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Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option? (Read 1788 times)
Vic
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Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option?
Dec 5th, 2012 at 5:03pm
 
I have around $310K in super.  For many years I left it in a default growth account that realised reasonably high returns but very susceptible to the stock market.  When the GFC hit, I dropped around $30K - but have made most of that back.  I salary package $2k per month after contributions tax

I recently put all my money in the cash option - which means it is as not exposed to stock market movements.    I plan to stay in the workforce for another two years

Thankyou - any advice is  appreciated

Is leaving it in Cash the best Option?
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Amadd
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Re: Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option?
Reply #1 - Dec 5th, 2012 at 5:41pm
 
I reckon it's a good idea to keep your nest egg protected, especially when nearing an option of retirement.

I've had my super in fixed interest for the past 18mths or so and it's done quite a bit better than the cash rate.
How much more exposed it is in fixed interest, I'm not entirely sure, but it seems to grow at a fairly steady rate.
Then, there's always the option of exposing part of it to slight risk as the cash rate is pretty crappy.
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perceptions_now
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Re: Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option?
Reply #2 - Dec 5th, 2012 at 7:35pm
 
I heard a few comments yesterday, from people "giving advice" to Retirees.

In essence, they were saying that "Cash investments" in "Normal bank accounts" &/or Term Deposits were not particularly good now, that the returns on those sort of investments were set to Decline further AND therefore Retirees should consider the Share Market, which would provide higher dividend returns & shares were likely to rise in value.

Now, everyone has to plot their own course and whilst I agree that the returns on "Cash Investments" will continue their downward trend, I also consider that shares would be an even worse option.

The period between now & the end of 2014 is likely to see the start of a long bear market, which could see both Dividends & share Prices shrivel.

I believe, Share Markets still have a long way to fall, as the eye of the GFC storm is now passing and the GFC winds start to batter the Global Economy again.

In fact, I envisage that Global & Local markets could go down to around 20% of their all time highs, which would see the All Ords possibly Declining to around 1,500, in the years ahead. 

In short, there are no guarantees in life and at this point, I am reminded of an old adage -
"Investing is now about the return of your money, not the return on your money."

Oh & whilst I remember, Real Estate will also not provide any safe haven in OZ, as it will also reflect what is already the trend in places such as the USA, Japan & Europe.
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hawil
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Re: Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option?
Reply #3 - Dec 6th, 2012 at 7:05pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Dec 5th, 2012 at 7:35pm:
I heard a few comments yesterday, from people "giving advice" to Retirees.

In essence, they were saying that "Cash investments" in "Normal bank accounts" &/or Term Deposits were not particularly good now, that the returns on those sort of investments were set to Decline further AND therefore Retirees should consider the Share Market, which would provide higher dividend returns & shares were likely to rise in value.

Now, everyone has to plot their own course and whilst I agree that the returns on "Cash Investments" will continue their downward trend, I also consider that shares would be an even worse option.

The period between now & the end of 2014 is likely to see the start of a long bear market, which could see both Dividends & share Prices shrivel.

I believe, Share Markets still have a long way to fall, as the eye of the GFC storm is now passing and the GFC winds start to batter the Global Economy again.

In fact, I envisage that Global & Local markets could go down to around 20% of their all time highs, which would see the All Ords possibly Declining to around 1,500, in the years ahead. 

In short, there are no guarantees in life and at this point, I am reminded of an old adage -
"Investing is now about the return of your money, not the return on your money."

Oh & whilst I remember, Real Estate will also not provide any safe haven in OZ, as it will also reflect what is already the trend in places such as the USA, Japan & Europe.

This must be the most bearish assessment of the share market that I have read for a long time; how do most government reduce their debt? By inflation; and what will that do to cash?
Just questionsn no predictions.
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perceptions_now
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Re: Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option?
Reply #4 - Dec 6th, 2012 at 7:45pm
 
hawil wrote on Dec 6th, 2012 at 7:05pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Dec 5th, 2012 at 7:35pm:
I heard a few comments yesterday, from people "giving advice" to Retirees.

In essence, they were saying that "Cash investments" in "Normal bank accounts" &/or Term Deposits were not particularly good now, that the returns on those sort of investments were set to Decline further AND therefore Retirees should consider the Share Market, which would provide higher dividend returns & shares were likely to rise in value.

Now, everyone has to plot their own course and whilst I agree that the returns on "Cash Investments" will continue their downward trend, I also consider that shares would be an even worse option.

