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Fukushima (Read 10210 times)
Chimp_Logic
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Fukushima
Dec 2nd, 2013 at 9:19pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 2nd, 2013 at 7:48pm:
......
so we're back on topic
.


yes muso its always good to be back on topic

According to Japanese health data from before the Fukushima disaster the thyroid cancer rates for children are:

Age 0-4 = 0 per 100,000 people (male and female combined)
Age 5-9 = 0 per 100,000 people (male and female combined)
Age 10-14 = 0.2 per 100,000 people (male and female combined)
Age 15-19 = 1.3 per 100,000 people (male and female combined)

The health survey examined 289,960 children total.
58
of those screened have cancer or are assumed to have cancer and are awaiting surgery.

This becomes 1 cancer per 4999 people. This is far higher than the pre-disaster levels. This raises big questions about the claims that these are increased just due to more screening. The more these numbers grow the harder it is to dismiss the findings are some version of normal.


1 cancer in 4999 is approximately 20 in every 100,000 children which is a
two order of magnitude increase
for 10-14 year olds.



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Re: Fukushima
Reply #1 - Dec 2nd, 2013 at 9:36pm
 
and I guess you have a reputable source for that, that isn't

http://www.fukuleaks.org/web/?p=11726
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Re: Arctic summer temperatures warmest for 120,000 yrs
Reply #2 - Dec 2nd, 2013 at 9:34pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 2nd, 2013 at 9:19pm:
muso wrote on Dec 2nd, 2013 at 7:48pm:
......
so we're back on topic
.


yes muso its always good to be back on topic

According to Japanese health data from before the Fukushima disaster the thyroid cancer rates for children are:

Age 0-4 = 0 per 100,000 people (male and female combined)
Age 5-9 = 0 per 100,000 people (male and female combined)
Age 10-14 = 0.2 per 100,000 people (male and female combined)
Age 15-19 = 1.3 per 100,000 people (male and female combined)

The health survey examined 289,960 children total.
58
of those screened have cancer or are assumed to have cancer and are awaiting surgery.

This becomes 1 cancer per 4999 people. This is far higher than the pre-disaster levels. This raises big questions about the claims that these are increased just due to more screening. The more these numbers grow the harder it is to dismiss the findings are some version of normal.


1 cancer in 4999 is approximately 20 in every 100,000 children which is a
two order of magnitude increase
for 10-14 year olds.




Should this be a surprise..??
Well  maybe to those who argue in favour of nuclear power. Sad
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Re: Arctic summer temperatures warmest for 120,000 yrs
Reply #3 - Dec 2nd, 2013 at 11:06pm
 
Emma wrote on Dec 2nd, 2013 at 9:34pm:
Should this be a surprise..??
Well  maybe to those who argue in favour of nuclear power. Sad


no its not a surprise - totally predictable.

However, in the Chernobyl meltdown case, Children Thyroid cancers started showing up about 5 years after the disaster occurred. We are less than 3 years since the disaster and the cancer cases are flowing in at an increasing rate.

A survey of 80,000+ children living in Fukushima region showed that about 40% had nodules and abnormalities in their Thyroid glands. Compare that with a normal rate of less than 1 per 100,000.

Children are very sensitive to radiation - several orders of magnitude more sensitive than adults. And female children are twice as sensitive as male children.

This is only the tip of problem. The leukemias and other cancers will start to emerge, and also heart diseases (conduction problem in the human heart is linked with internal exposure to radionuclides such as Cesium 137.

Trouble ahead I'm afraid
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Reply #4 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 6:33am
 
Look, I created another thread for this, Chimp. Please try to stay on topic.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #5 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 7:00am
 
It's quite possible that there will be an increase in thyroid cancer as a result of the Fukushima disaster, but it's difficult to get reliable (non-inflated) figures on this. As far as I am aware , the study was carried out by the Fukushima Medical University.

http://www.japantoday.com/category/national/view/incidences-of-thyroid-cancer-on...


Quote:
TOKYO —

The number of under-18s in Fukushima Prefecture diagnosed with thyroid cancer has increased to 12, while the number of possible cases has reached 15, according to Kolnet, an online media source focused on the Tohoku region of Japan.

The numbers were released as part of an ongoing investigation by the Fukushima Prefecture Board of Health into the effects of the radiation released in the explosion at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant in 2011. The investigation has examined about 174,000 adults and children from towns surrounding the crippled plant.


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Re: Fukushima
Reply #6 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 9:14am
 
Tokyo study shows that the White Blood Cell count for a large sample of children has decreased since the Fukushima meltdowns and ongoing releases of radionuclides.

Normal WBC count ~ 4000
Average WBC count for children examined ~ 2500

Accepted threshold WBC in children > 3000
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #7 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 9:30am
 
Which overall would you say kills most people, Nuclear Power Stations or Coal Fired Power Stations?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #8 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 10:17am
 
short term its coal fired power stations - but that's not the whole picture is it muso,

If you close down nuclear and coal fired stations tomorrow, you still have nuclear waste to deal with.

Chernobyl will continue to kill for at least 6 centuries to come - just in terms of Cs137 and Sr90 alone.

Nuclear power contributes less than 15% of the worlds power requirements.

Nuclear power stations routinely release nuclear nasties such as tritium (H3) which has a half life of 12 years. Tritium lingers in the environment for betweem 10 and 20 half lives (120 to 240 years)

These substances are not only extremely toxic and long lived, they bio- accumulate in the food chain.

Nuclear power is totally un-defendable, on economic, environmental or efficiency grounds. Linked to the Nuclear weapons industry.

Radioactive release contaminates the Gene pool - not only in the human species but all life forms that come in contact with these poisons.


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Re: Fukushima
Reply #9 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 11:40am
 
The only reason we have a nuclear waste problem is that governments have been too soft on the industry. Borosilicate glass is a secure way to store nuclear waste. It's expensive, but secure.

If we had Thorium accelerator based reactors, it would no longer be a problem. They can consume conventional nuclear waste.

I don't have any argument regarding nuclear power in Australia. It won't happen, so why bother?

In the medium term, reliable nuclear power stations will continue to provide a stop gap until we get something better.

However, I do have a problem with exaggerating the truth.

Looking long term - ie global warming,  coal wil have a much greatr consequence. It does even short term.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #10 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 11:49am
 
http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/03/deaths-per-twh-for-all-energy-sources.html

Deaths per TWh for all energy sources. Rooftop solar is actually more dangerous that Chernobyl.

Energy Source              Death Rate (deaths per TWh)

Coal – world average               161 (26% of world energy, 50% of electricity)
Coal – China                       278
Coal – USA                         15
Oil                                36  (36% of world energy)
Natural Gas                         4  (21% of world energy)
Biofuel/Biomass                    12
Peat                               12
Solar (rooftop)                     0.44 (less than 0.1% of world energy)
Wind                                0.15 (less than 1% of world energy)
Hydro                               0.10 (europe death rate, 2.2% of world energy)
Hydro - world including Banqiao)    1.4 (about 2500 TWh/yr and 171,000 Banqiao dead)
Nuclear                             0.04 (5.9% of world energy)
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #11 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 12:35pm
 
Nuclears ability to keep on killing for 1000's of years after it produced electricity is the problem.

Do we count Hiroshima and Nagasaki as victims of nuclear waste. Nuclear weapons are made of enriched waste.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #12 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 1:16pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 3rd, 2013 at 11:49am:
http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/03/deaths-per-twh-for-all-energy-sources.html

Deaths per TWh for all energy sources. Rooftop solar is actually more dangerous that Chernobyl.

Energy Source              Death Rate (deaths per TWh)

Coal – world average               161 (26% of world energy, 50% of electricity)
Coal – China                       278
Coal – USA                         15
Oil                                36  (36% of world energy)
Natural Gas                         4  (21% of world energy)
Biofuel/Biomass                    12
Peat                               12
Solar (rooftop)                     0.44 (less than 0.1% of world energy)
Wind                                0.15 (less than 1% of world energy)
Hydro                               0.10 (europe death rate, 2.2% of world energy)
Hydro - world including Banqiao)    1.4 (about 2500 TWh/yr and 171,000 Banqiao dead)
Nuclear                             0.04 (5.9% of world energy)


Your post reminds me of the spin methodology used by AGW deniers.

You're quite welcome to self indoctrinate and spread as much MOX fuel dust, hot particles and nuclear fleas on your toast each morning as you like.

Is there an increase in the incidence if cancer for children who live near nuclear power facilities?

Shhhhhhhhhh, only present data on the basis of fictitious deaths per TWhr of power generated. That will hide the real story.

You should never discuss things that you have minimal understanding of and wish to infuse with a political poison.

That's what EXXON puppets do in the mass media to confuse the public on the effects of rising CO2 emissions.

...

Of course the 500,000 fatality figure (465,000 to be more precise) is an estimate made by the Soviets

The New York Academy of Sciences report that was released a few years ago estimates that there were 985,000 additional deaths caused the Chernobyl radiological event from the years 1986-2003.

That is ONE core meltdown which was brought under control relatively quickly by the Soviets who used over 600,000 personnel (mainly military) to tackle the meltdown.

Fukushima has 3 full core meltdowns, whose location is currently unknown, and several spent fuel pools dangling precariously 35m above the ground.

Cancer detection in children around Fukushima has already been detected, at least 2 years earlier than the Chernobyl radiological event.

Shhhhhhh...

its about markets, corporate profits, and the USA wants Japan to continue along this madness.

As we speak Japan's 52 nuclear reactors are offline. (with the exception of perhaps one which may have been re-started).

When fully operational Japan met 30% of its power requirements via its nuclear reactors (supposedly)

They seem to be doing fine without them.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #13 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 3:24pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 3rd, 2013 at 1:16pm:
Your post reminds me of the spin methodology used by AGW deniers.


You are too humble. Actually yours is a much better emulation of AGW denialism if I say so myself.

Quote:
You're quite welcome to self indoctrinate and spread as much MOX fuel dust, hot particles and nuclear fleas on your toast each morning as you like.

Is there an increase in the incidence if cancer for children who live near nuclear power facilities?

Shhhhhhhhhh, only present data on the basis of fictitious deaths per TWhr of power generated. That will hide the real story.

You should never discuss things that you have minimal understanding of and wish to infuse with a political poison.


That's right, deny the facts and go for the emotional spin.

Minimal information? Chimp - I do actually have experience in this field and I go through practical field exercises in dealing with radiological incidents every 12 months. What is your experience, other than reading blog articles?

Quote:
That's what EXXON puppets do in the mass media to confuse the public on the effects of rising CO2 emissions.

Of course the 500,000 fatality figure (465,000 to be more precise) is an estimate made by the Soviets

The New York Academy of Sciences report that was released a few years ago estimates that there were 985,000 additional deaths caused the Chernobyl radiological event from the years 1986-2003.


Chimp, We've already been through that. What did the vast majority of the best qualified in the field of radiology state?  See if you can remember. It related to a public statement in 2012.

You can go as hyperbolic as you like, but I'm not buying your over exaggerated nonsense - not because I'm secretly supporting the "evil" nuclear industry, but simply because it's exaggerated nonsense. If we are to make informed decisions, it should not be on the basis of exaggerated nonsense.

You are capable of better than that.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #14 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 3:33pm
 
Doctor Jolly wrote on Dec 3rd, 2013 at 12:35pm:
Nuclears ability to keep on killing for 1000's of years after it produced electricity is the problem.

Do we count Hiroshima and Nagasaki as victims of nuclear waste. Nuclear weapons are made of enriched waste.


So called "dirty bombs" are - or do you mean that it's a byproduct of fast breeder reactors?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #15 - Dec 3rd, 2013 at 10:29pm
 
Why isn't the WHO, the worlds leading health risk investigative body, allowed to conduct analyses and surveys relating to radiological events WITHOUT the explicit consent of the International Atomic Energy Agency? (an agreement arrived at in the 1950s)

And one of the primary goals of the IAEA is to promote the Nuclear Power industry - its in their charter.

What an evil industry that lies on a daily basis.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #16 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 5:32am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 3rd, 2013 at 10:29pm:
Why isn't the WHO, the worlds leading health risk investigative body, allowed to conduct analyses and surveys relating to radiological events WITHOUT the explicit consent of the International Atomic Energy Agency? (an agreement arrived at in the 1950s)

And one of the primary goals of the IAEA is to promote the Nuclear Power industry - its in their charter.

What an evil industry that lies on a daily basis.


I think you have the perception that all industries are evil and I also think that your personal views on anything nuclear are clouding your ability to make rational determinations on the subject.

I don't believe that the nuclear industry is any more evil than any other. While I disagree that they wil lie, if the proverbial hits the fan, industry tends to go into damage control mode. What emerges are controlled statements that put a positive spin on events. I've seen it from the industry side. The responsibility for media liaison goes up the corporate ladder and is dealt with by those who know least about the situation. I should know. I've written procedures for it.

They tend to bend the truth, tell half truths and play down the situation. Now some details of Fukushima are still unknown to Tepco, so I doubt if they are going to volunteer information or speculate on that.

Are you following the fuel rod removal on Unit 4? So far they have removed 38 rods. A long way to go, but no mishaps to date.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #17 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 8:21am
 
muso wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 5:32am:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 3rd, 2013 at 10:29pm:
Why isn't the WHO, the worlds leading health risk investigative body, allowed to conduct analyses and surveys relating to radiological events WITHOUT the explicit consent of the International Atomic Energy Agency? (an agreement arrived at in the 1950s)

And one of the primary goals of the IAEA is to promote the Nuclear Power industry - its in their charter.

What an evil industry that lies on a daily basis.




Are you following the fuel rod removal on Unit 4? So far they have removed 38 rods. A long way to go, but no mishaps to date.


The undamaged fuel bundles first. Good luck to them.

Do you know where the melted coriums are in reactor buildings 1,2 and 3? Try and find out.

