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General Discussion >> General Board >> Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1645944963

Message started by thegreatdivide on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:56pm

Title: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:56pm
A timely discussion of how the economy works in China, the reasons for the West's demonization of China, and the status of MMT in China.

https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5jYXB0aXZhdGUuZm0vbWFjcm9uY2hlZXNlLw/episode/ZTIzYjJmNDgtYmYzNS00NDRiLTlhOWEtOGJiMWYyZWY4YjNm?hl=en-AU&ved=2ahUKEwiqz7iAop_2AhWb7XMBHbn8BYMQieUEegQINhAL&ep=6

Examining China with an MMT Lens with Yan Liang

"Macro and Cheese explores the progressive movement through the lens of Modern Monetary Theory, with hot and irreverent political takes, spotlights in activism, and the razor sharp musings of Real Progressives Founder and host Steve Grumbine".

"This week’s episode is another chapter in our mission to educate ourselves about modern China. Yan Liang specializes in Modern Money Theory, international trade and finance, and economic development, with a special regional focus on China. She is also the wife of friend-of-the-podcast Eric Tymoigne".

"Steve and Yan discuss the truth and misconceptions about the ongoing competition between the US and China. It has created winners and losers, with the working class in both countries affected by globalization. Trade war is class war."

(Spurts of aggressive punk music cease after c.1 mim.)


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Jim Lahey on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:58pm
`The Great Firewall (GFW; simplified Chinese: 防火长城; traditional Chinese: 防火長城; pinyin: Fánghuǒ Chángchéng) is the combination of legislative actions and technologies enforced by the People's Republic of China to regulate the Internet domestically. Its role in internet censorship in China is to block access to selected foreign websites and to slow down cross-border internet traffic.[1] The effect includes: limiting access to foreign information sources, blocking foreign internet tools (e.g. Google Search,[2] Facebook,[3] Twitter,[4] Wikipedia,[5][6] and others) and mobile apps, and requiring foreign companies to adapt to domestic regulations.[7][8]

Besides censorship, the GFW has also influenced the development of China's internal internet economy by nurturing domestic companies[9] and reducing the effectiveness of products from foreign internet companies.[10] The techniques deployed by the Chinese government to maintain control of the Great Firewall can include modifying search results for terms, such as they did following Ai Weiwei’s arrest, and petitioning global conglomerates to remove content, as happened when they petitioned Apple to remove the Quartz business news publication’s app from its Chinese App Store after reporting on the 2019–2020 Hong Kong protests.[11][12]

The Great Firewall was formerly operated by the SIIO, as part of the Golden Shield Project. Since 2013, the firewall is technically operated by the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC), which is the entity in charge of translating the Chinese Communist Party's doctrine and policy into technical specifications.[13]

As mentioned in the "one country, two systems" principle, China's special administrative regions (SARs) such as Hong Kong and Macau are not affected by the firewall, as SARs have their own governmental and legal systems and therefore enjoy a higher degree of autonomy. Nevertheless, the U.S. State Department has reported that the central government authorities have closely monitored Internet use in these regions,[14] and Hong Kong's National Security Law has been used to block websites documenting anti-government protests.[15]

The term Great Firewall of China is a combination of the word firewall with the Great Wall of China, and was first used by Australian Sinologist Geremie Barmé in 1997.[16][17]

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Jim Lahey on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:58pm
Hello Shill.

Do your censors let you read that?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Ye Grappler on Feb 27th, 2022 at 5:38pm
The Sum Of The Freeze Is Equal To The Removal Of The Balls Of The Russian Interloper.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:24pm
The founder of Real Progressives,  who hosted the pod-cast in the OP, is one Steve Grumbine, whose journey from Conservative Reagan disciple to MMT convert is informative, especially his own experience of "pulling yourself up by the bootstraps", as per Conservative dogma:

https://realprogressives.org/our-founder-steven-d-grumbine/

"In 2009, despite his many years within the company, Steve was laid off due to the global financial crisis. Steve, with all his advanced professional education and experience, found himself unemployed for 18 months, and no amount of bootstrap pulling could lift him out".

"He experienced firsthand the struggles of no longer having secure employment with benefits, while at the same time dealing with a costly divorce, massive child support, and lapsing ability to make mortgage payments
".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by JaSin. on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:26pm
Black is the colour of Money.
The Black Market is the oldest in history.
Takes a Black Man to run an Economy for a billion little Yellow people. :D

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 1st, 2022 at 8:12am

Jasin wrote on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:26pm:
Black is the colour of Money.
The Black Market is the oldest in history.


Money is  the oldest delusion in the world; it is always created out of nothing, yet people still think it's a commodity. 


Quote:
Takes a Black Man to run an Economy for a billion little Yellow people. :D


Geopolitical forces manipulated by self-interest  have always pulled the purse strings.

But the money delusion's days are numbered. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Mar 1st, 2022 at 4:00pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 8:12am:

Jasin wrote on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:26pm:
Black is the colour of Money.
The Black Market is the oldest in history.


Money is  the oldest delusion in the world; it is always created out of nothing, yet people still think it's a commodity. 


Quote:
Takes a Black Man to run an Economy for a billion little Yellow people. :D


Geopolitical forces manipulated by self-interest  have always pulled the purse strings.

But the money delusion's days are numbered. 


Complete garbaga, again.

Money is a symbol of value. You could carry physical objects with you to exchange them for other physical objects but it would be cumbersome in the extreme. It is easier and better to have a unit of measure for the value of various objects and services and exchange that measure (money).

By your idiotic reckoning other measures - metre, hectare, ton, etc  - are delusions because they are also ultimately random measures of real thing, length,  adea, weight etc

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 1st, 2022 at 5:02pm

Frank wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 4:00pm:
Complete garbaga, again.

Money is a symbol of value.


Correct, but yet, crucially, money is created out of nothing, so exactly what 'value' (in the quantitative sense)  does it have?


Quote:
You could carry physical objects with you to exchange them for other physical objects but it would be cumbersome in the extreme. It is easier and better to have a unit of measure for the value of various objects and services and exchange that measure (money).


Of course, where did I say otherwise?  But you are now straying into the question of "what determines 'value'"?


Quote:
By your idiotic reckoning other measures - metre, hectare, ton, etc  - are delusions because they are also ultimately random measures of real thing, length,  adea, weight etc


They are not random measures,  because they are defined, whereas any attempt to define the 'value' of money is impossible because such value would need to be be defined in terms of itself, being created out of thin air whereas hectares, tons, metres are not created, they are defined. And neither are commodities eg, gold,  created out of thin air. But the 'value' of gold measured in money, - or vice versa - is not fixed

Interestingly, anthropologists agree money is primarily a means to establish  state sovereignty; its use as a medium of exchange is incidental to the state's issuance of money to establish state sovereignty over its own citizens. 

For example, the Roman empire initiated  the  first use of money in Britain;  the much simpler economy of the illiterate natives had no need of money because the tribes governed themselves according to defined roles for everyone, not requiring state governance.   



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by The Heartless Felon on Mar 1st, 2022 at 5:13pm
Until the middle of the 19th century, privately owned banks in Great Britain and Ireland were free to issue their own banknotes. Paper currency issued by a wide range of provincial and town banking companies in England, Wales, Scotland and Ireland circulated freely as a means of payment. - Wiki

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by JaSin. on Mar 1st, 2022 at 6:44pm
GD is right, but so is Frank.

Digital money is now created out of nothing.
...and when Cyber War starts - everyone's money that is in that 'invisible' world, will indeed, dissapear... like a cashless society that it is.

Far cheaper to be mugged in an alleyway,
than it is online.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 2nd, 2022 at 5:49pm
Interesting post from Australia's leading MMT economist prof. Bill  Mitchell.

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=49327

The IMF shows us that the central bank monetary financing taboo has no substance

Note: Mitchell observes that the IMF seems to acknowledge  the 'taboo' of the CB creating money as such, but the final two sentences reveal the conventional paranoia: 

"Which means that all the hype that surrounds the ‘taboo’ about the private sector fearing inflation if the government acts in this way is based on nothing substantive.

"But that doesn’t stop the IMF falling back into lockstep with the fiction (that CB money creation will cause inflation)  when they conclude that “departures from central bank independence can be very dangerous … [and have] … devastating effects on economies and livelihoods”.


So fear will force endless austerity on the population, austerity which negatively affects the poor the most, as governments attempt to pay back covid debt and rein in inflation. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:17pm
Note a pernicious thesis  of classical economics:

unlimited desires in the face of limited resources.

But socialism suggests satisfying basic needs is possible, ie choices re allocation of resources can be made.  Unemployment and homelessness are government choices, not some natural economic law.

Mainstream economics considers money to be a scarce commodity, it is not; whereas  some resources may be in short supply at certain times, money need never be in short supply for currency-issuing governments. 

The mainstream quantity theory of money is false, more money in the economy will cause inflation only if resource supply is constrained.

More money in the economy will create economic  growth, not inflation, if available resources and productive capacity can absorb the extra spending.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:56pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:17pm:
Note a pernicious thesis  of classical economics:

unlimited desires in the face of limited resources.

But socialism suggests satisfying basic needs is possible, ie choices re allocation of resources can be made.  Unemployment and homelessness are government choices, not some natural economic law.

Mainstream economics considers money to be a scarce commodity, it is not; whereas  some resources may be in short supply at certain times, money need never be in short supply for currency-issuing governments. 

The mainstream quantity theory of money is false, more money in the economy will cause inflation only if resource supply is constrained.

More money in the economy will create economic  growth, not inflation, if available resources and productive capacity can absorb the extra spending.


Dear God you're full of nothing but googled shyte!

MMT was incorporated by Keynesian economics.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 7th, 2022 at 2:05pm

Frank wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 4:00pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 8:12am:

Jasin wrote on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:26pm:
Black is the colour of Money.
The Black Market is the oldest in history.


Money is  the oldest delusion in the world; it is always created out of nothing, yet people still think it's a commodity. 


Quote:
Takes a Black Man to run an Economy for a billion little Yellow people. :D


Geopolitical forces manipulated by self-interest  have always pulled the purse strings.

But the money delusion's days are numbered. 


Complete garbaga, again.

Money is a symbol of value. You could carry physical objects with you to exchange them for other physical objects but it would be cumbersome in the extreme. It is easier and better to have a unit of measure for the value of various objects and services and exchange that measure (money).

By your idiotic reckoning other measures - metre, hectare, ton, etc  - are delusions because they are also ultimately random measures of real thing, length,  adea, weight etc


It's Bwian googling his way into irrelevance.

I knew I'd seen his googled stuff before.


"The post-Keynesian economist Thomas Palley said that MMT is largely a restatement of elementary Keynesian economics, but prone to "over-simplistic analysis" and understating the risks of its policy implications."

It's just simplistic BS. So of course it blends in well with the multi troll Notsogreat who has spent weeks on here copying and pasting slabs of an online website re MMT.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2022 at 3:39pm

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:56pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 1:17pm:
Note a pernicious thesis  of classical economics:

unlimited desires in the face of limited resources.

But socialism suggests satisfying basic needs is possible, ie choices re allocation of resources can be made.  Unemployment and homelessness are government choices, not some natural economic law.

Mainstream economics considers money to be a scarce commodity, it is not; whereas  some resources may be in short supply at certain times, money need never be in short supply for currency-issuing governments. 

The mainstream quantity theory of money is false, more money in the economy will cause inflation only if resource supply is constrained.

More money in the economy will create economic  growth, not inflation, if available resources and productive capacity can absorb the extra spending.


Dear God you're full of nothing but googled shyte!

MMT was incorporated by Keynesian economics.


Keynes, in a letter to fellow economist James Meade written in April 1943, said of Lerner, “His argument is impeccable. But heaven help anyone who tries to put it across”.

Abba Lerner espoused 'functional finance' which was a forerunner of MMT, so in fact both Keynes and MMT are related to Lerner's 'functional finance' ideas.   

But yes.....I can see what Keynes was getting at; money-is-a-scarce-commodity flat-earthers like yourself will always be difficult to enlighten.

As mentioned at the start of this Guardian article: 

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/18/truth-money-iou-bank-of-england-austerity

"Back in the 1930s, Henry Ford is supposed to have remarked that it was a good thing that most Americans didn't know how banking really works, because if they did, "there'd be a revolution before tomorrow morning".


That was during the GD of course, when unemployment  was being prolonged unnecessarily by the Fed's monetary policies. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 7th, 2022 at 3:56pm

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 2:05pm:
"The post-Keynesian economist Thomas Palley said that MMT is largely a restatement of elementary Keynesian economics, but prone to "over-simplistic analysis" and understating the risks of its policy implications."


Palley himself here is guilty of "over simplistic analysis" of MMT, and overstating "the risks of its policy implications".   

A debater needs to specify the points being critiqued, obviously.

And as for mainstream attacks on MMT,  economist James Galbraith sums it up  brilliantly:

https://www.jordantimes.com/opinion/james-k-galbraith/whos-afraid-mmt

"Who's afraid of MMT?"

As anyone who has ever been responsible for legislative oversight of central bankers knows, they do not like to have their authority challenged. Most of all, they will defend their mystique, that magical aura that hovers over their words, shrouding a slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon.

As a result, tormenting central bankers is great fun. John Maynard Keynes famously tormented Montagu Norman, Governor of the Bank of England (BOE) from 1920 to 1944. Wright Patman and Henry Reuss, two US congressmen who chaired the House Banking Committee in the 1970s, did the same to Federal Reserve Chair Arthur Burns. I know that Reuss enjoyed it; I assisted him at the time.

In our day, the voices of Modern Monetary Theory perturb the sleep not only of present central bankers, but even of those retired from the role. They prowl the corridors like Lady Macbeth, shouting “Out damn spot!”


Hence we have Lisa, playing the role of Lady Macbeth, with her following remarks:


Quote:
It's just simplistic BS. So of course it blends in well with the multi troll Notsogreat who has spent weeks on here copying and pasting slabs of an online website re MMT.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Ayn Marx on Mar 7th, 2022 at 4:51pm
" - - - slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon.”

The banking industry can be accused of that but to assume any branch of the much wider network of game players involved in currency/shares/bonds etc is honest or in full control of today’s market procedures is no more than wishful  thinking.
Instance. Automated digital share trading, hybridised with a mongrel mix of totally opaque bitcoin trading is now beyond control of any single govt or financial institution. On the other hand some say it’s an improvement not having the lunatics run the asylum but who is ?
 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by issuevoter on Mar 7th, 2022 at 5:32pm
"the West's demonisation of China" There, right at the git-go, you know the opinions are going to be propaganda. It's got nothing to do with MMT. It is about making the policies of the Chinese police state seem benign. Never mind an autocratic, secretive, extra-judiciary government whose number one purpose is to its own perpetuation. Never mind censorship, copyrights, and dumping. And don't mention the bogus claim that the above named government has some "right" to take Taiwan by force, because it happened to on the mainland.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 7th, 2022 at 8:44pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 3:56pm:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 2:05pm:
"The post-Keynesian economist Thomas Palley said that MMT is largely a restatement of elementary Keynesian economics, but prone to "over-simplistic analysis" and understating the risks of its policy implications."


Palley himself here is guilty of "over simplistic analysis" of MMT, and overstating "the risks of its policy implications".   


Says who? You? A notorious multi troll who only knows how to Google? Pffft!

Next!

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 7th, 2022 at 8:52pm

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 2:05pm:

Frank wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 4:00pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 8:12am:

Jasin wrote on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:26pm:
Black is the colour of Money.
The Black Market is the oldest in history.


Money is  the oldest delusion in the world; it is always created out of nothing, yet people still think it's a commodity. 


Quote:
Takes a Black Man to run an Economy for a billion little Yellow people. :D


Geopolitical forces manipulated by self-interest  have always pulled the purse strings.

But the money delusion's days are numbered. 


Complete garbaga, again.

Money is a symbol of value. You could carry physical objects with you to exchange them for other physical objects but it would be cumbersome in the extreme. It is easier and better to have a unit of measure for the value of various objects and services and exchange that measure (money).

By your idiotic reckoning other measures - metre, hectare, ton, etc  - are delusions because they are also ultimately random measures of real thing, length,  adea, weight etc


It's Bwian googling his way into irrelevance.

I knew I'd seen his googled stuff before.


"The post-Keynesian economist Thomas Palley said that MMT is largely a restatement of elementary Keynesian economics, but prone to "over-simplistic analysis" and understating the risks of its policy implications."

It's just simplistic BS. So of course it blends in well with the multi troll Notsogreat who has spent weeks on here copying and pasting slabs of an online website re MMT.


Please look up the googled links provided by Notsogreat.

They actually support my post.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2022 at 11:13am

Ayn Marx wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 4:51pm:
" - - - slushy mix of banality and baloney in a mist of power and jargon.”

The banking industry can be accused of that but to assume any branch of the much wider network of game players involved in currency/shares/bonds etc is honest or in full control of today’s market procedures is no more than wishful  thinking.
Instance. Automated digital share trading, hybridised with a mongrel mix of totally opaque bitcoin trading is now beyond control of any single govt or financial institution. On the other hand some say it’s an improvement not having the lunatics run the asylum but who is ?


Good points, you are referring to the financialization of capitalism which according to Michael Hudson will lead to the collapse of the US by mid century, as China's  rise based on its real economy (infrastructure, industrial automation and AI) out-competes the US FIRE-based  economy (finance, insurance, real-estate).

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7XvWoBhd7X4

As for Bitcoin: it is the ultimate expression of anti-government - 'individual-sovereignty' money, a 'fiat' currency based on......faith alone (in fact a ponzi scheme) .  Whereas the value of sovereign national  fiat- currencies is based on the nation's productive capacity  (of real goods and services). 

Interestingly Bitcoin can serve as an international currency (among those who have faith in it...) thereby by-passing national fiat currencies.

But governments are now in the process of regulating it, and are creating their own regulated digital currencies. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2022 at 11:48am

issuevoter wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 5:32pm:
"the West's demonisation of China" There, right at the git-go, you know the opinions are going to be propaganda. It's got nothing to do with MMT. It is about making the policies of the Chinese police state seem benign. Never mind an autocratic, secretive, extra-judiciary government whose number one purpose is to its own perpetuation. Never mind censorship, copyrights, and dumping. And don't mention the bogus claim that the above named government has some "right" to take Taiwan by force, because it happened to on the mainland.


You didn't listen to the podast.

The main purpose of the podcast (a presentation by Progressive Economics)   was to examine MMT and its reception in the world; the references to China near the end of the podcast  were merely a consequence  of Steve Grumbine asking whether MMT is acknowledged in China (turns out the debate is raging there, as in the West).

The podcast had nothing to do with "opinions" about MMT but about the facts of MMT.

As for the reference to China:  your ideological rant objecting to  a reference to  the West's containment  of China being propaganda, is itself propaganda because of course the US containment of China is real; Biden has left no doubt: " China will not surpass the US on my watch", and he is throwing every anti-competitive tool at China that he can.

It's gonna get ugly.

Perhaps the OP's podcast - with its reference to China -was too wide ranging as a first post about about MMT, it caught my attention because I am interested to know if and how MMT is received in China. 

[One might think MMT would  find more fertile ground in China, because MMT envisions a degree of direct government involvement in money creation, rather than  money creation via a wholly private sector-led economy]. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2022 at 11:57am

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 7th, 2022 at 8:52pm:
Please look up the googled links provided by Notsogreat.

They actually support my post.


Care to explain how?


Quote:
Says who? You? A notorious multi troll who only knows how to Google? Pffft! Next!


You still haven't outlined Palley's argument.
So far you all you have given us (as "professional" opinion) is:

"Palley says MMT is simplistic -  case closed". 

That's not debate, dear Lisa.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2022 at 1:51pm
For anyone in Tassie who wants to learn more about MMT:

https://www.facebook.com/events/4873066192776250

APR 2 AT 9 AM – APR 3 AT 5 PM UTC+10:30

Rethinking Capitalism | Hobart Weekend Intensive
University of Tasmania - Sandy Bay campus

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 9th, 2022 at 9:33pm
Why do people fear the sovereign currency issuer creating and spending its own money, alongside money creation in private banks (or the central bank acting on behalf of the private banks)?

1. Might reduce the value of their own savings?

- not true, provided the money is spent only on what is available for sale.

2. Might inhibit the ability of the super rich to consume as they might desire, because the poor would have higher living standards under MMT and would therefore command a larger share of the nation's output?

- who cares, we don't need rich fools flogging joy rides in space. 

Certainly the Left with their blind rejection of MMT are shooting themselves in the foot. eg  Albo today (having learnt that you can't win elections by promising to increase taxes) saying he "wont start a revolution, just a renewal".

Meaningless twaddle.

Because as soon as he promises some extra spending, the Right says, "how are you going to pay for it?"   



 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 11th, 2022 at 2:20pm
Mad as Hell's take on MMT...

https://www.facebook.com/801729290/videos/1206132393125925/

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 16th, 2022 at 9:29pm
Sad evidence of Australia's declining per capita GDP,  which began after the GFC,  amid widening inequality:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?locations=AU

The graph shows Oz per capita GDP peaked in 2013.

Actually the only countries I have found with continually rising per capita GDP since the GFC are the US and China; Japan has flat-lined since it's property bubble burst in 1990, and most other countries have flat-lined or gone backwards since the GFC.

The government can no longer afford to decently maintain (and increase) the  social housing stock, or fund  age-care packages, or the NDIS.

The pundits are saying rising Commonwealth debt (and interest payment on debt) will require higher taxes and/or lower spending in the future.

Doesn't stack up.

Of course the currency-issuing government should not be borrowing from (or taxing) private lenders in the first place.

Wonder how long it will take for everyone to wake up?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 17th, 2022 at 11:05am
MMT progress in the US:

(copied from twitter)

Austerity is Murder🌹#MMT🧨
@sdgrumbine
#MMT Founder
@RealProgressUS
 
@RP_In_Action

Host of @Cheesemacro

and The Rogue Scholar http://patreon.com/realprogressivesrealprogressives.org
6,617 Following
8,339 Followers

Jan 31, 2020
Some basics.

The US Dollar is a tax credit.
It is a unit of measure.
You can't run out of inches
You can't run out of numbers
The government can't run out of dollars...
unless it purposely, politically chooses to.


https://statuscoup.com/congress-has-plenty-of-money-to-protect-ukrainians-but-not-americans-from-covid/

President Biden announced Wednesday that the U.S. will provide war-torn Ukraine an additional $800 million in security assistance, spiking the total to $1 billion over the last week.

The money will provide more weapons including Javelin anti-tank and Stinger anti-aircraft missiles. The additional $1 billion comes after Biden just signed a new spending bill into law which provided Ukraine $13.6 billion.

Yet, President Biden announced the administration was running out of money to test, treat, and vaccinate people without health insurance. According to NPR, Congress declined to add to $22.5 billion in funding for additional COVID testing and vaccination, due to pushback from Republicans and some House Democrats who argued that the new COVID spending would take away separate funding that was promised to at least 30 states but hadn’t been spent yet".


From the NYT:

Uncertainty for Biden’s Covid Plan After Aid Is Dropped From Spending Bill
The $15.6 billion emergency aid package was stripped amid disputes over how to pay for it, injecting uncertainty into the president’s pandemic response plan.



Yes...austerity (due to the false narrative of a currency-issuing government having "no money") is literally murder...



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 31st, 2022 at 1:12pm
One economist's objections to MMT:

For example (this is also another one of my criticisms of MMT), MMT theorists have no idea about how other nations might react to an Australian Government pursuing macroeconomic policy in-line with MMT. Australia is a small, open economy that has a large portion of its economy reliant on international trade and international financial markets (our dollar being on the foreign exchange and our bonds being available for
purchase in international bond markets).

If other nations that were more economically conservative (or even just hedge funds and investment banks that trade our dollar) were to catch wind of Australia’s new macroeconomic policy direction and had concerns about Australia’s dollar devaluing, it might cause a speculative frenzy which could crush our currency and subsequently our economy. It almost ends up being a Game Theory type situation between countries. If one were to pursue these policies, they don’t know if they will be punished or not by other countries and financial markets. The payoff being large but the consequences also being large.

If you think of it from this perspective, it makes sense that policy makers play it safe and don’t pursue MMT macroeconomic policies as they don’t want to risk pushing the nation to the brink from a speculative frenzy on our currency and a refusal to buy our bonds.
It might be the case that governments talk a big game about a ‘balanced budget’ but then pursue MMT in secret. However, this would still be subject to significant risk if other countries were to catch on".


Note the highlighted: better utilization of the nation's resources, including permanent real full-employment, would not "devalue" the currency, but increase its value, because of the nation's higher and more stable output.

Admittedly there are global implications re resource mobilization and poverty eradication , so MMT will ultimately be part of achieving a better world, described here:

"We are individuals, driven by unconscious survival instincts common to all of us.
But to survive on a finite planet, we need to consciously aim for universal sustainable prosperity -which can only be achieved by global governance dedicated to achieving that goal.

Otherwise individuals will always form into groups dedicated to their own self-interest (driven by unconscious survival instincts.

So we need:

1. The criminalization of war via an ICJ backed by a UNSC minus the veto, dedicated to upholding the principles of the UNUDHR. (otherwise someone will always find a reason to go to war eg Putin in Ukraine, and Bush in Iraq.

2. The globalization of MMT, so that elimination of poverty is based on mobilization of resources, not money.

As for being "environmentally responsible" - some are, some aren't, so it's important that those who are, are the same ones in charge of environmental sustainability
"



 


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Mar 31st, 2022 at 2:06pm
Why does government put taxes on things?
To raise money for government to spend.

But why bother raising money through taxation when government can just print and spend whaever money it wants? Print some more and give it to people to spend.


MMT = Magic Money Tree.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:16pm
Modern Monetary Theory relies upon the theft of peoples savings
from printing money and causing inflation
in order that Govts. can come up with ways of spending money
which they don't have to have taxation to pay for.

It's a Ponzi scheme that will eventually go bust as
money becomes almost worthless.
Look at the Weimar Republic in Germany and Zimbabwe for proof of that.
In both you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Sir lastnail on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:21pm

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:16pm:
Modern Monetary Theory relies upon the theft of peoples savings
from printing money and causing inflation
in order that Govts. can come up with ways of spending money
which they don't have to have taxation to pay for.

It's a Ponzi scheme that will eventually go bust as
money becomes almost worthless.
Look at the Weimar Republic in Germany and Zimbabwe for proof of that.
In both you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread.


It's worse how they replace physical precious metals with paper derivatives and trade them to keep the price artificially low. Even worse is the way our super funds refuse  to invest in physical precious metals but will buy shares in precious metals companies along with shares in banks who produce nothing and trade in worthless FIAT currencies. That is who we are forced to invest in, in this country. Little wonder that Russia, China and India etc are going to kick our arse :(

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:25pm

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:21pm:

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:16pm:
Modern Monetary Theory relies upon the theft of peoples savings
from printing money and causing inflation
in order that Govts. can come up with ways of spending money
which they don't have to have taxation to pay for.

It's a Ponzi scheme that will eventually go bust as
money becomes almost worthless.
Look at the Weimar Republic in Germany and Zimbabwe for proof of that.
In both you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread.


It's worse how they replace physical precious metals with paper derivatives and trade them to keep the price artificially low. Even worse is the way our super funds refuse  to invest in physical precious metals but will buy shares in precious metals companies along with shares in banks who produce nothing and trade in worthless FIAT currencies. That is who we are forced to invest in, in this country :(



That's right Nail,
I asked Aussie Super about 20 years ago -
if they could put all my Super into physical gold and they
had no option to do that and none foreseeable in the future.
They insisted that it was either in the bank or on shares.
It has cost me a lot of money from their bad policies.

I'm convinced they didn't like it because they
couldn't see a way of getting annual fees from me.
They wanted their slice of the action so
it wasn't about my financial future but their own greed.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Sir lastnail on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:25pm:

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:21pm:

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:16pm:
Modern Monetary Theory relies upon the theft of peoples savings
from printing money and causing inflation
in order that Govts. can come up with ways of spending money
which they don't have to have taxation to pay for.

It's a Ponzi scheme that will eventually go bust as
money becomes almost worthless.
Look at the Weimar Republic in Germany and Zimbabwe for proof of that.
In both you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread.


It's worse how they replace physical precious metals with paper derivatives and trade them to keep the price artificially low. Even worse is the way our super funds refuse  to invest in physical precious metals but will buy shares in precious metals companies along with shares in banks who produce nothing and trade in worthless FIAT currencies. That is who we are forced to invest in, in this country :(



That's right Nail,
I asked Aussie Super about 20 years ago -
if they could put all my Super into physical gold and they
had no option to do that and none foreseeable in the future.
They insisted that it was either in the bank or on shares.
It has cost me a lot of money from their bad policies.

I'm convinced they didn't like it because they
couldn't see a way of getting annual fees from me.
They wanted their slice of the action so
it wasn't about my financial future but their own greed.


No they see Gold and Silver as a direct competitor to their worthless FIAT currency so they make the lame excuse that physical metals are not a growth vehicle but we know different. Little wonder China, Russia and India are going to kick our arses with their gold back currencies :(







goldandsilver.jpg (31 KB | 32 )

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:36pm

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm:
No they see Gold and Silver as a direct competitor to their worthless FIAT currency so they make the lame excuse that physical metals are not a growth vehicle but we know different. Little wonder China, Russia and India are going to kick our arses with their gold back currencies :(




Thanks Nail,
your chart shows it well.
Aussie Super cost us all a lot of money with their halfwit advice.
A monkey could have made better decisions.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Sir lastnail on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:41pm

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:36pm:

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm:
No they see Gold and Silver as a direct competitor to their worthless FIAT currency so they make the lame excuse that physical metals are not a growth vehicle but we know different. Little wonder China, Russia and India are going to kick our arses with their gold back currencies :(




Thanks Nail,
your chart shows it well.
Aussie Super cost us all a lot of money with their halfwit advice.
A monkey could have made better decisions.



Instead they take money from small business contributions to super and force small business to indirectly support huge business who contribute nothing to these small businesses. What a scam :(

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:43pm

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:41pm:

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:36pm:

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm:
No they see Gold and Silver as a direct competitor to their worthless FIAT currency so they make the lame excuse that physical metals are not a growth vehicle but we know different. Little wonder China, Russia and India are going to kick our arses with their gold back currencies :(




Thanks Nail,
your chart shows it well.
Aussie Super cost us all a lot of money with their halfwit advice.
A monkey could have made better decisions.



Instead they take money from small business contributions to super and force small business to indirectly support huge business who contribute nothing to these small businesses. What a scam :(



Hi Nail,
it shows you what happens when other people
get their hands on your money.
They lose it and give plenty to themselves.
It's legal theft.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Sir lastnail on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:45pm

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:43pm:

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:41pm:

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:36pm:

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm:
No they see Gold and Silver as a direct competitor to their worthless FIAT currency so they make the lame excuse that physical metals are not a growth vehicle but we know different. Little wonder China, Russia and India are going to kick our arses with their gold back currencies :(




Thanks Nail,
your chart shows it well.
Aussie Super cost us all a lot of money with their halfwit advice.
A monkey could have made better decisions.



Instead they take money from small business contributions to super and force small business to indirectly support huge business who contribute nothing to these small businesses. What a scam :(



Hi Nail,
it shows you what happens when other people
get their hands on your money.
They lose it and give plenty to themselves.
It's legal theft.


yes they forcibly take money from small aussie businesses and hand it over to the likes of harvey norman and jbhifi by buying shares in their companies who just buy container loads of junk from china :(

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by freediver on Mar 31st, 2022 at 6:10pm
TGD believes that the government can print food to provide a wage guarantee, food, housing, and a bunch of other stuff, without causing inflation. And a lot of other things the CCP wants him to believe.

He has latched onto MMT in a desperate effort to give credibility to his crazy ideas.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:12pm

Frank wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 2:06pm:
Why does government put taxes on things?
To raise money for government to spend.


That's the current system foisted onto an unknowing electorate, by greedy private financiers.

Fact: currency-issuing governments don't NEED to tax or borrow in order to spend; the constraint for such governments is available resources, not money.

[url]http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/   [/url]


Quote:
But why bother raising money through taxation when government can just print and spend whaever money it wants? Print some more and give it to people to spend.


Addressed above, the limit for government is resources, not money.   


Quote:
MMT = Magic Money Tree.


Indeed money is always created out of thin air - it's magic!

....whether created by banksters, or central banks creating "borrowed" money.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v14iP_qnlgU




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:13pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:12pm:

Frank wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 2:06pm:
Why does government put taxes on things?
To raise money for government to spend.


That's the current system foisted onto an unknowing electorate, by greedy private financiers.

Fact: currency-issuing governments don't NEED to tax or borrow in order to spend; the constraint for such governments is available resources, not money.

http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/


Quote:
But why bother raising money through taxation when government can just print and spend whaever money it wants? Print some more and give it to people to spend.


Addressed above, the limit for government is resources, not money.   

[quote] MMT = Magic Money Tree.


Indeed money is always created out of thin air - it's magic!

....whether created by banksters, or central banks creating "borrowed" money.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v14iP_qnlgU




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:21pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:13pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:12pm:

Frank wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 2:06pm:
Why does government put taxes on things?
To raise money for government to spend.


That's the current system foisted onto an unknowing electorate, by greedy private financiers.

Fact: currency-issuing governments don't NEED to tax or borrow in order to spend; the constraint for such governments is available resources, not money.

http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/


Quote:
But why bother raising money through taxation when government can just print and spend whaever money it wants? Print some more and give it to people to spend.


