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rabbitoh08
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progressiveslol wrote on May 2 nd, 2015 at 7:11pm: rabbitoh08 wrote on May 1 st, 2015 at 11:38pm: progressiveslol wrote on May 1 st, 2015 at 9:44pm: rabbitoh08 wrote on Apr 30 th, 2015 at 1:23pm: damien wrote on Apr 29 th, 2015 at 9:14am: Does anyone remember the predictions from the "expert" Tim Flannery? "Dams will not fill", "there will be no rains", etc. And some believed it!! No. i don't recall these predictions that "Dams will not fill" and "there will be no rains", etc. Perhaps you could reproduce them for us here - in there full context so we can see what Dr Flannery ACTUALLY said. Could you do that please? Yes we have done that one before and in context and you still come on here like you have no clue. Perhaps you could reproduce them for us here - in their full context so we can see what Dr Flannery ACTUALLY said. Why won't you do that? Shall I help you? This is what Prof Flannery said in 2007, during the last major El Nino influenced drought in eastern Australia: PROFESSOR TIM FLANNERY: We're already seeing the initial impacts and they include a decline in the winter rainfall zone across southern Australia, which is clearly an impact of climate change, but also a decrease in run-off. Although we're getting say a 20 per cent decrease in rainfall in some areas of Australia, that's translating to a 60 per cent decrease in the run-off into the dams and rivers. That's because the soil is warmer because of global warming and the plants are under more stress and therefore using more moisture. So even the rain that falls isn't actually going to fill our dams and our river systems, and that's a real worry for the people in the bush.http://www.abc.net.au/landline/content/2006/s1844398.htmHe didn't say "dams will be empty in 2015" or anything like that - did he. He didn't say we would never have another La Nina event or anything like that - did he. He made the simple, and uncontroversial observation - that winter rainfall is decreasing, and also that warming will reduce runoff. We are observing that the earth is clearly and unambiguously warming, hence it is obvious that we will see a reduction in runoff. And he said there has been a decline in winter rainfall in Australia, and this is exactly what is being observed: Since 1970 there has been a 17 per cent decline in average winter rainfall in the southwest of Australia. The southeast has experienced a 15 per cent decline in late autumn and early winter rainfall since the mid-1990s, with a 25 per cent reduction in average rainfall across April and May. Declining rainfall in the southwest has been statistically significant over the recent period, and has occurred as a series of step changes. The decline in this region has also been characterised by a lack of very wet winters.http://www.bom.gov.au/state-of-the-climate/images/fig6.pnghttp://www.bom.gov.au/state-of-the-climate/Are you saying that the observation made by Prof Flannery is incorrect? Why? Please explain. That's what you get from a hob knob academic, better than though environmental activist. Unqualified and unquantified statements, in context mind you, that makes the speaker of such hog wash sound like an absolute fool. Mind you he has a fervent following  Thanks for the context rabbit. It helps with the original statements that he was not taken out of context. We are observing that the earth is clearly and unambiguously warming, hence it is obvious that we will see a reduction in runoff. And he said there has been a decline in winter rainfall in Australia, and this is exactly what is being observed. Could you explain to us what you think is incorrect about this?
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