Forum

 
  Back to OzPolitic.com   Welcome, Guest. Please Login or Register
  Forum Home Album HelpSearch Recent Rules LoginRegister  
 

Pages: 1 2 3 
Send Topic Print
Warmest Decade in Australia on Record (Read 8586 times)
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Jan 5th, 2010 at 4:03pm
 
http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,26555339-952,00.html

Now before somebody else pounces on ithis article, yes it's regional data. What we really need is the global (GISS) data, and that's not too far away.
Back to top
 

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
mozzaok
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 6741
Melbourne
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #1 - Jan 5th, 2010 at 5:20pm
 
Luckily the denialists told me we are in a cooling cycle, which is probably true in a relative sort of way, 'cos when we get the added pressure of another base el nino effect, which will probably be this year and next, we can expect to see all the records smashed again.

It will not make any difference to the full on denialists, but the folk who are ambivalent about it now, may sit up and start to take a greater interest in seeing action taken.
Back to top
 

OOPS!!! My Karma, ran over your Dogma!
 
IP Logged
 
jordan484
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Genuine Aussie

Posts: 1115
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #2 - Jan 5th, 2010 at 7:01pm
 
How far back do records go?

How old is the earth?

What happened BEFORE recorded data?

Back to top
 

"We should always say that I may refrain from publishing a cartoon of the Prophet Mohammed, but it's because I fear you. Don't for one moment think it's because I respect you." Richard Dawkins
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #3 - Jan 6th, 2010 at 8:38am
 
jordan484 wrote on Jan 5th, 2010 at 7:01pm:
How far back do records go?

How old is the earth?

What happened BEFORE recorded data?



The Earth is 4.5 billion years old. (Today)

Do you have 4.5 billion candles on you? We could have a party.

Stuffed if I know how far back Australian data goes. I'd guess back to Federation. Before that it wasn't Australian data.

Have there been warmer periods before? Yes, probably around the Holocene Optimum,  but how is that even relevant?

I was basically pouncing on the article because it's journalistic waffle that denialists love to pounce on saying "see - scientists say......"

Well journalists are not scientists, but they tend to deduce things from inappropriate data. Let's wait for the real data.

Of course we never win against the true believers among the denialists. Science is limited by its refusal to make stuff up. Hmm reminds me of a cartoon I once saw.

Back to top
« Last Edit: Jan 6th, 2010 at 8:46am by muso »  

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #4 - Jan 6th, 2010 at 9:22am
 
mozzaok wrote on Jan 5th, 2010 at 5:20pm:
Luckily the denialists told me we are in a cooling cycle, which is probably true in a relative sort of way, 'cos when we get the added pressure of another base el nino effect, which will probably be this year and next, we can expect to see all the records smashed again.

It will not make any difference to the full on denialists, but the folk who are ambivalent about it now, may sit up and start to take a greater interest in seeing action taken.


Sunspot numbers are coming up too.
Back to top
 

ssn_predict_l.jpg (45 KB | 75 )
ssn_predict_l.jpg

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
mozzaok
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 6741
Melbourne
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #5 - Jan 6th, 2010 at 1:02pm
 
Yes, most predictions I have read have said they expect new peaks to be hit in the 2010 to 2014 period, and then some decline from those new peaks for possibly as much as a decade.

Of course the background warming will continue, but we will probably see a slow down of denialist spruiking during the new record temps, but then renewed calls of it all being over once the temps settle again.
Back to top
 

OOPS!!! My Karma, ran over your Dogma!
 
IP Logged
 
skippy
Ex Member


Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #6 - Jan 6th, 2010 at 3:10pm
 
mozzaok wrote on Jan 6th, 2010 at 1:02pm:
Yes, most predictions I have read have said they expect new peaks to be hit in the 2010 to 2014 period, and then some decline from those new peaks for possibly as much as a decade.

Of course the background warming will continue, but we will probably see a slow down of denialist spruiking during the new record temps, but then renewed calls of it all being over once the temps settle again.

