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Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally (Read 5455 times)
Doctor Jolly
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #15 - May 2nd, 2012 at 11:22am
 
Soren wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:18am:
Doctor Jolly wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:16am:
There has been a massive overreaction to the carbon tax.   Everyone knows that.  So she has two choices:

1) Legitimise this overreaction by backing down.

2) Exposed the over-reaction as the lies it is, but sticking with it.

I fancy she has the best shot at taking number 2.  But she will fight a mountain of vested interest opposition, and liberal party puppets which means its not going to be an easy road.

Either way, she'll either lose the election, or lose the leadership, but carbon pricing will eventually come (as the GST eventually came), so better for labor long term to make the correct call now, so the future judges them well. (even if it means defeat at the next election).



Yeah, you can trust her to make the wrong decision. She is reliable that way.




Lets say they stick with the carbon tax, and lose the election, then abbott repeals it.

The labor party will have a field day with the loss of compensation, and the hopeless waste of "direct action".   

Sometimes its best to take a hit for the greater good.

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Doctor Jolly
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #16 - May 2nd, 2012 at 11:24am
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:19am:
Doctor Jolly wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:16am:
There has been a massive overreaction to the carbon tax.   Everyone knows that.  So she has two choices:

1) Legitimise this overreaction by backing down.

2) Exposed the over-reaction as the lies it is, but sticking with it.
I fancy she has the best shot at taking number 2.  But she will fight a mountain of vested interest opposition, and liberal party puppets which means its not going to be an easy road.

Either way, she'll either lose the election, or lose the leadership, but carbon pricing will eventually come (as the GST eventually came), so better for labor long term to make the correct call now, so the future judges them well. (even if it means defeat at the next election).



She doesn't have time.
The clock has saying 5 to midnight and she needs about 6 hours more.



She's got time. But this is one of the policies where vested interests really are very powerful.  Just look at the top 20 companies of the world. Most are fossil fuel or banks. Banks with exposure to fossil fuel companies. Thats a lot of clout wanting nothing done.
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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #17 - May 2nd, 2012 at 11:34am
 
She doesn't have time.

For her hopes to play out (even though the carbon tax WILL cause cost of living increases across the board) she needs about a year.

People are whispering about her going now.
She is polling 27%. She hasn't recovered from that in a long time.
Her numbers have never been good.

The carbon tax will get blamed left right and centre for cost of living rises.

It's going to be similar to when the Euro was first introduced across the EU - cost of living rose and every supplier rounded up. Standard answer "it's cause of the new Euro".
This time it will be "it's cos of the carbon tax".

She is doomed.
Bad policy, bad Government, bad PM.

If she drops it and admits she made an error, she at least may claw back some core support.
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Maqqa
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #18 - May 2nd, 2012 at 11:38am
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:34am:
She doesn't have time.

For her hopes to play out (even though the carbon tax WILL cause cost of living increases across the board) she needs about a year.

People are whispering about her going now.
She is polling 27%. She hasn't recovered from that in a long time.
Her numbers have never been good.

The carbon tax will get blamed left right and centre for cost of living rises.

It's going to be similar to when the Euro was first introduced across the EU - cost of living rose and every supplier rounded up. Standard answer "it's cause of the new Euro".
This time it will be "it's cos of the carbon tax".

She is doomed.
Bad policy, bad Government, bad PM.

If she drops it and admits she made an error, she at least may claw back some core support.



Not sure if she can andrei

If she repeals the carbon tax then she has to deal with the Greens assault. Then she has to deal with the LIBs accusation of backflips and weak government.

Not only that people don't trust her not to backflip again
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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #19 - May 2nd, 2012 at 11:42am
 
Maqqa wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:38am:
Andrei.Hicks wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:34am:
She doesn't have time.

For her hopes to play out (even though the carbon tax WILL cause cost of living increases across the board) she needs about a year.

People are whispering about her going now.
She is polling 27%. She hasn't recovered from that in a long time.
Her numbers have never been good.

The carbon tax will get blamed left right and centre for cost of living rises.

It's going to be similar to when the Euro was first introduced across the EU - cost of living rose and every supplier rounded up. Standard answer "it's cause of the new Euro".
This time it will be "it's cos of the carbon tax".

She is doomed.
Bad policy, bad Government, bad PM.

If she drops it and admits she made an error, she at least may claw back some core support.



Not sure if she can andrei

If she repeals the carbon tax then she has to deal with the Greens assault. Then she has to deal with the LIBs accusation of backflips and weak government.

Not only that people don't trust her not to backflip again



Thing is though Macca - the Greens core support is not affected by and large by the carbon tax.

Labor's is.

