progressiveslol wrote on Feb 15
th, 2012 at 2:09pm:
Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 15
th, 2012 at 1:31pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Feb 15
th, 2012 at 1:18pm:
So the MET office cant do long term prediction with better than chance outcomes hey. That is because they dont know what they are doing.
Yes dear, the MET dont know what they are doing.
Time for your medication and a lie down.
They cant even give a 5 day prediction without it being a failure, let alone 6 months out like weather action and better than chance.
They have pretty unpredictable weather in the UK. I daresay that taking tea leaf readings could be more accurate than the MET Office when it comes to long range forecasts - but only on the odd occasion. Of course you could always reverse engineer the predictions database and remove those that were inconveniently....wrong.
I'd be interested to hear how Piers Corbyn predicts long term weather. I wonder if it involves seaweed.
Another method involves examining the rings on a woolly bear caterpillar to predict the severity of winter. If the caterpillar has two black rings, one at each end, then it is said the winter will harsh in the beginning and at the end, but the middle of winter will be mild. Trouble is I'm fresh out of woolly bear caterpillars.
I was going for a walk one night and saw a lunar eclipse. An acquaintance noticed me looking at the moon and asked "Is that a sign of bad weather?" I said, "- actually, keep this to yourself but I think it's a sign of the Earth's shadow getting in the way of sunlight reaching the moon - but please don't tell anybody. You know how people hate rationalists these days"
A red sky at night is a sailor's delight. A red sky in the morning means you've been up all night drinking.