Addressed above, the limit for government is resources, not money.   

[quote] MMT = Magic Money Tree.


Indeed money is always created out of thin air - it's magic!

....whether created by banksters, or central banks creating "borrowed" money.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v14iP_qnlgU


Complete  and utter BS.
When you barter you give something in exchange. Money replaces that something by giving it an agreed VALUE. Nothing has no value so money MUST have value, it cannot be thin air.
Don't be an idiot.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:21pm

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:21pm:
Even worse is the way our super funds refuse  to invest in physical precious metals but will buy shares in precious metals companies along with shares in banks who produce nothing and trade in worthless FIAT currencies.


Fiat currencies - unlike Bitcoin - are not worthless because they are backed by the  nation's productivity.

The gold standard was abandoned because nations could not hold sufficient gold to enable orderly international trade.


Quote:
That is who we are forced to invest in, in this country. Little wonder that Russia, China and India etc are going to kick our arse :(


Investment is tricky at any time, you can't blame the fiat currency system for that.   



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:34pm

Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:21pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:13pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:12pm:

Frank wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 2:06pm:
Why does government put taxes on things?
To raise money for government to spend.


That's the current system foisted onto an unknowing electorate, by greedy private financiers.

Fact: currency-issuing governments don't NEED to tax or borrow in order to spend; the constraint for such governments is available resources, not money.

http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/


Quote:
But why bother raising money through taxation when government can just print and spend whaever money it wants? Print some more and give it to people to spend.


Addressed above, the limit for government is resources, not money.   

[quote] MMT = Magic Money Tree.


Indeed money is always created out of thin air - it's magic!

....whether created by banksters, or central banks creating "borrowed" money.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v14iP_qnlgU


Complete  and utter BS.


You didn't read and learn from Mosler's explanation of how fiat currencies work.


Quote:
When you barter you give something in exchange.


But the barter system disappeared centuries ago -  except perhaps when nations lack sufficient foreign exchange...


Quote:
Money replaces that something by giving it an agreed VALUE.


"Value" determined in competitive free markets, which often produces results incompatible with 'social' values  eg below-poverty wages, unemployment) , leading to what we call 'market failure'. Whereas the 'value' of education and good health is priceless. 


Quote:
Nothing has no value so money MUST have value, it cannot be thin air.


The question is: HOW is money created?

Answer: out of thin air.

You walk into a bank seeking a loan. If you are "credit worthy",  the bank creates - out of thin air - a deposit in your account (irrespective of the bank's customers' deposits).   


Quote:
Don't be an idiot.


It remains to be seen whether I'm an idiot for attempting to educate you.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:50pm

Sir lastnail wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:32pm:
No they see Gold and Silver as a direct competitor to their worthless FIAT currency so they make the lame excuse that physical metals are not a growth vehicle but we know different.


How is gold a growth vehicle, other than by price inflation?


Quote:
Little wonder China, Russia and India are going to kick our arses with their gold back currencies :(


Those nations' currencies are not backed by gold, they are fiat currencies.

But this  article shows how old systems - like yours -  die hard:

https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/what-countries-are-on-the-gold-standard-today

"Switzerland is one of the top countries with the largest gold reserves, and it was also the last country to eliminate its connection to the Gold Standard. In 1999, the country voted to sever ties between the country’s currency and gold, meaning the Swiss franc need not be backed by gold. However, in 2014, the country seemed poised to return to the Gold Standard under the “Save our Swiss Gold” motion.

This initiative was put to the vote, and it stipulated that the Swiss National Bank’s assets should include at least 20% gold, and the SNB should be banned from selling gold or storing its gold reserves abroad. This initiative ended up being rejected.

"Therefore, while Switzerland might be mentioned on the list of what countries are on the gold standard today, it no longer uses this system".











Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 2:02pm

Bobby. wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 3:36pm:
Thanks Nail,
your chart shows it well.
Aussie Super cost us all a lot of money with their halfwit advice.
A monkey could have made better decisions.


Indeed, but see my replies to Nail.

Btw, Weimar and  Zimbabwe are examples of nations subject to production losses - respectively, confiscation of Ruhr valley machinery by France after WW1, and loss of food production when unskilled black farmers took over farms confiscated from skilled white farmers. And Venezuela, loss of access to the sole source of foreign  currency when the oil market collapsed, a couple of years into Chavez's rule. 

IOW, inflation is always a supply constraint problem; ie, provided the currency-issuing government only purchases what is available for sale in its own currency (to which it has unlimited  access), then there will be no excess  money chasing too few goods.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:01pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:34pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:21pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:13pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 1:12pm:

Frank wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 2:06pm:
Why does government put taxes on things?
To raise money for government to spend.


That's the current system foisted onto an unknowing electorate, by greedy private financiers.

Fact: currency-issuing governments don't NEED to tax or borrow in order to spend; the constraint for such governments is available resources, not money.

http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/


Quote:
But why bother raising money through taxation when government can just print and spend whaever money it wants? Print some more and give it to people to spend.


Addressed above, the limit for government is resources, not money.   

[quote] MMT = Magic Money Tree.


Indeed money is always created out of thin air - it's magic!

....whether created by banksters, or central banks creating "borrowed" money.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v14iP_qnlgU


Complete  and utter BS.


You didn't read and learn from Mosler's explanation of how fiat currencies work.

[quote]When you barter you give something in exchange.


But the barter system disappeared centuries ago -  except perhaps when nations lack sufficient foreign exchange...


Quote:
Money replaces that something by giving it an agreed VALUE.


"Value" determined in competitive free markets, which often produces results incompatible with 'social' values  eg below-poverty wages, unemployment) , leading to what we call 'market failure'. Whereas the 'value' of education and good health is priceless. 


Quote:
Nothing has no value so money MUST have value, it cannot be thin air.


The question is: HOW is money created?

Answer: out of thin air.

You walk into a bank seeking a loan. If you are "credit worthy",  the bank creates - out of thin air - a deposit in your account (irrespective of the bank's customers' deposits).   


Quote:
Don't be an idiot.


It remains to be seen whether I'm an idiot for attempting to educate you.
[/quote]

Idiotic rubbish.
Otherwise 100 Swiss Frank's is the same as 100 Zimbabwean dollars - an obvious idiocy.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:16pm

Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:01pm:
Idiotic rubbish.


You still haven't read Mosler.


Quote:
Otherwise 100 Swiss Frank's is the same as 100 Zimbabwean dollars - an obvious idiocy.


No it's not; the value of 100 Swiss Francs compared to Zimbabwe's currency - in foreign exchange - is determined by the productivity of the Swiss nation compared to that of Zimbabwe.

Whereas the value of the Swiss Franc to the Swiss people is what it can purchase within Switzerland.

Give yourself a break, and read Stephanie Kelton's 'The Deficit Myth'.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 6:34pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:16pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 3:01pm:
Idiotic rubbish.


You still haven't read Mosler.


Quote:
Otherwise 100 Swiss Frank's is the same as 100 Zimbabwean dollars - an obvious idiocy.


No it's not; the value of 100 Swiss Francs compared to Zimbabwe's currency - in foreign exchange - is determined by the productivity of the Swiss nation compared to that of Zimbabwe.

Whereas the value of the Swiss Franc to the Swiss people is what it can purchase within Switzerland.

Give yourself a break, and read Stephanie Kelton's 'The Deficit Myth'.



So there is more than thin air behind money, it's not just the printing of it that matters, cockwomble.
It IS a symbol, a medium,  of something actual, like all symbols and mediums. Money, like language, symbols etc REFERS to something, stand is for something - not for thin air and nothing.

Don't be so stupid. It's bad enough to be a CCP stooge. Don't be a moronic CCP stooge.






Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 4th, 2022 at 2:13pm

Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 6:34pm:
So there is more than thin air behind money, it's not just the printing of it that matters, cockwomble.


Correct; both the creation - which is always out of nothing - and spending of money, which is constrained by availability of resources (including goods, services, labor etc)  are important.



Quote:
It IS a symbol



...of a nation's currency


Quote:
a medium,  of something actual, like all symbols and mediums.


....yes, like the 'points' which keep score in a sports competition. Where do these 'points' come from, as they are added to the score board in the course of the game? Can the game run out of them? 


Quote:
Money, like language, symbols etc REFERS to something, stand is for something - not for thin air and nothing.


Though money is indeed created 'ex nihilo', after the act of its creation, it is indeed something.

Now consider the birth of a new nation. Its treasury and reserve bank, plus the private banks,  will have to issue its currency 'ex nihilo' in ever increasing amounts, as the nation grows. 


Quote:
Don't be so stupid. It's bad enough to be a CCP stooge. Don't be a moronic CCP stooge.


Can you identify my error, in the above outline of how money is created?









Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm

freediver wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 6:10pm:
TGD believes that the government can print food to provide a wage guarantee, food, housing, and a bunch of other stuff, without causing inflation. And a lot of other things the CCP wants him to believe.

He has latched onto MMT in a desperate effort to give credibility to his crazy ideas.



Who is TGD?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Gordon on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:27pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm:

freediver wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 6:10pm:
TGD believes that the government can print food to provide a wage guarantee, food, housing, and a bunch of other stuff, without causing inflation. And a lot of other things the CCP wants him to believe.

He has latched onto MMT in a desperate effort to give credibility to his crazy ideas.



Who is TGD?


TransGender Deviots.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:30pm

Gordon wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:27pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm:

freediver wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 6:10pm:
TGD believes that the government can print food to provide a wage guarantee, food, housing, and a bunch of other stuff, without causing inflation. And a lot of other things the CCP wants him to believe.

He has latched onto MMT in a desperate effort to give credibility to his crazy ideas.



Who is TGD?


TransGender Deviots.



I get really annoyed by posters using acronyms expecting
that everyone instantly knows what they mean.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 5th, 2022 at 9:14am

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 2:13pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 3rd, 2022 at 6:34pm:
So there is more than thin air behind money, it's not just the printing of it that matters, cockwomble.


Correct; both the creation - which is always out of nothing - and spending of money, which is constrained by availability of resources (including goods, services, labor etc)  are important.



Quote:
It IS a symbol



...of a nation's currency

[quote]a medium,  of something actual, like all symbols and mediums.


....yes, like the 'points' which keep score in a sports competition. Where do these 'points' come from, as they are added to the score board in the course of the game? Can the game run out of them? 


Quote:
Money, like language, symbols etc REFERS to something, stand is for something - not for thin air and nothing.


Though money is indeed created 'ex nihilo', after the act of its creation, it is indeed something.

Now consider the birth of a new nation. Its treasury and reserve bank, plus the private banks,  will have to issue its currency 'ex nihilo' in ever increasing amounts, as the nation grows. 


Quote:
Don't be so stupid. It's bad enough to be a CCP stooge. Don't be a moronic CCP stooge.


Can you identify my error, in the above outline of how money is created?


[/quote]


You ARE amazingly stupid.
You have to actually kick a goal - produce something - to have a score recorded. A game runs out of scores the moment you do not kick a goal. Only in a mental asylum would they add scores to the board without actual gospals being produced.


Your new nation analogy is also very stupid as no new nation - or anything - is created ex nihilio.

Your MMT  idiocy is simply an economic perpetuum mobile: movement without energy input, magic money from nothing.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 5th, 2022 at 1:29pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm:
Who is TGD?

the great divide'

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 5th, 2022 at 1:50pm

Frank wrote on Apr 5th, 2022 at 9:14am:
You ARE amazingly stupid.


...so let's see what you didn't  understand about the 'points' analogy.


Quote:
You have to actually kick a goal - produce something - to have a score recorded.


Correct. But the 'point'  - earned by kicking a goal -  or the dollar  - earned by making something -  are both created 'ex nihilo' (in the case of the dollar, or yen, or whatever, in the treasury and central bank - and private banks - of the nation's currency-issuing government). 


Quote:
A game runs out of scores the moment you do not kick a goal.


Wrong. Your error here is to identify/conflate  the score with the points used to measure the score. The points available for scoring are infinite.


Quote:
Only in a mental asylum would they add scores to the board without actual gospals being produced.


Correct.


Quote:
Your new nation analogy is also very stupid as no new nation - or anything - is created ex nihilio.


Also correct (apart from being "stupid"); but you are continuing with your original mistake;  ie the new nation consisting of people and resources is created by decree or conquest, whereas the new nation's currency is created 'ex nihilo'. 


Quote:
Your MMT  idiocy is simply an economic perpetuum mobile: movement without energy input, magic money from nothing.


Refuted above.

In short:

Wealth = resources + labour + know how.

Money is only a convenience** - created 'ex nihilo' - in this wealth creation equation.

**and a method of establishing sovereignty over a nation, requiring  payment of fees and fines in the government's currency.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:10am

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 5th, 2022 at 1:50pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 5th, 2022 at 9:14am:

Quote:
You have to actually kick a goal - produce something - to have a score recorded.


Correct. But the 'point'  - earned by kicking a goal -  or the dollar  - earned by making something -  are both created 'ex nihilo' (in the case of the dollar, or yen, or whatever, in the treasury and central bank - and private banks - of the nation's currency-issuing government). 

[quote]A game runs out of scores the moment you do not kick a goal.


Wrong. Your error here is to identify/conflate  the score with the points used to measure the score. The points available for scoring are infinite.

[quote]Only in a mental asylum would they add scores to the board without actual gospals being produced.


Correct.


[/quote]


You are contradicting yourself - the score is not a measure of the goals except it is.  You cannot add infinite number of points to the board if no goals are kicked. The score is the "money" that symbolises the number of times the ball was kicked in the goal in accordance to the rules of the games. You cant go down to the pitch at night by yourself and and just add scores to the board.


Stupid is correct.  Should the Chinese and the Russians ever think like you the world would be safe from them.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 12:14pm

Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:10am:
You are contradicting yourself - the score is not a measure of the goals except it is. 


An obvious absurdity.

Repeat after me: the score of team A is MEASURED/TALLIED  by 'points', which are drawn from the ether (created 'ex nihilo'). Same for team B. The goals are real, the points used to tally the goals (ie the score) are created 'ex nihilo'.

Obviously a higher scoring game requires more points to be added to the score board, to measure/tally the higher number of goals. 
There is no limit to the points available for scoring, the limit to the number of points (numbers) actually used in the game depends on the number of goals achieved by each team.


Quote:
You cannot add infinite number of points to the board if no goals are kicked.


Correct! In fact you can't add ANY points to the board if no goals are kicked!.


Quote:
The score is the "money" that symbolises the number of times the ball was kicked in the goal in accordance to the rules of the games.


Incorrect. 

The score, measured in points to record the goals (output/product)  in a sports competition, is analogous to the economic output (eg GDP) measured in money to record the 'value' of that output/product.

In short, 'points' measure goals, 'money' measures economic output; both the points and the money are created 'ex nihlio'. 


Quote:
You cant go down to the pitch at night by yourself and and just add scores to the board.


You can indeed measure the number of goals you scored by yourself, from a given  number of kicks,  tallied/compared over several nights.....


Quote:
Stupid is correct.  Should the Chinese and the Russians ever think like you the world would be safe from them.


Just remember the readers of these posts are judging the quality of your argument.






Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 1:34pm

Quote:
The score, measured in points to record the goals (output/product)  in a sports competition, is analogous to the economic output (eg GDP) measured in money to record the 'value' of that output/product.

In short, 'points' measure goals, 'money' measures economic output; both the points and the money are created 'ex nihlio'. 


You are hopelessly confused. Points measure goals, money measures economic output. Neither is ex nihilio. You cannot print measures of economic output with zero reference to the actual output - which is the MMT wheeze you are agitating for is about.

You imagine that you can print limitless money, give it to people - and so they can easily buy limited economic outputs and resources. Stupidly, you want to decouple the actual economic output from its measure, money. And to top up the stupidity, you insist that this would not devalue the measure (ie cause inflation), as in Zimbabwe, Weimar etc.


Your logic should not oppose even counterfeit money. Why make printing money a government monopoly if it has no link to what it measures, actual economic output!  And why not? Let's each of us just print all the money we need and bingo! all problems are solved!   Genius magic!




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 2:33pm

Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
You are hopelessly confused. Points measure goals,
 

Correct....1 goal, 2 goals,3 goals,.....where are those numbers coming from, to tally the goals kicked? 


Quote:
money measures economic output.


Correct (let's see if you can make it three times in a row...)...1 dollar, 2 dollars, 3 dollars, to tally, eg, the 'value' of hours worked. Where did those dollars come from?


Quote:
Neither is ex nihilio.


Bummer...failed at the third step....


Quote:
You cannot print measures of economic output with zero reference to the actual output


Correct again (it's a pity you stumbled at the 3rd step)


Quote:
- which is the MMT wheeze you are agitating for is about.


No, MMT points out REAL resources (inc.  labour and know-how), not money,  are WHAT CONCERNS US in the search for sustainable prosperity.


Quote:
You imagine that you can print limitless money,  give it to people


No of course not; however the currency-issuing  government CAN purchase whatever is available  for sale in the nations' currency, without taxing or borrowing from the private sector....spot the difference?


Quote:
- and so they can easily buy limited economic outputs and resources.


Correct again**, the currency-issuing government doesn't have to tax or borrow, as outlined above (**...what a pity about the stumble at the 3rd step!....)


Quote:
Stupidly, you want to decouple the actual economic output from its measure, money.


No I want to measure the economic output WITH money - for convenience**...money which is  created 'ex nihilo'.

** note: the ancient Britons managed an iron-age  economy quite well without money, before the Romans turned up. 


Quote:
And to top up the stupidity, you insist that this would not devalue the measure (ie cause inflation), as in Zimbabwe, Weimar etc.


No, (hyper-) inflation is always a supply constraint problem (eg loss of Ruhr valley machinery confiscated by the French after WW1, and loss of food production after confiscation of white farms, to black farmers who didn't know how to farm).


Quote:
Your logic should not oppose even counterfeit money.


Creation of money by the state and its agencies is not 'counterfeiting".   


Quote:
Why make printing money a government monopoly


Creating money is always a legal monopoly of someone, in our system a privilege confined to private financiers.


Quote:
if it has no link to what it measures, actual economic output!


Already answered above; the government cannot buy what is not available for purchase.

OTOH, government ought to be able to purchase whatever the electorate deems is desirable, within the nation's real resource constraint (not some mythical 'debt and deficit' constraint. 


Quote:
And why not? Let's each of us just print all the money we need and bingo! all problems are solved!   Genius magic!


Unfortunately, you will find yourself wearing an orange prison jumpsuit if you try that....




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 2:56pm
You are militantly, vigorously stupid. Poor countries are poor because their governments are just not printing enough banknotes.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:03pm

Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 2:56pm:
You are militantly, vigorously stupid.


You have given up debating, again. Pity.   


Quote:
Poor countries are poor because their governments are just not printing enough banknotes.


No, poor countries are poor because they lack the resources to house, clothe, and feed everyone...or because the First World is stealing their resources for peanuts.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:34pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 4th, 2022 at 3:25pm:

freediver wrote on Mar 31st, 2022 at 6:10pm:
TGD believes that the government can print food to provide a wage guarantee, food, housing, and a bunch of other stuff, without causing inflation. And a lot of other things the CCP wants him to believe.

He has latched onto MMT in a desperate effort to give credibility to his crazy ideas.



Who is TGD?



I worked it out -
it means the poster called  - thegreatdivide


I believe that money printing is dangerous.
It risks causing hyper-inflation
and destroying peoples savings.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:50pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:34pm:
I believe that money printing is dangerous.


Yes it can be, if the resources on which to spend the money are not available.


Quote:
It risks causing hyper-inflation
and destroying peoples savings.


Yes, that is a risk, if the the "money printing" doesn't take account of the resource constraint.

But next time you hear the mainstream banging on about 'taxpayer money' , you should know the mainstream  have been deluded into thinking the government cannot create its own money.

Fact is the potential for inflation - ie, demand exceeding supply -  is present, whether  money is created in the private or public sector, and whether it is spent in the public or private sector (as at present). 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:51pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:03pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 2:56pm:
You are militantly, vigorously stupid.


You have given up debating, again. Pity.   


Quote:
Poor countries are poor because their governments are just not printing enough banknotes.


No, poor countries are poor because they lack the resources to house, clothe, and feed everyone...or because the First World is stealing their resources for peanuts.


I have given up on you, again.
You are self-contradictory, saying both that money is simply there for the printing and that it is a measure of actual economic output.

If my hourly work is worth $100 dollars, printing two $100 bills and giving me both for the same one hour work doesn't make me suddenly earn double. The output of my one hour is the same but now the value of one unit of money I get for it is halved because twice as much currency is in circulation even though there is no corresponding doubled economic output.

Either money IS a measure of economic goods and services PRODUCED or it is just printed at will 'ex nihilio', without reference to what is actually produced (your idiotic idea).

It's futile to debate a self-contradictory fool. You have the luxury or self- indulgence to talk paradoxical crap, I am not here to indulge you, only to point out your stupidity and your lack of even rudimentary grasp of what you are parroting.

The Economist:
“Speaking with MMT’s adherents is sometimes like watching a football match with friends who insist the ball remains stationary while every other element in the game, including the pitch and goalposts, moves around it.”



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:59pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:50pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:34pm:
I believe that money printing is dangerous.


Yes it can be, if the resources on which to spend the money are not available.


Quote:
It risks causing hyper-inflation
and destroying peoples savings.


Yes, that is a risk, if the the "money printing" doesn't take account of the resource constraint.

But next time you hear the mainstream banging on about 'taxpayer money' , you should know the mainstream  have been deluded into thinking the government cannot create its own money.

Fact is the potential for inflation - ie, demand exceeding supply -  is present, whether  money is created in the private or public sector, and whether it is spent in the public or private sector (as at present). 



I remember back in the mid 1990s -
our accountant at work was discussing our Super
and how necessary it was.
He said that future liabilities for providing pensions
and other social security were unfunded so Super
was needed and we should even salary sacrifice into it.

What he didn't explain was that the only way out was to print money.
Yes - pensions and social security are actually paid for
by money printing.
Even paying for all the gigantic army of public servants is unfunded.
We are stuck in a money printing rut forever.
It will never be paid off -
that's a dream from politicians to gullible voters.


Meantime - savings are destroyed and prices keep on going up.
Houses and shares went up over 20% in the last year or two.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 4:05pm
What is money?
At root, the problems with MMT lie with its (mis)understanding of what money is, and what role money plays under capitalism.

MMTers subscribe to a theory of money known as ‘chartalism’. This term was coined (no pun intended) by a German economist called Georg Friedrich Knapp, who put forward a hypothesis called ‘the state theory of money’.

In short, Knapp asserted that money originates with the state and its imposition of taxes upon a people. The state, according to chartalists, creates money - and then creates a demand for this particular currency by insisting on its use as a ‘means of payment’.

To truly understand the nature of money, however, we must turn to another 19th century German economist: Karl Marx.

In Capital, Marx noted that “the riddle presented by money is but the riddle presented by commodities”. In other words, to understand the role of money in society, we must first understand its real origins - those of commodity production and exchange.

Marx explained that money’s history is tied to the rise of the commodity: goods and services produced not for individual consumption, but for exchange. All commodities, Marx showed, have an exchange value. This is a relationship - a ratio - between commodities, expressing how much of one product would (on average) be exchanged for another.

Building on the ideas of his predecessors, such as David Ricardo, Marx outlined how the value of a commodity is dependent on the labour embodied within it. This labour consists both of the ‘dead labour’ contained within the raw materials, tools, etc. required for its production, and the ‘living labour’ labour added in the production process by the worker.

Marx called this total labour the ‘socially necessary labour time’: the time required for the production of a given commodity, based on the current level of technology and industry, etc. within society.

With this in mind, Marx explained in his Contribution to the Critique of Political Economy how money serves several functions:

As a unit of account, or measure of value. In money terms, this is represented by prices.
As a medium of exchange. In this role, money breaks up the circulation of commodities into two separate acts: an act of sale (C-M, a commodity exchanged for money); and an act of purchase (M-C, money exchanged for a different commodity).
As a store of value, allowing accumulated wealth to be maintained and preserved over time.
And as a means of payment, allowing debts (denominated in a certain currency) to be settled and taxes to be paid.
Money, therefore, plays a number of roles. Above all though, money is a representation of value: the ultimate expression of the generalisation of the law of value; the logical conclusion of the development of commodity production and exchange, which requires a universal yardstick – a standard measure – against which the value of all other commodities can be expressed.

And yet chartalism (and also MMT) offers no analysis of value, or of commodity production and exchange. As a result, it misses the essence of capitalism, and of money’s role within it.

Money arises historically, not by design, but as a result of the development of commodity production and exchange. It begins primarily as a ‘money commodity’, such as the precious metals, with a value of its own, but later develops to be a mere symbol of value. This is clear today, where money is predominantly not coins, but cash and credit; notes and numbers.
https://www.socialist.net/marxism-vs-modern-monetary-theory.htm

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 4:14pm

Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:51pm:
I have given up on you, again.
You are self-contradictory, saying both that money is simply there for the printing and that it is a measure of actual economic output.


To be exact, I'm saying money is (always) created 'ex nihilo', which is different to saying that "money is simply there for the printing". 

Money of course can only "be there" AFTER it has been created 'ex nihilo" .  It's that simple.


Quote:
If my hourly work is worth $100 dollars, printing two $100 bills and giving me both for the same one hour work doesn't make me suddenly earn double.


That's correct, but you still are confusing the utility, or 'value' of money, with its method of creation (ex nihilo). 


Quote:
The output of my one hour is the same but now one unit of money I get for it is halved because twice as much currency is in circulation even though there is no corresponding doubled economic output.


1. You are not the government; you must earn money, the government does not need to 'earn' money (in MMT).

2. You can only receive the specified pay for an hour's work; whereas the government  can buy whatever is available for purchase,  without borrowing or taxing (or "working"). 


Quote:
Either money IS a measure of economic goods and services PRODUCED or it is just printed at will 'ex nihilio', without reference to what is actually produced (your idiotic idea).


Money can never be "created at will" (even though it is created'ex nihilo') by the government (or anyone else); I think you need to understand that production occurs in both the private and public sectors and that production in the public sector can be self-funded by government; whereas private sector players must earn (or borrow) money from employers (or private financiers) respectively.  Hence the difference between "taxpayer money" and "government money",  which is the MMT insight. 



Quote:
It's futile to debate a self-contradictory fool. You have the luxury or self- indulgence to talk paradoxical crap, I am not here to indulge you, only to point out your stupidity and your lack of even rudimentary grasp of what you are parroting.


Does the paragraph in blue explain it to you?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 6th, 2022 at 5:26pm

Quote:
1. You are not the government; you must earn money, the government does not need to 'earn' money (in MMT).

2. You can only receive the specified pay for an hour's work; whereas the government  can buy whatever is available for purchase,  without borrowing or taxing (or "working"). 




But due to inflation it's the same as stealing money
from people with savings.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 6th, 2022 at 6:05pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 4:14pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:51pm:
I have given up on you, again.
You are self-contradictory, saying both that money is simply there for the printing and that it is a measure of actual economic output.


To be exact, I'm saying money is (always) created 'ex nihilo', which is different to saying that "money is simply there for the printing". 

Money of course can only "be there" AFTER it has been created 'ex nihilo" .  It's that simple.


Quote:
If my hourly work is worth $100 dollars, printing two $100 bills and giving me both for the same one hour work doesn't make me suddenly earn double.


That's correct, but you still are confusing the utility, or 'value' of money, with its method of creation (ex nihilo). 

[quote]The output of my one hour is the same but now one unit of money I get for it is halved because twice as much currency is in circulation even though there is no corresponding doubled economic output.


1. You are not the government; you must earn money, the government does not need to 'earn' money (in MMT).

2. You can only receive the specified pay for an hour's work; whereas the government  can buy whatever is available for purchase,  without borrowing or taxing (or "working"). 


Quote:
Either money IS a measure of economic goods and services PRODUCED or it is just printed at will 'ex nihilio', without reference to what is actually produced (your idiotic idea).


Money can never be "created at will" (even though it is created'ex nihilo') by the government (or anyone else); I think you need to understand that production occurs in both the private and public sectors and that production in the public sector can be self-funded by government; whereas private sector players must earn (or borrow) money from employers (or private financiers) respectively.  Hence the difference between "taxpayer money" and "government money",  which is the MMT insight. 



Quote:
It's futile to debate a self-contradictory fool. You have the luxury or self- indulgence to talk paradoxical crap, I am not here to indulge you, only to point out your stupidity and your lack of even rudimentary grasp of what you are parroting.


Does the paragraph in blue explain it to you?
[/quote]
You are weird.
When you look at your bank balance, there are no printed bank notes and minted coins there.

What IS there is a numerical expression of the VALUE of your economic reserves. THAT value is not ex nihilio.

You have a weird, blinkered fetish about bank notes.

You completely misunderstand private and public production. You also completely misunderstand simple concepts like 'earn'. The government doesn't 'earn' because it does no productive work. For you to treat making laws as if that was just like making furniture is revealingly stupid.

All your utterances reveal a hopeless conceptual chaos and misunderstanding.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:37pm

Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 6:05pm:
You are weird.
When you look at your bank balance, there are no printed bank notes and minted coins there.
 

Correct, indeed many countries are already entering the era of the 'cashless society', involving merely the changing of digits in bank accounts on computers. 

MMT teaches the currency-issuing government, through its agencies (treasury and central bank)  can change those digits as desired;  limited by what is available for sale/purchase. 


Quote:
What IS there is a numerical expression of the VALUE of your economic reserves. THAT value is not ex nihilio.


Which is what I intended to teach you with the points analogy, but failed miserably, obviously.

The 'value'  measured in money - and hence ability to purchase real resources -  is real, and cannot be created ex nihilo, but must be created by labour and production.  But the measure itself, ie, the unit of currency, is created ex nihilo.

Note: when the government had to lock down the non-essential economy in March 2020, it immediately began injecting $billions into the bank accounts of laid-off workers, ie $billions created ex nihilo, though we were told the government borrowed the money.....it didn't, it just booked $200 billion dollars debt, later much reduced as the virus turned out to be a squid (unfortunately: a decent virus would have forced the non-essential economy to  remain closed likely until more than several $trillions of  'debt' had been accumulated, forever unrepayable. 


Quote:
You have a weird, blinkered fetish about bank notes.


No, though I thought you understood that the term "printing money" meant issuing digital currency/money. 


Quote:
You completely misunderstand private and public production.



No I don't; education is public production, in fact the basis of all private production. Likewise public infrastructure, the basis of efficient private production.   


Quote:
You also completely misunderstand simple concepts like 'earn'. The government doesn't 'earn' because it does no productive work.


The government doesn't earn, but public sector production (education, infrastructure) is the foundation of private sector production.


Quote:
For you to treat making laws as if that was just like making furniture is revealingly stupid.


The transfer of knowledge from teacher to student, and building the public infrastructure (roads, ports) is  the absolute necessity for making and distributing furniture. 


Quote:
All your utterances reveal a hopeless conceptual chaos and misunderstanding.


(......)

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:47pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 5:26pm:

Quote:
1. You are not the government; you must earn money, the government does not need to 'earn' money (in MMT).

2. You can only receive the specified pay for an hour's work; whereas the government  can buy whatever is available for purchase,  without borrowing or taxing (or "working"). 


But due to inflation it's the same as stealing money
from people with savings.


But a well-managed, fully productive  economy will limit the available money to available resources, hence no inflation.

The question is who gets to create the required quantity of money (to maintain real full employment without creating inflation) - private financiers charging interest on loans, or the currency-issuing government issuing 'debt free' money' (as opposed to  "taxpayers' money").... 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 6th, 2022 at 10:55pm
Fascinating article:

https://ellenbrown.com/2022/04/05/the-coming-global-financial-revolution-russia-is-following-the-american-playbook/

Russia is discovering (or is on the verge of discovering) that it does not need U.S. dollars as backing for the ruble’s exchange rate. Its central bank can create the rubles needed to pay domestic wages and finance capital formation. The U.S. confiscations thus may finally lead Russia to end neoliberal monetary philosophy, as Sergei Glaziev has long been advocating in favor of MMT [Modern Monetary Theory]. …

What foreign countries have not done for themselves – replacing the IMF, World Bank and other arms of U.S. diplomacy – American politicians are forcing them to do. Instead of European, Near Eastern and Global South countries breaking away out of their own calculation of their long-term economic interests, America is driving them away, as it has done with Russia and China.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 6th, 2022 at 11:37pm
A video on Fiat currency:

https://www.brighteon.com/e755ff4b-6b4b-4f0c-b82e-e17e23f001ca

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 12:00am

Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 11:37pm:
A video on Fiat currency:

https://www.brighteon.com/e755ff4b-6b4b-4f0c-b82e-e17e23f001ca



It’s the same old problem:
they can't pay: old age pension, social security and public servants without printing money.
Our economy is fake – it’s based on unfunded liabilities.
No Govt. has a solution and it’s never spoken of in election campaigns.
When will their Ponzi scheme collapse?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:03pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 12:00am:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 11:37pm:
A video on Fiat currency:

https://www.brighteon.com/e755ff4b-6b4b-4f0c-b82e-e17e23f001ca



It’s the same old problem:
they can't pay: old age pension, social security and public servants without printing money.


Could government pay for all those things if taxes were sufficiently high?

But in any case you - like everyone -  recoil against the idea (unless it's someone else's taxes...)


Quote:
Our economy is fake – it’s based on unfunded liabilities.


Not entirely fake, the economy produces many desirable things.

As to "unfunded", that gets us back to taxation, as noted above. 

