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Re: Climate Science (Read 80961 times)
Foolosophy
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #465 - Apr 27th, 2011 at 9:54pm
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 9:37pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 8:17pm:
someone has to liven this place up a lttle bit

OZPOLITICS is ranked 3rd most boring and riskless political chat forum in the Southern Hemisphere

...not long now before it totally decays into oblivion


I don't know what's gotten into you lately but every post that you've made and that I've clicked onto this evening is depressive and morbid.







I am the happiest person on here

DOnt know what on earth gave you that idea

Must be the Clean Fukushima air

...
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gizmo_2655
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #466 - Apr 27th, 2011 at 10:11pm
 
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 7:33pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 7:14pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 5:53pm:
Clathratic Methane Releases - The Elephant in the room


Yes, but YOU are an idiot..."Clathratic"??? Maybe you should actually learn to spell???


gizmo doesn't understand what the term "Clathratic" means

A clathrate, clathrate compound or cage compound is a chemical substance consisting of a lattice of one type of molecule trapping and containing a second


Methane clathrate, also called methane hydrate, hydromethane, methane

So when I say Clathratic Methane I mean Methane that exists in a cage - a Clathrate

Gizmo is SUPREMELY INTELLIGENT LADIES AND GENTLEMEN-WHO IS THE IDIOT NOW GIZMO

http://thehumanscorch.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/1243271414_black_guy_laughing....



Still YOU...The word is Clathrate, NOT 'Clathratic'....I don't need to be 'supremely intelligent' I just need to be more intelligent that YOU, which isn't hard.....since I've scraped things off the sole of my boot that are smarter than you..
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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
Bobbythebat
 
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Foolosophy
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #467 - Apr 27th, 2011 at 10:23pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 10:11pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 7:33pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 7:14pm:
Foolosophy wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 5:53pm:
Clathratic Methane Releases - The Elephant in the room


Yes, but YOU are an idiot..."Clathratic"??? Maybe you should actually learn to spell???


gizmo doesn't understand what the term "Clathratic" means

A clathrate, clathrate compound or cage compound is a chemical substance consisting of a lattice of one type of molecule trapping and containing a second


Methane clathrate, also called methane hydrate, hydromethane, methane

So when I say Clathratic Methane I mean Methane that exists in a cage - a Clathrate

Gizmo is SUPREMELY INTELLIGENT LADIES AND GENTLEMEN-WHO IS THE IDIOT NOW GIZMO

http://thehumanscorch.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/1243271414_black_guy_laughing....



Still YOU...The word is Clathrate, NOT 'Clathratic'
....


...
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perceptions_now
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #468 - Apr 27th, 2011 at 10:32pm
 
Climate change could hit Western US water supply


Climate change is likely to cut water flow in many of the American West's rivers by as much as a fifth, a report from the Interior Department warns. The affected rivers supply water to eight US states.
...

The report to Congress by the Department's Bureau of Reclamation examines future water supplies across eight major river basins, including the Colorado, Rio Grande and Missouri.

"Water is the lifeblood of our communities, rural and urban economies, and our environment, and small changes in water supplies or the timing of precipitation can have a big impact on all of us," said Interior Secretary Ken Salazar.

"This report provides the foundation for understanding the long-term impacts of climate change on Western water supplies and will help us identify and implement appropriate mitigation and adaptation strategies for sustainable water resource management."

The report predicts a temperature increase of 5-7 degrees Fahrenheit across the region. It foresees an increase in precipitation over the northwestern and north-central portions of the western United States and a decrease over the southwestern and south-central areas.

It says there's likely to be a decrease for almost all of the April 1st snowpack - a standard benchmark measurement used to project river basin runoff - and an 8 to 20 percent fall in average annual stream flow in several river basins, including the Colorado, the Rio Grande, and the San Joaquin.

However, the projected changes in temperature and precipitation are also likely to impact the timing and quantity of stream flows in all western basins, which could impact water available to farms and cities, hydropower generation, fish and wildlife, and other uses such as recreation.

"Impacts to water are on the leading edge of global climate change, and these changes pose a significant challenge and risk to adequate water supplies, which are critical for the health, economy, and ecology of the United States," says Reclamation Commissioner Mike Connor.


Link -
http://www.tgdaily.com/sustainability-features/55562-climate-change-could-hit-we...
=================================
It seems that the South West part of the USA may be affected, like the South West part of Australia, by a reduction in rainfall.
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Foolosophy
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #469 - Apr 28th, 2011 at 12:39am
 
AGW tipping points are nearing

the MARKET will sort it all out

LOL
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muso
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #470 - Apr 28th, 2011 at 2:48pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 10:11pm:
Still YOU...The word is Clathrate, NOT 'Clathratic'....I don't need to be 'supremely intelligent' I just need to be more intelligent that YOU, which isn't hard.....since I've scraped things off the sole of my boot that are smarter than you..


The latter may be in fact correct, but the term clathratic (pertaining to clathrates) is used to describe the cage-like structure. It's normally used to differentiate between other types of gas storage, such as zeolithic (pertaining to zeolites).

