If LNP MPs have a mandate to abolish the carbon tax, then ALP MPs have a mandate to oppose that. PUP's three Senators have a mandate to see the tax repealed back to day dot, with full refunds to
all those who have paid it.
Why? Because they all went to their electorates seeking votes on that basis.
How's those apples, melielongtime?
Aussie prediction:
Abbott will run it to the Senate once. It will be rejected. He will leave it there. Why? Well, he just refused to accept Bryce's resignation from the GG position, and if he intended to push for a DD prior to April, 2014, he would have accepted and saved her the embarrassment of having to make decisions concerning the conduct of her son-in-law.
In parallel, he will be working his arse off doing deals (those he said he would never do) to see if the post July 1 Senate will allow what he is willing to chew.
He will know that as soon as the PUP WA Senator position is finally declared, one way or the other.
If he knows that post July 1, all will be well, he'll wait until then.
If he learns that PUP will not dance to his tune, then*** I reckon he'll bung the legislation back to the Senate for the second time as soon as Bryce's replacement has his ample arse on the Throne.
Only then, if he wants a DD,*** will he bring it on.
But he won't.*** He stands to lose everything he has gained, and if PUP plays well, their influence will only increase.
No double dissolution.