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OOOPPPS (Read 5532 times)
perceptions_now
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #15 - May 30th, 2011 at 12:29am
 
Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2011 at 10:59pm:
perceptions_now wrote on May 29th, 2011 at 9:55pm:
Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2011 at 9:17pm:
perceptions_now wrote on May 29th, 2011 at 9:07pm:
So, what are the relative costs to humanity, of doing something or doing nothing?
[/b]

In other words, what are the costs, benefits & losses involved, in being correct &/or incorrect, if we move on my senario's, versus moving on the assumption that there is no problem?







You are now calling 22,000,000 Australians representing the whole of "humanity"???

the other 6,800,000,000 humans on Earth would love to know they don't rate as humans


No, it's you saying that!

As I said earlier tonight & on many previous ocassions -
perceptions_now wrote on May 29th, 2011 at 8:37pm:
As I have said previously, it is all in or it just won't work and I suspect that the short term self-interest of too many countries will probably win the day, until it's effectively, too late!


What I said, was -
So, what are the relative costs to humanity, of doing something or doing nothing?


In other words, what are the costs, benefits & losses involved, in being correct &/or incorrect, if we move on my senario's, versus moving on the assumption that there is no problem?


Let me give you a hint -
If I am wrong and proper Global mitigation proceeds , then it may reduce Global GDP by say 5% and the Recession we had to have will be worse than it should have been.

If you are wrong and proper Global mitigation DOES NOT proceed, then it is quite likely that those 7 Billion humans you care so much about (NOT), will quite likely die!

I've made my choice!



not IF you are wrong but it's a matter of YOU ARE wrong

You are wrong because of
your inability to give a YES/NO answer to the question of

Will an Australian Carbon Tax reduce global temperature?


You truely are as useful as tits on a bull!

In the post immediately above your last post, was the following, from me -


perceptions_now wrote on May 29th, 2011 at 10:00pm:
Apparently, you have not read my many posts, where I have disagreed with both a Carbon Tax and an ETS?

There are ways to do what needs to be done, but neither the Carbon Tax or an ETS, will achieve what is needed, in an appropriate way!




I have also previously stated on many ocassions that neither a Carbon Tax or an ETS in Australia, will achieve anything, other than raising tax revenue & making money for insiders.

No, neither a Carbon Tax, nor an ETS will reduce Australian or Global Temperatures!  

Now we have dispensed with what won't work, we should look at what would work, which is legislated annual GHG reduction targets, backed by Tax Credits for achieving those targets & Tax Debits for not achieving the targets!

But even that won't work, if it only happens in Australia, it needs to be pretty much Global or at least 80% of the major Economies, whether they call themselves developed or developing countries and China, the USA & India would have to be included.


But, you already knew all of that, didn't you, because we've been on the same roundabout before and said the same things.

And, you do that purely to try to not answer the real questions, which are -
So, what are the relative costs to humanity, of doing something or doing nothing?

In other words, what are the costs, benefits & losses involved, in being correct &/or incorrect, if we move on my senario's, versus moving on the assumption that there is no problem?
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progressiveslol
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #16 - May 30th, 2011 at 12:32am
 
Who was it on this board that said the debate is over. lol looks like it is my debate evaline and all those big countries have decided to come to my debate.
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cods
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #17 - May 30th, 2011 at 7:54am
 
If you are wrong and proper Global mitigation DOES NOT proceed, then it is quite likely that those 7 Billion humans you care so much about (NOT), will quite likely die!

I've made my choice! 
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if you believe that then you must also believe in fairies at the bottom of your garden thats all I can say..

humans.. whether you believe we started from algae.. an animal that crawled out of the water.dereived from monkeys..born out of the garden of eden...


we came from somewhere.... we, it, survived through millions of years of climate change... at one point for millions of years thats all that happened  CLIMATE CHANGE!... YES THE CLIMATE CHANGED!... my god who would have thought it.
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cods
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #18 - May 30th, 2011 at 7:57am
 
progressiveslol wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 12:32am:
Who was it on this board that said the debate is over. lol looks like it is my debate evaline and all those big countries have decided to come to my debate.




