Forum

 
  Back to OzPolitic.com   Welcome, Guest. Please Login or Register
  Forum Home Album HelpSearch Recent Rules LoginRegister  
 

Pages: 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 ... 21
Send Topic Print
Climate Change Discussion and Questions (Read 37759 times)
Soren
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 25654
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #60 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 10:05am
 
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 7:29am:
Soren wrote on Oct 30th, 2009 at 9:08pm:
Don't be ridiculous. How did she measure acidification over 25 million years?

She didn't. She is guessing, or rather conjecturing from corals, probably. Anybody who is talking about that amount of change in pH over 25 million years as fact is bullsh!tting. And what is the margin of error of these guesstimates?



Aha! - deliberately spreading confusion again.  Acidification is the recent process where increased production of CO2 is leading to reduction in ocean pH. The parameter measured over 25 million years is pH, not acidification. Soren, if you protest wildly about technical matters that you don't actually understand, then it doesn't matter how much impeccable rhetoric you use. You still end up looking foolish.



Aha, indeed.

My dear environmental scientist activist, ph IS the measure of acidity. Over 25 million years or the last 2 minutes.
It is the scale between acidity and basicity. Introduced by a Dane, no less. Sorensen.




Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Soren
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 25654
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #61 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 10:13am
 
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 7:29am:
Soren wrote on Oct 30th, 2009 at 9:08pm:
Don't be ridiculous. How did she measure acidification over 25 million years?

She didn't. She is guessing, or rather conjecturing from corals, probably. Anybody who is talking about that amount of change in pH over 25 million years as fact is bullsh!tting. And what is the margin of error of these guesstimates?




As far as the question of how you measure ocean pH over 25 million years, it is done by the use of proxies. Obviously an indirect method was used.




Proxy? Indirect method, you say? You mean conjecture.

Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Soren
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 25654
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #62 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 10:15am
 
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 7:29am:
Soren wrote on Oct 30th, 2009 at 9:08pm:
Don't be ridiculous. How did she measure acidification over 25 million years?

She didn't. She is guessing, or rather conjecturing from corals, probably. Anybody who is talking about that amount of change in pH over 25 million years as fact is bullsh!tting. And what is the margin of error of these guesstimates?



The proxy data matches quite well with recent data,


I say! It woudn't dare not to!!!


Grin
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #63 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:00pm
 
Soren wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 10:05am:
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 7:29am:
Soren wrote on Oct 30th, 2009 at 9:08pm:
Don't be ridiculous. How did she measure acidification over 25 million years?

She didn't. She is guessing, or rather conjecturing from corals, probably. Anybody who is talking about that amount of change in pH over 25 million years as fact is bullsh!tting. And what is the margin of error of these guesstimates?



Aha! - deliberately spreading confusion again.  Acidification is the recent process where increased production of CO2 is leading to reduction in ocean pH. The parameter measured over 25 million years is pH, not acidification. Soren, if you protest wildly about technical matters that you don't actually understand, then it doesn't matter how much impeccable rhetoric you use. You still end up looking foolish.



Aha, indeed.

My dear environmental scientist activist, ph IS the measure of acidity. Over 25 million years or the last 2 minutes.
It is the scale between acidity and basicity. Introduced by a Dane, no less. Sorensen.



The word you used was acidification before you surreptitiously changed it to acidity . I don't know if both were intended to be sleight of hand or not, but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt (against my better judgement). Acidification is the process where a solution becomes acidic. Strictly speaking, the ocean pH is reducing. It will never become acidic as such. The graph shows pH, not acidification.  Put simply, pH is a measure of how acidic or how basic a solution is. More  rigorously, it is the negative log of the hydrogen ion activity. I won't go into reasons why we changed from concentration to activity, but is related to the presence of other dissolved ionic species.

