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For the Record (Read 219950 times)
Amadd
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Re: For the Record
Reply #210 - Nov 27th, 2010 at 4:08am
 
I suppose capitalism is all well and good when we have the upper hand. But what happens when other nations such as China and India, who are far more hardened than us, and who also have the strength of a population willing to work for far less than they are worth, bring about more worth than we do?

I think that our worth is lessened. Our idle hours demand a much higher price whilst others are producing and as whilst we nonchalently while the hours away.

It's not so hard to catch us in regards to technology.
Infrastructure must be worked upon, but there's no doubting that our levels are well within reach. In fact, their infrastructure will be more advanced than ours because it's easier to build it from the base up than changing the exisiting infrastructure of an outdated economic picture.

So it's no surprise that in the worldwide economic environment, our levels need to be lowered quite dramatically in order to compete with those who have sacrificed so much toil in order to catch up with western society.
Well, that's the capitalist game isn't it? There's no use complaining about being able to be caught is there?

But no, that's not the depiction of capitalism that we have been taught. What we have been told is that the rest of the world wil eventually rise to our standard through the all conquering "trickle down" effect.

The "trickle down" effect, as heralded by the much disgraced Jonathon Howard, is nothing but a load of self-serving BS.

The only way that we can bring about a halt to this ridiculous complied trickle down bs is to stop the trickle altogether, lest it will become an introvenous drip that we are all satisfied with.

We need to reform our unions. Our downtrodden brothers need to demand a price for their worth far beyond what they are satisfied with at present.
They don't even know their worth, because it is well hidden from them by their extracting "superiors".

What we need is a version of capitialism in regards to our real resources, not in regards to the best bs artists.







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Re: For the Record
Reply #211 - Nov 27th, 2010 at 7:48am
 
Do You Have a Growth Mindset?


Mindset is everything. If that statement seems too strong, consider that we bring these basic assumptions to every decision and action we make. Left unexamined, they may unnecessarily restrict us or lead us in the wrong direction altogether. Perception may not truly be reality, but when it comes to how we approach challenges and opportunities, mindset determines the world we encounter and possibilities we apprehend. Achieving the power of pull requires us to make our assumptions explicit and examine them in different contexts — testing, challenging and refining.

As we began to discuss in our last post, adapting to the Big Shift and harnessing the potential of pull requires embracing a new mindset. This posting will focus on another key set of assumptions.

In her 2006 book, Mindset: The New Psychology of Success, Stanford Professor Carol Dweck distinguishes two extremes of the mindsets people tend to have about their basic qualities:

In a fixed mindset, "your qualities are carved in stone." Whatever skills, talents, and capabilities you have are predetermined and finite. Whatever you lack, you will continue to lack. This fixed mindset applies not just to your own qualities, but to the qualities of others.
In a growth mindset, "your basic qualities are things you can cultivate through your efforts...everyone can change and grow through application and experience." Qualities like intelligence are a starting point, but success comes as a result of effort, learning, and persistence.
The distinction between fixed and growth mindsets has tremendous implications — as individuals and organizations — for how we address the growing pressures around us.

The Mindset Paradox: The greatest threat to success is avoiding failure. One of the most provocative aspects of Dweck's work is what it says about our approach to challenges. In a fixed mindset, you avoid challenging situations that might lead to failure because success depends upon protecting and promoting your set of fixed qualities and concealing your deficiencies. If you do fail, you focus on rationalizing the failure rather than learning from it and developing your capabilities. With a growth mindset, you focus on learning and development rather than failure and actively pursue the types of challenges that will likely lead to both learning and failure. This sounds a lot like the questing disposition we have discussed previously.

Mindset profoundly shapes key business practices:
Business Ecosystems. If you have a fixed mindset, you believe that there are a finite set of smart people and valuable resources outside your company. The challenge is how to identify, connect with and mobilize them to deliver more value to the marketplace — static resources tied together in a static ecosystem. The ecosystem benefits from the network effects of adding more and more participants because more diverse capabilities are connected and accessible.

If you believe that both the resources and the ecosystem itself are dynamic, then the role of the ecosystem is not just to connect and mobilize existing resources but to build relationships that help all participants get better faster. This leads to a more powerful form of increasing returns — not just network effects but new mechanisms to accelerate learning and performance improvement — as each participant learns faster as more and more participants join the ecosystem.

