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South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered (Read 36098 times)
longweekend58
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #180 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 4:07pm
 
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 3:51pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 1:15pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:13pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:59am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:33am:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:17am:
Actually, it IS, much closer to $1 Trillion, Longy Dopey!

According to the following article, from a few weeks ago, it was over $930 Billion.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-09/all-norwegians-become-millionaire-sharehol...

AND then, as usual, you have not addressed the question, "how did Norway get their $930-$1,000 Billion and they only had Oil to sell?

AND, how much could/should Australia have accrued, rather than the relatively small $100 Billion or so, particularly given we have/had a lot more Natural Resources???


Are you suggesting that the Norwegian wealth fund is something really good ?


It will certainly give the Norwegians a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!


Don't think so. Norway's private sector debt is disgusting ( around 170% of GDP ). Tax is still high at ~50% of GDP. Incomes are high but so are costs. In a land that sells cucumbers by the slice there are no bargains and a highly indebted populace. Stripping nearly a trillion out of the private sector to plonk in a wealth fund is not a lot of help.


Really? And, how about the rest of Europe, the UK, the USA etc.etc.


As I said, "it will certainly give them (the Norwegians) a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!

I think you will find the Norwegian Private sector are not alone with their 170% Debt (as you put it), But they do at least have some 200% of GDP in a Sovereign Fund, so they are clearly alone at the top of that issue, which will definitely assist in their fight against the Baby Boomer Bust & other issues!


There would not be such a private debt problem in the first place had about a trillion folding green ones not been pinched and stuffed in a wealth fund.


we've had this conversation before.  I think you are being quite simplistic in imagining that public/private debt are somehow interchangeable and that the total debt remains the same no matter how you split it.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #181 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 4:49pm
 
And if you sell assets to pay debt you are no better off after it:

$A - $A = $0
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crocodile
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #182 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 5:00pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 4:07pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 3:51pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 1:15pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:13pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:59am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:33am:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:17am:
Actually, it IS, much closer to $1 Trillion, Longy Dopey!

According to the following article, from a few weeks ago, it was over $930 Billion.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-09/all-norwegians-become-millionaire-sharehol...

AND then, as usual, you have not addressed the question, "how did Norway get their $930-$1,000 Billion and they only had Oil to sell?

AND, how much could/should Australia have accrued, rather than the relatively small $100 Billion or so, particularly given we have/had a lot more Natural Resources???


Are you suggesting that the Norwegian wealth fund is something really good ?


It will certainly give the Norwegians a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!


Don't think so. Norway's private sector debt is disgusting ( around 170% of GDP ). Tax is still high at ~50% of GDP. Incomes are high but so are costs. In a land that sells cucumbers by the slice there are no bargains and a highly indebted populace. Stripping nearly a trillion out of the private sector to plonk in a wealth fund is not a lot of help.


Really? And, how about the rest of Europe, the UK, the USA etc.etc.


As I said, "it will certainly give them (the Norwegians) a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!

I think you will find the Norwegian Private sector are not alone with their 170% Debt (as you put it), But they do at least have some 200% of GDP in a Sovereign Fund, so they are clearly alone at the top of that issue, which will definitely assist in their fight against the Baby Boomer Bust & other issues!


There would not be such a private debt problem in the first place had about a trillion folding green ones not been pinched and stuffed in a wealth fund.


we've had this conversation before. 
I think you are being quite simplistic in imagining that public/private debt are somehow interchangeable and that the total debt remains the same no matter how you split it
.


Not at all Longy. They are two distinctly different beasts with different outcomes.

Public debt is funded by the private sector via bond issues. They don't affect private savings as they are a fungible asset with high liquidity.

Private debt is however funded by savings. The continuous diminution of private savings via taxation above spending requirements and the non return of positive trade balances simply forces the private individual into greater debt in order to maintain lifestyle choices.

Wealth is created by the private sector, not the government.
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Very funny Scotty, now beam down my clothes.
 