But MMT teaches us government can create its own money  ("government money"), as opposed to "taxpayer money", the quantum of "government money" being constrained by the nation's resources and productivity, to avoid inflation. 


Quote:
No Govt. has a solution and it’s never spoken of in election campaigns.


Interestingly the Greens are now MMT-literate, though they don't advertise the fact, given the current level of ignorance re what is money and how it works (eg, most people still think government budgets are like their own household budgets).

And another   MMT-literate party is standing in the May election: TNL.

Should be an interesting election, with  cost of living, and housing/rent  going through the roof, and  poor wages growth resulting in people abandoning the 2 major parties. Albo can't explain how he intends to fund raising age-care workers wages.etc, apart from some vague measures re "cutting waste". 



Quote:
When will their Ponzi scheme collapse?


Fiat currencies (unlike Bitcoin) are not a ponzi scheme, because they are backed by the nation's productivity.

Your fiat currency video is nonsense based on the  obsolete gold standard era.

Speaking of which:

https://ellenbrown.com/2022/04/05/the-coming-global-financial-revolution-russia-is-following-the-american-playbook/

" The Rise and Fall of the PetroDollar

First, some history: The U.S. dollar was adopted as the global reserve currency at the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944, when the dollar was still backed by gold on global markets. The agreement was that gold and the dollar would be accepted interchangeably as global reserves, the dollars to be redeemable in gold on demand at $35 an ounce. Exchange rates of other currencies were fixed against the dollar.

But that deal was broken after President Lyndon Johnson’s “guns and butter” policy exhausted the U.S. kitty by funding war in Vietnam along with his “Great Society” social programs at home. French President Charles de Gaulle, suspecting the U.S. was running out of money, cashed in a major portion of France’s dollars for gold and threatened to cash in the rest; and other countries followed suit or threatened to.

In 1971, President Richard Nixon ended the convertibility of the dollar to gold internationally (known as “closing the gold window”), in order to avoid draining U.S. gold reserves".



...hence the enforced demise of the gold standard.....

Your video attacking fiat currencies is mostly ignorance re the creation and function of money, with the usual old nonsense about Weimar and  Zimbabwe, which are examples of a collapse in resources supply, leading to excess demand.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:22pm

Quote:
Your video attacking fiat currencies is mostly ignorance re the creation and function of money, with the usual old nonsense about Weimar and  Zimbabwe, which are examples of a collapse in resources supply, leading to excess demand.



That video shows the uncomfortable truth -
that all Fiat currencies were abused by Govts.
and either became worthless or will become worthless.

Weimar and Zimbabwe were the worst examples.
How long have the $US  and $A got?



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:26pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:03pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 12:00am:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 11:37pm:
A video on Fiat currency:

https://www.brighteon.com/e755ff4b-6b4b-4f0c-b82e-e17e23f001ca



It’s the same old problem:
they can't pay: old age pension, social security and public servants without printing money.


Could government pay for all those things if taxes were sufficiently high?

But in any case you - like everyone -  recoil against the idea (unless it's someone else's taxes...)


I wish I had an answer.

Repeating what I posted:

I remember back in the mid 1990s -
our accountant at work was discussing our Super
and how necessary it was.
He said that future liabilities for providing pensions
and other social security were unfunded so Super
was needed and we should even salary sacrifice into it.

What he didn't explain was that the only way out was to print money.
Yes - pensions and social security are actually paid for
by money printing.
Even paying for all the gigantic army of public servants is unfunded.
We are stuck in a money printing rut forever.
It will never be paid off -
that's a dream from politicians to gullible voters.


Meantime - savings are destroyed and prices keep on going up.
Houses and shares went up over 20% in the last year or two.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 2:07pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:03pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 12:00am:
Our economy is fake – it’s based on unfunded liabilities.


Not entirely fake, the economy produces many desirable things.

As to "unfunded", that gets us back to taxation, as noted above. 

But MMT teaches us government can create its own money  ("government money"), as opposed to "taxpayer money", the quantum of "government money" being constrained by the nation's resources and productivity, to avoid inflation. 


The fact is that without printing money -
the Govt. could not pay for:
pensions,
social security
and the giant army of public servants.

e.g.
When those old people were younger - making money in jobs
and paying taxes -
the Govts. just spent all that money and the payment
of pensions was put on the "never never".
Not one penny was set aside to pay for their pensions.
Then Keating came along and started
compulsory super to try and make up for it.
It didn't work - they can only be paid by printing money.
We followed a failed economic model for the last 60 years or more.
It's the elephant in the room -
it's such a bad problem that it won't be dealt with in this election by any party
and it is hidden in our main stream media news.


Meantime - our money is already subject to enormous inflation -
houses prices and shares went up 20% in the last few years or less.
Food, petrol and other prices are skyrocketing.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2022 at 2:12pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:26pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 1:03pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 12:00am:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 11:37pm:
A video on Fiat currency:

https://www.brighteon.com/e755ff4b-6b4b-4f0c-b82e-e17e23f001ca



It’s the same old problem:
they can't pay: old age pension, social security and public servants without printing money.


Could government pay for all those things if taxes were sufficiently high?

But in any case you - like everyone -  recoil against the idea (unless it's someone else's taxes...)


I wish I had an answer.


I gave detailed  answers  (inc. explanation of fiat, gold etc)   which you have chosen to ignore (....."you can lead a horse to water but you can't make him drink'...)


Quote:
Repeating what I posted:

I remember back in the mid 1990s -
our accountant at work was discussing our Super
and how necessary it was.


Your accountant is a micro economist who has no understanding of macro economics.


Quote:
He said that future liabilities for providing pensions and other social security were unfunded so Superwas needed and we should even salary sacrifice into it.


Like I said, no understanding; future government liabilities can always be funded if the nation's productivity and resources base remain intact, over time.


Quote:
What he didn't explain was that the only way out was to print money.


No, his explanation was that self-funding is the answer, for those  who can afford to salary sacrifice into Super.


Quote:
Yes - pensions and social security are actually paid for by money printing.
Even paying for all the gigantic army of public servants is unfunded.
We are stuck in a money printing rut forever.
It will never be paid off -
that's a dream from politicians to gullible voters.


What's wrong with "printing money"? I've already explained that there is no problem so  long as the nation's resources/productivity constraints are observed.


Quote:
Meantime - savings are destroyed and prices keep on going up.


All courtesy of neoliberism; MMT could  eliminate price rises, via rationing and price controls when required, and maintain interest rates at zero, while maintaining full employment.   

Just to let you know there are alternatives.... 


Quote:
Houses and shares went up over 20% in the last year or two.


Yes, asset appreciation courtesy of greed-based neoliberalism, with its fake financialized  capitalism. 


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 2:19pm
Clive Palmer is discussing this very issue on ABC 24 right now
at the National Press Club.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2022 at 3:24pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 2:07pm:
The fact is that without printing money -
the Govt. could not pay for:
pensions,
social security
and the giant army of public servants.


Well of course the government does  borrow money, by purchasing bonds, so the term "printing money" is misleading. Private banks also "print money" when/if they write you a loan for, say, $500K.


Quote:
e.g.When those old people were younger - making money in jobs and paying taxes -
the Govts. just spent all that money and the payment
of pensions was put on the "never never".
Not one penny was set aside to pay for their pensions.
Then Keating came along and started
compulsory super to try and make up for it.
It didn't work - they can only be paid by printing money.
We followed a failed economic model for the last 60 years or more.
It's the elephant in the room -
it's such a bad problem that it won't be dealt with in this election by any party
and it is hidden in our main stream media news.


Meantime - our money is already subject to enormous inflation -
houses prices and shares went up 20% in the last few years or less.
Food, petrol and other prices are skyrocketing.


All already addressed in my previous posts to you.

Btw, how does Clive propose to deal with the $trillion debt, and keep mortgage interest rates low? (I missed his speech). 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 3:59pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 3:24pm:
All already addressed in my previous posts to you.

Btw, how does Clive propose to deal with the $trillion debt, and keep mortgage interest rates low? (I missed his speech). 



He reckons house prices are set to crash badly.
Interest rates will have to skyrocket and people won't be able to pay the massive debts.
He wants home loan rates set by Govt to a maximum of 3% to help to stop the crash.



More money printing is tied into the budget for the next 10 years.
Frydenberg indirectly admitted it -  deficit budgets for 10 years to come

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 4:25pm
https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/clive-palmer-says-he-would-preference-greens-over-coalition-and-labor-party-as-he-hits-out-at-abc-campaign-coverage/news-story/94d1fa1228e31ed2d28da8cda1c746d7


Clive Palmer,

“What matters is not how much money you spend, it’s what your solutions are. I’ve put forward solutions that are novel and are new.”

Mr Palmer attacked the government for rising debt brought upon by programs such as JobKeeper which have successfully insulated the Australian economy from extended recession and growing unemployment.

Instead he suggested Australia enforce a 15 per cent licence on iron ore exports which he claimed could dissolve all national debt in 20 years.

He also proposed that the housing loan rate be frozen at three per cent for the next five years to prevent a catastrophic national mortgage default crisis.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Senexx on Apr 7th, 2022 at 6:36pm
GreatDivide, you have done a wonderful job in responding to people about Modern Money.

Finally I can write the post I first intended

As Rob Parenteau writes: Hyperinflation requires extreme conditions

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 7:18pm

Senexx wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 6:36pm:
GreatDivide, you have done a wonderful job in responding to people about Modern Money.

Finally I can write the post I first intended

As Rob Parenteau writes: Hyperinflation requires extreme conditions



What is wrong with MMT is that once the Govts. start printing money they can't stop.
There is always another urgent reason to print more.

First it was the GFC, then Covid and now it's the war in Ukraine and
the military expenditure to supposedly fight China - a superpower.
Of course there were always unfunded liabilities that the Govt. couldn't pay:
old age pensions, social security, armies of public servants, health, schools and roads expenditure
brought on by uncontrolled mass immigration
putting pressure on our services.

We invited millions of people here but they all
needed schools and hospitals etc. -
more unfunded liabilities.
It's like saying there's a party for 1,000 people at my place tomorrow
and having no money for the booze.
So - out comes the credit card.
The hangover is paying it off -
which they can't do.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 7th, 2022 at 9:16pm
Money as Debt I - Revised Edition 2009 (Full Movie)


200,685 views
Oct 28, 2015



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2nBPN-MKefA

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 8th, 2022 at 7:04pm
In Australia we print money day and night.

In Zimbabwe they kept printing money
until you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread -
so they starting printing 100 trillion dollar notes.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 8th, 2022 at 7:09pm
There is still money for the boys:

Six former prime ministers slugged taxpayers $360,000 in just three months, expenses watchdog reveals.

https://www.reddit.com/r/australia/comments/tyyil0/six_former_prime_ministers_slugged_taxpayers/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share



_blue_heat_
Op ·
45 min. ago

Not content with just getting their snout’s in the trough,
they have to get all four trotters in as well.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 7:04pm:
In Australia we print money day and night.


Which is not a problem, because the Australian government is the legal issuer of the Australian dollar, unlike households and firms (and state governments) who are users of the currency.


Quote:
In Zimbabwe they kept printing money
until you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread - so they starting printing 100 trillion dollar notes.
.

Hyperinflation? Have you read the article posted by Senexx?

I haven't read it yet because I know what causes hyper inflation, the famous examples being Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe and Venezuela.

If you had read it, you would not still be citing Zimbabwe, in reference to the "money printing" practiced by the Australian government, where hyperinflation has never been a problem, and indeed the central bank has been trying to lift inflation for a decade (to 2-3%). 







Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:56pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 7:18pm:

Senexx wrote on Apr 7th, 2022 at 6:36pm:
GreatDivide, you have done a wonderful job in responding to people about Modern Money.

Finally I can write the post I first intended

As Rob Parenteau writes: Hyperinflation requires extreme conditions


What is wrong with MMT is that once the Govts. start printing money they can't stop.
There is always another urgent reason to print more.


The main problem today is the government is forced to tax, or borrow from private financiers, therefore running up debt to pay for much needed social programs.


Quote:
First it was the GFC, then Covid


...and in each case, if the government had not intervened,  conditions would have deteriorated so sharply, so as to make the Great Depression look like a picnic in the park.  In fact the GD was prolonged because governments mistakenly cut back on public spending.


Quote:
and now it's the war in Ukraine and
the military expenditure to supposedly fight China - a superpower.


Expensive arms races (and actual wars)  are a reflection of human irrationality, manifested in the UNSC veto (yes that veto, all in the news currently, for obvious reasons). 



Quote:
Of course there were always unfunded liabilities that the Govt. couldn't pay:
old age pensions, social security, armies of public servants, health, schools and roads expenditure
brought on by uncontrolled mass immigration
putting pressure on our services.


Yes, but listen carefully: currency-issuing governments could be authorized to fund themselves, the constraint for a currency-issuing government being available resources and the nation's productivity, NOT money.


Quote:
We invited millions of people here but they all
needed schools and hospitals etc. -
more unfunded liabilities.
It's like saying there's a party for 1,000 people at my place tomorrow
and having no money for the booze.
So - out comes the credit card.
The hangover is paying it off -
which they can't do.


The question is: does Australia have sufficient RESOURCES to supply all those things?

If the answer is yes, then the nation can have all those things.  Finding the money is not a problem for a currency-issuer, obviously.

You are making the mistake of thinking that the currency-issuing government must necessarily be in the same position as you....the big difference is you have to earn or borrow it; the currency-issuer doesn't.

So that get's us back to real constraint for the government - which is inflation, which for the government is a resource constraint, not a money constraint.

As a matter of fact, the government could write off its debt if it wanted to; the government can not run out of money, it can only run out of resources. 

   



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 8th, 2022 at 10:59pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 7:04pm:
In Australia we print money day and night.


Which is not a problem, because the Australian government is the legal issuer of the Australian dollar, unlike households and firms (and state governments) who are users of the currency.


Quote:
In Zimbabwe they kept printing money
until you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread - so they starting printing 100 trillion dollar notes.
.

Hyperinflation? Have you read the article posted by Senexx?

I haven't read it yet because I know what causes hyper inflation, the famous examples being Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe and Venezuela.

If you had read it, you would not still be citing Zimbabwe, in reference to the "money printing" practiced by the Australian government, where hyperinflation has never been a problem, and indeed the central bank has been trying to lift inflation for a decade (to 2-3%). 


Inflation is way above 3%.

House prices went up 20% in the last year and so did shares.
Inflation is a monster that will eat up our savings -
that includes anyone who will rely upon their Super.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2022 at 11:50pm
Stephanie Kelton refutes mainstream economists who say the current covid-induced inflation  has debunked MMT:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/verdict-is-in-on-modern-monetary-theory-strategist-says-194714165.html

Even so, a growing number of economists support MMT and view the recent historical record as proof of its success.

In answering the question ‘has MMT failed?’, “The answer is an unequivocal no,” according to Stephanie Kelton, professor of economics and public policy at Stony Brook University and one of the leading experts on modern monetary theory.

“MMT offers a descriptive framework—a lens—through which to evaluate fiscal and monetary policy,” she wrote on her website back in January. The specific policies taken by certain administrations were made under a framework which does not regard deficits with the same importance as was commonplace even a few years ago.

“The point is, you can’t blame “MMT” for stoking inflation any more than you can blame an optometrist if her patient runs off the road while driving without wearing their prescription lenses,” she wrote. “MMT doesn’t tell us that the world is an open road, free of hazards or the need for caution. It doesn’t reject fiscal responsibility, it redefines it so that our eyes stay focused on the real limits on spending.”


And the real limits are resources, not money, debt or deficits.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 8th, 2022 at 11:56pm
In Australia we print money day and night.

In Zimbabwe they kept printing money
until you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread -
so they starting printing 100 trillion dollar notes.





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 12:43am
Group known as "Patriotic Millionaires" calls for higher taxes on the wealthy, to avoid a social calamity as inequality soars in the US. 

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/uknews/tax-the-rich-these-one-percenters-want-people-like-them-to-pay-higher-taxes/ar-AAVZwls?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=e347145f6e59498a84553b68b4339e6f


"While her money opens the doors of power, Disney finds her message also discombobulates ordinary Americans. She is regularly assailed on Twitter for daring to suggest rich people should pay more taxes. The problem is that people have been convinced that “every single person in this country is a billionaire waiting to happen”, in an orchestrated campaign she believes was engineered to protect the wealth of the 1%.

"“Four years ago if you’d said ‘billionaires tax’ then they would have said you can’t bash billionaires, you’re encouraging class warfare. I haven’t heard a whiff of that,” said Disney. “Let’s not kid ourselves, the other side has tested that and found it isn’t working. That class war rhetoric isn’t working any more. And that’s good news. Because if we don’t ruffle some feathers now, we are going to have a class war. A real one.”


Note the underlined, above. That's why MMT will eventually enable  currency-issuing governments to fund themselves without relying on the rich, since currency-issuing governments are constrained by resources, not money. 


"money doesn't grow on rich people" ....Kelton's joke referring to the MMT critics who insist money doesn't grow on (Magic Money Tree) trees (merely proving these  critics don't know anything about how money is created).   

Not to mention  Bezos grew rich on the backs of his workers (only recently unionized). 


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 12:48am

Bobby. wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 11:56pm:
In Australia we print money day and night.

In Zimbabwe they kept printing money
until you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread -
so they starting printing 100 trillion dollar notes.





Have you turned into a bot? I have already addressed hyper-inflation.

I suggest you try genuine debate, or be exposed as a fraud.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 1:04am

Bobby. wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 10:59pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 7:04pm:
In Australia we print money day and night.


Which is not a problem, because the Australian government is the legal issuer of the Australian dollar, unlike households and firms (and state governments) who are users of the currency.


Quote:
In Zimbabwe they kept printing money
until you needed a wheelbarrow of money to buy a loaf of bread - so they starting printing 100 trillion dollar notes.
.

Hyperinflation? Have you read the article posted by Senexx?

I haven't read it yet because I know what causes hyper inflation, the famous examples being Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe and Venezuela.

If you had read it, you would not still be citing Zimbabwe, in reference to the "money printing" practiced by the Australian government, where hyperinflation has never been a problem, and indeed the central bank has been trying to lift inflation for a decade (to 2-3%). 


Inflation is way above 3%.


Due to covid-related supply blockages; and poor allocation of covid support - some of which went to millionaires and people who did not need the government support.

See post#93.


Quote:
House prices went up 20% in the last year and so did shares.


House price inflation  resulted from  low interest rates.


Quote:
Inflation is a monster that will eat up our savings -
that includes anyone who will rely upon their Super.


Inflation can be managed if its causes are properly addressed.....not by jacking up interest rates which will cause a recession, as Clive Palmer has noted.

(And Clive's  idea to pay down governement debt by taxing iron ore sales may have merit, though its likely to meet the same resistance  as the ALP's resource rent tax proposal a decade ago).   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 1:27am

Quote:
Due to covid-related supply blockages; and poor allocation of covid support - some of which went to millionaires and people who did not need the government support.


The Govt. printed over $300 billion for their Covid policy.



Quote:
House price inflation  resulted from  low interest rates.


The printed money ended up causing inflation.



Quote:
Inflation can be managed if its causes are properly addressed.....not by jacking up interest rates which will cause a recession, as Clive Palmer has noted.


The cause of inflation is to do with the Govt. printing money
and the banks creating money out of thin air from debt.
Did you watch this video?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2nBPN-MKefA

You will understand that inflation is an indirect way
of making a tax that people with savings pay
by having those savings devalued due to inflation.

You will also see that the whole system is based on
permanent growth of economies in an exponential way
when in fact we live in a finite world of resources.
It's based on a lie.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 9th, 2022 at 8:19am
Booby is on another troll adventure.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 8:40am

Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 8:19am:
Bobby is on another troll adventure.



Yeah right - shoot the messenger.    ::)

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by MeisterEckhart on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:22am

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm:
I haven't read it yet because I know what causes hyper inflation, the famous examples being Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe and Venezuela.

And Hungary 1946.

With its one quintillion pengo note (1 milliard b.-pengo - one million billion pengo).

The largest banknote ever printed.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:30am

MeisterEckhart wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:22am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm:
I haven't read it yet because I know what causes hyper inflation, the famous examples being Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe and Venezuela.

And Hungary 1946.

With its one quintillion pengo note (1 milliard b.-pengo - one million billion pengo).

The largest banknote ever printed.



Nice example -
see here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_peng%C5%91


the currency survived for only 20 years and
experienced the most serious case of hyperinflation ever recorded.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by MeisterEckhart on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:35am

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:30am:

MeisterEckhart wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:22am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 8th, 2022 at 9:26pm:
I haven't read it yet because I know what causes hyper inflation, the famous examples being Weimar Republic, Zimbabwe and Venezuela.

And Hungary 1946.

With its one quintillion pengo note (1 milliard b.-pengo - one million billion pengo).

The largest banknote ever printed.



Nice example -
see here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_peng%C5%91


the currency survived for only 20 years and
experienced the most serious case of hyperinflation ever recorded.

My brother bought a dozen of these notes some years ago when they were cheap. They sell for about $AUD600 now (if you can get people to part with them)!

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 2:32pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 1:27am:

Quote:
Due to covid-related supply blockages; and poor allocation of covid support - some of which went to millionaires and people who did not need the government support.


The Govt. printed over $300 billion for their Covid policy.


Correct; and then cut it in half when covid turned out to be less deadly than expected.

But you still are ignoring the fact that currency-issuing government faces a resource constraint, not a money constraint, and that inflation can be controlled in many ways other than by lifting interest rates. 


Quote:
The printed money ended up causing inflation.


No it didn't; non-government borrowers enticed by low interest rates pushed up housing prices; and pent-up demand fueled by government support in excess of locked down workers' needs (ability ot pay bills during the lock-down) ended up causing inflation. 


Quote:
The cause of inflation is to do with the Govt. printing money
and the banks creating money out of thin air from debt.


1. Government "printing money" only causes inflation if there are insufficient resources, in this case, national output on which the government can spend the money.

[This is the reason for all hyperinflation episodes; eg in Zimbabwe the government printed money in an attempt to enable consumers to pay for  more expensive food , - higher food prices  which resulted from expulsion of skilled white farmers in Zimbabwe].

2.  Banks creating money out of thin air from debt; this is how banks ALWAYS create money, when they write loans for (hopefully) credit-worthy customers, independently of the banks' money reserves.


Quote:
Did you watch this video?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2nBPN-MKefA


Watching it now....

1. The speaker has just confirmed my point 2, above. ie banks don't lend money from reserves, but create money out of thin air.

2. Now talking about gold....no doubt heading to the gold standard, which became obsolete  in the 20th century,  when other nations began to fear the  US did not have enough gold to pay its overseas debts (as a result of the costs of the Vietnam war); Nixon took the US off the gold standard in 1971).

3. "How much money exists? In the past it had to be related to gold" .. his thesis is rapidly becoming boring, because the gold standard is now of necessity obsolete, since nations don't have enough gold to enable smooth functioning of international trade and exchange.

4. "The only real limit to (debt) money creation is the creation of debt".

Garbage. The limit to the creation of money is available resources, not debt. 

The currency-issuing government (unlike private- sector players) doesn't NEED to take on debt.

5. "Banks can create as much money as we can borrow" .....correct;  and same as for government spending, if the economy is producing sufficient output on which the money can be spent, there is no inflation problem. 

6. "The artificial world of money..."...a key MMT insight; the hammer is real, the IOU to purchase the hammer is not a "real" resource.

7. "how can it be that the people who produce all the real wealth in the world (workers) be in debt to private banks(t)ers?": ....good question.

8. "if there is no debt there would be no money, because money is debt"...unless the government is authorized to create debt-free money, which is the MMT insight.

9. "Why are interest rates so low"?......  obviously to avoid bankrupting the indebted private (and public) sectors....

10.  "charging of interest is both immoral and impractical" ...correct; I'm looking forward to his conclusions...

11.  "monetary reform - a change of the system - will not come easily, owing to self-interested banksters  etc " ...no kidding, every MMTer knows that's true..

12.  Note all those assassinated presidents who dared to say  the government can create debt free money., then we have that very odd quote from Rockefeller...

My conclusion: the presenter confirms the need for a system change, as taught by MMT, but fails to offer an alternative to debt based money, not based on gold.

Did you see an alternative?


Quote:
You will understand that inflation is an indirect wayof making a tax that people with savings pay
by having those savings devalued due to inflation.


Inflation results from excess demand on resources, which is the problem to be solved, while ensuring everyone has access to food, housing and employment. 

And as for your savings,  most people don't get a chance to accumulate savings, your self-interest is as transparent as the banksters the video rails against.   


Quote:
You will also see that the whole system is based on permanent growth of economies in an exponential way when in fact we live in a finite world of resources.
It's based on a lie.


Indeed! And MMT offers the solution, since MMT can avoid inflation.

Your solution to the current unsustainable public and private  indebtedness,  enforced by the current crop of banksters?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 2:45pm
Too many things to unpack for now.


Quote:
Indeed! And MMT offers the solution, since MMT can avoid inflation.

Your solution to the current unsustainable public and private  indebtedness,  enforced by the current crop of banksters?



Stop printing money.
Govts should not be allowed to have deficit budgets by law!
The Libbos new budget calls for deficits for the next 10 years!
Even that's a dream - it will be for the next 100 years
if our economy lasts that long.

We must live within our means.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 9th, 2022 at 4:38pm
Deficit budgets are the norm and so they should—it increases the size of the economy.

A Budget regularly in surplus is continually taking money out of the economy.

The Great Depression and WWII debt were paid off with no Budget surplus being achieved.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 9:01pm

Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 4:38pm:
Deficit budgets are the norm and so they should—it increases the size of the economy.

A Budget regularly in surplus is continually taking money out of the economy.

The Great Depression and WWII debt were paid off with no Budget surplus being achieved.



What would you know Monk?
Tell that to people in Zimbabwe:


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:22pm
What caused hyperinflation in Zimbabwe, the Weimar Republic etc?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:27pm

Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:22pm:
What caused hyperinflation in Zimbabwe, the Weimar Republic etc?



Can't you read?

Money printing.        ::) ::) ::)

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:32pm
No, not money printing. As I said, budgets aim to be in deficit not surplus.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:35pm
Alan Kohler's take on options for government, given that economic flat-earthers (rejecting MMT)  are still  in control of the treasury and reserve bank: 

https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2022/04/07/tax-more-happiness-alan-kohler/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20News%20-%2020220407

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:46pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:35pm:
Alan Kohler's take on options for government, given that economic flat-earthers (rejecting MMT)  are still  in control of the treasury and reserve bank: 

https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2022/04/07/tax-more-happiness-alan-kohler/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20News%20-%2020220407



So the answer is more tax?

How about living within our means?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:34pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 2:45pm:
Too many things to unpack for now.


Yeh......


Quote:
Stop printing money.


But as your video proved, if banks stop issuing 'debt money' ,  money eventually runs out because interest on the debt has to be repaid (in our current evil system, as explained in YOUR video). 


Quote:
Govts should not be allowed to have deficit budgets by law!


In MMT, currency-issuing governments do not NEED to deficit spend; the constraint for such governments is resources, not money.


Quote:
The Libbos new budget calls for deficits for the next 10 years!


Owing to the present evil debt-money system, which forces  both government and private sector players  to pay interest on debt money (did YOU watch your video....?); but the currency-issuing government should NOT be forced to do this, so long as resources are available to (for example) train and provide  teachers, age and disability care workers, and builders to build the required stock of public housing.

See Alan Kohler's article (post #111) on the funding task  facing governments both Left and Right, in the coming years.


Quote:
Even that's a dream - it will be for the next 100 years if our economy lasts that long.


Given advancing productivity associated with developing AI and IT, our economies will last if available resources are well-managed.
Your debt and deficit hang up is obsolete flat-earth economics. 


Quote:
We must live within our means.
.

Read Kohler's article (post #111); he's got bad news for you, unless you are prepared to pay much higher taxes in the coming decades. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:45pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 10:46pm:
So the answer is more tax?


Yes, as explained by Alan Kohler (without a MMT-literate government , as noted by Kohler)


Quote:
How about living within our means?


Er, elderly people are already lying in their own faeces in understaffed nursing homes ( as per the royal commission into aged care) ....be careful how you define "living within  our means" - you might be in a nursing home one day.....



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:45pm
Hi TGD,

Quote:
our economies will last if available resources are well-managed.


You seem to be hung up on resources.
The richest continent on earth is Africa.
You name it and they have it:
gold, diamonds, oil, coal, minerals including rare earth minerals.
including sugar, salt, iron, cobalt, uranium, copper,
bauxite, silver, petroleum, and cocoa beans, but also tropical timber and tropical fruit......
Super rich soil and abundant rainfall for producing
enormous quantities of food.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_resources_of_Africa

Those resources have led Africans to be the
poorest group of nations on earth.
It's full of 3rd world starving people.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:49pm

Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 4:38pm:
Deficit budgets are the norm and so they should—it increases the size of the economy.

A Budget regularly in surplus is continually taking money out of the economy.

The Great Depression and WWII debt were paid off with no Budget surplus being achieved.


Correct; have you studied MMT?

In fact (simply put),  the government's deficit is the private sector's surplus.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:05am

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:45pm:
You seem to be hung up on resources.


That's because proper resource mobilization  is the key to our prosperity, not artificial money which is made out of nothing, as YOUR video patiently explained, and which has gone right over your head. 



Quote:
The richest continent on earth is Africa.
You name it and they have it:
gold, diamonds, oil, coal, minerals including rare earth minerals.


Correct, all controlled and exploited  by colonial capital which  charges interest on everything that moves - as patiently explained in YOUR video, so that the profits of resource development go to global capital, not to African workers.


Quote:
including sugar, salt, iron, cobalt, uranium, copper,
bauxite, silver, petroleum, and cocoa beans, but also tropical timber and tropical fruit......
Super rich soil and abundant rainfall for producing
enormous quantities of food.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_resources_of_Africa


Yes, all exploited by evil private financiers who worked out how to create never ending debt money requiring ever increasing interest payments; that's why most African countries are (or end up) in the clutches of the IMF (Instant Misery Fund) run by the evil financiers exposed in YOUR video. 


Quote:
Those resources have led Africans to be the
poorest group of nations on earth.
It's full of 3rd world starving people.


And now you know why; and indeed, why Oz itself -which has all the resources needed to house, clothe and feed (and employ) all 26 million citizens (the pop. of a large chinese city) - is scarred by public homelessness, in all its major cities.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:10am

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:05am:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:45pm:
You seem to be hung up on resources.


That's because proper resource mobilization  is the key to our prosperity, not artificial money which is made out of nothing, as YOUR video patiently explained, and which has gone right over your head. 



Quote:
The richest continent on earth is Africa.
You name it and they have it:
gold, diamonds, oil, coal, minerals including rare earth minerals.


Correct, all controlled and exploited  by colonial capital which  charges interest on everything that moves - as patiently explained in YOUR video, so that the profits of resource development go to global capital, not to African workers.

[quote]including sugar, salt, iron, cobalt, uranium, copper,
bauxite, silver, petroleum, and cocoa beans, but also tropical timber and tropical fruit......
Super rich soil and abundant rainfall for producing
enormous quantities of food.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_resources_of_Africa


Yes, all exploited by evil private financiers who worked out how to create never ending debt money requiring ever increasing interest payments; that's why most African countries are (or end up) in the clutches of the IMF (Instant Misery Fund) run by the evil financiers exposed in YOUR video. 


Quote:
Those resources have led Africans to be the
poorest group of nations on earth.
It's full of 3rd world starving people.


And now you know why; and indeed, why Oz itself -which has all the resources needed to house, clothe and feed (and employ) all 26 million citizens (the pop. of a large chinese city) - is scarred by public homelessness, in all its major cities.   
[/quote]


Maybe the bankers need to be put on trial?

Note: when Mugabe kicked all the Whites out of
Rhodesia and called it Zimbabwe it went down the toilet?
So getting rid of all those White bankers didn't work.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2022 at 1:01am

Bobby. wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:10am:
Maybe the bankers need to be put on trial?


No, the debt-money system itself needs to be changed, as patiently explained in your video.


Quote:
Note: when Mugabe kicked all the Whites out of
Rhodesia and called it Zimbabwe it went down the toilet?


Mugabe kicked all the white farmers (not bankers)  off their farms (which occupied land stolen  by white colonialists  in the 19th century)....and Zimbabwe "went down the toilet" because the black tenants who were allocated the confiscated farms had no idea how to farm....


Quote:
So getting rid of all those White bankers didn't work.


Nothing to do with the white bankers who were not 'got rid of', - though they like all bankers  are part of an evil debt-money system ravaging the whole world, as explained at length  in your video. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Jovial Monk on Apr 10th, 2022 at 6:56am

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 11:49pm:

Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2022 at 4:38pm:
Deficit budgets are the norm and so they should—it increases the size of the economy.

A Budget regularly in surplus is continually taking money out of the economy.

The Great Depression and WWII debt were paid off with no Budget surplus being achieved.


Correct; have you studied MMT?

In fact (simply put),  the government's deficit is the private sector's surplus.


Only a little bit. I did do a year of introductory economics as part of a business course I started but did not finish.

As I said, the Great Depression/WWII debt was paid off without a single surplus Budget.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:39pm

Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 6:56am:
As I said, the Great Depression/WWII debt was paid off without a single surplus Budget.


Yes, it's interesting that Menzies, the 'Liberal' (conservative)  hero,  ran government  deficits in his last 9 years in office.

https://www.anu.edu.au/news/all-news/menzies-a-failure-by-todays-rules-ran-a-budget-to-build-the-nation

"Between 1958-59 and 1966-67 (when he retired), Menzies averaged budget deficits of 1.8% of GDP. His biggest deficit of 3.3% of GDP in his final year in office was larger than the last Swan deficit, which the Abbott government has called a “disaster” and a “budget crisis.

