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Climate Scientists got it wrong.... (Read 9117 times)
muso
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #30 - May 15th, 2012 at 7:56pm
 
Soren wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 5:46pm:
Climate denialist? Are there people who deny the climate now? 


Well they deny reality at least. It's a more appropriate term than sceptic. As another poster pointed out, a person who denies a hypothesis that is blatently obvious, is no sceptic.

But then perhaps you'd prefer the term Climate Ostrich?  The ostrich (Struthio Camelus) is an ungainly African bird whose erratic behaviour, (which includes aimlessly beating around the African bush for no apparent reason,  and occasionally burying its head in the sand) is influenced by the fact that its brain is smaller than its eyeball.

So perhaps Climate Ostrich (or even Climate Galah?) would be a better term than denialist. Please let me know which you prefer.

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Soren
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #31 - May 15th, 2012 at 8:25pm
 
muso wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 7:03pm:
Soren wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 5:46pm:
How is that peripheral to the study of global warming caused by excessive atmospheric greenhouse gases?


Quote:

They are all dead ....


There. You answered your question without my help.

It might be vaguely relevant to the Mesozoic Era, but not to the present day. The study doesn't add to atmospheric physics - it uses atmospheric physics.


No.  It's a silly speculation based on speculation upon speculation.

Ostriches are very much with us, yet when science is stumped, it will say things like 'aimlessly beating about the bush for no apparent reason'. It seems that it is OK to say about a relatively simple organism, such as an ostrich, that we don't quite know what makes it tick (ie it is too complex for our comprehension), yet the entire global climate, far more complex than a silly African bird,  is understood, a simple theory encompasses all that we ever need to know about it, namely - we change it. That's it.

See, kids?? Science is easy if you know how.





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JC Denton
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #32 - May 16th, 2012 at 1:29am
 
i love ostriches

at the wild life park in gunnedah they have a big stupid looking one

i kind of want to go to africa just so i can ride one
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muso
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #33 - May 16th, 2012 at 7:48am
 
Soren wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 8:25pm:
No.  It's a silly speculation based on speculation upon speculation.

Ostriches are very much with us, yet when science is stumped, it will say things like 'aimlessly beating about the bush for no apparent reason'. It seems that it is OK to say about a relatively simple organism, such as an ostrich, that we don't quite know what makes it tick (ie it is too complex for our comprehension), yet the entire global climate, far more complex than a silly African bird,  is understood, a simple theory encompasses all that we ever need to know about it, namely - we change it. That's it.

See, kids?? Science is easy if you know how.



I'm sorry, but you have demonstrated time and time again that you can't grasp even the most basic aspects of science. For that reason, you are eminently unqualified to comment on it.

We are talking here about very basic atmospheric science. That's all you need to understand the issue. As far as the study that you brought up is concerned, it's totally irrelevant. It might be an attempt to reconstruct some aspects of the Mesozoic period, but that's as far as it goes.

The very fact that you bring this up and say - "See! it's all speculation" shows that you don't appreciate that fact, or more likely that you don't want to appreciate that fact.  I somehow think that you're still stuck in some kind of silly adolescent time warp when it comes to science, and you haven't quite got past the puerile giggling stage when it comes to anything vaguely scientific.  I should imagine that your science teacher was "stumped" trying to teach you anything.

- Yet you have the capacity. You are capable of understanding, but you deny yourself the opportunity of learning.
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« Last Edit: May 16th, 2012 at 7:55am by muso »  

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MOTR
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #34 - May 16th, 2012 at 7:59am
 
JC Denton wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:29am:
i love ostriches

at the wild life park in gunnedah they have a big stupid looking one

i kind of want to go to africa just so i can ride one


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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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Soren
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #35 - May 16th, 2012 at 1:33pm
 
muso wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 7:48am:
We are talking here about very basic atmospheric science.



Actually, we aren't. We are talking about man made global climate change (for the worse, always for the worse).
If it was really all that simple, then there would be a demonstrable  correlation between CO2 levels and temperature changes. But there isn't. Because it's not that simple.
There are other factors outside our control. We don't quite know how or why they do what they do (a bit like the ostrich and his bush, in this regard).

Was there a little ice age a few hundred years ago, or wasn't there? A warm period before that? is there certainty about the causes of their starts and ends? How do those causes operate now?

Or to put it simply - why doesn't temperature rise in parallel with increased atmospheric CO2? What stops the direct colleration (ie the very basic atmospheric science) to operate?
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Doctor Jolly
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #36 - May 16th, 2012 at 1:46pm
 
Soren wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:33pm:
muso wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 7:48am:
We are talking here about very basic atmospheric science.



Actually, we aren't. We are talking about man made global climate change (for the worse, always for the worse).
If it was really all that simple, then there would be a demonstrable  correlation between CO2 levels and temperature changes. But there isn't. Because it's not that simple.


i dont know where you get your information from (probably right wing blogs), but there IS A CLEAR correlation between co2 and temperature.  And the last decade has proved that.

Your whole premise is based on false data.



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muso
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #37 - May 16th, 2012 at 2:30pm
 
Doctor Jolly wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:46pm:
Soren wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:33pm:
muso wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 7:48am:
We are talking here about very basic atmospheric science.



Actually, we aren't. We are talking about man made global climate change (for the worse, always for the worse).
If it was really all that simple, then there would be a demonstrable  correlation between CO2 levels and temperature changes. But there isn't. Because it's not that simple.


i dont know where you get your information from (probably right wing blogs), but there IS A CLEAR correlation between co2 and temperature.  And the last decade has proved that.

Your whole premise is based on false data.



They usually try to "microcorrelate", picking and choosing start and end dates to coincide with the ENSO fluctuations.  They don't like it if you smooth over the ENSO fluctuations by taking a running mean of 15 years or more.