The Fukushima reactor facility is not only built in a tsunami and earth quake prone region (like most of Japans reactors), it sits right on an old river bed. They built up the soil prior to constructing the facility. There are natural water flows, and ground flow movement beneath the reactors at Fukushima.

How many nuclear reactors are online in japan as we speak muso?

Its astounding that you defend the most hideous and corrupt industry on the planet - nothing even comes near it.

...you should be thoroughly ashamed of yourself you filthy floating decanted fluidised stream of skunk spray emulsion
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #18 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 9:44am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 8:21am:
Do you know where the melted coriums are in reactor buildings 1,2 and 3? Try and find out.


Do you ask the same questions that I have already answered as a result of senile dementia on your part, or are you asking just for rhetorical effect?

Quote:
Its astounding that you defend the most hideous and corrupt industry on the planet - nothing even comes near it.


It's astounding that you think I'm defending the nuclear industry just because I happen to have more accurate information than you. I'm defending the general population against gross exaggerations.

Quote:
...you should be thoroughly ashamed of yourself you filthy floating decanted fluidised stream of skunk spray emulsion


and you , sir....

Quote:
Wherein art thou good, but to taste sack and drink it? Wherein neat and cleanly, but to carve a capon and eat it? Wherein cunning, but in craft? Wherein crafty but in villainy? Wherein villainous, but in all things? Wherein worthy but in nothing?
Henry IV Part 1

- you pisocelebral bucket of simian effluent.

Quote:
The Fukushima reactor facility is not only built in a tsunami and earth quake prone region (like most of Japans reactors), it sits right on an old river bed. They built up the soil prior to constructing the facility. There are natural water flows, and ground flow movement beneath the reactors at Fukushima.


Of course there is groundwater flow in the direction of the sea, you fool. Hydrologic flow paths generally follow surface topography. It's on the coast. Tell me something significant. Most coastal locations are exactly the same. Old river bed? poppycock.

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #19 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 10:20am
 
muso wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 9:44am:
Of course there is groundwater flow in the direction of the sea, you fool. Hydrologic flow paths generally follow surface topography. It's on the coast. Tell me something significant. Most coastal locations are exactly the same.
Old river bed? poppycock.




...take it up with Mr, Marui - he doesn't emit foul odours and putrid immoral stenches

"Fukushima Daiichi was built some 40 years ago on the site of a river that was diverted in order to situate the plant, Mr. Marui says. It should have been clear that lots of groundwater would be rushing through the site, he says, and that any walls or barriers built on the seaward side would soon be overwhelmed—something that, indeed, has happened in recent weeks."
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #20 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 10:53am
 
That's probably right, but it must have been an enormous river to cover the entire plant. Did it actually run under a Unit, or just the car park?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #21 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 9:21am
 
muso wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 10:53am:
That's probably right, but it must have been an enormous river to cover the entire plant. Did it actually run under a Unit, or just the car park?


Not sure about the actual pathway the river took, just that they had to divert it in order to build the Fukushima facility. There was quite a bit of "earth" and aggregate trucked in to build up the fukushima - apparently a little too low. Still too low, seeing as they built a 5m Tsunami wall, and where hit with a 16m Tsunami - heights which have historical precedence in the area.


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Re: Fukushima
Reply #22 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 9:22am
 
*****FUKUSHIMA UPDATE**** (4th December 2013)


IAEA official: “What we are trying to say is, consider putting ALL the toxic water stored at Fukushima into the Pacific Ocean – impact on human health must be monitored” (maybe TEPCO or the NRC can monitor it hey folks?)

Nearby countries ALL against this proposal by the IAEA (surprise surprise)

Top official in Japan said “Protests against the new secrecy laws in Japan are acts of terrorism” (ie protestors are terrorists)

Japanese authorities promoting the idea that “YOU ARE A RACIST if you avoid Japanese produce” (so if you’re not eating Fukushima and Japanese food you’re a racist)

The entire process has echoes of George Orwell (Bloomberg)

Nuclear activists to be constantly spied upon and placed on surveillance.

Japanese professor states that 70% of Japan is polluted with Fukushima material, with Tokyo also contaminated with highly toxic radiation.

Japanese Regulators urge Fukushima nuclear power plant operators to dump tritium laced water into the pacific
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #23 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 10:43am
 
Source?

By the way on the subject of low level radiation, there is plenty of evidence that low levels of radiation (between 100mSv and 250mSv/year) actually reduce the risk of cancer due to increased DNA repair. That's including internal and external doses. I mentioned Radium Springs once before, but here's another example:

Quote:
There were apartments constructed in Taiwan in 1983 that accidently contained increased amounts of cobolt-60 which is radioactive. Occupants recieved a dose of 75mSv/y which is 5 times over the US recommended radiation dose. Over 16 years there were only 5 cases of cancer out of the 10,000 occupants of the apartments.  According to the Taiwanese average cancer rate (with age considered) there should have been 170 cases of cancer,  thats a 96% decrease in cancer rates.


I don't doubt that there may have been people exposed to dangerous levels of radiation around Fukushima, especially in areas to the NW of the Power Plant, which delayed evacuation, but the problem is largely confined to that province.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #24 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 10:45am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 9:21am:
muso wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 10:53am:
That's probably right, but it must have been an enormous river to cover the entire plant. Did it actually run under a Unit, or just the car park?


Not sure about the actual pathway the river took, just that they had to divert it in order to build the Fukushima facility. There was quite a bit of "earth" and aggregate trucked in to build up the fukushima - apparently a little too low. Still too low, seeing as they built a 5m Tsunami wall, and where hit with a 16m Tsunami - heights which have historical precedence in the area.




Sounds like the engineers stuffed up.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #25 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 2:54pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 10:45am:
...
Sounds like the engineers stuffed up.
Therein lies one of the most intractable shortcomings of nuclear power: the human element. To quote from the foreword of the book We Almost Lost Detroit: Quote:
Nuclear power is an unforgiving technology. It allows no room for error. Perfection must be achieved if accidents that affect the general public are to be prevented.

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #26 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 4:05pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 10:43am:
Source?

By the way on the subject of low level radiation, there is plenty of evidence that low levels of radiation (between 100mSv and 250mSv/year) actually reduce the risk of cancer due to increased DNA repair. That's including internal and external doses. I mentioned Radium Springs once before, but here's another example:
.


You don't quite understand the local ramifications of INTERNAL exposure to radiation.

Cells in the direct vicinity of a radioactive particle receive orders of magnitude higher doses of radiation than the averaged out external exposure.

To suggest that you can gallop into the Japan and gobble up Cs137 laced rice and gorge yourself on Plutonium tuna and Americium peaches just because a couple of studies show beneficial effects of radiation, is very disingenuous of you muso - or at least displays a gross lack of understanding of the problem humanity is dealing with.

You need to explain the inadequacy of the 1950s ICRP model for health risk associated with radiation exposure.

"....Scientific Secretary Emeritus Dr. Jack Valentin, who admits that the ICRP recommendations cannot be applied to post-accident situations and that it is a mistake not to address studies which falsify ICRP's model."

The most thorough risk model that also takes into account internal exposure to radiation is the one used by the European Committee on Radiation Risk (ECRR model)

You need to explain the 1.4 million additional deaths that have resulted from the Chernobyl meltdown and fallout SO FAR.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #27 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 5:11pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 4:05pm:
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 10:43am:
Source?

By the way on the subject of low level radiation, there is plenty of evidence that low levels of radiation (between 100mSv and 250mSv/year) actually reduce the risk of cancer due to increased DNA repair. That's including internal and external doses. I mentioned Radium Springs once before, but here's another example:
.


You don't quite understand the local ramifications of INTERNAL exposure to radiation.

Cells in the direct vicinity of a radioactive particle receive orders of magnitude higher doses of radiation than the averaged out external exposure.


Of course I undestand this. I also realise that some elements bioaccumulate while others pass straight through.

Quote:
To suggest that you can gallop into the Japan and gobble up Cs137 laced rice


Cs137 is the least of your worries. It matabolises quite  readily. All depends on the dose of course.

Quote:
and gorge yourself on Plutonium tuna and Americium peaches just because a couple of studies show beneficial effects of radiation, is very disingenuous of you muso - or at least displays a gross lack of understanding of the problem humanity is dealing with.


What is the mechamism for mobilisation of Plutonium? Japan has been living with trace quantities of Pu as a result of the Hiroshima and Nagasaki detonations - but how did the Pu mobilise itself in the case of Fukushima?  The same goes for Am-241, which is a Pu daughter isotope. 

Quote:
You need to explain the inadequacy of the 1950s ICRP model for health risk associated with radiation exposure.

"....Scientific Secretary Emeritus Dr. Jack Valentin, who admits that the ICRP recommendations cannot be applied to post-accident situations and that it is a mistake not to address studies which falsify ICRP's model."

The most thorough risk model that also takes into account internal exposure to radiation is the one used by the European Committee on Radiation Risk (ECRR model)

You need to explain the 1.4 million additional deaths that have resulted from the Chernobyl meltdown and fallout SO FAR.


There is an obvious threshold for radiation dose, as there is with any other toxin. OK, if you're writing a Safety procedure, then the Linear No threshold model is nice and conservative, but it's obviously wrong. The UN accepts that it's wrong and the UNSCEAR, has recently (2012) recommended policies that do not agree with the Linear No-Threshold model at exposure levels below background levels of radiation to the UN General Assembly from the Fifty-Ninth Session of the Committee. Its recommendation states that "the Scientific Committee does not recommend multiplying very low doses by large numbers of individuals to estimate numbers of radiation-induced health effects within a population exposed to incremental doses at levels equivalent to or lower than natural background levels."


Common sense prevails. Anybody who has had anything to do with radiological dose, as I have, knows that this is common sense.

We live on a planet with natural radioactvity. In the geological past, levels have been higher.  Do you deny this? Life has adapted in conjunction with this radiation. In fact there is considerable evidence that errors in DNA replication, lead to mutations, an essential ingredient for evolution. There is also evidence that low levels of radiation has a healing effect. The healing springs at Radium, Canada were well known for their effectiveness in healing minor and not so minor illnesses including rheumatism and arthritis.

Evidence from the  survivors of Hiroshima showed that those with low doses of radiation were less likely to develop cancers, and that the response to dose was anything but linear. 

Chimp,  I am not defending the Nuclear Industry. There were obvious flaws in the planning of the siting of Fukushima 1, obvious problems in the way that Tepco has dealt with the situations, and vast chasms in their Risk Communication strategy.

I understand this, and no nuclear power station should have been sited in an area such as this close to Tectonic plates.

What I object to is the unnecessary panic that is being caused by inaccurate and nonsensical reports.

The fatality rate for Chernobyl that you quote are based on attributing every single death from cancer to the incident.  That is clearly not correct.

The fact of life is that nuclear activists tend to grossly exaggerate to the point of being nonsensical.  At the same time, Tepco is guilty of covering up or delaying the release of some information. To find the truth of the matter requires individual thought.

You didn't provide a source. I presume that's because it's from one of the more feral actvist sites, and you were embarrassed to divulge that fact.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #28 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 5:54pm
 
# wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 2:54pm:
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 10:45am:
...
Sounds like the engineers stuffed up.
Therein lies one of the most intractable shortcomings of nuclear power: the human element. To quote from the foreword of the book We Almost Lost Detroit: Quote:
Nuclear power is an unforgiving technology. It allows no room for error. Perfection must be achieved if accidents that affect the general public are to be prevented.



I couldn't agree more.

"Perfection must be achieved" and when was that accomplished? Anybody with a sliver of imagination could write a scenario that ends in catastrophe, for any nuclear reactor on the planet. There is one possible contender for the 'Perfect Nuclear Reactor' design award. The sun.

Parked out in space 150,000,000 kilometres away GodCorp's 'The Sun' project beams down more energy per day than mankind has used in its entire existence. Admittedly a bit futuristic at its conception, but mankind has finally caught up enough to be able to tap this virtually inexhaustable supply of free power. So the question regarding building Nuclear energy plants that address all known safety concerns is, 'Why would you'?

The only possible answer is that 'you can't make billions out of a commodity that's available free to everybody.' If energy corporations don't have power stations they go broke.

Let them! This is one time, 'that's the way its always been done around here.' is not an acceptable outcome.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #29 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 6:46pm
 
Grey wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 5:54pm:
# wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 2:54pm:
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 10:45am:
...
Sounds like the engineers stuffed up.
Therein lies one of the most intractable shortcomings of nuclear power: the human element. To quote from the foreword of the book We Almost Lost Detroit: Quote:
Nuclear power is an unforgiving technology. It allows no room for error. Perfection must be achieved if accidents that affect the general public are to be prevented.



I couldn't agree more.

"Perfection must be achieved" and when was that accomplished? Anybody with a sliver of imagination could write a scenario that ends in catastrophe, for any nuclear reactor on the planet. There is one possible contender for the 'Perfect Nuclear Reactor' design award. The sun.

Parked out in space 150,000,000 kilometres away GodCorp's 'The Sun' project beams down more energy per day than mankind has used in its entire existence. Admittedly a bit futuristic at its conception, but mankind has finally caught up enough to be able to tap this virtually inexhaustable supply of free power. So the question regarding building Nuclear energy plants that address all known safety concerns is, 'Why would you'?

The only possible answer is that 'you can't make billions out of a commodity that's available free to everybody.' If energy corporations don't have power stations they go broke.

Let them! This is one time, 'that's the way its always been done around here.' is not an acceptable outcome.


US and Russian analysts have both agreed that even a conventional war that uses non-nuclear weaponry would create a catastrophe if nuclear power stations are targets.

there are about 500 nuclear power plants in the world today. The USA has about 110 spread out over most of its states. Imagine meltdowns at even 20% of these reactors? Its very easy to do with a few conventional bombs or missiles.