So, what was Menzies up to? He clearly wasn’t obsessed with the budget deficits or worried about numbers of public servants that so concern Hockey. The economy grew quite steadily, often growing at more than 6% in real terms. Unemployment was mostly around 2% or less, and only 1.6% when he retired. Over his time in power, you couldn’t even argue that Menzies was trying to balance the budget over the business cycle.

Menzies was interested in nation-building. He not only wanted rapid population growth, but he wanted infrastructure growth and growth in the health and education services that make a society both cohesive and productive".


Those were the days of the post WW2 era when Keynesian spending was the norm, before the disastrous NAIRU neoliberal era was established, owing to erroneous handling of the global oil price spikes in the 70's. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 10th, 2022 at 1:43pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 1:01am:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 12:10am:
Maybe the bankers need to be put on trial?


No, the debt-money system itself needs to be changed, as patiently explained in your video.


Quote:
Note: when Mugabe kicked all the Whites out of
Rhodesia and called it Zimbabwe it went down the toilet?


Mugabe kicked all the white farmers (not bankers)  off their farms (which occupied land stolen  by white colonialists  in the 19th century)....and Zimbabwe "went down the toilet" because the black tenants who were allocated the confiscated farms had no idea how to farm....

[quote]So getting rid of all those White bankers didn't work.


Nothing to do with the white bankers who were not 'got rid of', - though they like all bankers  are part of an evil debt-money system ravaging the whole world, as explained at length  in your video. 
[/quote]


My point is that resources doesn't necessarily lead to prosperity.
Do you think we should have been a far more prosperous society
given our huge resources with only 26 million people to spend it on?
Wouldn't you expect us to have surplus budgets
and to not be printing money to devalue our currency
and rob the savings of our people through inflation?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2022 at 2:43pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 1:43pm:
My point is that resources doesn't necessarily lead to prosperity.


And your point is wrong: it's ONLY proper management of resources which can lead to prosperity.


Quote:
Do you think we should have been a far more prosperous society given our huge resources with only 26 million people to spend it on?


I certainly think Australia has all the resources it needs to decently  house, clothe feed and employ everyone of working age.



Quote:
Wouldn't you expect us to have surplus budgets
and to not be printing money to devalue our currency
and rob the savings of our people through inflation?


You need to understand that surplus government budgets (unlike your own household budget)  are  not necessarily associated with growth in living standards; Howard only achieved a surplus because of favourable terms of trade (mostly high iron-ore prices to China).
Compare that with Menzies who  ran deficit budgets - and housed and employed everyone, unlike Howard (see post #121)

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by wombatwoody on Apr 10th, 2022 at 3:37pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 3:03pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 6th, 2022 at 2:56pm:
You are militantly, vigorously stupid.


You have given up debating, again. Pity.   


Quote:
Poor countries are poor because their governments are just not printing enough banknotes.


No, poor countries are poor because they lack the resources to house, clothe, and feed everyone...or because the First World is stealing their resources for peanuts.


It's called 'privatisation', the selling off of state assets to stave off bankruptcy caused by the bank-created debt. Third World countries are handing over control of their land and resources to the international bankers because they cannot pay back the vast loans made, on purpose, by the banks to ensnare them in this very situation. The world does not have to be in poverty and conflict, it is manipulated to be that way because it serves the bankster's agenda.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by freediver on Apr 10th, 2022 at 8:36pm
Off-Topic replies have been moved to this Topic.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:43pm

wombatwoody wrote on Apr 10th, 2022 at 3:37pm:
It's called 'privatisation', the selling off of state assets to stave off bankruptcy caused by the bank-created debt. Third World countries are handing over control of their land and resources to the international bankers because they cannot pay back the vast loans made, on purpose, by the banks to ensnare them in this very situation. The world does not have to be in poverty and conflict, it is manipulated to be that way because it serves the bankster's agenda.


Indeed. Bobby's video , entitled 'Money as Debt'  highlighted that very fact.

https://youtu.be/2nBPN-MKefA


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:59pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:43pm:
Indeed. Bobby's video , entitled 'Money as Debt'  highlighted that very fact.

https://youtu.be/2nBPN-MKefA



Everyone needs to watch that video even though it is
46 minutes long.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 11th, 2022 at 1:53pm



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2022 at 2:20pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:59pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 11th, 2022 at 12:43pm:
Indeed. Bobby's video , entitled 'Money as Debt'  highlighted that very fact.

https://youtu.be/2nBPN-MKefA



Everyone needs to watch that video even though it is
46 minutes long.


Indeed, although  I notice your reply in the 'privatization' thread - which freediver highjacked from this MMT thread because he doesn't want to face up to the disastrous effects, global as well as national,   of our current debt-money system -  is no doubt your belief the problem lays in the fact money is created 'ex nihilo', rather than the fact money is created as debt.

Hence your misplaced, uncomprehending desire for balanced government budgets, rather than the correct solution which is enabling currency issuing governement to issue debt free money, limited only by the resource constraint (to avoid inflation).

Interesting discussion; I can see why you and I took very different readings out of your video on "money as debt".

You still think money has 'value', regardless of whether it is government-issued debt-free money, or private bankster-issued debt money.

I'm trying to teach you only resources have value. while noting money is always and can only ever be created out of nothing, unless you use shells - or gold  (which is impossible because there is insufficient gold for all nations to participate in trade).

Maybe a consideration of the idea that a perfectly  planned economy could be made to function well, without money at all, might change your view?

(eg in theory:  an economy in which government had perfect knowledge of all the nation's  citizens' capabilities, and their actual contributions to economic development, with these different contributions rewarded by defined goods and services allocations....no money required for the economy to function). 

Edit: I now see  your post #128 which you previously posted in freediver's high-jacked "privatization' thread.

Thanks...and notice the implication of  'fake' money, 'fake' because it is created out of nothing, an idea refuted above (and in MMT).   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2022 at 10:04am
SadKangaroo wrote-Yesterday at 11:51am

[re privatization, in reply to freediver who asked on Apr 10th, 2022 at 8:28pm:

"How do you know (private owners are only interested in .....ripping out as much money in as short a time as possible")]

SadKangaroo wrote:

Quote:
Privatization transfers the model of the entity away from service to profit.

When you do this on an infrastructure level, especially when there are protections for the company when things go wrong and governments willing to bail them out because they simply can't fail, it's even worse.

But we're getting way ahead of ourselves.

The notion that the Government shouldn't run/own anything is incredibly short-sighted and is ideologically based.  Even likening it to communism only strengthens that argument.

I know there are far more important examples of infrastructure, but take Broadband as an example.

The private ISPs put money into the most profitable areas and that was it.  Regional let alone Rural Australia was left out.  Even Telstra's billions they wanted to spend pre-NBN, it was only in profitable areas and they wanted exemptions to their minimum service obligations under legislation in return.

The private sector was never going to operate services at a loss, even if they can recoup those costs from the inner city customers, it's just not good business.  If a Government has to legislate the servicing of those unprofitable areas, what's the point of privatising?

Power, Water, Health etc, it's all the same.

There is no doubt there can be bloat when the government-run these entities, but we can learn from overseas how to manage these sorts of issues, like say Singapore.

But instead, we get told from one side of politics that the private sector can do it better but time and time again, in terms of service, that's proven to be wrong.

We know what they mean by "do it better" is actually making money.  Those services, and the people that use them (again, Power, Water, Health etc) become the commodity under these models.

Not only does the business model change from Service to Profit, but that profit comes by commoditising us and when things go wrong, because they're vital services and infrastructure, we have to pay a second time when our taxes are used to fix the problem/bail them out.

Gold Coast water was an example.  The local council had to buy back the company because costs were skyrocketing and service levels, repairs, started falling.  Water!

It should have never been privatized in the first place, but now we're left with a massive tax bill due to broken contacts that will be paid off for many many years to come.

I'm not flat out anti-privatization, there are some use cases for it, but the notion that the private sector do it better and more efficiently and Government shouldn't run/own these entities, as a blanket statement I do not support.


Excellent critique of privatization.

The sad fact of course is that ever since governments were forced to abandon post war Keynesian deficit spending in the 1950's, 60's and 70's, governments have sought ways to balance their budgets, including selling-off public utilities to raise money without increasing taxes.

But that process adopted since the 80's, intended to overcome the so called 'stagflation of the mid 70's (see below)   - aka neoliberalism (ie, the 'supply-side economics' favored by Thatcher and Reagan, designed to fight inflation first, rather than maintain Keynesian full employment)  has left us with governments  increasingly unable to meet the needs of the community, so that today after a series of disasters such as the GFC, the covid pandemic and now a war, governments all around the world are heavily indebted and increasingly unable to address soaring inequality.

Now for the first time in decades we again have inflation above 3% (above most central banks' "comfort level").

But the fact is this current post-pandemic bout of inflation is caused by supply side problems, just as was the case with the oil price shocks in the 70's leading to 'stagflation' - high inflation and high unemployment (the result of the Arab oil embargo related to the Palestine/Israel conflict).

How to solve  the current global national (public and private) indebtedness disaster, with soaring inequality and increasing poverty?

(To be addressed in an upcoming post).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2022 at 2:08pm
See post #127,  for the full video of the history of money as debt.

To summarize:

The ancient religions frowned on charging interest on money loans ("usury").

In the middle ages, lenders found they could charge interest as a 'risk' premium, thus creating money as debt.

Money lent was backed by gold (usually); but the paper money itself was of course created 'ex nihilo'.

To this day, the privilege of creating money ('ex nihilo') is reserved for private financiers entitled to charge interest on loans.

An anachronism, in the current post gold-standard era in which currency-issuing governments (with their own central bank and treasury) could be authorized to  issue  their own fiat currencies, without taxing, or borrowing from  private sector financiers/banksters.

The limit to government money-creation being the available resources on which government can spend the government-created 'debt-free' money, to avoid inflation.

(Needless to say, inflation is the key topic which  mainstream economists employ to attack MMT, but they are misguided in their attacks. There are many ways to deal with inflation).

Here we have a solution to the current public  'austerity' situation , forced onto "broke" governments who are unable to raise sufficient taxes because of political (not economic) considerations, or to borrow money which must be repaid with interest, despite the fact  currency-issuing governments don't need to borrow at all, nor maintain balanced budgets , as users of the currency (you and I, and private firms etc) must do.

Read Stephanie Kelton's: The Deficit Myth.

or read for free:

http://moslereconomics.com/mandatory-readings/innocent-frauds/

MMT is starting to enter the university faculties, so it behoves us to be aware of the future impact that this new economics will have on the political process.






Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 14th, 2022 at 8:27pm
[quote author=AusbetterWorld link=1645944963/131#131 date=1649736519]


(to expand on the inflation concern noted in #post 131):

The limit to government money-creation being the available resources on which government can spend the government-created 'debt-free' money, to avoid inflation, noting that the real causes of any inflationary episode are based on a resource constraint, whether supply or demand based, or both).

Needless to say, inflation is the key topic which  mainstream economists employ to attack MMT, but they are misguided in their attacks. There are many ways to deal with inflation, once its true source has been identified, something which mainstream economists and central bankers never do, since their 'toolkit' is limited to raising interest rates which runs the risk of causing a recession).









Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2022 at 9:47am
The idea that government deficits are bad is wrong.

https://www.keenforthesenate.com/a-resilient-economy/

"This may seem an outrageous claim to make—surely economists (if not Pauline Hansen) know how money works? However, no less an authority than The Bank of England has said that economic textbooks are wrong about how banks work:

The reality of how money is created today differs from the description found in some economics textbooks:

Rather than banks receiving deposits when households save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits.

Mainstream economic textbooks are as wrong about how governments operate as they are about how banks operate.

When a bank makes a loan for, say, $1 million, it puts $1 million in the borrower’s deposit account, and it records that the borrower now owes the bank $1 million. The deposit account is a Liability of the bank; the loan is the bank’s Asset. Similarly, if the government makes a payment–say paying $1 million for goods purchased from a firm–then the government puts $1 million in the deposit account and $1 million in the Reserves of the banking system.

Where does the bank get the money that it lends, and where does the government get the money that it spends? Neither the bank nor the government “get” the money: instead both banks and the government create money.

Money is primarily bank deposit accounts these days (plus a small amount of cash). Deposit accounts are a Liability of the banking sector. To create money, you have to increase the Liabilities of the banking sector. This is only possible if the Assets of the banking sector rise by the same amount, at the same time.

A bank loan of $1 million does this by increasing the Loans of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million.
Government spending of $1 million does this by increasing the Reserves of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million.

The same thing happens in reverse when a loan is repaid, or the government taxes the private sector: money is destroyed".




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:01pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 9:47am:
The idea that government deficits are bad is wrong.

https://www.keenforthesenate.com/a-resilient-economy/

"This may seem an outrageous claim to make—surely economists (if not Pauline Hansen) know how money works? However, no less an authority than The Bank of England has said that economic textbooks are wrong about how banks work:

The reality of how money is created today differs from the description found in some economics textbooks:

Rather than banks receiving deposits when households save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits.

Mainstream economic textbooks are as wrong about how governments operate as they are about how banks operate.

When a bank makes a loan for, say, $1 million, it puts $1 million in the borrower’s deposit account, and it records that the borrower now owes the bank $1 million. The deposit account is a Liability of the bank; the loan is the bank’s Asset. Similarly, if the government makes a payment–say paying $1 million for goods purchased from a firm–then the government puts $1 million in the deposit account and $1 million in the Reserves of the banking system.

Where does the bank get the money that it lends, and where does the government get the money that it spends? Neither the bank nor the government “get” the money: instead both banks and the government create money.

Money is primarily bank deposit accounts these days (plus a small amount of cash). Deposit accounts are a Liability of the banking sector. To create money, you have to increase the Liabilities of the banking sector. This is only possible if the Assets of the banking sector rise by the same amount, at the same time.

A bank loan of $1 million does this by increasing the Loans of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million.
Government spending of $1 million does this by increasing the Reserves of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million.

The same thing happens in reverse when a loan is repaid, or the government taxes the private sector: money is destroyed".



Nonsense. Not even you believe that money is meaningless.

The point of $1 million bank deposit is that you can withdraw it in cash or you can transfer it to someone else's account in exchange for, say, a house that is now yours.  You get REAL stuff when you tap your card at the shops, not just shifting deposits hither and yon.
Money stands in for all that REAL stuff, not for nothing and thin air.i

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:23pm

Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:01pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 9:47am:
The idea that government deficits are bad is wrong.

https://www.keenforthesenate.com/a-resilient-economy/

"This may seem an outrageous claim to make—surely economists (if not Pauline Hansen) know how money works? However, no less an authority than The Bank of England has said that economic textbooks are wrong about how banks work:

The reality of how money is created today differs from the description found in some economics textbooks:

Rather than banks receiving deposits when households save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits.

Mainstream economic textbooks are as wrong about how governments operate as they are about how banks operate.

When a bank makes a loan for, say, $1 million, it puts $1 million in the borrower’s deposit account, and it records that the borrower now owes the bank $1 million. The deposit account is a Liability of the bank; the loan is the bank’s Asset. Similarly, if the government makes a payment–say paying $1 million for goods purchased from a firm–then the government puts $1 million in the deposit account and $1 million in the Reserves of the banking system.

Where does the bank get the money that it lends, and where does the government get the money that it spends? Neither the bank nor the government “get” the money: instead both banks and the government create money.

Money is primarily bank deposit accounts these days (plus a small amount of cash). Deposit accounts are a Liability of the banking sector. To create money, you have to increase the Liabilities of the banking sector. This is only possible if the Assets of the banking sector rise by the same amount, at the same time.

A bank loan of $1 million does this by increasing the Loans of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million.
Government spending of $1 million does this by increasing the Reserves of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million.

The same thing happens in reverse when a loan is repaid, or the government taxes the private sector: money is destroyed".



Nonsense. Not even you believe that money is meaningless.


Not that money is meaningless, just that it is created by the legal currency-creators (whether by government, or private sector banks).

as noted by prof Steve Keen:

"To create money, you have to increase the Liabilities of the banking sector. This is only possible if the Assets of the banking sector rise by the same amount, at the same time".


Quote:
The point of $1 million bank deposit is that you can withdraw it in cash or you can transfer it to someone else's account in exchange for, say, a house that is now yours.


And the point is the bank can write you the loan which  enables you to withdraw the money irrespective of the bank's money reserves.


Quote:
You get REAL stuff when you tap your card at the shops, not just shifting deposits hither and yon.
Money stands in for all that REAL stuff, not for nothing and thin air.


Correct..... Amazing, you are correct sometimes.

But here's the bit you are missing: money "stands in for Real  stuff, but is itself created out of nothing.

(just likes the points  used to keep score in a sporting match).

i

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:24pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:23pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 12:01pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 9:47am:
The idea that government deficits are bad is wrong.

https://www.keenforthesenate.com/a-resilient-economy/

"This may seem an outrageous claim to make—surely economists (if not Pauline Hansen) know how money works? However, no less an authority than The Bank of England has said that economic textbooks are wrong about how banks work:

The reality of how money is created today differs from the description found in some economics textbooks:

Rather than banks receiving deposits when households save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits.

Mainstream economic textbooks are as wrong about how governments operate as they are about how banks operate.

When a bank makes a loan for, say, $1 million, it puts $1 million in the borrower’s deposit account, and it records that the borrower now owes the bank $1 million. The deposit account is a Liability of the bank; the loan is the bank’s Asset. Similarly, if the government makes a payment–say paying $1 million for goods purchased from a firm–then the government puts $1 million in the deposit account and $1 million in the Reserves of the banking system.

Where does the bank get the money that it lends, and where does the government get the money that it spends? Neither the bank nor the government “get” the money: instead both banks and the government create money.

Money is primarily bank deposit accounts these days (plus a small amount of cash). Deposit accounts are a Liability of the banking sector. To create money, you have to increase the Liabilities of the banking sector. This is only possible if the Assets of the banking sector rise by the same amount, at the same time.

A bank loan of $1 million does this by increasing the Loans of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million.
Government spending of $1 million does this by increasing the Reserves of the banking sector at the same time as it credits the depositor’s bank account with $1 million.

The same thing happens in reverse when a loan is repaid, or the government taxes the private sector: money is destroyed".



Nonsense. Not even you believe that money is meaningless.


Not that money is meaningless, just that it is created by the legal currency-creators (whether by government, or private sector banks).

as noted by prof Steve Keen:

"To create money, you have to increase the Liabilities of the banking sector. This is only possible if the Assets of the banking sector rise by the same amount, at the same time".


Quote:
The point of $1 million bank deposit is that you can withdraw it in cash or you can transfer it to someone else's account in exchange for, say, a house that is now yours.


And the point is the bank can write you the loan which  enables you to withdraw the money irrespective of the bank's money reserves.

[quote]You get REAL stuff when you tap your card at the shops, not just shifting deposits hither and yon.
Money stands in for all that REAL stuff, not for nothing and thin air.


Correct..... Amazing, you are correct sometimes.

But here's the bit you are missing: money "stands in for Real  stuff, but is itself created out of nothing.

(just likes the points  used to keep score in a sporting match).


[/quote]

Yours is a naive,  banal argument: the sign is only the signifier, not the signified. D'oh!

Magritte did it better than you or MMT.







Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:39pm

Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:24pm:
Yours is a naive,  banal argument: the sign is only the signifier, not the signified. D'oh!

Magritte did it better than you or MMT.



That is a picture of a pipe.

Hint:  show us a picture of 'money' without any particular national sign or denomination.....

Then you will discover the difference between the 'sign' (picture) of a real object, and the 'sign' of a non-real entity , eg, a point, and indeed money, used to represent/measure the value of real objects ie, scores of real goals achieved, or real output produced, respectively.      






Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:48pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:39pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:24pm:
Yours is a naive,  banal argument: the sign is only the signifier, not the signified. D'oh!

Magritte did it better than you or MMT.



That is a picture of a pipe.

Hint:  show us a picture of 'money' without any particular national sign or denomination.....

Then you will discover the difference between the 'sign' (picture) of a real object, and the 'sign' of a non-real entity , eg, a point, and indeed money, used to represent/measure the value of real objects ie, scores of real goals achieved, or real output produced, respectively.      


You are naive,  banal - and now stupid: "Show me sign of anything without showing a sign of it", you ask.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2022 at 2:12pm

Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:48pm:
[quote author=AusbetterWorld link=1645944963/137#137 date=1651203579][quote author=Frank link=1645944963/136#136 date=1651202652]
You are naive,  banal - and now stupid: "Show me sign of anything without showing a sign of it", you ask.


No that's not what I said.

Which proves you can't show us a picture either of "money" used to represent value of something real,  or a "point" used to keep the score of game......

Why is that?

It's because money, like points, represents real value, but is not value itself which resides in the goods and services, and goals achieved, respectively. 



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 3:03pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 2:12pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:48pm:
[quote author=AusbetterWorld link=1645944963/137#137 date=1651203579][quote author=Frank link=1645944963/136#136 date=1651202652]
You are naive,  banal - and now stupid: "Show me sign of anything without showing a sign of it", you ask.


No that's not what I said.

Which proves you can't show us a picture either of "money" used to represent value of something real,  or a "point" used to keep the score of game......

Why is that?

It's because money, like points, represents real value, but is not value itself which resides in the goods and services, and goals achieved, respectively. 


Nothing is value itself except in context - see Midas.

You are trying to explain away the established contexts of political economy, finance, commerce and exchange.








Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 29th, 2022 at 3:09pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:39pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 1:24pm:
Yours is a naive,  banal argument: the sign is only the signifier, not the signified. D'oh!

Magritte did it better than you or MMT.



That is a picture of a pipe.

Hint:  show us a picture of 'money' without any particular national sign or denomination.....

Stupid.

Show us a picture of "value" without any particular sign.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 30th, 2022 at 12:54pm

Frank wrote on Apr 29th, 2022 at 3:03pm:
Nothing is value itself except in context - see Midas.


Finally, we see why your understanding of money is flawed.

Water (and food)  is value in itself, regardless of context (or Midas). 


Quote:
You are trying to explain away the established contexts of political economy, finance, commerce and exchange.


Yes,  because those "established contexts" - which amount to flat-earth economics - are based on erroneous concepts of value measured in money terms.

As shown above, resources have value in themselves, whereas money is only a representation of the intrinsic value of real resources, which is immeasurable and constant - unlike the value of money which is subject to change and which in any case is always created out of nothing. 


Quote:
Show us a picture of "value" without any particular sign.


I can't, and that's my point. Intrinsic value (ie, value in itself) can't be represented by a sign, as a real resource can be represented by a picture.

Hence money - which only represents intrinsic value, but is not that value itself, cannot be pictured.

To repeat, water can be pictured, whereas its intrinsic value (whether represented/measured  by money or not) can't be pictured.   










Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 30th, 2022 at 2:25pm
Money does not represent intrinsic value, it represent exchange value.
Value, whether intrinsic or exchange or any other kind, is always contextual, it cannot be any other way, ever, since value is  about ranking, about comparison and you cannot have a ranking of one. You cannot have 'best' without good and better as well as bad worse and worst.

Money operates in a complex network of values and rankings and conventions and traditions, not unlike language and other  symbols and signs.  In each context we operate within constraints IN ORDER TO convey meaning.  Printing money without the corresponding things that money symbolises simply decouples the symbol from its signifier and thereby demeans and devalues it - inflation, economic chaos, loss of trust, loss of meaning. It's like lying and other forms that betray trust and promise.

Your mind is too nobbled by paradoxical and absurd slogans that you simply cannot look at critically. A very CCP-trained (ie straight-jacketed) mind.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:13pm

Frank wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 2:25pm:
Money does not represent intrinsic value, it represent exchange value.


Ok, money represents  the exchange value of real resources which have intrinsic value. That's why bronze-age (barter) communities functioned without money.


Quote:
Value, whether intrinsic or exchange or any other kind, is always contextual, it cannot be any other way, ever, since value is  about ranking, about comparison and you cannot have a ranking of one.


An error; pre-state money was based on one shell, one token or whatever, being the basic unit of exchange. (hence later on, one cent, one penny etc.).


Quote:
You cannot have 'best' without good and better as well as bad worse and worst.


The intrinsic value of an orange remains real, though its exchange value may vary. This is what I think you mean by "context".


Quote:
Money operates in a complex network of values and rankings and conventions and traditions, not unlike language and other  symbols and signs.


Money is a very specific representation which is confined to representation of exchange value.  Other signs and symbols have myriad uses, eg in language, maths, music and science. 


Quote:
In each context we operate within constraints IN ORDER TO convey meaning.


Yes, but your original  premise re money was wrong, ie exchange value and intrinsic value are not fixed and do not necessarily match.   


Quote:
Printing money without the corresponding things that money symbolises simply decouples the symbol from its signifier and thereby demeans and devalues it - inflation, economic chaos, loss of trust, loss of meaning. It's like lying and other forms that betray trust and promise.


Again -  wrong conclusion draw from wrong premise, as noted above.


Quote:
Your mind is too nobbled by paradoxical and absurd slogans that you simply cannot look at critically. A very CCP-trained (ie straight-jacketed) mind.


I thank you for drawing our attention to the difference between the indeterminate intrinsic value of a resource (ie without reference to money, a resource might be 'priceless'/essential, even if an 'exchange value is created for it);  compared with an accepted exchange value' in terms of money, usually determined in a market (subject to market failure).   



[/quote]

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:54pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:13pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 2:25pm:
Money does not represent intrinsic value, it represent exchange value.


Ok, money represents  the exchange value of real resources which have intrinsic value. That's why bronze-age (barter) communities functioned without money.


Quote:
Value, whether intrinsic or exchange or any other kind, is always contextual, it cannot be any other way, ever, since value is  about ranking, about comparison and you cannot have a ranking of one.


An error; pre-state money was based on one shell, one token or whatever, being the basic unit of exchange. (hence later on, one cent, one penny etc.).

[quote]You cannot have 'best' without good and better as well as bad worse and worst.


The intrinsic value of an orange remains real, though its exchange value may vary. This is what I think you mean by "context".


Quote:
Money operates in a complex network of values and rankings and conventions and traditions, not unlike language and other  symbols and signs.


Money is a very specific representation which is confined to representation of exchange value.  Other signs and symbols have myriad uses, eg in language, maths, music and science. 


Quote:
In each context we operate within constraints IN ORDER TO convey meaning.


Yes, but your original  premise re money was wrong, ie exchange value and intrinsic value are not fixed and do not necessarily match.   


Quote:
Printing money without the corresponding things that money symbolises simply decouples the symbol from its signifier and thereby demeans and devalues it - inflation, economic chaos, loss of trust, loss of meaning. It's like lying and other forms that betray trust and promise.


Again -  wrong conclusion draw from wrong premise, as noted above.


Quote:
Your mind is too nobbled by paradoxical and absurd slogans that you simply cannot look at critically. A very CCP-trained (ie straight-jacketed) mind.


I thank you for drawing our attention to the difference between the indeterminate intrinsic value of a resource (ie without reference to money, a resource might be 'priceless'/essential, even if an 'exchange value is created for it);  compared with an accepted exchange value' in terms of money, usually determined in a market (subject to market failure).   


[/quote]

You are an idiot.   An incoherent, and ignorant,  yet strident and vigorous idiot. But being strident and vigorous is not enough.
There are millions of you. Especially in China.

If you had a mind you'd be able to mount an argument - or at least comprehend one - against your own stance. But being a mindless, stupid propaganda bot, that is completely beyond your mindset and intellectual ability.

You are good at repeating propaganda crap, but complete crap at thinking, reasoning or even rudimentary understanding ( they don't let you read widely or critically).

You are a fundamentalist, like a Muslim or a Jehovah's Witness.





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 30th, 2022 at 11:10pm

Frank wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:54pm:
You are an idiot.   An incoherent, and ignorant,  yet strident and vigorous idiot. But being strident and vigorous is not enough.
There are millions of you. Especially in China.


Well, that's not debate, I thank you for having persevered as long as you did.

At least you now know the difference between intrinsic value and exchange value.


Quote:
If you had a mind you'd be able to mount an argument - or at least comprehend one - against your own stance. But being a mindless, stupid propaganda bot, that is completely beyond your mindset and intellectual ability.


In a debate one relies on the opponent to mount an argument and defend it.


Quote:
You are good at repeating propaganda crap, but complete crap at thinking, reasoning or even rudimentary understanding ( they don't let you read widely or critically).


Doesn't change the fact  money is created out of thin air, and exchange (money) value of resources is independent of intrinsic value of resources. 


Quote:
You are a fundamentalist, like a Muslim or a Jehovah's Witness.


Where is my error in the highlighted sentence, above?








Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2022 at 10:39pm
Is MMT communist?

Well certainly the  current system of investment managed wholly by private global capital flowing to areas  providing the greatest returns (profit), is creating the most absurd and unsustainable distribution of wealth, with 8 of the wealthiest individuals in the world accumulating more wealth than the poorest 3.5 billion people, and the world's governments - saddled with debt - are forced into 'austerity'....or so the 'flat-earth' mainstream economists keep informing us (ie "the debt will be a burden on our grand-children").

Solution:  the legal currency-issuer (government with its own treasury and reserve bank) needs to spend money into existence when it wants to invest in social 'goods', to 'muscle in' on the private sector banks who lend money into existence, to enable private sector, 'for-profit' investment.

You all know that money is created out of nothing (if you have followed this thread); and the limit to the money supply (to avoid inflation)  is the nation's available resources, not money - whether it is spent into existence by the government or lent into existence by private banks.       

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on May 3rd, 2022 at 10:49pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 11:10pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:54pm:
You are an idiot.   An incoherent, and ignorant,  yet strident and vigorous idiot. But being strident and vigorous is not enough.
There are millions of you. Especially in China.


Well, that's not debate, I thank you for having persevered as long as you did.

At least you now know the difference between intrinsic value and exchange value.


Quote:
If you had a mind you'd be able to mount an argument - or at least comprehend one - against your own stance. But being a mindless, stupid propaganda bot, that is completely beyond your mindset and intellectual ability.


In a debate one relies on the opponent to mount an argument and defend it.

[quote]You are good at repeating propaganda crap, but complete crap at thinking, reasoning or even rudimentary understanding ( they don't let you read widely or critically).


Doesn't change the fact  money is created out of thin air, and exchange (money) value of resources is independent of intrinsic value of resources. 


Quote:
You are a fundamentalist, like a Muslim or a Jehovah's Witness.


Where is my error in the highlighted sentence, above?

[/quote]
You are an idiot.

'Language is created out of thin air'.
'Sign language is created out of thin air'.
'Numbers are created out of thin air. Show me 'one''
'Harmony and melody are created out of thin air".
"Magnificent buildings, sculptures, paintings, machines, cities etc are created out of thin air".



You are fkkn maniac and a complete idiot.  Please dont respond, just fkk off into thin air.  Thank you.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on May 3rd, 2022 at 11:30pm

thegreatdivide wrote on May 3rd, 2022 at 10:39pm:
Is MMT communist?

Well certainly the  current system of investment managed wholly by private global capital flowing to areas  providing the greatest returns (profit), is creating the most absurd and unsustainable distribution of wealth, with 8 of the wealthiest individuals in the world accumulating more wealth than the poorest 3.5 billion people, and the world's governments - saddled with debt - are forced into 'austerity'....or so the 'flat-earth' mainstream economists keep informing us (ie "the debt will be a burden on our grand-children").

Solution:  the legal currency-issuer (government with its own treasury and reserve bank) needs to spend money into existence when it wants to invest in social 'goods', to 'muscle in' on the private sector banks who lend money into existence, to enable private sector, 'for-profit' investment.

You all know that money is created out of nothing (if you have followed this thread); and the limit to the money supply (to avoid inflation)  is the nation's available resources, not money - whether it is spent into existence by the government or lent into existence by private banks.       



You're right:

https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/just-8-men-own-same-wealth-half-world



Just 8 men own same wealth as half the world


Published: 16th January 2017
Learn more
Fight inequality, beat poverty

Eight men own the same wealth as the 3.6 billion people who make up the poorest half of humanity, according to a new report published by Oxfam today to mark the annual meeting of political and business leaders in Davos.

Oxfam’s report, ‘An economy for the 99 percent’, shows that the gap between rich and poor is far greater than had been feared. It details how big business and the super-rich are fuelling the inequality crisis by dodging taxes, driving down wages and using their power to influence politics. It calls for a fundamental change in the way we manage our economies so that they work for all people, and not just a fortunate few.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2022 at 12:06pm

Frank wrote on May 3rd, 2022 at 10:49pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 11:10pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 30th, 2022 at 10:54pm:
You are an idiot.   An incoherent, and ignorant,  yet strident and vigorous idiot. But being strident and vigorous is not enough.
There are millions of you. Especially in China.


Well, that's not debate, I thank you for having persevered as long as you did.

At least you now know the difference between intrinsic value and exchange value.


Quote:
If you had a mind you'd be able to mount an argument - or at least comprehend one - against your own stance. But being a mindless, stupid propaganda bot, that is completely beyond your mindset and intellectual ability.


In a debate one relies on the opponent to mount an argument and defend it.

[quote]You are good at repeating propaganda crap, but complete crap at thinking, reasoning or even rudimentary understanding ( they don't let you read widely or critically).


Doesn't change the fact  money is created out of thin air, and exchange (money) value of resources is independent of intrinsic value of resources. 

