SurveyUSA, a national polling firm, just came out with major news that Donald Trump didn’t even expect! Their poll, which was conducted early in September, shows Donald Trump leading well-known Hillary Clinton 45 to 40 percent.

Trump is soaring to record breaking levels of popularity, while Hillary Clinton continues to watch what happens as voters learn about her criminal activity on a private email server.

But the biggest news is Trump is earning MAJOR support from segments of the population which almost exclusively vote for Democrats. SurveyUSA announced that Donald Trump would receive 25% among black registered voters. That is news that has Hillary Clinton terrified, and is shaking the political establishment to the core!

To put that in perspective, President George W. Bush received less than 9% of the black vote, and Senator John McCain (R-AZ) earned less than 4% when running against Barack Obama.

Trump is also dominating among his Republican opponents with Hispanic voters. The liberal media would have us believe that Hispanics oppose Trump’s anti-amnesty message, but 31% of Hispanic voters support him. This is incredible news!

Donald Trump is baffling the political pundits by taking a bold, conservative message straight to the American people. Trump knows how to communicate in such a powerful way, that the elites can not stop him. That’s why no one expected this incredible polling result, and Donald Trump has a big smile on his face today.

Melanias purse wrote on Sep 17^th, 2016 at 9:01pm:

Curry stained polling papers will be discarded and burnt.

Sprintcyclist wrote on Sep 20^th, 2016 at 12:12pm:


Yeah, like eating crappy fast food.

http://img2.timeinc.net/people/i/2016/news/160801/cinnamon-hitler-0-600.jpg

What a healthy discernment that is. Nice try, Sprint Man.

Donald Trump has effectively erased Hillary Clinton's once commanding national lead and has surged ahead in several key battleground states, including Florida, Ohio, and Iowa, and made significant gains in states Clinton once held comfortably.
Video: Who will Hillary Clinton pick for VP?

After a series of politically devastating weeks, which included her alarming physical collapse on September 11th,

Clinton has seen her national lead of 8 points by average a month ago collapse to a statistically negligible 0.9% advantage

. The LA Times/USC tracking poll shows Trump with a stunning 7-point lead, while the most recent Fox News polls give Trump a 1-point advantage. Several other respected national polls put him well within the margin of error. Trump has also made major gains in two of the three key swing states, now edging Clinton in both Florida and Ohio — moving him within striking distance of the presidency, though he still has work to do in the battleground states.

If the election were held today, Real Clear Politics' average of state polls without any "tossup" states included gives Clinton 200 electoral votes and Trump 164 — an over 70-vote fall for Clinton over the last month, when the polls showed her easily earning the required 270 electoral votes, and a 10-vote improvement for Trump. Below is RCP's electoral college map based on current state poll averages as of Sep. 18:

As of Sep. 17, RCP's general election average shows Clinton barely clinging to a lead over Trump in a head-to-head matchup, 44.9% to 44%, a 0.9-point advantage (down from 8 points in early August). Clinton currently leads in five of RCP's seven featured polls, her largest lead 5 points (Quinnipiac). Trump leads in the Fox News poll by 1 point, while the LA Times/USC tracking poll, which includes a "bloc of disaffected [Trump] voters" pollsters say have been ignored by other surveys, gives him a comfortable 7-point advantage.


In a four-candidate race, when the Libertarian Party's Gary Johnson and the Green Party's Jill Stein are included, RCP's average as of Sep. 14 gives Clinton an even more precarious 0.7-point lead (41% to 40.3%). Four of the seven featured polls show Clinton ahead; her largest lead only 2 points. Trump leads by 2 points in one poll and is tied with Clinton in two others.

Clinton, who once held an 11-point lead by average in late March, saw her advantage evaporate over the next few months. After dramatic movement for Trump in late May, including a brief national lead following the Republican National Convention and the FBI's damaging report on Clinton's private email server, the two candidates were deadlocked at 44.3% on July 29, the day after the Democratic National Convention. Over the next three weeks, however, the polls took a downward turn for the Republican, with Clinton building an 8-point lead nationally. In late August, Clinton's lead began to slip as Trump made a series of smart political moves—including visiting Louisiana in the aftermath of the flooding, meeting with the president of Mexico, and giving a number of strong policy speeches—while Clinton appeared to be bunkering down amid

more bad headlines about the Clinton Foundation, her private email server, and her continued health problems. 

Both candidates have been polling at higher negatives than any previous two presidential frontrunners, which has largely remained consistent even during times when one candidate has experienced positive movement. As of Sep. 18, Clinton's favorability by average is -13 points, while Trump's favorability is about 6 points worse: -18.8 points.  Mirroring other polls, Clinton has been trending downward in recent weeks, while Trump has seen some improvement.

While national polls and favorability ratings are important indicators of the overall popularity of candidates, the state-by-state polls are, of course, what really matters, particularly in the key swing states (Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania) and battleground states, like Iowa, where the presidency will ultimately be decided. Below are the most recent polling numbers for 14 battleground states.

................Without counting battleground states, where Trump or Clinton have less than a 5-point lead, the candidates are tied in the Electoral College at 191. Including Electoral College votes from swing states,

Trump would win the election with 292 electoral college votes to Clinton's 246.

The biggest shifts favoring Republicans this week came in Idaho, where Trump picked up an additional 1.6 percent percent of the vote and Clinton lost 1.1 percent. Trump now leads there by 30.4 percent. In Mississippi, he gained 1.5 percent and Clinton lost 0.9 percent. Trump now leads there by 16.8 percent.

Among swing states, the margin between Trump and Clinton narrowed the most in Colorado, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. Trump now has a 4.5-point lead in North Carolina and a 3.1-point lead in Pennsylvania, while Clinton has a 1.6-point lead in Colorado.

The biggest single shift in the new poll comes in Washington, D.C., where Clinton lost 1.6 points, but still has a significant 64.5-point lead on Trump -- by far the largest margin among individual states. Those Clinton voters appeared to have migrated to the "others" category in the poll, which are voters who declined to pick either Clinton or Trump. "Others" in the district gained 1.5 points.

In the daily nationwide UPI/CVoter tracking poll released Monday, Trump leads Clinton by 2.5 points. The online poll shows Clinton with 46.89 percent, compared with Trump's 49.38 percent.

The state poll was conducted Sept. 19-Oct. 2 among likely voters. The poll is tracking 250 likely voters in each state every week, leading to a state representative sample size of 500 voters. In all, the poll covered about 25,000 samples over two weeks.

Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 percentage points.
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