Australian Politics Forum - How the world's climate changed last year

Unforgiven Gold Member Offline I have sinned Posts: 8879 Gender:	How the world's climate changed last year Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 6:36pm Read it and weep. http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2015/07/20/3682284/broken-climate-records-2014/
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lee Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 18852 Gender:	Re: How the world's climate changed last year Reply #1 - Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 6:58pm Wow- Cyclone Marie - wind speed 93km/h was Cat 5? One lugger grounded. http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/nt/Marie.shtml
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innocentbystander. Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 4723 Gender:	Re: How the world's climate changed last year Reply #2 - Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 9:38pm Only socialism can save us now
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Swagman Gold Member Offline Beware of cheap imitations...... Posts: 15095 Illawarra NSW Gender:	Re: How the world's climate changed last year Reply #3 - Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 10:13pm Unforgiven wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 6:36pm: How the world's climate changed last year About as many days as you worked............sweet F A
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Unforgiven Gold Member Offline I have sinned Posts: 8879 Gender:	Re: How the world's climate changed last year Reply #4 - Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 10:29pm Swagman wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 10:13pm: Unforgiven wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 6:36pm: How the world's climate changed last year About as many days as you worked............sweet F A No arguments or facts in Swagman's pouch. Just inane rants.
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Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 87675 Always was always will be HOME Gender:	Re: How the world's climate changed last year Reply #5 - Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 10:51pm Far Ken Cold.....
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Bobby. Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 111572 Melbourne Gender:	Re: How the world's climate changed last year Reply #6 - Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 11:03pm forgiven for false information namaste
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Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM

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Re: How the world's climate changed last year
Reply #7 - Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 11:15pm

Well - there is a small tree frog hibernating in the shower - loves the warmth inside and the humidity when the shower is going.

Even the frogs are calling 'Cold' this winter.

On the other hand I saw some magpies doing a mating dance in the air today and some midges in the air.... harbingers of a good Spring. Not to mention the three Black Cockatoes flying West.... harbinger of rain.....

I'll be putting out some early tomatoes and other stuff.... hoping for no late frosts.... and my peas and snow peas are a little slow despite rain.......

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“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.”
― John Adams

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Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM

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Re: How the world's climate changed last year
Reply #8 - Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 11:20pm

innocentbystander. wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 9:38pm:

Only socialism can save us now Cheesy

The only thing that will save us is providing for ourselves as much as possible....... and that might well incorporate community gardens...

Think of it this way - if you have land and can grow stuff that is good and fresh - will that not save you from the vicissitudes of hungry children who grow up to be predators without a cause and without a hope?

Would you not prefer peace and harmony in your locality through sharing of goods and benefits in return for work and input - than the current way we have of dogs eating dogs in the moonlight?

"dogs in the moonlight" - a reference to dogs eating human corpses in African countries..... corpses that lie in the streets...

'keep those mutts away from me'.....

Paul Simon is a very prescient writer of songs....

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“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.”
― John Adams

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Unforgiven

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Re: How the world's climate changed last year
Reply #9 - Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 2:32pm

June was hottest month on record since inception of statistics in 1880.

http://www.ledgergazette.com/june-2015-was-hottest-in-135-years-scientists/13544...

Quote:

The past month was the hottest June on record since statistics started being kept in 1880, and the first six months of 2015 have seen record warmth, reported the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The combined average global temperature for June was 61.5 degrees Fahrenheit, about 1.6 °F above the 20th-century average and 0.22 °F higher than the previous record, set past year, NOAA’s latest calculations show. This keep 2015 easily on pace to be the warmest year on record globally.

The month of June proved to be warm in almost every part of the world with exceptional heat in Spain, parts of Asia, Austria, Australia and South America. The old record was June of 2014, which averaged 0.76 degrees above the average.

