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Climate Change Discussion and Questions (Read 37748 times)
Soren
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #165 - Dec 8th, 2009 at 11:54am
 
muso wrote on Dec 8th, 2009 at 11:45am:
I was just making an observation. Not everything I say should be construed as a counter argument.


No, you were calling to action ("so can we"). As if there was an easy parallel between France and us and copying the French was just a matter of wanting to something good, like loving your mum.


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muso
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #166 - Dec 8th, 2009 at 2:51pm
 
Soren wrote on Dec 8th, 2009 at 11:54am:
muso wrote on Dec 8th, 2009 at 11:45am:
I was just making an observation. Not everything I say should be construed as a counter argument.


No, you were calling to action ("so can we"). As if there was an easy parallel between France and us and copying the French was just a matter of wanting to something good, like loving your mum.



- and if you read the rest of my post I was making the point that although both countries are starting from a different position, Australia has one or two trump cards.  France is not really better placed than Australia for those reasons.

I acknowledge that there is no easy parallel, but I dispute your implied point that they are significantly better placed than us.
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« Last Edit: Dec 8th, 2009 at 2:58pm by muso »  

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mozzaok
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #167 - Dec 9th, 2009 at 7:18am
 
Every nation will have it's own unique issues to deal with, but what can be agreed upon is that they all need to address their individual issues with an earnest desire to contribute to improving their own carbon emmissions reductions as rapidly, and comprehensively, as those individual issues allow.

The Denialist argument of saying that nobody should do anything, until everybody does everything, is merely another stalling tactic devised by big polluters who are attempting to avoid being held responsible for their own Carbon emmissions for as long as they possibly can.

The time has come to demand these big polluters stop adding their self serving, sponsored, confusionalist lies, to the issue, in seeking to avoid addressing their already irresponsible emmission levels, and begin taking the steps they know they will eventually be forced to, and the sooner the better. Angry
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Senexx
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #168 - Dec 10th, 2009 at 9:09pm
 
Assuming the ETS cap & trade system comes in - does anyone know how they plan to enforce the cap?  What happens if there is a breach?

I know they're meant to trade emission permits to cover it but what-if for some reason they cannot?
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Paella
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #169 - Dec 10th, 2009 at 10:47pm
 
If you have emitted more CO2 or its eqivalent than you have permits then you will need to buy more permits, through whichever means possible. You might buy them on the domestic market, or an overseas market that is integrated with the Australian scheme. There are all sorts of other mechanisms available to acquire emissions permits, such as via the Clean Development Mechanism which creates emission credits in return for reducing emissions in developing economies (where it is theoretically cheaper to reduce emisisons). If, for whatever reason, you can't get the permits through any of these means, then you get fined. But you may as well just buy the permits because it's cheaper. If you can't afford either you will get bankrupted, just like if you can't pay any other type of debt.

(By the way, the amount of the fine serves as a cap on the carbon price, because if the permit price went higher than the fine, emitters would keep their permits and pay the fine, thus reducing the demand for permits and hence the price of permits.)

There are also mechanisms allowing emitters to borrow permits from future years, but there are very specific limits on this.
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muso
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #170 - Dec 11th, 2009 at 9:23am
 
Thanks Paella. In your opinion, can the same thing be achieved by a carbon tax?
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Paella
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #171 - Dec 11th, 2009 at 5:15pm
 
Yes, I think the same reductions can be achieved by a carbon tax. As to whether it can do so as efficiently as a cap and trade system, well that depends on how much faith you have in financial markets. Until November last year, I'd have said that emissions trading was definitely the way to go, but I have really had my eyes opened as to just how badly markets can get it wrong.

No one asked me, but I'll venture my opinion on the best way to reduce emissions anyway. Look to the economy that has done the most to reduce its emissions so far: it's clearly China. Why have they done so well? Becuase China has a command economy. Now we can either go that way voluntarily (which we won't), or wait until there's a billion Northern Hemisphere refugees on our doorstep and introduce war-time style "emergency" measures. Either way, the result is the same. Only a command economy can solve this problem.

So goodbye democracy.  Cry It was a really good idea, and it was fun for a long time, but it never really worked for its victims in the colonised lands, and in the longer term, it didn't work for us either.
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Soren
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #172 - Dec 11th, 2009 at 5:38pm
 
Senexx wrote on Dec 10th, 2009 at 9:09pm:
Assuming the ETS cap & trade system comes in - does anyone know how they plan to enforce the cap?  What happens if there is a breach?

I know they're meant to trade emission permits to cover it but what-if for some reason they cannot?

