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Fukushima - Consequences? (Read 102563 times)
muso
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #450 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 8:57am
 
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 13th, 2011 at 8:29pm:
Japan nuclear crisis upgrade 'woefully late': Greenpeace
(AFP) 1 day ago

TOKYO — Environmental campaign group Greenpeace on Tuesday said Japan's upgrading of its Fukushima nuclear disaster to the top level of seven on an international scale was "woefully late".

Japan upped its nuclear emergency to a "major accident" and a maximum level on a UN global scale of atomic crises, the first time the highest ranking has been invoked since the Ukraine's 1986 Chernobyl disaster.

"Greenpeace has been calling for a level seven rating for three weeks," said Thomas Breuer, head of the Climate and Energy Unit at Greenpeace Germany.

"However, as we have seen with the evacuation zone around the nuclear plant, the government?s response is consistently lacking," he said, referring to news this week of planned evacuations beyond a 20 kilometre (12 mile) radius.

Greenpeace labelled the upgrade "woefully late" and again called on Japan to immediately step up protective measures for affected populations, including pregnant women and children living in towns beyond the 20 kilometre zone.

"The history of the nuclear industry is littered (with) cover-ups and underplaying of the consequences of nuclear accidents," said Breuer.

"The industry both inside and outside Japan have again been underplaying the human consequences of this terrible tragedy, and only now after a month has this disaster been accepted for what it is -- the worst on its scale."



The Level 7 applies to the combined incident. The individual reactors remain at Level 5 each.

It's  all very well for Greenpeace to do their usual mouth frothing, but what could they have differently if teh INES classification had been higher? The emergency response is the same for a radiological incident regardless of INES level.  These INES levels are usually applied well after the incident, and the Level 7 recently announced on the combined incident is preliminary anyway.

Greenpeace just want to worry as many people as possible and cause even more anguish.  
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mantra
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #451 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:15am
 
Quote:
The Level 7 applies to the combined incident. The individual reactors remain at Level 5 each.

It's  all very well for Greenpeace to do their usual mouth frothing, but what could they have differently if teh INES classification had been higher? The emergency response is the same for a radiological incident regardless of INES level.  Greenpeace just want to worry as many people as possible and cause even more anguish.   


The excuses used for this figure by the pro-nuclear lobby are seriously pathetic - no offence Muso.

They are still obviously down playing this incident. As 7 is the highest figure attainable - they can't suddenly say we have a number 15 disaster.

Greenpeace don't have to froth at the mouth to get their point across. People aren't stupid and can increasingly see the inherent danger in nuclear power plants no matter how much the "experts" claim otherwise.

Quote:
These INES levels are usually applied well after the incident, and the Level 7 recently announced on the combined incident is preliminary anyway.


It certainly took them a while to come to this conclusion, so it's hardly preliminary. If anything it's going to get worse.

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Foolosophy
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #452 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:22am
 
Each incremental increase in level equates to a 10 fold increase in radiological threat. THe difference between level 7 and level 5 is 100 fold in severity.

To suggest that individual reactors are still at level 5, highlights a total lack of understanding of the situation.

Greenpeace is actually being responsible in warming people as to the real dangers. We know that TEPCO and the Japanese Authorities have engaged in a cover up of the real severity of this radialogical incident. (mitigate their legal and financial responsibilities)

Professor Chris Busby and Professor Yablokov (world experts on the health risks of radiation - indcluding the INTERNAL EMITTERS that many wish to ignore) have estimated the number of additional cancers due to Fukushima incident.

200km radius around Fukushima: 200,000 to 400,000 ADDITIONAL cancers in the next 10 years

And this is an estimate JUST for the radiation that has been released SO FAR. Remember, the radiation has still not been contained as we speak.

The figure also rises when you project the additional cancer rate out to 50 years.

What TEPCO, Japanese Authorites and international nuclear bodies are doing is nothing short of criminal. And they will be held to account when cancer sufferers sue them  


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muso
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #453 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:30am
 
Total unmitigated nonsense.



At Fukushima, nobody has yet developed the symptoms of radiation poisoning and nobody has actually died as a result of exposure to radiation.

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/fukushima-fears-are-inflated/story-e6...

Some interesting figures:
Quote:
Japan's latest estimates put the amount of material released into the air at Fukushima at 370 terabecquerels of iodine 131 equivalent, about 7 per cent of the estimated 5200 terabecquerels released at Chernobyl.


That is a huge amount of activity. Even though it's not fashionable to say so, a large proportion of that ended up in the ocean, considerably lessening the effect. By the time it makes its way around the ocean currents, it will not be discernable from background levels. Some of the marine sampling locations immediately off the coast of Fukushima are already reporting nil detected Cesium and Iodine.

It stands to reason. One month on in the Chernobyl Accident there were possibly as many as 60 deaths through radiological exposure.

Equitist wrote on Apr 12th, 2011 at 9:53pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 12th, 2011 at 9:50pm:
Interesting how the IAEA has determined a soil contamination 40 kms away from the Fukushima plant of 0.9 MBq/m2

The IAEA classified hot spots from the Chernobyl disaster as having soil contamination >0.5 MBq/m2




Yikes!

