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General Discussion >> General Board >> Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1645944963 Message started by thegreatdivide on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:56pm |
Title: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:56pm
A timely discussion of how the economy works in China, the reasons for the West's demonization of China, and the status of MMT in China.
https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5jYXB0aXZhdGUuZm0vbWFjcm9uY2hlZXNlLw/episode/ZTIzYjJmNDgtYmYzNS00NDRiLTlhOWEtOGJiMWYyZWY4YjNm?hl=en-AU&ved=2ahUKEwiqz7iAop_2AhWb7XMBHbn8BYMQieUEegQINhAL&ep=6 Examining China with an MMT Lens with Yan Liang "Macro and Cheese explores the progressive movement through the lens of Modern Monetary Theory, with hot and irreverent political takes, spotlights in activism, and the razor sharp musings of Real Progressives Founder and host Steve Grumbine". "This week’s episode is another chapter in our mission to educate ourselves about modern China. Yan Liang specializes in Modern Money Theory, international trade and finance, and economic development, with a special regional focus on China. She is also the wife of friend-of-the-podcast Eric Tymoigne". "Steve and Yan discuss the truth and misconceptions about the ongoing competition between the US and China. It has created winners and losers, with the working class in both countries affected by globalization. Trade war is class war." (Spurts of aggressive punk music cease after c.1 mim.) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Jim Lahey on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:58pm
`The Great Firewall (GFW; simplified Chinese: 防火长城; traditional Chinese: 防火長城; pinyin: Fánghuǒ Chángchéng) is the combination of legislative actions and technologies enforced by the People's Republic of China to regulate the Internet domestically. Its role in internet censorship in China is to block access to selected foreign websites and to slow down cross-border internet traffic.[1] The effect includes: limiting access to foreign information sources, blocking foreign internet tools (e.g. Google Search,[2] Facebook,[3] Twitter,[4] Wikipedia,[5][6] and others) and mobile apps, and requiring foreign companies to adapt to domestic regulations.[7][8]
Besides censorship, the GFW has also influenced the development of China's internal internet economy by nurturing domestic companies[9] and reducing the effectiveness of products from foreign internet companies.[10] The techniques deployed by the Chinese government to maintain control of the Great Firewall can include modifying search results for terms, such as they did following Ai Weiwei’s arrest, and petitioning global conglomerates to remove content, as happened when they petitioned Apple to remove the Quartz business news publication’s app from its Chinese App Store after reporting on the 2019–2020 Hong Kong protests.[11][12] The Great Firewall was formerly operated by the SIIO, as part of the Golden Shield Project. Since 2013, the firewall is technically operated by the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC), which is the entity in charge of translating the Chinese Communist Party's doctrine and policy into technical specifications.[13] As mentioned in the "one country, two systems" principle, China's special administrative regions (SARs) such as Hong Kong and Macau are not affected by the firewall, as SARs have their own governmental and legal systems and therefore enjoy a higher degree of autonomy. Nevertheless, the U.S. State Department has reported that the central government authorities have closely monitored Internet use in these regions,[14] and Hong Kong's National Security Law has been used to block websites documenting anti-government protests.[15] The term Great Firewall of China is a combination of the word firewall with the Great Wall of China, and was first used by Australian Sinologist Geremie Barmé in 1997.[16][17] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Jim Lahey on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:58pm
Hello Shill.
Do your censors let you read that? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Ye Grappler on Feb 27th, 2022 at 5:38pm
The Sum Of The Freeze Is Equal To The Removal Of The Balls Of The Russian Interloper.
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:24pm
The founder of Real Progressives, who hosted the pod-cast in the OP, is one Steve Grumbine, whose journey from Conservative Reagan disciple to MMT convert is informative, especially his own experience of "pulling yourself up by the bootstraps", as per Conservative dogma:
https://realprogressives.org/our-founder-steven-d-grumbine/ "In 2009, despite his many years within the company, Steve was laid off due to the global financial crisis. Steve, with all his advanced professional education and experience, found himself unemployed for 18 months, and no amount of bootstrap pulling could lift him out". "He experienced firsthand the struggles of no longer having secure employment with benefits, while at the same time dealing with a costly divorce, massive child support, and lapsing ability to make mortgage payments". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by JaSin. on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:26pm
Black is the colour of Money.
The Black Market is the oldest in history. Takes a Black Man to run an Economy for a billion little Yellow people. :D |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 1st, 2022 at 8:12am Jasin wrote on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:26pm:
Money is the oldest delusion in the world; it is always created out of nothing, yet people still think it's a commodity. Quote:
Geopolitical forces manipulated by self-interest have always pulled the purse strings. But the money delusion's days are numbered. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 1st, 2022 at 4:00pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 8:12am:
Complete garbaga, again. Money is a symbol of value. You could carry physical objects with you to exchange them for other physical objects but it would be cumbersome in the extreme. It is easier and better to have a unit of measure for the value of various objects and services and exchange that measure (money). By your idiotic reckoning other measures - metre, hectare, ton, etc - are delusions because they are also ultimately random measures of real thing, length, adea, weight etc |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 1st, 2022 at 5:02pm Frank wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 4:00pm:
Correct, but yet, crucially, money is created out of nothing, so exactly what 'value' (in the quantitative sense) does it have? Quote:
Of course, where did I say otherwise? But you are now straying into the question of "what determines 'value'"? Quote:
They are not random measures, because they are defined, whereas any attempt to define the 'value' of money is impossible because such value would need to be be defined in terms of itself, being created out of thin air whereas hectares, tons, metres are not created, they are defined. And neither are commodities eg, gold, created out of thin air. But the 'value' of gold measured in money, - or vice versa - is not fixed Interestingly, anthropologists agree money is primarily a means to establish state sovereignty; its use as a medium of exchange is incidental to the state's issuance of money to establish state sovereignty over its own citizens. For example, the Roman empire initiated the first use of money in Britain; the much simpler economy of the illiterate natives had no need of money because the tribes governed themselves according to defined roles for everyone, not requiring state governance. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Heartless Felon on Mar 1st, 2022 at 5:13pm
Until the middle of the 19th century, privately owned banks in Great Britain and Ireland were free to issue their own banknotes. Paper currency issued by a wide range of provincial and town banking companies in England, Wales, Scotland and Ireland circulated freely as a means of payment. - Wiki
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by JaSin. on Mar 1st, 2022 at 6:44pm
GD is right, but so is Frank.
Digital money is now created out of nothing. ...and when Cyber War starts - everyone's money that is in that 'invisible' world, will indeed, dissapear... like a cashless society that it is. Far cheaper to be mugged in an alleyway, than it is online. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 2nd, 2022 at 5:49pm
Interesting post from Australia's leading MMT economist prof. Bill Mitchell.
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=49327 The IMF shows us that the central bank monetary financing taboo has no substance Note: Mitchell observes that the IMF seems to acknowledge the 'taboo' of the CB creating money as such, but the final two sentences reveal the conventional paranoia: "Which means that all the hype that surrounds the ‘taboo’ about the private sector fearing inflation if the government acts in this way is based on nothing substantive. "But that doesn’t stop the IMF falling back into lockstep with the fiction (that CB money creation will cause inflation) when they conclude that “departures from central bank independence can be very dangerous … [and have] … devastating effects on economies and livelihoods”. So fear will force endless austerity on the population, austerity which negatively affects the poor the most, as governments attempt to pay back covid debt and rein in inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:17pm
Note a pernicious thesis of classical economics:
unlimited desires in the face of limited resources. But socialism suggests satisfying basic needs is possible, ie choices re allocation of resources can be made. Unemployment and homelessness are government choices, not some natural economic law. Mainstream economics considers money to be a scarce commodity, it is not; whereas some resources may be in short supply at certain times, money need never be in short supply for currency-issuing governments. The mainstream quantity theory of money is false, more money in the economy will cause inflation only if resource supply is constrained. More money in the economy will create economic growth, not inflation, if available resources and productive capacity can absorb the extra spending. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:56pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:17pm:
Dear God you're full of nothing but googled shyte! MMT was incorporated by Keynesian economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 7th, 2022 at 2:05pm Frank wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 4:00pm:
It's Bwian googling his way into irrelevance. I knew I'd seen his googled stuff before. "The post-Keynesian economist Thomas Palley said that MMT is largely a restatement of elementary Keynesian economics, but prone to "over-simplistic analysis" and understating the risks of its policy implications." It's just simplistic BS. So of course it blends in well with the multi troll Notsogreat who has spent weeks on here copying and pasting slabs of an online website re MMT. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2022 at 3:39pm Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:56pm:
Keynes, in a letter to fellow economist James Meade written in April 1943, said of Lerner, “His argument is impeccable. But heaven help anyone who tries to put it across”. Abba Lerner espoused 'functional finance' which was a forerunner of MMT, so in fact both Keynes and MMT are related to Lerner's 'functional finance' ideas. But yes.....I can see what Keynes was getting at; money-is-a-scarce-commodity flat-earthers like yourself will always be difficult to enlighten. As mentioned at the start of this Guardian article: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/18/truth-money-iou-bank-of-england-austerity "Back in the 1930s, Henry Ford is supposed to have remarked that it was a good thing that most Americans didn't know how banking really works, because if they did, "there'd be a revolution before tomorrow morning". That was during the GD of course, when unemployment was being prolonged unnecessarily by the Fed's monetary policies. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2022 at 3:56pm Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 2:05pm:
Palley himself here is guilty of "over simplistic analysis" of MMT, and overstating "the risks of its policy implications". A debater needs to specify the points being critiqued, obviously. And as for mainstream attacks on MMT, economist James Galbraith sums it up brilliantly: https://www.jordantimes.com/opinion/james-k-galbraith/whos-afraid-mmt "Who's afraid of MMT?" As anyone who has ever been responsible for legislative oversight of central bankers knows, they do not like to have their authority challenged. Most of all, they will defend their mystique, that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon. As a result, tormenting central bankers is great fun. John Maynard Keynes famously tormented Montagu Norman, Governor of the Bank of England (BOE) from 1920 to 1944. Wright Patman and Henry Reuss, two US congressmen who chaired the House Banking Committee in the 1970s, did the same to Federal Reserve Chair Arthur Burns. I know that Reuss enjoyed it; I assisted him at the time. In our day, the voices of Modern Monetary Theory perturb the sleep not only of present central bankers, but even of those retired from the role. They prowl the corridors like Lady Macbeth, shouting “Out damn spot!” Hence we have Lisa, playing the role of Lady Macbeth, with her following remarks: Quote:
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Ayn Marx on Mar 7th, 2022 at 4:51pm
" - - - slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon.”
The banking industry can be accused of that but to assume any branch of the much wider network of game players involved in currency/shares/bonds etc is honest or in full control of today’s market procedures is no more than wishful thinking. Instance. Automated digital share trading, hybridised with a mongrel mix of totally opaque bitcoin trading is now beyond control of any single govt or financial institution. On the other hand some say it’s an improvement not having the lunatics run the asylum but who is ? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by issuevoter on Mar 7th, 2022 at 5:32pm
"the West's demonisation of China" There, right at the git-go, you know the opinions are going to be propaganda. It's got nothing to do with MMT. It is about making the policies of the Chinese police state seem benign. Never mind an autocratic, secretive, extra-judiciary government whose number one purpose is to its own perpetuation. Never mind censorship, copyrights, and dumping. And don't mention the bogus claim that the above named government has some "right" to take Taiwan by force, because it happened to on the mainland.
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 7th, 2022 at 8:44pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 3:56pm:
Says who? You? A notorious multi troll who only knows how to Google? Pffft! Next! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 7th, 2022 at 8:52pm Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 2:05pm:
Please look up the googled links provided by Notsogreat. They actually support my post. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2022 at 11:13am Ayn Marx wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 4:51pm:
Good points, you are referring to the financialization of capitalism which according to Michael Hudson will lead to the collapse of the US by mid century, as China's rise based on its real economy (infrastructure, industrial automation and AI) out-competes the US FIRE-based economy (finance, insurance, real-estate). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7XvWoBhd7X4 As for Bitcoin: it is the ultimate expression of anti-government - 'individual-sovereignty' money, a 'fiat' currency based on......faith alone (in fact a ponzi scheme) . Whereas the value of sovereign national fiat- currencies is based on the nation's productive capacity (of real goods and services). Interestingly Bitcoin can serve as an international currency (among those who have faith in it...) thereby by-passing national fiat currencies. But governments are now in the process of regulating it, and are creating their own regulated digital currencies. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2022 at 11:48am issuevoter wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 5:32pm:
You didn't listen to the podast. The main purpose of the podcast (a presentation by Progressive Economics) was to examine MMT and its reception in the world; the references to China near the end of the podcast were merely a consequence of Steve Grumbine asking whether MMT is acknowledged in China (turns out the debate is raging there, as in the West). The podcast had nothing to do with "opinions" about MMT but about the facts of MMT. As for the reference to China: your ideological rant objecting to a reference to the West's containment of China being propaganda, is itself propaganda because of course the US containment of China is real; Biden has left no doubt: " China will not surpass the US on my watch", and he is throwing every anti-competitive tool at China that he can. It's gonna get ugly. Perhaps the OP's podcast - with its reference to China -was too wide ranging as a first post about about MMT, it caught my attention because I am interested to know if and how MMT is received in China. [One might think MMT would find more fertile ground in China, because MMT envisions a degree of direct government involvement in money creation, rather than money creation via a wholly private sector-led economy]. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2022 at 11:57am Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 8:52pm:
Care to explain how? Quote:
You still haven't outlined Palley's argument. So far you all you have given us (as "professional" opinion) is: "Palley says MMT is simplistic - case closed". That's not debate, dear Lisa. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2022 at 1:51pm
For anyone in Tassie who wants to learn more about MMT:
https://www.facebook.com/events/4873066192776250 APR 2 AT 9 AM – APR 3 AT 5 PM UTC+10:30 Rethinking Capitalism | Hobart Weekend Intensive University of Tasmania - Sandy Bay campus |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 9th, 2022 at 9:33pm
Why do people fear the sovereign currency issuer creating and spending its own money, alongside money creation in private banks (or the central bank acting on behalf of the private banks)?
1. Might reduce the value of their own savings? - not true, provided the money is spent only on what is available for sale. 2. Might inhibit the ability of the super rich to consume as they might desire, because the poor would have higher living standards under MMT and would therefore command a larger share of the nation's output? - who cares, we don't need rich fools flogging joy rides in space. Certainly the Left with their blind rejection of MMT are shooting themselves in the foot. eg Albo today (having learnt that you can't win elections by promising to increase taxes) saying he "wont start a revolution, just a renewal". Meaningless twaddle. Because as soon as he promises some extra spending, the Right says, "how are you going to pay for it?" |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 11th, 2022 at 2:20pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 16th, 2022 at 9:29pm
Sad evidence of Australia's declining per capita GDP, which began after the GFC, amid widening inequality:
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?locations=AU The graph shows Oz per capita GDP peaked in 2013. Actually the only countries I have found with continually rising per capita GDP since the GFC are the US and China; Japan has flat-lined since it's property bubble burst in 1990, and most other countries have flat-lined or gone backwards since the GFC. The government can no longer afford to decently maintain (and increase) the social housing stock, or fund age-care packages, or the NDIS. The pundits are saying rising Commonwealth debt (and interest payment on debt) will require higher taxes and/or lower spending in the future. Doesn't stack up. Of course the currency-issuing government should not be borrowing from (or taxing) private lenders in the first place. Wonder how long it will take for everyone to wake up? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 17th, 2022 at 11:05am
MMT progress in the US:
(copied from twitter) Austerity is Murder🌹#MMT🧨 @sdgrumbine #MMT Founder @RealProgressUS @RP_In_Action Host of @Cheesemacro and The Rogue Scholar http://patreon.com/realprogressivesrealprogressives.org 6,617 Following 8,339 Followers Jan 31, 2020 Some basics. The US Dollar is a tax credit. It is a unit of measure. You can't run out of inches You can't run out of numbers The government can't run out of dollars... unless it purposely, politically chooses to. https://statuscoup.com/congress-has-plenty-of-money-to-protect-ukrainians-but-not-americans-from-covid/ President Biden announced Wednesday that the U.S. will provide war-torn Ukraine an additional $800 million in security assistance, spiking the total to $1 billion over the last week. The money will provide more weapons including Javelin anti-tank and Stinger anti-aircraft missiles. The additional $1 billion comes after Biden just signed a new spending bill into law which provided Ukraine $13.6 billion. Yet, President Biden announced the administration was running out of money to test, treat, and vaccinate people without health insurance. According to NPR, Congress declined to add to $22.5 billion in funding for additional COVID testing and vaccination, due to pushback from Republicans and some House Democrats who argued that the new COVID spending would take away separate funding that was promised to at least 30 states but hadn’t been spent yet". From the NYT: Uncertainty for Biden’s Covid Plan After Aid Is Dropped From Spending Bill The $15.6 billion emergency aid package was stripped amid disputes over how to pay for it, injecting uncertainty into the president’s pandemic response plan. Yes...austerity (due to the false narrative of a currency-issuing government having "no money") is literally murder... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 31st, 2022 at 1:12pm
One economist's objections to MMT:
For example (this is also another one of my criticisms of MMT), MMT theorists have no idea about how other nations might react to an Australian Government pursuing macroeconomic policy in-line with MMT. Australia is a small, open economy that has a large portion of its economy reliant on international trade and international financial markets (our dollar being on the foreign exchange and our bonds being available for purchase in international bond markets). If other nations that were more economically conservative (or even just hedge funds and investment banks that trade our dollar) were to catch wind of Australia’s new macroeconomic policy direction and had concerns about Australia’s dollar devaluing, it might cause a speculative frenzy which could crush our currency and subsequently our economy. It almost ends up being a Game Theory type situation between countries. If one were to pursue these policies, they don’t know if they will be punished or not by other countries and financial markets. The payoff being large but the consequences also being large. If you think of it from this perspective, it makes sense that policy makers play it safe and don’t pursue MMT macroeconomic policies as they don’t want to risk pushing the nation to the brink from a speculative frenzy on our currency and a refusal to buy our bonds. It might be the case that governments talk a big game about a ‘balanced budget’ but then pursue MMT in secret. However, this would still be subject to significant risk if other countries were to catch on". Note the highlighted: better utilization of the nation's resources, including permanent real full-employment, would not "devalue" the currency, but increase its value, because of the nation's higher and more stable output. Admittedly there are global implications re resource mobilization and poverty eradication , so MMT will ultimately be part of achieving a better world, described here: "We are individuals, driven by unconscious survival instincts common to all of us. But to survive on a finite planet, we need to consciously aim for universal sustainable prosperity -which can only be achieved by global governance dedicated to achieving that goal. Otherwise individuals will always form into groups dedicated to their own self-interest (driven by unconscious survival instincts. So we need: 1. The criminalization of war via an ICJ backed by a UNSC minus the veto, dedicated to upholding the principles of the UNUDHR. (otherwise someone will always find a reason to go to war eg Putin in Ukraine, and Bush in Iraq. 2. The globalization of MMT, so that elimination of poverty is based on mobilization of resources, not money. As for being "environmentally responsible" - some are, some aren't, so it's important that those who are, are the same ones in charge of environmental sustainability" |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 31st, 2022 at 2:06pm
Why does government put taxes on things?
To raise money for government to spend. But why bother raising money through taxation when government can just print and spend whaever money it wants? Print some more and give it to people to spend. MMT = Magic Money Tree. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:16pm
Modern Monetary Theory relies upon the theft of peoples savings
from printing money and causing inflation in order that Govts. can come up with ways of spending money which they don't have to have taxation to pay for. It's a Ponzi scheme that will eventually go bust as money becomes almost worthless. Look at the Weimar Republic in Germany and Zimbabwe for proof of that. In both you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Sir lastnail on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:21pm Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:16pm:
It's worse how they replace physical precious metals with paper derivatives and trade them to keep the price artificially low. Even worse is the way our super funds refuse to invest in physical precious metals but will buy shares in precious metals companies along with shares in banks who produce nothing and trade in worthless FIAT currencies. That is who we are forced to invest in, in this country. Little wonder that Russia, China and India etc are going to kick our arse :( |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:25pm Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:21pm:
That's right Nail, I asked Aussie Super about 20 years ago - if they could put all my Super into physical gold and they had no option to do that and none foreseeable in the future. They insisted that it was either in the bank or on shares. It has cost me a lot of money from their bad policies. I'm convinced they didn't like it because they couldn't see a way of getting annual fees from me. They wanted their slice of the action so it wasn't about my financial future but their own greed. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Sir lastnail on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:25pm:
No they see Gold and Silver as a direct competitor to their worthless FIAT currency so they make the lame excuse that physical metals are not a growth vehicle but we know different. Little wonder China, Russia and India are going to kick our arses with their gold back currencies :( ![]() |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:36pm Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm:
Thanks Nail, your chart shows it well. Aussie Super cost us all a lot of money with their halfwit advice. A monkey could have made better decisions. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Sir lastnail on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:41pm Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:36pm:
Instead they take money from small business contributions to super and force small business to indirectly support huge business who contribute nothing to these small businesses. What a scam :( |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:43pm Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:41pm:
Hi Nail, it shows you what happens when other people get their hands on your money. They lose it and give plenty to themselves. It's legal theft. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Sir lastnail on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:45pm Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:43pm:
yes they forcibly take money from small aussie businesses and hand it over to the likes of harvey norman and jbhifi by buying shares in their companies who just buy container loads of junk from china :( |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by freediver on Mar 31st, 2022 at 6:10pm
TGD believes that the government can print food to provide a wage guarantee, food, housing, and a bunch of other stuff, without causing inflation. And a lot of other things the CCP wants him to believe.
He has latched onto MMT in a desperate effort to give credibility to his crazy ideas. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:12pm Frank wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 2:06pm:
That's the current system foisted onto an unknowing electorate, by greedy private financiers. Fact: currency-issuing governments don't NEED to tax or borrow in order to spend; the constraint for such governments is available resources, not money. [url]http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/ [/url] Quote:
Addressed above, the limit for government is resources, not money. Quote:
Indeed money is always created out of thin air - it's magic! ....whether created by banksters, or central banks creating "borrowed" money. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v14iP_qnlgU |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:13pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:12pm:
Indeed money is always created out of thin air - it's magic! ....whether created by banksters, or central banks creating "borrowed" money. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v14iP_qnlgU |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:21pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:13pm:
Complete and utter BS. When you barter you give something in exchange. Money replaces that something by giving it an agreed VALUE. Nothing has no value so money MUST have value, it cannot be thin air. Don't be an idiot. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:21pm Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:21pm:
Fiat currencies - unlike Bitcoin - are not worthless because they are backed by the nation's productivity. The gold standard was abandoned because nations could not hold sufficient gold to enable orderly international trade. Quote:
Investment is tricky at any time, you can't blame the fiat currency system for that. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:34pm Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:21pm:
You didn't read and learn from Mosler's explanation of how fiat currencies work. Quote:
But the barter system disappeared centuries ago - except perhaps when nations lack sufficient foreign exchange... Quote:
"Value" determined in competitive free markets, which often produces results incompatible with 'social' values eg below-poverty wages, unemployment) , leading to what we call 'market failure'. Whereas the 'value' of education and good health is priceless. Quote:
The question is: HOW is money created? Answer: out of thin air. You walk into a bank seeking a loan. If you are "credit worthy", the bank creates - out of thin air - a deposit in your account (irrespective of the bank's customers' deposits). Quote:
It remains to be seen whether I'm an idiot for attempting to educate you. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:50pm Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm:
How is gold a growth vehicle, other than by price inflation? Quote:
Those nations' currencies are not backed by gold, they are fiat currencies. But this article shows how old systems - like yours - die hard: https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/what-countries-are-on-the-gold-standard-today "Switzerland is one of the top countries with the largest gold reserves, and it was also the last country to eliminate its connection to the Gold Standard. In 1999, the country voted to sever ties between the country’s currency and gold, meaning the Swiss franc need not be backed by gold. However, in 2014, the country seemed poised to return to the Gold Standard under the “Save our Swiss Gold” motion. This initiative was put to the vote, and it stipulated that the Swiss National Bank’s assets should include at least 20% gold, and the SNB should be banned from selling gold or storing its gold reserves abroad. This initiative ended up being rejected. "Therefore, while Switzerland might be mentioned on the list of what countries are on the gold standard today, it no longer uses this system". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 2:02pm Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:36pm:
Indeed, but see my replies to Nail. Btw, Weimar and Zimbabwe are examples of nations subject to production losses - respectively, confiscation of Ruhr valley machinery by France after WW1, and loss of food production when unskilled black farmers took over farms confiscated from skilled white farmers. And Venezuela, loss of access to the sole source of foreign currency when the oil market collapsed, a couple of years into Chavez's rule. IOW, inflation is always a supply constraint problem; ie, provided the currency-issuing government only purchases what is available for sale in its own currency (to which it has unlimited access), then there will be no excess money chasing too few goods. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:01pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:34pm:
But the barter system disappeared centuries ago - except perhaps when nations lack sufficient foreign exchange... Quote:
"Value" determined in competitive free markets, which often produces results incompatible with 'social' values eg below-poverty wages, unemployment) , leading to what we call 'market failure'. Whereas the 'value' of education and good health is priceless. Quote:
The question is: HOW is money created? Answer: out of thin air. You walk into a bank seeking a loan. If you are "credit worthy", the bank creates - out of thin air - a deposit in your account (irrespective of the bank's customers' deposits). Quote:
It remains to be seen whether I'm an idiot for attempting to educate you. [/quote] Idiotic rubbish. Otherwise 100 Swiss Frank's is the same as 100 Zimbabwean dollars - an obvious idiocy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:16pm Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:01pm:
You still haven't read Mosler. Quote:
No it's not; the value of 100 Swiss Francs compared to Zimbabwe's currency - in foreign exchange - is determined by the productivity of the Swiss nation compared to that of Zimbabwe. Whereas the value of the Swiss Franc to the Swiss people is what it can purchase within Switzerland. Give yourself a break, and read Stephanie Kelton's 'The Deficit Myth'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 6:34pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:16pm:
So there is more than thin air behind money, it's not just the printing of it that matters, cockwomble. It IS a symbol, a medium, of something actual, like all symbols and mediums. Money, like language, symbols etc REFERS to something, stand is for something - not for thin air and nothing. Don't be so stupid. It's bad enough to be a CCP stooge. Don't be a moronic CCP stooge. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 4th, 2022 at 2:13pm Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 6:34pm:
Correct; both the creation - which is always out of nothing - and spending of money, which is constrained by availability of resources (including goods, services, labor etc) are important. Quote:
...of a nation's currency Quote:
....yes, like the 'points' which keep score in a sports competition. Where do these 'points' come from, as they are added to the score board in the course of the game? Can the game run out of them? Quote:
Though money is indeed created 'ex nihilo', after the act of its creation, it is indeed something. Now consider the birth of a new nation. Its treasury and reserve bank, plus the private banks, will have to issue its currency 'ex nihilo' in ever increasing amounts, as the nation grows. Quote:
Can you identify my error, in the above outline of how money is created? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm freediver wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 6:10pm:
Who is TGD? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Gordon on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:27pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm:
TransGender Deviots. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:30pm Gordon wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:27pm:
I get really annoyed by posters using acronyms expecting that everyone instantly knows what they mean. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 5th, 2022 at 9:14am thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 2:13pm:
....yes, like the 'points' which keep score in a sports competition. Where do these 'points' come from, as they are added to the score board in the course of the game? Can the game run out of them? Quote:
Though money is indeed created 'ex nihilo', after the act of its creation, it is indeed something. Now consider the birth of a new nation. Its treasury and reserve bank, plus the private banks, will have to issue its currency 'ex nihilo' in ever increasing amounts, as the nation grows. Quote:
Can you identify my error, in the above outline of how money is created? [/quote] You ARE amazingly stupid. You have to actually kick a goal - produce something - to have a score recorded. A game runs out of scores the moment you do not kick a goal. Only in a mental asylum would they add scores to the board without actual gospals being produced. Your new nation analogy is also very stupid as no new nation - or anything - is created ex nihilio. Your MMT idiocy is simply an economic perpetuum mobile: movement without energy input, magic money from nothing. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 5th, 2022 at 1:29pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm:
the great divide' |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 5th, 2022 at 1:50pm Frank wrote on Apr 5th, 2022 at 9:14am:
...so let's see what you didn't understand about the 'points' analogy. Quote:
Correct. But the 'point' - earned by kicking a goal - or the dollar - earned by making something - are both created 'ex nihilo' (in the case of the dollar, or yen, or whatever, in the treasury and central bank - and private banks - of the nation's currency-issuing government). Quote:
Wrong. Your error here is to identify/conflate the score with the points used to measure the score. The points available for scoring are infinite. Quote:
Correct. Quote:
Also correct (apart from being "stupid"); but you are continuing with your original mistake; ie the new nation consisting of people and resources is created by decree or conquest, whereas the new nation's currency is created 'ex nihilo'. Quote:
Refuted above. In short: Wealth = resources + labour + know how. Money is only a convenience** - created 'ex nihilo' - in this wealth creation equation. **and a method of establishing sovereignty over a nation, requiring payment of fees and fines in the government's currency. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:10am thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 5th, 2022 at 1:50pm:
Correct. [/quote] You are contradicting yourself - the score is not a measure of the goals except it is. You cannot add infinite number of points to the board if no goals are kicked. The score is the "money" that symbolises the number of times the ball was kicked in the goal in accordance to the rules of the games. You cant go down to the pitch at night by yourself and and just add scores to the board. Stupid is correct. Should the Chinese and the Russians ever think like you the world would be safe from them. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 12:14pm Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:10am:
An obvious absurdity. Repeat after me: the score of team A is MEASURED/TALLIED by 'points', which are drawn from the ether (created 'ex nihilo'). Same for team B. The goals are real, the points used to tally the goals (ie the score) are created 'ex nihilo'. Obviously a higher scoring game requires more points to be added to the score board, to measure/tally the higher number of goals. There is no limit to the points available for scoring, the limit to the number of points (numbers) actually used in the game depends on the number of goals achieved by each team. Quote:
Correct! In fact you can't add ANY points to the board if no goals are kicked!. Quote:
Incorrect. The score, measured in points to record the goals (output/product) in a sports competition, is analogous to the economic output (eg GDP) measured in money to record the 'value' of that output/product. In short, 'points' measure goals, 'money' measures economic output; both the points and the money are created 'ex nihlio'. Quote:
You can indeed measure the number of goals you scored by yourself, from a given number of kicks, tallied/compared over several nights..... Quote:
Just remember the readers of these posts are judging the quality of your argument. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 1:34pm Quote:
You are hopelessly confused. Points measure goals, money measures economic output. Neither is ex nihilio. You cannot print measures of economic output with zero reference to the actual output - which is the MMT wheeze you are agitating for is about. You imagine that you can print limitless money, give it to people - and so they can easily buy limited economic outputs and resources. Stupidly, you want to decouple the actual economic output from its measure, money. And to top up the stupidity, you insist that this would not devalue the measure (ie cause inflation), as in Zimbabwe, Weimar etc. Your logic should not oppose even counterfeit money. Why make printing money a government monopoly if it has no link to what it measures, actual economic output! And why not? Let's each of us just print all the money we need and bingo! all problems are solved! Genius magic! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 2:33pm Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
Correct....1 goal, 2 goals,3 goals,.....where are those numbers coming from, to tally the goals kicked? Quote:
Correct (let's see if you can make it three times in a row...)...1 dollar, 2 dollars, 3 dollars, to tally, eg, the 'value' of hours worked. Where did those dollars come from? Quote:
Bummer...failed at the third step.... Quote:
Correct again (it's a pity you stumbled at the 3rd step) Quote:
No, MMT points out REAL resources (inc. labour and know-how), not money, are WHAT CONCERNS US in the search for sustainable prosperity. Quote:
No of course not; however the currency-issuing government CAN purchase whatever is available for sale in the nations' currency, without taxing or borrowing from the private sector....spot the difference? Quote:
Correct again**, the currency-issuing government doesn't have to tax or borrow, as outlined above (**...what a pity about the stumble at the 3rd step!....) Quote:
No I want to measure the economic output WITH money - for convenience**...money which is created 'ex nihilo'. ** note: the ancient Britons managed an iron-age economy quite well without money, before the Romans turned up. Quote:
No, (hyper-) inflation is always a supply constraint problem (eg loss of Ruhr valley machinery confiscated by the French after WW1, and loss of food production after confiscation of white farms, to black farmers who didn't know how to farm). Quote:
Creation of money by the state and its agencies is not 'counterfeiting". Quote:
Creating money is always a legal monopoly of someone, in our system a privilege confined to private financiers. Quote:
Already answered above; the government cannot buy what is not available for purchase. OTOH, government ought to be able to purchase whatever the electorate deems is desirable, within the nation's real resource constraint (not some mythical 'debt and deficit' constraint. Quote:
Unfortunately, you will find yourself wearing an orange prison jumpsuit if you try that.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 2:56pm
You are militantly, vigorously stupid. Poor countries are poor because their governments are just not printing enough banknotes.
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:03pm Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 2:56pm:
You have given up debating, again. Pity. Quote:
No, poor countries are poor because they lack the resources to house, clothe, and feed everyone...or because the First World is stealing their resources for peanuts. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:34pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm:
I worked it out - it means the poster called - thegreatdivide I believe that money printing is dangerous. It risks causing hyper-inflation and destroying peoples savings. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:50pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:34pm:
Yes it can be, if the resources on which to spend the money are not available. Quote:
Yes, that is a risk, if the the "money printing" doesn't take account of the resource constraint. But next time you hear the mainstream banging on about 'taxpayer money' , you should know the mainstream have been deluded into thinking the government cannot create its own money. Fact is the potential for inflation - ie, demand exceeding supply - is present, whether money is created in the private or public sector, and whether it is spent in the public or private sector (as at present). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:51pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:03pm:
I have given up on you, again. You are self-contradictory, saying both that money is simply there for the printing and that it is a measure of actual economic output. If my hourly work is worth $100 dollars, printing two $100 bills and giving me both for the same one hour work doesn't make me suddenly earn double. The output of my one hour is the same but now the value of one unit of money I get for it is halved because twice as much currency is in circulation even though there is no corresponding doubled economic output. Either money IS a measure of economic goods and services PRODUCED or it is just printed at will 'ex nihilio', without reference to what is actually produced (your idiotic idea). It's futile to debate a self-contradictory fool. You have the luxury or self- indulgence to talk paradoxical crap, I am not here to indulge you, only to point out your stupidity and your lack of even rudimentary grasp of what you are parroting. The Economist: “Speaking with MMT’s adherents is sometimes like watching a football match with friends who insist the ball remains stationary while every other element in the game, including the pitch and goalposts, moves around it.” |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:59pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:50pm:
I remember back in the mid 1990s - our accountant at work was discussing our Super and how necessary it was. He said that future liabilities for providing pensions and other social security were unfunded so Super was needed and we should even salary sacrifice into it. What he didn't explain was that the only way out was to print money. Yes - pensions and social security are actually paid for by money printing. Even paying for all the gigantic army of public servants is unfunded. We are stuck in a money printing rut forever. It will never be paid off - that's a dream from politicians to gullible voters. Meantime - savings are destroyed and prices keep on going up. Houses and shares went up over 20% in the last year or two. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 4:05pm
What is money?
At root, the problems with MMT lie with its (mis)understanding of what money is, and what role money plays under capitalism. MMTers subscribe to a theory of money known as ‘chartalism’. This term was coined (no pun intended) by a German economist called Georg Friedrich Knapp, who put forward a hypothesis called ‘the state theory of money’. In short, Knapp asserted that money originates with the state and its imposition of taxes upon a people. The state, according to chartalists, creates money - and then creates a demand for this particular currency by insisting on its use as a ‘means of payment’. To truly understand the nature of money, however, we must turn to another 19th century German economist: Karl Marx. In Capital, Marx noted that “the riddle presented by money is but the riddle presented by commodities”. In other words, to understand the role of money in society, we must first understand its real origins - those of commodity production and exchange. Marx explained that money’s history is tied to the rise of the commodity: goods and services produced not for individual consumption, but for exchange. All commodities, Marx showed, have an exchange value. This is a relationship - a ratio - between commodities, expressing how much of one product would (on average) be exchanged for another. Building on the ideas of his predecessors, such as David Ricardo, Marx outlined how the value of a commodity is dependent on the labour embodied within it. This labour consists both of the ‘dead labour’ contained within the raw materials, tools, etc. required for its production, and the ‘living labour’ labour added in the production process by the worker. Marx called this total labour the ‘socially necessary labour time’: the time required for the production of a given commodity, based on the current level of technology and industry, etc. within society. With this in mind, Marx explained in his Contribution to the Critique of Political Economy how money serves several functions: As a unit of account, or measure of value. In money terms, this is represented by prices. As a medium of exchange. In this role, money breaks up the circulation of commodities into two separate acts: an act of sale (C-M, a commodity exchanged for money); and an act of purchase (M-C, money exchanged for a different commodity). As a store of value, allowing accumulated wealth to be maintained and preserved over time. And as a means of payment, allowing debts (denominated in a certain currency) to be settled and taxes to be paid. Money, therefore, plays a number of roles. Above all though, money is a representation of value: the ultimate expression of the generalisation of the law of value; the logical conclusion of the development of commodity production and exchange, which requires a universal yardstick – a standard measure – against which the value of all other commodities can be expressed. And yet chartalism (and also MMT) offers no analysis of value, or of commodity production and exchange. As a result, it misses the essence of capitalism, and of money’s role within it. Money arises historically, not by design, but as a result of the development of commodity production and exchange. It begins primarily as a ‘money commodity’, such as the precious metals, with a value of its own, but later develops to be a mere symbol of value. This is clear today, where money is predominantly not coins, but cash and credit; notes and numbers. https://www.socialist.net/marxism-vs-modern-monetary-theory.htm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 4:14pm Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:51pm:
To be exact, I'm saying money is (always) created 'ex nihilo', which is different to saying that "money is simply there for the printing". Money of course can only "be there" AFTER it has been created 'ex nihilo" . It's that simple. Quote:
That's correct, but you still are confusing the utility, or 'value' of money, with its method of creation (ex nihilo). Quote:
1. You are not the government; you must earn money, the government does not need to 'earn' money (in MMT). 2. You can only receive the specified pay for an hour's work; whereas the government can buy whatever is available for purchase, without borrowing or taxing (or "working"). Quote:
Money can never be "created at will" (even though it is created'ex nihilo') by the government (or anyone else); I think you need to understand that production occurs in both the private and public sectors and that production in the public sector can be self-funded by government; whereas private sector players must earn (or borrow) money from employers (or private financiers) respectively. Hence the difference between "taxpayer money" and "government money", which is the MMT insight. Quote:
Does the paragraph in blue explain it to you? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 6th, 2022 at 5:26pm Quote:
But due to inflation it's the same as stealing money from people with savings. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 6:05pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 4:14pm:
1. You are not the government; you must earn money, the government does not need to 'earn' money (in MMT). 2. You can only receive the specified pay for an hour's work; whereas the government can buy whatever is available for purchase, without borrowing or taxing (or "working"). Quote:
Money can never be "created at will" (even though it is created'ex nihilo') by the government (or anyone else); I think you need to understand that production occurs in both the private and public sectors and that production in the public sector can be self-funded by government; whereas private sector players must earn (or borrow) money from employers (or private financiers) respectively. Hence the difference between "taxpayer money" and "government money", which is the MMT insight. Quote:
Does the paragraph in blue explain it to you? [/quote] You are weird. When you look at your bank balance, there are no printed bank notes and minted coins there. What IS there is a numerical expression of the VALUE of your economic reserves. THAT value is not ex nihilio. You have a weird, blinkered fetish about bank notes. You completely misunderstand private and public production. You also completely misunderstand simple concepts like 'earn'. The government doesn't 'earn' because it does no productive work. For you to treat making laws as if that was just like making furniture is revealingly stupid. All your utterances reveal a hopeless conceptual chaos and misunderstanding. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:37pm Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 6:05pm:
Correct, indeed many countries are already entering the era of the 'cashless society', involving merely the changing of digits in bank accounts on computers. MMT teaches the currency-issuing government, through its agencies (treasury and central bank) can change those digits as desired; limited by what is available for sale/purchase. Quote:
Which is what I intended to teach you with the points analogy, but failed miserably, obviously. The 'value' measured in money - and hence ability to purchase real resources - is real, and cannot be created ex nihilo, but must be created by labour and production. But the measure itself, ie, the unit of currency, is created ex nihilo. Note: when the government had to lock down the non-essential economy in March 2020, it immediately began injecting $billions into the bank accounts of laid-off workers, ie $billions created ex nihilo, though we were told the government borrowed the money.....it didn't, it just booked $200 billion dollars debt, later much reduced as the virus turned out to be a squid (unfortunately: a decent virus would have forced the non-essential economy to remain closed likely until more than several $trillions of 'debt' had been accumulated, forever unrepayable. Quote:
No, though I thought you understood that the term "printing money" meant issuing digital currency/money. Quote:
No I don't; education is public production, in fact the basis of all private production. Likewise public infrastructure, the basis of efficient private production. Quote:
The government doesn't earn, but public sector production (education, infrastructure) is the foundation of private sector production. Quote:
The transfer of knowledge from teacher to student, and building the public infrastructure (roads, ports) is the absolute necessity for making and distributing furniture. Quote:
(......) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:47pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 5:26pm:
But a well-managed, fully productive economy will limit the available money to available resources, hence no inflation. The question is who gets to create the required quantity of money (to maintain real full employment without creating inflation) - private financiers charging interest on loans, or the currency-issuing government issuing 'debt free' money' (as opposed to "taxpayers' money").... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:55pm
Fascinating article:
https://ellenbrown.com/2022/04/05/the-coming-global-financial-revolution-russia-is-following-the-american-playbook/ Russia is discovering (or is on the verge of discovering) that it does not need U.S. dollars as backing for the ruble’s exchange rate. Its central bank can create the rubles needed to pay domestic wages and finance capital formation. The U.S. confiscations thus may finally lead Russia to end neoliberal monetary philosophy, as Sergei Glaziev has long been advocating in favor of MMT [Modern Monetary Theory]. … What foreign countries have not done for themselves – replacing the IMF, World Bank and other arms of U.S. diplomacy – American politicians are forcing them to do. Instead of European, Near Eastern and Global South countries breaking away out of their own calculation of their long-term economic interests, America is driving them away, as it has done with Russia and China. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 6th, 2022 at 11:37pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 12:00am Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 11:37pm:
It’s the same old problem: they can't pay: old age pension, social security and public servants without printing money. Our economy is fake – it’s based on unfunded liabilities. No Govt. has a solution and it’s never spoken of in election campaigns. When will their Ponzi scheme collapse? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:03pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 12:00am:
Could government pay for all those things if taxes were sufficiently high? But in any case you - like everyone - recoil against the idea (unless it's someone else's taxes...) Quote:
Not entirely fake, the economy produces many desirable things. As to "unfunded", that gets us back to taxation, as noted above. But MMT teaches us government can create its own money ("government money"), as opposed to "taxpayer money", the quantum of "government money" being constrained by the nation's resources and productivity, to avoid inflation. Quote:
Interestingly the Greens are now MMT-literate, though they don't advertise the fact, given the current level of ignorance re what is money and how it works (eg, most people still think government budgets are like their own household budgets). And another MMT-literate party is standing in the May election: TNL. Should be an interesting election, with cost of living, and housing/rent going through the roof, and poor wages growth resulting in people abandoning the 2 major parties. Albo can't explain how he intends to fund raising age-care workers wages.etc, apart from some vague measures re "cutting waste". Quote:
Fiat currencies (unlike Bitcoin) are not a ponzi scheme, because they are backed by the nation's productivity. Your fiat currency video is nonsense based on the obsolete gold standard era. Speaking of which: https://ellenbrown.com/2022/04/05/the-coming-global-financial-revolution-russia-is-following-the-american-playbook/ " The Rise and Fall of the PetroDollar First, some history: The U.S. dollar was adopted as the global reserve currency at the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944, when the dollar was still backed by gold on global markets. The agreement was that gold and the dollar would be accepted interchangeably as global reserves, the dollars to be redeemable in gold on demand at $35 an ounce. Exchange rates of other currencies were fixed against the dollar. But that deal was broken after President Lyndon Johnson’s “guns and butter” policy exhausted the U.S. kitty by funding war in Vietnam along with his “Great Society” social programs at home. French President Charles de Gaulle, suspecting the U.S. was running out of money, cashed in a major portion of France’s dollars for gold and threatened to cash in the rest; and other countries followed suit or threatened to. In 1971, President Richard Nixon ended the convertibility of the dollar to gold internationally (known as “closing the gold window”), in order to avoid draining U.S. gold reserves". ...hence the enforced demise of the gold standard..... Your video attacking fiat currencies is mostly ignorance re the creation and function of money, with the usual old nonsense about Weimar and Zimbabwe, which are examples of a collapse in resources supply, leading to excess demand. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:22pm Quote:
That video shows the uncomfortable truth - that all Fiat currencies were abused by Govts. and either became worthless or will become worthless. Weimar and Zimbabwe were the worst examples. How long have the $US and $A got? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:26pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:03pm:
I wish I had an answer. Repeating what I posted: I remember back in the mid 1990s - our accountant at work was discussing our Super and how necessary it was. He said that future liabilities for providing pensions and other social security were unfunded so Super was needed and we should even salary sacrifice into it. What he didn't explain was that the only way out was to print money. Yes - pensions and social security are actually paid for by money printing. Even paying for all the gigantic army of public servants is unfunded. We are stuck in a money printing rut forever. It will never be paid off - that's a dream from politicians to gullible voters. Meantime - savings are destroyed and prices keep on going up. Houses and shares went up over 20% in the last year or two. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 2:07pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:03pm:
The fact is that without printing money - the Govt. could not pay for: pensions, social security and the giant army of public servants. e.g. When those old people were younger - making money in jobs and paying taxes - the Govts. just spent all that money and the payment of pensions was put on the "never never". Not one penny was set aside to pay for their pensions. Then Keating came along and started compulsory super to try and make up for it. It didn't work - they can only be paid by printing money. We followed a failed economic model for the last 60 years or more. It's the elephant in the room - it's such a bad problem that it won't be dealt with in this election by any party and it is hidden in our main stream media news. Meantime - our money is already subject to enormous inflation - houses prices and shares went up 20% in the last few years or less. Food, petrol and other prices are skyrocketing. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2022 at 2:12pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:26pm:
I gave detailed answers (inc. explanation of fiat, gold etc) which you have chosen to ignore (....."you can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink'...) Quote:
Your accountant is a micro economist who has no understanding of macro economics. Quote:
Like I said, no understanding; future government liabilities can always be funded if the nation's productivity and resources base remain intact, over time. Quote:
No, his explanation was that self-funding is the answer, for those who can afford to salary sacrifice into Super. Quote:
What's wrong with "printing money"? I've already explained that there is no problem so long as the nation's resources/productivity constraints are observed. Quote:
All courtesy of neoliberism; MMT could eliminate price rises, via rationing and price controls when required, and maintain interest rates at zero, while maintaining full employment. Just to let you know there are alternatives.... Quote:
Yes, asset appreciation courtesy of greed-based neoliberalism, with its fake financialized capitalism. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 2:19pm
Clive Palmer is discussing this very issue on ABC 24 right now
at the National Press Club. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2022 at 3:24pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 2:07pm:
Well of course the government does borrow money, by purchasing bonds, so the term "printing money" is misleading. Private banks also "print money" when/if they write you a loan for, say, $500K. Quote:
All already addressed in my previous posts to you. Btw, how does Clive propose to deal with the $trillion debt, and keep mortgage interest rates low? (I missed his speech). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 3:59pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 3:24pm:
He reckons house prices are set to crash badly. Interest rates will have to skyrocket and people won't be able to pay the massive debts. He wants home loan rates set by Govt to a maximum of 3% to help to stop the crash. More money printing is tied into the budget for the next 10 years. Frydenberg indirectly admitted it - deficit budgets for 10 years to come |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 4:25pm
https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/clive-palmer-says-he-would-preference-greens-over-coalition-and-labor-party-as-he-hits-out-at-abc-campaign-coverage/news-story/94d1fa1228e31ed2d28da8cda1c746d7
Clive Palmer, “What matters is not how much money you spend, it’s what your solutions are. I’ve put forward solutions that are novel and are new.” Mr Palmer attacked the government for rising debt brought upon by programs such as JobKeeper which have successfully insulated the Australian economy from extended recession and growing unemployment. Instead he suggested Australia enforce a 15 per cent licence on iron ore exports which he claimed could dissolve all national debt in 20 years. He also proposed that the housing loan rate be frozen at three per cent for the next five years to prevent a catastrophic national mortgage default crisis. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Senexx on Apr 7th, 2022 at 6:36pm
GreatDivide, you have done a wonderful job in responding to people about Modern Money.
Finally I can write the post I first intended As Rob Parenteau writes: Hyperinflation requires extreme conditions |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 7:18pm Senexx wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 6:36pm:
What is wrong with MMT is that once the Govts. start printing money they can't stop. There is always another urgent reason to print more. First it was the GFC, then Covid and now it's the war in Ukraine and the military expenditure to supposedly fight China - a superpower. Of course there were always unfunded liabilities that the Govt. couldn't pay: old age pensions, social security, armies of public servants, health, schools and roads expenditure brought on by uncontrolled mass immigration putting pressure on our services. We invited millions of people here but they all needed schools and hospitals etc. - more unfunded liabilities. It's like saying there's a party for 1,000 people at my place tomorrow and having no money for the booze. So - out comes the credit card. The hangover is paying it off - which they can't do. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 9:16pm
Money as Debt I - Revised Edition 2009 (Full Movie)
200,685 views Oct 28, 2015 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2nBPN-MKefA |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 8th, 2022 at 7:04pm
In Australia we print money day and night.
In Zimbabwe they kept printing money until you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread - so they starting printing 100 trillion dollar notes. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 8th, 2022 at 7:09pm
There is still money for the boys:
Six former prime ministers slugged taxpayers $360,000 in just three months, expenses watchdog reveals. https://www.reddit.com/r/australia/comments/tyyil0/six_former_prime_ministers_slugged_taxpayers/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share _blue_heat_ Op · 45 min. ago Not content with just getting their snout’s in the trough, they have to get all four trotters in as well. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 7:04pm:
Which is not a problem, because the Australian government is the legal issuer of the Australian dollar, unlike households and firms (and state governments) who are users of the currency. Quote:
Hyperinflation? Have you read the article posted by Senexx? I haven't read it yet because I know what causes hyper inflation, the famous examples being Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe and Venezuela. If you had read it, you would not still be citing Zimbabwe, in reference to the "money printing" practiced by the Australian government, where hyperinflation has never been a problem, and indeed the central bank has been trying to lift inflation for a decade (to 2-3%). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:56pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 7:18pm:
The main problem today is the government is forced to tax, or borrow from private financiers, therefore running up debt to pay for much needed social programs. Quote:
...and in each case, if the government had not intervened, conditions would have deteriorated so sharply, so as to make the Great Depression look like a picnic in the park. In fact the GD was prolonged because governments mistakenly cut back on public spending. Quote:
Expensive arms races (and actual wars) are a reflection of human irrationality, manifested in the UNSC veto (yes that veto, all in the news currently, for obvious reasons). Quote:
Yes, but listen carefully: currency-issuing governments could be authorized to fund themselves, the constraint for a currency-issuing government being available resources and the nation's productivity, NOT money. Quote:
The question is: does Australia have sufficient RESOURCES to supply all those things? If the answer is yes, then the nation can have all those things. Finding the money is not a problem for a currency-issuer, obviously. You are making the mistake of thinking that the currency-issuing government must necessarily be in the same position as you....the big difference is you have to earn or borrow it; the currency-issuer doesn't. So that get's us back to real constraint for the government - which is inflation, which for the government is a resource constraint, not a money constraint. As a matter of fact, the government could write off its debt if it wanted to; the government can not run out of money, it can only run out of resources. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 8th, 2022 at 10:59pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm:
Inflation is way above 3%. House prices went up 20% in the last year and so did shares. Inflation is a monster that will eat up our savings - that includes anyone who will rely upon their Super. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2022 at 11:50pm
Stephanie Kelton refutes mainstream economists who say the current covid-induced inflation has debunked MMT:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/verdict-is-in-on-modern-monetary-theory-strategist-says-194714165.html Even so, a growing number of economists support MMT and view the recent historical record as proof of its success. In answering the question ‘has MMT failed?’, “The answer is an unequivocal no,” according to Stephanie Kelton, professor of economics and public policy at Stony Brook University and one of the leading experts on modern monetary theory. “MMT offers a descriptive framework—a lens—through which to evaluate fiscal and monetary policy,” she wrote on her website back in January. The specific policies taken by certain administrations were made under a framework which does not regard deficits with the same importance as was commonplace even a few years ago. “The point is, you can’t blame “MMT” for stoking inflation any more than you can blame an optometrist if her patient runs off the road while driving without wearing their prescription lenses,” she wrote. “MMT doesn’t tell us that the world is an open road, free of hazards or the need for caution. It doesn’t reject fiscal responsibility, it redefines it so that our eyes stay focused on the real limits on spending.” And the real limits are resources, not money, debt or deficits. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 8th, 2022 at 11:56pm
In Australia we print money day and night.
In Zimbabwe they kept printing money until you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread - so they starting printing 100 trillion dollar notes. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 12:43am
Group known as "Patriotic Millionaires" calls for higher taxes on the wealthy, to avoid a social calamity as inequality soars in the US.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/uknews/tax-the-rich-these-one-percenters-want-people-like-them-to-pay-higher-taxes/ar-AAVZwls?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=e347145f6e59498a84553b68b4339e6f "While her money opens the doors of power, Disney finds her message also discombobulates ordinary Americans. She is regularly assailed on Twitter for daring to suggest rich people should pay more taxes. The problem is that people have been convinced that “every single person in this country is a billionaire waiting to happen”, in an orchestrated campaign she believes was engineered to protect the wealth of the 1%. "“Four years ago if you’d said ‘billionaires tax’ then they would have said you can’t bash billionaires, you’re encouraging class warfare. I haven’t heard a whiff of that,” said Disney. “Let’s not kid ourselves, the other side has tested that and found it isn’t working. That class war rhetoric isn’t working any more. And that’s good news. Because if we don’t ruffle some feathers now, we are going to have a class war. A real one.” Note the underlined, above. That's why MMT will eventually enable currency-issuing governments to fund themselves without relying on the rich, since currency-issuing governments are constrained by resources, not money. "money doesn't grow on rich people" ....Kelton's joke referring to the MMT critics who insist money doesn't grow on (Magic Money Tree) trees (merely proving these critics don't know anything about how money is created). Not to mention Bezos grew rich on the backs of his workers (only recently unionized). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 12:48am Bobby. wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 11:56pm:
Have you turned into a bot? I have already addressed hyper-inflation. I suggest you try genuine debate, or be exposed as a fraud. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 1:04am Bobby. wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 10:59pm:
Due to covid-related supply blockages; and poor allocation of covid support - some of which went to millionaires and people who did not need the government support. See post#93. Quote:
House price inflation resulted from low interest rates. Quote:
Inflation can be managed if its causes are properly addressed.....not by jacking up interest rates which will cause a recession, as Clive Palmer has noted. (And Clive's idea to pay down governement debt by taxing iron ore sales may have merit, though its likely to meet the same resistance as the ALP's resource rent tax proposal a decade ago). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 1:27am Quote:
The Govt. printed over $300 billion for their Covid policy. Quote:
The printed money ended up causing inflation. Quote:
The cause of inflation is to do with the Govt. printing money and the banks creating money out of thin air from debt. Did you watch this video? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2nBPN-MKefA You will understand that inflation is an indirect way of making a tax that people with savings pay by having those savings devalued due to inflation. You will also see that the whole system is based on permanent growth of economies in an exponential way when in fact we live in a finite world of resources. It's based on a lie. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 9th, 2022 at 8:19am
Booby is on another troll adventure.
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 8:40am Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 8:19am:
Yeah right - shoot the messenger. ::) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:22am thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm:
And Hungary 1946. With its one quintillion pengo note (1 milliard b.-pengo - one million billion pengo). The largest banknote ever printed. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:30am MeisterEckhart wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:22am:
Nice example - see here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_peng%C5%91 the currency survived for only 20 years and experienced the most serious case of hyperinflation ever recorded. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:35am Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:30am:
My brother bought a dozen of these notes some years ago when they were cheap. They sell for about $AUD600 now (if you can get people to part with them)! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 2:32pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 1:27am:
Correct; and then cut it in half when covid turned out to be less deadly than expected. But you still are ignoring the fact that currency-issuing government faces a resource constraint, not a money constraint, and that inflation can be controlled in many ways other than by lifting interest rates. Quote:
No it didn't; non-government borrowers enticed by low interest rates pushed up housing prices; and pent-up demand fueled by government support in excess of locked down workers' needs (ability ot pay bills during the lock-down) ended up causing inflation. Quote:
1. Government "printing money" only causes inflation if there are insufficient resources, in this case, national output on which the government can spend the money. [This is the reason for all hyperinflation episodes; eg in Zimbabwe the government printed money in an attempt to enable consumers to pay for more expensive food , - higher food prices which resulted from expulsion of skilled white farmers in Zimbabwe]. 2. Banks creating money out of thin air from debt; this is how banks ALWAYS create money, when they write loans for (hopefully) credit-worthy customers, independently of the banks' money reserves. Quote:
Watching it now.... 1. The speaker has just confirmed my point 2, above. ie banks don't lend money from reserves, but create money out of thin air. 2. Now talking about gold....no doubt heading to the gold standard, which became obsolete in the 20th century, when other nations began to fear the US did not have enough gold to pay its overseas debts (as a result of the costs of the Vietnam war); Nixon took the US off the gold standard in 1971). 3. "How much money exists? In the past it had to be related to gold" .. his thesis is rapidly becoming boring, because the gold standard is now of necessity obsolete, since nations don't have enough gold to enable smooth functioning of international trade and exchange. 4. "The only real limit to (debt) money creation is the creation of debt". Garbage. The limit to the creation of money is available resources, not debt. The currency-issuing government (unlike private- sector players) doesn't NEED to take on debt. 5. "Banks can create as much money as we can borrow" .....correct; and same as for government spending, if the economy is producing sufficient output on which the money can be spent, there is no inflation problem. 6. "The artificial world of money..."...a key MMT insight; the hammer is real, the IOU to purchase the hammer is not a "real" resource. 7. "how can it be that the people who produce all the real wealth in the world (workers) be in debt to private banks(t)ers?": ....good question. 8. "if there is no debt there would be no money, because money is debt"...unless the government is authorized to create debt-free money, which is the MMT insight. 9. "Why are interest rates so low"?...... obviously to avoid bankrupting the indebted private (and public) sectors.... 10. "charging of interest is both immoral and impractical" ...correct; I'm looking forward to his conclusions... 11. "monetary reform - a change of the system - will not come easily, owing to self-interested banksters etc " ...no kidding, every MMTer knows that's true.. 12. Note all those assassinated presidents who dared to say the government can create debt free money., then we have that very odd quote from Rockefeller... My conclusion: the presenter confirms the need for a system change, as taught by MMT, but fails to offer an alternative to debt based money, not based on gold. Did you see an alternative? Quote:
Inflation results from excess demand on resources, which is the problem to be solved, while ensuring everyone has access to food, housing and employment. And as for your savings, most people don't get a chance to accumulate savings, your self-interest is as transparent as the banksters the video rails against. Quote:
Indeed! And MMT offers the solution, since MMT can avoid inflation. Your solution to the current unsustainable public and private indebtedness, enforced by the current crop of banksters? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 2:45pm
Too many things to unpack for now.
Quote:
Stop printing money. Govts should not be allowed to have deficit budgets by law! The Libbos new budget calls for deficits for the next 10 years! Even that's a dream - it will be for the next 100 years if our economy lasts that long. We must live within our means. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 9th, 2022 at 4:38pm
Deficit budgets are the norm and so they should—it increases the size of the economy.
A Budget regularly in surplus is continually taking money out of the economy. The Great Depression and WWII debt were paid off with no Budget surplus being achieved. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:01pm Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 4:38pm:
What would you know Monk? Tell that to people in Zimbabwe: |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:22pm
What caused hyperinflation in Zimbabwe, the Weimar Republic etc?
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:27pm Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:22pm:
Can't you read? Money printing. ::) ::) ::) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:32pm
No, not money printing. As I said, budgets aim to be in deficit not surplus.
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:35pm
Alan Kohler's take on options for government, given that economic flat-earthers (rejecting MMT) are still in control of the treasury and reserve bank:
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2022/04/07/tax-more-happiness-alan-kohler/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20News%20-%2020220407 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:46pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:35pm:
So the answer is more tax? How about living within our means? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:34pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 2:45pm:
Yeh...... Quote:
But as your video proved, if banks stop issuing 'debt money' , money eventually runs out because interest on the debt has to be repaid (in our current evil system, as explained in YOUR video). Quote:
In MMT, currency-issuing governments do not NEED to deficit spend; the constraint for such governments is resources, not money. Quote:
Owing to the present evil debt-money system, which forces both government and private sector players to pay interest on debt money (did YOU watch your video....?); but the currency-issuing government should NOT be forced to do this, so long as resources are available to (for example) train and provide teachers, age and disability care workers, and builders to build the required stock of public housing. See Alan Kohler's article (post #111) on the funding task facing governments both Left and Right, in the coming years. Quote:
Given advancing productivity associated with developing AI and IT, our economies will last if available resources are well-managed. Your debt and deficit hang up is obsolete flat-earth economics. Quote:
Read Kohler's article (post #111); he's got bad news for you, unless you are prepared to pay much higher taxes in the coming decades. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:45pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:46pm:
Yes, as explained by Alan Kohler (without a MMT-literate government , as noted by Kohler) Quote:
Er, elderly people are already lying in their own faeces in understaffed nursing homes ( as per the royal commission into aged care) ....be careful how you define "living within our means" - you might be in a nursing home one day..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:45pm
Hi TGD,
Quote:
You seem to be hung up on resources. The richest continent on earth is Africa. You name it and they have it: gold, diamonds, oil, coal, minerals including rare earth minerals. including sugar, salt, iron, cobalt, uranium, copper, bauxite, silver, petroleum, and cocoa beans, but also tropical timber and tropical fruit...... Super rich soil and abundant rainfall for producing enormous quantities of food. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_resources_of_Africa Those resources have led Africans to be the poorest group of nations on earth. It's full of 3rd world starving people. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:49pm Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 4:38pm:
Correct; have you studied MMT? In fact (simply put), the government's deficit is the private sector's surplus. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:05am Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:45pm:
That's because proper resource mobilization is the key to our prosperity, not artificial money which is made out of nothing, as YOUR video patiently explained, and which has gone right over your head. Quote:
Correct, all controlled and exploited by colonial capital which charges interest on everything that moves - as patiently explained in YOUR video, so that the profits of resource development go to global capital, not to African workers. Quote:
Yes, all exploited by evil private financiers who worked out how to create never ending debt money requiring ever increasing interest payments; that's why most African countries are (or end up) in the clutches of the IMF (Instant Misery Fund) run by the evil financiers exposed in YOUR video. Quote:
And now you know why; and indeed, why Oz itself -which has all the resources needed to house, clothe and feed (and employ) all 26 million citizens (the pop. of a large chinese city) - is scarred by public homelessness, in all its major cities. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:10am thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:05am:
Yes, all exploited by evil private financiers who worked out how to create never ending debt money requiring ever increasing interest payments; that's why most African countries are (or end up) in the clutches of the IMF (Instant Misery Fund) run by the evil financiers exposed in YOUR video. Quote:
And now you know why; and indeed, why Oz itself -which has all the resources needed to house, clothe and feed (and employ) all 26 million citizens (the pop. of a large chinese city) - is scarred by public homelessness, in all its major cities. [/quote] Maybe the bankers need to be put on trial? Note: when Mugabe kicked all the Whites out of Rhodesia and called it Zimbabwe it went down the toilet? So getting rid of all those White bankers didn't work. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2022 at 1:01am Bobby. wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:10am:
No, the debt-money system itself needs to be changed, as patiently explained in your video. Quote:
Mugabe kicked all the white farmers (not bankers) off their farms (which occupied land stolen by white colonialists in the 19th century)....and Zimbabwe "went down the toilet" because the black tenants who were allocated the confiscated farms had no idea how to farm.... Quote:
Nothing to do with the white bankers who were not 'got rid of', - though they like all bankers are part of an evil debt-money system ravaging the whole world, as explained at length in your video. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 10th, 2022 at 6:56am thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:49pm:
Only a little bit. I did do a year of introductory economics as part of a business course I started but did not finish. As I said, the Great Depression/WWII debt was paid off without a single surplus Budget. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:39pm Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 6:56am:
Yes, it's interesting that Menzies, the 'Liberal' (conservative) hero, ran government deficits in his last 9 years in office. https://www.anu.edu.au/news/all-news/menzies-a-failure-by-todays-rules-ran-a-budget-to-build-the-nation "Between 1958-59 and 1966-67 (when he retired), Menzies averaged budget deficits of 1.8% of GDP. His biggest deficit of 3.3% of GDP in his final year in office was larger than the last Swan deficit, which the Abbott government has called a “disaster” and a “budget crisis. So, what was Menzies up to? He clearly wasn’t obsessed with the budget deficits or worried about numbers of public servants that so concern Hockey. The economy grew quite steadily, often growing at more than 6% in real terms. Unemployment was mostly around 2% or less, and only 1.6% when he retired. Over his time in power, you couldn’t even argue that Menzies was trying to balance the budget over the business cycle. Menzies was interested in nation-building. He not only wanted rapid population growth, but he wanted infrastructure growth and growth in the health and education services that make a society both cohesive and productive". Those were the days of the post WW2 era when Keynesian spending was the norm, before the disastrous NAIRU neoliberal era was established, owing to erroneous handling of the global oil price spikes in the 70's. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 10th, 2022 at 1:43pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 1:01am:
Nothing to do with the white bankers who were not 'got rid of', - though they like all bankers are part of an evil debt-money system ravaging the whole world, as explained at length in your video. [/quote] My point is that resources doesn't necessarily lead to prosperity. Do you think we should have been a far more prosperous society given our huge resources with only 26 million people to spend it on? Wouldn't you expect us to have surplus budgets and to not be printing money to devalue our currency and rob the savings of our people through inflation? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2022 at 2:43pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 1:43pm:
And your point is wrong: it's ONLY proper management of resources which can lead to prosperity. Quote:
I certainly think Australia has all the resources it needs to decently house, clothe feed and employ everyone of working age. Quote:
You need to understand that surplus government budgets (unlike your own household budget) are not necessarily associated with growth in living standards; Howard only achieved a surplus because of favourable terms of trade (mostly high iron-ore prices to China). Compare that with Menzies who ran deficit budgets - and housed and employed everyone, unlike Howard (see post #121) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by wombatwoody on Apr 10th, 2022 at 3:37pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:03pm:
It's called 'privatisation', the selling off of state assets to stave off bankruptcy caused by the bank-created debt. Third World countries are handing over control of their land and resources to the international bankers because they cannot pay back the vast loans made, on purpose, by the banks to ensnare them in this very situation. The world does not have to be in poverty and conflict, it is manipulated to be that way because it serves the bankster's agenda. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by freediver on Apr 10th, 2022 at 8:36pm
Off-Topic replies have been moved to this Topic.
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:43pm wombatwoody wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 3:37pm:
Indeed. Bobby's video , entitled 'Money as Debt' highlighted that very fact. https://youtu.be/2nBPN-MKefA |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:59pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:43pm:
Everyone needs to watch that video even though it is 46 minutes long. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 11th, 2022 at 1:53pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2022 at 2:20pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:59pm:
Indeed, although I notice your reply in the 'privatization' thread - which freediver highjacked from this MMT thread because he doesn't want to face up to the disastrous effects, global as well as national, of our current debt-money system - is no doubt your belief the problem lays in the fact money is created 'ex nihilo', rather than the fact money is created as debt. Hence your misplaced, uncomprehending desire for balanced government budgets, rather than the correct solution which is enabling currency issuing governement to issue debt free money, limited only by the resource constraint (to avoid inflation). Interesting discussion; I can see why you and I took very different readings out of your video on "money as debt". You still think money has 'value', regardless of whether it is government-issued debt-free money, or private bankster-issued debt money. I'm trying to teach you only resources have value. while noting money is always and can only ever be created out of nothing, unless you use shells - or gold (which is impossible because there is insufficient gold for all nations to participate in trade). Maybe a consideration of the idea that a perfectly planned economy could be made to function well, without money at all, might change your view? (eg in theory: an economy in which government had perfect knowledge of all the nation's citizens' capabilities, and their actual contributions to economic development, with these different contributions rewarded by defined goods and services allocations....no money required for the economy to function). Edit: I now see your post #128 which you previously posted in freediver's high-jacked "privatization' thread. Thanks...and notice the implication of 'fake' money, 'fake' because it is created out of nothing, an idea refuted above (and in MMT). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2022 at 10:04am
SadKangaroo wrote-Yesterday at 11:51am
[re privatization, in reply to freediver who asked on Apr 10th, 2022 at 8:28pm: "How do you know (private owners are only interested in .....ripping out as much money in as short a time as possible")] SadKangaroo wrote: Quote:
Excellent critique of privatization. The sad fact of course is that ever since governments were forced to abandon post war Keynesian deficit spending in the 1950's, 60's and 70's, governments have sought ways to balance their budgets, including selling-off public utilities to raise money without increasing taxes. But that process adopted since the 80's, intended to overcome the so called 'stagflation of the mid 70's (see below) - aka neoliberalism (ie, the 'supply-side economics' favored by Thatcher and Reagan, designed to fight inflation first, rather than maintain Keynesian full employment) has left us with governments increasingly unable to meet the needs of the community, so that today after a series of disasters such as the GFC, the covid pandemic and now a war, governments all around the world are heavily indebted and increasingly unable to address soaring inequality. Now for the first time in decades we again have inflation above 3% (above most central banks' "comfort level"). But the fact is this current post-pandemic bout of inflation is caused by supply side problems, just as was the case with the oil price shocks in the 70's leading to 'stagflation' - high inflation and high unemployment (the result of the Arab oil embargo related to the Palestine/Israel conflict). How to solve the current global national (public and private) indebtedness disaster, with soaring inequality and increasing poverty? (To be addressed in an upcoming post). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2022 at 2:08pm
See post #127, for the full video of the history of money as debt.
To summarize: The ancient religions frowned on charging interest on money loans ("usury"). In the middle ages, lenders found they could charge interest as a 'risk' premium, thus creating money as debt. Money lent was backed by gold (usually); but the paper money itself was of course created 'ex nihilo'. To this day, the privilege of creating money ('ex nihilo') is reserved for private financiers entitled to charge interest on loans. An anachronism, in the current post gold-standard era in which currency-issuing governments (with their own central bank and treasury) could be authorized to issue their own fiat currencies, without taxing, or borrowing from private sector financiers/banksters. The limit to government money-creation being the available resources on which government can spend the government-created 'debt-free' money, to avoid inflation. (Needless to say, inflation is the key topic which mainstream economists employ to attack MMT, but they are misguided in their attacks. There are many ways to deal with inflation). Here we have a solution to the current public 'austerity' situation , forced onto "broke" governments who are unable to raise sufficient taxes because of political (not economic) considerations, or to borrow money which must be repaid with interest, despite the fact currency-issuing governments don't need to borrow at all, nor maintain balanced budgets , as users of the currency (you and I, and private firms etc) must do. Read Stephanie Kelton's: The Deficit Myth. or read for free: http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/ MMT is starting to enter the university faculties, so it behoves us to be aware of the future impact that this new economics will have on the political process. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 14th, 2022 at 8:27pm
[quote author=AusbetterWorld link=1645944963/131#131 date=1649736519]
(to expand on the inflation concern noted in #post 131): The limit to government money-creation being the available resources on which government can spend the government-created 'debt-free' money, to avoid inflation, noting that the real causes of any inflationary episode are based on a resource constraint, whether supply or demand based, or both). Needless to say, inflation is the key topic which mainstream economists employ to attack MMT, but they are misguided in their attacks. There are many ways to deal with inflation, once its true source has been identified, something which mainstream economists and central bankers never do, since their 'toolkit' is limited to raising interest rates which runs the risk of causing a recession). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2022 at 9:47am
The idea that government deficits are bad is wrong.
https://www.keenforthesenate.com/a-resilient-economy/ "This may seem an outrageous claim to make—surely economists (if not Pauline Hansen) know how money works? However, no less an authority than The Bank of England has said that economic textbooks are wrong about how banks work: The reality of how money is created today differs from the description found in some economics textbooks: Rather than banks receiving deposits when households save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits. Mainstream economic textbooks are as wrong about how governments operate as they are about how banks operate. When a bank makes a loan for, say, $1 million, it puts $1 million in the borrower’s deposit account, and it records that the borrower now owes the bank $1 million. The deposit account is a Liability of the bank; the loan is the bank’s Asset. Similarly, if the government makes a payment–say paying $1 million for goods purchased from a firm–then the government puts $1 million in the deposit account and $1 million in the Reserves of the banking system. Where does the bank get the money that it lends, and where does the government get the money that it spends? Neither the bank nor the government “get” the money: instead both banks and the government create money. Money is primarily bank deposit accounts these days (plus a small amount of cash). Deposit accounts are a Liability of the banking sector. To create money, you have to increase the Liabilities of the banking sector. This is only possible if the Assets of the banking sector rise by the same amount, at the same time. A bank loan of $1 million does this by increasing the Loans of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million. Government spending of $1 million does this by increasing the Reserves of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million. The same thing happens in reverse when a loan is repaid, or the government taxes the private sector: money is destroyed". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:01pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 9:47am:
Nonsense. Not even you believe that money is meaningless. The point of $1 million bank deposit is that you can withdraw it in cash or you can transfer it to someone else's account in exchange for, say, a house that is now yours. You get REAL stuff when you tap your card at the shops, not just shifting deposits hither and yon. Money stands in for all that REAL stuff, not for nothing and thin air.i |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:23pm Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:01pm:
Not that money is meaningless, just that it is created by the legal currency-creators (whether by government, or private sector banks). as noted by prof Steve Keen: "To create money, you have to increase the Liabilities of the banking sector. This is only possible if the Assets of the banking sector rise by the same amount, at the same time". Quote:
And the point is the bank can write you the loan which enables you to withdraw the money irrespective of the bank's money reserves. Quote:
Correct..... Amazing, you are correct sometimes. But here's the bit you are missing: money "stands in for Real stuff, but is itself created out of nothing. (just likes the points used to keep score in a sporting match). i |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:24pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:23pm:
Correct..... Amazing, you are correct sometimes. But here's the bit you are missing: money "stands in for Real stuff, but is itself created out of nothing. (just likes the points used to keep score in a sporting match). [/quote] Yours is a naive, banal argument: the sign is only the signifier, not the signified. D'oh! Magritte did it better than you or MMT. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:39pm Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:24pm:
That is a picture of a pipe. Hint: show us a picture of 'money' without any particular national sign or denomination..... Then you will discover the difference between the 'sign' (picture) of a real object, and the 'sign' of a non-real entity , eg, a point, and indeed money, used to represent/measure the value of real objects ie, scores of real goals achieved, or real output produced, respectively. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:48pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:39pm:
You are naive, banal - and now stupid: "Show me sign of anything without showing a sign of it", you ask. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2022 at 2:12pm Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:48pm:
No that's not what I said. Which proves you can't show us a picture either of "money" used to represent value of something real, or a "point" used to keep the score of game...... Why is that? It's because money, like points, represents real value, but is not value itself which resides in the goods and services, and goals achieved, respectively. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 3:03pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 2:12pm:
Nothing is value itself except in context - see Midas. You are trying to explain away the established contexts of political economy, finance, commerce and exchange. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 3:09pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:39pm:
Stupid. Show us a picture of "value" without any particular sign. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 30th, 2022 at 12:54pm Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 3:03pm:
Finally, we see why your understanding of money is flawed. Water (and food) is value in itself, regardless of context (or Midas). Quote:
Yes, because those "established contexts" - which amount to flat-earth economics - are based on erroneous concepts of value measured in money terms. As shown above, resources have value in themselves, whereas money is only a representation of the intrinsic value of real resources, which is immeasurable and constant - unlike the value of money which is subject to change and which in any case is always created out of nothing. Quote:
I can't, and that's my point. Intrinsic value (ie, value in itself) can't be represented by a sign, as a real resource can be represented by a picture. Hence money - which only represents intrinsic value, but is not that value itself, cannot be pictured. To repeat, water can be pictured, whereas its intrinsic value (whether represented/measured by money or not) can't be pictured. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 30th, 2022 at 2:25pm
Money does not represent intrinsic value, it represent exchange value.
Value, whether intrinsic or exchange or any other kind, is always contextual, it cannot be any other way, ever, since value is about ranking, about comparison and you cannot have a ranking of one. You cannot have 'best' without good and better as well as bad worse and worst. Money operates in a complex network of values and rankings and conventions and traditions, not unlike language and other symbols and signs. In each context we operate within constraints IN ORDER TO convey meaning. Printing money without the corresponding things that money symbolises simply decouples the symbol from its signifier and thereby demeans and devalues it - inflation, economic chaos, loss of trust, loss of meaning. It's like lying and other forms that betray trust and promise. Your mind is too nobbled by paradoxical and absurd slogans that you simply cannot look at critically. A very CCP-trained (ie straight-jacketed) mind. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:13pm Frank wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 2:25pm:
Ok, money represents the exchange value of real resources which have intrinsic value. That's why bronze-age (barter) communities functioned without money. Quote:
An error; pre-state money was based on one shell, one token or whatever, being the basic unit of exchange. (hence later on, one cent, one penny etc.). Quote:
The intrinsic value of an orange remains real, though its exchange value may vary. This is what I think you mean by "context". Quote:
Money is a very specific representation which is confined to representation of exchange value. Other signs and symbols have myriad uses, eg in language, maths, music and science. Quote:
Yes, but your original premise re money was wrong, ie exchange value and intrinsic value are not fixed and do not necessarily match. Quote:
Again - wrong conclusion draw from wrong premise, as noted above. Quote:
I thank you for drawing our attention to the difference between the indeterminate intrinsic value of a resource (ie without reference to money, a resource might be 'priceless'/essential, even if an 'exchange value is created for it); compared with an accepted exchange value' in terms of money, usually determined in a market (subject to market failure). [/quote] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:54pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:13pm:
The intrinsic value of an orange remains real, though its exchange value may vary. This is what I think you mean by "context". Quote:
Money is a very specific representation which is confined to representation of exchange value. Other signs and symbols have myriad uses, eg in language, maths, music and science. Quote:
Yes, but your original premise re money was wrong, ie exchange value and intrinsic value are not fixed and do not necessarily match. Quote:
Again - wrong conclusion draw from wrong premise, as noted above. Quote:
I thank you for drawing our attention to the difference between the indeterminate intrinsic value of a resource (ie without reference to money, a resource might be 'priceless'/essential, even if an 'exchange value is created for it); compared with an accepted exchange value' in terms of money, usually determined in a market (subject to market failure). [/quote] You are an idiot. An incoherent, and ignorant, yet strident and vigorous idiot. But being strident and vigorous is not enough. There are millions of you. Especially in China. If you had a mind you'd be able to mount an argument - or at least comprehend one - against your own stance. But being a mindless, stupid propaganda bot, that is completely beyond your mindset and intellectual ability. You are good at repeating propaganda crap, but complete crap at thinking, reasoning or even rudimentary understanding ( they don't let you read widely or critically). You are a fundamentalist, like a Muslim or a Jehovah's Witness. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 30th, 2022 at 11:10pm Frank wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:54pm:
Well, that's not debate, I thank you for having persevered as long as you did. At least you now know the difference between intrinsic value and exchange value. Quote:
In a debate one relies on the opponent to mount an argument and defend it. Quote:
Doesn't change the fact money is created out of thin air, and exchange (money) value of resources is independent of intrinsic value of resources. Quote:
Where is my error in the highlighted sentence, above? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2022 at 10:39pm
Is MMT communist?
Well certainly the current system of investment managed wholly by private global capital flowing to areas providing the greatest returns (profit), is creating the most absurd and unsustainable distribution of wealth, with 8 of the wealthiest individuals in the world accumulating more wealth than the poorest 3.5 billion people, and the world's governments - saddled with debt - are forced into 'austerity'....or so the 'flat-earth' mainstream economists keep informing us (ie "the debt will be a burden on our grand-children"). Solution: the legal currency-issuer (government with its own treasury and reserve bank) needs to spend money into existence when it wants to invest in social 'goods', to 'muscle in' on the private sector banks who lend money into existence, to enable private sector, 'for-profit' investment. You all know that money is created out of nothing (if you have followed this thread); and the limit to the money supply (to avoid inflation) is the nation's available resources, not money - whether it is spent into existence by the government or lent into existence by private banks. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on May 3rd, 2022 at 10:49pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 11:10pm:
Doesn't change the fact money is created out of thin air, and exchange (money) value of resources is independent of intrinsic value of resources. Quote:
Where is my error in the highlighted sentence, above? [/quote] You are an idiot. 'Language is created out of thin air'. 'Sign language is created out of thin air'. 'Numbers are created out of thin air. Show me 'one'' 'Harmony and melody are created out of thin air". "Magnificent buildings, sculptures, paintings, machines, cities etc are created out of thin air". You are fkkn maniac and a complete idiot. Please dont respond, just fkk off into thin air. Thank you. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on May 3rd, 2022 at 11:30pm thegreatdivide wrote on May 3rd, 2022 at 10:39pm:
You're right: https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/just-8-men-own-same-wealth-half-world Just 8 men own same wealth as half the world Published: 16th January 2017 Learn more Fight inequality, beat poverty Eight men own the same wealth as the 3.6 billion people who make up the poorest half of humanity, according to a new report published by Oxfam today to mark the annual meeting of political and business leaders in Davos. Oxfam’s report, ‘An economy for the 99 percent’, shows that the gap between rich and poor is far greater than had been feared. It details how big business and the super-rich are fuelling the inequality crisis by dodging taxes, driving down wages and using their power to influence politics. It calls for a fundamental change in the way we manage our economies so that they work for all people, and not just a fortunate few. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2022 at 12:06pm Frank wrote on May 3rd, 2022 at 10:49pm:
Where is my error in the highlighted sentence, above? [/quote] You are an idiot. 'Language is created out of thin air'. 'Sign language is created out of thin air'. 'Numbers are created out of thin air. Show me 'one'' 'Harmony and melody are created out of thin air".[/quote] Congratulations, you are correct, all those things are created out of thin air, though you omitted a significant one: 'money is created out of thin air' ..... Quote:
Bummer----you failed at the very last hurdle. You are hereby ordered back into the corner with your dunce's cap, to repeat 100 times: All those things are created out of REAL RESOURCES. Note: a symphony requires real instruments to be heard, but is itself not a real resource (rather, is transient sound) , in contrast to a building which requires real resources to be built, and remains a real resource as long as it exists. Quote:
I never give up on educating those who are in most need. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2022 at 12:30pm
Another result of the broken global dysfunctional economic system controlled by private global capital:
https://youtu.be/C2CW38wi5OM "The Federal government should not intervene". Liberalism gone mad....in this most egregious example of the "1st world rust belt". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 7th, 2022 at 12:20pm
Democracy is threatened by political polarization…fueled by growing inequality, (and increasing homelessness) and globalization without corrective oversight.
Journalists deluded by mainstream economists keep asking dumb questions of both sides of politics like; “how are you going to balance the budget?”, resulting in a jaded public – who know even less about macroeconomics – concluding ‘a pox on both your houses’. Richard Denniss (of TAI) says tax the rich; Bill Mitchell (MMT) says the public sector should be authorized to spend money into existence, both are on the Left though Richard is orthodox, Bill heterodox. On the Right (both Coalition and Labor, tweedle dee-tweedle dum), we have the ‘small government’ ideologues, chanting ‘ lower taxes and getting out of the way of markets will produce the best results’. This last ideology is obviously absurd because it has been the dominant ideology since the 70’s (aka neoliberalism), and has given us the egregious inequality we see today, including more people locked out of the private housing market, while the public sector has withdrawn from public housing. Menzies was able to house everyone and grow the economy, by running continuous budget deficits in the years 1958-67. Meanwhile dummies like Andrew Probyn (and the rest at the ABC) keep ‘probing’ polies on both sides of politics with his ‘penetrating’ question: "how will you balance the budget?"….as if a government’s budget has any similarities to a household budget. The ABC, far from being 'Left-Wing' as claimed by the rabid Right, has been captured by the groupthink of mainstream economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 7th, 2022 at 11:17pm
More on the impending collapse of the global 'money as debt' system:
https://ellenbrown.com/2022/05/05/a-monetary-reset-where-the-rich-dont-own-everything/ "Governments have delegated the power to create money to private banks, which create most of the circulating money supply as debt at interest. They create the principal but not the interest, so more money must be repaid than was created in the original loan. Debt thus grows faster than the money supply, as seen in the chart from WorkableEconomics.com below. Debt grows until it cannot be repaid, when the board is cleared by some form of market crash such as the 2008 financial crisis, typically widening the wealth gap on the way down". (..........) "Transition to the new world economic order will likely be accompanied by systematic refusal to honor obligations in dollars, euro, pound, and yen. In this respect, it will be no different from the example set by the countries issuing these currencies who thought it appropriate to steal foreign exchange reserves of Iraq, Iran, Venezuela, Afghanistan, and Russia to the tune of trillions of dollars. Since the US, Britain, EU, and Japan refused to honor their obligations and confiscated wealth of other nations which was held in their currencies, why should other countries be obliged to pay them back and to service their loans?" |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 9th, 2022 at 11:59pm
US commentator Steve Grumbine interviews Oz economist Steve Keen, re the latter's bid for the Oz Senate (as a candidate for TNL, formerly 'The New Liberals).
https://youtu.be/dbh0ruADu9s Along the way, fascinating insights into US right-wing ("anti-woke") fascism, from Grumbine, and discussion of racism in both countries. ....and the effects of the reptilian brain(!) eg govts. willing to spend on war, but not public housing.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by aquascoot on May 10th, 2022 at 5:24am
lol
public housing for the homeless. ::) ::) ::) the classic example of why leftie ideas fail. california has one of the highest rates of homelessness in the states. it has doubled every 3 years for the last 12 years. and the number of public servants on 6 figure incomes working on honelssness has also doubled every 3 years for the last 12 years. why would someone on 180,000 a year solve a problem which will then render him unemployed. public servants in leftie governments have a vested interest in "farming" the unemployed. i am overjoyed by a good crop of new calves because it makes me properous. leftie public servants are overjoyed by more homeless, refugees, welfare dependant, mentally ill because it makes them more prosperous. i produce useful things that enrich the economy. they farm things which demolish the economy. here endeth the lesson |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on May 10th, 2022 at 10:29am aquascoot wrote on May 10th, 2022 at 5:24am:
A good parable. The MMT idea is for the government to print more free calves.... ;D |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 10th, 2022 at 12:34pm aquascoot wrote on May 10th, 2022 at 5:24am:
Ah, the old Conservative argument that progressives need poverty to exist, to justify the existence of the progressive parties. Well, indeed progressive parties are partly to blame, owing to their falling for the neoliberalism which has hijacked mainstream macroeconomics since the 80's, with its evil NAIRU dogma. Hence the "progressive" solution which you denigrate, ie, welfare - which is always a disaster for the economic and psychological well-being of the recipients. The real progressive solution: above-poverty employment for all, with subsidized housing for low wage workers. Meanwhile Steve Keen - mentioned in post #154 - has a plan for achieving a 'soft landing' in the dangerously overpriced OZ housing market. And his party - TNL - has a Job Guarantee policy. MMT increases the government's policy choices, because the electorate, not un-elected pointy heads in the so-called "independent reserve bank" , can choose between fiscal policies consistent with the nation's available resources (to avoid inflation), instead of ineffective monetary operations; lifting interest rates cannot solve supply chain blockages caused by covid. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 10th, 2022 at 12:49pm Frank wrote on May 10th, 2022 at 10:29am:
aquascoot rubbishes welfare, but offers no alternative, hence not "a good parable". Like all conservative frauds, he wants to simultaneously cut taxation, government spending AND welfare...without realizing they are like the fool sitting on the wrong side of the branch while cutting it off... Quote:
No the idea is (to repeat): MMT increases the government's policy choices, because the electorate, not un-elected pointy heads in the so-called "independent reserve bank" , can choose between fiscal policies consistent with the nation's available resources (to avoid inflation), instead of ineffective monetary operations; eg, lifting interest rates is an absurd means to control inflation caused by covid supply chain blockages. You of course are still unable to distinguish between things which can be created out of thin air (like money), and things which can't (like calves, which have to be born by a cow). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 12th, 2022 at 12:08pm
MMT going mainstream: former Statewide Super CEO teams up with Torrens Uni 'Modern Money Lab's new economics courses.
https://youtu.be/uWWDs7d4KDU |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 12th, 2022 at 12:18pm
And Australian MMT economist Steve Keen running for the senate, for TNL. (The New Liberals).
http://www.profstevekeen.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/keen_for_senate-1.pdf "Career politicians, who aren’t equipped to read the academic literature, don’t know that they’re being conned by economists. At TNL, we know that the economists are wrong. Unlike economists, climate scientists are terrified by the prospect of a 2°C warmer world." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on May 12th, 2022 at 12:36pm thegreatdivide wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 12:18pm:
:D Economist Steve Keen loses housing bet AN ECONOMIST known as the "Merchant of Gloom" will have to walk from Canberra to the top of Australia's highest mountain after losing a bet about the resiliency of Australian house prices. Last November, University of Western Sydney associate professor of economics and finance Steve Keen made a high-profile bet with Macquarie Group interest rate strategist Rory Robertson. The bet was that house prices would tank by 40 per cent. The loser of the bet would have to make the more than 200km trek from Canberra to the top of Mount Kosciuszko wearing a T-shirt that says "I was hopelessly wrong on house prices! Ask me how." House prices are now at an all-time new high, Mr Robertson said in a statement. "For fun, if Australian house prices ever fall by 40 per cent from any peak in my lifetime, I will follow in Dr Keen's footsteps," Mr Robertson said. "Similarly, if Dr Keen proves the existence of the Loch Ness Monster, I will take the walk." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 12th, 2022 at 1:10pm Frank wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 12:36pm:
Well, in markets, timing is everything. Keen didn't take into account the extent to which China would prop up the OZ economy, with China's demand for iron ore during and after the GFC caused by the subprime US real estate crash. And the fact remains, the OZ housing bubble is the most overblown in the world. If it pops, it's goodnight Australia. Prof. Keen outlines a plan to maintain house buyers' equity in their overpriced houses, while enabling house prices to fall to more sustainable levels, to avoid a crash when heavily indebted buyers can't cope with interest rate rises. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on May 13th, 2022 at 9:23pm thegreatdivide wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 1:10pm:
Loser, then. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 13th, 2022 at 10:05pm Frank wrote on May 13th, 2022 at 9:23pm:
He lost a bet, yes. Doesn't change the fact the mainstream economists are serving the interests of power ie private-debt owners, who demand interest when they lend money into existence. It's time for the public sector to be authorized to spend money into existence, to accommodate a desirable balance between public and private spending. (The limit to spending for a currency-issuer - to avoid inflation - is resources, not money). Pity Sri Lanka, another nation about to fall into the clutches of the IMF - Instant Misery Fund. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 14th, 2022 at 12:34pm
Speaking of debt, an article from Michael Hudson, professor of economics:
https://www.jacobinmag.com/2021/12/michael-hudson-interview-debt-forgiveness-cancellation-ancient-rome-christianity "That was what the first sermon of Jesus was all about. When he went to the synagogue and unrolled the scroll of Isaiah the prophet and said, “I’ve come to proclaim the year of the Lord,” which was the debt cancellation — the Jubilee year — that was brought in from Babylonia into Judaism, as it was done all through the Near East. People who translated the Bible didn’t really know what these words meant. What does it mean, “year of the Lord?” What does it mean, “deror?,” which was debt cancellation". IMF - Instant Misery Fund - take note. Your national privatization and public austerity policies, to reduce public debt, are merely supporting global rule by greedy private capital/financiers. "Jubilee Year" also addressed by Ellen Brown: https://ellenbrown.com/2022/05/05/a-monetary-reset-where-the-rich-dont-own-everything/ A Monetary Reset where The Rich Don't Own Everything. "We have a serious debt problem, but solutions such as the World Economic Forum’s “Great Reset” are not the future we want. It’s time to think outside the box for some new solutions. In ancient Mesopotamia, it was called a Jubilee. When debts at interest grew too high to be repaid, the slate was wiped […] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by 0ktema on May 14th, 2022 at 2:34pm
Your link doesn't work for me. "Jubilee Year" also addressed by Ellen Brown:
Here's another source ... How to ‘reset’ the economy without the rich owning everything https://radixuk.org/opinion/how-to-have-a-reset-without-the-rich-owning-everything/ |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 14th, 2022 at 10:07pm 0ktema wrote on May 14th, 2022 at 2:34pm:
Thank you. Here is the correct link to the original Ellen Brown article: https://ellenbrown.com/2022/05/05/a-monetary-reset-where-the-rich-dont-own-everything/ A Monetary Reset Where the Rich Don’t Own Everything Posted on May 5, 2022 by Ellen Brown "We have a serious debt problem, but solutions such as the World Economic Forum’s “Great Reset” are not the future we want. It’s time to think outside the box for some new solutions". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 15th, 2022 at 12:17am
For Bobby: an explanation of the phrase "spending money into existence".
If a government has command of a national treasury and reserve bank, it can buy whatever is available for sale (in the nation's currency), by simply creating the money out of thin air; hence the phrase "spending money into existence". Note: the spending limit - to avoid inflation - is determined by the quantity of goods and services available for purchase by the government. [The phrase "printing money" is misleading, because it implies the government is increasing the purchasing power of citizens, without regard to the capacity of the economy to absorb the extra spending, whereas "spending money into existence" requires already existing resources to be available, on which the money can be spent by the government, not by the citizens]. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 19th, 2022 at 1:27pm
The beginning of the new age of public-sector financing:
https://www.ecovoice.com.au/torrens-university-australia-introduces-global-online-courses-in-the-economics-of-sustainability-in-partnership-with-modern-money-lab/ "Torrens University Australia introduces global online courses in the economics of sustainability, in partnership with Modern Money Lab". In September 2022, Torrens University Australia will commence offering the suite of online postgraduate courses in economics and sustainability, based on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and ecological economics, designed by Modern Money Lab in partnership with the University". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 28th, 2022 at 4:12pm
Ross Gittins, who understands MMT, tells how a 'fossilized' central banker identified 'shortcomings' in MMT:
(According to this "fossilized banker": "When you trace through all the double-entry bookkeeping, you see that the created money the Reserve paid into the banks’ exchange-settlement accounts in return for the bonds the govt. bought is still sitting there." But of course a currency-issuing government which has its own reserve bank and treasury should NOT buy bonds in the first place; spending by such a government is limited by the nation's productivity, not its money supply. Someone replied by saying markets determine money supply, which is merely an ideological assertion based on classical 'invisible hand' market ideology. The point is the public sector ought also be able to create money, via planned allocation of resources, alongside private sector 'invisible hand' allocation of resources. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 28th, 2022 at 10:24pm
https://www.greeneconomycoalition.org/news-and-resources/obituary-hazel-henderson-1933-2022
Henderson's early prolific writing predicted the overhauling of conventional economic theory to take account of pollution, resource depletion and social costs ignored by company balance sheets and GDP, as described in her ground-breaking The Politics of the Solar Age (1981). As a result, Henderson was ostracized by the economics community as she famously reiterated "economics is a form of brain damage". Well said Hazel. Actually mainstream classical-based neoliberal economics is merely a reflection of 'the law of the jungle', and survival of the fittest predation. Its time for the public sector to be authorized to create money by spending it into existence, rather than being forced to tax and/or borrow from the private sector. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on May 28th, 2022 at 11:42pm thegreatdivide wrote on May 28th, 2022 at 4:12pm:
;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D He's laffin' at you, as do all of us. Gittins has been wrong about everything. He is an older version of Peter van Olselen - always wrong. Amusing. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 29th, 2022 at 3:11pm Frank wrote on May 28th, 2022 at 11:42pm:
Yes he does (though still susceptible to 'fossilized central bankers, as noted in the post a couple back). http://www.rossgittins.com/2021/03/funding-budget-by-printing-money-is.html "Many people are alarmed by “modern monetary theory”, the seemingly radical idea that the government should cover its budget deficit simply by creating money. But in his new book, Reset, Professor Ross Garnaut, one of our most respected economists, has joined the young turks". Quote:
Be careful about asserting who is "laughing at you": as Hazel Henderson - a brilliant early researcher of ecological economics - said: "(mainstream) economics is a form of brain damage". (see #171). (IMO, neoliberalism is merely a reflection of the law of the jungle dressed up as a 'science'). Quote:
Ah...dissension among writers in your favourite rag 'The Australian'?: (tweet) "Replying to @vanOnselenP and @australian I like the look of that headline but I'm still not spending a penny. Let's face it, Economics is not a science but the economic values of the Coalition are 40yrs old and decidedly dated. As long as Labor remember that deficit is not debt they'll do better than LNP. 1:20 PM · May 24, 2022 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 1st, 2022 at 11:57pm
So the problem facing Jim Chalmers (and Oz electricty consumers) is the global sky-rocketing price of gas, caused by banning/withdrawal of Russian gas, in the EU.
But NOT caused by any lack of Oz's own gas supply, in Oz. [Apparently a gas reservation policy is not acceptable, because existing overseas gas export contracts must be fulfilled. (WA is different because that state has always had a 15% gas reservation policy, hence NW-shelf gas prices in WA are stable)]. Obvious solution: Aust. government subsidizes Oz gas in Oz, by crediting the accounts of Santos** etc to make up the difference between a politically acceptable local Oz price and the sky-rocketing overseas price. **by changing the digits in the bank accounts of those companies. Electronic money received by the Oz companies could be used to improve the debt positions of those companies, not for a spending spree in Oz. Note: the money supply in Australia would not increase, hence no chance of causing inflation; and Oz gas supply - and price - for local consumption would remain stable. Comments? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 12:30pm
More on government debt and deficits
The new Australian treasurer’s comprehension of his brief is dire http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=49896&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email "If ..... we are operating within the real resource space that is available to government (which means we are at full employment with the correct distribution of resource usage between public and private to achieve the aspirations of society) then the (deficit or surplus) number that is accounted for at the end of each financial year as the fiscal deficit or surplus is just a passing curiosity. Those financial numbers should never be the target of policy makers. The aspirations are the targets and the numbers will be whatever it takes to achieve the targets for societal well-being. Fiscal conservatives don’t understand that, which is why the Labor Right are unqualified to be in charge of fiscal policy. Cue to the first few press conferences that the new Treasurer has given in the last few days. The new Treasurer (Jim Chalmers - labor Right faction) published an Op Ed today (June 2, 2022) in the Murdoch press – with the headline “There’s no use mincing words: our challenges are dire”. Already finding excuses to wind back expectations in the next three years. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by FutureTheLeftWant on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 12:34pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 12:30pm:
The Liberals burned this place to the ground, They are telling us what they are finding |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 10:59pm FutureTheLeftWant wrote on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 12:34pm:
Well yes, but Chalmers is also pushing the debt and deficit myth, whereas he could authorize the central bank to write-off the government's covid debt, ("money" which should never have been borrowed by selling bonds, in the first place). Here is Akan Koher's latest take on the matter: https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2022/05/30/tax-inquiry-jim-chalmers-alan-kohler/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20News%20-%2020220530 Alan Kohler: Jim Chalmers needs an inquiry into tax "So we have travelled down the yellow brick road to..... ......Modern Monetary Theory, in which the government-owned Reserve Bank buys government debt, and the debt and deficits don’t matter, or rather only matter to the extent that they cause inflation … in theory, anyway. In practice, they either don’t cause inflation or it’s impossible to know." Ok, Kohler (like Ross Gittins; see#170) is struggling with MMT, but he's on the right track.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 4th, 2022 at 11:55pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHLRpLeeO7U&t=9457s
Prof Fadhel Kaboub examines ongoing exploitation of the 'global South' by the rich North, and the necessity for debt cancellation, particularly in relation to transition to a green global economy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 5th, 2022 at 1:08pm
https://theconversation.com/australias-credit-rating-is-irrelevant-ignore-it-151579?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=twitterbutton
Australia’s credit rating is irrelevant. Ignore it "Although there are many constraints on what governments such as Australia’s can do (including the risk of inflation) such governments can’t become insolvent in their own currencies, because they are always able to supply them. Strictly speaking, they don’t need to borrow at all. They choose to do so. Where they do borrow, their lenders face a zero risk of default." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:30pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 1:08pm:
Why? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by random on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:56pm Frank wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:30pm:
Because they create money out of thin air. How will it work in practice? The RBA will be buying bonds from the "secondary market". What does that mean? Well, the Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM) sells bonds on behalf of the Federal Government (via Treasury). The bonds are sold to institutional investors (large foreign and local banks) with the promise of making regular interest payments to whoever buys them, along with a repayment of the principal at a set future date. Those institutional investors then create their own markets for those bonds (called "secondary markets"), by on-selling them to other investors such as pension funds and super funds, hedge funds, insurance companies, private banks and central banks, which want to hold interest-bearing assets in their portfolios. When the RBA buys Australian Government bonds, it buys them from that secondary market. Is this a form of money printing? According to Sean Callow, a senior currency strategist at Westpac, you can think of it like money printing. So does that make us feel less like slaves, being drip fed stuff that cost nothing to make? https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-04/what-is-quantitative-easing-and-how-does-it-work/12842746 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 5th, 2022 at 4:06pm random wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:56pm:
Here is the same link live: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-04/what-is-quantitative-easing-and-how-does-it-work/12842746 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 5th, 2022 at 4:25pm Frank wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:30pm:
Because the present monetary arrangements are based on a 400 year-old convention which bans government from spending its own money, or in other words, which forces government to tax (on the one hand), or borrow from private financiers (by "buying bonds") on the other hand. As noted in the comments section of Bill Mitchell's MMT blog last Thursday: http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?m=20220602 "“Monday, June 13 14:45-16:00 – MMT and ZIRP (zero interest rate policy: What Happens If Treasury Stops Issuing Debt?” Looking forward to this. It appears to me that the vertical circuit paying interest is a 400 year old mistake that needs correcting. The interest rate and the quantity of credit should be entirely a private sector matter for them to decide amongst themselves within the horizontal circuit". For a sovereign currency backed by the power to tax, paying the tax vs the alternative of having your property confiscated and your liberty removed *is* the discount/interest rate. An interesting view re powers of the state to tax, vis a vis "liberty".... Note: vertical circuit refers to public sector borrowing involving the nation's treasury and central bank; as opposed to horizontal circuit involving creation of money when private banks lend money to credit worthy customers, with the central bank acting as the 'clearing house' to maintain stability in the private banking system, as with current arrangements which Mitchell refers to as "welfare for the rich" (via risk free interest bearing treasury bonds). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 10th, 2022 at 5:04pm
Alan Kolher on the stupidity of mainstream central bankers (the "druids" of economics...)
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2022/06/09/inflation-stupidities-alan-kohler/ Alan Kohler: The two great stupidities behind our inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 15th, 2022 at 11:27pm
Unlike Oz's economically illiterate journos, some of Japan's politicians aren't concerned about large government debt - and mainstream nonsense about "debt repair".
https://www.wsj.com/articles/japans-debt-debate-is-it-heading-for-a-titanic-crash-11654600541?mod=e2tw Japan Adopts View That Huge Government Debt Doesn’t Matter Shinzo Abe’s camp says deficit is misunderstood, but top finance officials seek balanced budget, likening the nation to a ship heading for an iceberg TOKYO—When Japan’s leader released his economic vision Tuesday, he left out an important date. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida deleted a pledge from earlier government statements calling for Japan’s budget to be balanced by 2025. And he declined to give a date by which Japan would do something to lower its government debt, while promising to significantly increase military spending". O dear..... more money for war.... But perhaps Kishida attended Oz MMT professor Bill Mitchell's speech in the Diet a couple of years back; and indeed Mitchell has been awarded a teaching position at a Tokyo tertiary institution. (Japan is unusual in that it has been fighting deflation ever since the property/share market crash in 1990). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:10pm
Japan Adopts View That Huge Government Debt Doesn’t Matter
Hopefully Chalmers wakes up, and ignores the mainstream calls for "budget repair". The government debt can exist forever, provided it's owed to treasury - see post #181. "Those institutional investors then create their own markets for those bonds (called "secondary markets"), by on-selling them to other investors such as pension funds and super funds, hedge funds, insurance companies, private banks and central banks, which want to hold interest-bearing assets in their portfolios. When the RBA buys Australian Government bonds, it buys them from that secondary market. Smoke and mirrors designed to hide the fact government can fund itself without taxing or borrowing from the private sector. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:58pm random wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:56pm:
So governments borrow money because they can create money out of thin air. And you are not out of your mind. Nor is the Great Cleavage. Hmmm... not buying. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 18th, 2022 at 11:27pm Frank wrote on Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:58pm:
They borrow money to hide the fact they can create money out of thin air, thus enabling private financiers to maintain control of the government's purse strings. " It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow. ...attr. to Henry Ford (but I recall someone else). Prof Bill Mitchell nails the deliberate deception: http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=49936 "Katy Gallagher is the new Finance Minister in the new Australian Labor Government and seems to think it is a good idea to repeat several times in each interview that the Australian government has a $1 trillion public debt balance outstanding while forgetting to mention a lot of that is being held by the Government itself, courtesy of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s bond buying program. Government loaning itself $As and going through an elaborate charade to pay itself interest (right pocket to left pocket), then pay itself to retire the debt on maturity (right pocket to left), then pay itself dividends (left pocket to right) and think we are all fooled. Well, we are mostly fooled, which is a testament to the scale of public miss-education that prevails in this nation." And here is one of the crooks Lowe himself attempting to deny the charade: http://www.rossgittins.com/2021/03/funding-budget-by-printing-money-is.html "So the real reason for worry about MMT isn’t the theory, but the practice. If you give a bunch of vote-buying politicians a licence to spend as much as they like up to a certain point, how could you be sure they’d stop, and revert to borrowing, when they reached that point? It’s this that Lowe is really on about, though he doesn’t want to say so. Since last year he’s had little choice but to join the other, bigger economies in resorting to “quantitative easing” (QE) – the central bank buying second-hand government bonds, so as to lower the “yields” (interest rates) on such bonds, but paying for them merely by crediting the bond sellers’ bank accounts." Quote:
And so Lowe and the private financiers he is supporting are 'laughing all the way to the bank' and are very pleased you remain hoodwinked..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 19th, 2022 at 11:57am Frank wrote on Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:58pm:
Further to the points in #188 above (from the Gittins article): "In his opening statement to the committee, Lowe insisted that “the RBA does not, and will not, directly finance governments. Note: Lowe does not say that the RBA CAN'T directly finance government, only that it won't...) The bonds we own will have to be repaid in the same way as if they were owned by others. “We are lowering the cost of finance for governments – as we are for all borrowers – but we are not providing direct finance. There remains a strong separation between monetary and fiscal [budgetary] policy,” he said. That last sentence is the key to why Lowe is drawing such fine distinctions. Fiscal policy is controlled by the politicians, whereas monetary policy is controlled by the Reserve, which is independent of the elected government. In his opening statement to the committee, Lowe insisted that “the RBA does not, and will not, directly finance governments. The bonds we own will have to be repaid in the same way as if they were owned by others. “We are lowering the cost of finance for governments – as we are for all borrowers – but we are not providing direct finance. There remains a strong separation between monetary and fiscal [budgetary] policy,” he said. That last sentence is the key to why Lowe is drawing such fine distinctions. Fiscal policy is controlled by the politicians, whereas monetary policy is controlled by the Reserve, which is independent of the elected government. That last sentence .....continuing the 'debt-money' fraud, to convince the electorate the government CAN'T fund itself without taxing or borrowing, a fraud fully exposed in #188 above. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 20th, 2022 at 12:00pm
Crypto currencies - supposed to replace fiat currencies - lose their lustre.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/the-crypto-crash-all-ponzi-schemes-topple-eventually/ar-AAYD4k9?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=8e0c9bce368a49dc9a7c54d2fa62ee4d The Crypto Crash: all Ponzi schemes topple eventually Robert Reich - Yesterday 3:59 pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 20th, 2022 at 4:15pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/crypto-industry-gripped-by-anxiety-as-bitcoin-wobbles-near-key-20-000-level/ar-AAYDATa?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=290c03ae3118428e9481a02928945617
Money is "created out of thin air' ... but be careful in which form of "money" you invest... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 1:09pm
To recap: some basics re money creation:
1. as the population increases, so does the amount of money have to increase. 2. which means the money must be created - out of thin air, where else can the extra money come from? 3. the privilege of creating money out of thin air is reserved for private financiers (banks); as Philip Lowe has asserted, government bonds have to be repaid - to private financiers. Even though there is no logical reason for this assertion; government with its own treasury and central bank can buy - for free - whatever is available for sale, in the nation's currency, because currency-issuing governments can - or rather, should be authorized to create money out of thin air, just as private banksters do when they write loans for credit-worthy customers. 4. this is the great 'public austerity' rip-off; private financiers demanding that the public sector (govt.) must tax, or borrow from private sector money-creators who charge interest on loans. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 9:07pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 1:09pm:
Your stupidity has been overtaken by an even greater stupidity on these boards. How does it feel? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 11:33am Frank wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 9:07pm:
You still having trouble getting past point #2 in the above list? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 4:06pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 11:33am:
It's bollocks. Money signifies value, not thin air. You have a fixation about thin air which, like sex, becomes really important only when you are not getting any. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 6:26pm Frank wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 4:06pm:
[But note: "thin air" is infinite, sex is not.....usually....] You could try explaining to us where the extra money to serve a growing population comes from. In any case, of course money, even in the form of worthless paper, signifies the nominated value, as does money existing only virtually (not physically) in computers....created out of thin air as explained in this article: https://medium.datadriveninvestor.com/who-creates-money-out-of-thin-air-2df3eac8bf2b "Two actors create this money: the Government and commercial banks (regular banks). The Government creates only 10% of the virtual money while banks create the other 90%. Let’s start with the government. The Government Creates Money "The Federal Open Market Committee (12 people, whose chairman is Jerome H. Powell) sit down on a regular basis and decide how much money ought to be created. Once defined, the Fed buys and sells pieces of debt paper (virtual paper and transactions) to banks in an auction. For example, if the Fed aims to add $5 billion to the economy, it will simply buy $5 billion of virtual debt, called Treasury bonds thus adding $5 billion of new money. The Fed pays banks in virtual money and receives in return these virtual pieces of paper. There are no savings on the Fed’s account, so he Fed basically creates money out of thin air by issuing a payment to a bank. These treasury bonds are used to finance government activity." [note: MMT disposes of this bond issuance by the government, which simply authorizes the direct spending of debt/interest-free money into the economy to fund social services (the limit being the actual availability of resources ie, available for purchase by the currency-issuing government, on which to spend the money, to avoid inflation). Banks Create *almost all* of the Money Banks create money by something called "fractional reserve banking and the money multiplier". Sounds scary? It is not. It means that the bank only reserves a fraction of money from its clients and the rest is lent out. When you deposit money into a bank account, say $100, it is stored in a vault and no one touches it, right? Wrong. Only a fraction of that is reserved say $10, and the rest is put back in circulation — thus creating new money. The $90 is new money created out of thin air, since now Person A has $100 in the bank account while Person B has $90 in hand. Person B then deposits the $90 where $9 is reserved and $81 is lent out. You can see where the word "multiplier" comes from. A single deposit of $100 will generate several times new money. and: https://bsahely.com/2019/05/12/the-future-of-money-chapter-2-chapter-3-bernard-lietaer-1999/ Chapter 2: Today's money. “The study of money, above all fields in economics, is the one in which complexity is used to disguise truth, or evade truth, not to reveal it.” John Kenneth Galbraith1 "Economics textbooks deal with the question of what money does, but not with what money is. By asking the deceptively simple question “What is money?” we are put in touch with money’s age-old magic. This chapter will clarify the mystery by showing that money is not a thing, but an agreement – usually an unconscious one". And guess what: agreements are created out of thin air.... Time for a rethink..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 7:23pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 6:26pm:
Er.... the wealth they produce. but a lot of migrants are unproductive. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 24th, 2022 at 11:51am Frank wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 7:23pm:
But they will need money to produce and consume that 'wealth' (actually resources, goods and services). Where will the extra money come from (required by the growing population?) Quote:
...?? not only migrants?? - beside the point. Where does the extra money come from, when a nation's money increases from $1 trillion to (say) $2 trillion, due to population growth? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 27th, 2022 at 12:09pm
Today on the ABC, mainstream journalists like Chris Uhlmann and David Bevan still banging on about government debt and the need for "budget repair".
