bogarde73 wrote on Jan 23
rd, 2016 at 1:45pm:
It's a flawed idea and eventually destined to implode.
And yet, all the evidence points in the other direction. Nation states are knocking down trade, finance and even migration barriers quicker than at any other time in human history. This is not only multi-lateral (the EU, NAFTA, ASEAN, etc), but bi-lateral. We share a very loose "border" with New Zealand, and this is occurring between neighbours all over the world. In our region, even Burma is finally opening its borders.
The only idea destined to implode is the re-erection of trade walls and barriers. The Great Depression saw this happen, and it led, inevitably, to WWII. The architecture of the post-war world, the UN, World Bank, IMF, and yes, the European Common Market, was designed to prevent WWIII.
There is no sinister campaign for One World Socialist Government, but a form of global governance will, most likely, be required. The majority of global business today is done by multinationals, those who fly outside the radar of nation states. We are heading towards a global rule of law.
I say most likely because we could go either way. We can close the shop, draw up alliances and mobilize our forces. Or we can keep trade barriers down and search the expanding horizon for more investment opportunities. This is literally the dichotomy we face.
Personally, I can't imagine us taking the former route, but I'm not ruling it out. If we stay on the current trajectory, we will eventually need a global rule of law, in whatever form that takes. The refugee crisis in Europe is a good example of the use of a multinational forum to solve local problems. The EU will be required to manage this problem, given the borders are shared. If the EU had existed in 1939, WWII would never have happened.
Believe it. The fall of the EU, if it ever occurs, will be the opening curtain for WWIII.
You confuse, deliberately I think, trade/finance and demography and cultural character.
The EU will implode becuase of the unacceptable and unnecessary and wholly harmful influx of people from OUTSIDE the EU, and the West generally, INTO the EU and the West.
That is not trade and finance, that is demographic and cultural transformation. No economic or trade block has a mandate for that from its people. A million backward Muslims invading Euroie every year for the next few years will destroy the EU.