Australian Politics Forum - Your Prediction

stryder

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Your Prediction
Aug 18^th, 2010 at 11:57pm

Yes Its time to be in NOSTRODAMUS mode.

Its time to know your prediction on who will win this saturday.

I know that you people like me who believe the Coalition will be disappointed in when I say that my gut instincts and this sneaking feeling influenced a little by the polls and experience tell me LABOR will win this election, but will lose seats and have a reduced majority, even though this disunited and fractured Labor government doesnt deserve a second term at all.

BELIEVE ME I WILL LOVE TO BE WRONG ON THIS ONE.

But I believe they are enough people out there who are guilible enough to swallow Labors spin, lies and more spin for the second time.

Quite frankly if Labor does return to power and when things get worse later, Those of you who returned it via the ballot box HAVE NO TO COMPLAIN, but to absorb further labor incompetencies like dogs, because they are labor voters. and they knew the first time.

So who do you predict to win on saturday ?? Labor or liberal ??

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stryder Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 4545 Sydney Gender:	Re: Your Prediction Reply #1 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:01am Correction = Those of you who returned it via the ballot box HAVE NO RIGHT TO COMPLAIN, but to absorb further labor incompetencies like dogs, because they are labor voters. and they knew the first time.
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Cyberman Senior Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 391	Re: Your Prediction Reply #2 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:03am All I will say is that there seem to be a lot of gullible smacking morons around that manage to ignore all evidence around them
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iamtheman012 Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 916	Re: Your Prediction Reply #3 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:11am Given how thick Labor and Greens voters are with their lack of ability to think for themselves, i fear that the Liberals will go down by 2-5 seats.
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mellie

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Re: Your Prediction
Reply #4 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:11am

Cyberman wrote on Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:03am:

All I will say is that there seem to be a lot of gullible smacking morons around that manage to ignore all evidence around them

Australians think of Labor as the caring party, as do many younger people and our newly arrived...as it's drip-fed to them the second they arrive, at school and uni.

Naturally, they aren't going to bite the hand that feeds them, as most think Labor are the 'nice' party who cares for the ordinary Australian.

If they knew what we do, (eventually they will see )..at least we have a clue.

They haven't met the real Gillard yet, but they will if she's elected.

Cool

...as to who will win...

It's so close, it's impossible to tell, because if someone from their own cabinet were to leak the bomb, they would more than likely leave it until the day before the election.....say either Thursday or Friday?

Theres still hope.

Cool

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All together now Labor voters.......&&&&lap-tops, pink-bats refugees and Clunker-cars&&&&insurance.AES256

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perceptions_now Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 11694 Perth WA Gender:	Re: Your Prediction Reply #5 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:14am I think a narrow Labor win, but it could just as easily go the other way. It certainly seems to be closer than the Bookies odds would suggest?
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stryder Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 4545 Sydney Gender:	Re: Your Prediction Reply #6 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:15am I guess all of you have that sneaking feeling too.
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mellie

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Re: Your Prediction
Reply #7 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:25am

stryder wrote on Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:15am:

I guess all of you have that sneaking feeling too.

Yep...and I also think the polls aren't accurate.

If there is to be one more final condemning leak, it will probably occur either tomorrow, (rather today) or Friday morning....

And as we saw last time, all it took was a little nudge, for the polls to shift in Abbotts favour.

I think there are those who dislike her within her own party enough to try and stop her, and enough to drop something adverse right before the election.

But, we will have to wait and see...because if they drop it too soon, then she'll have time to mop it up, launch a counter-attack... and if they drop it too late, then it wont capture enough public interest, attention.

I'd drop it Friday morning, 24 hours is enough time to make a difference.

If not, hold tight, because like someone else said, it's going to be squeaky tight.

Cool

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mellie Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 8142 Sydney Gender:	Re: Your Prediction Reply #8 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:28am I think Liberal will scoot in , unexpectedly, ...but this could just be my wishful thinking, so... My bet is Liberal.
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stryder

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Re: Your Prediction
Reply #9 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:39am

The only government to lose government in there first term was James Scullins, but he had the unfortunate timing of becoming PM in australia when the GREAT DEPRESSION hit australia hard in 1929, with the collapse in export markets for Australia's agricultural products which caused mass unemployment never seen at that scale. Scullin's government, guided by standard economic advice, was unable to cope, and the Labor Party was riddled with internal conflict over how to respond.

Thats not really the same case here in 2010.

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stryder Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 4545 Sydney Gender:	Re: Your Prediction Reply #10 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:42am Even though there are comparisons between the Great Depression of 1929 to the GFC of 2008, the GFC was less severe in downturn effects than the crisis of 1929.
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stryder Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 4545 Sydney Gender:	Re: Your Prediction Reply #11 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:55am So who do you think will win the election this saturday, do you believe in the pundits and the polls which say that Gilliard will cross the line, or do you feel or have a feeling that Tony Abbott will cause an upset and win this election and create history by defeating Labor in its first term ???
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mellie Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 8142 Sydney Gender:	Re: Your Prediction Reply #12 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 12:58am Liberal. http://www.smh.com.au/federal-election/mathiesons-property-job-likely-casualty-o...
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mellie Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 8142 Sydney Gender:	Re: Your Prediction Reply #13 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 1:02am Quote: The appointment also followed Ms Gillard and Mr Mathieson leading a delegation of MPs to Israel as part of the first Australia Israel Leadership Forum, founded by Mr Dadon. Jeeze, I don't think Skip would to be too happy about this. No wonder he's been quiet.
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Enforcer

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Re: Your Prediction
Reply #14 - Aug 19^th, 2010 at 5:50am

LABOR 80, LNP 66, IND 3, GREENS 1

Gillard has allways been pro Israel which is what ultimately led to the disbanding of the socialist forum as she was allways out of step with the Pro Palestinian members of the forum. She's been edging slowly right her whole career which is generally in line with most people as they get older I am told. I am nearly 50 and edging left rofl, I actually voted for Howard in the late 70's early 80's in Bennalong.

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