skippy. wrote on Feb 19
th, 2012 at 5:01pm:
GoddyofOz wrote on Feb 19
th, 2012 at 4:57pm:
While I hate to agree with LW and Andrei, I have to say it is looking more likely now then it ever has. With the QLD election looming, it is the perfect time for Rudd to make a move. If he was ever going to, it will be before those polls open.
And it isn't the Media and Lib rabble rousing that has convinced me either; it's the silence of most of the Labor front bench. If Gillard was as safe as has been claimed, the ones with the biggest vested interest in keeping Rudd away like Shorten and Abib would be screaming it from the rooftops that Rudd will never again be PM.
Instead, we have Tanya Plibersek on the ABC stating in political spin that she is basically on the fence. All I'm saying is, if it were EVER going to happen, it will be within the next month.
Barry Cassidy doesn't usually play those political games, today he said there WILL BE A CHALLENGE tomorrow week, he doesn't usually make outrageous predictions like that unless he is pretty certain they will happen. So, I think its on, though I think Rudd will lose, THE FIRST TIME.
That post of mine is actually the first time I have said I think there will be a challenge. This is because this is the first time I think there is one likely.
However I think both are on a loser.
I think Rudd will not have the numbers to get over the line.
However for Gillard, if the predicted 1/3rd of MPs don't back her, then her credibility is shot through as well.
How can you continue to lead when so many have voted for you to go??