They'll burn ya...
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muso
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #173 - Dec 11th, 2009 at 7:55pm
 
Paella wrote on Dec 11th, 2009 at 5:15pm:
Yes, I think the same reductions can be achieved by a carbon tax. As to whether it can do so as efficiently as a cap and trade system, well that depends on how much faith you have in financial markets. Until November last year, I'd have said that emissions trading was definitely the way to go, but I have really had my eyes opened as to just how badly markets can get it wrong.
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So goodbye democracy.  Cry It was a really good idea, and it was fun for a long time, but it never really worked for its victims in the colonised lands, and in the longer term, it didn't work for us either.


Apart from that, I think that there is a lot more scope for manipulation under an emissions trading scheme. I think that a carbon tax is by far the fairer system. It's just a question of an annual review of the rate to keep us on track.

I made the same comment about democracy a long time ago. In order to do what has to be done, the Chinese autocratic system has a lot going for it.

Democracy may be seen as a luxury we can't afford, especially with populations being so easily manipulated.
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locutius
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #174 - Jan 6th, 2010 at 5:07pm
 
Muso, you are a sincere, thorough and well researched thinker who has shown herculean patience and balanced politeness. I know why you persist replying to mostly rot, so thank you. I will, as time permits, do you the proper courtesy and read though " Climate Change (Global Warming) Explained ".

Soren, you are a reasonable Sophist that is skilled enough to muddle the average Joe, none critical reader/thinker. But mate you really should understand that your real value to the Environment board has been representing countless stupid and deceptive items (cringe calling them facts) which have all been rebuted beautifully and with deft superiority.

It would be funny, if such continued rot did not threaten the future happiness of my children.
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I dream of a better tomorrow, where chickens can cross the road and not be questioned about their motives.
 
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Soren
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #175 - Jan 6th, 2010 at 8:02pm
 
locutius wrote on Jan 6th, 2010 at 5:07pm:
Muso, you are a sincere, thorough and well researched thinker who has shown herculean patience and balanced politeness. I know why you persist replying to mostly rot, so thank you. I will, as time permits, do you the proper courtesy and read though " Climate Change (Global Warming) Explained ".

Soren, you are a reasonable Sophist that is skilled enough to muddle the average Joe, none critical reader/thinker. But mate you really should understand that your real value to the Environment board has been representing countless stupid and deceptive items (cringe calling them facts) which have all been rebuted beautifully and with deft superiority.

It would be funny, if such continued rot did not threaten the future happiness of my children.



Glad you are convinced.

AGM is still crap. Carbon trading is a colossal con.

ANd your children's happiness lies elsewhere.





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locutius
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #176 - Jan 7th, 2010 at 6:37am
 
You're glad I'm convinced of what exactly?

"Oh AGM is crap". OK, that's actually a perfect summary of the depth and quality of the arguments?? (not sure that's the right word) you keep throwing into the lion's pit.

Carbon trading is a con. But I guess only slightly less stupid than doing nothing

I tell you one thing that was convincing and that that was the total assasination of a graph you presented earlier by the Australian SciFi novelist and that you ridiculed the intelligent disection of a ridiculous graph. The writting of this bloke may very well be an inside job to make the denialist camp look even more stupid or simply more dishonest than they already are. But of course what would 98% of all the worlds scientists know compared to people like Monckton, the blue-blood rentboy of big industry.

What other scientific knowledge or disciplines do you ridicule, or is it just the ones that suit your political agenda?
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I dream of a better tomorrow, where chickens can cross the road and not be questioned about their motives.
 
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mozzaok
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #177 - Jan 7th, 2010 at 7:38am
 
Great to see some posts from our old friend Locutius.

I think his point to Soren is that while denialists make claims of scientific backing for their position, they stridently try and misrepresent the work of scientists, whilst absolutely and invariably avoiding all the most relevant scientific opinions, instead choosing to champion the extremist posturing from psuedo-science as the more valid choice to make.

That is why refuted lies, and debunked myths never die in the topsy turvy denialist world, where up is down, and hot is cooling. Wink
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muso
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #178 - Jan 7th, 2010 at 10:42am
 
Welcome back Locutius. You were missed.
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Soren
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Re: Climate Change Discussion and Questions
Reply #179 - Jan 7th, 2010 at 11:17am
 
locutius wrote on Jan 7th, 2010 at 6:37am:
What other scientific knowledge or disciplines do you ridicule, or is it just the ones that suit your political agenda?


Here's one for starters:
http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1262739041/0#0

Grin Grin


I have a political agenda?

But nice Mr Monbiot, for example, doesn't?? Or Mr Rudd? Gore? The peer-review nobbling scientists don't?



Aha!! It's only the 'deniers' that have political agendas! Zzzzzz..... Just one more instance of the unthinking, reflex 'gotcha' political stupidity from the people who are pleased to call themselves 'progressive'. Their moral preening and vanity have no limit.

Are you a 'progressive'?
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