[quote]You are a fundamentalist, like a Muslim or a Jehovah's Witness.


Where is my error in the highlighted sentence, above?

[/quote]
You are an idiot.

'Language is created out of thin air'.
'Sign language is created out of thin air'.
'Numbers are created out of thin air. Show me 'one''
'Harmony and melody are created out of thin air".[/quote]

Congratulations, you are correct, all those things are created out of thin air, though you omitted a significant one: 'money is created out of thin air' .....



Quote:
"Magnificent buildings, sculptures, paintings, machines, cities etc are created out of thin air".


Bummer----you failed at the very last hurdle. You are hereby ordered back into the corner with your dunce's cap, to repeat 100 times: 

All those things are created out of REAL RESOURCES.

Note: a symphony requires real instruments to be heard,  but is itself not a real resource (rather,  is transient sound) , in contrast to a building which requires real resources to be built, and remains a real  resource as long as it exists.   


Quote:
You are fkkn maniac and a complete idiot.  Please dont respond, just fkk off into thin air.  Thank you.


I never give up on educating those who are in most need. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2022 at 12:30pm
Another result of the broken global dysfunctional economic system controlled by private global capital:

https://youtu.be/C2CW38wi5OM

"The Federal government should not intervene".

Liberalism gone mad....in this most egregious example of the "1st world rust belt".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 7th, 2022 at 12:20pm
Democracy is threatened by political polarization…fueled by growing inequality, (and increasing homelessness)  and globalization without corrective oversight.

Journalists deluded by mainstream economists keep asking dumb questions of both sides of politics like; “how are you going to balance the budget?”, resulting in a jaded public – who know even less about macroeconomics – concluding ‘a pox on both your houses’.

Richard Denniss (of TAI) says tax the rich; Bill Mitchell (MMT) says the public sector should be authorized to spend money into existence, both are on the Left though Richard is orthodox, Bill heterodox.

On the Right (both Coalition and Labor, tweedle dee-tweedle dum), we have the ‘small government’ ideologues, chanting ‘ lower taxes and getting out of the way of markets will produce the best results’.

This last ideology is obviously absurd because it has been the dominant ideology since the 70’s (aka neoliberalism), and has given us the egregious inequality we see today, including more people locked out of the private housing market, while the public sector has withdrawn from public housing. Menzies was able to house everyone and grow the economy, by running continuous budget deficits in the years 1958-67.

Meanwhile dummies like Andrew Probyn (and the rest at the ABC) keep ‘probing’ polies on both sides of politics with his ‘penetrating’ question: "how will you balance the budget?"….as if a government’s budget has any similarities to a household budget.

The ABC, far from being 'Left-Wing' as claimed by the rabid Right, has been captured by the groupthink of mainstream economics. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 7th, 2022 at 11:17pm
More on the impending collapse of the global 'money as debt' system:

https://ellenbrown.com/2022/05/05/a-monetary-reset-where-the-rich-dont-own-everything/

"Governments have delegated the power to create money to private banks, which create most of the circulating money supply as debt at interest. They create the principal but not the interest, so more money must be repaid than was created in the original loan. Debt thus grows faster than the money supply, as seen in the chart from WorkableEconomics.com below. Debt grows until it cannot be repaid, when the board is cleared by some form of market crash such as the 2008 financial crisis, typically widening the wealth gap on the way down".

(..........)

"Transition to the new world economic order will likely be accompanied by systematic refusal to honor obligations in dollars, euro, pound, and yen. In this respect, it will be no different from the example set by the countries issuing these currencies who thought it appropriate to steal foreign exchange reserves of Iraq, Iran, Venezuela, Afghanistan, and Russia to the tune of trillions of dollars. Since the US, Britain, EU, and Japan refused to honor their obligations and confiscated wealth of other nations which was held in their currencies, why should other countries be obliged to pay them back and to service their loans?"

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 9th, 2022 at 11:59pm
US commentator Steve Grumbine interviews Oz economist Steve Keen, re the latter's bid for the Oz Senate (as a candidate for TNL, formerly 'The New Liberals).

https://youtu.be/dbh0ruADu9s

Along the way, fascinating insights into US right-wing ("anti-woke") fascism, from Grumbine, and discussion of racism in both countries. 

....and the effects of the reptilian brain(!)  eg govts. willing to spend on war, but not public housing....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by aquascoot on May 10th, 2022 at 5:24am
lol

public housing for the homeless. ::) ::) ::)

the classic example of why leftie ideas fail.

california has one of the highest rates of homelessness in the states.

it has doubled every 3 years for the last 12 years.

and the number of public servants on 6 figure incomes working on honelssness has also doubled every 3 years for the last 12 years.

why would someone on 180,000 a year solve a problem which will then render him unemployed.

public servants in leftie governments have a vested interest in "farming" the unemployed.

i am overjoyed by a good crop of new calves because it makes me properous.

leftie public servants are overjoyed by more homeless, refugees, welfare dependant, mentally ill because it makes them more prosperous.

i produce useful things that enrich the economy.

they farm things which demolish the economy.

here endeth the lesson

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on May 10th, 2022 at 10:29am

aquascoot wrote on May 10th, 2022 at 5:24am:
lol

public housing for the homeless. ::) ::) ::)

the classic example of why leftie ideas fail.

california has one of the highest rates of homelessness in the states.

it has doubled every 3 years for the last 12 years.

and the number of public servants on 6 figure incomes working on honelssness has also doubled every 3 years for the last 12 years.

why would someone on 180,000 a year solve a problem which will then render him unemployed.

public servants in leftie governments have a vested interest in "farming" the unemployed.

i am overjoyed by a good crop of new calves because it makes me properous.

leftie public servants are overjoyed by more homeless, refugees, welfare dependant, mentally ill because it makes them more prosperous.

i produce useful things that enrich the economy.

they farm things which demolish the economy.

here endeth the lesson

A good parable.

The MMT idea is for the government to print more free calves....  ;D

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 10th, 2022 at 12:34pm

aquascoot wrote on May 10th, 2022 at 5:24am:
lol

public housing for the homeless. ::) ::) ::)

the classic example of why leftie ideas fail.

california has one of the highest rates of homelessness in the states.

it has doubled every 3 years for the last 12 years.

and the number of public servants on 6 figure incomes working on honelssness has also doubled every 3 years for the last 12 years.

why would someone on 180,000 a year solve a problem which will then render him unemployed.

public servants in leftie governments have a vested interest in "farming" the unemployed.

i am overjoyed by a good crop of new calves because it makes me properous.

leftie public servants are overjoyed by more homeless, refugees, welfare dependant, mentally ill because it makes them more prosperous.

i produce useful things that enrich the economy.

they farm things which demolish the economy.

here endeth the lesson


Ah, the old Conservative  argument that progressives need poverty to exist, to justify the existence of the progressive parties.

Well, indeed progressive parties are partly to blame,  owing to their falling for the neoliberalism  which has hijacked mainstream macroeconomics since the 80's, with its evil NAIRU dogma. 

Hence the "progressive" solution which you denigrate, ie, welfare - which is always a disaster for the economic and psychological well-being of the recipients.

The real progressive solution: above-poverty employment for all,  with subsidized housing for low wage workers.

Meanwhile Steve Keen - mentioned in post #154 - has a plan  for achieving a 'soft landing' in the dangerously overpriced OZ housing market.

And his party - TNL - has a Job Guarantee policy. 

MMT increases the government's policy choices, because  the electorate, not un-elected pointy heads in the so-called "independent reserve bank" , can choose between fiscal policies consistent with the nation's available resources (to avoid inflation), instead of ineffective monetary operations; lifting interest rates cannot solve supply chain blockages caused by covid. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 10th, 2022 at 12:49pm

Frank wrote on May 10th, 2022 at 10:29am:
A good parable.


aquascoot rubbishes welfare, but offers no alternative, hence not "a good parable". 

Like all conservative frauds, he wants to simultaneously  cut taxation, government spending AND welfare...without realizing they are like the fool sitting on the wrong side of the branch while cutting it off...


Quote:
The MMT idea is for the government to print more free calves....  ;D


No the idea is (to repeat):

MMT increases the government's policy choices, because  the electorate, not un-elected pointy heads in the so-called "independent reserve bank" , can choose between fiscal policies consistent with the nation's available resources (to avoid inflation), instead of ineffective monetary operations; eg, lifting interest rates is an absurd means to control inflation caused by  covid supply chain blockages. 

You of course are still unable to distinguish between things which can be created out of thin air (like money), and things which can't (like calves, which have to be born by a cow). 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 12th, 2022 at 12:08pm
MMT going mainstream: former Statewide Super CEO teams up with Torrens Uni 'Modern Money Lab's new economics courses.

https://youtu.be/uWWDs7d4KDU

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 12th, 2022 at 12:18pm
And Australian MMT economist Steve Keen running for the senate, for TNL. (The New Liberals).

http://www.profstevekeen.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/keen_for_senate-1.pdf

"Career politicians, who aren’t equipped to read
the academic literature, don’t know that
they’re being conned by economists.
At TNL, we know that the economists are
wrong. Unlike economists, climate scientists
are terrified by the prospect of a 2°C warmer
world."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on May 12th, 2022 at 12:36pm

thegreatdivide wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 12:18pm:
And Australian MMT economist Steve Keen running for the senate, for TNL. (The New Liberals).

http://www.profstevekeen.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/keen_for_senate-1.pdf

"Career politicians, who aren’t equipped to read the academic literature, don’t know that they’re being conned by economists. At TNL, we know that the economists are wrong. Unlike economists, climate scientists are terrified by the prospect of a 2°C warmer world."


:D


Economist Steve Keen loses housing bet

AN ECONOMIST known as the "Merchant of Gloom" will have to walk from Canberra to the top of Australia's highest mountain after losing a bet about the resiliency of Australian house prices.

Last November, University of Western Sydney associate professor of economics and finance Steve Keen made a high-profile bet with Macquarie Group interest rate strategist Rory Robertson.

The bet was that house prices would tank by 40 per cent.

The loser of the bet would have to make the more than 200km trek from Canberra to the top of Mount Kosciuszko wearing a T-shirt that says "I was hopelessly wrong on house prices! Ask me how."

House prices are now at an all-time new high, Mr Robertson said in a statement.

"For fun, if Australian house prices ever fall by 40 per cent from any peak in my lifetime, I will follow in Dr Keen's footsteps," Mr Robertson said.

"Similarly, if Dr Keen proves the existence of the Loch Ness Monster, I will take the walk."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 12th, 2022 at 1:10pm

Frank wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 12:36pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 12:18pm:
And Australian MMT economist Steve Keen running for the senate, for TNL. (The New Liberals).

http://www.profstevekeen.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/keen_for_senate-1.pdf

"Career politicians, who aren’t equipped to read the academic literature, don’t know that they’re being conned by economists. At TNL, we know that the economists are wrong. Unlike economists, climate scientists are terrified by the prospect of a 2°C warmer world."


:D


Economist Steve Keen loses housing bet

AN ECONOMIST known as the "Merchant of Gloom" will have to walk from Canberra to the top of Australia's highest mountain after losing a bet about the resiliency of Australian house prices.

Last November, University of Western Sydney associate professor of economics and finance Steve Keen made a high-profile bet with Macquarie Group interest rate strategist Rory Robertson.

The bet was that house prices would tank by 40 per cent.

The loser of the bet would have to make the more than 200km trek from Canberra to the top of Mount Kosciuszko wearing a T-shirt that says "I was hopelessly wrong on house prices! Ask me how."

House prices are now at an all-time new high, Mr Robertson said in a statement.

"For fun, if Australian house prices ever fall by 40 per cent from any peak in my lifetime, I will follow in Dr Keen's footsteps," Mr Robertson said.

"Similarly, if Dr Keen proves the existence of the Loch Ness Monster, I will take the walk."


Well, in markets, timing is everything.  Keen didn't take into account the extent to which China would prop up the OZ economy, with China's demand for iron ore during and after the GFC caused by the subprime US real estate crash. 

And the fact remains, the OZ housing bubble is the most overblown in the world. If it pops, it's goodnight Australia.

Prof. Keen outlines a plan to maintain house buyers'   equity in their overpriced houses, while enabling house prices to fall to more sustainable levels, to avoid a crash when heavily indebted buyers can't cope with interest rate rises.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on May 13th, 2022 at 9:23pm

thegreatdivide wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 1:10pm:

Frank wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 12:36pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on May 12th, 2022 at 12:18pm:
And Australian MMT economist Steve Keen running for the senate, for TNL. (The New Liberals).

http://www.profstevekeen.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/keen_for_senate-1.pdf

"Career politicians, who aren’t equipped to read the academic literature, don’t know that they’re being conned by economists. At TNL, we know that the economists are wrong. Unlike economists, climate scientists are terrified by the prospect of a 2°C warmer world."


:D


Economist Steve Keen loses housing bet

AN ECONOMIST known as the "Merchant of Gloom" will have to walk from Canberra to the top of Australia's highest mountain after losing a bet about the resiliency of Australian house prices.

Last November, University of Western Sydney associate professor of economics and finance Steve Keen made a high-profile bet with Macquarie Group interest rate strategist Rory Robertson.

The bet was that house prices would tank by 40 per cent.

The loser of the bet would have to make the more than 200km trek from Canberra to the top of Mount Kosciuszko wearing a T-shirt that says "I was hopelessly wrong on house prices! Ask me how."

House prices are now at an all-time new high, Mr Robertson said in a statement.

"For fun, if Australian house prices ever fall by 40 per cent from any peak in my lifetime, I will follow in Dr Keen's footsteps," Mr Robertson said.

"Similarly, if Dr Keen proves the existence of the Loch Ness Monster, I will take the walk."


Well, in markets, timing is everything.  Keen didn't take into account the extent to which China would prop up the OZ economy, with China's demand for iron ore during and after the GFC caused by the subprime US real estate crash. 

And the fact remains, the OZ housing bubble is the most overblown in the world. If it pops, it's goodnight Australia.

Prof. Keen outlines a plan to maintain house buyers'   equity in their overpriced houses, while enabling house prices to fall to more sustainable levels, to avoid a crash when heavily indebted buyers can't cope with interest rate rises.   



Loser, then.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 13th, 2022 at 10:05pm

Frank wrote on May 13th, 2022 at 9:23pm:
Loser, then.


He lost a bet, yes. 

Doesn't change the fact the mainstream economists  are serving the interests of power ie  private-debt owners, who demand interest when they lend money into existence. 

It's time for the public sector to be authorized to spend money into  existence, to accommodate a desirable balance between public and private spending.

(The limit to spending for a currency-issuer - to avoid inflation - is resources, not money). 

Pity Sri Lanka, another nation about to fall into the clutches of the IMF - Instant Misery Fund.





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 14th, 2022 at 12:34pm
Speaking of debt, an article from Michael Hudson, professor of economics:

https://www.jacobinmag.com/2021/12/michael-hudson-interview-debt-forgiveness-cancellation-ancient-rome-christianity

"That was what the first sermon of Jesus was all about. When he went to the synagogue and unrolled the scroll of Isaiah the prophet and said, “I’ve come to proclaim the year of the Lord,” which was the debt cancellation — the Jubilee year — that was brought in from Babylonia into Judaism, as it was done all through the Near East. People who translated the Bible didn’t really know what these words meant. What does it mean, “year of the Lord?” What does it mean, “deror?,” which was debt cancellation".

IMF - Instant Misery Fund - take note. Your national privatization and public austerity policies, to reduce public debt,  are merely supporting global rule by greedy private capital/financiers. 

"Jubilee Year" also addressed by Ellen Brown:

https://ellenbrown.com/2022/05/05/a-monetary-reset-where-the-rich-dont-own-everything/

A Monetary Reset where The Rich Don't Own Everything.

"We have a serious debt problem, but solutions such as the World Economic Forum’s “Great Reset” are not the future we want. It’s time to think outside the box for some new solutions. In ancient Mesopotamia, it was called a Jubilee. When debts at interest grew too high to be repaid, the slate was wiped […]





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by 0ktema on May 14th, 2022 at 2:34pm
Your link doesn't work for me. "Jubilee Year" also addressed by Ellen Brown:

Here's another source ...

How to ‘reset’ the economy without the rich owning everything

https://radixuk.org/opinion/how-to-have-a-reset-without-the-rich-owning-everything/

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 14th, 2022 at 10:07pm

0ktema wrote on May 14th, 2022 at 2:34pm:
Your link doesn't work for me. "Jubilee Year" also addressed by Ellen Brown:

Here's another source ...

How to ‘reset’ the economy without the rich owning everything

https://radixuk.org/opinion/how-to-have-a-reset-without-the-rich-owning-everything/


Thank you. Here is the correct link to the original Ellen Brown article:

https://ellenbrown.com/2022/05/05/a-monetary-reset-where-the-rich-dont-own-everything/

A Monetary Reset Where the Rich Don’t Own Everything Posted on May 5, 2022 by Ellen Brown

"We have a serious debt problem, but solutions such as the World Economic Forum’s “Great Reset” are not the future we want. It’s time to think outside the box for some new solutions".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 15th, 2022 at 12:17am
For Bobby: an explanation of the phrase "spending money into existence".

If a government has command of a national treasury and reserve bank, it can buy whatever is available for sale (in the nation's currency), by simply creating the money out of thin air; hence the phrase "spending money into existence". 

Note: the spending limit - to avoid inflation -  is determined by the quantity of goods and services  available for purchase by the government.   

[The phrase "printing money" is misleading, because it implies the government is increasing the purchasing power of citizens, without regard to the capacity of the economy to absorb the extra spending, whereas "spending money into existence" requires already existing resources to be available, on which the money can be spent by the government, not by the citizens]. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 19th, 2022 at 1:27pm
The beginning of the new age of public-sector financing:

https://www.ecovoice.com.au/torrens-university-australia-introduces-global-online-courses-in-the-economics-of-sustainability-in-partnership-with-modern-money-lab/

"Torrens University Australia introduces global online courses in the economics of sustainability, in partnership with Modern Money Lab".

In September 2022, Torrens University Australia will commence offering the suite of online postgraduate courses in economics and sustainability, based on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and ecological economics, designed by Modern Money Lab in partnership with the University".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 28th, 2022 at 4:12pm
Ross Gittins, who understands MMT, tells how a 'fossilized' central banker identified 'shortcomings' in MMT:

(According to this "fossilized banker":

"When you trace through all the double-entry bookkeeping, you see that the created money the Reserve paid into the banks’ exchange-settlement accounts in return for the bonds the govt.  bought is still sitting there."

But of course a currency-issuing government which has its own reserve bank and treasury should NOT buy bonds in the first place; spending by such a government is limited by the nation's productivity, not its money supply.

Someone replied by saying markets determine money supply, which is merely an ideological assertion based on classical 'invisible hand' market ideology. 

The point is the public sector ought also be able to create money, via planned allocation of resources, alongside private sector 'invisible hand' allocation of resources. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 28th, 2022 at 10:24pm
https://www.greeneconomycoalition.org/news-and-resources/obituary-hazel-henderson-1933-2022

Henderson's early prolific writing predicted the overhauling of conventional economic theory to take account of pollution, resource depletion and social costs ignored by company balance sheets and GDP, as described in her ground-breaking The Politics of the Solar Age (1981). As a result, Henderson was ostracized by the economics community as she famously reiterated "economics is a form of brain damage".

Well said Hazel.  Actually mainstream classical-based neoliberal economics is merely a reflection of 'the law of the jungle',  and survival of the fittest predation.

Its time for the public sector to be authorized to create money by spending it into existence,   rather than being forced to tax and/or borrow from the private sector. 


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on May 28th, 2022 at 11:42pm

thegreatdivide wrote on May 28th, 2022 at 4:12pm:
Ross Gittins, who understands





;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D



He's laffin' at you, as do all of us.




Gittins has been wrong about everything. He is an older version of Peter van Olselen - always wrong.

Amusing.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 29th, 2022 at 3:11pm

Frank wrote on May 28th, 2022 at 11:42pm:
Ross Gittins, who understands (MMT)


Yes he does (though still susceptible to 'fossilized central bankers, as noted in the post a couple back).   

http://www.rossgittins.com/2021/03/funding-budget-by-printing-money-is.html

"Many people are alarmed by “modern monetary theory”, the seemingly radical idea that the government should cover its budget deficit simply by creating money. But in his new book, Reset, Professor Ross Garnaut, one of our most respected economists, has joined the young turks".


Quote:
He's laffin' at you, as do all of us.



Be careful about asserting who is "laughing at you": as Hazel Henderson - a brilliant early researcher of ecological  economics -  said: "(mainstream) economics is a form of brain damage". (see #171).

(IMO, neoliberalism is merely a reflection of the law of the jungle dressed up as a 'science').


Quote:
Gittins has been wrong about everything. He is an older version of Peter van Olselen - always wrong.
Amusing.


Ah...dissension among writers in your favourite rag  'The Australian'?:

(tweet)

"Replying to
@vanOnselenP
and
@australian
I like the look of that headline but I'm still not spending a penny.
Let's face it, Economics is not a science but the economic values of the Coalition are 40yrs old and decidedly dated. As long as Labor remember that deficit is not debt they'll do better than LNP.
1:20 PM · May 24, 2022





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 1st, 2022 at 11:57pm
So the problem facing Jim Chalmers (and Oz electricty consumers)  is the global sky-rocketing price of gas, caused by banning/withdrawal  of Russian gas, in the EU.

But NOT caused by any lack of Oz's own gas supply, in Oz.

[Apparently a gas reservation policy is not acceptable, because existing overseas gas export contracts must be fulfilled. (WA is different because that state has always had a 15% gas reservation policy, hence NW-shelf gas prices in WA are stable)].
 

Obvious solution: Aust. government subsidizes  Oz gas in Oz, by crediting the accounts of Santos** etc to make up the difference between a politically acceptable  local Oz price and the sky-rocketing overseas price.

**by changing the digits in the bank accounts of those companies. Electronic money received by the Oz companies could be used to improve the debt positions of those companies, not for a spending spree in Oz.   

Note: the money supply in Australia would not increase,  hence no chance of causing inflation;  and Oz gas supply - and price -  for local consumption would remain stable.

Comments? 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 12:30pm
More on government  debt and deficits


The new Australian treasurer’s comprehension of his brief is dire

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=49896&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email

"If ..... we are operating within the real resource space that is available to government (which means we are at full employment with the correct distribution of resource usage between public and private to achieve the aspirations of society) then the (deficit or surplus) number that is accounted for at the end of each financial year as the fiscal deficit or surplus is just a passing curiosity.

Those financial numbers should never be the target of policy makers.

The aspirations are the targets and the numbers will be whatever it takes to achieve the targets for societal well-being.

Fiscal conservatives don’t understand that, which is why the Labor Right are unqualified to be in charge of fiscal policy.

Cue to the first few press conferences that the new Treasurer has given in the last few days.

The new Treasurer (Jim Chalmers - labor Right faction) published an Op Ed today (June 2, 2022) in the Murdoch press – with the headline “There’s no use mincing words: our challenges are dire”.


Already finding excuses to wind back expectations in the next three years.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by FutureTheLeftWant on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 12:34pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 12:30pm:
More on government  debt and deficits


The new Australian treasurer’s comprehension of his brief is dire

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=49896&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email

"If ..... we are operating within the real resource space that is available to government (which means we are at full employment with the correct distribution of resource usage between public and private to achieve the aspirations of society) then the (deficit or surplus) number that is accounted for at the end of each financial year as the fiscal deficit or surplus is just a passing curiosity.

Those financial numbers should never be the target of policy makers.

The aspirations are the targets and the numbers will be whatever it takes to achieve the targets for societal well-being.

Fiscal conservatives don’t understand that, which is why the Labor Right are unqualified to be in charge of fiscal policy.

Cue to the first few press conferences that the new Treasurer has given in the last few days.

The new Treasurer (Jim Chalmers - labor Right faction) published an Op Ed today (June 2, 2022) in the Murdoch press – with the headline “There’s no use mincing words: our challenges are dire”.


Already finding excuses to wind back expectations in the next three years.


The Liberals burned this place to the ground,  They are telling us what they are finding


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 10:59pm

FutureTheLeftWant wrote on Jun 3rd, 2022 at 12:34pm:
The Liberals burned this place to the ground,  They are telling us what they are finding


Well yes, but Chalmers is also pushing the debt and deficit myth, whereas he could authorize the central bank to write-off the government's covid debt, ("money" which should never have been borrowed by selling bonds, in the first place).

Here is Akan Koher's latest take on the matter:

https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2022/05/30/tax-inquiry-jim-chalmers-alan-kohler/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20News%20-%2020220530


Alan Kohler: Jim Chalmers needs an inquiry into tax


"So we have travelled down the yellow brick road to..... ......Modern Monetary Theory, in which the government-owned Reserve Bank buys government debt, and the debt and deficits don’t matter, or rather only matter to the extent that they cause inflation … in theory, anyway. In practice, they either don’t cause inflation or it’s impossible to know."

Ok, Kohler (like Ross Gittins; see#170)  is struggling with MMT, but he's on the right track....


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 4th, 2022 at 11:55pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHLRpLeeO7U&t=9457s

Prof Fadhel Kaboub examines ongoing exploitation of the 'global South' by the rich North, and the necessity for debt cancellation, particularly in relation to transition to a green global economy. 


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 5th, 2022 at 1:08pm
https://theconversation.com/australias-credit-rating-is-irrelevant-ignore-it-151579?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=twitterbutton

Australia’s credit rating is irrelevant. Ignore it

"Although there are many constraints on what governments such as Australia’s can do (including the risk of inflation) such governments can’t become insolvent in their own currencies, because they are always able to supply them.

Strictly speaking, they don’t need to borrow at all. They choose to do so. Where they do borrow, their lenders face a zero risk of default."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:30pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 1:08pm:
https://theconversation.com/australias-credit-rating-is-irrelevant-ignore-it-151579?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=twitterbutton


Strictly speaking, they don’t need to borrow at all. They choose to do so.


Why?


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by random on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:56pm

Frank wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:30pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 1:08pm:
https://theconversation.com/australias-credit-rating-is-irrelevant-ignore-it-151579?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=twitterbutton


Strictly speaking, they don’t need to borrow at all. They choose to do so.


Why?


Because they create money out of thin air.

How will it work in practice?

The RBA will be buying bonds from the "secondary market".

What does that mean?

Well, the Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM) sells bonds on behalf of the Federal Government (via Treasury).

The bonds are sold to institutional investors (large foreign and local banks) with the promise of making regular interest payments to whoever buys them, along with a repayment of the principal at a set future date.

Those institutional investors then create their own markets for those bonds (called "secondary markets"), by on-selling them to other investors such as pension funds and super funds, hedge funds, insurance companies, private banks and central banks, which want to hold interest-bearing assets in their portfolios.

When the RBA buys Australian Government bonds, it buys them from that secondary market.
Is this a form of money printing?

According to Sean Callow, a senior currency strategist at Westpac, you can think of it like money printing.

So does that make us feel less like slaves, being drip fed stuff that cost nothing to make?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-04/what-is-quantitative-easing-and-how-does-it-work/12842746

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 5th, 2022 at 4:06pm

random wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:56pm:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-04/what-is-quantitative-easing-and-how-does-it-work/12842746


Here is the same link live:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-04/what-is-quantitative-easing-and-how-does-it-work/12842746



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 5th, 2022 at 4:25pm

Frank wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:30pm:
Why? .....ie, why do they "choose" to borrow?


Because the present monetary arrangements are based on a 400 year-old convention which bans government from spending its own money, or in other words, which forces government to tax (on the one hand), or borrow from private financiers (by "buying bonds") on the other hand. 

As noted in the comments section of Bill Mitchell's MMT blog last Thursday:

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?m=20220602

"“Monday, June 13 14:45-16:00 – MMT and ZIRP (zero interest rate policy: What Happens If Treasury Stops Issuing Debt?

Looking forward to this. It appears to me that the vertical circuit paying interest is a 400 year old mistake that needs correcting. The interest rate and the quantity of credit should be entirely a private sector matter for them to decide amongst themselves within the horizontal circuit".

For a sovereign currency backed by the power to tax, paying the tax vs the alternative of having your property confiscated and your liberty removed *is* the discount/interest rate.


An interesting view re powers of the state to tax, vis a vis  "liberty"....

Note: vertical circuit refers to public sector borrowing  involving the nation's  treasury and central bank; as opposed to horizontal  circuit involving creation of money when private banks lend money to credit worthy customers, with the central bank acting as the 'clearing house' to maintain stability in the private banking system, as with current arrangements which Mitchell refers to as "welfare for the rich" (via risk free interest bearing treasury bonds).   




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 10th, 2022 at 5:04pm
Alan Kolher on the stupidity of mainstream central bankers (the "druids" of economics...)

https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2022/06/09/inflation-stupidities-alan-kohler/

Alan Kohler: The two great stupidities behind our inflation.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 15th, 2022 at 11:27pm
Unlike Oz's economically illiterate journos, some of Japan's politicians aren't concerned about large government debt - and mainstream nonsense about  "debt repair".

https://www.wsj.com/articles/japans-debt-debate-is-it-heading-for-a-titanic-crash-11654600541?mod=e2tw

Japan Adopts View That Huge Government Debt Doesn’t Matter
Shinzo Abe’s camp says deficit is misunderstood, but top finance officials seek balanced budget, likening the nation to a ship heading for an iceberg

TOKYO—When Japan’s leader released his economic vision Tuesday, he left out an important date.

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida deleted a pledge from earlier government statements calling for Japan’s budget to be balanced by 2025. And he declined to give a date by which Japan would do something to lower its government debt, while promising to significantly increase military spending".

O dear..... more money for war....

But perhaps Kishida attended Oz  MMT professor Bill Mitchell's speech in the Diet a couple of years back; and indeed Mitchell has been awarded a teaching position at a Tokyo tertiary institution.

(Japan is unusual in that it has been fighting deflation ever since the property/share market crash in 1990).   




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:10pm
Japan Adopts View That Huge Government Debt Doesn’t Matter

Hopefully Chalmers wakes up, and ignores the mainstream calls for "budget repair". 

The government debt can exist forever,   provided it's owed to treasury - see post #181.


"Those institutional investors then create their own markets for those bonds (called "secondary markets"), by on-selling them to other investors such as pension funds and super funds, hedge funds, insurance companies, private banks and central banks, which want to hold interest-bearing assets in their portfolios.

When the RBA buys Australian Government bonds, it buys them from that secondary market.


Smoke and mirrors designed to hide the fact government can fund itself without taxing or borrowing from the private sector. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:58pm

random wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:56pm:

Frank wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 3:30pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 5th, 2022 at 1:08pm:
https://theconversation.com/australias-credit-rating-is-irrelevant-ignore-it-151579?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=twitterbutton


Strictly speaking, they don’t need to borrow at all. They choose to do so.


Why?


Because they create money out of thin air.

How will it work in practice?

The RBA will be buying bonds from the "secondary market".

What does that mean?

Well, the Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM) sells bonds on behalf of the Federal Government (via Treasury).

The bonds are sold to institutional investors (large foreign and local banks) with the promise of making regular interest payments to whoever buys them, along with a repayment of the principal at a set future date.

Those institutional investors then create their own markets for those bonds (called "secondary markets"), by on-selling them to other investors such as pension funds and super funds, hedge funds, insurance companies, private banks and central banks, which want to hold interest-bearing assets in their portfolios.

When the RBA buys Australian Government bonds, it buys them from that secondary market.
Is this a form of money printing?

According to Sean Callow, a senior currency strategist at Westpac, you can think of it like money printing.

So does that make us feel less like slaves, being drip fed stuff that cost nothing to make?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-04/what-is-quantitative-easing-and-how-does-it-work/12842746


So governments borrow money because they can create money out of thin air.  And you are not out of your mind. Nor is the Great Cleavage.

Hmmm... not buying.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 18th, 2022 at 11:27pm

Frank wrote on Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:58pm:
So governments borrow money because they can create money out of thin air. 


They borrow money to hide the fact they can create money out of thin air, thus  enabling private financiers to maintain control of the government's  purse strings.

" It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow. ...attr. to Henry Ford (but I recall someone else).

Prof Bill Mitchell nails the deliberate deception:

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=49936

"Katy Gallagher is the new Finance Minister in the new Australian Labor Government and seems to think it is a good idea to repeat several times in each interview that the Australian government has a $1 trillion public debt balance outstanding while forgetting to mention a lot of that is being held by the Government itself, courtesy of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s bond buying program.

Government loaning itself $As and going through an elaborate charade to pay itself interest (right pocket to left pocket), then pay itself to retire the debt on maturity (right pocket to left), then pay itself dividends (left pocket to right) and think we are all fooled.

Well, we are mostly fooled, which is a testament to the scale of public miss-education that prevails in this nation."


And here is one of the crooks Lowe himself attempting to deny the charade:

http://www.rossgittins.com/2021/03/funding-budget-by-printing-money-is.html

"So the real reason for worry about MMT isn’t the theory, but the practice. If you give a bunch of vote-buying politicians a licence to spend as much as they like up to a certain point, how could you be sure they’d stop, and revert to borrowing, when they reached that point?

It’s this that Lowe is really on about, though he doesn’t want to say so.

Since last year he’s had little choice but to join the other, bigger economies in resorting to “quantitative easing” (QE) – the central bank buying second-hand government bonds, so as to lower the “yields” (interest rates) on such bonds, but paying for them merely by crediting the bond sellers’ bank accounts."



Quote:
And you are not out of your mind. Nor is the Great Cleavage. Hmmm... not buying.