Any sort of natural or human made event that threatens the cooling or control systems of these nuclear reactors has global ramifications.

The 1859 Solar storm (the Carrington event) wiped out every electrical device on the planet at the time (although there weren't many at the time and they had poor shielding).

A similar event today will certainly cause havoc with power transmission, computer systems and communication etc.

Most nuclear power facilities are not equipped to endure such an event.

And such an event will occur sooner or later


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Re: Fukushima
Reply #30 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 6:48pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 5:11pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 4:05pm:
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 10:43am:
Source?

By the way on the subject of low level radiation, there is plenty of evidence that low levels of radiation (between 100mSv and 250mSv/year) actually reduce the risk of cancer due to increased DNA repair. That's including internal and external doses. I mentioned Radium Springs once before, but here's another example:
.


You don't quite understand the local ramifications of INTERNAL exposure to radiation.

Cells in the direct vicinity of a radioactive particle receive orders of magnitude higher doses of radiation than the averaged out external exposure.


Of course I undestand this. I also realise that some elements bioaccumulate while others pass straight through.

Quote:
To suggest that you can gallop into the Japan and gobble up Cs137 laced rice


Cs137 is the least of your worries. It matabolises quite  readily. All depends on the dose of course.

Quote:
and gorge yourself on Plutonium tuna and Americium peaches just because a couple of studies show beneficial effects of radiation, is very disingenuous of you muso - or at least displays a gross lack of understanding of the problem humanity is dealing with.


What is the mechamism for mobilisation of Plutonium? Japan has been living with trace quantities of Pu as a result of the Hiroshima and Nagasaki detonations - but how did the Pu mobilise itself in the case of Fukushima?  The same goes for Am-241, which is a Pu daughter isotope. 

Quote:
You need to explain the inadequacy of the 1950s ICRP model for health risk associated with radiation exposure.

"....Scientific Secretary Emeritus Dr. Jack Valentin, who admits that the ICRP recommendations cannot be applied to post-accident situations and that it is a mistake not to address studies which falsify ICRP's model."

The most thorough risk model that also takes into account internal exposure to radiation is the one used by the European Committee on Radiation Risk (ECRR model)

You need to explain the 1.4 million additional deaths that have resulted from the Chernobyl meltdown and fallout SO FAR.


There is an obvious threshold for radiation dose, as there is with any other toxin. OK, if you're writing a Safety procedure, then the Linear No threshold model is nice and conservative, but it's obviously wrong. The UN accepts that it's wrong and the UNSCEAR, has recently (2012) recommended policies that do not agree with the Linear No-Threshold model at exposure levels below background levels of radiation to the UN General Assembly from the Fifty-Ninth Session of the Committee. Its recommendation states that "the Scientific Committee does not recommend multiplying very low doses by large numbers of individuals to estimate numbers of radiation-induced health effects within a population exposed to incremental doses at levels equivalent to or lower than natural background levels."


Common sense prevails. Anybody who has had anything to do with radiological dose, as I have, knows that this is common sense.

We live on a planet with natural radioactvity. In the geological past, levels have been higher.  Do you deny this? Life has adapted in conjunction with this radiation. In fact there is considerable evidence that errors in DNA replication, lead to mutations, an essential ingredient for evolution. There is also evidence that low levels of radiation has a healing effect. The healing springs at Radium, Canada were well known for their effectiveness in healing minor and not so minor illnesses including rheumatism and arthritis.

Evidence from the  survivors of Hiroshima showed that those with low doses of radiation were less likely to develop cancers, and that the response to dose was anything but linear. 

Chimp,  I am not defending the Nuclear Industry. There were obvious flaws in the planning of the siting of Fukushima 1, obvious problems in the way that Tepco has dealt with the situations, and vast chasms in their Risk Communication strategy.

I understand this, and no nuclear power station should have been sited in an area such as this close to Tectonic plates.

What I object to is the unnecessary panic that is being caused by inaccurate and nonsensical reports.

The fatality rate for Chernobyl that you quote are based on attributing every single death from cancer to the incident.  That is clearly not correct.

The fact of life is that nuclear activists tend to grossly exaggerate to the point of being nonsensical.  At the same time, Tepco is guilty of covering up or delaying the release of some information. To find the truth of the matter requires individual thought.

You didn't provide a source. I presume that's because it's from one of the more feral actvist sites, and you were embarrassed to divulge that fact. 


The bulk of what you cited in the above post is standard Nuclear spin.

Check out the REAL independent peer reviewed literature.

Just like you do with AGW and climate change etc
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #31 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 7:16pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 6:48pm:
The bulk of what you cited in the above post is standard Nuclear spin.

Check out the REAL independent peer reviewed literature.

Just like you do with AGW and climate change etc


Chimp, You are the one denying science here. UNSCEAR is to the IPCC as Chris Busby and Arnie Gundersen are to Christopher Monckton and David Evans.  They are the lone eccentrics trying to baffle brains with bullsh1t.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #32 - Dec 5th, 2013 at 8:42pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 7:16pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 6:48pm:
The bulk of what you cited in the above post is standard Nuclear spin.

Check out the REAL independent peer reviewed literature.

Just like you do with AGW and climate change etc


Chimp, You are the one denying science here. UNSCEAR is to the IPCC as Chris Busby and Arnie Gundersen are to Christopher Monckton and David Evans.  They are the lone eccentrics trying to baffle brains with bullsh1t.


You are coupling your emotional attachment to nuclear to the very spin they publish.

Lets examine your METABOLISM of Cs137 under the primal logic microscope shall we.

There is a FUNDAMENTAL difference between a stray Cs137 atom moving through your blood stream and being excreted via the Kidney system AND a hot particle of Cs137 (or rather a cocktail of radionuclides) being inhaled and lodging into lung tissue whereby it can irradiate the surrounding cells with highly energetic beta particles.

To dismiss the dangers of Cs137 which lingers in the environment for up to 600 years, based upon a "pseudo-physiological half life" only reveals your adhesion to spin in order to support your UN-SUPPORTABLE stance.

By your reasoning, we should all travel to Japan and consume as much food as possible that is contaminated with Cs137 so that we can biologically neutralise it.

So perhaps you can explain to everyone in here how the human body can METABOLISE a hot particle of Cs137 that has lodged inside the lung. A particle say 1 micron in diameter?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #33 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:43am
 
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #34 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 2:00pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 8:42pm:
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 7:16pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 6:48pm:
The bulk of what you cited in the above post is standard Nuclear spin.

Check out the REAL independent peer reviewed literature.

Just like you do with AGW and climate change etc


Chimp, You are the one denying science here. UNSCEAR is to the IPCC as Chris Busby and Arnie Gundersen are to Christopher Monckton and David Evans.  They are the lone eccentrics trying to baffle brains with bullsh1t.


You are coupling your emotional attachment to nuclear to the very spin they publish.

Lets examine your METABOLISM of Cs137 under the primal logic microscope shall we.

There is a FUNDAMENTAL difference between a stray Cs137 atom moving through your blood stream and being excreted via the Kidney system AND a hot particle of Cs137 (or rather a cocktail of radionuclides) being inhaled and lodging into lung tissue whereby it can irradiate the surrounding cells with highly energetic beta particles.

To dismiss the dangers of Cs137 which lingers in the environment for up to 600 years, based upon a "pseudo-physiological half life" only reveals your adhesion to spin in order to support your UN-SUPPORTABLE stance.

By your reasoning, we should all travel to Japan and consume as much food as possible that is contaminated with Cs137 so that we can biologically neutralise it.

So perhaps you can explain to everyone in here how the human body can METABOLISE a hot particle of Cs137 that has lodged inside the lung. A particle say 1 micron in diameter?


What chemical form does this Cesium-137 take, Chimp? Are we talking Cesium metal?

Think it through, if you have enough chemistry.

Here's a hint - There were these two Cesium atoms wafting down the street. One says to the other

- I think I lost an electron.
- Are you sure?
- Yes, I'm
positive.

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #35 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 3:36pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 2:00pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 8:42pm:
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 7:16pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 5th, 2013 at 6:48pm:
The bulk of what you cited in the above post is standard Nuclear spin.

Check out the REAL independent peer reviewed literature.

Just like you do with AGW and climate change etc


Chimp, You are the one denying science here. UNSCEAR is to the IPCC as Chris Busby and Arnie Gundersen are to Christopher Monckton and David Evans.  They are the lone eccentrics trying to baffle brains with bullsh1t.


You are coupling your emotional attachment to nuclear to the very spin they publish.

Lets examine your METABOLISM of Cs137 under the primal logic microscope shall we.

There is a FUNDAMENTAL difference between a stray Cs137 atom moving through your blood stream and being excreted via the Kidney system AND a hot particle of Cs137 (or rather a cocktail of radionuclides) being inhaled and lodging into lung tissue whereby it can irradiate the surrounding cells with highly energetic beta particles.

To dismiss the dangers of Cs137 which lingers in the environment for up to 600 years, based upon a "pseudo-physiological half life" only reveals your adhesion to spin in order to support your UN-SUPPORTABLE stance.

By your reasoning, we should all travel to Japan and consume as much food as possible that is contaminated with Cs137 so that we can biologically neutralise it.

So perhaps you can explain to everyone in here how the human body can METABOLISE a hot particle of Cs137 that has lodged inside the lung. A particle say 1 micron in diameter?


What chemical form does this Cesium-137 take, Chimp? Are we talking Cesium metal?

Think it through, if you have enough chemistry.

Here's a hint - There were these two Cesium atoms wafting down the street. One says to the other

- I think I lost an electron.
- Are you sure?
- Yes, I'm
positive.



Cs137 mimicks Potassium when it enters the blood stream. its predominantly a Muscle seeking substance.

Sr90 emulates Calcium and is a bone tissue seeking radionuclide.

Do you know what Uranium and Plutonium like doing when they enter body mr muso?

Check out where Cs and Sr are in the periodic table Mr Muso,

Now you haven't answered my question on Cs137 metabolism and its relevance to Cs particles being lodged in organs such as the Lungs or intestine wall etc.

I hope youre not avoiding the question mr muso

We wouldn't to hear crickets again now would be mr muso


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Re: Fukushima
Reply #36 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 3:37pm
 
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #37 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 5:30pm
 
Chimp,

I apologize for the fact that I can't answer every post of your instantaneously. It stems from tha fact that I have a life.  I know that Cesium is the most electropositive of all elements. I don't know if you know the implications of that or not. Cesium and Iodine were both present in the Fukushima fallout because they are volatile. Cesium metal melts at 28 degrees. If you add a grain of Cesium metal to water, it reacts explosively. In the case of fallout, it is present either in volatile salt form, such as Cesium Iodide or it reacts to form oxides and hydroxides.

Now one of the implications of the electropositivity of Cesium is that all its salts and compounds are soluble. THe smallest grain of fallout containing Cs compounds will dissolve in droplets of water. In fact CsOH is deliquescent.  It attracts moisture from the air. Typically you can tell if there has been a reactor malfunction by the characteristic red stains, and if you see purple gas, the steps you should take can be summarised as large and away from the area.

Why do you think that is?

I don't know why you're talking about Uranium and Plutonium. These were major problems at Chernobyl, mainly due to the graphite fires that provided a mechanism for their mobilisation.

So anybody who talks about particles of Cesium in the lungs is only good for doing the odd bit of paper shuffling. Arnie Gundersen's nuclear experience consisted of paper shuffling, so it sounds like the sort of uninformed utterance that he would come up with. They are certainly not competent to call themselves experts in radiological science.

I see that you're still cringing about revealing your sources.   
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #38 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:38pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 5:30pm:
Chimp,

I apologize for the fact that I can't answer every post of your instantaneously. It stems from tha fact that I have a life.  I know that Cesium is the most electropositive of all elements. I don't know if you know the implications of that or not. Cesium and Iodine were both present in the Fukushima fallout because they are volatile. Cesium metal melts at 28 degrees. If you add a grain of Cesium metal to water, it reacts explosively. In the case of fallout, it is present either in volatile salt form, such as Cesium Iodide or it reacts to form oxides and hydroxides.

Now one of the implications of the electropositivity of Cesium is that all its salts and compounds are soluble. THe smallest grain of fallout containing Cs compounds will dissolve in droplets of water. In fact CsOH is deliquescent.  It attracts moisture from the air. Typically you can tell if there has been a reactor malfunction by the characteristic red stains, and if you see purple gas, the steps you should take can be summarised as large and away from the area.

Why do you think that is?

I don't know why you're talking about Uranium and Plutonium. These were major problems at Chernobyl, mainly due to the graphite fires that provided a mechanism for their mobilisation.

So anybody who talks about particles of Cesium in the lungs is only good for doing the odd bit of paper shuffling. Arnie Gundersen's nuclear experience consisted of paper shuffling, so it sounds like the sort of uninformed utterance that he would come up with. They are certainly not competent to call themselves experts in radiological science.

I see that you're still cringing about revealing your sources.   


One of the explosions at Fukushima was a moderated PROMPT criticality that produced a shock wave which propagated at greater than the speed of sound.

And we all know what sort of explosion that is don't we muso.

A detonation, (not a deflagration)

no nuclear power reactor containment in the world is designed for detonation type explosions.

why would that be the case mr muso?

(You have until early march 2016 to explain how the body metabolises a particle of cesium137 that has lodged in one of the organs of the body - say the lung. I will try to endure the skunk stench that you are currently emitting into the ether, but I cannot promising anything mr muso)
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #39 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:49pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:38pm:
One of the explosions at Fukushima was a moderated PROMPT criticality that produced a shock wave which propagated at greater than the speed of sound.

And we all know what sort of explosion that is don't we muso.

A detonation, (not a deflagration)


Utter horse feathers. It was a hydrogen gas explosion. You are actually believing Chris Busby and Arnie Gundersen. (First signs of insanity)

Chimp, I challenge you to stop reading that crap, and read some real scientific papers by independent writers.

