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Fukushima - Consequences? (Read 102590 times)
chicken_lipsforme
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #120 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 10:37am
 
There's something to be said about the logic or otherwise of building nuclear plants on major geographical fault lines.
I would have thought that it was odds on that this tragedy would have occured one day.
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"Another boat, another policy failure from the Howard government"

Julia Gillard
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #121 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 10:40am
 
Equitist wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 9:05am:
I keep hearing reports that the workers, who are for all intents and purposes indefinitely-imprisoned at the Fuku plant, are working and living in terrible conditions - without decent food, bedding or even basic safety protections in their makeshift sleeping quarters...

How can this be allowed to happen!?

Is it any more dangerous to their health, than merely working and living at the plant, for them to consume anything other than water and dry biscuits!?

Will they ever be allowed to leave to receive decent medical treatment and sustenance - or will they simply be left there to die a horrible death in the coming weeks or months!?  If so, how long before some of them collectively jack up and choose to go out in an inglorious mutinous blaze!?



They are dead heroes walking

But one expert says the radiation leaks will be ongoing and it could take 50 to 100 years before the nuclear fuel rods have completely cooled and been removed.

"As the water leaks out, you keep on pouring water in, so this leak will go on for ever," said Dr John Price, a former member of the Safety Policy Unit at the UK's National Nuclear Corporation.

"There has to be some way of dealing with it. The water is connecting in tunnels and concrete-lined pits at the moment and the question is whether they can pump it back.
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perceptions_now
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #122 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:05pm
 
When the Fukushima Meltdown Hits Groundwater


Fukushima is going to dwarf Chenobyl. The Japanese government has had a level 7 nuclear disaster going for almost a week but won’t admit it.

The disaster is occurring the opposite way than Chernobyl, which exploded and stopped the reaction. At Fukushima, the reactions are getting worse. I suspect three nuclear piles are in meltdown and we will probably get some of it.

If reactor 3 is in meltdown,  the concrete under the containment looks like lava. But Fukushima is not far off the water table. When that molten mass of self-sustaining nuclear material gets to the water table it won’t simply cool down. It will explode – not a nuclear explosion, but probably enough to involve the rest of the reactors and fuel rods at the facility.

Pouring concrete on a critical reactor makes no sense – it will simply explode and release more radioactive particulate matter. The concrete will melt and the problem will get worse. Chernobyl was different – a critical reactor exploded and stopped the reaction. At Fukushima, the reactor cores are still melting down. The ONLY way to stop that is to detonate a ~10 kiloton fission device inside each reactor containment vessel and hope to vaporize the cores. That’s probably a bad solution.


A nuclear meltdown is a self-sustaining reaction. Nothing can stop it except stopping the reaction. And that would require a nuclear weapon. In fact, it would require one in each containment vessel to merely stop what is going on now. But it will be messy.

Fukushima was waiting to happen because of the placement of the emergency generators. If they had not all failed at once by being inundated by a tsunami, Fukushima would not have happened as it did – although it WOULD still have been a nuclear disaster. Every containment in the world is built to withstand a Magnitude 6.9 earthquake; the Japanese chose to ignore the fact that a similar earthquake had hit that same general area in 1896.

Anyway, here is the information that the US doesn’t seem to want released. And here is a chart that might help with perspective.
Radiation Dose Chart
http://xkcd.com/radiation/

Making matters worse is the MOX in reactor 3. MOX is the street name for ‘mixed oxide fuel‘ which uses ~9% plutonium along with a uranium compound to fuel reactors. This is why it can be used.

The problem is that you don’t want to play with this stuff. A nuclear reactor means bring fissile material to a point at which it is hot enough to boil water (in a light-water reactor) and not enough to melt and go supercritical (China syndrome or a Chernobyl incident). You simply cannot let it get away from you because if it does, you can’t stop it.

[b]The Japanese are still talking about days or weeks to clean this up. That’s not true. They cannot clean it up. And no one will live in that area again for dozens or maybe hundreds of years.[/b]

Link -
http://hawaiinewsdaily.com/2011/03/when-the-fukushima-meltdown-hits-groundwater/
==============================
Well, I agree that, HIS ONLY SOLUTION IS NOT A GOOD SOLUTION!
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #123 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:25pm
 
.....is there a limit to how stupid humans can get?
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #124 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:25pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:05pm:
When the Fukushima Meltdown Hits Groundwater


Fukushima is going to dwarf Chenobyl. The Japanese government has had a level 7 nuclear disaster going for almost a week but won’t admit it.