Is there any significant difference in the half-lives of the materials/isotopes contributing to the respective radioactive contamination levels?




The figure I quoted earlier for Chernobyl was an average value applied over several hundred square kilometres as opposed to the single highest spot reading that Greenpeace could possibly find on the South Western boundary of Iitate village. 

The main contributions are from Iodine -131 and Cesium- 137. There will be smaller quantities of other isotopes, such as Strontium-90.

As usual, Greenpeace compares chalk and cheese in order to create a panic.
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muso
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #454 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:34am
 
mantra wrote on Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:15am:
It certainly took them a while to come to this conclusion, so it's hardly preliminary. If anything it's going to get worse.



Well that's not borne out by the monitoring results. Since March 31 there has been a steady decline in radiation levels.

Of course, the area around the plant itself may be totally cut off for as many as 20 years, but there have been no mass casualties as there were at Chernobyl.

The general public don't understand things like risk and dose.
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Foolosophy
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #455 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:51am
 
I prefer to go by the estimates of the experts such as Busby and Yablokov, and ignore the Nuclear industry and its puppeteers, the Uranium mining lobby groups etc.

400,000 ADDITIONAL cancers just within the 200km zone alone in the next decade. That figure is about two fold when you push the prediction out to 50 years

The coastline sediment on the eastern seaboard of Japan will be contaminated and so the figure does not include this region.

You can see how the corporate interests and mitigating stock market damage is far more improtant than the truth and peoples lives. And the apologists continue to froth at the mouth saying that there is nothing to worry about.

THe WHO have agreed to monitor the health situation in Japan long term. And as we all know the WHO can only conduct a comprehensive health risk and impact study if it is given permission by the International nuclear bodies - strange arrangement isnt it folks? WOnder how that little bit of political corruption came about?

(the longer that muso posts his apologetisms the deeper his credibility plunges into the abyss. At every turn over the past month muso has been proven wrong with his rediculous assessment of the Fukushima disaster (and CHernobyl for that matter). And he is being EXPOSED now with his deliberate deception - one can only ask as to what his motivation for publically lying is? I know - does anyone else? LOL)
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« Last Edit: Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:59am by Foolosophy »  
 
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Foolosophy
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #456 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 10:14am
 
muso wrote on Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:34am:
mantra wrote on Apr 14th, 2011 at 9:15am:
It certainly took them a while to come to this conclusion, so it's hardly preliminary. If anything it's going to get worse.



Well that's not borne out by the monitoring results. Since March 31 there has been a steady decline in radiation levels.

Of course, the area around the plant itself may be totally cut off for as many as 20 years, but there have been no mass casualties as there were at Chernobyl.

The general public don't understand things like risk and dose
.  


And how many people died due to Chernobyl? (LOL)

You are elitist and arrogant to the nth degree. The public understands the risks of radiation very well. The problem arises when the propagandists and apologists spread lies and missinformation concerning things like INTERNAL emitters (something you avoid in here I see muso).

This is why TEPCO and the puppets are only referring to Iodine131 and on occassions cesium137 (which can be lethal on their own).

And we all know why these radionuclides are being formed and released dont we muso?

And we all know the other radionuclides that accompany these - AND are being released as we speak.

dont we muso




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Foolosophy
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #457 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 10:22am
 
Behold "muso" frothing at the mouth after being exposed and having his fragile deck of deceptive cards crumbling around his ears.

See what happens muso when you spew out spin and lies in public? You eventually come unravelled by the truth. Preceisely like I said you would when this incident first occurred.

Nowhere to turn, muso can only continue his lies and deceptions right until the end like a good little puppet foot soldier for the criminals that are shielding the Nuclear power industry's ongoing contamination of the planet.

Behold, ladies and gentlemen "muso"

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muso
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #458 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 11:11am
 
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 14th, 2011 at 10:14am:
And we all know why these radionuclides are being formed and released dont we muso?

And we all know the other radionuclides that accompany these - AND are being released as we speak.

dont we muso


Well I do, but you obviously don't even understand the concept of risk,and you fail to grasp the basics of mobility of the said radionuclides. Mobility is the key here.

Just because a reactor produces certain radionuclides doesn't imply that they are mobile.

At Chernobyl, the reactor core blew up. There was an extended fire in the core exarcerbated by the loss of graphite.

Those liquidators who actually survived reported that only 10-15 percent of the original reactor fuel was still present after the explosion. That's an enormous loss to the environment, and it was all over land.  

The people who are stating that there has been an over-reaction to the Fukushima disaster are not all in the nuclear industry.

400,000 is a ridiculously high figure. I don't know which part of their anatomy they drew that from, but the total population of Fukushima Prefecture is around 3 million.

Morbidity risk from beta and gamma radiation has been reported as 8×10-2 risk per sievert (ISCRS). The figure of 400,000 is roughly 13% of the population of Fukushima before the Earthquake/ Tsunami.  This is clearly nonsense.