The period between now & the end of 2014 is likely to see the start of a long bear market, which could see both Dividends & share Prices shrivel.

I believe, Share Markets still have a long way to fall, as the eye of the GFC storm is now passing and the GFC winds start to batter the Global Economy again.

In fact, I envisage that Global & Local markets could go down to around 20% of their all time highs, which would see the All Ords possibly Declining to around 1,500, in the years ahead. 

In short, there are no guarantees in life and at this point, I am reminded of an old adage -
"Investing is now about the return of your money, not the return on your money."

Oh & whilst I remember, Real Estate will also not provide any safe haven in OZ, as it will also reflect what is already the trend in places such as the USA, Japan & Europe.

This must be the most bearish assessment of the share market that I have read for a long time; how do most government reduce their debt? By inflation; and what will that do to cash?
Just questionsn no predictions.


Well Hawil, the entire "Monetary system" is built around growth, of which Price inflation is a primary offshoot.

IF I am correct and the experience so far in Japan, the USA & Europe, would suggest I am, THEN there are a number of things that we have taken as "given" that may no longer apply, such as -
1) Economic Growth
2) Monetary Growth
3) Share Market Growth
4) Inflationary Growth
5) Growth - Period - of anything!

So, the old days of accumulating Debt, then leaving it sit there for a while and have it eaten away by inflation may also be a thing of the past!

Unfortunately, Returns on all sorts of investments are likely to suffer a downward trend, with Shares, R/E, Cash and most other investments going into Decline.

Gold & some other P/M's may go against that trend, BUT I wouldn't be in that unless you could have physical possession & that evokes all sorts of security issues, so for most people its probably not a winner.

All of which, basically leaves you to choose a best of a bad bunch - GOOD LUCK & WATCH THE DEBT! 
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hawil
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Re: Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option?
Reply #5 - Dec 9th, 2012 at 7:23pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Dec 6th, 2012 at 7:45pm:
hawil wrote on Dec 6th, 2012 at 7:05pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Dec 5th, 2012 at 7:35pm:
I heard a few comments yesterday, from people "giving advice" to Retirees.

In essence, they were saying that "Cash investments" in "Normal bank accounts" &/or Term Deposits were not particularly good now, that the returns on those sort of investments were set to Decline further AND therefore Retirees should consider the Share Market, which would provide higher dividend returns & shares were likely to rise in value.

Now, everyone has to plot their own course and whilst I agree that the returns on "Cash Investments" will continue their downward trend, I also consider that shares would be an even worse option.

The period between now & the end of 2014 is likely to see the start of a long bear market, which could see both Dividends & share Prices shrivel.

I believe, Share Markets still have a long way to fall, as the eye of the GFC storm is now passing and the GFC winds start to batter the Global Economy again.

In fact, I envisage that Global & Local markets could go down to around 20% of their all time highs, which would see the All Ords possibly Declining to around 1,500, in the years ahead. 

In short, there are no guarantees in life and at this point, I am reminded of an old adage -
"Investing is now about the return of your money, not the return on your money."

Oh & whilst I remember, Real Estate will also not provide any safe haven in OZ, as it will also reflect what is already the trend in places such as the USA, Japan & Europe.

This must be the most bearish assessment of the share market that I have read for a long time; how do most government reduce their debt? By inflation; and what will that do to cash?
Just questionsn no predictions.


Well Hawil, the entire "Monetary system" is built around growth, of which Price inflation is a primary offshoot.

IF I am correct and the experience so far in Japan, the USA & Europe, would suggest I am, THEN there are a number of things that we have taken as "given" that may no longer apply, such as -
1) Economic Growth
2) Monetary Growth
3) Share Market Growth
4) Inflationary Growth
5) Growth - Period - of anything!

So, the old days of accumulating Debt, then leaving it sit there for a while and have it eaten away by inflation may also be a thing of the past!

Unfortunately, Returns on all sorts of investments are likely to suffer a downward trend, with Shares, R/E, Cash and most other investments going into Decline.

Gold & some other P/M's may go against that trend, BUT I wouldn't be in that unless you could have physical possession & that evokes all sorts of security issues, so for most people its probably not a winner.

All of which, basically leaves you to choose a best of a bad bunch - GOOD LUCK & WATCH THE DEBT! 