Losers. A currency-issuing government should never borrow in the first place. The task for government is to oversee mobilization of the nation's resources, by balancing expenditures (and money creation) in the public and private sectors, to maximize the nation's productivity AND social well-being. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 28th, 2022 at 2:09pm
https://files.modernmoney.network/M3F000001.pdf
THE NEW MONETARY POLICY Reimagining Demand Management and Price Stability in the 21st Century. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 7th, 2022 at 12:55pm
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-deadly-altruism-of-economics?r=da5yr&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email/
"Corporate economists and consultants will say what their employers want them to say. But in general, mainstream academic economists say what they say because they genuinely believe it to be true, not because they're being paid to knowingly state falsehoods. And not only are that, they are doing it altruistically: they genuinely believe that, if everyone believed in their vision of capitalism, and their advice were always followed, then the world would be a better place. That is why they are so dangerous. It's not because their intentions are bad—anything but. It's because the vision which they fervently believe accurately describes the real world—and how it can be made better—is utterly false. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Linus on Jul 7th, 2022 at 2:17pm
MMT is a seductive theory. Yes, I agree with its understanding of money creation. Yes, the banks create money out of "thin air". Yes, the government can do it. Yes, it can take money out of the system or reduce money supply to avert inflation. Yes, it can fund all the good things people might want. But that's where it gets tricky.
The downside is whether you can entrust a government with that much power? You can imagine a government spending money on hair-brained schemes, paying exorbitant amounts for things that have no value, stifling innovation and incentive due to whatever particular vision the government has in mind. It could stifle people's freedom and creativity and what they really want at the whim of clueless bureaucrats. It's basically an open door to totalitarianism of one form or another, a centralised economy. You know how well that turned out for the Soviet Union. A centralised government can't respond to changing circumstances, wants and needs in an efficient way. Bureaucrat orders 30,000,000 pairs of boots. He/she pontificates, "The people need them, it is therefore good." Resources are funneled into that endevour . Oh wait, people don't like the freak'n' style, fit , colour etc. Wait, phaark, we didn't anticipate the need for that much toilet paper. Now people are queuing up for miles to get some dunny wrap. Sorry, I don't trust governments or their bureaucrats enough to give them that kind of power. Even with the power they have now, they have shown over time how incompetent, narrow-minded, self-serving, petty, mean , intransigent and dangerous they can be. Of course, if that's what you want, by all means give some limited, faulty humans that kind of power over you. But I don't think you'll be getting the Nirvana you expect. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Baronvonrort on Jul 10th, 2022 at 8:10pm
Sri Lanka is an example of what happens when people embrace MMT.
Quote:
Mr Mosler is doing alright from his book on voodoo economics. ;D ![]() |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 11th, 2022 at 1:08pm Linus wrote on Jul 7th, 2022 at 2:17pm:
So far, so good. Well. if the government understands (the limits of) the nation's productive capacity, the government is in a position to outline to the electorate the various spending options available to the governement, eg increase in number and wages of age care workers (ie if the workers are available); increase in quantity of social/public housing (if builders and materials are available); increase in tertiary-level R&D at public universities (if staff are available)....and funding vaccinations if vaccines are available - it's ridiculius to claim the government can't "afford" to fund mass vaccination because of government debt, when the vaccines are available. Quote:
Addressed above; not a matter of "trust", but a matter of public transparency, and clear outline of the necessary choices, as the nation's productive capacity is reached. Quote:
Addressed above. If by law treasury and central bank are required to illustrate capacity to fund programs (which means they must show that the resources/capacity to build the programs exists), then the electorate will be able to weed out the "hair-brained schemes", and indeed choose between sensible desirable programs, in as much as the nation's productive capacity requires a choice to be made between desirable programs. Quote:
Certainly, a system in which government is freed from the requirement to borrow from the private sector might be considered a form of "communism" , but one which is so different to that of the former USSR, as to be a completely different system...because in MMT the electorate would choose the programs** which treasury and central bank will fund. ) ** the opposite of "totalitarianisn". Quote:
The private sector can already produce boots and dunny paper quite efficiently, as various manufacturers compete to make a profit. Refer to the above examples where the electorate might want the government to fund various programs which the private sector is unable to deliver at affordable prices, eg public housing, good wages in the care sector, and even affordable energy at a time when the globe has to exit fossils. Quote:
Politicians are FORCED to play their silly adversarial 2-(or more) party games, BECAUSE they are all limited by taxes (and borrowing) - for which the electorate don't want to pay. So we have the endless BS contest between high taxes and necessary public spending, versus low taxes and "keeping your own hard-earned money". Quote:
Hopefully I have shed some light on your fears and doubts. Meanwhile, consider the madness of the present government borrowing arrangements (outlined in #181): ...the Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM) sells bonds on behalf of the Federal Government (via Treasury). The bonds are sold to institutional investors (large foreign and local banks) with the promise of making regular interest payments to whoever buys them, along with a repayment of the principal at a set future date Ie, the government promises to pay interest to these private banks, and to add insult to injury, the government will then buy these bonds back, to fund spending, to avoiding raising taxes.... That's what the Oz central bank did at the start of the pandemic, when the govt. needed $20 billion a month to get rid of those unemployment queues stretching around entire city blocks.... And now we are told the government is broke, and with a $trillion debt to boot - sheer madness, not to mention an evil ripoff of the public sector by private sector financiers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 12:13pm Baronvonrort wrote on Jul 10th, 2022 at 8:10pm:
Wrong. People don't embrace MMT, actually it's still illegal at present. Quote:
In fact Sri Lanka broke a cardinal rule of MMT: a nation should NEVER borrow in a foreign currency. https://www.reuters.com/article/sri-lanka-debt-bond-idUSL3N20U2CH March 7 2019. UPDATE 4-Sri Lanka raises $2.4 bln in dollar bond sale - term sheet . The first mistake, compounded by many others. Note: there was and is no hyperinflation in Sri Lanka, there is a lack of foreign reserves, due to loss of overseas tourism during the pandemic and other factors. Quote:
The voodoo economics is the current neoliberal/neo Keynesian nightmare, entrenched and enforced from the IMF down (Instant Misery Fund). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Linus on Jul 12th, 2022 at 1:06pm
@ TGD
We both agree on the tenets of MMT. However, your ideas of "public transparency" and the "electorate" are too optimistic. Governments of all persuasions are very capable of bamboozling the public and keeping it in the dark. The electorate is always slow and divided. When governments have free reign to create credit, they will become unaccountable for their choices, con people into thinking that they are right, stall, or otherwise muzzle them. They'll have the money to do it. That kind of power will lead to cronyism, favouritism and the pursuit of projects that go down blind paths and crowd out more worthwhile areas of public investment. Again, they'll have the money to do it. History has shown it over and over again. Centralised power cannot be trusted, no matter what good intentions there are. Even with our current system, our "democracy", the overreach has been insidious and gobsmacking. You are just removing one more fetter to make government all the more dangerous. Now, perhaps, in some more decentralised arrangement where people have more power, and there are strong individual rights, I might be less pessimistic. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Linus on Jul 12th, 2022 at 1:11pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 12th, 2022 at 12:13pm:
The voodoo economics is the current neoliberal/neo Keynesian nightmare, entrenched and enforced from the IMF down (Instant Misery Fund). [/quote] Unfortunately, Sri Lanka had no choice but to rely on US dollars, simply because those from whom it buys various commodities and services,like India, demand to be paid in dollars. They don't place much value Sri Lanka's currency. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 2:14pm Linus wrote on Jul 12th, 2022 at 1:06pm:
Like I said, much of the blame can be sheeted home to the current adversarial party system, in which both sides are blinded by the current dog-eat dog neoliberal monetary orthodoxy. Change the system, and government corruption largely disappears because there will be no need of private money donations to fund government, and private lobbyists seeking favours from politicians. Quote:
You are apparently still unable to conceive of the transparency made possible with publicly-funded programs which rely on availability of resources, not money. Quote:
See above; will they have the RESOURCES (labour, materials, know-how) to do it? Quote:
Less cronyiism, because there will be no private funding of government. Quote:
MMT has never been legal because private financiers have always sought interest payments for the privilege of creating and lending money. Times are changing; the current AGW crisis (if real) may well be the catalyst to loosen the private financiers' grip on our lives, unless crippling national debt around the globe does the trick beforehand... Quote:
Consider government by benevolent authority, when citizens are freed from the privately-financed, dog eat dog market system. Quote:
Strong individual rights (of naturally self-interested individuals), if based on false notions of 'inherent natural individual rights' (which don't exist in nature) will lead nowhere - except anarchy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Linus on Jul 12th, 2022 at 4:03pm
You have an authoritarian whiff about you TGD. "A benevolent Authority", indeed. History has never seen one.
And it's interesting that you appear to believe in "transparency" and the "electorate" but don't favour individual rights, which would be a check to such an authority. This tilt at the idea of "benevolent authority" seems to brush aside the "electorate". And if father knows best "transparency'"be damned. You also quietly passed over "decentralistion" and replaced it with that rhetorical move. Me thinks you are starting to look a little shady there, TGD. "Anarchy"?! Oh God,run the sky is falling. Right? If decentralisation of power is done right, it could make for a more collaborative , grassroots up way of life, where people aren't alienated from the decision making regarding their lives, which won't really figure under the dodgy "benevolent authority" you favour, and barely figures today. An authority that will come with all the ills that I have already mentioned. You deny that will happen. History doesn't support you but your "benevolent authority" will be different, yeah? You wily authoritarian you. ::) MMT would work from a truly grassroots, collaborative system. We don't have one and if you put it into the hands of those running our current system, it won't end well, and even worse under "benevolent authoritarians" who know best. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 4:38pm Linus wrote on Jul 12th, 2022 at 4:03pm:
Touche...I detect a 'Libertarian' whiff about you... Time will tell: to achieve global (universal) sustainable prosperity (without war) will likely need a benevolent authority at the highest level, but history is what is is. Quote:
Individuals rights - eg "the pursuit of (individual) happiness", may not engender collective economic security, by definition: competitive individuals will often exploit market failure. Quote:
Addressed above. Your Libertarianism is showing.... Quote:
"Decentralization", as opposed to "Nationalization"? Even Menzies knew the market can't/won't house everyone, which is why he created the Public Housing Department, in the days before Milton Friedman's disastrous neoliberal supply side monetarism became mainstream (because the post war 'welfare state' Keynesian fiscal policies seemed to no longer work after the 70's oil price shock (the Arab oil embargo; and competition from low wage Asia) created stagflation in the Western economies. Quote:
Actually, in our world right now: 100 million refugees fleeing war and poverty; and in Oz, people sleeping in the CBD's of Melbourne and Sydney, while war - and market failure - means people can't afford to heat their freezing homes in winter. My definition of anarchy, even if you happen to be relatively comfortable. Quote:
You will have a hard time explaining how "decentralisation of power is done right". Admittedly much misery is caused by misguided globalization which is promoted by self-interested profit-seeking global companies who have no interest in national well-being. Eg self-sufficiency in food production should always be engendered; the cash crops recommended by the IMF (Instant Misery Fund) to achieve export income, often at the expense of local food-production-diversity, mostly ends in tears. Quote:
Good points. But MMT requires a national fiat-currency-issuer, in nations able to trade with other nations, under 'fair trade' not free trade rules. The current WTO (as a result of actions by our dear self-interested 'America First' Trump) is in a mess, blocked by the US from even electing the officials needed to oversee 'fair' as opposed to 'free' trade. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Linus on Jul 12th, 2022 at 7:18pm
I rather see myself as pro-social kind of guy, sensitive to individuals and would rather we all reach decisions in a genuine consensus fashion. The top-down approach is past its use-by date. It's rather the reason why this planet is falling apart. Yet you call for more of the same, albeit "benevolent," to solve the ills it causes and that you ostensibly decry. Sorry, but if we had time to experiment, I'd go with a bottom-up consensus where individuals really have a bona-fide stake in how their lives are decided.
Wherever you have some group or someone in authority it comes with arrogance, insensitive and petty officiousness, caprice, corruption, collusion, intransigence, opaqueness, cronyism, nepotism, favouritism, coercion, violence... etc. So, ok, you seem to be an old-style Stalinist who claims we can have a benevolent dictatorship.Ha! You're talking oxyMoron to my ears. I don't buy this "benevolent dictatorship". But I do buy the tenets of MMT and only think it should be tried in the right social environment. In the current one, with top-down government, top-down corporations, and top-down bureaucracies where people are "PEEons", we don't have it. This is where we shake hands TGD, and I walk away from your soapbox. And I'll say in parting that this planet is too far gone for anything to change much. Although we can hope,I think we're at the end of the road and that it's too late to experiment. We had our chances, we blew it. Time for the next species. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 8:06pm
A clear 'primer' on currency crises, and Sri Lanka; by Noah Smith
The basics: import dependence and currency crises Lots of countries depend on imports in order to maintain their standard of living — or, often, simply to live. Food and fuel are generally the most crucial imports — people can do without the latest iPhone, or a new car, but they can’t really do without food and transportation. And since lots of countries don’t have abundant domestic resources of food and fuel, these must often be imported from abroad. Sri Lanka is a good example of this. About 22% of the calories Sri Lankans consume come from imported food. And fuel is Sri Lanka’s top import. Without imports, many Sri Lankans will quickly find themselves hungry, stranded, and without power. How do you pay for imports? With foreign currency. Suppose you’re a Sri Lankan and you’d like to buy some wheat from some American farmer. You can’t pay her in rupees; what’s she going to do with rupees? The American farmer needs dollars, to pay rent, to go out to eat, to pay taxes, etc. So you, the Sri Lankan food importer, need to come up with some dollars. If you don’t come up with some dollars, you can’t import the food. Those dollars (or whatever foreign currency you need to buy your imports) are sometimes referred to as foreign exchange, or “forex”. So where do you get the dollars? Well, you can do one of three things. Either you can swap, you can export, or you can borrow. 1) To swap means you go to the foreign exchange market and say “Here are some rupees, I’d like some dollars please!” And the foreign exchange market trades you some dollars for rupees at some exchange rate, and now you have some dollars. 2) To export means you sell some tea to an American consumer, you let the American pay you in dollars instead of rupees, and instead of going to the bank and swapping the dollars for rupees so you can pay rent or make payroll or whatever, you keep the dollars in a bank and use them to buy some wheat at some point. 3) To borrow means you go borrow some dollars from someone — either a domestic bank who has some dollars sitting around, or from foreigners. OK, so far so good. But here’s the danger. If your currency gets really weak, it makes it much harder to pay for the imports you need. What does it mean for a “currency to get weak”? In this case, it means that the value of the rupee goes down, so that you need to give up a lot more rupees to swap for each dollar in the foreign exchange market. If your income is mostly in rupees — as is true for most Sri Lankans — then this makes imports get very very expensive. A weaker rupee also makes it harder to borrow foreign currency. If you have to pay back dollars, but your income is in rupees, and suddenly the rupee gets a lot weaker, then your debt just got a lot more onerous. (And not just new borrowing either, but whatever you borrowed before that you still owe!) So, this is what happened to Sri Lanka. The Sri Lankan rupee got steadily weaker from 2015 to 2022, and then crashed in March. A weaker currency makes it much more expensive to borrow and swap to get foreign exchange. That leaves only one good way of getting foreign currency: Exports. If a country runs a trade surplus — that is, if it exports more than it imports — it’s probably OK if its currency gets weaker (we’ll talk about this case another day). But if your country runs a trade deficit, you’re in trouble — you don’t export enough to pay for your imports, and borrowing to make up the difference just got a lot harder. Sri Lanka runs a large and consistent trade deficit: Source: macrotrends.net So when Sri Lanka’s currency crashed, it was in big trouble. The imports that it relied on for daily life suddenly got a lot more expensive, and because it ran a trade deficit, the only way to get the additional foreign exchange it needed to keep buying those imports was to borrow — but because its currency crashed, borrowing suddenly got a lot more expensive. (This is why a currency crisis is also sometimes called a balance-of-payments crisis.) When the country’s prime minister said last week that the country is “bankrupt”, this is what he meant — it meant there wasn’t enough foreign exchange to pay for needed imports. So Sri Lankans suddenly couldn’t buy enough food or fuel, and they got mad and toppled the government. That’s really the basic story here, and it’s not an unusual story at all. Currency crises like this are fairly common. In fact, there are also a couple of other features of crises like these that are very common — and which are present in Sri Lanka’s case. I’ll explain these in the next section. Macro mistakes: Exchange rate pegs and foreign currency borrowing There are two things that a lot of countries do in order to get more imports during normal times: They peg their exchange rates, and They borrow a lot of foreign currency. Both of these things are dangerous, because they make a country more vulnerable to a currency crisis like the one described in the previous section. And Sri Lanka did both of these things. First, let’s talk about exchange rate pegs. An exchange rate peg is a way of keeping the value of your currency at a high level, so your country can easily afford lots of cheap imports. It means the government says “Everyone must trade rupees for dollars at the rate of 200 rupees per dollar”, even if most traders don’t really think the rupee is worth that much. (cont) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 8:09pm
cont.
So what if traders in the foreign exchange market decide to start trading rupees for dollars 350 rupees per dollar? Well then, somehow, the government has to intervene to force the price of the rupee up to 200 per dollar. The way it usually does this is to have the central bank swap a bunch of dollars for rupees in the market every time the rupee gets weaker. This drives the price of the dollar down and driving the price of the rupee up, bringing the exchange rate back to the pegged value. This is called intervening in foreign exchange markets. Central banks maintain stashes of dollars (actually bonds that they can quickly sell for dollars) in order to be able to intervene. These are called foreign exchange reserves. Now, if the central bank had to actually intervene in currency markets all the time, it would quickly run out of foreign exchange reserves to sell. But the central bank doesn’t have to actually do this all the time (or at least, not much of it). Usually, traders simply assume that the central bank will do this if necessary, and so they don’t try to trade at a different price. So the exchange rate stays at the pegged level. But if traders suspect that the central bank is running low on foreign exchange reserves, they may try to “break the peg”, by all selling rupees for dollars at the same time. If the central bank runs out of reserves, it can no longer intervene to support the rupee’s value, and the rupee’s exchange rate crashes very abruptly and you get a currency crisis. Alternatively, if a whole bunch of people decide to move their money out of the country in a hurry (because they don’t like the way the political/economic situation is headed), they will swap their rupees for dollars or other foreign currencies. This is known as capital flight, also sometimes called a “sudden stop”. Capital flight puts downward pressure on the rupee, and forces the central bank to sell its foreign exchange reserves to maintain the peg. If it runs out of reserves, then bam, the peg breaks, the exchange rate crashes, and you get a currency crisis. Sri Lanka is a classic case of an exchange rate peg that got broken by capital flight. The country pegged its exchange rate against the U.S. dollar for a long time. Over the last couple of years, capital flight forced the Sri Lankan central bank to spend down its reserves: The government tried to stop the capital flight, but it failed. When the central bank felt that it no longer had enough reserves to defend the peg, the peg broke, and the Sri Lankan rupee abruptly fell by an enormous amount. This was the currency crisis. So why is an exchange rate peg a mistake? It’s not necessarily a bad thing — it can help create financial stability. But if you peg your exchange rate at a too-high level, you’re setting your country up for disaster, because any decline in the exchange rate will be sudden and catastrophic instead of slow and gradual. Slow and gradual declines give a country time to reverse course and fix whatever factors are driving down the exchange rate. A sudden collapse gives you no time at all. Thus, exchange rate pegs are very risky. The second thing a lot of countries do to get more imports is foreign currency borrowing. If you run a trade deficit, you need to borrow to make up the difference — basically if you can’t pay for your imports by selling exports, you have to pay with IOUs instead. Some countries, like the U.S., finance their trade deficits by borrowing in their own currencies — the U.S. borrows in U.S. dollars. This is pretty safe, because even if the dollar’s exchange rate goes down, that doesn’t change the value of the debt relative to the income of the people who have to pay back the debt. Americans make money in dollars and pay debt in dollars, so even if the dollar crashes, that doesn’t make their debts harder to pay off. But if you borrow in a foreign country’s currency, it’s a lot riskier. If Sri Lankans take out loans in dollars rather than in rupees, they’re taking a big risk. If the rupee gets much weaker against the dollar, it requires many more rupees in order to make payments on dollar-denominated debt. So why the heck would you ever borrow in a foreign currency? Why wouldn’t Sri Lankans just borrow in rupees in order to pay for their imports? The answer is that borrowing in rupees would be much more expensive. Foreign lenders are afraid that the rupee’s exchange rate will crash and the money they get paid back will then be worth a lot less. So they will charge a much higher interest rate on rupee loans to Sri Lankans, to compensate for this increased risk. Anyway, Sri Lankans chose to take the cheaper but much riskier option of borrowing a lot of money in foreign currency — mostly in dollars, but also some in Chinese yuan (RMB). This then came back to bite them when their currency crashed. As rupees became worth fewer and fewer dollars/yuan, Sri Lankans had to spend more and more rupees just to make payments on the money they had borrowed earlier: |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 8:12pm
(cont.)
If you can’t make payments on your debt, what do you do? Well, one thing you can do is default. Private companies can default, and so can the government itself. The Sri Lankan government did exactly this in May, with its first ever sovereign default. But it didn’t default on all its debt, so it may default more in the future. Another thing you can do to pay off your debt is to print a bunch of money (well, not literally print, but we still use that term). The Central Bank of Sri Lanka can’t print dollars (only the U.S. can do that), and it can’t print yuan (only the People’s Bank of China can do that). The Central Bank of Sri Lanka can only print rupees. But if you print a bunch of rupees, you will probably get inflation. And in fact, Sri Lanka has been getting serious inflation recently: High inflation makes people very mad, and it also tends to weaken economic growth — making it even harder to pay back debt. Sovereign default also tends to hurt the economy pretty severely for a few years (though countries tend to recover after that). And of course, not having enough food or fuel hurts the economy too. So all these things make it even harder to pay back dollar-denominated debt, prompting more defaults and/or inflation, and the whole thing has a tendency to just spiral for a while. So far, nothing I’ve described is unique to Sri Lanka. In fact, everything I’ve described here is very common — so common that this type of story is referred to as an “emerging-market crisis”, because this basic pattern happens so often in developing nations (even in weird cases like Cuba). Sri Lanka’s crisis features all of the standard, textbook elements: An import-dependent country A persistent trade deficit A pegged exchange rate Lots of foreign-currency borrowing Capital flight (sudden stop) An exchange rate crash (balance-of-payments crisis) A sovereign default Accelerating inflation If I were writing a hypothetical example of an emerging-market crisis for a textbook, it would look exactly like Sri Lanka’s crisis. So why then, do most of the stories about the crisis focus on other policy mistakes that Sri Lanka made in the preceding years? Because in the back of their minds, economics reporters already know all the stuff I just explained. Now you know it too! And knowing this will help us understand how those policy mistakes triggered the crisis. Micro mistakes: The triggers for this particular crisis The two classic, standard macroeconomic mistakes that Sri Lanka made were to peg its exchange rate too high, and to borrow a lot in foreign currency. Those two errors set the country up for a currency crisis. Let’s talk about that foreign currency borrowing. One reason Sri Lanka did this was simply to be able to afford more imports — i.e. to live beyond its current means. But this was far from Sri Lanka’s only bad business decision under the Rajapaksas. The government dished out a huge tax cut in 2019, hoping that this would stimulate the economy. But it didn’t stimulate the economy very much, and certainly not enough to raise revenues. As usual, Art Laffer was wrong. Falling revenues made it harder for Sri Lanka’s government to pay off its rising foreign-currency debt, setting it up for a crisis. But the most boneheaded, bizarre mistake that the Sri Lankan government made was a disastrous plan to shift the entire country to organic agriculture. In April of 2021 the government banned the import and use of pesticides and synthetic fertilizers. This devastated Sri Lankan agriculture, since, as it turns out, fertilizer is really really important. Production of tea — Sri Lanka’s main cash crop — fell by 18% in a year. This debacle did several things. First, by weakening tax revenues, it made the government less capable of repaying debt denominated in foreign currencies. Second, by weakening the economy, it gave Sri Lankans a reason to move their money overseas, which encouraged capital flight and put downward pressure on the rupee. Cont. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 8:16pm
(final)
And third, because agricultural products are a substantial percent of Sri Lanka’s exports, the devastation of export revenue made it much harder for Sri Lanka to get the foreign exchange it needed to A) keep paying for imported food and fuel, and B) keep making payments on foreign-denominated debt. I do not understand why Sri Lanka did this very dumb thing. If you want, you can read some backgrounders on why they did this. But what I do know is that this substantially increased the risk of a currency crisis in several different ways. The organic farming debacle was not the only trigger for the crisis — Covid and a rash of terrorist bombings have combined to devastate Sri Lanka’s tourism industry, another key source of foreign exchange. The war in Ukraine deprived Sri Lanka of yet more sources of foreign currency, since Russia and Ukraine were a big source of tourists for the island nation, and Russia was a big buyer of its tea. Now the economic crisis is hurting tourism even more, of course. And because of all Sri Lanka’s other mistakes that set it up for a textbook emerging-market crisis, Covid, terrorism, and the farming debacle were enough to trigger capital flight, the breaking of the currency peg, the currency crisis, and the downward spiral of default, inflation, and devastating shortages. So what lessons can other countries learn from Sri Lanka’s crisis? The U.S. isn’t in a similar situation at all, so there are relatively few lessons for us — when we have economic crises, they tend to be of a different variety. But other emerging markets can definitely draw lessons here. First, don’t do boneheaded things like banning fertilizer. Second, be careful about borrowing a ton of money from foreign governments. But the best way to make sure you don’t have a currency crisis is to not set yourself up for one in the first place. Don’t run large and persistent trade deficits if you can’t borrow cheaply in your own currency. Don’t borrow a ton of money denominated in foreign currencies. And don’t peg your exchange rate too high. It’s always tempting to play populist and shower your people with underpriced imports in the short term. But in the long term this just never works. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 13th, 2022 at 1:42pm Linus wrote on Jul 12th, 2022 at 7:18pm:
Don't give up hope, surely humans remain creative enough to save themselves (despite themselves). We just have to learn to manage the power of the (individual) survival instinct, to engender collective well-being and security. An interesting article on 'populist right' versus 'neoliberalism': https://tribunemag.co.uk/2021/06/hayeks-bastards-the-populist-rights-neoliberal-roots Hayek’s Bastards: The Populist Right’s Neoliberal Roots "There is a stubborn story about the last half-decade that explains right-wing populism as a grassroots backlash against something called neoliberalism. Neoliberalism is often described as market fundamentalism, or the belief that everything on the planet has a price tag, borders are obsolete, the world economy should replace nation-states, and human life is reducible to a cycle of earn, spend, borrow, die. The ‘new’ right, by contrast, claims to believe in the people, national sovereignty, and the importance of culture. As mainstream parties lose support, the elites who promoted neoliberalism out of self-interest seem to be reaping the fruits of the inequality and democratic disempowerment they sowed. But this story is wrong. By looking more closely, we can see that important factions of the emerging right are, in fact, mutant strains of neoliberalism. After all, the parties dubbed ‘right-wing populist’ from the United States to Britain and Austria have never acted as avenging angels sent to smite economic globalisation. They have offered no plans to rein in finance, restore a golden age of job security, or end world trade." By and large, the so-called populists’ calls to privatise, deregulate, and slash taxes come straight from the playbook shared by the world’s leaders for the past thirty years. But more fundamentally, to understand neoliberalism as an apocalyptic hyper-marketisation of everything is both vague and misleading. As many histories now show, far from conjuring up a vision of capitalism without states, the neoliberals that gathered around the Mont Pelerin Society founded by Friedrich Hayek (who used the term ‘neoliberalism’ as self-description into the 1950s) have reflected for nearly a century about how the state needs to be rethought to restrict democracy without eliminating it and how national and supranational institutions can be used to protect competition and exchange. When we see neoliberalism as a project of retooling the state to save capitalism, then its supposed opposition to the populism of the Right begins to dissolve. Both neoliberals and the new right scorn egalitarianism, global economic equality, and solidarity beyond the nation. Both see capitalism as inevitable and judge citizens by the standards of productivity and efficiency. Perhaps most strikingly, both draw from the same pantheon of heroes. A case in point is Hayek himself, who is an icon on both sides of the neoliberal-populist divide. MMT to the rescue? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 15th, 2022 at 3:37pm
I showed Albo a copy of 'The Deficit Myth' just before the recent election; maybe he will recall it when dealing this dilemma:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/albanese-leaves-door-open-to-pandemic-payment-restart-as-south-australia-joins-push/ar-AAZAKXn?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=33b9b00d12864e56baf328774d16c987 Albanese leaves door open to pandemic payment restart as South Australia joins push Of course Chalmers will be banging on about government debt; it will interesting to see how the cabinet divides on the issue... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2022 at 12:59pm
Well, following yesterday's post, we see Albo agreed to keep funding covid-emergency payments until Sept. 30th at least, despite "the $1 trillion government debt which must be repaid".
Labor aren't complete turds, after all. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:38pm
Finance Minister Katy Gallagher saying today: "obviously the money which the government borrowed has to be paid back" - with interest.
My memo to Katy: As a private citizen, I have to carefully consider the debts I incur, taking regard of my ability to repay them, in an environment of variable interest rates. I do not consider it acceptable to also be on the hook for the government's debts for which I had no responsibility. Therefore I propose government be banned from borrowing money at all. Indeed, a currency-issuing government with a national treasury and reserve bank should NEVER borrow money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:46pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:38pm:
Thank you, you have said this crap often enough already. Be seated. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2022 at 10:54pm Frank wrote on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:46pm:
Can you identify WHY it is crap? If you can, I will do as you say.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 19th, 2022 at 12:24pm
The terrible consequences of the triumph of global neoliberalism, after the collapse of the USSR:
https://branko2f7.substack.com/p/hopelessness?r=16uxt&s=w&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web "That today’s world situation is the worst since the end of the Second World War is not an excessive, nor original, statement. As we teeter on the brink of a nuclear war, it does not require too many words to convince people that this is so. The question is: how did we get here? And is there a way out?" |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 24th, 2022 at 11:27am
Joseph Stiglitz on taxation for a progressive society
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2022/07/23/joseph-stiglitz-how-make-australia-richer#mtr "We need a democratic debate. The problem is, as we move away from “one person, one vote” to “one dollar, one vote”, these debates get a lot harder to have. They become especially hard to have in the absence of a robust and diversified media. A few very wealthy people disproportionately controlling the media is a problem for democratic governance in many countries. We need to always be exploring that boundary about the role and rights of the individual, the role of regulation and the government, and about how to keep our democracies and societies safe. That’s not just a role for economists, but other social scientists as well. Indeed, it’s a question that all citizens need to be thinking about". [MMT of course would free the public sector from the greedy grasp of the private sector, but Stiglitz is facing the world as it is, given the current neoliberal monetarist orthodoxy.] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 25th, 2022 at 12:20pm
https://realprogressives.org/podcast_episode/episode-180-the-end-of-dollar-diplomacy-with-steve-keen-and-michael-hudson/
Episode 180 – The End of US Dollar Diplomacy? with Steve Keen and Michael Hudson "Keen and Hudson are two old friends, each with their own distinct but overlapping focus. Between them they bring colorful insights and information to the conversation. In this episode they touch on the American Constitution, the stranglehold of the FIRE sector, and the history of debt jubilees. They talk about the European Green Parties (spoiler alert: these parties are cheerleaders for neoliberalism). They contrast and compare the World Bank to the Bank of China, and their respective roles vis-à-vis humanity. They discuss de-development and possibilities for the future of the planet. ........ [I'm not so sure the PBofC understands MMT; and I prefer to speak of increasing the quality of life (not measured by consumption) rather than "de-development", though it's possible this is what Keen and Hudson also mean]. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Ye Grappler on Jul 25th, 2022 at 5:57pm
Now it's CCP Dollar Diplomacy... good-o - they can offer me a few lazy tens of millions and I'll take it, then crawfish on the deal...
Is there some comparative value between one type of Diplomatic Dollar and another .... say White Dullah Bad ... Tinted Dullah Good?? If the PIslanders play their cards right, they'll cop a motza from both sides... and funnel it all through their family connections and such... win-win-win and eating lobster every day... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 26th, 2022 at 12:51pm Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Jul 25th, 2022 at 5:57pm:
The exchange value of a nation's fiat currency is largely (but not exclusively) dependent on the nation's productive capacity, AND the desirability of the nation's products on overseas markets. Post WW2, the US dollar has had the privilege of global reserve currency, but Hudson sees the end of this $US status by mid-century, simply because China's real economy is more productive than the post-industrial, FIRE economy of the US. China is already the world's largest trading partner with nations in both the developing and developed world " In 2013, China became the largest trading nation in the world. The United States previously held that position." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 26th, 2022 at 1:32pm
Pertinent article from Gareth Hutchens, business and economics journalist:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-24/rba-review-will-it-consider-how-money-is-created-by-the-rba/101263806 It's the last taboo in central banking. So will the RBA review look at how money is created? By business reporter Gareth Hutchens. ......... So Philip Lowe should have directly funded the government's covid rescue package, during the pandemic lock-downs, by simply paying the essential bills of locked-down workers. No more, no less; and certainly not to people who maintained their jobs, or to businesses like Harvey Norman who prospered through the pandemic. That would have avoided two things: 1. creating a build up of funds in private bank accounts which are to blame for the apparent increase in consumer purchasing power (post lockdowns), in an environment of supply chain blockages. 2. creating massive government debt which "must be repaid" to private sector financiers, an absurd situation which will burden future governments for a generation. MMT actually offers the opportunity to banish "inflation" to the dust-bin of history, because central banks could maintain zero interest rates, and directly fund government spending. The real issue is maintaining a balance between the nation's productive capacity, and demand on available resources. More than one way (ie manipulating central bank interest rates) to skin a cat. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 29th, 2022 at 11:31pm
The fascinating history of charging interest on loans.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usury and Thomas Aquina's thoughts: St. Thomas Aquinas, the leading scholastic theologian of the Catholic Church, argued charging of interest is wrong because it amounts to "double charging", charging for both the thing and the use of the thing. Aquinas said this would be morally wrong in the same way as if one sold a bottle of wine, charged for the bottle of wine, and then charged for the person using the wine to actually drink it.[49] Similarly, one cannot charge for a piece of cake and for the eating of the piece of cake. Yet this, said Aquinas, is what usury does. Money is a medium of exchange, and is used up when it is spent. To charge for the money and for its use (by spending) is therefore to charge for the money twice. It is also to sell time since the usurer charges, in effect, for the time that the money is in the hands of the borrower. Time, however, is not a commodity for which anyone can charge. In condemning usury Aquinas was much influenced by the recently rediscovered philosophical writings of Aristotle and his desire to assimilate Greek philosophy with Christian theology. Aquinas argued that in the case of usury, as in other aspects of Christian revelation, Christian doctrine is reinforced by Aristotelian natural law rationalism. Aristotle's argument is that interest is unnatural, since money, as a sterile element, cannot naturally reproduce itself. Thus, usury conflicts with natural law just as it offends Christian revelation: see Thought of Thomas Aquinas. As such, Aquinas taught "that interest is inherently unjust and one who charges interest sins." Well, an amazing philosophical examination of money; he certainly knew money is created out of thin air; and that Thatcher's dictum "there is no such thing as a magic money tree" is a simplistic misunderstanding of money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 1st, 2022 at 1:18pm
More from Gareth Hutchens (see #227 previous)
Neoliberalism: Full employment abandoned. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-05/interest-rates-rise-expected-to-increase-unemployment/101192934 Rising interest rates could spark job losses. Is this the best system we have? "But a few weeks ago, American economist Larry Summers said if US policymakers wanted to get their inflation under control they'd have to allow unemployment to rise significantly in coming years. He said there were few options available to them. "We need five years of unemployment above 5 per cent to contain inflation — in other words, we need two years of 7.5 per cent unemployment or five years of 6 per cent unemployment or one year of 10 per cent unemployment," he said. It's not uncommon to hear an economist speak so frankly, and Mr Summers is as mainstream as it gets. But it was callous". Indeed, flat-earth neoliberal economists like Summers should be sacked, and forced to live on the dole until full employment is reached. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 3rd, 2022 at 4:17pm
Twitter today from Gareth Hutchens, ABC reporter, economics and business:
"My Twitter feed feels like it’s just economists on one side who are defending the system and saying nothing needs to change and everyone is dumb for thinking change is necessary, and then normal people on the other side who are despairing for themselves, their kids, & the planet". Brain-dead neoliberal economists , that is.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 5th, 2022 at 5:49pm
https://www.bard.edu/news/bard-economist-l-randall-wray-wins-2022-veblen-commons-award-in-recognition-of-significant-contributions-to-evolutionary-institutional-economics-2022-08-02
Bard Economist L. Randall Wray Wins 2022 Veblen-Commons Award in Recognition of Significant Contributions to Evolutionary Institutional Economics ...the Veblen-Commons Award is presented to scholars “on the basis of their contributions to a better understanding of both the economic process and the behavior of the major institutions that shape that process and society’s goals and values” (Trebing, 1992, 333). By recognizing significant contributions to institutional analysis, this award furthers the goal of institutional economics** to make the world a better place. ** that is, public sector (government) intervention into market economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 8th, 2022 at 10:31am
More on the disaster of privatization in employment services.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/aug/06/mutual-obligations-the-money-go-round-of-unemployment-industry?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other "In Australia’s welfare sector obligations are ‘mutual’, but profits flow only one way As jobseekers face ‘humiliating’ tasks to maintain payments, vast network of job agencies rakes in hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars". Neoliberalism gone mad. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 8th, 2022 at 10:50am
Tweet from 'Brave New Europe'
The Andalusian regional elections on 19 June showed Spain’s left coalition government is provoking political apathy amongst the poorest Spaniards What...you mean a Left coalition can't win the support of the poor?....(given that taxes are passe', governments of any stripe can't fund policies that might benefit the poor). Who'd have thunk it...while private financiers funding government are laughing all the way to the bank. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 11th, 2022 at 10:29am
https://www.crikey.com.au/2022/08/09/labor-the-new-party-of-capital/?utm_campaign=Daily&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter
Labor is now the party of capital. Progressive, social, groovy, but capital’s party it is. Labor may present itself as progressive and socially conscious, but it has a commitment to capital, and that will drive its actions. Any reform Labor is associated with will tend to be socio-cultural and individual — gender stuff, assisted dying, etc — rather than socio-economic or political. The pathway opens for Labor to be a fully integrated authoritarian neoliberal party**, increasingly the discipliner of the people it once sought to represent. **beginning in the Hawke/Keating era. Hence the disinterest in lifting the jobseeker rate, while insisting on stage 3 tax cuts benefiting high paid workers. As opposed to the ideals of 'Nugget' Coombs, Oz' first governor of the reserve bank, 1960-1968 during the high growth Menzies years): Coombs's political and economic views were formed by the Great Depression, which hit Australia in 1929 and caused a complete economic collapse in a country totally dependent on commodity exports for its prosperity. As a student in Perth, he was a socialist, but while he was studying at the London School of Economics, he became converted to the economic views of John Maynard Keynes. He spent the rest of his career pursuing Keynesian solutions to Australia's economic problems. Coombs deplored the breakdown of the postwar Keynesian economic consensus represented by Thatcherism, and in his 1990 book The Return of Scarcity he proposed a Common Wealth Estate to ensure a more equitable distribution of wealth. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 12th, 2022 at 10:30am
On Q&A last night, the question was asked whether capitalism is destroying democracy
(the topic was China's 'aggression' against Taiwan). The question received considerable support in the audience and among some panel members, others were more interested discussing why we have to go to war against China. But people agreed China was not responsible for the terrible poverty, unemployment and soaring inequality around the world, and low wages for working people leading to dissatisfaction with democracy even in first world countries. Unfortunately no-one noted the problem is not capitalism per se, but rather the evil monetary system which forces governments to borrow money from private financiers, meaning that public services are always woefully underfunded (eg age care workers, teachers, and social workers). Neoliberal toad Chalmers rejects MMT, I hope his tenure is short. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 13th, 2022 at 12:26pm
Some random questions and answers (via google):
1. Do governments buy their own bonds? When Fed policymakers decide they want to lower interest rates, the Fed buys government bonds. This purchase increases the price of bonds and lowers the interest rate on these bonds. (We can think of this as the Fed increasing the money supply, which makes money more plentiful and drives down the price of borrowing.) MMT comment: prof Bill Mitchell supports a central bank zero interest rate policy. 2. Why does the government buy or sell bonds? If the Fed buys bonds in the open market, it increases the money supply in the economy by swapping out bonds in exchange for cash to the general public. Conversely, if the Fed sells bonds, it decreases the money supply by removing cash from the economy in exchange for bonds. MMT comment: smoke and mirrors, to hide the process of money creation from the public. 3.Where does Fed get money to buy bonds? The Fed creates money by purchasing securities on the open market and adding the corresponding funds to the bank reserves of commercial banks. Banks then increase the money supply in circulation even more by making loans to consumers and businesses MMT comment: The government (with its own treasury + central bank) should directly fund government spending without borrowing (buying or selling bonds) , the limit of the funding being determined by the nation's productivity as manifested by whatever is available for sale to the government in the nation's currency. This what Ross Gittins means by "money printing": Quote:
Funding the budget by printing money is closer than you think |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 16th, 2022 at 11:53am
MMT to save the climate:
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/16/5908 Funding of the Energy Transition by Monetary Sovereign Countries Abstract If global energy consumption returns to its pre-pandemic growth rate, it will be almost impossible to transition to a zero-emission or net-zero-emission energy system by 2050 in the absence of large-scale CO2 removal. Since relying on unproven technologies for CO2 removal is speculative and risky, this paper considers an energy descent scenario for reaching zero greenhouse gas emissions from energy by 2050. To drive the rapid transition from fossil fuels to carbon-free energy sources and ensure demand reduction, funding is needed urgently in order to implement four strategies: (i) technology change, i.e., implementing the growth of zero-carbon energy production, end-use energy efficiency and ‘green’ energy carriers, together with ongoing R&D on CO2 removal; (ii) reducing climate impacts; (iii) reducing energy consumption by social and behavioural changes; and (iv) improving human wellbeing while increasing social justice. Modern monetary theory explains how monetary sovereign governments, with their own fiat currencies, can create the necessary funding without financial constraints, although constraints do result from the productive capacities of their economies. The energy transition could be part-funded by a significant transfer of resources from monetary sovereign countries of the global North to the global South, financed by currency issuance. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 18th, 2022 at 5:37pm
Article examining the wrong responses of the BofE , to counter inflation:
https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2022/08/18/inflation-is-a-passing-phase-what-we-need-is-help-to-get-through-it-rather-than-pain-to-punish-us-for-it/ Inflation is a passing phase: what we need is help to get through it rather than pain to punish us for it Posted on August 18 2022, "The second stage of this is recovery. This could happen in late 2023, but is more likely in 2024. The chance of this relatively short-term recovery depends entirely on the actions taken by the government now. If the plan by the government is to support people with all the help that they need with the aim of keeping people and families well, fit, fed, together and in both their homes and jobs then the recovery stage will be relatively quick. All the foundations for a return to normal will be in place if this is the policy. Unfortunately, this is not the policy. Tory leadership candidates are saying that they cannot help because there is no money (which we all know to be a lie, because they can create it) whilst the Bank of England is seeking to destroy the chance of people affording heat and food and the prospect of staying in their homes by increasing interest rates. Their intention is to crush spending power when it is already shattered. As a consequence, they want to force business closures and unemployment. They also want to create credit, rent and mortgage crises, all based on making debt unaffordable. In other words, their plan is to leave us in the worst possible place for recovery once prices stabilise, which they will despite, but most definitely not because of, the Bank of England's policies." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 19th, 2022 at 12:05pm
Tweet from Dr Steven Hail:
Steven Hail @StevenHailAus "Chris Bowen is a very intelligent man. I must admit to frustration when in his Climate Council conversation tonight he just hoped for more private investment in renewables. The option of major public investment to shift more rapidly didn't seem to be up for consideration." Of course, the ALP are thoroughly captured by neoliberal market orthodoxy; Andrew Leigh cites Larry Summers as a guide to economics..... :-[ |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 24th, 2022 at 4:51pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50347
It all adds up to the conclusion that system change is required not progressive tinkering Europe: "Europe is in a right royal mess and will further have to deviate from its currency architecture (Stability and Growth Pact, etc) if nations are to remain solvent. The latest Eurozone data released yesterday (August 23, 2022) – Global Flash Eurozone PMI – carried the headline: Eurozone business activity down for second month running as service sector growth grinds to a near-halt". The UK: "The High Pay Centre report notes that: The fact that pay levels for FTSE 100 CEOs raced away from the average UK worker between the 1980s and the 2000s, mirroring the widening gap between the super-rich and everybody else over the same period, demonstrates how CEO pay is a useful exemplar of wider societal inequality. This is a global problem. The average CEO pay is 109 times the average annual wage in Britain. In 2020 it was 79 times higher. Think about what we are being told about the cost-of-living crisis. This CEO pay binge is being covered by their companies by pushing higher prices onto workers, who are going backwards". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 25th, 2022 at 11:47am
More from Gareth Hutchens:
(tweet) Ben Chifley’s view of lobbyists who went to Canberra to plead for exemptions from wartime rationing. “I start off on the assumption that the matter is 90% racket.” (ie, self-interest, as Keating later put it). *check the footnote. Ice manufacturers really didn’t want govt-built homes to come with electric refrigerators..... (because they wanted to maintain a market for their production. Govt. built homes? What a quaint idea.....which neoliberlism disposed of, on the basis of so-called govt. "spending other peoples' money".... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 26th, 2022 at 11:13am
Gareth Hutchens tweet:
The ILO’s 1933 Convention on Fee-Charging Employment Agencies called for the abolition of most private for-profit employment agencies https://ilo.org/dyn/normlex/en/f? "The ILO was created in 1919, as part of the Treaty of Versailles that ended World War I, to reflect the belief that universal and lasting peace can be accomplished only if it's based on social justice. In 1946, the ILO became a specialized agency of the United Nations". We now know government is required to implement social justice, and that government can achieve this by freeing itself from private sector money usurers ----...aka lenders... "who must be repaid", according to the Oz treasurer. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 30th, 2022 at 11:23am
Interesting history of "debt jubilees".
tweet from Gareth Hutchens: Debt jubilees are good and democratic https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbKekBuakAAsBSx?format=png&name=900x900 Of course, modern fiat currency-issuing governments ought not borrow money ("which must be repaid") from private money lenders at all... Government can purchase whatever is available for sale in the nation's currency, without taxing or borrowing from the private sector who are users , not issuers - of the currency. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 5th, 2022 at 2:46pm
Obviously a currency-issuing govt. shouldn't borrow money to support a locked down economy in a pandemic. Likewise for other spending that doesn't have inflationary implications.
Philip Lowe denied he was directly funding the government at the start of the pandemic, when govt. was spending $20 billion a month to support locked-down workers - and instead booked the bill to the government, hence the "$trillion debt" which "must be repaid", according to Chalmers. It's a disgusting ruse based on central bank conventions which prevent the public sector from funding social policy , owing to the "debt which must be repaid" narrative. The public are fooled, of course, because they think govt. budgets are like their own household budgets which must be balanced over time. But currency issuing governments must balance resource usage, not money budgets. ie currency-issuing govt. is the ISSUER of the currency, the private setor is the USER of the currency. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 7th, 2022 at 4:36pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50418
Australian national accounts – wage share at record low while corporate profits boom – this is not right! The logical outcome of neoliberalism. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by FutureTheLeftWant on Sep 7th, 2022 at 4:45pm thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 4:36pm:
And the way things generally are before a revolution.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 22nd, 2022 at 12:15pm
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-09-21/rba-says-outlook-for-global-economy-is-worrying/101461316?
She has also explained how the RBA's ability to create money helped to support Australia's economy through the pandemic. Pity she didn't also explain that the $375 billion borrowed by the government for the purpose doesn't have to be repaid. Chalmers is making a fool of himself AND pulling the wool over everyone's eyes, with his "trillion debt that must be repaid" story .....repaid by us.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 23rd, 2022 at 10:25am
An interesting look at the nature of money, and how wealthy players over centuries have determined the way money is created, for their own benefit of course.
https://moneyontheleft.org/2021/01/01/money-as-a-constitutional-project-with-christine-desan-2/ MONEY AS A CONSTITUTIONAL PROJECT John Locke’s intervention into this moment of experimentation exposes in a really valuable way the changing philosophical bases of money, the market, and the economy. That is to say, he shows us how the old way of making money and the new way of making money are based on and perpetuate very different ways of thinking about the market and the economy. To leap to John Locke in particular, what he articulates and captures about the new method is that it’s based on the notion that individuals determining their own profit will be, in his view, the best agents for the economy and are the way to understand the economy. That is, we should understand the economy as an aggregation of individuals acting for their own profit. The reason that he comes to encapsulate this view is that he understands money–when you go back and look at his work–as something that people all converge upon for their own interests. Let me just connect that to the new monetary form and then we could talk more about Locke and the specifics about the way he tells the story. Now, if you think about the new institutions, the device that is supposed to run, this new money making machine, is based on an individual incentive to profit. In particular, the investors have the incentive to lend to the government for their own profit. By calculating the amount that they’ll benefit, they’ll determine how much to lend to the government. So instead of thinking about money as something that is a public medium which the sovereign is controlling, we’re now thinking about money as a medium in which the device that’s calibrating the supply will be the incentive of investors to create money when it’s beneficial to them. This is a very unusual way of thinking about money, or thinking about individual profit, because, as you know, in the medieval world, usury, or making money for profit and making profit on money, was considered a vice and a sin. Greed was a sin. It was the office of the church that tried to suppress human motivation for greed and self serving profit." Indeed. And so today we see the public sector at the mercy of private investors acting from self-interest. Of course we need the private sector's greed as a motivator of economic activity and invention; but forcing the public sector to depend on the private sector for funding is a mistake which is causing immense suffering around the globe, because governments cannot 'afford' to house, clothe, feed and employ everyone (as employer of last resort). The solution is to divide the power of money creation between the public and private sectors, as required to eradicate social and economic disadvantage. In the previous post, the capacity of central banks to create money is acknowledged, confirmed by prof. Bill Mitchell: http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50504 Central banks can operate with negative equity forever It's time this capacity is transparently utilized on behalf of the public sector, without Chalmers' 'debt which must be repaid' nonsense. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 24th, 2022 at 4:47pm
https://www.ft.com/content/b4b1860e-ac02-4b9e-8770-ed9111208cfd
How I learned to stop worrying about public debt and inflation: some economic arguments for benign neglect. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 30th, 2022 at 8:06am
Insight into the current private sector financial mayhem in the UK, stabilized by the BofE.
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50528 The last week in Britain demonstrates key MMT propositions "There was commentary earlier this week (September 26, 2022) from an investment banker entitled ‘MMT takes a pounding’. I won’t link to it because I don’t want to send traffic to their site. But it is the narrative that the financial market commentators who desire to politicise public debate and use it to attack their pet hates. Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) apparently is a pet hate of this character and like many with similar biases he has been champing at the bit for some semblance of ‘evidence’ that MMT analysis is flawed. This week’s events in Britain have given them more succour. Except when you understand what has actually happened, demonstrates key MMT propositions. Meanwhile, Liz Truss's fiscal policies will increase inequality in the UK, as higher interest rates transfer money from borrowers to wealthy home owners without mortgages. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by wombatwoody on Oct 3rd, 2022 at 6:40pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 8:12am:
Banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies -- Thomas Jefferson https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-xik96nX1k |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 4th, 2022 at 2:19pm wombatwoody wrote on Oct 3rd, 2022 at 6:40pm:
So true, in fact private money lenders, who create money out of nothing and demand repayment of loans with interest are partly responsible for the competition between nations which leads to war. Sovereign currency-issuing governements of course ought to fund themselves with debt-free money, the limit being the nation's productive capacity, |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 5th, 2022 at 7:34pm
https://theconversation.com/orthodox-thinking-wont-cut-it-why-mathias-cormanns-leadership-of-the-oecd-has-economists-worried-191665?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=bylinetwitterbutton
Orthodox thinking won’t cut it: why Mathias Cormann’s leadership of the OECD has economists worried |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 8th, 2022 at 1:09pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5LvyxH3O7kE
The appallingly bad Neo-Classical Economics of Climate Change. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 13th, 2022 at 10:52am
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/2022/oct/06/australians-on-120k-are-not-middle-income-earners-we-must-remake-australia-not-spend-243bn-on-the-rich
Jim Chalmers has a unique chance to remake Australia – or to squander $243bn on the rich Richard Denniss Today we learn things are going backwards in nursing homes, even after the terrible Royal Commision findings last year; crunch time for the budget can't be too far away..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 15th, 2022 at 10:49am
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by wombatwoody on Oct 15th, 2022 at 1:26pm
Alex Krainer - market analyst, researcher, trader and hedge fund manager since 1996
Rather than waging never-ending wars, blowing up bridges and pipelines or assassinating Vladimir Putin, western powers would do better to focus on reforming our monetary system and embrace honest money. Even a miraculous military victory over Russia would do no more than delay the day of reckoning. Last week, on Oct. 6, Kristalina Georgieva, IMF's Managing Director gave a speech at the Georgetown University in Washington where she explained that the global economy, which was expected to recover strongly after the Covid 19 pandemic, experienced a "shock, after shock, after shock" instead, that it is now experiencing a "fundamental shift," and that this shift could create a "dangerous new normal." Georgieva thinks this can only be mitigated by "countries working together." ... It's the banks, not Vladimir Putin. So then, what would be the "fundamental shift," and the "dangerous new normal" that IMF's Georgieva is worried about? I believe that the worry is that (((the rules-based global order))) is falling into a profound economic, social and political crisis that could be long and very severe. And even while we are all encouraged to come together and hate on Russia and Vladimir Putin, that's not where this crisis emanated from. Rather, it emanated from the fraudulent monetary system that's largely shaped our rules-based global order and which has had an impressive track record of incentivizing forever wars and generating chronic crises. https://thenakedhedgie.com/2022/10/12/the-real-war-people-vs-the-banks/ |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 15th, 2022 at 2:54pm wombatwoody wrote on Oct 15th, 2022 at 1:26pm:
Georgieva is of course a neoclassical orthodox economist, who has no idea of how to get "countries to work together". Her IMF ("Instant Misery Fund") - a US stooge - is part of the problem, not the solution. Hopefully the coming recession will destroy the global financial order itself (and institutions like the IMF and the BIS ) which is based on greed-generated debt-money (via private money lenders). See Neil Oliver #251 (a few posts back). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 18th, 2022 at 10:19am
https://bookauthority.org/books/best-monetary-policy-books?t=ha3u51&s=author&book=1541736184
20 Best Monetary Policy Books of All Time MMT Prof. Stephanie Kelton's best-seller 'The Deficit Myth' is listed at #3. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 21st, 2022 at 10:33am
In an article from David Speers today:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-20/budget-jim-chalmers-three-foundations-tax/101553976?utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=abc_news_newsmail_am_sfmc&utm_term=&utm_id=1960774&sfmc_id=103574144 "More spending is also unavoidable in what's now being called the "big five" areas putting the budget under increasing strain: the NDIS, aged care, health, defence and interest payments on debt." It's the last one on which MMT has something to offer. To whom is this government debt owed? ....debt which increases as interest rates set by the central bank rise. So more of our taxes must be spent on servicing this debt owed to...whom? Answer: private sector money lenders (private banks, pension funds, hedge funds, insurers etc). So we have the absurd situation in which - as a result of government debt accumulated in order to rescue locked-down workers in a pandemic - private sector money lenders are making a killing on the backs of taxpayers in the form of interest payments on debt owed to those private sector money lenders (the last of the 'big 5' spending areas noted above). Philip Lowe (at a parliamentary hearing) denied he was funding government when the central bank was injecting $20 billion a month into the locked down economy during the height of the pandemic. Indeed he wasn't "printing money", he was selling government bonds to the usual private sectr players. But in fact he SHOULD have injected the required $20 billion a month into the bank accounts of locked-down workers, merely by changing the digits (as required) in the bank accounts of those locked down workers. No need at all, to borrow the money from the private sector who are now owed $1 trillion by the government - debt which must now be repaid with interest to private sector players on the backs of all taxpayers. Madness. " |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 21st, 2022 at 11:03am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 21st, 2022 at 10:33am:
No - the RBA printed that money - it's mostly owed to the RBA. Govts. print Govt. bonds and the Reserve bank buys them by printing money. It's funny money that is created out of nothing. It causes inflation and even hyperinflation - it robs people of their life savings and puts the Govt. into debt they can never pay off - they just print more Govt. bonds to cover the debt - and it spirals in to total collapse of the financial system. Unfortunately the last 10 years of Libbo Govt here created $1 trillion of such debt as they went on a spending spree like drunken sailors with money they didn't have. I am very worried about it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 21st, 2022 at 1:00pm Bobby. wrote on Oct 21st, 2022 at 11:03am:
The RBA should have "printed the money" ...though as I said, no money was required to be "printed" in the pandemic, rather the RBA should have merely changed the digits in the bank accounts of locked-down workers so they could pay their essential bills. In fact the RBA borrowed the money from private sector money lenders, which is why the government is now faced with repaying a $1 trillion debt with interest. You are asserting Chalmers is lying when he says the "debt has to be repaid", because if the debt has to be repaid to the RBA which is an arm of government, not the private sector, then the RBA is merely repaying the debt to itself, and doesn't need taxpayer funds for that purpose. Quote:
What you fail to grasp is ALL money is created out of nothing, whether in private banks (when they write loans for credit worthy customes), or the RBA, on behalf of government, when the RBA buys bonds to enable funding for a specific government program. Quote:
Not if the spending is non-inflationary, and within the capacity of the economy to absorb the spending. Quote:
not if the spending is non-inflationary, Quote:
That is correct. But a currency-issuing government should NEVER go into debt, rather spending should be limited by the nation's productive capacity. Quote:
No, the taxpayer is on the hook to this $1 trillion debt, which must be repaid to private sector money lenders. That is the crime. The government should not have borrowed a brass razzoo during the pandemic. Quote:
What exactly was Frydenberg to do in 2020, when unemployment queues suddenly started stretching around entire city blocks? He had no choice but to pay the essential bills of locked down workers - costing around $20 billion a month - unless you wanted a violent revolution... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 24th, 2022 at 12:48pm
Interesting question from one 'Hugh Grant', on twitter today:
"I'm very intrigued by MMT and reading a book about it.(Stephanie Kelton's best-seller 'The Deficit Myth"). But it seems to me that until the MARKETS believe in it, any government will be forced to show old fashioned “fiscal responsibility”. Otherwise govt debt crashes and with it pension funds etc. No?" The greed-based private sector has its own reasons for remaining blind - and even denying - the wealth creation capacity of the public sector, of course.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 24th, 2022 at 2:08pm
Answers for thegreatdivide:
Quote:
I'm not sure if that's true. What happens if the Govt. can't repay? is more money printed? Quote:
The spending has been inflationary. Quote:
We are in debt - $1 trillion so what is your point of contention? Quote:
Frydenberg just went along for the ride with the lockdowns which are now being investigated as an over-reach. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/oct/20/australia-covid-lockdown-rules-restrictions-lacked-fairness-compassion-school-closures-unnecessary-report The alternative was to tell people to go back to work. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Oct 24th, 2022 at 2:16pm thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 24th, 2022 at 12:48pm:
Wealth creation, whether public or private, requires the investment of wealth already created. You do not consume your entire crop but set some aside as seed, or capital. Yes, you can borrow someone who else's real capital but you have to pay it back with real capital in return, not monopoly money. Public sector wealth creation is no different from the private. There needs to be surplus capital - seed - created on the investment, otherwise it's just consumption. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 24th, 2022 at 4:28pm
Ex-governor of UK central bank [BofE] Mervin King gets it wrong, of course.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/central-banks-got-it-wrong-during-covid-says-former-governor/ar-AA13hWN0?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=8d0de55865554fcdbda0e7107d347999 "King said “all central banks in the West” had failed in their duty to control inflation, and said they had fallen into a mindset of resorting to printing money whenever there was bad news. “During COVID, when the economy was actually contracting because of lockdown, central banks decided it was a good time to print a lot of money,” he told the BBC. “That was a mistake. That led to inflation. We had too much money chasing too few goods. And the result was inflation. That was predictable. It was predicted, and it happened.” The mistake was for central banks to spray borrowed money around to people and businesses who didn't need it; only locked-down workers with no means of paying their ongoing living expenses should have been supported by central banks - using the central banks' debt-free money-creation capacity. We need another pandemic to prove the point to those fools. How much government debt must be created before central bankers admit their error of forcing governments (during time of market failure) to borrow interest-bearing debt from private sector money lenders who are consequently 'laughing all the way to the bank' on the back of taxpayers? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:21am Bobby. wrote on Oct 24th, 2022 at 2:08pm:
It is assumed the govt. can repay its long-dated bonds when they come due (10 years and more in the future). But unlike private sector players - users of the currency - the currency-issuing govt. can always issue more debt. However, I will post yesterday's article from prof. Bill Mitchell examining this very issue in detail - see #268 following. Bill claims much of the debt is actually owed to the government itself - including interest on the debt - so there are no negative implications re this debt. That's certainly not what Chalmers is telling us (lying to us?). Quote:
Correct, but only because the spending was poorly targeted; it should only have gone to locked down workers (and others without a source of income), and only to pay their essential living expenses while in lockdown. Then there would have been no inflationary impcts, because these workers wouldn't have built up any extra funds to spend after the pandemic lockdowns were lifted. Quote:
That the currency-issuing govt. should never go into debt in the first place. Bill touches on this point when he says govt. shouldn't sell bonds - which amount to welfare for the rich. Quote:
Yes, and indeed as I said, the poorly targeted and often excessive spending needs to be examined thoroughly. Quote:
From March to August in 2020, no-one knew the extent of covid's ability to kill, as horrific scenes of mass death began emerging all around the globe. Everyone including the bosses readily accepted lockdowns as absolutely necessary, so no (non-essential) jobs were available. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:27am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50678
A circular system of nonsense – conventional media reporting on the monetary system An informative expose of mainstream groupthink, and the call for 'austerity' (easy to support when you are secure in a well-paid job, like most economists). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:39am Frank wrote on Oct 24th, 2022 at 2:16pm:
True, but the point is the public sector can create debt free money, to utilize available resources not employed in the private sector, eg, trainee teachers. Quote:
Again, you are denying the concept of public-sector- created money.... money which is NOT monopoly money, any more than private-sector-created, interest- bearing money (in private banks). The important thing is the TOTAL created-money doesn't exceed the nation's productive capacity, and hence ability to absorb the combined public and private spending. Quote:
Agreed; but those trainee teachers - an important part of the nation's future wealth creation - exist as a resource, not as money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:28am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:27am:
But an article referred to explains quite well how MMT nearly caused the collapse of the UK system: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-24/liz-truss-could-teach-jim-chalmers-tax-cuts/101567770 The UK's net debt has now reached 98 per cent of Gross Domestic Product. Its debt pile, in other words, is within a whisker of its annual output. The former prime minister and her departed chancellor sparked primarily was the result of a plan to cut taxes by around 45 billion pounds. The rationale dated back to the Thatcher era ethos that lower taxes would spur growth. There was just one problem. The numbers just wouldn't add up. Denying the coffers that kind of revenue would blow out the deficit and would have to be funded by issuing extra debt. Bond traders, aghast at the proposition, dumped British debt, pushing down the price and lifting the yield, or interest rate. Within days, losses on bond markets and rapidly escalating yields created panic selling which further depressed bond prices pushing market interest rates even higher. As the situation spiralled out of control, UK banks, unable to price or raise debt in the turmoil, stopped issuing mortgages and the Bank of England was forced to ride to the rescue. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:33am
Here's the other ABC article:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-24/trillion-dollar-government-debt-how-big-problem/101562584 The government is sitting on (nearly) a trillion dollars of debt. How big a problem is it? By political reporter Tom Lowrey Posted Yesterday at 4:55am, updated 20h ago There's one phrase that's been getting a real work-out ever since Labor's election win in May. The treasurer and finance minister have both made plenty of references to the "trillion dollar debt" weighing down the budget they inherited. It has helped build a case for restrained spending and budget repair, offered as a key reason why the government cannot take up all sorts of ideas. One trillion dollars is undoubtedly a very large amount of money. But by global standards, it's not an unusually large debt — or even a particularly remarkable figure. And it's not quite a trillion dollars, either. So how big is the national debt? At the end of June, the total size of Australia's national debt was $895 billion. That's about $100 billion short a trillion dollars. But many economists argue the total, or gross debt figure is not the best debt figure to look at. They point to the net debt figure, which takes the total debt then subtracts many of the government's financial assets — like cash it holds, deposits and loans it is owed. That figure is substantially lower, at $515 billion, or just over half a trillion dollars. Which is still a huge amount of money. But economists also look to another key indicator. They compare the size of the debt, to the size of Australia's economy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:52am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:27am:
I've posted the articles referred to above. I don't think even the Govt. knew what they were doing. The idea that you could lock up most workers and pay them borrowed money and that it was all going to be OK financially is complete and utter nonsense. I never once saw the PM or anyone else explain the downsides of their approach. Do they even know themselves? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 3:03pm
I'll tell you all what happened.
The Liberals stayed in power for 10 years because every year they borrowed more and more money to keep the party going - keep everyone happy with borrowed money - it was like you having a party at your place using a credit card to buy more beer. After 10 years the game is up - we've woken up to a hangover of $1 trillion in Liberal debt. My guess is that Labor will have learnt that Liberal party trick and in 10 years time under Labor Govts. we'll be in $2 trillion of debt. What's worse is that extra money found its way into non productive assets causing massive inflation in a housing bubble and rising share prices. At the same time wages were stagnant. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 3:31pm Bobby. wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:33am:
That very article by Lowrey was fully debunked by prof. Bill Mitchell yesterday, in the article I linked. Lowrey is as confused by central bank monetary operations as anyone, so I will let Bill's refutation of Lowrey - a mere journalist without any training training in economics as far as I can discover - stand. Now to your more interesting link purporting to show MMT failed in the UK and caused Truss's downfall. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 5:25pm Bobby. wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:28am:
Interestingly, Bill Mitchell dealt with the Truss-UK shenanigans last week (Mon Oct.17th): http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50622 British currency gyrations are about weak government not fiscal deficits. Quote:
Interestingly, Lowrey left Japan off his table which compared countries' debt to GDP ratios - Japan's debt to GDP is 240%. Quote:
True. But the whole problem can be avoided if the govt. DOESN'T issue debt at all - which is what MMT is all about; these characters think "money printing" funded by selling govt. bonds - is what MMT is all about, but they are wrong. Quote:
All true, and nothing to do with MMT. As Bill fully examines: "One Tweet, from a former advisor to the Shadow British Chancellor in Corbyn’s Opposition, who seems obsessed with slighting MMT whenever he gets the chance (to reduce his own insecurity no doubt) said: You can’t wish away global capitalism, or its national features, because British govt can issue its own currency – this is essence of MMT approaches, we’ve now seen their limits. A radical govt *in particular* needs clear rules and a transparent, well-understood plan. This is one of many recent claims that the economic turmoil in the UK as well as the global inflationary pressures are evidence that MMT is nonsense. Apparently, progressives still think that the global gamblers in the financial markets are all powerful and a currency-issuing government can only get away with policies that are ‘approved’ of by these amorphous greed merchants. So no, the article purporting to "explain quite well how MMT nearly caused the collapse of the UK system" is nothing more than orthodox mainstream groupthink, thoroughly refuted by Bill, who goes onto look at various bond vigilante attacks on currencies in recent history, as well as the examples of Australia and Japan which have not been subject to such attacks. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 7:57pm
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/oct/25/jim-chalmers-first-budget-comes-amid-a-darkening-economic-outlook-heres-what-could-go-wrong
The burden of debt On the positive side, buoyant commodity prices and more people in jobs will deliver a cumulative $42.7bn improvement to the underlying cash balance across the four years to 2025-26. However, that balance will remain firmly in the red, rising from 1.4% of GDP in the year to last June to 1.8-2.0% of GDP by 2024-25 and 2025-26. Gross debt will also pass $1tn in 2023-24, up from $895bn in the year just ended, to $1.159tn by 2025-26. A sniffer dog From solar power for renters to detector dogs – 10 budget measures you may have missed Read more Rising interest rates will take their toll on the budget too, requiring $12bn in extra repayment costs by the end of the forecast estimates, as compared with pre-election predictions. By 2025-26, the net cost of servicing federal debt will reach $26.5bn, or 1% of GDP, or about double the $13.5bn to be shelled out this fiscal year. However, the sting in debt repayments will come later since most debt out to 2026 will still be on low interest rates. By 2032-33, debt repayments will climb to 1.8% of GDP, with the cost climbing by an annual average of 14.4% in the decade from 2022-23 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 26th, 2022 at 10:36am
https://fee.org/articles/how-modern-monetary-theory-experiment-lost-badly-to-basic-economics/
MMT may be “modern,” but it has done nothing but revive old problems. Stagflation has returned. People have been paid not to work while businesses struggle to find employees––and, the financial markets now sit atop numerous bubbles. In many ways, MMT has proven to be nothing more than a Super-Market Sweeps style grabbing of all the worst economic phenomena of the 1970s, social welfare, and the 2008 crisis. The only responsible choice is to discard MMT, now clearly a disproven theory, to the trash heap of history. Kelton, in her Ted Talk, quoted Margaret Thatcher in an attempt to display fault and antiquation in the Iron Lady’s thinking, but Thatcher’s quote is more relevant to MMT and economics today than ever. “Let us never forget this fundamental truth. The state has no source of money other than the money people earn themselves,” Thatcher observed. “If the state wishes to spend more, it can do so only by borrowing your savings or by taxing you more. There is no such thing as public money, there is only taxpayers’ money.” |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 26th, 2022 at 12:14pm Bobby. wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 7:57pm:
More mainstream nonsense from the Guardian. Bill Mitchell answered a question about interest on the (near $1 trillion) govt. debt: "First, the current outstanding debt was issued at lower yields and interest rate movements or shifts in traded yields in the secondary bond market in response to interest rate movements have not impact on the fixed yield that is attached to the already issued debt. So the (less than) trillion dollar debt is not to be factored into the calculation. The servicing payments are known and invariant to the shifts in RBA policy. It is only new debt that will be issued that will reflect the slight rise in yields in the primary bond market. And taken together will not be a “large budget item” (as claimed by Chalmers). And Alan Kohler further explodes the mainstream debt and deficit mythology: https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2022/10/24/deficit-debt-economics-kohler/ "It is that deficits and surpluses are about politics, not economics. Since 1970-71, there have been 36 deficits totalling $795 billion and 17 surpluses totalling $176 billion. If deficits were an economic problem rather than just political, Australia would be in serious economic trouble, and Japan would be in worse trouble, having had nothing but huge deficits for 30 years. But they’re not, and we’re not. “Deficits” and “debt” are actually the wrong words – the number simply represents the amount of government spending financed by bonds instead of taxes. The “deficit” is not a loss, like a company’s, but represents the money the government is injecting into the private economy. The bonds are private savings to be returned later rather than taxes that citizens only get back as government services and pensions. Last month Jim Chalmers said this week’s budget would be “the beginning … of a big national conversation about our economic challenges (and) the structural position of the budget going forward …”. Good. But he has got off to a bad start by whinging about the debt and deficits he has inherited and telling us in his July economic statement that “interest payments on government debt will be the fastest-growing area of government spending – faster than the NDIS, aged care and hospital funding”. Wrong way, go back! The amount of government spending, and how much of it is funded by taxes or bonds, is far less important than what it’s being spent on. Chalmers is about to bring down a budget that has no surpluses in the forward estimates, only deficits and debt. His “big national conversation” needs to be about why that’s OK, and a good start would be to stop whingeing about the debt and interest." ...likewise that mainstream Guardian journailst who mistakenly thinks he knows something worthwhile knowing about economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 26th, 2022 at 12:39pm Bobby. wrote on Oct 26th, 2022 at 10:36am:
MMT has never been implemented; MMT doesn't see currency-issuing govt. borrowing from private sector money lenders, as is the current convention. And as Alan Kohler notes: “Deficits” and “debt” are actually the wrong words – the number simply represents the amount of government spending financed by bonds instead of taxes. Quote:
..which is the current evil convention; the funding requirements of public sector ("the state") should be free from the greedy private-sector money lenders who demand interest on loans. The private sector's money creation and lending activities should be confined to...the private sector. The state has access to resources which the private sector does not, eg people who want to be teachers in state schools. Quote:
That's the evil convention**, examined above. The state needs to tax, not in order to fund its social expenditures, but rather to take money out of the economy, if necessary to cool an over-heating private sector. **evil, because if "there is no such thing as public money" (sic), there will always be poverty c.10% even in rich countries, as we see everywhere in the 1st world. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 26th, 2022 at 7:19pm
https://expose-news.com/2022/10/26/vernon-coleman-now-youre-paying-the-price/
The crazed enthusiasts who supported Modern Monetary Theory (which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad. Let us spare a moment for Gordon the Moron (which just happened to be the title of my book about Gordon Brown). Gordon didn’t just sell our gold at the bottom of the market (and tell everyone what he was going to do before he did it) but he also gave the Bank of England independence. That was a brilliant move, too, wasn’t it? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:10am
Prof. Richard Murphy calls for more QE ("money printing") in the UK, to avoid Rishi Sunak's coming 'austerity'.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/austerity-something-britain-simply-cant-28328555 'Austerity is something Britain simply can’t afford - and we will all pay the price' Two top professors who predicted Liz Truss' downfall have outlined their own plan to help salvage the country's economy and deal with the mounting crises facing the new prime minister. 1 "We would cover whatever the remaining cost of the energy price cap might be by using more quantitative easing. That’s the process of government money creation that paid for Covid – and must pay for this crisis too. Doing that will immediately reduce the pressure on interest rates because less will have to be borrowed. If £65billion of QE was offered only two weeks ago to save pension funds, then the same amount can be offered now to save households from high energy bills". 2 "QE is one way to raise funds. Another is to borrow direct from the public, bypassing financial markets. If National Savings & Investments offered a flexible savings account at a competitive interest rate and this was available in an ISA, we think many tens of billions might be raised to pay for most government investment programmes that will keep the economy afloat at lower cost than bond issues". and 3 more suggestions, as per the article. Directly refuting Dr Vernon Coleman's views on "money printing (and MMT, which QE isn't...). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:29am Bobby. wrote on Oct 26th, 2022 at 7:19pm:
Coleman - another fool who thinks "money printing" describes MMT. In any case, MMT is not responsible for idiot central bankers who shovelled money out to everyone including those who didn't need it, during the pandemic lockdowns, which has caused (a small part of) the current inflationary episode. MMT refutes the current convention of government borrowing by selling bonds which enrich financial dealers involved in the buying and selling of bonds in the primary and secondary markets. Coleman of course, fat and comfortable, demands austerity from governments which results in ongoing entrenched poverty among the most disadvantaged in society. He is imbued with the evil classical economics concept, reaffirmed by Thatcher's neoliberalism, of scarcity in the face of unlimited wants (or unlimited competitive greed)...as if this is an immutable law of economics. It is not. Entrenched poverty among the most disadvantaged is a political choice , not an economic one: there is no scarcity of the essentials (healthy food, clean housing) in modern AI and IT assisted economies. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:48am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:29am:
I think you'll find that MMT or QE - money printing or whatever you call it - actually benefits the rich more than anyone else. After the Covid crisis - the rich got a lot richer. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:02am Bobby. wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:48am:
Indeed, government selling bonds to fund spending benefits the rich. MMT refutes selling bonds to fund government spending. MMT recognises the currency-issuing state (public sector) can create money, limited by what is available for purchase by the government, to avoid inflation. ..as opposed to Coleman's ignorant assertion about MMT: "... which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:10am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:02am:
I think the definition of MMT has changed in the vernacular. It now means - QE - money printing or issuing Govt. bonds paid for by a Reserve bank etc It's basically about politicians having a money tree which of course they will abuse to stay in power. It encourages reckless spending on all ideas they suddenly come up with. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2022 at 1:15pm
Prof. Bill Mitchell commented on Liz Truss's demise a few posts back ("gyrations of the pound").
Here is prof Narayana Kocherlakota's take (former Pres. of Minneapolis Fed. Reserve: "The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis is pursuing an economy that works for all of us"). https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/markets-didnt-oust-truss-the-bank-of-england-did/2022/10/26/dd92c4d2-54eb-11ed-ac8b-08bbfab1c5a5_story.html The much-touted 'independence of reserve banks' is a danger to democracy, they mainly serve the interests of the private banking cabal, not the citizens. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Oct 27th, 2022 at 8:54pm thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 1:15pm:
https://steemit.com/cabal/@libertyacademy/the-international-banking-cabal-exposed-4-part-series According to the whistleblower Mr. Bernard, there are about 8,000 to 8,500 of these banker elites who run the entire world. Since we know that money rules the world, we need first to know who creates money. Evidently, it is the banks and their owners who issue and control money; consequently, we can easily argue that it is they who rule the world. The famous banker Baron Nathan Mayer Rothschild once said: “Give me control over a nation’s currency and I care not who makes its laws.” which serves as an accurate testament to how the world really works. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 28th, 2022 at 8:15am
https://theconversation.com/cheaper-gas-and-electricity-prices-are-within-australias-grasp-heres-what-to-do-193388
Cheaper gas and electricity prices are within Australia’s grasp – here’s what to do Published: October 27, 2022 5.02pm AEDT "Australia has by far the highest domestic gas prices of any gas exporting country. No other country would tolerate its gas being exported while its domestic market is paying the same high prices as international customers". As an aside, note the confusion the govt. and coalition both show re "inflation", when they say assisting those who cannot afford electricity at the current high prices will cause inflation. Evil nonsense, there is no shortage of electricity in Oz. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 28th, 2022 at 8:17am Bobby. wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 8:54pm:
Good article. MMT is attempting to take this money- creation power back for government. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by wombatwoody on Oct 28th, 2022 at 5:14pm
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 29th, 2022 at 5:20pm wombatwoody wrote on Oct 28th, 2022 at 5:14pm:
"all we have to do is stand up" So true, but the illusion of money as something of intrinsic value in itself, rather than representative of wealth, has most of us fighting amongst ourselves in silly hyper partisan political disputes over more or less taxes. Currency-issuing governments don't need to tax in order to spend...but those guys on top of the table - who alone retain the privilege of creating money - have managed to keep it a secret. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by wombatwoody on Oct 29th, 2022 at 9:46pm thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 29th, 2022 at 5:20pm:
Indeed. Hence the book, Secrets of The Federal Reserve. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 2nd, 2022 at 8:43am
Tweet from Neale Jones:
"Recent comments from economists calling for people to lose their jobs in order to bring down inflation is a useful reminder that while the right want us to believe unemployment is an individual moral failure, they actually see it as a necessary feature of our economic system". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 4th, 2022 at 9:36am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50764
RBA has crossed the line – it is now a danger to society "The heading might sound alarmist and extreme but when you have a central bank governor essentially saying he is prepared to drive the unemployment rate to whatever levels will deliver such mayhem and suffering that price pressures recede then you might take a different view". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 5th, 2022 at 11:43am Bobby. wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:10am:
Here is another article outlining the failure of central bank policy re raising interest rates to control inflation: https://www.phenomenalworld.org/interviews/inflation-labor/ Re the meaning of 'QE', the article affirms the Fed Reserve buys bonds, but that it is merely an asset swap between liquid assets with little or no effect. In short the current method of controlling inflation is harmful to those who can least afford it. "Second, we can’t forget that the Fed is trying to raise unemployment and lower wage growth. That is what interest rate hikes are intended to do. Our demand on the Fed should be very simple: don’t do that. We don’t need some complicated bank shot with conditions attached to bank bailouts, or anything like that. We just want the Fed to stop what it’s doing. We don’t want unemployment to go up. We don’t want wage growth to be slow. We don’t want it to be harder to find a job. We think a good economy is one where workers have an easy time finding a job, and businesses have to scramble to find workers. It’s good for working people, but it’s also good in the long run for productivity growth. It’s good for democratizing the workplace, it’s good for innovation. It’s good, and we want it, and we want the Fed to stop messing with it". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:07am |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:12am thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:07am:
A stillbirth. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:52am Frank wrote on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:12am:
https://www.rethinkeconomics.org/ "Rethinking Economics is an international network of students and recent graduates building a better economics for the classroom, with the support of academic allies. Through a mixture of campaigning, events and engaging projects, Rethinking Economics connects people globally to enact the change needed for the future." MMT is very much part of this revolution happening now in the classroom, as students reject the standard economics textbooks by Mankiw et al. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 9th, 2022 at 7:58pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50801
If it's bad it must be because of Brexit or MMT or both... MMT hate hysteria – a sign of deep insecurity There is this character Robin Brooks, who works for the important sounding Institute of International Finance (IIF), who cannot stop tweeting and writing about the ‘death of MMT’. He is ex-IMF, Goldman Sachs etc. The IIF is a peak body of the ‘financial industry’ and advocates to advance the interests of that lot, including financial market deregulation etc. Basically, anything that makes more money for the hedge funds will fit into their remit. The most ridiculous recent ‘contribution’ (used as a null) was published in the Financial Times article (November 4, 2022) – RIP MMT — IIF – complete with gravestone “Modern Monetary Theory 2013-2022 Rest in Peace”. The author and commentators attributed in the article obviously haven’t read much because to them MMT was ‘born’ in 2013. We started working on this project together in 1995! The IIF meanwhile has announced the death of MMT after several years of carping about our work with little but more carping to back them up. In other words, vacuous, self-aggrandising tweets that say things like ‘see Japan has seen a depreciating yen, MMT must be wrong’. Any trend they interpret – rightly or wrongly – as a retrograde development – is tied in with the conclusion – MMT must be wrong! Brooks carries on like this relentlessly, and, in doing so, reveals how insecure he is about our work. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 10th, 2022 at 5:00pm
From an exasperated contributor to Prof. Bill Mitchell's blog:
"The oligarchs and their servants in the financial press are desperate for the public to continue to believe that they (the oligarchs) are the ‘rulers of the universe’, if it was not for the taxes that the oligarchs pay the nation would be broke, this is what most people believe due to being repeatedly told this nonsense for 40 years by mainstream press and mainstream economists. MMT lets people know how money and the financial system really works, the reality is the national govt. has the power of the purse, the national govt. sets the laws, the national govt. are the monopoly issuers of the currency. The things we could be doing in terms of clean energy research, disease research, and poverty reduction(job guarantee). Who ever came up with the saying ‘truth is stranger then fiction’ was not kidding. We just keep going on with silly games of ‘how you going to pay for it’ and ‘there is no alternative’ TINA. A truly bizarre world we live in." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 11th, 2022 at 11:11am
A good explanation of why the mainstream Left is failing the (low income) working class.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/opinion/democrats-averted-disaster-but-the-working-class-did-not/ar-AA13YlcZ?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=6d1c72669c9941d0902aeab19f16f186 "The reason he and other prominent Democrats haven’t done any such thing is that this isn’t the kind of pro-democracy message they have any interest in promoting. As Thomas Frank argued in his indispensable book Listen, Liberal: Or, What Ever Happened to the Party of the People, the current version of the Democratic Party has been thoroughly shaped by the cultural sensibilities and political worldview of affluent middle-class professionals, who see social justice as a matter of removing any barriers to the best and brightest from each demographic group rising to the top—so they can craft the smartest technocratic solutions to our problems. They believe in democracy in so far as they believe that Democratic politicians shouldn’t have elections stolen from them. But they don’t really believe in asking a bunch of people who don’t have postgraduate degrees (and probably haven’t even read Robin DiAngelo’s White Fragility), how they want to solve society’s problems. And of course they won't look at a Job Guarantee as a way to eradicate systemic entrenched poverty. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 11th, 2022 at 2:39pm
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/oct/13/time-may-be-running-out-chronicle-of-a-debt-crisis-foretold
‘Time may be running out’: global debt crisis reaches critical point |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by wombatwoody on Nov 11th, 2022 at 7:00pm
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 11th, 2022 at 8:18pm wombatwoody wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 7:00pm:
Ron Paul's assertions are very deceptive. 1. Yes, the Fed was created in 1913 in an attempt to deal with the instability in the US financial system, but it was NOT controlled by congress. 2. A currency-issuing government with its own treasury and central bank does NOT need to tax in order to spend. That's what MMT is all about. Ron Paul thinks everyone can or should get by without government assistance, the ultimate neoliberal lie. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by wombatwoody on Nov 11th, 2022 at 9:49pm thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 8:18pm:
That's a simplistic view, meant for all the brainwashed retards here. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 13th, 2022 at 9:30am wombatwoody wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 9:49pm:
Yes..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 13th, 2022 at 9:44am
Shellenberger abuses Thunberg:
https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/narcissism-in-climate-and-woke-victim Narcissism In Climate & Woke Victim Movements Psychologist Sam Vaknin on why we need a politics of overcoming, not victimhood Michael Shellenberger Nov 7 “We have transitioned from the age of dignity to the age of victimhood,” argues Israeli psychologist and narcissism expert, Sam Vaknin. “Every single political and social movement nowadays has converted itself into a victimhood movement. Many ideologies, which were not victimhood-oriented, have become victimhood-oriented.” Such is the case with the climate change movement. “This is all wrong,” said Greta Thunberg at the United Nations. “I shouldn't be up here. I should be back in school on the other side of the ocean. Yet you all come to us, young people for hope. How dare you? You have stolen my dreams and my childhood with your empty words.” You can probably tell why Vaknin’s warning resonates with me. I have changed my mind about many issues over the last two decades. But for nearly 20 years I have warned that victimhood movements are disempowering, toxic, and dangerous. My essay last year, “Why I am not a progressive,” explained why the Left’s orientation toward victimhood led me to reject that label. My observation: The problem with economists like Shellenberger is they are trapped in the neoliberal economics of scarcity, rather than seeing an MMT-based economics of sufficiency, so his concept of "the politics of overcoming" will be crippled from the start. Eg, the economics of scarcity insists we can't properly support people on Jobseeker...as Jim Chalmers keeps telling us, because "we have a $1trillion debt". Gross lies. And so we have Shellenberger citing "narcissism expert" Sam Vaknin.. The blind leading the blind. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 13th, 2022 at 12:28pm
More confusion in a world where self-interest rules:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/climate-change-is-serious-but-reparations-to-poorer-nations-is-just-a-money-grabbing-scheme/ar-AA13Zhjb?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=3ea7994a4bc74e929e1f07a026ada399 'Climate change is serious, but reparations to poorer nations is just a money grabbing scheme' Rishi Sunak made his debut on the world stage at the Cop27 summit in Egypt on Monday, which saw UK negotiators back a last-minute agreement to address “loss and damage” payments to countries badly affected by climate-related disasters. The proposed pay out of aid cash - at the same time the UK imposes swingeing (?) austerity and tax rises at home - angered readers who do not believe we owe developing nations climate reparations. Others suggest Britain should be proud of the Industrial Revolution and the incalculable benefits it brought to the world. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 14th, 2022 at 11:51am
Tweet today from Stephanie Kelton (author of The Deficit Myth).
It is heartening to see @RichardJMurphy getting such good engagement on this thread (re balanced govt. debt mythology). Batting this stuff down is nearly a full-time job at this point, but he manages to keep pounding** (pun intended) away. Eventually, the damn will break. **the thread deals with a comment from the new UK chancellor Jeremy Hunt "we cannot max out the national credit card this morning". Most tweeters who replied to Murphy's refutation of Hunt's "national credit card" comment now agree Hunt is spouting BS., a good sign for the progress MMT is making in the electorate. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 16th, 2022 at 9:34am
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/16/5908
Funding of the Energy Transition by Monetary Sovereign Countries If global energy consumption returns to its pre-pandemic growth rate, it will be almost impossible to transition to a zero-emission or net-zero-emission energy system by 2050 in the absence of large-scale CO2 removal. Since relying on unproven technologies for CO2 removal is speculative and risky, this paper considers an energy descent scenario for reaching zero greenhouse gas emissions from energy by 2050. To drive the rapid transition from fossil fuels to carbon-free energy sources and ensure demand reduction, funding is needed urgently in order to implement four strategies: (i) technology change, i.e., implementing the growth of zero-carbon energy production, end-use energy efficiency and ‘green’ energy carriers, together with ongoing R&D on CO2 removal; (ii) reducing climate impacts; (iii) reducing energy consumption by social and behavioural changes; and (iv) improving human wellbeing while increasing social justice. Modern monetary theory explains how monetary sovereign governments, with their own fiat currencies, can create the necessary funding without financial constraints, although constraints do result from the productive capacities of their economies. The energy transition could be part-funded by a significant transfer of resources from monetary sovereign countries of the global North to the global South, financed by currency issuance. (Full text via link). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 19th, 2022 at 9:59am
MMT is catching on in the mainstream...AFR (Australian Financial Review):
https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/the-reserve-bank-can-never-go-broke-20221104-p5bvp8 The Reserve Bank can never go broke Tim Hext Nov 6, 2022 – 5.00am "The pandemic forced the rewriting of conventional economics to fit the real world. For central banks this was a world best described by Modern Monetary Theory – the great economic buzzword of the COVID-19 era, which told us not to always worry about printing money". Tim has it correct (unlike many MMT critics who say MMT claims the CB can always create more money: .... "not to always worry" about printing money, which is not the same as saying the CB can always create more money without worrying about the consequences). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 23rd, 2022 at 10:46am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50893
The Autumn Statement – an exercise in absurdity and public harm "There is a lot of reference to ‘fiscal sustainability’ but no clear articulation as to what it is, other than bringing public debt ratios down via austerity. But remember, public debt outstanding is just the past fiscal deficits that haven’t been fully taxed away." A valuable insight; the public sector's deficit is the private sector's surplus. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 24th, 2022 at 11:08pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50914
Champagne socialists in the banking sector reaping millions from public money The increasing interest rates are also delivering massive cash injections to the banks who hold reserve accounts at the central banks. Why? Because the quantitative easing programs from the past have resulted in a massive buildup of excess reserves which are liabilities for the central banks. They (CBs) are paying support returns on those reserves, which are scaled against the rising policy target rates. So the payments have escalated significantly and delivering a massive corporate welfare boost to the banks while the same interest rate rises are causing hardship to borrowers, especially those on low incomes. And amazing redistribution of income towards the ‘champagne socialists’ all via our central banks. Commercial banks 'laughing all the way to the bank' - at our expense. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 26th, 2022 at 10:21am
The first ever international tertiary economics course combining ecological sustainability and MMT:
youtu.be/UXtv3rm-i8Q |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 28th, 2022 at 4:57pm
in other words:
1. Wealth creation in the private sector is limited by resources AND money. 2. Wealth creation in the public sector, which issues the nation's currency, is limited only by available resources, NOT money. 3. The division of wealth creation in the private and public sectors should be chosen by the electorate, not wholly determined by "invisible hand" private sector markets. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Dec 2nd, 2022 at 11:00am
Socialism + MMT = Venezuela ... 🔥🔥🔥
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 2nd, 2022 at 11:47am Frank wrote on Dec 2nd, 2022 at 11:00am:
The central bank of Venezuela must have printed too much money, violating the first principle of MMT, namely, public sector money creation is limited by the nation's productivity and available resources. The drop in the price of oil was a major factor: (wiki) While some claim that liberalization was the cause of Venezuelan economic difficulties, an over-reliance on oil prices and a fractured political system have been identified to have caused many of the problems.[25] By the mid-1990s under President Rafael Caldera, Venezuela saw annual inflation rates of 50 to 60% from 1993 to 1997, with an exceptional peak of 100% in 1996.[23] The percentage of people living in poverty rose from 36% in 1984 to 66% in 1995,[26] with the country suffering a severe banking crisis in 1994. In 1998, the economic crisis had worsened, with GDP per capita at the same level as it was in 1963 (after adjusting 1963 dollars to 1998 value), down a third from its peak in 1978; the purchasing power of the average salary was a third of its 1978 level.[27] In other word's the nations' productive capacity was in effect reduced because the value of its production (productivity, measured mainly in oil) and hence ability to pay for imports was slashed. This shows the need for an international institution to assist nations faced with this type of problem (caused by over reliance of an export commodity). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 6th, 2022 at 10:16am
From prof. Stephanie Kelton, author of the The Deficit Myth:
"When I arrived in Washington in 2015, I was the only staffer on the U.S. Senate Budget Committee who looked at the world through the lens of a currency issuer. I knew the federal government wasn’t like a household or a private business. I knew Uncle Sam could never run out of money. I knew that inflation, rather than insolvency, was the relevant punishment for overspending. I also knew I was alone in this thinking. Everyone else fell into one of two camps: deficit hawks or deficit doves***. While Washington insiders depicted them as polar opposites, I saw them as birds of a feather. Both considered the long-term fiscal outlook a problem that needed to be fixed. Most Republicans wanted to slash entitlements, while most Democrats wanted to raise taxes. Different paths to the same destination". https://www.milkenreview.org/articles/the-deficit-myth *** hence the great divide represented by partisan politics. Her description of herself as a 'Deficit Owl' is informative: keeping a close watch on the nature of the deficit, rather than its size eg the "mutli $trillion US debt". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 10th, 2022 at 12:21pm
Interestingly, the Oz government has decided to introduce price caps on coal and gas, in order to shield households and businesses from soaring energy prices.
In effect, energy costs of households and businesses will be subsidized by the government, funded by taxation and borrowing. The price caps will be set at levels allowing the energy producers to continue to make reasonable profits, though of course the producers are screaming like cut snakes.... Government says price caps will reduce inflation, whereas distributing the proceeds from a windfall profits tax on energy companies would increase inflation. Probably true: we saw the inflationary effects of government throwing money at consumers and businesses who did not need it, during the pandemic. Government should simply have paid the essential bills of locked-down workers and businesses, funded by direct debt-free money creation in the central bank. No money at all should have been deposited in workers' and businesses' own accounts, the government should have directly paid the bills for essential living expenses (food, housing, utilities). At present, of course, government must raise money by taxation or borrowing from private sector financiers. And even if the government sells bonds to the primary bond market dealers and then immediately buys the bonds back, there is no doubt still commission fees involved. The middle men - the primary bond market dealers who on-sell government bonds - need to be cut out of government financing activities, so government CAN directly finance its own spending. Note this from Ross Gitttins: "Philip Lowe at an appearance before a parliamentary committee last year, replied to a question from Adam Bandt that he would "push back" against any assertion the Reserve was "financing the government" (when the CB was buying $20 billion a month during the start of the pandemic, to fund locked-down workers' ongoing bills). Gittins comment: "note the peculiar wording: not that the CB should (finance the government), but that it already was". The inference being Lowe is part of the cover-up re government financing. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 17th, 2022 at 12:15pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51024
The poorest nations are increasingly beholden to the hedge funds The richest nations could easily cancel all debts and fund a new multinational agency that was charged with advancing humanity rather than maintaining cosy offices in the big cities and imposing punitive conditionality onto the poorest nations. Meanwhile, the UN is persisting with its – 2030 Agenda – which has lofty aims, including World peace and the eradication of poverty, and the protection of “the planet from degradation” but hasn’t a hope in hell of succeeding while nations are at the behest of these hedge funds and sociopathic organisations such as the IMF and the World Bank. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler on Dec 17th, 2022 at 3:24pm thegreatdivide wrote on Dec 10th, 2022 at 12:21pm:
Yup - instead of paying the out of control due to the Robber Baron economy prices directly - the people will be paying them indirectly... and the companies will still be receiving far too much for the basics of life ande exploiting to the max. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 17th, 2022 at 5:39pm Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Dec 17th, 2022 at 3:24pm:
That's why essential industries like energy should be nationalized - or even 'globalized' in the case of energy, if indeed we have an AGW-CO2 climate emergency on our hands. Then the BIS/IMF/WORLD BANK can be authorized to create - ex nihilo - the necessary funds to build the required renewables infrastructure, paying only wages to contractors, not profits to 'robber baron' companies/cartels. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 20th, 2022 at 10:09am Philip Lowe should be sacked. https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/fed-interest-rate-increases-counterproductive-all-pain-no-gain-by-joseph-e-stiglitz-2022-12 "All pain and no gain from higher interest rates". Joseph Stiglitz. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:15am
A glimmer of light among the "psychopaths at the World Bank" (see #320):
https://www.ft.com/content/044b7e7d-84c7-4b9d-90e9-8b2449ae36f5 World Bank chief economist calls for overhaul of government bailouts Indermit Gill says existing framework offers developing countries ‘too little, too late’. The World Bank’s chief economist has called for an urgent overhaul of the system for dealing with unsustainable debts, as the institution warns of a coming wave of sovereign defaults by developing countries. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:24am thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 28th, 2022 at 4:57pm:
Actually that's not true! Both public and private sectors TODAY rely on resources and productivity in order to create wealth. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:55am Lisa Jones wrote on Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:24am:
Your statement above is accurate. So let's look at where the discrepancy arises: Private sector players (you and me, or private businesses) have to earn money from wages or sales, or by borrowing money from commercial banks. Whereas wealth creation in the public sector, which issues the nation's currency**, is limited only by available resources, NOT money. **via the public sector, or 'consolidated government sector' ie, treasury and central bank. Ok.. we need to replace "is limited" with "should be limited"....because the currency-issuer (the public sector, by definition) can be authorized by the legislature to create money 'ex nihilo', just as commercial banks do when they write loans for (hopefully) credit-worthy private sector customers). The limit for the public sector currency-issuer being the goods/services which are available for purchase by the government, not money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 24th, 2022 at 10:47am
From Walther Mathilde@AynRand_is_Dead
https://twitter.com/i/status/1605871182950998016 "America is never going to repay it debt, it doesn't have to, its debts are in its own currency, we can simply print the dollars." "Africa's debt is not in its currency, the African debt is in $US dollars, Africa has to earn the US dollars". "The principle underlying the World Bank is that no country should grow its own food; Africa should only grow export crops which the US and EU needs". "The most evil institutions in the world today are the World Bank and the IMF" (aka 'Instant Misery Fund' by MMTers...). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 26th, 2022 at 11:06am
Economist Herman Daly died last week, aged 84.
An Economist That Future Economists — And Societies — Will Dare Not Ignore: Without greater equality, Herman Daly helped us understand, our environment has no real shot at renewal. https://goodmenproject.com/featured-content/an-economist-that-future-economists-and-societies-will-dare-not-ignore-2/ "Despite this media disinterest, Daly most certainly does figure to get much more attention in the years ahead. Why? The life’s work of this University of Maryland emeritus professor just happens to directly link the two supreme challenges of our time: environmental collapse and economic inequality. Herman Daly pioneered the discipline of ecological economics. He gave us a vision — in works always “crystal clear, conceptually compelling” — of a “steady state economy” that featured “redistribution and qualitative improvement instead of perpetual growth” sure to overload and overwhelm our environment. "I used to be a neoclassical growth economist,” Daly wrote. “I hoped that my contribution to the world would be to help increase the growth rate of GDP, especially in the poor regions of Latin America, but in wealthy countries too. But experience, arguments, and evidence changed my mind, and I became an ecological economist who advocates a steady-state economy with redistribution and qualitative improvement instead of perpetual growth.” “Might not the same happen to other economists?” Daly went on. “Indeed, is it not now happening, although slowly? Why won’t the same evidence and logic that has convinced me (and a number of others) eventually convince many more?” He contrasted his “min-max” (a min. and max. wage) to the conventional economics notion that the poor don’t get hurt when the rich get richer and may actually end up benefiting from the expenditures wealthy people make". etc. At last,....3 decades after Daly's 1991 book Steady-State Economics, the first doctorate level course in sustainable economics through an MMT lens is now up and running at Torrens University. The wheels turn slowly as 'groupthink" in economic orthodoxy holds firm, while the money lenders have too much power. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 26th, 2022 at 2:29pm
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/out-of-touch-rishi-sunak-criticised-for-asking-homeless-man-if-he-works-in-business/eb15hvtz2
'Out of touch' Rishi Sunak criticised for asking homeless man if he 'works in business' Interestingly, the Global Times reports the question asked by Sunak as: "would you like to work in finance" GT: "Sunak's exchange with the homeless man began when the man asks Sunak if he's "sorting the economy out." When the homeless man then says he is interested in business and finance, Sunak replies that he used to work in finance too, before asking: "Is that something you would like to get into?" Note: ex-Goldman Sachs' banker Sunak referring to "finance", rather than business, ie the funny money casino finance industry, rather than business in the real economy which involves resource mobilization, not crooked money mobilization. But Sunak should be criticized for a question he did ask, not one he didn't ask....obviously Sunak wouldn't be asking a homeless man "if he works in business". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 29th, 2022 at 11:44am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51089
Central bankers have created excessive unemployment for decades because they use the wrong theory In this (neoliberal) era – 1970s on – full employment as a policy goal was largely abandoned, even though the mainstream economists got around the obvious difficulties in telling people that they had to endure unemployment that policy makers were deliberately creating, by redefining full employment in terms of the NAIRU. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 2nd, 2023 at 9:17am
Steve Keen exposes the errors which the neo classical economists make, as a result of their simplification of real world economics.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q23wwyksdY |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 6th, 2023 at 11:20am
Get Professor Steve Keen's Newest Book For Free:
'Funny Money' (Mainstream Economists HATE This!) https://www.stevekeenfree.com/new-funny-money-book-free |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 8th, 2023 at 5:08pm
The revolution in macroeconomics is gaining traction around the world:
University of Barcelona: https://www.isecoeco.org/postdoc-positions-in-ecological-macroeconomics/ The two postdoctoral researchers will help develop a novel ecological macroeconomic model that will include a wide range of indicators of human well-being and environmental sustainability, in addition to conventional macroeconomic variables. The indicators to be modelled will draw upon the “Doughnut”** of social and planetary boundaries. The model will be used to assess different policy packages aimed at achieving a sustainable post-growth economy. **refers to Kate Raworth's conceptualization of 'doughnut economics': The Doughnut, or Doughnut economics, is a visual framework for sustainable development – shaped like a doughnut or lifebelt – combining the concept of planetary boundaries with the complementary concept of social boundaries. ...as an antidote to the insane "infinite growth" theory (on a finite planet) of neoclassical economics. Very similar to the recently introduced (in Australia) Torrens University doctorate level course in sustainable prosperity, from a MMT perspective. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 9th, 2023 at 9:11am
So, why is the ousted Right attacking Brazil's government buildings?
Are they worried the Left might increase taxes, which the govt. might introduce to reduce poverty and inequality in Brazil? Begs the question: is raising taxes, or increasing govt. debt, the only way to reduce poverty and inequality? Today on ABC RN Richard Denniss spoke of the need to increase revenue in Oz, but Hamish Mcdonald simply side-stepped the issue. Useless. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 10th, 2023 at 8:19am
Prof Steve Keen in full flight, setting students (and the public) straight....
https://heterodox.economicblogs.org/video/keen-students-categorically-shorts-economist-economy?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=ReviveOldPost "Banks create money when they lend out more than they take back in repayments: governments create money when spending more than they take back in taxation". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 13th, 2023 at 10:21am
Degrowth - with rising living standards.
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/sustainable-future/give-progress-a-chance-embrace-degrowth Even some progressive economists are making these arguments. This degrowth movement argues for prioritising genuine progress in terms of both human wellbeing and ecological sustainability. Indeed, these scholars argue that abandoning economic growth is essential for achieving these more important objectives. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 14th, 2023 at 10:19am
Janet Yellon today tells Congress it is vital to raise the nation's 'debt ceiling' to ....$32 trillion....
She is obviously an MMTer; she knows the US treasury and central bank doesn't face a debt constraint**, like you and me. ** the constraint for the currency-issuing government is available resources and the nation's productivity. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 17th, 2023 at 12:36pm
Behind the scenes at the world's first Economics of Sustainability course
Ecological economics within an MMT lens. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JBj3pQk4wo |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 21st, 2023 at 9:28am
Using accounting to prove the core propositions of MMT and Endogenous Money
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/using-accounting-to-prove-the-core The days of conventional central bank monetary operations are numbered... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler on Jan 21st, 2023 at 12:00pm
Another theory.... stick with it long enough and it will become another Holy Grail of 'truth'..... and you wonder why I don't bother with it. If all these theories worked there would be no problems.
