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Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) (Read 170263 times)
Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1185 - Aug 20th, 2025 at 11:25am
 
TGD,
Quote:
Note: public money in MMT is debt free money available to government for specific non-inflationary spending, not private-sector money created in private banks, money which you and I use - which must be earned or borrowed and repaid with interest.



Rubbish - printing money causes inflation which is another form of tax -

people lose their savings including their Super value.

By the time people retire their Super won't even be worth half of what it was
when they put it in there.
For young people today it will be worth only 10% in buying power
when they retire in 40 years.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1186 - Aug 20th, 2025 at 11:51am
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 20th, 2025 at 11:25am:
TGD wrote: Note: public money in MMT is debt free money available to government for specific non-inflationary spending, not private-sector money created in private banks, money which you and I use - which must be earned or borrowed and repaid with interest.


Bobby: Rubbish - printing money causes inflation which is another form of tax -


Your error: private banks "print" money when they write loans (create deposits) for credit worthy customers, without causing inflation. 

ALL spending - private and public -  has the potential to create inflation, which requires the correct controls in either sector (public or private).   

You are captured the mainstream "loanable funds" theory - which Steve Keen debunks in his video re hedge fund manager Ray Dalio's (correct) views on credit; see the previous post above.

Thus treasury can also "print" money without causing inflation, provided this 'public' money is spent on resources which are available for purchase, thus avoiding excess demand on resources - and avoiding inflation.

I think you are concerned by ANY inflation, including even central banks' preferred 2-3% range for inflation, but you forget your savings are also earning interest which will maintain the value (spending power over time) of your bank savings (bank interest rates usually co-relate to the inflation rate).






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Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1187 - Aug 20th, 2025 at 12:03pm
 
TGD,
Quote:
the correct controls in either sector (public or private).


They are not working.
Inflation is much higher than what the statistics show. e.g.
In one suburb close to mine, unit and apartment prices went up 27% in one year. 

Electricity prices went up so much that the Govt helped
us out by paying a lot of bills for us.
What money did they use? - borrowed money.  Roll Eyes

MMT is all based on funny money , fake economics.
It is what put us into $1 trillion of debt and the Yanks into $37 trillion of debt:

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/us-debt-tops-37-trillion-big-beautiful-bill-...
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Daves2017
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1188 - Aug 20th, 2025 at 1:09pm
 
So far I have a net loss of $3.57 from my bitcoin account.

I’m very disappointed.☹️

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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1189 - Aug 20th, 2025 at 1:36pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 20th, 2025 at 12:03pm:
TGD wrote
the correct controls in either sector (public or private)

They are not working.

Inflation is much higher than what the statistics show. e.g.
In one suburb close to mine, unit and apartment prices went up 27% in one year.
 

Note: you are referring to price rises in specific sectors, whereas the important inflation figure for the whole (macro) economy is measured by institutions including the central bank.

Of course we have a housing crisis in Oz, and the specific prices rises you mention are a symptom of that crisis; but inflation has come down from a post covid high of c.8%, to around 2.5% in the last quarter.

People not in the market for apartments aren't concerned by a 27% increase in apartment prices;they are concerned with the overall CPI.

Whereas they ARE concerned by the massive increase in grocery prices during the post covid high-inflation episode - which  have not been ameliorated by a corresponding increase in wages, hence the current concern re falling productivity and living standards in Oz - and Chalmers' current 'productivity' talk-fest now in progress. 


Quote:
Electricity prices went up so much that the Govt helped
us out by paying a lot of bills for us.
What money did they use? - borrowed money.  Roll Eyes


Correct, money borrowed from rich people and banks who bought government bonds. This site is about public money which doesn't have to be borrowed from the private sector.

The reason why the concept of public money hasn't been accepted by the mainstream is the failure of some MMT lecturers to identify public sector (non-market) inflation control  tools**,  while relying on non-government ('invisible hand') free market)  inflation control tools, namely, monetary policy determined by the central bank independently of government acting for the public sector.

**eg central planning including price controls and non-market allocation of resources where desirable to achieve desired public outcomes (...eg, subcontracting the building industry - an idea you rejected because it's "Marxism" - who cares so long as it ends the Oz housing crisis and  stabilizes house prices?).   