Talent Management. A fixed mindset leads you to focus almost exclusively on attracting and retaining talent. The assumption: each person's skills and capabilities are set. You will tend to devote too many resources to those with a perceived stock of knowledge and overlook (and eventually lose) employees with limited stocks but great learning potential. Worse, because you underestimate the value of learning and development, you won't likely get the most out of those employees you do value.

With a growth mindset, you understand that individual and organizational capabilities can be cultivated and developed, to improve performance and to expand in new directions. You focus more on talent development, creating work environments and practices that enable employees, regardless of work classification, to develop new skills and to learn by working with others, by problem-solving and experimentation.


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Re: For the Record
Reply #212 - Nov 27th, 2010 at 8:35am
 
Do You Have a Growth Mindset? (Cont)


Relationship-building. A fixed mindset fosters a zero-sum view of the world: if you win, I lose. With a fixed and finite set of value, the only question is how to allocate it. This perspective fosters conflict and mistrust and, not surprisingly, relationships governed by relative power, tend to be transactional and are rigidly defined to protect each party's share of the value.

A growth mindset fosters a broader view of the possibilities: by working together, we can create more value than if we work individually. While there are still issues around allocation, relationships are cultivated based on a goal of creating an even bigger pie. These relationships center on improving the performance of all participants, and the process of creating value together fosters trust. The levels of collaboration and trust deepen with time, creating a more valuable relationship.

Mindset may be destiny but it is changeable. While mindset has a profound impact on our ability to harness the power of pull, Dweck (displaying her growth mindset) offers hope: "Mindsets are an important part of your personality, but you can change them. Just by knowing about the two mindsets, you can start thinking and reacting in new ways."

The future belongs to those who can adopt a growth mindset. Those with a fixed mindset will likely be increasingly stressed and overwhelmed by mounting performance pressures and sustained uncertainty. Worse, the more they avoid failure, the more susceptible these individuals and organizations can be, not learning from mistakes and missing opportunities.

What assumptions do you make about the world and how do they play out in your decisions? What techniques have been useful for exposing your unexamined assumptions? Have you succeeded in actually changing your mindset?
Link -
http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/harvardbusiness?sid=Hb5e0729f46218ab5856726a2048a...
======================
This article says quite a bit about the basic thought patterns & assumptions of those who wrote it, many of those in business (Big Business particularly) & those in Politics!

The basic idea is that Perceptions dictate everything -
1) In a fixed mindset, "your qualities are carved in stone."
2) In a growth mindset, "your basic qualities are things you can cultivate through your efforts...everyone can change and grow through application and experience." Qualities like intelligence are a starting point, but success comes as a result of effort, learning, and persistence.

The inference being that "a fixed mindset" will have greater difficulty in growing to meet the challenges of a changing & challenging world and that may well be correct!

However, whilst "a growth mindset" is good to an extent, the inference that  can overcome any & all obstacles is part of the reason we now find ourselves between a rock & hard place.  

Not only is it unlikely to be always true, it is positively a danger, if left unchecked, to run rampant thru Politics & Big Business, as a basic given, because it gave & continues give those in power, the thought that "something" will come along to fix our future problems, simply because we (they) say it will be!  

The current set of circumstances, which we are now living thru, are testament to the fact the several generations (of Politicians & The Powers That Be) have assumed that "something will come along to fix our future problems".

In short, there has been an inherent assumption that "human innovation" would fix the problems created by the last four generations of human Demographics and the last 200 years of Energy usuage?

That fix has not eventuated! The reason why it did not eventuate, was because TPTB assumed something, but did not invest in the time or effort to bring it to Reality!

We are now living thru a failure to properly Plan for the future!

As has been said, a failure to plan, in effect is planning to fail!  
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Re: For the Record
Reply #213 - Nov 27th, 2010 at 8:49am
 
Amadd wrote on Nov 27th, 2010 at 4:08am:
I suppose capitalism is all well and good when we have the upper hand. But what happens when other nations such as China and India, who are far more hardened than us, and who also have the strength of a population willing to work for far less than they are worth, bring about more worth than we do?

I think that our worth is lessened. Our idle hours demand a much higher price whilst others are producing and as whilst we nonchalently while the hours away.

It's not so hard to catch us in regards to technology.
Infrastructure must be worked upon, but there's no doubting that our levels are well within reach. In fact, their infrastructure will be more advanced than ours because it's easier to build it from the base up than changing the exisiting infrastructure of an outdated economic picture.

