Life_goes_on wrote on Jun 23^rd, 2011 at 8:24pm:


I agree there is a lot of random chance involved!

However, the chances of correctly predicting events actually increases, along with numbers & time.

In other words, the chances of correctly predicting the reactions of one or a few people, over a short period of time, is pretty much hit & miss.

However, with a greater the number of people and a longer the period of time, the chances of correct predictions is actually better, providing you correctly assess the likely trend & changing variables and you are not saddled with pre-existing fixations.  

An example of time versus timing, is the current GFC!

Given the random possibilities of Politics, Economics & the Physical environment, it may be that some of the effects of the major factors involved, could mask &/or hide what is happening, on a tempoary basis.

However, over the medium to longer term, no matter what the Politicians or Economists try, they can not repair that which has been totally destroyed and the GFC will again come back, more destructive than before.

And that, is why I have repeatedly said, that the GFC will be obvious to almost all, by the end of 2012, because that should leave sufficient time for the Politicians to run out of their "fixes" and "other tricks".

I actually predict another hung parliament, simply because Abbott won't last the next two years without making a dick of himself at some stage.

The political climate is all one way at the moment, but that can hardly be attributed to Abbott. That guy has zero policies to talk about, only shootdowns on the Government.

As for economics, I think the focus will be entirely on the impending doom of the Euro. Who knows what effect the death of that currency will have on the EU. Revolutions? Civil Unrest? Maybe even War?

As always though, Australia will only get richer, whether we temporarily hit deficit or not.

perceptions_now wrote on Jun 23^rd, 2011 at 11:54pm:


I have to disagree. Love her or hate her, Bligh's performance during the summer disasters was unprecedented. Yes, there is still a shitload of money left in the Premiers fund, but there must be an explainable reason for that, mostly to do with arseholes making false claims.

However, more so then Bligh, I have yet to meet one person who likes Campbell Newman. The man is an idiot, period.

GoddyofOz wrote on Jun 23^rd, 2011 at 11:59pm:


You may be correct and you are entitled to your prediction!

However, to add to my predictions -

Political Predictions

3) The Libs complete a clean sweep
I suspect that we are now in transition from being completely Labor, in all states & Federally, to being all Liberal, for reasons similar to my Queensland prediction.
However, the Publics hope that the Liberals will be able to wave a magic wand and turn around the slowing Australian Economy, will not prove to be realistic, nor will it become reality.
In fact, the Economic situation in OZ will deteriorate, as the Liberals follow their past, which will now worsen the situation, as AUS-terity will actually exacerbate an already worsening OZ Economy!  

I predict that  we have just lived  through Peak Abbott. And that Abbott will decline soon at a rappid pace.

perceptions_now wrote on Jun 23^rd, 2011 at 9:20pm:


this explains why you are always wrong. you actually beleive that the further into the future you go the BETTER the prediction? im not sure that ANYone actually subscribes to that nonsense.

longweekend58 wrote on Jun 24^th, 2011 at 12:34pm:



Just saving Longy's bizarro predictions for posterity...