Now I fully expect Foolosophy to react in his usual way - expect more black guys in baths and to say that I'm talking nonsense.
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...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
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Foolosophy
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #471 - Apr 28th, 2011 at 8:15pm
 
muso wrote on Apr 28th, 2011 at 2:48pm:
gizmo_2655 wrote on Apr 27th, 2011 at 10:11pm:
Still YOU...The word is Clathrate, NOT 'Clathratic'....I don't need to be 'supremely intelligent' I just need to be more intelligent that YOU, which isn't hard.....since I've scraped things off the sole of my boot that are smarter than you..


The latter may be in fact correct, but the term clathratic (pertaining to clathrates) is used to describe the cage-like structure. It's normally used to differentiate between other types of gas storage, such as zeolithic (pertaining to zeolites).

Now I fully expect Foolosophy to react in his usual way - expect more black guys in baths and to say that I'm talking nonsense.


Not necessarily

http://www.streetbook.org.au/mod/file/thumbnail.phpfile_guid=1087&size=large
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perceptions_now
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #472 - May 3rd, 2011 at 2:58pm
 
Soggy April saw record rains in 6 Northeast cities


ITHACA, N.Y. — April was the rainiest on record in six of the cities monitored by climatologists at Cornell University.

The Northeast Regional Climate Center says the oldest record broken was in Huntington, W.Va., where 9.98 inches of rain easily topped the 8.53 inches recorded in 1901. Williamsport, Pa., had 10.04 inches, well above the 8.22 inches in 1909.

Two other record-breakers were in New York: Rochester got 5.81 inches and Syracuse saw 8.53 inches.

Rounding out the list released Monday are Harrisburg, Pa., with 9.46 inches and Burlington, Vt., with 7.88.

The National Weather Service says La Nina — colder than normal water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean — is behind this year's run of wet weather.

The climate center at Cornell monitors a 12-state region and is supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Link -
http://online.wsj.com/article/AP2fb1543c7a5b423bb45cc4c2e3b77c85.html
==================================
It seems there are a few similarities -
1) The North East of OZ & the US have been wet, due to the La Nina.
2) The South West of OZ & the US have been dry & hot, for quite some time.
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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #473 - May 4th, 2011 at 3:47pm
 
astro_surf wrote on Apr 15th, 2011 at 4:32pm:
Soren wrote on Apr 14th, 2011 at 10:26am:
Climate "science::

50 million
environmental refugees by end of decade, UN warns·
States urged to prepare for victims of climate change
· Natural disasters displace more people than wars


David Adam, environment correspondent The Guardian, Wednesday 12 October 2005
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2005/oct/12/naturaldisasters.climatechange...

The modelling didn't work. Shurely shome mishtake.



The only mistake is the one you just made, the projections were pretty much spot on.

Quote:
Policy Responses to Climate Refugees: What Are Governments Doing?

Max Jerneck, March 2009

Environmental problems caused and exacerbated by climate change are currently responsible for an estimated 50 million refugees worldwide (UNEP/GRID-Arendal). That number is expected to multiply in the coming decades, as droughts, water shortages and natural disasters are made increasingly severe by global warming. According to Oxford Professor Norman Myers, the number of people uprooted due to climate change will reach close to 200 million by 2050 (Myers 1995). Environmentally induced forced migration as a major problem has long been acknowledged by scholars, NGOs and the UN, but has yet to make the agendas of nation states. A change may be underway, however, with the realization that the prospect of mass migration is not only a humanitarian issue but a matter of national security. Two recent official reports have the potential to influence policy makers in the European Union.  One of them is authored by the German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU), a scientific advisory body to the German government. The document proposes an expansion of German and EU immigration policy to include preemptive measures to stem emerging migration flows. A similar message is proposed by Javier Solana, High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy of the EU, in a report to the European Council.



Load of nonsense.

This is the text at the link of your 'proof':

Environmentally Induced Migration Map - Clarification
GRID-Arendal offered a map for everybody to download and further use on Environmentally Induced Migration ("Fifty million climate refugees by 2010") at this web address.

This graphic was originally produced for the Environmental Atlas of the newspaper Le Monde diplomatique.

We have decided to withdraw the product and accompanying text. It follows some media reports suggesting the findings presented were those of UNEP and the UN which they are not.

We hope this clarifies the situation.

http://www.grida.no/general/4700.aspx


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astro_surf
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #474 - May 5th, 2011 at 9:02am
 
Soren wrote on May 2nd, 2010 at 9:14pm:
Climate science is statistics. Nothing more, nothing less.




Statistics... And observations, theory and experiments. You know, the entire basis of the last 600 years of empirical, enlightenment thinking which you reject.
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Andrei.Hicks wrote on Sep 11th, 2011 at 11:23am:
So tell me, you'd like to see more and more craphouse coloured people in Australia right?&&Yeah good idea moron.&&
 
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Soren
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Re: The atmosphere, warming, and all that jazz...
Reply #475 - May 5th, 2011 at 1:07pm
 
astro_surf wrote on May 5th, 2011 at 9:02am:
Soren wrote on May 2nd, 2010 at 9:14pm:
Climate science is statistics. Nothing more, nothing less.




