The Larsen Crack....
What does this all mean for the rest of the planet? Unfortunately, it's
hard to say.According to the
British Antarctic Survey, which works with MIDAS, scientists don't really know whether the crack in Larsen C has anything to do with climate change,
although there is some evidence that the ice shelf has become thinner because of it.
"I doubt it will ever be possible to link this rift to climate change," says Luckman. "What we CAN say is that ice-shelves seem in general to be responding to a warmer climate. For Larsen C, all I would say is that climate warming (ocean or atmosphere) cannot be directly linked to the rift, but probably won't have hindered its growth."
It's normal for cracks to form in ice shelves and calve to produce icebergs, as part of a cyclical process in which the shelves, fed by glaciers and ice streams from the continent's interior, gradually advance, break and then slowly regenerate.
"Calving from all Antarctic ice shelves occurs periodically,"
H. Jay Zwally, a senior research scientist at NASA, explains via email. "Some calving is in small icebergs and less frequently is in large tabular icebergs as the one about to calve from Larsen C. This calving occurs to balance the continuous flow of ice into the shelves over the grounding line — i.e. the ground ice sheet on upstream side and floating ice shelf on the ocean-ward side."
He notes that such calving "occurs at decadal intervals without climate change to make it happen."