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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz... (Read 5847 times)
Foolosophy
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #15 - Mar 12th, 2011 at 9:11pm
 
Soren wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 7:32pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 3:46pm:
Soren wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 12:04pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 9th, 2011 at 10:36pm:
Soren wrote on May 2nd, 2010 at 9:14pm:
Climate science is statistics. Nothing more, nothing less.



not all aspects are

Quantum Physics is purely stochastic in nature - nothing deterministic about it at all and yet it pervades everyday life and has been verified experimentally over and over again.

Predicting a local weather event and analysing general climate conditions in a specific region of the planet are two very different animals.
Weather does not equate to Climate



Quantum physics has what bearing on climate science?

The statistical aggregation of weather measurements is the climate. That is all it is. A rainy climate is one where you have to take a umbrella with you in the morning more often.


Glad you cleared that up

Obviously you lack a basic scientific grounding or training

(Do you know what changes in average global temperature is required in order to trigger an ice age or indeed a major ice melt phase on the earth? - didnt think so. If we burnt ALL the known fossil fuel reserves in the earths crust how much of the atmospheric molecular oxygen content will be consumed? Both of these question are high school level chemistry and phsyics questions. 5 marks each you have 30 minutes)



Climate science has abolutely no data other than measurements of various aspects of the weather.



Let us summarise the nuerotic conspiracy based paranoia of a typical crack pot AGW DENILIAST cult priest.

1. On the Sabbath of the combustion of oil and its derivitives there shalt not emmiteth the gas known in dueteronomy as Carbon Dioxide.

2. Such a gas is NOT increasing in the earths atmosphere as a direct result of such human activites.

3. The gas known as CO2 is not a greenhouse gas

4. THe planets average surface temperature is not increasing

5. EXXON knows best

6. How do I vote fo John Howard again - our most beloved mentor and AGW DENIALIST high priest?

(Axioms 7 and 9 are ommitted due to Psychiatric orders issued against the Church of AGW DENILIASM which has also refused to inlcude an 8th Axiom - ooooh mysterious)
   
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« Last Edit: Mar 12th, 2011 at 9:25pm by Foolosophy »  
 
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Foolosophy
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #16 - Mar 12th, 2011 at 9:24pm
 
Soren wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 7:17pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 5:11pm:
Gizmo is having a bit of difficulty with that high school level science project.

I may have to think up of a more simpler Primary school level scientific question.

I will really have to dig very deep into my library now - this is far too much work for a long weekend

Oh bugger it



Progressives have buggered up education to the point where the population is too stupid to believe the "settled science".




Yes Soren we must be transported back to the dark ages of enlightenment (a conservative oxymoron oxymoron).

The world of Soren - where progression and forward looking advancement is to be banned by his totalitarian corporate welfare slave system.

Yes my friends - its is Soren - the man who voted for John Howard - nto once - oh no once was not enough for Soren - He galloped into the plling boot with his autocratic corporate Bible in one hand and his aboriginal lecturing treatise in the other and voted for his on EVERY occassion

And this becomes the basis of his valued scientific assessment of the evidence that has proven the human links to global warming over 30 years ago.

Allow me to leave Mr Soren with a vlaued reference to Arrhenius - the Nobel Prize winning chemist.  Arrhenius actually predicted that the earth would warm and ice sheets will melt if CO2 levels were allowed to increase uncontrollably due to human activites.

He actually made some basic calculations as to how mucht he earth would warm and how much ice would melt if the CO2 level increased by a factor of 2.5.

Not a bad estimate for 1896 hey Soren?

Bu then again they say that Arrhenius was not only a brilliant scientist, but a foward looking, enlightened, progressive thinker.
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muso
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #17 - Mar 12th, 2011 at 10:57pm
 
Have fun Foolosophy. My approach of attempting to explain the science from all angles is clearly not working.
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Foolosophy
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #18 - Mar 12th, 2011 at 11:34pm
 
muso wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 10:57pm:
Have fun Foolosophy. My approach of attempting to explain the science from all angles is clearly not working.


Explain the science from all angles?

What do you mean? Care to elaborate?
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Foolosophy
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #19 - Mar 12th, 2011 at 11:37pm
 
Soren wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 7:06pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 4:58pm:
Gizmo,
Can I ask what your scientific background is exaclty?

(just wondering whether you inderstand the difference between the dynamic Carbon cycle that is essentially biologically based and the naturally sequestered and STABLE/STATIC carbon in the earths crust)



That is precisely the sort of question the pope asked Giordano Bruno -what are your quals to argue?


Or as AGW alarmists are asking everywhere - why don't they believe us?


Soren - its a simple question - What is your background in science or climatology?

You were not Forbidden to comment or express an opinion.

Its just that when I need an medical opinion on a tooth ache that I have I dont go to my local mechanic.

Your juvernile attempt to avoid the question SAYS VOLUMES.