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muso
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #38 - May 16th, 2012 at 2:39pm
 
Soren wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:33pm:
Or to put it simply - why doesn't temperature rise in parallel with increased atmospheric CO2? What stops the direct colleration (ie the very basic atmospheric science) to operate?


The ENSO Cycles? - you know, the ones that everybody in Climate science is aware of, but denialists claim to be mysterious factors? OMG, it's been getting colder these last few weeks. It must be due to a mysterious factor outside our control.  Roll Eyes Winter? What's Winter?


How many times have we been down this road?  There are short term natural fluctuations.  The shortest is the diurnal cycle, then the annual seasonal cycle, then the ENSO cycle, and then the Solar Cycle etc. Superimposed on those, there is a systematic rise in Global temperature. 

The Medieval Warm period was a regional phenomenon, as was the Little Ice Age. In earlier posts, I even provided explanations, but do you actually listen ? No?
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« Last Edit: May 16th, 2012 at 2:44pm by muso »  

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Uncle Meat
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #39 - May 16th, 2012 at 3:13pm
 
muso wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 7:56pm:
...  a person who denies a hypothesis that is blatently obvious, is no sceptic.



Oh dear.    Roll Eyes

"a hypothesis that is blatantly obvious"    Undecided

Are you suggesting that there are people who deny the existence of the AGW hypothesis?  Surely not.

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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #40 - May 16th, 2012 at 7:10pm
 
Soren wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:33pm:
muso wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 7:48am:
We are talking here about very basic atmospheric science.



Actually, we aren't. We are talking about man made global climate change (for the worse, always for the worse).
If it was really all that simple, then there would be a demonstrable  correlation between CO2 levels and temperature changes. But there isn't. Because it's not that simple.
There are other factors outside our control. We don't quite know how or why they do what they do (a bit like the ostrich and his bush, in this regard).

Was there a little ice age a few hundred years ago, or wasn't there? A warm period before that? is there certainty about the causes of their starts and ends? How do those causes operate now?

Or to put it simply - why doesn't temperature rise in parallel with increased atmospheric CO2? What stops the direct colleration (ie the very basic atmospheric science) to operate?

  Shocked Shocked
Actually, we are talking about putting our hand down the pants of our collective children!
  Shocked Shocked
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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MOTR
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #41 - May 16th, 2012 at 8:25pm
 
Uncle Meat wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 3:13pm:
muso wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 7:56pm:
...  a person who denies a hypothesis that is blatently obvious, is no sceptic.



Oh dear.    Roll Eyes

"a hypothesis that is blatantly obvious"    Undecided

Are you suggesting that there are people who deny the existence of the AGW hypothesis?  Surely not.



Uncle Meat, you don't seem confident enough to define where your skepticism begins and end. There is no real scientific debate about the anthropogenic nature of our rising atmospheric CO2, yet you are skeptical about this basic premise. To deny this is akin to denying plate tectonics or evolution.

We need to move on and you are dragging your feet because you are looking for some sort of absolutism. Compared to you Chamberlain seems infinitely more rational.
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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #42 - May 16th, 2012 at 8:33pm
 
Meat is simply hoping someone will allow him to put his hand down their pants one last time!

That's all he wants but after 9-11 he has had a very hard time!!

  Cheesy Cheesy  Embarrassed
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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Soren
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #43 - May 16th, 2012 at 9:22pm
 
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 7:10pm:
Soren wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:33pm:
muso wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 7:48am:
We are talking here about very basic atmospheric science.



Actually, we aren't. We are talking about man made global climate change (for the worse, always for the worse).
If it was really all that simple, then there would be a demonstrable  correlation between CO2 levels and temperature changes. But there isn't. Because it's not that simple.
There are other factors outside our control. We don't quite know how or why they do what they do (a bit like the ostrich and his bush, in this regard).

Was there a little ice age a few hundred years ago, or wasn't there? A warm period before that? is there certainty about the causes of their starts and ends? How do those causes operate now?

Or to put it simply - why doesn't temperature rise in parallel with increased atmospheric CO2? What stops the direct colleration (ie the very basic atmospheric science) to operate?

  Shocked Shocked
Actually, we are talking about putting our hand down the pants of our collective children!
  Shocked Shocked



You dirty old duffer.

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Soren
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Re: Climate Scientists got it wrong....
Reply #44 - May 16th, 2012 at 9:43pm
 
Doctor Jolly wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:46pm:
Soren wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 1:33pm:
muso wrote on May 16th, 2012 at 7:48am:
We are talking here about very basic atmospheric science.



Actually, we aren't. We are talking about man made global climate change (for the worse, always for the worse).
If it was really all that simple, then there would be a demonstrable  correlation between CO2 levels and temperature changes. But there isn't. Because it's not that simple.


i dont know where you get your information from (probably right wing blogs), but there IS A CLEAR correlation between co2 and temperature.  And the last decade has proved that.

Your whole premise is based on false data.






I do not think there is evidence of correlation of the scale we are talking about.  There is evidence co-occurence. Yes, of course CO is a greenhouse gas. But it is evidently not overriding other climate influences.
The charts of past temperature changes do not indicate correlative CO2 changes. There have been climate changes without correlative CO changes.


The other issue that occurs to me is instrumentation. Past temperature changes are surmised from tree rings and ice and the like. But I think modern thermometers are much more finely graded and sensitive than trees and a a lot more peaks show up in the instrumental measurements than in tree ring data.  it is like sun dials versus the atomic clock. You couldn't use a sundial to time an ostrich around a bush, for example. The time it takes an ostrich to aimlessly run around a bush just wouldn't registre on a sun dial. Which of course doesn't mean that the ostrich didn't aimlessly run around it.
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