These are but some of the numerous reasons why the ALP has no hope of winning the next election:

1. The carbon tax, introduced on the back of a lie by the PM and Deputy PM. We were promised it wouldn't be introduced and Gillard swiftly broke that promise when given power by Bob Brown and the Independents.

2. Border protection is out of control with more than 17,000 arrivals and in excess of 300 boats since Rudd dismantled the Pacific Solution. It's so bad, Australians are now being asked to house country-shoppers while their claims for asylum are processed. Costs have gone through the stratosphere, from $100m a year under Howard to nearly $2 billion a year under the ALP.

3. Inability to manage the economy as evidenced in the skyrocketing debt and continued borrowing at the rate of $100 million per day. Interest on our debt is a staggering $7 billion a year and climbing.

4. Failed, lethal and extensively rorted stimulus schemes that resulted in deaths, houses burnt to the ground and billions of dollars simply wasted. The effectiveness of these schemes in keeping our country out of recession is debatable.

5. Corruption in the form of interference in the Craig Thomson investigation - why else would such a relatively straightforward investigation take nearly four years?

6. Grubby tactics that are backfiring on a PM paralysed by fear of losing her majority, specifically her failure to act on Thomson or Slipper.

7. A completely disfunctional government that is at war with itself through its various factions.

8. The fact that the ALP is one point off its record all-time lowest polling results and the PM is one of the most unpopular in history.

There are many other reasons, but these are some of the most pressing and high-profile.

Come on armchair - wouldn't you love to see the ALP screw this country over even more?

One more term of this ALP government would see Australia absolutely stuffed for the next 30 years at least.

I am not one for predicting poll timings Adel but you can't say it will definitely run full term.

They have no majority at all.

MP's are not the healthiest or the youngest bunch of people you'll meet. Somebody may fall off the perch.
A result of a by-election is a foregone conclusion - right now Labor would struggle to win a one-ticket raffle.

Also there is growing discontent with Gillard. If they do off her, what will Oakeshott do, I have seen him enough times state his agreement is with her as leader.
That idiot Windsor is so permanently out to lunch he probably wouldn't notice there is a new leader...

I don't know when an election will be, but the Slipper/Thomson scenario shows just how precarious this whole situation is.

For my mind, I just think a new election should be held so we can get a majority Government in - no matter who that is.

Armchair_Politician wrote on May 5^th, 2012 at 10:17am:



The Previous government won several elections on the back of lies (actual real lies) and paid no electoral price.

there will never ever be a GST under any government I lead, Children were not thrown over board, They did know about Abu Prison, Iraq had no WMD’s (over 100,000 died on that little mistake), They really knew nothing about the AWB (ho ho ho), We are happy with the current IR position and have no plans for substantial change (then we get workchoices), They knew all about what was happing on the waterfront – until a Judge found they had questions to answer on conspiracy (then they all knew nothing) and on and on.

Under the Howard government promises meant absolutly nothing yet they kept winning elections?

Why the change in standards and accountability?

The biggest difference today is that we have a much more honest government but the media is driving for regime change and the opposition is happy to reside in the gutter. 

Armchair_Politician wrote on May 5^th, 2012 at 10:17am:



Any yet Tnoy Abott has his foot jammed solidly in the door making sure that they continue to come?

THe best political result the the opposition is to make sure that the boats continue to arrive - Tnoy Abbnott is the people smugglers best friend at the moment.

Andrei.Hicks wrote on May 5^th, 2012 at 10:36am:


I doubt that Swan would stay as treasurer because Kevin would be relying on calling an election on the day he grabbed the leadership..thats my guess if things dont improve for Julia by the end of the year

adelcrow wrote on May 5^th, 2012 at 10:46am:


If I remember rightly Swan is right up sh*t creek holding his seat anyway?

Andrei.Hicks wrote on May 5^th, 2012 at 10:47am:


Howard did - he had a policy that was immensely successful at stopping the boats. We now regularly see more boats arrive in a month under Gillard than we did during the entire period of Howard's policy.