...
Second, our study suggests that global surface air temperature, although an important
diagnostic, is a flawed metric of planetary “health”, because faster ice melt has a cooling effect
for a substantial period. Earth’s energy imbalance is in some sense a more fundamental climate
diagnostic. Stabilizing climate, to first order, requires restoring planetary energy balance. The
Framework Convention never mentions temperature – instead it mentions stabilization of
greenhouse gas concentrations at a level to avoid danger. It has been shown that the dominant
climate forcing, CO2, must be reduced to no more than 350 ppm to restore planetary energy
balance (Hansen et al., 2008) and keep climate near the Holocene level, if other forcings remain
unchanged.
Rapid phasedown of fossil fuel emissions is the crucial need, because of the
millennial time scale of this carbon in the climate system. Improved understanding of the carbon
cycle is needed to determine the most effective complementary actions. It may be feasible to
restore planetary energy balance via improved agricultural and forestry practices and other
actions to draw down atmospheric CO2 amount, if fossil fuel emissions are rapidly phased out.
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source: page 50,
http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/15/20059/2015/acp-2015-432-manuscript-ver...