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn21139-fukushima-scare-prompts-look-at-crit...


Quote:
(You have until early march 2016 to explain how the body metabolises a particle of cesium137 that has lodged one of the organs of the body - say the lung. I will try to endure the skunk stench that you are currently emitting into the ether, but I cannot promising anything mr muso)


Chimp,

READ MY PREVIOUS POST AND TRY TO UNDERSTAND!


What would happen if a 1 micron sized particle of icing sugar "lodged" in your lung? Hmmmm?

Do you have any vestigial common sense ?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #40 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:51pm
 
[/quote]
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #41 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:56pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:49pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:38pm:
One of the explosions at Fukushima was a moderated PROMPT criticality that produced a shock wave which propagated at greater than the speed of sound.

And we all know what sort of explosion that is don't we muso.

A detonation, (not a deflagration)


Utter horse feathers. It was a hydrogen gas explosion.


Quote:
(You have until early march 2016 to explain how the body metabolises a particle of cesium137 that has lodged one of the organs of the body - say the lung. I will try to endure the skunk stench that you are currently emitting into the ether, but I cannot promising anything mr muso)


Chimp,

READ MY PREVIOUS POST AND TRY TO UNDERSTAND!


What would happen if a 1 micron sized particle of icing sugar "lodged" in your lung? Hmmmm?

Do you have any common sense ?


Which explosion are you referring to? there were 3.

Why do you comment on things you haven't even examined.

If you want download the footage of the EXPLOSION in question, and estimate the speed of the explosion front.

Traveling at greater than the speed of sound implies its a detonation.

There was also a moderated prompt criticality at Chernobyl too.

This has been confirmed by the Russians, via isotopic ratio analysis

Its not secret muso

you're starting to embarrass yourself now - see what happens when you comment on things you know very little about?

(you do realise that there was MOX fuel, at the Fukushima reactor facility? You do know what it is don't you muso?)
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #42 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:03pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:56pm:
Which explosion are you referring to? there were 3.



It was the explosion at the Number 2 reactor at Fukushima #1 that you're talking about.
Quote:
There was also a moderated prompt criticality at Chernobyl too.


There, I corrected your statement. No charge.

Quote:
Why do you comment on things you haven't even examined.


While you were  latching on to every word that fool Gundersen was uttering, I was watching the disaster unfold on a day by day basis, and I was also party to information that you didn't have.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #43 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:06pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:03pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 8:56pm:
Which explosion are you referring to? there were 3.



It was the explosion at the Number 2 reactor at Fukushima #1 that you're talking about.
Quote:
There was also a moderated prompt criticality at Chernobyl too.


There, I corrected your statement. No charge.


nope - reactor 3, the MOX fuel reactor



explosion front traveling at greater than the speed of sound - detonation, not a deflagration.

A moderated prompt criticality occured
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #44 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:10pm
 
There would have been a neutron surge if that had happened.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #45 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:23pm
 
Where is your evidence that there was widespread contamination with Uranium and/or Plutonium?

Quote:
explosion front traveling at greater than the speed of sound - detonation, not a deflagration.

A moderated prompt criticality occured


All explosions have a velocity greater than the speed of sound. It was an explosion caused by hydrogen combusting. The fact that it was propagated at greater than the speed of sound does not preclude what actually happened.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #46 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:31pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:10pm:
There would have been a neutron surge if that had happened.


...and a very specific isotopic ratio signature

remember we are talking about a MODERATED prompt criticality - not a nuclear detonation using almost pure Uranium or Plutonium.

Fuel in new unused reactor fuel bundles are typically less than 5% Uranium (or MOX - mixed Oxide fuel, of Uranium and Plutonium)

The theory floating around, is that the spent fuel pool in reactor 3 ran dry. (cant get the Japanese or Tepco to release data and information for obvious reasons)

TEPCO in the early 2000's was heavily fined by the Japanese Nuclear regulatory body. TEPCO were found guilty of falsifying safety and engineering data during an inspection and report, at the Fukushima facility.

The Yakuza (Japanese equivalent of the Mafia) have been given authority (and BIG money) to recruit personnel to work at Fukushima - once these workers become sick or reach maximum exposure levels, they are told to leave or sacked)

The whole situation is a disgrace
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #47 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:35pm
 
incidentally, Neutron bursts were detected over a dozen times emanating from the crippled Fukushima plant - as far as a mile away

I wonder where these neutrons came from muso?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #48 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:43pm
 
before I vanish muso, (I need to go out for a late dinner)

Cl-38 was also detected at Fukushima.

Looks like the natural chlorine37 found in the sea water that TEPCO was pumping in to cool the melted coriums, was turning into Cl38 (which doenst exist naturally)

I wonder where the neutrons where coming from for Cl37 to be converted to Cl38?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #49 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:58pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
incidentally, Neutron bursts were detected over a dozen times emanating from the crippled Fukushima plant - as far as a mile away

I wonder where these neutrons came from muso?


LOL - ok, give me the "source" of this information. I have a hunch where this gem came from. Hint: Cf-98.

Here is the official report. What do you make of it as a layman?

http://fukushimafaq.wikispaces.com/file/view/rst+assessment+26march11.pdf

(probably the same as Gundersen did, since he's a layman too.)
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #50 - Dec 6th, 2013 at 10:01pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:43pm:
before I vanish muso, (I need to go out for a late dinner)

Cl-38 was also detected at Fukushima.

Looks like the natural chlorine37 found in the sea water that TEPCO was pumping in to cool the melted coriums, was turning into Cl38 (which doenst exist naturally)

I wonder where the neutrons where coming from for Cl37 to be converted to Cl38?


Spontaneous fission. Remember that at one stage, they were adding salt water directly to Unit 1 in an effort to maintain coolant levels. The CL-138 was detected in Unit 1.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #51 - Dec 7th, 2013 at 7:28am
 
muso wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:58pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
incidentally, Neutron bursts were detected over a dozen times emanating from the crippled Fukushima plant - as far as a mile away

I wonder where these neutrons came from muso?


LOL - ok, give me the "source" of this information. I have a hunch where this gem came from. Hint: Cf-98.

Here is the official report. What do you make of it as a layman?

http://fukushimafaq.wikispaces.com/file/view/rst+assessment+26march11.pdf

(probably the same as Gundersen did, since he's a layman too.)


How do you figure that Muso, given his background -


Arnold "Arnie" Gundersen is a nuclear power expert, nuclear power whistleblower and a former nuclear industry executive and engineer with over 30 years of experience.

Gundersen questioned the safety of the Westinghouse AP1000, a proposed third-generation nuclear reactor and has expressed concerns about the operation of the Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Plant. He served as an expert witness in the investigation of the Three Mile Island accident and has provided commentary on the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster.

Gundersen is a graduate of the Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (1971), with a B.A. in nuclear engineering, and holds a master's degree in nuclear engineering, gained on an Atomic Energy Commission Fellowship (1972).

From 1972 to 1976 Gundersen worked at the Northeast Utilities Service Corporation as a nuclear engineer; and from 1976 to 1979 at New York State Electric & Gas as an engineering supervisor. From 1979 to 1990 Gundersen was employed at Nuclear Energy Services, a Danbury, Connecticut-based consulting firm. Gundersen served as an expert witness in the investigation of the 1979 Three Mile Island accident.

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #52 - Dec 7th, 2013 at 9:13am
 
muso wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:58pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
incidentally, Neutron bursts were detected over a dozen times emanating from the crippled Fukushima plant - as far as a mile away

I wonder where these neutrons came from muso?


LOL - ok, give me the "source" of this information. I have a hunch where this gem came from. Hint: Cf-98.

Here is the official report. What do you make of it as a layman?

http://fukushimafaq.wikispaces.com/file/view/rst+assessment+26march11.pdf

(probably the same as Gundersen did, since he's a layman too.)


Arnie Gundersen is a layman?


Chief Engineer

Fairewinds Associates, Inc 

Privately Held; 1-10 employees; Legal Services industry

2004 – Present (9 years)

I am a nuclear reliability expert with 39-years of nuclear power engineering experience. I have Bachelor's and Master's Degrees in nuclear engineering, hold a nuclear safety patent, and was a
licensed reactor operator
. Currently testify and consult with State Governments, NGO's and individual clients in the US, Canada, and overseas.


Do you how difficult it is to get a license to operate a nuclear power reactor muso? Even in the corrupt USA?


Now are you going to explain how a lodged hot particle in an organ of the body metabolises? Or do I need to take the crickets out again?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #53 - Dec 7th, 2013 at 9:34am
 
perceptions_now wrote on Dec 7th, 2013 at 7:28am:
muso wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:58pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 6th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
incidentally, Neutron bursts were detected over a dozen times emanating from the crippled Fukushima plant - as far as a mile away

I wonder where these neutrons came from muso?


LOL - ok, give me the "source" of this information. I have a hunch where this gem came from. Hint: Cf-98.

Here is the official report. What do you make of it as a layman?

http://fukushimafaq.wikispaces.com/file/view/rst+assessment+26march11.pdf

(probably the same as Gundersen did, since he's a layman too.)


How do you figure that Muso, given his background -


Arnold "Arnie" Gundersen is a nuclear power expert, nuclear power whistleblower and a former nuclear industry executive and engineer with over 30 years of experience.

Gundersen questioned the safety of the Westinghouse AP1000, a proposed third-generation nuclear reactor and has expressed concerns about the operation of the Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Plant. He served as an expert witness in the investigation of the Three Mile Island accident and has provided commentary on the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster.

Gundersen is a graduate of the Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (1971), with a B.A. in nuclear engineering, and holds a master's degree in nuclear engineering, gained on an Atomic Energy Commission Fellowship (1972).

From 1972 to 1976 Gundersen worked at the Northeast Utilities Service Corporation as a nuclear engineer; and from 1976 to 1979 at New York State Electric & Gas as an engineering supervisor. From 1979 to 1990 Gundersen was employed at Nuclear Energy Services, a Danbury, Connecticut-based consulting firm. Gundersen served as an expert witness in the investigation of the 1979 Three Mile Island accident.

Honestly Muso, its like arguing with a denialist (forget the facts if they get in the way of what you want to believe).  Disagree with Gundersen all you please but maintaining this line that he doesn't have to credentials to say what he is saying is just utter bullcrap.  Clearly the Nuclear industry is trying to do to Gundersen what the denialists have been doing to climate scientists and I'm saddened that your pushing the same line Muso.  From what i can tell the only thing Gundersen has done wrong is out the nuclear industry over and over for their wrongs.  No wonder they are hell bent on dirtying him. 

And another thing.  Nobody and I mean nobody with an ounce of common sense would argue for the uninterrupted continuation of the nuclear industry after what has transpired at Fukushima (esp after Chernobyl and the string of nuclear accidents since the 70s).  Its just STUPID.  Has it ever occured to you that in yor keenness to avoid an over-reaction you are ignoring the scale of the disaster at Fukushima.  Its not as if this is an airplane that has gone down or a building that has collapsed.  When something like Fukashima goes wrong, whole tracts of viable working land (and sea) is rendered dangerous for decades (and some times centuries) and vast numbers of people's health is put at risk and in view of all that you are saying "Now, now dont go panicking". FFS!!!  This industry has got to shut down.  By all means after it has shut down do all the talking you like. Gather all the information you like and put your case for a safer industry but in the meantime this industry MUST BE SHUT DOWN!!!!!
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #54 - Dec 7th, 2013 at 9:57am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 7th, 2013 at 9:13am:
Now are you going to explain how a lodged hot particle in an organ of the body metabolises? Or do I need to take the crickets out again?


For a start, your original lodged particle was Cesium. I explained that it's a bit like getting a tiny particle of icing sugar in your lungs. It's incredibly soluble and doesn't lodge there long. Some is coughed up, and some passes through into the bloodstream.

You're obfuscating.

Gundersen inflates his qualifications. The reactor he had a certificate to operate was a small scale research (100 Watt) reactor. It's not particularly difficult to obtain that. The students (of which Gundersen was one) all got a licence.
Quote:
    I got my MS and PhD at RPI a few years after Gundersen was there. RPI’s reactor was donated by the American Locomotive Co and was originally to be used for developing a nuclear train locomotive. It was reconfigured to use as a training reactor that could generate 200 Watts of power — or two big light bulbs worth. It had two means of shutting down: the control Rods with fuel followers could be dropped (removing fuel from the center of the core) and inserting poison. The backup means of shutting the reactor down was to dump the moderator to a holding tank. Yes! Core uncovery was the back up shutdown mechanism

    With 200 watts output and a highly enriched fuel there was no decay heat as in a power reactor. We actually learned about flux distributions by manually taping Cadmium and Silver foils to fuel plates – starting up the reactor and running it for 20 minutes – scramming it – and quickly retrieving the foils (yes handling the fuel elements on a bench) and doing a counting experiment with a gamma spectrometer.

    With a minimum amount of reading and passing an exam, students could become certified as a “Reactor Operator” by AEC and become lab instructors or teaching assistants. This is what Arne did. Getting an SRO for a commercial power reactor requires about two years of training in classrooms and on a simulator, performing numerous observed plant startups and shutdowns, passing a serious license exam.

    Comparing the RPI training reactor certification to an SRO license in a power reactor is ridiculous!

There was no training on ESF systems, reactivity controls, chemistry, decay heat removal, feed water/condensate systems, the turbine and condenser etc.

For him to be parading himself around as an SRO is absurd and he needs to be called down for that.

