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Re: Climate Science (Read 80992 times)
Paella
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #30 - Jun 4th, 2010 at 5:40pm
 
Well that's a rather large step back from "no physical object - no science", don't you think?

So climate is not an "identifiable phenomenon", as you put it? So Australia doesn't have a climate then? Is or is not climate a property that relates to a geographic location, as electric charge is a property that relates to a particle? Tell me, does it ever occur to you that you've got absolutley no idea what you are talking about?

And if you think computer modelling is synonymous with statistics, you don't know much about computer modelling, and you know somewhat less about statistics.

Tell you what, we all make mistakes now and then, so I'll let you have that last post again. Actually, make it the last three.
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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #31 - Jun 4th, 2010 at 6:39pm
 
Paella wrote on Jun 4th, 2010 at 5:40pm:
Well that's a rather large step back from "no physical object - no science", don't you think?



No. You get the point.

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Paella
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #32 - Jun 5th, 2010 at 3:00pm
 
If the point is that you have no idea what you are talking about, then yes, I get it it.

So climate is not a scientific phenomenon because it can only be related to physical substance through "statistics". Tell me, how is it different from temperature? Temperature can only be related to a substance by way of an average. Unless you insist that temperature is not a scientific phenomenon? That would not surprise me.

I can sense a change of subject coming on.
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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #33 - Jun 5th, 2010 at 8:52pm
 
Paella wrote on Jun 5th, 2010 at 3:00pm:
If the point is that you have no idea what you are talking about, then yes, I get it it.

So climate is not a scientific phenomenon because it can only be related to physical substance through "statistics". Tell me, how is it different from temperature? Temperature can only be related to a substance by way of an average. Unless you insist that temperature is not a scientific phenomenon? That would not surprise me.

I can sense a change of subject coming on.


temperature is a measurement of a phenomenon.

It's the red star on khaki background with you, isn't it? It there to make sure and to remind us all that you are always wrong. i
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muso
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #34 - Jun 5th, 2010 at 9:08pm
 
Paella - give up.  There is too much of a disconnect between the general population and basic scientific knowledge.

I was up early on Saturday morning tracking the Falcon 9 using my Gnome-predict software.  It appeared right on cue around 5:57 am tracking from Northwest towards the East and there was a nice spiral pattern consistent with degassing from the second stage.

So then I see this in the paper:

http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/multiple-reports-of-a-bright-light-moving-str...

Just think of the general population as a bunch of Yahoos (ever read Gulliver's Travels?) and you'll get the idea.  Actually in the readers comments there are one or two people who correctly pointed out that it was the Falcon 9  second stage degassing.

Nobody believed them because they were content to believe their own "We are not alone" theories.

Give it up - you're wasting your time.  Action will be taken on climate.....quietly. Don't disturb the yahoos.
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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #35 - Jun 5th, 2010 at 9:16pm
 
Way to go!

Having preened, you two can now glow. Beautiful!



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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #36 - Jun 5th, 2010 at 9:25pm
 
Paella wrote on Jun 4th, 2010 at 5:40pm:
So Australia doesn't have a climate then?


Dunno. Ask the Aborigines, they have been here for yonks, they should know.

I bet they wouldn't know what you are on about. They don't share your conventional mindset. For some reason. Who knows. Probably the red star. Or the pettyfogging mind. Same thing, actually. Ask them, anyway. Or ask Muso, he knows everything.i



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aikmann4
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #37 - Jun 6th, 2010 at 9:15am
 
Quote:
temperature is a measurement of a phenomenon.


But how isn't climate? Climate is the measurement of several phenomenons occuring in a given area over an extended period of time. If the phenomenons in unison occur in a certain way, we categorize the region that they are occuring in to be of a particular climate. We use this information frequently; in the sense that if we are travelling to Florida, we pack board-shorts and t-shirts rather than fur coats and sable hats.