I am over this topic prog... I really am.. its getting to the stage where its almost bizarre...may as well be debating ghosts..or aliens..

now we have those in the GRIP of PANIC>. saying its best we put this country on its knees... just in case..but they believe in the science..


yet still waiting to hear from one of them regarding closing the mines yesterday!
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progressiveslol
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #19 - May 30th, 2011 at 8:07am
 
cods wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 7:57am:
progressiveslol wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 12:32am:
Who was it on this board that said the debate is over. lol looks like it is my debate evaline and all those big countries have decided to come to my debate.




I am over this topic prog... I really am.. its getting to the stage where its almost bizarre...may as well be debating ghosts..or aliens..

now we have those in the GRIP of PANIC>. saying its best we put this country on its knees... just in case..but they believe in the science..


yet still waiting to hear from one of them regarding closing the mines yesterday!

You wouldnt be the only one, but the debate has to be had because you know how far the scaremongering will get without the debate. With the debate still going, we have slowly found them out in their scaremongering.

You will have to put yourself out of the way and enjoy peace and let the debate pass you by because the debate is going to continue for many years in the future.
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cods
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #20 - May 30th, 2011 at 9:08am
 
progressiveslol wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 8:07am:
cods wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 7:57am:
progressiveslol wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 12:32am:
Who was it on this board that said the debate is over. lol looks like it is my debate evaline and all those big countries have decided to come to my debate.




I am over this topic prog... I really am.. its getting to the stage where its almost bizarre...may as well be debating ghosts..or aliens..

now we have those in the GRIP of PANIC>. saying its best we put this country on its knees... just in case..but they believe in the science..


yet still waiting to hear from one of them regarding closing the mines yesterday!

You wouldnt be the only one, but the debate has to be had because you know how far the scaremongering will get without the debate. With the debate still going, we have slowly found them out in their scaremongering.

You will have to put yourself out of the way and enjoy peace and let the debate pass you by because the debate is going to continue for many years in the future.





I hate to keep repeating myself........but the way to go


IS LETS HAVE AN ELECTION GET IT OVER AND DONE WITH...


if they vote for the TAX then we will have to suck it up and sit back and watch what happens...........if anything!..lol
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perceptions_now
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #21 - May 30th, 2011 at 1:25pm
 
cods wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 7:54am:
If you are wrong and proper Global mitigation DOES NOT proceed, then it is quite likely that those 7 Billion humans you care so much about (NOT), will quite likely die!

I've made my choice!  
Back to top    





if you believe that then you must also believe in fairies at the bottom of your garden thats all I can say..

humans.. whether you believe we started from algae.. an animal that crawled out of the water.dereived from monkeys..born out of the garden of eden...


we came from somewhere....
1) we, it, survived through millions of years of climate change...
2) at one point for millions of years thats all that happened  CLIMATE CHANGE!... YES THE CLIMATE CHANGED!... my god who would have thought it.


A few observations -
1) Yes, we (humans) survived, by the "hair of our chinny chin chin".
Why? Because during the last Ice Age, we (humans) dwindled down to maybe a couple of thousand, before things (Climate) finally looked up and we survived!

Also, a small correction, we (humans) have only been around, in our current format (homo sapiens) for about 200,000 years, not millions.

2) No kidding, did you go to special school, to learn that one?
Actually, from our (human) perspective, nothing at all happened for well over 4.5 BILLION years, because we weren't here.
Also, I wasn't aware that one point, could last for millions of years?


Btw, you still haven't answered the question -
So, what are the relative costs to humanity, of doing something or doing nothing?

In other words, what are the costs, benefits & losses involved, in being correct &/or incorrect, if we move on my senario's, versus moving on the assumption that there is no problem?