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longweekend58
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #183 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 6:17pm
 
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 5:00pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 4:07pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 3:51pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 1:15pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:13pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:59am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:33am:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:17am:
Actually, it IS, much closer to $1 Trillion, Longy Dopey!

According to the following article, from a few weeks ago, it was over $930 Billion.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-09/all-norwegians-become-millionaire-sharehol...

AND then, as usual, you have not addressed the question, "how did Norway get their $930-$1,000 Billion and they only had Oil to sell?

AND, how much could/should Australia have accrued, rather than the relatively small $100 Billion or so, particularly given we have/had a lot more Natural Resources???


Are you suggesting that the Norwegian wealth fund is something really good ?


It will certainly give the Norwegians a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!


Don't think so. Norway's private sector debt is disgusting ( around 170% of GDP ). Tax is still high at ~50% of GDP. Incomes are high but so are costs. In a land that sells cucumbers by the slice there are no bargains and a highly indebted populace. Stripping nearly a trillion out of the private sector to plonk in a wealth fund is not a lot of help.


Really? And, how about the rest of Europe, the UK, the USA etc.etc.


As I said, "it will certainly give them (the Norwegians) a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!

I think you will find the Norwegian Private sector are not alone with their 170% Debt (as you put it), But they do at least have some 200% of GDP in a Sovereign Fund, so they are clearly alone at the top of that issue, which will definitely assist in their fight against the Baby Boomer Bust & other issues!


There would not be such a private debt problem in the first place had about a trillion folding green ones not been pinched and stuffed in a wealth fund.


we've had this conversation before. 
I think you are being quite simplistic in imagining that public/private debt are somehow interchangeable and that the total debt remains the same no matter how you split it
.


Not at all Longy. They are two distinctly different beasts with different outcomes.

Public debt is funded by the private sector via bond issues. They don't affect private savings as they are a fungible asset with high liquidity.

Private debt is however funded by savings. The continuous diminution of private savings via taxation above spending requirements and the non return of positive trade balances simply forces the private individual into greater debt in order to maintain lifestyle choices.

Wealth is created by the private sector, not the government.


you are still making the simplistic argument about Norway that their wealth fund is directly the result of private debt.  that is rubbish.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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crocodile
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #184 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 7:24pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 6:17pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 5:00pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 4:07pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 3:51pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 1:15pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:13pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:59am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:33am:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:17am:
Actually, it IS, much closer to $1 Trillion, Longy Dopey!

According to the following article, from a few weeks ago, it was over $930 Billion.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-09/all-norwegians-become-millionaire-sharehol...

AND then, as usual, you have not addressed the question, "how did Norway get their $930-$1,000 Billion and they only had Oil to sell?

AND, how much could/should Australia have accrued, rather than the relatively small $100 Billion or so, particularly given we have/had a lot more Natural Resources???


Are you suggesting that the Norwegian wealth fund is something really good ?


It will certainly give the Norwegians a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!


Don't think so. Norway's private sector debt is disgusting ( around 170% of GDP ). Tax is still high at ~50% of GDP. Incomes are high but so are costs. In a land that sells cucumbers by the slice there are no bargains and a highly indebted populace. Stripping nearly a trillion out of the private sector to plonk in a wealth fund is not a lot of help.


Really? And, how about the rest of Europe, the UK, the USA etc.etc.


As I said, "it will certainly give them (the Norwegians) a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!

I think you will find the Norwegian Private sector are not alone with their 170% Debt (as you put it), But they do at least have some 200% of GDP in a Sovereign Fund, so they are clearly alone at the top of that issue, which will definitely assist in their fight against the Baby Boomer Bust & other issues!


There would not be such a private debt problem in the first place had about a trillion folding green ones not been pinched and stuffed in a wealth fund.


we've had this conversation before. 
I think you are being quite simplistic in imagining that public/private debt are somehow interchangeable and that the total debt remains the same no matter how you split it
.


Not at all Longy. They are two distinctly different beasts with different outcomes.