No more questions your honor

The witness is excused from the box

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gizmo_2655
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #20 - Mar 13th, 2011 at 6:11am
 
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 11:37pm:
Soren wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 7:06pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 4:58pm:
Gizmo,
Can I ask what your scientific background is exaclty?

(just wondering whether you inderstand the difference between the dynamic Carbon cycle that is essentially biologically based and the naturally sequestered and STABLE/STATIC carbon in the earths crust)



That is precisely the sort of question the pope asked Giordano Bruno -what are your quals to argue?


Or as AGW alarmists are asking everywhere - why don't they believe us?


Soren - its a simple question - What is your background in science or climatology?

You were not Forbidden to comment or express an opinion.

Its just that when I need an medical opinion on a tooth ache that I have I dont go to my local mechanic.

Your juvernile attempt to avoid the question SAYS VOLUMES.

No more questions your honor

The witness is excused from the box



At the risk of sounding schoolyard-ish....

Exactly what is YOUR background in science or climatology???
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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
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muso
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #21 - Mar 13th, 2011 at 7:02am
 
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 11:34pm:
muso wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 10:57pm:
Have fun Foolosophy. My approach of attempting to explain the science from all angles is clearly not working.


Explain the science from all angles?

What do you mean? Care to elaborate?


Read the rest of the thread. It's a difficult process because I was trying to get some buy-in at each stage. First of all I explained how the greenhouse effect actually works in terms of greenhouse gases  dispersing long wave infrared radiation that would otherwise have escaped into space, then I discussed the actual quantities of carbon dioxide produced using coal and oil production figures in giga tonnes, and demonstrated that it was of the same order of the increasing CO2 in the atmosphere (taking into account that a proportion is absorbed into ocean sinks etc).

We have at least one poster here who can follow the scientific argument quite well.

In my experience ridiculing somebody's position on the matter is probably counter productive, and we just end up with a slanging match, making it difficult for somebody else. We need to demonstrate how the science backs it up, and it's possible to do that using neutral, non-emotive language and without resorting to "appeal to authority". (eg. 2000 Climate scientists can't be wrong, or "what are your qualifications in climate science?")  

Unless you're getting into the details of climate sensitivity and the derivation of radiative forcing equations, it can all be explained by basic science. Now feel free to continue as you are, but I just offered a more constructive approach, although it does take some effort.  

Other people read these threads.  A lot of people in the general community are confused by the various views that are put across. You just have to look at the newspaper reports to see that. An example was an article that asked (paraphrased)  "What do you tell your kids about Climate Change with all the confusing information that's going around?"

Our challenge is to explain it in simple indisputable terms, one mouthful at a time.  Now I know that takes a bit more time and effort, but I think it's worth it.    

Please don't take this as a criticism. I was there once.
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« Last Edit: Mar 13th, 2011 at 7:16am by muso »  

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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #22 - Mar 13th, 2011 at 8:39am
 
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 9:24pm:
Yes my friends - its is Soren - the man who voted for John Howard - nto once - oh no once was not enough for Soren - He galloped into the plling boot with his autocratic corporate Bible in one hand and his aboriginal lecturing treatise in the other and voted for his on EVERY occassion



There the AGW mindset in a nutshell: you ask a question and make up the answer and then off you go with your stream of consciousness about - politics. AGW is about John Howard and the anyone who voted for him. Pathetic.
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Soren
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #23 - Mar 13th, 2011 at 8:41am
 
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 9:11pm:
Soren wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 7:32pm:
Climate science has abolutely no data other than measurements of various aspects of the weather.



Let us summarise the nuerotic conspiracy based paranoia of a typical crack pot AGW DENILIAST cult priest.

1. On the Sabbath of the combustion of oil and its derivitives there shalt not emmiteth the gas known in dueteronomy as Carbon Dioxide.

2. Such a gas is NOT increasing in the earths atmosphere as a direct result of such human activites.

3. The gas known as CO2 is not a greenhouse gas

4. THe planets average surface temperature is not increasing

5. EXXON knows best

6. How do I vote fo John Howard again - our most beloved mentor and AGW DENIALIST high priest?

(Axioms 7 and 9 are ommitted due to Psychiatric orders issued against the Church of AGW DENILIASM which has also refused to inlcude an 8th Axiom - ooooh mysterious)
   



How is all this drivel a response to anything?
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Foolosophy
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #24 - Mar 13th, 2011 at 9:32pm
 
muso wrote on Mar 13th, 2011 at 7:02am:
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 11:34pm:
muso wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 10:57pm:
Have fun Foolosophy. My approach of attempting to explain the science from all angles is clearly not working.


Explain the science from all angles?

What do you mean? Care to elaborate?


Read the rest of the thread. It's a difficult process because I was trying to get some buy-in at each stage. First of all I explained how the greenhouse effect actually works in terms of greenhouse gases  dispersing long wave infrared radiation that would otherwise have escaped into space, then I discussed the actual quantities of carbon dioxide produced using coal and oil production figures in giga tonnes, and demonstrated that it was of the same order of the increasing CO2 in the atmosphere (taking into account that a proportion is absorbed into ocean sinks etc).