The disaster is occurring the opposite way than Chernobyl, which exploded and stopped the reaction. At Fukushima, the reactions are getting worse. I suspect three nuclear piles are in meltdown and we will probably get some of it.

If reactor 3 is in meltdown,  the concrete under the containment looks like lava. But Fukushima is not far off the water table. When that molten mass of self-sustaining nuclear material gets to the water table it won’t simply cool down. It will explode – not a nuclear explosion, but probably enough to involve the rest of the reactors and fuel rods at the facility.

Pouring concrete on a critical reactor makes no sense – it will simply explode and release more radioactive particulate matter. The concrete will melt and the problem will get worse. Chernobyl was different – a critical reactor exploded and stopped the reaction. At Fukushima, the reactor cores are still melting down. The ONLY way to stop that is to detonate a ~10 kiloton fission device inside each reactor containment vessel and hope to vaporize the cores. That’s probably a bad solution.


A nuclear meltdown is a self-sustaining reaction. Nothing can stop it except stopping the reaction. And that would require a nuclear weapon. In fact, it would require one in each containment vessel to merely stop what is going on now. But it will be messy.

Fukushima was waiting to happen because of the placement of the emergency generators. If they had not all failed at once by being inundated by a tsunami, Fukushima would not have happened as it did – although it WOULD still have been a nuclear disaster. Every containment in the world is built to withstand a Magnitude 6.9 earthquake; the Japanese chose to ignore the fact that a similar earthquake had hit that same general area in 1896.

Anyway, here is the information that the US doesn’t seem to want released. And here is a chart that might help with perspective.
Radiation Dose Chart
http://xkcd.com/radiation/

Making matters worse is the MOX in reactor 3. MOX is the street name for ‘mixed oxide fuel‘ which uses ~9% plutonium along with a uranium compound to fuel reactors. This is why it can be used.

The problem is that you don’t want to play with this stuff. A nuclear reactor means bring fissile material to a point at which it is hot enough to boil water (in a light-water reactor) and not enough to melt and go supercritical (China syndrome or a Chernobyl incident). You simply cannot let it get away from you because if it does, you can’t stop it.

[b]The Japanese are still talking about days or weeks to clean this up. That’s not true. They cannot clean it up. And no one will live in that area again for dozens or maybe hundreds of years.[/b]

Link -
http://hawaiinewsdaily.com/2011/03/when-the-fukushima-meltdown-hits-groundwater/
==============================
Well, I agree that, HIS ONLY SOLUTION IS NOT A GOOD SOLUTION!


So this substance that looks like lava has water in it? The bottom of the reactor pressure vessel has ruptured? - and they can maintain water and steam pressure?

Interesting. I think I'll leave too much in depth comment out until they have the situation under complete control.

Until then, you can work out which articles are far out and which ones are totally in orbit. 

Actually it's all a big cover-up and there are actually giant Godzilla like creatures attacking Tokyo right now as a result of the radiation.  They're pretty pissed actually and they are using cars as missiles, and pulling helicopters out of the sky.

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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #125 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:29pm
 


This trickle of grave news is so bizarre - but what aren't we being told!?

At what point will the Japanese and international authorities admit that this disaster is already 'bigger and worser' than Chernobyl!?

Putting a cap on it won't stop stuff from going on inside and underground - and into the ocean - and it may cause a rapid increase in temperature and build-up of pressure before an unprecedented explosion (or series thereof)...

How do they expect the spray-on resin groundcover to stop seepage - and how will this make it much safer for workers anyway!?

Clearly, there's no easy solution - but the risks of both inaction and incorrect action are enormous...

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Lamenting the shift in the Australian psyche, away from the egalitarian ideal of the fair-go - and the rise of short-sighted pollies, who worship the 'Growth Fairy' and seek to divide and conquer!
 
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #126 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:29pm
 
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:25pm:
.....is there a limit to how stupid humans can get?


I agree. Especially the ones who write articles like that. I think we should have a thread for the most far out scenarios.