That's why Labor's support has fallen off a cliff whereas the Greens have held steady.

The carbon tax will affect everyday working families, those of us with children, cars, mortgages, energy bills that are so high, groceries etc.
That's the battleground for Labor.
It is they who fear the carbon tax and will be whacked by this tax.

The Greens?
Their core vote are not your everyday run of the mill family people.
They tend to be your academics, assorted hippie style people and homosexual couples etc etc.
People who will either have a lot of disposable income to pay it or people who don't lead a "carbon producing" lifestyle by choice.
The Greens are not mainstream and they don't attract mainstream support.

Gillard, by shackling herself to a band of 'extremists' (for want of a better word) maybe 'fringe dweller' is better - is not doing herself any favours.

She's nailed her colours to the wrong mast.

Like I said, I think there is a lot more honour in admitting you were wrong and changing your policy than carrying on with something which is wrong just for the sake of sheer bloody mindedness.

The people do not want a carbon tax.
To ignore them is rank arrogance and a disregard for the people for whom you serve.
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Soren
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #20 - May 2nd, 2012 at 11:55am
 
The issue is not the carbon tax. The issue is the introduction of the tax after promising not to introduce it. She went back on a straight to camera promise she made to the electorate. And she went back on that promise because she also promised the Greens that she will introduce the tax if they support her.
That's what the people are p!ssed off about: she took her promise to the Greens more seriuously than the promise she made to the electorate.

SO there is no need to worry about vested interest, real though they are. In this political situation, the electorate is p!ssed off with an incompetent liar who leads a party that stands for nothing other than clinging to power.



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Doctor Jolly
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #21 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:00pm
 
Soren wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:55am:
The issue is not the carbon tax. The issue is the introduction of the tax after promising not to introduce it. She went back on a straight to camera promise she made to the electorate. And she went back on that promise because she also promised the Greens that she will introduce the tax if they support her.
That's what the people are p!ssed off about: she took her promise to the Greens more seriuously than the promise she made to the electorate.

SO there is no need to worry about vested interest, real though they are. In this political situation, the electorate is p!ssed off with an incompetent liar who leads a party that stands for nothing other than clinging to power.



I dont necessarily agree.  Howard was able to get away with "non core" promises, which are exactly the same as what Gillard has done.

The difference is that Gillard has failed to justify why she did it, and the opposition have, with a compliant media, never stopped whinging about it.

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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #22 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:07pm
 
Doctor Jolly wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 12:00pm:
Soren wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:55am:
The issue is not the carbon tax. The issue is the introduction of the tax after promising not to introduce it. She went back on a straight to camera promise she made to the electorate. And she went back on that promise because she also promised the Greens that she will introduce the tax if they support her.
That's what the people are p!ssed off about: she took her promise to the Greens more seriuously than the promise she made to the electorate.

SO there is no need to worry about vested interest, real though they are. In this political situation, the electorate is p!ssed off with an incompetent liar who leads a party that stands for nothing other than clinging to power.



I dont necessarily agree.  Howard was able to get away with "non core" promises, which are exactly the same as what Gillard has done.

The difference is that Gillard has failed to justify why she did it, and the opposition have, with a compliant media, never stopped whinging about it.




"No tax" is a core promise.

She also explained her replacement of Rudd in terms of not rushing into CO2 related expenditure until the big emitters of CO2 do something first. So she went back on her core justification for knifing Rudd as ell as on the explicit promise on a concrete tax. And not just a tax on luxury cars over half a million or some such niche tax. The carbon tax is tax on energy and so it affects everyone. You can't introduce such a tax after an election when you promised before the election that you wouldn't.
Comparison to Howard's non core promises is just too weak and desperate to be taken seriously. Even Gillard herself hasn't attempted it.



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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #23 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:11pm
 
Doctor Jolly wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 12:00pm:
Soren wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:55am:
The issue is not the carbon tax. The issue is the introduction of the tax after promising not to introduce it. She went back on a straight to camera promise she made to the electorate. And she went back on that promise because she also promised the Greens that she will introduce the tax if they support her.
That's what the people are p!ssed off about: she took her promise to the Greens more seriuously than the promise she made to the electorate.

SO there is no need to worry about vested interest, real though they are. In this political situation, the electorate is p!ssed off with an incompetent liar who leads a party that stands for nothing other than clinging to power.



I dont necessarily agree.  Howard was able to get away with "non core" promises, which are exactly the same as what Gillard has done.

The difference is that Gillard has failed to justify why she did it, and the opposition have, with a compliant media, never stopped whinging about it.




Gillard is the worst sales person I have ever seen.
Seriously, if she was one of our sales reps, she would probably have gone onto commission only after 3 months and then gone after 6.