Quote:
MMT is all based on funny money , fake economics.


As noted previously, ALL money is "funny money" in that it is created out of thin air......magic, no?....

Quote:
It is what put us into $1 trillion of debt and the Yanks into $37 trillion of debt:


Your error: that debt can be paid back by "printing money" (the bond holders won't go out and spend that money all at once any more than they would at completion of the bond's term), or letting the increasing debt stand forever; note that the US economy is the fastest-growing G7 economy despite its massive debt.

The problem is wealth distribution, not governement debt which represents money which has not been taxed back by the government, and has thus remained in the private sector's savings accounts.

Hence the MMT maxim: "The government's debt is the private sector's savings". 

Quote:
-big-beautiful-bill-allows-rise-trillions-higher-debt[/url]


Not a problem, provided the US economy remains productive and avoids inflation, as at presen (like Oz, US inflation is back to the 2-3% range). The real looming problem for the US is likely to be rising costs due to Trumps' tariffs - which is causing Jerome Powell's hestitancy re cutting interest rates further, making him Trump's 'public enemy no 1.'.   
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Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1190 - Aug 20th, 2025 at 2:14pm
 
Dear TGD,
you seem to be an apologist for the reckless monetary policies of Western Govts
including Australia and the USA.

Did you know that the US Gold holdings are not even $1 trillion? -
yet their debt is $37 trillion.



Google AI -

The United States holds a substantial amount of gold, primarily at Fort Knox, with the official valuation of these reserves currently at around $11 billion. However, this valuation is based on an outdated figure of $42.22 per ounce, established in 1973. At current market prices,
the value of these reserves could be closer to $750 billion to $800 billion.
This discrepancy highlights a significant accounting difference between the official valuation and the actual market value of the US gold holdings.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1191 - Aug 21st, 2025 at 11:06am
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 20th, 2025 at 2:14pm:
Dear TGD,
you seem to be an apologist for the reckless monetary policies of Western Govts
including Australia and the USA.


Not apologising for anything, I'm promoting 'public money for public good'.

Otoh, YOU are an apologist for delusional Neoclassical economics.

Quote:
Did you know that the US Gold holdings are not even $1 trillion? -
yet their debt is $37 trillion.


You can't eat gold; and as I said, the US is not financially constrained, because it issues its own currency. There are of course non-financial constraints on the US government (eg, real resource availability, need for sensible planning to avoid inflation and maintain productive capacity etc)

Quote:
Google AI -

The United States holds a substantial amount of gold, primarily at Fort Knox, with the official valuation of these reserves currently at around $11 billion. However, this valuation is based on an outdated figure of $42.22 per ounce, established in 1973. At current market prices,
the value of these reserves could be closer to $750 billion to $800 billion.
This discrepancy highlights a significant accounting difference between the official valuation and the actual market value of the US gold holdings.


You are obsessed by gold (because you think the US government is financially constrained) ; I'm promoting public money for public good.

...to end poverty and homelessness existing alongside billionaires.

We need a self-financing public sector, alongside a self-financing private sector (only the latter exists at present). 

We can have it, because MMT has revealed what money is and how it is created, ie, ' out of thin air'.

Naturally you - being blinded by Neoclassical orthodoxy -  were unable to carry on the debate re debt-free, treasury-issued money (public money), and how to avoid inflation,  so you bailed out saying I'm an apologist for "wreckless monetary policies".

Yet mainstream economics is failing people everywhere as they experience cost of living and housing crises  (except the billionaires), as governments are forced to pay back debt (with interest) to rich bondholders....so much for "wreckless monetary policies".
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Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1192 - Aug 21st, 2025 at 11:23am
 
Dear TGD,
you live in a dream world.

US debt is growing by $1 trillion every 100 days -
that's more than all of their Gold holdings every 100 days -
and will soon change to 70 days and go lower..
It will not end well yet you promote their reckless MMT policies for Australia too.

forgiven

namaste





The US could end in a hyperinflationary spiral.

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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1193 - Aug 23rd, 2025 at 2:16pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 21st, 2025 at 11:23am:
Dear TGD,
you live in a dream world.