I'll go first. The Uranium 238 interaction with the Iodine 131 created a split in time. The consequences were a nuclear explosion which went back in time and created a huge earthquake and Tsunami which killed 27,000 + people.

Can anybody match that?
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #127 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:31pm
 
Equitist wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:29pm:
At what point will the Japanese and international authorities admit that this disaster is already 'bigger and worser' than Chernobyl!?



It isn't. Not even close.
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #128 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:37pm
 


muso wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:25pm:
So this substance that looks like lava has water in it? The bottom of the reactor pressure vessel has ruptured? - and they can maintain water and steam pressure?

Interesting. I think I'll leave too much in depth comment out until they have the situation under complete control.

Until then, you can work out which articles are far out and which ones are totally in orbit.  

Actually it's all a big cover-up and there are actually giant Godzilla like creatures attacking Tokyo right now as a result of the radiation.  They're pretty pissed actually and they are using cars as missiles, and pulling helicopters out of the sky.




To be fair, Muso: since there are 4 affected reactor units, spent fuel cooling pools and buildings - containing different fuel sources and different types of reactors and all with differering degrees of chemical and physical damage involved here - it is possible that there are vastly different scenarios evolving inside, underneath and adjacent to each of the 4 buildings...

It remains to be seen how this infinitely-complex disaster will unfold - but I would suggest that it is not possible to rule out one or more significant explosive releases of radiation in the coming days, weeks or even months...

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Lamenting the shift in the Australian psyche, away from the egalitarian ideal of the fair-go - and the rise of short-sighted pollies, who worship the 'Growth Fairy' and seek to divide and conquer!
 
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #129 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 1:19pm
 
muso wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:25pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:05pm:
When the Fukushima Meltdown Hits Groundwater


Fukushima is going to dwarf Chenobyl. The Japanese government has had a level 7 nuclear disaster going for almost a week but won’t admit it.

The disaster is occurring the opposite way than Chernobyl, which exploded and stopped the reaction. At Fukushima, the reactions are getting worse. I suspect three nuclear piles are in meltdown and we will probably get some of it.

If reactor 3 is in meltdown,  the concrete under the containment looks like lava. But Fukushima is not far off the water table. When that molten mass of self-sustaining nuclear material gets to the water table it won’t simply cool down. It will explode – not a nuclear explosion, but probably enough to involve the rest of the reactors and fuel rods at the facility.

Pouring concrete on a critical reactor makes no sense – it will simply explode and release more radioactive particulate matter. The concrete will melt and the problem will get worse. Chernobyl was different – a critical reactor exploded and stopped the reaction. At Fukushima, the reactor cores are still melting down. The ONLY way to stop that is to detonate a ~10 kiloton fission device inside each reactor containment vessel and hope to vaporize the cores. That’s probably a bad solution.


A nuclear meltdown is a self-sustaining reaction. Nothing can stop it except stopping the reaction. And that would require a nuclear weapon. In fact, it would require one in each containment vessel to merely stop what is going on now. But it will be messy.

Fukushima was waiting to happen because of the placement of the emergency generators. If they had not all failed at once by being inundated by a tsunami, Fukushima would not have happened as it did – although it WOULD still have been a nuclear disaster. Every containment in the world is built to withstand a Magnitude 6.9 earthquake; the Japanese chose to ignore the fact that a similar earthquake had hit that same general area in 1896.

Anyway, here is the information that the US doesn’t seem to want released. And here is a chart that might help with perspective.
Radiation Dose Chart
http://xkcd.com/radiation/

Making matters worse is the MOX in reactor 3. MOX is the street name for ‘mixed oxide fuel‘ which uses ~9% plutonium along with a uranium compound to fuel reactors. This is why it can be used.

The problem is that you don’t want to play with this stuff. A nuclear reactor means bring fissile material to a point at which it is hot enough to boil water (in a light-water reactor) and not enough to melt and go supercritical (China syndrome or a Chernobyl incident). You simply cannot let it get away from you because if it does, you can’t stop it.

[b]The Japanese are still talking about days or weeks to clean this up. That’s not true. They cannot clean it up. And no one will live in that area again for dozens or maybe hundreds of years.[/b]

Link -
http://hawaiinewsdaily.com/2011/03/when-the-fukushima-meltdown-hits-groundwater/
==============================
Well, I agree that, HIS ONLY SOLUTION IS NOT A GOOD SOLUTION!


