Australian Politics Forum - Federal Election

Redmond Neck Gold Member Offline OzPolitic Posts: 21852 ACT Gender:	Re: Federal Election - Betting Odds Reply #15 - Apr 16^th, 2016 at 8:50am No significant change
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Bobby. Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 109787 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Federal Election - Betting Odds Reply #16 - Apr 16^th, 2016 at 8:54am gee wizz - Labor is only at 3.75 to 1. I thought the polls were running neck & neck?
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Bam

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Re: Federal Election - Betting Odds
Reply #17 - Apr 16^th, 2016 at 9:13am

Bobby. wrote on Apr 16^th, 2016 at 8:54am:

gee wizz - Labor is only at 3.75 to 1.

I thought the polls were running neck & neck?

The opinion polls are, yes. Betting odds are different. They are not an accurate reflection of the actual chance of winning the election because the betting agency may already be holding a substantial amount of money for a Coalition election win. They will lower the Coalition's odds to discourage further bets on the Coalition (and increase Labor's odds correspondingly).

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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.

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Redmond Neck

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Re: Federal Election - Betting Odds
Reply #18 - Apr 16^th, 2016 at 9:19am

Bam wrote on Apr 16^th, 2016 at 9:13am:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 16^th, 2016 at 8:54am:

gee wizz - Labor is only at 3.75 to 1.

I thought the polls were running neck & neck?

The opinion polls are, yes. Betting odds are different. They are not an accurate reflection of the actual chance of winning the election because the betting agency may already be holding a substantial amount of money for a Coalition election win. They will lower the Coalition's odds to discourage further bets on the Coalition (and increase Labor's odds correspondingly).

You have summed it up pretty well, its a growing pot of money where the odds are moved to encourage the punters to bet. Is not a real guide to who people at large will vote for although polls will obviously influence the odds

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BAN ALL THESE ABO SITES RECOGNITIONS.

ALL AUSTRALIA IS FOR ALL AUSTRALIANS!

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Sir lastnail Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 30185 Gender:	Re: Federal Election - Betting Odds Reply #19 - Apr 16^th, 2016 at 9:28am The way the libs are going in a few months time it will be close to a dollar for labor LOL What was longprong58 saying about 20 to 1 for labor LOL
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Its time Gold Member Offline Boot libs out Posts: 25639 Gender:	Re: Federal Election - Betting Odds Reply #20 - Apr 16^th, 2016 at 10:03am Was 5.40 less than a month ago Oh how your signature will haunt you for eternity Armpit
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Honest Joe Full Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 180 Gender:	Re: Federal Election - Betting Odds Reply #21 - Apr 17^th, 2016 at 7:53am Are there fixed odds?
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aquascoot

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Re: Federal Election - Betting Odds
Reply #22 - Apr 17^th, 2016 at 8:23am

Labor cant win with Bill.

He's a bit like Kim Beezley.

The electorate pay very little attention and they will tend to go with the bloke who gives off the better vibe.

Beezley and Shorten both give off that "low status " vibe. They both give off very low quality "masculine energy". They seem unsure of themselves. They are a bit whiney. They dont seem to have that cocky confident edginess that a hawke or a keating had.

This is death to a leader. women wont vote for a beta male and Bill is quite beta.

I cant see they have an obvious replacement. The whole labor party seems a celebration of emotional insecurity and negative neurotic thinking.

Til the next hawke or keating comes along, labor are destined to remain in opposition.

Female voters want an alpha male.
They all get on their knees for the champ .

Sucking up to the electorate (as Bill does) just makes him look weak

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