Statistics... And observations, theory and experiments. You know, the entire basis of the last 600 years of empirical, enlightenment thinking which you reject.



You are confusing it with meteorology.

There are no experiments in climate science, only theories, statistics and models based on theories and statistics. A bit like phrenology.



As you were.





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Cliff Richard
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #476 - May 5th, 2011 at 2:06pm
 
q
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« Last Edit: May 5th, 2011 at 2:12pm by Cliff Richard »  
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #477 - May 5th, 2011 at 6:14pm
 
As Climate Changes, Methane Trapped Under Arctic Ocean Could Bubble to the Surface

Berkeley Lab scientists find that large undersea methane releases could overwhelm the Arctic Ocean’s ability to consume the potent greenhouse gas.

A two-part study by scientists from the U.S Department of Energy’s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab) and Los Alamos National Laboratory paints one of the most detailed pictures yet of how climate change could impact millions of tons of methane frozen in sediment beneath the Arctic Ocean. Methane is one of the most potent greenhouse gases.

The initial phase of the project found that buried deposits of clathrates, which are icy crystalline compounds that encase methane molecules, will break apart as the global temperature increases and the oceans warm.

In the second phase, the scientists found that methane would then seep into the Arctic Ocean and gradually overwhelm the marine environment’s ability to break down the gas. Supplies of oxygen, nutrients, and trace metals required by methane-eating microbes would dwindle year-by-year as more methane enters the water. After three decades of methane release, much of the methane may bubble to the surface — where it has the potential to accelerate climate change.

“Our simulation found that large methane releases erode the ocean’s ability to consume methane. At this scale, resource limitations come into play,” says Matthew Reagan of Berkeley Lab’s Earth Sciences Division. Reagan is a co-author of an article on this research that was published in a recent issue of the Journal of Geophysical Research. The initial results of the project were published last year in Geophysical Research Letters.

Their research counters the view held by some scientists that the oceans will always consume big plumes of methane. Indeed, small-scale methane releases have been seeping from seafloor vents for eons. In these cases, hungry ocean-dwelling microbes quickly oxidize most of the methane before it escapes into the atmosphere.

But this cycle will be disrupted if the Arctic region’s vast stores of clathrates break apart and unleash a rash of new methane seeps, the scientists found.

“Large-scale methane releases have a greater impact than we anticipated,” adds Reagan. “When this happens, microbes cannot consume all of the methane because there isn’t enough oxygen to fuel them.”

Their finding is based on a first-of-its-kind combination of two computer models. One model, developed by Reagan and Berkeley Lab’s George Moridis in 2008, simulates methane release rates from warming clathrates. Next, these methane release estimates were applied to a marine biochemistry and ocean circulation model developed by Los Alamos National Lab’s Scott Elliott and Matthew Maltrud.

The scientists plugged initial conditions into the simulation, such as the ocean’s background concentration of methane and seabed fluid flow. They then sprinkled a few hypothetical methane plumes around the Arctic continental shelf and in the Okhotsk Sea and Bering Sea. These areas hold extensive shallow clathrate deposits that are considered by scientists to be very susceptible to instability during the first few decades of global warming. In fact, some may already be dissociating.

They turned on the methane plumes and ran the simulation for three decades to predict what would happen during the early stages of climate change-driven ocean warming.

The result is a scenario that could be all-too real in the future: In some places, such as near plumes in the Okhotsk Sea and Bering Sea, the oxygen level plummets. Localized acidification also sets in. The environment becomes inhospitable for many organisms, including microbes that like to consume methane.

“The amount of methane entering the ocean is huge and it changes the water chemistry dramatically,” says Reagan. “It consumes oxygen, the microbes stop eating, and methane can reach the surface.”

The scientists hope to conduct further simulations to better estimate the amount of methane, now locked in clathrates under the Arctic Ocean, which could reach the atmosphere due to ocean warming.

This research was supported in part by the DOE Office of Science.

Link -
http://newscenter.lbl.gov/feature-stories/2011/05/04/methane-arctic/
=========================
After previous Cathartic experiences, I'm not sure I should, but there again, what-the-hell!
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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #478 - May 5th, 2011 at 10:51pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on May 5th, 2011 at 6:14pm:
Their finding is based on a first-of-its-kind combination of two computer models.


Two, eh?? No fewer!!

ZZZzzzzzz..........
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perceptions_now
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #479 - May 5th, 2011 at 11:41pm
 
Soren wrote on May 5th, 2011 at 10:51pm:
perceptions_now wrote on May 5th, 2011 at 6:14pm:
Their finding is based on a first-of-its-kind combination of two computer models.


Two, eh?? No fewer!!

ZZZzzzzzz..........


That's a description of you sleeping, your usual brain pattern or both?
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