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Why is climate science so resilient? (Read 26224 times)
Jovial Monk
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #105 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 10:58am
 
I know change bothers or scares some but I do not prefer to bury my head in the sand.

All the science, physics and chemistry, supports the AGW theory. AGW is as close to fact as we can be and it is about time we started doing something about it.

The only scientists disputing AGW are those in the pay, directly or indirectly, of fossil fuel interests. Lots of cranks disputing it, like Lees and his denialist websites.

If AGW were not real why is the earth heating up and why is the polar ice disappearing and why are nearly all glaciers retreating? This after decades of the sun being quiescent?

Lees is into denial and crank science, quack science or pseudoscience, take your pick. I don’t think you are.

I think you are scared of AGW and the changes it is going to bring. The quicker we start doing something, reducing GHG emissions and adapting to AGW because the heat will be here for a while. Read over the science I have posted, read some of the links. Scary or not AGW is not going away.

Re your chart of CO2 from Cambrian time to present, have you done as I suggested and consider the changes to the globe and to the sun in the over 500 million years since the Ordovician/Silurian?
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #106 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 10:59am
 
Mr Hammer wrote on Mar 25th, 2017 at 10:40am:
The only way you can rummage up interest in a dyyyiiiinnng leftist Doomsday prophecy is by baiting Bobby, disguising statements as questions and arguing with yourself. Meanwhile, the rest of us have moved on.

So you don’t know any scientists?
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Ajax
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #107 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:17am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Mar 25th, 2017 at 10:58am:
I know change bothers or scares some but I do not prefer to bury my head in the sand.

All the science, physics and chemistry, supports the AGW theory. AGW is as close to fact as we can be and it is about time we started doing something about it.

The only scientists disputing AGW are those in the pay, directly or indirectly, of fossil fuel interests. Lots of cranks disputing it, like Lees and his denialist websites.

If AGW were not real why is the earth heating up and why is the polar ice disappearing and why are nearly all glaciers retreating? This after decades of the sun being quiescent?

Lees is into denial and crank science, quack science or pseudoscience, take your pick. I don’t think you are.

I think you are scared of AGW and the changes it is going to bring. The quicker we start doing something, reducing GHG emissions and adapting to AGW because the heat will be here for a while. Read over the science I have posted, read some of the links. Scary or not AGW is not going away.

Re your chart of CO2 from Cambrian time to present, have you done as I suggested and consider the changes to the globe and to the sun in the over 500 million years since the Ordovician/Silurian?


I’m not scared of dying my friend, it’s a natural part of life on the other hand sounds like you are…!!

It’s the only thing that can possibly attract you to this snake oil being sold off as AGW science.

Five hundred and fifty million years ago when temperatures were much warmer and atmospheric CO2 was at 7000ppm compared to todays 400ppm, we had no runaway greenhouse affect, plant life and then animals thrived through a process we now call natural selection.

Climate gate the hockey stick the IPCC computer model predictions in 1990 are enough to throw AGW science out with the baby, in accordance with todays scientific principles.

Warming by the end of this century

IPCC computer models  (year 1990) projected warming
………............+2.78° C / end of this Century

Observations the last 25 years project a warming of………………………….. +1.01° C / end of this Century


...

The Essence of Science in 60 seconds




Update


...


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« Last Edit: Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:24am by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Ajax
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #108 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:22am
 
...
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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lee
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #109 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:23am
 
LawfoolNeutral wrote on Mar 24th, 2017 at 10:11pm:
Page 198 FAQ 2.1 - How Do We Know the World Has Warmed?
"Evidence for a warming world comes from multiple independent climate indicators, from high up in the atmosphere to the depths of the oceans. They include changes in surface, atmospheric and oceanic temperatures; glaciers; snow cover; sea ice; sea level and atmospheric water vapour. Scientists from all over the world have independently verified this evidence many times. That the world has warmed since the 19th century is unequivocal."



And that points to climate extremes exactly how?

LawfoolNeutral wrote on Mar 24th, 2017 at 10:11pm:
Page 218 FAQ 2.2 - Have There Been Any Changes in Climate Extremes?
"There is strong evidence that warming has lead to changes in temperature extremes—including heat waves—since the mid-20th century. Increases in heavy precipitation have probably also occurred over this time, but vary by region. However, for other extremes, such as tropical cyclone  frequency, we are less certain, except in some limited regions, that there have been discernable changes over the observed record."


So they claim temperatures, but that wasn't on my list. And of course temperature records are very spotty before themid-9th century.LawfoolNeutral wrote on Mar 24th, 2017 at 10:11pm:
his all makes perfect sense to me, and I am reasonably confident that as further data is gathered, that we will find more evidence to tie temperature extremes to weather extremes.

If you recall, I never held this up as "proven", I simply stated that this was the current position. Science isn't magic, it's a laborious process, and this is just the start for climatology.



And so you came up with no other evidence of climate extremes. Thank you.LawfoolNeutral wrote on Mar 24th, 2017 at 10:13pm:
Why are you asking me? I seriously doubt there is a nefarious reason.



