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Abbott's AGW Drought Package (Read 6370 times)
St George of the Garden
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #15 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:05am
 
AGW is supported as a theory by just about all working climate scientists. We know it is here from temperature records, from the Arctic and Antarctic and Greenland continuing to lose ice, from satellites recording more energy entering the atmosphere than escapes it and so on.

The blizzards hitting the UK and NW USA are caused by AGW—the lack of ice and rapid warming in the Arctic causing the jetstream to vary and lobes of frigid Arctic air escaping south.

Saying there is no AGW is just sticking your head in the sand.
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #16 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:07am
 
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 10:24am:
Who knows—the weather record is extremely noisy.

But high temp records are being broken all the time, low temp records not.


Better ask the Yanks about that one.  They are having a bit of a cool period at the moment.

So 117 years ago it was just GW but these days it's AGW or maybe both events were just another weather phenomenon?

If CO2 concentrations are the smoking gun then why has it taken 117 years to break the temp record..... Undecided Huh Huh

CO2 concentrations have been on the up according to the bofins since the industrial revolution Shocked.

Record highs should therefore be occurring every summer don't you think, but there have been both prolonged warming and cooling periods since.

That is why there is reasonable doubt about AGW and Comrade GW is spruiking garbage (as usual) Wink
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St George of the Garden
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #17 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:14am
 
The weather record is noisy. There is the El Nino and the La Nina phenomenon, volcanoes explosively erupting sending sulphides into the upper atmosphere (troposphere) which reflect sunlight and so cause a temporary cooling.

Jan 2014 had neither El Nino or La Nina systems operating, yet still broke a 117 year record.

Yes, AGW has weakened circumArctic winds, the jetstream and so lobes of frigid air can escape south and if blocked by a big stationery high pressure system these lobes cause snowfalls and blizzards.

So the cold UK/NW USA winters actually support the theory of AGW not refute it. Sorry.
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gizmo_2655
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #18 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:15am
 
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:05am:
AGW is supported as a theory by just about all working climate scientists. We know it is here from temperature records, from the Arctic and Antarctic and Greenland continuing to lose ice, from satellites recording more energy entering the atmosphere than escapes it and so on.

The blizzards hitting the UK and NW USA are caused by AGW—the lack of ice and rapid warming in the Arctic causing the jetstream to vary and lobes of frigid Arctic air escaping south.

Saying there is no AGW is just sticking your head in the sand.


Sorry George, but 'appeal to authority' is not a valid scientific principle.

Using that method, 'God' must exist, because more people believe in a god than don't.

There are any number of times in history where the most learned people (scientists of their era) believed things that turned out to be completely wrong.
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St George of the Garden
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #19 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:16am
 
I gave plenty of hard evidence as well, Gizmo.
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #20 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:17am
 
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:16am:
I gave plenty of hard evidence as well, Gizmo.


No you gave examples of weather. Fail.
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St George of the Garden
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #21 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:20am
 
Keep that head firmly in the sand. Not the way I like to face problems but it obviously is yours.
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gizmo_2655
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #22 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:40am
 
Sadly George, what most of the pro-AGW crowd don't realise ( I hope, at least) is that IF you are successful in returning temperatures to pre-1850's levels, you'd also kill off 1/2 or more likely 3/4 of the world's population. Because the whole AGW idea is based on a false premise, that pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures were 'normal', and they were NOT. The temperatures back then (during the Little Ice Age) were massively below average and below optimum for comfortable human existence.
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #23 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:57am
 
St George of the Garden wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:14am:
The weather record is noisy. There is the El Nino and the La Nina phenomenon, volcanoes explosively erupting sending sulphides into the upper atmosphere (troposphere) which reflect sunlight and so cause a temporary cooling.
 


Exactly.  Global cooling & warming are a totally natural phenomena and neither are  turned on or off by the activities of ape decendents.... Huh

Eco-socialists have just hijacked the issue as a convenient political tool to bash corporatism and capitalism.  Sad

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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #24 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 12:26pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 10:05am:
____ wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 9:59am:
Will Abbott's AGW funding be open ended since we are on track for a hotter and more extreme climate due to conservative's inaction …  and if so how will it be paid for. Abbott doesn't want the money raised by the big CO2 polluters driving farmers off the land.


So who will be paying for the luxury of conservative's stupidity?

Tax payers?


Tony Abbott to unveil drought relief package

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/tony-abbott-to-unveil-drought-r...


Doesn't need to be open ended, the drought will break as all droughts do, and since the temperatures have flat-lined for the last 17 years, there isn't any real risk of "a hotter and more extreme climate" is there?



the idiots wont be able to figure that bit out...

they think water grows on trees...and all we have to do is throw money at it for it to work...idiots.

money hasnt as far as I know fixed any bloody thing.. so why on earth it would fix GW I will never know.
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cods
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #25 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 12:28pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:40am:
Sadly George, what most of the pro-AGW crowd don't realise ( I hope, at least) is that IF you are successful in returning temperatures to pre-1850's levels, you'd also kill off 1/2 or more likely 3/4 of the world's population. Because the whole AGW idea is based on a false premise, that pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures were 'normal', and they were NOT. The temperatures back then (during the Little Ice Age) were massively below average and below optimum for comfortable human existence.




oh god now you are bringing in a panic....now it will be G.Cooling and all Abbotts fault.. 

dont tell them that industry is also coming to an end will you???... not in our lifetime maybe but not long after...