Public debt is funded by the private sector via bond issues. They don't affect private savings as they are a fungible asset with high liquidity.

Private debt is however funded by savings. The continuous diminution of private savings via taxation above spending requirements and the non return of positive trade balances simply forces the private individual into greater debt in order to maintain lifestyle choices.

Wealth is created by the private sector, not the government.


you are still making the simplistic argument about Norway that their wealth fund is directly the result of private debt.  that is rubbish.


No, the other way around. Private debt is a symptom of capital accumulation by the government sector.
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Very funny Scotty, now beam down my clothes.
 
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John Smith
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #185 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 7:57pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 3:17pm:
John Smith wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:35pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:16pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:13pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:59am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:33am:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:17am:
Actually, it IS, much closer to $1 Trillion, Longy Dopey!

According to the following article, from a few weeks ago, it was over $930 Billion.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-09/all-norwegians-become-millionaire-sharehol...

AND then, as usual, you have not addressed the question, "how did Norway get their $930-$1,000 Billion and they only had Oil to sell?

AND, how much could/should Australia have accrued, rather than the relatively small $100 Billion or so, particularly given we have/had a lot more Natural Resources???


Are you suggesting that the Norwegian wealth fund is something really good ?


It will certainly give the Norwegians a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!


Don't think so. Norway's private sector debt is disgusting ( around 170% of GDP ). Tax is still high at ~50% of GDP. Incomes are high but so are costs. In a land that sells cucumbers by the slice there are no bargains and a highly indebted populace. Stripping nearly a trillion out of the private sector to plonk in a wealth fund is not a lot of help.


how dare you criticise Norway!!  isn't the fact of their wealth fund an excuse to ignore all other issues?


in fact it's you wrongie, who keeps bringing up Howards wealth fund .... Is that why you do it? to ignore the other issues?  Grin Grin Grin Grin



because you boofheads don't even believe it exists.  you are THAT stupid.


wow, you don't know what position to take do you?  Grin Grin Grin Grin I said you keep bringing it up ... i didn't agree with you on it. As it stands today, it's just a superannuation fund.
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Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #186 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 8:15pm
 
To get back to the issue -

THERE HAVE BEEN NO OIL RESERVES DISCOVERED



There is prospecting for the possibility...
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“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.”
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longweekend58
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #187 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 8:28pm
 
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 7:24pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 6:17pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 5:00pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 4:07pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 3:51pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 1:15pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:13pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:59am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:33am:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:17am:
Actually, it IS, much closer to $1 Trillion, Longy Dopey!

According to the following article, from a few weeks ago, it was over $930 Billion.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-09/all-norwegians-become-millionaire-sharehol...

AND then, as usual, you have not addressed the question, "how did Norway get their $930-$1,000 Billion and they only had Oil to sell?

AND, how much could/should Australia have accrued, rather than the relatively small $100 Billion or so, particularly given we have/had a lot more Natural Resources???


Are you suggesting that the Norwegian wealth fund is something really good ?


It will certainly give the Norwegians a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!


Don't think so. Norway's private sector debt is disgusting ( around 170% of GDP ). Tax is still high at ~50% of GDP. Incomes are high but so are costs. In a land that sells cucumbers by the slice there are no bargains and a highly indebted populace. Stripping nearly a trillion out of the private sector to plonk in a wealth fund is not a lot of help.


Really? And, how about the rest of Europe, the UK, the USA etc.etc.


As I said, "it will certainly give them (the Norwegians) a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!

I think you will find the Norwegian Private sector are not alone with their 170% Debt (as you put it), But they do at least have some 200% of GDP in a Sovereign Fund, so they are clearly alone at the top of that issue, which will definitely assist in their fight against the Baby Boomer Bust & other issues!


There would not be such a private debt problem in the first place had about a trillion folding green ones not been pinched and stuffed in a wealth fund.


we've had this conversation before. 
I think you are being quite simplistic in imagining that public/private debt are somehow interchangeable and that the total debt remains the same no matter how you split it
.