(Dr John H. Bickel, Formerly of Xcel Energy)
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #55 - Dec 7th, 2013 at 10:11am
 
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Dec 7th, 2013 at 9:34am:
And another thing.  Nobody and I mean nobody with an ounce of common sense would argue for the uninterrupted continuation of the nuclear industry after what has transpired at Fukushima (esp after Chernobyl and the string of nuclear accidents since the 70s).  Its just STUPID.  Has it ever occured to you that in yor keenness to avoid an over-reaction you are ignoring the scale of the disaster at Fukushima.  Its not as if this is an airplane that has gone down or a building that has collapsed.  When something like Fukashima goes wrong, whole tracts of viable working land (and sea) is rendered dangerous for decades (and some times centuries) and vast numbers of people's health is put at risk and in view of all that you are saying "Now, now dont go panicking". for goodness sake!!!  This industry has got to shut down.  By all means after it has shut down do all the talking you like. Gather all the information you like and put your case for a safer industry but in the meantime this industry MUST BE SHUT DOWN!!!!!


Fukushima is an extreme example. However, I'm not denying it was a serious incident.

What I do object to is the over-inflated accounts that come from activists like Gundersen.

Chimp keeps drawing me in to the local situation at Fukushima, probably because its what he likes doing best.

I'm concerned about the over-inflated worldwide effects and the exaggeration of nuclear activists. The sleight of hand of Gundersen in saying - it was not a deflagration - it was a detonation. Hydrogen gas can detonate and propagate faster than the speed of sound. It's a total non sequitur to say that it was therefore a PROMPT Criticality. 

The hydrogen explosion at the Unit 4 SFP di result in damage to the fuel rods and ejection of fuel outside the pond. The neutrons detected outsude the facility were due to these particles, which were subsequently bulldozed into the ground.

Another report of a neutron "source" found a mile away from the plant was literally an industrial "Neutron Source". You might want to Google that, but its used for process control purposes. It's a small piece of hardware that was blown off the superstructure by the hydrogen explosion.

My agenda, if I have one is related to nonsensical reports designed to incite panic in people.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #56 - Dec 7th, 2013 at 3:25pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 7th, 2013 at 10:11am:
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Dec 7th, 2013 at 9:34am:
And another thing.  Nobody and I mean nobody with an ounce of common sense would argue for the uninterrupted continuation of the nuclear industry after what has transpired at Fukushima (esp after Chernobyl and the string of nuclear accidents since the 70s).  Its just STUPID.  Has it ever occured to you that in yor keenness to avoid an over-reaction you are ignoring the scale of the disaster at Fukushima.  Its not as if this is an airplane that has gone down or a building that has collapsed.  When something like Fukashima goes wrong, whole tracts of viable working land (and sea) is rendered dangerous for decades (and some times centuries) and vast numbers of people's health is put at risk and in view of all that you are saying "Now, now dont go panicking". for goodness sake!!!  This industry has got to shut down.  By all means after it has shut down do all the talking you like. Gather all the information you like and put your case for a safer industry but in the meantime this industry MUST BE SHUT DOWN!!!!!


Fukushima is an extreme example. However, I'm not denying it was a serious incident.

What I do object to is the over-inflated accounts that come from activists like Gundersen.

Chimp keeps drawing me in to the local situation at Fukushima, probably because its what he likes doing best.

I'm concerned about the over-inflated worldwide effects and the exaggeration of nuclear activists. The sleight of hand of Gundersen in saying - it was not a deflagration - it was a detonation. Hydrogen gas can detonate and propagate faster than the speed of sound. It's a total non sequitur to say that it was therefore a PROMPT Criticality. 




...a MODERATED prompt criticality (research data on the isotopic ratio analyses)

the "detonation" explosion comment relates to the fact that Nuclear containment standards do not include design specifications for DETONATION type explosions.

Why are so concerned about what Arnie Gundersen says in public? He is after all only a

LAYMAN


In reality Arnie Gundersen is a pro nuclear industry professional, and his Fukushima comments have been relatively conservative and mild.




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Re: Fukushima
Reply #57 - Dec 7th, 2013 at 4:01pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 7th, 2013 at 3:25pm:
muso wrote on Dec 7th, 2013 at 10:11am:
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Dec 7th, 2013 at 9:34am:
And another thing.  Nobody and I mean nobody with an ounce of common sense would argue for the uninterrupted continuation of the nuclear industry after what has transpired at Fukushima (esp after Chernobyl and the string of nuclear accidents since the 70s).  Its just STUPID.  Has it ever occured to you that in yor keenness to avoid an over-reaction you are ignoring the scale of the disaster at Fukushima.  Its not as if this is an airplane that has gone down or a building that has collapsed.  When something like Fukashima goes wrong, whole tracts of viable working land (and sea) is rendered dangerous for decades (and some times centuries) and vast numbers of people's health is put at risk and in view of all that you are saying "Now, now dont go panicking". for goodness sake!!!  This industry has got to shut down.  By all means after it has shut down do all the talking you like. Gather all the information you like and put your case for a safer industry but in the meantime this industry MUST BE SHUT DOWN!!!!!


Fukushima is an extreme example. However, I'm not denying it was a serious incident.

What I do object to is the over-inflated accounts that come from activists like Gundersen.

Chimp keeps drawing me in to the local situation at Fukushima, probably because its what he likes doing best.

I'm concerned about the over-inflated worldwide effects and the exaggeration of nuclear activists. The sleight of hand of Gundersen in saying - it was not a deflagration - it was a detonation. Hydrogen gas can detonate and propagate faster than the speed of sound. It's a total non sequitur to say that it was therefore a PROMPT Criticality. 




...a MODERATED prompt criticality (research data on the isotopic ratio analyses)

the "detonation" explosion comment relates to the fact that Nuclear containment standard do not include design specifications for DETONATION type explosions.

Why are so concerned about what Arnie Gundersen says in public? He is after all only a

LAYMAN


In reality Arnie Gundersen is a pro nuclear industry professional, and his Fukushima comments have been relatively conservative and mild.






Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #58 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 8:30am
 
Muso avoids the question again.

Exponential growth of his ego will engulf this entire forum ladies and gentlemen.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #59 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 10:29am
 
....measuring the ratio of two specific Xe isotopes in the plume, enables one to confirm whether a prompt criticality occurred.

The explosion at Reactor 3 was definitely a detonation type explosion (an event that Nuclear power stations do not design for, because detonations aren't supposed to occur)

There are two facts that support the detonation explosion scenario. Firstly there was a red flash seen in  the video when reactor 3 exploded. Deflagration type explosions do not produce red flashes.

Secondly you can estimate the speed of propagation of the explosion front from "frame by frame" video analysis. The estimate confirms a greater than the speed of sound front velocity - ie a detonation.

The Japanese Authorities also found fragments of fuel rods and pellets contaiing Plutonium, Uranium etc, as far away as 5 km from the reactor explosions. These fragments are assumed to be from the reactor 3 explosion.

Americium was also detected in New England. Pu and Am are whats called transnugenics - ie elements heavier than Uranium created in the fission reactions

Don't worry about anything ladies and gentlemen

The Japanese have now passed a secrecy act.

You can be jailed now for basic investigative journalism or making public STATE SECRETS.

(The USA like this development, which explains their silence on the matter)

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #60 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:09pm
 
***********FUKUSHIMA UPDATE************



TEPCO announced that on December 6th 2013, the highest outdoor radiation level was measured since the meltdowns occurred 1000+ days ago (outside reactor building 1).

A Radiation level of 25 S/hr was measured, which would be lethal to Humans if exposed for 20 minutes.

And of course TEPCO have a habit of underestimating their publically released radiation data.

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #61 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:22pm
 
What I often hear is that solar energy can't deliver base load power for industry.

This solar furnace in france, operating since 1970, produces temperatures up to 3,500c. With a set up like that we could smelt the Pilbarra iron mountains on site.

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #62 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:35pm
 
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:22pm:
What I often hear is that solar energy can't deliver base load power for industry.

This solar furnace in france, operating since 1970, produces temperatures up to 3,500c. With a set up like that we could smelt the Pilbarra iron mountains on site.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ac/Four_solaire_001.jpg/40...


SO?? It's a furnace.....can it still smelt stuff at night??
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #63 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 10:29pm
 
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:22pm:
What I often hear is that solar energy can't deliver base load power for industry.

This solar furnace in france, operating since 1970, produces temperatures up to 3,500c. With a set up like that we could smelt the Pilbarra iron mountains on site.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ac/Four_solaire_001.jpg/40...


Solar thermal technology currently delivers electrical power 24/7 (ie base load). Thermal storage using molten salts is well advanced

...

Solar Tower technology where a natural draft is created in a vertical tower, using a glass canopy, is also base load (power drops to about 50% overnight, with heat from the warm ground underneath the canopy releasing its heat at night)

...
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #64 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 11:02pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:22pm:
What I often hear is that solar energy can't deliver base load power for industry.

This solar furnace in france, operating since 1970, produces temperatures up to 3,500c. With a set up like that we could smelt the Pilbarra iron mountains on site.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ac/Four_solaire_001.jpg/40...


SO?? It's a furnace.....can it still smelt stuff at night??


Does it matter?  Grin
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #65 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 11:17pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:22pm:
What I often hear is that solar energy can't deliver base load power for industry.

This solar furnace in france, operating since 1970, produces temperatures up to 3,500c. With a set up like that we could smelt the Pilbarra iron mountains on site.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ac/Four_solaire_001.jpg/40...


SO?? It's a furnace.....can it still smelt stuff at night??


you are aware of thermal storage technology?

You need to keep up with the advances gizmo

ignorance will eat you up in the end and dump your smelly carcass upon the putrid skunk piles of Hades
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #66 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 6:31am
 


Crazy! Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Fortold In 2009 Terminator Movie!
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #67 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 8:35am
 
it_is_the_light wrote on Dec 9th, 2013 at 6:31am:


Crazy! Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Fortold In 2009 Terminator Movie!


I have seen this segment of the movie.

I am sure if you sieve through documentaries, commentaries, movies pre-2011 you will find many "apparent" predictions of the Fukushima meltdowns.

There are similar movies relating to 9/11.

WOW - there is a MAP of Japan showing something happening on the coast NEAR Fukushima.

So what?

Japan has about 53 Nuclear reactors, most of which are on the coast in earth quake zone and susceptible to Tsunamis.

There has always been a real and significant probability of a nuclear disaster in Japan, especially seeing as Japan sits right on the RING of FIRE - the worlds most seismically active region in the world (especially with respect to the REALL BIG earth quakes 8+, and on 3/11 Japan was slammed with a 9+ earth quake)
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #68 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 10:43am
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:35pm:


SO?? It's a furnace.....can it still smelt stuff at night?? [/quote]

Let me address this less dismissively. In 1975 a small group of pot smoking back to the Earth hippies, (I was not one of them) were in reciept of a letter from PowerCorp.  It told them the cost of bringing a power line through the bush to their commune would be around $80,000.

They decided to go solar with a six volt system and half a dozen extelecom batteries. They decided to put their estimated savings into an account to upgrade when necessary. Within a couple of years they went to 240volts. within ten years they stopped saving money because they had no need.

These days they have the most computer driven agricultural system i know of, with ground sensors turning on irrigation at need. They are high energy users.

http://permaculturewest.org.au/ipc6/ch09/mcmahon/index.html

Now if a bunch of hippies surrounded by forest can be self sufficient in virtually free power, why cant every suburban block?

That leaves industry with smelting being one of the biggest draws on power. Now why would it matter if the smelting furnace only ran during the day? Couldn't you have two or one twice as big? You're running on free energy with none lost in a grid. Nice shiny clean steelworks that doesn't cost the Earth. What's not to like? What are you a vampire? Grin
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #69 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 2:40pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 10:29pm:
...
Solar Tower technology where a natural draft is created in a vertical tower, ...

Mike Barnard commented on solar towers in Quora: Quote:
For the updraft solar energy tower, here are the challenges:
  1. You have to cover a very large surface area -- 20 square kilometers for 100 MW -- with solar thermal collector in order to create the updraft. This area is rendered unusable for anything else and will pretty much bake the ground underneath. Consider a moderate case for normal wind turbine technology. This would require about 80 3 MW wind turbines at a very achievable 40% capacity factor which would fit in the same area of land without impacting one another but only take up <1% to 2% maximum of the total surface area, allowing the land in between to be used for grazing, crops, hiking, archery practice or just sitting there being green and producing oxygen.
  2. Once again, the tower has to be fairly high in order to maximize the temperature differential and hence the velocity of the air. This is much less of a concern than on the downdraft tower, because it's just a tall tower and you aren't pumping water to the top.
  3. Unlike the downdraft tower, this version only works when the sun is shining, which makes the pumping water problem a bit of a wash.
  4. Laminar turbulence loss of energy in devices like this is always much higher in reality than models and simulations account for. They don't get the energy out that calculations suggest that they will. While they project very high efficiencies, the reality just won't pan out. Ask a fluid dynamics geek for the variances between simulation and reality in this space sometime; it's enlightening even as your eyes cross.
  5. This technology would have to compete with a modern wind turbine which just basically sits there requiring no water and much, much less maintenance or a modern solar farm, which uses photovoltaic panels to directly turn sunlight into electricity with much less construction and fuss.

So there are some challenges which make it unlikely that this technology will be competitive. What do I think is the trump reason for these not generating electricity in any competitive way?

No one has bothered to build any except for prototypes which have been abandoned.

Smart people reinvent variations of these things fairly often. People get enthused about them, get people to invest, build prototypes which don't work as hoped. The prototypes get abandoned and hopefully get torn down.  There are a few around, and they pop up in speculative fiction occasionally, but they just aren't economically viable in reality.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #70 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 3:50pm
 
Three years on from Japan's nuclear emergency, the fallout continues to spread

WELCOME to Fukushima, where the radiation's so bad it can be fatal within 20 minutes. The tsunami may have happened some 33 months ago, but the fallout just keeps getting worse.

Japanese media is reporting that the intensity of radiation levels in the nuclear powerplant devastated by the earthquake - and subsequent tidal waves - of March 2011 is now at its highest levels ever.
Tens of thousands of people were evacuated from around the Fukushima Daiichi plant following the disaster which sent three of its six reactors critical.