And so Lowe and the private financiers he is supporting are 'laughing all the way to the bank'   and  are very pleased you remain hoodwinked.....



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 19th, 2022 at 11:57am

Frank wrote on Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:58pm:
So governments borrow money because they can create money out of thin air.  And you are not out of your mind. Nor is the Great Cleavage.

Hmmm... not buying.
 

Further to the points in #188 above (from the Gittins article):

"In his opening statement to the committee, Lowe insisted that “the RBA does not, and will not, directly finance governments. Note: Lowe does not say that the RBA CAN'T directly finance government, only that it won't...)

  The bonds we own will have to be repaid in the same way as if they were owned by others.

“We are lowering the cost of finance for governments – as we are for all borrowers – but we are not providing direct finance. There remains a strong separation between monetary and fiscal [budgetary] policy,” he said.

That last sentence is the key to why Lowe is drawing such fine distinctions. Fiscal policy is controlled by the politicians, whereas monetary policy is controlled by the Reserve, which is independent of the elected government.

In his opening statement to the committee, Lowe insisted that “the RBA does not, and will not, directly finance governments. The bonds we own will have to be repaid in the same way as if they were owned by others.

“We are lowering the cost of finance for governments – as we are for all borrowers – but we are not providing direct finance. There remains a strong separation between monetary and fiscal [budgetary] policy,” he said.

That last sentence is the key to why Lowe is drawing such fine distinctions. Fiscal policy is controlled by the politicians, whereas monetary policy is controlled by the Reserve, which is independent of the elected government.


That last sentence .....continuing the 'debt-money' fraud, to convince the electorate the government CAN'T fund itself without taxing or  borrowing, a fraud fully  exposed in #188 above.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 20th, 2022 at 12:00pm
Crypto currencies - supposed to replace fiat currencies - lose their lustre.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/the-crypto-crash-all-ponzi-schemes-topple-eventually/ar-AAYD4k9?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=8e0c9bce368a49dc9a7c54d2fa62ee4d

The Crypto Crash: all Ponzi schemes topple eventually
Robert Reich - Yesterday 3:59 pm


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 20th, 2022 at 4:15pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/crypto-industry-gripped-by-anxiety-as-bitcoin-wobbles-near-key-20-000-level/ar-AAYDATa?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=290c03ae3118428e9481a02928945617


Money is "created out of thin air' ... but be careful in which form of "money" you invest...

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 1:09pm
To recap:  some basics re money creation:

1. as the population increases, so does the amount of money have to increase.

2. which means the money must be created - out of thin air, where else can the extra money come from?

3. the privilege of creating money out of thin air is reserved for private financiers (banks); as Philip Lowe has asserted, government bonds have to be repaid - to private financiers. Even though there is no logical reason for this assertion; government with its own treasury and central bank can buy - for free - whatever is available for sale, in the nation's currency, because currency-issuing governments can - or rather, should be authorized to create money out of thin air, just as private banksters do when they write loans for credit-worthy customers. 

4. this is the great 'public austerity' rip-off; private financiers demanding that the public sector (govt.) must tax,  or borrow from private sector money-creators who charge interest on loans.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 9:07pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 1:09pm:
To recap:  some basics re money creation:

1. as the population increases, so does the amount of money have to increase.

2. which means the money must be created - out of thin air, where else can the extra money come from?

3. the privilege of creating money out of thin air is reserved for private financiers (banks); as Philip Lowe has asserted, government bonds have to be repaid - to private financiers. Even though there is no logical reason for this assertion; government with its own treasury and central bank can buy - for free - whatever is available for sale, in the nation's currency, because currency-issuing governments can - or rather, should be authorized to create money out of thin air, just as private banksters do when they write loans for credit-worthy customers. 

4. this is the great 'public austerity' rip-off; private financiers demanding that the public sector (govt.) must tax,  or borrow from private sector money-creators who charge interest on loans.

Your stupidity has been overtaken by an even greater stupidity on these boards.
How does it feel?


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 11:33am

Frank wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 9:07pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 1:09pm:
To recap:  some basics re money creation:

1. as the population increases, so does the amount of money have to increase.

2. which means the money must be created - out of thin air, where else can the extra money come from?

3. the privilege of creating money out of thin air is reserved for private financiers (banks); as Philip Lowe has asserted, government bonds have to be repaid - to private financiers. Even though there is no logical reason for this assertion; government with its own treasury and central bank can buy - for free - whatever is available for sale, in the nation's currency, because currency-issuing governments can - or rather, should be authorized to create money out of thin air, just as private banksters do when they write loans for credit-worthy customers. 

4. this is the great 'public austerity' rip-off; private financiers demanding that the public sector (govt.) must tax,  or borrow from private sector money-creators who charge interest on loans.

Your stupidity has been overtaken by an even greater stupidity on these boards.
How does it feel?


You still having trouble getting past point #2 in the above list?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 4:06pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 11:33am:

Frank wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 9:07pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 1:09pm:
To recap:  some basics re money creation:

1. as the population increases, so does the amount of money have to increase.

2. which means the money must be created - out of thin air, where else can the extra money come from?

3. the privilege of creating money out of thin air is reserved for private financiers (banks); as Philip Lowe has asserted, government bonds have to be repaid - to private financiers. Even though there is no logical reason for this assertion; government with its own treasury and central bank can buy - for free - whatever is available for sale, in the nation's currency, because currency-issuing governments can - or rather, should be authorized to create money out of thin air, just as private banksters do when they write loans for credit-worthy customers. 

4. this is the great 'public austerity' rip-off; private financiers demanding that the public sector (govt.) must tax,  or borrow from private sector money-creators who charge interest on loans.

Your stupidity has been overtaken by an even greater stupidity on these boards.
How does it feel?


You still having trouble getting past point #2 in the above list?


It's bollocks.

Money signifies value, not thin air. You have a fixation about thin air which, like sex, becomes really important only when you are not getting any.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 6:26pm

Frank wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 4:06pm:
It's bollocks.

Money signifies value, not thin air. You have a fixation about thin air which, like sex, becomes really important only when you are not getting any.


[But note: "thin air" is infinite, sex is not.....usually....]

You could try explaining to us where the extra money to serve a growing population comes from.

In any case, of course money, even in the form of worthless paper, signifies the nominated value, as does money existing only virtually (not physically)   in computers....created out of thin air  as explained in this article:

https://medium.datadriveninvestor.com/who-creates-money-out-of-thin-air-2df3eac8bf2b

"Two actors create this money: the Government and commercial banks (regular banks). The Government creates only 10% of the virtual money while banks create the other 90%. Let’s start with the government.

The Government Creates Money

"The Federal Open Market Committee (12 people, whose chairman is Jerome H. Powell) sit down on a regular basis and decide how much money ought to be created. Once defined, the Fed buys and sells pieces of debt paper (virtual paper and transactions) to banks in an auction. For example, if the Fed aims to add $5 billion to the economy, it will simply buy $5 billion of virtual debt, called Treasury bonds thus adding $5 billion of new money. The Fed pays banks in virtual money and receives in return these virtual pieces of paper. There are no savings on the Fed’s account, so he Fed basically creates money out of thin air by issuing a payment to a bank. These treasury bonds are used to finance government activity."

[note: MMT disposes of this bond issuance by the government, which simply authorizes the direct spending of debt/interest-free money into the economy to fund social services (the limit being the actual availability  of resources ie, available for purchase by the currency-issuing government, on which to spend the money, to avoid inflation).

Banks Create *almost all* of the Money

Banks create money by something called "fractional reserve banking and the money multiplier". Sounds scary? It is not. It means that the bank only reserves a fraction of money from its clients and the rest is lent out.

When you deposit money into a bank account, say $100, it is stored in a vault and no one touches it, right? Wrong. Only a fraction of that is reserved say $10, and the rest is put back in circulation — thus creating new money. The $90 is new money created out of thin air, since now Person A has $100 in the bank account while Person B has $90 in hand. Person B then deposits the $90 where $9 is reserved and $81 is lent out. You can see where the word "multiplier" comes from. A single deposit of $100 will generate several times new money.


and:

https://bsahely.com/2019/05/12/the-future-of-money-chapter-2-chapter-3-bernard-lietaer-1999/

Chapter 2: Today's money.
“The study of money, above all fields in economics,
is the one in which complexity is used to disguise truth, or evade truth, not to reveal it.”
John Kenneth Galbraith1

"Economics textbooks deal with the question of what money does, but not with what money is. By asking the deceptively simple question “What is money?” we are put in touch with money’s age-old magic. This chapter will clarify the mystery by showing that money is not a thing, but an agreement – usually an unconscious one".

And guess what: agreements are created out of thin air....

Time for a rethink.....





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 7:23pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 6:26pm:

Frank wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 4:06pm:
It's bollocks.

Money signifies value, not thin air. You have a fixation about thin air which, like sex, becomes really important only when you are not getting any.


[But note: "thin air" is infinite, sex is not.....usually....]

You could try explaining to us where the extra money to serve a growing population comes from.

Er.... the wealth they produce.

but a lot of migrants are unproductive.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 24th, 2022 at 11:51am

Frank wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 7:23pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 6:26pm:

Frank wrote on Jun 23rd, 2022 at 4:06pm:
It's bollocks.

Money signifies value, not thin air. You have a fixation about thin air which, like sex, becomes really important only when you are not getting any.


[But note: "thin air" is infinite, sex is not.....usually....]

You could try explaining to us where the extra money to serve a growing population comes from.

Er.... the wealth they produce.


But they will need money to produce and consume that 'wealth' (actually  resources, goods and services).

Where will the extra money come from (required by the growing population?)


Quote:
but a lot of migrants are unproductive.


...?? not only migrants??  - beside the point.

Where does the extra money come from, when a nation's money increases from $1 trillion to (say) 
$2 trillion, due to population growth?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 27th, 2022 at 12:09pm
Today on the ABC, mainstream journalists like Chris Uhlmann and David Bevan still banging on about government debt and the need for "budget repair".

Losers.

A currency-issuing government should never borrow in the first place. 

The task for government is to oversee mobilization of the nation's resources, by balancing expenditures (and money creation) in the public and private sectors,  to maximize the nation's productivity AND social well-being. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jun 28th, 2022 at 2:09pm
https://files.modernmoney.network/M3F000001.pdf

THE NEW MONETARY POLICY

Reimagining Demand Management and Price Stability
in the 21st Century.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 7th, 2022 at 12:55pm
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-deadly-altruism-of-economics?r=da5yr&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email/

"Corporate economists and consultants will say what their employers want them to say. But in general, mainstream academic economists say what they say because they genuinely believe it to be true, not because they're being paid to knowingly state falsehoods. And not only are that, they are doing it altruistically: they genuinely believe that, if everyone believed in their vision of capitalism, and their advice were always followed, then the world would be a better place.

That is why they are so dangerous.

It's not because their intentions are bad—anything but. It's because the vision which they fervently believe accurately describes the real world—and how it can be made better—is utterly false.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Linus on Jul 7th, 2022 at 2:17pm
MMT is a seductive theory. Yes, I agree with its understanding of money creation. Yes, the banks create money out of "thin air". Yes, the government can do it. Yes, it can take money out of the system or reduce money supply to avert inflation. Yes, it can fund all the good things people might want. But that's where it gets tricky.

The downside is whether you can entrust a government with that much power? You can imagine a government spending money on hair-brained schemes, paying exorbitant amounts for things that have no value, stifling innovation and incentive due to whatever particular vision the government has in mind. It could stifle people's freedom and creativity and what they really want at the whim of  clueless bureaucrats.

It's basically an open door to totalitarianism of one form or another, a centralised economy. You know how well that turned out for the Soviet Union. A centralised government can't respond to changing circumstances, wants and needs in an efficient way.

Bureaucrat orders 30,000,000 pairs of boots. He/she pontificates, "The people need them, it is therefore good." Resources are funneled into that endevour . Oh wait, people don't like the freak'n' style, fit , colour etc. Wait, phaark, we didn't anticipate the need for that much toilet paper. Now people are queuing up for miles to get some dunny wrap.

Sorry, I don't trust governments or their bureaucrats enough to give them that kind of power. Even with the power they have now, they have shown over time how incompetent, narrow-minded, self-serving, petty, mean , intransigent and dangerous they can be.

Of course, if that's what you want, by all means give some limited, faulty humans that kind of power over you. But I don't think you'll be getting the Nirvana you expect.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Baronvonrort on Jul 10th, 2022 at 8:10pm
Sri Lanka is an example of what happens when people embrace MMT.


Quote:
Sri Lanka's economy has 'completely collapsed,' Prime Minister says
June 23, 2022

Colombo, Sri Lanka (CNN)Sri Lanka's economy has "completely collapsed," Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe said Wednesday, as the crisis-hit nation faces an increasingly dire situation that has left millions struggling with fuel, electricity and food shortages.

Sri Lanka is in the midst of its worst financial crisis in seven decades, after its foreign exchange reserves plummeted to record lows, with dollars running out to pay for essential imports including food, medicine and fuel.

In several major cities, including the commercial capital, Colombo, hundreds continue to queue for hours to buy fuel, sometimes clashing with police and the military as they wait.
Trains have reduced in frequency, forcing travelers to squeeze into compartments and even sit precariously on top of them as they commute to work.
Patients are unable to travel to hospitals due to the fuel shortage and food prices are soaring. Rice, a staple in the South Asian nation, has disappeared from shelves in many shops and supermarkets.

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/06/23/asia/sri-lanka-economy-collapse-prime-minister-intl-hnk/index.html


Mr Mosler is doing alright from his book on voodoo economics.  ;D
mmt_001.jpg (44 KB | 18 )

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 11th, 2022 at 1:08pm

Linus wrote on Jul 7th, 2022 at 2:17pm:
MMT is a seductive theory. Yes, I agree with its understanding of money creation. Yes, the banks create money out of "thin air". Yes, the government can do it. Yes, it can take money out of the system or reduce money supply to avert inflation. Yes, it can fund all the good things people might want. But that's where it gets tricky.


So far, so good.

Well. if the government understands (the limits of) the nation's productive capacity, the government is in a position to outline  to the electorate the various spending  options available to the governement, eg increase in number and wages of age care workers (ie if the workers are available); increase in quantity of social/public housing (if builders and materials are available); increase in tertiary-level R&D at public universities (if staff are available)....and funding vaccinations if vaccines are available - it's ridiculius to claim the government can't "afford" to fund mass vaccination because of government debt, when the vaccines are available.   


Quote:
The downside is whether you can entrust a government with that much power?


Addressed above; not a matter of "trust", but a matter  of public transparency, and clear outline of the necessary choices, as the nation's productive capacity is reached.


Quote:
You can imagine a government spending money on hair-brained schemes, paying exorbitant amounts for things that have no value, stifling innovation and incentive due to whatever particular vision the government has in mind. It could stifle people's freedom and creativity and what they really want at the whim of  clueless bureaucrats.


Addressed above. If by law treasury and central bank are required to illustrate capacity to fund programs (which means they must show that the resources/capacity  to build the programs exists),  then the electorate will be able to weed out the "hair-brained schemes", and indeed choose between sensible desirable programs, in as much as the nation's productive capacity requires a choice to be made between desirable programs. 


Quote:
It's basically an open door to totalitarianism of one form or another, a centralised economy. You know how well that turned out for the Soviet Union. A centralised government can't respond to changing circumstances, wants and needs in an efficient way.


Certainly, a system in which government  is freed from the requirement to borrow from the private sector might be considered a form of "communism" , but one which is so different to that of the former USSR, as to be a completely different system...because in MMT the electorate would choose the programs**  which  treasury and central bank will fund. )  ** the opposite of "totalitarianisn".


Quote:
Bureaucrat orders 30,000,000 pairs of boots. He/she pontificates, "The people need them, it is therefore good." Resources are funneled into that endevour . Oh wait, people don't like the freak'n' style, fit , colour etc. Wait, phaark, we didn't anticipate the need for that much toilet paper. Now people are queuing up for miles to get some dunny wrap.


The private sector can already produce boots and dunny paper quite efficiently, as various manufacturers compete to make a profit.  Refer to the above examples where the electorate might want the government to fund various programs which the private sector is unable to deliver at affordable prices, eg public housing, good wages in the care sector, and even affordable energy at a time when the globe has to exit fossils.


Quote:
Sorry, I don't trust governments or their bureaucrats enough to give them that kind of power. Even with the power they have now, they have shown over time how incompetent, narrow-minded, self-serving, petty, mean , intransigent and dangerous they can be.


Politicians are FORCED to play their silly adversarial 2-(or more) party games, BECAUSE they are all limited by taxes (and borrowing) -  for which the electorate don't want to pay.

So we have the endless BS contest between high taxes and necessary public spending, versus low taxes and "keeping your own hard-earned money". 


Quote:
Of course, if that's what you want, by all means give some limited, faulty humans that kind of power over you. But I don't think you'll be getting the Nirvana you expect.


Hopefully I have shed some light on your fears and doubts. 

Meanwhile, consider the madness of the present government borrowing arrangements (outlined in #181):

...the Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM) sells bonds on behalf of the Federal Government (via Treasury).

The bonds are sold to institutional investors (large foreign and local banks) with the promise of making regular interest payments to whoever buys them, along with a repayment of the principal at a set future date


Ie,  the government promises to pay interest to these  private banks, and to add insult to injury, the government will then buy these bonds  back, to fund spending, to avoiding raising taxes....

That's what the Oz central bank did at the start of the pandemic, when  the govt. needed $20 billion a month to get rid of those unemployment queues stretching around entire city blocks....

And now we are told the government is broke, and with a $trillion debt to boot - sheer madness, not to mention an evil ripoff of the public sector by private sector financiers.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 12:13pm

Baronvonrort wrote on Jul 10th, 2022 at 8:10pm:
Sri Lanka is an example of what happens when people embrace MMT.


Wrong. People don't embrace MMT, actually it's still illegal at present.


Quote:
Sri Lanka's economy has 'completely collapsed,' Prime Minister says
June 23, 2022

Colombo, Sri Lanka (CNN)Sri Lanka's economy has "completely collapsed," Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe said Wednesday, as the crisis-hit nation faces an increasingly dire situation that has left millions struggling with fuel, electricity and food shortages.

[quote]Sri Lanka is in the midst of its worst financial crisis in seven decades, after its foreign exchange reserves plummeted to record lows, with dollars running out to pay for essential imports including food, medicine and fuel.


In fact Sri Lanka broke a cardinal rule of MMT: a nation should NEVER borrow in a foreign currency.

https://www.reuters.com/article/sri-lanka-debt-bond-idUSL3N20U2CH

March 7 2019.

UPDATE 4-Sri Lanka raises $2.4 bln in dollar bond sale - term sheet .

The first mistake, compounded by many others.

Note: there was and is no hyperinflation in Sri Lanka,  there is a lack of foreign reserves, due to loss of overseas tourism during the pandemic and other factors. 


Quote:
Mr Mosler is doing alright from his book on voodoo economics.  ;D


The voodoo economics is the current neoliberal/neo Keynesian nightmare, entrenched and enforced from the IMF down (Instant Misery Fund).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Linus on Jul 12th, 2022 at 1:06pm
@ TGD

We both agree on the tenets of MMT. However, your ideas of "public transparency" and the "electorate" are too optimistic. Governments of all persuasions are very capable of bamboozling the public and keeping it in the dark. The electorate is always slow and divided.

When governments have free reign to create credit, they will become unaccountable for their choices, con people into thinking that they are right, stall, or otherwise muzzle them.

They'll have the money to do it.

That kind of power will lead to cronyism, favouritism and the pursuit of projects that go down blind paths and crowd out more worthwhile areas of public investment.

Again, they'll have the money to do it.

History has shown it over and over again. Centralised power cannot be trusted, no matter what good intentions there are. Even with our current system, our "democracy", the overreach has been insidious and gobsmacking.

You are just removing one more fetter to make government all the more dangerous.

Now, perhaps, in some more decentralised arrangement where people have more power, and there are strong individual rights, I might be less pessimistic.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Linus on Jul 12th, 2022 at 1:11pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 12th, 2022 at 12:13pm:

Baronvonrort wrote on Jul 10th, 2022 at 8:10pm:
Sri Lanka is an example of what happens when people embrace MMT.


Wrong. People don't embrace MMT, actually it's still illegal at present.


Quote:
Sri Lanka's economy has 'completely collapsed,' Prime Minister says
June 23, 2022

Colombo, Sri Lanka (CNN)Sri Lanka's economy has "completely collapsed," Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe said Wednesday, as the crisis-hit nation faces an increasingly dire situation that has left millions struggling with fuel, electricity and food shortages.

[quote]Sri Lanka is in the midst of its worst financial crisis in seven decades, after its foreign exchange reserves plummeted to record lows, with dollars running out to pay for essential imports including food, medicine and fuel.


In fact Sri Lanka broke a cardinal rule of MMT: a nation should NEVER borrow in a foreign currency.

https://www.reuters.com/article/sri-lanka-debt-bond-idUSL3N20U2CH

March 7 2019.

UPDATE 4-Sri Lanka raises $2.4 bln in dollar bond sale - term sheet .

The first mistake, compounded by many others.

Note: there was and is no hyperinflation in Sri Lanka,  there is a lack of foreign reserves, due to loss of overseas tourism during the pandemic and other factors. 

[quote]Mr Mosler is doing alright from his book on voodoo economics.  ;D


The voodoo economics is the current neoliberal/neo Keynesian nightmare, entrenched and enforced from the IMF down (Instant Misery Fund).
[/quote]


Unfortunately, Sri Lanka had no choice but to rely on US dollars, simply because those from whom it buys various commodities and services,like India, demand to be paid in dollars. They don't place much value Sri Lanka's currency.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 2:14pm

Linus wrote on Jul 12th, 2022 at 1:06pm:
We both agree on the tenets of MMT. However, your ideas of "public transparency" and the "electorate" are too optimistic. Governments of all persuasions are very capable of bamboozling the public and keeping it in the dark. The electorate is always slow and divided.


Like I said, much of the blame can be sheeted home to the current adversarial party system, in which both sides are blinded by the current dog-eat dog neoliberal monetary orthodoxy. 

Change the system, and government corruption largely disappears because there will be no need of private money donations to fund government, and private lobbyists seeking favours from politicians.


Quote:
When governments have free reign to create credit, they will become unaccountable for their choices, con people into thinking that they are right, stall, or otherwise muzzle them.


You are apparently still  unable to conceive of the transparency made possible with publicly-funded  programs which rely on availability of resources, not money.


Quote:
They'll have the money to do it.


See above; will they have the RESOURCES (labour, materials, know-how)  to do it? 


Quote:
That kind of power will lead to cronyism, favouritism and the pursuit of projects that go down blind paths and crowd out more worthwhile areas of public investment.


Less cronyiism, because there will be no private funding of government.


Quote:
History has shown it over and over again. Centralised power cannot be trusted, no matter what good intentions there are. Even with our current system, our "democracy", the overreach has been insidious and gobsmacking.


MMT has never been legal because private financiers have always sought interest payments for the privilege of creating and lending money. 

Times are changing; the current AGW crisis (if real) may well be the catalyst to loosen the private financiers' grip on our lives, unless crippling national debt around the globe does the trick beforehand... 


Quote:
You are just removing one more fetter to make government all the more dangerous.


Consider government by benevolent authority, when citizens are freed from the privately-financed, dog eat dog market system.


Quote:
Now, perhaps, in some more decentralised arrangement where people have more power, and there are strong individual rights, I might be less pessimistic.


Strong individual rights (of naturally self-interested individuals), if based on false notions of 'inherent natural individual rights' (which don't exist in nature) will lead nowhere - except anarchy.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Linus on Jul 12th, 2022 at 4:03pm
You have an authoritarian whiff about you TGD. "A benevolent Authority", indeed. History has never seen one.

And it's interesting that you appear to believe in "transparency" and the "electorate" but don't favour individual rights, which would be a check to such an authority. This tilt at the idea of "benevolent authority" seems to brush aside the "electorate". And if father knows best "transparency'"be damned.

You also quietly passed over "decentralistion" and replaced it with that rhetorical move. Me thinks you are starting to look a little shady there, TGD.

"Anarchy"?! Oh God,run the sky is falling. Right?

If decentralisation of power is done right, it could make for a more collaborative , grassroots up way of life, where people aren't alienated from the decision making regarding their lives, which won't really figure under the dodgy "benevolent authority" you favour, and barely figures today. An authority that will come with all the ills that I have already mentioned. You deny that will happen. History doesn't support you but your "benevolent authority" will be different, yeah?

You wily authoritarian you.  ::)

MMT would work from a truly grassroots, collaborative system. We don't have one and if you put it into the hands of those running our current system, it won't end well, and even worse under "benevolent authoritarians" who know best.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 4:38pm

Linus wrote on Jul 12th, 2022 at 4:03pm:
Y[size=12Y]ou have an authoritarian whiff about you TGD. "A benevolent Authority", indeed. History has never seen one.


Touche...I detect a 'Libertarian' whiff about you...

Time will tell: to achieve global (universal)  sustainable prosperity (without war)  will likely need a benevolent authority at the highest level, but history is what is is. 


Quote:
And it's interesting that you appear to believe in "transparency" and the "electorate" but don't favour individual rights, which would be a check to such an authority.


Individuals rights - eg "the pursuit of  (individual) happiness",  may not engender collective economic security, by definition: competitive individuals will often  exploit market failure.   


Quote:
This tilt at the idea of "benevolent authority" seems to brush aside the "electorate". And if father knows best "transparency'"be damned.


Addressed above. Your Libertarianism is showing....


Quote:
You also quietly passed over "decentralistion" and replaced it with that rhetorical move. Me thinks you are starting to look a little shady there, TGD.


"Decentralization", as opposed to "Nationalization"?

Even Menzies knew the market can't/won't  house everyone, which is why he created the Public Housing Department, in the days before Milton Friedman's disastrous neoliberal supply side monetarism became mainstream (because the post war  'welfare state' Keynesian fiscal policies seemed to no longer work after the 70's oil price shock (the Arab oil embargo; and competition from low wage Asia) created stagflation in the Western economies.


Quote:
"Anarchy"?! Oh God,run the sky is falling. Right?


Actually, in our world right now: 100 million refugees fleeing war and poverty; and in Oz, people sleeping in the CBD's of Melbourne and Sydney, while war - and market failure  - means people can't afford to heat their freezing homes in winter. My definition of anarchy, even if you happen to be relatively comfortable.


Quote:
If decentralisation of power is done right, it could make for a more collaborative , grassroots up way of life, where people aren't alienated from the decision making regarding their lives, which won't really figure under the dodgy "benevolent authority" you favour, and barely figures today. An authority that will come with all the ills that I have already mentioned. You deny that will happen. History doesn't support you but your "benevolent authority" will be different, yeah?
You wily authoritarian you.  ::)


You will have a hard time explaining how  "decentralisation of power is done right".

Admittedly much misery is caused by misguided globalization which is promoted  by self-interested profit-seeking  global companies who have no interest in national well-being. Eg self-sufficiency in food production should always be engendered; the cash crops  recommended by the IMF (Instant Misery Fund) to achieve export income, often at the expense of local food-production-diversity, mostly ends in tears. 


Quote:
MMT would work from a truly grassroots, collaborative system. We don't have one and if you put it into the hands of those running our current system, it won't end well, and even worse under "benevolent authoritarians" who know best.


Good points.  But MMT requires a national fiat-currency-issuer, in nations able to trade with other nations, under 'fair trade' not free trade rules. The current WTO (as a result of actions by our dear self-interested 'America First' Trump) is in a mess, blocked by the US from even  electing the officials needed to oversee 'fair' as opposed to 'free' trade.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Linus on Jul 12th, 2022 at 7:18pm
I rather see myself as pro-social kind of guy, sensitive to individuals and would rather we  all reach decisions in a genuine consensus fashion. The top-down approach is past its use-by date. It's rather the reason why this planet is falling apart. Yet you call for more of the same, albeit "benevolent," to solve the ills it causes and that you ostensibly decry. Sorry, but if we had time to experiment, I'd go with a bottom-up consensus where individuals really have a bona-fide stake in how their lives are decided.

Wherever you have some group or someone in authority it comes with arrogance, insensitive and petty officiousness,  caprice, corruption, collusion, intransigence, opaqueness, cronyism, nepotism, favouritism, coercion, violence... etc.

So, ok, you seem to be an old-style Stalinist who claims we can have a benevolent dictatorship.Ha! You're talking oxyMoron to my ears.

I don't buy this "benevolent dictatorship".

But I do buy the tenets of MMT and only think it should be tried in the right social environment. In the current one, with top-down government, top-down corporations, and top-down bureaucracies where people are "PEEons", we don't have it.

This is where we shake hands TGD, and I walk away from your soapbox. And I'll say in parting that this planet is too far gone for anything to change much. Although we can hope,I think we're at the end of the road and that it's too late to experiment. We had our chances, we blew it. Time for the next species.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 8:06pm
A clear 'primer' on currency crises, and Sri Lanka; by Noah Smith

The basics: import dependence and currency crises
Lots of countries depend on imports in order to maintain their standard of living — or, often, simply to live. Food and fuel are generally the most crucial imports — people can do without the latest iPhone, or a new car, but they can’t really do without food and transportation. And since lots of countries don’t have abundant domestic resources of food and fuel, these must often be imported from abroad.

Sri Lanka is a good example of this. About 22% of the calories Sri Lankans consume come from imported food. And fuel is Sri Lanka’s top import. Without imports, many Sri Lankans will quickly find themselves hungry, stranded, and without power.

How do you pay for imports? With foreign currency. Suppose you’re a Sri Lankan and you’d like to buy some wheat from some American farmer. You can’t pay her in rupees; what’s she going to do with rupees? The American farmer needs dollars, to pay rent, to go out to eat, to pay taxes, etc. So you, the Sri Lankan food importer, need to come up with some dollars. If you don’t come up with some dollars, you can’t import the food. Those dollars (or whatever foreign currency you need to buy your imports) are sometimes referred to as foreign exchange, or “forex”.

So where do you get the dollars? Well, you can do one of three things. Either you can swap, you can export, or you can borrow.

1) To swap means you go to the foreign exchange market and say “Here are some rupees, I’d like some dollars please!” And the foreign exchange market trades you some dollars for rupees at some exchange rate, and now you have some dollars.

2) To export means you sell some tea to an American consumer, you let the American pay you in dollars instead of rupees, and instead of going to the bank and swapping the dollars for rupees so you can pay rent or make payroll or whatever, you keep the dollars in a bank and use them to buy some wheat at some point.

3) To borrow means you go borrow some dollars from someone — either a domestic bank who has some dollars sitting around, or from foreigners.

OK, so far so good. But here’s the danger. If your currency gets really weak, it makes it much harder to pay for the imports you need.

What does it mean for a “currency to get weak”? In this case, it means that the value of the rupee goes down, so that you need to give up a lot more rupees to swap for each dollar in the foreign exchange market. If your income is mostly in rupees — as is true for most Sri Lankans — then this makes imports get very very expensive.

A weaker rupee also makes it harder to borrow foreign currency. If you have to pay back dollars, but your income is in rupees, and suddenly the rupee gets a lot weaker, then your debt just got a lot more onerous. (And not just new borrowing either, but whatever you borrowed before that you still owe!)

So, this is what happened to Sri Lanka. The Sri Lankan rupee got steadily weaker from 2015 to 2022, and then crashed in March.


A weaker currency makes it much more expensive to borrow and swap to get foreign exchange. That leaves only one good way of getting foreign currency: Exports. If a country runs a trade surplus — that is, if it exports more than it imports — it’s probably OK if its currency gets weaker (we’ll talk about this case another day). But if your country runs a trade deficit, you’re in trouble — you don’t export enough to pay for your imports, and borrowing to make up the difference just got a lot harder.

Sri Lanka runs a large and consistent trade deficit:


Source: macrotrends.net
So when Sri Lanka’s currency crashed, it was in big trouble. The imports that it relied on for daily life suddenly got a lot more expensive, and because it ran a trade deficit, the only way to get the additional foreign exchange it needed to keep buying those imports was to borrow — but because its currency crashed, borrowing suddenly got a lot more expensive. (This is why a currency crisis is also sometimes called a balance-of-payments crisis.) When the country’s prime minister said last week that the country is “bankrupt”, this is what he meant — it meant there wasn’t enough foreign exchange to pay for needed imports.

So Sri Lankans suddenly couldn’t buy enough food or fuel, and they got mad and toppled the government. That’s really the basic story here, and it’s not an unusual story at all. Currency crises like this are fairly common.

In fact, there are also a couple of other features of crises like these that are very common — and which are present in Sri Lanka’s case. I’ll explain these in the next section.

Macro mistakes: Exchange rate pegs and foreign currency borrowing
There are two things that a lot of countries do in order to get more imports during normal times:

They peg their exchange rates, and

They borrow a lot of foreign currency.

Both of these things are dangerous, because they make a country more vulnerable to a currency crisis like the one described in the previous section. And Sri Lanka did both of these things.

First, let’s talk about exchange rate pegs. An exchange rate peg is a way of keeping the value of your currency at a high level, so your country can easily afford lots of cheap imports. It means the government says “Everyone must trade rupees for dollars at the rate of 200 rupees per dollar”, even if most traders don’t really think the rupee is worth that much.

(cont)


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 8:09pm
cont.

So what if traders in the foreign exchange market decide to start trading rupees for dollars 350 rupees per dollar? Well then, somehow, the government has to intervene to force the price of the rupee up to 200 per dollar. The way it usually does this is to have the central bank swap a bunch of dollars for rupees in the market every time the rupee gets weaker. This drives the price of the dollar down and driving the price of the rupee up, bringing the exchange rate back to the pegged value. This is called intervening in foreign exchange markets.