Not at all Longy. They are two distinctly different beasts with different outcomes.

Public debt is funded by the private sector via bond issues. They don't affect private savings as they are a fungible asset with high liquidity.

Private debt is however funded by savings. The continuous diminution of private savings via taxation above spending requirements and the non return of positive trade balances simply forces the private individual into greater debt in order to maintain lifestyle choices.

Wealth is created by the private sector, not the government.


you are still making the simplistic argument about Norway that their wealth fund is directly the result of private debt.  that is rubbish.


No, the other way around. Private debt is a symptom of capital accumulation by the government sector.


My debt is in no way related to govt spending. and even if there were a relationship it is certainly not 1:1 as you are suggesting.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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crocodile
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #188 - Jan 21st, 2015 at 10:05pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 8:28pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 7:24pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 6:17pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 5:00pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 4:07pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 3:51pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 1:15pm:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 12:13pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:59am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:33am:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2015 at 11:17am:
Actually, it IS, much closer to $1 Trillion, Longy Dopey!

According to the following article, from a few weeks ago, it was over $930 Billion.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-09/all-norwegians-become-millionaire-sharehol...

AND then, as usual, you have not addressed the question, "how did Norway get their $930-$1,000 Billion and they only had Oil to sell?

AND, how much could/should Australia have accrued, rather than the relatively small $100 Billion or so, particularly given we have/had a lot more Natural Resources???


Are you suggesting that the Norwegian wealth fund is something really good ?


It will certainly give the Norwegians a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!


Don't think so. Norway's private sector debt is disgusting ( around 170% of GDP ). Tax is still high at ~50% of GDP. Incomes are high but so are costs. In a land that sells cucumbers by the slice there are no bargains and a highly indebted populace. Stripping nearly a trillion out of the private sector to plonk in a wealth fund is not a lot of help.


Really? And, how about the rest of Europe, the UK, the USA etc.etc.


As I said, "it will certainly give them (the Norwegians) a much better chance, at offsetting the problems relating to the Baby Boomer Bust & a few other issues!

I think you will find the Norwegian Private sector are not alone with their 170% Debt (as you put it), But they do at least have some 200% of GDP in a Sovereign Fund, so they are clearly alone at the top of that issue, which will definitely assist in their fight against the Baby Boomer Bust & other issues!


There would not be such a private debt problem in the first place had about a trillion folding green ones not been pinched and stuffed in a wealth fund.


we've had this conversation before. 
I think you are being quite simplistic in imagining that public/private debt are somehow interchangeable and that the total debt remains the same no matter how you split it
.


Not at all Longy. They are two distinctly different beasts with different outcomes.

Public debt is funded by the private sector via bond issues. They don't affect private savings as they are a fungible asset with high liquidity.

Private debt is however funded by savings. The continuous diminution of private savings via taxation above spending requirements and the non return of positive trade balances simply forces the private individual into greater debt in order to maintain lifestyle choices.

Wealth is created by the private sector, not the government.


you are still making the simplistic argument about Norway that their wealth fund is directly the result of private debt.  that is rubbish.


No, the other way around. Private debt is a symptom of capital accumulation by the government sector.


My debt is in no way related to govt spending. and even if there were a relationship it is certainly not 1:1 as you are suggesting.


In isolation your personal debt is unrelated. However, the sum total of all private savings and investments is directly related dollar for dollar. It is easier to see if the sectoral balances are examined. Falls in private savings must be matched by borrowings in order to maintain equivalent lifestyle choices. By the way, I never intimated that debt is matched 1:1 but rather savings is matched 1:1. Private debt is the manifestation of decreased private savings.

...

