Australian Politics Forum

skippy. Gold Member Offline Posts: 20882 Gender:	Re: Latest poll Reply #30 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:06pm No matter the election outcome the cross dresser will always be delusional.
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longweekend58

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #31 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:06pm

John Smith wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 3:13pm:

skippy. wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 2:54pm:

If they could not get it through during a joint sitting due to a short fall of numbers would they then need to go back to the polls?

you never know, they could always (in theory anyway) learn how to negotiate

thats what they are doing now - negotiating with the stubborn cross bench. of the 8, only one will get relected in a DD. Turnball knows they like their cushy jobs and might decide to do the right thing for the chance at staying there for another 4 years.

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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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BatteriesNotIncluded

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people died for this!

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #32 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:08pm

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:03pm:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 10:29am:

Armchair_Politician wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 9:10am:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 9:03am:

Armchair_Politician wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:51am:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:47am:

Armchair_Politician wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:25am:

Latest poll on the federal government shows 51/49 TPP for the Coalition, while Turnbull is at 39% approval which is his lowest but still well ahead of Shorten at an unelectable 28%

Dream on. The difference between 28% and 39% is not that great.

Turnbull's net satisfaction is the more important measure, and it's plunging as if it's fallen off a cliff. +38 to -5 in four months is a disaster. If it falls much further, the Coalition are in trouble.

The Newspoll website has a seat projection. 78 seats for the Coalition (a loss of 12), barely a majority. It's dangerously close to minority government territory.

(Newspoll's seat projection is assuming that Joyce will hold New England and Palmer will hold Fairfax which are not safe assumptions.)

No one is going to elect Labor with that dope Shorten at the helm. It simply won't happen.

People said the same thing about Abbott.

No they didn't.

Oh, really? Grin

‘Unelectable’ Tony Abbott returns conservative Liberals to power in Australian election

Stop making up crap.

The claim that Abbott was 'unelectable' is the kind of crap lefties try to spin whiel forgetting that Abbott took a party far behind and brought them to a bees whisker of winning a mere 6 months later. Then every poll after that had Abbott with a massive lead and a landslide election win. Hardly 'unelectable. Shorten however has been behind turnball in every poll and his personal support is miserable.

SHORTEN is unelectable. Abbott clearly was not

LONGY STILL CAN'T BELEIVE HE CAN'T SHOVE COPPER INTERNET DOWN HIS KIDS THROAT AND GET AWAY WITH IT

SOMEONE HAD A NASTY DADDYKINS

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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is. It wouldn't be there without the tax payer. Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know.... (swaggy) *

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Bam

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #33 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:10pm

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:00pm:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:47am:

Armchair_Politician wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:25am:

Latest poll on the federal government shows 51/49 TPP for the Coalition, while Turnbull is at 39% approval which is his lowest but still well ahead of Shorten at an unelectable 28%

Dream on. The difference between 28% and 39% is not that great.

Turnbull's net satisfaction is the more important measure, and it's plunging as if it's fallen off a cliff. +38 to -5 in four months is a disaster. If it falls much further, the Coalition are in trouble.

The Newspoll website has a seat projection. 78 seats for the Coalition (a loss of 12), barely a majority. It's dangerously close to minority government territory.

(Newspoll's seat projection is assuming that Joyce will hold New England and Palmer will hold Fairfax which are not safe assumptions.)

Palmer hold Fairfax??? The LNP will easily get that.

I implied this in my post by questioning Newspoll's assumption. The most likely outcome is that Windsor wins New England and Palmer loses Fairfax. This makes no difference to the projected number of seats.

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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.

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Its time

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #34 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:10pm

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:06pm:

John Smith wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 3:13pm:

skippy. wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 2:54pm:

If they could not get it through during a joint sitting due to a short fall of numbers would they then need to go back to the polls?

you never know, they could always (in theory anyway) learn how to negotiate

thats what they are doing now - negotiating with the stubborn cross bench. of the 8, only one will get relected in a DD. Turnball knows they like their cushy jobs and might decide to do the right thing for the chance at staying there for another 4 years.

