Domino effect portended with a risk of Kwinana Alumina refinery closure.
When industries like this close down the effect is magnified by the effects on a huge number of businesses which were supporting that industry. Closure of support industries weakens the industrial manufacturing base.
The government has pulled its bag of money out and is begging ALCOA to stay. Frankly, energy costs in Australia are too high to support such energy intensive industries.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/alcoa-smelter-closure-a-d... Quote:The demise of Alcoa’s Portland aluminium smelter would rob $800 million from the national gross domestic product, devastate Victoria’s southwest and threaten jobs as far away as Western Australia, according to a new report.
As federal Industry Minister Greg Hunt and his Victorian counterpart Wade Noonan flew to New York for crisis talks with Alcoa’s management, a report by the Australia Institute has forecast the loss of more than 3600 jobs if the troubled smelter shuts.
Questions about its future have become more pervasive since a power outage three weeks ago shut down its potlines during production, cooling the metal inside.
The analysis, commissioned by the Australian Workers Union and using simulation results from the National Institute for Economic and Industry Research, predicts the smelter’s closure would lead to the loss of $840m in national exports, a $192m blow to commonwealth revenues and a $50m loss to Victoria’s accounts.
Although the smelter itself supports 1500 direct and indirect jobs in the region, the report assesses job losses at more than 3600, including suppliers and downstream consumer industries. It also warns of a “potentially catastrophic” domino effect in Western Australia from the possible closure of Kwinana alumina refinery, which supplies all of Portland’s feedstock and is also owned by Alcoa.
The worst-case scenario would see close to 9000 jobs disappear and $1.75 billion lost to GDP.
AWU national secretary Daniel Walton said the loss of both factories would be a national disaster for manufacturing.
“If Portland is allowed to fail it will have a devastating impact, but there is also no guarantee the damage would end there,” he said.
“The importance of this meeting in New York to the Australian economy can barely be overstated.”
Mr Hunt and Mr Noonan are meeting today with Alcoa’s global chief executive Roy Harvey to discuss the Portland smelter’s future following the power outage. Speaking to ABC radio shortly before flying to New York, Mr Hunt said he believed the smelter had a long-term future but the current shutdown and ongoing renegotiation of Alcoa’s electricity contracts made this “a very risky time”.
“I am optimistic, but I am not giving any false guarantees,” he said.
The Turnbull government has offered Alcoa access to finance from the Clean Energy Finance Corporation.