So it's no surprise that in the worldwide economic environment, our levels need to be lowered quite dramatically in order to compete with those who have sacrificed so much toil in order to catch up with western society.
Well, that's the capitalist game isn't it? There's no use complaining about being able to be caught is there?

But no, that's not the depiction of capitalism that we have been taught. What we have been told is that the rest of the world wil eventually rise to our standard through the all conquering "trickle down" effect.

The "trickle down" effect, as heralded by the much disgraced Jonathon Howard, is nothing but a load of self-serving BS.

The only way that we can bring about a halt to this ridiculous complied trickle down bs is to stop the trickle altogether, lest it will become an introvenous drip that we are all satisfied with.

We need to reform our unions. Our downtrodden brothers need to demand a price for their worth far beyond what they are satisfied with at present.
They don't even know their worth, because it is well hidden from them by their extracting "superiors".

What we need is a version of capitialism in regards to our real resources, not in regards to the best bs artists.




The trickle down effect was never meant to fix the problems, it was only a delaying tactic!

Capitalism is certainly in need of some new directions!

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muso
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Re: For the Record
Reply #214 - Nov 27th, 2010 at 9:26pm
 
This map is quite telling:
Country foreign exchange reserves minus external debt
...
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Ex Dame Pansi
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Re: For the Record
Reply #215 - Nov 28th, 2010 at 10:26am
 
Thanks for the map muso, very interesting. China wins....if they are telling the truth. We should be very worried.
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"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace." Hendrix
andrei said: Great isn't it? Seeing boatloads of what is nothing more than human garbage turn up.....
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: For the Record
Reply #216 - Nov 28th, 2010 at 10:34pm
 
Muso,
Any comparison of Debt is currently quite difficult, because the situations are changing so quickly & because the figures of each country are so rubbery!

Suffice to say, that many countries are currently in quite a difficult Debt situation.

In my opinion, any revue or comparion of the Debt situation of various countries, is better off in terms of National Debt, as a % of National GDP, as shown in the following chart.

Please do not take the figures shown as correct, as many of them (in my opinion) are well & truely out of whack.

The USA for example, is likely to be closer to $13-14 Trillion and 100% of GDP and that's not counting unfunded Liabilities in Pensions & Health.

The Japanese Debt ration is over 200% of GDP and the UK ratio is likely to be over 100%.

...
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Re: For the Record
Reply #217 - Nov 30th, 2010 at 12:40pm
 
THE NEXT WIKILEAKS WILL BE ABOUT A MAJOR BANK



The next Wikileaks will be about a major U.S. Bank.

Wikileaks founder Julian Assange told Forbes that early next year, a major U.S. bank will suddenly find itself turned inside out.

And now everyone's clamoring to find out which bank will be the subject of the massive data breach.

Will it be the biggest US bank? Asked Forbes' Andy Greenberg, who interviewed Assange.

"No comment," said Assange.

The one clue we get is this:

"With regard to these corporate leaks, I should say: There’s an overlap between corporate and government leaks."

Perhaps that means it's a bailed out bank. But really, no one has a clue.

Here's the bulk of what Assange did say:

Tens of thousands of its internal documents will be exposed on Wikileaks.org with no polite requests for executives’ response or other forewarnings.


The data dump will lay bare the finance firm’s secrets on the Web for every customer, every competitor, every regulator to examine and pass judgment on.

Early next year, the Wikileaks document, which Assange compares to containing the damning e-mails that poured out of the Enron trial, will hit.

Obviously this is huge news. We'll have to wait for more information.

Link -
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-next-wikileaks-will-be-about-a-major-bank-201...
================
That could cause a ripple on the financial waters OR a Tsunami, depends on what is exposed!
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Amadd
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Re: For the Record
Reply #218 - Nov 30th, 2010 at 2:48pm
 
Quote:
China wins....if they are telling the truth. We should be very worried.


It's a concern, but it's not surprising that we have much higher debt levels than the poorer (per capita) nations.
The average Chinese person earns less than $1500/yr, so they'd hardly be in a position to service debts as large as ours.
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Re: For the Record
Reply #219 - Nov 30th, 2010 at 10:20pm
 
Though the situation is grim, it is not hopeless


HOPE IN HARD TIMES: This is an opportunity to learn about what matters

“Hope is definitely not the same thing as optimism. It is not the conviction that something will turn out well, but the certainty that something makes sense regardless of how it turns out” – Vaclav Havel


ASIDE FROM the political and societal fallout of the recession, the ongoing crisis has taken its toll on the mental health of the nation.

