Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 2^nd, 2017 at 11:12am:


Since the 1980's which papers confirm this.

Most scientists that study the sun have said that the sun started its snoozing around 2009 and it will last until about 2030.

Ajax wrote on Apr 2^nd, 2017 at 11:41am:

I have never said that, Ajax! Don’t put words in my mouth. A system the size of the world with HUGE heat storage like the oceans does not react instantaneously. Tremendous masses of air and ocean need to be heated for warming or be cooled to show cooling and there are short term effects (volcanoes, El Nino/La Nina) that might mask changes temporarily.

Global warming and cooling affects weather systems and that is how the effect of cooling and warming shows. Currently, AGW is causing the belt of cyclones and anticyclones that bring rain to the southern half of the continent are more and more over the ocean and less and less over land and that is why the southern half of Australia is drying out.

Warming is also melting both poles, Greenland and causing glaciers to retreat.

Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 2^nd, 2017 at 10:13am:


Are you on the gravy train...............!!??

What poses you to come on this forum and push this pseudoscience called AGW.......?

The warming is natural and has nothing to do with mans emissions of CO2 which are so small they don't even register on the overall carbon budget of the atmopshere.

Spectroscopy proves you wrong.

The Global Carbon Project update presents the world's carbon budget for 2015. This year's report shows that average atmospheric carbon dioxide levels in 2015 increased to 399.4ppm. The atmospheric growth rate of 2.97 above the 2014 average was a record despite near zero growth in fossil fuel emissions.

The land and ocean typically absorb approximately half of anthropogenic emissions. However, the strength of the sinks shows year-to-year inconstancy associated with climate variability, with more CO2 accumulating in the atmosphere in warm years and less in cool years. The long term trend in CO2 rise is driven by anthropogenic emissions but natural sinks moderate this: any change in the efficiency of these sinks will have significant consequences for accumulation of anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere.

Atmospheric CO2 increases above pre-industrial levels first began through releases of carbon to the atmosphere from deforestation and other land use activities. Starting in the 1920s, combustion of fossil fuels became the dominant source of anthropogenic emissions. Anthropogenic emissions occur on top of the natural carbon cycle that circulates carbon between the atmosphere, ocean and terrestrial biosphere.

Quote:


That is the key line Ajax
And that additional CO2 that gets emitted keeps on accumulating each year

For the year 2015, fossil fuel emissions were 9.9 ±0.5 Gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), a small increase over 2014 (a gigatonne is 1 billion tones; 1GtC (Carbon) is equivalent to 3.664GtCO2 (Carbon Dioxide)). An additional emission of 1.3 ±0.5 GtC is estimated from land-use change. Atmospheric CO2 increased by 6.3±0.2 GtC (or 2.97 ppm), a 50% increase compared to 2014 (4.2 ±0.1 GtC), due to a halving of the land sink to 1.9 ±0.9 GtC (2014: 3.9 ±0.9 GtC) resulting from the start of prevailing El Nino conditions. The rest was absorbed by the oceans - 3 ±0.5GtC (2014: 2.9 ±0.5GtC).

Cumulative emissions from pre-industrial (1750-2015) have reached 600 ±70 GtC, (555 ±55 GtC 1870-2015). This is an update to the IPCC 1750-2011 estimate of 555 [470 - 640] GtC to include 2012-2015 emissions and a revision of early 20th century land use emissions. The IPCC estimates that with cumulative emissions of 790 GtC, there is a two-thirds chance of staying below 2°C warming relative to pre-industrial temperatures. Keeping warming below two degrees requires total CO2 emissions to remain below this target. The budget is further reduced for 1.5°C. At current levels we are over half way towards this figure. If other non-CO2 gases are excluded, the emissions budget is substantially increased to approximately 1000 GtC.