Australian Politics Forum - Abbott takes election-winning lead

sandysquirrel18

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Abbott takes election-winning lead
Feb 13^th, 2011 at 11:43pm

http://www.smh.com.au/national/landslide-happens-team-abbott-takes-electionwinning-lead-20110213-1as4p.html?from=smh_sb
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The latest Herald/Nielsen poll shows the Coalition leading Labor on a two-party preferred basis by 54 per cent to 46 per cent, a swing of 4 per cent since the August election etc etc
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C'mon now buzz, don't forget to tell us that this is another 'rogue' poll. I'm sure you will find some way to dispute these figures.

Labor is in trouble big time and it's getting worse for them each week. Maybe Gillard's Health reform breakthrough will bolster Labors poll figures a point or two but then, they will go and stuff it with another backdown or three.

Will this farce of a Government fold before it's 3 yrs are up? For Australia's sake it better had

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Dnarever Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 61958 Here Gender:	Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead Reply #1 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 12:01am Quote: Abbott takes election-winning lead It would mean something if there was an election.
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philperth2010

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Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead
Reply #2 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 12:30am

sandysquirrel18 wrote on Feb 13^th, 2011 at 11:43pm:

http://www.smh.com.au/national/landslide-happens-team-abbott-takes-electionwinning-lead-20110213-1as4p.html?from=smh_sb
____________________________

The latest Herald/Nielsen poll shows the Coalition leading Labor on a two-party preferred basis by 54 per cent to 46 per cent, a swing of 4 per cent since the August election etc etc
_____________________

C'mon now buzz, don't forget to tell us that this is another 'rogue' poll. I'm sure you will find some way to dispute these figures.

Labor is in trouble big time and it's getting worse for them each week. Maybe Gillard's Health reform breakthrough will bolster Labors poll figures a point or two but then, they will go and stuff it with another backdown or three.

Will this farce of a Government fold before it's 3 yrs are up? For Australia's sake it better had

Hello Sandy.....this pole would not of course take into account Tony Abbott being pole axed by CH 7 last week.....Or his alternative budget cuts....Or the split within the party over the last week.....However if Abbott survives this he might just become PM one day.....Labor need to lift its game and start delivering something that actually works!!!

Cry

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If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
Isaac Asimov (1920 - 1992)

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buzzanddidj Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 14248 Eganstown, via Daylesford, VIC Gender:	Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead Reply #3 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 12:42am Quote: C'mon now buzz, don't forget to tell us that this is another 'rogue' poll You're a little CONFUSED That was Gary Morgan's (of Morgan Research) phrase Repeated by Longweekend - attributing it to myself - incorrectly I have never used it
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buzzanddidj

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Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead
Reply #4 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 12:48am

Labor is doing better in Victoria, where it leads 51-49 per cent

, and SA (where it trails 48-52 per cent), but is struggling in Queensland (39-61) and WA (44-56). It is also performing poorly in NSW (44-56).

http://www.theage.com.au/national/coalition-surges-to-decisive-lead-20110213-1as...

Victoria seems to be coming to its senses - and saying "what the hell were we thinking" last November ?

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mellie

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Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead
Reply #5 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 6:10am

buzzanddidj wrote on Feb 14^th, 2011 at 12:48am:

Labor is doing better in Victoria, where it leads 51-49 per cent

, and SA (where it trails 48-52 per cent), but is struggling in Queensland (39-61) and WA (44-56). It is also performing poorly in NSW (44-56).

http://www.theage.com.au/national/coalition-surges-to-decisive-lead-20110213-1as...

Victoria seems to be coming to its senses - and saying "what the hell were we thinking" last November ?

If Labor are/were doing better in Victoria, then why didn't it win the recent state election?

I think the news polls are prone to a margin of error, give and take a few points either side.

Cool

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All together now Labor voters.......&&&&lap-tops, pink-bats refugees and Clunker-cars&&&&insurance.AES256

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cods

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Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead
Reply #6 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 6:28am

mellie wrote on Feb 14^th, 2011 at 6:10am:

buzzanddidj wrote on Feb 14^th, 2011 at 12:48am:

Labor is doing better in Victoria, where it leads 51-49 per cent

, and SA (where it trails 48-52 per cent), but is struggling in Queensland (39-61) and WA (44-56). It is also performing poorly in NSW (44-56).

http://www.theage.com.au/national/coalition-surges-to-decisive-lead-20110213-1as...

Victoria seems to be coming to its senses - and saying "what the hell were we thinking" last November ?

If Labor are/were doing better in Victoria, then why didn't it win the recent state election?

I think the news polls are prone to a margin of error, give and take a few points either side.