Over the past two years and particularly in the past two weeks, we have experienced a great trauma to our collective psyche. In a way that has not happened in generations, Irish citizens have been taken through a bewildering set of emotions from rage to despair and now are genuinely frightened by the future and what will happen next.

This ongoing trauma has challenged our nation’s self-esteem and self-worth. In two short years, we have moved from the hubris of the Celtic Tiger and seeing ourselves as an economic miracle within Europe to the ignominy of having financial control removed from us, and now being held internationally as an example of excess and poor self-management.

The situation has been made much worse by the reactions of our political and economic leaders, who have pursued a course of denial about the reality of the crisis. So often they have tried to “talk up” the economy to persuade us (and perhaps the markets) that we have turned a corner, only for the news to be worse the next week.

At best, their actions could be interpreted as a display of naive optimism, or, more cynically, they could have been motivated by a desire to cling onto power at all costs, indicating the failings of our political system in which we are all complicit – if our leaders tell us the hard truths then we will not re-elect them. Either way, such denial displays a lack of empathy for the nation’s mood and a lack of skill in how to lead and inspire people in a crisis.

Gaining perspective and an understanding of where we are at is crucial to moving forward. Each person needs to take responsibility to educate themselves about the situation we are in rather than just trusting the leaders who let us down. We are now facing into a very uncertain and difficult future, which will include economic hardship.


While our nation’s problems have been created by the uncontrolled spending of the Celtic Tiger years, we must also understand the worldwide dimension.

Some groups like Feasta, the Foundation for Economics of Sustainability, understand the root of the crisis as a worldwide system failure in our politico-economic model of the world. The whole world has been pursuing an unsustainable path of economic growth and consumption which has led to overwhelming debt, resource depletion and environmental degradation, not to mention future dangerous climate change as well as social inequality. Though we have been warned for decades, we are now reaching the limits of this expansion and a resultant worldwide bubble is at the point of collapsing. Though not widely reported, the current international financial crisis coincided with a peaking of oil production, meaning that worldwide future economic growth will be limited by dwindling oil supplies, which could result in economic contraction in the long term. This has huge implications for civilisation and our way of life.

Though the situation is grim, it is not hopeless. Just as the pivotal point of psychological change is a moving from denial to an acceptance of reality, so we are at point where we can collectively make a choice to face what is ahead so we can take hopeful and courageous action.

While we do not have much choice about economic cutbacks and sacrifice, we can choose to do it in a way that is fair, and that allows us to support the vulnerable. While we may all have to get used to doing with less, we can use this as an opportunity to learn about what matters and about the important things in life. While the future may be uncertain and at times fearful, we can commit to courageous action and make certain our support and care of one another.

We now need a leadership that is prepared to bravely tackle the problems we face, while also being able to inspire hope and constructive action. How we collectively cope will depend largely on whether we can build communities that nurture hope rather than despair and keep people together rather than apart.


Link -
http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/health/2010/1130/1224284419032.html
============
That hits a number of the right buttons, but not all!
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Re: For the Record
Reply #220 - Dec 1st, 2010 at 8:36pm
 
The Mighty US$

Last Report dated 20/11/2010

US$ Index (basket of Currencies):  @ 80.89 (Last Report - 78.50) (2010/06/04 - 87.85)

http://www.goldseek.com/quotes/charts/usdollar/usdollarindex24hour.php

Euro - US$: @ 1.3072 (Last Report - 1.3673) (2010/06/04 - 120.44)
AUD$ - US$: @ 0.9636 (Last Report - 0.9866) (2010/06/04 - 83.17)
AUD$ - GBP: @ 0.6164 (Last Report - 0.6174) (2010/06/04 - 57.04)
AUD$ - Euro:  @ 0.7372 (Last Report - 0.7216) (2010/06/04 - 69.06)

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies/fxc.html

Gold - @ US$1,393.00 (Last Report - US$1,352.30) (2010/06/04 - $1,207.80)
Oil -  @ US$85.03 (Last Report - US$81.98)  (2010/06/04 - $72.59)

DOW @ 11,006 - (Down 46@ Tuesday close) (Last Report - 11,204)  (2010/06/04 - 11,444)
All Ords @  4,677 (Up 1 @ Wednesday close) (Last Report - 4,718) (2010/06/04 - 4472)

http://www.bloomberg.com/?b=0

Last 5 years DOW -
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EDJI#chart3:symbol=

THERE was movement at the FED, for the word had passed around, That the US$ was an old Regret and its value had long since passed away
==================
The VOLATILITY continues!

