Australian Politics Forum - Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.

labor are corrupt Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 1501	Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria. Jul 24^th, 2014 at 8:09pm And no wonder with the little union Muppet trying to run the show.
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labor are corrupt Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 1501	Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria. Reply #1 - Jul 24^th, 2014 at 10:09pm Dennis is doing a fine job in Victoria of fixing a labor mess.
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Abbott Lies

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #2 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:53am

Labor only leads 54-46 in Victoria.

It is normal for polls to tighten as elections draw nearer.

But Labor are still cruising toward victory.

Quote:

four months from the November election, the Coalition continues to languish in a losing position, with the latest Age/Nielsen poll, to be published later tonight, showing the Napthine Government remains in danger of becoming the first single-term government in Victoria since 1955

http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/napthine-in-danger-of-singleterm-government-poll-20140723-zw5td.html

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labor are corrupt

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #3 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 9:07am

Abbott Lies wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:53am:

Labor only leads 54-46 in Victoria.

It is normal for polls to tighten as elections draw nearer.

But Labor are still cruising toward victory.

Quote:

four months from the November election, the Coalition continues to languish in a losing position, with the latest Age/Nielsen poll, to be published later tonight, showing the Napthine Government remains in danger of becoming the first single-term government in Victoria since 1955

http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/napthine-in-danger-of-singleterm-government-poll-20140723-zw5td.html

LOL not in yesterdays poll

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Kytro

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #4 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 9:11am

labor are corrupt wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 9:07am:

Abbott Lies wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:53am:

Labor only leads 54-46 in Victoria.

It is normal for polls to tighten as elections draw nearer.

But Labor are still cruising toward victory.

Quote:

four months from the November election, the Coalition continues to languish in a losing position, with the latest Age/Nielsen poll, to be published later tonight, showing the Napthine Government remains in danger of becoming the first single-term government in Victoria since 1955

http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/napthine-in-danger-of-singleterm-government-poll-20140723-zw5td.html

LOL not in yesterdays poll

So losing by less means winning now?

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labor are corrupt

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #5 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 9:17am

Kytro wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 9:11am:

labor are corrupt wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 9:07am:

Abbott Lies wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:53am:

Labor only leads 54-46 in Victoria.

It is normal for polls to tighten as elections draw nearer.

But Labor are still cruising toward victory.

Quote:

four months from the November election, the Coalition continues to languish in a losing position, with the latest Age/Nielsen poll, to be published later tonight, showing the Napthine Government remains in danger of becoming the first single-term government in Victoria since 1955

http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/napthine-in-danger-of-singleterm-government-poll-20140723-zw5td.html

LOL not in yesterdays poll

So losing by less means winning now?

Who mentioned winning?
Cheesy

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Abbott Lies

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #6 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 9:58am

labor are corrupt wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 9:07am:

Abbott Lies wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:53am:

Labor only leads 54-46 in Victoria.

It is normal for polls to tighten as elections draw nearer.

But Labor are still cruising toward victory.

Quote:

four months from the November election, the Coalition continues to languish in a losing position, with the latest Age/Nielsen poll, to be published later tonight, showing the Napthine Government remains in danger of becoming the first single-term government in Victoria since 1955

http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/napthine-in-danger-of-singleterm-government-poll-20140723-zw5td.html

LOL not in yesterdays poll

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bogarde73

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #7 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:22pm

If Labor wins in Victoria, what difference does it make?
It's traditionally a Labor-voting state, though this can be expected to change over time as manufacturing increasingly disappears.
All it will mean is that some union officials will be able to get their hands on jobs that have been very scarce for them recently. That will be nice won't it.

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adelcrow Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 20133 everywhere Gender:	Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria. Reply #8 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 1:18pm Yep ..now that the Federal and Victorian Libs have destroyed manufacturing Labor wont have much to do after they win the election
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Bam Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 21905 Gender:	Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria. Reply #9 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 1:31pm bogarde73 wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:22pm: If Labor wins in Victoria, what difference does it make? Labor won't sign contracts to bulldoze 150-year-old public parks to build $18,000,000,000 toll roads without a mandate or business case.
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Abbott Lies

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #10 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 4:08pm

Bam wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 1:31pm:

bogarde73 wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:22pm:

If Labor wins in Victoria, what difference does it make?

Labor won't sign contracts to bulldoze 150-year-old public parks to build $18,000,000,000 toll roads without a mandate or business case. Roll Eyes

The road is actually a good idea. The problem is that governments have been cowed by activists into building too much of it underground. This makes the whole thing uneconomical.

Jeff Kennett tried to build a sensible rod there but his attempt was blocked by the 'save Fitzroy pool' mob.

Better a Labor Government block the whole thing than to waste so much money on tunnels.

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longweekend58

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #11 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 6:21pm

That is a very substantial and unexpected poll shift which aligns to expectations of Libs improving due to the MH17 incident.

The next federal opinion polls may show the same kind of movement and given Abbott back the lead.

It will be interesting to see how obstructionist labor and PUP will be when a DD is back on the agenda because Abbott would clearly win!

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labor are corrupt

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #12 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 7:32pm

bogarde73 wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 12:22pm:

If Labor wins in Victoria, what difference does it make?
It's traditionally a Labor-voting state, though this can be expected to change over time as manufacturing increasingly disappears.
All it will mean is that some union officials will be able to get their hands on jobs that have been very scarce for them recently. That will be nice won't it.

Detroit.

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labor are corrupt Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 1501	Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria. Reply #13 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 7:54pm Seems Daniel Andrews dropped his balls today. I think water costs more than fuel for Victorians thanks to labor. Happy to be corrected.
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Bam

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Re: Big poll slump for Labor in Victoria.
Reply #14 - Jul 25^th, 2014 at 8:55pm

longweekend58 wrote on Jul 25^th, 2014 at 6:21pm:

That is a very substantial and unexpected poll shift which aligns to expectations of Libs improving due to the MH17 incident.

The next federal opinion polls may show the same kind of movement and given Abbott back the lead.

It will be interesting to see how obstructionist labor and PUP will be when a DD is back on the agenda because Abbott would clearly win!

Your understanding of opinion polls is zero. Your post confirms it. You seem to inhabit a world where the margin of error does not exist.

The "substantial" poll shift was coming off a high base because the last poll was somewhat skewed towards Labor. In a poll climate where the typical Victorian poll is 54-46, the 59-41 result of the previous Nielsen poll is clearly an outlier. Comparisons with outliers are largely meaningless.

Also, as a further demonstration of your total lack of ability to grasp the facts, you're making up rubbish about this poll being able to be extrapolated to Federal voting intention for the country as a whole. Really? The sample size for the rest of the country in this poll is zero and the poll respondents were NOT asked questions on Federal voting intention, therefore your extrapolation is of absolutely no value.

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