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 21st, 2023 at 12:12pm Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Jan 21st, 2023 at 12:00pm:
Patience dear fellow. Eventually we will have a functional national and international economy not dependent on "theory" but based on new national treasury and central bank (including the BIS) monetary operations. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 21st, 2023 at 4:39pm
A 'prize' investor with 300K followers on twitter - and doesn't have a clue about macro economics, though she's a pretty good operator in the financial industry casino:
Former $100MM+ Money Manager • Seen on Bloomberg, FOX & VICE • CEO @grit_capital • Write #1 Finance newsletter on Substack who tweets this nonsense: "Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA @GRDecter Would you invest in this business? Total debt: $31 trillion Assets: $4.8 trillion Annual revenue: $4.9 trillion Annual Income: $1.4 trillion Loss This is the US Government. Silly woman, the US treasury/Fed can't run out of US dollars, even if US treasuries aren't all that much of an investment at present. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 23rd, 2023 at 9:08am
Professor James Galbraith explores the problem of presenting the facts against "what everyone knows"....
https://www.thenation.com/article/economy/debt-ceiling-congress/ The Debt Ceiling Explained. Once More, With Feeling… What The New York Times doesn’t know might hit you in the wallet. By James K. Galbraith It is in the nature of articles about the debt ceiling that no matter how often one tries to set the record straight, nothing ever gets through. Noting this after reading my most recent effort, a physicist friend chided me for using “facts and logic” against “what everyone knows.” This states the problem precisely. So here I go again, once more, with feeling. The United States borrows huge sums of money by selling Treasury bonds to investors across the globe and uses those funds to pay existing financial obligations, including military salaries, safety net benefits and interest on the national debt. No. The United States does not borrow in order to have funds to pay its obligations. It pays its obligations by check (or electronic transfer) as specified by law. It then issues bonds so that “investors across the globe” can save a safe US dollar-denominated asset, the Treasury bond, that pays interest, as cash and bank deposits do not. Cash and bank deposits are not “debt subject to limit” under the law. You can review a full list of what is subject to limit here. Cash and bank deposits are not on that list. It is possible to look these things up. But eventually, the United States will need to either borrow more money to pay its bills or stop making good on its financial obligations, including possibly defaulting on its debt. No. The financial obligations of the United States government are, in fact, obligations. This is a legal term. The debt ceiling statute does not authorize the breach of any obligation. Because the United States runs budget deficits—meaning it spends more than it takes in through taxes and other revenue—it must borrow huge sums of money to pay its bills. No, on several counts. First, a detail: Borrowing is revenue. It brings back money previously spent, which is the original (French) meaning of the word “revenu.” Since the United States government normally matches debt issue to deficits, revenue and spending normally match closely. But second, and more important, the United States government has no mechanical (or legal) need to “borrow…to pay its bills.” It may issue bonds, but it doesn’t have to. To repeat, the United States pays its bills by issuing checks as specified by law. What happens or doesn’t happen after that is a separate issue. …lifting the debt ceiling does not authorize any new spending… This is correct! All public spending, every dime, is authorized (and, if necessary, appropriated) independently of the debt ceiling. At that point, all such spending is an obligation. It is required by law. That includes military salaries, social security payments, interest on bonds: the works. Once the government exhausts its extraordinary measures and runs out of cash, it would be unable to issue new debt. This means it would not have enough money to pay its bills, including interest and other payments it owes to bondholders. No. The Federal government can and does create money at will, according to law. It does not need the private investor to provide money. Nor can the private sector legally refuse legal tender payment. Legal tender means that, according to law, the money the government creates is good for all debts, public and private. Once in 2009, at the Council on Foreign Relations, I made this point in the presence of a former secretary of the Treasury, Robert Rubin. He smiled and nodded from the back of the room. No one knows exactly what would happen if the United States gets to this point but the government could wind up defaulting on its debt if it is unable to make required payments to its bondholders. Economists and Wall Street analysts warn that such a scenario would be economically devastating and could plunge the globe into a financial crisis. The key phrases in this passage are “no one knows” and “Wall Street analysts.” Indeed, no one knows, because in 233 years the scenario has never occurred—not in civil war, not in depression, not in world war. Never. Moreover, default on United States government obligations is expressly prohibited by 14th Amendment to the Constitution of the United States, adherence to which is not optional by sworn officers of the United States. Which Janet Yellen is. As for “Wall Street analysts”—leaving aside “economists” (because I am one)—that’s a joke, right? The Treasury could try to prioritize payments, such as paying bond holders first. No. The Treasury has no legal authority to prioritize payments; to do that would require an Act of Congress, passed by the House and Senate and signed by the president. The Treasury also, to my knowledge, has no technical ability to prioritize payments, of which it makes millions every day. Perhaps someone from Treasury can correct me on this point, which I’ve floated several times. No one has done so yet. (cont. follow in link) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 23rd, 2023 at 9:15am
(cont)The Treasury could try to prioritize payments, such as paying bond holders first.
No. The Treasury has no legal authority to prioritize payments; to do that would require an Act of Congress, passed by the House and Senate and signed by the president. The Treasury also, to my knowledge, has no technical ability to prioritize payments, of which it makes millions every day. Perhaps someone from Treasury can correct me on this point, which I’ve floated several times. No one has done so yet. If the United States does default on its debt, which would rattle the markets, the Federal Reserve could theoretically step in to buy some of those Treasury bonds. It’s possible that some doomsday headline could briefly “rattle the markets.” So what? The Federal Reserve rattles the markets every time it meets. But the second clause is wrong: Treasury debt held by the Federal Reserve is subject to the limit. Again, it’s theoretically possible to look this stuff up. After leaving office, Mr. Obama acknowledged that he and Treasury officials considered several creative contingency plans, such as minting a $1 trillion coin to pay off some of the national debt. In a 2017 interview, he described the idea as ‘wacky’. This is delightful news**. I was among those urging the trillion-dollar platinum coin. I exchanged e-mails with Obama’s adviser Austan Goolsbee on the concept, but never knew that it reached the president. As for “wacky,” unlike (say) “obligation,” that word is not a legal term of art. The coin is not a phantasm. It is fully authorized by law, and it could be minted overnight. It would solve the debt ceiling problem at a stroke. The idea is not wacky; it’s ingenious. **the "delightful news" being the trillion dollar coin concept at least made it to the president's ears, not that the prez considered it "wacky".... Also discussed in Ellen Brown's article: https://ellenbrown.com/2023/01/20/solving-the-debt-crisis-the-american-way/ "The idea of minting large denomination coins to solve economic problems was first suggested in the early 1980s by a chairman of the Coinage Subcommittee of the House of Representatives. Not only does the Constitution give Congress the power to coin money and regulate its value, he said, but no limit is put on the value of the coins it creates". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 23rd, 2023 at 2:06pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/u-s-treasury-s-yellen-says-irs-needs-to-be-completely-redone/ar-AA16CsOC?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=f021089bc5d5491bb2b69c1132397a20
U.S. Treasury's Yellen says IRS needs to be 'completely redone' "Yellen, 76, conceded that the split Congress reduced the chances of passing legislation to advance Biden's agenda, but said she still enjoyed the job." That's the problem with politicians, they enjoy the political bun-fight...... whether they actually achieve positive change or not. But Jacinda Adern paid the price: her poll ratings sank from stratospherically high to dismal, as homelessness and crime increased during her tenure - which is why she resigned: Labor is set to lose the next NZ election, hence the continuing merry-go-round of parties of the Left and Right promising much, but never achieving. ...and of course Adern's successor, Chris Hipkins, (if he does win the next national election) will indeed achieve less than making NZ a 'bitter' place.....(sorry, couldn't resist...) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 24th, 2023 at 8:31am
What happens when the government is forced to fund itself by taxing the citizens:
https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/pwc-partner-leaked-government-tax-plans-to-clients-20230120-p5ceaz PwC partner leaked government tax plans to clients The former head of international tax for PwC Australia, Peter Collins, has been deregistered by the Tax Practitioners Board (TPB) for dishonesty and for sharing confidential government briefings with PwC partners and clients. The TPB, which oversees Australia’s 80,000 tax agents, also sanctioned PwC for failing to regulate conflicts of interest by partners and PwC staff, who knew the confidential information would be used to help clients sidestep new tax laws and to attract new clients. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 26th, 2023 at 10:09am
More obfuscation and political games re the 'debt limit' in the US.
https://prospect.org/power/01-23-2023-janet-yellen-debt-limit-default-coin/ The White House Debt Limit Strategy: Dismiss but Don’t Reject "Janet Yellen is stating that there’s no alternative but for Congress to increase the borrowing threshold, while giving herself room to take action if they don’t." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 26th, 2023 at 10:21am
The current mainstream Friedman monetary orthodoxy re public debt continues to create chaos around the world:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/cope-with-your-own-debt-china-tells-us-over-zambia-debt-relief/ar-AA16IXPP?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=f139683c113249af85fe93c0ae4c7045 ‘Cope with your own debt’, China tells US over Zambia debt relief. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 28th, 2023 at 10:52am
Economics of sustainability.
Quality, not quantity, when it comes to "growth": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8SLkJXjAtgs |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 30th, 2023 at 8:50am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51201
British voters depressingly caught between a rock and a hard place Conclusion The point is that both sides of British politics are crippled by the same fictional mania about having to design policies that cover spending with tax revenue, not understanding that to really address the challenges will require substantially larger fiscal deficits for an extended period into the future. Much the same in Oz: Chalmers, in a recent essay on "values-based capitalism", actually suggests philanthropy(!) as a means of raising the funds to deal with disadvantage..... Representing a gross dereliction of government, and unbalanced ideological subservience to the private sector. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 2nd, 2023 at 3:53pm
How public broadcasters perpetuate the 'government debt is bad' myth.
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51211 Investigation into BBC bias misses the point really And the BBC perpetuate that flawed reasoning. The BBC Report does have a critique on the “household analogies” and states: That states don’t tend to retire or die, or pay off their debts entirely, is one way national debt is not like household or personal debt, not like a credit card for example … Which misses the point really. The state is the currency issuer, the household the currency user. One has a financial constraint, the other can never be so constrained. Once you understand that then the questions you ask and the answers you accept become vastly different. It is not that the states “don’t tend to retire or die, or pay off their debts entirely”. That is true but not the fundamental point of difference. Needless to say, both Chalmers and the current shadow treasurer Angus Taylor haven't got a clue about this vital distinction between a nation's real resources and its created money. [Note: "states" refers to sovereign currency-issuing governments, not states in a federation which are currency users, like households and businesses]. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 2nd, 2023 at 9:14pm
The word spreads, hosted by Macquarie University: :
https://www.mq.edu.au/research/research-centres-groups-and-facilities/groups/radical-centre-reform-lab/about-us Finding the 'radical centre' Contemporary policy debate is being hampered by shallow tribalism. Australia’s most pressing policy challenges too often become stuck in zero-sum ideological battles between left and right. Yet the best policy solutions reside in the ‘radical centre’ – in the synthesis between intellectual and ideological opposites and extremes. The radical centre is not about unambitious compromise. It seeks out the common ground in enduring disagreements to elucidate new and more brilliant ideas – the ambitious ideas that forge unexpected consensus. Nowhere in Australia is there a reform hub dedicated to hunting the radical centre. The Radical Centre Reform Lab aims to fill this gap. We do this by collaborating across divides and engaging with Australia’s diverse multicultural communities to forge broad consensus for radical centre reform. Our first project furthers work on a First Nations constitutional voice as advocated by the Uluru Statement – a historic, radical centre proposal for Indigenous constitutional recognition. Noel Pearson of course is also on board with the Job Guarantee concept, funded via the (debt-free) currency-issuing capacity of the nation's treasury and central bank (ie not funded by taxes or borrowng). An idea whose time has come, given the parlous state of aboriginals in Australia. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 3rd, 2023 at 8:52am
Government debt not necessarily inflationary.
https://www.planksip.org/is-government-debt-a-cause-for-inflation-a-systems-thinking-perspective/ Maybe when economists fine-tune their thinking to align in this way, the world around us might be just a little bit better than it is now. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 9th, 2023 at 8:06pm
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-07/ecb-s-schnabel-says-tighter-policy-having-little-impact-so-far?utm_content=economics&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-economics&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&leadSource=uverify%20wall
Schnabel Says ECB Hikes Having Little Impact on Inflation So Far |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 9th, 2023 at 10:20pm
...and in Australia:
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/02/02/rba-reserve-bank-revamp-kohler/ Alan Kohler: The RBA is fighting for its purpose … and its life |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 10th, 2023 at 9:56am
Allegra Spender spouting conventional economics, after reading the AFR headline: 'Stimulus hangover demands spending cuts or tax rises'.
She tweets: "With inflation at 7.8% and interest rates up to 3.35%, we must accept that running a large Budget deficit is making things worse. The government must slow spending to help bring inflation down. Fiscal policy has a role. The RBA can't do it alone." As prof. Steven Hail responded: "This is over-simplistic. Have you considered what is driving inflation and what is happening overseas? Have you looked at interest rates and deficits country to country? You haven't. Just what is a 'large Budget deficit'? Australia now has a very small deficit! Lazy thinking. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 10th, 2023 at 11:37am
Prof. Bill Mitchell's take:
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51237 RBA loses all credibility with further interest rate increases |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 13th, 2023 at 10:11am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/ford-and-edison-the-anti-gold-bugs?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=102482957&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email
Building a New Economics Ford and Edison, the anti gold bugs Steve Keen 8 hr ago "Secondly, rather than talking about money being backed by some other specific commodity—whether energy or gold—what Ford and Edison were arguing was that a national currency is backed by the non-financial assets of that country: its physical wealth, manifest in its raw materials and its infrastructure, were what gave authority to the financial assets it issued". ..... "When Edison was asked "would not Mr. Ford's suggestion that Muscle Shoals be financed by a currency-issue raise some objection?", he replied: "Certainly. There is a complete set of misleading slogans kept on hand for just such outbreaks of common sense among the people. The people are so ignorant of what they think are the intricacies of the money system that they are easily impressed by big words. There would be new shrieks of 'fiat money', and 'paper money', and 'greenbackism', and all the rest of it—the same old cries with which the people have been shouted down from the beginning." (Ford and Edison 1921) Those misleading slogans are alive and well today, as evidenced by our modern-day Henry Ford, Elon Musk: (tweet) "bitcoin is almost as bs as fiat money". the first is correct - bitcoin IS bs ( a ponzi), the 2nd incorrect (fiat is backed by the nation's resources and productivity); and this from the world's richest man....obviously not as informed as Ford. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 13th, 2023 at 12:18pm
(follow up from previous post)
To Elon Musk, from prof. Steve Keen: https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/just-because-you-know-how-to-make?utm_source=direct&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web Just Because You Know How to Make Money, That Doesn’t Mean You Know How to Make Money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 15th, 2023 at 9:17am
The mainstream 'independent' central bank orthodoxy is being increasingly questioned:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-02-13/reserve-bank-australia-pushing-us-towards-a-recession-verrender/101963794 Why the Reserve Bank is pushing us towards a recession that we don't need to have By business editor Ian Verrender |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 15th, 2023 at 3:58pm
...and:
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/interest-rates-lowe-s-not-the-problem-the-system-is-rotten-20230212-p5cjus.html Ross Gittins: "Interest rates: Lowe’s not the problem, the system is rotten". ......though Lowe believes in the system, so he IS part of the problem. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 16th, 2023 at 11:33am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EFM04Rzpewo
MMT insights for the Global South: Sovereignty, Resilience, and Sustainable Prosperity. Fadhel Kaboub |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 16th, 2023 at 4:41pm
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/02/13/reserve-bank-philip-lowe-rates/
Alan Kohler: The undemocratic independent Reserve Bank |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2023 at 7:16am
Warren Buffet broaching MMT:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1626550772455415808 "We've got the right to print our own money...." (Note: inaccurate terminology, not strictly MMT: funding the public sector for free is not giving money to private citizens for free). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Feb 18th, 2023 at 8:03am thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 18th, 2023 at 7:16am:
Such arrogance. The Weimar Republic and Zimbabwe also had the right to print their own money. :-[ |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2023 at 8:15am Bobby. wrote on Feb 18th, 2023 at 8:03am:
Such arrogance. The Weimar Republic and Zimbabwe also had the right to print their own money. :-[/quote] Bobby, you're not listening: the productivity of the US ensures it will always be able to pay its debts with "printed" money. Zimbabwe and the Weimar republic had their productivity destroyed by geopolitical events, which were the cause of the hyperinflationary episodes. And of course the current bout of global inflation is caused by the lingering effects of the covid pandemic, and war....the current monetary orthodoxy is inadequate to deal with this type of inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 20th, 2023 at 8:42am
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15487733.2022.2108251#:~:text=Daly%20argued%20that%20growth%20should,is%20now%20uneconomic%2C%20Daly%20maintained.
Reflections on Herman Daly’s Economics for a Full World: His Life and Ideas The benefits of growth are greatest when a poor society gains the capacity to meet basic needs, but as growth continues, the benefits diminish while the costs – both ecological and social costs – grow. Daly argued that growth (in GDP) should cease when decreasing marginal benefits are equaled by increasing marginal costs – the point where the economy has reached its optimal size. That point has already been reached and surpassed in high-income countries, where growth is now uneconomic, Daly maintained. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 20th, 2023 at 8:52am
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2023/02/19/interest-rates-and-inflation-knives-out/
Interest Rates and Inflation: Knives Out If you’re just tuning in, I’ve spent the last few months debunking some common misconceptions about inflation: Is inflation a uniform increase in prices? No. Inflation is wildly differential. Is inflation driven by an ‘over-heated’ economy? No. Inflation tends to come with economic stagnation. Do higher interest rates reduce inflation? No. Higher interest rates are associated with higher inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 20th, 2023 at 11:04am
Prof. Steve Keen explaining fiat money to Elon Musk, who doesn't have a clue:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/when-billionaires-collide?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=103899252&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email "When a government spends more than it gets back in taxes, it puts more money into people's private bank accounts via spending than it takes out via taxes. Therefore, since private bank accounts are part of the money supply, a government deficit creates money." "A nonfinancial asset is an Asset to its owners, but a liability to no one: things like houses (and even spaceships). The mortgage against your house is a Liability for you and an Asset for the Bank, but the house itself is your Asset and no-one else's Liability: instead, it is part of your total equity". "This is the reason that the American government can maintain permanent financial deficits: because they're backed by the nonfinancial assets of the country, which have grown with and because of the deficit over time. Over the last 120 years, the average government deficit has been equal to 2.5% of GDP—see Figure 6." "As Figure 7 shows, the government's red ink becomes the private sector's black ink: the negative financial equity of the government is, dollar for dollar, the positive financial equity of the private sector." What about government debt? How does government debt—really, government sale of Treasury Bonds—change this picture? It does three things: 1.It lets the government's account at the Fed—the "Consolidated Revenue Fund"—remain positive, so long as Bond sales are equal to the Deficit plus interest on outstanding bonds; 2.It lets the Federal Reserve maintain non-negative equity, since it has an essentially limitless capacity to buy bonds off the banks in the secondary market. The Asset it accumulates—government bonds—can now match or exceed its liabilities of Reserve accounts and the CRF; and 3.It gives banks an interest income which, customarily, they didn't earn from Reserves, since—before the Global Financial Crisis—The Fed didn't pay interest on Reserve balances." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 24th, 2023 at 10:10am
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/private-super-paul-keatings-innocent-fraud,10086
Private super: Paul Keating’s innocent fraud (a reference to '7 deadly innocent frauds' by W. Mosler) "The problem with providing for an ageing population is not the money, it is the real goods and services, writes Dr Steven Hail." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 24th, 2023 at 10:33am |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 24th, 2023 at 6:03pm
MMT is silly bollocks.
Money - shells, coins, banknotes, electronic ledger entries, etc, etc - has to stand for something besides itself. It is a symbol of ACTUAL things. That's what money is - a symbol of the value of things BESIDES the symbol itself. In short, money is NOT about money. That's why governments cant save themselves just by printing more of it. Money is NOT about any government's ability to print symbols. But MMT IS. Silly, magic pudding nonsense. The fantasy of the undepleatable government coffers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 25th, 2023 at 11:32am Frank wrote on Feb 24th, 2023 at 6:03pm:
...though Mosler's work has received meritorious recognition at tertiary level. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warren_Mosler Quote:
It does: it "stands for" real resources, but money (which is always created ex nihilo - unlike (say) sea shells which nevertheless are presumably numerous enough to be useful as a medium of exchange in primitive societies - is NOT itself a real resource). Quote:
More accurately, money is a MEASURE of the 'value' of actual things - however 'value' is determined (in a market, or by government decree). Quote:
Yes; but as noted above, money is created ex nihilo, and therefore has NO VALUE in itself, the 'value' lays in the real resource. Note: a glass of water in a desert is worth more than a $1 million note, in a desert..... Quote:
Oh dear, I suggest you rewrite that sentence, so that the jarring contradiction isn't so obvious.... Quote:
Indeed, governments "can't save themselves just by printing more of it", but that has nothing to do with "money not being about money", it has everything to do with money not being a real resource like food and housing which governments DO require eg, to distribute to low income families, or to educate the populace. Quote:
MMT is about a currency-issuing government's ability to maximize the economy's productive capacity. Note: it is possible to conceive of a government maximizing the nation's productive capacity without using money at all, by simply allocating different labour inputs of individuals a certain quantity/quality of resources as reward. Quote:
Note: the treasury and central bank of a currency-issuing government can, by definition, NEVER run out of money (ie, IS "undepleatable"); what the government CAN run out of is real resources, goods and services, if the government fails to support the nation's productive capacity, especially when the private sector runs amok (eg, the GFC and before it the Great Depression). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 25th, 2023 at 9:26pm
The ALP - captured by neoliberalism - is almost as useless (but not quite) as the British Labour party:
https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2023/02/24/when-there-is-so-much-need-for-new-thinking-and-when-that-thinking-is-available-we-get-an-offering-as-bad-as-the-one-labour-put-on-the-table-yesterday/ When there is so much need for new thinking – and when that thinking is available – we get an offering as bad as the one Labour put on the table yesterday Posted on February 24 2023 Keir Starmer launched a new Labour policy initiative yesterday. It managed 20 seconds on Channel 4 news, below the SNP leadership election. And there was good reason for that. It was a total, meaningless word salad. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 25th, 2023 at 10:04pm thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 25th, 2023 at 11:32am:
More accurately, money is a MEASURE of the 'value' of actual things - however 'value' is determined (in a market, or by government decree). Quote:
Yes; but as noted above, money is created ex nihilo, and therefore has NO VALUE in itself, the 'value' lays in the real resource. Note: a glass of water in a desert is worth more than a $1 million note, in a desert..... Quote:
Oh dear, I suggest you rewrite that sentence, so that the jarring contradiction isn't so obvious.... Quote:
Indeed, governments "can't save themselves just by printing more of it", but that has nothing to do with "money not being about money", it has everything to do with money not being a real resource like food and housing which governments DO require eg, to distribute to low income families, or to educate the populace. Quote:
MMT is about a currency-issuing government's ability to maximize the economy's productive capacity. Note: it is possible to conceive of a government maximizing the nation's productive capacity without using money at all, by simply allocating different labour inputs of individuals a certain quantity/quality of resources as reward. Quote:
Note: the treasury and central bank of a currency-issuing government can, by definition, NEVER run out of money (ie, IS "undepleatable"); what the government CAN run out of is real resources, goods and services, if the government fails to support the nation's productive capacity, especially when the private sector runs amok (eg, the GFC and before it the Great Depression). [/quote] Drivel. Amazing, if drivel is fascinating for anyone. Just absolute mindless drivel. A symbol is not created 'ex nihilio'. It is not random. It couldn't be understood if it was. Exchange rates express the meaning of value across different symbols of value. Money, like language, is not unrelated to what it symbolises. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:18am Frank wrote on Feb 25th, 2023 at 10:04pm:
Yes; but as noted above, money is created ex nihilo, and therefore has NO VALUE in itself, the 'value' lays in the real resource. Note: a glass of water in a desert is worth more than a $1 million note, in a desert..... Quote:
Oh dear, I suggest you rewrite that sentence, so that the jarring contradiction isn't so obvious.... Quote:
Indeed, governments "can't save themselves just by printing more of it", but that has nothing to do with "money not being about money", it has everything to do with money not being a real resource like food and housing which governments DO require eg, to distribute to low income families, or to educate the populace. Quote:
MMT is about a currency-issuing government's ability to maximize the economy's productive capacity. Note: it is possible to conceive of a government maximizing the nation's productive capacity without using money at all, by simply allocating different labour inputs of individuals a certain quantity/quality of resources as reward. Quote:
Note: the treasury and central bank of a currency-issuing government can, by definition, NEVER run out of money (ie, IS "undepleatable"); what the government CAN run out of is real resources, goods and services, if the government fails to support the nation's productive capacity, especially when the private sector runs amok (eg, the GFC and before it the Great Depression). [/quote] Drivel. Amazing, if drivel is fascinating for anyone. Just absolute mindless drivel.[/quote] That's what you said before. Let's take it more slowly for you.... Quote:
Of course symbols are created 'ex nihilo'; eg, 'points' in a game are created out of nothing, and noted on the score board as a player kicks a goal. The goal is real; the 'points' (numbers on a scoreboard) used to keep a tally of the goals are created out of nothing. Note; there is an infinite number of these 'points' available for the scoreboard keeper; he can't "run-out" of points during the course of the game. Quote:
Here you are confusing the characteristics of a symbol, (eg the numbers on a scoreboard) with the way in which the symbols are created, eg in a "random" fashion. Indeed I can create G clefs (which are symbols) at random, on an empty music manuscript page, not knowing beforehand how many staves I will need for the composition. After which real music can be performed following the various music symbols on the manuscript page. Quote:
Correct, but note the variability of 'value' compared with the fixed nature of the symbol itself. Quote:
Of course there is a relation between a symbol and that which it symbolizes. Yet spoken language is not symbolic, indeed 1st nations' people didn't employ language symbols at all. (Note: the meaning of the spoken sound is not itself a symbol, it is a convention of a particular language). And money is always created ex nihilo when commercial banks write loans for credit-worthy customers; or central banks create reserves for the banking system. Hint: if a nation's population grows, where does the required increase in money supply come from? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:18am:
Oh dear, I suggest you rewrite that sentence, so that the jarring contradiction isn't so obvious.... Quote:
Indeed, governments "can't save themselves just by printing more of it", but that has nothing to do with "money not being about money", it has everything to do with money not being a real resource like food and housing which governments DO require eg, to distribute to low income families, or to educate the populace. Quote:
MMT is about a currency-issuing government's ability to maximize the economy's productive capacity. Note: it is possible to conceive of a government maximizing the nation's productive capacity without using money at all, by simply allocating different labour inputs of individuals a certain quantity/quality of resources as reward. Quote:
Note: the treasury and central bank of a currency-issuing government can, by definition, NEVER run out of money (ie, IS "undepleatable"); what the government CAN run out of is real resources, goods and services, if the government fails to support the nation's productive capacity, especially when the private sector runs amok (eg, the GFC and before it the Great Depression). [/quote] Drivel. Amazing, if drivel is fascinating for anyone. Just absolute mindless drivel.[/quote] That's what you said before. Let's take it more slowly for you.... Quote:
Of course symbols are created 'ex nihilo'; eg, 'points' in a game are created out of nothing, and noted on the score board as a player kicks a goal. The goal is real; the 'points' (numbers on a scoreboard) used to keep a tally of the goals are created out of nothing. Note; there is an infinite number of these 'points' available for the scoreboard keeper; he can't "run-out" of points during the course of the game. Quote:
Here you are confusing the characteristics of a symbol, (eg the numbers on a scoreboard) with the way in which the symbols are created, eg in a "random" fashion. Indeed I can create G clefs (which are symbols) at random, on an empty music manuscript page, not knowing beforehand how many staves I will need for the composition. After which real music can be performed following the various music symbols on the manuscript page. Quote:
Correct, but note the variability of 'value' compared with the fixed nature of the symbol itself. Quote:
Of course there is a relation between a symbol and that which it symbolizes. Yet spoken language is not symbolic, indeed 1st nations' people didn't employ language symbols at all. (Note: the meaning of the spoken sound is not itself a symbol, it is a convention of a particular language). And money is always created ex nihilo when commercial banks write loans for credit-worthy customers; or central banks create reserves for the banking system. Hint: if a nation's population grows, where does the required increase in money supply come from? [/quote] Drivel is correct. Every language is a symbol system. Spoken sounds and written signs of those sounds correspond - mean - particular things. The government doesnt own either what language or money "mean". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:19pm Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am:
What are the 'symbols' in a non-written language? Note: while a particular sound is allocated a meaning in oral (non-written) languages, the sound and the meaning are not symbols, they are real phenomena). Likewise while a particular unit of money is a symbol, the value of the resource for which the unit of money (dollar, yen, yuan etc) is a measure, is not a symbol. Quote:
...in written languages, not oral-only ones. The analogy is trade in a barter system made without recourse to any (symbolic) unit of money at all. Quote:
Interesting point, but you are lost in the concept of "meaning". Certainly a currency-issuing government can issue its own money (the limit being inflation, NOT government "debt"). In fact it has been shown in anthropological studies that money is an invention of states, to establish and enable government control of the population. (Compare Boadicea's Britain with Caesar's Rome, at the time of the invasion; Britain didn't have money, nor indeed a written language). So have a shot at answering my question: when the population increases, where does the necessary increase in money supply come from? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:46pm
Heard Angus Taylor today banging on about "Labor always wants your money" - as if tax concessions on super should be handed out to everyone regardless of personal wealth. It's a powerful argument which won them the 2019 election, because they convinced the electorate everyone would pay; hence Labor's current timidity in the face of egregious greed of wealthy people who want support - in the form of tax concessions - from low income people.
In any case, the "taxpayer money" narrative is a furphy designed to limit government spending to benefit the well-off (aka 'austerity'). Labor really does need to press home the point that a currency-issuing government doesn't need "your money"; such a government is limited by inflation, not its capacity to tax or borrow. Left-progressive parties need to direct the treasury department to ascertain the resource requirements and the economy's productive capacity in relation to each Ministry involved in spending government money. ..so we can all see if the resources needed to (eg) properly fund health and education, are available, and whether said expenditure will be inflationary (due to lack of supply of the necessary resources). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:08pm thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:19pm:
The sounds of words. Letters or ideograms, hieroglyphs, logograms, Morse codes, etc symbolise sounds, words, syllables etc. Or signs simbolising phrases, like good job or up yours, pal. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:49pm Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:08pm:
The sound of a particular word is not a symbol for anything, the sound itself IS the meaning. Whereas the letter 'a' etc IS a symbol. Quote:
Letters - A, B, C. etc don't symbolize sounds or words, such letters are themselves symbols. Quote:
Addressed above; note the difference between letters which are symbols and ideographs which are not - they have a specific meaning. The analogy is the difference between the general word "money", and a particular symbol used to signify money eg $. etc. You still haven't told us how the money supply is increased, to match the increase in a nation's population. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 26th, 2023 at 5:18pm thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:49pm:
....of what? The sound - letter, picture etc- is the signifier of the signified. The same way money is the signifier of a certain value that is signified. That is why you can translate words and exchange money. Cheeses, pal, you are thicker than I thought. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 9:48pm Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 5:18pm:
So, analogies are tricky and misleading. Your statement: "The same way money is the signifier of a certain value that is signified" is so circular as to be meaningless. The facts are: 1. money is created out of nothing whether it is represented by a symbol on paper, eg, the $ sign followed by digits, etc, or digits in a computer, or actual coins with a nominated value stamped on the coin. 2. a fiat-currency-issuing government can create its own money (whether $ or yen, etc); the limit to government-money creation (by the government, in the nation's currency) is inflation, not debt. This is the MMT insight. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2023 at 10:58am
NYT: "How to print money"
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/02/26/us/printing-money-treasury.html ........ Boring; as prof Dirk Ehnts tweeted; "the more interesting question would be: How to type money into existence 🤔 eg, Lowe should have simply changed the digits in the bank accounts of locked-down workers ONLY, to pay essential bills, during the pandemic lock-downs. Thus avoiding a purchasing-power increase, in the accounts of people who didn't need it, as happened when he sprayed money around to everyone. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 28th, 2023 at 11:36am thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 9:48pm:
You still don't understand the relationship between sign and signified in language or money (sign) and value( signified). You bang on about the government issuing the sign and ignore completely what it signifies. Government issues the sign but not the value. Government debauched money when it issues more sign than there is value to signify in the economy. You want to play Monopoly with each player just printing his own monopoly money. Daft. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:10pm Frank wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 11:36am:
"Value" is the issue you are being misled by; you keep trying to identify money with 'value', and hence conclude money is a commodity with value. But money is like the goals used to keep score in a game ie, the supply of goals is infinite (can be created ex nihilo), though of course the goals scored by the players are not, they have to be earned by the players. The currency-issuing government is like the goal keeper and has the capacity to create money (also for itself, as well as the private sector players) as required, so long as the resources (the 'goals', or 'score') are available for purchase (in the nation's currency of issue). Now as to 'value': the fact is the value of a nation's fiat-currency (eg a dollar, yen or yuan) is determined by the nation's productive capacity (related to its stock of factories and educated labor etc - unlike Bitcoin which is merely a ponzi 'currency'). Quote:
Re-read what I have explained, above....and then admit your error. Quote:
Wrong: government issues the sign, whose value is determined by the nation's - ie public AND private sector's - enterprise and productive capacity. This is one of the major errors of neoclassical orthodoxy, ie denial of the role of the public sector in the issuance of money, and its (ie the public sector's) contribution to the value of that money, measured by the nation's productive capacity and resource output. Public education, healthcare, infrastructure, all contribute to the national wealth. Quote:
Well....correct, it's the task of government** to limit money supply to the nation's productive capacity (as opposed to a limit by determined by 'debt'). ** rather than an 'independent" central bank; everyone is seeing the disaster Lowe is causing, especially badly affecting the most vulnerable). Quote:
Wrong: inflation is the first concern of MMT. MMT enables the release of the public sector (which oversees the private sector 'players') from the grip of the (naturally) greedy private sector financiers, by recognizing the real constraint for the currency-issuing public sector: resources, not money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:17pm thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:10pm:
Wrong: government issues the sign, whose value is determined by the nation's - ie public AND private sector's - enterprise and productive capacity. This is the one of the major errors of neoclassical orthodoxy, ie denial of the role of the public sector in the issuance of money, and its contribution to the value of that money. Quote:
Well....correct, it's the task of government** to limit money supply to the nation's productive capacity (as opposed to a limit by determined by 'debt'). ** rather than an 'independent" central bank; everyone is seeing the disaster Lowe is causing, especially badly affecting the most vulnerable). Quote:
Wrong: inflation is the first concern of MMT. MMT enables the release of the public sector (which oversees the private sector 'players') from the grip of the (naturally) greedy private sector financiers, by recognizing the real constraint for the currency-issuing public sector: resources, not money.[/quote] What does money signify? Value. Would that thing still exist if all money disappeared? No. How would people trade it? By barter. So what IS money? A sign of a unit of exchangeable value. Does government create the value? No. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:41pm Frank wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:17pm:
Well....correct, it's the task of government** to limit money supply to the nation's productive capacity (as opposed to a limit by determined by 'debt'). ** rather than an 'independent" central bank; everyone is seeing the disaster Lowe is causing, especially badly affecting the most vulnerable). Quote:
Wrong: inflation is the first concern of MMT. MMT enables the release of the public sector (which oversees the private sector 'players') from the grip of the (naturally) greedy private sector financiers, by recognizing the real constraint for the currency-issuing public sector: resources, not money.[/quote] What does money signify? Value.[/quote] Correct, so far so good.... Quote:
Incorrect (didn't take long....) ; food and infrastructure have intrinsic value; even if all money "disappeared". Quote:
Not only barter; government decree could also determine "intrinsic" value. Quote:
Note: you are proceeding from your error above: ie "the "value" would disappear if the money disappeared". GIGO, ignoring the reality of 'intrinsic value. Quote:
Incorrect; govt. creates the sign AND contributes to its value, alongside value creation in private sector markets (the latter not always 'valuable', but sometimes destructive of health and well-being). You completely ignored my points on public sector wealth creation in the previous post, as expected from a neoclassical ideologue. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 2nd, 2023 at 2:05pm
'Radio MMT': a new program on radio 3CR, Melbourne.
Fridays 5.30 -6.30PM. http://www.billmitchell.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bill_Episode_One_Audiogram_.mp4?_=1 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 4th, 2023 at 12:14pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/fed-s-barkin-calls-for-deliberate-rate-hikes-to-fight-exhausting-inflation/ar-AA18c7Z4?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=9d2723e03fb1404ea083ea51ee4e1a5d&ei=19
Fed's Barkin calls for deliberate rate hikes to fight 'exhausting' inflation' ...... He's barkin' mad; should be forced to live on the dole so long as higher interest rates are causing unemployment. He claims 'lifting interest rates is the "work" the Fed must do'; obviously he hasn't done a day's work in his life.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 5th, 2023 at 9:33am
From a brilliant article by prof. Steve Keen, entitled:
How does JK Galbraith’s 'The New Industrial Estate' hold up after 6 decades? https://email.telstra.com/webmail/index-rui.jsp?v=1479958955288#app/mail Even Karl Marx was aware of the evil power possessed by "independent' central banks; here Keen directly quotes Marx: Talk about centralisation! The credit system, which has its focus in the so-called national banks and the big money-lenders and usurers surrounding them, constitutes enormous centralisation, and gives to this class of parasites the fabulous power, not only to periodically despoil industrial capitalists, but also to interfere in actual production in a most dangerous manner—and this gang knows nothing about production and has nothing to do with it. (Marx 1894, Chapter 33) Galbraith commented on the sad state of conventional economic theory in the 60s, as outlined by Keen here: Reading The New Industrial State (Galbraith 1967) again, six decades after it was first published, highlighted for me just how far economic theory has retreated from reality since the 1960s. The New Industrial State (hereinafter called TNIS) described the actual structure of a modern industrial economy. It has nothing to do with Alfred Marshall's vision of a market economy, in which a multitude of small entrepreneurial firms sold homogenous goods directly to consumers in anonymous markets, and in which prices were set by the intersection of supply and demand. Instead, the economy is dominated by large corporations, which themselves are run by a bureaucratic "technostructure"—the term Galbraith invented—that attempts to manage everything, from input costs to final consumer demand which they manipulate via marketing. Prices are tamed by long term contracts, and the only source of instability in prices comes from wage demands on the one hand, and the vagaries of agricultural and energy production on the other. This was the reality of the mid-1960s on which Galbraith commented. At the time he wrote, Galbraith was confident that this reality would supplant the Marshallian fantasy of supply and demand curves, which dominated economic theory. Fat chance! Galbraith's optimism about his profession of economics was misplaced: faced with a conflict between reality and theory, mainstream economic(s) elevated theory over the inconvenient facts of the real world. The main real-world changes since Galbraith's time have been the crushing of trade unions, which has largely eliminated the capacity of workers to bargain for wage rises, the development of globalization, which has created long and extremely fragile supply chains, with much production occurring offshore rather than in American factories, and the financialization of near everything. But a "technostructure" is still in charge, and the realities of production, management and marketing are the same as he observed in the mid-1960s. None of this realism has seeped into (neoclassical) economic theory. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2023 at 2:38pm
Prof. Bill Mitchell answers a German academic critique of MMT.
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60685 German Bundestag body’s MMT overview exposes the hidden agenda – the population simply can’t be allowed to understand MMT eg, The Bundestag (ie, Parliament) discussion paper critique of MMT: “inflationary developments are to be expected with a permanent and continuous expansion of the money supply.” Bill answers: Who advocates a “permanent and continuous expansion of the money supply” without regard to the development of the productive capacity of the economy and the spending and saving decisions of the non-government sector? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 9th, 2023 at 8:55am
Dr. Steven Hail, MMT associate professor at Torrens university, today tweeted:
Steven Hail @StevenHailAus The world's central bankers are essentially incompetent, because they are biased by their model, which is an unrealistic and abstract one, and are largely immune to an objective assessment of empirical evidence, even when they have gathered that evidence themselves. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:08am
Proving Dr Hail's point that "the world's central bankers are essentially incompetent, because they are biased by their model, which is an unrealistic and abstract one..":
https://www.businessinsider.com/elizabeth-warren-powell-getting-people-fired-interst-rate-hikes-recession-2023-3 Elizabeth Warren asks Fed Chair Powell to 'speak directly' to the people he's 'planning to get fired over the next year' by continuing to hike interest rates Powell responded that he would "explain to people more broadly that inflation is extremely high and it's hurting the working people of this country badly. All of them, not just 2 million of them, but all of them are suffering under high inflation and we are taking the only measures we have to bring inflation down." .....Yes, but your model is f**ked, dummy. Food and energy price rises are currently caused by supply problems; jacking up interest rates won't fix those problems, price controls, rationing and/or food and energy discounts for low income people will. Note: there is no actual shortage of food or energy in the home market, the problem is based in overseas markets. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am:
Wrong answer I’m afraid. It’s complicit. Please conduct more research before commenting. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 11:07am Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am:
How is China any more complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 12:44pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 11:07am:
Oh there you are! I’m hoping that Methra has bounced out of that fake shared NotsoGreat id because when Methra talks through it ... it’s always serious next level BS. Of the gastric variety. Now ... the comment made implies you agree that China IS indeed complicit in the present dysfunctional global system. And that volunteered admission is a great start. Care to explain how YOU THINK it’s complicit? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:04pm Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 12:44pm:
Enough with your BS, let's see if you can actually debate an issue... Quote:
No; the comment implies that the whole world post the 1990 demise of the USSR is ravaged by the current vicious neoliberal/neoclassical orthodoxy. Quote:
You fraud: misinterpret a comment, and then demand an answer to your bs. I asked you first: how is China complicit in the current dysfunctional global neoclassical economic hegemony? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:21pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:04pm:
You fraud: misinterpret a comment, and then demand an answer to your bs. I asked you first: how is China complicit in the current dysfunctional global neoclassical economic hegemony? [/quote] No. You stated this 👇: How is China any MORE complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else? Stop co sharing that id and keep up. Ta. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:27pm Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:21pm:
No. You stated this 👇: How is China any MORE complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else? [/quote] Ok, so have a shot at answering either of them. Quote:
...more of your time wasting BS, deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:33pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:27pm:
Ok, so have a shot at answering either of them. Quote:
...more of your time wasting BS, deplorable. [/quote] Nope! I’m not playing go fetch. You do the research this time. It will give you something constructive to do other than co trolling under a few ids. I’ll come back to this topic later to see what you’ve researched. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:44pm
More evidence of the current crop of neoclassical central bankers' pathology:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/futures-pare-losses-after-jobless-claims-data/ar-AA18pz6X?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=dcb2d4f37a6c48a5c329786d6c4b337a&ei=21 Futures pare losses after jobless claims data ...unemployment increases, so stocks rise on the idea that Powell won't hike rates so sharply. ....rising unemployment is a 'good' thing - economic orthodoxy gone mad, with no relation to functional economic reality. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:50pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:44pm:
Central bankers - are they your problem ? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 11th, 2023 at 9:18am Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:50pm:
Yes...and everyone's: https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/03/10/michael-pascoe-serena-wilson-robodebt-coalition/ Michael Pascoe: Coalition had more bullets for the ‘undeserving’ poor. "The Coalition had a strong view of ‘deserving’ and ‘undeserving’ poor. From the 2014 budget through to the 2018 budget, the vast majority of my work involved identifying savings options to cut social security expenditure. Why are central bankers the problem, you ask? Because central bankers are central (excuse the pun) in maintaining the mythology that currency-issuing governments' budgets are like households' budgets, hence the need to "identify savings options" just as households need to do (except the super rich). A centuries-old mythology based on money-lenders (aka bankers) having the sole privilege of money creation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 12th, 2023 at 3:25pm
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60690
The current inflationary period is not remotely like the 1970s |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2023 at 5:06pm
Michael Hudson on the current SVB crisis :
The breakup of banks that is now occurring is the inevitable result of the way in which the Obama Administration bailed out the banks in 2008. When real estate prices collapsed, the Federal Reserve flooded the financial system with fifteen years of Quantitative Easing to re-inflate real estate prices – and with them, stock and bond prices. What was inflated were asset prices – above all for the packaged mortgages that banks were holding, but also for stocks and bonds across the board. That is what bank credit does. It made trillions of dollars for holders of financial assets – the One Percent and a bit more. The economy polarized as stock prices recovered, the cost of home ownership soared (on low-interest mortgages) and the U.S. economy experienced the largest bond-market boom in history as interest rates fell below One Percent. But in serving the financial sector, the Fed painted itself into a corner: What would happen when interest rates finally rose? Rising interest rates cause bond prices to fall. And that is what has been happening under the Fed's fight against "inflation," by which it means rising wage levels. Prices are plunging for bonds, and also for the capitalized value of packaged mortgages and other securities in which banks hold their assets against depositors. The result today is similar to the situation that S&Ls found themselves in the 1980s, leading to their demise. S&Ls had made long-term mortgages at affordable interest rates. But in the wake of the Volcker inflation, the overall level of interest rates rose. S&Ls could not pay higher their depositors higher rates, because their revenue from their mortgages was fixed at lower rates. So depositors withdrew their money. To obtain the money to pay these depositors, S&Ls had to sell their mortgages. But the face value of these debts was lower, as a result of higher rates. The S&Ls (and many banks) owed money to depositors short-term, but were locked into long-term assets at falling prices. This is what is happening to banks today. That is the corner into which the Fed has painted the economy. Recognition of this problem led the Fed to avoid it for as long as it could. But when employment began to pick up and wages began to recover, the Fed could not resist fighting the usual class war against labor. And it has turned into a war against the banking system as well. Silverlake was the first to go. It had sought to ride the cryptocurrency wave, by serving as a bank for various brand names. After SBF's vast fraud was exposed, there was a run on cryptocurrencies. Their managers paid by withdrawing the deposits they had at the banks – above all, Silverlake. It went under. That was a "special case," given its specialized deposit base. Silicon Valley Bank also was a specialized case, lending to IT startups. And New Republic was also specialized, lending to wealthy depositors in the San Francisco and northern California area. All had seen the market price of their financial securities decline as Chairman Jerome Powell raised the Fed's interest rates. And now, their deposits were being withdrawn, forcing them to sell securities at a loss. Reuters reported on Friday that bank reserves at the Fed were plunging. That hardly is surprising, as banks are paying about 0.2 percent on deposits, while depositors can withdraw their money to buy two-year U.S. Treasury notes yielding 3.8 or almost 4 percent. No wonder well-to-do investors are running from the banks. This is the quandary in which banks – and behind them, the Fed – find themselves. The obvious question is why the Fed doesn't simply bail them out. The problem is that the falling prices for long-term bank assets in the face of short-term deposit liabilities now looks like the New Normal. The Fed can lend banks for their current short-fall – but how can solvency be resolved without sharply reducing interest rates to restore the 15-year Abnormal Zero Interest-Rate Policy (ZIRP)? Interest yields spiked on Friday, March 10. As more workers were being hired than was expected, Mr. Powell announced that the Fed might have to raise interest rates even higher than he had warned. Volatility increased. And with it came a source of turmoil that has reached vast magnitudes beyond what caused the 2008 crash of AIG and other speculators: derivatives. JP Morgan Chase and other New York banks have tens of dollars trillions of derivatives, that is, casino bets on which way interest rates, bond prices, stock prices and other measures will change. For every winning guess, there is a loser. When trillions of dollars are bet on, some bank trader is bound to wind up with a loss that can easily wipe out the bank's entire net equity. There is now a flight to "cash," to a safe haven – something even better than cash: U.S. Treasury securities. Despite the talk of Republicans refusing to raise the debt ceiling, the Treasury can always print the money to pay its bondholders. It looks like the Treasury will become the new depository of choice for those who have the financial resources. Bank deposits will fall. And with them, bank holdings of reserves at the Fed. So far, the stock market has resisted following the plunge in bond prices. My guess is that we will now see the Great Unwinding of the Great Fictitious Capital boom of 2008-2015. Michael Hudson. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:35am
Re the SVB debacle, Dr Steven Hail tweets:
"It is so obvious that rising interest rates drive capital losses on bonds for unhedged institutions needing to sell that it makes Steve's point (in #410) seem very simple. Our institutions are run by people who are (mis-)educated to ignore the realities of the monetary system." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:39am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/silicon-valley-bank-the-feds-role?utm_source=twitter&sd=pf
Silicon Valley Bank: The Fed’s Role in its Downfall |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:59am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:39am:
WTF is Steve Keen???? Meantime .... read here 👇 Is this the same entity you’re referring to? https://www.news.com.au/finance/business/banking/us-bank-silvergate-capital-goes-into-liquidation-a-week-after-stocks-plunge/news-story/43ef85c2d5847f3016c3c3327e0862bb?utm_campaign=EditorialSB&utm_source=news.com.au&utm_medium=Facebook&utm_content=SocialBakers |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:00am Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:59am:
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:07am
Continued from my previous post :
US Senator Elizabeth Warren said the writing had been on the wall for the bank. She said some of its loans verged on illegal and was not at all surprised by the news of its collapse. “As the bank of choice for crypto, Silvergate Bank’s failure is disappointing, but predictable,” she wrote. “Now, customers must be made whole & regulators should step up against crypto risk.” In the last three months, Silvergate bled US$1 billion (A$1.5 billion), as its losses racked up as panic set in among crypto investors and exchanges. Just a week earlier, Silvergate had been contemplating its fate. The firm announced to the country’s corporate regulator, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), that it would not be able to file its annual report to deadline while it deliberated on its ability to survive. Off the back of the news, 24 hours later, the bank’s share price plummeted a whopping 55 per cent. Silvergate’s stock is down 67 per cent so far this year. In total, Silvergate’s stock has fallen 97 per cent from its all-time high in November 2021, 18 months ago. Ok .... NotsoGreat: I’m listening. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:37am Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:00am:
Silvergate is a different bank to SVB (Silicon Valley Bank): "Silvergate, a major lender in the crypto sector, announced plans to liquidate its bank and wind down operations on Wednesday. SVB (Silicon Valley Bank), at the time the 16th largest bank in the country and a key lender in the tech space, collapsed on Friday. Another bank, Signature, followed in its footsteps on Sunday.11 hours ago and..... https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/13/investing/european-banks-svb-collapse/index.html EU banking stocks suffer biggest drop in a year. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:47am Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:07am:
Good. By now (after post #414) you would know European bankers are ALSO "listening", with EU bank shares suffering falls of 10% overnight (radio news) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 15th, 2023 at 9:28am |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 15th, 2023 at 5:38pm
OMG, the complexity of finance.....and the ultimate method to manage bank f**k- ups is always: 'socialize the losses, and privatize the gains':
https://www.crisesnotes.com/every-complex-banking-issue-all-at-once-the-failure-of-silicon-valley-bank-in-one-brief-summary-and-five-quick-implications/ EVERY COMPLEX BANKING ISSUE ALL AT ONCE: THE FAILURE OF SILICON VALLEY BANK IN ONE BRIEF SUMMARY AND FIVE QUICK IMPLICATIONS If you look at the world the way Rohan and I do, deposit outflow as a result of digital fiat currency, bank accounts directly provided by the Federal Reserve to the public and/or postal banking is a feature not a bug. Once we separate and clearly distinguish payments processing from bank lending, we can see that all chartered bank deposits do is paper over the fundamental contradiction between the assets we let banks acquire through their own money creation and the lack of official backstop in good times for holding those assets through direct borrowing from the Federal Reserve. It is absolutely perverse to intentionally weaken new technologies and better payment processing options out of fear of banks “losing deposit funding”. The gap between the terms and quantities that banks can access the discount window and the terms and quantities banks can create bank deposits is a gap measuring the extent to which our financial regulatory and banking regime is lying to both ourselves and each other. Why would we want banks to control payments processing and credit to the non-financial economy? If we can separate these businesses, and we can, then we should. The public sector should not be freed from this nonsense. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 16th, 2023 at 9:25am
More evidence of the madness of the current monetary orthodoxy and associated neoclassical economics: seen on twitter:
Heidi N. Moore @moorehn · 4h Replying to @JStein_WaPo and @FionaSmall I don't know if it's "financial media", though? It's guys like Larry Summers who were calling for higher unemployment to fight inflation, and now are pulling for bank bailouts to...prevent unemployment. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 17th, 2023 at 8:42am
Dr. Steven Hail tweeted:
Exactly! Neoclassical economics - including Nobels - is of no use whatsoever when encountering the monetary system (or the climate system, for that matter). in response to some sarcasm from @RomanchukBrian: "Why don’t they use the Diamond-Dybvig model to solve the problems with Credit Suisse? They won a Nobel* Prize for it, so it has to be very useful". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 17th, 2023 at 11:39am
Couldn't resist:
https://www.theshovel.com.au/2023/03/16/albo-extras-package-submarines/ Albo admits he got talked into buying extras package on new subs ...but should we be spending limited resources like this? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 18th, 2023 at 9:24am
Larry Summers shows himself to be a neoclassical ideologyfool.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1636668703692697605 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 18th, 2023 at 9:29am
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/16/svb-signature-bank-failures-yellen-says-us-banking-system-is-stable-and-deposits-remain-safe.html?__
Treasury Secretary Yellen says not all uninsured deposits will be protected in future bank failures KEY POINTS Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told senators that government refunds of uninsured deposits will not be extended to every bank that fails, only those that pose systemic risk to the financial system. Yellen has been at the center of an emergency program to refund billions of dollars in uninsured deposits held by clients of the failed Silicon Valley Bank and the shuttered Signature Bank. But with markets recovering somewhat, lawmakers were concerned these backstops could become a new norm for big banks, giving “too big to fail” banks an unfair advantage over community lenders. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 19th, 2023 at 8:41am
Warren Mosler** tweets: "a good example of the blind leading the blind":
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Senators that government refunds of uninsured deposits will not be extended to every banks that fails, only those that pose systemic risk to the financial system. **author of 'The 7 deadly innocent frauds of economic policy'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 19th, 2023 at 12:12pm
Torrens Uni MMT lecturer Dr Steven Hail's comments on inflation, reported by Crikey:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/inflation-is-too-tricky-and-too-sticky-to-be-left-to-the-rba/ar-AA18D9W2?fbclid=IwAR3iWC2w2C0k8GJFDraewn2MEbFTSYK_M_kOOf-i-eL6x9nVeLSMNHJNqC4 Inflation is too tricky and too sticky to be left to the RBA |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 20th, 2023 at 9:06am
Rick Moreno
@Rikreation · 4h Replying to @GOP Inject billions in tax breaks for the rich, then watch them highjack the stock market, to what end? Try to help the little people and the rich throw a tantrum! Tell me again who causes inflation? Who is in charge of the house? Oh yeah #theyneverlearn #thegreaterfooltheory |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 20th, 2023 at 10:53am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/us-banks-want-socialism-for-themselves-and-capitalism-for-everyone-else/ar-AA18OgXV?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=e71b1989b19e433bb19d34d2cb838b33&ei=1125
US banks want socialism for themselves - and capitalism for everyone else Greg Becker, the former CEO of Silicon Valley Bank, sold $3.6m of SBV shares on 27 February, just days before the bank disclosed a large loss that triggered its stock slide and collapse. Over the previous two years, Becker sold nearly $30m of stock. But Becker won’t rake in the most from this mess. Jamie Dimon, chair and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, the biggest Wall Street bank, will probably make much more. That’s because depositors in small- and medium-sized banks are now fleeing to the safety of JPMorgan and other giant banks that have been deemed “too big to fail” because the government bailed them out in 2008. ...bankers, the mob with the sole privilege of creating money, while lending it at interest..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 21st, 2023 at 8:51am
Dr Steve Keen, on the disconnect between neoclassical economics, climate science (debunking Nordhaus), and the real world experience.
https://vimeo.com/user49871334/review/801907681/0b7a03c835?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 22nd, 2023 at 10:05am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-fractured-fairy-tales-that-led?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=109868037&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email
The Fractured Fairy Tales That Led To Today’s Banking Crisis "Kenneth D. Garbade, a Vice-President of the New York Fed, explained the origin of the practice of requiring The Fed to only purchase bonds in the secondary market in "Direct Purchases of U.S. Treasury Securities by Federal Reserve Banks" (Garbade 2014). It's hard to read his history and not conclude that the current system—which requires Treasury to sell bonds to private banks and "primary dealers", rather than to The Fed (US central bank)—was based on the rickety pillars of the self-interest of bond traders, and delusional ideas about money held by the mainstream economists who staff The Fed, and misinform our politicians." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 24th, 2023 at 1:41pm
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/the-productivity-commission-wants-wage-bargaining-shifted-further-in-favour-of-employers-20230319-p5ctcp.html
Productivity Commission wants wage bargaining shifted further in favour of employers Ross Gittins Economics Editor March 19, 2023 — 8.00pm All confirmed by Prof. Bill Mitchell: https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60734 Latest Productivity Commission report – relies on and exploits our ignorance – to undermine our well-being. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 25th, 2023 at 9:25am
An interesting critique of MMT from 2019, published in Quadrant, a conservative rag.
I will answer the criticisms one by one, over several posts. This is the first instalment. https://quadrant.org.au/magazine/2019/07/unmasking-modern-monetary-theory/ Unmasking Modern Monetary Theory Government loosed from financial constraints, full employment to the last man and woman willing to work, and all with no inflation to speak of. Welcome to the alluring world of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). My purpose is to deconstruct and demystify MMT; to explain where it fits in macroeconomic theory; to assess its strengths and weaknesses; and to bring out the threat it poses to economic and political freedom. I can’t get close to being exhaustive. However, I believe I can provide a more complete and comprehensible account of MMT than generally appears in the popular press. OK....so......full employment with no inflation "poses a threat to economic and political freedom", so straight away we know the author's free market ideology. In brief, MMT is an economic theory which postulates that permanent full employment can be achieved through the application of (whatever-it-takes) expansionary fiscal policy, allied with accommodative monetary policy. Vitally, a third component of MMT is an employment buffer scheme to prevent inflation from getting out of hand. People are taken onto the public payroll during economic downturns and released into the private-sector during upturns. Finally, MMT requires that debt issued to support public spending is denominated in domestic currency; which, of course, governments can create at will, removing any risk of default. The last sentence masks the fact currency-issuing governments don't need to issue debt to the market, other than as a means of recording the quantum of money creation and corresponding spending, because currency-issuing government can finance its own spending. See #428. Professor Stephanie Kelton of Stony Brook University in New York is one of the leading proponents of MMT. She provides a description of MMT in a short video on CNBC (March 4, 2019). It’s a little learning which would leave most watchers still in the dark. I mention it only because of a telling comment in the broadcast. She rejects the idea that MMT uses taxation to fight inflation but adds that people say this all the time. She is right that people mischaracterise MMT in this way. I have read numbers of commentaries which do that. For example, Hettie O’Brien, the New Statesman’s online editor, did it in a piece on February 20 (“The surprise cult of Modern Monetary Theory”) and she quotes Professor Jonathan Portes of King’s College London doing the same thing. The question is why people get something so fundamental so wrong. Note: Stephanie Kelton has since then published her NYT best seller: "The Deficit Myth". She would say inflation is caused by excessive demand which itself can be conceived as being caused by inadequate supply; so taxation is not required to control inflation, but price controls on the supply side might be required in some instances - which means nationalization of some essential services like energy may be required. Anathema to a free marketeer like Peter Smith (the author of the Quadrant article). (to be continued) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2023 at 8:43am
Oh dear, the mainstream - a case of the blind the leading the blind:
https://www.ft.com/content/fb1254dd-a011-44cc-bde9-a434e5a09fb4?sharetype=blocked Mariana Mazzucato: ‘The McKinseys and the Deloittes have no expertise in the areas that they’re advising in’ And: https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/imf-chief-warns-global-financial-stability-at-risk-from-banking-turmoil/ar-AA196nyT?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=65cc87712d844dde92290df092ee4ce9&ei=12 IMF chief warns global financial stability at risk from banking turmoil .....she actually gets paid when she opines such obvious comments, because she is part of a dysfunctional system. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2023 at 10:02am
MMT Podcast:
https://pileusmmt.libsyn.com/163-l-randall-wray-breaking-banks-the-feds-magical-monetarist-thinking-strikes-again #163 L. Randall Wray: Breaking Banks - The Fed’s Magical Monetarist Thinking Strikes Again |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 29th, 2023 at 10:34am
Prof. Steve Keen debunks economists William Nordhaus and Richard Tol, on climate economics.
https://www.stevekeenfree.com/fight-failing-economics-private-3 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 30th, 2023 at 10:47am
Even in Australia; the consequences of forcing the government to tax and/or borrow in order to spend:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/mar/28/one-million-people-are-living-below-the-poverty-line-in-nsw-census-data-has-revealed?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other One million people are living below the poverty line in NSW, census data has revealed |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 31st, 2023 at 11:22am
https://progressive.international/blueprint/ccd13812-0487-4d80-8b8a-629a64563aeb-ghosh/en
Professor Jayati Ghosh delivers an address to the launch event of the New International Economic Order on the opportunities of a fragmented geopolitical order for a new world to flourish in its cracks. There has never been a more important time to talk about a new multilateralism in a very rapidly changing world. Now that we know that the existing structures of multilateralism are simply not working — not generating either peace or stability or security or economic viability or planetary sustainability — we have to rethink these institutions. We have to think of an international architecture that will work in the current global situation. This is possible because the world is more fragmented now, for geopolitical reasons and economic reasons. That fragmentation provides an opportunity for all of us who are concerned with much broader economic justice to think of and to work towards generating a genuinely progressive alternative. Yes, the neoclassical foundations of the current system are buckling under pressure.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 1st, 2023 at 9:27am
Speaking of creating money out of thin air.
https://theconversation.com/how-can-australia-pay-368-billion-for-new-submarines-some-of-the-money-will-be-created-from-thin-air-202150 How can Australia pay $368 billion for new submarines? Some of the money will be created from thin air ...but it's a shame the nation intends to mobilize all that knowhow, labour and resources to build nuclear subs, because of the "China threat' paranoia.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2023 at 9:31am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-schizophrenic-understanding-of?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=112291889&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email
The schizophrenic understanding of money in economics Steve Keen 3 hr ago One of the great ironies of economics is that, while the public regards economists as experts on money, the issue of how money is created is still not settled within economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2023 at 3:24pm
Forgotten experiences - relevant to the current "closing the gap" voice debate:
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14427591.1993.9686379 What it means to get off sit‐down money: Community development employment projects (CDEP) Heather Jensen Pages 12-18 | Published online: 26 Sep 2011 "CDEP has a two fold purpose: employment creation and community development. Work that the community identifies as important is carried out, and meaningful occupation is provided for individuals, increasing the workers’ skills and reducing boredom and drinking. The main thrust of self determination has been the development of Aboriginal organisations. The success of CDEP is dependent on these organisations which provide culturally appropriate employment, which includes the CDEP scheme. A recent review (ie, in 2011) of the CDEP scheme indicated that 71% of Aboriginal communities surveyed considered that CDEP was helpful in meeting the goals of the community and 82% considered that community members were better off under the scheme PM John Howard, following disastrous Thatcherite neoliberal market orthodoxy, began dismantling the CDEPs in the 2000s. Of course we now know Philip Lowe could fund - without taxing or borrowing - a reinstatement of the CDEPs, if he was authorized by the government to do so, because there need be no "crowding out" of (sensible) private sector claims on available resources. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 7th, 2023 at 8:10pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 3:24pm:
https://mobile.twitter.com/DrLoupis/status/1642459300215033858 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2023 at 8:36pm Frank wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 8:10pm:
Don't understand money, Frank? Never mind, even economists trained in the current mainstream obsolete neoclassical orthodoxy don't have a clue. As pointed out by Prof. Steve Keen, in #437: "One of the great ironies of economics is that, while the public regards economists as experts on money, the issue of how money is created is still not settled within economics." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 7th, 2023 at 9:02pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2023 at 9:21pm Frank wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 9:02pm:
All merely displaying your own ignorance. Keen has actually proved current central bank monetary orthodoxy is wrong, using double entry accounting and Minsky sofware he developed himself: see #428, and #437. But apparently the neoclassical diehards haven't even looked at it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:46pm
Labor in danger of a slow inevitable electoral decline:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/state-government-looking-to-make-big-cuts-to-the-public-sector/vi-AA19eIKq?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=cad87957c95e424786673d26a231a3b0&ei=38 State governments (as well as the Commonwealth) "looking to make big cuts to the public sector", owing to obsolete debt and deficit monetary orthodoxy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2023 at 3:35pm Zimbabwe was printing 100 trillion dollar notes which were needed to buy a loaf of bread. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 9th, 2023 at 5:56pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 3:24pm:
But despite its good intentions, CDEP’s evolution has hindered rather than helped Indigenous people. At the program’s heart is the notion that Indigenous Australians are not capable of holding mainstream employment. Instead of being a transition to real work, CDEP is an obstacle to employment. Only around 5% of CDEP participants move to mainstream jobs. CDEP payments are combined with other forms of income assistance such as Newstart Allowance and Parenting Payment. A single mother with six children receiving CDEP for home duties plus welfare can receive nearly $2,000 a fortnight. These payments create a ‘welfare pedestal’ which prevents participants from considering study, training, or work opportunities. Participants are paid for doing housework, mowing their own lawns, attending funerals, and for doing nothing at all. Consequently, Indigenous people regard CDEP pay contemptuously as ‘sit down’ money. If CDEP is excluded from employment figures, after thirty years of the CDEP program, the percentage of Indigenous people in ‘real’ employment in ghetto, fringe, and remote areas is only 17%. CDEP has hidden the crisis in Indigenous education. CDEP participants do not need to know how to read and write, and CDEP training does not qualify them for mainstream jobs. So-called vocational certificates are awarded to participants unable to read, write, or count. Most Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders, even in remote areas, are located within commuting distance of work in retail, tourism, agriculture, and mining. They cannot access these jobs because they are not literate or numerate, and lack post-school vocational training. Many people have vested interests in maintaining the status quo: • CDEP has enabled territory and state governments to abdicate responsibility for providing local government, health, education, and policing services. • CDEP has encouraged Indigenous organisations to expand their bureaucratic structures to service CDEP and associated activities, rather than stimulating a transition to employment. • CDEP has enabled some communal enterprises to appear to succeed by subsidising them through the payment of wages and capital grants. The part that CDEP has played in keeping Indigenous people out of mainstream employment must be addressed if the cycle of Indigenous joblessness, welfare dependence, and family and community dysfunction is to end. For this and many other reasons, the Howard government decided to end the CDEP scheme. But although the Rudd government continued to phase out CDEP, existing recipients were allowed to remain on the program until July 2011; this was later extended to July 2012. And just last week the Indigenous Affairs Minister, Jenny Macklin, announced that the 4,000 people still receiving CDEP payments will remain on the scheme for another five years. Macklin argued that many of the people on CDEP have been on the scheme for so long that it would be ‘pointless to move them on.’ The Coalition has criticised this approach, arguing that the Labor government was taking a lazy approach to CDEP by allowing Indigenous people to stay on it for a further five years without reforming it and returning it to its ‘original principles.’ CDEP was originally designed as a replacement for unemployment benefits in remote communities and to provide work and on-the-job training. But despite its good intentions, CDEP ended up hindering rather than helping Indigenous people. At the program’s heart was the notion that Indigenous Australians are not capable of holding mainstream employment. Inevitably, because it was a separate program for Aboriginal people, lower standards were allowed to creep in and people ended up getting paid for doing very little. https://www.cis.org.au/commentary/opinion/no-more-dreaming-of-cdep/ |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2023 at 6:50pm Frank wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 5:56pm:
You are mixing up the timelines: CDEP produced good results (as shown in the links in my previous post), UNTIL it was progressively cancelled starting with PM Howard in the 2000s. Quote:
Correct, though you are also discounting the million or so long-term non-black workers who are ALSO "not capable of holding mainstream employment" ie, in the competitive market-economy job-market. Quote:
No; again you apparently have not read the article which directly contradicts this claim. Quote:
Now at least you have rejoined the debate; but I have already commented on your irrelevant definition of "mainstream jobs"; JG jobs (and CDEP jobs) aren't "mainstream", by design. Quote:
BS..... taking the example of a single mother with six kids...as if that is reason to condemn the CDEP, for all other worker categories. Quote:
Neoliberal market ideologues criticizing the CDEP; hence the worthless commentary (but bravo for bothering to do your own research), contradicted by those who actually participated in and enjoyed the benefits of the CDEP, as outlined in my linked articles re the CDEP. Of course, where there's a will there's a way to eradicate welfare dependency, and that is what the nation MUST do, to close the gap. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 9th, 2023 at 9:08pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 6:50pm:
No; again you apparently have not read the article which directly contradicts this claim. Quote:
Now at least you have rejoined the debate; but I have already commented on your irrelevant definition of "mainstream jobs"; JG jobs (and CDEP jobs) aren't "mainstream", by design. Quote:
BS..... taking the example of a single mother with six kids...as if that is reason to condemn the CDEP, for all other worker categories. Quote:
Neoliberal market ideologues criticizing the CDEP; hence the worthless commentary (but bravo for bothering to do your own research), contradicted by those who actually participated in and enjoyed the benefits of the CDEP, as outlined in my linked articles re the CDEP. Of course, where there's a will there's a way to eradicate welfare dependency, and that is what the nation MUST do, to close the gap. [/quote] You should change your name to Oblivious. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:04am
Priceless.
Buyer: "the parrot is dead" - seller: ""no, it's only resting" (Monty Python sketch). Prof. Steve Keen examines and disposes of the mainstream 'money-multiplier' concept. https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-dead-parrot-of-mainstream-economics?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=113653630&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email The Dead Parrot of Mainstream Economics |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:10am Frank wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 9:08pm:
Who is oblivious of the fact the nation has to end welfare dependency among a significant minority, if it wants to close the gap? Note: even the Alice Springs Police Commissioner recently acknowledged the fact. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 10th, 2023 at 11:44am thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:10am:
CDEP WAS welfare. Only 5% transitioned to real jobs. More people move off unemployment benefit than off CDEP. Payment for mowing your own lawn, doing your laundry and hoovering the house? Ridiculous. You will never transition to a real job from that. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2023 at 1:16pm Frank wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 11:44am:
But unemployment benefits themselves - aka "sit down money" - are a social disaster, especially in black communities struggling with cultural displacement issues. Of course, IF people can move off CDEP jobs into market-based jobs, that is a good thing. But the first step is to eradicate welfare dependency itself, aka "sit-down money" which engenders boredom, lack of personal agency, and drug/alcohol use. And the good news is Philip Lowe can fund CDEPs without you or I having to fund them (...until Lowe gets the sack for being the incompetent mainstream buffoon he is...) Quote:
These are real work, and the first step in progressing from welfare dependency especially in remote and regional communities**, on the path to employment in the market-based economy. **Mundine claimed today the gap is not between white and black, but between blacks in cities, and those in regional/remote communities. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:01pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 1:16pm:
These are real work, and the first step in progressing from welfare dependency especially in remote and regional communities**, on the path to employment in the market-based economy. **Mundine claimed today the gap is not between white and black, but between blacks in cities, and those in regional/remote communities. [/quote] Oblivious is correct. You are like a yappy dog that will yap the same way no matter where it is, what it's fed, who is with it, what the circumstance,etc. You are yapping the same shite regardless of what you are told, what situation you are in - re gd ardless of anything. You just yap, yap, yappity yap, same old uncontrolled, oblivious shite. WHATEVER anyone say, it prompts you to just yap the exact same stupid yappy crap. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2023 at 9:50am Frank wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:01pm:
So ...we have arrived at these competing positions: You: "CDEP was welfare. Only 5% transitioned to real jobs". Me: "85% of CDEP participants reported improvement in communities, with reduced alcohol and crime". My counter-argument points to the error of your ideological conception of "real jobs", meaning market-based jobs. But "real jobs" include non-market based jobs. Let's see if we can resolve this difference (and if not, why not....) Quote:
Hm......not a good start for resolving the substantive issues RE the efficacy of the CDEP, nor understanding the competing views (though I can confidently say it's your 'individual sovereignty/freedom' delusions supporting classical economics - ultimately - which are at fault). Quote:
Er... you found the 5% success with CDEP figure in an anti CDEP article; I found my 85% CDEP approval in a pro CDEP study. So obviously, the CDEP needs further examination.... Obviously it's helpful to understand that currency-issuing government can finance itself if the needed resources are available, unlike private sector players who have to earn money..... Then work which is gainful, as well as market based, can both be done, without being bogged down in false considerations re "taxpayer money". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2023 at 1:23pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 3:35pm:
Yet a currency-issuing government can finance its own spending, provided the required resources are available for purchase. Zimbabwe suffered a large reduction in its food-producing capacity, when Mugabe requisitioned white farms and gave them to inexperienced black farmers. Re inflation (not hyper-inflation): https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/what-will-all-this-inflation-do-to?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#details |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2023 at 8:53pm
Economic benefit going to rich 'inequality on steroids'
Story by Dominic Giannini • 14h ago A disparity between how much of the economic benefits the vast majority of Australians get compared to the top end of town has been described as "inequality on steroids". A new report shows 90 per cent of Australians received just seven per cent of the benefits of real economic growth over a decade from 2009. The top 10 per cent of income earners received 93 per cent of the benefits. The report from the Australia Institute says stagnating wages, insecure work, soaring corporate profits and an unfair tax system means people are going backwards. The institute's senior economist Matt Grudnoff said the data showed the economy wasn't working for most Australians. "From the 1950s to the 1980s Australia was considered the land of the fair go and we saw people benefiting more equally from economic growth," he said. "Today, that Australian dream has turned into an inequality nightmare, fuelling the cost of living crisis for low and middle-income earners." The left-leaning think tank is using the report to reignite its push to scrap stage three tax cuts, which would lower the tax rate for people earning over $180,000 a year. Mr Grudnoff says it will only make inequality worse, instead pushing for a corporate "super profits tax". "Soaring energy prices have seen gas and electricity bills increase for average Australians, while super profits from Australia's gas and coal go overseas," he said. "Australians know they are missing out." The Albanese government has continuously said its position on keeping the (stage 3) tax cuts has not changed. (end) But both sides of politics are captured by the current gruesome neoclassical/Friedmanite monetary orthodoxy**, with one blunt tool of economic management - "independent" central bank interest-rate manipulation (monetary policy) to control inflation and employment. ** meaning debt and deficits are regarded as evil....which the AI's neoclassical economist Grudnoff says can be eliminated with higher taxes. News flash: Australians don't like higher taxes....even if they "know they are missing out".... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 4:54pm
cont. from #430:
"One of the reasons (for disagreement re whether MMT controls inflation with taxation) is that economic theories hatched within academia are not always clear to those outside of the inner circle. For the most part this doesn’t matter. In this case it does. MMT has escaped from academia. Professor Kelton advised the Bernie Sanders campaign in 2016. The precocious new de-facto leader of far-Left Democrats, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, of Green New Deal notoriety, is apparently a fan of MMT; though how much of it she understands is an open question. Jeremy Corbyn and his shadow chancellor flirted with MMT before reverting to more orthodox Keynesianism. At one point, echoing MMT, he favoured the Bank of England printing money to fund national infrastructure and public housing." The British govt. SHOULD authorize it, to deal with the current housing crisis, so long as the necessary resources are available in Britain. It is important to understand the allure of MMT to those with a socialist bent. As I will explain, it might become increasingly alluring to those on the political Left in failing economies locked inside the eurozone. It is a Trojan horse in waiting. At the same time, it is somewhat comforting that a socialist like Corbyn found it too hard to swallow; at least for now. "Comforting" - for a dyed in the wool neoclassical conservative like the author (Peter Smith). For the most part I am guided in my absorption of MMT by three of its leading proponents; one of whom, Professor Bill Mitchell of the University of Newcastle (Australia), is credited with having invented the term MMT. The others are Kelton and Professor Randall Wray of the University of Missouri–Kansas City. My main references are Mitchell (Full Employment Abandoned, 2008); Wray (Modern Monetary Theory, 2012); and Kelton (“The Failure of Austerity: Rethinking Fiscal Policy,” in Rethinking Capitalism, 2016). All good sources, lets continue: So far as I can tell, those wedded to MMT are a ginger group of Keynesians, or of post-Keynesians as they are equivalently called these days. They accept the principal Keynesian doctrine that aggregate demand drives the economy but do not accept the same limitations on government action as do orthodox Keynesians. An internecine struggle is afoot. I will start with a very brief account of the claimed provenance of MMT before setting out its main elements. I will then impart context by comparing MMT with orthodox Keynesianism and also with free-market macroeconomics. Finally, I will look more closely at the import and practicality of MMT. Ok, a good starting point. (to be cont.) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 5:15pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 11th, 2023 at 1:23pm:
Still - Zimbabwe is a warning to us all. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:35pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 5:15pm:
Not really. The misunderstanding of what inflation is (examined by Keen in the link posted above), and the difference to hyperinflation (very rare) means Zimbabwe has very little to show us, other than what happens when supply is suddenly reduced, as in the Arab oil embargo in the 70's, which resulted in stagflation - not hyperinflation - in the West. The fact that Milton Friedman's erroneous monetary policies were adopted in an attempt to deal with the stagflation is another story, and we have been living with government 'austerity' ever since (eg, abandoning public housing, a disaster in Oz...) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:57pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:35pm:
Zimbabwe is still a warning. Milton Friedman's erroneous monetary policies will lead us to another depression. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Friedman |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:12pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:57pm:
Another depression? Well I didn't expect Friedman monetary orthodoxy would be accused of causing a depression, just ongoing govt. 'austerity' - due to the current Friedmanite mainstream debt and deficit mythology, with entrenched poverty and soaring inequality. But thank goodness we now know central banks can correct a depression by issuing debt-free money... as they should have done during the covid lockdowns, to avoid loading governments with public debt, as at present. But I'll have a look at your linked article, to see their (anti- Friedman?) recommendations... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:18pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:12pm:
Except that we should never have had such draconian lockdowns then we wouldn't have needed to print so much money. The idea that we can print our way to prosperity is false. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:33pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:18pm:
Nonsense. Where were you when the govt. was faced with unemployment queues snaking around entire city blocks in the major cities? Btw can you point to the paragraph in the Friedman article showing that his polices would cause a depression? I read the first paragraph only to be reminded he was an originator of today's gruesome neoclassical economics....I despise the man. So maybe you can point to the relevant passage, which highlights your comment re Frieman causing a depression. And as for your comment about "printing to prosperity", that is sheer ignorance; learn how money is created, and by whom (plenty of pages in this thread). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:41pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:33pm:
A "depression" was my own opinion. I never believed in funny money. Our money should have been backed by Gold - if it was - an ounce of Gold would be worth over US $100,000 maybe even US$200,000 - that's how much money they have printed - it's ridiculous. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:55pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:41pm:
Aha, glad we sorted that out; reading about neoclassical economics is a complete and utter waste of time. Quote:
Carry on, I can't force you to learn. But you ducked addressing the position facing govts. in March 2020...governments like to avoid unemployed mobs rampaging in the streets for food and housing. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 10:02pm thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:55pm:
No I didn't - the solution was to not have Draconian lockdowns not print a ship load of funny money. The virus was nowhere near as bad as they made out. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 10:13pm Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 10:02pm:
So you claim, but the govt. certainly did not know that at the time, and had to quickly get rid of those centrelink unemployment queues Cost: in the $billions, regardless of poorly targeted relief. But your definition of 'funny money' is wrong; fiat money is backed by the nation's productive capacity, compared with bitcoin which IS funny money (based on a ponzi, in fact). In fact all money is created out of nothing, but that doesn't mean all money is "funny money", just because it isn't backed by gold in the post gold-standard era. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 13th, 2023 at 12:32pm
On the news today:
(Commonwealth Bank) economist warns of collapse in household incomes due to high inflation and interest rates And Chalmers is bleating about a "trillion dollar debt"- which he could authorize treasury to write-off with a few keystrokes, because a currency-issuing govt. is constrained by resources not money, obviously. Labor will be turfed out at the next election if this keeps up, and deservedly so. Note: interest rates can be maintained near zero; and inflation can be controlled by price controls in conjunction with rationing if required; and govt. subsidies for low income families on food, rent, and electricity can deal with the "collapse in household income" predicted by the Commonwealth Bank's gruesome neoclassical economist. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 13th, 2023 at 5:24pm
(critique of MMT by Peter Smith; cont. from #456)
"MMT is of very recent origin. It is a twenty-first-century theory; at least it is under the heading of MMT. Gravitas is added to a new theory if its origins can be traced to earlier times. The deeper its roots, the less likely it can be construed as faddish. According to its proponents, elements of MMT can be found in the work of economists of the past. Three are prominent. The longest intelligible lineage of MMT goes back to “Chartalism”, developed by a German economist, Georg Friedrich Knapp, at the beginning of the twentieth century. Chartalism argues that money is primarily a creature of government and finds its value in exchange and as a store of value because government will accept it in discharge of debts it is owed. Later in the century, Abba Lerner, a better-known economist in the then newly-minted Keynesian mould of the early 1940s, developed a theory of “functional finance”. Its central idea is that spending, taxing, borrowing and money issuance on the part of government should be “taken with an eye only to the results of these actions on the economy and not to any established traditional doctrine about what is sound or unsound”. So far, so good. Finally, Hyman Minsky, another well-known Keynesian economist, writing from the 1960s to the mid-1990s (he died in 1996), is brought into the frame by Wray in a working paper published by the Levy Institute in January 2018. It is not at all clear to me from Wray’s account that Minsky, if he had lived on, would have supported much of MMT. However, he did refer to circumstances in which there may be “a need to supplement private incomes with socially provided incomes, so that civility and civic responsibility are promoted”. Consistent with this, Wray argues that Minsky supported government having an “employer of last resort” role to reduce unemployment. As I will explain, this idea is an integral part of MMT, as also are the ideas stemming from Chartalism and functional finance. Some orthodox Keynesians suggest that MMT is either saying things that are wrong or saying well-known things as though they are new. American economist Thomas Palley (“Critics of MMT are right”, Review of Political Economy, 2015) is a leading example. Leaving for now the assertion that MMT is saying things which are wrong, I don’t wholly agree that it is saying things which are all well known. Yes, there is nothing which doesn’t fall out of or can’t be derived from conventional economics. Nevertheless, some things are put in a way that has instructive novelty. This is certainly the case when it comes to taxation. MMT has a number of interrelated elements. A good place to start is with taxation; specifically, with the proposition that government expenditure provides the wherewithal to pay taxes. Commonly this is put the other way around; that government taxes in order to fund its expenditure. But, MMT has a point and one that I admit to not having until now appreciated. Well done, Peter! To be cont.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 19th, 2023 at 9:01am
Apparently Warren Mosler, former investment banker and co-founder of MMT, has said "there is no such thing as debt-free money".
But obviously a currency-issuing government with its own treasury and central bank, can finance public sector policies withour taxing or borrowing from the private sector, provided the necessary resources are available for purchase in the nation's own currency. I think Warren is applying the banker's double-entry book-keeping debt and credit/liabilities and assets accounting methods, and hence concluding there is no such thing as "debt-free" money. But he is wrong: the government can finance itself with debt free money as described above, because the government faces RESOURCE "opportunity costs", NOT repayment of bank-created debt-money (debt which must be repaid with interest). [Note: most money in the economy is created when private banks write loans for credit-worthy customers (see prof. Keen's examination of this point***); bank managers don't check with their accounts department to see if the bank has sufficient customer deposits before making the loan...] So I think Warren has quashed the implications of his own MMT discoveries (in his "7 deadly innocent frauds of economc polcy"). Which means he hasn't considered the possibility of controlling inflation, in a full employment, low interest rate scenario, by means of price controls, rationing, and subsidization of low-income households. ...... Today on ABC radio a job-seeker recipient expressed her disappointment with Albo; she noted that the government's exuse for not increasing the job-seeker payment now has been the same for the last 20 years, ie, "can't afford it". Exposing the silliness of the idea that job seekers spending more money into the economy will cause excessive demand in the economy. It won't, because supply of essentials is elastic and can quickly rise to meet demand (eg, food is already thrown out in supermarkets, and rent subsidies can be paid by a government issuing debt-free money, as examined above. ***"One of the great ironies of economics is that, while the public regards economists as experts on money, the issue of how money is created is still not settled within economics." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 19th, 2023 at 2:44pm
To add to the previous post (#469), namely:
".....the government can finance itself with debt free money as described above, because the government faces RESOURCE "opportunity costs", NOT repayment of bank-created debt-money (debt which must be repaid with interest). Iow, 'debt' shown in the Treasury's account ledgers can be made to disappear (magic....), because a money 'debt', unlike a real resource 'debt', is immaterial to a money issuer. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 22nd, 2023 at 10:19am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60793
RBA Review Report ignores the real questions and proposes to entrench the failed Groupthink |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 22nd, 2023 at 3:33pm
Dr. Steven Hail tweeted (re the latest recommendations for the RBA):
Unacceptable in a Democracy:...... "The RBA should continue to have operational independence for monetary policy. The government should remove the power of the Treasurer to over-rule the RBA's decisions." ie, rule by gruesome unelected neoclassical economists. Philip Lowe gets paid big bucks to burden the least wealthy with interest rate rises, unemployment, and rent rises... while Chalmers is free to say "not my fault".... ....... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 24th, 2023 at 11:36am
"Like it or not, economics has become the language of power. You cannot change the world without understanding it".
— Ha-Joon Chang |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Ajax on Apr 24th, 2023 at 1:34pm thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:56pm:
Do you know how the monetary system in the west works...???? Quote:
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 24th, 2023 at 1:58pm Ajax wrote on Apr 24th, 2023 at 1:34pm:
Yes. Quote:
Indeed. I began the first MMT thread at Ozpol with the reference to China, only because: "This week’s episode is another chapter in our mission to educate ourselves about modern China. Yan Liang specializes in Modern Money Theory" Perhaps I should have started the thread with prof Stephanie Kelton's book 'The Deficit Myth' exposing the appalling state of current Western monetary orthodoxy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 25th, 2023 at 9:38am
Prof. Keen mourns the passing of post-Keynesian economist Victoria Chick.
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/farewell-vicky-chick?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=117040707&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email "The thought that made Vicki's farewell both poignant and chilling for me was, will the Neoclassical mainstream of economics still be dominant when my day of internment arrives?" excerpt: Instead, Neoclassicals developed a twisted tale in which the Great Depression was caused, not by capitalism itself, but by the government. Specifically, they blamed the Federal Reserve for tightening monetary policy. Milton Friedman was the first to make this case, arguing, as Ben Bernanke put it, that: Federal Reserve policy turned contractionary in 1928, in an attempt to curb stock market speculation… the main lines of causation [of the Great Depression] ran from monetary contraction—the result of poor policy-making and continuing crisis in the banking system—to declining prices and output. (Bernanke 2000) Bernanke echoed this explanation in an obsequious speech he made at Milton Friedman's 90th birthday function in 2002: Let me end my talk by abusing slightly my status as an official representative of the Federal Reserve. I would like to say to Milton and Anna: Regarding the Great Depression. You're right, we did it. We're very sorry. But thanks to you, we won't do it again. "Bollocks. The real cause of the Great Depression was the collapse of a private debt bubble that the economics mainstream completely ignored. The Roaring Twenties roared because of a private-debt-fuelled Ponzi scheme that began in real estate and ended up in the Stock Market. The party came to an end when credit flipped from almost 10% of GDP in 1928 to almost minus 10% in 1933." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 25th, 2023 at 3:29pm
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-08-18/economists-say-rba-should-have-raised-cash-rate-target-sooner/101343618
The Reserve Bank doesn't have enough information to make accurate interest rate calls, says former board member Professor McKibbin says the Reserve Bank's understanding of the main drivers of inflation is incomplete and has led to policy error. This policy error he and other economists say has led to haphazard interest rate decisions that have real-world consequences for millions of mortgage borrowers and renters. ...you're not kidding... (linking rates to nominal wages rather than CPI, at least in supply-shock scenarios, might a better bet, says McKibbin). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 27th, 2023 at 9:47am
A brief examination of the 'Quantity Theory of Money' (QTM):
http://www.boolean.org.uk/library/SRRIO_QTM.pdf Theories of money. (excerpt) The commonly used QTM, proposed by Irving Fisher, is as follows: M.V = P.Y ... (i) Where: M is the volume of money; V is the velocity of money circulation; P is the average price of goods & services; Y is the quantity of goods & services or, real income. John Maynard Keynes, Arthur Pigou and Alfred Marshall realized savings would reduce amount of money in circulation and they therefore produced what is known as the Cambridge Equation. A version of this is shown below: (M - s).V = P.Y... (ii) where s = savings (cont). "In 1975 Denis Healey, the Labour government Chancellor, altered macreconomic policy to one placing more emphasis on monetary policy instruments. Since then investment and productivity in industry and manufacturing declined and the balance of payments for goods collapsed. The aggregate demand paradigm promoted by Keynes was taken up by monetarists making use of the Quantity Theory of Money identity (QTM) the guiding principle for monetary policy decisions with the objective of steering a path between inflation and deflation in the prices of goods and services. The net result has been declining real wages and rising wealth of those dealing in asset holdings and asset trading." ..continued under the current crop of gruesome neoclassical economists running central banks. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2023 at 11:17am
https://www.9news.com.au/world/us-debt-budget-what-is-behind-the-looming-x-date-on-the-us-debt-limit/9c9a3ad5-998e-49aa-913c-a0c133496c78?ref=BP_RSS_ninenews_5_what-s-behind-the-looming--x-date--on-the-us-debt-limit-_280423
What's behind the looming 'x-date' on the US debt limit? Why does the US have a debt limit? Before World War I, Congress needed to approve each bond issuance. The debt limit was created as a workaround to finance the war effort without needing a constant series of votes. Since then, a tool created to make it easier for the government to function has become a source of dysfunction, stoking partisan warfare and creating economic risk as the debt has increased in size over the past 20 years. How risky is the brinkmanship this time? It looks alarming - and it's unclear how Biden, McCarthy and the Democratic Senate will find common ground. A default could cause millions of job losses, a deep recession that would reverberate globally and, ironically, higher interest rates that would make it harder to manage the federal debt. Biden called the plan that McCarthy unveiled last week "wacko," with a White House analysis showing that the spending caps would hurt schooling for children, healthcare for veterans, food aid for families and seniors and cause housing costs to climb for the country's poorest households. The president's budget plan announced in March would reduce deficits by nearly $US3 trillion over the next 10 years**, primarily through tax increases on the wealth and corporations. "America is not a deadbeat nation," Biden said. "Take default off the table." **irrelevent; the important thing is that the US economy remain productive. The blind leading the blind - following neoclassical orthodoxy; and given this orthodoxy, greedy Republicans insist on paying less tax, reducing government spending, and hence increasing poverty. Time is running out for hapless mainstream neoliberal politicians. Today in Hobart PM Albanese was heckled by protesters for funding a $700 million football oval rather than public housing for homeless citizens. The 'honeymoon' is coming to an end. This 'Left Wing' government can find half a $trillion to build nuclear subs and missiles to attack China - who has no intention of invading Oz - for the sole purpose of 'defending democracy' in Taiwan, which is none of our business. And as poverty increases in Oz, the government will be busy enough defending democracy in Oz..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2023 at 2:05pm
Prof. Steven Hail tweeted:
"Planned transition to a sustainable, equitable economy, guided by the economics of Kelton, Raworth and many others, yes. Unplanned recession, driven by following misconceived neoclassical advice, with the impacts such events have on well-being, no." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 30th, 2023 at 1:28pm
Christine Milne AO tweet:
"When the political tide turns, it can be quick and brutal. It happened today in Hobart. @AlboMP now associated with circuses and right wing shock jocks. Budget will confirm it. #TaxCuts Homelessness and poverty relegated to peripheral issue. He is now scrambling. #auspol" 9:55 PM · Apr 29, 2023. 42.1K Views |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 1st, 2023 at 11:08am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/its-not-a-deficit-its-a-fiat?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=118044890&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email
It’s not a deficit, it’s a fiat Why celebrate a government surplus? "What is Richardson really celebrating, because the government is now running a surplus? He's celebrating the government reducing the financial resources of the private sector. He's celebrating the government reducing the money supply. Somehow, this is supposed to make the economy work better." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by aquascoot on May 1st, 2023 at 5:45pm
hey dufus , go back and look at the end of the dutch gilder and the british pound as world currencies.
you saw money printing and deficits as they went down the slippery slope to failure. a surplus is a sign of productivity a deficit is a sign of living beyond your means if you want to leave a prosperous country to your grandkids, you better get on board with balanced budgets |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 1st, 2023 at 8:14pm aquascoot wrote on May 1st, 2023 at 5:45pm:
Er...as empires are succeeded by a more powerful nation, their currencies are also eclipsed as 'world currencies'. Quote:
because they lost crippling wars to the newcomer on the block... Quote:
Wrong again, a government surplus is a sign that the government has taxed back more from the private sector than the government has spent into the economy, reducing the private sector's productivity. Quote:
Wrong again; you are making the classic mistake of seeing the government's budget in the same way as your household budget. But the government is the ISSUER of the currency, while the private sector (inc. you and me) is the USER of the currency. iow, a currency-issuing government is concerned with managing the country's resources for maximum good of the country. Quote:
Wrong again...gosh, zero from five... A prosperous country depends on govt. overseeing the most productive management of the nation's resources, nothing to do with "balanced (government) budgets". Balanced budgets are for you and me to achieve in our own households (....to avoid debtor's prison). cf goverment which must ensure demand for goods and services can always be met by supply, to avoid inflation, nothing to do with 'balanced budgets'. So...start at page 1 of this thread and educate yourself. :-) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 2nd, 2023 at 10:24am
http://billmitchell.org/blog/
A debt jubilee is the only way low-income nations will escape the penury of debt distress (and the IMF/World Bank). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 10:26am
An American anti-poverty plan:
https://marianne2024.com/issues/the-anti-poverty-plan/ Anti-Poverty Plan Poverty is not natural, it is a policy choice, and we can end it. The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little. - President Franklin Roosevelt "It is shocking that in the richest country in the world, well over a third of the American people are poor or near-poor. Nearly 70% of Americans would struggle to meet an unexpected expense of $400, according to a report by the Federal Reserve." .......... Meanwhile in Oz, the gruesome neoclassical ideologue Philip Lowe is deliberately trying to lift unemployment from 3.5% to c. 4.5%, while trying to avoid a recession - he calls it the "narrow road" - all in the name of managing inflation. [Note: Alan Kohler refered to this insane 'NAIRU' dogma on TV last night). In other words, Lowe's plan is to enforce 'welfare' onto those whose can least bear it, to rescue his sorry a*rse. Sick, disgusting economic theory masquerading as "management" of an economy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 1:12pm thegreatdivide wrote on May 1st, 2023 at 8:14pm:
Wrong again, a government surplus is a sign that the government has taxed back more from the private sector than the government has spent into the economy, reducing the private sector's productivity. Quote:
Wrong again; you are making the classic mistake of seeing the government's budget in the same way as your household budget. But the government is the ISSUER of the currency, while the private sector (inc. you and me) is the USER of the currency. iow, a currency-issuing government is concerned with managing the country's resources for maximum good of the country. Quote:
Wrong again...gosh, zero from five... A prosperous country depends on govt. overseeing the most productive management of the nation's resources, nothing to do with "balanced (government) budgets". Balanced budgets are for you and me to achieve in our own households (....to avoid debtor's prison). cf goverment which must ensure demand for goods and services can always be met by supply, to avoid inflation, nothing to do with 'balanced budgets'. So...start at page 1 of this thread and educate yourself. :-) [/quote] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 2:22pm
The blind leading the blind....
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/shares-in-us-banks-plummet-as-crisis-fears-rock-markets/ar-AA1aEscZ?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=710a082e2c48442badc9e809ce5cff77&ei=12 Shares in US banks plummet as crisis fears rock markets "Wall Street’s banking giants suffered a sell-off last night after the takeover of US regional lender First Republic failed to calm market nerves. The renewed turmoil intensified pressure on the Federal Reserve, the US’s central bank, ahead of a decision tonight on whether to hike interest rates again even as the crisis among lenders deepens. Regional banks such as PacWest Bancorp and Metropolitan Bank , down 28 per cent and 20 per cent, suffered the biggest declines. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 3:07pm
One of the 3 female economists on the Canberra Press Club panel today said: "increasing productivity is very, very hard"...
Only if government is constrained by private sector ideology, and eg, defunds TAFE, as occurred under the Coalition. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 3:22pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/sorry-what-the-latest-interest-rates-rise-suggests-the-rba-board-is-completely-lost-to-logic/ar-AA1aF8ZR?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=27ad1735f20d4245ac318f67cdb6f64b&ei=70
Sorry, what? The latest interest rates rise suggests the RBA board is completely lost to logic Story by Greg Jericho • 4h ago |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 4:30pm
Waking up.....
rule no. 1: don't borrow in another country's currency... https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/companies/brazil-working-on-payment-solution-for-exports-to-argentina-says-minister/ar-AA1aDVrJ?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=1f6019a185d3400f956126e21191d696&ei=50 Brazil working on payment solution for exports to Argentina, says minister Brazilian Finance Minister Fernando Haddad said on Tuesday that the country is working on a solution to ensure that Brazilian exporters are paid for sales to Argentina, which is currently facing a severe economic crisis and a shortage of U.S. dollars. Haddad emphasized that Brazil does not want to lose its export market share to Argentina, where over 200 Brazilian companies are not exporting or not receiving payments due to the lack of foreign currency, he told journalists. ..... the beginning of the end of the US dollar as the world's reserve currency. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2023 at 9:00am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60809
RBA loses the plot – Treasurer should use powers under the Act to suspend the RBA Board’s decision making discretion .......... Dan Andrews is angry too... https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/daniel-andrews-blames-victoria-s-huge-pandemic-debt-on-rba-interest-rates-advice/ar-AA1aFhuf?ocid=msedgntp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=160df3fbaaed4037a5436ab871cd77ed&ei=26 Daniel Andrews blames Victoria’s huge pandemic debt on RBA interest rates advice “I remember at national cabinet being told, ‘Go and borrow. If you don’t borrow, then we’re going to have 25% unemployment, we’re not going to get through (the pandemic), we will not survive this. And by the way – interest rates won’t be going up’,” he said of the advice on Wednesday. “That was the message to governments. The same message was applied to households right across our country, that interest rates would not be going up." Unfortunately for state governments, they are like households when it comes to repaying debt with interest......unlike the federal government which can order the Treasury to return its bonds and cease interest payments. As prof. Bill Mitchell says (in the top link): So in determining the severity of the sentence (in the recent ATO tax fraud case) , the Judge invoked the ‘taxpayer fiction’ and clearly doesn’t understand how the monetary system works or the role of the currency-issuer in that system. He obviously thought that by defrauding the Australian government, these criminals have compromised the capacity of the government to spend and the damage caused would result in higher taxes, lower spending and/or higher future borrowing in the future. The fraud did not compromise the ability of the Australian government to fund services during the pandemic. The government has all the dollars it ever needs to meet demands for its services". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2023 at 2:34pm
Chalmers notes "interest on debt" as an "increasing burden on the govt. budget".
Of course the currency-issuing government should not be issuing debt at all; the resources the govt. needs are either available, or they are not. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2023 at 5:34pm
More blind leading the blind; it would be funny if it wasn't so tragic:
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/smashing-families-premiers-lead-attacks-on-the-rba-over-rate-rise-20230503-p5d55g.html Responding to the criticism of the RBA levelled by the Labor premiers, Angus Taylor said big-spending state governments were adding to the inflation challenge and accused the state leaders of questioning the bank’s independence. “Dan Andrews and state governments that spend a lot of money are also part of the problem, they are putting upward pressure on inflation,” he said. “We’ve got an independent Reserve Bank. If they think it should be something different, they should say it. This has been a big success having an independent Reserve Bank.” Greens leader Adam Bandt, who wants the government to intervene with the independence of the RBA and prevent it from raising rates further, said the central bank made the wrong call and was using everyday Australians as “cannon fodder” in its fight against inflation." ........ None of them understand public debt is the ultimate fraud imposed by private money lenders for whom the privilege of creating money is reserved. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 5th, 2023 at 10:44am
https://www.torrens.edu.au/blog/torrens-university-welcomes-chief-economist-stephanie-kelton
Torrens University welcomes Stephanie Kelton, senior economist and thought leader on money |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 5th, 2023 at 3:55pm
https://www.australiaremade.org/the-vision
Imagine you have woken up in the Australia of your dreams. What is it like? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 6th, 2023 at 9:18am
Prof. Steve Keen explains the idiocy (and failure) of interest on public debt "which must be repaid".
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/its-not-a-debt-its-a-gift?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=118517014&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email It’s not a debt, it’s a gift How interest payments on bonds create money for the banking sector. ...... I'm going to show why by starting with an operation which, in most countries in the world, is illegal: the Central Bank buying bonds directly from the Treasury. This operation is illegal for the same reason that smoking marijuana is illegal in most countries in the world, while drinking alcohol is not. It's not because the former is more dangerous than the latter, but because legislators followed conventional wisdom rather than scientific research, and banned the safer drug while making the more dangerous one legal. ....... Unfortunately, stupid laws mean that neither Figure 1 nor Figure 2 is legal. Instead, just like a stoner is forced by stupid laws to buy his dope from a dealer, the Central Bank is forced by stupid laws to buy Treasury Bonds from Private Banks. What actually happens in practice is shown in Figure 3: the Treasury sells to Primary Dealers, and the Central Bank buys off the Dealers. "Primary Dealers" is a very apt label for private banks, given that they function like drug dealers selling to drug consumers today. They only have a market because stupid laws enable their trade. ....... The end result of this process is, potentially, equivalent to the direct sale of Bonds by the Treasury to the Central Bank—if the Central Bank bought all the Bonds sold to the private banks. It certainly has no impact on the core fact that the government creates Fiat money by spending more than it gets back in taxation, which in turn increases private sector bank deposit accounts by precisely the same amount. This changes the situation shown in Figure 1 in one important respect: as well as the Fiat creating money for the private non-bank sector, interest payments on bonds create money for the banking sector. The reason that I describe the sale of bonds to banks as a gift is that, because of this sale, the Government pays the banks an income stream which it could easily avoid by having the Central Bank buy all the bonds issued by the Treasury. ....... Why should the government bestow this gift on the banks? One good reason is that the interest payments compensate the private banks for the costs they incur by running the economy's payments system. Without interest on government-created money, the banks would have to profit solely from their dealings with the non-bank public: from charging interest on private debt, fees on depositors, etc. They do that anyway of course, but the higher the income banks make directly from the government, the less is the pressure on them to entice the non-bank public into debt. ..... If we had people in charge of the monetary system who actually understood how money works, then private debt, not government debt, would be kept low, the Deficit Fiat would be kept at a level commensurate with the needs of the private sector for money for commerce and savings, and the finance sector would be kept in check. Instead, with the anti-government debt obsession, we have inadequate government spending on vital services, inadequate amounts of Fiat money in circulation, and the Dealers rather than the authorities, are in charge of the joint. The "War on Deficits Fiat" has been about as successful as the "War on Drugs". Sleepers, awake! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 7th, 2023 at 10:40am
This morning 'Macca' noted (on "Oz all over") :
"It's amazing, everyone seems to be raising money for one charity or another these days. We are blithely told about the billionaires, and yet there doesn't seem to enough money in our wealthy country". Poor Macca, like most of the population, can't work out we have a systemic problem - ie, forcing the currency-issuing Oz govenment to pay for use of private-sector savings ....which means the government can spend even less on social programs, after paying back the money with interest.... [Said interest bill amounting to $100 billion over the next four years, according to Chalmers]. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 8th, 2023 at 7:20pm
Genius comment from a Coalition spokeswoman tonight:
"To deal with cost of living pressures you have to deal with inflation." Obviously the party-room has decided on the inflation mantra as the answer to all questions from journalists re fiscal policy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 9th, 2023 at 10:28am
These two (or three) ladies know more about inflation than the Reverse ....oops...Reserve Bank. Priceless!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1654981110865223680 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 10th, 2023 at 12:49pm
To recap on "the government surplus", all in the news at present:
Most people don't understand how money is created, which means.... 1. Mainstream media can push the 'surplus good-deficit bad' narrative, because private sector players (you and me) must indeed balance our household budgets in order to save money - ie, for citiizens themselves (as individuals), surplus (savings) is good, while debt (deficits) is bad. 2. But currency-issuing governments (by definition) don't NEED to save (achieve a monetary surplus); nor do they NEED to tax or borrow in order to fund social policies; such governments need to balance supply of, and demand for, the nation's resources. So governement surpluses in fact achieve the opposite goal to that intended, ie, to enrich citizens, because government surpluses keep money out of the hands of private citizens, given that government is currently forced to tax citizens, (or issue interest-bearing bonds to primary dealers in the private sector - interest which reduces the quantity of money the government has to spend on social policies). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 11th, 2023 at 10:48am
Re Labor's plan for a housing fund for public housing ("social and affordable housing"), Prof. Steven Hail tweets:
" If you can fund a Fund, you can fund public housing directly. The policy makes no sense, and at one time such an idea would have been seen as absurd, so it is understandable if the Greens (or others) block it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 13th, 2023 at 1:06pm
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-05/ross-garnaut-rate-hikes-feed-inflation-urges-policy-overhaul/102302152?utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=abc_news_newsmail_pm_sfmc&utm_term=&utm_id=2081271&sfmc_id=103574144
RBA's rate hikes creating inflation, Ross Garnaut says, calling for radical overhaul of economic policy By business reporter Gareth Hutchens updated Fri 5 May 2023 at 2:28pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 14th, 2023 at 12:10pm
Prof. Steve Keen on a mission:
tweet @ProfSteveKeen 19h "....mainstream economists are the best argument for a Universal Basic Income. It’s often knocked as “payment to do nothing”, but in their case, nothing is a decided improvement over what they’re actually doing". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 17th, 2023 at 4:43pm
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-24/ignore-people-pushing-the-dole-bludger-narrative/101003752
'Dole bludger' narrative has always been destructive and that's why some people like using it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on May 18th, 2023 at 5:24am |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 18th, 2023 at 11:55am
Prof Steve Keen on "how to make money" .....actually, how money is made....
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/how-to-make-money-5e4?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=121647946&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email No, this post is not money-making advice: it's telling you how money is actually made, by both banks and the government, using my Minsky software. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 18th, 2023 at 12:00pm Bobby. wrote on May 18th, 2023 at 5:24am: The previous post (#507) reveals the changes required at government and banking institutions, to avoid the financial - and social - dysfunction envisioned by your stockbroker.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on May 18th, 2023 at 12:23pm thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2023 at 12:00pm:
Thanks. ;D |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 20th, 2023 at 10:46am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/economist-tells-leaders-to-rethink-green-evolution/ar-AA1bokcl?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=26f7fcf44eb941fea3e812af0141d8d1&ei=9
Economist tells leaders to rethink green evolution Story by Tracey Ferrier • Yesterday 2:24 pm Prof Garnaut said there were powerful lessons to be learned from looking back in history, to the two periods when Australia got the settings right for true economic evolution. "One was post-war reconstruction, where we thought differently about everything." The result was a quarter of a century of strong employment growth, a growing population, rising incomes, low inflation and low unemployment. ie back in the days when deficit spending was normal practice. Today 'balanced budgets' are de rigeur, when in fact: 1. Currency-issuing governments shouldn't issue debt at all, and 2. Inflation should be managed with price controls and rationing when necessary, in a scenario of legislated full employment and near zero interest-rate monetary policy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 21st, 2023 at 11:45am
https://www.levernews.com/bidens-austerity-rhetoric-returns-from-the-memory-hole/?s=07&fbclid=IwAR2jFWGan7OzyWCJazqTUTFSPUUmcQVrYl_KaBOmiZ6mART17lMlPuVBv8A
Biden’s Austerity Rhetoric Returns From The Memory Hole my comment: he's still hung up on mainstream 'deficit' nonsense and the false need for govt. 'austerity', though he is at least attempting to get manufacturing in the US going again (with CHIPS and IRA acts). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 21st, 2023 at 11:53am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SS8h35SPxNc
What to expect from a course in Economics of Sustainability |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Xavier on May 21st, 2023 at 11:58am thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:56pm:
China's Economic philosophy is very good. Probably run by a Black man to keep their economy in the black and on top of the Black Market as a bonus level. The Accountants in China will soon be making their military a tax write off as they kick them out of the country to go invade other countries to expel their worth for the country. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 22nd, 2023 at 10:38am
The recognition for radical change in the current mainstream neoclassical orthodoxy is growing:
https://theconversation.com/saving-humanity-heres-a-radical-approach-to-building-a-sustainable-and-just-society-205566?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=bylinetwitterbutton A more appropriate economic framework for human and planetary wellbeing is the interdisciplinary field of ecological economics. Unlike neoclassical economics, ecological economics gives priority to ecological sustainability and social justice over economic efficiency. It works towards a transition to a steady-state economy. That is, one with no global increase in the use of energy, materials and land, and no increase in population. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 22nd, 2023 at 10:51am Jasin wrote on May 21st, 2023 at 11:58am:
Common prosperity? It certainly ought to be achievable, in ANY nation. Quote:
A tongue-in-cheek play on "black".... otherwise a statement of zero value in a discussion of the monetary system. Quote:
Currency-issuing governments don't need to tax in order to spend, they need to balance supply of and demand for available resources. Quote:
Military isn't "kicked out to invade", regardless of whose wealth is involved. I suppose you consider reasserting/maintaining Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan, HK, Tibet and Xinjiang to be "invading".....and note: Taiwan has many of the same claims in the SCS as China, because...Taiwan is Chinese.... Catalonia wants to secede from Spain, Scotland from Great Britain (after Britain exited the EU), is there no end to this delusional splinter-ing in the name of (individual) sovereignty? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 22nd, 2023 at 10:44pm
Brilliant forward-looking thought from sociologist Heinz Dieterich:
https://transversal.at/transversal/0805/dieterich/en The basic premise of my book is that you need to have certain objective conditions to have democracy; you cannot have democracy, just as a wish, and impose it on any objective world scenery or acting. First of all, there has to be a certain level of material well being, you need a certain quality of life. That implies that you can have a very extensive educational system, which is open and free for all, and then of course you must have the willingness in the people to have a democratic society instead of, let’s say, a theocratic society. At the end, you need an economy that sets you free from unnecessary work so that you have time to participate in public affairs. I think these conditions have been reached today so that the authoritarian development of social democracy and historic socialism in eastern Europe was a phenomena much to do with the circumstances of the World Wars, the Second World War and then of the Cold War and that there’s no need to have that once again. You cannot substitute democratic participation by the rule of surrogate force, the Communist Party in that case, neither, of course, of a capitalist elite, and, neither, of course, of a state bureaucracy. So, I think we’ve all learned from these things. The objective conditions are much more prone to a real participatory democracy. I think there’s never been a better chance to have a real direct democracy than we do have today. A "real direct democracy" with common prosperity? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 25th, 2023 at 11:08am
https://findingmoneyfilm.com/
FINDING THE MONEY An underdog group of economists is on a mission to instigate a paradigm shift in economics, by flipping our understanding of the national debt — and the nature of money — upside down. Not before time; the fools in the US Congress are playing their silly 'debt ceiling' brinkmanship games again..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 26th, 2023 at 11:06am
Now for some comic relief (priceless...):
https://twitter.com/i/status/1661548182789328896 ...as one tweeter observed: "And this is how most of the 'experts' and politicians say with total conviction that the federal government, wherefrom money comes, needs to tax and borrow to spend." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 28th, 2023 at 5:34pm
The madness of political ideology, to avoid facing the madness of the current entrenched global monetary ideology:
tweet Ashish Barua आशिष बरूआ #MMT 📈📊📒💼 @barua_ashish "In India, 222 million children are facing the double whammy of climate disaster and poverty, are they Hindu or not? In PM Modi's “New India”, how poor you are or how long you have been unemployed does not matter at all, the only thing that matters is how much Hindu you are!" twitter.com/MrSinha_/statu… |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 31st, 2023 at 6:48pm
More on the egregious outcomes of the current neoclassical orthodoxy in India:
tweet Ashish Barua आशिष बरूआ #MMT 📈📊📒💼 @barua_ashish The problem is that India has so many people who have been educated and have spent a lot on their own or their family's money, but they couldn't find a job, or even if they are employed they are not able to earn enough to lead a decent life. ...the failure of neoliberal markets to employ even all educated people. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 2nd, 2023 at 9:52pm
Isabella M. Weber
tweet: Shareholders vote at Shell's AGM May 2023. What happens when fossil fuel profits explode? Renewables become less attractive for investors. “Shell’s current management insisted at the AGM that fossil fuels are again the core focus of its business and investments since renewables are not profitable enough.” Someone at Davos said (a couple of years back): "central banks might have to buy (and close down) the fossil fuel industry" (central banks/national treasuries having unlimited currency-issuing capacity). Obviously the profit-seeking private sector companies would rather maximize their profits than save the planet.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 2nd, 2023 at 10:13pm
Ashish Barua MMT
tweet "What surprises me is that there are people who unnecessarily try to differentiate b/w the $ issued by the US govt and the private banks, these people often forget that the license to issue $ to the banks has been granted by the US govt, and banks cannot grant loans in any other denomination! The only difference is that the government COULD issue 'debt free' money to purchase the goods and services it needs, so long as these resources are available for purchase in the nation's own currency. Private banks of course issue debt (interest bearing) money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler on Jun 2nd, 2023 at 10:38pm
You can't eat theory - tell you what - you go out and alter our governments and business ways of doing things to suit this theory, and we're all ears.
