Quote:The Newspoll fraud continues, and shows, this morning, variety.
It has not only ‘been weighted to reflect the population distribution’ (translation: we made up the figures) but, this time, would you actually believe it, not taken, not taken at all, ‘in areas affected by flood and bushfire’; in Queensland, that is, where the anti-Newman pro-Katter surge is huge now; in the Hunter Valley where Labor predominates, or used to; in Eden Monario, a litmus seat; and in Victoria where the Baillieu-blighted Liberal vote is rapidly tanking.
This uncorrected omission of numbers comes under criminal fraud I would think, and O’Shannessy should be arrested; in my view.
There are also 9 percent ‘refused’ or ‘uncommitted’, representing a million voters. A million is a tidy few. On top of which are, oh, fifteen million mobile phones not being rung.
It is tempting for these reasons to call this poll entirely worthless, or the equivalent of mass forgery, or Confederate currency in 1866; but it does show evidence, comrades, of a game-changing shift in voter intent.
This is to be seen in the ‘Others’ column, up from 6.6 in 2010 to 11 last weekend. That 4.4 shift, half a million votes, is clearly going Katter’s way in those heartland Queensland seats the LNP can’t easily hold any more, the ones unflooded last weekend that is, the half of rural and coastal Queensland that wasn’t flooded.
So, if you un-tweak the figures, throw in a margin of error, and some Katter votes trickling down to Labor in preferences, and some ten million mobile phones unrung, Labor wins this poll or scores 49.5, and Gillard leads Abbott 39-37.
I ask the Senate to investigate Newspoll and ask it to justify its methodology. About twenty-five percent of Australians don’t have, or don’t use landline phones any more since it’s cheaper to use mobiles only. And those mobiles aren’t rung, not one of them. Which means three million voters, probably, aren’t contacted. And the answered landlines, the whole of the sample that is, belong to and are used by preponderantly older people; who mostly, not always, vote Liberal.
It’s a pack of lies, probably.
Discuss.
I've no doubt newspoll selectively times the running of certain poll questions. I've also no doubt it picks certain regions to run a poll to construct, or exaggerate, a certain outcome. God knows what polls aren't published because they don't fit Murdoch's desired narrative.
Bob's concerns about Newpoll's methodology also appear quite reasonable. With polls seemingly driving the news cycle and no doubt feeding back into the polls, Bob raises some very important questions.
For those interested in the poll that Bob was referring to, this blog post was made on the 26th of Feb.
http://www.ellistabletalk.com/2013/02/26/10774/
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