On Friday, Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) reportedly detected the deadly radiation in a duct linking one of the damaged reactor buildings to a 120m tall ventilation pipe.

The radioactivity has been measured at 25 Sieverts (Sv) per hour. A total dose of two Sv is regarded as severe radiation poisoning. Six Sv produces a 100 per cent mortality rate after 30 days of suffering.
Japanese broadcaster NHK reported the duct had been used to divert gas buildups after the disaster. TEPCO says it may still contain radioactive substances.

It's just the latest in a long string of radiation "hotspot" revelations that have been leaking out of the information-firewall thrown up around the shattered nuclear plant since the disaster.
The uranium cores of the reactors have been close to "meltdown", with some burning through their concrete containment walls.



...


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Re: Fukushima
Reply #71 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 3:54pm
 


The water used in a desperate bid to "cool" these fuel rods has been steadily leaking into the soil and seeping into the nearby Pacific Ocean.
This should come as no surprise. Water is being contaminated at a rate of 400 tons per day in order to keep the superheated rods stable.

So what does this mean to Japan's nervous Pacific neighbours?

If Japan has its way, they won't find out.

Japan's parliament has just adopted a controversial new law on protecting "state secrets".


The law allows government ministers to designate as a state secret information related to defence, diplomacy, counterintelligence and counterterrorism.

It's a definition so vague many suspect it's really aimed at tightening the lid on the increasingly embarrassing state of Fukushima.

How much worse can it get? How bad is it so far? Will it affect those as far away as the United States and Australia?

Here's what we know so far:

Fuel-rod removal challenge

Clean-up workers have begun the process of moving 1533 fuel rods from the raised cooling pool in Reactor 4 of the crippled plant. This is considered a vital task as the weakened structure is likely to topple in any future big earthquake.

If it collapses, the fallout would likely be 10 times worse than that experienced in Chernobyl.

This is why Japan regards the raised level of polluted water spilling into the adjacent harbour to be "acceptable".

The process involves 36 volunteers using a crane to reach down into the pool to pluck the fuel assemblies out of the pond and lift them into a waiting protective cask. These are then trucked to a nearby - more secure - storage facility.

The process is expected to last well into 2014.

And that's just for one reactor.

There are three other reactors needing similar attention.

They have similar numbers of fuel rods. All were running at the time of the tsunami and suffered differing degrees of "melt-down".

Digging these molten cores out of the steel-and-concrete cladding designed to contain this style of disaster will not begin until after 2020.


Read more, it's a long article.

http://www.news.com.au/world/three-years-on-from-japans-nuclear-emergency-the-fa...
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #72 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 4:14pm
 
They had to start with Reactor 4, which was not running at the time of the earthquake and tsunami.

They cant enter the main building in Reactor 1,2 and 3 where the full meltdowns occurred.

Imagine North Korea or Iran introduced SECRECY LAWS that imprisoned people for expressing views?

THe USA and the entire WEST is almost totally silent on this new fascist development in Japan - both diplomatically and within the main stream media.

Japanese parliament member was ejected from the chamber for protesting against the introduction of the new SECRECY LAWS in Japan.
...
...

Obama - no problem with events in Japan. The USA have already suspended their constitution and bill of rights through the introduction of the Patriot Acts and NDAA laws.

Obama doesn't really want many Snowdens on his hands.

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #73 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 5:15pm
 
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 11:02pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:22pm:
What I often hear is that solar energy can't deliver base load power for industry.

This solar furnace in france, operating since 1970, produces temperatures up to 3,500c. With a set up like that we could smelt the Pilbarra iron mountains on site.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ac/Four_solaire_001.jpg/40...


SO?? It's a furnace.....can it still smelt stuff at night??


Does it matter?  Grin


Yes actually it DOES...it's a furnace, not a power generation system..
It is NOT in anyway a set up to produce 'base-load' power it's something that uses power, not a thing that generates it.
'
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #74 - Dec 9th, 2013 at 10:32pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 9th, 2013 at 5:15pm:
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 11:02pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:22pm:
What I often hear is that solar energy can't deliver base load power for industry.

This solar furnace in france, operating since 1970, produces temperatures up to 3,500c. With a set up like that we could smelt the Pilbarra iron mountains on site.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ac/Four_solaire_001.jpg/40...


SO?? It's a furnace.....can it still smelt stuff at night??


Does it matter?  Grin


Yes actually it DOES...it's a furnace, not a power generation system..
It is NOT in anyway a set up to produce 'base-load' power it's something that uses power, not a thing that generates it.
'


Yes it uses solar power

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #75 - Dec 10th, 2013 at 9:56am
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 9th, 2013 at 5:15pm:
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 11:02pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:35pm:
Grey wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 9:22pm:
What I often hear is that solar energy can't deliver base load power for industry.

This solar furnace in france, operating since 1970, produces temperatures up to 3,500c. With a set up like that we could smelt the Pilbarra iron mountains on site.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ac/Four_solaire_001.jpg/40...


SO?? It's a furnace.....can it still smelt stuff at night??


Does it matter?  Grin


Yes actually it DOES...it's a furnace, not a power generation system..
It is NOT in anyway a set up to produce 'base-load' power it's something that uses power, not a thing that generates it.
'


Gizmo as I've said and really there's no controversy about it, residential houses can produce more than enough power for their own use. So the 'cant produce base power' argument relates to the enormous draw of industry, in particular furnaces. How can it matter whether furnaces get powered off a grid or simply by focusing solar power directly?

Other than the latter being a hell of a lot cheaper.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #76 - Dec 16th, 2013 at 3:58pm
 
The half life of Cesium-137 is about 30 years.

The rule of thumb for how long a radionuclide takes to decay away to background levels is between 10 to 20 half lives.

So we should expect Cs137 to linger in the environment and in the food chain, for between 300 and 600 years.

You do not want to hear about some of the other LONG-LIVED radionuclides released by the Fukishima meltdowns

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #77 - Dec 17th, 2013 at 8:11pm
 
December 2013

51 naval personnel serving on the USS Ronald Reagan, which was located just off the coast of Fukushima during the nuclear meltdowns, have been diagnosed with cancer.

Many other personnel have also reported a variety of illnesses and conditions.

The USS Ronald Reagan was basically inside the fall out plume. This vessel is equipped with radiation detection equipment. Once the levels climbed to unsafe levels, the USS Ronald Reagan moved away from the Japanese east coast.

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #78 - Dec 24th, 2013 at 7:06am
 


Nuclear Snow! USS Ronald Reagan Sailors Sue TEPCO Over Fukushima Radiation Sickness!

http://nypost.com/2013/12/22/70-navy-sailors-left-sickened-by-radiation-after-ja...

Navy sailors have radiation sickness after Japan rescue
By Laura Italiano and Kerry MurthaDecember 22, 2013 | 6:40am

...

Crew members scrub contaminated snow off the deck of USS Ronald Reagan in March 2011 during a humanitarian mission off tsunami-stricken Japan.
Photo: Getty Images
Navy sailor Lindsay Cooper knew something was wrong when billows of metallic-tasting snow began drifting over USS Ronald Reagan.
“I was standing on the flight deck, and we felt this warm gust of air, and, suddenly, it was snowing,” Cooper recalled of the day in March 2011 when she and scores of crewmates watched a sudden storm blow toward them from the tsunami-torn coast of Fukushima, Japan.
The tall 24-year-old with a winning smile didn’t know it then, but the snow was caused by the freezing Pacific air mixing with a plume of radioactive steam from the city’s shattered nuclear reactor.
Now, nearly three years after their deployment on a humanitarian mission to Japan’s ravaged coast, Cooper and scores of her fellow crew members on the aircraft carrier and a half-dozen other support ships are battling cancers, thyroid disease, uterine bleeding and other ailments.
“We joked about it: ‘Hey, it’s radioactive snow!’ ” Cooper recalled. “I took pictures and video.”
But now “my thyroid is so out of whack that I can lose 60 to 70 pounds in one month and then gain it back the next,” said Cooper, fighting tears. “My menstrual cycle lasts for six months at a time, and I cannot get pregnant. It’s ruined me.”
The fallout of those four days spent off the Fukushima coast has been tragic to many of the 5,000 sailors who were there.
At least 70 have been stricken with some form of radiation sickness, and of those, “at least half . . . are suffering from some form of cancer,” their lawyer, Paul Garner, told The Post Saturday.
“We’re seeing leukemia, testicular cancer and unremitting gynecological bleeding requiring transfusions and other intervention,” said Garner, who is representing 51 crew members suing the Tokyo Electric Power Co., which operates the Fukushima Daiichi energy plant.
“Then you have thyroid polyps, other thyroid diseases,” added Garner, who plans to file an amended lawsuit in federal court in San Diego next month that will bring the number of plaintiffs past 70.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #79 - Dec 24th, 2013 at 8:44pm
 
Mr photon,

Sadly that law suit against TEPCO by the Naval personnel of the USS Ronald Reagan, was thrown out of court just the other day.

There is a another attempt at legal action planned for January 2014
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #80 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 8:11am
 
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/nov/03/climate-scientists-support-nuclear-power

Top climate scientists support the use of safe nuclear power...
Can't argue with that...I mean that's science and is by it's very definition irrefutable...
People who say otherwise are liars...deniers...who would keep from our children a better world...
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #81 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:41am
 
The science is in...nuclear is safe...the top climate scientists agree
Anyone who says different is a denier terrorist.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #82 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:59am
 
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:41am:
The science is in...nuclear is safe...the top climate scientists agree
...
In what proportion?

It seems to me that, among the best qualified, there's more substantial disagreement on nuclear than there is on Anthropogenic Global Warming.

For mine, nuclear is less a solution than a different set of problems.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #83 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 10:11am
 
# wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:59am:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:41am:
The science is in...nuclear is safe...the top climate scientists agree
...
In what proportion?

It seems to me that, among the best qualified, there's more substantial disagreement on nuclear than there is on Anthropogenic Global Warming.

For mine, nuclear is less a solution than a different set of problems.


Not quite sure of the the exact scientific basis and parameters of "It seems to me" and "for mine"...
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #84 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 12:15pm
 
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 10:11am:
# wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:59am:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:41am:
The science is in...nuclear is safe...the top climate scientists agree
...
In what proportion?

It seems to me that, among the best qualified, there's more substantial disagreement on nuclear than there is on Anthropogenic Global Warming.

For mine, nuclear is less a solution than a different set of problems.


Not quite sure of the the exact scientific basis and parameters of "It seems to me" and "for mine"...
So you're confused. At least you're consistent.

I take it you have no clue about the proportion of Climate scientists who advocate nuclear. What's the point of a datum if you're ignorant of its significance?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #85 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 5:36pm
 
Well, if it's factual evidence you're after:

muso wrote on Dec 3rd, 2013 at 11:49am:
http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/03/deaths-per-twh-for-all-energy-sources.html

Deaths per TWh for all energy sources. Rooftop solar is actually more dangerous that Chernobyl.

Energy Source              Death Rate (deaths per TWh)

Coal – world average               161 (26% of world energy, 50% of electricity)
Coal – China                       278
Coal – USA                         15
Oil                                36  (36% of world energy)
Natural Gas                         4  (21% of world energy)
Biofuel/Biomass                    12
Peat                               12
Solar (rooftop)                     0.44 (less than 0.1% of world energy)
Wind                                0.15 (less than 1% of world energy)
Hydro                               0.10 (europe death rate, 2.2% of world energy)
Hydro - world including Banqiao)    1.4 (about 2500 TWh/yr and 171,000 Banqiao dead)
Nuclear                             0.04 (5.9% of world energy)


Even with the major incidents at Fukushima and Chernobyl, Nuclear wins hands down as the safest method of electricity generation.

Also:
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/nov/03/climate-scientists-support-nu...

Quote:
Top US climate scientists support development of safe nuclear power
Open letter to environmentalists and world leaders says wind and solar power are not enough to diminish carbon emissions

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...
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #86 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 6:49pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 5:36pm:
Well, if it's factual evidence you're after:

[quote author=muso link=1385983189/10#10 date=1386035370]http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/03/deaths-per-twh-for-all-energy-sources.html

Deaths per TWh for all energy sources. Rooftop solar is actually more dangerous that Chernobyl.

Energy Source              Death Rate (deaths per TWh)

Coal – world average               161 (26% of world energy, 50% of electricity)
Coal – China                       278
Coal – USA                         15
Oil                                36  (36% of world energy)
Natural Gas                         4  (21% of world energy)
Biofuel/Biomass                    12
Peat                               12
Solar (rooftop)                     0.44 (less than 0.1% of world energy)
Wind                                0.15 (less than 1% of world energy)
Hydro                               0.10 (europe death rate, 2.2% of world energy)
Hydro - world including Banqiao)    1.4 (about 2500 TWh/yr and 171,000 Banqiao dead)
Nuclear                             0.04 (5.9% of world energy)


Even with the major incidents at Fukushima and Chernobyl, Nuclear wins hands down as the safest method of electricity generation.

Also:
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/nov/03/climate-scientists-support-nu...

Quote:
Top US climate scientists support development of safe nuclear power
Open letter to environmentalists and world leaders says wind and solar power are not enough to diminish carbon emissions



I just plain don't accept those figures Muso, they just fly in the face of my perceived reality. I mean if solar energy makes up less than 0.01 % of world energy use what's with the apparent abundance of solar powered gadgets, roof top panels, solar energy installers etc etc? Seems to mke somebody can't see the solar energy industry through the pile of their own bullshyte.

Now if I was to google Fatal accidents Nuclea power, I figure I'd get a number. If I googled Fatal Accidents solar power, I'd get another numbert. I very much doubt that those numbers would have much bearing on each other. For instance somebody falling off a roof because of their own amateur hour clumsiness doesn't strike me as attributable to solar energy while somebody going down with radiation sickness due to a meltdown at a nuclear power plant is not attributable to anything but nuclear energy.