That's not addressing the argument, rather an admission you can't address the issues.

Meanwhile Trump is saying "we will send in the national guard and clean up our once great city of San Francisco which has been ruined by the Democrats".

He's indeed dreamin' - he's forgetting he will have to build decent housing for the homeless and guarantee employment for all if he wants to eradicate poverty and crime in  San Francisco.

Interestingly, CA - home of the 'Magnifcent 7 US tech companies - has so much private wealth, it could easily do just that with CA's billionaires not even noticing a reduction in their wealth...

Quote:
US debt is growing by $1 trillion every 100 days -


Doesn't matter, as already addressed - which you are too ignorant to debate...

Quote:
that's more than all of their Gold holdings every 100 days -
and will soon change to 70 days and go lower.


The gold standard was abandoned by Nixon, do try to keep up.

Gold's value is now little more than a ponzi, like crypto (though gold does look pretty),  the result of people not understanding fiat currency, how it is created,  and how governments can ensure fiat's value as a means of exchange.

Quote:
It will not end well yet you promote their reckless MMT policies for Australia too.

forgiven

namaste


Your ignorance and refusal to learn is NOT forgiven.

Quote:
The US could end in a hyperinflationary spiral.



That's what mainstream economists have been saying for decades - see the infamous 'debt-clock' near  Times Square in New York; yet decades later the US is the world's fastest growing  G7 economy  (though fighting like hell to contain China's rise), while other nation's are forced to 'balance their budgets' as demanded by mainstream Neoclassical ideologues. That's why politics is in disarray all around the world.

fyi: 

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/triggering-crises-by-reducing-government

Triggering Crises by Reducing Government Debt. Chapter 05 of Money and Macroeconomics from First Principles, for Elon Musk and Other Engineers
What Musk thinks will revive the economy is more likely to trigger a serious recession.

Steve Keen
Mar 15, 2025

(first paragraph)

The beliefs that the State faces a fiscal crisis if its debt gets too high, and that it is prudent for the government to reduce its debt by running surpluses rather than deficits, have existed since the dawn of the Republic. The empirical record of such attempts is definitive, and runs contrary to the expectations of governments at those times. A serious crisis, triggered by a private debt bubble and crash, has followed every sustained attempt to reduce government debt. This can be seen by comparing data on government and private debt back to 1834.

There's the statistical reality re government debt.

Be warned.   


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Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1194 - Aug 23rd, 2025 at 3:06pm
 
Dear TGD,
it could all end in a hyperinflationary spiral -
just look at the Weimar republic in Germany and check out Zimbabwe.


Zimbabwe - you needed one of these to buy a loaf of bread:

...
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1195 - Aug 23rd, 2025 at 3:31pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 23rd, 2025 at 3:06pm:
Dear TGD,
it could all end in a hyperinflationary spiral -
just look at the Weimar republic in Germany and check out Zimbabwe.


Zimbabwe - you needed one of these to buy a loaf of bread:

https://m3.gab.com/media_attachments/9d/be/ca/9dbeca9081e22f14e6779d5a650f4413.j...


Caused by Zimbabwe confiscating farms of (white) farmers who knew how to grow food; and govt. printing money in a vain attempt to enable the population to purchase the now less available and more expensive food.

The Zimbabwe hyper-inflation is only one of many infamous hyper-inflationary episodes in history, each with its own specific causes.

More relevant to this discussion is the fact that US (and Oz) inflation has returned to the 'preferred' 2-3% range (after the covid-induced  inflation spike), and yet US debt is still soaring.

Care to explain that?

   

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Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1196 - Aug 23rd, 2025 at 4:00pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 23rd, 2025 at 3:31pm:
Caused by Zimbabwe confiscating farms of (white) farmers who knew how to grow food; and govt. printing money in a vain attempt to enable the population to purchase the now less available and more expensive food.

The Zimbabwe hyper-inflation is only one of many infamous hyper-inflationary episodes in history, each with its own specific causes.

More relevant to this discussion is the fact that US (and Oz) inflation has returned to the 'preferred' 2-3% range (after the covid-induced  inflation spike), and yet US debt is still soaring.

Care to explain that?    




