences.net/14/817/2017/
Nasty stuff AGW, kills in more than one way. BTW, was the GBR affected in the same way the Indonesian reefs were?




I did not word this well:
Quote:
A change to the PDO could see a jump in temperatures


I should have said WOULD, that is what the article says.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #293 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 3:34pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:44am:
Nasty stuff AGW, kills in more than one way. BTW, was the GBR affected in the same way the Indonesian reefs were?



...

Compare 1998 another El Nino year. You know when the waters, after the trade winds fall, "slosh"  back to the east.

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:44am:
Yes, the Arctic influences mid latitude weather, where have I said otherwise?


But not Climate? Ok got it. Despite the papers warning what a slowing Gulf Strem could do. Wink
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #294 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 5:16pm
 
So you ARE worried about the melting Arctic and Greenland!

Yes, and it DOES seem as tho the Gulf Stream is weakening.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #295 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 5:26pm
 
Quote:
BTW, was the GBR affected in the same way the Indonesian reefs were?


Cpl Lees?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #296 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 6:25pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 5:26pm:
Quote:
BTW, was the GBR affected in the same way the Indonesian reefs were?


Cpl Lees?

why do you support the rise in the temprature of the globe- (we all know that methane produced by intensive farming of the cattle sheep and pig industry)-eating meat and the therefore supporting the farming industry- what is your veiws on methane causing holes in the Ozone layer that directly contributes to global warming -
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #297 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 6:54pm
 
Me support the rise in global temperature? What are you smoking Agmes?

Farting cows? Not a prob. Burping cows, oh oh methane!

Ozone is a GHG.

BTW, Agmes, I do not eat intensely farmed animals. You should have known that, surely? You buy meat from supermarkets, Agmes? Then YOU are buying intensely farmed animals.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #298 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 7:01pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 5:26pm:
Quote:
BTW, was the GBR affected in the same way the Indonesian reefs were?


Cpl Lees?



Can't read a graph of Cairns tide data? Wink

Sorry.That is Cairns Tide data. Embarrassed
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #299 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 7:40pm
 
So you don’t know?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #300 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 7:57pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 6:54pm:
Me support the rise in global temperature? What are you smoking Agmes?

Farting cows? Not a prob. Burping cows, oh oh methane!

Ozone is a GHG.

BTW, Agmes, I do not eat intensely farmed animals. You should have known that, surely? You buy meat from supermarkets, Agmes? Then YOU are buying intensely farmed animals.

Lookee Jovial puss Nose is giving me attitude- you are a hypocrite of the highest order- and how is your nose now since the doc used his trowel to clean it out?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #301 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:18pm
 
How am I a hypocrite, Agmess?
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #302 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:26pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:18pm:
How am I a hypocrite, Agmess?

  You are trying to suggest you dont eat farmed sources of meat- balls to that hobo
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #303 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:44pm
 
I clearly said I don’t eat intensely farmed animals.

Put the bottle down and make a pot of tea, Agmess of the Bottle.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #304 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:46pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:44pm:
I clearly said I don’t eat intensely farmed animals.

Put the bottle down and make a pot of tea, Agmess of the Bottle.

you first Jovial Drunk- you may  have said it but you lied
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #305 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:54pm
 
No, I told the truth.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #306 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 9:01pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:54pm:
No, I told the truth.


You lied jovial hangover
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #307 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 9:32pm
 
Whatever. go and sleep it off.
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Re: Thermometer
Reply #308 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:51pm
 
Agnes wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 7:57pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 6:54pm:
Me support the rise in global temperature? What are you smoking Agmes?

Farting cows? Not a prob. Burping cows, oh oh methane!

Ozone is a GHG.

BTW, Agmes, I do not eat intensely farmed animals. You should have known that, surely? You buy meat from supermarkets, Agmes? Then YOU are buying intensely farmed animals.

Lookee Jovial puss Nose is giving me attitude- you are a hypocrite of the highest order- and how is your nose now since the doc used his trowel to clean it out?

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #309 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:52pm
 
Agnes wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:26pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:18pm:
How am I a hypocrite, Agmess?

  You are trying to suggest you dont eat farmed sources of meat- balls to that hobo

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #310 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:52pm
 
Agnes wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:46pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:44pm:
I clearly said I don’t eat intensely farmed animals.

Put the bottle down and make a pot of tea, Agmess of the Bottle.

you first Jovial Drunk- you may  have said it but you lied

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #311 - Aug 30th, 2017 at 11:54pm
 
Agnes wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 9:01pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 30th, 2017 at 8:54pm:
No, I told the truth.


You lied jovial hangover

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Re: Thermometer
Reply #312 - Sep 8th, 2017 at 10:48pm
 
So BOM has been lying to try and get themselves out of their temperature fiddles now eh...
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