its called progress....shhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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gizmo_2655
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #26 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 1:08pm
 
cods wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 12:28pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:40am:
Sadly George, what most of the pro-AGW crowd don't realise ( I hope, at least) is that IF you are successful in returning temperatures to pre-1850's levels, you'd also kill off 1/2 or more likely 3/4 of the world's population. Because the whole AGW idea is based on a false premise, that pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures were 'normal', and they were NOT. The temperatures back then (during the Little Ice Age) were massively below average and below optimum for comfortable human existence.




oh god now you are bringing in a panic....now it will be G.Cooling and all Abbotts fault.. 

dont tell them that industry is also coming to an end will you???... not in our lifetime maybe but not long after...

its called progress....shhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh


Yeah, I can't wait for THAT one to appear, think of the fun we'll be able to have then....
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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
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Bam
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #27 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 2:15pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:40am:
Sadly George, what most of the pro-AGW crowd don't realise ( I hope, at least) is that IF you are successful in returning temperatures to pre-1850's levels

False premise. Where is it stated anywhere that this is the stated aim?

Quote:
you'd also kill off 1/2 or more likely 3/4 of the world's population.

This is an unproven assertion, and can be ignored because it is constructed on a false premise.

Quote:
Because the whole AGW idea is based on a false premise, that pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures were 'normal', and they were NOT.

That in itself is a false premise.

You are asserting that the whole of AGW theory is based on pre-industrial levels of CO2. It is not.

You are asserting this based on the false assumption that mitigating AGW is not just cutting CO2 emissions, but to return CO2 concentrations to pre-industrial levels. Nowhere have you supported this claim with any evidence because no such evidence exists.

You have implied that the temperatures were caused by CO2 concentrations. The Maunder sunspot minimum has been hypothesised as another contributor to lowered global temperatures during the Little Ice Age.

Digging up black stuff out of the ground and burning it is not normal either. Where did all that coal and oil go after we burnt it? Much of it is still with us in the atmosphere, adding 100ppm to global CO2 levels over the pre-industrial levels. That this increase is primarily caused by the burning of fossil fuels has been known since the 1960s.

Quote:
The temperatures back then (during the Little Ice Age) were massively below average and below optimum for comfortable human existence.

While an interesting argument, it is constructed on a false premise. However, I do note your implied acceptance that atmospheric CO2 causes warming.

It is unlikely that CO2 levels will return to pre-industrial levels any time soon, even with the most aggressive remediation possible, so I doubt this is going to be a problem.

However, we do need to be mindful of the causes of the Little Ice Age as well. Even the science of climate change has as an implied assumption for some models that the output of the sun will not change enough to influence the climate, that there won't be large volcanic eruptions, and there won't be other similar external factors in play. One big volcanic eruption can lower global temperatures by 1°C or more for half a decade. A 0.1% reduction in solar irradiance can also lower global temperatures by a similar amount. It doesn't mean the models that do not include these are wrong, just that they do not take these into account as core assumptions.
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #28 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 2:18pm
 
Abbott has found 320 million to get a few farmers temporarily out of a mess caused by carbon pollution and yet he couldn't find a cent to secure manufacturing in this country.
Thats ok..he'll pay for it by cutting funds to health and education and screwing over aging Aussies.

Abbott had a plan to rise to power but he obviously didn't have one for when he finally attained his birthright   Grin
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gizmo_2655
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Re: Abbott's AGW Drought Package
Reply #29 - Feb 26th, 2014 at 2:55pm
 
Bam wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 2:15pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 26th, 2014 at 11:40am:
Sadly George, what most of the pro-AGW crowd don't realise ( I hope, at least) is that IF you are successful in returning temperatures to pre-1850's levels

False premise. Where is it stated anywhere that this is the stated aim?

Quote:
you'd also kill off 1/2 or more likely 3/4 of the world's population.

This is an unproven assertion, and can be ignored because it is constructed on a false premise.

Quote:
Because the whole AGW idea is based on a false premise, that pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures were 'normal', and they were NOT.

That in itself is a false premise.

You are asserting that the whole of AGW theory is based on pre-industrial levels of CO2. It is not.

You are asserting this based on the false assumption that mitigating AGW is not just cutting CO2 emissions, but to return CO2 concentrations to pre-industrial levels. Nowhere have you supported this claim with any evidence because no such evidence exists.

You have implied that the temperatures were caused by CO2 concentrations. The Maunder sunspot minimum has been hypothesised as another contributor to lowered global temperatures during the Little Ice Age.

Digging up black stuff out of the ground and burning it is not normal either. Where did all that coal and oil go after we burnt it? Much of it is still with us in the atmosphere, adding 100ppm to global CO2 levels over the pre-industrial levels. That this increase is primarily caused by the burning of fossil fuels has been known since the 1960s.

Quote:
The temperatures back then (during the Little Ice Age) were massively below average and below optimum for comfortable human existence.

While an interesting argument, it is constructed on a false premise. However, I do note your implied acceptance that atmospheric CO2 causes warming.

It is unlikely that CO2 levels will return to pre-industrial levels any time soon, even with the most aggressive remediation possible, so I doubt this is going to be a problem.

However, we do need to be mindful of the causes of the Little Ice Age as well. Even the science of climate change has as an implied assumption for some models that the output of the sun will not change enough to influence the climate, that there won't be large volcanic eruptions, and there won't be other similar external factors in play. One big volcanic eruption can lower global temperatures by 1°C or more for half a decade. A 0.1% reduction in solar irradiance can also lower global temperatures by a similar amount. It doesn't mean the models that do not include these are wrong, just that they do not take these into account as core assumptions.



It's stated everywhere Bam. Everything to do with AGW is about a return to pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures.
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It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
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