Maqqa wrote on May 2
nd, 2012 at 11:38am:
Andrei.Hicks wrote on May 2
nd, 2012 at 11:34am:
She doesn't have time.
For her hopes to play out (even though the carbon tax WILL cause cost of living increases across the board) she needs about a year.
People are whispering about her going now.
She is polling 27%. She hasn't recovered from that in a long time.
Her numbers have never been good.
The carbon tax will get blamed left right and centre for cost of living rises.
It's going to be similar to when the Euro was first introduced across the EU - cost of living rose and every supplier rounded up. Standard answer "it's cause of the new Euro".
This time it will be "it's cos of the carbon tax".
She is doomed.
Bad policy, bad Government, bad PM.
If she drops it and admits she made an error, she at least may claw back some core support.
Not sure if she can andrei
If she repeals the carbon tax then she has to deal with the Greens assault. Then she has to deal with the LIBs accusation of backflips and weak government.
Not only that people don't trust her not to backflip again
Thing is though Macca - the Greens core support is not affected by and large by the carbon tax.
Labor's is.
That's why Labor's support has fallen off a cliff whereas the Greens have held steady.
The carbon tax will affect everyday working families, those of us with children, cars, mortgages, energy bills that are so high, groceries etc.
That's the battleground for Labor.
It is they who fear the carbon tax and will be whacked by this tax.
The Greens?
Their core vote are not your everyday run of the mill family people.
They tend to be your academics, assorted hippie style people and homosexual couples etc etc.
People who will either have a lot of disposable income to pay it or people who don't lead a "carbon producing" lifestyle by choice.
The Greens are not mainstream and they don't attract mainstream support.
Gillard, by shackling herself to a band of 'extremists' (for want of a better word) maybe 'fringe dweller' is better - is not doing herself any favours.
She's nailed her colours to the wrong mast.
Like I said, I think there is a lot more honour in admitting you were wrong and changing your policy than carrying on with something which is wrong just for the sake of sheer bloody mindedness.
The people do not want a carbon tax.
To ignore them is rank arrogance and a disregard for the people for whom you serve.