She has looked like a liar, she has looked like someone prepared to jettison anyone to save herself and her Government and she looks like she goes back on her word.

Think - carbon tax, Wilkie, Slipper, Thomson etc

It's just catastrophic.

She even managed to get a decent thing like Bob Carr wrong. "I never spoke to him about the role" - "Actually err, yeah I did" etc

She stumbles from disaster to disaster and this Government has gone from a majority to no majority after 1 term to now facing wipeout (and causing state Governments to be wiped out too).

It's just a shambles.

Every politician lies and does dodgy dealings - she is just a bloody awful sales man.
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #24 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:12pm
 
It's a weak government. That's their problem. With an overwhelming mandate Rudd blew the climate change agenda because he couldn't take the opposition pressure. Then they blew the mining tax because they couldn't take the pressure from a handful of billionaires. Now they're expected to blow off the carbon tax. I doubt that even this bunch of  weak knees will do that.

History says that Labour governments reform, bring in god measures that last and people like, but lose elections because of the opposition from vested interests. If they cave in to vested interests over reform they might as well not be there at all.

Weak kneed left wing governments are much better than gung ho Right Wing ones. God help Australia when we get our George Bush moment under Tony Abbott.
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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #25 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:14pm
 
Grey loosely translated

"Left wing Governments ignore the people for whom they serve"

Reminds me of a quote

"Left wingers tend to ride roughshod over democracy whenever it suits. To them the ends justify the means. That is how their forebearers came about creating the gulags"
- Margaret Thatcher
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Grey
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #26 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:28pm
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 12:14pm:
Grey loosely translated

"Left wing Governments ignore the people for whom they serve"

Reminds me of a quote

"Left wingers tend to ride roughshod over democracy whenever it suits. To them the ends justify the means. That is how their forebearers came about creating the gulags"
- Margaret Thatcher


Oh aye Maggie Thatcher, there's somebody to aspire too. The creator of modern Britain. It's sarcasm Hicks, I know you'd miss that if I didn't explain it. 
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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #27 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:31pm
 
Grey wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 12:28pm:
Andrei.Hicks wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 12:14pm:
Grey loosely translated

"Left wing Governments ignore the people for whom they serve"

Reminds me of a quote

"Left wingers tend to ride roughshod over democracy whenever it suits. To them the ends justify the means. That is how their forebearers came about creating the gulags"
- Margaret Thatcher


Oh aye Maggie Thatcher, there's somebody to aspire too. The creator of modern Britain. It's sarcasm Hicks, I know you'd miss that if I didn't explain it. 



Thatcherism.
My parents current wealth is directly attributable to the polices of Mrs Thatcher 1979 - 1990 my friend.

We have far worse role models in this world.

We have in Australia an utterly abysmal woman PM and in comparison Mrs T was the best post war PM the UK has been fortunate to have.
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borntorule
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #28 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:32pm
 
Doctor Jolly wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 11:16am:
There has been a massive overreaction to the carbon tax.   Everyone knows that.  So she has two choices:

1) Legitimise this overreaction by backing down.

2) Exposed the over-reaction as the lies it is, but sticking with it.

I fancy she has the best shot at taking number 2.  But she will fight a mountain of vested interest opposition, and liberal party puppets which means its not going to be an easy road.

Either way, she'll either lose the election, or lose the leadership, but carbon pricing will eventually come (as the GST eventually came), so better for labor long term to make the correct call now, so the future judges them well. (even if it means defeat at the next election).


It's an 'over-reaction' by YOUR opinion only. That is hardly a statement of great import. Since the statistics show that 2/3 of the population oppose the Carbon Tax then it is anything BUT an over-reaction.
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Soren
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Re: Gillard, dump the Carbon Tax - Keneally
Reply #29 - May 2nd, 2012 at 12:35pm
 
Grey wrote on May 2nd, 2012 at 12:12pm:
It's a weak government. That's their problem. With an overwhelming mandate Rudd blew the climate change agenda because he couldn't take the opposition pressure. Then they blew the mining tax because they couldn't take the pressure from a handful of billionaires. Now they're expected to blow off the carbon tax. I doubt that even this bunch of  weak knees will do that.

History says that Labour governments reform, bring in god measures that last and people like, but lose elections because of the opposition from vested interests. If they cave in to vested interests over reform they might as well not be there at all.

Weak kneed left wing governments are much better than gung ho Right Wing ones. God help Australia when we get our George Bush moment under Tony Abbott.



History says nothing of the sort, except about left wing governments in the 70s.
The Hawke/Keating government lasted 13 years (longer than Howard) because, on the whole, they were competent.

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