I am not an apologist for the nuclear industry, but I won't stand by when I see people quote ridiculous fictions.
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Foolosophy
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #459 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 6:23pm
 
muso wrote on Apr 14th, 2011 at 11:11am:
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 14th, 2011 at 10:14am:
And we all know why these radionuclides are being formed and released dont we muso?

And we all know the other radionuclides that accompany these - AND are being released as we speak.

dont we muso


Well I do, but you obviously don't even understand the concept of risk,and you fail to grasp the basics of mobility of the said radionuclides. Mobility is the key here.

Just because a reactor produces certain radionuclides doesn't imply that they are mobile.

At Chernobyl, the reactor core blew up. There was an extended fire in the core exarcerbated by the loss of graphite.

Those liquidators who actually survived reported that only 10-15 percent of the original reactor fuel was still present after the explosion. That's an enormous loss to the environment, and it was all over land.  

The people who are stating that there has been an over-reaction to the Fukushima disaster are not all in the nuclear industry.

400,000 is a ridiculously high figure. I don't know which part of their anatomy they drew that from, but the total population of Fukushima Prefecture is around 3 million.

Morbidity risk from beta and gamma radiation has been reported as 8×10-2 risk per sievert (ISCRS). The figure of 400,000 is roughly 13% of the population of Fukushima before the Earthquake/ Tsunami.  This is clearly nonsense.

I am not an apologist for the nuclear industry, but I won't stand by when I see people quote ridiculous fictions.


How many cancers and deaths resulted from the Chernobyl radiological disaster SO FAR?

How many are predicted from the Fukushima radiological release over the next 10 years?

Do you understand the risks associated with long term low level radiation exposure and the effects of internal alpha emitters?

(muso silent on that front itsnt he folks - LOL. muso thinks his psuedo-scientific spin can convince people in here. But as we all know when you look careflly at what muso says (and more imporantly what muso doesnt say) the lies are exposed. The only question remains, WHAT IS muso'c MOTIVATION for distorting basic high schoiol level scientific facts?)   
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #460 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 6:34pm
 
Quote:
How many cancers and deaths resulted from the Chernobyl radiological disaster SO FAR?


No where near the numbers you 'claim'

Quote:
How many are predicted from the Fukushima radiological release over the next 10 years?


And again, not even close to what you(or Greenpeace) 'predict'

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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #461 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 7:55pm
 
Prof Chris Busby predicts that about 400,000 additional cancers will result in the 200km zone around Fukushima oiver the next decade

(and that based on the IAEA estimate of what has been released in this disaster - and we all know these figures are underetimates and have been fudged for political puporses

According to the modelling I have carried out over the past few weeks, approximately 2.75 million additional cancer will result in Japan over the next 16 years.



TEPCO finally doing something right by relocating its back up Fukushima generators onto higher ground (about 20m above sea level). THe WHOLE facility should have been on higher ground in the initial design. Got approved anyway by building a 5.5m sea barrier. And of course we all know what happened to that when the 16m tsunami hit the plant.
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #462 - Apr 14th, 2011 at 10:35pm
 
Tepco Plans to Move Fukushima Backup Power to Higher Ground (1)


April 14 (Bloomberg) -- Tokyo Electric Power Co. will move backup generators at its crippled nuclear plant to higher ground away from the sea to ensure cooling systems aren’t disrupted by future tsunamis, as aftershocks rattle Japan.

“Emergency diesel-powered generators will be moved to higher ground, and work for connecting them into the power distribution unit will be carried out around April 19,” Takeo Iwamoto, a spokesman for the utility known as Tepco, said in Tokyo today.
They will be placed 20 meters (66 feet) above sea level, double the current height,
according to the company.


The Fukushima station is yet to stabilize and the reactors must be kept cool to prevent the crisis from deteriorating, Gregory Jaczko, chairman of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, said at a Senate hearing April 12.

Link -
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ajxHFcflsiio&pos=9
=========================
I think it may have been a good idea to have put the whole plant out of harms way or at least built the sea walls higher than recorded Tsunami's & upgraded them after subsequent higher Tsunami's, such as the Boxing Day Tsunami.

That said, I am struggling with the description in this article, which says, the backup generators will be placed at 20 meters (66 feet) above sea level, double the current height?

The reason I am struggling is that these backup generators have previously been said to be located in the reactor basements and I can nnot see how the reactor basements would be 10m above sea level?

Finally, I wonder what is happening at all other Japanese Nuclear plants, are the sea walls being upgraded to 20M and are the back up generators being shifted up & out of basements?


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Foolosophy
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #463 - Apr 15th, 2011 at 1:33am
 
...

i wonder what muso thinks about this question?
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Foolosophy
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #464 - Apr 15th, 2011 at 1:41am
 
2010 Recommendations of the ECRR
The Health Effects of Exposure to Low Doses of Ionizing RadiationRegulators' Edition

Edited by Chris Busby
with
Rosalie Bertell, Inge Schmitz-Feuerhake,
Molly Scott Cato and Alexey Yablokov

This important report has now been made available FREE due to the Fukushima disaster (normally 75 pounds)

It is about 250 pages and can be downloaded free:

http://www.euradcom.org/
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