A 'meltdown' I remember when that was just a science fictional concept, not an annual event. 
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #87 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 7:05pm
 
Does the death rate for nuclear take into account all the people killed by Godzilla?





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Re: Fukushima
Reply #88 - Dec 30th, 2013 at 8:48pm
 
Grey wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 6:49pm:
Now if I was to google Fatal accidents Nuclea power, I figure I'd get a number. If I googled Fatal Accidents solar power, I'd get another numbert. I very much doubt that those numbers would have much bearing on each other. For instance somebody falling off a roof because of their own amateur hour clumsiness doesn't strike me as attributable to solar energy while somebody going down with radiation sickness due to a meltdown at a nuclear power plant is not attributable to anything but nuclear energy.

A 'meltdown' I remember when that was just a science fictional concept, not an annual event. 


Was that a question? Apparently they cause fires. Houses burn down, killing people.

Not many people have died from exposure to ionising radiation.  Maybe a few develop thyroid cancer, but of them, very few actually die from it.

The link is provided at the web site. It seems quite rigorous.
Quote:
I just plain don't accept those figures Muso, they just fly in the face of my perceived reality.


Therein lies the problem. Not your perception, but the general perception.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #89 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 12:24pm
 
Recently released Soviet documents estimate that at least 450,000 people died post Chernobyl fallout (military and civilian deaths).

The NY Academy of Sciences Report on Chernobyl fallout deaths from 1986 to 2003, put the fatality rate at 985,000.

One needs to distinguish between external and internal exposure to radionuclides and ionisation.

There is a Non-Linear zero threshold safety limit for exposure to radiation. And the risk to ones health caused by exposure to external/internal ionising radiation is CUMMULATIVE.

What people need to appreciate and come to grips with is the health risks associated with INTERNAl radiation exposure, as well as the Bio-accumulation of radionuclides in the earths biological and non biological systems.

We know from recent German (Kiks) and French studies that the incident of cancer in Children living near nuclear power stations increases significantly.

There is routine emissions of tritium (H3) which is NOT filtered out of nuclear power station waste water streams and air. Tritium is a small atom which is difficult and expensive to filter. It also has a dangerous half life of 12 years and can linger in the environment for 120 to 240 years.

The Northern Hemisphere has a higher level of radiation than the southern hemisphere. Studies confirm that your risk of cancer and other diseases is lower purely by living in the Southern Hemisphere.

There are many apologists in the mass media and even in Academia and industry that disseminate misinformation and deceptive scientific trickery. Beware of their lies and spin. They are equipped immorally like the Tobacco spin doctors and Global Warming denialist priests

So HOW MANY additional deaths have occurred in the global population since WW2 that can be attributed to the exposure of internal and external radiation?

cheers
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #90 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 12:54pm
 
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 8:11am:
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/nov/03/climate-scientists-support-nuclear-power

Top climate scientists support the use of
safe
nuclear power
...


That's an Oxymoron.

Its not possible to run the nuclear power industry safely. "SAFE" long term Nuclear waste disposal and management is also technologically impossible.

I defy you to find a nuclear scientist/engineer in the world today that denies the science of Global warming and climate change.

Have you ever wondered why?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #91 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 2:06pm
 
Nuclear power is dangerous and must be stopped, meanwhile car driving is much safer and only killed a million people last year  Grin
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #92 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 3:47pm
 
Innocent bystander wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 2:06pm:
Nuclear power is dangerous and must be stopped, meanwhile car driving is much safer and only killed a million people last year  Grin



For once, you've said something that makes sense.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #93 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 3:57pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 12:24pm:
The NY Academy of Sciences Report on Chernobyl fallout deaths from 1986 to 2003, put the fatality rate at 985,000.


You keep regurgitating this nonsense.

1. It wasn't the NY Academy of Science Report. It was published by their publishing house but they distance themselves from it. It was a compilation of a number of very questionable and shonky reports.

2. The UNSCEAR have categorically stated that you can't multiply miniscule exposures below background radiation by huge populations to arrive at mortality figures.

3. You can't take every person who dies of cancer and attribute it to Chermnobyl. People die of cancer all the time.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #94 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 4:04pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 12:54pm:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 8:11am:
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/nov/03/climate-scientists-support-nuclear-power

Top climate scientists support the use of
safe
nuclear power
...


That's an Oxymoron.

Its not possible to run the nuclear power industry safely. "SAFE" long term Nuclear waste disposal and management is also technologically impossible.


Technological bullsh1t

Quote:
I defy you to find a nuclear scientist/engineer in the world today that denies the science of Global warming and climate change.

Have you ever wondered why?


Maybe because they understand basic physics.

- Maybe because they would lose credibility if they were to deny the First Law of Themodynamics.

Mind you, I'm sure that Arnie Gundersen would be happy to deny the First Law of Thermodynamics for a fee. He seems to treat basic radiological science with a cavalier anti-nuclear advocacy perspective.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #95 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 5:12pm
 
some people in here froth at the mouth and behave like an AGW denialist

Its funny how people can selectively sell out their principles and adherence to rationale to support or refute a cause/concept.

Fortunately its not a common trait amongst genuine scientists.

the battle continues.....

as it must, because the flow of lies is never ceasing
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #96 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 5:28pm
 
New study links nuclear sites to cancer


A Euro MP has called on the Government to release figures after a new study suggested people living near nuclear power stations stood a high risk of developing cancer.

Radiation expert and independent researcher for Green Audit Dr Chris Busby found that children in Chepstow, south Wales, were 11 times more likely to develop myeloid leukaemia than the national average.

Chepstow is just five miles from Oldbury nuclear power station on the banks of the River Severn, which has been found to contain high levels of radioactive particles.

South West MEP Michael Holmes, who commissioned Dr Busby's report, said: "It is imperative that Health Minister Alan Milburn releases data on all cancer incidence down to ward levels as a matter of grave public concern.

"How many more clusters will have to be discovered before this government recognises that its existing models do not address the environmental causes of cancer, particularly the regular, permitted radioactive discharges from nuclear power stations such as Oldbury?

"It's possible the authorities know this is a much bigger threat then they are letting the public know - that's why they don't let the figures out.

"If the data Dr Busby had access to is correct and his mapping is correct it casts grave doubt on the view that nuclear power is safe."

Myeloid leukaemia is a very rare form of cancer which is strongly associated with radiation.

The report shows that three cases of the rare cancer were discovered in children up to the age of four between 1974 and 1990 in Chepstow, compared to the national average of 0.27.

It also shows children in Chepstow run a higher risk of developing all cancers at 3.54 times the national average.

Campaigners believe the findings are comparable with the Sellafield leukaemia cluster which was highlighted in the 1990s.

The study uses data gathered by the Wales Cancer Registry.

Dr Busby pushed for the same data to be released from the South Western Cancer Registry to find out if the incidence of cancer is as high on the English side of the River Severn, but said he was refused on the grounds of patient confidentiality.

He said: "This discovery begs for the immediate release of data for the English side of the river to give the complete picture, especially as Bristol is only eight miles from Oldbury and could be blighted."

Green Audit says it is an independent research consultancy serving the environmental movement.

Anti-nuclear campaigner and co-ordinator of pressure group Stop Hinkley, Jim Duffy described the findings as a "public health scandal" as three million people live within 35 miles of the Oldbury plant.

He said the study proved there was an "overwhelming link" between radiation levels around nuclear power plants and incidence of cancer.

BNFL, which runs Oldbury, was reported to have dismissed Dr Busby's findings.


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-42066/New-study-links-nuclear-sites-cancer.html#ixzz2p2FJnjiw
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #97 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 5:35pm
 
Study: Nuclear Plant Shutdown May Have Led to 4,319 Fewer Cancer Cases


Written by Brian Krans | Published on 28 March 2013

Researchers studying the incident rate of cancer for 20 years after the closing of a nuclear power plant find a noticeable drop in cancer for women, children, and Hispanics.

Cancer and Nuclear Power

Closing a nuclear reactor in California has prevented an estimated 4,319 cases of cancer in the past 20 years, according to a new study released Thursday. Researchers studied the population of the state capitol of Sacramento, an area with more than 1.4 million people living within 25 miles of the Rancho Seco nuclear power plant.................
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #98 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 6:18pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 5:12pm:
some people in here froth at the mouth and behave like an AGW denialist


Yes, you do.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #99 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 10:07pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 3:47pm:
Innocent bystander wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 2:06pm:
Nuclear power is dangerous and must be stopped, meanwhile car driving is much safer and only killed a million people last year  Grin



For once, you've said something that makes sense.



Thankyou, coming from you that means a lot  Cheesy  Grin
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #100 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 12:59pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 3:57pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 12:24pm:
The NY Academy of Sciences Report on Chernobyl fallout deaths from 1986 to 2003, put the fatality rate at 985,000.


You keep regurgitating this nonsense.

1. It wasn't the NY Academy of Science Report. It was published by their publishing house but they distance themselves from it. It was a compilation of a number of very questionable and shonky reports.

2. The UNSCEAR have categorically stated that you can't multiply miniscule exposures below background radiation by huge populations to arrive at mortality figures.

3. You can't take every person who dies of cancer and attribute it to Chermnobyl. People die of cancer all the time.


I can't see anybody putting up reliable figures . I see Muso supporting Innocent Bystanders plucked straight from airyfairy land of a million car deaths a year, (In what country, continent, world or Galaxy he's not saying), and accepting the proposition that a lot of little car accidents are much like a nuclear meltdown. Tell that to the tow truck driver wearing the radiation spill suit.

I'm not much impressed by numbers and statistics because we know how you can juggle those items and make lawyerspeak look like amateur hour. Though to suggest Nuclear is safer than Solar is a giggle.

Look, we all know out here in ignoranceville that even places like Aberdeen in Scotland have cancer clusters caused by being built of natural granite of a type that gives out higher than normal readings of background radiation. So how in hell do you expect me to believe that Chernobyl and fukushima were no big deal after covering most of Europe in radioactive dust that's rendered a great deal of pasture unusable.  The last restrictions lifted in England only in 2012.

http://www.scilogs.com/mmmbitesizescience/british-sheep-and-chernobyl-radiation/

Then you have the potential for catastrophe in wartime, WW3 odds are shortening rapidly, agreed? What's the planet going to look like when the major military targets for the last five years have been Nuclear power stations?

The future has precious little to thank us for now, how bad a legacy do you want us to leave? Not much oil, gas, pottable water, species diversity, fertilizer, but plenty of steaming radioactive piles. Yeah they're gonna think High of us Smiley


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Re: Fukushima
Reply #101 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 1:07pm
 
Grey wrote on Jan 1st, 2014 at 12:59pm:
Look, we all know out here in ignoranceville that even places like Aberdeen in Scotland have cancer clusters caused by being built of natural granite of a type that gives out higher than normal readings of background radiation. So how in hell do you expect me to believe that Chernobyl and fukushima were no big deal after covering most of Europe in radioactive dust that's rendered a great deal of pasture unusable.  The last restrictions lifted in England only in 2012.



Nowhere in my posts have I claimed that Fukushima and Chernobyl were "no big deal".  All I'm saying is that some aspects have been blown way out of proportion.

Coal generated power is obviously more  hazardous than any other form of power generation, certainly in terms of mortality. Do you dispute that?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #102 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 3:25pm
 
muso wrote on Jan 1st, 2014 at 1:07pm:
Grey wrote on Jan 1st, 2014 at 12:59pm:
Look, we all know out here in ignoranceville that even places like Aberdeen in Scotland have cancer clusters caused by being built of natural granite of a type that gives out higher than normal readings of background radiation. So how in hell do you expect me to believe that Chernobyl and fukushima were no big deal after covering most of Europe in radioactive dust that's rendered a great deal of pasture unusable.  The last restrictions lifted in England only in 2012.



Nowhere in my posts have I claimed that Fukushima and Chernobyl were "no big deal".  All I'm saying is that some aspects have been blown way out of proportion.

Coal generated power is obviously more  hazardous than any other form of power generation, certainly in terms of mortality. Do you dispute that?


Well I think I could Wink I mean there's guys and gals out there who'd assure me new gen coal power stations produce less emissions than a passive smoker eating beans. And with multiple fail safe super sensitive canaries the risk of mining is negligible.

Whereas when you use a word like 'Hazard'... It's hard to see anything more potentially hazardous than a nuclear power industry. That's the rub. The potential for catastrophe from nukes is beyond all previous meanings for enormous; looked at from a number of different compass points.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #103 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 3:33pm
 
Even talking about radiological hazards, coal fired generation is much worse than nuclear, by a factor of 50 (conservative estimate).

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=coal-ash-is-more-radioactive-th...

- and that's just the start of it. If you want to look at it from the perspective of climate change, it doesn't bear comparison.
Quote:
Among the surprising conclusions: the waste produced by coal plants is actually more radioactive than that generated by their nuclear counterparts. In fact, the fly ash emitted by a power plant—a by-product from burning coal for electricity—carries into the surrounding environment 100 times more radiation than a nuclear power plant producing the same amount of energy.


By the way, you're right in saying that there are parts of the world where radiation levels are higher than normal by a factor of 100 in some cases.  Two things - natural alpha beta and gamma radiation are identical to those from nuclear accidents. There is also a similar internal radiation risk.

So would you expect an increased cancer risk in areas with 100 times the background radiation?

Well, in most cases, the cancer rate is actually lower in these areas.

Once again, I'm not disputing that Chernobyl and Fukushima were terrible accidents. However Coal Fired Electricity generation kills a lot more people, even including the effects of those accidents.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #104 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 10:51pm
 
....the ignorance and levels of disinformation concerning the dangers of Internal and External radiation is just mind blowing.

The incidence of cancer in Falluja post US depleted Uranium attacks is higher than post Hirsoshima/Nagasaki nukings.