Read just recently the American printing presses are running hot, printing money, that surely must devalue the cash money.
As far as gold is concerned, the graph over the last 20 years is frightening.
I once read that the average wage of the American worker is one ounce of gold per week, and currently the average wage of the US worker is nowhere near the cost of an aounce of gold.
When the US changed from the gold standard, the above did  seem to apply, but I do not consider myself an expert on finance, but I know that the Australian compulsory super is a big fraud, shifting wealth from the poor to the very rich.
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perceptions_now
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Re: Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option?
Reply #6 - Dec 9th, 2012 at 9:59pm
 
hawil wrote on Dec 9th, 2012 at 7:23pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Dec 6th, 2012 at 7:45pm:
hawil wrote on Dec 6th, 2012 at 7:05pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Dec 5th, 2012 at 7:35pm:
I heard a few comments yesterday, from people "giving advice" to Retirees.

In essence, they were saying that "Cash investments" in "Normal bank accounts" &/or Term Deposits were not particularly good now, that the returns on those sort of investments were set to Decline further AND therefore Retirees should consider the Share Market, which would provide higher dividend returns & shares were likely to rise in value.

Now, everyone has to plot their own course and whilst I agree that the returns on "Cash Investments" will continue their downward trend, I also consider that shares would be an even worse option.

The period between now & the end of 2014 is likely to see the start of a long bear market, which could see both Dividends & share Prices shrivel.

I believe, Share Markets still have a long way to fall, as the eye of the GFC storm is now passing and the GFC winds start to batter the Global Economy again.

In fact, I envisage that Global & Local markets could go down to around 20% of their all time highs, which would see the All Ords possibly Declining to around 1,500, in the years ahead. 

In short, there are no guarantees in life and at this point, I am reminded of an old adage -
"Investing is now about the return of your money, not the return on your money."

Oh & whilst I remember, Real Estate will also not provide any safe haven in OZ, as it will also reflect what is already the trend in places such as the USA, Japan & Europe.

This must be the most bearish assessment of the share market that I have read for a long time; how do most government reduce their debt? By inflation; and what will that do to cash?
Just questionsn no predictions.


Well Hawil, the entire "Monetary system" is built around growth, of which Price inflation is a primary offshoot.

IF I am correct and the experience so far in Japan, the USA & Europe, would suggest I am, THEN there are a number of things that we have taken as "given" that may no longer apply, such as -
1) Economic Growth
2) Monetary Growth
3) Share Market Growth
4) Inflationary Growth
5) Growth - Period - of anything!

So, the old days of accumulating Debt, then leaving it sit there for a while and have it eaten away by inflation may also be a thing of the past!

Unfortunately, Returns on all sorts of investments are likely to suffer a downward trend, with Shares, R/E, Cash and most other investments going into Decline.

Gold & some other P/M's may go against that trend, BUT I wouldn't be in that unless you could have physical possession & that evokes all sorts of security issues, so for most people its probably not a winner.

All of which, basically leaves you to choose a best of a bad bunch - GOOD LUCK & WATCH THE DEBT! 

Read just recently the American printing presses are running hot, printing money, that surely must devalue the cash money.
As far as gold is concerned, the graph over the last 20 years is frightening.
I once read that the average wage of the American worker is one ounce of gold per week, and currently the average wage of the US worker is nowhere near the cost of an aounce of gold.
When the US changed from the gold standard, the above did  seem to apply, but I do not consider myself an expert on finance, but I know that the Australian compulsory super is a big fraud, shifting wealth from the poor to the very rich.


Yes, BUT particularly with the USA, it is very difficult to guage the timing, because of their role as THE Global Currency & the fact they wield so much influence over Global Economics, because of the sheer size of their Economy!
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It_is_the_Darkness
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Re: Is MY Super Safe in a Cash Option?
Reply #7 - Dec 9th, 2012 at 10:19pm
 
But that's because the USA 'cheats'.
Sure, the more 'orthodox' Asian market is growing (might even push the Chinese Military out of power), so its a case of nothing 'better' yet.

As for Australia's Economy - well it helps that we have a low population (less mouths to feed) with most of our women being 'career' orientated rather than family orientated (until they realise its too late like Sami 'spunk' Lukis).

The fact that China's Economics is growing along with a huge population just shows how good it is.

I agree with PerceptionsNow's interpretation, but I'm using History, Psychology and a lot of other really weird s*** like 'cheating' to also gauge the trends.
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