The Govt. in Zimbabwe ran out of money so in order to
pay their public servants and all their other bills they kept printing money.
Does that sound familiar?

The US and Australia any most other western countries have got on lid on it for now
but it could easily get out of control -
just like Zimbabwe.
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Daves2017
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1197 - Aug 23rd, 2025 at 10:41pm
 
I just put another $100 into bitcoin and my balance is now 195..58.

Given coinspot outrageous fees of $1 a transaction I calculated even losses are better then what my balance in super is losing with fees in the thousands.


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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1198 - Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:07am
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 23rd, 2025 at 4:00pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 23rd, 2025 at 3:31pm:
Caused by Zimbabwe confiscating farms of (white) farmers who knew how to grow food; and govt. printing money in a vain attempt to enable the population to purchase the now less available and more expensive food.

The Zimbabwe hyper-inflation is only one of many infamous hyper-inflationary episodes in history, each with its own specific causes.

More relevant to this discussion is the fact that US (and Oz) inflation has returned to the 'preferred' 2-3% range (after the covid-induced  inflation spike), and yet US debt is still soaring.

Care to explain that?    




The Govt. in Zimbabwe ran out of money so in order to
pay their public servants and all their other bills they kept printing money.


Incorrect.

https://river.com/learn/history-of-monetary-collapse-in-zimbabwe/#:~:text=In%202...

Monetary Policy in Zimbabwe Between 1991 - 2008
The causes of Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation crisis were several instances of policy mismanagement by Zimbabwe’s president Robert Mugabe and his government.


In the early 1990’s, the president instituted a series of economic reforms that proved disastrous. Poorly structured land reforms caused a sharp decline in food production, which raised food prices even as the banking sector collapsed due to economic sanctions imposed by the U.S., European Union, and the IMF. In 2000, the Zimbabwe government seized land from white farm owners and redistributed it to black farmers. However, many of the new owners lacked the experience and resources to maintain farm productivity. This led to a sharp decline in agricultural output.

The banking sector’s inability to mobilize funds for investments and loans was partly due to political looting by societal elites and government officials. Banks were also unwilling to loan money because of the increased risk due to political and monetary uncertainty. As a result, capital development and economic output sharply declined, and employment peaked at 80% during the inflation crisis.

In addition, the Zimbabwe government printed vast sums of new currency in order to finance military action in the Democratic Republic of the Congo[u], as well as import enough food to reduce the risk of nationwide starvation. The gambit to ramp up food imports turned out to be another catalyst for hyperinflation as Zimbabwe found itself in greater debt—denominated in foreign currency**. On top of this, no attempt was made by the Mugabe regime to curtail other forms of government spending.


**violating a key principle in MMT, ie, don't borrow in other nation's currencies.

So your statement above ignores the role of the collapse in Zimbabwe's food production for hyperinflation. 

We know that government debt per se doesn't cause inflation - see the US and Oz since the covid inflation spike; both nations now have increased debt but with falling inflation.

Quote:
Does that sound familiar?


Your question is based on a false premise (ie, your belief govts. must reduce debt, directly contradicted by the evidence examined by Keen, linked previously).

Quote:
The US and Australia any most other western countries have got on lid on it for nowbut it could easily get out of control -just like Zimbabwe.


Speculation not supported by the evidence. Good government management of resources is the key to avoiding inflation; debt per se is immaterial for a currency-issuer.   
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« Last Edit: Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:22am by thegreatdivide »  
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1199 - Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:20am
 
Daves2017 wrote on Aug 23rd, 2025 at 10:41pm:
I just put another $100 into bitcoin and my balance is now 195..58.


Yes, until someone  with a large holding  decides to take profits and sell bitcoin.

Quote:
Given coinspot outrageous fees of $1 a transaction I calculated even losses are better then what my balance in super is losing with fees in the thousands.


?

Last year super funds grew by  10%:

(google)

For example, as of June 2025, the median Growth fund returned 10.5%, while more conservative options may have delivered around 6.68% in the same period.

What fees are you paying?

The important thing is the value of the currency (Oz dollars) in your super funds is related to the value of Oz's productive capacity and resulting output; whereas the value of bitcoin is related to .......you tell us.....




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« Last Edit: Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:26am by thegreatdivide »  
 
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