Some food for thought.

And the insane aspect of the Fallujah attacks was that the USA didn't even need to use depleted Uranium tipped weaponry as there were no armoured vehicles or tanks to blow up.

But they used the weapons anyway - contaminating their own military personnel and effectively sprinkling U238 in what was the cradle of civilisation.

There is not a single industrial pursuit which is more insanely irresponsible and self destructive than Nuclear power using fission.

Its defenders are either paid by the industry and so are protecting their own pockets, OR they are morally bankrupt individuals.

Usually both
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #105 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 11:28pm
 
muso wrote on Jan 1st, 2014 at 3:33pm:
Even talking about radiological hazards, coal fired generation is much worse than nuclear, by a factor of 50 (conservative estimate).

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=coal-ash-is-more-radioactive-th...

- and that's just the start of it. If you want to look at it from the perspective of climate change, it doesn't bear comparison.
Quote:
Among the surprising conclusions: the waste produced by coal plants is actually more radioactive than that generated by their nuclear counterparts. In fact, the fly ash emitted by a power plant—a by-product from burning coal for electricity—carries into the surrounding environment 100 times more radiation than a nuclear power plant producing the same amount of energy.


By the way, you're right in saying that there are parts of the world where radiation levels are higher than normal by a factor of 100 in some cases.  Two things - natural alpha beta and gamma radiation are identical to those from nuclear accidents. There is also a similar internal radiation risk.

So would you expect an increased cancer risk in areas with 100 times the background radiation?

Well, in most cases, the cancer rate is actually lower in these areas.

Once again, I'm not disputing that Chernobyl and Fukushima were terrible accidents. However Coal Fired Electricity generation kills a lot more people, even including the effects of those accidents.


Interesting that fly ash thing, kinda counter-intuitive for sure. In actual fact what they're saying is revealed in the somewhat sidetracked and buried final sentence.


Quote:
As a general clarification, ounce for ounce, coal ash released from a power plant delivers more radiation than nuclear waste shielded via water or dry cask storage.


More of them good old rubbery figures.  Grin Let me try some of this surprising but true stuff. - 'A bucket of gold weighs less than a bucket of dried sponge!'

(If the gold was on Jupiter and the sponge was on mercury)


.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #106 - Jan 2nd, 2014 at 5:51am
 
How else would you shield nuclear waste? It's just comparing apples with apples. I guess the ideal solution is to use a synthetic borosilicate glass for mid level wastes.

That stuff is very low risk. It's about as immobilised as you can get - and that's why I objected to  Chimp's proclamation that it was technologically impossible to treat nuclear waste.
It's expensive, but not prohibitively expensive. The problem there, is not with the Nuclear industry, which like any industry will avoid expensive solutions. The problem is with the regulator, which for various reasons avoids prescriptive legislation.

There are also many ways available to concentrate low level radioactive waste to reduce volumes, and to encapsulate it safely to avoid exposure.

Look, in Australia, nuclear energy is not going to happen and personally I'd rather see solar projects in a country where we have an abundance of that particular resource. However it must be said that in other parts of the world it has been very successful. (for example France)
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #107 - Jan 2nd, 2014 at 6:06am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Jan 1st, 2014 at 10:51pm:
....the ignorance and levels of disinformation concerning the dangers of Internal and External radiation is just mind blowing.

The incidence of cancer in Falluja post US depleted Uranium attacks is higher than post Hirsoshima/Nagasaki nukings.

Some food for thought.

And the insane aspect of the Fallujah attacks was that the USA didn't even need to use depleted Uranium tipped weaponry as there were no armoured vehicles or tanks to blow up.

But they used the weapons anyway - contaminating their own military personnel and effectively sprinkling U238 in what was the cradle of civilisation.

There is not a single industrial pursuit which is more insanely irresponsible and self destructive than Nuclear power using fission.

Its defenders are either paid by the industry and so are protecting their own pockets, OR they are morally bankrupt individuals.

Usually both


Again, you're providing yet another red herring. What the US did with "depleted Uranium" munitions in Iraq, amounted to a war crime of enormous proportions. No argument whatsoever. It's highly toxic stuff. Now can we get back on topic?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #108 - Jan 2nd, 2014 at 6:40am
 

Maybe we won't even need the revolution if we are all killed off naturally.


Plumes of mysterious steam rise from crippled nuclear reactor at Fukushima

Fresh plumes of most probably radioactive steam have been detected rising from the reactor 3 building at the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant, said the facility’s operator company.

The steam was first spotted on December 19 for a short period of time, then again on December 24, 25, 27, according to a report TEPCO published on its website.

The company, responsible for the cleanup of the worst nuclear disaster since Chernobyl, has not explained the source of the steam or the reason it is rising from the reactor building. High levels of radiation have complicated entry into the building and further inspection of the situation.

http://rt.com/news/fukushima-steam-nuclear-reactor-064/


Meanwhile, back at the plant.....


Japan's homeless 'recruited' for cleaning up Fukushima nuclear plant


Homeless men are being recruited for one of the most unwanted jobs in the industrialized world - clearing of radioactive fallout at the world's worst nuclear disaster since Chernobyl - the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant, a special report has claimed.

The headhunter supplies homeless people to contractors in the nuclear disaster zone for a reward of $100 per head.

"This is how labor recruiters like me come in every day," Sasa explained, walking past the destitute sleeping on cardboard in the winter cold, on the lookout for those who have
nothing left to lose.


http://rt.com/news/homeless-recruited-fukushima-nuclear-965/

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Re: Fukushima
Reply #109 - Jan 2nd, 2014 at 1:53pm
 
Quote:
Muso - It's just comparing apples with apples.


Oh Muso, Muso, how could you be so wrong?

Unshielded fly ash from a coal power plant is more radioactive than nuclear waste... But only if the waste is shielded thoroughly. That's not getting to the core of the issue, is it?

The core of the issue, is the extraordinary potential for catastrophe that the numerous hazards of the nuclear industry present. Hazards like an unscrupulous government using its nuclear waste as a weapon to lob at enemies. The only way I could believe the US government would do that is because they actually did it.

Why would you support a nuclear industry when there really isn't the faintest need? I mean really, if the nuclear power plant option wasn't there, it's not like we'd run out of power. We'd just concentrate our resources on solar and other clean and green power; as we should be doing.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #110 - Jan 2nd, 2014 at 2:10pm
 
Grey wrote on Jan 2nd, 2014 at 1:53pm:
Quote:
Muso - It's just comparing apples with apples.


Oh Muso, Muso, how could you be so wrong?

Unshielded fly ash from a coal power plant is more radioactive than nuclear waste... But only if the waste is shielded thoroughly. That's not getting to the core of the issue, is it?

The core of the issue, is the extraordinary potential for catastrophe that the numerous hazards of the nuclear industry present. Hazards like an unscrupulous government using its nuclear waste as a weapon to lob at enemies. The only way I could believe the US government would do that is because they actually did it.

Why would you support a nuclear industry when there really isn't the faintest need? I mean really, if the nuclear power plant option wasn't there, it's not like we'd run out of power. We'd just concentrate our resources on solar and other clean and green power; as we should be doing.



There is no such thing as shielded thoroughly.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #111 - Jan 2nd, 2014 at 2:50pm
 
Grey wrote on Jan 2nd, 2014 at 1:53pm:
Quote:
Muso - It's just comparing apples with apples.


Oh Muso, Muso, how could you be so wrong?

Unshielded fly ash from a coal power plant is more radioactive than nuclear waste... But only if the waste is shielded thoroughly. That's not getting to the core of the issue, is it?

The core of the issue, is the extraordinary potential for catastrophe that the numerous hazards of the nuclear industry present. Hazards like an unscrupulous government using its nuclear waste as a weapon to lob at enemies. The only way I could believe the US government would do that is because they actually did it.

Why would you support a nuclear industry when there really isn't the faintest need? I mean really, if the nuclear power plant option wasn't there, it's not like we'd run out of power. We'd just concentrate our resources on solar and other clean and green power; as we should be doing.


You make some excellent and common sense points Grey.

It will be interesting to see the response
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #112 - Jan 2nd, 2014 at 9:56pm
 
I'll respond when I can. I don't have as much spare time these days.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #113 - Jan 3rd, 2014 at 11:33am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Jan 1st, 2014 at 10:51pm:
....the ignorance and levels of disinformation concerning the dangers of Internal and External radiation is just mind blowing.

The incidence of cancer in Falluja post US depleted Uranium attacks is higher than post Hirsoshima/Nagasaki nukings.

Some food for thought.

And the insane aspect of the Fallujah attacks was that the USA didn't even need to use depleted Uranium tipped weaponry as there were no armoured vehicles or tanks to blow up.

But they used the weapons anyway - contaminating their own military personnel and effectively sprinkling U238 in what was the cradle of civilisation.

There is not a single industrial pursuit which is more insanely irresponsible and self destructive than Nuclear power using fission.

Its defenders are either paid by the industry and so are protecting their own pockets, OR they are morally bankrupt individuals.

Usually both


So which one is (Mr AGW) Hanson?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #114 - Jan 3rd, 2014 at 11:47am
 
# wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 12:15pm:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 10:11am:
# wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:59am:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:41am:
The science is in...nuclear is safe...the top climate scientists agree
...
In what proportion?

It seems to me that, among the best qualified, there's more substantial disagreement on nuclear than there is on Anthropogenic Global Warming.

For mine, nuclear is less a solution than a different set of problems.


Not quite sure of the the exact scientific basis and parameters of "It seems to me" and "for mine"...
So you're confused. At least you're consistent.

I take it you have no clue about the proportion of Climate scientists who advocate nuclear. What's the point of a datum if you're ignorant of its significance?


You're a dishonest fraud. Not confused at all just wanting you to define the scientific basis of ":It seems to me" and "for mine" as these are terms that oddly enough don't come up in scientific papers. You might like to answer a question yourself. Blah, Blah, Blah...."97% of the World's Climate Scientists support AGW". You have a funny idea of what constitutes the world and the validity of selectively sent (so not random) volunteer surveys. What proportion came from the USA and Canada?
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #115 - Jan 3rd, 2014 at 3:56pm
 
namnugenot wrote on Jan 3rd, 2014 at 11:47am:
# wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 12:15pm:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 10:11am:
# wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:59am:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:41am:
The science is in...nuclear is safe...the top climate scientists agree
...
In what proportion?

It seems to me that, among the best qualified, there's more substantial disagreement on nuclear than there is on Anthropogenic Global Warming.

For mine, nuclear is less a solution than a different set of problems.


Not quite sure of the the exact scientific basis and parameters of "It seems to me" and "for mine"...
So you're confused. At least you're consistent.

I take it you have no clue about the proportion of Climate scientists who advocate nuclear. What's the point of a datum if you're ignorant of its significance?


You're a dishonest fraud. Not confused at all just wanting you to define the scientific basis of ":It seems to me" and "for mine" as these are terms that oddly enough don't come up in scientific papers. You might like to answer a question yourself. Blah, Blah, Blah...."97% of the World's Climate Scientists support AGW". You have a funny idea of what constitutes the world and the validity of selectively sent (so not random) volunteer surveys. What proportion came from the USA and Canada?

The terms to which you refer connote opinion. You're evidently confusing them with something else. I've not misrepresented them, so I can only assume that your confusion is tactical.
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Re: Fukushima
Reply #116 - Jan 4th, 2014 at 9:00am
 
namnugenot wrote on Jan 3rd, 2014 at 11:47am:
# wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 12:15pm:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 10:11am:
# wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:59am:
namnugenot wrote on Dec 30th, 2013 at 9:41am:
The science is in...nuclear is safe...the top climate scientists agree
...
In what proportion?

It seems to me that, among the best qualified, there's more substantial disagreement on nuclear than there is on Anthropogenic Global Warming.

For mine, nuclear is less a solution than a different set of problems.


Not quite sure of the the exact scientific basis and parameters of "It seems to me" and "for mine"...
So you're confused. At least you're consistent.

I take it you have no clue about the proportion of Climate scientists who advocate nuclear. What's the point of a datum if you're ignorant of its significance?


You're a dishonest fraud. Not confused at all just wanting you to define the scientific basis of ":It seems to me" and "for mine" as these are terms that oddly enough don't come up in scientific papers. You might like to answer a question yourself. Blah, Blah, Blah...."97% of the World's Climate Scientists support AGW". You have a funny idea of what constitutes the world and the validity of selectively sent (so not random) volunteer surveys. What proportion came from the USA and Canada?


Surveys can be used to support just about any conclusion (if one does enough of them, pre-load the questions and select favourable demographics etc)

In the USA for example a petition was circulating that had 37,000 signatures of scientists who disputed the science of AGW and climate change.

Sounds impressive?

Not really.

There are at least 7 million US civilians with degrees in science, and a big proportion of these are employed by fossil fuel industry and many of its spin off industries such as the vehicle sector etc.

That survey turned out to be an internal petition within the fossil fuel industry so 37,000 signatures isn't that meaningful. It would be like asking scientists within the environmental movement whether forests should be cleared for mining etc.

Surveys can be carried out using fundamental scientific, psychological and statistical principles incorporating random samples of meaningful size.

The other approach to take is to look at the official position of the major scientific organisations, societies, associations and Universities, research organisations etc.

You will find that in today's world there isn't one major scientific organisation that refutes the science that underpins AGW and climate change.

And most importantly ALL the fossil fuel related corporations have recognised the linked between human induced rising CO2 levels and global warming.

I suggest that you dig up the joint public declaration made by the major global fossil fuel corporations in the early 2000s (roughly 2003). Not only did they publically recognise the dangers of AGW but they recommended urgent action on a global level to mitigate the effects of climate change.

(And of course these corporate giants already knew from their own internal technical departments and research, that AGW was a serious issue. Through various pressure points, which included their own shareholders, they were compelled to make a joint public statement.)
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