You will find that the private sector balance is precisely equal to the public sector balance plus the current account deficit ( or minus current account if in surplus ). It will always hold true as economies consist of a public sector, a private sector and a foreign sector ( imports and exports ). As shown in the Australian example above that since we consistently run a trade deficit then all public capital accumulation can only come from the private sector. The same is true for the Norwegians as the trade surplus is accumulated in the wealth fund. Therefore, the only possible source of excess capital for the government sector must be from the private sector ( as long as the budget is in surplus ).

You can pick the same information for any world economy and you will find the same result. That is the private sectoral balance, foreign trade balance and public sectoral balance always sums to zero.
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« Last Edit: Jan 22nd, 2015 at 6:52am by crocodile »  

Very funny Scotty, now beam down my clothes.
 
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longweekend58
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #189 - Jan 22nd, 2015 at 7:39am
 
It is your interpretation of this that sucks.  Just like you were blaming Norways personal debt on the Sovereign wealth fund and forgetting that it all came from overseas.  The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #190 - Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:16am
 
Oi Any oil yet?

Nope!

OK!
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BAN ALL THESE ABO SITES RECOGNITIONS.

ALL AUSTRALIA IS FOR ALL AUSTRALIANS!
 
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #191 - Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:28am
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 7:39am:
It is your interpretation of this that sucks.  Just like you were blaming Norways personal debt on the Sovereign wealth fund and forgetting that it all came from overseas.  The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports.


My interpretation is well in line with any published dissertation on macroeconomics. The fact that the Norwegian SWF is created from international funds is of no consequence as none of it finds it way into either the public or private sector balance sheets. The Norwegian budget surpluses are therefore funded entirely by the private sector.

Quote:
The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports


You've misinterpreted things a bit Longy. Nobody forgot about the external trade balance. In the Norwegian case, the trade balance is largely off the table as it is entirely seconded by the wealth fund as far as oil revenues go. In the local case it doesn't matter as we almost always run a negative current account. I'll look when I get a bit of spare time but I suspect that the Norwegian trade balance would be negative as well with oil removed from the figures.

If the private sector has to fund both a trade deficit and a budget surplus then logically, private savings must decrease.

Local GDP expands by about 5% pa in nominal terms. Naturally, so too does the base money supply. As pointed out before, as long as the budget deficit is smaller than the money supply growth it is not going to add to net public debt in any way. The deficit is always funded by bond issues that are taken up by the private sector. The RBA simply repurchases them when they expand the money supply. Any difference between the base money supply growth and the public deficit can be used to manage the government debt position.

If you really are interested in how the RBA manages the money supply I suggest you google "open market operations" for a description.
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Very funny Scotty, now beam down my clothes.
 
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longweekend58
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #192 - Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:40am
 
crocodile wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:28am:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 7:39am:
It is your interpretation of this that sucks.  Just like you were blaming Norways personal debt on the Sovereign wealth fund and forgetting that it all came from overseas.  The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports.


My interpretation is well in line with any published dissertation on macroeconomics. The fact that the Norwegian SWF is created from international funds is of no consequence as none of it finds it way into either the public or private sector balance sheets. The Norwegian budget surpluses are therefore funded entirely by the private sector.

Quote:
The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports


You've misinterpreted things a bit Longy. Nobody forgot about the external trade balance. In the Norwegian case, the trade balance is largely off the table as it is entirely seconded by the wealth fund as far as oil revenues go. In the local case it doesn't matter as we almost always run a negative current account. I'll look when I get a bit of spare time but I suspect that the Norwegian trade balance would be negative as well with oil removed from the figures.

If the private sector has to fund both a trade deficit and a budget surplus then logically, private savings must decrease.

Local GDP expands by about 5% pa in nominal terms. Naturally, so too does the base money supply. As pointed out before, as long as the budget deficit is smaller than the money supply growth it is not going to add to net public debt in any way. The deficit is always funded by bond issues that are taken up by the private sector. The RBA simply repurchases them when they expand the money supply. Any difference between the base money supply growth and the public deficit can be used to manage the government debt position.

If you really are interested in how the RBA manages the money supply I suggest you google "open market operations" for a description.