Central banks maintain stashes of dollars (actually bonds that they can quickly sell for dollars) in order to be able to intervene. These are called foreign exchange reserves.

Now, if the central bank had to actually intervene in currency markets all the time, it would quickly run out of foreign exchange reserves to sell. But the central bank doesn’t have to actually do this all the time (or at least, not much of it). Usually, traders simply assume that the central bank will do this if necessary, and so they don’t try to trade at a different price. So the exchange rate stays at the pegged level.

But if traders suspect that the central bank is running low on foreign exchange reserves, they may try to “break the peg”, by all selling rupees for dollars at the same time. If the central bank runs out of reserves, it can no longer intervene to support the rupee’s value, and the rupee’s exchange rate crashes very abruptly and you get a currency crisis.

Alternatively, if a whole bunch of people decide to move their money out of the country in a hurry (because they don’t like the way the political/economic situation is headed), they will swap their rupees for dollars or other foreign currencies. This is known as capital flight, also sometimes called a “sudden stop”. Capital flight puts downward pressure on the rupee, and forces the central bank to sell its foreign exchange reserves to maintain the peg. If it runs out of reserves, then bam, the peg breaks, the exchange rate crashes, and you get a currency crisis.

Sri Lanka is a classic case of an exchange rate peg that got broken by capital flight. The country pegged its exchange rate against the U.S. dollar for a long time. Over the last couple of years, capital flight forced the Sri Lankan central bank to spend down its reserves:


The government tried to stop the capital flight, but it failed. When the central bank felt that it no longer had enough reserves to defend the peg, the peg broke, and the Sri Lankan rupee abruptly fell by an enormous amount. This was the currency crisis.

So why is an exchange rate peg a mistake? It’s not necessarily a bad thing — it can help create financial stability. But if you peg your exchange rate at a too-high level, you’re setting your country up for disaster, because any decline in the exchange rate will be sudden and catastrophic instead of slow and gradual. Slow and gradual declines give a country time to reverse course and fix whatever factors are driving down the exchange rate. A sudden collapse gives you no time at all. Thus, exchange rate pegs are very risky.

The second thing a lot of countries do to get more imports is foreign currency borrowing. If you run a trade deficit, you need to borrow to make up the difference — basically if you can’t pay for your imports by selling exports, you have to pay with IOUs instead. Some countries, like the U.S., finance their trade deficits by borrowing in their own currencies — the U.S. borrows in U.S. dollars. This is pretty safe, because even if the dollar’s exchange rate goes down, that doesn’t change the value of the debt relative to the income of the people who have to pay back the debt. Americans make money in dollars and pay debt in dollars, so even if the dollar crashes, that doesn’t make their debts harder to pay off.

But if you borrow in a foreign country’s currency, it’s a lot riskier. If Sri Lankans take out loans in dollars rather than in rupees, they’re taking a big risk. If the rupee gets much weaker against the dollar, it requires many more rupees in order to make payments on dollar-denominated debt.

So why the heck would you ever borrow in a foreign currency? Why wouldn’t Sri Lankans just borrow in rupees in order to pay for their imports? The answer is that borrowing in rupees would be much more expensive. Foreign lenders are afraid that the rupee’s exchange rate will crash and the money they get paid back will then be worth a lot less. So they will charge a much higher interest rate on rupee loans to Sri Lankans, to compensate for this increased risk.

Anyway, Sri Lankans chose to take the cheaper but much riskier option of borrowing a lot of money in foreign currency — mostly in dollars, but also some in Chinese yuan (RMB). This then came back to bite them when their currency crashed. As rupees became worth fewer and fewer dollars/yuan, Sri Lankans had to spend more and more rupees just to make payments on the money they had borrowed earlier:

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 8:12pm
(cont.)

If you can’t make payments on your debt, what do you do? Well, one thing you can do is default. Private companies can default, and so can the government itself. The Sri Lankan government did exactly this in May, with its first ever sovereign default. But it didn’t default on all its debt, so it may default more in the future.

Another thing you can do to pay off your debt is to print a bunch of money (well, not literally print, but we still use that term). The Central Bank of Sri Lanka can’t print dollars (only the U.S. can do that), and it can’t print yuan (only the People’s Bank of China can do that). The Central Bank of Sri Lanka can only print rupees. But if you print a bunch of rupees, you will probably get inflation. And in fact, Sri Lanka has been getting serious inflation recently:


High inflation makes people very mad, and it also tends to weaken economic growth — making it even harder to pay back debt. Sovereign default also tends to hurt the economy pretty severely for a few years (though countries tend to recover after that). And of course, not having enough food or fuel hurts the economy too. So all these things make it even harder to pay back dollar-denominated debt, prompting more defaults and/or inflation, and the whole thing has a tendency to just spiral for a while.

So far, nothing I’ve described is unique to Sri Lanka. In fact, everything I’ve described here is very common — so common that this type of story is referred to as an “emerging-market crisis”, because this basic pattern happens so often in developing nations (even in weird cases like Cuba). Sri Lanka’s crisis features all of the standard, textbook elements:

An import-dependent country

A persistent trade deficit

A pegged exchange rate

Lots of foreign-currency borrowing

Capital flight (sudden stop)

An exchange rate crash (balance-of-payments crisis)

A sovereign default

Accelerating inflation

If I were writing a hypothetical example of an emerging-market crisis for a textbook, it would look exactly like Sri Lanka’s crisis.

So why then, do most of the stories about the crisis focus on other policy mistakes that Sri Lanka made in the preceding years? Because in the back of their minds, economics reporters already know all the stuff I just explained. Now you know it too! And knowing this will help us understand how those policy mistakes triggered the crisis.

Micro mistakes: The triggers for this particular crisis
The two classic, standard macroeconomic mistakes that Sri Lanka made were to peg its exchange rate too high, and to borrow a lot in foreign currency. Those two errors set the country up for a currency crisis.

Let’s talk about that foreign currency borrowing. One reason Sri Lanka did this was simply to be able to afford more imports — i.e. to live beyond its current means.

But this was far from Sri Lanka’s only bad business decision under the Rajapaksas. The government dished out a huge tax cut in 2019, hoping that this would stimulate the economy. But it didn’t stimulate the economy very much, and certainly not enough to raise revenues. As usual, Art Laffer was wrong. Falling revenues made it harder for Sri Lanka’s government to pay off its rising foreign-currency debt, setting it up for a crisis.

But the most boneheaded, bizarre mistake that the Sri Lankan government made was a disastrous plan to shift the entire country to organic agriculture. In April of 2021 the government banned the import and use of pesticides and synthetic fertilizers. This devastated Sri Lankan agriculture, since, as it turns out, fertilizer is really really important. Production of tea — Sri Lanka’s main cash crop — fell by 18% in a year.

This debacle did several things. First, by weakening tax revenues, it made the government less capable of repaying debt denominated in foreign currencies. Second, by weakening the economy, it gave Sri Lankans a reason to move their money overseas, which encouraged capital flight and put downward pressure on the rupee.

Cont.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 12th, 2022 at 8:16pm
(final)

And third, because agricultural products are a substantial percent of Sri Lanka’s exports, the devastation of export revenue made it much harder for Sri Lanka to get the foreign exchange it needed to A) keep paying for imported food and fuel, and B) keep making payments on foreign-denominated debt.

I do not understand why Sri Lanka did this very dumb thing. If you want, you can read some backgrounders on why they did this. But what I do know is that this substantially increased the risk of a currency crisis in several different ways.

The organic farming debacle was not the only trigger for the crisis — Covid and a rash of terrorist bombings have combined to devastate Sri Lanka’s tourism industry, another key source of foreign exchange. The war in Ukraine deprived Sri Lanka of yet more sources of foreign currency, since Russia and Ukraine were a big source of tourists for the island nation, and Russia was a big buyer of its tea. Now the economic crisis is hurting tourism even more, of course. And because of all Sri Lanka’s other mistakes that set it up for a textbook emerging-market crisis, Covid, terrorism, and the farming debacle were enough to trigger capital flight, the breaking of the currency peg, the currency crisis, and the downward spiral of default, inflation, and devastating shortages.

So what lessons can other countries learn from Sri Lanka’s crisis? The U.S. isn’t in a similar situation at all, so there are relatively few lessons for us — when we have economic crises, they tend to be of a different variety. But other emerging markets can definitely draw lessons here. First, don’t do boneheaded things like banning fertilizer. Second, be careful about borrowing a ton of money from foreign governments.

But the best way to make sure you don’t have a currency crisis is to not set yourself up for one in the first place. Don’t run large and persistent trade deficits if you can’t borrow cheaply in your own currency. Don’t borrow a ton of money denominated in foreign currencies. And don’t peg your exchange rate too high. It’s always tempting to play populist and shower your people with underpriced imports in the short term. But in the long term this just never works.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 13th, 2022 at 1:42pm

Linus wrote on Jul 12th, 2022 at 7:18pm:
I think we're at the end of the road and that it's too late to experiment. We had our chances, we blew it. Time for the next species.


Don't give up hope, surely humans remain creative enough to save themselves (despite themselves).  We just have to learn to manage the power of the (individual) survival instinct,  to engender collective well-being and security.   

An interesting article on 'populist right' versus 'neoliberalism':

https://tribunemag.co.uk/2021/06/hayeks-bastards-the-populist-rights-neoliberal-roots

Hayek’s Bastards: The Populist Right’s Neoliberal Roots

"There is a stubborn story about the last half-decade that explains right-wing populism as a grassroots backlash against something called neoliberalism. Neoliberalism is often described as market fundamentalism, or the belief that everything on the planet has a price tag, borders are obsolete, the world economy should replace nation-states, and human life is reducible to a cycle of earn, spend, borrow, die.

The ‘new’ right, by contrast, claims to believe in the people, national sovereignty, and the importance of culture. As mainstream parties lose support, the elites who promoted neoliberalism out of self-interest seem to be reaping the fruits of the inequality and democratic disempowerment they sowed.

But this story is wrong. By looking more closely, we can see that important factions of the emerging right are, in fact, mutant strains of neoliberalism. After all, the parties dubbed ‘right-wing populist’ from the United States to Britain and Austria have never acted as avenging angels sent to smite economic globalisation. They have offered no plans to rein in finance, restore a golden age of job security, or end world trade."
By and large, the so-called populists’ calls to privatise, deregulate, and slash taxes come straight from the playbook shared by the world’s leaders for the past thirty years.

But more fundamentally, to understand neoliberalism as an apocalyptic hyper-marketisation of everything is both vague and misleading.

As many histories now show, far from conjuring up a vision of capitalism without states, the neoliberals that gathered around the Mont Pelerin Society founded by Friedrich Hayek (who used the term ‘neoliberalism’ as self-description into the 1950s) have reflected for nearly a century about how the state needs to be rethought to restrict democracy without eliminating it and how national and supranational institutions can be used to protect competition and exchange.

When we see neoliberalism as a project of retooling the state to save capitalism, then its supposed opposition to the populism of the Right begins to dissolve.

Both neoliberals and the new right scorn egalitarianism, global economic equality, and solidarity beyond the nation. Both see capitalism as inevitable and judge citizens by the standards of productivity and efficiency. Perhaps most strikingly, both draw from the same pantheon of heroes. A case in point is Hayek himself, who is an icon on both sides of the neoliberal-populist divide.


MMT to the rescue?







Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 15th, 2022 at 3:37pm
I showed Albo a copy of 'The Deficit Myth' just before the recent election; maybe he will recall it when dealing this dilemma:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/albanese-leaves-door-open-to-pandemic-payment-restart-as-south-australia-joins-push/ar-AAZAKXn?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=33b9b00d12864e56baf328774d16c987

Albanese leaves door open to pandemic payment restart as South Australia joins push

Of course Chalmers will be banging on about government debt; it will interesting to see how the cabinet divides on the issue...


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 16th, 2022 at 12:59pm
Well, following yesterday's post, we see Albo agreed to keep funding covid-emergency payments until Sept. 30th at least, despite "the $1 trillion government debt which must be repaid". 

Labor aren't complete turds, after all.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:38pm
Finance Minister Katy Gallagher saying today: "obviously the money which the government borrowed has to be paid back" - with interest. 

My memo to Katy:

As a private citizen, I have to carefully consider the debts I incur, taking regard of my ability to repay them, in an environment of variable interest rates. 

I do not consider it acceptable to also be on the hook for the government's debts for which I had no responsibility.   

Therefore I propose government be banned from borrowing money at all.

Indeed, a currency-issuing government with a national treasury and reserve bank should NEVER borrow money.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:46pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:38pm:
Finance Minister Katy Gallagher saying today: "obviously the money which the government borrowed has to be paid back" - with interest. 

My memo to Katy:

As a private citizen, I have to carefully consider the debts I incur, taking regard of my ability to repay them, in an environment of variable interest rates. 

I do not consider it acceptable to also be on the hook for the government's debts for which I had no responsibility.   

Therefore I propose government be banned from borrowing money at all.

Indeed, a currency-issuing government with a national treasury and reserve bank should NEVER borrow money.


Thank you, you have said this crap often enough already.  Be seated.





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 18th, 2022 at 10:54pm

Frank wrote on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:46pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 18th, 2022 at 9:38pm:
Finance Minister Katy Gallagher saying today: "obviously the money which the government borrowed has to be paid back" - with interest. 

My memo to Katy:

As a private citizen, I have to carefully consider the debts I incur, taking regard of my ability to repay them, in an environment of variable interest rates. 

I do not consider it acceptable to also be on the hook for the government's debts for which I had no responsibility.   

Therefore I propose government be banned from borrowing money at all.

Indeed, a currency-issuing government with a national treasury and reserve bank should NEVER borrow money.


Thank you, you have said this crap often enough already.  Be seated.


Can you identify WHY it is crap? If you can, I will do as you say....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 19th, 2022 at 12:24pm
The terrible consequences of the triumph of global neoliberalism, after the collapse of the USSR:

https://branko2f7.substack.com/p/hopelessness?r=16uxt&s=w&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

"That today’s world situation is the worst since the end of the Second World War is not an excessive, nor original, statement. As we teeter on the brink of a nuclear war, it does not require too  many words to convince people that this is so.

The question is: how did we get here? And is there a way out?"

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 24th, 2022 at 11:27am
Joseph Stiglitz on taxation for a progressive society

https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2022/07/23/joseph-stiglitz-how-make-australia-richer#mtr

"We need a democratic debate. The problem is, as we move away from “one person, one vote” to “one dollar, one vote”, these debates get a lot harder to have. They become especially hard to have in the absence of a robust and diversified media. A few very wealthy people disproportionately controlling the media is a problem for democratic governance in many countries.

We need to always be exploring that boundary about the role and rights of the individual, the role of regulation and the government, and about how to keep our democracies and societies safe. That’s not just a role for economists, but other social scientists as well. Indeed, it’s a question that all citizens need to be thinking about".


[MMT of course would free the public sector from the greedy grasp of the private sector, but Stiglitz is facing the world as it is, given the current neoliberal monetarist orthodoxy.]




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 25th, 2022 at 12:20pm
https://realprogressives.org/podcast_episode/episode-180-the-end-of-dollar-diplomacy-with-steve-keen-and-michael-hudson/

Episode 180 – The End of US Dollar Diplomacy? with Steve Keen and Michael Hudson

"Keen and Hudson are two old friends, each with their own distinct but overlapping focus. Between them they bring colorful insights and information to the conversation. In this episode they touch on the American Constitution, the stranglehold of the FIRE sector, and the history of debt jubilees. They talk about the European Green Parties (spoiler alert: these parties are cheerleaders for neoliberalism). They contrast and compare the World Bank to the Bank of China, and their respective roles vis-à-vis humanity. They discuss de-development and possibilities for the future of the planet.

........

[I'm not so sure the PBofC understands MMT; and I prefer to speak of increasing the quality of life (not measured by consumption) rather than "de-development", though it's possible this is what Keen and Hudson also mean].

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Ye Grappler on Jul 25th, 2022 at 5:57pm
Now it's CCP Dollar Diplomacy... good-o - they can offer me a few lazy tens of millions and I'll take it, then crawfish on the deal...

Is there some comparative value between one type of Diplomatic Dollar and another .... say White Dullah Bad ... Tinted Dullah Good??

If the PIslanders play their cards right, they'll cop a motza from both sides... and funnel it all through their family connections and such... win-win-win and eating lobster every day...

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 26th, 2022 at 12:51pm

Grappler Truth Teller Feller wrote on Jul 25th, 2022 at 5:57pm:
Now it's CCP Dollar Diplomacy... good-o - they can offer me a few lazy tens of millions and I'll take it, then crawfish on the deal...

Is there some comparative value between one type of Diplomatic Dollar and another .... say White Dullah Bad ... Tinted Dullah Good??

If the PIslanders play their cards right, they'll cop a motza from both sides... and funnel it all through their family connections and such... win-win-win and eating lobster every day...


The exchange value of a nation's fiat currency is largely (but not exclusively) dependent on the nation's productive capacity, AND the desirability of the nation's  products on overseas markets.

Post WW2, the US dollar has had the privilege of global reserve currency, but Hudson sees the end of this $US status by mid-century, simply because China's real economy is more  productive than the post-industrial,  FIRE economy of the US. China is already the world's largest trading partner with nations in both the developing and developed world 

" In 2013, China became the largest trading nation in the world. The United States previously held that position."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 26th, 2022 at 1:32pm
Pertinent article from Gareth Hutchens, business and economics  journalist:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-24/rba-review-will-it-consider-how-money-is-created-by-the-rba/101263806

It's the last taboo in central banking. So will the RBA review look at how money is created?
By business reporter Gareth Hutchens.

.........

So Philip Lowe should have directly funded the government's  covid rescue package, during the pandemic lock-downs, by simply paying the essential bills of locked-down workers. No more, no less; and certainly not to people who maintained their jobs, or to businesses  like Harvey Norman who prospered through the pandemic.   

That would have avoided two things:

1. creating a build up of funds in private bank accounts which are to blame for the apparent increase in consumer purchasing power (post lockdowns), in an environment of supply chain blockages. 

2. creating massive government debt which "must be repaid" to private sector financiers, an absurd situation which will burden future governments for a generation. 

MMT actually offers the opportunity to banish "inflation" to the dust-bin of history, because central banks could maintain zero interest rates, and directly fund government spending.

The real issue is maintaining a balance between the nation's productive capacity,  and demand on available resources. 

More than one way (ie manipulating central bank interest rates) to skin a cat.   



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jul 29th, 2022 at 11:31pm
The fascinating history of charging interest on loans.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usury

and Thomas Aquina's thoughts:

St. Thomas Aquinas, the leading scholastic theologian of the Catholic Church, argued charging of interest is wrong because it amounts to "double charging", charging for both the thing and the use of the thing. Aquinas said this would be morally wrong in the same way as if one sold a bottle of wine, charged for the bottle of wine, and then charged for the person using the wine to actually drink it.[49] Similarly, one cannot charge for a piece of cake and for the eating of the piece of cake. Yet this, said Aquinas, is what usury does. Money is a medium of exchange, and is used up when it is spent. To charge for the money and for its use (by spending) is therefore to charge for the money twice. It is also to sell time since the usurer charges, in effect, for the time that the money is in the hands of the borrower. Time, however, is not a commodity for which anyone can charge. In condemning usury Aquinas was much influenced by the recently rediscovered philosophical writings of Aristotle and his desire to assimilate Greek philosophy with Christian theology. Aquinas argued that in the case of usury, as in other aspects of Christian revelation, Christian doctrine is reinforced by Aristotelian natural law rationalism. Aristotle's argument is that interest is unnatural, since money, as a sterile element, cannot naturally reproduce itself. Thus, usury conflicts with natural law just as it offends Christian revelation: see Thought of Thomas Aquinas. As such, Aquinas taught "that interest is inherently unjust and one who charges interest sins."

Well, an amazing philosophical examination of money; he certainly knew money is created out of thin air; and that Thatcher's dictum "there is no such thing as a magic money tree" is a simplistic misunderstanding of money. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 1st, 2022 at 1:18pm
More from Gareth Hutchens (see  #227 previous)

Neoliberalism: Full employment abandoned.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-05/interest-rates-rise-expected-to-increase-unemployment/101192934

Rising interest rates could spark job losses. Is this the best system we have?

"But a few weeks ago, American economist Larry Summers said if US policymakers wanted to get their inflation under control they'd have to allow unemployment to rise significantly in coming years.

He said there were few options available to them.

"We need five years of unemployment above 5 per cent to contain inflation — in other words, we need two years of 7.5 per cent unemployment or five years of 6 per cent unemployment or one year of 10 per cent unemployment," he said.

It's not uncommon to hear an economist speak so frankly, and Mr Summers is as mainstream as it gets.

But it was callous".


Indeed, flat-earth neoliberal economists like Summers should be sacked, and forced to live on the dole until full employment is reached. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 3rd, 2022 at 4:17pm
Twitter today from Gareth Hutchens, ABC reporter, economics and business:

"My Twitter feed feels like it’s just economists on one side who are defending the system and saying nothing needs to change and everyone is dumb for thinking change is necessary, and then normal people on the other side who are despairing for themselves, their kids, & the planet".

Brain-dead neoliberal economists , that is....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 5th, 2022 at 5:49pm
https://www.bard.edu/news/bard-economist-l-randall-wray-wins-2022-veblen-commons-award-in-recognition-of-significant-contributions-to-evolutionary-institutional-economics-2022-08-02

Bard Economist L. Randall Wray Wins 2022 Veblen-Commons Award in Recognition of Significant Contributions to Evolutionary Institutional Economics


...the Veblen-Commons Award is presented to scholars “on the basis of their contributions to a better understanding of both the economic process and the behavior of the major institutions that shape that process and society’s goals and values” (Trebing, 1992, 333). By recognizing significant contributions to institutional analysis, this award furthers the goal of institutional economics** to make the world a better place.

** that is, public sector (government) intervention into market economics.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 8th, 2022 at 10:31am
More on the disaster of privatization in employment services.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/aug/06/mutual-obligations-the-money-go-round-of-unemployment-industry?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

"In Australia’s welfare sector obligations are ‘mutual’, but profits flow only one way

As jobseekers face ‘humiliating’ tasks to maintain payments, vast network of job agencies rakes in hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars".


Neoliberalism gone mad.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 8th, 2022 at 10:50am
Tweet from 'Brave New Europe'

The Andalusian regional elections on 19 June showed Spain’s left coalition government is provoking political apathy amongst the poorest Spaniards

What...you mean a Left coalition can't win the support of the poor?....(given that taxes are passe', governments of any stripe can't fund policies that might benefit the poor).

Who'd have thunk it...while private financiers funding government are laughing all the way to the bank.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 11th, 2022 at 10:29am
https://www.crikey.com.au/2022/08/09/labor-the-new-party-of-capital/?utm_campaign=Daily&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter

Labor is now the party of capital. Progressive, social, groovy, but capital’s party it is.
Labor may present itself as progressive and socially conscious, but it has a commitment to capital, and that will drive its actions.


Any reform Labor is associated with will tend to be socio-cultural and individual — gender stuff, assisted dying, etc — rather than socio-economic or political. The pathway opens for Labor to be a fully integrated authoritarian neoliberal party**, increasingly the discipliner of the people it once sought to represent.
  **beginning in the Hawke/Keating era.

Hence the disinterest in lifting the jobseeker rate, while insisting on stage 3 tax cuts benefiting high paid workers. 

As opposed to the ideals of 'Nugget' Coombs, Oz' first governor of the reserve bank, 1960-1968 during the high growth Menzies years):

Coombs's political and economic views were formed by the Great Depression, which hit Australia in 1929 and caused a complete economic collapse in a country totally dependent on commodity exports for its prosperity. As a student in Perth, he was a socialist, but while he was studying at the London School of Economics, he became converted to the economic views of John Maynard Keynes. He spent the rest of his career pursuing Keynesian solutions to Australia's economic problems.

Coombs deplored the breakdown of the postwar Keynesian economic consensus represented by Thatcherism, and in his 1990 book The Return of Scarcity he proposed a Common Wealth Estate to ensure a more equitable distribution of wealth.







Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 12th, 2022 at 10:30am
On Q&A last night, the question was asked whether capitalism is destroying  democracy

(the topic was China's 'aggression' against Taiwan).

The question received  considerable support in the audience and among some panel members, others were more interested discussing why we have to go to war against China.

But people agreed China was not responsible for the  terrible poverty, unemployment and soaring inequality around the world,  and low wages for working people leading to dissatisfaction with democracy even in first world countries. 

Unfortunately no-one noted the problem is not capitalism per se, but rather the evil monetary system which forces governments to borrow money from private financiers, meaning that public services are always woefully underfunded (eg age care workers, teachers, and social workers).

Neoliberal toad Chalmers rejects MMT, I hope his tenure is short.    

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 13th, 2022 at 12:26pm
Some random questions and answers (via google):

1. Do governments buy their own bonds?
When Fed policymakers decide they want to lower interest rates, the Fed buys government bonds. This purchase increases the price of bonds and lowers the interest rate on these bonds. (We can think of this as the Fed increasing the money supply, which makes money more plentiful and drives down the price of borrowing.)

MMT comment: prof Bill Mitchell supports a central bank zero interest rate policy.

2. Why does the government buy or sell bonds?
If the Fed buys bonds in the open market, it increases the money supply in the economy by swapping out bonds in exchange for cash to the general public. Conversely, if the Fed sells bonds, it decreases the money supply by removing cash from the economy in exchange for bonds.

MMT comment: smoke and mirrors, to hide the process of money creation from the public.

3.Where does Fed get money to buy bonds?
The Fed creates money by purchasing securities on the open market and adding the corresponding funds to the bank reserves of commercial banks. Banks then increase the money supply in circulation even more by making loans to consumers and businesses

MMT comment: The government (with its own treasury + central bank) should directly fund  government spending without borrowing (buying or selling bonds) , the limit of the funding being determined by the nation's productivity as manifested by whatever is available for sale to the government in the nation's currency. 

This what Ross Gittins means by "money printing":


Quote:
http://www.rossgittins.com/2021/03/funding-budget-by-printing-money-is.html


Funding the budget by printing money is closer than you think



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 16th, 2022 at 11:53am
MMT to save the climate:

https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/16/5908

Funding of the Energy Transition by Monetary Sovereign Countries

Abstract
If global energy consumption returns to its pre-pandemic growth rate, it will be almost impossible to transition to a zero-emission or net-zero-emission energy system by 2050 in the absence of large-scale CO2 removal. Since relying on unproven technologies for CO2 removal is speculative and risky, this paper considers an energy descent scenario for reaching zero greenhouse gas emissions from energy by 2050. To drive the rapid transition from fossil fuels to carbon-free energy sources and ensure demand reduction, funding is needed urgently in order to implement four strategies: (i) technology change, i.e., implementing the growth of zero-carbon energy production, end-use energy efficiency and ‘green’ energy carriers, together with ongoing R&D on CO2 removal; (ii) reducing climate impacts; (iii) reducing energy consumption by social and behavioural changes; and (iv) improving human wellbeing while increasing social justice. Modern monetary theory explains how monetary sovereign governments, with their own fiat currencies, can create the necessary funding without financial constraints, although constraints do result from the productive capacities of their economies. The energy transition could be part-funded by a significant transfer of resources from monetary sovereign countries of the global North to the global South, financed by currency issuance.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 18th, 2022 at 5:37pm
Article examining the wrong responses of the BofE , to counter inflation:

https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2022/08/18/inflation-is-a-passing-phase-what-we-need-is-help-to-get-through-it-rather-than-pain-to-punish-us-for-it/

Inflation is a passing phase: what we need is help to get through it rather than pain to punish us for it
Posted on August 18 2022,

"The second stage of this is recovery. This could happen in late 2023, but is more likely in 2024. The chance of this relatively short-term recovery depends entirely on the actions taken by the government now. If the plan by the government is to support people with all the help that they need with the aim of keeping people and families well, fit, fed, together and in both their homes and jobs then the recovery stage will be relatively quick. All the foundations for a return to normal will be in place if this is the policy.

Unfortunately, this is not the policy. Tory leadership candidates are saying that they cannot help because there is no money (which we all know to be a lie, because they can create it) whilst the Bank of England is seeking to destroy the chance of people affording heat and food and the prospect of staying in their homes by increasing interest rates. Their intention is to crush spending power when it is already shattered. As a consequence, they want to force business closures and unemployment. They also want to create credit, rent and mortgage crises, all based on making debt unaffordable. In other words, their plan is to leave us in the worst possible place for recovery once prices stabilise, which they will despite, but most definitely not because of, the Bank of England's policies."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 19th, 2022 at 12:05pm
Tweet from Dr Steven Hail:

Steven Hail
@StevenHailAus


"Chris Bowen is a very intelligent man. I must admit to frustration when in his Climate Council conversation tonight he just hoped for more private investment in renewables.

The option of major public investment to shift more rapidly didn't seem to be up for consideration."



Of course, the ALP are thoroughly captured by neoliberal market orthodoxy; Andrew Leigh cites Larry Summers as a guide to economics..... :-[

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 24th, 2022 at 4:51pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50347

It all adds up to the conclusion that system change is required not progressive tinkering

Europe:

"Europe is in a right royal mess and will further have to deviate from its currency architecture (Stability and Growth Pact, etc) if nations are to remain solvent.

The latest Eurozone data released yesterday (August 23, 2022) – Global Flash Eurozone PMI – carried the headline:

Eurozone business activity down for second month running as service sector growth grinds to a near-halt".


The UK:

"The High Pay Centre report notes that:

The fact that pay levels for FTSE 100 CEOs raced away from the average UK worker between the 1980s and the 2000s, mirroring the widening gap between the super-rich and everybody else over the same period, demonstrates how CEO pay is a useful exemplar of wider societal inequality.

This is a global problem.

The average CEO pay is 109 times the average annual wage in Britain. In 2020 it was 79 times higher.

Think about what we are being told about the cost-of-living crisis. This CEO pay binge is being covered by their companies by pushing higher prices onto workers, who are going backwards".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 25th, 2022 at 11:47am
More from Gareth Hutchens:

(tweet)

Ben Chifley’s view of lobbyists who went to Canberra to plead for exemptions from wartime rationing.

“I start off on the assumption that the matter is 90% racket.” (ie, self-interest, as Keating later put it). 

*check the footnote. Ice manufacturers really didn’t want govt-built homes to come with electric refrigerators.....
(because they wanted to maintain a market for their production.   

Govt. built homes?

What a quaint idea.....which neoliberlism disposed of, on the basis of so-called govt. "spending other peoples' money".... 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 26th, 2022 at 11:13am
Gareth Hutchens tweet:

The ILO’s 1933 Convention on Fee-Charging Employment Agencies called for the abolition of most private for-profit employment agencies https://ilo.org/dyn/normlex/en/f?

"The ILO was created in 1919, as part of the Treaty of Versailles that ended World War I, to reflect the belief that universal and lasting peace can be accomplished only if it's based on social justice. In 1946, the ILO became a specialized agency of the United Nations".

We now know government is required to implement social justice, and that government can achieve this by freeing itself from private sector money usurers ----...aka lenders... "who must be repaid", according to the Oz treasurer.   


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Aug 30th, 2022 at 11:23am
Interesting history of "debt jubilees".

tweet from Gareth Hutchens:

Debt jubilees are good and democratic


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbKekBuakAAsBSx?format=png&name=900x900

Of course, modern fiat currency-issuing governments ought not borrow money ("which must be repaid") from private money lenders at all...

Government can purchase whatever is available for sale in the nation's currency, without taxing or borrowing from the private sector who are users , not issuers - of the currency. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 5th, 2022 at 2:46pm
Obviously a currency-issuing govt. shouldn't borrow money to support a locked down economy in a pandemic. Likewise for other spending that doesn't have inflationary implications.

Philip Lowe denied he was directly funding the government at the start of the pandemic, when govt. was spending $20 billion a month to support locked-down workers - and instead booked the bill to the government, hence the "$trillion debt" which "must be repaid", according to Chalmers.

It's a disgusting ruse based on central bank conventions which prevent the public sector from funding social policy , owing to the "debt which must be repaid" narrative. 

The public are fooled, of course,  because they think govt. budgets are like their own household budgets which must be balanced over time. 

But currency issuing governments must balance resource usage, not money budgets.

ie currency-issuing govt. is the ISSUER of the currency, the private setor is the USER of the currency. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 7th, 2022 at 4:36pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50418

Australian national accounts – wage share at record low while corporate profits boom – this is not right!

The logical outcome of neoliberalism. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by FutureTheLeftWant on Sep 7th, 2022 at 4:45pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 4:36pm:
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50418

Australian national accounts – wage share at record low while corporate profits boom – this is not right!

The logical outcome of neoliberalism. 


And the way things generally are before a revolution....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 22nd, 2022 at 12:15pm
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-09-21/rba-says-outlook-for-global-economy-is-worrying/101461316?

She has also explained how the RBA's ability to create money helped to support Australia's economy through the pandemic.

Pity she didn't also explain that the  $375 billion borrowed by the government for the purpose doesn't have to be repaid.

Chalmers is making a fool of himself AND pulling the wool over everyone's eyes, with his "trillion debt that must be repaid" story .....repaid by us....