Climate is ultimately founded upon the measurement of several real physical phenomeons; humidity, temperature, rainfall, wind and pressure. I don't understand at all how just because it is a statistical measure taken over an extended period of time that, therefore, we are unwise or incapable, of making inferences based upon statistical trends of those measurements on what form they are going to take in the future.
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« Last Edit: Jun 6th, 2010 at 10:45am by aikmann4 »  
 
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Paella
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #38 - Jun 6th, 2010 at 10:39am
 
Thanks Imperium. That's the point I was trying to make, but you said it a lot better.
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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #39 - Jun 6th, 2010 at 3:32pm
 
aikmann4 wrote on Jun 6th, 2010 at 9:15am:
Quote:
temperature is a measurement of a phenomenon.


But how isn't climate? Climate is the measurement of several phenomenons occuring in a given area over an extended period of time. If the phenomenons in unison occur in a certain way, we categorize the region that they are occuring in to be of a particular climate. We use this information frequently; in the sense that if we are travelling to Florida, we pack board-shorts and t-shirts rather than fur coats and sable hats.

Climate is ultimately founded upon the measurement of several real physical phenomeons; humidity, temperature, rainfall, wind and pressure. I don't understand at all how just because it is a statistical measure taken over an extended period of time that, therefore, we are unwise or incapable, of making inferences based upon statistical trends of those measurements on what form they are going to take in the future.



Measuring , even though it is part of the scientific method, is not substitute for it. We do not undesrtand the global climate despite the millions of measurments over the years.
All we can do with the measurements is subjct them to statistical analysis by computer models loaded up with the data plus a whole lot of assumptions and hypotheses.  This is no substitute to experimentation either.

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Paella
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #40 - Jun 6th, 2010 at 4:44pm
 
That argument could apply equally to gravity and electromagnetism. Neither of which, having successfully utilised them for centuries, do we fully understand.

If I hold a cup at shoulder height and drop it, it will accelerate towards the Earth. That prediction is based on a theoretical model. Is it, therefore, inaccurate?
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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #41 - Jun 6th, 2010 at 7:23pm
 
Paella wrote on Jun 6th, 2010 at 4:44pm:
That argument could apply equally to gravity and electromagnetism. Neither of which, having successfully utilised them for centuries, do we fully understand.

If I hold a cup at shoulder height and drop it, it will accelerate towards the Earth. That prediction is based on a theoretical model. Is it, therefore, inaccurate?



You can devise repeateble experiments for both of your examples (one you have supplied already). Not for global climate.

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Paella
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #42 - Jun 6th, 2010 at 9:16pm
 
You haven't addressed the question.

My prediction that the cup will accelerate towards the Earth is based on theoretical modelling. Well tried and tested, but theoretical nonetheless.

Is it inaccurate?
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Soren
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #43 - Jun 7th, 2010 at 8:08am
 
Paella wrote on Jun 6th, 2010 at 9:16pm:
You haven't addressed the question.

My prediction that the cup will accelerate towards the Earth is based on theoretical modelling. Well tried and tested, but theoretical nonetheless.

Is it inaccurate?



Your theory is based on repeatable (and REPEATED) experimentation. Global climate theories don't.

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muso
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Re: Climate Science
Reply #44 - Jun 7th, 2010 at 8:57am
 
Soren wrote on Jun 7th, 2010 at 8:08am:
Paella wrote on Jun 6th, 2010 at 9:16pm:
You haven't addressed the question.

My prediction that the cup will accelerate towards the Earth is based on theoretical modelling. Well tried and tested, but theoretical nonetheless.

Is it inaccurate?



Your theory is based on repeatable (and REPEATED) experimentation. Global climate theories don't.



The first Lunar landing wasn't based on repeated experimentation either. OK, they modelled it, and tried it out on Earth a few times, but nobody tried it out on the moon. Like our current knowledge of Global climate disruption, the first moon landing was based on fundamental physics and chemistry, and these principles are very well tried and tested.

The same can be said of the Airbus A380 or the  Burj Khalifa in Dubai for that matter.  The very first  A380 that was built, flew as designed. The principles of engineering and physics are pretty robust.  
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