I'm not sure you're right there mozz, I read a confusionalist post this morning that said global warming is a crock as its snowing in the USA.
These people don't know the difference between climate change and the weather, that's half the problem. They think because it still snows climate change is not happening,lol.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
skippy
Ex Member


Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #7 - Jan 8th, 2010 at 12:07pm
 
I was listening to the news at lunchtime and what I said the other day about climate and weather was one of the news stories, I don't expect to convince all the confusionalists here but maybe this might make it a bit clearer for the ones who are not alarmist confusionalists.
The weather is measured on a day by day month by month basis, whilst climate is measured by a period of at least thirty years, so the confusionalists who state that climate change is not happening on the basis it is snowing in Europe and the USA are just confusing the weather with climate change.
I'm sure anybody who passed year two at school can understand that, my seven year old can, its pretty simple, but then not many confusionalists seem to understand simple.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
locutius
Gold Member
*****
Offline


You can't fight in here!
It's the War Room

Posts: 1817
Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #8 - Jan 8th, 2010 at 1:55pm
 
muso wrote on Jan 6th, 2010 at 8:38am:
jordan484 wrote on Jan 5th, 2010 at 7:01pm:
How far back do records go?

How old is the earth?

What happened BEFORE recorded data?



The Earth is 4.5 billion years old. (Today)

Do you have 4.5 billion candles on you? We could have a party.

Stuffed if I know how far back Australian data goes. I'd guess back to Federation. Before that it wasn't Australian data.

Have there been warmer periods before? Yes, probably around the Holocene Optimum,  but how is that even relevant?

I was basically pouncing on the article because it's journalistic waffle that denialists love to pounce on saying "see - scientists say......"

Well journalists are not scientists, but they tend to deduce things from inappropriate data. Let's wait for the real data.

Of course we never win against the true believers among the denialists. Science is limited by its refusal to make stuff up. Hmm reminds me of a cartoon I once saw.



lol. Grin Printed, laminated and placed between the pages of the young fella's Dr Zeus book. Even his practicing Catholic mum got a chuckle out of this cartoon.
Back to top
 

I dream of a better tomorrow, where chickens can cross the road and not be questioned about their motives.
 
IP Logged
 
Soren
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 25654
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #9 - Jan 9th, 2010 at 10:35pm
 
muso wrote on Jan 6th, 2010 at 8:38am:
. Science is limited by its refusal to make stuff up.



Indeed, science is. The same cannot be said for scientists.

Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #10 - Jan 11th, 2010 at 11:44am
 
Soren wrote on Jan 9th, 2010 at 10:35pm:
muso wrote on Jan 6th, 2010 at 8:38am:
. Science is limited by its refusal to make stuff up.



Indeed, science is. The same cannot be said for scientists.



Scientists who 'make stuff up' are generally referred to as pseudoscientists. In Science, reputation is everything.

Here are a couple of people who lost a lot of reputation among their peers for that reason:

http://climateprogress.org/2008/05/22/should-you-believe-anything-john-christy-o...
Back to top
 

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
Soren
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 25654
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #11 - Jan 11th, 2010 at 3:34pm
 
Here's another one, made laughable by his own words:

http://www.spectator.co.uk/rodliddle/
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Darwin
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 1037
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #12 - Jan 11th, 2010 at 9:35pm
 
Looks like someone forgot about the Gulf Stream!
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #13 - Jan 12th, 2010 at 8:47am
 
Soren wrote on Jan 11th, 2010 at 3:34pm:
Here's another one, made laughable by his own words:

http://www.spectator.co.uk/rodliddle/


Indeed. Rod Liddle is laughable.
Back to top
 

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Warmest Decade in Australia on Record
Reply #14 - Jan 12th, 2010 at 8:53am
 
Darwin wrote on Jan 11th, 2010 at 9:35pm:
Looks like someone forgot about the Gulf Stream!



Nobody has yet attributed the last two severe winters to the slowing of the Gulf Stream. It's a possibility, that's all. It's more likely that this is  just a severe weather event.  Just because Auchtermuchty is snowed in for a few weeks one year doesn't mean that Global average temperatures are not continuing to rise.

As far as the UK is concerned, it's quite possible that these white Christmases will be a thing of the past by say 2030.  Just because an ultraconservative commentator who would make Alan Jones look like a commie decided to make a joke out of it, doesn't mean that there is any significance in it.
Back to top
« Last Edit: Jan 12th, 2010 at 9:15am by muso »  

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
Pages: 1 2 3 
Send Topic Print