We have at least one poster here who can follow the scientific argument quite well.

In my experience ridiculing somebody's position on the matter is probably counter productive, and we just end up with a slanging match, making it difficult for somebody else. We need to demonstrate how the science backs it up, and it's possible to do that using neutral, non-emotive language and without resorting to "appeal to authority". (eg. 2000 Climate scientists can't be wrong, or "what are your qualifications in climate science?")  

Unless you're getting into the details of climate sensitivity and the derivation of radiative forcing equations, it can all be explained by basic science. Now feel free to continue as you are, but I just offered a more constructive approach, although it does take some effort.  

Other people read these threads.  A lot of people in the general community are confused by the various views that are put across. You just have to look at the newspaper reports to see that. An example was an article that asked (paraphrased)  "What do you tell your kids about Climate Change with all the confusing information that's going around?"

Our challenge is to explain it in simple indisputable terms, one mouthful at a time.  Now I know that takes a bit more time and effort, but I think it's worth it.    

Please don't take this as a criticism. I was there once.

Muso,
You make some sound and rational points.
However I cannot see how one argues with an AGW DENILIAST on scientific grounds.

Its a bit like arguing with the flat earthers - no point!

I prefer to expose the nuerotic and/or dishonest motivation that drives these AGW DENIALIST priests.

You only have to see the data they post and so called "valid questions" they pose concerning AGW

Its like watching the CEO's of the big tobacco corporations stand up in a Congressional Hearing in Washington and under oath, declare to the world that smoking their tobacco prodcuts does NOT lead to health diseases susch as ling and throat cancer.

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muso
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #25 - Mar 14th, 2011 at 8:28am
 
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 13th, 2011 at 9:32pm:
Muso,
You make some sound and rational points.
However I cannot see how one argues with an AGW DENILIAST on scientific grounds.

Its a bit like arguing with the flat earthers - no point!

I prefer to expose the nuerotic and/or dishonest motivation that drives these AGW DENIALIST priests.

You only have to see the data they post and so called "valid questions" they pose concerning AGW

Its like watching the CEO's of the big tobacco corporations stand up in a Congressional Hearing in Washington and under oath, declare to the world that smoking their tobacco prodcuts does NOT lead to health diseases susch as ling and throat cancer.



I know what you mean, but let's do it on another thread as opposed to the Climate Science thread . Not everybody who reads these posts is a 'flat earther'.

Ok, I've split this off the Climate Science thread.
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« Last Edit: Mar 14th, 2011 at 9:43am by muso »  

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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #26 - Mar 14th, 2011 at 5:08pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 3:55pm:
After all, isn't the equation sort of 'more Co2 = more plants and MORE plants = more O2 produced???'


Ahem, more plants? not a chance with rapid deforestation (burning!) and loss of arable land.  Half the problem is the erosion of our planet's natural ability to sequester carbon.  The ocean will one day spit it back in our faces, care to read up about a certain lake in Cameroon?
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Soren
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #27 - Mar 14th, 2011 at 5:43pm
 
ThripD wrote on Mar 14th, 2011 at 5:08pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 3:55pm:
After all, isn't the equation sort of 'more Co2 = more plants and MORE plants = more O2 produced???'


Ahem, more plants? not a chance with rapid deforestation (burning!) and loss of arable land.  Half the problem is the erosion of our planet's natural ability to sequester carbon.  The ocean will one day spit it back in our faces, care to read up about a certain lake in Cameroon?


A certain lake in Cameroon? Is that the Cameroon that is the leading generator of antropogenic CO2 due to its massive steel and manufacturing industries?
Or the Cameroon that has a lake next to a volcano leaking CO2?

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Foolosophy
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #28 - Mar 14th, 2011 at 6:04pm
 
What will be the average global surface temperature if the CO2 level in the earths atmosphere inreases to 1000 ppmv and 10,000 ppmv?

How much of the earths fossil fuel reserves will need to be burnt in order to reach these levels and how long will it take?

What will be the effects on the earths climate, sea level, ice cover, glacial cover, cyclone intensity and frequency etc if these CO2 levels are reached?

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Foolosophy
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #29 - Mar 14th, 2011 at 10:18pm
 
Soren wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 7:06pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Mar 12th, 2011 at 4:58pm:
Gizmo,
Can I ask what your scientific background is exaclty?

(just wondering whether you inderstand the difference between the dynamic Carbon cycle that is essentially biologically based and the naturally sequestered and STABLE/STATIC carbon in the earths crust)



That is precisely the sort of question the pope asked Giordano Bruno -what are your quals to argue?


Or as AGW alarmists are asking everywhere - why don't they believe us?


So I gather from your frothing at the mouth in religious tongues that you are not willing to entertain an answer to this simple question?

You have an interesting technique of avoiding the facts and answering questions.

Why would you need to hide behind this childish technique?
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