The point is that you were directly 'blaming' the wealth fund as having come from private citizens when it clearly did not.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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crocodile
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #193 - Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:48am
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:40am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:28am:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 7:39am:
It is your interpretation of this that sucks.  Just like you were blaming Norways personal debt on the Sovereign wealth fund and forgetting that it all came from overseas.  The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports.


My interpretation is well in line with any published dissertation on macroeconomics. The fact that the Norwegian SWF is created from international funds is of no consequence as none of it finds it way into either the public or private sector balance sheets. The Norwegian budget surpluses are therefore funded entirely by the private sector.

Quote:
The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports


You've misinterpreted things a bit Longy. Nobody forgot about the external trade balance. In the Norwegian case, the trade balance is largely off the table as it is entirely seconded by the wealth fund as far as oil revenues go. In the local case it doesn't matter as we almost always run a negative current account. I'll look when I get a bit of spare time but I suspect that the Norwegian trade balance would be negative as well with oil removed from the figures.

If the private sector has to fund both a trade deficit and a budget surplus then logically, private savings must decrease.

Local GDP expands by about 5% pa in nominal terms. Naturally, so too does the base money supply. As pointed out before, as long as the budget deficit is smaller than the money supply growth it is not going to add to net public debt in any way. The deficit is always funded by bond issues that are taken up by the private sector. The RBA simply repurchases them when they expand the money supply. Any difference between the base money supply growth and the public deficit can be used to manage the government debt position.

If you really are interested in how the RBA manages the money supply I suggest you google "open market operations" for a description.


The point is that you were directly 'blaming' the wealth fund as having come from private citizens when it clearly did not.


Not directly but indirectly. If the revenues of the SWF were disbursed to the citizenry or even used to fund the public budget there would be less need to cover the shortfall in savings.

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Very funny Scotty, now beam down my clothes.
 
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longweekend58
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Re: South Australia: massive oil reserves discovered
Reply #194 - Jan 22nd, 2015 at 9:14am
 
crocodile wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:48am:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:40am:
crocodile wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 8:28am:
longweekend58 wrote on Jan 22nd, 2015 at 7:39am:
It is your interpretation of this that sucks.  Just like you were blaming Norways personal debt on the Sovereign wealth fund and forgetting that it all came from overseas.  The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports.


My interpretation is well in line with any published dissertation on macroeconomics. The fact that the Norwegian SWF is created from international funds is of no consequence as none of it finds it way into either the public or private sector balance sheets. The Norwegian budget surpluses are therefore funded entirely by the private sector.

Quote:
The same way you think deficits are a great way of reducing personal debt while forgetting imports/exports


You've misinterpreted things a bit Longy. Nobody forgot about the external trade balance. In the Norwegian case, the trade balance is largely off the table as it is entirely seconded by the wealth fund as far as oil revenues go. In the local case it doesn't matter as we almost always run a negative current account. I'll look when I get a bit of spare time but I suspect that the Norwegian trade balance would be negative as well with oil removed from the figures.

If the private sector has to fund both a trade deficit and a budget surplus then logically, private savings must decrease.

Local GDP expands by about 5% pa in nominal terms. Naturally, so too does the base money supply. As pointed out before, as long as the budget deficit is smaller than the money supply growth it is not going to add to net public debt in any way. The deficit is always funded by bond issues that are taken up by the private sector. The RBA simply repurchases them when they expand the money supply. Any difference between the base money supply growth and the public deficit can be used to manage the government debt position.

If you really are interested in how the RBA manages the money supply I suggest you google "open market operations" for a description.


The point is that you were directly 'blaming' the wealth fund as having come from private citizens when it clearly did not.


Not directly but indirectly. If the revenues of the SWF were disbursed to the citizenry or even used to fund the public budget there would be less need to cover the shortfall in savings.



hmm...  so tell me what you think a Sovereign Wealth Fund is supposed to be???  I can certainly see you studied economics.  The mere concept of 'saving' seems to elude you.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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