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The Myth of the 97% consensus claim (Read 37393 times)
rabbitoh08
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #15 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 8:15pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:42pm:
rabbitoh08 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:32pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:10pm:
There is no basis for the claim that 97% of scientists believe that man-made climate change is a dangerous problem.

Well - apart from the fact that the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming, and only a fool could not see the negative consequences on human habitation that that may pose.

BTW -  are you able to show us yet where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".

You have been telling that lie (or some variation of it) for quite some time now - but you can never show us the evidence to support it, can you.  Why is that?

Don't you think it is time you just admitted you were telling porkies?

It is clear to all concerned that you are a liar.  Who do you think you are fooling by constantly running away from the accusation?

You told us NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".  Why can't you simply show us evidence of this?  I have searched all of their websites - and they all say that  the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming.



so not able to debunk the ACTUAL OP, you resort to repeating your usual junk. No surprise.

SCHOOLED!

You told us NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".  Why can't you simply show us evidence of this?  I have searched all of their websites - and they all say that  the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming.

Why so shy?

Just show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".

Why is that sooooo difficult for you?

We both know why - don't we LIAR.
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it_is_the_light
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #16 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 8:16pm
 
many blessings

weekender being exposed again

pushing government and corporate agendas

carry on , good show

namaste

- : ) =
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ॐ May Much LOVE and CHRISTS LIGHT be upon and within us all.... namasté ▲ - : )  ╰დ╮ॐ╭დ╯
it_is_the_light it_is_the_light Christ+Light Christ+Light  
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rabbitoh08
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Re: 97% consensus claim
Reply #17 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 8:21pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:41pm:
____ wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:32pm:
12 months old opinion piece, originally from the heartland foundation. Should be in the extremist section.


https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/research-commentary-myth-global-warmi...



how does being a year old change anything since it was produced and published in a peer-reviewed publication?

too much credibility for you to cope with?

Heh!!!  An opinion piece on some nut job denier blog is now a " a peer-reviewed publication"!?!?!?

Liar.

Why can't you show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".?

You keep making this claim.  Where is the evidence?

Let me guess….you are quoting another silly opinion pice you found on another  nut job denier blog, aren't you!!!

Why not just admit it?
Why continue with your pathetic lies?

Just man up.
Don't be such a snivelling little liar.

Show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming"..or admit you are a liar.

You are not fooling anybody
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longweekend58
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #18 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:07pm
 
mothra wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 7:17pm:
Nice work Greens ...  Grin

\
nice work of what? showing how easy it is for retards  to reject data because of who wrote ABOUT it?  the survey isnt done by heartland, that was done by a peer-reviewed publish research team.

I not the absence of any comment on the actual facts, just the usual nonsense about who wrote an article.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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longweekend58
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #19 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:08pm
 
Very_Vinnie wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 7:43pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:09pm:
Last week Secretary of State John Kerry warned graduating students at Boston College of the "crippling consequences" of climate change. "Ninety-seven percent of the world's scientists," he added, "tell us this is urgent."

Where did Mr. Kerry get the 97% figure?




From polling CLIMATE SCIENTISTS - ONLY

Polls conducted in the past - by climate change denial lobbyists -  have famously included pharmacists and veterinarians

(... and probably chiropractors and aroma therapists)








at least TRY to read the article, dope.  this was a peer-reviewed survey done by climate scientists themselves.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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longweekend58
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #20 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:10pm
 
rabbitoh08 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 8:15pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:42pm:
rabbitoh08 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:32pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:10pm:
There is no basis for the claim that 97% of scientists believe that man-made climate change is a dangerous problem.

Well - apart from the fact that the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming, and only a fool could not see the negative consequences on human habitation that that may pose.

BTW -  are you able to show us yet where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".

You have been telling that lie (or some variation of it) for quite some time now - but you can never show us the evidence to support it, can you.  Why is that?

Don't you think it is time you just admitted you were telling porkies?

It is clear to all concerned that you are a liar.  Who do you think you are fooling by constantly running away from the accusation?

You told us NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".  Why can't you simply show us evidence of this?  I have searched all of their websites - and they all say that  the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming.



so not able to debunk the ACTUAL OP, you resort to repeating your usual junk. No surprise.

SCHOOLED!

You told us NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".  Why can't you simply show us evidence of this?  I have searched all of their websites - and they all say that  the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming.

Why so shy?

Just show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".

Why is that sooooo difficult for you?

We both know why - don't we LIAR.



comment on the OP, rabbit-droppings.  stay on topic instead of on ideaology and hysteria
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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longweekend58
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Re: 97% consensus claim
Reply #21 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:12pm
 
rabbitoh08 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 8:21pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:41pm:
____ wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:32pm:
12 months old opinion piece, originally from the heartland foundation. Should be in the extremist section.


https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/research-commentary-myth-global-warmi...



how does being a year old change anything since it was produced and published in a peer-reviewed publication?

too much credibility for you to cope with?

