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Abbott's AGW Drought Package (Read 6371 times)
gizmo_2655
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #45 - Feb 28th, 2014 at 8:18am
 
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 27th, 2014 at 5:23pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 27th, 2014 at 12:03pm:
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 7:54pm:
I thought it was all about keeping CO2 to 400ppm? We are trying to apply the brakes not worry about any optimum.


Since we evolved in tropical temperatures, and still need them to live comfortable, 2 or 3 degrees C warmer is what we need rather than 'applying the brakes'.

You obviously don’t read what others post—with the methane clathrates melting and releasing holding concentrations at about 400ppm is going to take heroic measures.

I don’t want it any hotter, thanks. Days of over 45°C is more than warm enough. Want to live in the tropics move to Qld. Very glib to say need 2°C warmer, reality is that would mean days and days of over 48°C in Adelaide & Melbourne.


And? The Indigenous Australians have survived temperatures higher than that with no artificial cooling for thousands of years, as have people in areas like the Sahara, Africa and Asia.

The issue is not really the temperature, it's that our life-style, clothing, building designs etc, are based on condition in Europe, not conditions here.
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St George of the Garden
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #46 - Feb 28th, 2014 at 8:25am
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 28th, 2014 at 8:18am:
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 27th, 2014 at 5:23pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 27th, 2014 at 12:03pm:
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 7:54pm:
I thought it was all about keeping CO2 to 400ppm? We are trying to apply the brakes not worry about any optimum.


Since we evolved in tropical temperatures, and still need them to live comfortable, 2 or 3 degrees C warmer is what we need rather than 'applying the brakes'.

You obviously don’t read what others post—with the methane clathrates melting and releasing holding concentrations at about 400ppm is going to take heroic measures.

I don’t want it any hotter, thanks. Days of over 45°C is more than warm enough. Want to live in the tropics move to Qld. Very glib to say need 2°C warmer, reality is that would mean days and days of over 48°C in Adelaide & Melbourne.


And? The Indigenous Australians have survived temperatures higher than that with no artificial cooling for thousands of years, as have people in areas like the Sahara, Africa and Asia.

The issue is not really the temperature, it's that our life-style, clothing, building designs etc, are based on condition in Europe, not conditions here.


Getting desperate there.

So you want us all to run around in just a loincloth, got it.

Geez, you don’t half post some absolute tosh!
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Bam
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #47 - Feb 28th, 2014 at 10:06am
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 28th, 2014 at 8:13am:
Bam wrote on Feb 27th, 2014 at 4:50pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 27th, 2014 at 12:03pm:
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 7:54pm:
I thought it was all about keeping CO2 to 400ppm? We are trying to apply the brakes not worry about any optimum.


Since we evolved in tropical temperatures, and still need them to live comfortable, 2 or 3 degrees C warmer is what we need rather than 'applying the brakes'.


I am still waiting for you to substantiate this:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 2:55pm:
It's stated everywhere Bam. Everything to do with AGW is about a return to pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures.


Show us some links to reputable sources that explicitly state this is the goal of international action to mitigate climate change.


Sorry bam, but we both know that any links won't be considered 'reputable' by you if they do show it.

No giz, we both know your argument is bullsht. You have constructed a brittle argument around a barefaced lie. Nowhere does any international organisation state explicitly that the stated aim for CO
2
mitigation is to return CO
2
levels to 280 ppm. If you actually had proof to the contrary, you would have already provided it by now.

Quote:
But ask yourself why the IR rates are used as a base line for both Co2 and temperature increases?

To show how much the concentrations have increased over pre-industrial levels. A CO
2
concentration of 280ppm - with relatively small variation - was the concentration for most of the past 10,000 years or more. In the past 160 years, CO
2
concentrations have increased faster than at any time for many millions of years. Only two kinds of event have caused CO
2
to increase faster in the history of the earth - massive volcanic eruptions and the mass release of methane clathrates from the ocean. Neither of these have happened in the past 160 years.

Quote:
But I'll find some later, when I have time.

I doubt that. No transnational organisation has stated this as the explicit goal - not the UN, nor the EU, nor any international agreement. The stated aim with existing agreements is stopping the increase in concentration, not reducing the concentration because reducing the concentration is far more difficult and hence far more expensive. It would require the permanent removal of a mass of carbon from the atmosphere comparable to the total mass of carbon burnt in the consumption of all fossil fuels in the past 160 years.

That is why you are lying.
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mozzaok
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #48 - Feb 28th, 2014 at 10:52am
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 2:55pm:
Bam wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 2:15pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:40am:
Sadly George, what most of the pro-AGW crowd don't realise ( I hope, at least) is that IF you are successful in returning temperatures to pre-1850's levels

False premise. Where is it stated anywhere that this is the stated aim?

Quote:
you'd also kill off 1/2 or more likely 3/4 of the world's population.

This is an unproven assertion, and can be ignored because it is constructed on a false premise.

Quote:
Because the whole AGW idea is based on a false premise, that pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures were 'normal', and they were NOT.

That in itself is a false premise.

You are asserting that the whole of AGW theory is based on pre-industrial levels of CO2. It is not.

You are asserting this based on the false assumption that mitigating AGW is not just cutting CO2 emissions, but to return CO2 concentrations to pre-industrial levels. Nowhere have you supported this claim with any evidence because no such evidence exists.

You have implied that the temperatures were caused by CO2 concentrations. The Maunder sunspot minimum has been hypothesised as another contributor to lowered global temperatures during the Little Ice Age.

Digging up black stuff out of the ground and burning it is not normal either. Where did all that coal and oil go after we burnt it? Much of it is still with us in the atmosphere, adding 100ppm to global CO2 levels over the pre-industrial levels. That this increase is primarily caused by the burning of fossil fuels has been known since the 1960s.

Quote:
The temperatures back then (during the Little Ice Age) were massively below average and below optimum for comfortable human existence.

While an interesting argument, it is constructed on a false premise. However, I do note your implied acceptance that atmospheric CO2 causes warming.

It is unlikely that CO2 levels will return to pre-industrial levels any time soon, even with the most aggressive remediation possible, so I doubt this is going to be a problem.

However, we do need to be mindful of the causes of the Little Ice Age as well. Even the science of climate change has as an implied assumption for some models that the output of the sun will not change enough to influence the climate, that there won't be large volcanic eruptions, and there won't be other similar external factors in play. One big volcanic eruption can lower global temperatures by 1°C or more for half a decade. A 0.1% reduction in solar irradiance can also lower global temperatures by a similar amount. It doesn't mean the models that do not include these are wrong, just that they do not take these into account as core assumptions.



It's stated everywhere Bam. Everything to do with AGW is about a return to pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures.


You need to stop relying on BS denialist sites for your info Gizmo.
I have read many views, from many sites, and never seen that contention put, about returning CO2 to pre-industrial levels.
Invariably, every study I have read has talked about attempting to slow down the  rate of growth.

Too much change, too fast, is our major problem.
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