Same as the voice and the 'gaps' - you fix all those and get all the Cheers on the right track to prosperity without having businesses and cash handed to them to waste first, unlike anyone else gets, and then we'll see how the gap closing goes. I seriously cannot wait for McGowan's massive deal to the Geraldton lot to show its fruit.... bet it closes no gaps and creates a whole new range of problems that will require more and more funding and so forth unto eternity. Every year small groups get millions in royalties and handouts for everything and not a gap closes other than the gap between the grog shop owner's expenditures and his incomes.... and sometimes between the living standards and housing of the top dogs in the Cheers corporations entrusted with handing that money on behalf of their people and the way they expect to live at the top on it by drawing salaries and expenses like some Arab sheik. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 3rd, 2023 at 12:27pm Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Jun 2nd, 2023 at 10:38pm:
I'm (along with many others) working on it; but as to 'theory', it's fact - even more so than the 'Theory of Evolution'. From the link in #507: Prof. Keen: Fiat creates money for the non-bank private sector; interest on bonds creates money for the (private) banking sector; and the turnover of money creates GDP. Far from the servicing of government debt being a burden on future generations, as Neoclassical economists claim, the payment of interest on government bonds finances the banking sector while the excess of government spending over taxation creates money and positive equity for the non-bank private sector. Prof Keen proves his conclusion using double-entry accounting. Quote:
Correct; but - as some researchers reported yesterday, unless we do things differently, the gap will take more than a century to close (!)..... Quote:
In the case of blacks, historical/sociological problems have to be dealt with, as well as economic ones. But government currently cannot properly resource BOTH the sociological and economic management required to close the gap (including case management down to the individual level) ....because taxpayers object to their 'taxpayer money' being used in such a fashion. Hence the need for 'government money' - the topic of this thread - to deal with the problem. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 5th, 2023 at 12:00pm
We need government money, not "taxpayer money", to pay for public health, education and public housing.
http://www.billmitchell.org/podcast.php |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 6th, 2023 at 10:33am
From Prof. Steve Keen:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/troll-wars-in-economics?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=126258123&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email Troll Wars in Economics Mainstream economists are professional trolls. By this, I don't mean that mainstream economists work in troll farms and are being paid by Putin—though it would be better for humanity if they were: they'd do far less damage. I mean that, almost to a person, they behave as trolls when debating critics of economics, and when discussing issues that, to their mindset, can only be solved by economic theory. They ridicule their opponents rather than engaging with them, because, like trolls, they are smugly confident that their critics couldn't possibly be right. Philip N Cohen (@familyunequal) used this insight to come up with the perfect collective name for a group of economists: A "smug" of Economists. They are smug because they believe that mainstream, "Neoclassical" economics is an accurate model of the real world, and therefore anyone who criticises it must be wrong. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:12pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/philip-lowe-warns-rba-must-use-tool-it-has-to-get-inflation-under-control-and-that-may-mean-more-rate-rises/ar-AA1cdwFj?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=ede88ecf220a42d586d50c633bd683af&ei=9
Philip Lowe warns RBA must use 'tool it has' to get inflation under control — and that may mean more rate rises .....a perfect example of a flat-earth neoclassical economist equipped with only ONE tool to deal with inflation, despite inflation's many and varied causes. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 8th, 2023 at 11:16am
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/corporate-profits-heat-up-inflation-oecd-20230607-p5deou.html
Corporate profits heat up inflation: OECD Refuted by Philip Lowe, who gets paid a million bucks a year to force people into poverty. Mainstream madness. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 9th, 2023 at 11:54am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/australia-s-productivity-plunge-why-is-the-reserve-bank-concerned-and-should-we-panic/ar-AA1ciriG?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=364cde00cdb048fcbc54d291c3705dc3&ei=34
Australia’s productivity plunge: why is the Reserve Bank concerned and should we panic? ........ It turns out most productivity gains happen in the production side of the economy (due to IT and AI/automation enhancements); wheres the services sector is different - as one wit said: a string quartet can't play the Four Seasons at twice the speed and get good results..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 11th, 2023 at 12:50pm
"No-one a saw the GFC coming"... but some heterodox economists did, including MMT economists named in this article; eg Keen, Wray, and Wynne Godley whose work informed MMT economists.
https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/no-one-saw-coming-or-did-they?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email 'No one saw this coming' – or did they? Dirk Bezemer / 30 Sep 2009 "So far, however, monetary (and other) policymakers have resisted inclusion of balance sheets and the flow of funds in their models and policy responses. Greenspan famously preferred to “mitigate the fallout when it occurs and, hopefully, ease the transition to the next expansion”. But the underestimation of the severity of the fallout (global recession) throws the desirability of the transition to the next expansion into doubt if it is to be driven by (private) debt accumulation. Also, the argument that bubbles cannot be timely identified nor their effects reliably anticipated is rebutted by the analysts reviewed in my paper who did both. Conclusions While the jury is still out on the question whether the mainstream CGE (Computable General Equilibrium models) and “Flow of Funds” (MMT) models can be married, exploring these avenues is now urgent. Benjamin Friedman recently noted that, “what is sorely missing in the discussion is attention to what function the financial system is supposed to perform in the economy and how well it has been doing it”. “Flow of Funds” models provide just that. If the crisis and recession teach us one thing, it is that the financial sector is just as real as the “real economy”. We economists – and the policymakers who rely on us – ignore balance sheets and the flow of funds at our peril. ..... And whereas private debt 'can't grow forever', public debt can - so long as resource utilization in the real economy is sustainable - requiring Treasury departments to keep a tab on the nation's available resources and productive capacity. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 11th, 2023 at 1:10pm
Another MMT critic making a fool of himself:
............ Ezra Wyrick @Ezra4Liberty · Jun 9 🔹The Money Tree Fallacy MMT proponents argue (absurdly so) that governments can freely create money without consequences but that ignores the fundamental truth that money is NOT wealth in itself; it is a medium of exchange that represents the value produced... (2/10) Show this thread ......... No need to read the rest of the thread. 1. MMT does NOT say governments can "create money without consequences", MMT does say govts. can create money to purchase resources which are available for purchase in the nation's own currency. 2. "value" is not only produced by the private sector; it is also produced by the public sector, eg, via public education. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 14th, 2023 at 11:34am
So what do we know?
In a post gold-standard world: 1. The legal currency-issuer (part of a sovereign government with its own treasury and central bank) can issue debt-free money to fund particular public sector spending, so long as the necessary resources are available for purchase in the nation's own currency. 2. The convention requiring governments to borrow, via bond issuance to the private sector, is damaging to the nation's sustainable development including fair distribution of resources, because public policy will always be restricted according to orthodox 'balanced budget' terminology. Note: only the private sector needs to balance its budgets, because they are users, (not issuers) of the currency. 3. Given the vagaries of production and supply, rationing and price controls may sometimes be required to control inflation, in a scenario of mandated full employment and near zero interest rate monetary policy (ZIRP). 4. A fairer economy can be achieved by allocating first call on a proportion of the nation's available resources** (as decided by the electorate) to the public sector, to ensure provision of the essentials for all. **A reformed Treasury's job will be to keep a full account of the nation's resources and productive capacity. Thereafter private sector players can then compete for personal enrichment using the remaining available resources (including public sector infrastructure of course). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 14th, 2023 at 11:43am
Right on cue from prof. Steve Keen:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/money-from-nothing?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=128010491&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email Money from Nothing. If everyone could accept this basic accounting truth, capitalism would function a lot better. ".... money is not a physical thing: it's a social thing, an "IOU", which everyone in a society accepts in payment. It is a third party's "promise to pay" that a buyer transfers to a seller, and the seller accepts this third party's promise as complete payment for whatever physical object or service the seller transfers to the buyer. That third party is a bank." Another gem from this brilliant article: "Libertarians might instinctively prefer private (bank) money creation (Credit) over government (Fiat), because the former involves free choice and the latter involves compulsion. But from a practical point of view, the "free choice" generates compulsion while the "compulsion" option generates freedom". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 15th, 2023 at 11:04pm
The insanity of mainstream economic orthodoxy:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/australia-may-employment-blows-past-expectations-piling-pressure-on-rba/ar-AA1cyZGS?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=0b01bafa767b4193a1e129619c1c7002&ei=16 Australia May employment blows past expectations, piling pressure on RBA ......... ie, because unemployment is falling - a good thing - the RBA must reverse it.....the 'Reverse Bank', indeed.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 16th, 2023 at 12:19pm
The consequences of rule by the "free market": self-interest is to blame.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-06-13/profits-pay-and-productivity-who-is-to-blame-for-inflation/102470626?utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=abc_news_newsmail_am_sfmc&utm_term=&utm_id=2106994&sfmc_id=103574144 Profits, pay and productivity. Who is to blame for inflation? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 17th, 2023 at 1:42pm
The politics of 'majoritarianism': government by 50% + 1, in the context of "independent" central banks with their 'debt-money' orthodoxy......leads to this statement heard on radio today: " faith in our democratic institutions is at an all time low...".
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 19th, 2023 at 12:08pm
Another brilliant expose' of mainstream monetary orthodoxy as preached by the 'high-priests' of central banking.
https://www.counterpunch.org/2023/06/16/inflation-corporate-pricing-and-central-banking/ JUNE 16, 2023 Inflation, Corporate Pricing and Central Banking BY EVAN JONES |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 21st, 2023 at 7:21pm
More on the Reverse Bank of Oz (aka RBA)
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/06/21/michael-pascoe-rba-wrong-wages-growth/ Michael Pascoe: Speech shows RBA clueless on employment In short order Michele Bullock said the infamous NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) wasn’t what the RBA is really on about in trying to achieve full employment, before finishing up with the clear message that the NAIRU was indeed the elusive beast the bank was hunting as it seeks to drive unemployment up to 4.5 per cent. The RBA has demonstrated for many years now that it is clueless when it comes to the labour market and wages. It’s a very safe bet that whatever the RBA (ditto Treasury) forecasts for wages will be wrong. That’s partly the result of a mindset apparently locked in 1960s economics textbooks and oblivious to the ground that is always shifting beneath it. After initially downplaying the NAIRU and saying nice things about “maintaining full employment” being just as important to the RBA as getting inflation down, Ms Bullock concluded it was the RBA’s ambition to get unemployment back up to 4.5 per cent by late next year and that would be a job well done. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler on Jun 21st, 2023 at 11:04pm
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 22nd, 2023 at 2:41pm Graps? Good to see you wanting to learn about money....(cough) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 23rd, 2023 at 12:45pm
"The right person won't want the job; it's likely the wrong person will want it" - radio commentator re Lowe's possible replacement as governor of the RBA.
Something wrong with the job? It would be a much better job if the currency-issuing government realized it doesn't need to balance its budget in the way private households do. And if the central bank's role was reduced to acting as a 'clearing house' for private banks, in a mandated full-employment, near zero interest rate policy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 24th, 2023 at 12:36pm
More from Prof. Steve Keen:
So how is money made? You’d think you could just ask an economist that question, right? Surely, they’re the experts on money, aren’t they—after all, isn’t that what economics is all about? Wrong! Mainstream economists actually believe that “money doesn’t matter”, and they build models of the economy in which banks, and money, play no role. Far from being experts on money, they’re ignoramuses on it, and their ignorance leads to economic policies that make it harder for you and me to actually earn money. Well, they are the ones who are ignorant, but we are the ones who suffer. As one of the leading non-mainstream economists on the planet, I know that the mainstream is wrong. But even better, I’ve developed software that shows how a monetary economy actually works. It’s called Minsky, it’s free, and you can download it from here. Join me in the Steve Keen Mastermind lecture series, and I’ll show you how to use Minsky to understand how a monetary economy really works. Then you can help me fight the deluded economic policies peddled by mainstream economists. - Professor Stephen Keen Honorary Professor, UCL & ISRS Distinguished Research Fellow |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 26th, 2023 at 5:02pm
The BIS spouting the same (as Philip Lowe) cripple borrowers and increase unemployment to control inflation mainstream economic garbage.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/central-bank-body-warns-world-economy-at-critical-juncture-in-inflation-fight/ar-AA1d1gtE?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=72ae51f3c5cc4c339e23df4cc0009837&ei=8 Central-bank body warns world economy at critical juncture in inflation fight "Very high debt levels, a remarkable global inflation surge, and the strong pandemic-era increase in house prices check all these boxes," the BIS said. It estimated too that the cost of supporting aging populations will grow by approximately 4% and 5% of GDP in advanced (AEs) and emerging market economies (EMEs) respectively over the next 20 years. Absent belt-tightening by governments, that would push debt above 200% and 150% of GDP by 2050 in AEs and EMEs and could be even higher if economic growth rates wane." ........ The problem of course is the flat-earth mainstream economists mentioned by Keen in the previous post; fun times ahead as 'markets' churn out billionaires while governments must endure 'belt-tightening'. The implication that high growth rates are entirely dependent on low government debt/balanced budgets is flat-earth thinking in the extreme; in any case, high growth rates WITH entrenched poverty are unacceptable. Only government can eradicate poverty, and must be prepared to do so, witness the US with the world's largest economy and its growing number of tent dwellers in city streets. Disgraceful, of no concern to the BIS, apparently. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 29th, 2023 at 11:48am
Understanding money: catching on around the world.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fzj1S0UWYAAl60h?format=jpg&name=small |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 1st, 2023 at 12:33pm
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/how-money-is-created-in-the-modern?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=132145340&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email
Building a New Economics How money is created in the modern world Both banks and governments can create money "out of nothing" STEVE KEEN 1 JULY 2023 "This is a talk I gave to the Transparency Task Force, using my Minsky software to show that both banks and the government create money "out of nothing"--meaning that neither banks nor governments lend from a "pot" of money, nor do they need to borrow in order to create money. In a mathematical sense, both are "endogenous": they don't require any external input to kickstart money creation. It is simply ridiculous how much of our current politics involves being ignorant about these basic facts about money creation." ........ And so this means government CAN ensure provision of basic necessities for all (including above-poverty employment), ie, CAN eradicate poverty, by placing first claim on a portion** of the nation's RESOURCES, as determined by the electorate. Which will free government from the mainstream 'taxation hinders aspiration' argument of Conservatives. And reverses the current dreadful situation where income-seeking "asset managers rule the world" (as discussed on ABC's RN 'The Money' program yesterday) because governments abandoned their social responsibilities after the demise of the post-war Keynesian 'welfare state' era. **Note: the mistake of the Soviet Union was to claim ALL the nation's resources for government, thus hindering individual incentive and aspiration. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 2nd, 2023 at 12:09pm
Tweet:
#MMT: MoralMoneyTime @samvega 1. The only deficit that counts is government 'deficit' of its own fiat money that, by fiat, it creates inexhaustibly. 🤪 2. Deficits of air, water, work, opportunity, schools, healthcare, biodiversity... are to be ignored. ~ mainstream economists and neoliberal politicians. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 5th, 2023 at 12:31pm
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60956
A large government presence required for energy transition does not mean massive deficits are required |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 8th, 2023 at 4:57pm
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60964
UN Report on employment guarantees misses the essential points about buffer stock mechanisms. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 10th, 2023 at 12:05pm
"Money for nothing" versus money from nothing.
The former is the wide-spread misunderstanding of MMT - restated by Lee recently. The latter, ie money FROM nothing, is the true description of how money is created, by the authourized currency-issuer - an agency of government (plus registered private banks when they write loans denominated in the nation's currency, for credit-worthy customers). The mis-understanding arises because people conflate the currency-issuing (eg. Australian) government - the ISSUER of the currency, with the population who are USERS of the currency. In fact the only groups/entities/individuals who can get "money for nothing" are: 1. the government, if what it wishes to buy (eg, materials and labour) are available for purchase in the nation's currency; 2. individuals receiving welfare; 3. the general population if the government introduces a UBI scheme. [But note: an (above poverty) UBI would discourage participation in the economy, whereas a Job Guarantee rewards participation in the economy, with an above poverty wage which is higher than the dole.] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 11th, 2023 at 9:40am
Both Charlie and Biden agree: "private companies have to step up more, to deal with climate change".
Only problem is Shell is already going the other way, saying "we can't make money out of renewables". You can see the problem. It's another reason why the public sector will have to take charge of the transition to renewables. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 11th, 2023 at 10:21pm
Speaking of the public sector stepping up again:
https://youtu.be/gqFPhsO-2W0 Yes, 3 decades of privatization have created a real "sh1tshow"..... But the laugh is worthwhile.... |
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2023 at 11:41am Ajax wrote on Jul 12th, 2023 at 10:45am:
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[/quote] Excellent post, showing that awareness of how money is created has existed for a long time, but the knowledge was (and is) denied to the people. eg, I'm not sure if the lovely ladies in the video (see #551 below)...excuse their language (!).....are aware of the ruse. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 15th, 2023 at 11:21am
https://ellenbrown.com/2023/07/14/the-federal-debt-trap-issues-and-possible-solutions/
The Federal Debt Trap: Issues and Possible Solutions “Rather than collecting taxes from the wealthy,” wrote the New York Times Editorial Board in a July 7 opinion piece, “the government is paying the wealthy to borrow their money.” Exactly - as forecast by Jefferson at the founding of the nation (see previous post). Government has handed its currency-issuing power to private financiers/bankers and... voila.... Mirrored in Albo's statement today: "she (Bullock) has a difficult job at a difficult time"....because he is too cowardly/ignorant to take responsibility for governing the nation. The nation's currency-issuing power is THE central power of government. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2023 at 11:02am
https://www.australiaremade.org/powell-memo
The Powell Memo: a little-known story in the neoliberal rise to power and influence The greatest trick neoliberalism ever pulled was to make itself appear inevitable. Of course, there never really was anything inevitable about how neoliberal ideas rose to power. It was the result of deliberate, long-term, coordinated planning, strategy and funding. One little-known example, the Powell Memo, illustrates this perfectly. As the world responds to the coronavirus pandemic, suddenly Big Government is back, we’re all in this together and there really is such a thing as a society. But for most of the last 40-50 years, we’ve seen the power of ‘self-evident’ ideals in the opposite direction: the individual is king, debt is bad, tax cuts are good, the unemployed are less worthy and the public sector is too big. (....a look at history and the post war Keynesian welfare state era .....) Then, in 1971 a lawyer, member of the Philip Morris Board of Directors and Chair of a committee inside the US Chamber of Commerce decided to draft a call to arms to win America back, for corporations. His name was Lewis Powell, and the memo became known simply as The Powell Memo. ..... It's a fascinating read, for those who want to understand why Oz has ended up with a housing and rental crisis. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jul 16th, 2023 at 11:15am
The ideological bankruptcy of modern monetary theory
If you can’t explain something, try an abbreviation. The latest in economics is MMT — Modern Monetary Theory or, in other words, a magic money tree. It’s a simple idea. It costs almost nothing to print money: the cost of printing banknotes is negligible compared with their face value, and even lower when the Bank of England creates money electronically through its so-called ‘quantitative easing’ programme (QE). That money could be given to the public — either directly or indirectly via the government — to enable people to spend more, so raising output and employment. We are all better off. Why didn’t we think of this before? Well, of course we did. From Roman emperors through Henry VIII and the Weimar Republic to present-day Zimbabwe and Venezuela, rulers have shown all those clever central bankers struggling to get inflation up to their 2 per cent target how to do it. Unfortunately, they didn’t stop at 2 per cent but ended up in hyperinflations in which prices doubled in a day — equivalent to annual percentage inflation in the many trillions. Needless to say, in such situations the economy tends to collapse. As my wife says when I praise the quality of a bottle of wine and suggest some more, ‘Moderation in all things’. The problem with the simple idea of MMT is that it belies the context to which it is applied. To be brutally honest, MMT is neither modern, nor monetary, nor a theory. It is not modern because the ability to print paper (or, today, electronic) money has always raised the question of when to stop. And governments have always used deficit financing to support their wish to spend. It is not monetary because the relevant questions concern fiscal policy: how should governments finance their deficits and what are the limits to those deficits? If deficits can always be financed by the printing of money by a compliant central bank, then we are in a world of ‘fiscal dominance’, to use the modern jargon. Inflation is then determined by government spending decisions. It was precisely to convince financial markets of the opposite that led to the independence of the Bank of England. And it is not a theory because the appropriate size of the government budget deficit and how much money to print depend entirely upon the context of the decision. There is no general theory that says printing money or running a government budget deficit is always either good or bad. MMT advocates are correct in saying that the national budget of a country that can print its own currency is different in nature from the budget of a household (as Keynes pointed out in 1936 and others before him). But it does not follow that there is a magic money tree. If the government spends more and finances that by borrowing, the additional debt is a liability of the public sector. If the spending is financed by money printing, that too is a liability of the public sector and can be used, for example, to pay taxes. The smoke and mirrors of MMT violates the only iron law of economics — double entry bookkeeping: for every asset there is a corresponding liability. To come down from high theory to the terrain of practical considerations, the real weakness of MMT is that it adds nothing to the existing toolbox of policy-makers. The Bank of England already prints money. The government already runs a (very large) budget deficit. MMT is not a new policy tool but simply an encouragement for them to go further. Whether that makes sense depends entirely upon the context in which that advice is given. https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-ideological-bankruptcy-of-modern-monetary-theory/ MMT - magic money tree - is a load of cobblers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2023 at 11:45am
Heard on David Spears' 'Insiders' program today (discussing Bullock's apointment at the RBA):
"If you put six economists in a room, they will have eight different opinions on what should be done." This from the orthodox economic journalist - Shane Wright (economics reporter for the Age and SMH) - on the ABC 'Insiders' panel. Proving the mainstream economic orthodoxy - including Bullock - doesn't have a clue how the economy works. I see Frank has found an article attacking the emerging Modern Money heterodoxy...obviously the mainstream defending its own ignorance; let's have a look. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2023 at 3:21pm
Chalmers on the loss of the QLD by-election: "We are aware of the pressures on people".... but we can't do much because ....we have to attend to budget repair .....
ie, the usual neoliberal mainstream garbage which will rapidly destroy Albo's still high ratings, as the economy deteriorates under Bullock's mainstream management. Meanwhile, Dutton is hoping to confuse future voters (with short memories) with his laughgable and preposterous claim he will fix Labor's "cost of living" crisis. The trick is to separate the voters into "lifters " and "leaners" , and then sit back and let mindless hyperpartsanship get him back into office..... Hence he referred to the by-election results as "the springboard" to office. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2023 at 5:47pm
Here's a very interesting article titled:
How the West was won, and could be lost if it’s not careful https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/how-the-west-was-won-and-could-be-lost-if-it-s-not-careful/ar-AA1dUyvP?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=05c245abdb364a708ca606612385efb2&ei=9 ......Excellent examination of the failings of democracy, until we come to this clanger: "Democracy has never meant social harmony. In fact, sometimes it seems to lead to the reverse. The countries of the West are consumed by culture wars. The battle is vicious between competing visions of equality, which emphasises opportunity, or equity, which seeks to put everyone on the same level. Spot the lie based on blind ideology? Probably not, so I'll highlight it for you: "competing visions of equality, which emphasises opportunity, or equity, which seeks to put everyone on the same level." There's the ignorant, or stupid, or vicious lie; a vision of development which includes the common welfare is denigrated as " seeking to put everyone on the same level". It's plain ignorant because modern AI- and IT-assisted ecocomies are productive enough to eradicate poverty, which is NOT "everyone on the same level" - which is merely the ideologically-blind construction. Hence the false contrast/juxtaposition between "equality" and "equity" ...... I enjoyed the read up the above paragraph; no doubt the rest of you (hood-winked by neoliberalism) will enjoy what follows; I don't enjoy GIGO, so I stopped reading. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2023 at 10:01pm Frank wrote on Jul 16th, 2023 at 11:15am:
Not much of a start - 'playing the name', not the content. Quote:
Nothing magic about the currency-issuing power which resides in the public sector, to create 'debt-free' government money via the nation's treasury and reserve bank; or the money creation power which resides in the private banking sector, to create 'debt money' (interest-bearing money) for use by private sector players including you and me. The thing to know is money is created out of nothing, in either (or both) sectors. Quote:
Indeed it is; it only requires knowing how money is created out of nothing as described above. Quote:
Two problems. 1. 'Government money' cannot, and should not EVER be "given to the public"- inflation will be the obvious result. Free government money is only EVER created to fund specified public social policy, depending on whether the necessary resources are available for purchase by the government - again, to avoid inflation. 2. So 'free government money' WON'T enable people to spend more, it WILL enable the government to spend more, provided the resources (including labour) are available for purchase by the governement. Spot the difference? 3. Certainly we are all better off if the government is released from artificial debt and deficit constraints. Quote:
All cases of government trying to buy resources which aren't available, or because government revenue has fallen as a result of a collapse in export revenues - oil, in Venezuela's case, which meant Chavez could no-longer finance his socilaist policies, beause the nation's imports and exports were priced in US dollars. (That's why China and Russia, and India and UAE have by-passesd the dollar in some trades: "India has signed an agreement with the United Arab Emirates that will allow it to settle trade in rupees instead of dollars, boosting India's efforts to cut transaction costs by eliminating dollar conversions." and avoid the risk of US dollar exchange rate changes. In short, if there is a collapse in the nation's domestic supply (Weimar, Zimbabwe), or money received from exports (Venezuelan oil), free government money alone will not be able to fix the problem. Quote:
To be honest, the author of the article knows nothing about MMT. Quote:
Outlined above, not by taxing or borrowing from the private sector, which itself often mis-allocates resources in the search for private profits, in the 'invisible hand' free market. Quote:
As should be the case: government via the electorate's choices, not by the 'independent' central bank with its one (monetary) tool ie, setting interest rates to control inflation. Free government money as explained above makes the term "deficit" meaningless; the only "deficit" a currency-issuing government faces is a resources deficit. Quote:
Correct, but also private sector spending decisions, inflation potentially arises from BOTH public and private spending. Quote:
Private sector speculators usurping the role of government. Insanity. In fact the BofJ has relieved many bond speculators of their money, given its unlimited capacity to defend the yen (so long as the economy remains productive). ... Quote:
Context is important, but there is no fix for GIGO. Quote:
Correct again, but the rest is GIGO again, already addressed above. Quote:
You will learn that the public sector's deficit is the private sector's surplus. https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/money-from-nothing?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_i |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 17th, 2023 at 11:52am
Listen up children:
The bad news is there is no magic "free money tree" for you or me; like all private sector players and non-currency-issuing institutions, we have to earn our money, or pay interest on the money we borrow. The good news is the currency-issuing government with its Treasury and Central bank, can fund public sector policy for free, eg build public housing, or build grid transmission infrastructure for free, provided the necessary resources are available for purchase by the government. Understand now? MMT increases the policy options open to government, options which ought to be open to the choices of the electorate. Otherwise we condemn ourselves (being hood-winked by neoliberalism) to being the "losers" graphically depicted in this brilliant little spoof: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gqFPhsO-2W0 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2023 at 10:27am
News report: Philip Lowe (in India at an international finance meeting) says:
"Productivity must be increased, it's not because of a lack of good ideas, it's all about politics". "Please explain".....? I wonder if we poor sods are worthy of an explanation; either the news carrier or Lowe himself are treating us with utter comtempt. Sally McManus, Secretary of the Australian Council of Trade Unions, is questioning Bullock's stated aim to increase unemployment in Oz. These orthodox central-banking ogres have to be pulled up. Edit: just noticed the report of the same news item, from 'Sky News Australia'. Needless to say, the full extent of their report was the same as above, ie, zero explanation of how Lowe thinks governments should "increase productivity". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 18th, 2023 at 10:44am Frank wrote on Jul 16th, 2023 at 11:15am:
Good post there Frank ✅ MMT is ethically bankrupt. The acronym does stand for MAGIC MONEY TREE. These trees do NOT exist. Even 2 yr old toddlers are smart enough to know that. 😂🤣😆 |
Title: Modern Monetary Theory - a left wing/TEAL message Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 18th, 2023 at 10:58am
Frank....could you have a look at these links please?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Keen 👆 This link will direct you here 👇 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/TNL_(political_party) Bottom line : MMT = left wing ideology and it’s currently being pushed by the TEALS. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory - a left wing/TEAL message Post by Frank on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:12am Lisa Jones wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 10:58am:
I have known about Keen for a long time. https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.smh.com.au/business/keen-to-climb-kosciuszko-after-losing-bet-20100217-o978.html |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory - a left wing/TEAL message Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:18am Frank wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:12am:
😳 Dear God .... Keen is a qualified academic AND an absolute dumbarse too 😂🤣😆 Economics professor Steve Keen will walk more than 200km from Canberra to the top of Mt Kosciuszko for losing a bet that house prices would fall 40 per cent. Sh1t a brick! What a tosser! Meantime those of us who jumped in during 2020 and invested in the non bogan areas of Sydney and bought detached houses on land made an absolute killing! We’ve tripled our property portfolios net worth AND even now our properties are still climbing... and that’s within the context of a global recession ffs! OMG thank you very much Frank for revealing the dumbarse’s tosspottery! I can’t wait for NotSoGreat to come back online now 😂🤣😆 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:36am Lisa Jones wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 10:44am:
You silly woman, I've already refuted FranK's post , line by line, in #560. Stop confirming your ignorance, it's embarrising for both of us (as long as I persist in responding to your nonsense). Frank, on the other hand, was wise enough NOT to respond to my #560. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory - a left wing/TEAL message Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:38am
Topic is here NotSoGreat 👇
Lisa Jones wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:18am:
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:39am
Lisa's lost it again.
The one relevant point she made in her last three posts, was a comment re Keen following Frank's link. But what both of you are missing in regard to Keen's wrong forecast for the Oz housing market, is later increased immigration would keep house prices rising in Oz. Keen was however one of the few economists in the world to foresee the GFC; as noted in an article (posted some time back) which noted a question by the late Queen Liz; namely, "Why did no-one see it coming?" |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:42am thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:39am:
C’mon Bwian! Log on and off a tad faster please! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:51am Lisa Jones wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:42am:
Lisa's lost it again. The one relevant point she made in her last three posts, was a comment re Keen following Frank's link. But what both of you are missing in regard to Keen's wrong forecast for the Oz housing market, is later increased immigration would keep house prices rising in Oz. Keen was however one of the few economists in the world to foresee the GFC; as noted in an article (posted some time back) which noted a question by the late Queen Liz; namely, "Why did no-one see it coming?" Back to top |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory - a left wing/TEAL message Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 18th, 2023 at 2:51pm
NotSoGreat - Why are you quoting this Keen tosspot in your links as though he’s some kind of authority when he’s clearly just a confused old man?
Lisa Jones wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:38am:
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory - a left wing/TEAL message Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2023 at 5:41pm Lisa Jones wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 2:51pm:
1. Because he is one of the few economists who foretold the GFC .....but not heard amongst all the mainstream economists were saying saying 'the party will never end' (in 2007)....and not heard by the late queen who asked her advisors: "why didn't anyone see this coming". 2. Keen is one of dozens of sources I have quoted in this thread, all on board with spreading the truth about money creation (ex nihilo) and the need for the public sector to be released from its dependence on self-interested private sector financiers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 20th, 2023 at 11:32am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60991
RBA interest rate rises are inflationary and neoliberal privatisations have reinforced that. ...... Right on cue, ABC business corresspondent Peter Ryan says Oz's strong jobs report means RBA will likely lift interest rates a 13th time. Madness. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory - a left wing/TEAL message Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 20th, 2023 at 12:28pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 18th, 2023 at 5:41pm:
Keen is a dumbarse who has proven AND will continue to keep proving that he’s unable to see the bigger picture. This is why he’s notoriously known for failing when it comes to economic predictions and forecasts. You’re blindly following a dumbarse. Good luck with that. 👇 For those who may not know .... Economics professor Steve Keen will walk more than 200km from Canberra to the top of Mt Kosciuszko for losing a bet that house prices would fall 40 per cent. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 20th, 2023 at 12:35pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 20th, 2023 at 11:32am:
Hang on .... https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Mitchell_(economist) NotSoGreat...do you personally know this guy? PM me with your answer if you like. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory - a left wing/TEAL message Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 20th, 2023 at 1:10pm Lisa Jones wrote on Jul 20th, 2023 at 12:28pm:
For those who may not know, Keen is recognised as one of the few economists in the world who saw the GFC coming in 2007. Background to the famous bet: In 2010, at the top of the GFC/subprime mortgage crisis in the US, Keen predicted that the already overpriced Oz housing market would follow the US housing market down, but he failed to foresee the extent of the coming refugee crises at that time (which nobody could have known); recall Rudd desperately trying to show he was as hairy-chested as Howard on "keeping Oz's borders safe", nevertheless immigration into Oz remained high, which kept demand for housing high in Oz, supported by high iron-ore prices to China where the CCP avoided the GFC by lifting spending on infrastructure So that's the background. Now Lisa, a decade later, thinks she's clever for having invested in the overpriced Oz housing ponzi in Sydney. And she says Keen is dumb (despite his subsequent employment as professor in various prestigious academic institution of the world) and that therefore MMT is false And despite the fact a dozen other MMT economists are also teaching in progressive economics faculties around the world. Typical low-grade error: one economist failed to predict the continuous upward spiral of the Oz housing ponzi, therefore all the MMT economists are wrong. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Jul 20th, 2023 at 5:11pm Lisa Jones wrote on Jul 20th, 2023 at 12:35pm:
After your reply to 👆 a few home truths will be coming your way. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 21st, 2023 at 11:32am
Lisa says a "few hometruths will be coming when I reply to this" - ie to her BS post.
Whether I know prof. Mitchell or not is irrelevant to the topic. What is relevant is Mitchell was recently invited to a teaching internship position at a Japanese tertiary institution. And of course no acknowledgement of the circumstances of Keen's famous bet. Lisa's blind ignorance on graphic display. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jul 21st, 2023 at 4:38pm
Personal MMT
Closing the gap HER WAY. https://twitter.com/LeftismForU/status/1680692632324829184 She's verbalising your MMT bullshite for currency issuing governments. I want! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 21st, 2023 at 9:53pm
Frank joining the ranks of the blindly ignorant: he posts some-one else's ignorance of MMT, and isn't equipped to defend it when the errors are exposed.
Ignorance is bliss, but you are not forgiven. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jul 21st, 2023 at 10:12pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 21st, 2023 at 9:53pm:
Little Red Book, little red book, uber alles |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 22nd, 2023 at 11:40am Frank wrote on Jul 21st, 2023 at 10:12pm:
Blind ignorance confirmed, and not forgiven. "Blind neanderthal competitive instincts might have served an evolutionay purpose when humans had to rely on our skills as hunters to survive, but those same instincts are potentially disastrous in a world in which warfare is increasingly directed by AI.....in the age of MAD, no less...." Instinct-driven competition has always resulted in haves and have-nots; the ultimate cause of endless wars and entrenched poverty, as the winners of the economic competition attempt to hold onto their wealth. But the desire for a more equal distribution (desire founded in a cortex-driven awareness of justice) always creates an opposite force, in the form of revolutionary movements which themselves, in the ensuing struggle against entrenched wealth, often descend to violence and injustice (though not always: the outlawing of slavery being an example of progressive change not resulting in civil war). Hence the French, Russian, Chinese revolutions and Spanish civil war; and also Hitler's desire to rule the world. (Of these, the Chinese revolution appears to be succesfully transitioning to a productive phase: since 1980, the CCP has lifted more people out of poverty than any other country in history). Fast forward; today the main problem is people don't understand the nature of money, eg, that money is created out of thin air ("It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning." Henry Ford). Governments certainly need to claim the money creation power during global pandemics and climate-related catastrophes, otherwise governments will become bankrupt very quickly, leading to social collapse. Note: the wealthy can always look after themselves, but the poor can't. So it is obvious that currency-issuing governments will need to access the money creation power currently reserved for private financiers. Frank....see the problem? Or will your blind ignorance always back "the one (nation, individual) over all".... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Jul 22nd, 2023 at 3:56pm thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 22nd, 2023 at 11:40am:
This is very stupid, as usual. Hundreds of thousands of years of evolution will be 'corrected' by a wise communist government printing money and harnessing human nature to FINALLY go in the korrrekt direction in the 21st century, as envisaged in the 19th. Sure thing. Dialectical and historical materialism, with added printed money and bingo! Scientific socialism. Easy. Next week we learn to play the flute: you blow in one and and move your fingers up and down the holes. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 22nd, 2023 at 4:45pm Frank wrote on Jul 22nd, 2023 at 3:56pm:
Ok, let's see what you got - a long paragraph following; at least that is something for a change.... Quote:
Correct (assuming you now know what "printing money" means, which I strongly doubt...), as co-operation gradually replaces the blind Neaderthal competition which instinctively guided us when we were evolving from animals to men. And as we increasingly find ourselves staring into the abyss, as social and economic planetary problems mount. Quote:
Two errors: the first one you can 'correct' yourself; and the 2nd error ignores the fact philosophers and preachers have been urging us to follow our 'better angels' for centuries (as concepts of 'law' and 'justice' have developed along with the invention of writing). Quote:
Addressed, and refuted above. Adopting 19th century Marxist terminology won't save your argument, nor will it make you a better flute player.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 23rd, 2023 at 11:49am
Interestingly, the latest 'Resolve Political Monitor' poll shows support for the Voice has dropped to 48%.
Relation to MMT you ask? It's not the Constitution which needs to be changed. It's the nation's acceptance of longterm unemployment and welfare dependency which needs to change. As discovered on the ABC's 'Background Briefing' today, re youth crime in Mt. Isa (with some of the highest crime rates in the nation). A reformed black youth, previously caught up in domestic violence and petty crime, now settled into a productive life with a partner and young son, said; "I have a retail job which has made all the difference, that job is vital to me." I don't know anything which could spell it out more succinctly: that young man WANTS to work, but he is well aware of the possibility that his job might become redundant or his employer might go broke or whatever, and that getting a replacement job in a market with over a million long-term unemployed people is not assured. eg Telstra has just announced 550 job cuts, employees are simply expected to find other jobs, when central bank ogres are trying to INCREASE unemployment by raising interest rates - the dumbest 'solution' ever for dealing with inflation because higher interest rates raise housing costs (mortgages, rents) and hence the CPI (as pointed out in prof. Mitchell's article a couple of posts back: #574). I will be asking Albo to legislate a JG, and forget changing the Constitution via an apparently lost referendum. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 24th, 2023 at 11:25am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/shock-poll-shows-wa-labor-government-popularity-crashes/ar-AA1efgey?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=36cb3a0ec8954b8f8b7936025d1b6668&ei=27
Shock poll shows WA Labor government popularity crashes The eventual fate of all Labor governments who promise 'fairness' and never deliver it...because they have handed management of the economy over to unelected neoclassical central bank ogres, who put the 'economy' above fairness. Note: Chalmers is talking about a "well-being budget"; Adern introduced the idea in 2018 causing her ratings to soar, but recently she resigned with rock-bottom ratings, and NZ Labour is likely to be defeated in the upcoming elections. Chalmers should learn, and stop taking us for fools...though most ARE deluded by neoclassical economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 25th, 2023 at 11:36am
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-25/cfmeu-to-launch-campaign-for-tax-on-super-profits/102639922
CFMEU calls for a super-profits tax, to pay for public housing. ........ Well, that IS necessary in the current flawed system which forces currency-issuing governments to borrow money from private financiers. How else can government fund public housing? There is one way of course: "The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs." Thomas Jefferson. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 25th, 2023 at 4:16pm Jim Lahey wrote on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:58pm:
Irrelevant to the growing MMT movement around the world. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 27th, 2023 at 8:58am
From Professor Steve Keen.
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/preface-to-the-italian-edition-of?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=135356021&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email The Italian Edition of The New Economics: A Manifesto (Keen 2021) will be published in November by Meltemi, and I will attend the BookCity book fair in Milan to launch the book on November 18th. I owe a great intellectual debt to many great Italian economists, from Pierro Sraffa (Sraffa 1960, 1926) and Pierangelo Garegnani (Garegnani 1970), to Augusto Graziani (Graziani 1989): without their work, I could never have made the contributions that I have managed to add to sound economics. It is great pleasure to know that I will in part repay that debt by having my book appear in Italian. Below is the preface that will be published (in Italian, of course) with the book. There are few countries on the planet that illustrate the weaknesses of mainstream macroeconomic thinking better than Italy. As I explain in this book, amongst its many other weaknesses, mainstream "Neoclassical" economics ignores the role of private debt and credit in the economy, and demonises government debt and deficits, both on utterly fallacious grounds. Mainstream economics dominates economic policy globally, but the extent to which policies based on it can be enforced varies around the world. Since the Maastricht Treaty effectively codified conventional economic thinking via its rules on government debt and deficits—that government debt should not exceed 60% of GDP, and deficits should be below 3% of GDP—the European Union has been the laboratory in which mainstream economics has been tested, and found wanting. Italy has suffered more than most EU countries from the perverse effects of imposing mainstream economic fantasies on real economies. A country which used to regularly and substantially outperform the USA has now fallen behind it, especially in the aftermath to the abandoning the Lira for the Euro in 1999, and even more so during and after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008—see Figure 1. Figure 1: Real annual economic growth rates for Italy versus the USA Before Neoclassical econocrats wrestled the reins of power from Italy's falsely maligned post-WWII "Keynesian" bureaucrats, Italy's real economic growth was volatile, but almost always substantially higher than the USA's. Growth in both countries trended down, rather than up, as the Neoclassical orthodoxy displaced Keynesian-style policies, and from the date that the "Growth and Stability Pact" took hold in Europe, things got worse rather than better for Italy. Its diminishing growth rate fell permanently below the USA's, it suffered more from the GFC than America—despite not having a Subprime Bubble—and the aftermath to the crisis has seen Italy's growth rate fluctuate around zero. The Growth and Stability Pact has brought stagnation and instability. Despite—or rather because of—the EU obsession with reducing the level of government debt, Italy is one of the few countries in the world where government debt substantially exceeds private debt. High private debt is not good for the economy—far from it, as I explain in the second chapter—while high government debt, contrary to Neoclassical economics, is not a major problem for a country which issues its own currency. But to end up with substantially higher government debt, when the objective of the policy was to reduce it—to halve it as a proportion of GDP, in Italy's case—is a sign of how truly perverse these policies have been in practice. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 1st, 2023 at 10:21am More proof "the issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs."(Thomas Jefferson)....... https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61030 Central bankers deliberately trying to increase poverty is not a sound policy framework |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 2nd, 2023 at 9:58am
Today's lie from the Noalition, in a Senate debate:
"Labor's $10 billion Housing Fund is funded by the taxpayer...." No it's not. It's funded by government borrowing $10 billion FROM the private sector. But the question ought to be, why is the government doing that? Obviously because under current arrangements government is forced to borow from the private sector. Proving once again: "the issuing power should be taken from the banks, and restored to the people to whom it properly belongs". Thomas Jefferson. Note: the government thinks it is being clever by treating the Fund as "off-budget", with no implications for the budget's debt and deficit figures, because the government claims it will redeem the $10 billion after five years of investing the money in the stock market. In any case, the hoped for $500 million return on investment each year (ie 5%) is woefully inadequate to deal with the current housing crisis, which requires ten times as many public housing units as will be delivered by the Fund.....assuming it makes a profit on the stock exchange casino. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 3rd, 2023 at 9:50am
The ABC's business editor Ian Verrender says the pandemic "proved MMT doesn't work".
He's wrong, of course. Philip Lowe SHOULD have funded the living expenses of locked-down workers, at no cost to the government, but he sheeted the costs of the government's covid-rescue package back to the government - which saw the government's debt increase by c. $350 billion. Naturally in a pandemic, government should take control of supply and demand, to ensure supply of essentials can continue to be delivered while many enterprises are shut down, either by necessity (because locked down workers are not available) or by design, to limit effective demand to purchase of essentials. Interesingtly, recently Verrender postulated "economists should ignore what their textbooks say about the NAIRU"...it's a pity he doesn't take his own advice..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 4th, 2023 at 1:11pm
Re the argument over "debt-free" money:
Private banks of course create 'debt' money when they write loans for credit-worthy customers, whereas currency-issuing governments with their own treasury (and central bank) SHOULD be authorized to create 'debt free' money, to fund certain public sector policies when the required resources are available for purchase by the government. Which means the ideology re government debt and deficits, and the associated narrative re the necessity for budget surpluses, is wrong. A currency-issuing government can never run out of the currency it issues. The concerns re inflation are misplaced; the real issue is the extent to which the public sector should have prior claim over the nation's output and resources. This is increasingly important as the developed world is arguing with the developing world over "who should pay for" the transition to the green economy. If rich nations claim they have 'budgetary problems', how can anyone expect the developing world - already burdened with higher levels of poverty - to bear the "cost"** of the transition? ** which is a resource opportunity cost, not a monetary cost, for a currency issuer. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 5th, 2023 at 8:37am
Housing: it's getting hot for the ALP:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/aug/03/more-than-1600-australians-pushed-into-homelessness-each-month-as-housing-crisis-deepens-report-finds After outlining the extent of the present housing and rental crisis, the article concludes with: "Max Chandler-Mather, the Greens’ housing spokesman, claimed the federal government was “pretending” it couldn’t do more on coordinating rent freezes. “The prime minister could go to national cabinet, take national leadership, put money on the table and incentivise a freeze and cap on rent increases,” Chandler-Mather said. He noted national cabinet was already considering broader action on renters’ rights and that state leaders had already instituted caps in the energy market. The probem is of course the PM thinks the government has to balance its budget and pay down debt... Even Menzies didn't believe that - Menzies ran continuous budget deficits, and maintiained full employment, low inflation and low interest rates....AND built sufficient public housing to ensure affordable housing for all. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-08-30/liberal-party-of-robert-menzies-proudly-delivered-large-deficits/12609876 Unlike today's Liberals, Robert Menzies boasted of delivering large budget deficits And indeed - as Lisa has trumpeted - Albo makes a great modern liberal PM. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 6th, 2023 at 2:22pm
The trials and tribulations of debunking the neoclassical mainstream:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-day-i-pranked-paul-samuelson?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=135712011&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email The Day I Pranked Paul Samuelson |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 8th, 2023 at 10:58am
More on the failed ideology of privatization:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/railroaded-bring-back-thatcher-and?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=135793699&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email Railroaded: Bring Back Thatcher and Reagan When a commitment to privatise the railways was finally made by the Major government (in the Conservatives' Election Manifesto in 1992) these problems [considered by Thatcher] were simply ignored. The subsequent White Paper, a slim document of 21 pages 'rather lightweight' on the economic rationale behind the privatisation plans blandly asserted that a privatised industry would 'mean more competition, greater efficiency and a wider choice of services more closely tailored to what customers want' and 'provide greater opportunities to . . . reduce costs, without sacrificing quality' (McCartney and Stittle 2017, p. 2). ..... plus an informative look at concepts like "the pay-back period": The Payback Period Avner Offer provides such a general principle in his recent book Understanding the Private-Public Divide: Markets, Governments and Time Horizons (Offer 2022): the time horizon for investment in ventures like railways, schools and sewerage systems lies outside the payback period that private investors expect: |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 10th, 2023 at 12:36pm
Re the 'Public-Private divide' referred to in the previous post (in relation to different investment-return horizons applicable for the public and private sectors), the fact is the public and private sectors will have to be 'divided', in regards to financing the different needs of each sector.
The private sector funds itself with debt money issued when banks write loans for credit-worthy customers, but the public sector will need to fund itself using its currency-issuing capacity. This means the public sector will NOT be subject to the same budget constraints as the private sector, but rather, the public sector will be subject to resources constraints determined by the nation's available resources and productive capacity. And this latter can be determined by the electorate, rather than the "independent central bank" as at present. Discussion on radio today about "where's the money coming from" for increased aged care, public housing, electricity transmission and storage, and military, when no one wants to pay higher taxes. Obviously the people most in need of government support will be squeezed more and more under present arrangements, and the wealth divide will increase relentlessly (as more Auzzies are forced to rent, and on retirement don't own a house). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 10th, 2023 at 4:32pm
Very sad: a "socialist government" trying tp reduce poverty is destroyed by international finance.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rafael_Correa Raffael Correa (former Ecuadorian president during the South American "pink tide" up to 2017) has criticized the neoliberal policies of previous presidents, particularly former president Mahuad's adoption of the U.S. dollar as Ecuador's domestic currency in 2000 to combat the country's inflation. Correa has characterized American dollarisation as a "technical error" which has effectively eliminated Ecuador's ability to set its own currency and exchange policy. However, Correa has also acknowledged that it would be politically and economically impossible to abandon that policy now. After his election victory of 15 April 2007, he pledged to maintain dollarisation during the entire four years of his administration, though he also indicated his support for the idea of replacing the US dollar with a regional South American currency at some point in the future Correa has criticized the neoliberal policies of previous presidents, particularly former president Mahuad's adoption of the U.S. dollar as Ecuador's domestic currency in 2000 to combat the country's inflation. Correa has characterized American dollarisation as a "technical error" which has effectively eliminated Ecuador's ability to set its own currency and exchange policy. However, Correa has also acknowledged that it would be politically and economically impossible to abandon that policy now. After his election victory of 15 April 2007, he pledged to maintain dollarisation during the entire four years of his administration, though he also indicated his support for the idea of replacing the US dollar with a regional South American currency at some point in the future. ....... As always, the US-backed IMF (Instant Misery Fund) and World Bank have triumphed after the election of a conservative president, and once again the country has descended into chaos. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 12th, 2023 at 11:09am
Tweet from Stephanie Kelton:
"Just saw reference to Clinton’s fiscal surpluses & low unemployment rate compared against today’s large fiscal deficit & low unemployment rate. It’s important to remember that back then, *private sector* deficits were driving growth and employment. ....in line with the MMT insight that public sector deficits are private sector surpluses. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 12th, 2023 at 11:32am
A warning to Oz Labor, from NZ Labour:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/youthquake-rumbles-to-a-stop-support-for-the-left-falls-among-new-zealand-s-young-voters/ar-AA1f9UVd?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=b680cec8bcbf471baf620b80f2bdae82&ei=9 Failure to deliver The (NZ) youth vote’s swing away from the centre left could partly be an incumbency effect, says the Green party’s Chlöe Swarbrick – parliament’s youngest sitting MP at 29. It may also reflect disillusionment with the initial promise and perceived lack of follow-through on radical change during the Ardern years, she says. “Reflecting on the last five, six years, a lot of people were initially really excited by the rhetoric of transformation, but it feels like what has largely been delivered is tinkering,” Swarbrick says. While the Labour government made strong commitments to take action on climate change, housing and child poverty, progress on those central issues – particularly housing and emissions reduction – has been achingly slow. Hmmm...and Albo wants to pay himself an extra 5K a year (via stage 3 tax cuts) while young people are facing unaffordable housing in Oz. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 13th, 2023 at 2:49pm
Comparing Oz with Argentina; and a graphic depiction of what happens when:
1. A popularly elected 'socialist' leader doesn't understand the implications of fiat money. 2. the nation borrows in a foreign currency 2. the nation doesn't take account of its own productivity and available resources. https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/argentina-and-australia-once-had-eerily-similar-economies-how-did-one-end-up-with-100-per-cent-inflation/ar-AA1fc3SD?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=2026db783ebe4bbeafcd47a2999e0c00&ei=14 Argentina and Australia once had eerily similar economies. How did one end up with 100 per cent inflation? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 14th, 2023 at 11:34am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/brics-wouldnt-be-silly-enough-to?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#details
BRICs wouldn’t be silly enough to develop a gold-backed currency, would they? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 15th, 2023 at 9:04am
The confusion of the mainstream, apart from not addressing the economy churning out billionaires while these same economists are urging governments to cut spending.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/analysis-us-loss-of-aaa-badge-a-reminder-of-regime-shift-for-government-debt/ar-AA1feGWP?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=1af35eea386a4f109290c8b91e96aa84&ei=6 Analysis-US loss of AAA badge a reminder of 'regime shift' for government debt It expects policy steps that will make ageing-related costs more manageable. Not taking them would see creditworthiness deteriorate and half the governments it rates would have metrics associated with junk credit ratings while even top-rated governments would lose the highest ratings, S&P said. For the European Union and the euro area, where public pensions and healthcare play a major role, the European Commission and European Central Bank have also flagged costs related to ageing as a key risk to debt sustainability. Japan is one major economy where financing costs remain low even as its debt exceeds 260% of GDP and it has one of the world's oldest populations. But that reflects high domestic ownership of government debt and ultra loose monetary policy - a hard act to follow with higher inflation. On the environmental front, a study last week showed a failure to curb carbon emissions will raise debt-servicing costs for 59 nations within the next decade. "These long-term risks may not possess a well-established historical precedent, making reliance solely on historical data for risk assessment a challenge," said Gael Fichan, head of fixed income at Swiss private bank Syz Group. Greater focus on longer-term risks should bring scrutiny of government policies. Policy "is going to matter more especially in terms of the fiscal side of things about how the governments are reacting to the various promises to the electorate and what they're trying to achieve," said Kshitij Sinha, a fund manager at Canada Life Asset Management. It will be crucial whether governments can bring down relative debt levels by boosting economic growth, and here climate change is both a challenge and opportunity. "The green transition will require quite some investments... that will also increase the overall debt levels further, but down the road… you will profit from it," said Martin Lenz, senior portfolio manager at Union Investment, which manages 424 billion euros. Still, with higher debt an economic reality, few governments are left with the coveted AAA rating. "Can there be a world without AAA sovereigns? Yeah, I think there can be, We've seen this happening in the corporate space, for example," LBBW's Kraemer said, adding that out of dozens of AAA-rated U.S. companies in 1980s now there were only two left. Only two left, while billionaires are hoovering up an ever greater share of private wealth. It's time for the public sector to fund itself, when the necessary resources are available for purchase. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 16th, 2023 at 11:12am
From James Galbraith, (son of the famous John Galbraith), on the madness of government 'austerity'.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/us-soft-landing-not-the-feds-doing-fiscal-channel-interest-payments-debt-by-james-k-galbraith-2023-08?utm_source=Project%20Syndicate%20Newsletter&utm_campaign=fae6dff16f-sunday_newsletter_08_13_2023&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_73bad5b7d8-fae6dff16f-107566226&mc_cid=fae6dff16f&mc_eid=6f8fc15f2c&barrier=accesspaylog |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 20th, 2023 at 2:57pm
https://mem.ai/p/COUPAuA78WJ1ttiO0bvB
Exploring the Interactions of the Fed, Treasury, and Private Financial Institutions: A Look at Interest Rates and Fiscal Sustainability Neoclassicists take note; the socalled 'debt ceiling' problem in the US is nonsense. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 23rd, 2023 at 8:28am
'Nothing to see here' according to the Right:
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2023/08/22/1-2-of-adults-have-47-8-of-the-worlds-wealth-while-53-2-have-just-1-1/ 1.2% of adults have 47.8% of the world’s wealth while 53.2% have just 1.1% |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Aug 24th, 2023 at 4:18pm
MMT - old hat. As is neoliberalism.
The current truth is NEOFEUDALISM, don't you know. Oh yes. https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/philosopherszone/neofeudalism-techno-lords-and-peasants/102671474 Getitindiya. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 26th, 2023 at 2:24pm
Frank links to this gem from the ABC's 'The Philosopher's Zone', and claims MMT has nothing to offer in the current global debt malaise. You can trust Frank to get it wrong on anything to do with economics.
........... Guest: Francis Russell, Lecturer in Humanities, Curtin University, Perth WA https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/philosopherszone/neofeudalism-techno-lords-and-peasants/102671474 "For many on the political left, the end of capitalism is a cherished ideal - but what if capitalism ended and we found ourselves with something worse? This week we're exploring the possibility that Western liberal democracies could be sliding in the direction of "neofeudalism" and devolving into a much nastier set of economic and social structures than the ones we presently have." ....... Well, at least Russell is aware something is wrong with the current neoliberal orthodoxy...but he should stick to pontificating in the faculty he is trained in. He is no doubt driven by the mainstream delusion currency-issuing governments can run out of money and have to balance their budgets - like he has to balance his own household budget, ie, he is just another prize dummy talking about ecocomics, not wanting to upset the apple cart despite the fact homelessness, and indebtedness are increasing, and home ownership rates are falling - a disastrous long-term trend which will indeed result in "neo-feudalism". If Russell wants to make himself useful, he could explore ideas for controlling inflation, OTHER than by Central Banks' raising interest rates. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 26th, 2023 at 2:31pm
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61089
With central banks chasing shadows, many nations are now plunging towards or into recession |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 27th, 2023 at 11:17am
Miserable mainstream economists with their faux debt concerns.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/no-real-fix-to-the-sharp-rise-in-public-debt-loads-economists-say/ar-AA1fOqsG?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=ad2f3236b87d4eeda1b210483245c960&ei=20 No real fix to the sharp rise in public debt loads, economists say "High public debts are here to stay," they wrote. "Like it or not, then, governments are going to have to live with high inherited debts." Doing so will require limits on spending, consideration of tax hikes, and improved regulation of banks to avoid costly blow-ups, they wrote." .......... "Economists"? No - charlatans. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 28th, 2023 at 1:21pm
The solution to the OZ housing crisis:
The federal government subcontracts most of the building industry, until sufficient public housing is rebuilt, to be let by the governement at affordable rents. All at no expense to the public. Even Senator McKim is refusing to spell it out....he thinks the government will have to increase taxes, to pay for it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Aug 28th, 2023 at 7:17pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 29th, 2023 at 12:19pm
An informative look at the history of the IGR:
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61097 Another mythical intergenerational report from the Australian Treasury |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 31st, 2023 at 10:55am
https://woodstock2023.eventive.org/schedule/finding-the-money-64e8d3a016090900473a81fe
Finding the Money ABOUT THE FILM: An underdog group of economists is on a mission to instigate a paradigm shift by flipping our understanding of the national debt, and the nature of money, upside down. We follow Stephanie Kelton on a journey through the controversial Modern Monetary Theory or "MMT", to unveil a deeper story about money, injecting new hope and empowering democracies around the world to tackle the biggest challenges of the 21st century: from climate change to inequality. ABOUT THE FILMMAKER: Maren Poitras’s feature documentary debut Finding the Money tells the story of Modern Monetary Theory, a burgeoning economic movement that will revolutionize our ability to tackle the climate crisis. Maren was associate producer on the feature documentaries Enemies of the State (which debuted at Toronto International Film Festival in 2020) and Reality Winner (2023). Based in the Bay Area, Maren studied environmental science and agriculture at UC Berkeley. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 2nd, 2023 at 11:10am Frank wrote on Aug 28th, 2023 at 7:17pm:
The things we do for money.....the parrots of course go straight to what they actually need... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 3rd, 2023 at 10:32am |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 8th, 2023 at 9:08am
Currency-issuing governments don't need to tax in order to spend.
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61142 The 'tax extreme wealth to increase funds for government spending' narrative just reinforces neoliberal framing |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 9th, 2023 at 9:48am
The disaster of indebtedness in overseas currencies:
https://www.newtimes.co.rw/article/10574/news/africa/nairobi-declaration-calls-for-new-financing-architecture-to-address-africas-needs Fadhel Kaboub, an African economist commented: “While external debt is a serious problem that limits our economic and monetary sovereignty and reduces the fiscal policy space to act on climate and to invest in national priorities, it is important to recognize that external debt is a symptom of much deeper structural deficiencies: food deficits, energy deficits, and low value-added manufacturing.” He reiterated that there were false solutions proposed in the Nairobi declaration like carbon markets, which simply amount to cheap pollution permits for Global North historic polluters who can pass on the cost of the permits to their customers, displace farmers and indigenous communities, enrich speculators and middlemen, and continue polluting while offering crumbs as climate finance. ‘Africa is owed a climate debt by the historic polluters. Climate reparations must be delivered in the form of debt cancellation (not debt restructuring), transfer of technology, grants (not loans) for adaptation and economic resilience, and transformation of the global trade, finance, and investment architecture,” he noted. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 10th, 2023 at 9:42am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/rebuilding-economics-from-the-top?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=136853740&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&utm_medium=email
"I start with the hubris of mainstream economics prior to the Global Financial Crisis. The next instalment will discuss their failed attempt at soul-searching after the crisis, which has resulted in models that failed to anticipate the Global Financial Crisis still dominating the profession today." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 11th, 2023 at 11:04am
The end of the neoliberal free market, and its associated debt-based money, is in sight, crushed by the reality of climate change, and the need for intelligent (non-market-based) mobilization of resources.
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2023/09/09/lessons-the-us-energy-transition#mtr Australia is about to embark on a response to the Biden administration’s signature climate legislation, the oddly named Inflation Reduction Act. In two parts in The Saturday Paper I will first unpack the underlying theory of change in the IRA and what it did and didn’t do well. The second instalment will discuss what Australia can do better or worse in response. To start let’s consider the climate context. Activists such as Greta Thunberg use the word “emergency”. Behind that word is the fact the “free market” cannot move fast enough to hit either a 1.5 or a 2 degree target for warming. If we continue to slowly shift to electric vehicles, renewable electricity, and electrified homes at current rates we will likely wind up at 2.8 or more degrees of warming. In wartimes, governments can execute emergency powers that enable them to operate outside free market rules. The canonical example is the “Arsenal of Democracy”, the public–private partnership developed in the United States during World War II to produce the war matériel required to triumph. Fossil fuel companies and neoliberal ideologues recoil at the idea of such a step and would like to keep everything on the slow roll. I’m in the emergency camp, as are the vast majority of the world’s scientists. Was America’s IRA an emergency-style response? Not quite, though it was used to finance some clean energy manufacturing under the Defense Production Act – the very instrument used to finance the Arsenal of Democracy. This component was only US$500 million of the US$369 billion act and was a late addition to the legislation justified as a response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. These were incentives for American industry to produce the goods required to help Europe transition off Russian oil and gas faster. The IRA was also not Biden’s only legislation to address climate change. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act will deploy another US$110 billion, albeit not all for climate. This act is more akin to the Labor government’s “Rewiring the Nation” investments in energy transmission infrastructure. Governments have to find - ouside of the (greed-based) 'free market' - $billions of seed capital to fund the non-profitable bits of renewables, like the grid and storage, while private capital will need to be directed to transitioning from fossils ASAP - a contradiction which will result in $trillions in stranded privately owned fossil assets. "Times are a-changin'" .... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 12th, 2023 at 10:15am
Greenspan says US Treasuries are safe.
https://www.google.com/search?q=greenspan+says+US+treasuries+are+safe&sca_esv=564532646&sxsrf=AB5stBg6TdRxj20R_SZRdz-Aw2o8JeqSHA%3A1694477868218&source=hp&ei=LK7_ZOaJC5nXseMPwqaEoAM&iflsig=AD69kcEAAAAAZP-8PDLrRXM005y- ...but the US government doesn't NEED to issue Treasuries (US government bonds) aka 'welfare for the rich'... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 26th, 2023 at 10:30am
Exposing the errors of mainstream neo-classical economics, consequent to deriving macro processes from micro behaviour.
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-anything-goes-market-demand-curve?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=137380115&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&utm_medium=email The “Anything Goes” Market Demand Curve |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 29th, 2023 at 11:09am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61180
US wealth distribution – fiscal policy increases private net worth but the poor miss out “The gap between those with the most and those with the least has blown out over the past two decades, with the average wealth of the highest 20% growing at four times the rate of the lowest”. It is one of the manifestations of the neoliberal era and is ultimately unsustainable. Earlier in the week, I spent some time analysing the latest data from the US Federal Reserve on the distribution of wealth among US households. The US data goes a long way to explaining why the recent interest rate hikes have been inflationary in themselves. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 4th, 2023 at 9:34am
The amazing dysfunction of global finance:
https://ellenbrown.com/2023/10/03/the-great-taking-how-they-plan-to-own-it-all/ “The Great Taking”: How They Can Own It All Posted on October 3, 2023 by Ellen Brown “’You’ll own nothing and be happy’? David Webb has gone through the 50-year history of all the legal constructs that have been put in place to technically enable that to happen.” [Oct 2 interview titled “The Great Taking: Who Really Owns Your Assets?] "The derivatives bubble has been estimated to exceed one quadrillion dollars (a quadrillion is 1,000 trillion). The entire GDP of the world is estimated at $105 trillion, or 10% of one quadrillion; and the collective wealth of the world is an estimated $360 trillion. Clearly, there is not enough collateral anywhere to satisfy all the derivative claims. The majority of derivatives now involve interest rate swaps, and interest rates have shot up. The bubble looks ready to pop. Who were the intrepid counterparties signing up to take the other side of these risky derivative bets? Initially, it seems, they were banks –led by four mega-banks, JP Morgan Chase, Citibank, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America". ....... The Derivative Mushroom Cloud A “financial derivative” is defined as “a security whose value depends on, or is derived from, an underlying asset or assets. The derivative represents a contract between two or more parties and its price fluctuates according to the value of the asset from which it is derived.”....... Where to save your personal monies? Big derivative banks are risky, and Webb thinks credit unions and smaller banks will go down with the market if there is a general collapse, as happened in the Great Depression. Gold and silver are good but hard to spend on groceries. Keeping some emergency cash on hand is important, and so is growing your own food if you have space for a garden. Short-term Treasuries bought directly from the government at Treasury Direct might be the safest savings option, assuming the government doesn’t wind up in bankruptcy itself........" [My comment on the last point: at least a currency-issuing government doesn't need to go bankrupt, if the government can maintain the nation's capacity to produce vital goods and services; money and bankruptcy are not a problem for a currency-issuer, unlike you and me.] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 5th, 2023 at 6:14pm
Argentina: what has gone wrong?
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/argentina-was-one-of-the-world-s-richest-countries-now-poverty-is-rife-and-inflation-is-over-100-per-cent/ar-AA1hHygX?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=48075e9a15214e68b0ed2af1ad3fee51&ei=54 Argentina was one of the world's richest countries. Now poverty is rife and inflation is over 100 per cent .... The authors point to "printing money" beginning in the 1940s, without saying what that means. Did the central bank borrow money from itself, without taking account of the nation's productive capacity? To quote: "The argument about where it all went wrong is politically fraught, but the economic data suggests the country's persistent troubles with inflation started in the mid-1940s with the rise of Juan Domingo Perón to power. As president, Perón drew economic inspiration from Mussolini's fascist Italy and started remaking the economy. His program of nationalising production, erecting trade barriers, empowering unions and boosting wages while increasing welfare payments made him and his wife Eva "Evita" Perón heroes among the working class. But his policies were largely paid for by printing money, which led to runaway inflation." Obviously, it's important (and interesting) to look at other parameters, eg (quick google): "According to the last available data from WTO, Argentina exported USD 77.9 billion worth of goods in 2021, and imported USD 63.1 billion. As for services, the country imported USD 12.8 billion and exported USD 9.3 billion." ie c. US $90 billion of exports, in total. Compared with Australia (quick google): Australia total exports for 2022 was $432.46B, a 26.17% increase from 2021. Australia exports for 2021 was $342.76B, a 7.59% increase from 2020. One might comment on Oz's dumb luck - most of the value of Oz's exports is derived from digging up and exporting dirt (iron ore and coal). (Note Oz population: c. 25 million, Argentina c. 46 million.) Something for economists to consider when comparing Oz with Argentina. Note: mainstream economists are (correctly) repudiating the current far-RW candidate's (Melei) ** policy of "blowing up" the central bank and adopting the US dollar as the national currency. Milei obviously has no idea about fiat currencies, but the mainstreamers won't solve the crippling poverty either. Very sad. **"This month's presidential election was again shaping up to be a familiar match-up between these warring factions (ie, Peronists versus non-Peronists), until the emergence of Javier Milei. Milei's meteoric rise from fringe economist and TV talk show commentator to congressman and now presidential contender has shocked the political establishment, but he's clearly taken some cues from overseas. Milei's meteoric rise from fringe economist and TV talk show commentator to congressman and now presidential contender has shocked the political establishment, but he's clearly taken some cues from overseas. He's a known admirer of former US president Donald Trump, and with his signature hair styling — tousled locks with mutton-chop sideburns — there's a hint of former UK prime minister Boris Johnson. Milei calls climate change a hoax and has pledged to ban abortion, but it's his economic agenda that has rallied support and could prove the most consequential for Argentina. Meanwhile the IMF (Instant Misery Fund) wants repayment of its $50 billion loan to Argentina.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 6th, 2023 at 8:38am
https://theconversation.com/too-hard-basket-why-climate-change-is-defeating-our-political-system-214382?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Latest%20from%20The%20Conversation%20for%20October%202%202023%20-%202754427844&utm_content=Latest%20from%20The%20Conversation%20for%20October%202%202023%20-%202754427844+CID_81710c82112b808945ab8679254b3874&utm_source=campaign_monitor&utm_term=Too%20hard%20basket%20why%20climate%20change%20is%20defeating%20our%20political%20system
Too hard basket: why climate change is defeating our political system "Government can and must act. Government is our ultimate risk manager and as extreme weather events proliferate, calls increase for it to bail people out – from floods, fire and drought, as well as from increased food and energy prices. All this after four decades of neoliberalism in which both the federal and state governments have surrendered capacity to the private sector. But as the COVID crisis showed us, when faced with an emergency our governments can act decisively and put the lives of people ahead of the interests of business***. Assumptions that had guided monetary policy for three decades or more were overturned as both state and federal governments borrowed heavily to support people through the lockdowns and to buy and administer vaccines. If the political will is there, governments can find a way." ***But the author is a political scientist who doesn't understand why and how mainstrean economists - central bankers, specifically - caused the current bout of post-covid inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Oct 6th, 2023 at 10:24am NotSoGreat- instead of endlessly chatting to yourself in this lonely topic how about you log back into your Linus ID and pop back downstairs into the Atheism topic. Your choice of course. If you prefer to sit here and chat to yourself for a few more pages...that’s ok too.😂🤣😆 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 6th, 2023 at 11:05am Lisa Jones wrote on Oct 6th, 2023 at 10:24am:
This thread is to serve an educational purpose. Note the 'views' total, well over 40,000 - more than most threads on Ozpolitics. As for 'atheism', you are following scripture made by men, so will have a crippled ability to say anything sensible about 'God'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Oct 6th, 2023 at 11:26am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 6th, 2023 at 11:05am:
Apologies for the delay in posting to you Linus. I was busy reading this 👇 https://www.isepp.org/Pages/ISEPP%20Pages/PaulingLegacy.html As regards your now highlighted remark: I had to correct it. So you could see yourself in the same mirror you keep holding up for others. 👇 As for 'atheism', you Linus...are following theories made by men, so will have a crippled ability to say anything sensible about 'God'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 6th, 2023 at 11:59am Lisa Jones wrote on Oct 6th, 2023 at 11:26am:
Debate continued on the atheism thread. This thread considers topics like understanding Argentina's economic downfall, how to pay for climate change transition, and the nature of money (who creates it, etc_ ). Way above your pay-grade, Lisa....:-( |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Oct 6th, 2023 at 12:22pm
You’ve not debated anything anywhere.
You’re POSTING to yourself everywhere. And I bet you’re the idiot viewing this topic thousands of times thinking that the number of views actually means something. It doesn’t - unless you’re insane and desperate. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 6th, 2023 at 12:28pm Lisa Jones wrote on Oct 6th, 2023 at 12:22pm:
Frank, Bobby, and various articles by "experts' purporting to refute MMT have all been debated and refuted in this thread. I'll bite: what DOES the number of views mean? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Oct 6th, 2023 at 12:32pm thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 6th, 2023 at 12:28pm:
No. They’ve passed by momentarily to tell you you’re insane. You sit here muttering to yourself a lot though. Example 👇 https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1645944963/615 There’s been no debate. It’s all in your imagination. Keep viewing the topic. You must do that about 2000 times a day ...yeah? 😂🤣😆 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 7th, 2023 at 9:14am Lisa Jones wrote on Oct 6th, 2023 at 12:32pm:
That link reports on a global financing debate that is currently raging among the world's governments at the UN, and other international forums. If the climate scientists are correct, it's the 'atheism' debates on Ozpolitics which will be immaterial.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 7th, 2023 at 9:28am Quote:
'Dangerous conspiracy' to end democracy in 2025 taking root among right-wing billionaires: analysis "Right-wing billionaires are investing in a conspiracy cooked up by obscure professors at conservative colleges to end American democracy and install an authoritarian dictator. Conservatives are pining for a "Red (ie Republican) Caesar" to suspend democracy in 2025 and wrest power back from the "cosmopolitan class" of unelected elites they believe are ruling America, and they see congressional dysfunction as a symptom of the institutional rot they believe a dictator could cure, wrote Philadelphia Inquirer columnist Will Bunch. ....... ah---the attractiveness of a one-party state.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Oct 7th, 2023 at 9:43am
You’re an extremist nutter!
https://www.unexplained-mysteries.com/forum/topic/370995-dangerous-conspiracy-to-end-democracy-in-2025-taking-root-among-right-wing-billionaires-analysis/ Linus busted NotSoGreat - just log off the internet and go do some gardening. You’re not debating WITH ANYONE. YOU ARE CONTINUING TO POST TO YOURSELF EXTREME LEFT WING WOKE CONSPIRACY TOSSPOTTERY FROM links you’re too embarrassed to properly provide. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 7th, 2023 at 11:29am Lisa Jones wrote on Oct 7th, 2023 at 9:43am:
Er.." they see congressional dysfunction as a symptom of the institutional rot they believe a dictator could cure, wrote Philadelphia Inquirer columnist Will Bunch." "Founded on June 1, 1829, as The Pennsylvania Inquirer, The Philadelphia Inquirer is the third-longest continuously operating daily newspaper in the nation. It has won 20 Pulitzer Prizes as of 2020." Dont shoot me, I'm just the messenger. Slumber on...... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 9th, 2023 at 3:57pm
From 'Crikey":
"The outstanding payments are for hotel quarantine — there’s almost $40 million in outstanding fees and the government needs that money, Minns says. " It's a pity Minns doesn't understand that money which has already been spent by the government, eg on hotel fees during the pandemic, won't cause future inflation, because the hotels have already supplied the service, paid their employees, and the rooms are available for guest accomodation again. And supply chains are up and running again (after the lifting of the covid lockdowns). Therefore Minns should have a chat with the Australian Treasury..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 11th, 2023 at 4:24pm
Fundamental issues brought us to the verge of fascism — and we’re ignoring them every day | Opinion
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/fundamental-issues-brought-us-to-the-verge-of-fascism-and-we-re-ignoring-them-every-day-opinion/ar-AA1hYDMp?ocid=msedgntp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=93df09c3977143b8897979f0ce9432d7&ei=16 Here are fundamental issues that brought us to the verge of fascism and we’re ignoring them every day: — Income inequality and the role of tax cuts in it. — Worker insecurity and the role of the GOP war on unions. — A climate-change-driven refugee crisis on our Southern Border. — Political bribery by our Predator Class and the corrupt Citizens United decision. — Billionaires and foreign governments buying politicians. — Media consolidation under the control of rightwing billionaire families. — Corporate monopolies. — Racism, homophobia, and misogyny. "Deplorable".... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 14th, 2023 at 1:37pm
The approaching defeat of the referendum is a good time to reflect on the reasons for its defeat.
Egg-head lawyers (including from the UN down) armed with illusory "human rights" theory (eg Megan Davis) support the divisive concept of "indigenous land rights" accruing to a section of the population. The only "right" re property/land-ownership worthy of consideration, is the 'right' to housing - for everyone. But lawyers don't do economics, they apparently think a house for everyone is unachievable. And then there's the necessity for everyone who wants a job to have access to work in order to prosper, as the blacks in Wyndham have been calling for, just last week. They expressly said they don't want government handouts. It's time for governments to take control of the nation's resource mobilization, as far as necessary to deal with the egregious disadvantage entrenched by the 'invisible hand' market. The so-called 'welfare' safety net is really only a poverty industry, whose employees are riding the gravy train, while those forced to subsist on the unemployment scrap-heap are thrown some crumbs. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Oct 15th, 2023 at 1:39pm thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 14th, 2023 at 1:37pm:
Six-Year-Old Saying, 'Why Don't We Just Give Everything Away For Free?' Surges To Top Of Democratic Polls U.S. - A new candidate has come out of nowhere to surge in the polls in the Democratic primary, and she's only six years old. Susie Peters of Minneapolis, Minnesota, was on a local news segment where children gave their opinions on world problems, and she asked, "Why can't we just give everyone everything they want for free?" The message quickly went viral and really resonated with Democratic voters, propelling Susie from unknown to third in most polls, ahead of Bernie Sanders and just behind Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden. "She really has a plan for everything," said Melinda Carlson, one of Susie's enthusiastic supporters. "While Elizabeth Warren only has a plan for getting people free health care and free college, Susie has a plan to get everyone free everything. She's truly a visionary." Her new candidacy has upset some of the other candidates, with Bernie Sanders accusing Susie of stealing all his ideas. Others say the math in her plans doesn't add up, to which Susie says she doesn't like math and instead likes "Twilight Sparkle." And President Trump has taken notice, vowing to trounce Susie in the general since Trump himself can "read and write at the level of an eight-year-old." There are also concerns Susie may be gaffe-prone like Joe Biden, as one day at school Susie referred to her teacher as "Mommy" by mistake, prompting a round of laughter from her classmates. Still, Susie has unveiled her new popular campaign slogan, "But I want it!" and has already qualified for the next Democratic presidential debate, though she may not be able to attend since it will be on past her bedtime. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 15th, 2023 at 2:13pm Frank wrote on Oct 15th, 2023 at 1:39pm:
Priceless....but as a six year old, "Susie" is entitled to be ignorant of economic realities like the limit to available resources**, and the role of monetary incentive in productivity. But as an adult you are NOT entitled to blindly follow mainstream neoclassical obsolescence, as currently followed by the World's Reverse Banks worshipping the greed-based 'invisible hand' free-market. **it's resources which are limited, not money - which is unlimited for a currency-issuer...obviously. Do try to keep up. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Oct 15th, 2023 at 4:06pm thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 15th, 2023 at 2:13pm:
What does money represent? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 15th, 2023 at 6:58pm Frank wrote on Oct 15th, 2023 at 4:06pm:
The important word there is "represent" - and the answer is: value, ie money is a MEASURE of value, not the instrinsic value of the goods or services themselves, which the nation produces (some of which is less than worthless, for the ill-health it causes). The key to understanding the problem is recognizing that in our current economic system, "value" (as measured by money) is determined in invisible hand markets, whereas governementnts need to manage resource mobilization by intervening in the market, to ensure the common welfare - NOT the same as 'equality of outcome'. So.... back to 'closing the gap', via education, housing and jobs for all; money is not the problem, intelligent mobilizatioin of the nation's available resources labour. resources) is. Admittedly, MMT theorists have often ignored the significance/role of the 'invisible hand' market, as the determinant of "value". Hence they too resort to proposing taxation and/or interest rates as methods of inflation control, rejected by politicians who don't like lifting either because they want to get re-elected..... ...and the polies lose either way; centre left parties always eventually get turfed out (as in NZ today) because they never deliver on their promises to decrease disadvantage and increase the common welfare; and centre right parties always fail to properly maintain desired pubic services - as in the UK which is why the Conservatives will be turfed out (like Morrison here). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Oct 15th, 2023 at 8:21pm
What does money represent?
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 15th, 2023 at 9:31pm Frank wrote on Oct 15th, 2023 at 8:21pm:
Short version: money represents value, determined (in our system) in competitve 'invisible hand' markets but is not value itself, eg the intrinsic value of a piece of music, or a job done. More detailed analysis: ...value measured in terms of national currencies, eg dollars, yuan, euros, yen, rupees, pounds etc etc [But ecological economists are beginning to consider the limitations and drawbacks of GDP as a measure of the value of a nation's output and 'wealth]. Like measuring the comparative 'value' of the players in competitive sports, represented by goals*** scored by the players; there is of course an unlimited supply of goals which are created ex nihilo as required (the 'value' measure) which the scorekeeper can draw on, to be able to declare the winner of the game. *** the goals themselves are mere numbers/signs on a score-board, these numbers/signs themselves have no 'value', it's the exertion and skill which resulted in the goal which has the 'value'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 16th, 2023 at 9:37am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 14th, 2023 at 1:37pm:
I forgot to say how the government can contain inflation, if in fact, currency-issuing governments authorize Treasury to create debt-free money to fund public expenditures: In a scenario of mandated full employment (Job Guarantee, JG) and (near) zero interest rate monetary policy (ZIRP), inflation is manged directly via price controls, and rationing (when necessary because of supply failures). Thus freeing governments from having to raise politically toxic taxes, and 'independent' central banks raising economy-wrecking interests rates. ...a step too far for 'invisible hand' market ideologues; so it's time to ditch over-reliance on that ideology. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Oct 16th, 2023 at 9:53am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 15th, 2023 at 9:31pm:
So government prints value what it prints money. Magic. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 16th, 2023 at 10:40am Frank wrote on Oct 16th, 2023 at 9:53am:
Com'on Frank, you can do better than that. At least write something with parsable (and passable) grammar. Let's go with "So government prints value when it prints money." Wrong of course. 1. When government "prints' money, it is currently obliged to create an equivalent debt which must be repaid to private sector financiers. 2. Government creates value when it funds education and infrastructure. The question is - where do, or COULD, the required funds come from? https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finana/v36y2014icp1-19.html This paper presents the first empirical evidence in the history of banking on the question of whether banks can create money out of nothing. The banking crisis has revived interest in this issue, but it had remained unsettled. Three hypotheses are recognised in the literature. According to the financial intermediation theory of banking, banks are merely intermediaries like other non-bank financial institutions, collecting deposits that are then lent out. According to the fractional reserve theory of banking, individual banks are mere financial intermediaries that cannot create money, but collectively they end up creating money through systemic interaction. A third theory maintains that each individual bank has the power to create money ‘out of nothing’ and does so when it extends credit (the credit creation theory of banking). The question which of the theories is correct has far-reaching implications for research and policy. Surprisingly, despite the longstanding controversy, until now no empirical study has tested the theories. This is the contribution of the present paper. An empirical test is conducted, whereby money is borrowed from a cooperating bank, while its internal records are being monitored, to establish whether in the process of making the loan available to the borrower, the bank transfers these funds from other accounts within or outside the bank, or whether they are newly created. This study establishes for the first time empirically that banks individually create money out of nothing. The money supply is created as ‘fairy dust’ produced by the banks individually, "out of thin air". "Magic"..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Oct 16th, 2023 at 11:49am thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 16th, 2023 at 10:40am:
So it is both: Money represents value Money doesn't represent value. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 16th, 2023 at 5:58pm Frank wrote on Oct 16th, 2023 at 11:49am:
Quote:
Correct Quote:
Incorrect; oh dear - the incapacity of the Conservative brain.... The goal analogy went straight over your head; ie goals - created out of thin air by the score-keeper - measure REAL value, ie, a level of skill , but has no value in itself, as proved by the fact the goals on the scoreboard are created our of thin air (ie they are unlimited and therefore have no value). Imagine a society which has decided to operate without money as a representation of value, by listing wages earned in particular occupations in terms of payment in essential goods and services, and then (for the more talented workers, and "incentive"), increasing access to non-essentials goods and services, in an entirely planned economy. Those goods and services maintain their value (as listed in terms of actual goods and services earned by workers), even though this value is not measured in monetary terms. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Oct 16th, 2023 at 6:15pm thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 16th, 2023 at 5:58pm:
Incorrect; oh dear - the incapacity of the Conservative brain.... The goal analogy went straight over your head; ie goals - created out of thin air by the score-keeper - measure REAL value, ie, a level of skill , but has no value in itself, as proved by the fact the goals on the scoreboard are created our of thin air (ie they are unlimited and therefore have no value). Imagine a society which has decided to operate without money as a representation of value, by listing wages earned in particular occupations in terms of payment in essential goods and services, and then (for the more talented workers, and "incentive"), increasing access to non-essentials goods and services, in an entirely planned economy. Those goods and services maintain their value (as listed in terms of actual goods and services earned by workers), even though this value is not measured in monetary terms. [/quote] 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Waffle. Bilge. Idiocy. Incoherent crap. Sorry, correction. Waffle one. Bilge one. Idiocy one. Incoherent crap one. https://youtu.be/QO3BUpYFZvU?si=JdKsWduP4hjbpvSE |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 17th, 2023 at 10:21am Frank wrote on Oct 16th, 2023 at 6:15pm:
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Waffle. Bilge. Idiocy. Incoherent crap. Sorry, correction. Waffle one. Bilge one. Idiocy one. Incoherent crap one. https://youtu.be/QO3BUpYFZvU?si=JdKsWduP4hjbpvSE [/quote] Sorry Frank ...you doing a Lisa - not a good look. Money is created out of thin air*** (whether in private banks or the nation's Treasury); unfortunately the goods and services we want and need are NOT created out of thin air ("ex nihilo").... ***since English is your first language, you are only required to engage your brain: "money is created ex nihilo".... the meaning is clear (unlike with McGowan's translator). So the currency-issuing government should use the former reality to facilitate the latter; ie, mobilization of available resources, to eradicate the entrenched poverty resulting from greed-based 'invisible hand' markets. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 18th, 2023 at 9:17am
Today in Parliament: Senator Scarr (Liberal) praising Milton Friedman, despite the total failure of the 'invisible hand' housing market to supply affordable housing for all Australians.
Disgusting, obsolete neoliberal ideology, serving the interests of the rent-seekers. "Deplorable". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 22nd, 2023 at 11:50am
From a twitter feed today;
"Under the Econ assumption that we’re all utility maximizers and rational actors means Econs can’t be trusted in their policy recommendations as they’re optimizing for themselves. Follow the money (or professional awards you mention)." and: (from 'Moral Money Time'): Outsiders (eg MMTers) can say whatever they want. But people on the inside don’t listen to them. Insiders, however, get lots of access and a chance to push their ideas... But insiders also understand one unbreakable rule: They don’t criticize other insiders." ~ Larry Summers to Liz Warren The mainstream greed-based invisible hand market wouldn't know 'moral money', by definition. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Oct 22nd, 2023 at 5:34pm thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 22nd, 2023 at 11:50am:
That authoritative - for parrots. Are you investing your money in Hamas bonds or Islamic Jihad bonds? You are morally on their sides so you must have your money where your beak is. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 23rd, 2023 at 8:58am Frank wrote on Oct 22nd, 2023 at 5:34pm:
I'm invested in miners extracting minerals for the green transition. Meanwhile, this thread is to educate the likes of you: government must take command of a portion of the nation's resources**, BEFORE the private sector has its greed-based ways with those resources.... ** ie real resources, as opposed to money which is always created out of thin air (whether in private banks, or the nation's treasury). Obviously - first principles - government must guarantee education, housing and jobs for everyone, to avoid private sector competition creating winners and losers - from billionaires to losers forced onto the poverty-level 'welfare' safety net... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2023 at 9:02am
From a tweet today, (as I have been saying all along in this thread):
@RafelCarretero (Rafel Carretero) Professor, Llicenciat en Administració i Direcció d'Empreses. Teoria Monetària Moderna. · 10h The budget deficit should be viewed as a policy tool, not as a policy target. The government is not a household and should not be likened to one; it is a vehicle for societal collective action. Its job is to serve the people, not balance its books. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 30th, 2023 at 9:52am
Pathetic: Alexander Downer today asking "where's the money coming from?" to build the nuclear subs in Adelaide. ($370 billion)
Rather than : "does Oz have the resources and know-how to build them most efficiently in Oz, or with a subsidized workforce (which the Oz government should have done, to maintain a car industry in Oz). Of course Downer was tripping himself up with concerns about "central bank money printing", rather than concerns about availability of resources and know-how. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 3rd, 2023 at 8:11am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/puncturing-the-hubris-of-economics?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=138512626&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&utm_medium=email
Puncturing the Hubris of Economics "The greatest disjuncture in the social sciences is between the image that economists have of their discipline, and its reality. A decade before David Graeber published Debt: the First 5000 Years (Graeber 2011), the future chief economic advisor (Lazear) to President George W. Bush published a paper with the confronting title of "Economic Imperialism" (Lazear 2000), in the discipline's most prestigious journal, The Quarterly Journal of Economics. Lazear was not criticizing economics for attempting to take over other fields of social science, but lauding it for doing so:" An in depth look at the delusions of mainstream economics. Here is one priceless excerpt: "The concept of "Bullshit Jobs" made intuitive sense to normal people, many of whom provided the materials for that book. But according to the Neoclassical theory that wages are based upon a worker's "marginal product", bullshit jobs could not exist, because the "marginal product" of a bullshit job is negative." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 6th, 2023 at 1:57pm
Minister Leigh has today emailed his regular letter to ALP members, in which he promotes his efforts to facilitate the charities sector.
It's a pity he thinks the government can't ensure the provision of essentials for all Australians, and has to rely on the charity of rich people, to alleviate poverty in Australia. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 7th, 2023 at 7:51am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/its-a-mixed-credit-fiat-world?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=138632654&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&utm_medium=email
This attitude towards government debt and deficits—that government debt should be minimised, that deficits are undesirable, that interest payments on government debt are a punitive impost on future generations, and that high debt and high interest payments can even lead to a government going bankrupt—are key facets of contemporary politics. They were behind the attempt by the UK Cameron government to run surpluses rather than deficits, on the principle that, by "saving for a rainy day", the government would have more money on hand when crises struck in the future. They lie behind the recurring "debt ceiling" debates in the US Congress. They are the basis of the Eurozone rules, enshrined in the Maastricht Treaty, that government debt should not exceed 60% of GDP, and deficits should be no more than 3% of GDP. And they are all completely wrong, as is easily shown by looking at the accounting of the mixed credit-fiat monetary system in which we live. I will explain this very, very slowly. It may be tedious to read—it was tedious to write!—but this is necessary, given that utterly fallacious beliefs about the financial system are ingrained into, and damage, our political and social systems, thanks to erroneous mainstream economic thinking. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Lisa Jones on Nov 7th, 2023 at 7:54am Frank wrote on Oct 22nd, 2023 at 5:34pm:
[size=99999999916]😂🤣😆 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 7th, 2023 at 9:37am Lisa Jones wrote on Nov 7th, 2023 at 7:54am:
We know where you invest your money - you rent-seeking landlord - ie, in the OZ housing ponzi that is crippling half the population who are renters and recent mortgagees. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 15th, 2023 at 10:29am
Tweet from Asish Barua:
"Nothing is impossible for the currency-issuing govt if the required real resources are available & the govt intends to use the fiscal power for public purposes. Financing (such a massive project) is a non-issue for any currency-issuing govt, as taxes & bonds are not used for funding." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 19th, 2023 at 11:53am
"Nothing is impossible for the currency-issuer"......provided you are not deluded by mainstream neoclassical economists.
The temerity of austerity The problem with austerity is it doesn’t work. Yet governments seem intent on using it as a reason to force budget cuts, ignoring the fact that it always results in an economic downturn. George Osbourne was the UK Chancellor wedded to austerity. “More cuts, more difficult decisions” he said at the start of 2014, as he struggled to get the British budget back into surplus. But regular listeners to this podcast know that a government budget in surplus is sucking money out of the economy. Steve Keen reminds us of the logic that shows austerity does nothing except cause damage. Phil talks through some of that damage, including cuts to public services, a shortage of UK life expectancy, even an increase in hate crime. But, weirdly, the country is still facing austerity. Not through a lack of government spending, but through a high level of taxation**. People are still struggling, and the economy is on a fast road to nowhere, whilst other countries follow suit." **In Oz, the government is about to reduce taxes on the wealthy via stage 3 tax cuts, so spending will have to be reduced - according to the 'deficit myth'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Nov 21st, 2023 at 11:55am
Boom!!
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 22nd, 2023 at 3:48pm
Speaking of Javier Milei:
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/20/economy/argentina-peso-dollar/index.html Can Argentina really move from the peso to the dollar? Oh dear.....Milei wants to surrender Argentina's productive capacity to the tender mercies of the US Fed..... But as for "printing money", all states need to reclaim the power of money issuance on behalf of the public sector, separate from money creation in private sector banks. Which means in effect the state needs to have first claim on a portion of the nation's resources, sufficient to achieve public sector gaols, eg housing for all and jobs for all, when the private sector fails to achieve these national public goals. This is the mistake of the Peronists; they "printed money" without ensuring the resources wanted by government (to achieve social justice) were available for purchase. But pity Argentina, with Milei thinking of his country becoming a monetary vassal of the USA - without the paperwork in order..... And the US itself is one of the most unequal societies on the planet..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 22nd, 2023 at 4:41pm
Craig Reucassel quoted Alan Kohler in a tweet:
When interest rates went up “not only do we pay more to the banks for our mortgages, but the Reserve Bank, that we own, also forks out an extra billion dollars to them as well” That's the consequence of handing money-creation powers to private bankers; even though "we own the Reserve Bank", it is run by private bankers on behalf of the private sector. Currency-issuing governments need to reclaim the issuance power, by first claiming the necessary resources required to implement government public sector policy, as explained in the previous post. Government via greed-based 'invisible hand' markets alone, aka 'neoliberalism', will always result in poverty for those least able to compete in said markets. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 24th, 2023 at 9:00am
Tweet from Jason Restante:
Suggesting the government can't afford climate change mitigation, #TheDrum host says 'the government is not made of money.' Maybe not, but they issue the currency. It's well beyond time for informed discussion on the true capacity of our government to act in the public interest. Oh...and well beyond time the insanity of leading mainstream economists like RBA's ("Reverse Bank of Oz") Michelle Bullock should be exposed; she thinks Aussies getting haircuts and going to dentists is causing inflation - which only proves she is wedded to an insane ideology. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Nov 24th, 2023 at 9:09am thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 24th, 2023 at 9:00am:
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 24th, 2023 at 12:17pm Frank wrote on Nov 24th, 2023 at 9:09am:
You already posted that, to which I replied in #669. But you and Milei - with no understanding of the nature of money - are too desperate or incompetent to address the issues. Namely, money is created out of nothing; the issue to be addressed is by whom, and what for. Which is why you are content with Bullock's insanity. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Mattyfisk on Nov 24th, 2023 at 4:36pm Frank wrote on Nov 21st, 2023 at 11:55am:
Boom indeed. So why didn't you say boom when your DL said this? "Just run the presses — print money". https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/11/trump-once-considered-just-printing-money-to-lower-the-national-debt-woodward-reports.html DL didn't get a degree printed by Brown University, shurely. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Mattyfisk on Nov 24th, 2023 at 4:46pm thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 22nd, 2023 at 3:48pm:
Unequal is what Milei's program is all about. By tough times ahead, he means no more food and fuel subsidies, no more government jobs, no more - equality. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Nov 24th, 2023 at 9:20pm Karnal wrote on Nov 24th, 2023 at 4:46pm:
:'( :'( :'( No more equality??? :'( :'( :'( :'( |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 25th, 2023 at 9:44am Karnal wrote on Nov 24th, 2023 at 4:36pm:
Good point. Actually Trump made that remark after his RW guru Rush Limbaugh said (in 2019): "Nobody is a fiscal conservative anymore. All this talk about concern for the deficit and the budget has been bogus for as long as it's been around." Limbaugh an MMTer? Yikes.... https://reason.com/2019/07/18/rush-limbaugh-abandons-fiscal-conservatism/ Rush Limbaugh Abandons Fiscal Conservatism The pundit heavily criticized President Obama for excessive spending. Now he says it doesn't matter. And he is partly right; US government debt is soaring, and yet inflation is falling, and employment is holding up. Of course conservatives fret about debt when the Left are in power - hypocrites; but the real issue, as MMT points out, is maintaining productivity and engendering sustainable resource mobilization, while avoiding excess demand in the economy. Note: the 'debt ceiling' circus continues in the US, as ignorant fiscal conservatives keep demanding a balanced budget, but the truth should be revealed when US debt hits $100 trillion and the sky still hasn't fallen in, while the economy keeps chugging along - including continuing to spend more on misplaced 'defence' rather than eradicating poverty, representing a 'defence' budget more than the rest of the world combined. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 25th, 2023 at 2:29pm
"It’s absurd to talk about the national debt going to zero... Far from a burden, it's a necessity".
- Robert Heilbroner An original thinker; here are the first pargraphs from his brilliant article titled "Socialism": Socialism—defined as a centrally planned economy in which the government controls all means of production—was the tragic failure of the twentieth century. Born of a commitment to remedy the economic and moral defects of capitalism, it has far surpassed capitalism in both economic malfunction and moral cruelty. Yet the idea and the ideal of socialism linger on. Whether socialism in some form will eventually return as a major organizing force in human affairs is unknown, but no one can accurately appraise its prospects who has not taken into account the dramatic story of its rise and fall. The Birth of Socialist Planning It is often thought that the idea of socialism derives from the work of Karl Marx. In fact, Marx wrote only a few pages about socialism, as either a moral or a practical blueprint for society. The true architect of a socialist order was Lenin, who first faced the practical difficulties of organizing an economic system without the driving incentives of profit seeking or the self-generating constraints of competition. Lenin began from the long-standing delusion that economic organization would become less complex once the profit drive and the market mechanism had been dispensed with—"as self-evident," he wrote, as "the extraordinarily simple operations of watching, recording, and issuing receipts, within the reach of anybody who can read and write and knows the first four rules of arithmetic." MMT offers a combination of self-interested competition, with state planning, to achieve an economy which works for all, by differentiating between state and private debt. No doubt Heilbroner was aware of MMT's insights before he died (in 2005). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 9th, 2023 at 11:45am
Tweet from Christine Milne, AO:
"Best way to preserve protect and restore #biosphere is to regulate to end native forest logging, stop land clearance, end fossil fuels and make direct Govt investment***. Markets will not achieve it. " ***with free government money.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 11th, 2023 at 11:55am
More from Keen's upcoming book:
"This attitude towards government debt and deficits—that government debt should be minimised, that deficits are undesirable, that interest payments on government debt are a punitive impost on future generations, and that high debt and high interest payments can even lead to a government going bankrupt—are key facets of contemporary politics. They were behind the attempt by the UK Cameron government to run surpluses rather than deficits, on the principle that, by "saving for a rainy day", the government would have more money on hand when crises struck in the future. They lie behind the recurring "debt ceiling" debates in the US Congress. They are the basis of the Eurozone rules, enshrined in the Maastricht Treaty, that government debt should not exceed 60% of GDP, and deficits should be no more than 3% of GDP." .......but in Japan, govt. debt is 260% of GDP, and the US, 130% - and the sky isn't falling in; perhaps Biden knows govt. debt per se isn't the problem (resources are...) and he can fund wars here, there, and everywhere..... Back to Keen: "And they are all completely wrong, as is easily shown by looking at the accounting of the mixed credit-fiat monetary system in which we live. I will explain this very, very slowly. It may be tedious to read—it was tedious to write!—but this is necessary, given that utterly fallacious beliefs about the financial system are ingrained into, and damage, our political and social systems, thanks to erroneous mainstream economic thinking". https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/its-a-mixed-credit-fiat-world?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=138632654&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 14th, 2023 at 12:02pm
Pesident Milei should study Keen (see previous post)....
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/companies/people-are-going-to-suffer-argentines-grapple-with-austerity-shock/ar-AA1lrPOC?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=8fc777018f2b4a9188b3feee2b8a717d&ei=18 'People are going to suffer': Argentines grapple with austerity shock (Milei) has repeatedly said that "there is no money," though he has pledged to protect some social spending in a bid to head off protests, with over four-in-10 people already in poverty. The results of his mainstream 'medicine', based on saving the economy rather than saving the people, will be plain to see in the coming months. Meanwhile a new film titled " Finding the Money" has been released, due for screening in Oz in March next year...Milei would do well to watch it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 16th, 2023 at 9:24am
https://era.org.au/chicago-economics-garbage-in-gospel-out/
Chicago economics — garbage in, gospel out (GIGO) Indeed. “Every dollar of increased government spending must correspond to one less dollar of private spending. Jobs created by stimulus spending are offset by jobs lost from the decline in private spending. We can build roads instead of factories, but fiscal stimulus can’t help us to build more of both. This form of “crowding out” is just accounting, and doesn’t rest on any perceptions or behavioural assumptions.” – John Cochrane. And the tiny little problem? It’s utterly and completely wrong! Poor Argentinians - get ready for the 'gospel' according to Friedman and the Neoclassicists...... More: Chicago economics is a dangerous pseudo-scientific zombie ideology that ultimately relies on the poor having to pay for the mistakes of the rich. Trying to explain business cycles in terms of 'rational expectations' has failed blatantly. Maybe it would be asking too much of freshwater economists like John Cochrane to concede that, but it’s still a fact that ought to be embarrassing. My rational expectation is that 80 years from now, no one will know who John Cochrane was. John Maynard Keynes, on the other hand, will still be known as one of the masters of economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 19th, 2023 at 10:01am
The results of governments being forced to borrow from private sector financiers (especially when interest rates are high):
https://www.msn.com/en-au/health/other/pick-her-up-and-take-her-away-teenager-s-death-exposes-callousness-and-corruption-in-india-s-hospitals/ar-AA1lFKgQ?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=599b318aa8de4bed8fd7f5ec4752fe89&ei=27 "A doctor in casualty shouted in exasperation when Fayza and her parents kept pleading with him to give her a bed. Fayza’s mother, Razia, recalls his words: “Where do you poor all keep coming from? How can we cope with you all?”.......... The problem Fayza’s family encountered has a solution – but it is defective. More than 60 private hospitals, which were given land at highly subsidised rates, are obliged to dedicate 10% of beds and 25% of outpatient appointments to low-income patients, free of charge. If free private treatment supplemented government hospitals, it was reasoned, this would help address the monumental inequality experienced by Indians when they fall sick. But this obligation was not honoured for years by private hospitals. They turned away poor Indians, in favour, it is alleged, of paying patients. A board that is meant to be displayed prominently at hospital entrances to publicise the policy was reportedly often missing...... Disgusting; private financiers forcing governments to borrow the nation's own currency - which the government issues; all to ensue the rich have prior call on the nation's resources. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler Truth Teller on Dec 19th, 2023 at 10:05am
46 pages of "It's Never Going To Happen".... WW III will break out first....
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 19th, 2023 at 10:30am Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Dec 19th, 2023 at 10:05am:
Or ..possibly... AGW climate change will wreak enough havoc, to force the necessary change from management of money to benefit the rich, to global management of resources to benefit everyone. (edit for graps: NOT 'equality of outcome'...) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler Truth Teller on Dec 19th, 2023 at 2:26pm
46 pages of "It's Never Going To Happen" ....
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler Truth Teller on Dec 19th, 2023 at 2:31pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 19th, 2023 at 4:40pm Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Dec 19th, 2023 at 2:26pm:
Patience dear fellow. The poor are mostly the ones paying now, but that will change, if AGW scientists are correct. (Neat reuse of a cartoon, for climate instead of war; but your illusional freedom or death ideology renders both uses meaningless). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 19th, 2023 at 4:52pm Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Dec 19th, 2023 at 2:31pm: Exactly; eg, Bill Gates thinks MMT is bunkum, since he has plenty of the stuff we call money, and thinks (incorrectly) there is only a certain amount of it to go around... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 20th, 2023 at 5:08pm
Confusion all around, on both sides of politics, aided and abetted by corrupt media (sky news):
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/inflation-is-coming-down-australia-s-economy-heading-in-the-right-direction/ar-AA1lL7Cs?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=396467642c5249b5b784d3bd1629705c&ei=19 'Inflation is coming down’: Australia’s economy heading in the ‘right direction’ Story by Sky News Australia • 9h Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones says inflation around the world is “coming down” even if he would like to see it reduce at a faster rate. “We are heading in the right direction, we’ve got to maintain our budget discipline,” Mr Jones told Sky News Australia. “Where we can find areas where we can support households, we will. “Budget discipline – absolutely our number one priority to ensure that we don’t make a tough situation worse for the economy and households.” Poor Jones, like the Coalition, is blinded by 'balanced budget' mythology; but Sky News continues with: The Reserve Bank fears unemployment will rise next year as Australians feel the full effect of rate rises. Note the subtle ruse to blame the Labor govt for RBA incompetence; the fool Bullock WANTS to increase unemployment (via rate rises) to kill inflation, it's the only tool she has in her crippled inflation-fighting armory. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 24th, 2023 at 12:15pm
"Make the Left Great Again"
Heading of a talk given by Prof Bill Mitchell, in Tokyo recently. https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61468 The parallel universe in Japan continues and is delivering superior outcomes, while the rest look on clueless ......... No doubt Bill is attracting attention in Japan because that country has the highest government debt (to GDP) of any first world economy. And of course mainstream economists claim that is the ultimate sin. But as Bill writes: Yesterday (December 19, 2023), the Bank of Japan released its latest – Statement on Monetary Policy – which updates their thinking on interest rates, inflation, yield curve control (YCC) and other matters. The financial markets have been falling over themselves with their predictions that the Bank would relent on their zero interest rate policy and the YCC. But, the Bank continually demonstrates a key principle of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) – that the currency issuer is in control and the financial markets really only have scope when the currency issuer allows it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 25th, 2023 at 8:25am
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GB5dpyAagAIix8o?format=jpg&name=large
Capitalism is the best way of producing economic wealth. But when extreme inequality becomes rampant, it's not just unfair, it's dangerous. The author needs to study MMT... Oz mainland is ruled entirely by Labor, both state and federal - but people are forced to live in tents.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler Truth Teller on Dec 25th, 2023 at 8:35am
47 pages of anti-capitalist propaganda without a single better way offered - just state control over everything....
YOU drink it! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 25th, 2023 at 8:54am Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Dec 25th, 2023 at 8:35am:
"Capitalism is the best way of producng wealth, but extreme inequality is dangerous". Capiche? The currency-issuing state can of course free itself from the harsh realities of private sector financing and free markets, to the extent necessary to house and employ everyone - and still be capitalist. Or you can confine the state to matters of defense - of a vicious system entrenching inequality, totally devoid of decency. Hence the title of the article, a warning (eg Trump): Democratic Deficit could Deepen by Misha Zelensky, Fulbright Scholar, and former assistant national secretary of the Australian Workers Union. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 26th, 2023 at 9:15am
Meanwhile, the energy system might have to go 'communist' (powered by free sun and wind) as AGW climate change gathers pace....