Cool

oh mellie dont take the gloss off buzz' only horizon they have only been in 5 min and he has doone nothing but find fault..poor devil has got to have something to hang on too..

now all of a sudden its only the States that matter who will ever forget Mr 76% I know I wont. crash boom

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buzzanddidj

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Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead
Reply #7 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 6:29am

mellie wrote on Feb 14^th, 2011 at 6:10am:

buzzanddidj wrote on Feb 14^th, 2011 at 12:48am:

Labor is doing better in Victoria, where it leads 51-49 per cent

, and SA (where it trails 48-52 per cent), but is struggling in Queensland (39-61) and WA (44-56). It is also performing poorly in NSW (44-56).

http://www.theage.com.au/national/coalition-surges-to-decisive-lead-20110213-1as...

Victoria seems to be coming to its senses - and saying "what the hell were we thinking" last November ?

If Labor are/were doing better in Victoria, then why didn't it win the recent state election?

Cool

A VERY good campaign by the Coalition - and a very poor one by Labor
The Brumby Government was in an easy winning position till a WEEK before the day of the State Election

http://www.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/101133%20VIC%20Election%20-%20Final.pdf

The FINAL Newspoll was VERY accurate - almost to the decimal point

And the FIRST (I think) the Brumby Government lost in a decade

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'I like your Christ, I do not like your Christians.
Your Christians are so unlike your Christ.'

- Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi

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mellie Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 8142 Sydney Gender:	Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead Reply #8 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 6:36am Opinion polls have been wrong before.... I'll bet they polled in a traditionally Labor electorate... They are never spot-on, and when you are comparing chalk with cheese, (very close ie 49/51 ) you have to expect the results may not be conclusive.
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cods

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Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead
Reply #9 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 6:43am

mellie wrote on Feb 14^th, 2011 at 6:36am:

Opinion polls have been wrong before.... I'll bet they polled in a traditionally Labor electorate... Grin

They are never spot-on, and when you are comparing chalk with cheese, (very close ie 49/51 ) you have to expect the results may not be conclusive.

do you actually take any notice of the polls?.. I laugh at them if the polls were so clear in Vic and the media had Brumby well and truly over the line?..and guess what they were both wrong.

an awful lot of guess work has to go into this.. they are getting the mood they hope of the moment... who knows maybe they are even sending signals to the govt of the day..

wake up to yourself!!!.. well anything is worth a try

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imcrookonit Ex Member	Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead Reply #10 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 7:13am Can someone tell me when the next federal election is?. Oh yes that's right. 2013 isn't it.
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sandysquirrel18

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Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead
Reply #11 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 7:23am

Workers lose faith in ALP economic management

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/industrial-relations/workers-lose-faith-in-alp-economic-management/story-fn59noo3-1226005378064
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WORKERS are losing confidence in the Gillard government's handling of the economy, with an increasing number of employees viewing Labor's economic management as bad compared with 12 months ago..............................................................

HO, HUM

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cods Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 88048	Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead Reply #12 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 7:25am Quote: Can someone tell me when the next federal election is?. Oh yes that's right. 2013 isn't it. where did you hear that??.. or is that wishful thinking..ha.ha. this lot are imploding sorry to tell you that.
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viewpoint Gold Member Offline A joke is a very serious thing. [Winston] Posts: 2209 Gender:	Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead Reply #13 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 7:30am You’ll never convince the little ‘girly-boy’ with its coloured crayons……or the other leftard sheep, they just love jooooliar baaaaaaaa………lol
Back to top	Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery. - Sir Winston Churchill IP Logged

sandysquirrel18

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Re: Abbott takes election-winning lead
Reply #14 - Feb 14^th, 2011 at 7:32am

Hello Sandy.....this pole would not of course take into account Tony Abbott being pole axed by CH 7 last week.....Or his alternative budget cuts....Or the split within the party over the last week.....However if Abbott survives this he might just become PM one day.....Labor need to lift its game and start delivering something that actually works!!!.......philperth
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Hi phil, it appears that the polls were taken after the above events.................."The national poll, taken Thursday to Saturday, came at the end of a difficult week for Opposition Leader Tony Abbott, with leaks about a row with his deputy, Julie Bishop, and controversy over remarks he made in Afghanistan last year"......http://www.theage.com.au/national/coalition-surges-to-decisive-lead-20110213-1as26.html

As I said earlier, Labor are in big trouble as I think that Gillard will be committing political suicide when she tries to bring in her precious Carbon Tax, you know, the tax she stated she wouldn't introduce under her Gov't.

Time is running out for Gillard/Labor and they need to get their act together quick smart.............can they do it? Not from past performances they can't

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