Heh!!!  An opinion piece on some nut job denier blog is now a " a peer-reviewed publication"!?!?!?

Liar.

Why can't you show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".?

You keep making this claim.  Where is the evidence?

Let me guess….you are quoting another silly opinion pice you found on another  nut job denier blog, aren't you!!!

Why not just admit it?
Why continue with your pathetic lies?

Just man up.
Don't be such a snivelling little liar.

Show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming"..or admit you are a liar.

You are not fooling anybody



read the peer-reviewed article fool.

http://www.academia.edu/2365610/The_Bray_and_von_Storch-survey_of_the_perceptions_of_climate_scientists_2008_report_codebook_and_XLS_data
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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Ajax
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #22 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:15pm
 
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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____
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #23 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:15pm
 
Misrepresentation of Bray and von Storch survey

by Dennis Bray
On May 26, the Online version of the Wall Street Journal posted an opinion piece  titled ‘The Myth of the Climate Change '97%' What is the origin of the false belief—constantly repeated—that almost all scientists agree about global warming?’  It was written by Joseph Bast and Roy Spencer. The brief bio informs the reader “Mr. Bast is president of the Heartland Institute. Dr. Spencer is a principal research scientist for the University of Alabama in Huntsville and the U.S. Science Team Leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer on NASA's Aqua satellite.”  The posting contains the statement “Rigorous international surveys conducted by German scientists Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch —most recently published in Environmental Science & Policy in 2010—have found that most climate scientists disagree with the consensus on key issues such as the reliability of climate data and computer models. They do not believe that climate processes such as cloud formation and precipitation are sufficiently understood to predict future climate change.”

Since the time of publication, the opinion piece, or parts thereof, has been widely distributed, more often than not verbatim, in the blogosphere.

We, (Bray and von Storch) the authors of the ‘Rigorous international surveys’, find this disconcerting.  Bast and Spencer make claims about our work, which are inaccurate if not outright false. This is not the first time that statements of us have been misrepresented – the case of Ameling in August 2013 was another blatant one; thus it may make sense opposing publicly such claims.

In the WSJ opinion piece, Best and Spencer inform the readers that based on the results of our survey; there is disagreement ‘with the consensus on key issues such as the reliability of climate data and computer models’. What IS the consensus on the reliability of climate data and computer models?  What are our results compared to so that such a claim can be made?

A second conclusion reached by Blast and Spence reads 'They [climate scientists]  do not believe that climate processes such as cloud formation and precipitation are sufficiently understood to predict future climate change'.  On this account, first, Blast and Spencer do not seem to have taken the time to read our discussion of the use of the term prediction versus the use of the term projection, a paper which itself raised a lot of comments, i.e. prediction and projection, in climate science, are synonymous.

But the point here is the claim of correlation between the understanding of clouds and the ability to assess the future of climate.  What the survey asks is how well the respondent thinks that climate models can deal with clouds.  Admittedly the confidence is fairly low.  However when asked ‘Concerning TEMPERATURE VALUES, how would you rate the ability of GLOBAL models to simulate mean values for the next 10 years’,  (and the next 50 years)’ the response was considerably more positive than that assigned the assessment of clouds. The correlation of the two variables was a minimal .09.

The point being, our results are modified in a way so as to support the opinions of many blog authors, not just Bast and Co. This amounts to manipulations, and to damaging our academic reputation. We, Hans von Storch and myself would like to clarify that, in undertaking the surveys, we attempt to produce results that are as objective as possible.  It is not our intention to provide fodder for this camp or that camp, we are not acting as partisans of any particular persuasion and we do not particularly appreciate being stuck with a label assigned by some third party imagination.


klimazwiebel.blogspot.com.au/2014/06/misrepresentation-of-bray-and-von.html
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #24 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 10:04pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:07pm:
mothra wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 7:17pm:
Nice work Greens ...  Grin

\
nice work of what? showing how easy it is for retards  to reject data because of who wrote ABOUT it?  the survey isnt done by heartland, that was done by a peer-reviewed publish research team.

I not the absence of any comment on the actual facts, just the usual nonsense about who wrote an article.


Have you ever noticed that everything you accuse others of saying you have said yourself ? No ? Most of us have.
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rabbitoh08
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #25 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 10:13pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:10pm:
rabbitoh08 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 8:15pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:42pm:
rabbitoh08 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:32pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:10pm:
There is no basis for the claim that 97% of scientists believe that man-made climate change is a dangerous problem.

Well - apart from the fact that the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming, and only a fool could not see the negative consequences on human habitation that that may pose.

BTW -  are you able to show us yet where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".

You have been telling that lie (or some variation of it) for quite some time now - but you can never show us the evidence to support it, can you.  Why is that?