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/neoclassical-economics-and-the-demise?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=139988854&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&utm_medium=email |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler Truth Teller on Dec 26th, 2023 at 9:29am |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 26th, 2023 at 10:21am
Trump's Xmas greetings complaint (on Truth Social.... note that both graps and Trump are confused about 'truth'....)
https://www.rawstory.com/trump-rot-post-merry-christmas/ ..."the THUGS we have inside our Country who, with their Open Borders, INFLATION, Afghanistan Surrender, Green New Scam, High Taxes, No Energy Independence, Woke Military, Russia/Ukraine, Israel/Iran, All Electric Car Lunacy, and so much more, are looking to destroy our once great USA." 1. "open borders": yes.... well, the dysfunctional US-centred global economic system, overseen by the neoclassicists at the IMF, is responsible for the current global refugee crises including at the US southern border. 2. "Inflation": actually Biden has subsized US industry to the hilt with the IRA (Inflation Reduction Act).....so much for "free trade".... 3. "Afghanistan surrender": Trump should have strengthened the UNSC to deal with these endless wars. 4. "Green New Scam" ; actually, a Green New Deal is urgently required to rebuild crumbling US infrastructure. 5. "High Taxes": yes...well if you force the currency-issuing government to tax or borrow in order to spend on public essentials, you need high taxes. 6. "No energy independence": er... what if AGW climate change is real, and all that gas must remain in the ground? 7. "Woke military": Trumpy might be onto something there; the Pentagon's budget is bigger than the militaries of the next 10 nations combined. 8. "Israel/Iran": I think Trumps' ME 'peace plan' involved forcing Palestinians to accept the status quo (no Pal. state). 9. "All Electric Car lunacy" - yes, well, the ICE days are numbered. See how the zero sum game re money plays out? Prosperity for all is achievable, that's what MMT's examination and expose' of money brings into view. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 27th, 2023 at 10:11am
Typical misleading headline from mainstream media:
We’re richer than ever but living beyond our means https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/we-re-richer-than-ever-but-living-beyond-our-means/ar-AA1m28Kc?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=bb194d16ab464a3e8f5010c17254e5a9&ei=70 All nonsense; only the third of Aussies who are mortgage-free homeowners are "richer than ever" (because house prices are at a peak). And most of that third are not "living beyond their means", they are living it up on high interest payments on their savings. Certainly many of the remaining two thirds are forced to live beyond their means, in the cost of living crisis. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 29th, 2023 at 1:15pm
An alternative plan to stabilize and repair Argentina's economy.
1. Authorize treasury and central bank to fund basic living costs (rents, mortgages, utilities, food) for low income households, with debt-free money. Note: only resources produced in Argentina itself can be purchased by the government with 'debt-free' Argentine pesos; purchases of products from overseas requires sufficient foreign exchange reserves which Argentina doesn't have at present. But Argentina (like Oz) produces more than enough food to feed its population. 2. Introduce price controls to eradicate inflation. 3. Education required for nation building occupations can be free (paid for by the state with debt free money) because the transfer of knowledge from teacher to student mostly requires the time and mental effort of teacher and student, resources which need not be in short supply. Hence the path to poverty reduction and national rejuvenation can begin straight away, rather than by increasing poverty as in Milei's plan to cut social services and government spending in an insane attempt to balance the government budget. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by The Grappler Truth Teller on Dec 29th, 2023 at 2:17pm thegreatdivide wrote on Dec 27th, 2023 at 10:11am:
Right - that's your one accurate hit for December - you can take it easy now... the boy's got it!! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 30th, 2023 at 11:20am
To recapitulate:
The currency-issuing government can fund necessary public spending with 'free' money (when the required resources are available for purchase), unlike private sector players who must repay borrowed money with interest. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 30th, 2023 at 4:57pm
Interesting insight into "paper money", from the Mongol Yuan dynasty, China (1279-1368):
https://www.britannica.com/place/China/Economy Another factor that contributed to the flourishing internal trade in China (during the Mongol administration) was standardized currency. The Song and Jin had issued paper money but only in addition to bronze coins, which had remained the basic legal tender. The Yuan government was the first to make paper money the only legal currency throughout the empire (1260). This facilitated financial transactions in the private sector as well as in the state treasuries. As long as the economy as such remained productive, the reliance on paper money as the basic currency had no detrimental effects. Only when the economy began to disintegrate under the last Mongol ruler did the paper money become gradually valueless and inflation set in. One reason for the paper currency might have been that much bronze and copper was used for the Buddhist cult and its statues, another that metal ores in China proper were insufficient to supply enough coins for some 80 million people. That last point echoes Nixon's abandonment of the Gold Standard in 1971 because there wasn't enough US gold to account for global trade. The important thing though is to observe that the REAL national economy (production of goods and services) determines the health of an economy, not mainstream monetary mythologies re (government) debt and deficits. (See prof. Stephanie Kelton's 'The Deficit Myth') |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 31st, 2023 at 10:57am
Speaking of China: from the interviewee in the OP; Yan Liang is Kremer Chair Professor of Economics at Willamette University, Oregon.
https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2023/12/23/defying-the-end-of-china-miracle-myth/ The central government (of China) should roll out a job guarantee program where jobs are created at the local level and funded by the central government. These jobs could hire youth and provide skills training to meet private sector demand, transitioning participants into private jobs when available. This will alleviate youth unemployment and bolster consumer confidence as income is secured. The central government should also enhance financing support for local governments. While local government spending plays an important role in economic stabilisation, they continue to struggle with crippling debt due to the economic slowdown and limited land sales. The central government should consider significantly raising fiscal transfers to local governments to enhance their ability to spend counter-cyclically and manage debt. The recent issuance of one trillion central government bonds for fiscal transfers to local governments is a good first step, but the magnitude needs to be much larger. Despite facing various challenges, China’s economy is still growing steadily and the government has multiple policy tools to guide and support the economy. It is premature at best to fan the flames of a ‘collapsing China’ narrative. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 1st, 2024 at 11:05am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/coughing-up-for-the-young-doctors?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=140005295&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&utm_medium=email
The UK government has been refusing the pay demands of young doctors in the UK who held a series of strikes in 2023. Their argument is that pay has been declining in real-terms since 2008. Unless pay catches-up there will continue to be a drain of new recruits, which will impact patient safety and put undue pressure on those left working in the NHS. Steve Keen says the government’s argument – that there just isn’t the money – ignores the ability for sovereign nations to create new money. There’s an argument that if you create too much it will create inflation, but that applies more to the generation of excess demand for goods and services. Nobody chooses to go to hospital. So, is the government’s end-game to destabilise the NHS and force more private health provision, so less of the cost appears on their balance sheet? A: Yes, they think the government's budget is like a household's budget. Fools. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 2nd, 2024 at 9:13am
"Brilliant" - as noted in a tweet by prof. Yan Liang, re prof. James Galbraith's critical observations on mainstream economics:
"“In mainstream macroeconomics today, blood, phlegm, yellow bile, and black bile have been replaced by money, government spending, jobs, and expectations. While the few remaining monetarists blame “money printing,” fiscalists focus on budget deficits." "Then there are the Phillips-curve holdovers, for whom a low unemployment rate must signal danger. Expectations theories cover the gaps left by the other three.” |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 7th, 2024 at 3:04pm
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/private-equity-funds-capitalists?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=140006880&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&utm_medium=email
Private equity funds – capitalists or leeches? Morrisons faces cuts as the acquiring private equity fund tries to recoup losses they incurred buying the company. Is that how capitalism is supposed to work |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 9th, 2024 at 10:49am
https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2024/01/06/central-bankers-on-the-ability-of-banks-to-create-money-out-of-thin-air/
Central bankers on the ability of banks to create money out of thin air |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 11th, 2024 at 6:08pm
Chaos in the UK and New Guinea, as money pinching public payroll departments stuff up, causing uproar among workers forced to live paycheck to paycheck (if they even have a job).
The food and housing is already there; currency-issuing governments can create the money (out of thin air), which workers need to pay for the food and housing. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 12th, 2024 at 10:29am
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/jan/08/australias-cost-of-living-crisis-isnt-about-the-price-of-groceries-its-about-the-distribution-of-wealth?utm_term=659b491418b190c0912ff7f5d21b5702&utm_campaign=GuardianTodayAUS&utm_source=esp&utm_medium=Email&CMP=GTAU_email
Australia’s cost-of-living crisis isn’t about the price of groceries. It’s about wealth distribution John Quiggin .... A bit like the black gap isn't about failure to implement "rights" (as asserted by a UN rep today), it's about a dysfunctional neoliberal economy which badly affects, and entrenches the disadvantage seen in black (and white) groups. The miminum requirement for government ought be to ensure provision of housing and jobs for all (not "defence"; that job should be the task of the UNSC...). That's how you ensure blacks in the NT - with the highest rates of homelessness and joblessness in Oz, aren't incarcerated at the highest rates in the world; letting them out of prison as one lawyer wants (in the name of "rights"....another egg-head lawyer) - without homes and jobs to go to - won't fix the problem. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 15th, 2024 at 7:12pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 17th, 2024 at 10:44am
Tweet from Jeoff Coventry, quoting Stephanie Kelton (author of 'The Deficit Myth') on good financial management in the EU.
"Establish a proper fiscal union in the eurozone and introduce a new budgetary framework. Abandon arbitrary targets for debt-to-GDP or deficit-to-GDP ratios. Stop trying to keep government spending deficit neutral. Work to keep it inflation neutral." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 18th, 2024 at 10:41am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/tax-our-wealth-super-rich-tell-politicians-at-davos/ar-AA1n6mqD?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=846abeb862cc4db49f591417d1937f31&ei=26
Tax our wealth, super-rich tell politicians at Davos “We are also the people who benefit most from the status quo,” they said in a letter titled Proud to Pay, which they will attempt to deliver to world leaders gathered in Davos in Switzerland on Wednesday. “But inequality has reached a tipping point, and its cost to our economic, societal and ecological stability risk is severe – and growing every day. In short, we need action now.” ........ Yet a better way to reverse increasing inequality, rather than fiddling around with tax scales, is for governments to command a portion of the nation's resources (before the self-interested, greed-based private sector) to enable provision of housing and jobs for all (whether in the public or private sectors) , thus eradicating structural inequality. Managing inflation**, not monetary debt and deficits, or 'balancing government budgets', is the task of currency-issuing governments, as noted in the previous post. **and govt. can avoid contributing to inflation by avoiding a competition with the private sector for resources, as outlined above. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 18th, 2024 at 5:18pm
A look at the history and nature of money, by prof. Randall Wray.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7cLDFjTt4Bs ...before money, and before writing, humans kept records of credit and debt (eg, in bushels of wheat, or goats, etc); the records progressed (through writing) from payment in kind, to payment in money of account issued by a government. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 18th, 2024 at 5:50pm
https://sunsetbutterflymoonar.pro/6yD8bg?blp=1&eng_click=669a4a6c0ea84957a68a4730100795ab&eng_creative_id=1022508666&eng_source=241061&eng_subid=null&eng_website_id=241061&eng_widget_id=218894&p=1747%3Futm_source%3Dengageya&push=1&redir=1&stream_uuid=60dd34e6-d9e1-4f05-a73d-4dacbda5f978&subid1=%5Bcampaign_id%5D&t_id=4&thank_you_page=3767&tup=1&utm_source=engageya&utm_term=111212
BREAKING NEWS: Elon Musk Attends Fox News Show To Announce Quantum AI Platform Elon Musk visited FOX Business last week. At the beginning of the show, the presenters discussed the current state of the cryptocurrency market at the time of the escalation in Ukraine and the risks of investing. But suddenly, Elon dropped a bombshell when he announced that his new cryptocurrency trading platform was launched at the end of last year, although it was in closed testing. The platform was first launched in the US in January 2022. A few days ago, it went global. .... But be warned - Wray (in the previous post) explained why crypto isn't money, but rather a way of relieving the stupid and gullible of their money...... Undoubtedly rich people have enough spare money to pump and dump crypto, but all ponzi schemes eventually collapse, so you need to know when to exit..... And as for Musk, he no doubt has his eye on Tesla's 12% share price drop (wiping $billions from his personal wealth) since the start of the year, due to an apparent plateauing of the EV market; apart from China (where EVs are subsidized) the people who can afford EVs have already bought one, and competition is becoming fierce - Chinese car-maker BYD overtook Tesla as the leading manufacturer of EVs in the last quarter. Elon would do better urging governments to transition to renewables ASAP, rollout public EV chargers ASAP, subsidize personal rooftop solar and batteries, and voila - the EV market would boom again, allowing Tesla to compete with BYD. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 19th, 2024 at 8:39am
https://ellenbrown.com/2024/01/17/casino-capitalism-and-the-derivatives-market-time-for-another-lehman-moment/
'Casino Capitalism' and the Derivatives Market: Time for Another ‘Lehman Moment’? Any major black swan could prick the massive derivatives bubble, which the Bank for International Settlements put at over one quadrillion (1,000 trillion) dollars as far back as 2008. With global GDP at only $100 trillion, there is not enough money in the world to satisfy all these derivative claims. A derivative crisis helped trigger the 2008 banking collapse, and that could happen again. The ugly side of the capitalist casino, divorced from the real economy and the workers who depend on it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 20th, 2024 at 8:56am
Below is an except from a post by UK post growth economist and podcaster Katy Shields in response to Professor Wray's talk on the History and Nature of Money: (available on youtube)
In 1983 Margaret Thatcher famously said: "There is no such thing as public money, there is only taxpayers' money." This story - a "fundamental truth", as she put it - turns out to be a fundamental lie. One reason the story endures is that, at its root, it is about power. To solve our crisis we have to re-write the story of money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 21st, 2024 at 9:44am
https://abc7.com/trillionaire-billionaire-rich-elon-musk/14344139
We could see the world's first trillionaire in the next decade. Here are some of today's richest 1% .... Hm.... the outcome of Thatcher's lie "there is no such thing as public money" (see previous post) , combined with the reluctance of the public to pay taxes even on huge incomes and wealth. So Musk alone has half the wealth of Argentina (c $200 billion) where the "broke" government is cutting govt. spending to deal with inflation, despite the already high 40% poverty rate. An insane global economic system.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 22nd, 2024 at 2:32pm
https://jacobin.com/2024/01/stephanie-kelton-monetary-theory-economy
Stephanie Kelton Thinks the Conventional Wisdom Is Changing We did things very differently, including a full-throated embrace of the spending power of the state, not getting sidetracked by worries over the fiscal impacts. I think the proof is there: we had the shortest recession in US history. It lasted just two months. We lifted almost 40 percent of all the kids in this country out of poverty. We have had the strongest recovery among G7 nations, and real wages are growing fastest for those at the bottom, people without college degrees. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 23rd, 2024 at 8:53am
The problem with 'taxpayer money' as the source of government revenue is that no-one wants to pay tax.
And as for the concept of tax fairness, greed muddies the water: https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/they-can-afford-it-left-slammed-for-stance-stage-three-tax-cuts-debacle/ar-BB1h4eIQ?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=d67055d00349433fa8f99faec9a2bfc0&ei=62 ‘They can afford it’: Left slammed for stance (on) stage three tax cuts debacle Sky News host Paul Murray says in Australia 11.9 per cent of workers pay 55 per cent of the tax in the country and the assumption from lefties is that “they can afford it”. “Think about the person who works 69 hours a week, not the average 40 or even more, now again, no one is saying these people are poor,” Mr Murray said. ...a meangingless rant from Paul Murray (he says debate on stage 3 is a "debacle"); in a cost of living crisis hurting low income earners the most, he wants people earning 3 times the average wage (>$180k) to get a $9k tax refund, cf $375 refund for someone on $45k income (near the mean income). He continues: “But when 11 per cent of the population is paying 55 per cent of the tax, then when they get a small tax cut, they are still going to be paying the extreme bulk of tax in Australia. “The assumption is anyone over $180,000, well, they vote Liberal, so who cares, or they vote Teal which means they stop the Liberal Party, so who cares?” ..dripping with concern for taxes paid by the better off. Typical greedy conservative. In contrast: https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/prime-minister-hints-at-expansion-of-stage-3-tax-cuts-to-benefit-lower-income-earners/ar-BB1h5TjA?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=a84e1210ddcd4506a5ff881d9724073c&ei=7 Prime minister hints at expansion of stage 3 tax cuts to benefit lower-income earners On Monday, 2GB reported the government would instead keep the current 45 per cent tax rate between $180,000 and $200,000, which would trim the tax cut from $9,075 to $6,075 for those who earn over $200,000. It would then raise the tax-free threshold, which applies to all taxpayers. Independent economist Chris Richardson suggested the threshold could increase from $18,200 to $19,500 using the money saved at the top, delivering an across-the-board tax cut of $247 a year. Delivering some tax fairness, at least.. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Jan 23rd, 2024 at 10:14pm
https://www.justonefocus.org/australian-reserve-bank-declares-its-bust-hoorah-goodbye-satan/
23 September 2022 Australian Reserve Bank Declares It’s BUST! Hoorah! Goodbye Satan. The RBA began its bond-purchase program in November 2020 as a second stimulus package in response to the pandemic. The first round of measures saw it slash rates to record lows, and set up a term funding facility offering cheap three-year funding to banks. For the bond buying, the central bank bought Australian government bonds and semi-government securities in the secondary market to lower interest rates on bonds maturing between five and 10 years out. The program was extended, and extended, and extended yet again. Ultimately, the RBA bought A$281 billion (US$188 billion) in national, state and territory government bonds. Now the bill has come due. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 24th, 2024 at 8:23am
https://open.spotify.com/show/50c7tIYpu9mfusoOr2qSrc?utm_campaign=PB-sendgrid-emails&utm_medium=email&utm_source=sendgrid
The Levy Institute: "Move beyond conventional approaches. The tertiary economics departments maintain strict separation from other disciplines, resulting in a non-scientific study of economic reality." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 28th, 2024 at 5:23pm Bobby. wrote on Jan 23rd, 2024 at 10:14pm:
That was the RBA's 2nd mistake. The economy didn't need "stimulation" in the middle of a pandemic in which many workers were forcibly stood down. [The first mistake was to borrow the funds required to support locked-down workers; Treasury could have created the funds ex nihilo necessary to enable the RBA to pay the essential bills of locked-down wokers, thus avoiding govt debt and a build up in purchasing power in the ecocomy which was partly responsible for the ensuing inflation later on (along with supply chain problems due to workers' covid sickness, and war). Obviously inflation isn't a problem in a deliberately locked down economy; the supply of essentials and ability to pay for them is. Quote:
Yep, a total cockup, courtesy RBA following neoclassical orthodoxy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 29th, 2024 at 1:35pm
Dispelling the 'taxpayer money funds government' myth, in one university at a time:
[note: the 'uni' is a monetary unit of account, in the following article]. https://www.aaup.org/article/stop-trying-find-money%E2%80%94create-it Throughout the semester, the uni-issuing instructor outlines the currency assignment’s learning experience as well as the broader public purposes it is designed to serve. The power of taxation, students quickly learn, is not wielded as a funding mechanism. It is the source of demand for a monetary instrument, which activates meaningful social labor. No one in the class could pay the uni tax if the instructor did not spend it into existence in the first place. With this, students not only come to appreciate money’s basic structures and potential but also see through the mendacity of taxpayer-funding narratives and the polarizing politics they regularly naturalize. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 30th, 2024 at 3:07pm
The 'taxpayer money funds government' myth is devastating Argentina:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/companies/argentina-markets-edge-lower-after-milei-s-key-reform-bill-diluted/ar-BB1hrina?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=129ea14c7ead4aa7af65e85fcc9b53e9&ei=72 The South American country's libertarian President Javier Milei agreed on Friday to yank changes to taxation and pensions from the mammoth bill that is working its way through Congress, where the government's minority bloc faces stern opposition. That should make passing the bill easier, but it also removes key reforms aimed at cutting spending and boosting state revenues to help meet a zero-deficit target this year as the government looks to trim high debts and bring down inflation that is running above 200%. Milei doesn't have the IQ or balls to drop the 'zero deficit target' mythology demanded by greedy private financiers. And hyperinflation can be eliminated by price controls, since there is no shortage of the essentials - food production and supply, or house-building resources in Argentina. Notice it's always orthodox neoclassical economists who urge central banks to raise interest rates, regardless of the egregious effects on the population. Milei is headed for a fun time, as long as the taxpayer money myth remains the dominant narrative. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 31st, 2024 at 8:21am
"Anything we can actually do, we can afford"
Keynes' famous remark, in its original context (from a BBC broadcast, in 1942): https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61537 Keynes: "For some weeks at this hour you have enjoyed the day-dreams of planning. But what about the nightmare of finance? I am sure there have been many listeners who have been muttering: “That’s all very well, but how is it to be paid for?” Let me begin by telling you how I tried to answer an eminent architect who pushed aside all the grandiose plans to rebuild London with the phrase: “Where’s the money to come from?” “The money?” I said. “But surely, Sir John, you don’t build houses with money? Do you mean that there won’t be enough bricks and mortar and steel and cement?” “Oh no”, he replied, “of course there will be plenty of all that”. “Do you mean”, I went on, “that there won’t be enough labour? For what will the builders be doing if they are not building houses?” “Oh no, that’s all right”, he agreed. “Then there is only one conclusion. You must be meaning, Sir John, that there won’t be enough architects”. But there I was trespassing on the boundaries of politeness. So I hurried to add: “Well, if there are bricks and mortar and steel and concrete and labour and architects, why not assemble all this good material into houses?” But he was, I fear, quite unconvinced. “What I want to know”, he repeated, “is where the money is coming from”. To answer that would have got him and me into deeper water than I cared for, so I replied rather shabbily: “The same place it is coming from now”. He might have countered (but he didn’t): “Of course I know that money is not the slightest use whatever. But, all the same, my dear sir, you will find it a devil of a business not to have any …” Had I given him a good and convincing answer by saying that we build houses with bricks and mortar, not with money? Or was I only teasing him? … For one thing, he was making the very usual confusion between the problem of finance for an individual and the problem for the community as a whole … The first task is to make sure that there is enough demand to provide employment for everyone. The second task is to prevent a demand in excess of the physical possibilities of supply, which is the proper meaning of inflation. For the physical possibilities of supply are very far from unlimited. Our building programme must be properly proportioned to the resources which are left after we have met our daily needs and have produced enough exports to pay for what we require to import from overseas … Where we are using up resources, do not let us submit to the vile doctrine of the nineteenth century that every enterprise must justify itself in pounds, shillings and pence of cash income, with no other denominator of values but this. I should like to see that war memorials of this tragic struggle take the shape of an enrichment of the civic life of every great centre of population … Assuredly we can afford this and much more. Anything we can actually do we can afford. Once done, it is there. Nothing can take it from us." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 31st, 2024 at 4:48pm
But note (following the previous post): Keynes still believed in balanced govt. budgets, in 1942.
It was in 1943 he became aware of Abba Lerner's 'functional finance' principles (the fore-runner of MMT): https://www.hetwebsite.net/het/profiles/lerner.htm#:~:text=Lerner%27s%20propositions%20initially%20shocked%20even,to%20Meade%2C%20April%201943). "Perhaps of greater lasting impact was Lerner's development of the principles of "functional finance" (1941, 1943, 1944, 1948, 1951, 1961, 1973), which argued that government policy should be designed to obtain full employment output and price stability regardless of whether it increased or decreased public debt. He was an effective debunker of the the idea of the "burden of the debt" and "crowding out" arguments commonly used against deficit spending. Lerner's propositions initially shocked even John Maynard Keynes himself - although he eventually embraced them fully. As Keynes wrote,[b]"[Lerner's] argument is impeccable, but heaven help anyone who tries [to] put it across to the plain man*** at this stage of the evolution of our ideas." (Keynes to Meade, April 1943). But Keynes only lived for another 3 years, and was occupied with designs re post-WW2 global economic policy (he was a key player at the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944), so did not have time to elucidate and promote Lerner's insights. *** eg Bobby and Frank, and others who have attempted to debunk MMT here ...you are pitting yourselves against John Maynard Keynes... More on Keynes himself (from the wiki article): By the 1950s, Keynesian policies were adopted by almost the entire developed world and similar measures for a mixed economy were used by many developing nations. By then, Keynes's views on the economy had become mainstream in the world's universities. Throughout the 1950s and 1960s, the developed and emerging free capitalist economies enjoyed exceptionally high growth and low unemployment.[71][72] Professor Gordon Fletcher has written that the 1950s and 1960s, when Keynes's influence was at its peak, appear in retrospect as a golden age of capitalism.[54] In late 1965 Time magazine ran a cover article with a title comment from Milton Friedman (later echoed by US President Richard Nixon), "We are all Keynesians now". The article described the exceptionally favourable economic conditions then prevailing and reported that "Washington's economic managers scaled these heights by their adherence to Keynes's central theme: the modern capitalist economy does not automatically work at top efficiency, but can be raised to that level by the intervention and influence of the government." The article also states that Keynes was one of the three most important economists who ever lived, and that his General Theory was more influential than the magna opera of other famous economists, such as Adam Smith's The Wealth of Nations.[73] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 2nd, 2024 at 9:15am
The IMF - mired in the 'taxpayer money' ideology - wants its $44 billion loans to Argentina repaid, praises Milei for his "strong" policies, despite the risk of increasing poverty already at 40%.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/companies/imf-backs-milei-s-reforms-says-risks-to-argentina-s-44-billion-program-remain/ar-BB1hCMFg?ocid=msedgntp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=a6a82f4923a4441885b966486b2459c8&ei=62 "The IMF called Milei's stabilization plan for Argentina's embattled economy "bold" and "far more ambitious" than those put forth by his predecessors in the South American country, citing the reform mandate of his landslide election victory late last year as a positive given the challenges of its implementation. "The authorities' strong ownership and electoral mandate to eliminate fiscal deficits and long-standing impediments to growth (many benefiting vested interests) mitigate implementation risks," the IMF said in a staff report on Argentina published on Thursday. Yet the IMF acknowledged that risks to the program's success are high, given the "very difficult inheritance" from failed policies and a "complex political and social backdrop, with a fragmented Congress, falling real wages, and high poverty." Yes - so much for the "reform mandate of his landslide election victory" ......from the 56% who aren't living in poverty. Hence the flawed analysis from the IMF money-lending sharks. ..... "Instant Misery Fund", indeed. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 3rd, 2024 at 11:43am
https://twitter.com/wbmosler/status/1753371093937553509/photo/1
"....Musk warns (US) national debt will soon exceed $100 trillion." ....... Maybe that is how MMT becomes understood by the electorate; the US economy will keep chugging along in a competition with China, regardless of the national debt. Japan shows how it's done; national debt there is 250% of GDP, yet the debt is mostly owned by the BofJ...... who cares, while interest rates, inflation, and unemployment are low (ie, in Japan)? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 7th, 2024 at 6:19pm
Latest news: Argentina's parliament rejects Milei's IMF- endorsed economic policies.
Proving the IMF are irrelevant ideologues, unable to deal with real world problems. Hint: you have to decrease poverty in the land, not increase it.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 8th, 2024 at 1:26pm
The World Bank, another useless hangover from the US- brokered Bretton Woods Conference (1944).
Yesterday they reported poverty in Pakistan has reached 50%, with millions of people still forced to live in the open after the devastating floods two years ago. Practical fixes? They don't have a clue. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 9th, 2024 at 11:20am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/legendary-investor-paul-tudor-jones-says-a-debt-bomb-set-to-go-off-in-us-economy-appears-strong-but-is-on-steroids-masking-major-problems/ar-BB1hZDDd?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=f174a339a66740a09d8c2cf6b924b445&ei=17
Legendary investor Paul Tudor Jones says a 'debt bomb' set to go off in US - economy appears strong but is on 'steroids' masking major problems ........... Another $billionare complaining about government debt - of course they don't want to pay more tax to reduce the government debt and deficit, they only want to cut public expenditures. Political realities mean governments will never be able to raise sufficient tax to pay down government debt, look at the kerfuffle over stage 3 tax cuts in Oz. Ignorant fools like Jones and Musk (ignorant re understanding the nature of money, not on how to amass it for themselves.....) are lucky government debt doesn't matter as long as the nation's productivity holds up and workers can keep producing the nation's essential goods and services. "Balanced US budgets" (or even more idiotically, government surpluses) - with the wall, Israel, Ukraine, Taiwan, health care, pensions, etc, all requiring funding, and with tax increases off the table - forget it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 10th, 2024 at 9:07am
Michelle Bullock showing how out of touch she is with the population suffering under her monetary orthodoxy: when asked why young women should study economics, she said "it's great fun".
Easy to say, when you are paid a million bucks to force people onto the unemployment scrap heap, as per the rotten dogmas of the 'dismal science'..... https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61556 RBA is now a rogue organisation and the Government should act to bring it back into check |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 12th, 2024 at 9:25am
Bobby says currency-issuing governments buy bonds (aka QE, performed during economic downturns); and sell bonds to fund government, which can cause inflation.
The point is: a currency-issuer doesn't have to borrow money, and inflation can be checked with price controls. Stephanie Kelton explains the meaning of the oddly-named IRA - "Inflation Reduction Act": Increasing US manufacturing capacity in the renewables sector, which increases supply relience, avoiding 'supply -push' inflation (ie due to supply inadequacy). Similarly for the Chips Act, bringing IC chips manufacture back to the US, subsized by massive government market intervention. (The biggest contributor to inflation today is the increase in interest rates by central banks). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Grappler Truth Teller Feller on Feb 12th, 2024 at 9:46am
That's the way - stick to something out there in Blue Sky Territory that you can ruminate about all day and nobody cares... you can make out you know it all there... since nobody wants to bother.
Just like John Smith - contribute about what you know ... stick to that... he's OK with industrial relations and a loittle bit about housing - but that's about it.... you're good at mumbling darkly about changing the way we view money as if the world will do that, and how that will solve all the problems ... the rest is just abuse of the ears and eyes... especially when you discuss the UN - about which you know nothing.... and certainly nothing about their efficacy in resolving any disputes, international or national such as Syria etc... "Oh, I'm sorry - we couldn't run any food relief supplies to you since your town is rebel held, so we let your children and old people first starve to death because we need to keep our negotiating pathways open to the Assad government first and foremost.... you understand that the political aspect is more important....." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 12th, 2024 at 12:29pm Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Feb 12th, 2024 at 9:46am:
Er....quite a few people are "warning" (based on ignorance) about "unsustainable govt. debt". Quote:
Interestingly, yesterday Alan Kohler said Oz's housing policies during the last 4 decades have been our biggest economic mistake; affordability is now half what it was 4 decades ago. Quote:
I know your world view is responsible for crippling the UN - eg, with the UNSC veto, in particular. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 12th, 2024 at 3:59pm thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 8th, 2024 at 1:26pm:
You are famous, parrot https://twitter.com/Motabhai012/status/1756884834201571695 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 13th, 2024 at 11:13am Frank wrote on Feb 12th, 2024 at 3:59pm:
Thanks, but can you offer the pathetic World Bank executives any clues? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 16th, 2024 at 1:14pm
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-12/tax-reform-unavoidable-income-tax-workers-ageing-population/103445138?utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=abc_newsmail_am-pm_sfmc&utm_term=&utm_id=2301214&sfmc_id=103574144
'It's not just unfair but immoral': Why experts say Australia's tax system is broken and what can be done to fix it .......... Lots of ideas from "experts" on how to raise taxes "equitably". Pity the "experts" don't know the currency-issuing government doesn't need 'taxpayer money', it needs to be able to purchase the needed resources, in the currency of issue. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 17th, 2024 at 9:25am
Tweet from Steven Hail:
"Japan has an unemployment rate of 2.4%, inflation rate of 2.6%, zero (slightly negative) official interest rate, good public services and a long life expectancy. It really doesn't matter if their GDP falls a bit." Followed by another tweet from Phil Waller: "Exactly and what is gdp? Gdp is cigarette manufacturing juxtaposed with cancer care". ..pointing to the idiocy of gdp (including unhealthy consumption) as a measure of national well-being. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2024 at 10:04am
Tweet from Stephanie Kelton (author of 'The Deficit Myth'):
The (currency-issuing) government doesn't need to tax or borrow in order to spend. Real resources (inflation) and distribution (inequality) matter. Examined here by economist Richard Murphy: https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2024/02/16/the-reality-of-fiscal-headroom-is-that-the-uk-has-large-anounts-of-it-available-but-only-if-the-governmment-is-willing-to-spend-more/ The reality of fiscal headroom is that the UK has large amounts of it available – but only if the government is willing to spend more Posted on February 16 2024 I had discussions with other economists yesterday, in which issues like fiscal headroom were on the table for debate. I wrote about this issue very recently. Unsurprisingly, given my choice of company, those I was talking to had little time for this idea as put forward by the likes of Jeremy Hunt, HM Treasury, the Office for Budget Responsibility, the Financial Times and others. The reason for that is quite straightforward. All of them treat money as the singular constraint on action within our economy. That is their fundamental error. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2024 at 5:02pm
Another country crippled by government debt, courtesy of the current money-creating privileges granted to private financiers alone.
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/desperate-egypt-sells-off-historic-hotels-as-it-dives-deeper-into-debt/ar-BB1ir4KA?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=118265a1040b498d9bfac89aba89a66f&ei=71 Desperate Egypt sells off historic hotels as it dives deeper into debt |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 19th, 2024 at 10:14am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/the-first-step-to-our-economic-liberation-is-to-tear-up-these-crippling-fiscal-rules/ar-BB1ist36?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=0ad7b2d8f0d14f6d93f9823d59da8869&ei=13
The first step to our economic liberation is to tear up these crippling fiscal rules ...... Well.....yeh, but Will Hutton claims most people WANT to pay more tax for better government services. What planet is he living on? The Right only have to shout " the Left want higher taxes"....and the Left fall into line quick smart. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 19th, 2024 at 10:25am thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 13th, 2024 at 11:13am:
Er... to pluck you, parrot...?? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 19th, 2024 at 10:50am Frank wrote on Feb 19th, 2024 at 10:25am:
Aren't you disgracing yourself, on this educational thread read by tens sometimes hundreds of people daily? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by it_is_the_light on Feb 21st, 2024 at 8:58am
The Modern Fiat Monetary system is a Dead currency walking
You are watching it die as we go back to precious metals ![]() |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 21st, 2024 at 9:54am it_is_the_light wrote on Feb 21st, 2024 at 8:58am:
(google) "In conclusion, the gold standard has its advantages and disadvantages. While it provides stability, transparency, and discipline, it also limits the money supply, flexibility of monetary policy, and requires sufficient gold reserves. Whether it is still a viable economic system in the modern world is up for debate." 16 May 2023 [Nixon took the US off the gold standard in 1971 because the US didn't have enough gold to cover US global trade transactions: https://insights.som.yale.edu/insights/how-the-nixon-shock-remade-the-world-economy How the ‘Nixon Shock’ Remade the World Economy In a new book, Yale SOM Dean Emeritus Jeffrey Garten explores a moment when the U.S. realized it needed to take a different role on the global stage in response to trade and economic challenges. Richard Nixon’s decision to delink the dollar from gold, announced without warning in August 1971, remade the global monetary system in an instant. We talked with Garten about the three days of drama leading up to the announcement and how it reverberates today. In any case, it's time to learn governments don't need to tax or borrow in order to spend; currency-issuing governments, limited only by inflation, need to oversee productive mobilization - in both the public and private sectors - of available resources for the benefit of the community, as opposed to achieving particular government deficit or debt numbers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 22nd, 2024 at 11:12am
Breaking News from Sky News....
"Keating 'still has his marbles' following taxation comments: Terry McCrann Story by Sky News Australia • 14h [.....Maybe, but McCrann's own 'marbles' are suspect]: Former Australian prime minister Paul Keating has “still got his marbles” after describing the current tax rate as ‘confiscatory’, says business columnist Terry McCrann. "They are not only punitive for the taxpayer, but it means less tax revenues actually flow to the government,” Mr McCrann told Sky News host Sharri Markson. “One of the great lessons we should have learnt in the second half of the 20th century is that lowering the tax rate actually increases the tax harvest. You get more production, you get more income, you get more taxes". “The brackets won’t be indexed, so we get inflation going up, we’ll get wages going up – we get that tax hike going up.” ...... 1. Both are not addressing the need to collect taxes from wealthy individuals and companies who avoid paying their fair share. (Garnaut and Sims have addressed this point recently, calling for taxes on fossil-fuel companies). 2. McCrann ignores the egregious effects of privatization (as governments try to save money) eg, the run down of public housing. 3. Bracket creep doesn't cause inflation, it reduces purchasing power (marginally). 4. But if AGW is real, governments will have to mobilize the resources required to transition to 100% renewables, without borrowing or collecting taxes.....(the subject of this MMT thread...). The private sector won't do the transition quickly enough. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 23rd, 2024 at 10:15am
Dr. Steven Hail tweeted:
Rogoff wrote this, more than 20 yrs ago. 'Little of what appears in today's professional economics journals will seem obvious. However, that is only because it takes constant training and retooling to be able to follow the assumptions.' Just read it again. Still makes me laugh. Indeed. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 24th, 2024 at 10:46am
An article on MMT from NZ financial editor Gareth Vaughan, posted today (Feb 24th):
https://www.interest.co.nz/public-policy/126524/us-modern-monetary-theory-advocates-make-their-case-australia-gareth-vaughan As US Modern Monetary Theory advocates make their case in Australia, Gareth Vaughan explains the world through their lens and how it might go down in New Zealand "This coming week a film*** arguing government deficits are good rather than bad, and the American economist who’s its key protagonist, embark on a tour of Australia". *** "entitled 'Finding the Money', produced by Maren Poitras; Oz tour begins in Adelaide March 7th. ....... (Comments to follow in subsequent posts). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 24th, 2024 at 12:19pm
(following from previous post)
Interesting comment from a tweeter (now X) after seeing the film 'Finding the Money': I’m 70. I remember Reagan talking about 'unsustainable debt' when I was in my 30s. But it was seeing Eisenhower say the same thing when I was 5 (in @FindingMoneyDoc) that really blew my mind. I’m the grandchild they warned would have to pay it back. Ah - yes, and he's still waiting to "pay it back"..... Followed by a humorous comment from another tweeter: "You're just too young; live to 100 and then you will see" and a more serious comment: "And for those who don’t know, the (government) debt increased at a then historic rate under Reagan due to “trickle down” tax cuts that put us on the road to massive levels of inequality we now have. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 25th, 2024 at 11:01am
(continued, from the linked article)
Money creation A key point of Finding the Money is governments, and banks for that matter, create money. Governments by spending, banks by lending. Additionally it argues government taxes "destroy money," which is probably something those of a libertarian bent could agree with. We certainly witnessed money creation in the Reserve Bank's efforts to prop the economy up during the pandemic. When Covid-19 hit in March 2020, tipping the world into massive economic disruption and uncertainty, the Reserve Bank embarked, for the first time, on quantitative easing, or QE. This saw the Reserve Bank buy about $53 billion worth of government and local government bonds from a range of banks with newly created money. Additionally home lending banks were able to access $19 billion of three-year money priced at the Official Cash Rate, just 0.25% for most of the period, through the Reserve Bank's Funding for Lending Programme. The Government hadn't first raised taxes or embarked on bond issuing programmes to fund these central bank initiatives. So if money can be created, or printed, to buy government bonds or be provided for banks to lend, surely it can also be created to do other things? On the issue of banks creating money (when they lend): As for banks, the film argues private banks create money, rather than the conventional idea they lend other people’s money, and this can also add to inflationary pressure. If banks lent other people’s money; "we wouldn’t get global financial crises, we would not get speculative bubbles in housing," Wray argues. Note, just as private banks create money 'out of thin air' when they write loans in the private sector, currency-issuing governments can be authorized to create money out of thin air when they spend money on available goods and services, to fund public sector policies (educarion, health, housing, infrastructure, research). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by I, Robot on Feb 25th, 2024 at 11:41am
Solar is free.
Solar is for energy. Plants convert Solar into Energy. Humans say such things don't work, because they try to convert Solar into Money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 25th, 2024 at 12:30pm Jasin wrote on Feb 25th, 2024 at 11:41am:
Wrong; all humans say everything you said above is correct. ie Sunshine is free, Solar (sunshine) powers (energizes) PVs, Plant (solar) photo-synthesis is real. Quote:
They have been converting fossil fuels (solar energy stored in secondary forms created over millions of years) to Money for more than a century. We now have to convert solar (and wind) directly into energy, most sensibly funded by the state (public sector) which doesn't need to make money out of the process, because the currency-issuing state can create money out of thin air (see previous posts...) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2024 at 5:12pm
(continued, from the linked article)
Money creation A key point of Finding the Money is governments, and banks for that matter, create money. Governments by spending, banks by lending. Additionally it argues government taxes "destroy money," which is probably something those of a libertarian bent could agree with. We certainly witnessed money creation in the Reserve Bank's efforts to prop the economy up during the pandemic. When Covid-19 hit in March 2020, tipping the world into massive economic disruption and uncertainty, the Reserve Bank embarked, for the first time, on quantitative easing, or QE. This saw the Reserve Bank buy about $53 billion worth of government and local government bonds from a range of banks with newly created money. Additionally home lending banks were able to access $19 billion of three-year money priced at the Official Cash Rate, just 0.25% for most of the period, through the Reserve Bank's Funding for Lending Programme. The Government hadn't first raised taxes or embarked on bond issuing programmes to fund these central bank initiatives. So if money can be created, or printed, to buy government bonds or be provided for banks to lend, surely it can also be created to do other things? On the issue of banks creating money (when they lend): As for banks, the film argues private banks create money, rather than the conventional idea they lend other people’s money, and this can also add to inflationary pressure. If banks lent other people’s money; "we wouldn’t get global financial crises, we would not get speculative bubbles in housing," Wray argues. Note, just as private banks create money 'out of thin air' when they write loans in the private sector, currency-issuing governments can be authorized to create money out of thin air when they spend money on available goods and services, to fund public sector policies (education, health, housing, infrastructure, research). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 27th, 2024 at 9:02am "They have an army" - that's how @DennisKelleher describes the financial industry lobbyists who fight common sense laws and financial protection rules to protect ordinary Americans. https://bettermarkets.org/ |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2024 at 8:46am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/we-are-taking-a-devastating-risk-with-the-green-energy-sector-one-that-might-cost-us-our-future/ar-BB1iXBXQ?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=102c9c916aa246b58a788b582b1a87b2&ei=193
We are taking a devastating risk with the green energy sector – one that might cost us our future The main cause of this sluggish performance is low profitability. Bluntly stated, clean energy – developing and operating solar and windfarms, and selling the electricity they generate – simply isn’t a very attractive business. Returns are typically in the 5-8% range. Compare that with oil and gas production, where returns generally exceed 15%, and it’s little wonder clean energy stocks have been falling while oil and gas shares outperform. True, oil and gas companies receive state subsidies, but so do their clean-energy counterparts. The consequence of the sector’s abject performance is low investment in new solar and wind generating capacity. The only major country where investment in clean energy in recent years has been growing fast – let alone fast enough to potentially stave off catastrophe – is China. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 29th, 2024 at 10:04am |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 2nd, 2024 at 9:14am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61604
Apparently the bond vigilantes are saddling up – on their ride to oblivion |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 3rd, 2024 at 6:44am
Henry Snow's critique of Yanis Varoufakis' book ' 'Technofeudalism: What Killed Capitalism'; a view of the current global economic system, from the Left:
https://jacobin.com/2023/10/cloud-capitalism-technofeudalism-serfs-cloud-big-data-yanis-varoufakis We’re Still Living Under Capitalism, Not “Techno-Feudalism” Varoufakis’s account of recent economic and financial history is often commendable despite these errors. Key in his view to the rise of cloud capital is central bank policy. With money flowing freely from central banks, firms like Amazon focused on cornering “total market dominance” rather than profit, growing while hemorrhaging money. Varoufakis’s synthesis of internet and monetary events accessibly captures the flaws of our broken financialized world. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 4th, 2024 at 1:09pm
Prof. Steve Keen, in 'Debunking Economics':
The UK Debt Office has started selling bonds to retail investors through the primary market. Previously the only way you could buy government bonds was through financial institutions, through ETFs, for example. The reason given for opening it up to consumers is that it will allow them to “contribute more significantly to meeting the overall financing requirement”. That makes it sound like they are concerned that there won’t be sufficient demand from institutional investors, including the banks. Steve Keen says what they probably don’t understand is this move will actually shrink the amount of money in circulation. That’s probably a bad move in a stagnant economy. To make matters worse, they are hell bent on selling off the government’s shareholding of the Nat West group, which will have a similar impact. All because the government erroneously thinks it needs 'taxpayer money' (as opposed to some of the nation's resources). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 5th, 2024 at 8:06am
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/mar/04/exxon-chief-public-climate-failures?CMP=twt_a-environment_b-gdneco
Fury after Exxon chief says public to blame for climate failures Darren Woods says consumers not willing to pay for clean-energy transition, prompting backlash from climate experts ........ Good one Darren, blame the consumers, not the producers..... Anyway, it's good to know (if the increase in climate-related disasters continues), the public sector can pay for the transition with public money created out of thin air...as opposed to "taxpayer money" extracted from taxpayers. And Darren can retire on his fossil-fuel-sourced wealth.... The shocking thing is Woods is aware the damage his industry causes: "“The dirty secret nobody talks about is how much all this is going to cost and who’s willing to pay for it,” he told Fortune last week. “The people who are generating those emissions need to be aware of and pay the price for generating those emissions. That is ultimately how you solve the problem." In other words, he wants consumers ("the people who are generating those emissions") to pay to maintain the profitability of Exxon while it changes from a fossil to a renewable company, or more likely (as is revealed in the article) , while it attempts to invent technology which can capture CO2 emissions from fossil fuels - paid for by the public via carbon taxes. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2024 at 8:57am
One of the most damaging 'shared beliefs' ("intersubjective realities" according to freediver...) in politics is Thatcher's lie; "There is no such thing as public money, only taxpayer money".
A false belief fully exposed in Maren Poitras' new film 'Finding the Money', being screened in theatres around Oz, starting this week. Film schedule here: https://modernmoneylab.org.au/events/film-tour/ "This documentary lifts the lid on how money works, injecting new hope and empowering democracies around the world to tackle climate change and inequality". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2024 at 10:27am
Another example of the damage caused by mainstream belief in Thatcher's lie (noted in the previous post):
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/tens-of-thousands-more-jobs-must-go-to-finally-crack-this-cost-of-living-crisis-economists-say/ar-BB1jrn2n?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=17d73f027cf14ba4af6a6e7a8c51986d&ei=13 Tens of thousands more jobs must go to finally crack this cost-of-living crisis, economists say ..... "Economists"? Obviously not - rather, purveyors of obsolete flat-earth ideology. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:13am
Professor Stephanie Kelton (visiting Australia this week) confirms currency-issuing governments can create money out of thin air to fund government spending, provided the resources sought by the government are available for purchase (by the government), to avoid inflation.
It's time to abandon the 'government debt is bad' mythology; a currency-issuing government doesn't NEED to tax or sell interest-bearing bonds in order to fund government spending; rather, a currency-issuing government needs to take stock of the nation's resources and productive capacity, when deciding how to allocate government spending. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:29am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:13am:
Only totalitarian/authoritarian governments are currency-issuing governments - where independence of their respective central bank is either not granted or not respected. And they typically do not restrain themselves from printing money out of thin air by the necessary resources being available for purchase (by the government), to avoid inflation. Look to China, Russia, Zimbabwe and Venezuela as examples. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:32am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:29am:
Er.....China is currently suffering deflation.....do try to keep up. (google) "Last year, China's economy suffered its longest deflation streak since the Asian Financial Crisis because domestic demand remained weak even after the country re-opened from Covid and production ramped up." and: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-11/china-s-deflation-reprieve-likely-temporary-due-to-weak-demand China’s Deflation Reprieve Likely Temporary Due to Weak Demand Some economists predict inflation gauge will fall this month 11th March 2024. ..... All that "money printing" doesn't appear to be working..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:35am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:32am:
China does not have a central bank independent of the CCP and there's no point in the CCP printing more money - their consumer-age demographic is in a state of collapse. So thar's Russia, Zimbabwe and Venezuela to go... Thow in Argentina as well. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:51am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:35am:
So, with 700 million people in China who are still poor, and with the West accusing China of 'overcapacity' and 'over-production' (eg leading to a claimed dumping of EVs and PVs in Western markets), there's no point in the govt. spending more money? Quote:
All mismanaged economies, unlike China which has created the world's largest and most complete supply chain. So you will need to think again about "money printing" in China causing inflation. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-11/china-s-deflation-reprieve-likely-temporary-due-to-weak-demand "China’s Deflation Reprieve Likely Temporary Due to Weak Demand Some economists predict inflation gauge will fall this month. 11th March 2024 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:59am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:51am:
All mismanaged economies, unlike China which has created the wolds mlatgest and most complete supply chain. So you will need to think again about "money printing" in China causing inflation. [/quote] The CCP regularly literally makes up economic figures out of thin air to such an embarrassing degree that even ordinary Chinese can see it's fake when looking at economic data published in previous years. Venezuela's hilarious answer to hyperinflation is to lob four zeros off their top banknotes. It might fool the people (although I doubt it) but when you check the exchange rate into Australian dollars it's 1 AUD to 2,389,540 VEF. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:04am
If you argue with a madman, it is extremely probable that you will get the worst of it; for in many ways his mind moves all the quicker for not being delayed by the things that go with good judgment. He is not hampered by a sense of humour or by charity, or by the dumb certainties of experience. He is the more logical for losing certain sane affections. Indeed, the common phrase for insanity is in this respect a misleading one. The madman is not the man who has lost his reason. The madman is the man who has lost everything except his reason.
... Take first the more obvious case of materialism (or MMT). As an explanation of the world, materialism (or MMT) has a sort of insane simplicity. It has just the quality of the madman's argument; we have at once the sense of it covering everything and the sense of it leaving everything out. Chesterton Chesterton evidently knew the Great Divided parrots of his time, and thus those of all times. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:12am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:59am:
The CCP regularly literally makes up economic figures out of thin air to such an embarrassing degree that even ordinary Chinese can see it's fake when looking at economic data published in previous years.[/quote] Still, having created the world's most complete supply chain, resulting in China being able to out-compete any nation on PVs and EVs in world markets, the Chinese government has the opportunity to learn from Prof. Kelton: " A currency-issuing government can create money out of thin air to fund government spending, provided the resources sought by the government are available for purchase (by the government) to avoid inflation." Quote:
Yep. They haven't learned from Kelton's observations..... the available resources bit, related to the nation's productivity. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:14am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 9:51am:
And here's the CCP claiming poverty has been eliminated! Anyway, the 'good' news is that the CCP now admits that they overestimated the Chinese population by 100 million and possibly by up to 250 million. So the CCP is eliminating poverty by admitting there aren't as many Chinese people in the first place so, y'know, the number of poor Chinese has 'miraculously' dropped by maybe up to 120 million! It's a miracle!! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:18am Frank wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:04am:
Ah...Chesterton! ...I love the 'Father Brown' series. But like you, he wasn't an economist; you will need more ammo than that, to dismisss Prof. Kelton. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:20am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:12am:
Totalitarian/authoritarian governments don't give a sh!t about only printing money relative to the nation's productivity - they'll print money when it suits them and without question or interference from their respective central bank or leading economists. Like they say in these governments - there are 2 kinds of leading economists: those who tow the party line and dead ones. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:27am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:14am:
Wrong: in 2021, the CCP announced China hd eradicated absolute poverty ( ie, of the type of poverty that still afflicts 700 million Indians today). Quote:
Hooookay...... Quote:
Less poor people, but the same number of middle-class people? What's not to like? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:33am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:12am:
See, this is what you're not getting... Governmental systems that cede authority to print money to central banks, and also respect their independence, allow economic reality to guide the central banks over political expediency. Totalitarian/authoritarian governments have no interest in or respect for economic reality when it threatens their grip on power. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:36am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:27am:
Does basic maths elude you? The CCP didn't overestimate only the number of poor people... And you call yourself an economist??!! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:41am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:27am:
And what's absolute poverty to the CCP? When you have to kill and eat your neighbour's children to survive? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:43am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:20am:
I already proved you wrong; China is suffering DEFLATION which warrants more government spending, given the vast productive capacity of China's economy. So the rest of your post is just based on your ideological "freedom" BS, on which I commented in the 'foundations' thread; eg the "freedom" of the homeless people sleeping in the streets of Oz's big cities, the result of your dysfunctional neoliberal economic orthodoxy. Quote:
The 'two sessions' conference in Beijing has just concluded, examining how the nation can continue to achieve modernization and transformation to a high quality economy. Quote:
And unfortunately, the leading economists are still towing the dysfunctional, mainstream Western economists' line.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:49am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:41am:
No ...see India today, for absolute poverty in Chinese/India ppp (purchasing power parity) terms. And also see people sleeping in the streets in Oz's big cities, for absolute poverty in Oz ppp terms. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:54am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:43am:
The leading economists in China are following the CCP line... if not, they'd be as dead as Li Kechiang. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:58am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:49am:
India allows media access to almost the whole country. The CCP does not. Those who travel in China to these areas to document poverty risk long prison sentences or death. For all the world knows there could still be Chinese people eating each other's babies to survive. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 11:00am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:43am:
What did they discuss? How much wood could woodchuck chuck if woodchuck could chuck wood? What did they decide? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 11:05am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:33am:
At last ......actually addressing the issue: let's read on (with bated breathe....) Quote:
So-called "central bank independence" is in fact the ultimate undemocratric device to annul the electorate's ability to choose between different policies offered by political parties. "Economic reality" is not fixed by immutable laws like the law of gravity, economics is more to do with moral choices. Acceptance of systeminc poverty is a choice, not an economic necessity. Quote:
I already commented on your ideology-based confusion re 'economic reality'; acceptance of poverty is the society's choice, not 'economic reality'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 11:22am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 11:05am:
I already commented on your ideology-based confusion re 'economic reality'; acceptance of poverty is the society's choice, not 'economic reality'. [/quote] Yes, economic reality is not fixed, hence the need for central banks to meet regularly to determine that reality and implement changes as required. What is fixed is totalitarian/authoritarian governments' leaders' determination to hold onto power to the death - the deaths of economists, rival politicians and journalists, that is. On a lighter note, if that merely means printing more money, then... start up the printers. Xi has just about killed all his political rivals and dissenting economists. After he's done with them all, it'll be just a matter of him jumping off a bridge... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 12:58pm MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 11:22am:
Yes, economic reality is not fixed, hence the need for central banks to meet regularly to determine that reality and implement changes as required.[/quote] ...according to central bankers views of "economic reality"...the problem is central banks are directed by the (currently dominant) neoliberal orthodoxy. Central bank independence is demanded by economic autocrats like yourself, to avoid enabling shared prosperity which will reduce the power of the elites. Quote:
Indeed, you are a good example, as noted above. Quote:
Has your IQ suffered catastrophic collapse? Nowhere does Kelton's statement (the subject of this debate) say "merely print more money"... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 1:18pm
https://www.crikey.com.au/2024/03/12/nobel-laureate-economist-angus-deaton-capitalism-power/?utm_campaign=daily&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter
Nobel laureate economist savages his own profession as clueless and unethical Nobel Laureate economist Angus Deaton has delivered a ferocious rebuke to his own profession, saying economists have failed to understand that capitalism is about power. "Without an analysis of power, it is hard to understand inequality or much else in modern capitalism.” Angus Deaton is the economic doyen from central casting. The bow-tie-wearing econometrician was born in Scotland, did a PhD at Cambridge and has been at Princeton for the last 40 years. He’s currently the Eisenhower Professor of Economics and International Affairs Emeritus. He won the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2015. And he’s just dropped an almighty bucket of poo on his entire profession. Where Deaton published it is almost as interesting as the contents: at the International Monetary Fund, that institution once seen as the standard-bearer of neoliberal orthodoxy, but which has in recent years developed a curiosity about the real-world impacts of the hardline policies it once imposed upon or prescribed to countries. This is the mob who Meister thinks should be in charge of the Reserve Bank.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 1:31pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 12:58pm:
That was a reference to your statement that you flaunted around this site on a few threads like a gay pride flag. And, back in context, it is a reference to totalitarian/authoritarian governments printing money when it suits them without regard for the resources being available for purchase (by the government) to avoid inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 1:52pm MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 1:31pm:
Can you cite the statement "flaunted by me"? You mean the one by Prof. Kelton which I posted in this thread. Don't shoot the messenger... Quote:
Again, nothing to do with Kelton's statement to which you imagine you are replying. Quote:
Ah...back on topic, good - yes, resources are the real constraint for a currency-issuer, not money. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:03pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 1:52pm:
You've left it on at least 3 threads here "the currency-issuing government can create money out of thin air to fund government services, provided the necessary resources are available for purchase (by the government), to avoid inflation". While we're here, can you explain what 'out of thin air' refers to? If it's backed by the necessary resources being available for purchase (by the government), to avoid inflation, then how does that not contradict 'out of thin air'? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:19pm MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:03pm:
See the edit in the previous post; and your low IQ comprehension re "merely printing more money" is ...low IQ stuff. Quote:
At last - back on track: money is created with key-stokes on computer keyboards, in the central bank and treasury....hence "created out of thin air". And for a tiny minority of money, created by writing numbers on bits of paper - highly secure bits of paper which are difficult to counterfeit... Quote:
I already noted that if treasury has done a stock-take of the nation's resources which are available for purchase, then treasury (the issuer of the nation's currency) can buy those resources by crediting the bank accounts of the sellers (including labour) ....with money created out of thin air as described above. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:28pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:19pm:
That does not explain 'out of thin air', you've just moved it. 'Out of thin air' is a metaphor that characterises the creation or appearance of something that is not based in reality, or a supernatural event. What does 'out of thin air' mean in the context you're using it? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:39pm MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:28pm:
It means a bank manager doesn't have to duck around to the bank's vault to see if the bank has enough money, when a creditworthy customer walks in seeking a loan. The customer can receive the money on the spot - money created out of thin air - if he was able to convince the manager he is credit-worthy, regardless of the quantity of the bank's customers' deposits. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:46pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:39pm:
That is not the context in which you are using it. You are referring to currency-issuing governments that can create money out of thin air. How is it out of thin air if, in your statement, it is backed by the necessary resources being available for purchase (by the government), to avoid inflation? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 3:01pm MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 2:46pm:
Well...it is; surely I have to right to describe the way and the context in which I am using the phrase (ie "ex nihilo") What is your objection to the bank manager presenting a bank cheque for $100k created out of thin air? Quote:
Ah....yes; actually I am demanding that a sovereign currency-issuing government has the same money creation privileges as that granted to private banks. Then the difference between public (government) money cf. private sector 'bank' money, is the latter is interest-bearing and must be repaid, not so in the case of the former. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 3:30pm
When totalitarian/authoritarian governments create money out of thin air, they do so for self-interest and without regard to the necessary resources being available for purchase (by the government), to avoid inflation.
How is a currency-issuing government creating money out of thin air if it is backed by the necessary resources being available for purchase (by the government), to avoid inflation? Wouldn't that be issuing money for exactly the reasons money is intended - to represent real, verifiable value? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2024 at 5:37pm MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 3:30pm:
Not the topic..... Quote:
No, Xi has reiterated common prosperity as the nation's goal, including an acknowledgement "houses are for living in, not investment vehicles" (after the Evergrande disaster; in contrast Oz is learning nothing from its own housing ponzi - we are heading toward a generation locked out of home ownership). Quote:
In the same way private banks can ONLY (wisely) issue interest bearing 'bank money' created out of thin air when lending to (hopefully) credit-worthy customers, so the currency-issuing government can ONLY issue money created out of thin air to purchase the resouces sought by the government, when those resources are available. Quote:
Apparently it still hasn't clicked with you: the value is in the real resources, not in the money which is merely a convenient measurement of the value of real resources. Imagine if humans were instinctively cooperative and loving toward our own species, instead of instinctively competitive and ready to go to war... In that case, we would all be contributing to the developmnet of the nation's economy according to our different abilties, and enjoy sharing the rewards of the resulting economic development - without recource to money at all. Now you should be able to understand the difference between the 'value' of money (the 'lubricant' that massages self-interest and competition), real resources, and "real verifiable value" which is nothing to do with money, eveything to do with the capacity to support and advance the quality of life. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 13th, 2024 at 5:48pm
So the context behind creating money out of thin air is simply the banal statement that money in itself is not directly and necessarily linked to any specific thing of value and, by that, is effectively created 'out of thin air' such that 'too much' or 'not enough' is largely indefinable.
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2024 at 7:39am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 5:48pm:
Well.. wrong on all counts, but you are edging toward an understanding.... 1. The term 'creating money out of thin air' is simply a description of the operation; someone in a bank (or the central bank) types some numbers into a person's bank account. In the case of the currency-issuing government, it means the government doesn't need to tax or borrow in order to spend money into the economy, just as a private bank doesn't need customers' deposits before the bank can write loans (lend money). Hence: "money created out of thin air. Note: taxes do the reverse, ie they destroy money (take it out of circulation), a tool the govt. might need if inflation is a problem (see below) . So Kelton's statement could read: "The currency-issuing government can fund government spending without taxing or borrowing from the private sector (usually done by selling govt. bonds), provided the resources the government seeks are available for purchase by the government, to avoid inflation." That means Chalmers who is bleating today about needing to achieve a 'balanced budget' is talking nonsense; he needs to make sure the teachers and the builders etc the government wants are available - by spending first. 2. I covered "value" in my previous post. 3. Re "'too much' or 'not enough' is largely indefinable": What is definable is a continuous full-employment economy which maximises the nation's productivity, in the absence of inflation. So MMT envisages a JG (Job Guarantee), with the minimum above poverty wage in the economy; with a ZIRP (zero interest rate policy). All defined. Rather than using the blunt instrument of raising interest rates, the government ( having reclaimed it's rightful authority from the so-called 'independent' central bank) can introduce taxes or price controls if inflation appears in the economy (for whatever reason; eg good resource management will avoid demand inflation, while supply problems will require other fixes). The resource constraint must of course be accounted for at all times, to avoid inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 14th, 2024 at 7:46am Quote:
:D :D :D The Soviet Union had full employment and work wasn't just a righ but a duty. North korea still has total employment. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 14th, 2024 at 7:55am Frank wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 7:46am:
And while the Soviet Union projected the image of full employment, the reality was that it didn't matter if that employment was not necessarily productive. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 14th, 2024 at 7:57am Quote:
It does, at least, clarify the original statement. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2024 at 8:59am Frank wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 7:46am:
They were/are entirely command economies. MMT relates to government spending in mixed economies, via intelligent planning alongside blind (self-interest-driven) 'invisible hand' markets. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:13am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 7:55am:
Just shows how successful their 100% command economy was; even in a cold war with the US, and an economy that was never more than half the size of the US, they launched the first satellite ever - and had a virtual UBI, as you say. Re the JG (in a mixed economy): there is always useful work to be done, so its better to have everyone who wants a job to be employed and participating in the economy, with all the benefits of receiving above poverty payment as reward. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:23am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:13am:
Well, it did collapse as an unintended consequence of glasnost and perestroika, so... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:27am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 8:59am:
Ah. So what IS the value of the 'invisible hand' markets that makes them worth keeping? Why are they better than government-planned economies? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:29am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:23am:
As a result of losing an arms race with an economy twice it's size, but having launched the first satellite and first man into space. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:35am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:29am:
As we learn in the school playground: Rule number 1 - don't take on the big guys. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:37am Frank wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:27am:
There's no power like self-interest..... Quote:
Better than command economies? Because the latter fail to harness the power of self-interest. BUT: "free markets are good servants, but bad masters". eg does the community need another hospital, or another casino?..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:43am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:35am:
Ah...back to 'might is right'. Kelton is teaching us how we can reclaim power and prosperity from the big 7 wall street giant money-hooverers who are churning out billionaires while governments are "broke". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by MeisterEckhart on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:58am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:43am:
Might is a so-called brute fact. Whether or not it's right is a matter for 'ought' not 'is', |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2024 at 10:25am MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:58am:
Be happy, lift your spirits: Kelton is teaching us how we can reclaim power and prosperity from the big 7 wall street giant money-hooverers who are churning out billionaires, while governments are "broke" and people are living in tents in city streets. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 14th, 2024 at 11:03am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 9:37am:
You are just talking about the self-interest of the community. Which is served by the collective invisible hand of individual interests. Like all zealots and converts, you are a stickler of surface slogans but miss all substance and meaning. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2024 at 1:23pm Frank wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 11:03am:
The "self-interest" of the community is in the eye of the (individual) beholder: eg, is it in the "self-interest" of the community to transition to a green economy, or not....; what "the community" wants and what it needs might be two different things (just as what you want and what you need are not necessarily identical, depending on your level of self-awareness, and knowledge of and desire for healthy living). Whereas the "self-interest" of the individual is manifest in many ways and may result in competition and disputes with other individuals, separate from community needs (eg housing for all). Here is a definition of the 'invisible hand': google: The invisible hand is a metaphor for how, in a free market economy, self-interested individuals operate through a system of mutual interdependence. This interdependence incentivizes producers to make what is socially necessary, even though they may care only about their own well-being. Note the highlighted; did Sydney need Packer's massive resource-consuming Bangaroo development, or more public housing? Quote:
Er.....the "substance and meaning" - in the definition of the 'invisisble hand', above? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by wombatwoody on Mar 15th, 2024 at 2:10am
All Wars Are Bankers' Wars
https://youtu.be/5hfEBupAeo4 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 15th, 2024 at 7:00am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2024 at 1:23pm:
Er.....the "substance and meaning" - in the definition of the 'invisisble hand', above? [/quote] Waffle. You introduced the idea of 'what the community needs' - as a synonym for the invisible hand. So who decides what the community needs, if not the invisible hand? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 15th, 2024 at 9:33am Frank wrote on Mar 15th, 2024 at 7:00am:
Waffle. You introduced the idea of 'what the community needs' - as a synonym for the invisible hand.[/quote] No, I showed your concept of "the self-interest of the community" is flawed. Quote:
Er...politicians (whether elected, or in a consensus meritocracy). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 15th, 2024 at 3:12pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 13th, 2024 at 10:18am:
Nor you. So?? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 15th, 2024 at 3:13pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 15th, 2024 at 9:33am:
No, I showed your concept of "the self-interest of the community" is flawed. Quote:
Er...politicians (whether elected, or in a consensus meritocracy). [/quote] How do you get consensus (agreement with) if not by some election, ie SHOWING, EXPRESSING agreement with? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 16th, 2024 at 7:35am Frank wrote on Mar 15th, 2024 at 3:13pm:
TGD: Er...politicians (whether elected, or in a consensus meritocracy). Quote:
The important thing - to bring you back on topic - is to acknowledge that politicians decide what the community needs, not the invisible hand. ...whether the community expresses it by a 50% + 1 vote, as in a democracy, or by consensus of chosen officials, as in China. But the idea that the self-interest-driven invisible hand "incentivizes producers to make what is socially necessary (sic) even though they may care only about their own well-being", is obviously wrong, which is why governments have to intervene in 'invisible hand' markets. See Keen's criticism in the following post. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 16th, 2024 at 7:39am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/soul-searching-by-a-soulless-discipline-5e0?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=141992783&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email
Soul-searching by a soulless discipline The dominance of micro-founded macroeconomic models—models derived directly from the microeconomic concepts of utility-maximizing individuals and profit-maximizing firms, and based on Ramsey's Neoclassical growth model (Ramsey 1928)—did not go unchallenged prior to the Global Financial Crisis. But the critics were treated in the time-honoured Neoclassical way, of being both ignored and disparaged—if they were, like me, not Neoclassicals themselves—or politely listened to but still effectively ignored, if they were. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 16th, 2024 at 9:15am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 16th, 2024 at 7:35am:
Huge difference. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 16th, 2024 at 9:30am
For those who want to learn more about how the current Neoclassical mainstream economic orthodoxy is inhibiting shared prosperity, here is a podcast from radio 3CR in Melbourne.
https://audio.3cr.org.au/3cr/2024/02/23/1730/202402231730__64_0.mp3 (The budget of a currency-issuing government is not subject to the same constraints as the household budgets of citizens who are USERS, not ISSUERS of the currency). Chalmers is harming us all when he talks about achieving a "balanced" Federal govt. budget.) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 18th, 2024 at 9:58am Frank wrote on Mar 16th, 2024 at 9:15am:
Yes, but that is beside the point, namely: Q: "who decides what the community needs, if not the invisible hand?" A: politicians intervening in the 'invisible hand'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 18th, 2024 at 10:58am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 18th, 2024 at 9:58am:
It matters hugely whether the politicians have the mandate - not just the power - or not to make decisions for everyone. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 18th, 2024 at 6:23pm wombatwoody wrote on Mar 15th, 2024 at 2:10am:
Yes, when the privilege of creating money resides with private bankers, the unknowing population can be easily duped into going to war. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 18th, 2024 at 6:34pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 18th, 2024 at 6:23pm:
Very silly. The Roman Empire, the Persian Empire, the Chinese Empire, the Inca and Aztecs and all the rest - all about Jooo bankers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:03am Frank wrote on Mar 18th, 2024 at 6:34pm:
Ok, I didn't watch the video, I didn't have "Jooo bankers" in mind. But allowing the privilege of creating money to remain solely in the hands of private financiers is one of the great catastrophes of modern finance. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:12am Frank wrote on Mar 18th, 2024 at 10:58am:
Why? Pollies - whether by election or consensus - must intervene in the self-interested 'invisible hand', for the sake of the wider public. And a consensus based on the proposition that shared prosperity is more important than the outcomes from unbridled competition alone (via 'the invisible hand'), is obviously better for everyone. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 19th, 2024 at 10:50am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:12am:
Competition is not unabridged anywhere except p pieces like Haiti. Common prosperity is a slogan with little content. Welfare safety net is a better, more meaningful expression. Australia and Western Europe already has it to a much greater degree than China. Mandate matters because a society, a country is about its people, not about its government. The people's consent to be governed is the mandate, reviewed periodically. You would enjoy the tizz you'd be in if you listened to Niall Ferguson's Reith Lectures from 2012. https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p02p8xh7/episodes/downloads |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 20th, 2024 at 10:00am Frank wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 10:50am:
Competition is unbridled in pure 'invisible hand' markets, by definition (the outcome of all the self-interested players in the market) Such markets need intervention by policicans - to the degree determined by the pollies. Quote:
No, it means shared prosperity, ie no systemic unemployment and entrenched poverty. Quote:
"People in households relying on JobSeeker were $269 per week below the poverty line, and people in households relying on parenting payment were $246 per week below the poverty line.22 Mar 2023 Hence NOT shared prosperity in Oz (and you are blind to the people sleeping in city streets). Quote:
Government is necessary to avoid chaos ...and hopefully, to engender shared prosperity. In productive societies poverty is a political choice, not an economic law. Quote:
Niall Ferguson is a deluded 'natural individual rights' ideologue. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 20th, 2024 at 2:20pm
Steven Hail sums up the three core statements at the heart of MMT:
1. Monetary sovereign governments face no purely financial budget constraints. 2. All economies, and all governments, face real and ecological limits relating to what can be produced and consumed. 3. The federal government’s financial deficit is everybody else’s financial surplus. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 20th, 2024 at 3:01pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 20th, 2024 at 2:20pm:
He sounds like an economist... :D |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:05am Frank wrote on Mar 20th, 2024 at 3:01pm:
With a vision, freeing governements from 'austerity', rather than following the mainstream government debt and defict mythology. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:28am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 20th, 2024 at 10:00am:
There is no "unbridled pure invisible hand markets" (whatever the hell that might mean) anywhere in liberal democracies. You are fighting against an empty cliche of your own and the CCP's devising. Your are pitting your complete ignorance against your complete misunderstanding. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 9:08am Frank wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:28am:
The 'invisible hand' is the very basis of neoliberal economics in 'liberal democracies'. The invisible hand is a metaphor for how, in a free market economy, self-interested individuals operate through a system of mutual interdependence. This interdependence incentivizes producers to make what is socially necessary, even though they may care only about their own well-being. "Whatever that means" ....means you have zero knowledge of economic dogmas in the various economic schools. Just as you tried to claim the 'welfare safety net' attains common prosperity, which I was easily able to disprove: the "safety net" is well below the poverty line. Keep trying; your ignorance will become evident to everyone. This entire thread (now many pages) can enlighten you, but you are satisfied with your ignorance. Deplorable. Quote:
In short......."it's mirror time".... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 9:13am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61638
Central banker going off the planet ........ While a lot of attention was placed on the Bank of Japan’s decision yesterday, another former central banker and now chief executive of the Bank for International Settlements was demonstrating his willingness to enforce the mainstream fictions about public debt etc. It is interesting that these so-called ‘independent’ central bankers think they have the scope to make commentary about fiscal matters, which are inately political matters. But, of course, the ‘independence’ of the central banks is just another aspect of the ficitonal world that the mainstream economists have created to depoliticise economic decision making and make it harder for policy makers to be politically accountable to the voting public. Anyway, Agustin Carstens gave a speech – Trust and macroeconomic stability: a virtuous circle – in Germany on March 18, 2024 and spun the usual scare claims about public debt, inflation etc. Among other things he said that: "… it is imperative for fiscal authorities to curb the relentless rise in public debt … the days of ultra-low rates are over. Fiscal authorities have a narrow window in which to get their house in order before the public’s trust in their commitments starts to fray. As I pointed out earlier, financial markets can remain calm in the face of large imbalances until suddenly, one day, they no longer are. That is why fiscal consolidation in many economies needs to start now." ..... So at a time when many nations are in recession or approaching that state, this bullyboy is urging governments to make that situation worse and drive unemployment up even further. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 9:24am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 9:08am:
There is no 'unbridled, pure free market' anywhere except in your silly, addled head. You are mistaking windmills for giants. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:04am Frank wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 9:24am:
Did you miss it, suffering a catastrophic collapse in your IQ? The 'invisible hand' is the very basis of free markets in neoliberal economies, regardless of the degree of intervention by politicians. Quote:
Your error explained - again - above. Note: to achieve shared prosperity, the 'invisible hand' has to be much more heavily regulated than at present. Only the small Skandy countries have somewhat achieved shared prosperity in neoliberal free markets, via high taxation rather than regulation of the invisible hand, though even they are now losing social cohesion under the weight of the global refugee crises. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:09am
https://laboracademysa.files.wordpress.com/2024/03/richard-stone-poverty.pdf
POVERTY: FORGOTTEN AUSTRALIANS |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:09am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:04am:
It is not 'pure unbridled invisible hand' if it can be manipulated and regulated, is it? The entire field of economics is about it NOT being invisible at all. You are talking rot. Confused, foggy rot. The scandinavians achieved what they did not 'somehow' but because of strong social cohesion and solidarity. Consensus of free individuals who agree to be governemd in a particular way because they trust each other. Tell us about checks and balances under the CCP's "consensus by appointed cadres and apparatchiks" system. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 12:53pm Frank wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:09am:
(sigh) Ever heard of Adam Smith, the father' of Classical and Neoclasical economics, who first described the 'invisible hand' which is the driving force in the free market? Your confusion is egregious; mainstream economics is based on Classical economics, leaving politicians to argue about the degree of regulation required. Quote:
..including submission to high redistributive taxation, in Skandinavia. Quote:
Not the topic here. But the recent "two sessions" conference involving leading economists and politicians in Beijing explains all that for you. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 2:24pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 12:53pm:
Adam Smith published his "An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations" in 1776, two months before the American Declaration of independence. The invisible hand is not a policy or a blueprint and certainly not a 'driving force'. As with everything else, you completely misunderstand it, being a totally unlettered, ignorant propaganda bot, yet you blather about it incessantly. It is a metaphor, mentioned only ONCE, in relation to imports: Chapter II: On Restraints upon the Importation from Foreign Countries of such Goods as can be produced at Home But the annual revenue of every society is always precisely equal to the exchangeable value of the whole annual produce of its industry, or rather is precisely the same thing with that exchangeable value. As every individual, therefore, endeavours as much as he can both to employ his capital in the support of domestic industry, and so to direct that industry that its produce may be of the greatest value; every individual necessarily labours to render the annual revenue of the society as great as he can. He generally, indeed, neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it. By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry, he intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention. Nor is it always the worse for the society that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it. I have never known much good done by those who affected to trade for the public good. It is an affectation, indeed, not very common among merchants, and very few words need be employed in dissuading them from it. https://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/smith-adam/works/wealth-of-nations/book04/ch02.htm Yes, there is high taxation in Scandinavia. How does that contradict in any way what I said about the consensus and social solidarity of free individuals electing their governments? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 3:17pm Frank wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 2:24pm:
You forgot an earlier publication: "Adam Smith introduced the concept (of the 'invisible hand') in his 1759 book The Theory of Moral Sentiments and later in his 1776 book An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. Each free exchange creates signals about which goods and services are valuable and how difficult they are to bring to market. Quote:
Wrong: as a determinant in market processes and outcomes - as described above ("free exchange") - it is also a facilitator and driving force in markets. Quote: But already elucidated in an ealier publication, as noted above. But let's read on..... Quote:
Interesting that Smith finds it necessary to address the 'the public good'. Why is that? Obviously he (wrongly) thinks the self-interested invisible hand can achieve 'the public good'. Which is nonsense in today's complex, multi-stage, value-added, global production chain, in which individuals dont see the product (or value) of their own labour, other than their wages which the worker doesn't control. Quote:
They care about the well-being of all their compatriots (social cohesion), hence eschewing the massive inequalities which tear the social cohesion in the anglo nations, leading to ignorant, divisive claims, eg "dole bludgers"/ "lifters and leaners" etc etc. So much for "free individuals".... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 4:54pm
Market signals are not metaphorical. The invisible hand is a metaphor. There is no actual hand, invisible or otherwise.
The Invisible Hand is a metaphor introduced by Adam Smith (1723-1790) to represent how people pursuing their own selfish ends nevertheless make such choices as contribute to the social good. You do understand the idea of a metaphor? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 4:57pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 3:17pm:
Why is that? The Wealth of NATIONS is about the public good. Otherwise he would have called his book the Wealth of Individuals. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 23rd, 2024 at 8:34am Frank wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 4:54pm:
Indeed, the operations of the free market which Smith promoted and described, used the metaphor of 'the invisible hand' to describe/explain the outcome of the efforts of all the naturally competitve and self-interested individuals, in the market. ie, the 'individual hands' in the market, in total = the market's 'invisible hand'. As already noted, such markets are obsolete in the modern globalized economy; the complexity of production today means we need government intervention and planning, to achieve the 'public good'. Quote:
Yes. Quote:
Yes, but his book is a barrier to good economics today, as noted above. The 'invisible hand' (a metaphor) must be overseen by government planning, given today's complex production chain, eg, an individual boot-maker competing in a market to make boots no longer exists, international companies controlling machines do. Mainstream economists haven't woken up yet, they are still deluded by the obsolete concept of scarcity in the face of unlimited wants. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 23rd, 2024 at 8:42am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/conservatives-go-to-war-with-mike-johnson-s-1-2-trillion-funding-package-republicans-slam-speaker-for-releasing-1-000-page-bill-in-middle-of-the-night-that-will-push-u-s-further-into-debt/ar-BB1kjrgz?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=2084c1e28b474f0888de6ecb704f2e21&ei=16
"Conservatives go to war with Mike Johnson's $1.2 TRILLION funding package: Republicans slam Speaker for releasing 1,000-page bill in middle of the night that will push U.S. FURTHER into debt" Silly buggers have't worked out the currency-issuing government doesn't NEED to go into debt. Trumpy didn't mind introducing unfunded tax cuts for the rich - increasing government debt; eventually the penny will drop, as all attempts to reduce government debt - now US $34 trillion - will cause a recession. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 23rd, 2024 at 9:31am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 23rd, 2024 at 8:34am:
Yes, but his book is a barrier to good economics today, as noted above. The 'invisible hand' (a metaphor) must be overseen by government planning, given today's complex production chain, eg, an individual boot-maker competing in a market to make boots no longer exists, international companies controlling machines do. Mainstream economists haven't woken up yet, they are still deluded by the obsolete concept of scarcity in the face of unlimited wants. [/quote] https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/ https://www.infrastructure.gov.au/ EVERY government, state and federal has a planning aspect for its own field. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 24th, 2024 at 3:23pm Frank wrote on Mar 23rd, 2024 at 9:31am:
https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/ https://www.infrastructure.gov.au/ EVERY government, state and federal has a planning aspect for its own field. [/quote] Nobody is saying government doesn't have "a planning aspect" to manage the 'invisible hand' market, ie the market created by all the competing self-interested hands in it; a reality which you are trying to refute owing to your frequently expressed fallacy of composition: all is not each. The purpose of this MMT thread is to enlighten you that currency-issuing governments' budgets are NOT subject to the same constraints as house-hold budgets - as posited by the mainstream "taxpayer money"/ "government debt bad" mythology. Which means govt. planning has many more choices open to it, freed from government 'austerity' imposed by orthodox practitioners of 'the dismal science'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 25th, 2024 at 11:32am
https://www.reuters.com/markets/world-bank-share-more-data-attract-private-investors-developing-countries-2024-03-24/
World Bank to share more data to attract private investors to developing countries "But he said more progress was needed, and the bank was taking action on a number of fronts to overcome barriers holding back private sector investment to developing economies. Economic growth has slowed in developing countries, with growth falling to barely 4% from 6% in two decades, Banga said, noting that each lost percentage point dragged 100 million people into poverty, while (government) debt levels were rising".. ..... A pity the World Bank doesn't ban currency-issuing governments from borrowing money at all; rather such governments must face their economies' RESOURCE constraints, and choose policies consistent with those resource constraints. And to avoid disasters like this: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document/EPRS_BRI(2023)753938 Argentina's debt restructuring and economy ahead of the 2023 elections Sovereign debt has been a longstanding challenge for Argentina's governments. As recently as 2022, Argentinian President Alberto Fernandez secured an outline deal with the IMF to restructure US$44.5 billion of debt from a record 2018 bailout. In fact, since 2001, Argentina has defaulted on its international sovereign debt three times –the first time in December 2001 in the midst of a very serious financial crisis, in 2014, in the middle of a battle against holdout creditors and again in 2020, in the middle of the COVID-19 pandemic. During the same period, Argentina has gone through two debt restructurings. One that lasted from 2005 to 2016, and one that started in 2020 and was agreed much faster. After the 2005-2016 restructuring experience, Argentina implemented two of the lessons learned: (i) the use of collective action clauses in the 2005 and 2016 indenture bonds, and (ii) taking a faster approach to the restructuring process, in both the opening of negotiations with creditors and the formulation of an acceptable proposal. In addition, during the 2020 restructuring, Argentina chose initially to adopt two controversial measures to circumvent collective action clauses, it changed course and managed to complete the restructuring of the desired amount. These actions, along with other economic policy decisions, allowed the country to avoid a crisis similar to that of 2001, despite the challenging global economic environment. In 2022, the country's economy went through multiple shocks, i.e. the ramifications of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, as well as a persistent drought that damaged its crops and exports. The situation persisted in 2023, with an increase in inflation and a depletion of dollar reserves, which added to the government's woes. Even if a crisis is averted, economic considerations will play a critical role in the general elections due to take place in October 2023. While it is too early to say that Argentina will not again find itself in need of restructuring in the near future, experts suggest that the country has learned some lessons from these processes, with regard both to negotiating with creditors and to managing its debt and the legal innovations that can protect it. This could help it manage such processes more efficiently and without the associated economic and social costs. .... The authors are fools; Argentina is crippled by unrepayable government debt, and any attempt to repay the debt will only increase social costs measured in entrenched and increasing poverty. Lesson: no currency-issuing government should borrow money; the task of such governments is to know the nation's productive capacity, and to mobilize the nation's resources accordingly, while funding the essentials for all citizens (housing and jobs) in conjunction with the profit-seeking private sector - including private investors who the World Bank seems to think it needs to encourage "private sector investment to developing economies". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 25th, 2024 at 11:48am
What should Argentina DO about its debt?
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 25th, 2024 at 12:53pm Frank wrote on Mar 25th, 2024 at 11:48am:
Tell its creditors to f**k off, they willingly made what turned out to be a bad investment. Then set about mobilizing its own considerable resources for the benefit of all its citizens. Requiring a socialist government which is cognizant of MMT...... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 25th, 2024 at 3:45pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 25th, 2024 at 12:53pm:
So break they promise they gave their creditors to pay it back, which iu s why they were given the loans. Very CCP, Mao, Stalin, lefty prob of you. Just lie. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 26th, 2024 at 9:36am Frank wrote on Mar 25th, 2024 at 3:45pm:
Er... these 'investors' (creditors) seek profits in loans; the promises of the borrowers are moot. Ask any banker. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 26th, 2024 at 9:46am
The contradictions of neoclassical economics, based on deriving macroeconomics form microeconomics.
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-anything-goes-market-demand-curve-015?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=141992903&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email "Bizarrely, if his assumption of "optimal reallocations of income … to keep the ethical worth of each person's marginal dollar equal" had indeed laid the foundation "for the 'economics of a good society'", then Samuelson had proven that this "good society" must have a benevolent dictatorship as its helm, so that those "optimal reallocations" can occur. Capitalism, to behave as Neoclassical economists think it does, must be run by a socialist dictator. Unfortunately, Gorman's and Samuelson's bonkers reactions became the norm, out of which emerged the "representative agent". Students are generally given a mendacious explanation of this manifestly absurd construct. In the most childish of such texts—such as Gregory Mankiw's Principles of Microeconomics (Mankiw 2001)—students are simply told that the market demand curve is the horizontal sum of individual demand curves.... Students spend years at uni learnng this stuff. No wonder the economy is in a mess; eg employers saying they will have to sack workers if the minimum wage is lifted in line with inflation; and the unemployed, borrowers, and lowest paid workers used as cannon fodder in the fight against inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2024 at 11:12am
Mainstream economists getting annoyed; see this tweet from Chief Economist and Global Strategist, Peter Schiff:
..... Nonsense from @StephanieKelton on @CNBC that spending drives economic growth. She has the cart before the horse. Economic growth drives spending. Growth comes from savings and production. You can't buy what hasn't been produced. Spending printed money just drives prices higher. .... Questions for prof. Schiff: 1. "Economic growth drives spending". Well ....yes, but what causes economic growth? If the government needs infrastructure to grow the economy, where is the required spending on the infrastructure going to come from? 2. "Growth comes from savings and production". From production, yes; but where do savings come from? eg, a bank doesn't need customers' savings before the bank can begin writing loans (for credit-worthy customers). 3. "You can't buy what hasn't been produced". Correct.....but the government can buy resources which are available for purchase. Is Schiff confusing himself with a currency-issuing government? 4. "Spending printed money just drives prices higher". Spending wage and salary money can also drive prices higher, if supply is limited, or demand is excessive. So.... prof. Schiff: who has "the cart before the horse"? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 27th, 2024 at 11:29am thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 27th, 2024 at 11:12am:
Productive work is the answer. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2024 at 1:22pm
Tweet from Monetary Policy Institute:
https://medium.com/@monetarypolicyinstitute "Provocative title: "European Union: Austerity for the people, and Keynesianism for the war" by Riccardo Zolea “The king is naked and mainstream economic thinking is weaker than ever.” ...... Funny how governments can find money for war without causing inflation, but money for education, public housing, hospitals and infrastructure causes inflation.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2024 at 1:36pm Frank wrote on Mar 27th, 2024 at 11:29am:
Yes, work which provides desirable goods and services, whether paid for by the public sector or the private sector. Perhaps you are blinded by free market ideology? "The markets make a good servant but a bad master, and a worse religion": Amory Lovins. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2024 at 1:45pm
Max von Thun
@maxvonthun Mar 11 2024 A striking and very welcome mea culpa from Nobel prize-winning economist Angus Deaton - in the IMF of all places - on how economics lost its way by ignoring corporate power, downplaying ethics, stigmatising unions and fetishising efficiency. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2024 at 2:00pm
Tweet from 'The Bitcoin Therapist'.
"BlackRock CEO, Larry Fink, is literally on Fox Business arguing with the host about why #Bitcoin is the modern day digital gold, how it protects you from inflation and removes counter party risk associated with governments". Ha.... Larry loading the casino dice in his favour... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 28th, 2024 at 9:27am
More evidence of the dysfunction at the heart of mainstream orthodox economics:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/argentinian-president-javier-milei-s-bold-plan-to-cut-70-000-government-jobs/ar-BB1kB6Yp?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=87f3378c793f4db5b4091b4a0c1b69e4&ei=323 Argentinian President Javier Milei's bold plan to cut 70,000 government jobs ....... Good luck with that..... So forcing 70,000 government workers into poverty is a "bold" move....according to sick orthodox bastards. Even while the private sector is also cutting jobs because high inflation is destroying workers' purchasing power. And last night on the ABC's RN 'Nightlife" program, two comfortable old fools - Philip Clarke (host) and Ian Verrender, (the ABC's "business editor"); were laughing about the apparent madness of ecomomics which asserts we "need" higher unemployment to get inflation well into the CB's preferred 2-3% range ........laughing because they accept that particular insane dogma. Madness - largely based on extrapolating the micro- into the macro-economic field - as Frank does, claiming the individual is the community. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 29th, 2024 at 2:34pm
tweet from Phil Waller (10hrs ago, after Keir Starmer said "there is no 'magic money tree'"):
Oh Yes There Is ..... ...as explained in 58 pages of this thread; in short, there IS a 'magic money tree', but no magic resources tree - spot the difference? Hint: money is created out of nothing, real resources aren't. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 29th, 2024 at 2:48pm thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 29th, 2024 at 2:34pm:
A peculiar thing about the Puddin' was that, though they had all had a great many slices off him, there was no sign of the place whence the slices had been cut. 'That's where the Magic comes in,' explained Bill. 'The more you eats the more you gets. Cut-an'-come-again is his name, an' cut, an' come again, is his nature. Me an' Sam has been eatin' away at this Puddin' for years, and there's not a mark on him. Perhaps,' he added, 'you would like to hear how we came to own this remarkable Puddin'.' 'Nothing would please me more,' said Bunyip Bluegum. 'In that case,' said Bill, 'let her go for a song.' |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 29th, 2024 at 2:58pm
Brilliant insight from Yanis Varoufakis:
“Debt Is to Capitalism What Hell Is to Christianity” ..to enrich the financial power-brokers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 29th, 2024 at 3:10pm Frank wrote on Mar 29th, 2024 at 2:48pm:
You have confused the 'pudding' - a real (presumably desired) resource - with money which is a symbolic measurement of real value related to real resources (which can't be created out of thin air), the measurement symbol itself being created out of thin air (whether dollars, yen, pound, yuan or euros. etc) by the issuing government. The government of course is tasked with managing the mobilization of the nation's real resources, hopefully for the benefit of its citizens; lack of money is not a problem for currency-issuing governments - "magic"; the problem is successful resource management. So Phil Waller #864 is correct. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 30th, 2024 at 11:08am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/photographer-shows-the-shocking-divide-between-rich-and-poor/ss-BB1kLSk6?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=1aac4397870c4f02abdee288e44e6094&ei=19
Photographer shows the shocking divide between rich and poor ...brought to you courtesy of the deranged modelling of orthodox neoclassical economists. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 31st, 2024 at 9:28am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61659
Rinse and repeat – Truss chaos – the new benchmark In her ‘Oral statement to Parliament’ on September 8, 2022 – PM Liz Truss’s opening speech on the energy policy debate – Truss outlined her ‘economic plan’ to reduce regulation, particularly in the energy sector to give “investors the confidence to back gas as part of our transition to net zero”. In the subsequent ‘mini-budget’ delivered by the haphazard Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng on September 23, 2022, they proposed a “real, Tory budget” (in the words of the Daily Mail, which would have delivered the largest tax cuts to the top end in 50 years (1972). What happened next? Well, the financial markets decided to make some money and sterling fell sharply against the US dollar and long-term government bond yields rose sharply, almost immediately after the mini-statement was delivered. ..... On Tuesday (March, 26, 2024), the Financial Times published an article from its correspondent in Washington – US faces Liz Truss-style market shock as debt soars, warns watchdog – proving my point. Over the last few months a veritable parade of financial market types (Larry Fink, Jamie Dimon, Mr Independent Central Bank boss, Jerome Powell, and others) have been predicting a total meltdown of the US government finances. The latest article on this theme appeared today (March 28, 2024) – Larry Fink joins Jamie Dimon and Jerome Powell is sounding the alarm on ‘snowballing’ national debt: ‘The situation is more urgent than I can ever remember’. America has “snowballing debt” and is: … "on course to end up in a crisis reminiscent of Japan’s lost decade, and Washington cannot take for granted the notion that investors will continue to fund its fiscal deficit forever." Let me state here and now – that prediction will never come to fruition even if you believe that the financial markets actually ‘fund’ the net spending of the US government, which is itself a falsehood. The mainstream dies hard.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 31st, 2024 at 11:00am
Professors of economics managing to confuse themselves....
tweet from Pontus Rendahl (PhD economist): Why would they say that all government spending is financed by creating new money? What’s the reasoning? It seems to imply that government spending can’t happen in a constant money supply world. But of course it can, through taxes or through debt. What am I missing? 1. All government spending COULD be funded with free money issued by the currency-issuing government when the required resources are available for purchase by the currency-issuing government. 2. If all money is in the private sector, then government taxes indeed decrease purchasing power in the private sector (in a "constant money supply world"), freeing up resources for the government. 3. But government debt rewards buyers of government bonds, an inequity. Aside from all of that, an economy which works for all needs a ZIRP and a JG, by definition; higher interest rates hurt borrowers and investors while rewarding savers and owners of capital, and everyone needs to have access to an above-poverty job. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 1st, 2024 at 9:19am
Chinese officials getting it wrong about MMT:
https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3256967/xi-jinping-chinas-central-bank-restart-treasury-bond-trade-after-2-decade-hiatus?module=inline&pgtype=article In the five months since Xi’s instruction, public records indicate that the PBOC has not yet started buying treasury bonds in open market operations. The practice itself is considered controversial because it fans the flames of concern over fiscal monetisation and the so-called modern monetary theory (MMT) that paved the way for Washington’s unprecedented quantitative-easing measures taken since the outbreak of the pandemic. ie, "considered controversial" by mainstream economists who don't understand MMT and non-monetary methods of managing inflation in a ZIRP, JG economy. MMT posits that, if a government needs money in pressing times, it can freely print it, as long as the economy is capable of churning out goods and services. And analysts suggest that once again buying bonds – when it happens – reflects how Beijing has become increasingly keen on utilising different monetary tools as wiggle room for conventional policy support is narrowing. Shao Yu, a board member with the Shanghai Institute for Finance and Development, said that unlike before, when the central bank focused on providing refinancing to commercial banks to support credit expansion, it is now shifting to more coordination of fiscal and monetary policies that are widely adopted in the world. “But since fiscal monetisation is highly sensitive in China, I think we will start by trying little by little,” he said. Well... they are wasting time while unemployment, especially youth unemployment is high in China, a reality they could change overnight. As noted above, they are concerned by the post-covid inflation they saw in the West with 'QE', and have drawn the wrong conclusions. Such a bond-buying plan became a focus of market discussions in 2018 and 2019, when analysts urged the central bank to do so against the backdrop of domestic economic challenges and MMT discussions prevailing in the United States. PBOC governor Pan Gongsheng told a panel on Monday that China still has tools to ensure this year’s economic growth target. At a press conference on Thursday, deputy central bank governor Xuan Changneng hinted that Beijing would not adopt Western-style quantitative easing measures, contending that China’s current mix of liquidity tools and credit allocation were more effective. They, like mainstream economists in the West, are confusing QE with MMT; a pity because they are missing the chance to maximise the sustainable growth of the Chinese economy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 1st, 2024 at 3:52pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/video/news/a-lot-of-people-%E2%80%98don%E2%80%99t-understand%E2%80%99-where-money-comes-from/vi-AA1fcz8P?ocid=msedgdhp&t=284
A lot of people ‘don’t understand’ where money comes from Story by Sky News Australia Author and economist Paul Sheard says working in the financial markets, he's realised a lot of people “don’t actually understand” where money comes from. “When you go back to fundamentals you realise money comes into the system in two basically complementary ways,” Mr Sheard said. “One is through the banking system; banks create money when they lend. “The other one … governments create money and that money comes into the economy when they run budget deficits.” ..... Duh; and the dumb Sky News host's first question in the video (after the explanation of money creation ) is: "won't this give governments the ability to institute "a social credit system of sorts"... What a paranoid smuck; no, it will give governments the ability to eradicate poverty, via a ZIRP and a JG. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2024 at 9:51am
An interesting examination of crypto currencies, by economist Michael Roberts, including similarities and differences with fiat currencies (which governments issue 'by decree').
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2024/04/01/bitcoin-24/ Bitcoin 24 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 4th, 2024 at 9:16am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61662
"US debt meltdown" Bloomberg published a ridiculous article yesterday (April 2) – A Million Simulations, One Verdict for US Economy: Debt Danger Ahead – which I thought might have been a delayed April Fool’s joke. It was on the on-going theme that the media have been pushing hard in the last few months about how the US government is going to run out of US dollars – a proposition that any one who reflects for a second should work out is impossible. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 5th, 2024 at 9:06am
Philip Lowe resurfaces with this gem:
"Taxes on income and wealth generation in Australia are too high. We need to tax consumption." Two problems: The poor MUST consume essentials, while the rich have a choice on consuming non-essentials; and Rinehart (a "wealth generator") should be taxed more, not less. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2024 at 8:14am
Alan Kohler's thoughts (Milei take note....)
https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2024/04/01/alan-kohler-monetary-theory Alan Kohler: Modern Monetary Theory has become modern fiscal practice "A few years ago everybody was talking about Modern Monetary Theory, both ardently for and scornfully against, but nobody was doing it. Now everybody is doing it but hardly anybody is talking about it, apart from American economist Stephanie Kelton, promoting a film on the subject. Doing what, exactly? Governments are showing by their deeds that deficits and debt don’t matter." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2024 at 4:48pm
Gruesome academics, arguing that private charity is better than good government (.....assuming that billionaires are charitable.....):
Billionaires are better than the government ©Provided by The Daily Digest Another criticism is the idea that ultra-successful people might not be as driven to work hard (if there are upper limits on income), take risks and innovate. And academics Jessica Flanigan and Christopher Frieman argue in ‘Ethical Theory and Moral Practice’ that “billionaires are typically in a better position to benefit the poor and to solve collective action problems than public officials,” and that “corporate leaders tend to be more accountable to their fellow citizens than public officials.” Problems like housing and climate change? Those academics are of course deluded by the current mainstream government debt and deficit myths, hence their nonsense about private versus public accountability. Corruption can exist in both sectors. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2024 at 10:18am
Speaking of accountable government spending:
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61663 When is responsible government spending not responsible spending? The government is keen to tell us that they are spending ‘our’ money responsibly. We hear the phrase bandied about by politicians all the time. Over the past week or so, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers has been sprouting off about the government’s latest cost of living relief plans. He was reported by the UK Guardian article (March 14, 2024) – Don’t expect a ‘big cash splash’ in this year’s budget, Jim Chalmers tells taxpayers – as saying: Any extra help will be targeted, responsible and affordable. There will not be big cash splashes in the budget, simple as that … All this talk about responsible and affordable spending and resisting the urge to splash around cash willy-nilly make great sound bites for the media. It makes the government sound like they really know what is going on and that they are great economic managers (another phrase politicians are fond of using). The problem with these comments and the ideology that they derive from is that the notion of what is responsible is completely wrong. They simply reinforce misguided mainstream economic thinking and play along with neo-liberal ideological beliefs.("small government"/"free market"/"taxpayer money"/"governement debt is bad", etc,) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2024 at 9:25am
The rich lending to the poor..... how will that work out?
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2024/04/07/from-the-magnificent-seven-to-the-desperate-hundred/ From the Magnificent Seven to the Desperate Hundred |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2024 at 11:00am
The madness of the current UN "rules based order" (rendered dysfuctional by the veto powers of the permanent members of the UNSC) reflected in the madness of the global financial system:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/top-banker-says-economic-environment-could-eclipse-anything-since-wwii/ss-BB1lh1bZ?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=fd85eb103be04f189498a5495ccb3780&ei=17 Top banker says economic environment could eclipse anything since WWII JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon (pictured), revealed that geopolitical events might be creating an economic environment that 'may very well be creating risks that could eclipse anything since World War II.' The nation's most influential banker pointed to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas war, as well as US political polarization, as reasons for concern for economic stability. The fallout from these events should also lay to rest the idea that America can stand alone,' Dimon wrote. 'Of course, US leaders must always put America first, but global peace and order are vital to American interests.' The comments came in an annual shareholder letter from Dimon, who often uses the letter to weigh in broad topics like politics, regulation and global events and what it might mean to JPMorgan Chase, as well as the broader economy. His concerns however came against the backdrop of a more positive outlook, as he also told investors that he continues to expect the US economy to be resilient and grow this year. 'America's global leadership role is being challenged outside by other nations and inside by our polarized electorate,' Dimon added in the letter. 'We need to find ways to put aside our differences and work in partnership with other Western nations in the name of democracy. During this time of great crises, uniting to protect our essential freedoms, including free enterprise, is paramount.' Yes ....well Dimon, whose bank was complicit in the GFC (as were all the big banks), wants to talk about "our essential freedoms" when he really means HIS essential freedom to rob people and get rich, while many are blighted by entrenched poverty. So he wants to go to war - against a country whose stated goal is common prosperity - because it is not a democracy. Deplorable. He should put his mind to working out how to fix the US's own "polarized electorate" which has nothing to do with China. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2024 at 11:32am
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2024/04/10/chinas-unfair-overcapacity/
China’s unfair ‘overcapacity’ The recent nonsense issued by the US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on China’s ‘overcapacity’ and ‘unfair subsidies’ to its industries is particularly pathetic. As Renaud Bertrand put it: “the so-called threat of China’s industrial overcapacity” is a buzzword that actually means that China is simply too competitive, and by asking it to address this, what Yellen is truly asking of China is akin to a fellow sprinter asking Usain Bolt to run less fast because he can’t keep up.” |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2024 at 10:02am
Following from the last post: so in an effort to compete with China, Biden introduced the IRA which is national socialism** on a grand scale, $880 billion of taxpayer -funded subsidies and tax rebates to fast track transition to the green economy.
** like the massive productivity enhancing Autobahn project in Germany under Hitler. Which all goes to show the limitations of free markets; the US would have been swallowed by Chinese manufacturing (eg wind turbines, PVs, EVs and batteries) unless Biden intervened in the global green transition. Back in Oz, the usual suspects are already rubbishing Albo's "Made in Australia" plan; they are already saying the risk is resources will be diverted from wealth- creating private sector (free market) activity, without specifying how that 'wealth creation' will actually materialize. Losers. Governments in the modern world have to take acount of pressing social and environmental issues, beyond the (mal-)distribution of private sector profits in free markets. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 13th, 2024 at 8:29am
Self-interest trumps tax fairness:
https://theconversation.com/why-is-australia-helping-to-block-a-move-to-tax-multinational-corporations-properly-219305?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Latest%20from%20The%20Conversation%20for%20April%208%202024%20-%202930829770&utm_content=Latest%20from%20The%20Conversation%20for%20April%208%202024%20-%202930829770+CID_50797d7798a23b1d4dde85249d6ef84a&utm_source=campaign_monitor&utm_term=Why%20is%20Australia%20helping%20to%20block%20a%20move%20to%20tax%20multinational%20corporations%20properly Why is Australia helping to block a move to tax multinational corporations properly? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 18th, 2024 at 10:45am
The delusions of mainstream economists and politicians with their often heard refrain: "There is no magic money tree" succinctly demolished:
tweet: "There is no magic "RESOURCE" tree. Money is infinite. Resources are finite and that's what our government officials are refusing to acknowledge to their constituents. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 18th, 2024 at 1:29pm Jim Lahey wrote on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:58pm:
I don't have any internet "censors"**, just as HK and Macau residents don't. The topic is MMT - which is known in China, but resisted by orthodox neoclassical Western-trained economists in the PBofC. **Whereas Trump was booted-off Twitter.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 18th, 2024 at 8:34pm
The Oz treasurer is in Washington with other financial leaders; at least he is prepared to stand up to the "free-market knows best" high priests including officials in the Productivity Commission.
In an interview with the ABC's Sarah Ferguson, he pointed out that many countries are now pursuing interventionist industrial policies like Labor's "Made in Australia", given the global push to zero emissions by 2050. "The markets are good servants, but bad masters, and a worse religion." O course the most egeregious market failure in Oz currently is the housing crisis. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 22nd, 2024 at 9:40am
An explanation of the intricacies and faults in Oz's student debt program.
A debt program which only exists because people erroneously think the currency-issuing government needs to tax its citizens, to raise revenue. https://theconversation.com/biden-is-cancelling-millions-of-student-debts-heres-what-to-expect-from-albanese-227919?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Latest%20from%20The%20Conversation%20for%20April%2017%202024%20-%202940729878&utm_content=Latest%20from%20The%20Conversation%20for%20April%2017%202024%20-%202940729878+CID_519657e06176540167540f1be24bb745&utm_source=campaign_monitor&utm_term=Biden%20is%20cancelling%20millions%20of%20student%20debts%20%20heres%20what%20to%20expect%20from%20Albanese "So weighed down have Americans become by student debt, and so potent a political issue has it become in the US, that President Biden plans to waive interest or write off money owing by 30 million of them. He is doing it bit by bit, in the face of resistance from the US Supreme Court. He has already axed or wound back 4.3 million debts, and on Friday cancelled 277,000 more. The benefits, as he keeps telling anyone who will listen in the lead-up to the November election, are likely to be increased consumer spending, better mental health and credit scores for borrowers, and increased home ownership. Meanwhile, back in Oz: "Britain and other nations that copied Australia’s system don’t impose large repayments in one hit, and the economist who designed Australia’s system now says that part of the system was “an error, a mistake”. That economist, Bruce Chapman, has suggested a redesign that would require collections only on extra rather than total incomes, a proposal the report to the government endorses." Sad thing is - once the education infrastructure has been built and teachers have been trained, the only resources 'consumed' in education are the time and mental effort of teachers and students, which is free like sunshine and wind - a free renewable resource for the currency-issuing government. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 23rd, 2024 at 10:02am
To recap, the three main axioms of MMT:
1. A sovereign currency-issuing government faces no purely financial constraints (unlike households who are USERS of the currency). 2. Such a government faces a resources and productive capacity restraint. 3. The public sector's deficit is the private sector's surplus. [Note: if a nation cannot produce all its own vital resources locally (eg, food and energy, medicines), it will need to be able to earn sufficient foreign exchange (to pay for imports) by exporting sufficient of what other nations want, to maintain currency sovereignty]. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 24th, 2024 at 11:31am
The 'Dismal Science' , despite an abundance of resources....and "over-capacity" in China:
(Sky News) Calls for Albanese govt to adopt spending constraint in Budget There are calls for the government to adopt a spending constraint in this year’s federal Budget. According to Nine Newspapers, some economists (sic) believe Labor’s Budget should be contractionary and take money out of the economy. This is in a bid to help the Reserve Bank maintain its inflation target. This quarter’s inflation figures are expected to be around the 3.5 per cent mark. It could see the RBA hold off on an interest rate cut until early next year. ......... And yet: (Sky News) "Grim Jim has nothing for you in the budget" (because he thinks the government's budget has to be in surplus to pay down debt). Labor will not cut petrol taxes, to ensure 'budget' surplus' Sky News host Paul Murray says with a federal budget surplus the government could cut petrol taxes, but they choose not to because that’s how they keep the surplus. But of course, if it's a surplus, it is a surplus that means the government has more money than they can spend,” Mr Murray said. “They could cut petrol taxes, but of course, they choose not to because that's how they're going to get to a budget surplus.” Treasurer Jim Chalmers said in terms of the fiscal strategy, they are aiming for a second surplus. The first surplus last year, the first in 15 years, was an important way to put downward pressure on inflation, Mr Chalmers said. Endless confusion among the talking heads steeped in 'The Dismal Science". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 25th, 2024 at 1:04pm
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61692
IMF now claiming that Japan has to inflict austerity when the government’s current policy settings are maintaining stability It was only a matter of time I suppose but the IMF is now focusing its nonsensical ‘growth friendly austerity’ mantra on Japan. In a recent interview, the former Portuguese Finance Minister now in charge of the IMF’s so-called ‘Fiscal Affairs Department’, Vitor Gaspar claimed that Japan is now in a precarious position and must start to impose austerity. Recall last week that I concluded that – The IMF has outlived its usefulness – by about 50 years (April 15, 2024). The current interventions from senior officials such as Gaspar only serve to reinforce that assessment. The problem is that they are still able to command a platform and a significant number of people in policy making circles actually believe what they say. It would be a much better world if the IMF and its toxic ideology and praxis just disappeared off the face of the Earth. Then we could send all the highly educated officials to thought reassignment camps to allow their considerable intellectual capacity to search for cures to cancer or whatever. Yes....evidence of mainstream 'group-think' on a massive scale. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 26th, 2024 at 2:12pm
Alan Kohler reverting to form, as a private sector investment advisor:
https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2024/04/01/alan-kohler-monetary-theory Alan Kohler: Modern Monetary Theory has become modern fiscal practice "A few years ago everybody was talking about Modern Monetary Theory, both ardently for and scornfully against, but nobody was doing it. Now everybody is doing it but hardly anybody is talking about it, apart from American economist Stephanie Kelton, promoting a film on the subject. Doing what, exactly? Governments are showing by their deeds that deficits and debt don’t matter." The problem - apart from the fact "hardly anybody is talking about (MMT)"? Kohler continues: The combination of increased retirement support and health care spending with a shrinking working age population paying taxes means that balanced budgets are now politically too hard – the only way a government can hope to get re-elected is to kick the can down the road and just not talk about it. Well of course MMT shows currency-issuing governments don't NEED to tax or borrow (they need to 'balance' resource distribution, and avoid inflation). Kohler concludes in self-interest-driven, free-market private sector mode: "Modern Monetary Theory does not represent permission to print money to fund government spending as a lot of people think, it’s just a description of the way government finances work, which is that government spending takes place before tax revenue is collected (from that spending to begin with), and the only constraint on the spending is inflation. And that, it turns out, is the way things are working. Obviously not working for everyone, Alan :-( That's why we MUST grant the said "permission", then introduce a JG and a ZIRP, and manage inflation with price controls (and in the last resort, rationing) in cases of supply failure. To avoid having to raise taxes or interest rates (which hurt different people differently), when funding spending or controlling inflation, as current orthodoxy sees it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 28th, 2024 at 11:37am
On the Job Guarantee as price anchor (inflation control) in MMT.