And, nor has Maqqa! Your both the same, like that, avoiding the crucial questions?
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gizmo_2655
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #22 - May 30th, 2011 at 1:55pm
 





Quote:
[A few observations -
[b]1) Yes, we (humans) survived, by the "hair of our chinny chin chin".
Why? Because during the last Ice Age, we (humans) dwindled down to maybe a couple of thousand, before things (Climate) finally looked up and we survived!

Also, a small correction, we (humans) have only been around, in our current format (homo sapiens) for about 200,000 years, not millions.


Very good PN...however, to respond..
Humans DID survive (barely or not) the last Ice Age.....with no ability to modify our living condition, and no technology beyond flint tools and weapons, animal skins for clothes and only open fires for heat and light..

And our ancestors, although not entirely the same as our current species, went through other Glaciations with even less, and also survived..
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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
Bobbythebat
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #23 - May 30th, 2011 at 2:04pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 1:25pm:
cods wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 7:54am:
If you are wrong and proper Global mitigation DOES NOT proceed, then it is quite likely that those 7 Billion humans you care so much about (NOT), will quite likely die!

I've made my choice!  
Back to top    





if you believe that then you must also believe in fairies at the bottom of your garden thats all I can say..

humans.. whether you believe we started from algae.. an animal that crawled out of the water.dereived from monkeys..born out of the garden of eden...


we came from somewhere....
1) we, it, survived through millions of years of climate change...
2) at one point for millions of years thats all that happened  CLIMATE CHANGE!... YES THE CLIMATE CHANGED!... my god who would have thought it.


A few observations -
1) Yes, we (humans) survived, by the "hair of our chinny chin chin".
Why? Because during the last Ice Age, we (humans) dwindled down to maybe a couple of thousand, before things (Climate) finally looked up and we survived!

Also, a small correction, we (humans) have only been around, in our current format (homo sapiens) for about 200,000 years, not millions.

2) No kidding, did you go to special school, to learn that one?
Actually, from our (human) perspective, nothing at all happened for well over 4.5 BILLION years, because we weren't here.
Also, I wasn't aware that one point, could last for millions of years?


Btw, you still haven't answered the question -
So, what are the relative costs to humanity, of doing something or doing nothing?

In other words, what are the costs, benefits & losses involved, in being correct &/or incorrect, if we move on my senario's, versus moving on the assumption that there is no problem?


And, nor has Maqqa! Your both the same, like that, avoiding the crucial questions?


All of which reminds me of a story?

The Three Little Pigs


...

Once upon a time there were three little pigs and the time came for them to leave home and seek their fortunes.

Before they left, their mother told them " Whatever you do , do it the best that you can because that's the way to get along in the world.

The first little pig built his house out of straw because it was the easiest thing to do.

The second little pig built his house out of sticks. This was a little bit stronger than a straw house.

The third little pig built his house out of bricks.

One night the big bad wolf, who dearly loved to eat fat little piggies, came along and saw the first little pig in his house of straw. He said "Let me in, Let me in, little pig or I'll huff and I'll puff and I'll blow your house in!"

"Not by the hair of my chinny chin chin", said the little pig.


But of course the wolf did blow the house in and ate the first little pig.

The wolf then came to the house of sticks.

"Let me in ,Let me in little pig or I'll huff and I'll puff and I'll blow your house in" "Not by the hair of my chinny chin chin", said the little pig. But the wolf blew that house in too, and ate the second little pig.


The wolf then came to the house of bricks.

" Let me in , let me in" cried the wolf

"Or I'll huff and I'll puff till I blow your house in"

"Not by the hair of my chinny chin chin" said the pigs.

Well, the wolf huffed and puffed but he could not blow down that brick house.


But the wolf was a sly old wolf and he climbed up on the roof to look for a way into the brick house.


...

The little pig saw the wolf climb up on the roof and lit a roaring fire in the fireplace and placed on it a large kettle of water.