As Lazarus said realise some good policy and we will support it

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John Smith

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #35 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:11pm

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:06pm:

John Smith wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 3:13pm:

skippy. wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 2:54pm:

If they could not get it through during a joint sitting due to a short fall of numbers would they then need to go back to the polls?

you never know, they could always (in theory anyway) learn how to negotiate

thats what they are doing now - negotiating with the stubborn cross bench. of the 8, only one will get relected in a DD. Turnball knows they like their cushy jobs and might decide to do the right thing for the chance at staying there for another 4 years.

no they're not ... they're desperately changing the rules so that they don't have to negotiate

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.

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Bam Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 21905 Gender:	Re: Latest poll Reply #36 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:11pm The Morgan poll is out. It has Labor ahead narrowly, 50.5 to 49.5.
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cods

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #37 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:13pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:02pm:

cods wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 4:53pm:

Armchair_Politician wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:25am:

Latest poll on the federal government shows 51/49 TPP for the Coalition, while Turnbull is at 39% approval which is his lowest but still well ahead of Shorten at an unelectable 28%

both appalling...how can anyone tell them apart...

makes me wonder about voters....I bet half of them cant write their name. Angry

Whereas we all know YOU CAN'T TELL YOUR ASS FROM YOUR FACE Cheesy

but I can write my name.. shame about you....and I am sure your not allowed to vote anyway...

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Bam

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #38 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:14pm

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:06pm:

John Smith wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 3:13pm:

skippy. wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 2:54pm:

If they could not get it through during a joint sitting due to a short fall of numbers would they then need to go back to the polls?

you never know, they could always (in theory anyway) learn how to negotiate

thats what they are doing now - negotiating with the stubborn cross bench. of the 8, only one will get relected in a DD. Turnball knows they like their cushy jobs and might decide to do the right thing for the chance at staying there for another 4 years.

I hope you're not assuming that the Senate crossbench will somehow shrink to 1 after a DD (excluding the Greens). There's no chance of that happening.

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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.

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longweekend58

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #39 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:14pm

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:10pm:

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:00pm:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:47am:

Armchair_Politician wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:25am:

Latest poll on the federal government shows 51/49 TPP for the Coalition, while Turnbull is at 39% approval which is his lowest but still well ahead of Shorten at an unelectable 28%

Dream on. The difference between 28% and 39% is not that great.

Turnbull's net satisfaction is the more important measure, and it's plunging as if it's fallen off a cliff. +38 to -5 in four months is a disaster. If it falls much further, the Coalition are in trouble.

The Newspoll website has a seat projection. 78 seats for the Coalition (a loss of 12), barely a majority. It's dangerously close to minority government territory.

(Newspoll's seat projection is assuming that Joyce will hold New England and Palmer will hold Fairfax which are not safe assumptions.)

Palmer hold Fairfax??? The LNP will easily get that.

I implied this in my post by questioning Newspoll's assumption. The most likely outcome is that Windsor wins New England and Palmer loses Fairfax. This makes no difference to the projected number of seats.

It's not at all alikely assumption that Windsor would win. IN fact far from it. the best you can say is that it is a possibility.

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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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Bam

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #40 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:18pm

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:14pm:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:10pm:

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:00pm:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:47am:

Armchair_Politician wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:25am:

Latest poll on the federal government shows 51/49 TPP for the Coalition, while Turnbull is at 39% approval which is his lowest but still well ahead of Shorten at an unelectable 28%

Dream on. The difference between 28% and 39% is not that great.

Turnbull's net satisfaction is the more important measure, and it's plunging as if it's fallen off a cliff. +38 to -5 in four months is a disaster. If it falls much further, the Coalition are in trouble.

The Newspoll website has a seat projection. 78 seats for the Coalition (a loss of 12), barely a majority. It's dangerously close to minority government territory.

(Newspoll's seat projection is assuming that Joyce will hold New England and Palmer will hold Fairfax which are not safe assumptions.)

Palmer hold Fairfax??? The LNP will easily get that.