1. Replaces neoclassical orthodoxy's inflation control aka the NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment), with the Job Guarantee's price anchor aka the NAIBER (non-accelerating inflation buffer employment ratio ). 2. The buffer employment pool is a variable employment pool which expands or contracts depending on the state of the economy. 3. In the NAIRU system, unemployment is deliberately engineered by the Reserve Bank to reduce demand and hence reduce inflation in the economy. 4. In the NAIBER system, employment is shifted from the inflating section of the economy to the buffer employment pool which is paid at the minimum wage in the economy, ie acting as the price anchor. ......... MMT economists have differing views on economic management. My own view (being a Marxist) is that the inflation fighting tools used by mainstream free-market central bankers, ie lifting interest rates to cool demand, should be replaced with price controls (and rationing if necessary in cases of supply-chain failure). Some MMT economists regard taxation a tool to control inflation (of course all MMTers know currency-issuing governments don't need to tax - or borrow - in order to fund governement spending, MMTers assign other functions to taxation). I prefer to eliminate taxation (except to discourage unhealthy consumption, eg grog and tobacco) in a zero interest rate, no tax scenario, using price controls and rationing as outlined above, to ensure "an economy which works for all" (whereas raising taxes and/or interest rates to control inflation hurts different people in different ways). Note: free market economies CANNOT create an economy which works for all, there are always winners and losers. Our goal is shared, sustainable prosperity, in a ZIRP, JG economy with minimal taxation and directly limited inflation (via price controls and rationing as outlined above). Note: economist Isabella Weber caused a stir when she proposed price controls as an inflation control tool, but the idea has gained recognition in the mainstream https://www.theguardian.com/business/commentisfree/2021/dec/29/inflation-price-controls-time-we-use-it Could strategic price controls help fight inflation? And if AGW climate scientists are correct, then the World Bank will have to create money out of thin air to fund the green transition in poor countries , since rich countries have failed to deliver on their promised $100 billion annual transfer to poor countries.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 1st, 2024 at 11:27am
The 'efficiency' of the free market...oops....
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2024/04/30/inclusive-economics-and-the-imf/#like-27773 Inclusive economics and the IMF The great and the good have just finished attending a special World Economic Forum in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The theme of the conference for the over 1000 delegates from corporations, governments and international agencies was global cooperation and inclusive growth. In other words, how to reverse the growing international trade wars and rising inequality of income and wealth with policies of cooperation and inclusive economic measures. There was a certain irony about all these attendees discussing ‘inclusive’ economic policies in Saudi Arabia, infamous for its discrimination and exclusion of women, gays and exploitation of its immigrant population that does most of the labour in the country. Nevertheless, the leaders of the IMF and the World Bank were there in force to promote their new tack of a ‘compact for inclusive growth’. The aim is to ‘reverse’ what they think is only a recent trend towards greater inequality of income and wealth globally. : The richest 1% own almost half the world's wealth, while the poorest half owns just 0.75%. : 81 billionaires have more wealth than 50% of the world combined, with only 4 cents in every dollar of global tax revenue coming from wealth taxes. : Extreme wealth wealth and extreme poverty have seen a sharp simultaneous increase. IMF leader, Kristalina Georgieva was there to press for policies that will boost global collaboration and reduce economic inequality – seemingly a switch by the IMF from competition, labour ‘flexibility’ and fiscal ‘prudence’ which have been the watchwords of IMF economic policy for decades. It would seem that the IMF is a changed body. Recently it even promoted an article by Nobel prize winner, Angus Deaton, who has been exposing the growing inequalities of income and social mobility in his books and papers. In a piece, called Rethinking my economics, Deaton gave us his mea culpa on the changes in his own views. Deaton reckoned that mainstream economics (and by implication the IMF, the World Bank and the World Economic Forum) “are in some disarray. We did not collectively predict the financial crisis and, worse still, we may have contributed to it through an overenthusiastic belief in the efficacy of markets, especially financial markets whose structure and implications we understood less well than we thought.” So ‘free markets’ are not as efficacious as claimed and crises cannot be avoided. Deaton admitted that “I have recently found myself changing my mind, a discomfiting process for someone who has been a practising economist for more than half a century.” You see, the “emphasis on the virtues of free, competitive markets and exogenous technical change can distract us from the importance of power in setting prices and wages, in choosing the direction of technical change, and in influencing politics to change the rules of the game.” So Deaton has had an epiphany. He now finds that it is the power of capital and its attempt to exploit labour that is the driving force in economies, not technical efficiency or ‘free and fair’ markets. Apparently, at some point in time, not defined by him, “social justice became subservient to markets, and a concern with distribution was overruled by attention to the average, often nonsensically described as the “national interest’.” This brings us back to the reality of IMF and World Bank policies against the rhetoric of inclusive economics. The IMF claims it now cares about the negative consequences of fiscal austerity, often citing how social spending should be protected from cuts through conditions that stipulate spending floors. Yet, an Oxfam analysis of seventeen recent IMF programs found that for every $1 the IMF encouraged these countries to spend on social protection, it told them to cut $4 through austerity measures. The analysis concluded that social spending floors were “deeply inadequate, inconsistent, opaque, and ultimately failing.” ...... Billionaires aren't paying enough tax? Time for the no tax system outlined in the previous post... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 1st, 2024 at 1:15pm
And....
"The Natural Rate of Interest Is Zero" Mathew Forstater and Warren Mosler. https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2009/07/natural-rate-is-zero.PDF |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 1st, 2024 at 4:50pm freediver wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 6:10pm:
Wrong; obviously a currency-issuing government (but not Oz state governments which are USERS of the currency) is not purely financially constrained and can never 'run out' of money; whereas the government CAN run out of "food" (eg, in a famine, and without sufficient foreign exchange to import food). Oz normally has all the resources it needs to "to provide a wage - ie a job - guarantee, food, housing, and a bunch of other (essential) stuff, without causing inflation" - because it can supply all those things (we are talking about the essentials) without creating excess demand on available resources ie without causing inflation. Quote:
Funny how commonsense eludes deluded ideologues like FD. If a nation has sufficient resources to satisfy basic needs for all (including employment), then - it can do it. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2024 at 10:43am
Even these mainstream neoclassical economists recognize the IMF and World Bank are no longer able to deal with the economic problems facing the globe.
(Larry Summers is the goon who said - 2 years ago - unemployment in the US would have to be increased to 10% for a year, to bring inflation down to 2-3%.) https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/imf-world-bank-spring-meetings-need-to-get-four-things-right-by-lawrence-h-summers-and-n-k-singh-2024-04?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on May 3rd, 2024 at 10:52am thegreatdivide wrote on May 3rd, 2024 at 10:43am:
History Repeats Itself As Communists Run Out Of Food COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY — History has again repeated itself as communism once again devolved into mass starvation. The commies at Columbia University lasted less than twelve hours before running out of food and pleading for humanitarian aid, setting a new record for the collapse of communist food supply. "Okay, time-out on the intifada revolution, we're out of pizza rolls," said Tara Gentry-Smith, protest organizer and self-proclaimed commie. "I'm going to go see if the people we just assaulted will send us some DoorDash. Ugh, why are we always running out of food?" Communist protestors had barricaded themselves in buildings over the weekend and soon realized they had no means of production to feed themselves. Activists tried to enact communal ownership of the snacks they did have, but supplies ran out quickly. "Man, why didn't we take over the food court?" lamented protestor Drake Jones. "I'm so hungry. I haven't had Chipotle in almost eight hours now! Still, I bet the people of Gaza are inspired by our sacrifice." As of publishing time, the protestors had told onlookers that true communism hadn't been tried and that they were going to start a new, even better collective one building over. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2024 at 12:30pm Frank wrote on May 3rd, 2024 at 10:52am:
Your error there: the US uni protests aren't communist, they are protests about the Israeli genocide on Palestinians. Until the US stops blocking the establishment of Palestine (as per UN res 242), the protests will likely continue. Nothing to do with food availability in US unies. [See... your 'comedy' narrative didn't work - don't give up your day job.....:-( ] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on May 3rd, 2024 at 12:35pm thegreatdivide wrote on May 3rd, 2024 at 12:30pm:
:D It worked perfectly! |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2024 at 12:51pm Frank wrote on May 3rd, 2024 at 12:35pm:
You think so? I ain't payin' for your next routine.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2024 at 11:01am
Prof Steve Keen finds himself having to debunk a resurgence of the 'loanable funds theory' - the idea banks are only intermediaries who lend other people's money (bank depositors).
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/selgins-hot-air-on-bank-money-creation?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=144089709&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email Selgin’s Hot Air on Bank Money Creation When a bank makes a loan, however, its assets and its liabilities rise simultaneously by the same amount: the loan does not come out of another account. This is what is meant by “out of nothing”: not that banks create money by magic—creating something “out of nothing”—but that money is created by bank assets and liabilities rising simultaneously. This is shown in Table 3. Since this process is not “out of nothing”—like a magician pulling a rabbit out of a hat—my preferred term for bank lending is not “out of nothing”, or Selgin’s derisory term “Thin Air”, but “Bank Originated Money and Debt” Though Selgin does not use double-entry bookkeeping tables at all in his paper, he verbally accepts that the process described by Table 3 is what banks actually do when they lend—and by extension, that Table 4 describes what happens when debts are repaid. He also makes a number of simplifying assumptions which abstract from some sources of confusion in this confusion-filled debate, and which I will also make in this response. He abstracts from cash, and treats money as being exclusively the private sector’s deposit accounts at banks. Similarly, he treats Reserves as being exclusively the private banks’ accounts at the Central Bank, and not currency: Selgin’s objective was to prove that, though bank lending does create money, banks still need “to borrow from others” in order to lend: Where Cannan and other economists who consider banks intermediaries differ with Thin Air theorists [is] … in denying that banks’ ability to write up loans allows them to profitably extend credit without also having to borrow from others. (Selgin 2024, p. 11) ...... Oh dear - all to deny the currency-issuer can create money out of thin air to fund itself. O what tangled webs we weave ..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 5th, 2024 at 1:16pm
The mainstream media and politicians are still bleating about 'balanced government budgets'.
But not Ross Limbaugh back in 2019: https://reason.com/2019/07/18/rush-limbaugh-abandons-fiscal-conservatism/ Rush Limbaugh Abandons Fiscal Conservatism The (conservative) pundit heavily criticized President Obama for excessive spending. Now he says it doesn't matter. "How many years have people tried to scare everybody about [the deficit]? How many years, how many decades have politicians tried to scare us about the deficit, the national debt, any number of things? Yet here we're still here, and the great jaws of the deficit have not bitten off our heads and chewed them up and spit them out." ........ Admittedly, Limbaugh (who died in 2021) was not a 'model of integrity', but he must have (conveniently?) discovered Warren Mosler's writings, when Trump was elected, soon to legislate unfunded tax cuts for the wealthy.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 7th, 2024 at 10:59am
Speaking of which:
tweet from Robert Reich: "For the first time in the history of the US, billionaires have a lower tax rate than working-class Americans". No wonder we have a cost of living crisis around the globe, with governments being urged by central banks to cut back on support for low income groups, to avoid inflation. Madness. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 10th, 2024 at 10:38am
Prof. Mitchell, on Bobby's, and the mainstream media's lunacy re government debt:
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61723 The fiscal lunancy reaches peak levels this time of year .....think about what that means. The RBA just typed numbers into bank accounts and took possession of the debt instruments that it bought in the secondary bond market (after the governments had issued the debt in the primary market). At the federal level, this was just a right-left pocket sort of deal. The right pocket issues the debt and pays the yield to the left pocket. The left pocket then pays the yield back to the right pocket (in the form of the dividend payments the RBA provides to Treasury). A charade. (.......) The Right-wing Melbourne Sun newspaper carried headlines: ‘Dire Debt Loop’. One of the big TV stations carried the story “Major projects scrapped in brutal Victorian state budget”. And so it went, the media outlets were having a field day talking up some confected sense of catastrophe and calling for even harsher fiscal cuts than the Victorian Labor government actually announced. As a matter of fact, the Victorian Opposition conservatives are a total rabble – dysfunctional, incompetent and without any merits that would suggest they are ready to govern the state when the next election is held. Yet all the ‘debt’ talk is providing them with a surge in the polls. And spare the thought if they were actually elected. Take a moment. Imagine if someone in the RBA offices accidently typed some zeros in the accounting system against the RBA holdings of federal government and state and territory government debt. In other words, just wiped the huge RBA holdings off. Nearly a third of the Federal government debt would disappear, while a significant slice of the semis debt (state and territories) would vanish. Would the media still be able to claim there was a major fiscal crisis at all levels of government? Unlikely, the graphs that they carefully manipulate the vertical scales to show government debt going through the roof would look like Mt Everest. Their lurid headlines would look pretty stupid. And ask yourself whether your world would look any different the day after the RBA officer typed in the zeros. Not a single person would see any difference. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on May 10th, 2024 at 11:05am
TGD,
we need Jesus to whip all those money lenders at the RBA. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 10th, 2024 at 11:17am Bobby. wrote on May 10th, 2024 at 11:05am:
No, the RBA's functions should be changed; a currency-issuing government doesn't NEED to tax or borrow money (or issue bonds) - by definition. Inflation should be controlled by price controls and rationing when supply chains fail, not RBA interest-rate manipulation hurting some people more than others. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 11th, 2024 at 11:25am
Bitcoin spruiker claims Japan can run out of money defending the yen. Armageddon - because "Japan ain't Argentina".
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 11th, 2024 at 12:02pm
"Free markets"?
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2024/05/08/vulture-capitalism/ Vulture capitalism Blakeley’s main theme in Vulture Capitalism is to debunk the longstanding concept of mainstream neo-classical economics that capitalism is a system of ‘free markets’ and competition. If capitalism ever did have ‘free markets’ and competition among companies in the struggle to obtain profits created by labour (and Blakeley doubts that it ever did), then it certainly does not now. Capitalism now, she argues, is really a planned economy, controlled by big monopolies and backed by the state. The monopolies plan strategy and investment in conjunction with governments; and small companies and workers must obey: “actually existing capitalist economies are hybrid systems, based on a careful balance between markets and planning. This is not a glitch resulting from the incomplete implementation of capitalism, or its corruption by an evil, all-powerful elite. It is simply the way capitalism works.” Well, her mistake is a "planned economy" isn't planned by monopolies on behalf of the wellbeing of the collective - by defintion, even if the state backs the corporations. A 'planned economy' is certainly necessary for the government to ensure provision of essentials for all, something the free market can never achieve, because the most competitive, capable individuals will out-compete their peers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 12th, 2024 at 12:38pm
https://insidestory.org.au/the-case-for-banning-billionaires/
The case for banning billionaires Should there be a limit on how rich you can be? "This fight is global and it is existential: tax the rich or we risk losing everything". Phil White, millionaire, UK. ........ Alternatively, currency-issuing governments should use their capacity to fund themselves without taxing or borrowing, to ensure provision of the essentials for everyone..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 14th, 2024 at 11:55am
Prof. Steve Keen on the 'logical lies' of Neoclassical economists.
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/why-you-cant-win-an-argument-with?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=144581081&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email The Anarchists who defend Capitalism The reason why Neoclassicals and Austrians cling so strongly to their paradigm is that they are closet anarchists. The Neoclassical (and Austrian) economics vision of free market capitalism is one of an anarchist utopia. When free of non-market distortions—government intervention, unions and externalities—and bereft of monopolies, the Neoclassical model of capitalism achieve “Pareto Optimality”: a point at which no-one can be made better off without making someone else worse off. It is a meritocracy, where everyone receives as income what they contribute to production—their “marginal productivity”. It requires no overarching coordination, and there is no source of power coercing individuals to behave as power desires. It is a utopia on this planet. It is an incredibly seductive vision of capitalism, and I speak from personal experience, since I fell for it as well, until, luckily, my eyes were opened to flaws in the logic before I was fully trapped in that paradigm. But for those who’ve swallowed the Blue Pill of Neoclassical Economics, there’s no escaping the Matrix of its logical lies. Anarchists - ie Libertarians who eschew government planning and laud the free market. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 14th, 2024 at 6:11pm
Disgusting Liberal party toady wants higher interest rates, despite the economy teetering on the edge of recession (from Sky News...):
Treasurer Jim Chalmers is “using the budget” to “pressure and intimidate” the Reserve Bank of Australia into not raising interest rates before the next election, says Former Victoria Liberal Party president Michael Kroger. Mr Kroger’s comments come as Treasurer Jim Chalmers is set to hand down the federal budget on Tuesday night. “Back in black temporarily, because of massively high commodity prices, massive increases in taxations and full employment,” Mr Kroger said. “Chalmers is using the budget and all the commentary around the budget to pressure and intimidate the Reserve Bank into not raising interest rates before the next election.” |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 16th, 2024 at 11:28am
Interesting exchange on twitter, re 'invisible hand' (private sector) markets versus government (public sector) planning:
Dr. Steven Hail: Don't tell anyone, but governments are no worse at 'picking winners' than private venture capitalists, and maybe better. Even if you aren't supposed to say that out loud in Australia. George Selgin: When private sector speculators pick losers, they lose. When governments pick losers, taxpayers lose. That’s an important difference, not least because the incentives for the gov’t to “bet” on influential but otherwise unworthy special interests is…not insignificant! Dr. Steven Hail: I recommend Mazzucato's The Entrepreneurial State. The unproductive use of real resources that would otherwise have been used productively is never good for a society, however they are paid for. Governments are just in a better position to take risks and be patient. Indeed. "Markets are good servants, but bad masters, amd a worse religion". A. Lovins. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 18th, 2024 at 1:25pm
The dysfunction and triumph of current 'flat-earth' mainstream economics writ large, and its acceptance by a deluded electorate.
Sky News https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/unemployment-rate-rises-to-4-1-per-cent/ar-BB1mwspK?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=62a02c1eb7824ca9872763a80161a4be&ei=114 Unemployment rate rises to 4.1 per cent Mortgage holders could be spared further interest rate rises after a jump in the unemployment rate. Data from the Bureau of Statistics shows the jobless rate rising to 4.1 per cent – despite an extra 38,000 jobs coming online in April. Economists say it's another sign the labour market is returning to more normal patterns. Well, fmd, mainstream "economists" - f**kwits to a man (and woman) - say involuntary unemployment is "normal". What happened to "freedom"? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 21st, 2024 at 10:59am
A fascinating appraisal of why governments don't use their currency-issuing capacity more effectively:
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61760 The author asks the question: “Who indeed does administer the global finance system and where is this administration located?” He focuses on the ‘City of London’ as the “greatest of all” and notes that it embedded in a “structured organisation” in the form of the “City of London Corporation (CLC)”, which: At a national level, the CLC intervenes directly in the economic policy of the British government, while at the level of British overseas territories and crown dependencies, it makes use of a network of tax shelters. The ‘City of London’ is “nicknamed the ‘Square Mile’ … and does not actually refer to a territory, but to all the financial service activities associated with Greater London.” The mission of the CLC is “to promote the City’s financial services throughout the world … In short, it has to run the world’s leading financial center and do so in a way that ensures it remains at the top.” We read that “The CLC is ugiven that the final fiscal balance each period is not able to be controlled by the government anyway,nique to the City of London and its independence is marked by exceptional privilege” that goes back before William the Conqueror became the King. Further: Another distinctive feature of the CLC is that its administration has significant funds at its disposal, which it invests in line with the policy chosen by the Common Councilmen and Aldermen. This gives it a lobbying power that is beyond that of any other administration. Its financial power comes from three funds (City Bridge Trust, City Fund, and City’s Cash … whose assets are unknown, but estimated to be three billion euros (Shaxson 2012) and most certainly include real estate assets throughout the entire world. So a big bully with cash. But even then the CLC lost a major court case in 2002 when activists successfully delayed a property development that the City was pushing which would destroy a local working-class neighbourhoods. Here is some background to that fight: 1. Save Spitalfields from market forces (July 15, 2001). 2. Tales of the City: Spitalfields under threat (October 9, 2002). We also know that ‘The City’ has: … branches that feed it are mainly to be found in the British overseas territories and Crown dependencies, which regularly vaunt their financial opacity and concealment like an advertising campaign … These nine territories represent 2,800 billion dollars in deposits. In comparison, Switzerland has 1,200 billion dollars and Luxemburg, 900 billion. And guess what? The United Kingdom provides them with defense and security, and manages their foreign affairs in concert with their local governments. It is generally agreed that these are the black holes of world finance. In the second quarter of 2009, for example, City banks received 332.5 billion dollars from its three dependencies … these territories are the port of entry for significant capital flows into the London financial center, which is therefore being fed capital lacking in transparency. Which means: The British authorities and, to an even greater extent, the CLC hide behind the ceremonial sovereignty of these nine territories to absolve themselves from having any control over these funds and from any responsibility as to their origins. The City banks use them like capital pumps feeding its markets. However, these territories are very politically and economically dependent upon the United Kingdom. It is difficult to believe that the British Chancellor of the Exchequer is incapable of persuading or pressuring these territories to clean up their financial markets and institute stricter controls and regulations. Once again, the role of the CLC is of prime importance. It certainly has no interest in such measures and is quick to remind the British government of the fact. So, when one is confronted with the claims that British Labour must appease ‘The City’ or face currency destruction, the real question is why doesn’t the British government exercise its legislative capacity to control the sources of any capital flows that might cause currency disruption? That is the nub. While ‘The City’ masquerades as all powerful, it could be brought to heel relatively easily through appropriate legislative interventions. Of course, ‘The City’ lobbies relentlessly. We learn that: In order to monitor the work of Parliament so that it would never interfere with the power of the CLC, a chair was installed in 1571 beside the Speaker’s chair in the House of Commons, where an officer of the CLC, called the Remembrancer, still sits today. The City of London is thus the only British territory to have installed an official lobbyist within the House of Commons itself, who makes sure that the rights and privileges of the Square Mile are preserved. So there is a “non-democratically elected officer who participates in the sessions of the British Parliament” and is there on privilege which would be revoked. I have been tracking down discussions about this seemingly ridiculous medieval practice and came across the 1937 book by the Leader of the Labour Party – Clement Attlee – who later became Prime Minister (in 1945). In this book – The Labour Party in Perspective – Attlee provides an interesting account of the powers of government and how they can implement them. He writes that (p.178-179): cont. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 21st, 2024 at 11:02am
(cont)
Some of these powers are already in the hands of Government, and only the will and vision are lacking … despite these encroachments by the Government on the sphere of private enterprise, the main controls of the economic system remain in the hands of those whose actuating motive is private profit. It is to the securing of these controls for the service of the community that the Labour Government will turn its hand. He then addressed the question of first “importance …financial power” and wrote (p.179): Over and over again we have seen that there is in this country another power than that which has its seat at Westminster. The City of London, a convenient term for a collection of financial interests, is able to assert itself against the Government of this country. Those who control money can pursue a policy at home and abroad contrary to that which has been decided by the people. The first step in the transfer of this power is the conversion of the Bank of England into a State institution. He noted that The City had been running a scare campaign opposed to the nationalisation of the bank – for example, “to seize the savings of the well-to-do” Significantly, even though Attlee succeeded in nationalising the Bank of England, in 1998 Tony Blair “gave the central bank total independence”. Blair also: … changed the voting system in the chambers of the CLC by authorizing that businesses could vote alongside the City of London residents. This, in fact, handed power over to the business vote due to the relative population sizes: 7,000 residents versus 24,000 business representatives. So the Labour Party, which continually expresses fear of The City, used their legislative power while in office to give The City even more power. The Labour Party also still play along with the Mansion House charade – which is when the Chancellor of the British Government is “invited each year to appear before the Lord Mayor at the Guildhall (in the City of London) and at the Mansion House (the Lord Mayor’s residence) to justify his or her actions and present their plans for future financial policy.” The City thus makes sure that government policy will always promote The City. In another 2014 article I read by Sukhdev Johal, Michael Moran and Karel Williams – Power, Politics and the City of London after the Great Financial Crisis – (published in Government and Opposition, Vol. 49, No. 3, 400-425) – we consider “two dominant questions” that “have shaped power relations: what is to be the relationship between the City of London and the (formally) democratic system of UK government in which it is embedded; and what is to be the role of competition in the workings of financial markets?” A clue is that in the recent decades “we can see the City organizing itself as a conventional professional lobby designed to ensure victory in struggles over overt decisions.” And “Finance may still be dominant, but its power is increasingly precarious because it now fights on terrain not of its choosing, where outcomes are uncertain.” |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on May 31st, 2024 at 4:47pm
A concise description of government funding operations (in blue):
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61774 So when someone says to you “How are we going to pay for it?” you can simply reply as Keynes did: ‘Anything we can actually do, we can afford’. The ‘How to pay for it’ question arises out of ignorance concerning the way government spending enters the economy. The sequence is as follows: 1. The parliamentary system authorises government to make the relevant payments. 2. The Treasury or Finance department instructs the nation’s central bank to credit (change to a higher number) the recipient’s bank account balance (called a reserve account) at the central bank. 3. The bank of the recipient then records a deposit in the account of the supplier of the goods and services to the government. That’s it. There are no taxpayers or grand kids (sic) in sight! The 'government debt' delusion is only a device to delude the population into believing the currency-issuing government can't end poverty. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 3rd, 2024 at 6:32pm
https://theconversation.com/everybody-has-not-won-trickle-down-economics-was-an-idiotic-idea-how-do-we-fix-the-inequality-it-causes-223296
‘Everybody has not won’: trickle-down economics was an idiotic idea. How do we fix the inequality it causes? While the US is an extreme example, it reflects the dominant trend in fiscal policy across the liberal-democratic world. Among the G20 countries, the highest tax rates have fallen by around a third over the past 40 years. Meanwhile, the share of national income sequestered by the wealthiest 1% has grown by 45%. Time for change Taken together, Alfani and Robeyns yield two critical conclusions. The first is that the extreme inequality represented by the ultra-wealthy is a significant social problem, and it is getting worse. The pivotal historical point at which this turn for the worse happened was the advent of globalised neoliberalism some 40 years ago. Inequality has since become so ingrained in the contemporary world as “normal” that, for some, it is thought of as a natural outcome of a meritocratic system. For others, inequality is a sad reality that cannot be changed, no matter how unjust and undesirable. Fortunately, reading Alfani and Robeyns together yields a second conclusion. Their work resists both neoliberal triumphalism and cynicism. Inequality, they show, is a social and historical phenomenon, therefore it is not immutable. Change towards greater justice may be difficult, but there is no reason to believe it is impossible. We know now definitively that the idea of a trickle-down economy is as idiotic an idea as it seems on face value. That people ever accepted it is reason for embarrassment. That some people are still backing it is insulting to all. Forty years of the neoliberal experiment have created a world of vast and increasing inequality rationalised by the false promises of a global free market. But this can change, and it should change. Most importantly, as these two books attest, there is a growing will to change and to create fairer societies, where the material benefits of the world’s wealth do not accrue to an extreme minority. ..... Only two choices for meaningful change; return taxation rates back to Keynesian welfare state levels, eg, 90% marginal tax rates on high incomes; or free the currency-issuing government from the idiotic orthodoxy of raising public revenue from taxation on median (and even average) incomes, and/or the idiocy of borrowing from rich people (via selling bonds) - which amounts to welfare for the rich (via a secure income stream, ie the interest rate on the government bond). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 4th, 2024 at 11:35am
Headline from Microsoft news today:
Homelessness in Canada is on the rise despite huge amounts of new spending ....... Turns out the "huge anounts of new spending" are c. $450 million - small change for people like Musk and Bezos (see previous post). The liberal freemarket economies are on the road to self-destruction - see previous post). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 5th, 2024 at 1:48pm
Tweet from Bernie Sanders:
In the richest country in the history of the world 25% of our seniors are trying to get by on $15,000 a year. Try it sometime…And then you hear people talking about cutting Social Security. Conservatives talk about the "politics of envy", but their's is the politics of indifference. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 12th, 2024 at 11:27am
THE CONFERENCE
The Gower Initiative for Modern Money Studies is delighted to announce the inaugural UK Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Conference to be held at The University of Leeds from July 15 to 17, 2024. This groundbreaking event will feature Warren Mosler, author of ‘Soft Currency Economics’ (1993), the publication of which became the basis for what has become popularised as Modern Monetary Theory. Warren will be our special guest and the first-day keynote speaker, and will attend all three days, participating and providing critical analysis in multiple sessions. ........ WHAT IS OUR GOAL? The Gower Initiative for Modern Money Studies was launched in 2018 and is part of an international movement challenging the economic orthodoxy of the last four decades. Its founders came together through a common concern that the dominant economics of our day is deeply flawed. To that end, the primary aim of GIMMS is education that provides the tools to enable people to understand that the state of the public finances per se is not a limiting factor in government spending, and that the central question revolves around the development and distribution of real resources, along with the political nature of those decisions. GIMMS’ mandate is to challenge the household budget narrative of the state finances that dominates the daily political and media discourse and to encourage a discussion about the full range of government’s priorities and policy options and how best they can serve the public purpose. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 16th, 2024 at 11:26am
Economist Richard Denniss, from the 'Australia Institute' spruiking an "Unequal Australia" tour, says:
"The only time unemployment benefits rose above the poverty line was in the middle of the COVID crisis. Because we thought middle-class people might become unemployed." "It's government choices that cause inequality." That's true Richard, but like I told you, politicians have to get elected, and the public don't like paying higher taxes. Meanwhile in the UK, a desperate Sunak is appealing to voters' self-interest by claiming the Labour Party will increase taxes on all Britons by 2000 pounds, as Starmer is claiming all his policies are "fully funded" - code for saying we won't raise taxes nor spend money to improve public infrastructure. Silly adversarial politics creating zero real change, as usual. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 20th, 2024 at 1:37pm
https://ellenbrown.com/2024/06/19/why-does-the-government-borrow-when-it-can-print/
Why Does the Government Borrow When It Can Print? ...... Of course, as examined in the recent film 'Finding the Money", by Maren Poitras. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 22nd, 2024 at 1:31pm
From Prof Steve Keen:
Two parties obsessed with government debt In the UK it doesn't matter who you vote for in the July election, you'll have a government prepared to compromise public services and risk future growth because of an obsession with government debt. Imagine if Keir Starmer, the UK Labour leader, had said, let’s not get too obsessed with government debt. If we go down that road we won‘t be able to provide the public services we need, our infrastructure will crumble further and we’ll simply see the country’s productivity erode further by the day. Unfortunately, he didn’t say that. Instead, he has pledged himself to the temple of 'fiscal responsibility', just like the Conservatives. That means, whichever party is in power the UK can expect something akin to the austerity that plagued the last 2010s. ....... Sad: the currency-issuing government is limited by availability of resources, not debt. But private financiers/lenders demand the sole privilege of creating money which they lend at interest, while government is forced to tax or borrow in order to spend. Note to inflation freaks: price controls and rationing (if necessary) can contain inflation, in a central bank - zero interest scenario. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 24th, 2024 at 5:05pm
Conclusion from Bill Mitchell's latest blog post:
The overall conclusion from Oxfam is valid though: Between the COVID-19 pandemic and high inflation caused by war and corporate profiteering, it was a tough start to the decade for most. Even in relatively wealthy countries like Australia, millions of people have been pushed to the brink by rising prices of food, energy and unaffordable rent. In stark contrast, this has been a profits bonanza for some of Australia’s biggest corporations. We are a long way from fixing that mess. The journey has to start with progressive organisations such as Oxfam rejecting the mainstream macroeconomic narratives about the government being a household with financial constraints. ..an excerpt from the article: RBA denial about profiteering demonstrated they are just part of the ideological machinery supporting neoliberalism https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61821 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 26th, 2024 at 3:56pm
Fom Marxist economist Michael Robert's blog:
Fixing the climate – it just ain’t profitable .... But Michael misses the point: who creates money (for profit, ie governments or bankers, is more important than who creates goods (for profit) ie, workers or capitalists. Currency-issuing governments will have to 'fix the climate', in a green transition funded with free public money issued in national treasuries. Meanwhile the Oz parliament is arguing over whose climate policy is the most 'cost effective'. But neither side will be able to transition to the zero emissions economy quickly enough, while taxpayers don't want to pay higher taxes and fossil price-gouging companies (profit-seekers) don't want to let go of the fossil-fuel gravy-train. Ouch. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 28th, 2024 at 5:36pm
Interesting.
Apparently the first question Biden had to face was about inflation, and he stumbled over it ( according to a news item: 'Democrats in full-blown panic-mode after the debate'). I say interesting, because inflation is the primary issue which mainstream economists have employed to reject MMT. And so in Oz we are being subject to mainstream insanity from a conga-line of conservative economists spouting nonsense such as "tax cuts for the lowest paid will cause inflation, because they will spend the money, wheres tax cuts for the wealthy won't cause inflation because they will save the money (.....so much for the postulated "trickle-down" theory). And they think by lifting interest rates they can stop the poor from buying fuel, electricty, food, and paying for rent - the main items causing inflation. Yet there is no shortage of the first three items in Oz; inflation in those items is caused as much by supply problems as by excess spending on them (of which there is none: the low paid don't spend 'excessively' or 'increase demand' via spending on essentials). (And lack of affordable housing including for rent was caused by government selling its public housing stock, following discredited "privatization" ideology). And equally delusional Reverse Bank governor Bullock is being urged by these mainstream clowns to raise interest rates which will pour more money into the hands of the wealthy who have savings in the bank (or government bonds), while increasing hardship among mortgagees and renters. Deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 4th, 2024 at 11:41am
Great article from Prof Steve Keen, including disagreement about the consequences of man-made CO2:
Richard Werner is, like me, a critic of Neoclassical economics, and a developer of an alternative monetary approach to economics. He was also, like me, invited to undertake a research project at BC4LS, which resulted in his book How to Achieve Long-Term Sustainability (Werner 2023) being published by BC4LS in February 2023. I respect Werner's work on the dynamics of money and banking enormously, and I have frequently referenced him in my own work on these topics. His contributions on money and banking, both in this book and previous works (Werner 1997, 2011; Werner 2014, 2016; Mkhaiber and Werner 2021), are original and important, and his work and mine on money and banking are both compatible and complementary—especially on the role of credit in aggregate demand for both goods and services and asset price speculation. There is also much else in his book with which I agree, such as the need to ensure an equitable distribution of income, the need for credit guidance so that money is directed towards investment rather than speculation, the importance of other forms of environmental damage apart from global warming—especially biodiversity loss—and the capacity of innovation to reduce the damage we do to the environment. However, there are two critical points where he makes unscientific claims that cannot go unchallenged. These are his claims about the role of CO2 in global warming (Werner 2023, p. 22) and the relevance of the laws of thermodynamics to service sector output (Werner 2023, p. 31). Taking the second first, he claims that "the virtual world … is not … subject to the laws of thermodynamics": the transformation from manufacturing to services has been more pronounced than predicted in the 1970s. This also contributes to a diminishing pressure on finite resources: the services sector, including IT, is increasingly expanding in the virtual world that is not limited by the parameters of this planet nor subject to the laws of thermodynamics. (Werner 2023, p. 31. Emphasis added) This is as scientifically valid a statement as saying that a mouse, because its mass is tiny, is not subject to the Law of Gravity. Any entity with mass is subject to the Law of Gravity, and any process that uses energy is subject to the Laws of Thermodynamics. Though "the virtual world"—say, a virtual reality tour of Angkor Wat experienced by someone in New York—may consume less energy than flying that individual from New York to Cambodia, it still requires energy to create the virtual reality simulation. The question is how much energy the virtual world requires to create the simulated outcome, compared to using energy in the real world to achieve the real outcome. Werner subsequently does not consider the questions of energy or resource availability in his book, so that this scientifically false proposition becomes an extreme form of the "decoupling" hypothesis, that an increase in services output relative to manufacturing will mean that economic growth is "decoupled" from both energy and raw material inputs. Individual countries—such as the UK—have apparently "decoupled" their GDP from energy, but this is only because they have outsourced production to "Third World" countries. The evidence I presented in Chapter 13 shows that, at the global level, though the ratio of GDP to energy has risen over time (from 3.4 billion 2015 US$ per MTOE in 1971 to 5.8 billion in 2019), producing more output still requires more energy. Chapter 4 of Decoupling debunked: Evidence and arguments against green growth as a sole strategy for sustainability (T. et al. 2019) also compiles the evidence that the increase in the service sector relative to manufacturing has had only a muted impact on resource usage. Growth in output will require growth in energy and raw materials inputs, but Werner ignores these issues in his advocacy of a high-growth strategy for sustainability. Werner's claims on the role of CO2 in causing global warming are also unscientific. He states that "by far the most important greenhouse gas is water vapour", claims that it accounts "for over 90% of the warming … while carbon dioxide causes less than 4%" and that "the evidence remains limited that man-made CO2 emissions are intrinsically the cause of the extinction of species and the destruction of nature": The United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has emphasized the role of man-made factors and especially CO2 emissions. However, by far the most important greenhouse gas is water vapour (see, e.g., Rakoczi and Ivanyi, 1999-2000), accounting for over 90% of the warming produced by all atmospheric greenhouse gases, while carbon dioxide causes less than 4%.(Carter, 2008). Other researchers have pointed out the role of particulate pollution in affecting global temperatures (Herndon, 2019; Herndon and Whiteside, 2019). More research efforts are needed to examine the various research hypotheses scientifically. Meanwhile it can be said that the evidence remains limited that man-made CO2 emissions are intrinsically the cause of the extinction of species and the destruction of nature. (Werner 2023, p. 22) While the first claim is true, this mechanism is well-known by scientists: CO2 matters not because it is the major greenhouse gas, but because it is the most abundant long-lived greenhouse gas. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2024 at 8:05pm
(For 'Lisa', who seems to have disappeared, she was such a nice lady....)
Latest post from prof. Bill Mitchell: Central bankers live in a parallel universe Today, we see that real wages in 16 of the 35 OECD countries are still below the pre-pandemic levels, which tells us among other things that the inflationary pressures were not wage induced. Further, a speech yesterday by the Federal Reserve boss demonstrated quite clearly how central bankers fudged the whole rate hike narrative. The OECD wrote: Real wages are now growing on an annual basis in many OECD countries but remain below 2019 levels in about half of them. In Q1 2024, yearly real wage growth was positive in 29 of the 35 countries for which data are available, with an average change across all countries of +3.5%. However, in Q1 2024, real wages were still below their Q4 2019 level in 16 of the 35 countries. Yesterday (July 9, 2024), the Federal Reserve boss appeared before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs of the U.S. Senate to present the – Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress. It was a bizarre presentation because he avoided the obvious disconnect given that the interest rate hikes were explicitly justified as being necessary to push the unemployment rate up to discipline wage pressures and slow aggregate spending down. The first part of his statement waxed lyrical about how strong the US economy has remained throughout the interest rate hiking period: Recent indicators suggest that the U.S. economy continues to expand at a solid pace … Private domestic demand remains robust, however, with slower but still-solid increases in consumer spending. We have also seen moderate growth in capital spending and a pickup in residential investment so far this year. Improving supply conditions have supported resilient demand and the strong performance of the U.S. economy over the past year. He also noted that the: In the labor market, a broad set of indicators suggests that conditions have returned to about where they stood on the eve of the pandemic: strong, but not overheated. So what did the interest rate hikes actually do? More pertinent, if the economy is still going strongly, then the interest rates have not curbed total spending, which brings into question the purpose of the rate hikes. And if inflation has been declining quickly – “Inflation has eased notably over the past couple of years” – while the demand-side of the economy has been growing robustly, then the inflation could not have been primarily an excess demand problem in the first place. Which goes to the validity of the entire policy narrative that central banks have used to justify their (unjustifiable) rate hikes. Jerome Powell also noted that: Longer-term inflation expectations appear to remain well anchored, as reflected in a broad range of surveys of households, businesses, and forecasters, as well as measures from financial markets. And they hardly moved during the period that inflation was accelerating. Why not? Because almost everybody ‘in the know’ understood fairly clearly that the inflation was a transitory phenomenon driven by the supply constraints arising from the pandemic, then the disruptions from Putin and OPEC+. The central bankers had two narratives to justify their rate hikes and one of them was that they wanted to avoid inflationary expectations from breaking out. cont. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2024 at 8:10pm
cont.
They never did even when inflation was accelerating. It was a total scam run by the policy makers to cover their tracks. The Federal Reserve boss still claimed that: Our restrictive monetary policy stance is helping to bring demand and supply conditions into better balance and to put downward pressure on inflation. Given the data that statement is just nonsensical. Total spending in the US is booming and, now, that is mostly because of the rate hikes. The rate hikes around the world have precipitated a massive redistribution of income away from low-income mortgage holders who are being squeezed relentlessly, towards high-income financial asset holders, who have enjoyed huge income gains from interest income. The US government is also spending heavily on net interest payments as a result of the relatively elevated levels of outstanding public debt and the rising interest rates. The Federal Reserve boss then tried to stake out the importance of his work: We continue to make decisions meeting by meeting. We know that reducing policy restraint too soon or too much could stall or even reverse the progress we have seen on inflation. At the same time, in light of the progress made both in lowering inflation and in cooling the labor market over the past two years, elevated inflation is not the only risk we face. Reducing policy restraint too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment. In considering adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will continue its practice of carefully assessing incoming data and their implications for the evolving outlook, the balance of risks, and the appropriate path of monetary policy. This statement received the press attention but should not have. It is clear that that monetary policy is relatively ineffectual in moderating aggregate spending despite the continuing posturing by central bankers who are pressured by commercial bankers to push rates up because the increases push profits into the private corporations they represent. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 13th, 2024 at 3:31pm
Confirming Bill Mitchell's observations re flaws in current economic orthodoxy:
https://theconversation.com/why-real-wages-in-australia-have-fallen-while-theyve-risen-in-most-other-oecd-countries-234362? Why real wages in Australia have fallen while they’ve risen in most other OECD countries Australia is now in the same league as Lithuania, Estonia and Hungary when it comes to cutting real pay, according to a new OECD report. These are the only countries where cuts in real pay – pay adjusted for inflation – have been more severe for low-paid workers than those on higher salaries. The OECD’s latest Employment Outlook 2024 reports that, compared with the period immediately before the pandemic, real wages are lower today in 16 of the 35 countries. Australia’s real wages are 4.8% lower than pre-pandemic levels while across the OECD real wages over the same period have, on average, risen 1.5%. How did we get here? Wages are an artefact of both market and institutional forces. As economist Thomas Piketty has noted, “technology and skills set limits within which most wages must be fixed”, while institutions such as unions and government policy determine the wage levels that actually prevail in any particular country at a given time. In recent decades, the institutions that shape wages have been transformed. Employers today enjoy far more bargaining power than they did in the era of full employment capitalism (that is, the postwar era up to mid-1970s). Employers have far greater bargaining power than in the past. (Peter Rae/AAP) This has not been unique to Australia. The OECD reports that several countries with which we normally compare ourselves are also struggling with real wage decline. These include Canada, New Zealand, Norway and Japan. Australia’s road to real wage decline has, however, been distinctive. There have been two profound changes. The first was to shift to enterprise bargaining in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Before this change, Australia had a distinctive system that combined collective bargaining and arbitration. Well-organised unions in sectors such as manufacturing, construction, road transport, warehousing and coal mining set standards for the rest of the community. Industrial tribunals then generalised these gains by increasing award rates of pay for all workers. In a nutshell, it was a system where the wage gains of the strong flowed to the weak. Enterprise bargaining destroyed that system. It meant wage increases for the strong were quarantined to the enterprises where they worked. The rest of the workforce had to fend for itself. The very low-paid receive some minimal wage protection in the annual wage review directed at the most vulnerable members of the workforce. But even in this “reformed” system, wage leaders still played a role. They set community norms that other workers could take as a standard for the going rate of a wage increase. With the decline of blue collar work and the rise of services, the nature of the wage leaders changed. In the 1960s, one in four worked in manufacturing, while other well-unionised blue collar sectors accounted for a further 15% of employment. Today, manufacturing accounts for less than 7% of the workforce, and much blue collar work has been either replaced by automation or transformed through things such as outsourcing and labour hire. Manufacturing has shrunk since the 1960s, accounting for just 7% of the workforce. (Julian Smith/AAP) In the late 1990s and early 2000s, new sectors such as education and health emerged as pace-setters in defining wage norms. Teachers and nurses in states such as New South Wales set standards through vigorous campaigns, and associated work value cases won wage rises of 8–10% in nominal terms and 4–5% in real terms. These standards then flowed to other public sector workers and the community more generally as going rate wage increase norms. All this ended in 2012. This marked the second major change. In that year, the newly elected O’Farrell coalition government in NSW legislated for a cap that prohibited annual wage increases above 2.5% for state government workers. This then became the norm as all other jurisdictions in Australia followed this model. This cap remained in place until the defeat of the NSW coalition government last year. The cap worked with ruthless effect during the post-COVID inflationary surge. As a result, real wages for teachers, nurses and other government workers have fallen by more than 10% in the post-COVID era. What will it take to change Australia’s real wage problem? In 2023, the incoming NSW Labor government removed the cap, and wages for public sector workers began to move again. Last year the average wage rise for NSW public sector workers was 4%. NSW Teachers achieved gains of between 10% and 14% in a one-year agreement. Paramedics gained an average of 8% a year in a three-year agreement. Victorian nurses recently settled for 28.4% over four years. These recent changes are indicative of addressing the first of the two major factors holding back real wage growth. But the restraint on wage growth entrenched in our system of enterprise bargaining remains. The OECD observes that in those countries where real wages have risen in recent times, inflationary pressures have been contained as businesses have taken a cut in profits. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2024 at 6:32pm
From Sky News:
Elon Musk to give Trump campaign jaw-dropping funding boost Billionaire Elon Musk plans to donate around $US45 million a month to a new pro-Trump super political-action committee, according to the Wall Street Journal. The X owner aims to support former President Trump's presidential campaign through the America PAC. Formed in June, America PAC focuses on voter registration and encouraging early voting and mail-in ballots in swing states. Despite plans to start donations in July, Musk was not listed in the PAC's Monday filing, which shows over $US8 million raised. Donors include Lonsdale Enterprises ($US1 million) and the Winklevoss Twins ($US250,000 each). Saturday saw Musk publicly endorsing Trump, hours after the former president was shot in the ear at a campaign rally. The move cements Musk's shift towards right-wing politics and aligns him as a high-profile backer in Trump's White House bid. A move to the Right? Let's see if Trump can reduce ghetto poverty while MakingAGA. Trump himself knows deficits don't matter, so long as the nation remains productive and doesn't need to import essential goods and services. That means he can cut taxes. But entrenched poverty and homelessness won't MAGA, does Trump know that? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2024 at 10:45pm
The meme that is destroying Western civilisation--Part 1
Making sense of the mess of Left-->Right and Right-->Left electoral results STEVE KEEN JUL 3 In France, an ostensibly progressive leader (Macron) is in the process of losing power to the Far Right (Le Pen). In the UK, the Conservative Party is about to lose in a landslide to the ostensibly progressive party, Labour. In the USA, the ostensibly progressive Democrats seem likely to lose, once more, to the Republicans under Donald Trump. In Australia, an ostensibly progressive party (Labor) turfed out the conservative party (Liberal-National Party), and its then highly unpopular leader Scott Morrison. He was replaced by an even more conservative leader, which you might think would have increased Labor’s hold. But instead, the trend in voting is clearly favouring the conservatives rather than the progressives. With the next Australian election a year away, the odds are that an ostensibly progressive party will lose to its conservative rival. Trends: whoever is in power, Right or Left, is losing to those not in power. More informatively, the losers are parties that have most recently imposed Neoliberal policies on the electorate: austerity from the UK’s Tories, obedience to the Maastricht Treaty’s limits on government spending in France, the Australian Labor Party crowing about running a government surplus and putting business (lots of new coal and gas mines) ahead of its social agenda. The USA is a bit fuzzy on this front: Biden has run substantial deficits after Covid, but he is a also continuation of the anti-deficit spending Washington consensus; and Obama gave way to Trump after he (Obama) defeated austerity-oriented Bush, and then imposed austerity-oriented policies in the aftermath to the Global Financial Crisis. This is the pattern I see: the Party in power runs Neoliberal policies; it loses the next election to rivals who, when they get in power, also run Neoliberal policies. They then lose, and the cycle repeats. cont. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Grappler Truth Teller Feller on Jul 17th, 2024 at 7:15am Never a dollar and still in debt dividie don't you call us 'cause we can't go Cause we sold our souls For a few dollars more. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 17th, 2024 at 11:27am
More orthodox neoclassical, flat earth nonsense from a GOP (Republican) economist:
(from Raw Story) 'Chaos and cruelty': GOP economist takes a hatchet to Trump's RNC platform Brian Riedl, a conservative who was once the chief economist for Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH), does not think much of the Republican Party's 2024 platform. Writing in the Washington Post, Riedl argued that Trump's platform is "economically incoherent and not remotely conservative," and he takes the GOP to task for not even mentioning the nation's budget deficit, which he says would only be made worse by the platform's calls for expanded tax cuts and higher military spending. (My edit: the nation's budget deficit is immaterial - see this thread's topic). Riedl also mocks plans in the platform to fund an Israeli-style "Iron Dome" missile shield that he argues "would surely come in handy if Canada or Mexico were ever to launch a small number of low-flying missiles into the United States." Riedl also doesn't think much of the party's plans for immigration. "While tighter immigration controls are worthy of debate, the platform’s 'Largest Deportation Program in American History' approach of undertaking a door-to-door roundup of up to 20 million illegal immigrants is totally infeasible and would lead only to chaos and cruelty," he notes.. (My edit: the underlined is true, unlike the rest of this neoclassical economist's bs). In the end, Riedl says that the GOP's platform is a reflection of the way that the party has been transformed completely over the last eight years. "Today’s Republican Party rallies around a cult of personality candidate and then tailors its principles to his whims," he warns. "Classic conservative values such as small government, spending restraint, free trade, federalism, American global leadership, pro-life principles, rule of law and especially character-driven leadership have all been abandoned or weakened in this GOP platform." I say - good riddance to "classic conservative values"... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 17th, 2024 at 5:23pm The meme that is destroying Western civilisation—Part III (cont.) STEVE KEEN JUL 05, 2024 Yesterday’s UK election has repeated the pattern of the last 40 years: a Neoliberal-Heavy Party—the Conservatives—have lost in a landslide to a Neoliberal-Lite Party—Labour. The victor will set about implementing the same economic policies as the party it routed, but more nicely. Jeremy Corbyn—the previous anti-Neoliberal leader of the Labour Party, who held onto his seat as an independent, after Labour’s current pro-Neoliberal leader Kier Starmer banned him from standing for Labour—put the election result in context when he commented that Labour “has put forward a manifesto that is thin to put it mildly, and doesn’t offer a serious economic alternative to what the Conservative government is doing.” The root problem, as I noted in my previous post (Substack;Patreon), is that both parties—and almost all of the bureaucracy, the media, and economic thinktanks, as a reader pointed out—have Neoliberalism “embedded in them”. They all think that Marshall’s meme of intersecting supply and demand curves describes how the real-world works. So, despite vast differences between political parties on issues like culture and immigration, when it comes to the economics, all you get is a different brand of the same old breakfast cereal. It's the breakfast cereal that is the problem. The easiest place to prove that supply and demand analysis is false is the area where its application does the greatest harm: the belief, derived from supply and demand analysis, that the government borrows from the private sector when it runs a deficit, and that, therefore, a deficit reduces total savings. Here’s the way that Mankiw’s Macroeconomics textbook** puts it: there’s a stock of money that people have saved—shown by the line labelled S1. A government deficit takes some of that, leaving less for investment by the private sector—shown by the line labelled S2. (graph) Mankiw explains that the move from S1 to S2 is caused by government spending exceeding taxation: the government finances the additional spending by borrowing—that is, by reducing public saving. With private saving unchanged, this government borrowing reduces national saving. As Figure 3-10 shows, a reduction in national saving is represented by a leftward shift in the supply of loanable funds available for investment… the increase in government purchases causes the interest rate to increase and investment to decrease. Government purchases are said to crowd out investment. (Mankiw 2016, p. 73) If this were true, then it should be easy to show by looking at bank accounts, since the vast majority of our savings today is in the form of bank deposits, rather than cash. Even if you’ve put your own money into stocks and bonds, that money is still in bank deposit accounts: it’s just in the bank deposit accounts of stockbrokers and pension funds, rather than your own. Mankiw claims that a government deficit moves the savings curve to the left: it reduces Deposits. A government Deficit is the difference between government spending and taxation, and both spending and taxation operate through bank deposit accounts. Government spending increases bank deposit balances; taxation reduces them. So, what happens when the government runs a deficit; what happens when government spending exceeds government taxation? Bank deposits rise: a deficit doesn’t reduce the stock of savings, it increases them. In other words, Mankiw’s textbook (and all other mainstream economics textbooks) moved the supply curve the wrong way: he should have shown that the deficit increases savings. (graph) Why does the textbook get it wrong? Partly because the supply and demand diagram is just a drawing: you can draw a line on it anywhere you like. To know where you should draw the line, you have to know how whatever you’re talking about—be it breakfast cereal or money—is created. Mankiw might ultimately be right in his claim that government borrowing imposes “an unjustifiable burden on future generations” (Mankiw 2016, p. 557), but you’ll never know by drawing lines on a diagram. You have to look at how money is created—and that involves the potentially dry and boring topic of double-entry bookkeeping, which I’ll discuss in the next post. **Mankiw, N. Gregory. 2016. Principles of Macroeconomics, 9th edition (Macmillan: New York). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2024 at 1:54pm
Prof Steve Keen (cont)
The meme that is destroying Western civilisation Part IV Why economists aren't really interested in how money is created STEVE KEEN JUL 07, 2024 In the last post in this series (Substack; Patreon), I claimed that economic textbooks get the impact of a deficit on private sector savings wrong: they claim a deficit reduces the savings of the private sector, and doesn't change the amount of money in the economy; I claimed that a deficit actually increases private sector savings by creating money. That might appear bizarre to anyone who hasn’t studied economics. Economics is about money, right? Therefore, surely economists are experts on money? Surely they should know how money is created? The truth is almost the opposite. Mainstream economists insist the economics isn’t really about money at all. In fact, they see money as a veil—a “veil over barter”—which obscures what’s actually happening in the economy. The granddaddy of economics textbooks—Samuelson’s Economics, now edited by William Nordhaus—is quite disparaging towards anyone who thinks in monetary terms: You might calculate the cost in dollar terms. But in economics we always need to “pierce the veil” of money to examine the real impacts of alternative decisions. {Samuelson, 2010 #1480, p. 13} This has been the attitude of mainstream economists for centuries: Jean-Baptiste Say, back in 1821, asserted that merchants aren’t interested in money, but in goods. Though they set prices in terms of money, they want money: only for the purpose of employing that money again immediately in the purchase of another product; for we do not consume money, and it is not sought after in ordinary cases to conceal it: thus, when a producer desires to exchange his product for money, he may be considered as already asking for the merchandise which he proposes to buy with this money. It is thus that the producers, though they have all of them the air of demanding money for their goods, do in reality demand merchandise for their merchandise. {Say, 1821 #6263, p. 112. Emphasis added} I have read few more delusional paragraphs than that. Of course capitalists want to accumulate money! Of course they conceal how much they have! Yes they buy fancy goods with their profits, but their first motivation of any capitalist is the accumulation of wealth in the form of money. On this front, Marx was both more poetic and far more realistic: Accumulate! Accumulate! That is Moses and the prophets! {Marx, 1867 #1083, p. 558} Nonetheless, this silly attitude to money became ingrained in Neoclassical economics. Consequently, Neoclassical economists aren’t really interested in how banks actually work, and how money is actually created. They made up two models of money creation and bank operation—“Loanable Funds”, in which banks are just intermediaries between savers and borrowers, and the “Money Multiplier”, in which banks “multiply up” central bank money in a chain reaction process. They are superficially persuasive, so economists think they know how money is created. But the results of these models meant that they could justify not including money and banks in their mathematical models of the economy. Having gotten rid of banks and money from macroeconomics, they never checked to see whether these models were consistent with what banks actually do, and how money is actually created. And they are not consistent with what banks actually do, and how money is actually created. A century of non-mainstream economists tried to set them straight—contrarian economists like Joseph Schumpeter, Irving Fisher, Hyman Minsky, and Basil Moore—but the mainstream ignored them. Then the Bank of England (and even the Bundesbank!) sided with the contrarians: banks do not act simply as intermediaries, lending out deposits that savers place with them, and nor do they ‘multiply up’ central bank money to create new loans and deposits. {McLeay, 2014 #5066, p. 14} And the mainstream economists ignored these Central Banks too! The reason for this deliberate ignorance about banks and debt and money is that, for mainstream economists, believing that money is unimportant is as critical to their view of the world as not believing in God is for an atheist. You can’t understand that banks create money and remain a Neoclassical economist—just as you can’t change your mind to believe in God and remain an atheist. Therefore, to really understand money, you have to throw the textbook supply and demand curves away, and look at what banks actually do: they create money via double-entry bookkeeping. Double-entry bookkeeping was invented in the 15th century to enable merchants to accurately record financial transactions, but it also enabled banks to create money. In double-entry bookkeeping, as the name implies, every transaction is recorded twice—once as a Debit (DB) and once as a Credit (CR). Every account is classified as either an Asset—a claim you have on someone else—or a Liability—a claim someone else has on you. The difference is your net worth—your Equity. Every company uses double-entry bookkeeping. What is special about how banks use it is that it’s how they create money. If a bank lends you say £1 million, they add that number £1 million to your Deposit account, and they record that you owe them £1 million at the same time—and on the same double-entry bookkeeping line cont |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2024 at 1:58pm
cont. from #936
Table 1: A bank creates money by double-entry bookkeeping. That action simultaneously creates debt and money: as the Bank of England says, “bank lending creates deposits” {McLeay, 2014 #5066, p. 14}. The government uses a very similar mechanism to create money too. And just as mainstream economists don’t understand how banks create money, they don’t understand how the government creates money either. I’ll cover how the government creates money in the next post in this series. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 21st, 2024 at 11:31am
Waffle from the new UK Chancellor:
(Daily Mail) RACHEL REEVES: My mission to aid investment and spread prosperity That is why in my first 72 hours as Chancellor, I announced the biggest reform of our planning system in a decade so we could get Britain building again. It is why in my first week I established a new National Wealth Fund that would work alongside business to unlock billions of pounds in private sector investment in the industries of the future. So...unlocking private sector investment will create jobs and lift wages. Why didn't the Conservatives do it? But I know we must go further and faster. I am under no illusion to the scale of the challenge we face. We have inherited the worst set of economic circumstances since the Second World War. Taxes are at a 70-year high, national debt doubled under the Conservatives and public services have been pushed to breaking point. And Reeves wants to reduce taxes - so how will she fund public services? We cannot turn that around overnight. It is going to take time and some tough decisions. But let me be clear: I am ready to take those decisions. Waiting with bated breathe - what are those decisions, and why didn't the 'pro-business' Conservatives make them? We cannot tax and spend our way to prosperity, nor will we play fast and loose with the public finances. Instead, we need to back the wealth creators and deliver for the British people. That's the sort of waffle all mainstream parties are saying these days, it seems the "wealth creators" aren't playing ball.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 21st, 2024 at 1:27pm
Meanwhile:
(Daily Mail) Sir Keir Starmer set to give teachers and nurses bumper payrise The Daily Telegraph reports that the government could support an above-inflation wage rise but experts have warned that if the 5.5 per cent pay rise was given to every worker in the public sector it would cost £10billion. Paul Johnson, the director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, said if implemented the recommendations 'can only come from higher borrowing than they're planning, higher taxes than they're planning or cuts in spending elsewhere. There is no fourth option.' Johnson - the real villain in the piece: there IS a fourth option (see this thread). Meanwhile Sunak is saying only the private sector can create wealth - lies, and damned lies... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 25th, 2024 at 1:39pm
(cont)
The meme that is destroying Western civilisation Part V How private banks create money and leave non-banks in negative financial equity To understand how money is actually created, you have to throw your economics textbooks away, and learn double-entry bookkeeping. Most people’s reactions to that are “Oh no, not boring accounting!” I’ll grant that accountants would be a lot cheaper if they charged by the joke rather than by the hour. But looking at the double-entry bookkeeping of money today is like looking down Galileo’s telescope 500 years ago: it shows you a view of the universe that, for most people, is a life-changing revelation. The basics of double-entry bookkeeping are that: · Your financial claims on other people are your Assets, other people’s financial claims on you are your Liabilities, and the difference between the two is your Equity (or net financial worth); and · You record all transactions twice, so that each transaction obeys the formula Assets minus Liabilities minus Equity equals Zero. I’ll start with how banks create money in this post. Consider a bank making a mortgage loan of $1 million to a customer. Table 1 shows the double-entry bookkeeping from the Bank’s point of view. Table 1: Bank money creation via a single housing loan, from the banking sector's point of view From the customer’s point of view, the sums are swapped: what was an Asset for the bank is a Liability for the customer, and vice versa, as Table 2: Bank money creation from the borrower’s point of view To use the same concept for the entire economy, I replace “Mortgage” with “Loans”, use the plural of Deposit and Bank, and, rather than using numbers (“+$1 million”), I use the word “Credit” to represent the annual change in Loans. This can be negative, if people in the aggregate are paying off debt rather than taking on new debt, but in a growing economy, this will normally be positive. I also add one more detail: the initial amounts in each of the three accounts. An essential detail here is that banks must be in positive equity: any bank whose short-term Liabilities exceeds its short-term Assets is bankrupt. So, using hypothetical numbers, the Banking Sector has Assets of $1 trillion and Liabilities of $900 billion, and is in positive equity to the tune of $100 billion. Table 3: Bank money creation at the macroeconomic level, from the Banking Sector’s point of view The situation is reversed for the Private non-banks—households and firms in this hypothetical example are in negative equity, to the tune of minus $100 billion. Table 4: Bank money creation at the macroeconomic level, from the non-Bank Private Sector’s point of view That’s the first revelation from the monetary telescope of double-entry bookkeeping: since the sum of all financial assets and liabilities is necessarily zero, in an economy with no government, the non-bank private sector is necessarily in negative financial equity. Though the non-bank private sector also owns non-financial assets—things like houses and factories that are assets to their owners and liabilities to no-one—it’s still an uncomfortable situation for the non-bank private sector to be in negative financial equity. Is there a solution? Yes: it’s called fiat money, and I’ll explain how it’s created in the next post in this series. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 27th, 2024 at 11:59am
(cont)
PART VI The meme that is destroying Western civilisation How government spending creates money. In the last post (Substack; Patreon), I showed how private banks create money, by marking up their Assets (Loans to the Private Sector) and their Liabilities (Deposits of the Private Sector) simultaneously. I also pointed out that in a pure private sector economy, since banks must be in positive financial equity, the private non-bank sector is necessarily in negative financial equity: in the aggregate, the private non-banking sector will have financial liabilities that exceed its financial assets. This isn’t an impossible situation: firms and households can service their debts, so long as the money they’ve borrowed into existence is used to create and sell goods and services that enable them to pay the interest on their debts. But it’s an uncomfortable situation: no-one likes having negative net financial worth. Is there a solution? Let’s look at the double-entry bookkeeping. If government spending exceeds taxation, we call the difference a Deficit. As I explained in the second post (Substack; Patreon): a Deficit increases the bank deposits of the private sector, so it adds to the money supply, just as new Credit money does. What it does differently is it doesn’t increase Loans on the Asset side of the banking sector’s ledger—which is what private bank lending does—but instead, it increases what are normally called Reserves (these are better described as “Settlement Accounts”, but I’ll stick with the Reserves name for now). This is shown in the final line in Table 1. Table 1: Bank Lending and a Government Deficit from the banking sector's point of view Table 2 shows the non-bank private sector’s perspective, and there are two essential differences between this system and the private-sector-only one shown in the second post (Substack; Patreon): · The non-bank private-sector’s financial equity is now a positive $100 billion, rather than the negative $100 billion of the private-banking-only system; and · Unlike a loan from a bank, the government deficit adds to the non-bank private sector’s net worth. This is obvious from the double-entry table for the non-bank private sector, as shown in Table 2. Its Assets—Bank Deposits—have risen by Deficit dollars per year; there is no offsetting Liability for the Deficit—unlike the situation for a bank loan; therefore, the Deficit has increased the net worth of the private sector. Table 2: Bank Lending and a Government Deficit from the non-bank private sector's point of view This is the exact opposite of what mainstream economists claim. Citing a first-year economics textbook—which is where most politicians and journalists learn what they think is sound economics—mainstream economics claims that a government deficit reduces national saving: "the government finances the additional spending … by reducing public saving. With private saving unchanged, this government borrowing reduces national saving". (Mankiw 2016, p. 73) Remarkably, this statement is half-right: it is true that a government deficit reduces public saving—as I’ll show in the next post. But Mankiw’s statement that private sector saving is unchanged by the deficit is false: the deficit increases private saving. He—and all other mainstream economists—get this wrong because they don’t check the double-entry bookkeeping, but instead draw silly supply and demand diagrams, and move the lines around the wrong way. In the next post in this series, I’ll show the government’s eye view of a deficit, using the only tool that makes sense of money creation: double-entry bookkeeping. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 27th, 2024 at 5:29pm
Re government subsidies for fossil fuels and gas exploration:
The Left ignore the fact that the gas industry is a source of much-needed government income (from royalties and economic activity). Even if you tax the fossil industry out of existance, what then? What is the source of future government income? That's why Labor is conflicted on the issue. Maybe they should authorize Treasury to create money out of thin air, to purchase resources which are available for purchase. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 28th, 2024 at 12:08pm
Venezuela explained:
Michael Roberts In 1970 Venezuela had become the richest country in the region and one of the 20 richest countries in the world, ahead of countries like Greece, Israel, and Spain. But this wealth was almost entirely based on one commodity, oil; Venezuela has some of the largest proved reserves in the world. Then came the downturn in the world economy during the 1970s. Between 1978 and 2001, Venezuela’s economy went sharply in reverse, with non-oil GDP declining by almost 19 percent and oil GDP by an astonishing 65 percent. Government revenues plummeted. A succession of corrupt pro-capitalist governments came and went. There was a growing movement to end this nightmare among sections of the military, intelligentsia and the organized working class. This eventually led to Hugo Chavez gaining power and attempting to switch the country’s resources from the rich towards the poor. To begin with, as oil prices rose, Chávez presided over years of robust and sustained economic growth in Venezuela, averaging 4.5 percent a year from 2005-2013. Chávez reasserted state control over the state oil company, PDVSA, and directed enhanced oil revenues to the poor, with Venezuela’s social spending doubling between 1998 and 2011. The government used price controls, direct state provisioning through newly created missions and subsidies into health care, education, social services, housing, utilities, basic goods and other economic sectors. This helped bring about major social gains. Poverty was nearly halved between 2003 and 2011, with extreme poverty cut by 71 percent. School enrollments rose and university enrollments more than doubled, with unemployment cut in half. Child malnutrition was cut by nearly 40 percent, and Venezuela’s pension rolls quadrupled. Inequality declined steeply, with Venezuela’s gini coefficient of inequality dropping a full tenth of a point, from 0.5 to 0.4 from the early to late 2000s. By 2012 (and through 2015), Venezuela had become Latin America’s most equal country. But Chavez’s programme was one of redistribution of the value gained by Venezuela’s non-oil capitalist sector, the oil industry and multi-nationals. The ownership and production of the non-oil sectors was not brought under state control to plan the economy. Víctor Álvarez, an economist who was part of the government under Chávez, notes that private industry actually increased under Chávez, despite the government nationalizing a number of important industries. Most important, Chávez failed to wean Venezuela from oil dependency, with the percentage of government export revenues derived from oil increasing from 67 percent in 1998 to 96 percent in 2016. This was nothing new. Venezuela was not able either before or after Chavez to change this one-trick pony economy. This was not the case to some extent in other energy-rich economies like Mexico and Indonesia. Their non-oil export sectors grew somewhat to compensate for any decline of oil export revenues, even if those sectors were dominated by multi-nationals from the US and Japan. Venezuela’s growth rate of non-oil exports is just one-sixth that of Mexico and one-fourth that of Indonesia. Venezuela’s participation in non-energy-intensive sectors has not increased since the early 1990s. Between 1999 and 2012 the state had an income of $383bn from oil, due not only to the improvement in prices, but also to the increase in the oil royalties paid by the transnationals. However, this income was not used transform the productive sectors of the economy. There was no plan for investment and growth. Venezuelan capital was allowed to get on with it – or not as the case may be. Indeed, the share of non-oil industry in GDP fell from 18% of GDP in 1998 to 14% in 2012. The good years came to an end when oil prices started to fall. Oil exports fell by $2,200 per capita from 2012 to 2016, of which $1,500 was due to the decline in oil prices. This situation worsened just as Maduro took over in 2014 when oil prices declined by nearly 75% in a matter of months. Although oil prices began recovering in 2017 and output stabilized in other oil producers, it did not in Venezuela – because that was the year that sanctions by the US and other countries were imposed. Between 1999 and 2012 the state had an income of $383bn from oil, due not only to the improvement in prices, but also to the increase in the oil royalties paid by the transnationals. However, this income was not used transform the productive sectors of the economy. There was no plan for investment and growth. Venezuelan capital was allowed to get on with it – or not as the case may be. Indeed, the share of non-oil industry in GDP fell from 18% of GDP in 1998 to 14% in 2012. The good years came to an end when oil prices started to fall. Oil exports fell by $2,200 per capita from 2012 to 2016, of which $1,500 was due to the decline in oil prices. This situation worsened just as Maduro took over in 2014 when oil prices declined by nearly 75% in a matter of months. Although oil prices began recovering in 2017 and output stabilized in other oil producers, it did not in Venezuela – because that was the year that sanctions by the US and other countries were imposed. (cont) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 28th, 2024 at 12:15pm
Venezuela explained (cont)
The coming to power of Chavez had threatened capitalist interests in Venezuela and blocked US multi-national investment, unlike in Mexico. So the US aim was to bring down the Chavista regime. The US barred oil purchases, froze government bank accounts, prohibited the country from issuing new debt, and seized tankers bound for Venezuela. This decimated Venezuela’s oil export and stopped the government from re-investing in oil technology. The US did not stop there. They decided to ‘recognize’ a so-called interim government in opposition to the Maduro government and transferred to it control over Venezuela’s offshore assets. Doing so blocked Venezuela from accessing its US refineries, or obtaining financing from multilateral organizations, or even using most of its international reserves. Then the US attempted to foment a military coup and tried what turned out to be a tragicomic sea invasion by US mercenaries. In this period, Venezuela saw a 65 percent decline in the number of correspondent banks that were willing to process international transactions and a 99 percent decline in the value of those transactions between 2011 and 2019. This meant that Venezuela’s private sector was less able to engage in international trade or payments. In many ways, Venezuela has been in a worse position than Cuba. The attempted destruction of the Cuban economy comes from outside, from the US. But there are no serious opposition forces inside. But Maduro has faced waves of opposition intransigence and violence, often inspired by US agencies. Maduro has responded with repression, directed not only against the elites in the opposition, but often also against the popular sectors that formed Chávez’s core support base. The Maduro government started to rack up huge foreign debts to try and sustain living standards. Venezuela is now the world’s most indebted country. No country has a larger public external debt as a share of GDP or of exports or faces higher debt service as a share of exports. From 2014 to 2021, Venezuela suffered one of the worst economic crises in modern history. The economy contracted by 86 percent. Poverty rose to an estimated 96 percent in 2019. Inflation reached an absurd level of 350,000 percent that same year. In 2018 nearly a third of the population suffered undernourishment. And roughly a quarter of Venezuelans have since fled in an unprecedented migration that now exceeds 7.7 million. Right-wing pro-capitalist economists tell us that Venezuela shows that ‘socialism’ does not work. But the lesson of the history of Venezuela in the 21st century is not the failure of ‘socialism’, it is the failure to end the control of capital in a weak (an increasingly isolated) capitalist country with apparently only one asset, oil. There was no investment in the people, their skills, no development of new industries and the raising of technology – that was left to the capitalist sector. And there was no involvement of the people through independent organisations from below to check the government’s corruption and direct its policies against US sanctions and the disruption of Venezuela’s elite. As there was no move to socialist investment in the economy, Venezuelan capitalism was tied only to the profitability of the energy sector, which was in a death spiral after the collapse of oil prices and US sanctions. The gains for the working class achieved under Chavez have now dissipated. While the majority struggle to survive, many at the top of the Maduro government are as comfortable as the Venezuelan capitalists and their supporters who are trying to bring the government down. The Maduro government now relies increasingly not on the support of the working class but on the armed forces. And the government looks after them well. The military can buy in exclusive markets (for example, on military bases), have privileged access to loans and purchases of cars and departments, and receive substantial salary increases. They have also won lucrative contracts, exploiting exchange controls and subsidies, for example, selling cheap gasoline purchased in neighbouring countries with huge profits. Since the end of the COVID pandemic slump and the consequent huge rise in energy prices Venezuela’s economy has improved slightly. The Council on Foreign Relations reports economic growth of 8 percent in 2022, 4 percent in 2023, and estimates that it will be 4.5 percent this year. And the rise in energy prices after the pandemic prompted the US to offer a deal to Maduro to allow ‘fair’ elections in return for the relative easing of US sanctions. As a result, inflation has dropped to a still very high 55%. But this small improvement probably comes too late and too little to avoid electoral defeat for Maduro. Maduro currently faces drug trafficking and corruption charges in the US and is under investigation for crimes against humanity by the International Criminal Court. If the opposition does clinch victory, a transition period of six months is likely to include an intense negotiation around amnesty for Maduro and members of his government, which people say he is certain to require ahead of any potential handover. The election result is still unclear and what happens afterwards even more so. Despite the state of the economy and the conditions for working people, there is still a large body of latent support for the Chavista legacy, but this election could be the end game |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 29th, 2024 at 6:06pm
from Microsoft News:
Court case over Glencore's Great Artesian Basin carbon capture storage plan ends A Queensland farming group that took the federal government to court over a carbon storage project in the Great Artesian Basin says the case will not proceed after the parties struck an agreement. Lobby group AgForce challenged Environment Minister Tanya Plibersek's 2022 decision to exclude mining giant Glencore's carbon capture and storage (CCS) project from assessment under the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Act. Why did Pilbersek do that? Answer: because the government wants the money and jobs created by the fossil industry. It's time for the Oz Treasury to create money (Oz dollars) out of thin air, to purchase available resources required for transition to the green economy. Just sayin'. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Jul 30th, 2024 at 8:58pm Jul 20, 2024 The Congressional Budget Office has admitted that the US national debt cannot be repaid. So what's the solution from the US Government and Federal Reserve, will this weigh on the election, and what will the result be for the stock market? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iK5dpPzjaPA |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 31st, 2024 at 11:46am Bobby. wrote on Jul 30th, 2024 at 8:58pm:
Good post. But the Oz government can't raise the below-poverty level dole, or fund sufficient public housing, BECAUSE it is lowering taxes AND producing surpluses to pay off debt. Like the loser Rachel Reeves who is now claiming the government's coffers are empty, so she can't reduce child poverty in the UK - disgraceful in a wealthy country like the UK. So she's as useless as the Conservatives she replaced - confirming the absolute fraud of democracy. Fact is a currency-issuing government doesn't NEED to borrow (sell bonds), it needs to increase productivity. I think Trump knows this, which is why he doesn't talk about debt and deficits, except when the 'debt ceiling' has to be raised to prevent a government shut-down - the false mainstream narrative. The US might eventually prove the mainstream narrative is wrong, given the US can never repay its debt without going into recession. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 1st, 2024 at 10:09am
(following previous post)
Tweet from Stephanie Kelton: "I don’t rule out a recession. But I think Mosler has a really good point here. It’s exceedingly difficult to have one when the government is on net adding almost $2 trillion in financial assets to the non-government sector every year. That’s what deficits are." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 2nd, 2024 at 12:57pm
More on government imposed 'austerity':
Scotonomics: Why 'fiscal rules' equals austerity By William Thomson. It's been only 24 hours since Rachel Reeves (Treasurer of the new UK Labour party) announced she had to make some “incredibly hard choices” as she withdrew investment from English public infrastructure and removed the winter heating allowance from millions of pensioners. Richard Murphy, as usual, summed up things wonderfully, suggesting that rephrasing a famous Keynes quote (he said "anything we can do we can afford") was the least of Reeves’s economic crimes. Whereas the "darling" of many a Scottish and UK politician, Paul Johnson, director of the “independent” IFS (Institute for Fiscal Studies) wrote on Twitter/X: “Getting rid of Winter Fuel Payment. That is a saving of £1.5bn. A sensible choice”. (my comment ..I hope he freezes to death next winter ....) Maybe the SNP will now think twice about framing the IFS, a deeply orthodox think tank, as the authoritative economic voice? So I decided to zoom out on this first step back on the austerity treadmill. Most people think that the austerity project started in the UK and across Europe as a response to the 2008 bank bailouts. If you are one of those, you are a little bit off—by around 85 years. American economist Clara Mattei spent tireless months trawling the archives of the Bank of England and the Bank of Italy to unearth the birth of austerity as a political reaction to the alternative economic models that blossomed across Italy and the UK after the end of the First World War. Following the horror of the war, the British and Italian governments promised to build more new homes, introduce universal education, and support worker involvement and ownership of production. Austerity was created to take back control. As Clara writes, austerity “is capitalism's protector’. And who leads the charge? Economists like Rachel Reeves. Hiding behind “objective economic science,” our Chancellor ("treasurer") and the Government she serves can frame deeply political decisions as some kind of economic fact. There is a hole to fill, so we have to cut our cloth/spend within our means/make difficult decisions, etc, as if this is the only option. However, this is a complete fabrication of our economic reality. Austerity was, and still is, medicine only for the poorest in society. At no point in its 100-year history has austerity meant we were all in it together. In her book, The Capital Order, which I highly recommend, Clara explains that austerity takes three forms: Fiscal, industrial, and monetary. Each reinforces the other to reduce the consumption and power of workers while re-establishing the wealth and power of the wealthiest in society. And we see this unveiled by our new Chancellor. A reduction in welfare (fiscal), cancelling infrastructure projects (industrial) and maintaining high interest rates (monetary). A playbook that is more than a century old. This time, it plays out under the guise of "fiscal rules". The UK’s totally unscientific and totally arbitrary fiscal rules say that government debt should fall as a percentage of GDP in the final year of a five-year forecast, and the annual budget deficit should not be more than 3% of GDP over the same time period. There is also a particular nefarious welfare cap, which almost guarantees that is where the axe falls first. These are the rules of the game, and they completely alter the way you manage the economy. They are also only supported by one bunch of economists. They are dismissed by many economic schools of thought. If you understand the impact of the rules – most commentators and politicians don’t – you are almost guaranteed austerity unless the UK experiences significant above-trend real economic growth, which is not going to happen, as we detailed here, or the UK miraculously turns into a trading powerhouse. So, it's far from a caveat. Austerity is assured because the Government is trying to create a surplus or at least a balanced budget: This is the point of the rules. Let me say it as clearly as I can: Fiscal rules = austerity. If you support fiscal rules that lead to a government surplus or a balanced budget over a five-year period, you support austerity. Our representatives will have a hard time acknowledging this, especially those calling out “austerity” while supporting fiscal rules. Here’s looking at you, Scottish Government! The Building a New Scotland: A Stronger Economy with Independence paper includes this line: “We would set out clear fiscal rules” (based on the false government as household analogy). This means austerity in exactly the same way as we will experience under Labour or the Tories as part of the UK. All the comments by Scottish politicians around austerity fail to notice this economic fact. The Government deficit allows the foreign and private sectors to run a surplus. When you understand that a government deficit creates a private-sector surplus, you can not fail to notice that a fall in government spending equals a fall in the private sector's assets. High interest rates protect the assets of the already wealthy, so the axe falls on the rest of us. Labour, Tory and the SNP support fiscal rules. We can argue about the stupidity of who said what and when. The main takeaway is that we aren’t discussing surely the most important point: 'fiscal responsibility' |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 5th, 2024 at 1:45pm
'Today's Rotherham riot made me feel broken - but nowhere is as broken as our country'
Mirror reporter Lucy Thornton has told of her heartbreak at witnessing rioters target the Holiday Inn Express in Rotherham and set it alight. Meanwhile the ignorant dummy Reeves has said she can't fix "our broken country" and reduce child poverty in the UK, because "there's a hole in the budget" - blaming the Tories. Damned lies: the UK Treasury can't run out of British Pounds. A pox on both Parties' houses. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 8th, 2024 at 8:49pm
Daily Mail
Majority of people now say it's impossible to achieve American Dream The percentage of Americans in middle-class households fell from 61 percent in 1971 to 51 percent in 2023, per the study, However, these jobs have shifted toward lower-paying service industries with fewer benefits and weaker worker protections. Ney argues that the rise of China's manufacturing and exports hasn't been balanced by job growth in other sectors, leading to a net loss of opportunities for American workers. The decline of the American middle class isn't just about wages. Automation has also eliminated many jobs that once provided a secure path to the middle class, as Jeremy Ney points out. This is evident despite a seemingly positive rise in median income for middle-class households (from $66,400 in 1970 to $106,100 in 2022). But the bigger picture shows a shrinking share of total U.S. household income held by the middle class. The income gap between classes has widened dramatically, and upper-income households saw a much steeper increase in median income (78 percent from 1970 to 2022) compared to lower-income households (only a 55 percent increase). In the 1970s, the middle class held the majority of U.S. household incomes at 62 percent. Today, their share has shrunk to just 4 percent. Conversely, the upper class has significantly grown its wealth, increasing its share of income from 29 percent to 48 percent. Lower-income households haven't seen a substantial change in their portion of the pie. Will Harris reverse these unsustainable trends? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 8th, 2024 at 9:23pm
The 'quality' of debate in the US:
Daily Mail Trump's huge $1.8 trillion tax cut to win an essential group of voters When asked about the cost of the proposal in a recent interview on Fox Business, Trump dismissed concerns. He said the pressing deadline for addressing Social Security would force Congress to act. "Well, you know, one of the things good about that is that's when people will make a deal, you know that, but we're going to take care of Social Security", the ex-president said. DailyMail.com reached out to the Trump campaign for details on how the former president would want to replace the lost revenue and ensure the trust funds do not dry up. No answer..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 11th, 2024 at 11:08am
cont.
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-meme-that-is-destroying-western-957?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=146464279&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&triedRedirect=true The meme that is destroying Western civilisation Part VII What government deficits do to government finances In the last post (Substack; Patreon), I showed that a government Deficit increases the net worth of the private sector: if government spending exceeds taxation, then the non-bank private sector’s Asset of Deposit accounts rise, with no offsetting Liabilities. Therefore, a Deficit increases the net Equity of the private sector. But what does it do to the government? Double-entry bookkeeping helps you work this out. Table 1 and Table 2 show the Banking Sector’s and the Private Sector's positions, and they also show what’s not yet complete with the model. Both Loans and Deposits are shown twice, once as Assets and once as Liabilities, so their bookkeeping is complete. But Reserves are shown only once, as an Asset of the Banking Sector. So we need to add another table in which they are a Liability. Table 1: Bank Lending and a Government Deficit from the banking sector's point of view Table 2: Bank Lending and a Government Deficit from the non-bank private sector's point of view That’s the Central Bank’s Table, the first cut of which—without completing the double-entry—is shown in Table 3. To complete it, we have to add an entry on the “Spending minus Taxation” line that fulfils the accounting formula Assets minus Liabilities minus Equity equals Zero. Table 3: The Central Bank's as yet incomplete table To do this, we need to add another Liability for the Central Bank: the Treasury’s account at the Central Bank, known as the “Consolidated Revenue Fund”. The funds that increase Reserves come out of this account, as shown in Table 4. Including its initial value in the system shows that the Central Bank’s Equity position is strongly negative—before I introduce Treasury Bond purchases in a subsequent post (Central Banks are in a different legal situation to private banks, and can function in negative equity—see the Bank of England paper “Accounting in central banks”). Table 4: The Central Bank's table before considering bond sales The model is still incomplete, because we’re showing the Treasury CRF as a Liability, but not yet as an Asset. This shows that we need one more table—for the Treasury itself. This is Table 5. Table 5: The Treasury's table before considering bond sales We can now explain how the government creates “fiat money”—as opposed to the “credit money” created by the banks. The Treasury goes into negative financial equity, which creates an identical magnitude of positive financial equity for the non-bank private sector, in the form of new money in private sector Deposit accounts. The fall in government financial equity—which we can call “reducing public saving”—causes an identical rise in the private sector’s financial equity, which we can call “increasing private saving”. The sum of the two is zero, so they’re like two sides of a seesaw: if one goes down, the other must go up by an identical amount. Mainstream economists get this wrong because they don’t check the accounting, leading to statements like this in mainstream economics textbooks that befuddle the minds of our politicians and media: the government finances the additional spending … by reducing public saving. With private saving unchanged, this government borrowing reduces national saving. (Mankiw 2016, p. 73) Why don’t they study the accounting and correct this mistake? Because they don’t want to know! The belief that money is “neutral”—that it doesn’t affect real economic activity—is so ingrained into them, that acknowledging the real situation would undermine their entire paradigm. This is why I’ve taken to describing the mainstream as not “Neoclassical Economists”, but “Ptolemaic Economists” (with apologies to Ptolemaic Astronomers, whose models of the Solar System were far more capable of predicting the future location of planets than Neoclassical economists are capable of predicting the future of the economy). They have a persuasive but structurally totally false model of the economy, and, just as Galileo found with Ptolemaic astronomers and his telescope, Neoclassical economists refuse to look down “the accounting telescope” to see what the actual structure of the economy is. As is so typical of humans, they would almost (?) rather die than change their beliefs. But isn’t there something wrong about the government deliberately going into negative equity? Shouldn’t a responsible government always be in positive financial equity? I’ll consider this issue in the next post. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 15th, 2024 at 11:43am
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2024/08/14/bangladesh-the-global-south-debt-crisis-intensifies/
Bangladesh: the ‘Global South’ debt crisis intensifies The overthrow of the Sheikh Hasina’s dictatorial government in Bangladesh by students and the populace last week is a startling outcome of the economic nightmare that many so-called developing economies are experiencing now: stagnant trade, rising debt interest costs and severe austerity being imposed by the IMF and private capital in return for ‘financial aid’. Bangladesh was regarded as an economic success story up to the government’s fall – at least in the Western media and among mainstream economists. The IMF was forecasting that Bangladesh’s GDP would soon exceed that of (tiny) Denmark or Singapore. Its GDP per person was already bigger than neighbouring India’s. The country’s average GDP growth over the past decade, according to government statistics, was around 6.6%. As late as April this year, the World Bank reckoned that Bangladesh would grow by 5.6% this year, led by its highly successful garment industry, which relies on cheap labour sweat shops to gain market share globally. It accounts for more than 80% of the country’s exports. The government was forecasting that by 2025, Bangladeshi factories would produce 10% of the world’s apparel. But beneath the surface, the rise of the economy was based on faltering profitability for Bangladesh capital. The relative recovery in profitability after the global Great Recession of 2008-9 began to reverse from 2013, leading up to the pandemic slump in 2020. The crisis came quickly this year. Within weeks of the World Bank’s’ optimistic April report, the reality emerged: the economy was deteriorating fast. Huge infrastructure projects were failing and eating into resources, riddled as they were by corruption. Rising interest costs on borrowing, higher inflation and falling export demand drove many companies into default with over $20bn in ‘non-performing loans’. The government handed out huge subsidies (billions) to private companies to ensure electricity coverage in the country. The rich shareholders prospered and took the opportunity to siphon their wealth out of the country; while remittances from Bangladeshis working abroad fell back. ..showing the evil and dysfunction of debt-based global finance. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 15th, 2024 at 11:55am
Meanwhile, in Argentina, under the 'genius' mainstream 'economist' Milei ("cut governement spending"):
https://apnews.com/article/argentina-milei-economy-austerity-government-protest-unions-libertarian-9cd7a38cce50221598c69764fc951b69# As President Milei’s austerity hits hard, jobless Argentines appeal to the patron saint of work ...mainstream economics forcing people to resort to ancient Catholic mythlogies re saints.... Deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 20th, 2024 at 9:11pm
Foreseeable....:
(Metro News) Keir Starmer's popularity takes a dip just six weeks after the election The British public is a little less keen on Sir Keir Starmer and his Labour cabinet after six weeks of them being in power, a new poll has found. Since the election on July 4, the prime minister’s net approval has dipped from plus seven to zero, with the same percentage (38%) of people having a favourable and unfavourable view of him. The net approval rating for Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner was minus three, while Home Secretary Yvette Cooper is on minus five and Chancellor Rachel Reeves is on minus eight. .... So the mainstream economist Reeves is the most unpopular, after saying she has discovered a "big hole" in the public finances, and can't "afford" to help people with the changes which Labour promised in the election. That's because she's another neoliberal 'balanced budget' fraud, and deserves her low approval ratings (though the public doesn't understand the fraud being practiced on them by mainstream economics). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 24th, 2024 at 1:51pm
Summary (after 950 pages):
If you understand how money is created, you can understand how a currency-issuing government (with a treasury, and non-independent central bank) can purchase the goods and services needed to implement public sector policy (as voted by the electorate, in a democracy), when those goods and services are available for purchase, wihout taxing or borrowing from the private sector (you and me, private businesses, etc). Ideally, in a mandated full employment (ie using all available resources), zero interest rate scenario, inflation will be controlled by price controls and rationing if necessary, to obviate the need for the blunt tool of central bank monetary policy intervention - always damaging to some sectors of the economy. [International trade will need to be a consideration for each currency-issuing government; the goal is to eliminate enforced government 'austerity' which is the consequence of seeking to reduce taxes and debt, as per the mainstream neoclassical "balanced budget" narrative. Hence a revamped IMF will be necessary, ie, one which is dedicated to overseeing a fair distribution of resources among nations, rather than burdening developing nations with unpayable debt, as at present]. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by aquascoot on Aug 24th, 2024 at 4:59pm
are you the treasurer of the failed socialst state of venezuela or the failed socialist state of somalia ::) ::) ::) ::) ::) ::) ::) ::) ::) ::) ::)
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by aquascoot on Aug 24th, 2024 at 4:59pm
socialism still beguiled leading intellectuals and politicians of the West. They could not resist its siren song, of a world without strife because it was a world without private property. They were convinced that a bureaucracy could make more-informed decisions about the welfare of a people than the people themselves could. They believed, with John Maynard Keynes, that “the state is wise and the market is stupid.”
Israel, India, and the United Kingdom all adopted socialism as an economic model following World War II. The preamble to India’s constitution, for example, begins, “We, the People of India, having solemnly resolved to constitute India into a Sovereign Socialist Secular Democratic Republic . . .” The original settlers of Israel were East European Jews of the Left who sought and built a socialist society. As soon as the guns of World War II fell silent, Britain’s Labour Party nationalized every major industry and acceded to every socialist demand of the unions. At first, socialism seemed to work in these vastly dissimilar countries. For the first two decades of its existence, Israel’s economy grew at an annual rate of more than 10 percent, leading many to term Israel an “economic miracle.” The average GDP growth rate of India from its founding in 1947 into the 1970s was 3.5 percent, placing India among the more prosperous developing nations. GDP growth in Great Britain averaged 3 percent from 1950 to 1965, along with a 40 percent rise in average real wages, enabling Britain to become one of the world’s more affluent countries. But the government planners were unable to keep pace with increasing population and overseas competition. After decades of ever declining economic growth and ever rising unemployment, all three countries abandoned socialism and turned toward capitalism and the free market. The resulting prosperity in Israel, India, and the U.K. vindicated free-marketers who had predicted that socialism would inevitably fail to deliver the goods. As British prime minister Margaret Thatcher observed, “the problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people’s money.” |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 25th, 2024 at 11:04am aquascoot wrote on Aug 24th, 2024 at 4:59pm:
No; those countries didn't follow the important point I mentioned in 'summary': "... when those goods and services are available for purchase" ie, purchase by the currency-issuing government. Think again..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 25th, 2024 at 11:41am aquascoot wrote on Aug 24th, 2024 at 4:59pm:
Yes, because frequent market failure, cost of living crises, and periodic recessions badly affect less well-off citizens. Quote:
Keynes of course developed his economic policies largely in reaction to the Great Depression, which was largely a faiure of finance systems. The important take from Keynes today is his famous remark: "if the (currency-issuing) nation can build it, the nation can afford it". Quote:
A correct analysis, except for "planners couldn't keep pace with increasing population" - which is nonsense, planners can always plan for increasing population. Quote:
Wrong on a number of counts; the apparent 'failure' of the Keynesian welfare state in the West happened quickly in the 70's, (not decades) due to the Arab oil embargo which caused inflation in the West, and a simultaneous loss of industry to low wage Asia, cuasing an increase in unemployment (in the West) Quote:
Wrong again: the "prosperity" wasn't evenly shared as many communities sank into '1st world rust belt' status. Quote:
Yet taxes on the rich have been reduced since the introduction of the post-Thatcher neoliberal era, which is why inequality is now soaring, and the West (and the entire globe) is suffering a cost of living crisis courtesy of your "capitalist" free market dogma. As for taxes, I'm here to tell you currency-issuing governments don't need your taxes, when the goods and services the government needs are available for purchase by the government. See the next post re Starmer's lies - he's turning out to be as useless as an ashtray on a motor bike. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 25th, 2024 at 11:57am
Daily Mail
Keir Starmer: Things will only get WORSE... before they get better Sir Keir Starmer will this week warn of more pain to come as he claims that the state of modern Britain is 'worse than we ever imagined'**. In his first major speech since entering No 10, the Prime Minister will say that 'things will get worse before they get better'. And he will claim as well as inheriting a £22 billion blackhole from the Tories, Labour had also been left a 'societal blackhole'. But Sir Keir will vow not to 'shy away from making unpopular decisions' to restore the country, and fix the 'rot' left by the Tories. Last night Labour sources denied that was code for punishing tax hikes expected in this Autumn's Budget, saying the PM was 'trying to be honest that the change people voted for will take time'. However, Tory party chairman Richard Fuller accused the Prime Minister of 'fabricating' financial problems 'to con the public into accepting tax increases'. The PM's keynote speech will come one week before Parliament returns after its Summer recess. See the silly political games? The Conservatives (who can look after themselves) want low taxes, and hence low government spending to ensure balanced budgets; and indeed everyone wants low taxes - so Starmer is forced into lying that he can bring about the changes the people voted for, without increasing government spending and raisng taxes. Deplorable. The solution to ending those silly political games - beloved of wellpaid politicians on both sides - is revealed in these pages. ** aquascoot thinks things are just dandy.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 26th, 2024 at 11:13am
The real culprits behind the democratic dysfunction afflicting the entire world: mainstream economists (in this case, Saul Estlake):
AAP Labor warns of budget chaos as premier seeks new deal The chaos of Tasmania's government will lead to "economic destruction" if a new deal cannot be reached with two newly independent MPs before the state budget, Labor has warned. Braddon MP Miriam Beswick and Bass MP Rebekah Pentland declared on Sunday they will sign a new agreement guaranteeing supply and confidence to the government after they were expelled from the network founded by Tasmanian senator Jacqui Lambie. The pair are among the crossbenchers Jeremy Rockliff's minority Liberal government relies on to stay in power after the March election. "We are committed to providing the certainty and stability Tasmania deserves," they said. But Labor Opposition Leader Dean Winter said the premier needs to get the new agreement sorted as quickly as possible, ahead of the state budget. "The Liberal-Lambie coalition is already in tatters four months after it was formed and instability like this is very bad for the economy," he told reporters on Sunday. "Minority governments are bad for the economy...This is what it looks like; it looks like chaos, it looks like economic destruction." A condition of the Jacqui Lambie Network agreeing to work with the Liberal government, in power since 2014, was a deal for an independent report into the state's finances. Economist Saul Eslake's analysis painted a bleak picture of the state's budget and found the Liberal government was "entirely to blame" for Tasmania's economic deterioration. He estimated net debt would rise to more than $16 billion in 2034/35, more than 25 per cent of gross state product, unless tax reform is implemented. There you have it: a dumb, blind economist urging "tax reform", when everyone knows taxes are anathema to politicians who want to get elected - which is why the decade-old Henry tax reform proposals have been ignored by successive governments. Winter of course has no proposals of his own, other than urging the disillusioned electorate to put him into power... The government is due to respond when the budget is delivered on September 12. Mr Winter, who replaced Rebecca White as state Labor leader in April, also criticised the broader political instability under Mr Rockliff's government, saying "no one wants an early election". "Jeremy is a nice guy, but this is getting ridiculous," he said. "Tasmania is not even due for the (next) election yet and the Premier's Liberal-Lambie coalition has already imploded." And we still don't know how Winter will fix flat-earth-economist Eslake's $16 billion hole....which the Oz Treasury can eliminate with the stroke of a pen.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 28th, 2024 at 11:02am
Evil, sneaky Tory bastards:
(Daily Mail) Sir Keir Starmer accused of plotting tax raid on the middles classes Last night Tory leadership contender Kemi Badenoch said: 'Keir Starmer is taking the British public for fools, but his dishonest analysis won't wash. He campaigned on promises he couldn't deliver and now he is being found out. 'They are prioritising the demands of their trade union paymasters over investment in public services. But, like all Labour governments, they will eventually run out of money – paving the way for a tax raid on the middle classes.' Notice - no mention of a "tax raid" on the wealthy, at a time of inadequate public spending and soaring inequality. So the "middle classes" have to fight amongst themselves: Unite general secretary Sharon Graham said: 'We need change. A bleak vision of Britain is not what we need now. It is time to see the change that Labour promised.' Referencing Labour's unpopular decision to strip ten million pensioners of their winter fuel payments, she warned: 'We should not pit pensioners against workers. That is not a choice that should be on the table.' Correct, the choice should be increasing taxes on the top 20% of incomes, plus wealth taxes. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 29th, 2024 at 2:57pm
So, since politicians don't like raising taxes (because we are all self-interested, and those who can look after themselves don't like paying increased taxes), how can government adequately fund public education, public hospitals and public housing (to deal with unaffordable private sector housing)?
[Note: the current controversy about caps on overseas students for Oz universities has arisen because the federal government abandoned funding unis 5 decades ago, and allowed the fake education "export industry " to fill the gap. Oz should be educating its own students, not fee-paying overseas students who increase demand on rent and infrastructure in Oz, causing inflation]. One method: The government funds unis with money issued by the Oz Treasury, the legal currency-issuer in Oz. Then limit uni intake to students who have the ability to succeed at the tertiary level, no fees required; overseas students limited by available places in Oz. Control housing and rent prices, and other prices of essential utilities to control inflation, obviating the need for CB interest rate rises (the blunt tool weilded by CBs aka "monetary policy"). Fund sufficient schools and hospitals (and teachers and medical staff) via attractive fixed price contracts (aka wages), thereby eliminating inflation relating to public sector activity. Another method: The Greens propose raising taxes, despite it being anathema to politicians who have to win government (as noted above). ie, sufficiently tax big companies and the wealthy; - but both scream the economy will collapse if they have to pay more tax; and being powerful influencers and donators to governments, they win the day. [Would the population elect enough Greens in the Senate to force a minority Labor government to raise sufficient taxes, which is the Greens strategy? Or would Labor side with the Coalition's low tax regime in the Senate....] Method three: the status quo. Bumble along with widespread community dissatisfaction and disillusionment with politics, caused by inadequate public housing, public education and public hospitals. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 30th, 2024 at 11:18am
Right on cue:
(Daily Mail) Fury at Keir Starmer's threat of capital gains tax raid A feared rise in capital gains tax would be 'the final nail in the coffin' for private landlords already struggling with high charges and red tape, industry figures warned today. Capital gains tax is charged on the profit made from financial investments such as shares or buy to let properties, with rates set at between 10 and 28 per cent. But with Labour vowing to avoid rises in income tax, national insurance and VAT , there are fears Chancellor Rachel Reeves could bring the levy in line with income tax rates, which would hike the upper band to 45 per cent. Andy Partoon, who is from Solihull and has 25 years' experience as a landlord, said any rise in capital gains tax would serve yet another blow to the private rented sector. He told MailOnline: 'Labour has been talking about rent caps and the repealing of Section 21 evictions. On top of stamp duty and all the other red tape, an increase to capital gains tax would be another nail in the coffin for the buy to let market. 'People don't want to become landlords any more, which is bad for renters. Why on earth would you want to when you face so many charges and red tape, and don't even have control over your own property?' Yeh yeh; rent-seekers bleating about financial hardship when the private housing market, both re prices and rents, are unaffordable for low wage earners. The outcome of the Thatcher/Reagan "small government" ideology; houses are for living in - a human right - not for investment vehicles. But governments abandoned public housing because taxation was spurned by "small government" ideologues, now the chickens are conmg home to roost. Parties of the Left need to start reversing soaring inequality, and tax wealth. Meanwhile the CBA chief says the Greens' proposal to tax massive company profits is "populist", proving both rent seekers and company bosses don't want to pay more tax. So governments reside over ever-declining public services, as private sector self-interest reigns supreme. Deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 31st, 2024 at 10:24am
A classic case of politicians' ignorance of economics aided and abetted by mainstream flat-earth neoclassical economists (plus Trump's 'inimitable' style):
(microsoft news) Donald Trump shares bizarre reason why people don’t want to eat bacon anymore Donald Trump shared his bizarre reason why people don’t want to eat bacon anymore. The former US president said wind power is stopping people from eating bacon after he delivered a campaign speech in Wisconsin on Thursday (29 August). Trump gave his comments to a young rally-goer asking what his plan is, "to make life more affordable and bring down inflation for someone like me." Trump launched into what one critic denounced as a "word salad” and said: “You take a look at bacon and some of these products, and some people don’t eat bacon anymore.” ....... I suppose Donald was trying to say renewables raise the cost of energy - and bacon; so a return to fossils is the way to bring down inflation....stuff the legally-binding international Paris Agreement. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 7th, 2024 at 4:50pm
To recap: the ancient authority - to create money - originally claimed by the state, is now reserved for private money lenders (commerical banks) representing the world's financial elites.
It's time for the public sector, via national treasuries, to reclaim the authority. Treasury officials can avoid inflation via continuous monitoring of the nation's available resouces and productive capacity. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 8th, 2024 at 1:04pm
https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2024/04/01/alan-kohler-monetary-theory
Alan Kohler: Modern Monetary Theory has become modern fiscal practice Apr 01, 2024, updated Mar 31, 2024 A few years ago everybody was talking about Modern Monetary Theory, both ardently for and scornfully against, but nobody was doing it. Now everybody is doing it but hardly anybody is talking about it, apart from American economist Stephanie Kelton, promoting a film on the subject. Doing what, exactly? Governments are showing by their deeds that deficits and debt don’t matter. Global government debt has hit a record high of $US82 trillion, more than double what it was before the GFC, and no sign of slowing since the end of the pandemic. The world’s governments, in aggregate, haven’t managed a surplus for 20 years, and even then, it was small and brief. MMT is not mentioned by name, but its prime heresy – that deficits don’t matter – has become gospel. Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers will soon announce his second surplus, but the government’s long-term forecasts show a return to deficits that last at least 10 years. If they thought it mattered, politically or economically, they wouldn’t. In the United States the Congressional Budget Office is also projecting deficits forever, with endlessly rising government debt. There is no serious objection to this, but there hasn’t been a mass public conversion to MMT, so what’s changed? The reasons against Three things: First, the pandemic revealed (again) the power of fiscal policy along with the fact that those particular deficits, at least, not only didn’t matter they were essential; second, Japan has shown that you can go for decades, and counting, with deficits and rising debt, and third, the baby boomer retirement bulge is forcing governments to confront the idea that balanced budgets are impossible, so they have given up trying. The last of those is the most important. As BlackRock CEO Larry Fink wrote in his annual letter to shareholders last week: “It’s not just that more people are retiring … it’s also that their retirements are increasing in length. Today, if you’re married and both you and your spouse are over the age of 65, there’s a 50-50 chance at least one of you will be receiving a social security cheque until you’re 90.” On top of that the cost of climate change – trying to prevent it and dealing with its effects – will be enormous and governments know it. And Australia has added its own extra degree of difficulty with a National Disability Insurance Scheme based on diagnosis rather than need. There’s an attempt now to recover that mistake but it may be too late – disability is being properly supported. The sort of tax increases required to balance the budget in these circumstances would be somewhat inconsistent with staying in power. The combination of increased retirement support and health care spending with a shrinking working age population paying taxes means that balanced budgets are now politically too hard – the only way a government can hope to get re-elected is to kick the can down the road and just not talk about it. Oppositions, especially conservative ones, would love to talk about it, but as soon as they are pressed for actual solutions, they must clam up. So understandably, the political classes are giving up on it – a balanced budget over the course of the economic cycle, which has long been the Australian refrain, is too hard. It’s not even possible, really. The solution? **, nobody’s getting voted out because of it, and even the conservatives are only half-hearted in their complaints, because they don’t want to be challenged to nominate which spending to cut, and who to tax. ** the ignorant mainstream press are complaining, of course. ‘Just not true’ But what about the growing burden of interest payments, crowding out other spending? In her book, The Deficit Myth, Stephanie Kelton lets everyone off that hook; she says it’s a mistake to see interest as a burden. “Paying interest on government bonds is no more difficult than processing any other payment.” She wrote that it’s “just not true” that rising interest payments shrink the amount of money left over for other priorities – “there is no fixed pot of money”. But as Kelton then went on to say, there is a limit – it’s inflation. “There is only so much room in the economy to absorb higher spending. That’s the constraint …” Rising interest payments act as a form of fiscal stimulus – the more there is, the more stimulus. The massive fiscal stimulus of the pandemic did produce inflation in 2022, but it was transitory and easily controlled. Interest on debt is only inflationary to the extent that it’s paid to locals. A lot of the government debt is held offshore; the interest payments on that do not fuel domestic inflation. Modern Monetary Theory does not represent permission to print money to fund government spending as a lot of people think, it’s just a description of the way government finances work, which is that government spending takes place before tax revenue is collected (from that spending to begin with, and the only constraint on the spending is inflation. And that, it turns out, is the way things are working. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 9th, 2024 at 11:37am
Labor is in danger of minority government after the next election, because the electorate is blaming Albo for the failure to manage the cost of living crisis.
The electorate is also blamimg Labor for high interest rates, despite the independence of the reserve bank, even while the Coalition is accusing Labor of disregarding the "independence of the reserve bank. Ironically, the blame for all this economic dysfunction lies with (Labor) Andrew Leigh's profession which is intent on maintaining its 'dismal science' moniker..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Sophia on Sep 10th, 2024 at 4:12am
Well…. I’m at Tulla airport waiting for my flight… I see these machines don’t like loose change anymore.