My first degree was in Chemistry. Don't argue simple Chemistry with a Chemist.  Grin
Back to top
« Last Edit: Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:31pm by muso »  

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #64 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:15pm
 
Soren wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 10:13am:
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 7:29am:
Soren wrote on Oct 30th, 2009 at 9:08pm:
Don't be ridiculous. How did she measure acidification over 25 million years?

She didn't. She is guessing, or rather conjecturing from corals, probably. Anybody who is talking about that amount of change in pH over 25 million years as fact is bullsh!tting. And what is the margin of error of these guesstimates?




As far as the question of how you measure ocean pH over 25 million years, it is done by the use of proxies. Obviously an indirect method was used.




Proxy? Indirect method, you say? You mean conjecture.




No soren. It's not conjecture. Roll Eyes There are many things in life that are measured indirectly. Proxy measurements are well established in many fields of science, including biochemistry and medicine where they are sometimes referred to as surrogate measurements.

As far as the boron proxy (δ11B) for ocean pH is concerned, that has been through the mill considerably since it was first proposed by Palmer et al around 1987.

If you searched the literature, you'll find hundreds of papers on this issue. Many of workers have offered refinements to the technique over the years, and by about 2005, the method had pretty well been honed to it's current level of accuracy.  

Unless you're a young Earth creationist  Roll Eyes  (judging by your somewhat anal attitude to science, you might very well be one) then you will no doubt have heard of radiocarbon dating and thermoluminescence. These are proxy methods used in dating archaeological artifacts.

From the pre-industrial period to the present day, mean ocean pH has reduced from 8.25 to 8.1. That's more than a 30% increase in acidity (or decrease in basicity). If you really understood pH, you would appreciate that.

(some typos edited out)
Back to top
« Last Edit: Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:33pm by muso »  

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #65 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:23pm
 
Quote:
I say! It woudn't dare not to!!!


Grin


If you're implying that nobody has bothered to investigate it in any great depth, then I'd say you'd be very far from the mark. I could cite a pile of papers that have validated and improved the rigour of the technique over the years.

Here is one researcher who has investigated boron isotope techniques in considerable depth:

http://qcpages.qc.edu/EES/pep/hemming.html

Take a look at the list of papers on that site. That just represents the papers in which this researcher has participated. It's hardly as flippant as you make it out to be, and many people have tried to find faults with the technique over the years.  Some have pointed out errors, and appropriate changes have been made to improve the technique as a result.

That process is an intrinsic part of the scientific method.

Back to top
« Last Edit: Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:38pm by muso »  

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
Soren
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 25654
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #66 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:44pm
 
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:00pm:
Soren wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 10:05am:
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 7:29am:
Soren wrote on Oct 30th, 2009 at 9:08pm:
Don't be ridiculous. How did she measure acidification over 25 million years?

She didn't. She is guessing, or rather conjecturing from corals, probably. Anybody who is talking about that amount of change in pH over 25 million years as fact is bullsh!tting. And what is the margin of error of these guesstimates?



Aha! - deliberately spreading confusion again.  Acidification is the recent process where increased production of CO2 is leading to reduction in ocean pH. The parameter measured over 25 million years is pH, not acidification. Soren, if you protest wildly about technical matters that you don't actually understand, then it doesn't matter how much impeccable rhetoric you use. You still end up looking foolish.



Aha, indeed.

My dear environmental scientist activist, ph IS the measure of acidity. Over 25 million years or the last 2 minutes.
It is the scale between acidity and basicity. Introduced by a Dane, no less. Sorensen.



The word you used was acidification before you surreptitiously changed it to acidity . I don't know if both were intended to be sleight of hand or not, but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt (against my better judgement). Acidification is the process where a solution becomes acidic. Strictly speaking, the ocean pH is reducing. It will never become acidic as such. The graph shows pH, not acidification.  Put simply, pH is a measure of how acidic or how basic a solution is. More  rigorously, it is the negative log of the hydrogen ion activity. I won't go into reasons why we changed from concentration to activity, but is related to the presence of other dissolved ionic species.