I implied this in my post by questioning Newspoll's assumption. The most likely outcome is that Windsor wins New England and Palmer loses Fairfax. This makes no difference to the projected number of seats.

It's not at all alikely assumption that Windsor would win. IN fact far from it. the best you can say is that it is a possibility.

A recent opinion poll commissioned by Newspoll had Windsor AHEAD of Joyce 52 to 48. His chances of gaining the seat are quite good. Even if he doesn't win it, his influence could cost the Coalition seats elsewhere as campaign resources are diverted to saving New England.

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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.

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longweekend58

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #41 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:22pm

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:18pm:

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:14pm:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:10pm:

longweekend58 wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:00pm:

Bam wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:47am:

Armchair_Politician wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 8:25am:

Latest poll on the federal government shows 51/49 TPP for the Coalition, while Turnbull is at 39% approval which is his lowest but still well ahead of Shorten at an unelectable 28%

Dream on. The difference between 28% and 39% is not that great.

Turnbull's net satisfaction is the more important measure, and it's plunging as if it's fallen off a cliff. +38 to -5 in four months is a disaster. If it falls much further, the Coalition are in trouble.

The Newspoll website has a seat projection. 78 seats for the Coalition (a loss of 12), barely a majority. It's dangerously close to minority government territory.

(Newspoll's seat projection is assuming that Joyce will hold New England and Palmer will hold Fairfax which are not safe assumptions.)

Palmer hold Fairfax??? The LNP will easily get that.

I implied this in my post by questioning Newspoll's assumption. The most likely outcome is that Windsor wins New England and Palmer loses Fairfax. This makes no difference to the projected number of seats.

It's not at all alikely assumption that Windsor would win. IN fact far from it. the best you can say is that it is a possibility.

A recent opinion poll commissioned by Newspoll had Windsor AHEAD of Joyce 52 to 48. His chances of gaining the seat are quite good. Even if he doesn't win it, his influence could cost the Coalition seats elsewhere as campaign resources are diverted to saving New England.

Like I said... A CHANCE. But you would also know that by-elections (which this poll would be reflecting) typically punish the incumbent party by 3-5%. Taking this into account, LNP would win comfortably. And that is before the inevitably nasty campaign brings up Windsors 2010 treachery and his hypocrisy of opposing coal mining and then selling his farm to a coal miner.

it will be ugly, but the LNP will win with a comfortable margin.

But how does newspoll assume Palmer will keep Fairfax? the guy is literally HATED in the electorate (and the rest of the state) and is polling 1-2%.

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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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President Elect, The Mechanic Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 17501 Gender:	Re: Latest poll Reply #42 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:23pm ____ wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 11:39am: Once we have a three way leader's election debate, I expect Richard Di Natale will be leading the preferred leader poll ... and by a large lead. huh? oh I get it...
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longweekend58

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #43 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:24pm

President Elect, The Mechanic wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:23pm:

____ wrote on Mar 21^st, 2016 at 11:39am:

Once we have a three way leader's election debate, I expect Richard Di Natale will be leading the preferred leader poll ... and by a large lead.

huh?

oh I get it... Grin

he does this every election. has a tanty about the Greens not being part of the big boys debate. as if they deserve it...

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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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BatteriesNotIncluded

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people died for this!

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Re: Latest poll
Reply #44 - Mar 21^st, 2016 at 5:28pm

tHE LIBS ALL KNOW BARNABY IS buggerED AND IT WILL BE IN THE HISTORY BOOKS AS THEIR BIGGEST EMBARRASSMENT SINCE HOWARD....and: it was all because of the hypocrisy over copper internet!

Mark my words; this is the copper interenet election we had to have.

The first issue windsor brought up in response to the question put to him at the start of the tamworth debate hosted by foxtels Paul Murray was copper internet!

IT'S A GLOBAL EMBARRASSMENT AND BARNABYS BODY LANGUAGE SAYS HE KNOWS HE'S FU*******

Wink

...we all know I'm right !

BYE BYE SIDESHOW MAL

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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is. It wouldn't be there without the tax payer. Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know.... (swaggy) *

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