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ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme (Read 4779 times)
mozzaok
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #15 - Dec 17th, 2009 at 12:34pm
 
I think we all do Sennex.

We are breaking new ground on this thing, and nobody really knows what will work best.

I have been in favour of a straight out Carbon Tax over a more convoluted Emmission Trading Scheme, but I have also read articles which do go into quite some depth to explain the benefits of the particular Cap and Trade scheme devised by the US, and while they had some minor reservations, overall they felt it was a well designed system with good safeguards against manipulation of the kind Hansen must have assumed, to make his reference to it being a "Ponzi like" system.
(A Ponzi system has people investing where there is no real profits to share, and illusory profits are derived from attracting new capital, or the re-investment of existing members' capital back in. As soon as anyone starts to withdraw capital the scheme necessarily must collapse. Many people consider the Global economy to be Ponzi like in many of it's characteristics, but that is a whole other debate, lol)

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joseph-romm/nasas-james-hansen-mostly_b_229459.htm...

He does make some interesting points, and I would love to get feedback from members who may be able to put it into simpler terms so that even I can get a better understanding of the options available to us.

For those interested, here is another link to Hansen's ideas on this issue.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/dr-james-hansen/g-8-failure-reflects-us-f_b_228597...
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« Last Edit: Dec 17th, 2009 at 12:39pm by mozzaok »  

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muso
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #16 - Dec 17th, 2009 at 2:36pm
 
OK, when the market crashes time and time again, as it will continue to do as crops fail, and the price of carbon goes through the floor again, how does an ETS scheme actually enable us to reach our objective of transferring to renewable technology and decarbonising the economy? How can an Emissions Trading Scheme survive under a violently fluctuating market environment?

Just remind me of that.

I agree with Hansen on this. I don't recall having taken any other position.

Ultimately, we're going to have to chuck a lot of money at this problem far too late, and probably go broke as a result.

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Soren
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #17 - Dec 17th, 2009 at 5:55pm
 
Putting tradable price on something we do not want - carbon dioxide emissions - is a speculator's dream. In essence, it is  scheme of speculative trading in (CO2) debt.

And if that is not bad enough, the money collected will be given to the Ghaddafis and Papa Docs of this world.

Why not just take your cash, stand at your window and throw it at the weather.

Same climate result.

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freediver
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #18 - Dec 18th, 2009 at 8:06am
 
Actually we do still want carbon emissions. Just fewer of them. If we didn't want it it would be simple - ban it.
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muso
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #19 - Dec 18th, 2009 at 8:30am
 
freediver wrote on Dec 18th, 2009 at 8:06am:
Actually we do still want carbon emissions. Just fewer of them. If we didn't want it it would be simple - ban it.


If you banned it just like that, you'd ban civilisation in the process,  kill off the majority of people in this world within the next 50 years and remove whatever control mechanisms we have to regulate the population.

It would be simple perhaps, but catastrophic.
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Aussie Skinhead
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #20 - Dec 18th, 2009 at 1:04pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 18th, 2009 at 8:30am:
If you banned it just like that, you'd ban civilisation in the process,  kill off the majority of people in this world within the next 50 years and remove whatever control mechanisms we have to regulate the population.

It would be simple perhaps, but catastrophic.


Thats just it. We can't get rid of carbon emissions because we have to produce them in order to have a industry to cater for the needs of the Australian population. And as you said, population needs to be regulated. Australia is too over populated. We have too many people. Our population has grown by over 4 million in the last 11 years. The massive population growth and the drought has put strains on our national water supplies and on our natural resources. We now have a housing crisis because of the rapid growth in the national population growth. Up to one thousand people a week at moving to Queensland. It is predicted in the next couple of generations that the population of south east Queensland will explode. The state governments are struggling to deal with the massive rise in population. In spite of all these things, the Federal Government is insisting on importing up to five hundred thousand foreigners a year into Australia. There are people in the Labor Party who are calling for an end to all immigration restrictions or a relaxation of restrictions. The Labor Party can not be trusted with immigration or the running of the Australia economy. The national population must be decreased to 1998 levels in order to better deal with the water shortages and with the strains on our infrastructure. It would also help with carbon emission reductions. If we are serious about saving and preserving the environment of our country, then we should reduce our population. Also, a population reduction would also reduce pressure on the housing market that would result in a massive decrease in the cost of housing.

The Federal Government can achieve population reduction in a number of ways. First, the government could reintroduce the Immigration Restriction Act that would seriously limit the number of foreigners who come to Australia. Secondly, the government the should withdraw from the 1955 convention on the accepting of refugees. There are other things that the government can do but I won't look into them.

In general, the world is very over population. There are over six billion people in the world. It is predicted that the population of the world will hit 10 billion by mid this century. We already have over a billion people who live in poverty and are facing mass starvation. Frankly, we should allow Darwinism to take it's course and let the billion people, who are virtually all Asians or Africans, die. Mankind should be reduced by two or three billion. Virtually the population reductions should take place in poor countries in Africa and Asia. They can't support most of their people so they should investigate some kind of large wide spread culling of their populations.
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muso
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #21 - Dec 18th, 2009 at 2:11pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 18th, 2009 at 8:30am:
freediver wrote on Dec 18th, 2009 at 8:06am:
Actually we do still want carbon emissions. Just fewer of them. If we didn't want it it would be simple - ban it.


If you banned it just like that, you'd ban civilisation in the process,  kill off the majority of people in this world within the next 50 years and remove whatever control mechanisms we have to regulate the population.

It would be simple perhaps, but catastrophic.



Let me clarify that. We must eliminate carbon emissions, but we can't just switch off all our coal fired power stations overnight. If we did that, technology would go down the tubes, and we'd be left with almost 7 billion people without life-support.

At the same time, we can't allow carbon emiisions to go unchecked, and do nothing about it, because that would have very similar effects.

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Senexx
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #22 - Dec 19th, 2009 at 1:40pm
 
Soren wrote on Dec 17th, 2009 at 5:55pm:
Putting tradable price on something we do not want - carbon dioxide emissions - is a speculator's dream. In essence, it is  scheme of speculative trading in (CO2) debt.

And if that is not bad enough, the money collected will be given to the Ghaddafis and Papa Docs of this world.

Why not just take your cash, stand at your window and throw it at the weather.

Same climate result.



The speculators market would have to run in parallel then.
Even if the carbon price falls through the floor as part of the bust in a boom and bust cycle there will still be a limit on emissions available.  So no more can be traded anyway and someone somewhere will have to reduce their emissions.
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freediver
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #23 - Dec 19th, 2009 at 2:47pm
 
Quote:
The speculators market would have to run in parallel then.


Can you explain what you mean by that? It is not possible to trade an item without having people speculate on it.
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Senexx
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #24 - Dec 20th, 2009 at 1:10pm
 
People speculate on the stock market, there is no ultimate limit to what can be done on the stockmarket.

There is a limit in the cap and trade scheme.  The only way I see speculating occurring is as if it acted as a separate market about what the price of carbon is doing.
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Soren
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Re: ETS sux....  just another ponzi scheme
Reply #25 - Dec 20th, 2009 at 4:26pm
 
It's not just that it's tradable - all commodities and services are tradable. It is also about trading in something we do no want. It is like trading in sub-prime debt, trading in something nobody actully wants but merely wants to pass on.
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