Totally cashless and to scan. ![]() |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 10th, 2024 at 10:35am
Steve Keen confirms Alan Kohler's observations re the idiocy of trying to reduce government debt to achieve balanced budgets:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/watching-two-labour-parties-destroy?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=148693691&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email Watching Two Labour Parties Destroy Themselves: Blame economics textbooks for UK Labour's abolition of the Winter Fuel Payment Steve Keen Sep 09, 2024 The Australian Labor Party, which was elected in May 2022 after a decade of conservative rule (by Australia’s misnamed “Liberal” Party), has destroyed its once substantial electoral lead, and now looks likely to lose the 2025 election. Its best outcome will be to hang on as a minority government, since most independents and minor parties regard the “Liberal” Party as even more obnoxious than the Albanese-led Labor Party has been while in office. Not to be outdone, the UK’s Labour Party, elected in July 2024, has fallen from a 36% share of votes to 30% just 2 months later, while the Conservative Party has risen from 23% to 26%, and its right-wing companion Reform has risen from 15% to 19%. The UK’s bizarre first-past-the post electoral system—not so much satirized as accurately described by Monty Python’s famous Election Night Special skit—makes the outcome a crap shoot, but the odds of Labour coming out on top in 2029 are already vanishingly small. Both Labo(u)r Parties have chosen to fail by following what they think is the successful strategy for a government: they made their first priority, not to fulfil the social and economic objectives that led voters to elect them, but to reduce government debt. In probably the most dramatic example of economic orthodoxy trumping social democracy, UK Labour Party leader Keir Starmer’s first major policy decision is to let pensioners who can’t afford heating freeze, in order to reduce the gap between government spending and taxation—which he and his Chancellor refer to as the “£22 billion black hole”—by £1.5 billion. This fetish with reducing government spending is braindead stupid. It persists because it’s a stupidity that is taught by University economics departments, and believed by most of its students—some of whom go on to become Prime Ministers and Chancellors. If they don’t rebel against this teaching, it comes to be the way they think the real world actually works. Whether politicians are Labour, Liberal, or Tory, whether they do just a bit of undergraduate economics in a PPE (“Philosophy, politics and economics”) degree—as Rachel Reeves did before her Masters degree—or go on to do a full PhD, the way they think as a politician is shaped by what they learnt at university. This makes economics degrees extremely powerful, as Paul Samuelson, the author of the first post-WWII textbook, which set the mould for all its successors, fully appreciated. In the preface to a teaching guide to his textbook, he wrote that: "I don't care who writes a nation's laws--or crafts its advanced treaties--if I can write its economic textbooks." The first lick is a privileged one, impinging on the beginner's tabula rasa at its most impressionable state. (Samuelson 1990, p. ix) The "first lick" in one of the dominant economics textbooks today—Greg Mankiw’s Macroeconomics {Mankiw, 2016 #6107}—is a model which teaches students that government spending is a bad thing. After laying out the model in the previous 30 pages, Mankiw explains that, according to the model, an increase in government spending reduces investment: Consider first the effects of an increase in government purchases … The immediate impact is to increase the demand for goods and services… But because total output is fixed by the factors of production, the increase in government purchases must be met by a decrease in some other category of demand. Disposable income … is unchanged, so consumption … is unchanged as well. Therefore, the increase in government purchases must be met by an equal decrease in investment. (Mankiw 2016, p. 73) Mankiw cautions that there are some “simplifying assumptions” in this model which are relaxed later—such as output being fixed. But this foundational model plants in students’ heads the idea that government spending—say, on giving pensioners additional money for heating during winter—will come at the expense of the future growth of the economy. The removal of some assumptions in subsequent models doesn’t change the underlying proposition: government spending in excess of taxation harms the economy. This belief, etched on “the beginner's tabula rasa at its most impressionable state”, as Samuelson put it, is why Starmer and Reeves think that letting pensioners freeze will be good for the economy. In reality, it won’t—not merely because the simplifying assumptions of this model are wrong, but because its fundamental assumptions about what government spending does, how it is financed, and the impact of government spending on private investment, are also wrong. I’ll explain why in subsequent posts. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 19th, 2024 at 11:56am
The Aggregate Problem
Economic models are built on aggregates of key variables. Those aggregates hide distribution impacts. That makes it easier for central banks to pursue monetary policy without worrying about the cons by Steve Keen. The UK’s unemployment rate is 4.1%, the inflation rate is growing at 3.1% and the economy is growing at 0.6% quarter on quarter. That’s how the economy is doing, what more do we need to know? Well, it would be useful to know whether the unemployed are predominantly in certain income groups, or that income growth was greater in particular parts of the economy Like, more for capitalists and less for workers? As Steve and Phil discuss this week, economists are building business models built on aggregates. Breaking down aggregate data into functions in society, or income, will add a lot of extra complexity to models, but they would do a much better job of showing us what’s going on. For example, central bank policy right now aims to restrict spending and wage growth to tame inflation. But, even if that was the cause of inflation, what if those creating inflation by spending more on services, are distinct from those facing the consequences of central bank policy, losing jobs and paying higher mortgages? Steve points out that as the economy slows – and it has to because of climate change - knowing the distribution of income and consumption becomes vitally important. Unless we are prepared to see the rich grow richer at the expense of everyone else. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 23rd, 2024 at 11:13am
On the news:
"Securing 42.31 per cent of the vote, Leftist lawmaker Anura Kumara Dissanayake has won Sri Lanka's presidential election. His rise to power signals a rejection of the political establishment blamed for the country's economic downfall. .... He wants to renegotiate the terms of the IMF loan which demanded higher taxation for an already impoverished people. Such is the dogma of 'the dismal science': force people into poverty to 'save ' the economy. But the orthodox dogma doesn't work; the IMF 'rescue' of Greece during the GFC demanded higher taxes and privatization. The result is clear: just before the GFC, Greek gdp per capita was c.$30k, 15 years later its still only c.$20K. It will be interesting to compare Milei's mainstream policies in Argentina - which have already increased poverty since he was elected, with Kamura's policies in Sri Lanka. I don't hold out much hope for either of them, given the 'rules' of the 'dismal science' which are destroying democracies everywhere, regardless of a government's Left or Right persuasion. [Chalmers is crowing about his balanced budgets and low taxation - even while Dutton is demanding even lower taxes and less spending - and yet Labor polling is falling like a stone because of the current cost of living crisis, with Dutton now back in the race....such is the confusion of the electorate sucked in by the dogmas of 'the dismal science']. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 27th, 2024 at 11:25am
At least some people, though educated in mainstream economics, are learning how to think for themselves:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09-24/rba-relying-on-outdated-theory-about-inflation-and-employment/104384014 RBA should stop relying on outdated theory about inflation and employment By chief business correspondent Ian Verrender. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 28th, 2024 at 12:12pm
Steve Keen explains why Rachel Reeves' policies will achieve the opposite to what she wants.
Britain Can’t Afford Rachel Reeves (1) [the title is a play on Reeves' assertion "if you can't afford it, you can't do it" - which is the opposite of what Keynes (correctly) asserted: "if you can build it, you can afford it". Reeves is making the mistake of equating a currency-issuer (the government) with a currency-user (households, businesses, you and me)]. Why the decision to abolish the winter fuel payment is not just bad politics and ethics, but also bad economics. Rachel Reeves, the UK’s new Chancellor of the Exchequer has already coined two phrases that will define her legacy: 1.“If we cannot afford it, we cannot do it” to describe what she thinks Labour cannot do in office; and 2. “The money was not there. A 22-billion-pound Black Hole…” to describe what she asserts the Conservative Party left as a legacy for the Labour Party. Reeves believes that the Labour Government must scrap many of the spending plans of their predecessors—and even cancel a universal benefit previously paid to pensioners to help them meet their winter fuel bills—to avoid economic catastrophe for Britain. According to Robert Peston, she explained to the Parliamentary Labour Party that these policies were needed to ensure that economic growth occurred instead: If we show, as I believe we will, that economic stability is the hallmark of Labour Governments, there is no limit to what we can achieve, because with that stability comes investment. With investment comes growth. With growth comes prosperity. You may be wondering how freezing 4,000 pensioners to death this winter could bring about economic growth. The explanation can be found in the pages of any economics textbook—and Rachel Reeves has made much of her qualifications in economics: an undergraduate PPE degree from Oxford, a Master of Science in Economics from LSE, and six years working experience at the Bank of England. Reeves is making this ethical mistake because she is applying what she learnt in her economics training. It is also an economic mistake, because the analysis in economics textbooks is simply wrong. The bad economics of cutting government spending The argument that cutting government spending will lead to a rise in private investment is made in the very first mathematical model in the influential textbook Macroeconomics, by Gregory Mankiw (Mankiw 2016). This is the model of “the market for Loanable Funds”, which is how mainstream economists model money. The model is shown as a pair of intersecting supply and demand curves; as Mankiw notes, “saving and investment can be interpreted in terms of supply and demand. In this case, the ‘good’ is loanable funds, and its ‘price’ is the interest rate. (p. 72) In this model, the supply of savings is shown as fixed. Mankiw also assumes that the output of goods and services is fixed. He then asks what happens if there is an increase in government spending. The answer is that an increase in government spending causes an identical fall in the level of investment, by taking some of savings away from the private sector. This leads to less investment, and a higher interest rate. Mankiw’s explanation asserts that increased government spending reduces investment: Consider first the effects of an increase in government purchases… The immediate impact is to increase the demand for goods and services… But because total output is fixed by the factors of production, the increase in government purchases must be met by a decrease in some other category of demand. Disposable income … is unchanged, so consumption … is unchanged as well. Therefore, the increase in government purchases must be met by an equal decrease in investment. To induce investment to fall, the interest rate must rise. Hence, the increase in government purchases causes the interest rate to increase and investment to decrease. Government purchases are said to crowd out investment. (p. 73. Italics emphasis added, All I have omitted from this quote are some mathematical symbols) Reeves is simply reversing this argument, to assert that a fall in government spending will lead to a rise in investment. There’s just one problem with this argument: it’s utter bollocks, because “the market for loanable funds” doesn’t exist. And you don’t have to take my word for it: you can take the word of Michael Kumhof, who is the Senior Research Advisor to Reeves’ ex-employer, the Bank of England. In a paper entitled “Banks are not intermediaries of loanable funds — and why this matters” (Kumhof and Jakab 2015), Kumhof and Jacab explain that this model is a myth. In fact, the whole mainstream theory of banking is wrong. Since she’s following a false theory, Reeves’ policies will have the opposite effect to what she intends: cutting government spending will reduce the supply of money, and reduce investment, rather than increase it. To understand why this is so, you have to understand how banks work—and economics textbooks are simply wrong about this, as another paper by Reeves’ ex-employer confirms. Entitled “Money creation in the modern economy”, it states that: The reality of how money is created today differs from the description found in some economics textbooks. (McLeay, Radia, and Thomas 2014) (cont.) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 28th, 2024 at 12:15pm
(cont).
Therefore, if you’ve uncritically accepted what you’ve been taught in economics textbooks about how money is created, you have been misled. That is the situation for Reeves, and it’s why she’s doing bad things with the best of intentions. In subsequent posts, I’ll explain why Reeves’s policies will backfire, and actually reduce rather than increase economic growth. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 30th, 2024 at 12:18pm
Britain Can’t Afford Rachel Reeves (3)
Why private debt is the problem, not government debt Steve Keen Sep 30, 2024 My explanation in the previous post that government spending in excess of taxation actually creates money doesn’t address the issue that most occupies Reeves: the level of government debt. Reeves and Starmer find the level of government debt terrifying, so much so that they’re willing to risk the premature deaths of 4,000 pensioners—according to the Labour Party’s own research—to reduce it. So, government debt must be huge, right? And the main threat to economic stability? And it must also dwarf private debt, since Reeves didn’t even comment on the level of private debt? As it happens, the truth is the opposite of these conjectures. Yes, the UK currently has a government debt ratio of 101%. But while government debt is higher than GDP, it is substantially smaller than private debt, which is currently equivalent to 142% of GDP. This is actually an improvement on the situation before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), when private debt peaked at more than 4 times the level of public debt. Private debt wasn’t always bigger than government debt, however. The growth in private debt only began with the election of Thatcher: before then, private debt was roughly constant at about 50% of GDP. But shortly after Thatcher came to power—and deregulated the financial sector to make the economy “more efficient” —private debt quadrupled, from under 50% to over 180% of GDP. The growth of debt ended in the GFC—which Neoclassical economists completely failed to see coming, as The Queen once famously pointed out—and government debt only rose in its aftermath. This was largely as a means to prevent the crisis turning into a full-blown Depression, as happened in the 1930s. For one thing, government spending in excess of tax revenues gave workers unemployment benefits that kept them from the breadline, and they in turn gave businesses a cash flow that kept them from bankruptcy. In fact, private debt, and not government debt, is the cause of financial crises. Private debt, and not government debt, is the main threat to economic stability. Government debt actually helps stabilise the economy, and Reeves’ attempts to reduce it will lead to less, rather than more, economic stability. But Reeves doesn’t realise this, because the mainstream economics she learnt in her PPE and Master’s degrees completely ignores private debt, while wrongly obsessing about government debt—as I illustrated in my first post. As someone who did warn that the Global Financial Crisis was coming, it’s extremely galling to see that Neoclassical economics is still taken seriously today, let alone that it’s being used by a once social-democratic party to set government policy. We need a scientific revolution in economics. But I’ve given up on it happening inside economics departments at Universities. That’s one reason why I invented Ravel: so that people outside Universities could work out for themselves how the monetary system actually works. I used to think that the modelling side of Ravel—its capacity to show how the monetary system worked—would only be of interest to academics and students of economics. But the fact that mainstream economics is now being employed by the Labour Party to undermine social welfare—in the false belief that it will improve the economy—means that Labour Party members need to learn what Ravel can teach them, if they are to save Labour from social and economic policies that will ultimately lead to the Party’s destruction. I’ll use Ravel to explain why government debt is not a problem in the next post in this series. Ravel is available at https://www.patreon.com/Ravelation/. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 2nd, 2024 at 10:36am
(Cont.)
Britain Can’t Afford Rachel Reeves (4) How Rachel Reeves probably thinks about government debt by Steve Keen. Since Reeves’s obsession with reducing government debt comes from a false theory of money—something that economists at the Bank of England acknowledge—it follows that, to know what she should really do as Chancellor, you need a correct theory of money. That’s why I invented Minsky. It was the first program to enable money to be modelled using the principles of double-entry bookkeeping. In its extended version (now called Ravel, which also does data analysis), it is still the only program to enable the monetary system to be modelled properly. In this and the next few posts, I’ll use Ravel to explain why Reeves is wrong that reducing government debt is more important than enabling pensioners to pay their winter fuel bills. I am under no illusion that I can change Reeves’s mind via these blog posts. My target here is rank-and-file Labour Party members. If you want to reverse the Neoliberal takeover of the Labour Party, you need to be able to counter the false theories that Reeves and Starmer are following. Ravel is the only program that will enable you to do that. In this and the next few posts, I’ll show how you can use Ravel to blow these false Neoliberal ideas out of the water. If you do the same in time with your fellow Labour Party members, then hopefully you can change the government’s policies, and prevent 4,000 or more pensioners from experiencing lonely, painful and pointlesss deaths. Banks, money, and double-entry bookkeeping To understand how banks work, you have to understand double-entry bookkeeping. This was invented 500 years ago by Italian merchants to ensure that financial transactions were recorded correctly. Its two basic rules are: 1. All financial claims must be classified as either Assets or Liabilities. An Asset is your claim on someone else; a Liability is someone else’s claim on you. The difference between your Assets and your Liabilities is your net worth, or “Equity”; and 2. Every transaction must be entered twice, once as a Debit (DR) and once as a Credit (CR) Conventional economic thinkers like Reeves don’t analyse the economy in terms of double-entry bookkeeping. But Reeves thinks about the government’s finances as if they’re household finances, and we can use Ravel’s double-entry bookkeeping capabilities to show what this picture looks like, and why it’s so scary. How Reeves (probably) thinks about government finances Firstly, we need to pretend that the government spends out of a bank account at private banks, just as households and firms do. Call this “Government Deposit”. Call household and corporate bank accounts “Private Deposits”. Taxation takes money out of Private Deposits, and puts this “Taxpayer Money” into the Government Deposit account. The government can then spend: hire public servants, buy goods and services from the private sector, give pensioners subsidies to buy heating fuel during winter, etc. If the government spends more than it takes back in taxation, then it has a Deficit—and to finance that, it has to borrow from the banks. Government debt increases each year by the amount of the Deficit. The government also has to pay interest on the outstanding level of government debt. The table below, generated by Ravel, shows this vision of how government spending works. This is a very scary picture: If the government continues to spend more than it takes back in taxation, then its debt to the banks continues to rise. It has to pay interest on this debt, and ultimately, these interest payments might mean that all tax revenue goes to pay the interest—leaving nothing for government spending. Banks might even refuse to give the government any more money—they might even take out bankruptcy proceedings against the government! The only way out of this dilemma is to make sure that spending is equal to taxation, so that the deficit is zero—or even spend less than taxation, so that the deficit turns into a surplus. This will enable the government debt to be reduced, in turn reducing interest payments. It’s arguably worth sacrificing a few thousand pensioners to make this disastrous fate less likely. There’s just one problem with this picture: though the government does have some accounts at private banks, the government’s main bank account is with the Bank of England. THIS. CHANGES. EVERYTHING. I’ll explain how in the next post. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 4th, 2024 at 11:23am
Steve Keen
Britain Can’t Afford Rachel Reeves (6) (excerpt) There’s just one problem with the model of Loanable Funds: its underlying assumptions—that banks don’t create money (but are mere “financial intermediaries” between Households who save and Firms who borrow), and that Governments also borrow from households in order to spend—are complete bollocks. In the real world, banks lend, creating credit-based money in the process, while Governments bank with their Central Banks, and therefore create fiat-based money when they spend. I’ll model that reality in the next post. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 6th, 2024 at 10:39am
https://theideasletter.substack.com/p/reckoning-with-growth
Reckoning with Growth Steve Keen Oct 04, 2024 |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 7th, 2024 at 3:58pm
Poor Trumpy getting a rough time from mainstream (flat earth) neoclassical economists, but he doesn't know enough about the nature of money, to defend his policies
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/economists-have-blasted-trump-s-jobs-and-taxes-plans-as-dangerous-someone-better-tell-the-public/ar-AA1rMUqI?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=68235109263d43e0944e012366af0999&ei=11 Economists have blasted Trump's jobs and taxes plans as dangerous. Someone better tell the public Donald Trump’s economic policies are extremely popular with voters and often what supporters cite when asked why they support the former president in his third bid for the White House. But economists beg to differ – and they’re begging the public to differ too. On the surface, Trump’s vague plans to lower corporate taxes, extend his 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, implement tariffs on imported goods, eliminate taxes on tips and increase domestic employment opportunities sound appealing. But economists warn Trump’s policies could raise consumer prices, make the market less competitive, threaten the U.S.’s global standing, increase unemployment rates and slow growth. And yet competitive markets are a double-edged sword: Musk is right when he said Chinese EVs will wipe-out the (uncompetitive) American EV industry. Just as Detroit was wiped out by Japan (and the Corolla) in the 70s, when fuel for gas-guzzling yank tanks was no longer affordable, courtesy of the Arab oil embargo. Mainstream economists retained their high-paid jobs of course, despite the encroachment of 'the first world rust belt'. Trump has other policies which appeal to the casualties of the rust belt. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 8th, 2024 at 11:09am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/guardian-essential-poll-voters-back-drastic-policy-action-on-australia-s-cost-of-living-crisis/ar-AA1rPAla?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=965a72de8ed54c56961f3d02e8e444a5&ei=32
Guardian Essential poll: voters back drastic policy action on Australia’s cost-of-living crisis ...but voters are confused: "Voters were asked if they supported a series of economic reforms. A majority supported price caps (70%); increasing taxes paid by large corporations (70%); reducing income taxes (65%); funding more social services (61%); running budget surpluses to reduce inflation (60%); and raising the level of income support for the unemployed (53%)". There's the mainstream mythology about government surpluses reducing inflation; and unless large corporations are made to fund government spending entirely, then government can't reduce taxes, fund more social services, and increase Jobseeker payments. ...Unless the mainstream mythology about 'taxpayer money' is exposed: government doesn't need 'taxpayer money', because government can issue the nation's currency, and control inflation with price controls and supply management. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 11th, 2024 at 10:39am
Keen's conclusions - agreeing with Alan Kohler who says "everyone knows deficits don't matter" (except ofcourse politicians and the general public):
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/britain-cant-afford-rachel-reeves-403?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=149955312&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email Britain Can’t Afford Rachel Reeves (Final) Reeves's conventional economics predicts disaster from deficits, but her policies will cause disaster in the real world "In the real world, both bank lending and government deficits create money. The mechanisms are different—banks create credit money by expanding their assets (Loans) and liabilities (Deposits) simultaneously; governments create fiat money by going into negative financial equity, which creates an identical magnitude of positive financial equity for the non-government sectors. But these fundamental aspects of the real-world financial system are ignored by Neoclassical economists, because acknowledging them would force them to abandon their equilibrium and barter-based paradigm. This is why economics textbooks—and Neoclassical economics itself—are so dangerous. Virtually every belief taught in them is wrong. In the realm of money, there is no market for Loanable Funds. Governments do not borrow from the non-bank public, nor do they really borrow from banks, but rather they sell banks an income-earning, tradeable asset (Bonds), which banks buy using a (historically) non-income-earning, non-tradeable asset (Reserves) that the deficit itself creates. The consequence of innocent students—and that is what Rachel Reeves really is—believing this false model is catastrophic for the real world, and especially for the poor. The rich can afford private hospitals; the poor rely on public health. The rich can afford to heat their houses; the poor rely on government assistance. Ironically the rich suffer as well, since, as Kalecki pointed out decades ago, government deficits boost profits. These are the dangers of letting the economy be managed by a group of people who sincerely believe a pile of myths. The economic paradigm taught in schools and universities—Neoclassical economics—is an intricate set of persuasive but fundamentally false ideas. There are other such edifices in human society, but none other is given the status of a science in the way economics is, by being taught at Universities, and by being put on a similar pedestal to the hard sciences, and used as the basis for most policy advice to government. It is unreformable as well. As in any set of mythical beliefs, no element of reality that contradicts the theory can be admitted without the whole edifice collapsing. With apologies to those who believe in the Christian religion, accepting, for example, that firms experience constant or falling marginal costs, would be akin to Christians accepting that Jesus’s wasn’t born to a virgin. That banks create money when they lend, let alone that this has real rather than merely nominal effects, is destructive of the entire paradigm." |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 16th, 2024 at 10:43am
"Economics is NOT a science"
Essential listening for all students of economics. Tilo Jung (German webcaster) interviews Steve Keen as he exposes the delusions of neoclassical economics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvz8Y9hU1us ....and the idiocy of mainstreamers in the Swedish central bank deciding the recipients of the Nobel Prize in Economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 16th, 2024 at 11:01am
Meanwhile, Donald Trump is having a tough time defending his economic policies, as "experts" point to a projected $7.5 trillion in increased debt, from Trump's taxation and tarriff plans.
(Raw Story) It's simple mathematics': Trump blusters as economics expert grills him over tariff plan Donald Trump offered simple responses to detailed questions about his economic policies as an economics expert challenged him during an appearance at a prestigious business club Tuesday. John Micklethwait, editor-in-chief of Bloomberg News, challenged the former president to explain how his proposals would benefit the economy rather than saddle the nation with trillions of dollars in new debt, as the bipartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget warned last week. But the former president offered few details at the sitdown at the Economic Club of Chicago**. “If you add up all the promises you have made then your plans would add $7.5 trillion to the debt," Micklethwait said. "That is more than twice the total for Vice President Harris. You're on course to push debt up to 150 percent of [gross domestic product]. This is a very business-like audience, why should they trust you with that?" He added, "What about consumers? People out there? They're going to be the big critic. Critics say your tariffs will end up being like a national sales tax because America at the moment has $3 trillion worth of imports, you're going to add tariffs to every single one of them that is going to push up the cost for all those people who want to buy foreign goods. "It is just simple mathematics, President Trump." "It's not," replied Trump. "It is, but not the way you figured. I was always very good at mathematics." The Republican presidential nominee has pushed adding tariffs to imports, which most economists agree would lead to higher inflation, but few other substantive details about his economic plans. "We're all about growth, she's got no growth whatsoever," Trump said, referring to his opponent, Democrat Kamala Harris. "We're all about growth, and we're going to bring companies back to our country. You look, and even today as I was driving over I see these empty old, beautiful, like, steel mills and factories that are empty and falling down. "Some have been converted to senior citizens' homes, but that's not going to do the trick. We're going to bring the companies back. We're going to lower taxes, still further for companies that are going to make their product in the U.S.A., but we're going to protect those companies when he's with strong tariffs because I'm a believer in tariffs." "I'm not sure that you are" (a believer in tarriffs) he said to Micklethwait. "I don't think you are, but I congratulate you and your career," he added. "But, to me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is tariff, and it's my favorite word. It needs a public relations firm to help it, but to me it's the most beautiful word in the dictionary." ** the Chicago School is the centre of neoclassical orthodoxy, which - like Micklethwait - casually ignores the reasons for the appearance of the 'rust belt', and the enormous pain it inflicted on millions of workers. The 'dismal science', indeed. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Aurora Complexus on Oct 16th, 2024 at 6:34pm
The US had spectacular manufacturing growth with tariffs. They saved the US from stronger economies which were selling into the US.
But it's important to note that tariffs were maintained over decades. Even when the Democrats (who supported the South and farmers everywhere) wanted to cut tariffs, they didn't cut them much. It was a deeply political business, with Democrats trying to help certain sectors, and Republicans trying to help other sectors. Trump's proposal is for a resumption of tariffs after nearly a century of low tariffs. Farmers (the strongest exporters in the US now) won't like it at all (because of retaliatory tariffs.) Successful corporations like Boeing or Microsoft, won't like it. Consumers won't like it! This is a 20 year policy to rebuild US manufacturing (by selling to the domestic market) and it won't get Donald Trump past the midterm elections. In the short term it means inflation and recession, and there will be no "recession we had to have" excuse. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 17th, 2024 at 4:56pm Aurora Complexus wrote on Oct 16th, 2024 at 6:34pm:
Yes, Microsoft and Boeing want to keep selling around the world, especially to China, but Trump wants to decouple from China because the US can't compete in EVs and PVs. Meanwhile, the current global financial and trade system is based on obsolete neoclassical paradigms; with a bit of luck, climate change will force the overthrow of the current dysfunctional system, as co-operation is forced on the world's governments to avoid catastrophic AGW climate change. (I'm still actually agnostic about AGW climate science; I'm not a climate scientist, and some of them disagree, but I hope it's real, and that we can wake up to the fact before it's too late ; sensible economic co-operation among competitve, self-interested humans (and nations) won't come naturally......despite the fact our hard-won post-industrial, AI and IT-assisted production is now capable of supplying the essentials and eradicating poverty for every person on the planet. Making the need for Trump's MAGA tarriffs obsolete... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 17th, 2024 at 5:23pm
Bewildered Bullock can't work out why there's a housing crisis in Oz, after denying she's responsible.
Don’t blame us for rental crisis: RBA The RBA firmly blames a lack of housing – and not rising interest rates – for Australia’s housing woes. RBA report authors Declan Twohig, Anirudh Yadav and Jonathan Hambur argue that while the popular notion is to blame rising interest rates, landlords are unlikely to pass the costs on to tenants, even after the RBA lifted interest rates 13 times in 18 months. “The largest estimate suggests that direct pass-through results in rents increasing by $25 per month when interest payments increase by $850 per month (the median monthly increase in interest payments for leveraged investors between April 2022 and January 2024),” Mr Twohig writes in the report. Instead, the RBA points the blame directly at a lack of housing supply in comparison with rising demand for rental properties." And what is causing the lack of housing supply and rising demand for rents? She doesn't answer that question, being a signed-up member to the very neoliberal 'small government' orthodoxy which resulted in government abandoning public-housing from the 80s on. Naturally, housing is now unaffordable for median wage earners, after more and more people, aided and abetted by negative gearing and GGT, sought to become landlords to fund their retirement., while steady immigration caused housing prices to continually rise. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 18th, 2024 at 10:28am
More on the Trump - ("big-guy") Micklethwait drama (with a lot of deviations....):
(OK magazine) Donald Trump Claims He Was 'Hoodwinked' Into Tense Interview With John Micklethwait: 'I Wasn't Happy About It' Donald Trump claimed he was "hoodwinked" into his interview with Bloomberg editor-in-chief John Micklethwait at the Economic Club of Chicago this past week. The ex-president, 78, told Patrick Bet-David he thought he was giving a speech, not sitting down for a chat. “I got hoodwinked to go on that. I was supposed to make a speech in front of the Chicago Economic Club, which is a big deal. It’s a very prestigious place, everything was beautiful. And all of a sudden I understand I’m being interviewed by this gentleman and he’s got a reputation for being about — oh, I’d love to see him do Kamala [Harris]. He should do Kamala. That would be beautiful. But he’s a tough cookie and he’s the chairman of Bloomberg. He’s a big guy so all of a sudden I’m being interviewed, and I wasn’t happy about it because I found out his reputation precedes him,” Trump said. However, Trump wasn't happy with the host, firing back: "But we're going to grow. What does The Wall Street Journal know? They've been wrong about everything. So have you, by the way." "You're trying to turn this into a debate," Micklethwait replied, to which Trump said, "You're wrong. You've been wrong all your life on this stuff." Despite the drama, Trump said the interview was "great" and Micklethwait wasn’t “overly nasty” compared to others who call him out. “I decided to do it. You have a choice. Walk out and don’t do it and have a scandal or go in and do it and hopefully win or you go and do it and you get killed, which is probably the worst, but it was a great interview actually and he was nasty, but he wasn’t overly nasty,” he said. ...... Trump is correct about the WSJ "not knowing anything" - the rust belt proves it - which is true of mainstream neoclassical economics. But the problem both men miss is well-functioning economics needs some "communism" ("which the WSJ isn't") eg, instead of managing inflation with central banks setting high interest rates and increasing unemployment (aka 'wrecking the economy to save it'), government should set price controls and rationing, if supply-chains fail. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 21st, 2024 at 11:21am
"She bungled it".... yes, she did - but everyone bungles it, (and Trump will also likely bungle it, if he is elected.
‘She bungled it’: Kamala Harris fumbles through crucial Fox News interview https://www.msn.com/en-au/video/news/%E2%80%98she-bungled-it%E2%80%99-kamala-harris-fumbles-through-crucial-fox-news-interview/vi-AA1sxU4S?ocid=msedgdhp&t=11 Fox interviewer asks Harris: "Polls show 79% of the electorate think the country is on the wrong course. Why are they thinking this after 3 and a half years of your (Dem) administration?" Harris: " And Trump has been running for office for a long time..." .... An obvious failure as a response to the question: and the gals at Sky News are having a hoot.... beside themselves with Harris's inability to answer the question face-on. But none of them are aware of the neoclassical dogma which is causing all the economic dysfunction around the world. Trump reckons decoupling from China - which has earned its status as the world's factory, and which now builds the world's most competitive EVs and PVs - will do the trick. Talk about bungling..... ......... How we got here: 1. Successful post WW2 'welfare state' Keynesianism (with low unemployment) failed in the face of (low-wage) Asia's rise (beginning with Japan in the 70s); and the Arab oil embargo in the 70s, creating 'stagflation' in the West. 2. Bosses took the opportunity to destroy union power, and looked backward to the pre-GD economy; hence the rise of 'neo'-classicism, with branches even called 'neo'-Keynesianism (...which had nothing to do with Keynes), accompanied by 'small government' (ie, low taxes, low government spending) 'neo'-liberal markets promoted by Thatcher and Reagan. Now that the US is a "3rd world country" (!) - according to Trump - it's time for another change, but not just MAGA. ie, 'neo'-communism, nothing to do with Stalinist Russia or Maoist China, but creating common prosperity** around the globe, based on the propositions of MMT. ** not the same as 'equality of outcome', the Conservative lie. The US election will be a hoot, as the world awaits the outcome in 'the world's policeman' (ie, the US). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 22nd, 2024 at 12:27pm
The dysfunction of neoclassical economics led by the IMF (a US stooge), a history:
https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2024/10/20/imf-and-brics-no-return-to-bretton-woods/ IMF and BRICS: no return to Bretton Woods (excerpt) John Maynard Keynes was heavily involved in the Bretton Woods deal. He commented that his “foresighted idea for a new institution to more equitably balance the interests of creditor and debtor countries was rejected”. Keynes’ biographer, Robert Skidelsky summed up the outcome. “Naturally, the Americans got their way because of their economic power.** Britain gave up its right to control the currencies of its former empire, whose economies now came under the control of the dollar, not sterling.” In return, “the Brits got credit to survive – but with interest charged. Keynes told the British parliament that the deal was not “an assertion of American power but a reasonable compromise between two great nations with the same goals; to restore a liberal world economy." The other nations were ignored, of course. ** such is the reality of the 'liberal world economy', based on US self-interest... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 23rd, 2024 at 12:09pm
Will China wake up?
SCMP: In the five months since Xi’s instruction, public records indicate that the PBOC has not yet started buying treasury bonds in open market operations. The practice itself is considered controversial because it fans the flames of concern over fiscal monetisation and the so-called modern monetary theory (MMT) that paved the way for Washington’s unprecedented quantitative-easing measures taken since the outbreak of the pandemic. MMT posits that, if a government needs money in pressing times, it can freely print it, as long as the economy is capable of churning out goods and services. ......while China - the "world's factory" - has greater capacity to "churn out goods and services" than any country on the planet. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 26th, 2024 at 11:26am
https://www.indaily.com.au/news/2024/10/21/questioning-a-poor-response-to-an-anti-poverty-message?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=InDaily%20Lunchtime%20%2021%20October%202024&utm_content=InDaily%20Lunchtime%20%2021%20October%202024%20CID_5fb587064a917d93440b08c8d2393ff2&utm_source=EDM&utm_term=Questioning%20a%20poor%20response%20to%20an%20anti-poverty%20message
Questioning a poor response to an anti-poverty message An odd press conference at Adelaide Oval last week has prompted questions about how to get media and society focused on tackling child poverty. In an event that required a considerable amount of legwork and diary coordination, only one thing didn’t go to plan. .....no media showed up. The anti-poverty advocates at Thursday’s event now ask: how do we get the media and society interested in covering and addressing poverty? “If you have any bent for social justice, you can’t be immune to the fact that some people haven’t got food to feed their children or themselves,” Vinnies SA chief executive Evelyn O’Loughlin said. “There’s got to be a way; we send people to the moon, how is it we can’t eradicate poverty? “There’s something wrong. There’s something broken, and it’s not the fault of the media. It’s not the biggest issue that people seem to want to talk about as a collective society, and media’s part of that, we’re part of that, we all have to say it’s the most important thing.” .... It's a pity the SA Vinnies CEO - like most of the population - knows nothing about macro-economics, and swallows the neoliberal low-tax, low-spending (balanced budget) mythology embedded in neoclassical economic orthodoxy. Deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2024 at 11:41am
Confusion among the talking heads at Sky News.
In a discussion why the LNP didn't win in a land-slide. https://www.msn.com/en-au/video/news/%E2%80%98small-target-small-win%E2%80%99-peta-credlin%E2%80%99s-damning-lnp-assessment/vi-AA1sXIPT?ocid=msedgdhp&t=4 Credlin says: "small target" LNP (in Queensland) avoided confronting the need" (in her mainstream opinion) "to reduce spending and balance the budget, in the lead up to the election." Another panel commentator says: "But it would be brave for a government to take money off people in a cost of living crisis." Credlin pipes back: "But giving people money causes inflation" ...... A good example of why government isn't working properly, with pollies constrained by the neoliberal low taxes, low spending = low inflation dogma. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 28th, 2024 at 10:56am
More recognition government isn't working properly under the current neoclassical orthodoxy based on obsolete 'scarcity' dogma:
AAP From sadness to wellbeing: call to rewire the economy "The cost of living has gone up so astronomically, energy is costing more - and that's not because of renewables, even though a lot of people would like to convince you that is it." She said the newest generation were making less than their parents, and moving back in with them - including her 30-year-old daughter. "That's what they're talking about - no, something's not quite right, my quality of life is going down," Ms Dixson-Declève said. "What's wrong? Is it our politicians, is it our economy, the environment, what is it that's making us feel this way?" More than two thirds of G20 citizens want a well-being economy, where people have dignity and safety with basic needs met and their voices heard, according to an Ispos Mori survey of advanced economies including Australia. "You can go from 'what's wrong' to 'what truly matters'," she said. "And that conversation is so important because we've got so over-materialised that we don't even think about what's making us sad. "Social tensions are also making us very aware that something is wrong," she said. She said it was time to start "rewiring humanity" because the capacity to respond and rebound from shocks was reducing each decade as a result of untrammelled economic growth and inadequate action to protect the climate and biosphere. "Where we're lacking is the bravery to push our governments and call things out," Ms Dixson-Declève said. She urged governments to look beyond productivity and competitiveness, and recognise that last century's ways of measuring success were not set up for 21st-century challenges. "The food and energy shift is not just a 'nice to have', it's going to be fundamental to adapt to a 1.5-2 degree world," she said. Data showed that levels of global warming, the world's existing trajectory, would slice three per cent off global GDP. Tallying decades of GDP and population growth, she has worked with a group of leading scientists and economists who found social tensions and inequality were increasing alongside serious threats to nature and food security. They modelled two subsequent scenarios - too little too late or a giant leap - and steps to correct inequality and account for social and environmental costs in financial and economic decision-making. Co-author of the subsequent survival guide, Earth for All, Ms Dixson-Declève says she never imagined the book on transformational economics would become a bestseller. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 31st, 2024 at 11:24am
(Daily Mail)
Jeremy Clarkson breaks his silence on Labour's inheritance tax hike Jeremy Clarkson said farmers had been 'shafted' as he broke his silence on Labour's inheritance tax hike announced in the Budget on Wednesday. Chancellor Rachel Reeves today closed a tax loophole, making it harder for farmers to pass money down to future generations. Previously those owning farmland benefitted from Agricultural Property Relief, meaning they were exempt from inheritance tax. But now for those with farms worth more than £1million, the 'death tax' will apply with a 50 per cent relief at an effective rate of 20 per cent from April next year. Mr Clarkson, who owns a 1,000 acre farm in the Oxfordshire, posted on X: 'Farmers. I know that you have been shafted today. But please don't despair. Just look after yourselves for five short years and this shower will be gone.' His comments come after the 64-year-old revealed earlier this month that he was 'days away from death' and had to undergo lifesaving heart surgery after falling ill on holiday. Mr Clarkson said he began to experience feeling 'clammy' with tightness in his chest, and pins and needles in his left arm. He previously said in his Sunday Times column that he 'liked having the farm for very good reasons', adding: 'There are no death duties on farmland, so my children like me have it too.' The former Top Gear presenter also criticised Ms Reeves for not doing enough to help the beleaguered booze industry. In her speech today when she unveiled a staggering £40million tax bomb, the Chancellor cut draught duty by a meagre 1.7 per cent. In a scathing critique, Mr Clarkson, who opened his £1million pub in the Cotswolds earlier this year, wrote on X: 'Rachel Reeves. I literally daren't comment,' before adding: 'We have a new government. It's turning out to be hopeless.' While Clarkson's former Top Gear co-host James May lamented: 'Cripes: a penny off a pint of beer. This is a small step to putting the 'great' back in to United Kingdom.' Mr Clarkson bought Diddly Squat Farm in the Cotswolds back in 2008 but has managed it himself since 2019. The 64-year-old has documented his radical career change on his hit Prime Video show Clarkson's Farm. The show, which has already run for three series, became the streaming platform's most-watched original series in the UK last year. .... Well.... Clarkson shouldn't be attacking Reeves, but rather, flat earth neoclassical economists who demand she 'balance the budget'. But Clarkson's self-interest is palpable - complaining about taxes on farms and pubs....he thinks increasing grog sales (via lower taxes) is good for the nation. But what about the underfunded NHS which is needed to treat the illnesses caused by excess alcohol consumption (probably related to his own heart problems). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 1st, 2024 at 3:02pm
Alternet
What Bezos and Musk really want from Trump | Opinion (Robert Reich). America is now in its second Gilded Age, in which a handful of supremely wealthy men are determining the nation’s future. We must not let them. Bezos should never have been able to purchase The Washington Post in the first place; his conflicting business interests should have prevented it. Nor should Musk have been able to buy Twitter. Antitrust laws should have been used to break Twitter up, or the platform should be deemed a public utility. Both Bezos and Musk are poster boys for the importance of a wealth tax, which must be enacted to prevent the grotesque accumulations of wealth that have allowed them to wield such extraordinary power. When the smoke clears from this rancorous presidential campaign and Kamala Harris is president, she must rescue democracy from these and other oligarchs. As the eminent jurist Louis Brandeis is reputed to have said near the end of America’s first Gilded Age, “America has a choice. We can have great wealth in the hands of a few, or we can have a democracy. But we cannot have both.” Robert Reich is a professor of public policy at Berkeley and former secretary of labor. ---- Of course, as Stephaine Kelton humorously put it: "Money doesn't grow on rich people" (a play on the often-heard phrase 'money doesn't grow on trees'); ie, the only reason a currency-issuing government would tax rich people is to limit their outsize command on resources and wasteful spending, eg Bezos wasting resources on delivering joy-rides in space for millionaires while children suffer brain-damage for lack of healthy food. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 2nd, 2024 at 11:48am
SMH
Michelle Obama asked the question we’re all thinking, but struggle to answer Seven minutes into a searing takedown of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Michigan last week, former first lady Michelle Obama posed the question millions of other Americans have been asking: “Why on earth is this race even close? I lay awake at night wondering what in the world is going on". One is financial. It is a cruel reality for Biden and Harris that the US economy is going gangbusters, and they are given next to no credit. The country rapidly recovered from the COVID pandemic and data released on Wednesday showed annual gross domestic product growth at 2.8 per cent, down from 3 per cent the previous quarter. By comparison, Australia’s GDP grew 1.5 per cent in 2023-24, and just 0.2 per cent in the June quarter. The US unemployment rate is sitting at 4.1 per cent. But the Democrats also presided over a period of high inflation, peaking at 9 per cent in June 2022, which sent prices skyrocketing. That’s what voters live and breathe every day, says Alex Hinton, a professor of anthropology at Rutgers University, and it sticks in their minds at the ballot box. Tolulope Kevin Olasanoye is executive director of the Georgia Democrats, whose task is to run the party’s campaign and strategies in one of its most critical swing states. He admits the Democrats’ heavy focus on democracy under Biden was simply not resonating with people of colour (a large chunk of the fastest-growing parts of the electorate) and the party has had to lift its ground game and give people a reason to show up. “If you tell a person of colour that the democracy is on fire, they will tell you, ‘Where the hell have you been?’ Because for a great many of them, democracy has not ever worked. That is not a real strategy for being able to make those folks turn out [to vote],” Olasanoye says. Instead, he says the party needs to be talking about children’s education, making sure people can afford their essential bills and save some money at the end of the month, and opportunities for people of colour to access capital to realise their business goals and dreams. .... See: egghead economists say "the economy is going gangbusters" - while the median wage hasn't kept pace with inflation, and low-wage earners (especially in the rust belt) are going backwards while the wealthy are laughing all the way to the bank. Meanwhile Trump wants to turbocharge 'trickle-down', via reduced taxes on the wealthy, funded by deficit spending; and tariffs to repair the rust belt. (Whether he can contain inflation is in doubt). But poor Michelle - sucked in by mainstream economic orthodoxy - doesn't understand any of the above. Clinton said (in 2016) "we (Dems) are the party of the underdog". She promptly lost to Trump; and the same thing might happen to Harris, courtesy dysfunctional mainstream economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 4th, 2024 at 9:39am
Alternet
Why Elon Musk predicts the Federal Trade Commission chair will be 'fired soon' | Opinion (Robert Reich). One of the biggest structural problems in the American economy is the size and power of large corporations, which have grown larger and more powerful over the last three decades. They can (and do) set or coordinate prices to keep them high. They can (and do) set or coordinate pay to keep it low. They can (and do) use their political clout to get lower taxes, public subsidies, and regulatory rollbacks. Antitrust law provides a means of reversing this trend and limiting the size and power of large corporations. Lina Khan at the FTC and Jonathan Kanter at the Antitrust Division of the Justice Department are using antitrust law as it should be used. Last year alone, Biden’s regulators filed a record 50 antitrust enforcement actions; mergers reached a 10-year low. Elon Musk and Donald Trump pose the greatest threats in recent history to American capitalism. If given the authority to do what they’ve said they will do — including Trump’s giant 20 percent tariff on all goods imported into the United States, which will function as a giant regressive sales tax — Americans will not only be far worse off; they will be less inclined to support the capitalist system. Forty years ago, I was in charge of advising the five commissioners of the Federal Trade Commission what they should do. The chairman at that time was Michael Pertschuk, who — like Khan — aggressively used the power of the FTC on behalf of consumers and workers. Also like Khan, Pertschuk was targeted by big business. He was called an enemy of capitalism. But Pertschuk’s efforts helped save capitalism from its own excesses and thereby helped maintain the legitimacy of the private sector in the public’s eyes. Of course, 40 years ago corporate America didn’t have nearly the clout it has now, the super-rich weren’t nearly as wealthy, and money didn’t play nearly as great a role in American politics. Elon Musk and Donald Trump pose the greatest threats in recent history to American capitalism. If given the authority to do what they’ve said they will do — including Trump’s giant 20 percent tariff on all goods imported into the United States, which will function as a giant regressive sales tax — Americans will not only be far worse off; they will be less inclined to support the capitalist system. Musk’s pledge to remove Khan came after he stood on stage and said he would personally oversee a $2 trillion cut to the Federal budget — a cut that would cause, in Musk’s words, “hardship.” Musk’s personal fortune is about a tenth of the cut he says he’ll oversee. That’s enough to shield him from any hardship. But most Americans depend on Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and other government spending that would be cut if Musk has his way. I have a better idea. If Musk is as concerned as he seems about getting the federal budget deficit under control, he should consider supporting a 25 percent tax on great wealth, starting with fortunes over $100 million. .... Yes.....but the US government doesn't need Musk's money....the government needs to eradicate systemic poverty and a cost of living crisis. .....By commanding prior access to a portion of the nation's available resources, which can be purchased for free by the currency-issuing government. Meantime, the American working class are certainly sick of the status quo, whether they are "less inclined to support the capitalist system" or not.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 4th, 2024 at 12:11pm
Sky News
Rachel Reeves has told Sky News she was wrong about taxes during the election. Predictably, conservatives are accusing Reeves of lying about not raising taxes, after she increased taxes by 40 billion sterling in her first budget. But as she says: after the election, Treasury officials informed her of the "huge black hole in the public finances", so she had no choice but to increase taxes to stabilize the nation's finances. So the problem is the conservatives who were lying about the deficit. And now they are screaming about Reeves' higher taxes needed to stabilize the budget to allow spending on vital public services. Deplorable. It's time for the Left to wake up: they can't win elections based on promises to raise taxes, and hence are forced to claim they won't raise taxes. Hence government 'austerity', which means the Left will get turfed out by a disillusioned electorate in the next election, in any case. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 6th, 2024 at 10:27pm
https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1730789801/105#114
#114. Re: First results are in. thegreatdivide wrote: Yes we can rejoice (for Trump preventing WW3), but what about the 50% of Americans who are living paycheck to paycheck, or in junk 'gig-economy' jobs in the rust belt - can they rejoice? Bobby replied: yes - when Trump deports the 20 million illegal immigrants back over the border to Mexico there will be plenty of jobs for the poor. TGD replied So Trump increases the number of jobs for Americans; but SK mentioned the inflationary effects of the Smoot -Hawley tarrifs (google it) in the GD, as an example of what happens when you raise tarrifs. And how is Trump going to increase military spending (for deterrence, as he said tonight), while lowering taxes on the wealthy, and simultaneously ensuring wages are high enough for blue-collar workers to cover costs of living? bobby replied.......well, he didn't reply to the above, preferring to post something about "the great vengeance".... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 7th, 2024 at 9:15pm
Quote from Marxist economist Michael Roberts re Trump's
victory. "According to the AP Votecast survey, four in 10 voters named the economy and jobs as the most important problem facing the country. One quote sums up why sufficient numbers of voters switched from Democrat to Republican. "I've been a Democrat my whole life and I haven't see any benefits from that. Democrats have been sending funds to wars and resources to migrants rather than to Americans who are struggling. I trust Trump to put us first." The trouble is that Trump will put billionaires, corporations and fossil fuel companies first." ....... Yes, it's possible Trump plans to merely oversee the mother of all 'trickle down' scenarios (ie cutting taxes on the wealthy); whether it benefits struggling Americans remains to be seen. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 8th, 2024 at 10:41am
Self-interet, tariffs and "America First":
Mexico Is Asking Where Its Tesla Giga Factory Went Two years later and Giga Mexico is still a nothing burger. Did Mexico get Musked? Tesla promised to open a Gigafactory in Mexico back in 2023 that was rumored to come online as early as Q1 2025. CEO Elon Musk said it "doesn’t make sense to invest" until after the U.S. election due to threats of tariffs and pressed pause. Mexico wants answers on what to expect next. When Tesla officially announced a new Gigafactory in Mexico last March, it was seen as a major win for everyone. Locals would have more jobs, and Tesla would have a source of more affordable labor to build its cars. But here we are, 20 months later, and there's still no Gigafactory in Nuevo Leon. So what's the deal? That's what Mexico's Economy Minister, Marcelo Ebrard, wants to know. The government of Mexico is growing impatient and Ebrard is looking to CEO Elon Musk for answers. "I'm going to set up a meeting with [Musk] soon so that he tells me exactly what he's thinking and see what we can do so this project moves forward," said Ebrard in an interview with local broadcaster Radio Formula, per USA Today and other outlets. Gigafactory Mexico was supposed to be a slam dunk. The automaker originally expected to move on it at Shanghai speeds, beginning construction by the end of 2024 and completing it in about a year's time. It got the permits, the clearance, and the blessing from local officials. In fact, it was believed that cars could start rolling off the production line by Q1 2025. Then...nothing. A few months later Musk, who had just endorsed now president-elect Donald Trump, revealed that Tesla was pressing pause on Giga Mexico until after the results of the U.S. presidential election: “I think we need to see just where things stand after the election,” said Musk, adding: "Trump has said that he’ll put heavy tariffs on vehicles produced in Mexico. So it doesn’t make sense to invest a lot in Mexico if that is going to be the case. We kind of need to see where things play out politically." Given that the outcome of the presidential election has been decided and Trump's pledge to impose tariffs, it seems unlikely that Tesla will pursue a continued investment into Gigafactory Mexico. Plus, let's be honest, Tesla has already made it clear that its production plans have changed. Not only has it backed out of building a $25,000 mass-market EV (Musk called it "silly" and "pointless"), but its Robotaxi product is set to roll off lines at Giga Texas instead. ....... A cheap EV pointless and silly? At least China won't see it that way. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 9th, 2024 at 11:50am
Is China waking up to the mainstream deficit and debt delusion?
SCMP A comparison of debt ratios (From Mandy Zuo) Finance minister Lan Foan says China has a low government debt ratio compared to emerging economies and advanced economies. He named Japan and the US, with ratios of 249.7 per cent and 118.7 per cent, respectively. China has 85 trillion yuan (US$11.87 trillion) in total government debt, a ratio of 67.5 per cent. ..... Trump (correctly) wants to increase government debt (and cut taxes); but Musk (the new minister for "sensible government spending") is fooled by neoclassical economic orthodoxy, and wants to cut "wasteful government spending" - code for government services. Meanwhile, Oz government debt to gdp ratio is c. 40% .....and Oz gdp gowth is a fraction of either the US or China, and lower than Japan. Labor's slavish adherence to balanced budget dogma will likely see Dutton elected next year ....ouch. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Nov 9th, 2024 at 11:56am
Hi TGD,
why don't all countries go back to the Gold standard? - stop all this silly debt creation and funny money printing? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 9th, 2024 at 12:15pm Bobby. wrote on Nov 9th, 2024 at 11:56am:
Because the US, being the world's largest debtor country in US dollar terms, doesn't have enough gold to 'pay on demand' any calls for payment of US external debt, in gold. (google, for details of Nixon's abandonment of the gold standard). As for "funny money", bitcoin is the examplar, being merely a ponzi scheme; whereas the value of fiat currencies is based on a nation's production of real goods and services, and measured via currency-exchange rates. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Nov 9th, 2024 at 4:39pm thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2024 at 12:15pm:
yes - I heard that Gold would have to be about US$130,000 an ounce for it to represent US dollars now such is the enormous amount of money they have printed. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 10th, 2024 at 10:15am Bobby. wrote on Nov 9th, 2024 at 4:39pm:
More to the point: due to the enormous increase in the value of global output and trade, after Asia's post WW2 rise beginning with Japan in the 60's. Of course the amount of money in circulation had to also increase greatly. Money of course is created out of thin air, you keep making the mistake of seeing money as a scarce commodity. The real issues in a monetary economy are inflation, cost of living, interest rates, wages and employment, NOT debt (since money is created out of thin air). It will be fascinating to see what Trump achieves in the US with his MAGA and "America First" policies before the mid-term elections; he is projected to double the US deficit and increase US debt. Inflation is the unknown under Trump's policies, we will see. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Nov 10th, 2024 at 10:30am thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2024 at 10:15am:
My point is that today - Gold is worth US$2,741.57 per ounce. If we went to the Gold standard - Gold would be worth $US 130,000 per ounce overnight - such is the amount of money printing in the last 40 or more years. What a windfall for people who have Gold. :) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by tallowood on Nov 10th, 2024 at 12:05pm Bobby. wrote on Nov 10th, 2024 at 10:30am:
The United States holds the world's largest stockpile of gold reserves. The country's government has almost as many reserves as the next three largest gold-holding countries combined—Germany, Italy, and France. Russia rounds out the top five. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is one of the top gold reserve holders with 2,814.10 metric tons (3,102.01 standard tons)—almost as much as Germany |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Nov 10th, 2024 at 12:44pm tallowood wrote on Nov 10th, 2024 at 12:05pm:
Doesn't matter - it's but a tiny fraction of gold value compared to the size of the debt - it's $34 trillion in the USA going up & by $1 trillion every 100 days and causing massive inflation from all the money printing. If you had money in the bank in the last 5 years you've lost at least 20% of its value. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Nov 10th, 2024 at 8:11pm
The USA has 8,133 metric tons of gold - the most gold of any country in the world.
https://www.madisontrust.com/information-center/visualizations/which-world-countries-have-the-most-gold/ Gold price per kilogram https://goldprice.org/gold-price-charts/1-day-gold-price-per-kilogram-in-us-dollars $US 86,313.02 At todays prices of $US 2,741 per ounce - that equals a value of $US702 billion. That's not even $1 trillion in value yet the US debt is $34 trillion. :o |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 10th, 2024 at 9:54pm
Trump wants 'America First'; I wonder if this picture would move his soul at all.....
Man selling flowers in a smog-ravaged street in Lahore, Pakistan. https://images.tagesschau.de/image/b2467d69-e442-4a0f-8119-a4272d3d1f7c/AAABkxUrr7M/AAABkZLhkrw/16x9-1280/blumenverkaeufer-lahore-100.jpg ......... And Musk is set to become the world's first $trillionare within the decade, according to Oxfam. "Lord have mercy upon us".... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 11th, 2024 at 10:57am tallowood wrote on Nov 10th, 2024 at 12:05pm:
Yes: https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/040715/what-countries-have-largest-gold-reserves.asp#:~:text=other%20economic%20shocks.-,The%20United%20States%20holds%20the%20world%27s%20largest%20stockpile%20of%20gold,%2C%20Italy%2C%20and%20France%20combined. ..... Of more interest than the quantities of gold held by various nations, is this detail (in the above link) relating to the abandonment of the gold standard: France. With 2,436.97 tons, France has the fourth-largest gold reserves in the world. Former President of France Charles de Gaulle was partially responsible for the collapse of the Bretton Woods system when he called the United States' bluff and began trading dollars in for gold from the Fort Knox reserves. Then-president Richard Nixon, who knew that the fixed rate of $35 per gold ounce was too low, was eventually forced to take the U.S. off the gold standard, ending the dollar's automatic convertibility into gold. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 11th, 2024 at 11:36am Bobby. wrote on Nov 10th, 2024 at 12:44pm:
I can see you - like many people - are still stuck in the past, not understanding that money is created out of thin air. 'Finding the Money' (film) https://www.google.com/search?q=finding+the+money+full+movie+youtube&sca_esv=2c272caab9e83ec0&sxsrf=ADLYWIJ6vFjpmmq3tvRLCRuYyW2zzZFM_Q%3A1731286978215&ei=wlcxZ9HoDJ6jseMPtbetSA&oq=Fing+the+money+film&gs_lp=Egxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAiE0ZpbmcgdGhlIG1vbmV5IGZpbG0qAggAMgoQABiwAxjWBBhHMgoQABiwAxjWBBhHMgoQABiwAxjWBBhHMgoQABiwAxjWBBhHMgoQABiwAxjWBBhHMgoQABiwAxjWBBhHMgoQABiwAxjWBBhHMgoQABiwAxjWBBhHSPQ3UABYAHABeAGQAQCYAQCgAQCqAQC4AQHIAQCYAgGgAgiYAwDiAwUSATEgQIgGAZAGCJIHATGgBwA&sclient=gws-wiz-serp What doesn't matter (for a currency-issuing government) is deficit and debt; what DOES matter is the nation's productive capacity. Quote:
1. We have just exited a post-covid inflationary episode, in which the inflation was caused by government mismagement: the government should not have borrowed money to pay the essential bills of locked down wotkers, the government should have authorized Treasury to create money out of thin air, thus avoiding a build-up in workers' purchasing power which caused inflation after the pandemic ended, and a massive increase in government debt. 2. 2% inflation is OK if wages grow at a faster rate. And $300k (say) in the bank still earns interest, at least maintaining the purchasing power/value of the money. 3. A better system would be a mandated zero interest-rate, real full-employment scenario, with price controls, and government spending determined by availabilty of resources, not taxing or borrowing from the private sector which always results in government 'austerity'. And we could sack Bullock who is worse than useless, because she is causing home buyers and unemployed workers endless misery. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Bobby. on Nov 12th, 2024 at 5:55am
The amount of debt is astonishing.
The USA has 8,133 metric tons of gold - the most gold of any country in the world. https://www.madisontrust.com/information-center/visualizations/which-world-countries-have-the-most-gold/ Gold price per kilogram https://goldprice.org/gold-price-charts/1-day-gold-price-per-kilogram-in-us-dollars $US 86,313.02 At todays prices of $US 2,741 per ounce - that equals a value of $US702 billion. That's not even $1 trillion in value yet the US debt is $34 trillion. :o |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 13th, 2024 at 9:33am Bobby. wrote on Nov 12th, 2024 at 5:55am:
Bobby - a case study in intellectual blindness. "The amount of debt is astonishing". It's actually the amount of money the government hasn't taxed back (to pay the debt), ie the government's debt is the private sector's savings. Stop pushing for higher taxes, Trump won't like you. :-( [It's a pity Trump wants to raise tariffs, otherwise he would prove government debt doesn't cause inflation, which is actually caused by excess demand on available resources. But tarrifs do cause inflation by reducing supply of cheaper goods.] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 13th, 2024 at 4:21pm
China's latest fiscal stimulus is too small to overcome that nation's current deflation caused by lack of private sector purchasing power, but Trump will produce a 'reverse stimulus' on steroids, if he follows Musk's plan outlined during the campaign:
https://www.msn.com/en-au/video/news/elon-musk-says-americans-need-economic-hardship-as-he-plans-to-cut-agencies-under-trump/vi-AA1tYzPf?ocid=msedgdhp&t=7 "we have to reduce spending to live within our means, and, um - (long pause) - that necessarily involves some temporary hardship, but it will ensure longterm prosperity." Back to the old fashioned balanced government budget dogma, after I thought Trump had heard Rush Limbaugh in 2019: https://reason.com/2019/07/18/rush-limbaugh-abandons-fiscal-conservatism/ (in 2019): rightwing icon and firebrand radio host Rush Limbaugh once cared about reining in the federal deficit and the national debt, but not anymore. On his radio show Wednesday, Limbaugh characterized talk of the country's financial insolvency as unfounded worrying and a dead issue: Caller: In 2019, there's gonna be a $1 trillion deficit. Trump doesn't really care about that. He's not really a fiscal conservative. We have to acknowledge that Trump has been cruelly used. Limbaugh: Nobody is a fiscal conservative anymore. All this talk about concern for the deficit and the budget has been bogus for as long as it's been around. Limbaugh an MMTer? Anyway, Musk is certainly an old-fashioned 'trickle down' Conservative who thinks slashing taxes and spending will create growth for all.....albeit with "some temporary hardship, but it will ensure longterm prosperity." That's the neoliberal lie; slashing taxes and spending since Reagan has fueled inequality in the US, with half the population living paycheck to paycheck in a cost of living crisis. Of course Musk forgot to say who would be experiencing the "temporary" pain....it won't be him.... ......... (The Independent) Donald Trump has nominated billionaire Elon Musk and venture capitalist Vivek Ramaswamy to lead a newly created office designed to fire workers and make drastic cuts to government funding. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 14th, 2024 at 10:05am
Classic: Trump wants to defend Bitcoin, which is a non-government-issued digital currency, by banning the sale of the government's holdings of bitcoin.
In effect, the government is defending a ponzi scheme ie a 'coin' whose value is based soley on the number of people who own it. (The Conversation) The crypto community sees a powerful new friend in Donald Trump. Here’s why Trump has flagged a wide range of pro-crypto policies, including building a government bitcoin stockpile, preventing the government from selling its cryptocurrency holdings, and even using cryptocurrency to address the national debt. Furthering his pro-bitcoin stance, he’s also previously voiced opposition to “central bank digital currencies”, or CBDCs. CBDCs are a relatively new digital form of money – and the US doesn’t have one yet. However, unlike decentralised cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, the value of a CBDC is determined by its issuing country’s central bank. Trump’s previous criticisms of the US Federal Reserve have resonated with many cryptocurrency supporters who have advocated for decentralised financial systems. A volatile US dollar A Trump presidency could lead to substantial US dollar volatility against major currencies. A cornerstone policy of Trump’s re-election campaign has been to impose tariffs of 10–20% on all imports to the US, and 60% on imports from China. ..... Hmm... so bitcoin might serve as a 'get out of jail' scheme, if Trump crashes the $US with high inflation? Madness, based on obsolete neoclassical 'scarcity' economics which imposes austerity onto currency-issung governments, in a dog eat dog world pitting taxpayers against taxpayers. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 16th, 2024 at 10:26am
Robbing Peter (US EV industry) to pay Paul (tax department):
(Inside EVs global) Killing the $7,500 credit would deal a major blow to EV buyers and manufacturers. But trashing it won't be easy. The President-elect seems to be sticking to at least one goal so far: unraveling Joe Biden’s policies that prop up America’s electric vehicle industry. Reuters on Thursday reported that the Trump transition team plans to kill the $7,500 consumer EV tax credit, a move that would drive up vehicle costs and make the U.S auto industry’s tough transition to EVs—one that is happening globally—even rockier. ...... Tesla may be the only automaker that stands to benefit from Trump’s plans. It turns a handsome profit selling electric cars and owns about half the U.S. EV market. So, while the axing of the consumer tax credit would probably hurt its sales to some degree, it would hurt its competitors more. Indeed, Reuters reported on Thursday that Tesla supports the Trump team’s plan. And that’s not so surprising, given Trump’s increasingly cozy relationship with Tesla CEO Elon Musk. But the non-Tesla firms that constitute the backbone of U.S. manufacturing won’t let these tax credits go without a fight. After all, they’ve invested far too much in EV development and domestic EV factories—in part to make vehicles that qualify for the tax credit—to go quietly. That’s only part of why tossing 30D (as the tax credit is known) in the garbage may be harder than it looks. Congress And Big EV Investments Complicate Things EVs are more of a political football than ever, but they’re also far more ingrained in the U.S. and global economies. The EV tax credit survived the last Trump presidency, and it may prove just as durable this time around. One big reason: It’s not just a handout to electric car buyers. Rather, it’s part of a complex web of policies aimed at supporting domestic car manufacturing and standing up to China’s fearsome EV and battery industries. Furthermore, it’s primarily Republican districts that stand to benefit from the billions of dollars going to EV investments and the tens of thousands of jobs they’ll create. Hyundai’s new factory is the largest investment project the state of Georgia has ever seen, and the EVs produced there will qualify for the tax credit. Toyota is bringing battery manufacturing to Kentucky. BMW, Volvo and Scout Motors, a new offshoot of Volkswagen, are investing in EV operations in South Carolina. Any major attack on 30D and other IRA provisions could slow down future investments. "If the United States is going to continue to fight to bring those jobs here and actually compete to win against China, there needs to be a demand signal—like the New Clean Vehicle Tax Credit—aligned with that goal, otherwise we would be undercutting those investments and hurting American job growth,” Albert Gore, executive director of the Zero Emission Transportation Association, a trade group, said in a statement on Friday. Trump wants to kill the tax credit to fund tax cuts, Reuters reports, and for that he needs Congress. It would only take a handful of Republican lawmakers—the party has just a slim majority in the House—to gum up the works. And there very well may be enough representatives who don’t want to jeopardize transformative investments in their districts, or who believe strongly enough that the U.S. shouldn’t cede the future of car manufacturing to its biggest global adversary. After all, without the EV tax credit, manufacturers won’t be under nearly the same pressure not to use Chinese-sourced batteries and minerals. They’ll just buy whatever’s cheapest, which would likely come from China. So, there are strong tides that could keep the tax credit in place. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 19th, 2024 at 9:45am
Andrew Bolt getting his nickers in a knot over money:
Sky News Andrew Bolt slams government not ruling out the $1.8 trillion climate payment proposed by China Sky News host Andrew Bolt slams the Albanese Labor government pushing renewable energy at the APEC summit and the G20. China has urged developed countries, including Australia, to provide $1.8 trillion a year to developing nations to combat the effects of climate change. “He [Chris Bowen] hasn't ruled out this demand from China and its 133 friends,” Mr Bolt said. “There's our energy minister, still saying, we've got to discuss paying this $1.8 trillion to China and its mates.” ....... Well, the developed world IS responsible for most of the AGW-CO2 emissions which have accumulated in the atmosphere in the last 200 years. But what the world is facing now is mobilization of resources across ALL countries, to transition to the green economy. Money isn't the issue, it's created out of thin air... Bolt needs to educate himself. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 21st, 2024 at 11:07am
Today in Parliament a Conservative MP said "money doesn't grow on trees".
But it's a pity he doesn't know money is created out of thin air. He was on firmer ground when he mentioned "opportunity costs". The debate was about "free" TAFE; he said it's not "free" because taxpayers have to pay for it. But a Labor member (rightly) pointed out access to TAFE shouldn't depend on ability to pay. The real issue is indeed 'opportunity cost' to the nation, ie, how to mobilize the nation's resources to achieve sustainabe prosperity for all. Conservatives are more inclined to mobilize resources to enrich the most capable (or criminal) in the community, at the expense of the least capable - hence a differnet view of "opportunity cost". But it's time to stop the nonsense about "money doesn't grow on trees"; indeed, money is in fact created out of thin air. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 23rd, 2024 at 9:40am
American industry sweating over Trump's policies:
(Inside EVs) U.S. automakers wrote a letter to Trump pleading for regulations that are "predictable" and "stable." A week after the U.S. elections, the country's top auto industry lobbying group wrote a letter to President-elect Donald Trump. It had a clear message: Don't mess with the electric vehicle tax credits. Of course, the group attempted to strike a far more subtle and diplomatic tone. But the urgency of that letter is palpable. Automakers want to continue manufacturing EVs and remain competitive with the rest of the world, especially China. .... No doubt Musk woudn't mind seeing the competition in the US disappear; but EVs (whether battery or HFC) are the future of motoring, and Trump might inadvertently reduce US competitiveness even more than it already is. A pity, given that "everybody knows government debt and deficts don't matter": Rush Limbaugh, conservative shock-jock extraodinaire (see #1019) :-) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 23rd, 2024 at 9:57am thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 21st, 2024 at 11:07am:
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 24th, 2024 at 4:57pm
Remarkable; the greed of the comfortable class who don't need provision of government services.
Daily Mail More than 200,000 people sign petition demanding General Election (...2 months after UK Labour was elected...) A petition calling for a general election has exceeded the amount needed for a response from the government and needed to be considered for a debate in in parliament. The online petition has surpassed 200,000 signatures, at the time of publication, after being widely shared on social media since being created on Wednesday. It smashed through the 100,000 mark today which is the amount needed for it to be considered for a debate in parliament. A petition needs 10,000 signatures for a government response. Set up by Michael Westwood, the petition reads: 'I would like there to be another General Election. 'I believe the current Labour Government have gone back on the promises they laid out in the lead up to the last election.' .......... Promises not to raise taxes, no doubt - which Jeremy Clarkson was bleating about recently. A graphic illustration of how 'Left wing' parties are condemned to 'austerity' by neoliberal 'small government/low tax' ideology, and hence disappoint the people who voted them in.... And in Oz: (Guardian) The Coalition is leading in the polls as of 18 November 2024 A one-term Labor government? - even though the Coalition would hurt low-wage workers even more, with so called productivity increases (ie, screw workers even more). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 28th, 2024 at 8:50am
New book from Prof. Steve Keen explains why balanced government budget dogma achieves the opposite of what it is supposed to achieve.
The book explains why Reeves’ obsession—and Musk’s in the USA—with running a balanced budget looks sensible to her. IF the Neoclassical model of banking, called Loanable Funds, is correct, THEN the future crisis that she and Musk fear is inevitable. Government debt and interest rates skyrocket, and GDP collapses. But the model is wrong. Households don’t lend to firms, nor do they buy bonds off the Treasury (at the initial auction of bonds): banks do. And the government’s main bank accounts are at the Central Bank, not private banks. By simply removing those two false assumptions, a totally different outcome applies. A government deficit results in a growing money supply, and no crisis. In this real-world setting, the balanced budget that both Reeves and Musk thinks is essential actually results in a lower rate of economic growth, when they both think it will enable faster growth. This new book explains the modelling in great detail, because I want as many people as possible to be able to do this themselves. This necessitates learning how to drive Ravel, because it is the literally the only computer program that enables the contstruction of double-entry bookkeeping models of the financial system. This can be done without having to master Ravel’s mathematical modelling capabilities—though I explain those as well in the book. I am beyond frustrated with how the pedestrian belief that “the government is like a household and must spend less than it earns” dominates public discourse, but I can understand why too when so many people believe that banks “lend out deposits”—since that’s what conventional economics teaches. This new book grew out of this frustration, because no amount of posting on this topic by me (or like-minded colleagues, such as Richard Murphy and Stephanie Kelton) will convince enough people to turn the tide. Instead, I think that people like yourselves—people who subscribe to and support economic rebels like us—need to be able to explain this analysis to your friends and colleagues. This book will show you how to build accounting-only models of the financial system in Ravel, and how to run some models I’ll provide with the book that also do the numerical simulations done above. I have roughly 10,000 supporters and followers on Patreon and Substack. If 2-3 per cent of you are willing to help, then that’s 200-300 people who can bore their friends over a beer or meal every now and then, and in the process convince them that this “fear of deficits” is simply wrong.** Otherwise, we’ll be stuck with economic policies that aim for growth but achieve the opposite (and which will also give us no guidance of what to do when global warming forces degrowth upon us). Ravel is available via Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/ravelation; it is $1/month for the modelling only version, and $7/month for the extended data analysis version. The new book provides a detailed explanation of how to use Ravel to unravel the persuasive but nonsensical economic thinking that has locked us into unending austerity. ** So Rush Limbaugh (!) is correct, after all.......(see#1019). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 3rd, 2024 at 4:17pm
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=62207
Austerity cultist Kenneth Rogoff continues to bore us with his broken record |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:55am
French government collapses because the minorty-backed RW PM wants to force through a 'deficit reduction' package to "fix the government budget".
How? By raising taxes on ordinary people (rich people know how to avoid taxes) and cutting government spending (which poor people rely on). The collapse represents an effective demonstration of people power counterinng mainstream economics. The French want to avoid Argentina's fate, where the RW economic ignoramus Milei has plunged half the population into poverty "to fix inflation" via spending cuts and high interest rates. [Note: what about 'fixing' prices - literally, ie with price controls, instead of pauperizing half the population?) France would be smart to look at the US, which has been ignoring deficits and the associated increasing government debt, for many years, and yet the US economy has low unemployment, with falling interest rates and inflation. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 9th, 2024 at 3:07pm
More egregious free market ideology from Conservative politicians:
'The Independent' (google the article, my news feed is cluttered with ads) Kemi Badenoch (new UK Conservative Party leader) landed a major political coup when she secured a meeting with vice president elect J. D. Vance on her trip to Washington DC. The meeting is understood to have lasted for an hour. The pair discussed themes from Ms Badenoch’s speech at the International Democracy Union conference earlier int he trip, particularly her thesis on the rise of the bureaucratic state and size of govt and why they are hindering risk taking and economic growth. A Badenoch ally said: “J.D. sees Kemi as one of those on the global right doing the deep thinking about how we reform the state. He and Kemi are of a new generation of centre-right politicians - like Pierre Poilievre, who she met in Toronto on Friday; and Ron DeSantis, who endorsed her leadership campaign - who are using strong conservative principles to enthuse younger voters**. The dinner renewed their friendship, and Kemi and J.D. will continue to stay in touch as the Trump administration gets up and running.” The connections are crucial as the Tories fight back from their worst-ever election defeat in their 365-year history returning a mere 121 MPs in July. ........ **so they are attempting to restore Maggie T's discredited 'small government, low tax, 'trickle down' economics. While the young can't afford housing. Good luck with that, Kemi.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 9th, 2024 at 3:24pm
linked from the previous article
'Independent' Jeremy Hunt is fighting for his place in history – and the Tories’ future may depend on it. The former chancellor says Rachel Reeves’s budget ‘black hole’ is fiction. John Rentoul examines whether voters will listen Saturday 07 December 2024 16:02 GMT The author (Rentoul) concludes I suspect that Hunt’s sunny optimism that public-sector productivity gains could have saved run-down public services without big tax increases is not going to persuade many historians – let alone voters ...... Exactly. The false Conservative narrative of 'getting government out of the way and freeing up animal spirits' won't fix the NHS. If it did, Conservatives would have already done it in their decade in power before being turfed out of office by Starmer's 'moderate' Labour Party. Which is why Brits now have to live with Reeves' "black hole" nonsense....they moved from the frying pan into the fire. The poor will never win, with neoclassical-duped parties in power. Note: 'John Rentoul is a visiting professor at King’s College London'. ....I wonder if he has any solutions to the obsolete neoclassical 'scarcity' doctrine which is enforcing austerity on democratic governments. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 11th, 2024 at 11:33am
Here we go.....
(Daily Mail) Musk's controversial proposal that would save billions picks up steam One of the most controversial proposals from Elon Musk 's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is gaining support as he and lawmakers look to cut costs. President-elect Donald Trump has tapped the Tesla CEO and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy to cut trillions of dollars in federal spending as the U.S. national debt continues to balloon to staggering new highs inflated by runaway expenditures over the few last decades. As it stands, that debt totals $36.2 trillion dollars, but Musk estimates that DOGE could cut 'at least $2 trillion' from the current White House 's $6.5 trillion budget in the near term. The next natural questions is where should these cuts will come from. Musk and Ramaswamy are reportedly considering stripping all taxpayer-funded foreign aid , which would send shock waves internationally.etc. ........ The silly part about all this is that: https://ellenbrown.com/2024/12/10/how-to-escape-the-federal-debt-trap/ U.S. Currency Should Be Issued by the U.S. Government Well over 90% of the U.S. money supply today is issued not by the government but by private banks when they make loans. As Thomas Edison argued in 1921, “It is absurd to say that our country can issue $30 million in bonds and not $30 million in currency. Both are promises to pay, but one promise fattens the usurers and the other helps the people.” The government could avoid increasing the debt by printing the money for its budget as President Lincoln did, as U.S. Notes or “Greenbacks.” Donald Trump acknowledged in 2016 that the government never has to default “because you print the money,” echoing Alan Greenspan, Warren Buffett and others. So writes Prof. Stephanie Kelton in a Dec. 2, 2024 blog. What happened to Don's "radicalism"? Has he forgotten that "the government never has to default “because you print the money.”? How can he improve needed government services for those whose can't pay, if he is just going to cut government spending? Re the fear of inflation posited by some mainstream economists (from the same article): How to Avoid Hyperinflation Alarmed economists contend that a Weimar-style hyperinflation is the inevitable outcome of government-issued money. But as Michael Hudson points out, “Every hyperinflation in history has been caused by foreign debt service collapsing the exchange rate. The problem almost always has resulted from wartime foreign currency strains, not domestic spending.” Issuing the money directly will not inflate prices if the funds are used to increase the domestic supply of goods and services. Supply and demand will then go up together, keeping prices stable. This has been illustrated historically, perhaps most dramatically in China. The People’s Bank of China manages the money supply by a variety of means including just printing currency. In 28 years, from 1996 to 2024, China’s money supply (M2) grew by 52 times or 5,200%, yet hyperinflation did not result. Prices remained stable because the funds went into increasing GDP, which went up along with the money supply. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 14th, 2024 at 11:53am
Memo for gruesome mainstream neoclassical economists and their discredited NAIRU dogma.
(from the previous post) Issuing the money directly will not inflate prices if the funds are used to increase the domestic supply of goods and services. Supply and demand will then go up together, keeping prices stable. So economists employed by a nation's Treasury and Central Bank should be studying the nation's available resources and productive capacity - a 'stock-taking' exercise - to ensure supply is always sufficent to meet demand, and demand never exceeds supply. As opposed to manipulating interest rates which unfairly burden the least well off, while the fool Bullock is refusing to cut rates until unemployment rises. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 16th, 2024 at 11:59am
(The Age)
Treasurer Tim Pallas quits parliament after 18 years as state bogged down in debt ....... Provided Victoria's government spent the money to increase the state's productive capacity, Pallas should just off-load the debt to the currency-issuing Oz Treasury, since there will be no negative outcomes for the economy if that course of action was taken (see the previous two posts). Meanwhile, forcing governments to borow money will crash democracies around the world (see France and Germany), since failing national economies around the world mean the middle class can no longer afford to pay higher taxes to fix the cost of living and homelessness crises affecting all nations. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 16th, 2024 at 8:04pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 18th, 2024 at 1:14pm
Note the OP in Amchair Politician's thread, titled
https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1734488741/0#1 More Labor mismanagement and incompetence ......... My reply (#1): A 'slash and burn' budget from the Coalition would be even worse; government spending is the only reason Oz isn't in recession now. But why should a currency-issuing government be forced to borrow money from (ie, sell bonds to ) rich people - people who don't need interest payments on their spare cash paid by the public sector? Consumption by rich people, as well as poor people for whom the essentials are also vital, needs to be controlled if supply chains are inadequate and causing inflation. ["Stop getting haircuts", the fool Bullock said, living on her fat salary - what an amoral loser, haircuts are the last of people's problems in the current economy.] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 20th, 2024 at 8:54am
The conflict between Trump, who wants to increase the debt ceiling (and wants Biden to do it now....), compared with Musk who wants to slash government spending despite hurting the people who rely on it (....what does this say about the morality of th world's richest man?)
Raw Story) Trump lashes out at 'nasty trap' laid by Democrats in lengthy screed President-elect Donald Trump took to his Truth Social platform on Wednesday to complain about the state of the omnibus spending deal — and demand that no deal pass without raising the debt ceiling for next year. The debt ceiling, which can force the United States to default on payment obligations it already made, was extended to 2025 after a month of furious negotiation last year by then-House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), who tried to squeeze draconian cuts to social spending out of the deal, and the Biden administration. At the time, some Republicans were opposed to raising the debt ceiling at all. Now on the hook if the nation defaults and blows up the world economy, Trump is complaining that the debt ceiling was timed by Democrats to be a "trap" against him. "Sounds like the ridiculous and extraordinarily expensive Continuing Resolution, PLUS, is dying fast, but can anyone imagine passing it without either terminating, or extending, the Debt Ceiling guillotine coming up in June?" asked Trump. "Unless the Democrats terminate or substantially extend Debt Ceiling now, I will fight ‘till the end," he continued. "This is a nasty TRAP set in place by the Radical Left Democrats! They are looking to embarrass us in June when it comes up for a Vote. The people that extended it, from September 28th to June 1st, should be ashamed of themselves. It was political malpractice!" Trump added: "Also, the Communist Global Engagement Center, a project of Crooked Hillary Clinton, should not in any way, shape, or form be extended and, the shielding of the very corrupt J6 Unselect Committee of Political Losers and Thugs would be suicidal for any Republican approving it. Likewise, this is not a good time for Congress to be asking for pay increases. Hopefully, you’ll be entitled to such an increase in the near future when we, 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!'" All of this comes as one of Trump's closest allies and strategist, tech billionaire Elon Musk, blew up GOP support for the resolution and threatened primary challenges against any Republican who votes for it — a development that upended the whole process. ..... A right royal mess, all because Musk is beholden to the balanced budget/debt and deficit myth. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 23rd, 2024 at 10:36am
Excerpts from a draft paper by prof. Steve Keen, for the celebration of 50 years of the Department of Political Economy at Sydney University.
[Political Economy is the study of the interaction between politics and the economy in the real world, as opposed to to the mythology of neoclassical economics which is taught in Economics departments]. "And yet economics textbooks still teach students that downward-sloping market demand curves can be derived from downward-sloping individual demand curves—though Mas-Colell’s PhD textbook does at least caution that this conclusion requires the existence of “a benevolent central authority” which “redistributes wealth in order to maximize social welfare” (Mas-Colell et al. 1996, p. 117) before market trades occur! ...... And yet economics textbooks—including Samuelson’s—continued to teach the myth of marginal productivity as the basis of income distribution. There were, therefore, enormous currents of justified criticism of mainstream Neoclassical economics in general, and of the teaching of it in particular, before the dispute at Sydney University began. Its genesis can be traced to 1968, when a Neoclassical economist—Bruce Williams—became Vice-Chancellor at Sydney University, and then promptly appointed two other Neoclassical economists—Colin Simkin and Warren Hogan—as Professors to deform (not a typo) the department away from its humanist and Keynesian foundations ......... The student component of the Political Economy struggle owes its primary thanks to Professor Colin Simkin. Simkin was the main designer of the course structure that he and Hogan imposed on the Department, and it was boring, in both structure and content. All of first year was devoted to Micro, Macro was the only topic for 2nd year, and International occupied all of 3rd year—relieved, partially, by Ted Wheelwright’s brilliant lectures on the history of economic thought. Ted effectively summarised the student reaction to this Neoclassical curriculum with his quip about Neoclassical economists “tobogganing up and down their indifference curves until they disappear up their own abscissas”. Even the staunchly Neoclassical Neil Conn concluded his lectures in the first term of 1971 by declaring that we had covered the topic of Neoclassical demand theory “in excruciating detail”—minus, of course, the details about its false assumptions and logical fallacies noted above. ........ The revolt, which began with a “Day of Protest” on July 25th 1973, was the first ever revolt by economics students against Neoclassical economics anywhere on the planet. Nothing like it happened again for over 25 years, until French students created the Protest Against Autistic Economics (PAECON) in September 2000. The next comparable event was the walkout by students from Gregory Mankiw’s first year economics lectures at Harvard in 2011. Another year passed before students at Manchester University formed the Post-Crash Economics Society to revolt against their Neoclassical curriculum in the aftermath to the Global Financial Crisis. ..... Unfortunately however, more than 50 years after our protest, that same Neoclassical hegemony is alive and well—or at least undead. The pedagogy and paradigm that we railed against in the 1970s has evolved into something even more absurd and anti-realistic than the absurd and anti-realistic dogmas we protested against in 1973 (Krueger 1991). So, since the objective of our protests was to replace the fantasies of Neoclassical economics with a realistic approach to economics, they have, in this sense, failed. But what have we got, 50 years later? Political economy has continued on, but the mainstream is as ascendant as ever—despite its numerous failings at the time and since. I had hoped, in those subsequent years, that a clear failure by Neoclassical economics would help expose it for the fraud it is. I thought that the failure to realise, in the Noughties, that a serious economic crisis was imminent (Keen 2006, 1995, 2020b), would permanently tarnish the status of conventional economics. Not only did Neoclassicals not realise that a crisis was imminent, they actually thought that they had eliminated the very possibility of crises. Janet Yellen spoke at the annual Hyman Minsky Conference at Bard College in 1996, and declared that “The ‘New’ Science of Credit Risk Management at Financial Institutions” made another Great Crash like that in 1929 an impossibility, let alone a repeat of the Great Depression. Thirteen year later she admitted her mistake at the same venue (Yellen 2009). But despite this, another 15 years later, she still supports the same policies that preceded the crash of 2007. Speaking as the incoming President of the American Economic Association, Robert Lucas—one of the fountainheads of modern Neoclassical macroeconomics—made the following bold and utterly false statement in his Presidential lecture at the end of 2002: Macro-economics was born as a distinct field in the 1940's, as a part, of the intellectual response to the Great Depression. The term then referred to the body of knowledge and expertise that we hoped would prevent the recurrence of that economic disaster. My thesis in this lecture is that macroeconomics in this original sense has succeeded: Its central problem of depression prevention has been solved, for all practical purposes, and has in fact been solved for many decades". (Lucas) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 23rd, 2024 at 10:53am
(cont)
Two decades later, despite the failure of Neoclassical “Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium” models to anticipate the biggest economic crisis since the Great Depression, and despite Nobel Laureates like Paul Romer and Joseph Stiglitz rubbishing them, DSGE models are still the workhorses of Neoclassical economics. ...... Unfortunately, in economics (which is not a pure science), anomalies are historical and transient, rather than eternal and reproducible (as in pure science). The Great Depression, WWII, the post-War “Golden Age of Capitalism”, the 70s Stagflation, the 80s stock market bubble, the 90s recession, the Great Recession, now the post(?)-Covid boom and inflation… Each new crisis knocked the previous one off its pedestal. The fact that Neoclassical economics can’t explain the Great Depression—or that it has an explanation which is an insult to anyone who lived through it (Prescott 1999)—doesn’t matter to any modern economist who is working on today’s issue of inflation. Old failures can be forgotten. Just as importantly, the underlying Neoclassical vision of capitalism is a highly seductive one. It is a meritocracy in which what you earn is what you deserve, where harmony rules because of equilibrium, and which is free of coercion: there’s no need for government control when the market works “perfectly”. Therefore, even if some students break away from Neoclassical economics because of one of its failures, enough “true believers” can be found in the student body to replace existing “true believers” when they retire. ...... The final factor that enables economics to escape the revolutionary change it desperately needs is rather ironic: myths in economics survive because, despite the dominance of our politics by economic ideas, you don’t need economic theory or economists to have an economy. The economy exists independently of economists, and would probably function a lot better if economists simply didn’t exist. In contrast, engineering doesn’t exist independently of engineers: you need engineers to create the technological marvels the rest of us take for granted, and when something goes wrong with the things that engineers create, engineers face real consequences: a collapsing bridge fingers the engineers who didn’t take account of its harmonics, a crashing plane implicates the engineers (or their managers) who approved a faulty design. To use Nicholas Taleb’s phrase, economists don’t have any “skin in the game”: they don’t suffer any serious consequences when their advice is badly wrong, and there is a myriad of complicating factors that they can point at to explain away any failure. Ironically, the fact that economists aren’t strictly necessary is something that gives them great power. They are the witchdoctors of capitalism, holding the leaders of our society in their thrall as they read the entrails of their Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium models, while at the same time they have no idea how that society actually works. ...... Neoclassical economists do not use mathematics: they abuse it. I coined the neologism “mythematics” to describe what they do, and my colleague Asad Zaman coined the equally apt “mathemagics”. What Neoclassicals do appears to be mathematics to the uninitiated, but they either use the wrong mathematical tools, or start from ludicrous assumptions, or make even more ludicrous assumptions when the results they reach don’t have the properties they desire. ..... Add the existence of a banking sector that creates money when it lends (Moore 1979), and replace the assumption that capitalists invest all their profits with the more realistic assumption that capitalists invest more than profits during a boom, and less than profits during a slump, and you get Minsky’s “Financial Instability Hypothesis” (Minsky 1982)—see Figure 13. Include government deficit spending and you get a complex-systems version of Modern Monetary Theory (Kelton 2020). Keen's completed publication will be available in mid 2025. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 3rd, 2025 at 10:19am
(msm)
Supreme Court Chief Justice issues stark warning ahead of Trump return [i]Chief Justice Roberts did not name Trump, President Joe Biden or any other lawmaker in his report, despite public spats with both executives. 'These dangerous suggestions, however sporadic, must be soundly rejected. Judicial independence is worth preserving,' Roberts argued. He went on to quote late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who he said argued that an independent judiciary is 'essential to the rule of law in any land' but is 'vulnerable to assault; it can be shattered if the society law exists to serve does not take care to assure its preservation.' 'I urge all Americans to appreciate this inheritance from our founding generation and cherish its endurance,' Roberts wrote.[/] All true; except - as noted by a commentator on radio yesterday - "politics doesn't work anymore". And the reason is: the judiciary don't pay enough attention to the 'General Welfare' which is actually mentioned in the preamble to the US Constitution, while the legislature is steered by the self-interest of the slim majority. And because governments are forced to borrow from rich people in an environment where neoclassical economists say governments must balance their budgets like households do (which is the mainstream myth exposed in these pages), rhe result is 'government austery' imposed by the c.50%+1 who elect them on the basis of policies aligning with their own self-interest. The 'General Welfare' be damned...... Hence that comment heard on radio - except she has no idea WHY "politics ins't working anymore". A global phenomenon, in the modern globalized economy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Grappler Truth Teller Feller on Jan 4th, 2025 at 4:32pm
Money is oppressive of Blacks and other minorities... it's a white man's thing...
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 5th, 2025 at 8:02am Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Jan 4th, 2025 at 4:32pm:
Money is a "white man's thing"; but - as to be expected, the Dems are already belly-aching about Repub plans for the economy in Congress: The GOP promised to make life easier for working families' — but here's their real agenda Jayapal (Dem chair emeritus of the Congressional Progressive Caucus) said "our top priority over the next two years must be fighting for working families and standing up to corporate power and greed." Speaking out against the package on the House floor, Jayapal said it "makes very clear what the Republican majority will not do in the 119th Congress," stressing that the 12 bills "do nothing to lower costs or raise wages for the American people." These bills also won't "take on the biggest corporations and wealthiest individuals who profit from the high prices and junk fees and corporate concentration that's harming Americans across this country," she said. "Because guess what? These corporations and wealthy individuals are the ones that are controlling the Republican Party for their own benefit." Yeh well - rather than "fighting for" working families, the Dems should have actually achieved better outcomes for working familie; and their failure to do so was the reason they lost the election. So now we wait to see if Trump can "MAGA", while cuting taxes on the wealthy and slashing government spending.... Same old same old, proving "politics doesn't work anymore" - courtesy of mainstream neoclassical 'austerity' economics. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 19th, 2025 at 4:16pm
Oops...
(msm) Bloomberg reports that United States treasury yields are significantly higher now than they were in 2017 when Trump's first term began, which allowed him and Republicans to pass tax cuts without making any offsetting spending cuts that could have been politically painful. Conservatives such as Rep. Chip Roy (R-TX) have started to draw the line about ensuring the government makes major spending cuts before he signs off on any new tax cuts. Is Trump about to come up against the mainstream 'government-debt bad' mythology? Milei has just achieved a surplus via massive government cuts.....and poverty in Argentina is sky-rocketting. Good one, Milei. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 19th, 2025 at 4:39pm
Note (apropos Trump's looming problems with government debt):
As we know, currency-issuing governments should not borrow money at all, because the interest on government bonds adds to government deficits (and debt - which is actually a reduction in the government's resource purchasing power; c-i governments should fund programs with treasury issued money (or taxation) when the resources are available for purchase by the government. Eg in Oz, the Oz government should buy the nation's available house-building capacity, by simply commanding that capacity (by decree) from the private sector for a defined period of time until sufficient public housing stock has been built. That is, no more private sector house construction until sufficient public housing has beeh established - all at no cost to the government, who can subcontract the nation's builders for free. Many of which builders are currently going broke in the dysfunctional private market - another example of market failure, as homelessnes is at unacceptable levels, home ownership rates are falling, house construction is actually falling, and rents are soaring as landlords attempt to cover their borrowing costs in an overpriced housing market. The great cry from mainstreamers that "money printing will cause inflation" is demonstrably false in the above example, because there is no excess (or increased) demand created in the economy, since private sector demand has been eliminated by decree, for the specified time. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 24th, 2025 at 1:43pm
More trouble for Trump on the horizon, as some Repubs who are indoctrinated by the mainstream "balanced government budget" mythology seek 'budget reconciliation:
(Raw Story) Swing-district Republicans fear 'worst-case scenario' in big MAGA budget bill. The New York Times has written an outline of Republican plans for a major budget reconciliation (read: 'balanced budget') package and what it suggests seems to involve slashing money for programs that benefit low-income Americans to fund tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations. Among other things, the Times reports that the GOP is eyeing work requirements to Among other things, the Times reports that the GOP is eyeing work requirements to Medicaid that would cause an estimated 600,000 people to lose their health coverage; slashing the portion of Medicaid paid out by the federal government, thus putting an increased burden on states to fund the program; taxes on people whose offices offer free gyms; taxing all scholarship and fellowship income; ending the home mortgage tax deduction; and slapping a ten percent tariff on all imported goods, which would raise costs on consumers. In addition to all that, Republicans are considering completely repealing clean energy tax credits that were part of the Inflation Reduction Act signed by former President Joe Biden in 2022. However, these plans have run into some opposition from many Republicans whose districts have benefited from the investments made in the IRA. In fact, a group of 18 Republicans wrote Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) to warn that "a full repeal would create a worst-case scenario where we would have spent billions of taxpayer dollars and received next to nothing in return." Republicans currently have a very narrow majority in the House of Representatives, meaning that passing any kind of bill will be very tricky presuming House Democrats remain united in opposition. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 25th, 2025 at 7:13am
I read Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan (who "earned" $28 million last year) says "a bit of inflation is a small price to pay for increased national security (referring to Trump's planned tariff hikes).
(google it) Easy for him to say, being completely indifferent to the half of Americans who are living paycheck to paycheck and for whom price rises are a disaster. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 25th, 2025 at 2:10pm
Elizabeth Warren's alternative list of DOGE government- spending cuts:
(Alternet) 'Unrealistic and cruel': Top Dem tells Elon Musk how to cut $2 trillion in a decade U.S. President Donald Trump's Department of Government Efficiency has faced intense criticism and even multiple lawsuits, some progressive groups and lawmakers are also engaging, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren on Thursday. When Trump announced DOGE in November, he said the presidential advisory commission would work to "slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures, and restructure Federal Agencies." Warren (D-Mass.) on Thursday detailed 30 proposals that would cut at least $2 trillion of government spending over the next decade. In a lengthy letter lengthy letter to the chair of DOGE, billionaire Elon Musk, that was first reported by Time, Warren highlighted that "you have publicly called for sizable cuts in funding—from $500 billion in annual spending to 'at least' $2 trillion in cuts to federal spending—although recently, you said you may not actually be able to meet that goal." "I have very serious concerns about both the DOGE process and the policies that you have publicly discussed to date," she wrote. "With regard to process, as I raised in a still-unanswered letter to President-elect Trump regarding Mr. Musk, sent on December 16, 2024, it is not clear that you and other DOGE leaders are able to identify and mitigate your conflicts of interest and adhere to commonsense ethics standards. As a result, the committee appears to be a venue for corruption, allowing well-connected billionaires to put government policies in place that enrich them while hurting ordinary Americans." I am disturbed by the dangerous proposals you have discussed and released to date: proposals from you and your allies to cut Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, veterans' benefits, and other programs." "With regard egard to policy, I am disturbed by the dangerous proposals you have discussed and released to date: proposals from you and your allies to cut Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, veterans' benefits, and other programs that tens of millions of Americans count on and rely on are unrealistic and cruel. It would be outrageous to cut these programs in the name of government thriftiness while handing out trillions of dollars in tax cuts for billionaires and big corporations," she continued. "But, your broad point—that the federal government spends trillions of dollars on wasteful spending is correct. And if you are serious about working together in good faith to cut government spending—in a way that does not harm the middle class—I have proposals for your consideration." The letter features several recommendations to cut spending at the U.S. Department of Defense, which has never passed an audit. Specifically, it says: negotiate better contracts, recreate a renegotiation board to challenge excess profits, stop using the military to perform civilian jobs, end corporate welfare for Pentagon contractors and foreign governments, instruct the agency to stop gaming the budget process, boost energy efficiency and industry competition, tackle repair restrictions on military equipment, and "avert wasteful government spending on plutonium pit production at the Savannah River Site." Warren also has suggestions for federal healthcare programs, such as curbing taxpayer abuse by Medicare Advantage insurers, engaging in more Medicare negotiations to lower prescription drug costs, supporting efforts to crack down on pharmacy benefit managers, quashing patent abuses by the pharmaceutical industry, exercising march-in rights to reduce medication prices, breaking up conglomerates, and keeping private equity out of the industry. To save save on education, the senator called for eliminating or reducing funding for the federal Charter Schools Program and making for-profit colleges ineligible for federal grant aid. On the taxation front, she advised fully funding the Internal Revenue Service as well as clawing back tax expenditures and closing loopholes for the wealthy. Her letter further suggests keeping the federal government's cloud and other information technology markets competitive, reducing waste in unnecessary federal arrests and detention programs, and working with the Government Accountability Office, inspector general offices, and other watchdogs "to detect and combat fraud, waste, and abuse." "DOGE's agenda has focused on limiting the size of the federal government to increase efficiency and save taxpayer dollars. As the list above indicates, there are many opportunities for identifying savings that would not hurt the middle class, and that would eliminate wasteful special interest spending," Warren wrote. "But focusing solely on cutting federal budgets is myopic and counterproductive, and misses key ways in which the government can cut costs for ordinary Americans, saving them billions of dollars." "For example, the federal government should continue its efforts to target abusive surprise fees charged by businesses across the economy," she noted, pointing to rules from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, U.S. Department of Transportation, and Federal Trade Commission (FTC) targeting "junk fees." Empowering the U.S. Department of Justice and the FTC "to break up monopolies and ensure competition would have extraordinary benefits for families," the senator wrote. cont. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 25th, 2025 at 2:28pm
cont.
She also argued that "DOGE should ensure that federal agency contracts do not create monopolies that can hike prices for small businesses and consumers indefinitely." "By making the tax code fairer, DOGE recommendations could provide a roadmap for additional government revenues that could be used for important investments or to cut the deficit," she added, spotlighting the anticipated benefits of ending tax breaks and loopholes for offshoring jobs and profits, raising the corporate tax rate and the corporate alternative minimum tax rate, and enacting her "Ultra-Millionaire Tax." "In the interest of taking aggressive, bipartisan action to ensure sustainable spending, protect taxpayer dollars, curb abusive practices by giant corporations, and improve middle-class Americans' quality of life," Warren concluded, "I would be happy to work with you on these matters." Warren's letter followed an MSNBCop-ed that Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) wrote in December, offering Musk some recommendations, and a report that the watchdog Public Citizen released earlier this month identifying "what an efficiency agenda based on evidence, not ideology, would include," in the words of the group's co-president, Robert Weissman, who has formally requested to join DOGE to serve as a voice "for the interests of consumers and the public." While some of Warren, Khanna, and Public Citizen's proposals could win bipartisan support, many would likely be met with strong resistance from the Trump White House and Republican-controlled Congress. As Time put it, "Her missive might do more to make a point than spur an improbable collaboration." ... The problem is the Dems didn't have the balls to take on powerful vested interests, or the Pentagon gravy-train, when they were in power. And she is beholden to the mainstream "protect taxpayer dollars" mythology; the US government like any currency-issuing government is subect to resource constraints (and the need to avoid inflation), not "taxpayer money". |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 27th, 2025 at 11:09am
Donald Trump has resorted to 'survival of the fittest' economics to 'MAGA', via tariffs on allies and adversaries alike.
The question is: can he reduce inequality and socio-economic disadvantage in the US which already has the highest levels of inequality among wealthy countries, in fact comparable to some of the poorest countries? We have see classical economics which still informs modern economic practice, is no longer working to maximise economic progress for nations. In an age of production by individual artisans competing in 'invisible hand' markets as postulated by Adam Smith, Smith could posit that producers of goods serving their own self-interest would also result in the best outcome for the whole society. It's an obselete theory in the modern 'post-industrial' economy, because production is no longer mostly peformed by individual artisans motivated by self-interest, but mostly by governments eg, the US's IRA and Oz's "building Australia", publically-funded operations (which the private sector can't or won't do); and global corporations with supply chains in many countries. [Not surprisingly, 'survival of the fittest' Conservatives reject such government programs, except in the case of the nuclear and military industries; eg Dutton wants the public sector to fund his nuclear program; and Trump wants to increase military spending while cancelling the IRA.] As to the question of funding the public sector, Trump will bring this into sharp focus in the coming months as he reduces taxes on the wealthy (and companies) while US government debt is soaring - considered to be a problem by obsolete mainstream neoclassical economists who are bent on restraining public sector involvement in the nation's productive operations. Can Trump reduce taxes and government spending, and increase the standard of living of median wage workers faced with high prices and others who rely on government programs, as promised? Stay tuned..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 28th, 2025 at 1:50pm
(Alternet)
Trump’s crypto-ligarchy will blow up in his face — and possibly take the financial system with it | Opinion Robert Reich. As of Friday, the Trumps’ cryptocurrency meme coins — the $TRUMP and $MELANIA cryptocurrency coins — had a combined market value of about $6 billion. Days before taking the oath of office, Trump announced on his social media platform the creation of the $TRUMP coin, featuring Trump’s image from the July assassination attempt, and said: “Join the Trump Community. This is History in the Making!” The $MELANIA coin soon followed. Despite no details about the coin’s value, use, or risks, Trump supporters. gamblers, and those wishing to suck up to Trump bought it — sending the coin’s price into the stratosphere. On paper, the Trump family is now several billion dollars richer (edit: while the median wage in the US hasn't increased one cent...) Trump once denounced crypto, but as the crypto industry poured tens of millions of dollars into 2024 campaigns, he changed his mind. Not only did he see the political power of the crypto industry; he saw an opportunity to make a pile of money. He then promised to make the United States the “crypto capital of the planet.” In September, the Trump family started World Liberty Financial, which they marketed as a platform to facilitate borrowing and lending in digital currencies. (Trump receives a cut of the sales of WLFI, the cryptocurrency associated with the platform.) Now that he’s taken office, Trump plans to make billions off his presidency by implementing policies that favor crypto. The truth about crypto Cryptocurrencies serve no useful purpose other than the purchase of other crypto assets, money laundering, extortion and scams. As economist Paul Krugman has said, their market value rests on nothing but “technobabble and libertarian derp.” They also use huge amounts of energy. And if they infiltrate Wall Street, they could destabilize the entire financial system. The crypto industry has a dubious reputation. Sam Bankman-Fried, founder of FTX, one of the world’s biggest crypto exchanges, was last year sentenced to 25 years in prison for fraud. Changpeng Zhao, founder of a rival exchange, has spent four months locked up for money-laundering. But the richest people in America with huge power — the oligarchy, including Trump — support cryptocurrencies. Not only can they make a fortune, but crypto advances their longterm aim of shifting financial controls out of a democratically elected system of government and into their own hands. Now that he’s president, Trump is actively promoting crypto — reversing Biden’s attempts to prevent the crypto industry from infiltrating Wall Street. Biden’s tight rules made it prohibitively expensive for banks to hold digital assets on behalf of clients, and stopped them from developing their own crypto products, such as stablecoins (tokens pegged to the dollar or other assets). The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), a watchdog, stopped dozens of such projects on the basis that it did not know how digital assets ought to be treated in regulatory filings. With Trump, though, banks and the crypto industry are now pushing in the same direction, and face little resistance. New and enormously profitable forms of risk-taking are emerging — for a small group of people able to take such risks and able (like the Trump family) to profit of their own crypto products. Trump is putting crypto-friendly people into place at key federal agencies, boosting its prospects. In December, he picked Washington lawyer Paul Atkins, a known crypto booster, to chair the Securities and Exchange Commission, America’s main financial regulator. Last week, the Securities and Exchange Commission altered its guidance so that financial institutions no longer have to account, on their own balance-sheets, for crypto assets held on behalf of customers. The S,E.C. rolled back accounting guidance that had deterred banks from getting involved with crypto. Trump has tapped the venture investor and digital currency enthusiast David Sacks to oversee administration policies on crypto (and artificial intelligence). Then, this past Thursday, Trump issued an executive order committing the Trump administration to “protecting and promoting” the crypto industry: “The digital asset industry plays a crucial role in innovation and economic development in the United States, as well as our nation’s international leadership. It is therefore the policy of my administration to support the responsible growth and use of digital assets.” The order gives his administration authority to establish a national cryptocurrency stockpile — a stash of digital coins that the crypto industry has spent months lobbying the new administration for because it further legitimizes crypto and adds to the demand for it. Trump’s order also prohibits the creation of a “central bank digital currency,” overseen by the government. And the order promises “fair and open access to banking services” for crypto (responding to complaints from crypto companies that banks have denied them accounts). In effect, Trump is writing the rules for a business venture from which he and his family are personally profiting. It could earn them hundreds of billions of dollars. cont. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 28th, 2025 at 2:05pm
(cypto cont.)
The real significance of such blatant profiteering off the highest office in the land is what it reveals — not just about Trump but about the entire oligarchic enterprise he fronts for. It is likely to contribute to a vast wave of public alarm and disgust. Just as Elon Musk is demonstrating how huge wealth can create enormous personal political power, Trump is demonstrating how enormous personal political power can create huge wealth. Musk sank a quartet of a billion dollars into electing Trump, and was rewarded with a key spot as director of the so-called department of government efficiency, or DOGE (Dogecoin, itself a cypto token, has benefited from Musk’s vocal support) — creating vast conflicts of interest over crypto and Musk’s myriad businesses (X, SpaceX, and Tesla, which are regulated by federal agencies and also major government contractors). This dynamic — great power creating huge wealth, and huge wealth creating great power — is central to the oligarchic takeover of America. And both are premised on the corruption of democracy. Any wealthy person, corporation, or foreign leader wishing to curry favor with Trump now has a particularly easy means — just buy $TRUMP and $MELANIA cryptocurrency tokens. The corruption will grow worse because neither Trump nor Musk has any sense of limits. Nor do any of the oligarchs surrounding them, such as David Sacks, who Trump picked to oversee his administration’s policies on crypto and artificial intelligence. Like Musk, Sachs serves as a "special government employee,” which does not require Senate confirmation or full financial disclosure, and allows Sacks to maintain his business interests while influencing policy. Expect more conflicts of interest. As crypto and banking begin to merge, bank deposits will become more vulnerable to movements in the crypto market, and banks more vulnerable to runs. That’s what happened at Silvergate and Signature, two crypto-focused banks which collapsed in 2023. Both were broken by a tumble in cryptocurrency prices that began in late 2021 and then reverberations from FTX’s collapse. The biggest beneficiaries of all this are the highest rollers — the oligarchs who have been pushing crypto for years. And now Trump is in on it and stands to personally gain billions, as will those seeking to curry his favor by buying his coin. American public doesn’t abide flagrant self-dealing. We don’t want public officials personally profiting by decisions that are supposed to be made in the public’s interest. You may be thinking: “But Trump has been profiteering for years off his presidency, as have members of his family. And they’ve gotten away with it.” True, but what’s happening now is much bigger and far more visible. It involves an entire industry (crypto), and conspicuous members of the American oligarchy who are investing in it, including the President and officials around him. And it’s inherently risky. For oligarchs, the rise of digital finance provides large moneymaking opportunities. But for the rest of us, it increases the risk of another financial crisis. Unbound greed combined with unconstrained power is an explosive combination. When the blowup comes, it will take Trump, Musk, and the oligarchy with it. ..... Not to mention the global financial system with it; at which time China - concentrating on building the world's largest industrial capacity in the REAL economy (ie goods and services people actually want and need, not fake money with no intrinsic value) will likely assume the status of world 's most valuable economy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 2nd, 2025 at 5:35pm
See how the economically illiterate mainstream Left (tricked into supporting obsolete Adam Smith-based neoclassical economics) are freaked out by Musk (though Musk is also economically illiterate):
(The Independent) 'Utterly terrifying’ poll reveals Elon Musk effect pushing far-right AfD closer to power in Germany A new poll has fuelled growing fears that the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party could be on the cusp of winning power. The findings show billionaire X social media platform owner Elon Musk has helped catapult AfD into second place with their leader Alice Weidel the favourite to become the country’s new chancellor. The survey results have been described as “utterly terrifying” by Labour MP Blair McDougall who sits on the Commons foreign affairs select committee, who has branded Musk “the most irresponsible man on Earth.” The poll comes just days after the world commemorated the 80th anniversary of the liberation of the Auschwitz death camp, and marked Hitler’s genocide of 6 million Jews. Last weekend Musk addressed an AfD rally in Halle, east Germany, telling party members that Germans should move beyond guilt – adding, in an apparent reference to the crimes of the Nazis: “Children should not be guilty of the sins of their parents, let alone their great-grandparents.” Days earlier he faced global condemnation for an apparent far-right salute at one of Donald Trump’s inauguration celebrations, though he has denied accusations it was a Nazi gesture. According to the findings from the Washington DC Democracy Institute, which conducts polls in the US and around the world, the centre-right Christian Democrats (CDU) are on 27 per cent, only two points ahead of AfD on 25 per cent. Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) are a distant third on 15 per cent, with the Greens just behind on 13 per cent. However, AfD’s far-right leader Weidel is the clear choice of Germans to be chancellor on 35 per cent, well ahead of the CDU’s Friedrich Merz on 26 per cent. Scholz lags behind on 15 per cent. The findings are even more problematic given that this week Merz broke an 80-year convention of not working with the far right and siding with them in votes on migration. he German elections were originally scheduled for 28 September but are now due to take place on 23 February after the collapse of the Scholz government. The polling reveals that more Germans disapprove of Musk’s interventions than approve by 41 per cent to 36 per cent. However, it also shows he has had an impact, with 28 per cent saying they are “more likely” to vote AfD because of Musk compared to 23 per cent “less likely”. He said: “Last week we commemorated the 80th anniversary of the ending of the Holocaust and this week we see this. It’s sickening and deeply worrying. “Powered by the richest and most irresponsible man on Earth, Germany, of all places, is turning towards the far right. Leaders in all democracies need to wake up to the existential threat to our freedoms and way of life.” Musk has also thrown his weight behind British far-right activist Tommy Robinson and had talks with Reform UK, as well as being pivotal in Trump winning the presidential election. Democracy Institute director Patrick Basham said that a new phenomenon is emerging in Germany: “The shy Musk voter.” He likened it to Brexit in the UK and Trump in 2016 where voters did not want to admit publicly how they are voting. He added: “What folks say in public isn't exactly what they think in private.” While the Democracy Institute is based in America, it uses British Polling Council standards for its surveys and has previously been one of the first to pick up trends in changes of voting. In 2016 it correctly predicted Trump would win and in 2022 picked up Black and Latino voters switching from the Democrats to Republicans. In Europe it was one of the few polling companies to predict the Brexit referendum result and also picked up on the rise of right-wing French leader Marine Le Pen. ........ Q: why did US workers abandon the Dems? And why did German workers abandon the centre-Left Scholz? In a well functioning global economy, immigration should not be an issue, but the Left can't see the obsolesence of neoclassical economics which is partly responsible for the Right's rejection of immigration, resulting in policies which are deemed "a threat to our democracy" by the mainstream losers at the Washington DC Democracy Institute. And Albo is lookng at minority government at best, even though Dutton will be worse for workers than Labor - workers who are also economically illiterate, since even Andrew Leigh , the most highly-trained (Harvard) economist in the ALP, is deluded by obsolete Smith-based neoclassical economics. Right on cue, Dutton is on radio tonight, spouting the false mainstream "government debt causes inflation" narrative; when asked what government spending Dutton would cut, he replied "we will decide that in government".... Astounding, he can't/won't tell the public BEFORE the election... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 3rd, 2025 at 8:31am
Another pernicious effect on good governance caused by forcing government to borrow money from private sector individuals or institutions who must be repaid with interest:
Today we learn the Oz casino-based gambling "industry" is in trouble because increasing regulation to stamp out criminal activity (money laundering, and harm to vulnerable socio-economically disadvantaged individuals) in effect makes the industry 'unviable'. So Star - a huge employer - is close to running out of money. Such are the joys of the greed-based, neoliberal markets based on unethical practices. https://www.forbes.com.au/news/investing/casino-operator-star-may-run-out-of-cash/#:~:text=This%20was%20primarily%20due%20to,or%20become%20a%20member%20here. Star Entertainment Group —backed by Australian gambling billionaire Bruce Mathieson—is facing the risk of running out of cash as the embattled casino operator struggled to raise fresh capital amid slumping gaming revenues. "Entertainment", indeed....which government (being "cash- strapped", according to mainstream 'balanced- budget' dogma) relies on for revenue, hence Labor dragging its feet on gambling reform. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 4th, 2025 at 11:48am
At least the BCA - unlike Dutton who thinks he can lie his way into the Lodge - is prepared to expose its survival of the fittest-based policies to the public:
(Daily Mail) Business leaders reveal where Albo must cut spending to win election (Story by Stephen Johnson, Economics Reporter For Daily Mail Australia): Business experts have urged Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to slash government spending and prune the National Disability Insurance Scheme to keep a lid on inflation. Under Labor, federal government spending as a proportion of the economy is at the highest level in almost four decades outside of a pandemic. The Business Council of Australia has released a new report - The Big Five Questions - ahead of the next federal election calling for spending cuts. It argues that existing spending on the NDIS, health and aged care was unsustainable. 'While this is not to suggest that we should not be taking government action to support our most vulnerable, we must have an overall whole-of-government aim to get spending under control,' the report states. My comment: ah - so NOT 'survival of the fittest' after all, just "a need to get spending under control"...let's read on: 'Spending associated with health and care services is on an unsustainable trajectory.' The Business Council has called for the reinstatement of rules capping government spending at 23.9 per cent of gross domestic product, a policy introduced in 2014 under then Liberal prime minister Tony Abbott. Treasury's Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook released in December showed government spending was set to make up 26.5 per cent of gross domestic product. My comment: notice the BCA changed from "supporting the most vulerable" , to "reinstatement of rules capping government spending at 23.9 per cent of gross domestic product, a policy introduced in 2014 under then Liberal prime minister Tony Abbott." Why does spending have to be kept to that level? Outside of the pandemic in 2020, this could comprise the biggest share of the economy since the 1986-87 financial year. And Treasury is expecting that to climb to 27.2 per cent in 2025-26. 'One way to fight inflation is to limit money pushed into our economy,' the Business Council said. The National Disability Insurance Scheme is set to cost $46.4billion in 2024-25, with the Parliamentary Budget Office estimating it would cost 1.7 per cent of GDP, rising to 2.2 per cent of GDP in 2034-35 as costs for every participant rose. State governments are also to blame for higher spending, with Victoria's Suburban Rail Loop set to cost $216billion. Federal and state government spending now makes up a record 28 per cent of GDP but productivity, or output for every worker, has been falling while underlying inflation is still above the Reserve Bank's 2 to 3 per cent target. My comment: notice the "productivity" shibboleth rears its ugly head; in an economy - like Australia's - changing from manufacturing to services, of course "ouput for every worker" will fall because workers are not now producing widgets (goods) but services (including aid to the vulnerable) which are more difficult to measure; and wages of service workers need to be determined by government, not the market which determines the price of 'widgets' (goods). Despite the largesse, Australia's economic growth is also at the weakest level since the 1991 recession outside of the 2020 Covid lockdowns. 'With record public money in the economy and more regulation, we must address the root cause — an economy that has been running too hot relative to constrained supply, despite weak growth in demand,' the Business Council of Australia said. My comment: mere market ideology; government must also determine outcomes in an economy, to "assist the most vulnerable". And why is "supply constrained"? 'Controlling government spending and greatly increasing productivity will make a big difference.' Meanwhile, Treasurer Jim Chalmers has delivered two consecutive Budget surpluses, something no federal government had achieved since 2007 before the Global Financial Crisis. 'Savings and spending restraint have been hallmarks of our responsible economic management,' he said in December. But a deficit of $26.9billion is forecast for 2024-25, growing to $46.9billion in 2025-26 as falling iron ore prices reduce commonwealth company tax revenue. On industrial relations, the Business Council wants to reverse Labor laws giving casual employees the right to a permanent position, with holiday and sick pay if they had been in the role for 12 months. It also wants to undo Labor laws banning employers from using labour hire staff who are paid less than staff on an enterprise agreement, arguing this would be about 'promoting choice and flexibility'. (cont) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 4th, 2025 at 12:15pm
(cont)
The Business Council of Australia, the lobby group for corporate chief executives, is in favour of high immigration, arguing cumbersome planning rules were to blame for the housing crisis. It is calling for the federal government to give incentives to the states to reduce the 'planning bottleneck' and fast track new housing developments, and speed up migration pathways for tradies. The Albanese government and the states have vowed to build 1.2million homes over the five years to July 2029. But in the year to September, only 177,702 new homes were built, which was well short of the 240,000 annual target. My comment: the BCA wants increased immigation, which no-one else (including Dutton) wants, in a housing crisis and lack of infrastructure to support the increasing population. And what are these Federal "incentives" to "encourage" new housing development, which will not increase state government debt, while builders are going broke because of high costs, and consumers (first home buyers) can't afford the overpriced housing anyway - among the most expensive housing in the world. Turns out the BCA is full of ideological crap, just not lying to the public, like Dutton. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 5th, 2025 at 8:43am
The result of ignorance about money, in the post gold standard era of floating-exchange-rate fiat currencies.