Don't you think it is time you just admitted you were telling porkies?

It is clear to all concerned that you are a liar.  Who do you think you are fooling by constantly running away from the accusation?

You told us NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".  Why can't you simply show us evidence of this?  I have searched all of their websites - and they all say that  the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming.



so not able to debunk the ACTUAL OP, you resort to repeating your usual junk. No surprise.

SCHOOLED!

You told us NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".  Why can't you simply show us evidence of this?  I have searched all of their websites - and they all say that  the planet is clearly and unambiguously warming.

Why so shy?

Just show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".

Why is that sooooo difficult for you?

We both know why - don't we LIAR.



comment on the OP, rabbit-droppings.  stay on topic instead of on ideaology and hysteria

You told us NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".  Why can't you simply show us evidence of this?

Why all the evasion?

You make a statement - then run away like a little girl when asked to support it.

You told us NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".   this is a remarkable claim.  If true - surely you could just show us evidence, couldn't you?

But no.  You can't

It leads me to believe that you are nothing but a snivelling, lying little creep.

Do you have anything to change this opinion that (and everyone else reading this exchange) has of you?
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rabbitoh08
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Re: 97% consensus claim
Reply #26 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 10:23pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:12pm:
rabbitoh08 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 8:21pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:41pm:
____ wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 6:32pm:
12 months old opinion piece, originally from the heartland foundation. Should be in the extremist section.


https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/research-commentary-myth-global-warmi...



how does being a year old change anything since it was produced and published in a peer-reviewed publication?

too much credibility for you to cope with?

Heh!!!  An opinion piece on some nut job denier blog is now a " a peer-reviewed publication"!?!?!?

Liar.

Why can't you show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".?

You keep making this claim.  Where is the evidence?

Let me guess….you are quoting another silly opinion pice you found on another  nut job denier blog, aren't you!!!

Why not just admit it?
Why continue with your pathetic lies?

Just man up.
Don't be such a snivelling little liar.

Show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming"..or admit you are a liar.

You are not fooling anybody



read the peer-reviewed article fool.

http://www.academia.edu/2365610/The_Bray_and_von_Storch-survey_of_the_perceptions_of_climate_scientists_2008_report_codebook_and_XLS_data

Yes.  I have.  Have you?

Question 20,
"How convinced are you that climate change, whether natural or anthropogenic, is occurring now?"
Answers:
67.1% very much convinced (7),
26.7% to some large extent (5–6),
6.2% said to some small extent (2–4),
none said not at all.

Now - at least you gave a link here.


And funny - not a single scientist in that survey said that they are not convinced that climate change is occurring - yet YOU say that NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".

Where is the link for that? Or are you just a snivelling, pathetic little liar?
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ImSpartacus2
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #27 - Jul 21st, 2015 at 10:25pm
 
Ajax wrote on Jul 21st, 2015 at 9:15pm:
Silly man. You've been duped Ajax. So determined a few years ago to find a conspiracy, you're now so deep into your denialism that even the permanent disappearance of ice on both poles wont be enough to convince you that GW is happening. Come on Ajax, what will it take? I'm betting that you've invested so much pride in your denialism that absolutely nothing could ever convince you to eat humble pie and admit that the vested interest money men have made a complete and utter sucker of you.  But you must try. You're family need you to forget your pride, take stock and review everything you've swallowed from these suspect sites and do what every sensible person does in these situations. Follow the money trail. Who has most to gain by feeding you BS!!!  You need to do it now because with each year hotter then the next and more and more extreme weather events your gullibility will become increasingly obvious to those closest to you depending on you to exercise good judgment. Don't let them down. Rethink this Ajax. Greece is aflame in the worst fires they have seen for how long? And this is happening repeatedly in every country every summer its worse. Don't be stubborn, there's too much at stake.      
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Radical
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #28 - Jul 22nd, 2015 at 12:13am
 
Seriously! Why waste time and energy on deniers? Even the organ grinders have left them behibd.

Tillerson moved on years ago and accepted the reality of climate change. The really, really scary bit is that the organ grinders are now talking mitigation through geoengineering.
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Now playing "Retard Australia Fair" by the Fiscal Fascists and the Blueshirts
 
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rabbitoh08
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #29 - Jul 22nd, 2015 at 12:53am
 
Radical wrote on Jul 22nd, 2015 at 12:13am:
Seriously! Why waste time and energy on deniers? Even the organ grinders have left them behibd.

True.

But Longweekend is such a complete lying twat - it amuses me to see the lengths he goes to squirm away from the crap he posts.

Isn't that right Longy - you pathetic, dishonest little man.  Still waiting for you to who us where show us where NOAA, NASA, MET and BOM all agree that there has been a "pause in global warming".?


Will you ever own up to being a snivelling little liar?

Or will you just start a new thread and post the same crap again?
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