When the wolf finally found the hole in the chimney he crawled down and KERSPLASH right into that kettle of water and that was the end of his troubles with the big bad wolf.


The next day the little pig invited his mother over . She said "You see it is just as I told you. The way to get along in the world is to do things as well as you can." Fortunately for that little pig, he learned that lesson. And he just lived happily ever after!

Link -
http://www.shol.com/agita/pigs.htm
==============================
A few observations -
1) Of course the 3 little piglets, were all Capitalist Pigs, in training?
2) The 2 fat little Capitalist Pigs, who didn't think  far enough ahead, got eaten, by the Big Bad Wolf, also known as C. C Wolf (Climate Change Wolf)

3) The Big Bad Wolf, like any self respecting Crook, will always look for the weakest link!
4) The third little Piggy knew there was someting beyond Capitalism Mk1 and that the wolves would always be knocking at his door.

So, this Piggy took the best advice available, at the time and built in brick (even though it cost a little more), to mitigate against the risks of the Wolf getting into the house and when the wolf went for the chimney, the Piggy went for back up plan 1 and fried that Climate Change Wolf in his own juices!


The moral of the story is, spend a little extra, mitigate against the likely risks, but have a back up plan and you can live happily ever after and avoid the Big Bad Climate Change Wolf!


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perceptions_now
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #24 - May 30th, 2011 at 2:13pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 1:55pm:
Quote:
[A few observations -
[b]1) Yes, we (humans) survived, by the "hair of our chinny chin chin".
Why? Because during the last Ice Age, we (humans) dwindled down to maybe a couple of thousand, before things (Climate) finally looked up and we survived!

Also, a small correction, we (humans) have only been around, in our current format (homo sapiens) for about 200,000 years, not millions.


Very good PN...however, to respond..
Humans DID survive (barely or not) the last Ice Age.....with no ability to modify our living condition, and no technology beyond flint tools and weapons, animal skins for clothes and only open fires for heat and light..

And our ancestors, although not entirely the same as our current species, went through other Glaciations with even less, and also survived..


Yes, but there were a lot less of us (humans), back then!

Now, there are about 7 Billion of us, the stakes are a lot higher and not taking every mitigation step possible, is simply not good Public Policy!

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progressiveslol
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #25 - May 30th, 2011 at 2:14pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 2:04pm:
The moral of the story is, spend a little extra, mitigate against the likely risks, but have a back up plan and you can live happily ever after and avoid the Big Bad Climate Change Wolf!


We will be doing nothing of the sorts.

Humans contribute 3% of CO2 to a dynamic world with an environment that contributes 97%. NOT STATIC.

You want to what. Make it humans contribute 2.5% of CO2.

Let me tell you a couple of things. 3% is a number more likely to be used for a plus or minus 3% of our figures could be incorrect or a plus or minus 3% could be a fluctuation, but 3% is never ever used as THE contributing factor to anything as the 97% is the contributing factor.

So the useless non-contributing factor of 3% is to be turned into 2.5% and ruin countries economics for what?

The figure by the way is to go up from 3% slightly because of China, India ect

The carbon tax is BS end of story.
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perceptions_now
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #26 - May 30th, 2011 at 2:15pm
 
cods wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 9:08am:
progressiveslol wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 8:07am:
cods wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 7:57am:
progressiveslol wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 12:32am:
Who was it on this board that said the debate is over. lol looks like it is my debate evaline and all those big countries have decided to come to my debate.




I am over this topic prog... I really am.. its getting to the stage where its almost bizarre...may as well be debating ghosts..or aliens..

now we have those in the GRIP of PANIC>. saying its best we put this country on its knees... just in case..but they believe in the science..


yet still waiting to hear from one of them regarding closing the mines yesterday!

You wouldnt be the only one, but the debate has to be had because you know how far the scaremongering will get without the debate. With the debate still going, we have slowly found them out in their scaremongering.