(Daily Mirror) Bill Gates criticizes cryptocurrency: 'High IQs fooled themselves' Gates' comments come as Bitcoin has hit record highs in recent weeks, and the cryptocurrency industry as a whole has hailed the arrival of Donald Trump in the White House as a positive moment. The President has said he will introduce policies supportive of digital currencies, and both him and his wife Melania launched their own meme coins last month. Gates, who has a net worth of around $165 billion, has previously shared his skepticism around Bitcoin, and its volatility in particular. In 2022, he warned that it could be a risky investment for people without substantial financial resources. In an interview with Bloomberg , he was asked his thoughts on the fact that Elon Musk 's Tesla had substantial Bitcoin holdings at the time. 'Elon has tons of money and he's very sophisticated so I don't worry that his Bitcoin will randomly go up or down,' Gates said. 'I do think that people get bought into these manias who maybe don't have as much money to spare. So I'm not bullish on Bitcoin. My general thought would be that if you have less money than Elon then you should probably watch out.' In 2022, Musk was already the richest person in the world. Now, he has a net worth of over $433 billion and has been given a significant role in the Trump administration. Gates added that there are things that society invests in that produce output, but Bitcoin is not one of them. 'Bitcoin happens to use a lot of energy, it happens to promote anonymous transactions, they are not reversible transactions,' he said. He added that the Gates Foundation, a nonprofit founded in 2000, 'does a lot in terms of digital currency, but those are things where you can see who is making the transaction.' Fellow billionaire Warren Buffett has also long been a critic of cryptocurrency, famously calling it 'rat poison,' a 'gambling token,' and predicting it will come to a 'bad ending.' But despite his disdain for digital assets, particularly Bitcoin, the billionaire is actually invested in a company tied to the cryptocurrency market - Nu Holdings. .... Hmm...so nothing wrong with a bit of a 'flutter' if you are a billionaire, it seems.... Meanwhile most people in the world are living hand to mouth, and governments are "cash-strapped"; how will it end? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Grappler Deep State Feller on Feb 5th, 2025 at 11:07am
Put it to good use de-militarising Gaza and West Bank and prevent further upheavals and unnecessary killing.
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Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 5th, 2025 at 11:25am Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Feb 5th, 2025 at 11:07am:
Put bitcoin to good use? How can money - any money (even "funny money" like bitcoin, or otherwise) - prevent further "unnecessary" conflict, when the conflict is political/ideological? Eliminate the opposition? That's what Bibi is already attempting to do, now with Trump's full-on (financial/military) assistance, eg "clearing out Gaza", and confiscation of the WB; the Saudis - and the entire Arab world, and much of the non-Arab world who also want a 2-state solution - aren't pleased. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 5th, 2025 at 11:37am
(Alternet)
'Hell no!': Republican senators unwilling to follow Trump's order to end debt ceiling Trump says he would end the debt ceiling circus - a regular happening in Congress, because "the Dems always want to raise the ceiling". In this instance, Trump is correct; the US treasury can cancel US debt at any time, provided the US government deals with inflation correctly - which Biden was doing: inflation halved in the last 2 years of Biden's presidency, even though the debt-ceiling has been continually raised for years. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 7th, 2025 at 8:10am |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 7th, 2025 at 11:08am Frank wrote on Feb 7th, 2025 at 8:10am: Errors abound in dummy Sowell's statement, caused by his ignorance of the nature of fiat currencies (and ignorance of the nature of money in general). "A $100 bill would buy less in 1998 than a $20 bill in 1960". This means that anyone who kept his money in a safe over those years would have lost 80% of it value". 1. Few people are brainless enough to do that, rather they invest their savings (or borrow) in productive enterprises; and those many people who are living paycheck to paycheck certainly can't do it anyway. 2. Savings generally earn interest which counters loss of value over time, in stable inflation environments. 3. The average wage generally purchases the same basket of goods, over time (in a stable inflation, ie non-hyperinflation environment). " ...because no safe can keep your money safe from politicians who control the pringing presses" . More errors abound: 1. Politicians aren't allowed to "control the printing presses" ; independent central banks are authorised to do it; but the CBs charge interest on borrowings ("printed money") which the government must repay. But most government bonds are sold to the private sector, who eagerly snap them up as a safe interest-bearing investment, aka 'welfare for the rich' by MMTers. 2. All money is "printed", normally by private sector financiers when they write loans for credit-worthy customers. - as thourougly examined in these pages. Currency-issuing government OUGHT to be able to "print money", ie, issue debt-free, national treasury-created money, bearing in mind the resources constraint faced by governments, to avoid inflation. 3. Inflation has many causes, some which render dysfunctional the one tool available to independent central banks, ie setting interest rates; eg lifting interest rates to kill inflation will increase rents (and inflation) as landlords try to cover higher mortgage expenses with higher rents. The government's job OUGHT to be to intervene in a nation's resource mobilization, alongside free market resource allocation, while ensuring supply is always adequate to match spending (private or public), to avoid inflation. Do try to keep up. Interestingly, Musk's determination to reduce government spending will harm the economy, as sacked public sector workers are thrown onto the unemployment scrap-heap, reducing consumer purcashing-power in the economy (and forget the harm to aid recipents overseas, aid which is vital in the dysfunctinal global economy). i |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 7th, 2025 at 12:46pm thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2025 at 11:08am:
;D ;D ;D ZZZzzzz...... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 7th, 2025 at 2:36pm Frank wrote on Feb 7th, 2025 at 12:46pm:
(While you have 'passed out'....) right on cue: more on Musk's plans to cut government spending to "save taxpayer money". (Raw Story) Trump's USAID gambit backfires as American farms now threatened: report President Donald Trump may have thought that defunding the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) would only hurt foreigners -- but it turns out he could actually be mistaken. The Washington Post reports that shuttering the agency entirely "threatens billions of dollars the agency spends on American businesses and organizations." In particular, the Post report notes that American farms are responsible for roughly 41 percent of all food aid provided by the agency and it adds that the U.S. government bought $2.1 billion in food aid from American farmers in the year 2020 alone. "Purchases and shipments of U.S. food aid worth over $340 million — including rice, wheat and soybeans — have been paused during Trump’s foreign-aid freeze, according to officials and an email obtained by The Post," the paper reports. "That has left hundreds of tons of American-grown wheat stranded in Houston alone." George Ingram, a senior fellow at the Center for Sustainable Development at the Brookings Institution, emphasized to the Post that Trump's decision to shut down USAID is already having a "direct impact on American products and American jobs." “The bulk of U.S. assistance is implemented through U.S. organizations,” he added. “A lot of the money starts out with American organizations staffed by Americans.” Ouch - aka "shooting oneself in the foot" :o |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 7th, 2025 at 3:17pm Quote:
Why DOES money lose 80% of its value? "Dummy Sowell" says brainless stuffed parrot with no more learning than a Cert III in Goggling. You are ludicrous ( but we have known that). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 8th, 2025 at 9:43am Frank wrote on Feb 7th, 2025 at 3:17pm:
Money doesn't lose its "value" in terms of current purchasing power, if the average wage continues to buy the same basket of goods over time. Quote:
Refuted above; and, eg, the US dollar still enables the Pentagon to purchase goods and services required to maintain its capacity/status as the world's most powerful military - so much for "devaluation" of the US dollar. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Feb 8th, 2025 at 9:48am thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 8th, 2025 at 9:43am:
You are a mindless idiot. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 8th, 2025 at 10:04am
Why the "dismal science" is no longer attracting young minds as a field of study at tertiary level.
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=62349 The decline of economics education at our universities A short history In 1994, I was elected by my colleagues to be the next Head of Department of Economics at the University of Newcastle. It was still a time when ‘democracy’ ruled in Australian university departments and I was actually the last elected head at that university. The tides of neoliberalism and corporatisation were already beginning and during my term, consultants recommended that the university cease elections for all the senior positions (HOD, Deans, President of Senate, etc) and instead move to appointments only. Obviously, this reduced the voice that we had as the appointments were crafted to maintain control of the new KPI-driven agenda. But those days were the beginning of a long decline for economics education in the university system. Up to that time (1994), the federal government had allocated funding to States to fund capital and recurrent expenditure in universities on a triennial basis. The public universities in Australia are legislative creations of the states but it is the federal government money that kept them afloat. The triennial funding system gave universities some security and continuity and departments were able to make pitches on the basis of the so-called ‘establishment’ (which carried a number of appointments). The link between student load and the establishment was hazy and the latter was driven more by the political skills of the university admin and then within each institutions by the skills of the faculty bosses (Deans and HODs). When I became HOD, the Economics Department was the largest (in staffing) in the university and the staff had enjoyed a lot of security for some years. Things changed dramatically around that time though. In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the federal government created a unified tertiary system – merging the universities, institutes of technology and colleges of advanced education. It was brutal shift and caused massive disruption to the internal structures of the universities. Overnight, we had university academics with PhDs who had built research careers forced to work with CAE staff who were really school teachers – no advanced degrees, no research background and used to long holidays over Summer (which is the time the active researchers write up their competitive research grant applications). The mergers created ‘business schools’ and downgraded the position of economics – which was seen as a service course for these new ‘business degrees’, rather than the core academic discipline of the traditional faculties. ... A large body of research in social sciences (around the world) has demonstrated that standard economics programs at our universities breed people with sociopathological tendencies who elevate greed above empathy. There is clearly some self-selection bias because the studies have never really isolated the impacts of the teaching programs from the tendencies of the students going into the programs. One 2005 study that was published in the journal Human Relations – Personal Value Priorities of Economists – found that: 1. Economics students exhibited less altruism and more self-interest in their “first week of their freshman year”. 2. That is, “differences between students of economics and students from other disciplines were already apparent before students were exposed to training in economics”. 3. After one year of study these differences were maintained and stable. 4. By the final year of study, the emphasis on “achievement, power, hedonism” were sustained and economic students valuation of “benevolence”, which we might think of as being empathy towards others, had declined significantly. In their 1993 article – Does Studying Economics Inhibit Cooperation? – economist Robert Frank and psychologists Thomas Gilovich and Dennis Regan summarised the extant literature and conducted a series of their own experiments to explore whether there are significant differences between “economists and noneconomists” in relation to whether they exhibit sociopathological tendencies. They conclude that: 1. “that economists are more likely than others to free-ride”. 2. “economics training may inhibit cooperation …” 3. And, interestingly, that “the ultimate victims of noncooperative behavior may be the very people who practice it”. 4. And students in economics classes are more likely to lie when confronted with experiments about generosity – that is, claiming to be more generous than they were. Further, an LSE Centre for Economic Performance Discussion Paper (No. 1938, July 2023) – Are the upwardly mobile more left-wing? – found that: 1. “that higher own status and higher-status parents independently produce Conservative voters.” 2. Higher own status leads to “opposition to redistribution”. 3. “individuals with the most Right-wing attitudes (and votes) are then those with high social status whose parents were also of high social status.” The problem then is that not only are the number of economists emerging from universities declining but there is also a growing concentration among males from privileged backgrounds that are liable to exhibit the sorts of tendencies noted above. Think about that in the context of designing progressive government policy (Entire article at link) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 10th, 2025 at 9:40am
Speaking of the egregious outcomes of the 'dismal science' practitioners, who claim there is no alternative (TINA) to their obsolete neoclassical dogma:
Driven by self-interest - but now social cohesion is increasingly at stake, as home ownership rates are falling (due to government abandoning public housing over decades), and retirees who don't own their own home are plunged into poverty due to unafordable rents in the private housing market, the mainstreamers are forced to intervene in the private market. The solution from these mainstream clowns? Government should increase rent assistance for pensioners - money paid for by the public which goes straight into the pockets of landlords treating housing as a private wealth-creation vehicle. Deplorable. Meanwhile the public reject 'The Greens' policies to build more public housing, because that will require higher taxes - politically toxic, as shown in the Prahran by-election on the weekend. Pathetic. The Greens could actually make themselves useful in Parliaments by educating politicians and the public that currency-issuing governments don't need taxes in order to fund public housing, governments need access to the resources held by (and available to) the nation's building industry. But The Greens - like all politicians - are more interested in the silly political circus which is a useless competition in elections among adversarial parties, a competition forced on them by mainstream 'dismal science' economists. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 10th, 2025 at 3:14pm
In defense of Trump's tariffs - but confusion abounds because global trade is incredibly complicated, in a global economy with shifting fortunes and technological advances in different nations (as noted in the comments section following the article).
https://www.ft.com/content/3c95a4cd-2dcb-46d8-8cf6-606ab5e28c51 Tariffs are a misunderstood tool Debate over trade strategy has become an ideological litmus test in which few are willing to acknowledge nuance. Michael Pettis. An interesting article exposing the intellectual/academic disputation among practitioners of 'the dismal science'. ......... (Pettis is a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace - a fact which points to the reason why classical economics is a failure: international peace is still a pipe-dream....despite being a necessity to achieve good national and global governance). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 11th, 2025 at 9:15am
More on the egregious outcomes for governments of neoclassical 'dismal science' practictioners and educational institutions:
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=62352 Economics as politics and philosophy rather than some independent science Last week, I wrote about – The decline of economics education at our universities (February 6, 2025). This decline has coincided and been driven by an attempt by economists to separate the discipline from its roots as part of the political debate, which includes philosophical views about humanity and nature. In her 1962 book – Economic Philosophy – Joan Robinson wrote that economics “would never have been developed except in the hope of throwing light upon questions of policy. But policy means nothing unless there is an authority to carry it out, and authorities are national” (p.117). Which places government and its capacities at the centre of the venture. Trying to sterilise the ideology and politics from the discipline, which is effectively what the New Keynesian era has tried to do, fails. The most obvious failure has been the promotion of the myth of central bank independence. A recent article in the UK Guardian (February 9, 2025) – You may not like Trump, but his power grab for the economic levers is right. Liberals, take note – is interesting because it represents a break in the tradition of economics journalism that has been sucked into the ‘independence’ myth by the economics profession. ... Mainstream commentators ofcourse choose to remain blithely ignorant, repeating the "balanced budget" mythology as some sort of 'natural law' of economics ad nauseam. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 11th, 2025 at 4:01pm
The Guardian
New Zealand government loses ground in polls as economic concerns grow New Zealand’s National-led coalition government is losing support among voters, new polling shows, amid frustrations over the economy and deepening concern the country is heading in the wrong direction. Meanwhile, the parliamentary left bloc has taken a narrow lead for the third poll in a row, enough that the opposition would be able to form a government were an election held today. ....... Proving that all governments, left, right or centre - are soon on the nose with the electorate, because, misled by orthodox neoclassical/neoliberal economists, mainstream politicians can no longer serve the interests of ordinary people. Hence the rise of the populist right....let's see what they can do..... :-? Note: plenty of cracks already appearing in Trump's reign...eg: ('Raw Story') Disappointing': Deep red Trump-voting county begs president to reconsider decision Trump's recent announcement directing the Treasury Department to stop minting new pennies aims to save taxpayers money — but may inadvertently cost workers in a county that overwhelmingly voted for him. Trump made the announcement over the weekend, citing the cost to produce each penny, which costs about 3.7 pennies to create. The U.S. Mint reported losing more than $85 million in the last fiscal year that ended in September on the roughly 3 billion pennies it produced. "For far too long the United States has minted pennies which literally cost us more than 2 cents. This is so wasteful!" Trump wrote Sunday night on his Truth Social platform. "I have instructed my Secretary of the US Treasury to stop producing new pennies." While some conservatives cheered the move, Tennessee workers who supply the U.S. Mint with the blank discs stamped into pennies weren't as thrilled, according to The Greenville Sun. Jobs could be lost at Artazn LLC, based in Tusculum, Greene County, in eastern Tennessee, which is politically conservative and Republican. Greene County, where Tusculum is located, voted for Trump in the 2020 election by close to 80 percent. All surrounding counties also voted for him. In November, he defeated Vice President Kamala Harris with roughly 83 percent of the vote. Jeff Taylor, president and CEO of the Greene County Partnership, urged the president on social media to reconsider. “Save the penny. For those that do not know, every penny starts in Greene County. Save jobs in Greene County!” wrote Taylor, according to the report. Taylor has not heard from the company, according to the report. “It’s disappointing to see President Trump make a statement of directive like that because these are American jobs,” he said. ... Seeking to save pennies in his search for $2 trillion (to reduce the deficit, as per the mainstream fiction), Trump is alienating workers who voted for him. The 'honeymoon' might be short-lived... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 12th, 2025 at 10:01am
Ellen Brown's version of government "money printing" to grow the economy.
https://ellenbrown.com/2025/02/11/quantitative-easing-with-chinese-characteristics-how-to-fund-an-economic-miracle/ Informative article, concluding with these two paragraphs: Growing Our Way Out of Debt Rather than trying to kneecap our competitors with sanctions and tariffs, we can grow our way to prosperity by turning on the engines of production. Far more can be achieved through cooperation than through economic warfare. DeepSeek set the tone with its free, open source model. Rather than a heavily guarded secret, its source code is freely available to be shared and built upon by entrepreneurs around the world. We can pull off our own economic miracle, funded with newly issued dollars backed by the full faith and credit of the government and the people. Contrary to popular belief, “full faith and credit” is valuable collateral, something even Bitcoin and gold do not have. It means the currency will be accepted everywhere – not just at the bank or the coin dealer’s but at the grocer’s and the gas station. If the government directs newly created dollars into new goods and services, supply will grow along with demand and the currency should retain its value. The government can print, pay for workers and materials, and produce its way into an economic renaissance. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 13th, 2025 at 10:31am
From the latest 'Debunking Economics' podcast:
Do we need a reserve currency? Why is the dollar the reserve currency, would America be better off if it wasn't, and do we actually need a reserve currency these days? The new US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently re-iterated the US desire to remain as the world’s reserve currency, because they like a strong dollar that’s in demand worldwide. But he also says he doesn’t want other currencies weak, because that gives them a trade advantage. That sounds like a “cake and eat it” philosophy. This week Phil asks Steve whether the US would be better off if it wasn’t the reserve currency, and whether, in these days of electric transfers, do we actually need a reserve currency? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 14th, 2025 at 9:58am
Rather than examining how to release currency-issuing governments from dependence on taxing (hence "taxpayer money") or borrowing from the private sector (without causing inflation), mainstream commentators are again urging inheritance taxes as a way to reverse the growing wealth inequailty in Australia:
(AAP) Call to bring back inheritance tax to tackle wealth gap It is said that nothing in this world is certain, except death, taxes and scare campaigns about death taxes. Inheritance taxes were abolished in Australia in the late '90s, even though they are proven to reduce inequality and are more efficient than other existing taxes. Despite the media uproar that inevitably accompanies discussions around making the tax system more equitable, the government should seriously look into reinstating inheritance taxes, Anglicare Australia argues in a report released on Friday. Australia is becoming more unfair and more unequal," said Anglicare executive director Kasy Chambers. "Our research shows that we are one of the only countries in the OECD that doesn't tax big inheritances. "This has turbocharged inequality, concentrating wealth among a smaller and smaller group of people." Anglicare is calling for a tax on high-value inheritances above $2 million, not including the family home, which would avoid placing additional burden on low- and middle-class households. In recent years, Australia's taxation burden has increasingly fallen on working Australians through personal income tax while taxes on wealth, such as capital gains and land taxes, contribute a relatively small proportion, in part due to generous concessions. That wealth can be passed on virtually tax-free, entrenching generational equality and making it harder for people without privileged upbringings to achieve financial security. "We should be using our tax system to make Australia fairer," Ms Chambers said. "Instead, government policies are driving inequality and making it worse." Former Treasury secretary Ken Henry extolled the benefits of inheritance taxes in his landmark tax review under the Rudd Labor government. "A bequest tax would be an economically efficient way of raising revenue and would allow reductions in other, less efficient taxes," his report said. But rather than recommending its introduction, he merely suggested community discussion and consultation on the options, "given the controversial history of bequest taxation in Australia". At the last two federal elections, Labor was assailed by scare campaigns claiming they would institute "death taxes" if elected, despite having no plans to resurrect an inheritance tax. Australia Institute chief economist Greg Jericho says such proposals are easy to malign, despite the fact they would benefit the majority of the population, because average Australians are sold an aspirational dream. That's evidenced in the backlash to the government's proposal to reduce tax concessions on super accounts with balances greater than $3 million. "Most people have no idea what their super balance is," Dr Jericho told AAP. "And so it's very easy to spread a fear campaign suggesting that that's going to hit lots of people. Whereas, in reality, it will hit 80,000, less than a per cent, of everyone with a super balance. "That's the unfortunate thing with these types of attempts to reduce inequality. It's very easy to run a scare campaign, and it's painted as looking after average Australians, whereas, in effect, it's ensuring that the wealthiest Australians continue to get even more wealthy." ... And so political parties (except The Greens) run a mile from a worthwhile equity proposal. Yet: "Money doesn't grow on rich people" : Stephanie Kelton.......meaning governments don't NEED rich people's money, governments need to control inflation - while money does indeed "grow" in the treasuries of currency-issuing governments. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 15th, 2025 at 9:18am
Trump complains about being "suckered" by the EU, yet US growth since the GFC has outstripped EU growth by 3 to 1 - so low in the EU that the citizens are turning to RW populist policies in many EU countries.
The problem? https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=62355 ECB should take over and repay all the joint debt held by the European Commission after the pandemic There are repeating episodes in world macroeconomics that demonstrate the absurdity of the mainstream way of thinking. One, obviously is the recurring debt ceiling charade in the US, where over a period of months, the various parties make threats and pretend they will close the government down by failing to pass the bill. Others think up what they think are ingenious solutions (like the so-called trillion dollar coin), which just gives the stupidity oxygen. Another example is the European Union ‘budget’ deliberations which involve excruciating, drawn out negotiations, which are now in train in Europe. One of the controversial bargaining aspects as the Member States negotiate a new 7-year deal is the rather significant quantity of joint EU debt that was issued during the pandemic to help nations through the crisis. How that is repaid is causing grief and leading to rather ridiculous suggestions of further austerity cuts and more. My suggestion to cut through all this nonsense is that the ECB takes over the debt and insulates the Member States from repayment. After all, the debt wasn’t issued because the Member States were pursuing irresponsible and profligate fiscal strategies. The debate in Europe is almost parallel to reality. ...... Full article available at link. Meanwhile... (Dagens.com) Trump’s Ukraine Gamble Forces Germany Into Emergency Action Since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion, Germany has become Ukraine’s second-largest military supporter after the U.S., committing €44 billion in aid. For 2025, Berlin plans to allocate another €4 billion, though the budget has yet to pass. Now, Scholz’s emergency proposal could allow faster and larger aid packages, avoiding political gridlock at a time when Trump’s evolving Ukraine stance has rattled U.S. allies. Note: the budget is the cause of Scholz' downfall (he will lose power next week, all explained in prof. Mitchell's article above), so he won't be in control of the budget. Yet Scholz is prepared to break the phoney EU budget rules to make war, but not to defend Cermans' prosperity at home - which is why he is being turfed out of office. Deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2025 at 8:31am
Listen up you leftist losers: the Left can't win if you accept mainstream neoliberalism's "balanced government budget" mythology.
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=62361 Britain and its fiscal rule death wish Governments that adhere to the mainstream macroeconomic mantras about fiscal rules and appeasing the amorphous financial markets have a habit of undermining their own political viability. As Australia approaches a federal election (by May 2025), the incumbent Labor government, which slaughtered the Conservative opposition in the last election, is now facing outright loss to a Trump-style Opposition leader if the latest polls are to be believed. That government has shed its political appeal as it pursued fiscal surpluses while the non-government sector, particularly the households, endured cost-of-living pressures, in no small part due to the relentless profit gouging from key corporations (energy, transport, retailing, etc). The government has not been riven with scandals or leadership instability. But its amazingly fast loss of voting support is down to its unwillingness to take on the gouging corporations and also to claim virtue in the fiscal surpluses, while the purchasing power loss among households has been significant. The same sort of death wish is arising now in the UK, although the British Labour government is at the other end of its electoral cycle which gives it some space to learn from its already mounting list of economic mistakes. The British government situation is more restrictive than the case of the Australian Labor government because the former has agreed to voluntarily constrain itself via an arbitrary fiscal rule. Read full article via above link. ........... Ditto for Germany, where the Leftist coalition is about to be turfed out of office next weekend. (The Independent) Five reasons why Germany’s economy is in the dumps Germany hasn't seen significant economic growth in five years. It's a stunning turnaround for Europe's biggest economy, which for much of this century had expanded exports and dominated world trade in engineered products like industrial machinery and luxury cars. So what happened? Here are five reasons for Germany's ongoing economic slump: 1. Moscow's decision to cut off natural gas supplies to Germany in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine dealt a severe blow. For years, Germany’s business model was based on cheap energy fueling production of industrial goods for export. In 2011, then-Chancellor Angela Merkel decided to hasten the end of nuclear power use in Germany while relying on gas from Russia to bridge the gap as the country moved away from coal generation and toward renewable energy. Russia was then considered to be a reliable energy partner; warnings to the contrary from Poland and the United States were dismissed. When Russia discontinued the flow, prices in Germany skyrocketed for gas and for electricity generated from gas, both key costs for energy-intensive industries such as steel, fertilizer, chemicals and glass. Germany had to turn to liquefied natural gas, or LNG, super-cooled and imported by ship from Qatar and the U.S. LNG costs more than pipeline gas. Electricity now costs industrial users in Germany an average of 20.3 euro cents per kilowatt hour, according to a study the research firm Prognos AG prepared for the Bavarian Industry Association. In the U.S. and China, where many competitors of German companies are located, the cost is the equivalent of 8.4 euro cents. Renewable sources of energy haven't scaled up fast enough to fill the gap. Homeowner and regional resistance to turbines slowed wind energy growth. Infrastructure to transport hydrogen as a replacement fuel for steel furnaces remains mostly on the drawing board. 2. China: From customer to competitor For years, Germany benefited from China's entry into the global economy - even as other developed countries lost jobs to China. German companies found a massive new market for industrial machinery, chemicals and vehicles. Through the early and mid 2010s, Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen and BMW reaped fat profits selling into what became the world's largest car market. At the time, Chinese companies produced items like furniture and consumer electronics that didn't compete with Germany's core strengths. Then, manufacturers in China started making the same things that Germans did. State-subsidized Chinese solar panels wiped out Germany's makers. In 2010, Chinese panel makers depended on imported German equipment; today, global solar panel production relies on equipment from China. The government in Beijing has ramped up efforts to promote and subsidize manufacturing for export. The resulting goods — steel, machinery, solar panels, electric vehicles and EV batteries — now compete with German goods on export markets. Germany, the most auto-centric of the European Union economies, had the most to lose from China's export-oriented industrial policy. In 2020, China was not a net exporter of vehicles; by 2024, it was exporting 5 million a year. Germany's net exports fell by half over the same period, to 1.2 million cars. Chinese factory capacity is estimated at 50 million vehicles a year, roughly half of global demand. (cont) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2025 at 8:50am
cont.
3. Skimping on investment (...to balance the budget) Germany grew complacent during the good times and put off investing in long-term projects such as rail lines and high-speed internet. The government balanced its budget and sometimes ran surpluses off the tax revenue from a booming economy. These days, German commuters shake their heads at trains that don't run on time and constant service disruptions while repairs are made to worn-out tracks. High speed internet hasn't yet reached some rural areas. A transmission line to bring electricity from Germany's windy north to factories in the south has run years behind and won't be ready before 2028. A key bridge on the highway connecting the industrial Ruhr region with southern Germany had to be closed in 2021, 10 years after doubts about its durability emerged. A replacement won't be ready before 2027. A 2009 constitutional amendment handcuffed the government by limiting deficit spending. Whether to loosen the so-called debt brake will be a thorny issue for the German government installed after the country's Feb. 23 election. 4. Lack of skilled workers German companies are having trouble finding workers with the right skills, from highly trained IT workers to daycare providers, senior care workers and hotel staff members. In a German Chamber of Commerce and Industry survey of 23,000 firms, 43% of companies said they couldn't fill open positions. The response rose to 58% for companies with more than 1,000 workers. Fewer German students are interested in STEM fields, meaning science, technology, engineering and mathematics. An aging population compounds the problem, as does a shortage of affordable child care that keeps many women working part-time or not at all. Bureaucratic hurdles pose an obstacle to employing high-skill immigrants, though a law passed in 2020 and strengthened in 2023 aims to ease the process. 5. Bureaucracy Lengthy approval procedures and too much paperwork are a drag on the economy, according to Germany companies and economists. Securing a construction permit for a wind turbine can take years. A few other examples, among dozens raised by German business groups: — Companies installing solar panels need to register with both government regulators and their local utility even though the utility could pass on the information to the government level. — Restaurants have to log refrigerator temperatures by hand and keep hard copies of the records for a month even if the data has been stored digitally. — A law requiring companies to certify that their suppliers are obeying environmental and labor standards went beyond EU requirements, putting a heavier burden on German companies than their European competitors. ..... Note: 4 and 5 are themselves influenced by the languishing economy: students aren't inspired to gain expertise in advanced technologies, to work for companies who are failing to compete in the global market; eg, VW is closing factories at home and abroad while its EV strategy is in disarray. And regulations ignore the lack of investment in the country's infrastructure. 3 is the elephant in the room, ie the false narrative re "balanced government budgets". Deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2025 at 9:03am
And more on crypto 'funny money'; Milei comes a cropper as he tries to emulate Trump:
(FXStreet) Argentina’s President Milei under investigation for LIBRA crypto scandal Argentina’s President Javier Milei faces an investigation after endorsing LIBRA, a crypto token that surged and crashed, sparking fraud accusations and impeachment calls. Argentina’s President Javier Milei is under investigation after promoting the little-known cryptocurrency LIBRA. His endorsement caused a brief surge in the token’s value before it crashed, leading to accusations of fraud. Critics claim this was a pump-and-dump scheme, and some are calling for his impeachment. The government has formed a task force to determine if Milei or others committed illegal acts. On February 14, Milei promoted LIBRA on X, suggesting it could boost Argentina’s economy and support small businesses. This caused the token’s market cap to jump beyond $4 billion, with insiders cashing out over $100 million in profits. However, the surge was short-lived. LIBRA lacked a structured financial model, its website was set up only hours before launch, and over $87 million was withdrawn within the first three hours. The token’s value collapsed soon after, showing clear signs of a pump-and-dump. According to The Kobeissi Letter, large holders quickly liquidated their assets, some making $4 million or more as the market cap peaked at $4.6 billion. At 5:40 PM ET, when the price hit its highest point, LIBRA’s value plummeted. In response to public backlash, Milei deleted his promotional post and claimed he had not fully understood the project. Later, he explained that after learning more, he decided to stop promoting it. Argentina’s presidential office tried to downplay the issue, calling it a standard blockchain-related promotion. However, officials admitted that Milei had met with Hayden Mark Davis, a figure connected to LIBRA’s infrastructure through KIP Protocol. The government has now launched an official probe to examine whether any officials, including Milei, acted improperly. Investigators will also scrutinize KIP Protocol for possible legal violations. To contain the damage, Milei ordered the creation of a special Investigation Task Unit (UTI), consisting of financial, crypto, and anti-money laundering specialists. This unit will analyze LIBRA’s launch and those involved. The government stated that all findings will be turned over to the courts to determine if any crimes were committed. Beyond cryptocurrency, the controversy has triggered a political crisis. Critics argue that Milei’s reckless endorsement of a speculative asset led to financial losses for investors. Argentine lawmaker Gabriela Estevez accused him of engaging in a classic pump-and-dump scheme, where token creators buy at a low price, hype it up, and sell at a peak, leaving others with losses. The scandal has even led to impeachment threats. A political faction has officially started proceedings, calling the incident unprecedented in Argentina’s history. Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof called it a large-scale financial fraud, warning that both local and international investors had been misled. He compared the situation to a cryptocurrency pyramid scheme. This case highlights the dangers of political figures endorsing meme coins, a trend that has grown since U.S. President Donald Trump launched his own token. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin had already warned that such political meme coins could damage the crypto market’s credibility. Since Trump’s involvement, scammers have launched fake tokens based on political figures, with LIBRA being the latest example of these risks. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2025 at 9:11am Frank wrote on Feb 8th, 2025 at 9:48am:
Poor Frank, you just revealed your ignorance of the meaning of "value", and the nature of money. eg, a glass of water is "worth" a cool $million, if you are marooned in a hot desert. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2025 at 3:52pm
More evidence the Left will always lose, so long as governments are forced to tax or borrow from the private sector (as per mainstream orthodoxy): greedy a**holes like Jeremy Clarkson always show their sorry arses:
(indy100) Jeremy Clarkson is facing criticism again - this time over controversial Vladimir Putin comment It was only last week that former Top Gear presenter Jeremy Clarkson apparently ‘spoke for millions’ by saying the UK’s departure from the European Union “hasn’t made our lives better in any way that I can see”, but now people are back disliking the Clarkson’s Farm star after he said he’d “welcome” Russian president Vladimir Putin as UK prime minister over Keir Starmer. Following up on his previous Sunday Times column, Clarkson penned an article this week claiming “the world will end when weird Gen Z take charge”, citing polling commissioned by the Times which revealed only 41 per cent of Generation Z surveyed said they were happy to say they were British, and the same percentage wouldn’t fight for their country in a war. Clarkson agreed with that percentage and said: “Right now, I’d do nothing to stop an invasion because, apart from that DRC child slavery enthusiast, Bosco Ntaganda, I’d take any world leader over the imbecile we have now. “[US president Donald] Trump, [Italian prime minister Giorgia] Meloni, even Putin; I’d welcome any one of them with open arms.” The comments have shocked and appalled people on social media, with one writing that the stance “tells you everything” about Clarkson: (on X): "Jeremy Clarkson preferring life under Putin to Starmer tells you everything about the Man. In Russia a small group of businessmen hold Land, while Famers are impoverished. Clarkson doesn’t care about Farmers, he only cares about keeping his money in a tax haven". Another claimed the stance was because “he doesn’t want to pay inheritance tax on the farm he brought [sic] to avoid paying taxes”, referencing previous articles from Clarkson in which he said he bought a farm because “the government doesn’t get any of my money when I die” and that avoiding inheritance tax was “the critical thing” in that decision: (on X): "Jeremy Clarkson wants Putin in power instead of Starmer because he doesn't want to pay inheritance tax on the farm he brought to avoid paying taxes" And a third made the pretty important point that life under a dictatorship isn’t exactly cosy: (on X): "I see Jeremy Clarkson is having such a hard time being a millionaire under the evil incompetent Starmer he'd rather be murdered in an arctic penal colony under Putin than pay a discounted rate of IHT in England." Clarkson has been a vocal critic of Starmer’s premiership since chancellor Rachel Reeves announced changes to inheritance tax on agricultural land last year, even attending protests which have since led to one Conservative politician saying the broadcaster would be “welcome in the Tory party”. ....... Ah - the Tories, lovely socially-minded people they are.... No wonder Gen Z are totally disillusioned, after a decade of Tory rule. :( |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 19th, 2025 at 10:33am
While raising taxes is politically toxic, Steve Bannon (!) points out cutting government spending in some areas is ALSO politically toxic (...pity about 'balancing the budget'):
(Raw Story) You are dead wrong': Even Steve Bannon warns GOP it's close to making major mistake Top MAGA influencer Steve Bannon is warning the Republican Party about targeting Medicaid in its efforts to find money to fund its extension of the 2017 tax cuts. As reported by Fortune, the former Trump White House political strategist said on his "War Room" podcast recently that taking an ax to Medicaid could be a major mistake that could hurt the party among key voters. Medicaid, you gotta be careful,” Bannon said on his Thursday podcast. “Because a lot of MAGAs are on Medicaid, I’m telling you. If you don’t think so, you are dead wrong.” The report goes on to add that Bannon's concerns are being reflected in statements being made by vulnerable swing-district Republicans who also have many constituents who are on Medicaid. "Republican Representative Brian Fitzpatrick pleaded with his colleagues recently to protect their working-class and low-income constituents as Musk scoured the federal budget for savings," Fortune writes. "The Pennsylvania lawmaker, who represents economically diverse Bucks County, is one of about a dozen House Republicans urging the party to protect Medicaid, food aid and other social safety-net programs." While Republicans had previously pitched a block grant scheme that would cap Medicaid spending to save money to fund tax cuts, Punchbowl News has recently reported that "House GOP negotiators now believe they will have to dig deeper into Medicaid spending to meet those targets, including potentially cutting benefits for enrollees." Ouch....courtesy mainstream debt and deficit dogma. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 19th, 2025 at 4:17pm
DOGE making progess.......yehaaaaah!
(Daily Mail) DOGE finds $4.7 trillion in untraceable Treasury payments Story by Melissa Koenig For Dailymail.Com Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency discovered $4.7 trillion in United States Treasury payments on an untraceable budget line. The agency announced Monday that the Treasury Access Symbol (TAS), which are used to describe the account the money is linked to, was missing on a number of payments the Treasury Department has made. In the federal government, the TAS field was optional for about $4.7 trillion in payments and was often left blank, making traceability almost impossible,' DOGE posted on X. 'As of Saturday, this is now a required field, increasing insight into where money is actually going.' The account went on to thank the US Treasury for its help in identifying the optional field. The Treasury Department, which fields trillions of dollars worth of government payments every year was one of the first departments DOGE staffers gained access to. They have been granted entry to the department's highly-sensitive payment systems, and Musk is now requesting access to a classified IRS system that contains the personal financial records of millions of Americans. The request, which is reportedly under review, would grant DOGE sweeping access to IRS 'systems, property, and datasets' through a memorandum of understanding. Of particular concern is DOGE's potential access to the Integrated Data Retrieval System (IDRS) - a heavily protected database used by IRS employees to review taxpayer records, update information, and issue official notices. Given the system's ability to retrieve personal identification numbers, bank account details, and other sensitive financial data, IRS officials have reportedly expressed deep reservations. The report notes that taxpayers whose information is wrongfully reviewed or disclosed may be entitled to financial damages, underscoring the severity of the potential risk posed by DOGE's request. My thoughts: given the fact the IRS is unlikely to be collecting TOO MUCH tax from taxpayers (and Trump wants to REDUCE taxes), how is the IRS likely to be a possible source of increased revenue? Does DOGE want to defund the IRS? Let's read on. Critics see the request as an alarming overreach by a department that has already faced scrutiny for its broad ambitions. Experts have warned that allowing political appointees access to IRS databases is 'highly unusual,' raising concerns about potential misuse of taxpayer data. Nina Olson, a former taxpayer advocate, did not mince words when addressing the potential consequences of DOGE's request. 'The information that the IRS has is incredibly personal,' she told The Post. 'Someone with access to it could use it and make it public in a way, or do something with it, or share it with someone else who shares it with someone else, and your rights get violated.' A senior Trump administration official, though, defended the move, stating that DOGE's mission is to 'eliminate waste, fraud, and abuse, and improve government performance to better serve the people.' The official further insisted that the request is being conducted 'legally and with the appropriate security clearances.' Amid the debate over Musk's authority, DOGE has started to purge the Federal Aviation Administration, with emails sent to probationary workers late Friday night. Hundreds have also received notice that their employment was terminated. Newly confirmed Housing and Urban Development Secretary Scott Turner also announced last week that he would be working with DOGE to set up a task force within the agency. My thoughts: so Trump wants to eliminate tax fraud? (cough....), let's read on. He posted a video on his X account on Thursday announcing the task force would be 'very detailed and deliberate about every dollar spent in serving tribal, rural and urban communities across America.' It would comprise HUD (Dept of Housing) employees and is intended to 'examine how to best maximize the agency’s budget and ensure all programs, processes and personnel are working together to advance the purpose of the department,' according to a press release. In Turner's video message on Thursday, he said that the task force recovered an additional $260 million in savings, after Musk said that $1.9 billion of misplaced funds had been recovered from the department. The DOGE head has also claimed that his department uncovered millions of dead Americans still eligible for social security payments. He posted a chart on X showing that there are more than 20 million Americans listed over the age of 100, including 3.9 million in the 130-139 range, more than 3.5 million aged 140-149 and more than 1.3 million in the range 150-159. There is even an 'alive' citizen aged over 360, according to the records. The billionaire Tesla boss wrote: 'According to the Social Security database, these are the numbers of people in each age bucket with the death field set to FALSE! Maybe Twilight is real and there are a lot of vampires collecting Social Security.' It is unclear how many of these payments were distributed due to fraud or mistakes made by the agency failing to confirm the age and eligibility of beneficiaries – including if they are alive or not. But DOGE vowed it is now 'looking into this.' [/cont] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 19th, 2025 at 4:27pm
[cont]
In the meantime, DOGE reports that it has saved taxpayers about $55 billion since the department was formed by President Donald Trump's executive order. The savings are a combination of 'fraud detection/deletion, contract/lease cancelations, contract/lease renegotiations, asset sales, grant cancelations, workforce reductions, programmatic changes and regulatory savings,' the new DOGE.com Savings page says. 'We are working to upload all of this data in a digestible and fully transparent manner with clear assumptions, consistent with applicable rules and regulations,' the site says. DOGE added that it will update the data twice per week until it can eventually be updated in real time. $55 billion? Good, but it seems the $4.5 trillion mentioned in the headline is a gambit figure..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 22nd, 2025 at 10:01am
Message to all politicians:
As long as government is forced to depend on "taxpayer dollars" rather than government dollars (see MMT), then government will always be subject to austerity because taxes are politically toxic. There is an alternative - see MMT, rejected by mainstream economists because of misplaced concerns re inflation - misplaced because, if the resources required are available for purchase (by government), it doesn't matter whether government money or "taxpayer money" is used to purchase those resources. Btw, central bank orthodoxy re inflation control is itself flawed , eg, increasing interest rates will increase rents which feeds into inflation, because landlords will want to cover their higher mortgage repayments. In conclusion, dependence on 'taxpayer money' is the reason why politicians are increasingly despised by a disillusioned electorate. ......... "It's the economy, stupid". And its the reason why mainstream politics is currently in chaos around the world, as workers - abandoned by the Left - look to the Right for their salvation while inequality soars. But Trump will quickly show that workers who voted for him merely 'jumped from the frying pan into the fire', as poverty persists and inequality continues to soar. And, eg, the fool Scholz, crippled by 'balanced budget' mainstream mythology, will be turfed out of office this weekend while claiming the AfD are the enemy, when reliance on cheap Russian energy and the manufactured goods export model is no longer working as in the past, complicated by uncontrolled immigration. And Albo doesn't have a clue why workers especially in small businesses which are "the backbone of the economy"** are abandoning him in a cost of living crisis related to high power and rent prices, not to mention mortgage holders crushed by high interest rates set by mainstream economists employed in the unelected "independent" Reverse Bank (sic) stealing from the poor and giving to the rich, to control inflation. ** unfortunately: most small businesses are mickey mouse affairs of no real value to society, who rely on low wages (if they actually employ workers other than the business operator). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 22nd, 2025 at 10:47am
Meanwhile, Ken Henry is blaming treasurers, past and present, for the current economic dysfunction gripping society.
https://www.afr.com/policy/tax-and-super/punishing-tax-system-breaks-budget-law-mugs-the-young-henry-20250220-p5ldpj ‘Punishing’ tax system breaks budget law, ‘mugs’ the young: Henry Former Treasury boss Ken Henry accused Jim Chalmers and past treasurers of breaking the budget law by failing to manage the risks of an eroding tax system that he warned was robbing younger workers and future generations. Henry expressed alarm about the future of democratic capitalism because the social compact with younger people – that if they worked hard they would be better off later in life, as their parents were – was being eroded by rising income tax burdens and higher public debt. Populism inflamed the risks because it caused politicians to shirk tax reform and pander to selfish voters, as well as fossil fuel donors who opposed taxes on mining and carbon, he said. The veteran bureaucrat and author of the Rudd government’s 2010 tax review, also took a swipe at Chalmers’ characterisation of Labor’s tax reform efforts as addressing “bite-sized chunks” one at a time, such as tweaking the Coalition’s income tax cuts and increasing tax on superannuation balances above $3 million. Henry said it was “nuts” to adopt a “tiny bite, by tiny nibble” approach to long-overdue tax reform. In the most serious accusation, a visibly frustrated Henry said Chalmers and Coalition treasurers over the past 15 years had breached the Charter of Budget Honesty rules legislated by Liberal treasurer Peter Costello in 1998. “There is no plan to control government spending,” Henry said at the Per Capita think tank tax summit in Melbourne. “There is no plan to balance the budget. The budget places a heavy reliance upon fiscal drag [bracket creep] that punishes innovation, enterprise and effort. “But the big thing is the looming intergenerational tragedy. If you wanted a tax system to punish the young, this is what you’d do.” Chalmers did not respond for a request to comment. Budget rules breached. The Charter of Budget Honesty, put in place by Howard-era treasurer Peter Costello, requires the treasurer to adopt a fiscal strategy to ensure a balanced budget over the medium term to avoid calling on private savings, while allowing for short-term stimulus such as during the global financial crisis under the Rudd government. The charter contains five principles: managing financial risks including debt levels prudently; achieving adequate national savings to buffer against moderate economic fluctuations; spending and taxing that ensures stability and predictability in the tax burden; integrity of the tax system; and considering financial effects on future generations. “Every Australian government since, including the present, has breached all five principles,” Henry said. In particular, he pointed to three principles being indisputably breached due to a failure to manage the financial risks arising from the erosion of the tax base, maintain the integrity of the tax system and have regard to intergenerational equity. “You might wonder what the government’s long-term fiscal objective is,” he said. For the first time, Henry said the government should consider indexing income tax thresholds in line with increases in inflation or wages to protect younger workers from a rising burden, putting him at odds with Treasury secretary Steven Kennedy who last year argued bracket creep had helped slow inflation. Henry said the failure to deliver tax reform since the introduction of the 10 per cent GST in 2000 had contributed to weak real wage growth, sluggish productivity and business investment languishing at the “recessionary” levels of the 1990s. Henry was instrumental in many of Paul Keating’s tax reforms such as introducing the capital gains tax, fringe benefits tax, franking credits and cutting company and personal income tax in the 1980s. He led Treasury during the Howard government’s GST introduction in 2000. The Rudd government commissioned Henry’s 2010 tax review but failed to act on most of his 138 recommendations after the prime minister was rolled following Labor’s proposed mining tax and carbon price. Henry was Treasury secretary when Chalmers worked for treasurer Wayne Swan. Eliminate ‘stupid’ taxes. On Thursday, he laid out a potential package of tax changes for a treasurer, which he said would first require a reallocation of federal and state spending responsibilities across areas such as health, education, aged care and infrastructure. Tax reform could include removing exemptions for the GST and state payroll tax to broaden their application, while eliminating other “stupid” taxes such as on insurance. Or these three taxes could be replaced by a new business cash flow tax, as recommended in his 2010 review, he said. Second, income from personal investments such as interest, rent and capital gains should have a discounted but uniform rate of tax applied, instead of the highly varied rates and concessions currently imposed. “If you did so, that would help address housing affordability concerns,” he said. Third, so-called “economic rents”, generating above normal rates of return, should be taxed more highly than normal capital income and capital gains, he said. (cont) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 22nd, 2025 at 11:29am
(cont)
“Fourth, reduce personal marginal income tax rates. Reduce the number of tax brackets. And this is the first time I’ve ever said this publicly, in fact I think at all. I think it is time to consider indexing tax thresholds for inflation. I think fiscal drag has become such a punishing thing that it’s time now to consider tax indexation.” Fifth, Henry said Australia should levy a carbon tax on coal and gas exports before importing countries do it on the carbon embodied in these exports. “You don’t have to put a very high carbon tax on that to raise tens of billions of dollars every year to fund the Australian budget.” He also stepped up calls for a distance-based road user charge on vehicles instead of fuel excise and other charges. The founder of the budget charter, Costello, told a conservative event in London that governments must rein in spending or risk deepening the financial black hole for generations to come. “I always argued when I was paying off federal debt in Australia, that debt is not just an economic problem, it’s a moral problem,” Costello said. “That by running up debt, society is consuming its resources on itself and sending the bill to the next generation.” Costello said there was also a crucial need for governments to focus on core responsibilities. “It’s a truism that the more government does, the worse it does,” he said. “If it was doing its core business well – we wouldn’t mind it expanding. But if it does its core business badly, why is there any reason to think it will do its new business well?” ........... Trust the AFR, reporting on Ken Henry's proposed policies to "stop stealing from the next generation" - to sneakily end the article with its OWN views re economic management which have nothing to do with Henry's views. Namely, by contradicting Henry's correct analysis that the system is (immorally) stacked against the younger generation of taxpayers, by referencing Costello's market-ideology-based assertion "debt is not just an economic problem, it’s a moral problem". Supposedly reinforced by his obscure argument that “by running up debt, society is consuming its resources on itself and sending the bill to the next generation.” Meaningless waffle supposedly capturing the moral high- ground; in fact, the responsibility of currency-issuing government is to manage inflation, not debt, while managing sustainable resource alllocation for the benefit of all, not just the few. But neither Henry, nor Costello - nor Chalmers - understand the dysfunction of tax orthodoxy, hence the enforced 'austerity' of the latter 2 while in government (eg, resulting in under-resourcing of health, education and housing) compared with Henry's excruciatingly complicated taxation policies to try to balance a 'moral' budget. Hence 'the blind leading the blind', even if Henry's policies would create a fairer society, to which Chalmers "didn't respond" (as reported in the above AFR article) BECAUSE taxes and tax changes are politically toxic.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 24th, 2025 at 9:55am
It's confirmed: Germany's centre-left coalition has been defeated by the centre right, after Scholz decided to go to an election, blindly hoping the elctorate would return his 'leftist party', to solve a dispute over the budget which had arisen with the 'free democrats', who are a free market/'deficit hawks' party, in Scholz's naturally unstable coaltion.
But, it's possible the incoming rightist government will be equally unstable, because 1. they reject a coalition with the 'far-right' AfD who will have the 2nd greatest number of seats in the parliament, and 2. the coalition which the new Chancellor will have to form is likely to be as unstable as the former Scholz coaltion, because some groups will be deficit doves (who prefer to avoid the issue of raising taxes to balance the budget...) All because of the deficit myth which is crippling mainstream economics/politics around the globe...... Back in Oz, latest polls show the ALP's primary vote has fallen to c.25% - a shocker for one of the 2 mainstream Oz parties, a vote not much higher than the despised (by all sides) AfD in Germany.... Meanwhile in the US, some Trump voters are already experiencing buyers' remorse, as Musk is set on 'balancing the budget' by firing thousands of government workers who will find they have to accept lower wages in mickey-mouse 'gig economy' jobs in the private sector, while waiting for Trump's much vaunted US manufacturing jobs to return to the US. Fun times ahead...... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 24th, 2025 at 12:06pm
More on the new German government:
(Sydney Morning Herald, via Reuters) Conservatives claim victory in German election as far-right AfD finishes second Centre-right opposition leader Friedrich Merz of Germany’s opposition conservatives claimed victory in the national elections on Sunday, while exit polls suggested that the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) came in second. Following a campaign roiled by a series of violent attacks, and interventions by US President Donald Trump’s administration, the conservative CDU/CSU bloc won 28.5 per cent of the vote, followed by the AfD with 20 per cent, an exit poll published by ZDF public broadcaster showed. Merz, 69, has no previous government experience but has promised to provide greater leadership than Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who conceded defeat, and to liaise more with key allies, restoring Germany to the heart of Europe. My comment: Merz, like Musk, is a billionaire who wants to 'balance the budget' by cutting government spending. In his victory speech, Merz said the result showed Germany was “present in Europe again” and would be reliably governed. My comment: waffle.....what does that mean, given Germany's contracting economy is due to global factors, which Merz thinks he can fix by 'balancing the budget'? Short of a majority in an increasingly fragmented political landscape, however, his conservatives will have to sound out partners to form a coalition. Those negotiations are certain to be tricky after a campaign that exposed sharp divisions over migration and how to deal with the AfD in a country where far-right politics carry a particularly strong stigma due to the country’s Nazi past. My comment: so wanting to ban uncontrolled immigration as the AfD want to do, makes you a 'Nazi' (though there are likely some white supremacists/nationalists in the AfD...) That could leave Scholz in a caretaker role for months, delaying urgently needed policies to revive Europe’s largest economy after two consecutive years of contraction and as companies struggle against global rivals. It would also create a leadership vacuum in the heart of Europe even as it deals with a host of challenges including Trump threatening a trade war and attempting to fast-track a ceasefire deal for Ukraine without European involvement. Germany, which has an export-oriented economy and long relied on the United States for its security, is particularly vulnerable. Germans are more pessimistic about their living standards now than at any time since the financial crisis in 2008. My comment: and little do they know, the deficit myth - and the resultant 'debt brake' - of economic orthodoxy is the cause of that. Attitudes towards migration have also hardened, a profound shift in German public sentiment since its “Refugees Welcome” culture during Europe’s migrant crisis in 2015, that the AfD has both driven and harnessed. Musk weighs in Sunday’s election came after the collapse last November of Scholz’s coalition of his Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens and pro-market Free Democrats (FDP) in a row over budget spending. The election campaign has been dominated by fierce exchanges over the perception that irregular immigration is out of control, fuelled by a series of attacks in which the suspected perpetrators were of migrant origin. It has also been overshadowed by the unusually forceful show of solidarity by members of the Trump administration - including Vice President JD Vance and tech billionaire Elon Musk - for the anti-migrant AfD, and broadsides against European leaders. The 12-year old AfD party took second place for the first time in a national election, according to the exit polls. The AfD is unlikely to govern for now as all mainstream parties have ruled out working with it, though some analysts believe its strength could pave the way for an AfD win in 2029. Support for the AfD, along with a small but significant vote share for the far left and the decline of Germany’s big-tent parties, is increasingly complicating the formation of coalitions and governance. My comment: note the similar decline in Oz, as the Lib-Lab duopoly fails to deal with falling living standards of below-average-wage workers (more than half the population). EU allies are cautiously hopeful the elections might deliver a more coherent government able to help drive forward policy at home and in the bloc. Some also hope Merz will reform the “debt brake”, a constitutional mechanism to limit government borrowing that critics say has strangled new investment. Surely a forlorn hope, because Merz, like Musk, is a defict hawk/balanced budget ideologue. The most expected outcome of this election is a tie-up of Merz’s conservative bloc of Christian Democrats (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) with the SPD in an uneasy “grand coalition.” Another three-way coalition may be necessary if several small parties end up crossing the 5 per cent threshold to enter parliament, complicating talks. Indeed, and Germany will continue to decline. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2025 at 1:26pm
Sir Keith Starmer intends to pay for increasing defence spending (to 2.5% of GDP) to "save democracy", by cutting overseas aid to the world's most needy..... a nice British 'gentleman', copying Trump's cuts to USAID.
All because of his (and Musk's) refusal/inability to aknowlegdge the difference between 'taxpayer money' and govenment/treasury-issued money, in the post-gold-standard, fiat currency era. Deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2025 at 6:36pm
While Musk is claiming the US government "must cut its deficit or go broke" (which is impossible, because the US government can issue it's own currency, (and can also pay off the bonds held by foreigners silly enough to "invest" in US bonds), the MAGA movement is showing signs of division at home:
(Indy 500) Trump supporter who voted three times begs for her job back after being fired by Musk's DOGE A woman affected by the mass layoffs triggered by Elon Musk's DOGE initiative has taken to Facebook, publicly appealing to Donald Trump to help her secure her job once again. In a post reshared to Reddit, a woman by the name of Jennifer claimed to have worked for the federal government for 16 years. She begged the US president to give her the USDA job back, after pledging her loyalty as a Trump supporter who voted "three times". "And I still support you," she wrote, adding that she is also in favour of the Department of Government Efficiency to "get rid of wasteful government spending". Jennifer went on to say she was let go for "performance reasons," as per her termination letter. However, she doesn't believe that to be true. In the post that tagged Trump's Facebook page, she added that her 16 years of employment should "surely that must count for something in your eyes". .... Ah - so she still agrees with sacking government workers - just not herself - to "get rid of wasteful government spending". Go figure... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 27th, 2025 at 10:02am
An Austalia Institute spokesperson today correctly pointed out that cutting public service jobs to "save money" might look good for the annual budget, but it doesn't save the nation money in the the long run because the government must outsource the essential services to private consultants who can rip the taxpayer off (witness the PwC scandal).
BUT.... when she was asked: "how can the government save money", she replied..."I don't know". Go figure - such is the level of research capability at the AI, whose fall back position re government funding is higher taxation. They - (like Ken Henry with his "tax reform" proposals for a "fairer" society: see recent article) prefer to ignore the fact higher taxes ae politically toxic, meaning politicians always run a mile from such proposals. [The AI reject the concept of government money being different from "taxpayer money", they are economic orthodoxy dunderheads.] |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Frank on Mar 2nd, 2025 at 10:25am thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2025 at 1:26pm:
Trump Assures PM Starmer England Still His Favorite Muslim Country WASHINGTON, D.C. — President Donald Trump extended an olive branch to the United Kingdom on Thursday, telling Prime Minister Keir Starmer that England was still his favorite out of all the Muslim countries. According to sources, Starmer had been apprehensive ahead of his meeting with Trump due to their agendas appearing to be at odds with each other, but that all changed when Trump told him that, of all the Muslim countries in the world, England was the best."I love all people, even Muslims. Especially the British Muslims," Trump told Starmer. "Of all the Muslims in the world, no one is more civilized than the English. I mean, you're still melting faces off of women and stabbing each other, but you've got Big Ben. Who doesn't love Big Ben? I wish we could have Big Ben here, to tell you the truth. It's an amazing clock. Maybe the best clock. We should build a giant clock here in America. A 'Bigger Ben,' maybe." Insiders present at the meeting said Starmer had been overcome with Trump's kind words and remained quiet until the joint press conference later in the day. As part of the meeting, the two world leaders answered questions about Ukraine, trade relations, censorship, and more, but every time the question turned to the Middle East, Trump graciously deferred to Starmer, who he called his "favorite Muslim" and the "leader of the Muslim world." At publishing time, Trump had reportedly given Starmer a red MAGA-themed Muslim prayer rug. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 2nd, 2025 at 11:26am Frank wrote on Mar 2nd, 2025 at 10:25am:
A result of the CofE wanting to promote the religions of 'the peoples of the book' in England, in the face of growing atheism/humanism which they see as a greater threat than Muslim fundamentalism. As for foreign aid, it should be a job for a reconstituted World Bank able to buy and direct resources to where they are needed. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 2nd, 2025 at 6:31pm
Problems with Adam Smith's (obsolete) 'efficient market' hypothesis:
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketfailure.asp Key Takeaways Market failure refers to the inefficient allocation of resources that occurs when individuals acting in rational self-interest produce a sub-optimal outcome (including increasing inequality). Market failure can occur in explicit markets where goods and services are bought and sold outright, or in implicit markets such as elections or the legislative process. It may be possible to correct market failures using private market solutions, government-imposed solutions, or voluntary collective actions. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 3rd, 2025 at 4:39pm
Philip Lowe speaks on the need to increase productivity; let's see what his remedy is:
(9News.com.au) Don't blame interest rates for economic pain, says ex RBA governor The run of high interest rates should not be blamed for Australia's cost of living crisis, according to former Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe. He told The Australian newspaper that poor productivity performance was really behind the country's economic challenges. Lowe says Australia's politicians have lost the appetite for tacking on major structural reforms the country desperately needs. My comment: so, no fault of the Reverse Bank, just timid politicians who want to get elected.... "That's the source of the cost of living – shall I use the word 'crisis'? It's not interest rates. Interest rates have probably suppressed aggregate demand by 1 per cent this year. "The lack of productivity growth over that time has suppressed demand now by 9 per cent [today]. So that's the source of the problem," he said. "And we've got to do something about that … We've had our living standards rising quickly for decades, and that's no longer happening, and people are getting unhappy about it." "Rather than make difficult policy decisions today for the benefit of future generations, political leaders are ducking them, Lowe says. My comment: an interesting twist on Ken Henry's call for tax reform to avoid "screwing the young generation"; Lowe is taking the "productivity" angle. "The problem isn't an economic one, we kind of know broadly what to do. It's a political one – our society has lost the ability to form coalitions to implement difficult things that in the short run will hurt some people, but are good for our kids. And we're now seeing the consequences." My comment: why is it necessary to hurt the people who can least afford it, while sucking up to powerful vested interests? Obvious I suppose: the better-off have more voting power. (I note Lowe didn't identify the people who would be "hurt now", while addressing The Australian's readership...). Anyway, still waiting for Lowe to describe the actual policies needed to increase productivity, let's read on with bated breathe... Lowe's comments today come ahead of the release of national accounts data on Wednesday which is likely to influence Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's decision on when to call a federal election. The Australian Bureau of Statistics figures should show a slight rise in GDP growth following seven straight quarters of negative per capita GDP growth, economists say. Labor and Coalition strategists will be closely watching the figures. The date of the federal election has not been confirmed, but will take place sometime before May 17.[/quote] Lowe faced some criticism for the 12 interest rates he presided over from May 2022 – not long after suggesting the cash rate wouldn't rise until 2024 – at a time Australians were struggling with the cost of living crisis. He was succeeded in September 2023 by new Governor Michele Bullock. So - no policies, other than politicians need the guts to hurt some unidentified group of people. Easy to say for someone who was paid a $million salary for many years...and would probably object to policies which hurt HIM. Deplorable. i |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 5th, 2025 at 9:49am
(Daily Mail)
Warren Buffett breaks silence on Trump's tariff plans The Trump camp argues that tariffs will boost government revenue, lower taxes, and spur domestic manufacturing. But most economists and investors - including Buffett - warn they're more likely to drive up consumer prices and strain international trade relationships. Well, Trump wants to make the US the world's manufacturing powerhouse again, to counter China's rise. He reckons the increase in prices for American consumers will be more than offset by increasing the number of better paying manufacturing jobs in America, but he is forgetting that higher-priced US goods will be uncompetitive in global markets. Trump should stick to investing to maintain the Pentagon's position as 'chief enforcer of peace' (in the absence of a UNSC which was supposed to fulfill that role), by engaging the US's 'comparative advantage' in tech research and development, while ensuring US agriculture remains a world leader, to prevent a loss of confidence in the US dollar in global markets. And since the US treasury can't run out of US dollars, the US domestic deficit need not be a concern; the government can subsidize the wages of low income groups without increasing taxation or borrowing. Unless China manages to catch up and even surpass US tech prowess... But in any case, Trump won't have long enough to see sufficient better-paying manufacturing jobs return to the US, to offset higher cost-of-living-prices for workers in America. A growing revolt against Trump's policies is already evident in America. (AP) Protesters in cities across the US rally against Trump’s policies, Project 2025 and Elon Musk Demonstrators gathered in cities across the U.S. on Wednesday to protest the Trump administration’s early actions, decrying everything from the president’s immigration crackdown to his rollback of transgender rights and a proposal to forcibly transfer Palestinians from the Gaza Strip. Protesters in Philadelphia and at state capitols in California, Minnesota, Michigan, Texas, Wisconsin, Indiana and beyond waved signs denouncing President Donald Trump; billionaire Elon Musk, the leader of Trump’s new Department of Government Efficiency; and Project 2025, a hard-right playbook for American government and society. The protests were a result of a movement that has organized online under the hashtags #buildtheresistance and #50501, which stands for 50 protests, 50 states, one day. Websites and accounts across social media issued calls for action, with messages such as “reject fascism” and “defend our democracy.” (Unfortunately, the Dems are still banging on about side issues such as 'transgender rights' likely affecting <1% of the population, but inflation is a real concern among many protestors). Stay tuned..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 6th, 2025 at 11:01am
Has Trump finally caused Germany (and the EU) to wake up from its 'government debt' delusion?
(The Guardian) European markets soar as Germany lifts ‘debt brake’ to raise defence spending European financial markets have rallied sharply and German borrowing costs have soared after the country’s prospective leaders announced a historic deal to loosen its “debt brake” rule to boost spending on defence. The yield – in effect the interest rate – on 30-year German government bonds rose by 16 basis points, after having earlier jumped by as much as 25 basis points to 3.07% in its biggest increase since October 1998. My comment: so government will have more to spend on defence, and buyers of government bonds will earn more (via higher bond yields), paid for by the government...is that a win for "taxpayers"? The Dax 30 index, which tracks the largest German companies, rose by almost 4%, powered by industrial stocks. Share prices also leapt in London, Paris and Milan amid investor hopes that a massive boost in European spending on defence and infrastructure would kickstart the region’s ailing economy. Ah....upgrading public infrastructure is included - that IS a win for "taxpayers". Defence stocks have gained sharply in recent weeks as world leaders scramble to piece together the funding for a vast increase in military expenditure amid mounting concern over Donald Trump’s commitment to European security. The EU outlined a plan on Tuesday to unlock almost €800bn (£670bn) for defence spending, while the UK government said last week it would raise its spending from 2.3% of GDP to 2.5% by 2027, two years earlier than planned, worth an additional £6bn a year. Shares in Rheinmetall, the German automotive and arms manufacturer, rose by 5% on Wednesday and have rocketed by 94% this year. Britain’s BAE Systems has rallied by 40% so far this year, Italy’s Leonardo is up 74% and Paris-listed Thales has risen by 77%. The euro rose by 0.7% against the US dollar to about €1.07. The pound also gained against the dollar on a day of dramatic moves in markets, as investors also reacted to the US commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick, suggesting a deal could “probably” be reached to de-escalate Trump’s trade war with Canada and Mexico. Some analysts said there was a danger of the dollar losing its “safe-haven” status among global investors as Trump’s trade wars rattle the world’s largest economy. “The speed and scale of global shifts is so rapid that this needs to be acknowledged as a possibility,” said George Saravelos, global head of currency research at Deutsche Bank. In a sea change for economic policy after years of sticking to tough rules on government debt, Germany’s chancellor-in-waiting, Friedrich Merz, said on Tuesday that defence spending above 1% of GDP would be exempt from the country's debt rule. Agreed with the centre-left Social Democrats, who are expected to form a coalition with Merz’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU), the plan also includes the creation of a €500bn fund to finance spending on Germany’s infrastructure over the next 10 years. In response, Germany’s biggest construction and engineering companies posted sharp share gains on Wednesday. Cement maker Heidelberg Materials jumped by 13.5%, industrial services firm Bilfinger leapt by more than 19% and construction group Hochtief advanced by 15.4%. Engineering and steel firm ThyssenKrupp rose by 13.6%. Echoing the words of Mario Draghi, the former European Central Bank president during the eurozone debt crisis, Merz said Germany would do “whatever it takes” on defence. Under pressure to raise spending on defence from 2.1% of GDP last year, analysts at Morgan Stanley said the overall size of the German plan could reach more than €1tn. Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank, said the plan amounted to a “really big bazooka” with potential to transform Europe’s largest economy. “They are a fiscal sea change for Germany,” he said. My comment: "a fiscal sea-change" , much needed to rekindle growth in the recession-hit German economy. "The extra room for defence spending sends a clear signal to Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump as well as to Germany’s European friends that Germany is serious about defending itself and helping Ukraine.” Described as “one of the most historic paradigm shifts in German postwar history” by economists at Deutsche Bank, the deal will effectively sideline the constitutional debt brake, or schuldenbremse, for spending on defence. Introduced in 2009 by Angela Merkel after the financial crisis, the rule, often restricting annual federal borrowing to 0.35% of GDP had been symbolic of Germany’s strict approach to tax and spending policy. My comment: cf c.6% debt to gdp ratio for the US (fiscal stimulus which is one reason why the US is the fastest growing G7 economy). City analysts said sidelining the rule would be a gamechanger for the country’s economy amid big challenges from collapsing industrial output; weakened by slack demand and competition from Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers. “Germany was facing a potential growth trajectory heading towards zero over coming years. [The defence and infrastructure boost] catapults growth prospects closer to 1.5-2% for 2027 onwards,” analysts at Bank of America wrote in a note to clients. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 6th, 2025 at 11:19am
Europe removing the 'debt brake' (see previous post), in contrast with Trump's America:
(Alternet) DC insider explains why Trump could hit an economic slump — and soon Opinion by Robert Reich, professor of public policy at Berkeley and former secretary of labor. Quick reminder: Trump was put into office mainly to rescue an economy that most voters thought was lousy. So what’s been Trump’s biggest economic initiative so far? As of midnight Monday, he imposed 25 percent tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and 20 percent on imports from China. This is a big deal. Canada, Mexico, and China are America’s three largest trading partners. They account for more than 40 percent of U.S. imports and exports. What’s the likely result? 1. Trump and his lackeys believe (or say) that the most likely result is a positive one for American workers. Global corporations (including American-based ones) will relocate their operations from Canada, Mexico, and China into the United States in order to sell their goods at a competitive price here — resulting in more and better jobs for Americans. But the Trump view doesn’t take account of Canada, Mexico, and China retaliating against the United States with tariffs on American exports, thereby reducing the number of jobs for Americans in export industries. Tariffs on their own do not create more American jobs or lead to more U.S. production. In fact, Trump's last trade war cost roughly 300,000 jobs. 2. A second view holds that the biggest impact will be a negative one — for American consumers. Although American importers pay the initial tab for tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, and China, importers will pass on much of the costs to their U.S. customers. As a result, American consumers will pay more for thousands of products — cars assembled in Canada and Mexico, stoves and refrigerators assembled there, crude oil, beer, chocolate, cucumbers, timber, toilet paper, and hot-rolled iron, to name a few. The biggest negative impact will be on lower-income Americans who will have to shell out a larger portion of their paychecks for all these things. 3. A third view is that, because so many final goods (as well as services) will be affected across the entire economy, the biggest impact of the tariffs will be on overall inflation — pushing all prices upward. The tariffs will give big corporations cover to jack up prices and pad their profits at our expense. 4. A fourth view holds that the biggest impact of the tariffs will be to slow economic growth in the U.S. — as all buyers, including corporations and foreign consumers, pull back from spending. This could cause the U.S. economy to contract. Two quarters of contraction means recession. Recession plus inflation is called “stagflation.” That’s particularly bad. Stock markets have plunged on news of the tariffs. The S&P 500 has now dropped below its Election Day level, erasing any Trump-related gains. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Grappler Deep State Feller on Mar 6th, 2025 at 12:26pm
Is no money - is no problem....
|
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 6th, 2025 at 7:56pm
The rich get richer, while the poor tread water, as deluded governments think they have to balance their budget.
(Daily Mail) Reeves scrambles to balance books with plan to cut '£5bn' from welfare Rachel Reeves is scrambling to find billions of pounds in spending cuts as the economy stalls and defence demands rise. The Chancellor is set to present the Treasury watchdog with draft proposals for trimming the government's outlay - said to include up to £5billion from welfare. Despite the huge tax-raising package in the Autumn Budget, Ms Reeves' plans have been thrown into chaos by downgrades to the prospects for the UK economy. Many blame the stuttering performance on the extra burden placed on businesses, while Ms Reeves has acknowledged that Britain will be hit by Donald Trump's tariffs even if only indirectly. The Office for Budget Responsibility estimated in October that the government had headroom of around £10billion for meeting its fiscal rules. However, that is believed to have been wiped out by dismal growth and higher costs of servicing debt - raising fears about even more tax hikes. It will present the latest provisional figures to officials privately later. Touring broadcast studios this morning, Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood said it was right in principle to target the welfare budget for savings. She told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: 'Well, this is the Labour Party. The clue is in the name. We believe in work. We know that there are many people who are currently receiving state support for being out of work, who want to be in work. "We know that we have too many of our young people currently out of work, not in education, employment or training. 'It is right that a Labour Government strains every sinew to make sure that the support is available to prevent people from leaving the labour market, or, if they have left the labour market, to help them get back into it. 'The Welfare Secretary (Liz Kendall) has been very clear that this has got to be a clear focus for our Government. There's a moral case here for making sure that people who can work are able to work and there's a practical point here as well, because our current situation is unsustainable. 'So, on both of those measures, I think the Welfare Secretary is looking at the right area of policy, and she will be setting out, you know, in a matter of weeks, in the very near future, her plans.' Speaking at a manufacturing conference yesterday, Ms Reeves pointed to Mr Trump's threats of tariffs against China and even long-time allies. 'It's absolutely the case that even if tariffs aren't applied to the UK we will be affected by slowing global trade, by slower GDP growth and by higher inflation than otherwise would be the case,' she said. There have been claims that welfare savings worth up to £5billion are being pencilled in, with the long-term sick set to face more work conditions. One government insider told the BBC: 'Clearly the world has changed a lot since the autumn Budget. People are watching that change happen before their eyes. 'The Office for Budget Responsibility will reflect that changing world in its forecasts later this month and a changing world will be a core feature of the chancellor's response later this month.' Ms Reeves insisted yesterday that having nearly a million young people not in employment, education or training was a 'stain on our country'. She said it was 'crucial' that the Government tackles the issue of 18-24 year-olds wasting the 'best time of their lives' at home 'doing nothing'. The comments came after grim figures last week showed more than one in eight 16-24 year-olds are so called 'NEETs'. The numbers surged to 987,000 in October to December, up from 877,000 a year earlier. That is equivalent to 13.4 per cent of the total population in the age bracket, an increase of 1.3 percentage points. The rise fueled alarm about the impact of Labour's Budget tax hikes, with businesses warning they are cutting back on staff even before they take effect. Meanwhile, UK and European allies are scrambling to make a step change in military capabilities as the US distances itself from the Ukraine war. Keir Starmer announced last week that the UK will be spending 2.5 per cent of GDP on defence by 2027, with the aid budget being slashed to free up the money. But far more money will be needed to reach the ambition of spending 3 per cent of GDP, and many experts say the level must go even higher. The Chancellor declared at the weekend that she is changing the remit of the £27.8billion National Wealth Fund so it can be spent on defence. Previously the public-private investment vehicle has been focused on infrastructure projects such as green energy schemes. .... Q: why are there so many young people unemployed or not in training? A: because the private sector doesn't want to employ them, and the government doesn't want to train them.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 6th, 2025 at 8:01pm Grappler Deep State Feller wrote on Mar 6th, 2025 at 12:26pm:
Actually, no government money means big problems....see previous post (#1100). |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2025 at 3:50pm
A good move from The Greens, so long as currency-issuing governments are forced to tax or borrow from the private sector to fund essential public services AND 'balance the budget'.
(Econostrum English) Greens Target Tech Giants With New 3% Tax in Billion-Dollar Policy Push The Australian Greens have unveiled a new policy proposal aimed at imposing a 3% digital services tax on major technology corporations operating in the country. If implemented, the tax is expected to generate $11.5 billion over the next decade, targeting multinational firms such as Meta, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Uber. Taxing the Digital Economy Under the proposal, the tax would apply to global companies that earn more than€750 million (AU$1.275 billion) in international revenue and make at least AU$20 million in Australia through digital services like advertising, social media, user data, and online marketplace transactions. This means that food delivery platforms like Menulog and DoorDash, job marketplaces such as SEEK, and e-commerce sites like eBay could also be affected by the tax if they meet the revenue threshold. Meta, which owns Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, reported $US164 billion (AU$264 billion) in revenue for 2024, while Amazon made $US638 billion (AU$1.017 trillion) and Uber generated $US44 billion (AU$70.1 billion)—figures that would place them squarely within the proposed tax’s scope. Greens Call for “Fair Share” Contributions Speaking ahead of the policy launch, Greens communications spokeswoman Sarah Hanson-Young said the tax would ensure that “tech giants and billionaire tech bros” contribute to the Australian economy. “Companies that trade in Australia need to pay tax on the money they make in Australia. Global tech giants are making billions of dollars in revenue in Australia while paying very little in tax,” she stated. The Greens argue that the revenue generated could be used to fund essential services, including their $200 billion proposal to expand Medicare by incorporating dental care. Potential Industry Pushback A Parliamentary Budget Office analysis has warned that multinational companies affected by the tax may restructure their Australian operations to minimize exposure. However, the Greens remain committed to pursuing the tax as a key policy demand in the event of a power-sharing parliament following the upcoming federal election, scheduled by May 17. “These big foreign-owned corporations make huge profits off Australians and resist regulation at every turn. It’s time they paid their fair share of tax,” Senator Hanson-Young stated. She also framed the policy as part of a broader fight against the influence of U.S. tech billionaires, saying: “We need to stand up for our national interest against Donald Trump’s billionaire oligarchs like Zuckerberg, Musk, and Bezos.” Broader Regulatory Efforts The Labor government has also signaled an increasingly aggressive stance towards major tech platforms. In 2024, Meta withdrew from the AU$200 million News Media Bargaining Code, which required social media companies to pay news outlets for content. In response, Labor proposed the News Bargaining Incentive, which would impose a tax on platforms that fail to strike payment agreements with Australian news organizations. With mounting pressure from both Labor and the Greens, major tech corporations may soon face a tougher regulatory and taxation environment in Australia. The extent of industry pushback—and potential legal or structural responses—remains to be seen. ..... Trouble is - most people seem to prefer the government to reduce taxes, rather than increase spending, even if it's the super-rich who are targetted for higher taxes. And I expect the mainstream media won't debate the issue. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2025 at 10:20am
Steve Keen on how money is (or rather, should be?) created:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/chapter-04-endogenous-money-of-money?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=158573257&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=rzu3p&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email Chapter 04: Endogenous Money, of Money and Macroeconomics from First Principles, for Elon Musk and Other Engineers Advocates of the Endogenous Money model—which I prefer to call Bank-Originated Money and Debt, or BOMD for short—reject the (mainstream) Loanable Funds model as structurally incorrect. Banks are not intermediaries, as (the text-books) assert, but loan originators. This was a minority and non-mainstream position in economics, until it was endorsed by some Central Banks after the Global Financial Crisis {McLeay, 2014 #5066;Deutsche Bundesbank, 2017 #5312}. In a paper entitled “Money creation in the modern economy”, The Bank of England rejected both the Loanable Funds and the Money Multiplier models: <<"Money creation in practice differs from some popular misconceptions — banks do not act simply as intermediaries, lending out deposits that savers place with them, and nor do they ‘multiply up’ central bank money to create new loans and deposits… The reality of how money is created today differs from the description found in some economics textbooks: Rather than banks receiving deposits when households save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits. {McLeay, 2014 #5066`, p. 14}">> The Bundesbank “The role of banks, non- banks and the Central Bank in the money creation process” made similar assertions, based on bank accounting: <<"It suffices to look at the creation of (book) money as a set of straightforward accounting entries to grasp that money and credit are created as the result of complex interactions between banks, non- banks and the central bank. And a bank’s ability to grant loans and create money has nothing to do with whether it already has excess reserves or deposits at its disposal. A bank can grant loans without any prior inflows of customer deposits. In fact, book money is created as a result of an accounting entry: when a bank grants a loan, it posts the associated credit entry for the customer as a sight deposit by the latter and therefore as a liability on the liability side of its own balance sheet. This refutes a popular misconception that banks act simply as intermediaries at the time of lending—ie that banks can only grant loans using funds placed with them previously as deposits by other customers {Deutsche Bundesbank, 2017 #5312`, pp. 13`, 17}">> We can check whether this accounting-based perspective makes any difference to the impact of sustained government deficits, by editing the structure of the Loanable Funds model developed in the previous chapter, so that: a). Both DebtFirms and DebtGov are Assets of the Private Banks, not Households; b). The Government account is a liability of the Central Bank, not the Private Banks; c). Interest payments are made to Banks, not Households; and d). Deleting Fees. Though Private Banks do charge Fees, these are not its primary income source, nor are they related to the level of corporate debt, as in the Loanable Funds model. (Following is a series of complex graphs, of interest to doctoral level students) showing money flows between various sectors). Conclusion: Finally, the capacity of the Central Bank to buy bonds off the private sector is effectively unlimited. Bernanke, despite being an advocate of the “Loanable Funds” model, once said that “the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes” {Bernanke, 2002 #2083}. Since the Central Bank can buy bonds by marking up both sides of its balance sheet, it would be feasible for the Central Bank to buy all outstanding government bonds, and thus reduce the interest payments on government debt to zero (since Treasuries either pay no interest on bonds owned by their Central Banks, or the interest payments are remitted back to the Treasury since it is the effective owner of the Central Bank). There is, therefore, no fiscal crisis of the State from the mere fact that its spending exceeds taxation. There can be other problems, including inflation and trade deficits, which I explore later, but government spending in excess of taxation is a feature, not a bug, of a mixed fiat-credit monetary system. But the State has helped trigger credit crises in the past, by attempting to eliminate its debt. Arguably, a major factor in such crises—in addition to the destruction of part of the money supply—is that, in the absence of government debt and deficits, the private non-bank sectors of the economy must be in negative financial equity. ....... All knowledge which Musk should be aware of, if he is to avoid creating a recession in the US and the world.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2025 at 10:36am
Keen's conclusions (in previous post) confirmed rather more succintly in Prof Bill Mitchell's exposure of the absurdities of mainstream economics:
So the fiscal rules are set in stone and something else has to give – which is spending, given they promised no significant tax changes. The justification is that the government has to “maintain credibility with financial markets”. So there are layers of absurdity that build on each other to get to this point. The train of spurious logic is obvious and goes like this: Absurd proposition 1: The government which is the only institution in Britain that issues the pound has to get the pound from the non-government sector via taxation or borrowing in order to spend it. Reality: The British government spends by typing numbers into bank accounts – no taxes or borrowing are required. Absurd proposition 2: Recurrent spending (whatever that is) must be matched at all times by tax revenue. Reality: This is a self-imposed constraint with no basis in economic theory. Absurd proposition 3: Any additional capital spending must be matched by issuing debt. Reality: This is a self-imposed constraint with no basis in economic theory and constitutes corporate welfare to the gamblers in the financial markets. Absurd proposition 4: If Absurd proposition 2 and Absurd proposition 3 are endangered then the financial markets will stop buying the debt that the government issues. Reality: So what? The choice would not alter the spending capacity of the government at all. Absurd proposition 5: To avoid Absurd proposition 4 occurring, the government has to cut spending dramatically. Reality: the end of the chain of absurdity. ... The entire article is available here: https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=62410 British government spending cuts will probably increase the fiscal deficit and make the ‘non negotiable’ fiscal rules impossible to achieve |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2025 at 3:36pm
(AAP)
Voters despair as economic hurdles cloud future Australians are losing hope as economic burdens weigh on their minds, but the prime minister insists help is on the horizon. One in three Australians has reported financial stress and a similar proportion believe their lives have worsened over the past year, pushing life satisfaction to its lowest levels since the COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns, the latest Australian National University election monitoring survey found. Many do not think things will get better soon, with more than half believing the lives of their children would be worse. "Everyone can see the real struggle younger Australians have in getting a foot in the property market, which appears to be translating into pessimism about the future," report author and ANU professor Nicholas Biddle said. This erosion of hope will be an important factor with voters set to head to the ballot boxes by May 17. Pessimism reduces trust in government institutions and confidence in the federal government is at its lowest point since the 2019-2020 Black Summer bushfires. One third of Australians expressed confidence in the federal government, down from half after the previous election. Though two in three respondents were content with democracy, this does not reflect a "deep dissatisfaction" among economically stressed groups, the report warned. The major parties' economic platforms could make all the difference as they jostle for voters, with federal election polling showing a knife's-edge difference in support. My comment: a case of 'the blind leading the blind', in a choice between lifting wages versus cutting government spending, as per mainstream 'debt and deficit' mythology.... A survey conducted for The Australian and published on Monday has the coalition leading Labor 51 per cent to 49 per cent on a two-party-preferred basis - the same result as the previous Newspoll. Primary support for both major parties has lifted, with Labor on 32 per cent and the coalition on 39 per cent. This is in line with Labor's result at the last election, but represents gains of more than three percentage points for the coalition. My comment: does this imply a return of the 'teal' vote to the Coalition? Not evident in WA... Though 55 per cent of survey respondents did not believe the coalition was ready to govern, Liberal senator Jane Hume brushed off the results. "We will go to this election with a suite of policies that will deal with what's important to everyday Australians," she told Sky News. In recent days, both Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Opposition Leader Peter Dutton have forgone campaign efforts to focus on flood recovery after ex-tropical cyclone Alfred battered Queensland and northern NSW. Mr Dutton has accused government ministers of "looking for political opportunity" following reports he attended a fundraiser in Sydney as his electorate prepared for the natural disaster, but the prime minister dismissed the suggestions. "I've been getting on with doing this job ... giving support to people in a totally non-political way," Mr Albanese told reporters in Lismore. The prime minister insisted his government would continue to strengthen the economy when it delivers a budget on March 25. Labor received a much-needed confidence boost over the weekend after a favourable result at the West Australian state election. Though the party expected some swing against it after a particularly strong performance at the state's previous poll, its losses did not translate to coalition gains, Monash University politics expert Zareh Ghazarian said. But this result does not mean Labor can rest on its laurels. "The message is clear," Dr Ghazarian said. "Australians are increasingly open to supporting non-major candidates which means that the major parties will have to work extremely hard to not only secure the support of their traditional voters, but also attract new voters who are seemingly unimpressed with their performances." The latest Newspoll was conducted between March 3 and 7 with 1255 voters throughout Australia. Meanwhile tweedle-dee is on the nose with c. 2/3rds of the electorate - same as tweedle-dum. Mainstream economists have a lot to answer for. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2025 at 1:21pm
(Dagens.com AU)
Elon Musk Fears U.S. Is on the Brink of Collapse Due to Growing National Debt ........ Fortunately, the currency-issuing US government cannot go broke, as Musk believes (re "the growing national debt") - but it can mismanage its resources, and fail to maintain the nation's living standards.....which will likely be the outcome if Musk insists on eliminating the national debt via budget surpluses, while cutting taxes. Let's see what he says in the article: Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, is a figure that always seems to stir up conversation. Known for his ambitious projects, Musk's leadership decisions and opinions often make headlines. Recently, he’s been speaking out about something that has caught his attention: the potential for the United States to face a financial collapse. In a recent interview, Musk shared his concerns, explaining why he believes the country is heading in the wrong direction. Musk’s new role in the Department of Government Efficiency hasn't come without its costs. Since taking on this position, he has lost a significant portion of his wealth. It is estimated that Musk has lost over 95.2 billion US dollars, according to Boosted. The bulk of his wealth is tied to Tesla and SpaceX, with Tesla's stock taking a massive hit since the political shift in the U.S. Musk has already seen 48% of Tesla’s market value vanish. Despite this financial setback, he remains committed to his mission, stating that the government’s handling of debt and the national budget needs urgent attention. Musk has expressed his concerns about the growing national debt, particularly the interest payments, which are higher than the defense budget. He sees this as a major issue that needs immediate attention. According to Musk, if the government doesn’t act quickly, there won’t be enough funds to support the country’s basic needs. Instead of focusing on the country's long-term financial health, the government seems to be dealing with short-term fixes that he believes aren’t enough. Musk also pointed out the absurdity of paying for the benefits of people aged 150, which, to him, signals a serious flaw in the system. Despite all the controversies, Musk’s words during the interview seem to come from a place of concern for the future. He wants America to avoid bankruptcy, believing that a collapse would have catastrophic consequences. Elon Musk’s background is no less impressive. Born in 1971 in South Africa, he moved to the U.S. to pursue his career in technology. Musk dropped out of a Ph.D. program at Stanford University in 1995 to start his first business, Zip2. After selling it for $307 million, Musk went on to create PayPal, which was sold to eBay for $1.5 billion. He then founded SpaceX, aiming to make space travel affordable and eventually colonize Mars. Additionally, Musk helped transform Tesla into the electric car giant it is today. Along with his ventures, he has dabbled in projects like Neuralink and The Boring Company, pushing the boundaries of innovation. ....... So - a uni dropout turned entrepreneur.......pity he hasn't kept up with currency-creation in the post gold- standard era of floating exchange-rate fiat currencies. As for interest payments on US debt swamping government spending: fortunately that's only an obsolete convention - still pushed by the neoclassical mainstream; a currency-issuing government doesn't NEED to borrow from (or tax) the private sector, it needs to manage supply and demand - a different task altogether. Of course, the sacred dogmas of the free market religion will need to be ditched.... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2025 at 3:33pm
(Sky News Australia)
Economic policies sold to Australians who have a 'low level of economic literacy' [Sky News on 'economic literacy'? This will be too funny...let's read on]: UNSW Economics Professor Gigi Foster claims the reason some of Labor’s economic policies make it “over the line” is because of Australians having a “low level of economic literacy”. “They do not understand the way in which markets work and the two-timing that they are being subjected to,” Ms Foster said. “The Labor government is basically describing the most unreliable forms of energy as reliable". .... Well...not much to go on, there. Note: Gigi Foster is an amoral neoclassical economist, steeped in the free-market religion, who argued for trade-offs between human life and economic efficiency, during the covid lockdowns. Deplorable. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2025 at 4:12pm
I've found the video from the Sky News article cited in the previous post; turns out Foster is arguing renewable energy is neither cheap nor reliable, as claimed by Labor - which is correct, but she doesn't acknowledge the transition from fossils will be expensive whether via Labor OR Coalition policies - both of which are contaminated by neoclassical orthodoxy.
https://www.skynews.com.au/opinion/chris-kenny/economic-policies-sold-to-australians-who-have-a-low-level-of-economic-literacy/video/74521033c820f85238f678e441f62784 Well of course, if AGW-CO2 climate science is false, as Sky News believes, we don't NEED to transition from fossils. But I think Sky News are being left behind by the rest of the world. And Foster, like all neoclassical economists, still believes in the efficiency of the market, a belief which will cook the planet, because the profit-seeking private sector will require carbon taxes which are too high to be politically acceptable. Th clock is ticking..... |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by Daves2017 on Mar 15th, 2025 at 7:28pm |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 16th, 2025 at 9:22am
The great capitalist blocks on both sides of the Atlantic at loggerheads (naturally - that's the outcome of unmediated competition):
(Dail Mail) JD Vance defends the strength of the American economy and EU tariffs The vice president was defensive about Trump's economic aggression toward Europe, accusing them of mistreating American companies for decades. 'Of course, we care about European security, Laura, but they don't treat us like an ally when it comes to economics,' he said. 'They actually hammer American consumers and American workers in the process.' Vance accused the European Union of imposing 'ridiculous tariffs' on American products noting that the president was finally ready to retaliate. 'If Europeans do something to us, we're actually going to fight back economically for the first time in 40 years we have at who is standing up for America,' he said. The vice president said that some industries would move quickly to retool their manufacturing but that certain industries would 'take a while' to reorganize their supply chains. 'We're not going to do this anymore, we cannot run an economy where Americans borrow, go into debt that other people make for us we're going to make it in America again, we have to,' he said. ....... And yet the US is growing faster than the EU, and is richer than the EU (though with much higher inequality than the EU) ; funny how self-interest distorts the narrative between economic competitors. Meanwhile Vance's ignorance re national debt, in line with Musk's nonsense about the US going broke if it doesn't balance its budget, won't assist the US to grow its economy. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 17th, 2025 at 11:45am
As prof. Steve Keen confirms, in examining the egregious effects of the most damaging mainsteam economic dogma in the world today, namely, money can only be created in private banks, not the nation's treasury:
Triggering Crises by Reducing Government Debt. Chapter 05 of Money and Macroeconomics from First Principles, for Elon Musk and Other Engineers What Musk thinks will revive the economy is more likely to trigger a serious recession The beliefs that the State faces a fiscal crisis if its debt gets too high, and that it is prudent for the government to reduce its debt by running surpluses rather than deficits, have existed since the dawn of the Republic. The empirical record of such attempts is definitive, and runs contrary to the expectations of governments at those times. A serious crisis, triggered by a private debt bubble and crash, has followed every sustained attempt to reduce government debt. This can be seen by comparing data on government and private debt back to 1834. Sharp and sustained downturns in credit-based money creation—with credit turning strongly negative and staying so for years—occurred in 1837-1844, 1930-37 and 2007-2010. These are known respectively as the “Panic of 1837”, the Great Depression, and the Global Financial Crisis. All three crises were preceded by periods during which the government either succeeded in reducing its debt by running surpluses (the Panic of 1837 and the Great Depression), or attempted to, but was waylaid by other factors (such as the “War on Terror” which derailed the attempts by Clinton and G.W. Bush to run surpluses in the late 90s and early 2000s). During the 1920s, President Coolidge deliberately reduced government spending each year, with the surplus averaging of 1% of GDP across the decade. His final State of the Union Address, 68F[1] on December 4th, 1928, lauded these surpluses as both the cause of the 1920s boom, and as a guarantee of continued prosperity. <<"No Congress of the United States ever assembled … has met with a more pleasing prospect than that which appears at the present time… Wastefulness in public business and private enterprise has been displaced by constructive economy… We have substituted for the vicious circle of increasing expenditures, increasing tax rates, and diminishing profits the charmed circle of diminishing expenditures, diminishing tax rates, and increasing profits. Four times we have made a drastic revision of our internal revenue system… Each time the resulting stimulation to business has so increased taxable incomes and profits that a surplus has been produced. One-third of the national debt has been paid… It has been a method which has performed the seeming miracle of leaving a much greater percentage of earnings in the hands of the taxpayers 'with scarcely any diminution of the Government revenue. That is constructive economy in the highest degree. It is the corner stone of prosperity. It should not fail to be continued". {Coolidge, 1928 #6057. Emphasis added}>> Ten months later, the Great Crash occurred, ushering in the Great Depression. While Coolidge had focused on reducing government debt, private debt, which was ignored by policy makers, rose substantially. Government surpluses of 1% of GDP, which reduced the money supply, had been offset by credit of roughly 5% of GDP, which increased it. Then credit turned strongly negative after the Great Crash, with the fall in private debt exceeding 10% of GDP in magnitude between 1930 and 1933. Despite this, the private debt to GDP ratio rose, because the fall in real output was amplified by deflation of 10% p.a., so that the fall in nominal GDP far exceeded the fall in private debt. Irving Fisher argued that the crisis was caused by private sector deleveraging from a position of excessive private debt, coupled with deflation: <<deflation caused by the debt reacts on the debt. Each dollar of debt still unpaid becomes a bigger dollar, and if the over-indebtedness with which we started was great enough, the liquidation of debts cannot keep up with the fall of prices which it causes. In that case, the liquidation defeats itself. While it diminishes the number of dollars owed, it may not do so as fast, as it increases the value of each dollar owed. Then, the very effort of individuals to lessen their burden of debts increases it, because of the mass effect of the stampede to liquidate in swelling each dollar owed. Then we have the great paradox which, I submit, is the chief secret of most, if not all, great depressions: The more the debtors pay, the more they owe. {Fisher, 1933 #152`, p. 344}>> Fisher was well aware of the importance of bank-created money in fueling both booms when it is rising, and slumps when it is falling: <<A man-to-man debt may be paid without affecting the volume of outstanding currency, for whatever currency is paid by one, whether it be legal tender or deposit currency transferred by check, is received by the other, and is still outstanding. But when a debt to a commercial bank is paid by check out of a deposit balance, that amount of deposit currency simply disappears. {Fisher, 1932 #4878`, p. 15}>> (cont.) |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 17th, 2025 at 12:01pm
(cont.)
Unfortunately, Fisher’s analysis was ignored by mainstream economists like Ben Bernanke on the basis of the model of Loanable Funds, in which lending is a “pure redistribution” that does not change the quantity of money: <<The idea of debt-deflation goes back to Irving Fisher… Fisher's idea was less influential in academic circles, though, because of the counterargument that debt-deflation represented no more than a redistribution from one group (debtors) to another (creditors). Absent implausibly large differences in marginal spending propensities among the groups, it was suggested, pure redistributions should have no significant macroeconomic effects. {Bernanke, 2000 #1098`, p. 24}>> Bernanke’s characterization of private debt as “pure redistributions” shows that he was thinking in terms of the false Loanable Funds model. The data shown in Figure 18 contradicts the claim that changes in private debt “should have no significant macroeconomic effects”, and it was available when Bernanke wrote those words.[2] In practice, only mavericks like Hyman Minsky {Minsky, 1982 #35} took Fisher seriously, and developed an approach to macroeconomics in which private debt had a significant role. In general, the economics discipline continued to ignore private debt after the Great Depression, and even encouraged higher levels of private debt via arguments like the Modigliani-Miller hypothesis which, given the tax deductibility of interest payments, favored debt over equity finance {Modigliani, 1958 #6127}, and via the encouragement of derivatives as a means to manage risk {Yellen, 1996 #7440}. Between the end of WWII and the beginning of the “Great Recession” (a.k.a. the “Global Financial Crisis”), private debt rose from under 50% to over 170% of GDP—see Figure 19. The USA (and much of the rest of the world) then repeated the experience of the Roaring Twenties and Great Depression, this time in the form of the “Great Moderation” and the Great Recession. The Great Moderation was seen by mainstream economists as a positive development, with Bernanke arguing that “improved control of inflation has contributed in important measure to this welcome change in the economy”: <<the low-inflation era of the past two decades has seen not only significant improvements in economic growth and productivity but also a marked reduction in economic volatility, both in the United States and abroad, a phenomenon that has been dubbed "the Great Moderation." Recessions have become less frequent and milder, and quarter-to-quarter volatility in output and employment has declined significantly as well… {Bernanke, 2004 #287}>> That phenomenon ended abruptly when the GFC began in late 2007. Unemployment rose well above the level of the previous two recessions, and a spurt in inflation to over 5% suddenly gave way to a brief period of deflation, followed by low inflation until Covid—see Figure 20. The same relationships between credit, fiat and unemployment that are evident in the 1920 to 1940 data shown in Figure 18 recurred across 1990 to 2015: see Figure 21. The correlation between credit and unemployment reached a staggering minus 0.93 between 1990 and 2015, while the correlation between unemployment and the government deficit—labelled Fiat in these plots because, as shown above, the government deficit is the means by which fiat-based money is created—was 0.76. The positive relationship between unemployment and the government deficit reflects the fact that, unlike the simple simulations in the previous chapter, much of both government spending and taxation is non-discretionary: a recession causes tax revenues to fall and expenditure to rise. This “automatic stabilizer” effect, combined with some discretionary spending policies, saw the deficit rise from zero in Q2-2006 to 14.1% of GDP in Q2-2009: this was almost twice the size of the maximum deficit under the New Deal (7.9% of GDP in 1933). As shown in the previous chapter, this boosts the money supply, therefore counteracting the impact of a collapse in credit-based money. Therefore, to a large degree, the government deficit is driven by economic activity. This explains the positive correlation between the government deficit and unemployment: rising unemployment causes the government deficit to rise. It is obvious from the data that there is a relationship between credit and macroeconomic activity. But mainstream economists ignore the role of credit in macroeconomics because, in the model of Loanable Funds, credit redistributes existing spending power, but does not create new money nor add to aggregate demand. But in the real world in which banks create money when they lend, credit adds to aggregate demand and income. The next chapter explains the roles of both credit and government deficits in aggregate demand and aggregate supply. [From: 'Building a New Economics': Steve Keen]. |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 18th, 2025 at 10:03am
Paul Krugman ponders the likely outcomes of Trump's tariff policies for the US - but as a mainstream neoclassical economist, Krugman can't see the part his own profession played in creating the 'rust belt' in the US which Trump is railing about:
(Raw Story) Trump's America is becoming a 'rogue nation' — and the world can make us suffer: economist Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman argues that President Donald Trump is turning the United States of America into a "rogue nation," and he says that the rest of the world is actually well positioned to make the country pay. Writing on his Substack page, Krugman argues that "becoming a nation that can’t be trusted to honor agreements or follow the rule of law has to have monetary as well as political and diplomatic consequences." What's more, he writes, the way the American economy is structured leaves "exposure to foreign revulsion" looming "quite large." In particular, Krugman thinks that American allies will drastically pull back on their purchases of American-made military equipment now that they no longer trust the nation under Trump to serve as an "arsenal for democracy." Krugman also thinks that America's higher education system, which has long been one of its greatest assets by attracting some of the brightest minds throughout the world, is also set to crater. Added to this, stories about the Trump administration detaining even lawful permanent residents and deporting them will keep tourists out of the country for the foreseeable future. "Trump’s belief that America holds all the cards, that the rest of the world needs access to our markets but we don’t need them, is all wrong," he concludes. "We are rapidly losing the world’s trust, and part of the cost will be financial." ........ Today I heard the interesting comment that "the US is the most self-sufficient nation on the planet", so will be the least harmed in a global trade war.......method to Trump's 'madness'? |
Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 19th, 2025 at 10:00am
Musk's DOGE discovers some Treasury computers are creating "magic money":
(Daily Mail) Elon Musk reveals DOGE found 14 'magic money computers' Ted Cruz hosted the 'First Buddy' and richest man on earth on his Verdict podcast Monday and Musk did not disappoint in taking listeners inside DOGE and brought up one shocking discovery after gaining access to the Treasury Department. 'One of the things you told me about is what you called magic money computers,' Cruz said. 'You may think that government computers all talk to each other, they all synchronize, they add up what funds are going somewhere and its coherent and that the numbers you're presented as a Senator are actually the real numbers. They're not,' Cruz said. Musk said the numbers could be off by anywhere from five to ten percent. 'Any computer which can just make money out of thin air, that's magic money,' Musk explained. Cruz asked: 'How does that work?' Musk responded: 'It just issues payments!' The Texas Senator then said Musk claimed that the computers at the US Treasury Department were sending out 'trillions in payments.' 'They're mostly at the Treasury, some are at HHS, one or two at State, there's some at DOD, I think we've found 14 magic money computers,' Musk explained. He added: 'They just send money out of nothing,' alleging that they fabricate payments and send them worldwide. Some liberal critics noted that what Musk discovered are the tenets of what's called Modern Monetary Theory, which suggests governments do not need to worry about accumulating debt since they can pay interest by printing money. 'Ted Cruz and Elon Musk discover the bombshell fact that MMT is true,' wrote leftist author and Current Affairs editor Nathan J. Robinson. 'They're actually kinda correct. The federal government issues money out of thin air. It's not like a household that needs to have a dollar before spending it. The gov is the *issuer* of the dollar—so it creates it. We can either use it to pay for healthcare or fund wars overseas,' wrote 'The Debt Collective.' 'Bitcoin fixes this,' added Jameson Lopp with a more favorable look on Musk diagnosing the issue, as many of Trump and Musks fans were shocked. Laura Windsor suggested: 'Either Elon is dumb, which we know he's not, or this is a cynical ploy to undermine trust in Treasury. @SecScottBessent should tell us whether he agrees with this.' Elsewhere in the episode, Elon discussed what DOGE is doing, claimed there had been 'attempts on his life,' and posited what life on Earth would look like in ten years. Trump and Musk have argued that the government is wasteful and bloated. DOGE claims it has saved $105 billion in cuts, but it has only publicly documented a fraction of those savings, and its accounting has been plagued by errors. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) has led the charge to slash the federal workforce under the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) but its chief spokesperson appears to be completely off-message. DOGE has faced intense scrutiny in recent weeks for its chaotic handling of layoffs, particularly its firing of key federal employees only to attempt to rehire them later. Among those affected were workers responsible for maintaining nuclear weapons sites across the US, a move that has raised serious national security concerns and Musk and his allies are now face mounting pressure to reassess their approach. ....... Notice the Bitcoin spruikers jump in ("Bitcoin fixes this"), determined to maintain the private sector's control of money creation, beyond the control of evil government.... The sad thing is: even RW shock-jock Rush Limbaugh knew (back in 2016, at the start of Trump's term in office) "governments just print the money"...but Trump seems to have forgotten it after mainstream economists refuted it. |
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