There is probably no nefarious reason for NOAA including references to consensus which are flawed. /sarc

Also there are records (screen captures) that show NOAA has adjusted temperatures. generally cooling the past to make the present seem warmer. You can look if you like or not. I don't really care.
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #110 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:25am
 
Why is ice at the poles and in glaciers disappearing Ajax? The sun has been quiescent for decades you know but still it warms.

I never said AGW would kill. It will bring change, that is 100% assured.

Those charts etc sound like voodoo medicine by which you banish the thought of changes from and because of AGW.
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« Last Edit: Mar 25th, 2017 at 12:34pm by Jovial Monk »  

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lee
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #111 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:32am
 
LawfoolNeutral wrote on Mar 24th, 2017 at 10:16pm:
I'm surprised. So far you haven't turned to personal slurs in our exchanges.



Because you are not JM.

JM believes in the physics so he says.

He also believes that the CO2 is not logarithmic, despite that being what the physics says.

He also believes that light being reflected gives rise to IR emissions, when the physics say it is refraction.

He is a serial pest, who will not have his belief systems changed by the science.
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lee
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #112 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:41am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Mar 25th, 2017 at 10:58am:
All the science, physics and chemistry, supports the AGW theory.



Like the effect of CO2 on temperature being logarithmic?

Like reflected light gives rise to IR radiation, not refraction?

As I said above you only believe the science when it accords with your beliefs.
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #113 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:41am
 
You never post science, lees, just denialist pseudoscience.

Graphs of temperature v CO2 show a more or less linear relationship, it is denier sites now claim a log relationship.

Spectrometry SHOWS CO2, CH4 etc absorbing IR. THAT is the science!

Quiescent sun yet warming is continuing.



AGW is warming the world and only fools and scoundrels would deny that.
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lee
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #114 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:46am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:41am:
You never post science, lees, just denialist pseudoscience.

Graphs of temperature v CO2 show a more or less linear relationship, it is denier sites now claim a log relationship.



lee wrote on Mar 24th, 2017 at 8:21pm:
Now about the logarithmic effect of CO2-

"For carbon dioxide, as has already been mentioned, parts of the spectrum are already so opaque that additional molecules of carbon dioxide are even less effective, the forcing is found to be logarithmic in concentration."

IPCC _far_wg_1_full_report.pdf


So you are saying the IPCC don't report science? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #115 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 12:06pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Mar 25th, 2017 at 11:41am:
You never post science, lees, just denialist pseudoscience.

Graphs of temperature v CO2 show a more or less linear relationship, it is denier sites now claim a log relationship.

Spectrometry SHOWS CO2, CH4 etc absorbing IR. THAT is the science!

Quiescent sun yet warming is continuing.




AGW is warming the world
and only fools and scoundrels would deny that.


That's one theory, yes.

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Jovial Monk
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #116 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 1:28pm
 
A theory with many streams of evidence to support it and a demonstrated mechanism for it.
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lee
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #117 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 1:55pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Mar 25th, 2017 at 1:28pm:
A theory with many streams of evidence to support it and a demonstrated mechanism for it.


Only if you forget the logarithmic effect of CO2 on temperature.
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #118 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 2:08pm
 
So a 1 fold increase in CO2 causes a tenfold increase in heat, that sort of thing Lees?

I cannot see any log relationship myself. Looks linear to me!
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Why is climate science so resilient?
Reply #119 - Mar 25th, 2017 at 2:14pm
 
The nonsense of a log relationship between CO2 and temperature:

Quote:
Until the Industrial Revolution, melting of snow and ice at the end of cyclical glacial periods was driven by changes in the Earth’s orbit. As snow and ice melted on the planet, the albedo, or reflectivity, of the earth declined, with land and ocean absorbing more heat from the sun (think the reflectivity of cars in a parking lot versus the hot blacktop of the parking lot itself). As the planet slowly warmed, a warmer and better-mixed ocean released CO2 into the atmosphere, which amplified the warming that was already in progress. In all, temperature typically increased by 6°C (11° F) over thousands of years during these interglacial periods, and one third of this increase was a result of the CO2 that outgassed from the ocean once warming began. Therefore, CO2 was not the initial cause of melting ice on the planet. It merely amplified a signal that was already in progress.

By contrast, as humans burn fossil fuels, we are creating a new driver of snow and ice melt and accompanying sea-level rise. This time, additional CO2 entering the atmosphere is coming from sources of carbon that had previously been sequestered in fuels such as oil and gas. We know from basic physics that CO2 traps heat. The phenomenon is perhaps best demonstrated by Earth’s neighbor Venus. If we lived on Venus, the computer you’re reading this post on now would be melting. That’s because Venus has 100,000 times the amount of CO2 in its atmosphere as Earth does and its average temperature of 462° C (863° F) is high enough to melt lead.


https://scripps.ucsd.edu/programs/keelingcurve/2014/06/20/how-do-co2-levels-rela...

It seems warming has a loooooooooooooooooonnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnngggggggggggggggg way to go yet!
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