You will have to put yourself out of the way and enjoy peace and let the debate pass you by because the debate is going to continue for many years in the future.





I hate to keep repeating myself........but the way to go


IS LETS HAVE AN ELECTION GET IT OVER AND DONE WITH...


if they vote for the TAX then we will have to suck it up and sit back and watch what happens...........if anything!..lol


So, we have an election, every time a decision is required?

I thought that's why we elected Politicians?
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gizmo_2655
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #27 - May 30th, 2011 at 2:19pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 2:13pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 1:55pm:
Quote:
[A few observations -
[b]1) Yes, we (humans) survived, by the "hair of our chinny chin chin".
Why? Because during the last Ice Age, we (humans) dwindled down to maybe a couple of thousand, before things (Climate) finally looked up and we survived!

Also, a small correction, we (humans) have only been around, in our current format (homo sapiens) for about 200,000 years, not millions.


Very good PN...however, to respond..
Humans DID survive (barely or not) the last Ice Age.....with no ability to modify our living condition, and no technology beyond flint tools and weapons, animal skins for clothes and only open fires for heat and light..

And our ancestors, although not entirely the same as our current species, went through other Glaciations with even less, and also survived..


Yes, but there were a lot less of us (humans), back then!

Now, there are about 7 Billion of us, the stakes are a lot higher
and not taking every mitigation step possible, is simply not good Public Policy!



Confucious say "Many hands make light work"..
And our skills at insulation and heating are a lot better..
Humans adapt, it's possibly our greatest talent...On top of that, there's no guarantee that changing to renewables will stop whats happening anyway...

As harsh as it sounds, if the species survives, it wouldn't matter if we lose a few, or a medium amount of people to changing conditions...
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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
Bobbythebat
 
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Lobo
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #28 - May 30th, 2011 at 2:33pm
 
Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2011 at 10:59pm:
not IF you are wrong but it's a matter of YOU ARE wrong

You are wrong because of your inability to give a YES/NO answer to the question.



LOL.

This from someone who has NEVER, EVER given a YES/NO answer.

That must mean that you have never been right in your entire  message board career. Maqqa.

 Smiley
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"What's in store for me in the direction I don't take?"-Jack Kerouac.
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: OOOPPPS
Reply #29 - May 30th, 2011 at 2:34pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 2:14pm:
perceptions_now wrote on May 30th, 2011 at 2:04pm:
The moral of the story is, spend a little extra, mitigate against the likely risks, but have a back up plan and you can live happily ever after and avoid the Big Bad Climate Change Wolf!


We will be doing nothing of the sorts.

Humans contribute 3% of CO2 to a dynamic world with an environment that contributes 97%. NOT STATIC.

You want to what. Make it humans contribute 2.5% of CO2.

Let me tell you a couple of things. 3% is a number more likely to be used for a plus or minus 3% of our figures could be incorrect or a plus or minus 3% could be a fluctuation, but 3% is never ever used as THE contributing factor to anything as the 97% is the contributing factor.

So the useless non-contributing factor of 3% is to be turned into 2.5% and ruin countries economics for what?

The figure by the way is to go up from 3% slightly because of China, India ect

The carbon tax is BS end of story.


As I have repeatedly stated -
A Carbon Tax or ETS will not fix, what needs to be fixed!

Now we have dispensed with what won't work, we should look at what would work, which is legislated annual GHG reduction targets, backed by Tax Credits for achieving those targets & Tax Debits for not achieving the targets!

And, its all in OR all out! 

You & others, are effectively putting Billions of lives at risk, because you say the risk is small.

But, we know that small amounts can be lethal or can create wonders.

What I am saying is that we take a little from today, to try to protect future generations against an unmitigated disaster.

However, we have a history of not taking proper measures, as is shown by Peak Oil & the current Baby Boomer Bust, so I would suggest the future, may not be feeling too bright.
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