My first degree was in Chemistry. Don't argue simple Chemistry with a Chemist.  Grin



Acidification is the noun form of something becoming more acidic than it was before. Being more acidic is an increase in acidity.
Don't argue language with a linguist.
Smiley
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Soren
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 25654
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #67 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:54pm
 
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:15pm:
Soren wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 10:13am:
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 7:29am:
Soren wrote on Oct 30th, 2009 at 9:08pm:
Don't be ridiculous. How did she measure acidification over 25 million years?

She didn't. She is guessing, or rather conjecturing from corals, probably. Anybody who is talking about that amount of change in pH over 25 million years as fact is bullsh!tting. And what is the margin of error of these guesstimates?




As far as the question of how you measure ocean pH over 25 million years, it is done by the use of proxies. Obviously an indirect method was used.




Proxy? Indirect method, you say? You mean conjecture.





Unless you're a young Earth creationist  Roll Eyes  (judging by your somewhat anal attitude to science, you might very well be one)



I have impeccable scientific credentials - I am sceptical. I don't know since when you had to be a Leninist so as not to be called anal or young earther or whatever intemperate or bitchy terms are the latest in the warmer's arsenal.

For me, if you are right and reason is on your side, warmists would not need to resort to pseudo-inquisitorial, Leninist vocabulary and outlook. If the science is complex and multifaceted, scepticism is something you lot should be demanding.

Put it simply, whatever Bob Brown, Clive Hamilton, Philip Adams or or that bearded bloke in the boat with Roy Slaven believes in can't be true.



Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #68 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 1:39pm
 
Scepticism is fine.  Those papers I was quoting were sceptical of the Boron proxy method.  Some of them identified weaknesses with the method and it had to be refined as a result. That kind of scepticism strengthens our knowledge.

Don't insult sceptics by calling Carter or Plimer sceptics. Philip Adams is a true sceptic. 

Plimer's and Carter's brand of 'scepticism' is better termed 'pseudo scepticism'. There is no science in that. Nobody would pretend that these jokers are trying to improve the scientific knowledge base by what they are doing. (Lying through their teeth)

They are just pretending to be skepticists. In fact they are deliberately causing confusion in order to muddy the waters. They are advocates for maintaining a status quo that is hazardous to every man woman and child on this planet.

Their objective is to cause enough confusion to lengthen the time that business can go on conducting business as usual, and the sad thing is that you know that already. The sadder part is that if we continue to produce and burn coal, oil and other hydrocarbons in the way that we have been doing up to now,  the bottom will fall out of the world economy around mid century because of their advocacy for short term profit.

- and don't talk about Leninist vocabulary with a true capitalist either. I don't even approve of what the ALP is doing at the moment.
Back to top
« Last Edit: Oct 31st, 2009 at 1:44pm by muso »  

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #69 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 1:43pm
 
Soren wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 12:44pm:
Acidification is the noun form of something becoming more acidic than it was before. Being more acidic is an increase in acidity.
Don't argue language with a linguist.
Smiley


Still deliberately missing the point. The process of ocean acidification has not been going on for 25 million years. It's a recent phenomenon. The vertical line is acidification. What happened before were very slow gradual fluctuations.
Back to top
 

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
Soren
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 25654
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #70 - Oct 31st, 2009 at 2:32pm
 
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 1:39pm:
Their objective is to cause enough confusion to lengthen the time that business can go on conducting business as usual, and the sad thing is that you know that already. The sadder part is that if we continue to produce and burn coal, oil and other hydrocarbons in the way that we have been doing up to now,  the bottom will fall out of the world economy around mid century because of their advocacy for short term profit.




And why would that be in anybody's interes, considering that pension and superannuation funds are the biggest shareholders of many of the businesses demonised by the climate leninists. It is the old Dickensian idea of busness that lives on in your rhetoric.
It is certainly not in anyone's business interest to cease business mid-century. This crap just does not make sense unless you are a pimply 18 year old who thinks that whatever pops into his head is being thought of for the first time ever.

Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #71 - Nov 1st, 2009 at 6:05am
 
Soren wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 2:32pm:
muso wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 1:39pm:
Their objective is to cause enough confusion to lengthen the time that business can go on conducting business as usual, and the sad thing is that you know that already. The sadder part is that if we continue to produce and burn coal, oil and other hydrocarbons in the way that we have been doing up to now,  the bottom will fall out of the world economy around mid century because of their advocacy for short term profit.




And why would that be in anybody's interes, considering that pension and superannuation funds are the biggest shareholders of many of the businesses demonised by the climate leninists. It is the old Dickensian idea of busness that lives on in your rhetoric.
It is certainly not in anyone's business interest to cease business mid-century. This crap just does not make sense unless you are a pimply 18 year old who thinks that whatever pops into his head is being thought of for the first time ever.



It's obviously in the interest of the coal companies not to stop producing coal. Wouldn't you say?
Back to top
 

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
pjb05
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 1404
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #72 - Nov 1st, 2009 at 7:50am
 
Soren wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 2:32pm:
[


And why would that be in anybody's interes, considering that pension and superannuation funds are the biggest shareholders of many of the businesses demonised by the climate leninists. It is the old Dickensian idea of busness that lives on in your rhetoric.
It is certainly not in anyone's business interest to cease business mid-century. This crap just does not make sense unless you are a pimply 18 year old who thinks that whatever pops into his head is being thought of for the first time ever.



Not to mention they provide us jobs, pay taxes to fund social programs and all the other things we expect governments to provide, as well as provide goods and sevices that people want. It smacks of another agenda to want to shift 'blame' onto so called profit hungry big business.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #73 - Nov 1st, 2009 at 9:17am
 
pjb05 wrote on Nov 1st, 2009 at 7:50am:
It smacks of another agenda to want to shift 'blame' onto so called profit hungry big business.


Your post smacks of an agenda to shift from the scary science and get back to nice comfortable politics.

Most businesses are not concerned about 2050. The longest term detailed planning is 10 years or maybe 15 years.

What is, in fact an extremely urgent issue is being treated as a minor inconvenience that we'll probably get round to fixing one day.

Australia is in a dilemma as a major coal producer and with an enormous reliance on coal fired power stations.

To be blunt, coal production must stop - not just eventually. It needs to be phased out within the next 15 years. We need to be spending enormous amounts of capital in decarbonising the economy. It needs to be done in conjunction with other coal producing countries.

I've already talked about the risks of not doing that. It's in the Copenhagen sythesis report.

Will it affect jobs, and the economy? You bet it will. Big time.

If we do nothing about it, will it affect jobs and the economy worse?

Is the Pope Catholic? What the bugger do you think we've been saying all along?


Let me give you an analogy. You're on a sinking ship and you need to get to the lifeboat. The deck around it is under 6 inches of water.

What would you do? Bitch and whine that if we have to get in the lifeboat, we'll get our feet wet and die of hypothermia, and we'd be safer standing on the dry part of the ship?
Back to top
« Last Edit: Nov 1st, 2009 at 9:35am by muso »  

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
muso
Gold Member
*****
Offline



Posts: 13151
Gladstone, Queensland
Gender: male
Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #74 - Nov 1st, 2009 at 9:45am
 
Soren wrote on Oct 31st, 2009 at 2:32pm:
And why would that be in anybody's interes, considering that pension and superannuation funds are the biggest shareholders of many of the businesses demonised by the climate leninists.


Climate change is a huge risk not only to the environment but also to superannuation, say industry players.


That was over two years ago.

http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/climate-change-a-risk-to-super/2007/05/24...


Super funds ranked on climate steps
http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-business/super-funds-ranked-on-climate-step...
Back to top
 

...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
IP Logged
 
Pages: 1 ... 3 4 5 6 7 ... 21
Send Topic Print