So this substance that looks like lava has water in it? The bottom of the reactor pressure vessel has ruptured? - and they can maintain water and steam pressure?

Interesting. I think I'll leave too much in depth comment out until they have the situation under complete control.

Until then, you can work out which articles are far out and which ones are totally in orbit.  

Actually it's all a big cover-up and there are actually giant Godzilla like creatures attacking Tokyo right now as a result of the radiation.  They're pretty pissed actually and they are using cars as missiles, and pulling helicopters out of the sky.



It seems you may have misread that part of the article, it didn't say that the substance that looks like lava has water in it.


It actually said -

"If reactor 3 is in meltdown,  the concrete under the containment looks like lava. But Fukushima is not far off the water table. When that molten mass of self-sustaining nuclear material gets to the water table it won’t simply cool down. It will explode – not a nuclear explosion, but probably enough to involve the rest of the reactors and fuel rods at the facility."


I think Godzilla can remain in the fairytale category, but this is clearly a realistic & possible scenario!


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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #130 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 1:28pm
 
muso wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:31pm:
Equitist wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 12:29pm:
At what point will the Japanese and international authorities admit that this disaster is already 'bigger and worser' than Chernobyl!?



It isn't. Not even close.


Chernobyl was over 2 decades ago and its possibly a little early to start drawing comparisons, but Fukushima should clearly be on a higher INES rating than 3 mile Island, it is arguably a 6 or 7.

Time will finally tell, which is the right INES category.

Time will finally tell, if a Chernobyl rating is correct for Fukushima, but in terms of overall effects, it will be close or even higher, particularly when taking the Global Economic consequences into consideration!  
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #131 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 1:42pm
 
Quote:
I think Godzilla can remain in the fairytale category, but this is clearly a realistic & possible scenario! [/color][/b]


The China Syndrome scenario is NO closer to 'a realistic & possible scenario!' than the Godzilla one is....

What the various 'ranters' who write those articles seem to forget is that the bottom of the pressure vessels are full of water, and as the fuel rods 'melt' the pellets drip one by one into the water pooled in the lower third of the reactor....and are cooled as they drip...
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It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #132 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 2:11pm
 
Just for the Godzilla 'deniers'...

"Just don't call it a meltdown, some engineers say.

"Meltdown is a Hollywood term; nobody really uses it," said radiation safety specialist Bruce Busby of the Fred Hutchison Cancer Research Center in Seattle. "What we are really talking about is core damage."

Core damage sounds bad enough, but the distinction does matter.

"Meltdown is what I call the 'Jane Fonda scenario,' " said nuclear consultant Lake Barrett, a former Energy Department and Nuclear Regulatory Commission engineer, referencing the 1979 movie The China Syndrome, in which a melting reactor core breaks through the containment barriers below it.

In such a meltdown, the fuel rods inside a reactor melt together into a mass, hugging the steel floor of a reactor chamber. In this Hollywood depiction, the process goes out of control, the hot fuel eats through the 8-inch steel floor, and goes all the way to China. It reaches the groundwater and spreads radioactivity for hundreds of miles.

In reality, "that's impossible; it didn't even happen at Chernobyl," said Barrett, referring to the 1986 disaster in Soviet Ukraine, the worst nuclear reactor disaster in history.

Busby calls the fuel-rod disintegration more of a "crumbling," where the discs fall apart. Others use different analogies.

"In reality, first (the rods) drip down to the floor of the reactor like a candle melting," Barrett said. "There is still water at the bottom of the reactor. That cools the fuel off.""

http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/2011-03-15-1Anuke15_VA_N.htm

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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #133 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 2:12pm
 
chicken_lipsforme wrote on Apr 1st, 2011 at 10:37am:
There's something to be said about the logic or otherwise of building nuclear plants on major geographical fault lines.
I would have thought that it was odds on that this tragedy would have occured one day.


Why?? The quake itself didn't cause any of the Fukushima problems....
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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
Bobbythebat
 
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Re: Fukushima - Consequences?
Reply #134 - Apr 1st, 2011 at 3:11pm
 
The author of that Hawaiian article was a certain Dr Tom. I left a message asking how much he charged for treating sick horses because judging from his wacky report he was obviously a doctor of veterinary medicine rather than nuclear science.
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