The US$ index continued its bounce, getting to just over 81c, before slipping back currently to 80.89c. All other major currencies slipped against the US$, including the Euro which has declined from its November 4 high of 1.4344, to a recent low on November 30 of 1.2998, before a slight rebound to its current 1.3072.
http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/US/M

Share markets continue to take a breather, as we approach crunch time.

Both Gold & Oil have increased, despite the rising US$!

Finally, I observe that there is the usual "rush to quality", as fear drives investors to the US$.

This must be a cause for concern to TPTB in the US, as they appear to have been directing the US$ lower.

It should also be regarded as another oddity of this Economic event, as investors "in their rush to quality & safety", pour money into what must now be regarded as one of the least respected & least safe currencies on the planet! 
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Re: For the Record
Reply #221 - Dec 3rd, 2010 at 10:30am
 
Extend and Pretend: Hitting the Maturity Wall


...

With $492 Trillion outstanding in the notional value of global Interest Rate Swaps it is reasonable to conclude that, since one party on either side of these counterparty trades WILL GET HURT when rates rise, there is going to be a lot of hurting in a total global economy of only $45 Trillion.

All indications are that by 2012 the global economy is going to run headlong into a funding wall.

Markets always anticipate events at least 6 months in advance. This wall is so huge I doubt the market will wait and likely will begin adjusting 12- 14 months ahead!

All bets are off if we get another sovereign or possible US State surprise. This would move our Maturity Wall even 'closer in'.

...

Link -
http://www.safehaven.com/article/16303/extend-and-pretend-hitting-the-maturity-w...
==========
This is only one issue of concern, in a wall of worry, which is currently heading our way!
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Re: For the Record
Reply #222 - Dec 3rd, 2010 at 10:39am
 
perceptions_now wrote on Nov 30th, 2010 at 10:20pm:
Though the situation is grim, it is not hopeless


[b]HOPE IN HARD TIMES: This is an opportunity to learn about what matters


To what extent do you think that such reports are engineered and timed in order to even out the market?
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Re: For the Record
Reply #223 - Dec 3rd, 2010 at 2:18pm
 
The Employment / Population Ratio



http://economistsview.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451b33869e20147e04ce338970b-800wi

Link -
http://seekingalpha.com/article/239637-the-employment-population-ratio?source=em...
==================
Of far more interest, in coming decades, would be the Employment to TOTAL Population Ratio!

Why?

Because this will reflect the huge numbers of Baby Boomers that are now starting to exit the workforce, as well as those who are becoming unemployed & under-employed, due to Economic circumstances.

The ETPR would more accurately reflect the pulse of the Economy, as the ratio of Employed to Non Employed is likely to continue to decline and with that will come fewer Employed Worker Tax $'s supporting a greater number of those Unemployed, Under-employed & Retired.

This will mean a much greater Tax on those Employed, particularly when including the large increase in anticipated Health Care costs for the Baby Boomers and the spiralling costs of Government Debt.
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Re: For the Record
Reply #224 - Dec 3rd, 2010 at 2:34pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 3rd, 2010 at 10:39am:
perceptions_now wrote on Nov 30th, 2010 at 10:20pm:
Though the situation is grim, it is not hopeless


[b]HOPE IN HARD TIMES: This is an opportunity to learn about what matters


To what extent do you think that such reports are engineered and timed in order to even out the market?


There is usually quite an amount of massaging of information (generally), but over recent times it has increased, greatly!

In particular, Politicians & Central Bankers, put out what they "want to" or "would like to" happen, rather than what they may think is going to happen. Then, there are other, more complex scenario's.

To do otherwise, would often see self re-inforcing prophecies, some of which may not be generally desirable.

However, the problem is that also leaves the Public in a position where they rely on information, which may well not be correct and in the current situation that will very likely place many ill-prepared for a future that is not likely to be anywhere near what they think it will be!  

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