The federal agency also last week published its State of the Climate, with more detailed information on everything from sea level rise to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide, which has become a form of climate pollution. NOAA reports that 14 of the 15 warmest years on record have occurred since 2000, with many of them happening during years that were not affected by El Nino.

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“I’ll let you be in my dreams if I can be in yours” Bob Dylan

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lee

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Re: How the world's climate changed last year
Reply #10 - Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 3:27pm

Yes, yes. It has been explained that NOOA now uses ERSST v4, taken from the Karl et al 2015 paper. The paper has a self-admitted statistical significance of 10% and merged noisy ships' data to pristine buoy data. The ships' data has a margin of error of +/-1.7C.

BTW - 10% statistical significance is out in purely bullcrap territory.

'

A small p-value (typically ≤ 0.05) indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis, so you reject the null hypothesis.

A large p-value (> 0.05) indicates weak evidence against the null hypothesis, so you fail to reject the null hypothesis.

p-values very close to the cutoff (0.05) are considered to be marginal (could go either way). Always report the p-value so your readers can draw their own conclusions.'

http://www.dummies.com/how-to/content/what-a-pvalue-tells-you-about-statistical-...

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« Last Edit: Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 4:46pm by lee »

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Swagman

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Re: How the world's climate changed last year
Reply #11 - Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 4:17pm

Unforgiven wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 10:29pm:

Swagman wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 10:13pm:

Unforgiven wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 6:36pm:

How the world's climate changed last year

About as many days as you worked............sweet F A Grin

No arguments or facts in Swagman's pouch. Just inane rants.

Just like the AGWT Cheesy

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BatteriesNotIncluded Gold Member Offline MediocrityNET: because people died for this! Posts: 26966	Re: How the world's climate changed last year Reply #12 - Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 5:10pm innocentbystander. wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 9:38pm: Only socialism can save us now Money is socialism
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BatteriesNotIncluded

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people died for this!

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Re: How the world's climate changed last year
Reply #13 - Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 5:14pm

Swagman wrote on Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 4:17pm:

Unforgiven wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 10:29pm:

Swagman wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 10:13pm:

Unforgiven wrote on Jul 22^nd, 2015 at 6:36pm:

How the world's climate changed last year

About as many days as you worked............sweet F A Grin

No arguments or facts in Swagman's pouch. Just inane rants.

Just like the AGWT Cheesy

Why do Oil wars justify the pursuit of Jevons Paradox ??

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is. It wouldn't be there without the tax payer. Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know.... (swaggy) *

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Unforgiven

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Re: How the world's climate changed last year
Reply #14 - Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 5:23pm

lee wrote on Jul 23^rd, 2015 at 3:27pm:

Yes, yes. It has been explained that NOOA now uses ERSST v4, taken from the Karl et al 2015 paper. The paper has a self-admitted statistical significance of 10% and merged noisy ships' data to pristine buoy data. The ships' data has a margin of error of +/-1.7C.

BTW - 10% statistical significance is out in purely bullcrap territory.

'

A small p-value (typically ≤ 0.05) indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis, so you reject the null hypothesis.

A large p-value (> 0.05) indicates weak evidence against the null hypothesis, so you fail to reject the null hypothesis.

p-values very close to the cutoff (0.05) are considered to be marginal (could go either way). Always report the p-value so your readers can draw their own conclusions.'

http://www.dummies.com/how-to/content/what-a-pvalue-tells-you-about-statistical-...

You have an intellect equal to that of Einstein in his present condition.

Below is an article which disproves your high school maths contentions. The article determines that global warming

https://www.mcgill.ca/channels/news/global-warming-just-giant-natural-fluctuatio...

Quote:

Lovejoy’s study applies statistical methodology to determine the probability that global warming since 1880 is due to natural variability. His conclusion: the natural-warming hypothesis may be ruled out “with confidence levels great than 99%, and most likely greater than 99.9%.”

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“I’ll let you be in my dreams if I can be in yours” Bob Dylan

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