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 23rd, 2022 at 10:25am
An interesting look at the nature of money, and how wealthy players over centuries have determined the way money is created, for their own benefit of course.

https://moneyontheleft.org/2021/01/01/money-as-a-constitutional-project-with-christine-desan-2/

MONEY AS A CONSTITUTIONAL PROJECT

John Locke’s intervention into this moment of experimentation exposes in a really valuable way the changing philosophical bases of money, the market, and the economy. That is to say, he shows us how the old way of making money and the new way of making money are based on and perpetuate very different ways of thinking about the market and the economy. To leap to John Locke in particular, what he articulates and captures about the new method is that it’s based on the notion that individuals determining their own profit will be, in his view, the best agents for the economy and are the way to understand the economy. That is, we should understand the economy as an aggregation of individuals acting for their own profit. The reason that he comes to encapsulate this view is that he understands money–when you go back and look at his work–as something that people all converge upon for their own interests. Let me just connect that to the new monetary form and then we could talk more about Locke and the specifics about the way he tells the story.

Now, if you think about the new institutions, the device that is supposed to run, this new money making machine, is based on an individual incentive to profit. In particular, the investors have the incentive to lend to the government for their own profit. By calculating the amount that they’ll benefit, they’ll determine how much to lend to the government. So instead of thinking about money as something that is a public medium which the sovereign is controlling, we’re now thinking about money as a medium in which the device that’s calibrating the supply will be the incentive of investors to create money when it’s beneficial to them. This is a very unusual way of thinking about money, or thinking about individual profit, because, as you know, in the medieval world, usury, or making money for profit and making profit on money, was considered a vice and a sin. Greed was a sin. It was the office of the church that tried to suppress human motivation for greed and self serving profit."


Indeed. And so today we see the public sector at the mercy of private investors acting from self-interest.

Of course we need the private sector's greed as a motivator of economic activity and invention; but forcing the public sector to depend on the private sector for funding is a mistake which is causing immense suffering around the globe, because governments cannot 'afford' to  house, clothe, feed and employ everyone (as employer of last resort). 

The solution is to divide the power of money creation between the public and private sectors, as required to eradicate  social and economic disadvantage.


In the previous post, the capacity of central banks to create money is acknowledged, confirmed by prof. Bill Mitchell:

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50504

Central banks can operate with negative equity forever

It's time this capacity is transparently utilized on behalf of the public sector, without Chalmers' 'debt which must be repaid' nonsense.   



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 24th, 2022 at 4:47pm
https://www.ft.com/content/b4b1860e-ac02-4b9e-8770-ed9111208cfd

How I learned to stop worrying about public debt and inflation:

some economic arguments for benign neglect.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Sep 30th, 2022 at 8:06am
Insight into the current private sector financial mayhem in the UK, stabilized by the BofE. 

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50528

The last week in Britain demonstrates key MMT propositions

"There was commentary earlier this week (September 26, 2022) from an investment banker entitled ‘MMT takes a pounding’. I won’t link to it because I don’t want to send traffic to their site. But it is the narrative that the financial market commentators who desire to politicise public debate and use it to attack their pet hates. Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) apparently is a pet hate of this character and like many with similar biases he has been champing at the bit for some semblance of ‘evidence’ that MMT analysis is flawed. This week’s events in Britain have given them more succour. Except when you understand what has actually happened, demonstrates key MMT propositions.


Meanwhile, Liz Truss's fiscal policies will increase inequality in the UK, as higher interest rates transfer money from borrowers to wealthy home owners without mortgages. 


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by wombatwoody on Oct 3rd, 2022 at 6:40pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 1st, 2022 at 8:12am:

Jasin wrote on Feb 28th, 2022 at 10:26pm:
Black is the colour of Money.
The Black Market is the oldest in history.


Money is  the oldest delusion in the world; it is always created out of nothing, yet people still think it's a commodity. 


Banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies
  -- Thomas Jefferson

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-xik96nX1k

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 4th, 2022 at 2:19pm

wombatwoody wrote on Oct 3rd, 2022 at 6:40pm:
Banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies
  -- Thomas Jefferson

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-xik96nX1k


So true, in fact private money lenders, who create money out of nothing and demand repayment of loans  with interest are partly responsible for the competition  between nations which leads to war.

Sovereign currency-issuing governements of course ought to fund themselves with debt-free money, the limit being the nation's productive capacity, 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 5th, 2022 at 7:34pm
https://theconversation.com/orthodox-thinking-wont-cut-it-why-mathias-cormanns-leadership-of-the-oecd-has-economists-worried-191665?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=bylinetwitterbutton

Orthodox thinking won’t cut it: why Mathias Cormann’s leadership of the OECD has economists worried

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 8th, 2022 at 1:09pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5LvyxH3O7kE


The appallingly bad Neo-Classical Economics of Climate Change.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 13th, 2022 at 10:52am
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/2022/oct/06/australians-on-120k-are-not-middle-income-earners-we-must-remake-australia-not-spend-243bn-on-the-rich

Jim Chalmers has a unique chance to remake Australia – or to squander $243bn on the rich
Richard Denniss


Today we learn things are going backwards in nursing homes, even after the terrible Royal Commision findings last year; crunch time for the budget can't be too far away.....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 15th, 2022 at 10:49am
.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by wombatwoody on Oct 15th, 2022 at 1:26pm
Alex Krainer - market analyst, researcher, trader and hedge fund manager since 1996

Rather than waging never-ending wars, blowing up bridges and pipelines or assassinating Vladimir Putin, western powers would do better to focus on reforming our monetary system and embrace honest money. Even a miraculous military victory over Russia would do no more than delay the day of reckoning.

Last week, on Oct. 6, Kristalina Georgieva, IMF's Managing Director gave a speech at the Georgetown University in Washington where she explained that the global economy, which was expected to recover strongly after the Covid 19 pandemic, experienced a "shock, after shock, after shock" instead, that it is now experiencing a "fundamental shift," and that this shift could create a "dangerous new normal." Georgieva thinks this can only be mitigated by "countries working together."  ...

It's the banks, not Vladimir Putin.

So then, what would be the "fundamental shift," and the "dangerous new normal" that IMF's Georgieva is worried about? I believe that the worry is that (((the rules-based global order))) is falling into a profound economic, social and political crisis that could be long and very severe.

And even while we are all encouraged to come together and hate on Russia and Vladimir Putin, that's not where this crisis emanated from.

Rather, it emanated from the fraudulent monetary system that's largely shaped our rules-based global order and which has had an impressive track record of incentivizing forever wars and generating chronic crises.


https://thenakedhedgie.com/2022/10/12/the-real-war-people-vs-the-banks/

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 15th, 2022 at 2:54pm

wombatwoody wrote on Oct 15th, 2022 at 1:26pm:
Georgieva thinks this can only be mitigated by "countries working together."  ...


Georgieva is of course a neoclassical orthodox economist, who has no idea of how to get "countries to work together". 

Her IMF ("Instant Misery Fund") - a US stooge - is part of the problem, not the solution.

Hopefully the coming recession will destroy the global financial order itself (and institutions like the IMF and the BIS ) which is based on greed-generated debt-money (via private money lenders). 

See Neil Oliver #251 (a few posts back).








Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 18th, 2022 at 10:19am
https://bookauthority.org/books/best-monetary-policy-books?t=ha3u51&s=author&book=1541736184

20 Best Monetary Policy Books of All Time

MMT Prof. Stephanie Kelton's best-seller 'The Deficit Myth' is listed at #3.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 21st, 2022 at 10:33am
In an article from David Speers today:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-20/budget-jim-chalmers-three-foundations-tax/101553976?utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=abc_news_newsmail_am_sfmc&utm_term=&utm_id=1960774&sfmc_id=103574144

"More spending is also unavoidable in what's now being called the "big five" areas putting the budget under increasing strain: the NDIS, aged care, health, defence and interest payments on debt."

It's the last one on which MMT has something to offer.

To whom is this government debt owed?  ....debt which increases as interest rates set by the central bank rise.

So more of our taxes must be spent on servicing this debt owed to...whom?

Answer:  private sector money lenders (private banks, pension funds, hedge funds, insurers etc).

So we have the absurd situation in which - as a result of government debt accumulated in order to rescue locked-down workers in a pandemic - private sector money lenders are making a killing on the backs of taxpayers in the form of interest payments on debt owed to those private sector money lenders (the last of the 'big 5' spending areas noted above).

Philip Lowe (at a parliamentary hearing) denied he was funding government  when the central bank was injecting $20 billion a month into the locked down economy during the height of the pandemic.

Indeed he wasn't "printing money", he was selling government bonds to the usual private sectr players.

But in fact he SHOULD have injected the required $20 billion a month into the bank accounts of locked-down workers, merely by changing the digits (as required) in the bank accounts of those locked down workers.

No need at all, to borrow the money from the private sector who are now owed $1 trillion by the government - debt which must now be repaid with interest to private sector players on the backs of all taxpayers.

Madness.










"


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 21st, 2022 at 11:03am

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 21st, 2022 at 10:33am:
In an article from David Speers today:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-20/budget-jim-chalmers-three-foundations-tax/101553976?utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=abc_news_newsmail_am_sfmc&utm_term=&utm_id=1960774&sfmc_id=103574144

"More spending is also unavoidable in what's now being called the "big five" areas putting the budget under increasing strain: the NDIS, aged care, health, defence and interest payments on debt."

It's the last one on which MMT has something to offer.

To whom is this government debt owed?  ....debt which increases as interest rates set by the central bank rise.

So more of our taxes must be spent on servicing this debt owed to...whom?

Answer:  private sector money lenders (private banks, pension funds, hedge funds, insurers etc).

So we have the absurd situation in which - as a result of government debt accumulated in order to rescue locked-down workers in a pandemic - private sector money lenders are making a killing on the backs of taxpayers in the form of interest payments on debt owed to those private sector money lenders (the last of the 'big 5' spending areas noted above).

Philip Lowe (at a parliamentary hearing) denied he was funding government  when the central bank was injecting $20 billion a month into the locked down economy during the height of the pandemic.

Indeed he wasn't "printing money", he was selling government bonds to the usual private sectr players.

But in fact he SHOULD have injected the required $20 billion a month into the bank accounts of locked-down workers, merely by changing the digits (as required) in the bank accounts of those locked down workers.

No need at all, to borrow the money from the private sector who are now owed $1 trillion by the government - debt which must now be repaid with interest to private sector players on the backs of all taxpayers.

Madness.
"


No - the RBA printed that money -
it's mostly owed to the RBA.


Govts. print Govt. bonds and the Reserve bank buys them by printing money.
It's funny money that is created out of nothing.
It causes inflation and even hyperinflation -
it robs people of their life savings and puts the Govt. into debt they can never pay off -
they just print more Govt. bonds to cover the debt -
and it spirals in to total collapse of the financial system.

Unfortunately the last 10 years of Libbo Govt here created $1 trillion of such debt
as they went on a spending spree like drunken sailors
with money they didn't have.
I am very worried about it.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 21st, 2022 at 1:00pm

Bobby. wrote on Oct 21st, 2022 at 11:03am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 21st, 2022 at 10:33am:
In an article from David Speers today:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-20/budget-jim-chalmers-three-foundations-tax/101553976?utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=abc_news_newsmail_am_sfmc&utm_term=&utm_id=1960774&sfmc_id=103574144

"More spending is also unavoidable in what's now being called the "big five" areas putting the budget under increasing strain: the NDIS, aged care, health, defence and interest payments on debt."

It's the last one on which MMT has something to offer.

To whom is this government debt owed?  ....debt which increases as interest rates set by the central bank rise.

So more of our taxes must be spent on servicing this debt owed to...whom?

Answer:  private sector money lenders (private banks, pension funds, hedge funds, insurers etc).

So we have the absurd situation in which - as a result of government debt accumulated in order to rescue locked-down workers in a pandemic - private sector money lenders are making a killing on the backs of taxpayers in the form of interest payments on debt owed to those private sector money lenders (the last of the 'big 5' spending areas noted above).

Philip Lowe (at a parliamentary hearing) denied he was funding government  when the central bank was injecting $20 billion a month into the locked down economy during the height of the pandemic.

Indeed he wasn't "printing money", he was selling government bonds to the usual private sectr players.

But in fact he SHOULD have injected the required $20 billion a month into the bank accounts of locked-down workers, merely by changing the digits (as required) in the bank accounts of those locked down workers.

No need at all, to borrow the money from the private sector who are now owed $1 trillion by the government - debt which must now be repaid with interest to private sector players on the backs of all taxpayers.

Madness.
"


No - the RBA printed that money -
it's mostly owed to the RBA.


The RBA should have "printed the money" ...though as I said, no money was required to be "printed" in the pandemic, rather the RBA should have merely changed the digits in the bank accounts of locked-down workers so they could pay their essential bills.

In fact the RBA borrowed the money from private sector money lenders, which is why the government is now faced with repaying a $1 trillion debt with interest.

You are asserting Chalmers is lying when he says the "debt has to be repaid", because if the debt has to be repaid to the RBA which is an arm of government, not the private sector, then the RBA is merely repaying the debt to itself, and doesn't need taxpayer funds for that purpose.


Quote:
Govts. print Govt. bonds and the Reserve bank buys them by printing money.
It's funny money that is created out of nothing.


What you fail to grasp is ALL money is created out of nothing, whether in private banks (when they write loans for credit worthy customes), or the RBA, on behalf of government, when the RBA buys bonds to enable funding for a specific government program.



Quote:
It causes inflation and even hyperinflation -


Not if the spending is non-inflationary, and within the capacity of the economy to absorb the spending.


Quote:
it robs people of their life savings


not if the spending is non-inflationary,


Quote:
and puts the Govt. into debt they can never pay off -


That is correct. But a currency-issuing government should NEVER go into debt, rather spending should be limited by the nation's productive capacity.


Quote:
they just print more Govt. bonds to cover the debt and it spirals in to total collapse of the financial system.


No, the taxpayer is on the hook to this $1 trillion debt, which must be repaid to private sector money lenders. That is the crime. The government should not have borrowed a brass razzoo during the pandemic.


Quote:
Unfortunately the last 10 years of Libbo Govt here created $1 trillion of such debt
as they went on a spending spree like drunken sailors
with money they didn't have.
I am very worried about it.


What exactly was Frydenberg to do in 2020, when unemployment queues suddenly started stretching around entire city blocks?

He had no choice but to pay the essential bills of locked down workers - costing around $20 billion a month - unless you wanted a violent revolution...

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 24th, 2022 at 12:48pm
Interesting question from one 'Hugh Grant', on twitter today:

"I'm very intrigued by MMT and reading a book about it.(Stephanie Kelton's best-seller 'The Deficit Myth").
But it seems to me that until the MARKETS believe in it, any government will be forced to show old fashioned “fiscal responsibility”. Otherwise govt debt crashes and with it pension funds etc. No?"


The greed-based private sector has its own reasons for remaining blind - and even denying - the wealth creation capacity of the public sector, of course....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 24th, 2022 at 2:08pm
Answers for thegreatdivide:


Quote:
In fact the RBA borrowed the money from private sector money lenders, which is why the government is now faced with repaying a $1 trillion debt with interest.

I'm not sure if that's true.
What happens if the Govt. can't repay?
is more money printed?



Quote:
Not if the spending is non-inflationary, and within the capacity
of the economy to absorb the spending.

The spending has been inflationary.


Quote:
That is correct. But a currency-issuing government should NEVER go into debt,
rather spending should be limited by the nation's productive capacity.

We are in debt -  $1 trillion so what is your point of contention?


Quote:
What exactly was Frydenberg to do in 2020, when unemployment queues suddenly started stretching around entire city blocks?

He had no choice but to pay the essential bills of locked down workers - costing around $20 billion a month - unless you wanted a violent revolution...

Frydenberg just went along for the ride with the lockdowns which are
now being investigated as an over-reach.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/oct/20/australia-covid-lockdown-rules-restrictions-lacked-fairness-compassion-school-closures-unnecessary-report
The alternative was to tell people to go back to work.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Oct 24th, 2022 at 2:16pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 24th, 2022 at 12:48pm:
The greed-based private sector has its own reasons for remaining blind - and even denying - the wealth creation capacity of the public sector, of course....


Wealth creation, whether public or private, requires the investment of wealth already created.
You do not consume your entire crop but set some aside as seed, or capital. Yes, you can borrow someone who else's real capital but you have to pay it back with real capital in return, not monopoly money.

Public sector wealth creation is no different from the private. There needs to be surplus capital - seed - created on the investment, otherwise it's just consumption.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 24th, 2022 at 4:28pm
Ex-governor of UK central bank [BofE] Mervin King gets it wrong, of course.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/central-banks-got-it-wrong-during-covid-says-former-governor/ar-AA13hWN0?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=8d0de55865554fcdbda0e7107d347999

"King said “all central banks in the West” had failed in their duty to control inflation, and said they had fallen into a mindset of resorting to printing money whenever there was bad news.

“During COVID, when the economy was actually contracting because of lockdown, central banks decided it was a good time to print a lot of money,” he told the BBC. “That was a mistake. That led to inflation. We had too much money chasing too few goods. And the result was inflation. That was predictable. It was predicted, and it happened.”



The mistake was for central banks to spray borrowed money around to people and businesses who didn't need it; only locked-down workers with no means of paying their ongoing living expenses should have been supported by central banks - using the central banks'  debt-free money-creation capacity. 

We need another pandemic to prove the point to those fools.

How much government debt must be created before central bankers admit their error of forcing governments (during time of market failure) to borrow interest-bearing debt from private sector money lenders who are consequently  'laughing all the way to the bank' on the back of taxpayers?




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:21am

Bobby. wrote on Oct 24th, 2022 at 2:08pm:
Answers for thegreatdivide:


Quote:
In fact the RBA borrowed the money from private sector money lenders, which is why the government is now faced with repaying a $1 trillion debt with interest.


I'm not sure if that's true.
What happens if the Govt. can't repay?
is more money printed?


It is assumed the govt. can repay its long-dated bonds when they come due (10 years and more in the future).

But unlike private sector players - users of the currency - the currency-issuing govt. can always issue more debt.

However, I will post yesterday's  article from prof. Bill Mitchell examining this very issue in detail - see #268 following.

Bill claims much of the debt is actually owed to the government itself - including interest on the debt - so there are no negative implications re this debt.

That's certainly not what Chalmers is telling us (lying to us?).


Quote:
The spending has been inflationary.


Correct, but only because the spending was poorly targeted; it should only have gone to locked down workers (and others without a source of income), and only to pay their essential living expenses while in lockdown.  Then there would have been no inflationary impcts, because these workers wouldn't have built up any extra funds to spend after the pandemic lockdowns were lifted.


Quote:
We are in debt -  $1 trillion so what is your point of contention?


That the currency-issuing govt. should never go into debt in the first place. Bill touches on this point when he says govt. shouldn't sell bonds - which amount to welfare for the rich. 


Quote:
Frydenberg just went along for the ride with the lockdowns which arenow being investigated as an over-reach.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/oct/20/australia-covid-lockdown-rules-restrictions-lacked-fairness-compassion-school-closures-unnecessary-report


Yes, and indeed as I said, the poorly targeted and often excessive spending needs to be examined thoroughly.


Quote:
The alternative was to tell people to go back to work.


From March to August in 2020, no-one knew the extent of covid's ability to kill, as horrific scenes of mass death began emerging all around the globe. Everyone including the bosses readily accepted lockdowns as absolutely necessary, so no (non-essential) jobs were available.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:27am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50678

A circular system of nonsense – conventional media reporting on the monetary system

An informative expose of mainstream groupthink, and the call for 'austerity' (easy to support when you are secure in a well-paid job, like most economists).   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:39am

Frank wrote on Oct 24th, 2022 at 2:16pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 24th, 2022 at 12:48pm:
The greed-based private sector has its own reasons for remaining blind - and even denying - the wealth creation capacity of the public sector, of course....


Wealth creation, whether public or private, requires the investment of wealth already created.


True, but the point is the public sector can create debt free money, to utilize available resources not employed in the private sector, eg, trainee teachers. 


Quote:
You do not consume your entire crop but set some aside as seed, or capital. Yes, you can borrow someone who else's real capital but you have to pay it back with real capital in return, not monopoly money.


Again, you are denying the concept of public-sector- created money.... money which is NOT monopoly money, any more than private-sector-created, interest- bearing money (in private banks).

The important thing is the TOTAL created-money doesn't exceed the nation's productive capacity, and hence ability to absorb the combined public and private spending. 


Quote:
Public sector wealth creation is no different from the private. There needs to be surplus capital - seed - created on the investment, otherwise it's just consumption.


Agreed; but those trainee teachers - an important part of the nation's future wealth creation - exist as a resource, not as money.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:28am

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:27am:
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50678

A circular system of nonsense – conventional media reporting on the monetary system

An informative expose of mainstream groupthink, and the call for 'austerity' (easy to support when you are secure in a well-paid job, like most economists).   



But an article referred to explains quite well how MMT
nearly caused the collapse of the UK system:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-24/liz-truss-could-teach-jim-chalmers-tax-cuts/101567770


The UK's net debt has now reached 98 per cent of Gross Domestic Product. Its debt pile, in other words, is within a whisker of its annual output. The former prime minister and her departed chancellor sparked primarily was the result of a plan to cut taxes by around 45 billion pounds.

The rationale dated back to the Thatcher era ethos that lower taxes would spur growth.

There was just one problem. The numbers just wouldn't add up. Denying the coffers that kind of revenue would blow out the deficit and would have to be funded by issuing extra debt.

Bond traders, aghast at the proposition, dumped British debt, pushing down
the price and lifting the yield, or interest rate. Within days, losses on bond markets and rapidly escalating yields created panic selling which further depressed bond prices pushing market interest rates even higher.

As the situation spiralled out of control, UK banks, unable to price or raise debt in the turmoil, stopped issuing mortgages and the Bank of England was forced to ride to the rescue.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:33am
Here's the other ABC article:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-24/trillion-dollar-government-debt-how-big-problem/101562584

The government is sitting on (nearly) a trillion dollars of debt. How big a problem is it?

By political reporter Tom Lowrey
Posted Yesterday at 4:55am, updated 20h ago



There's one phrase that's been getting a real work-out ever since Labor's election win in May.

The treasurer and finance minister have both made plenty of references to the "trillion dollar debt" weighing down the budget they inherited.

It has helped build a case for restrained spending and budget repair, offered as a key reason why the government cannot take up all sorts of ideas.

One trillion dollars is undoubtedly a very large amount of money.

But by global standards, it's not an unusually large debt — or even a particularly remarkable figure.

And it's not quite a trillion dollars, either.
So how big is the national debt?

At the end of June, the total size of Australia's national debt was $895 billion.

That's about $100 billion short a trillion dollars.

But many economists argue the total, or gross debt figure is not the best debt figure to look at.

They point to the net debt figure, which takes the total debt then subtracts many of the government's financial assets — like cash it holds, deposits and loans it is owed.

That figure is substantially lower, at $515 billion, or just over half a trillion dollars.

Which is still a huge amount of money. But economists also look to another key indicator.
They compare the size of the debt, to the size of Australia's economy.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:52am

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:27am:
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50678

A circular system of nonsense – conventional media reporting on the monetary system

An informative expose of mainstream groupthink, and the call for 'austerity' (easy to support when you are secure in a well-paid job, like most economists).   



I've posted the articles referred to above.
I don't think even the Govt. knew what they were doing.
The idea that you could lock up most workers and pay them
borrowed money and that it was all going to be OK financially
is complete and utter nonsense.
I never once saw the PM or anyone else explain the downsides of their approach.
Do they even know themselves?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 3:03pm
I'll tell you all what happened.

The Liberals stayed in power for 10 years because every year they
borrowed more and more money to keep the party going -
keep everyone happy with borrowed money -
it was like you having a party at your place using a credit card to buy more beer.
After 10 years the game is up -
we've woken up to a hangover of $1 trillion in Liberal debt.
My guess is that Labor will have learnt that Liberal party trick
and in 10 years time under Labor Govts. we'll be in $2 trillion of debt.

What's worse is that extra money found its way into non productive assets
causing massive inflation in a housing bubble and rising share prices.
At the same time wages were stagnant.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 3:31pm

Bobby. wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:33am:
Here's the other ABC article:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-24/trillion-dollar-government-debt-how-big-problem/101562584

The government is sitting on (nearly) a trillion dollars of debt. How big a problem is it?

By political reporter Tom Lowrey
Posted Yesterday at 4:55am, updated 20h ago



There's one phrase that's been getting a real work-out ever since Labor's election win in May.

The treasurer and finance minister have both made plenty of references to the "trillion dollar debt" weighing down the budget they inherited.

It has helped build a case for restrained spending and budget repair, offered as a key reason why the government cannot take up all sorts of ideas.

One trillion dollars is undoubtedly a very large amount of money.

But by global standards, it's not an unusually large debt — or even a particularly remarkable figure.

And it's not quite a trillion dollars, either.
So how big is the national debt?

At the end of June, the total size of Australia's national debt was $895 billion.

That's about $100 billion short a trillion dollars.

But many economists argue the total, or gross debt figure is not the best debt figure to look at.

They point to the net debt figure, which takes the total debt then subtracts many of the government's financial assets — like cash it holds, deposits and loans it is owed.

That figure is substantially lower, at $515 billion, or just over half a trillion dollars.

Which is still a huge amount of money. But economists also look to another key indicator.
They compare the size of the debt, to the size of Australia's economy.


That very article by Lowrey was fully debunked by prof. Bill Mitchell yesterday, in the article I linked.  Lowrey is as confused by central bank monetary operations as anyone, so I will let Bill's refutation of Lowrey - a mere journalist without any training training in economics as far as I can discover - stand.

Now to your more interesting link purporting to show MMT failed in the UK and caused Truss's downfall. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 25th, 2022 at 5:25pm

Bobby. wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 10:28am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 8:27am:
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50678

A circular system of nonsense – conventional media reporting on the monetary system

An informative expose of mainstream groupthink, and the call for 'austerity' (easy to support when you are secure in a well-paid job, like most economists).   



But an article referred to explains quite well how MMT
nearly caused the collapse of the UK system:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-24/liz-truss-could-teach-jim-chalmers-tax-cuts/101567770


Interestingly, Bill Mitchell dealt with the Truss-UK shenanigans last week (Mon Oct.17th):

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50622

British currency gyrations are about weak government not fiscal deficits.


Quote:
The UK's net debt has now reached 98 per cent of Gross Domestic Product. Its debt pile, in other words, is within a whisker of its annual output. The former prime minister and her departed chancellor sparked primarily was the result of a plan to cut taxes by around 45 billion pounds.


Interestingly, Lowrey left Japan off his table which compared countries' debt to GDP ratios - Japan's debt to GDP is 240%.


Quote:
The rationale dated back to the Thatcher era ethos that lower taxes would spur growth.

There was just one problem. The numbers just wouldn't add up. Denying the coffers that kind of revenue would blow out the deficit and would have to be funded by issuing extra debt.


True. But the whole problem can be avoided if the govt. DOESN'T issue debt at all - which is what MMT is all about; these characters think "money printing" funded by selling govt. bonds - is what MMT is all about, but they are wrong.


Quote:
Bond traders, aghast at the proposition, dumped British debt, pushing down
the price and lifting the yield, or interest rate. Within days, losses on bond markets and rapidly escalating yields created panic selling which further depressed bond prices pushing market interest rates even higher.

As the situation spiralled out of control, UK banks, unable to price or raise debt in the turmoil, stopped issuing mortgages and the Bank of England was forced to ride to the rescue.


All true, and nothing to do with MMT.

As Bill fully examines:

"One Tweet, from a former advisor to the Shadow British Chancellor in Corbyn’s Opposition, who seems obsessed with slighting MMT whenever he gets the chance (to reduce his own insecurity no doubt) said:

You can’t wish away global capitalism, or its national features, because British govt can issue its own currency – this is essence of MMT approaches, we’ve now seen their limits. A radical govt *in particular* needs clear rules and a transparent, well-understood plan.

This is one of many recent claims that the economic turmoil in the UK as well as the global inflationary pressures are evidence that MMT is nonsense.

Apparently, progressives still think that the global gamblers in the financial markets are all powerful and a currency-issuing government can only get away with policies that are ‘approved’ of by these amorphous greed merchants.


So no, the article purporting to "explain quite well how MMT nearly caused the collapse of the UK system" is nothing more than orthodox mainstream groupthink, thoroughly refuted by Bill, who goes onto look at various bond vigilante attacks on currencies in recent history, as well as the examples of Australia and Japan which have not been subject to such attacks.   



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 25th, 2022 at 7:57pm
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/oct/25/jim-chalmers-first-budget-comes-amid-a-darkening-economic-outlook-heres-what-could-go-wrong

The burden of debt

On the positive side, buoyant commodity prices and more people in jobs will deliver a cumulative $42.7bn improvement to the underlying cash balance across the four years to 2025-26.

However, that balance will remain firmly in the red, rising from 1.4% of GDP in the year to last June to 1.8-2.0% of GDP by 2024-25 and 2025-26.

Gross debt will also pass $1tn in 2023-24, up from $895bn in the year just ended, to $1.159tn by 2025-26.
A sniffer dog
From solar power for renters to detector dogs – 10 budget measures you may have missed
Read more

Rising interest rates will take their toll on the budget too, requiring $12bn in extra repayment costs by the end of the forecast estimates, as compared with pre-election predictions. By 2025-26, the net cost of servicing federal debt will reach $26.5bn, or 1% of GDP, or about double the $13.5bn to be shelled out this fiscal year.

However, the sting in debt repayments will come later since most debt out to 2026 will still be on low interest rates. By 2032-33, debt repayments will climb to 1.8% of GDP, with the cost climbing by an annual average of 14.4% in the decade from 2022-23

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 26th, 2022 at 10:36am
https://fee.org/articles/how-modern-monetary-theory-experiment-lost-badly-to-basic-economics/

MMT may be “modern,” but it has done nothing but revive old problems. Stagflation has returned. People have been paid not to work while businesses struggle to find employees––and, the financial markets now sit atop numerous bubbles. In many ways, MMT has proven to be nothing more than a Super-Market Sweeps style grabbing of all the worst economic phenomena of the 1970s, social welfare, and the 2008 crisis.

The only responsible choice is to discard MMT, now clearly a disproven theory,
to the trash heap of history. Kelton, in her Ted Talk, quoted Margaret Thatcher in an attempt to display fault and antiquation in the Iron Lady’s thinking, but Thatcher’s quote is more relevant to MMT and economics today than ever.

“Let us never forget this fundamental truth. The state has no source of money other than the money people earn themselves,” Thatcher observed. “If the state wishes to spend more, it can do so only by borrowing your savings or by taxing you more. There is no such thing as public money, there is only taxpayers’ money.”

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 26th, 2022 at 12:14pm

Bobby. wrote on Oct 25th, 2022 at 7:57pm:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/oct/25/jim-chalmers-first-budget-comes-amid-a-darkening-economic-outlook-heres-what-could-go-wrong

The burden of debt

On the positive side, buoyant commodity prices and more people in jobs will deliver a cumulative $42.7bn improvement to the underlying cash balance across the four years to 2025-26.

However, that balance will remain firmly in the red, rising from 1.4% of GDP in the year to last June to 1.8-2.0% of GDP by 2024-25 and 2025-26.

Gross debt will also pass $1tn in 2023-24, up from $895bn in the year just ended, to $1.159tn by 2025-26.
A sniffer dog
From solar power for renters to detector dogs – 10 budget measures you may have missed
Read more

Rising interest rates will take their toll on the budget too, requiring $12bn in extra repayment costs by the end of the forecast estimates, as compared with pre-election predictions. By 2025-26, the net cost of servicing federal debt will reach $26.5bn, or 1% of GDP, or about double the $13.5bn to be shelled out this fiscal year.

However, the sting in debt repayments will come later since most debt out to 2026 will still be on low interest rates. By 2032-33, debt repayments will climb to 1.8% of GDP, with the cost climbing by an annual average of 14.4% in the decade from 2022-23


More mainstream nonsense from the Guardian.

Bill Mitchell answered a question about interest on the (near $1 trillion) govt. debt: 

"First, the current outstanding debt was issued at lower yields and interest rate movements or shifts in traded yields in the secondary bond market in response to interest rate movements have not impact on the fixed yield that is attached to the already issued debt.

So the (less than) trillion dollar debt is not to be factored into the calculation. The servicing payments are known and invariant to the shifts in RBA policy.

It is only new debt that will be issued that will reflect the slight rise in yields in the primary bond market.

And taken together will not be a “large budget item” (as claimed by Chalmers).


And Alan Kohler further explodes the mainstream debt and deficit mythology:

https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2022/10/24/deficit-debt-economics-kohler/

"It is that deficits and surpluses are about politics, not economics.
Since 1970-71, there have been 36 deficits totalling $795 billion and 17 surpluses totalling $176 billion.

If deficits were an economic problem rather than just political, Australia would be in serious economic trouble, and Japan would be in worse trouble, having had nothing but huge deficits for 30 years.
But they’re not, and we’re not.

“Deficits” and “debt” are actually the wrong words – the number simply represents the amount of government spending financed by bonds instead of taxes.

The “deficit” is not a loss, like a company’s, but represents the money the government is injecting into the private economy. The bonds are private savings to be returned later rather than taxes that citizens only get back as government services and pensions.

Last month Jim Chalmers said this week’s budget would be “the beginning … of a big national conversation about our economic challenges (and) the structural position of the budget going forward …”.

Good. But he has got off to a bad start by whinging about the debt and deficits he has inherited and telling us in his July economic statement that “interest payments on government debt will be the fastest-growing area of government spending – faster than the NDIS, aged care and hospital funding”.

Wrong way, go back! The amount of government spending, and how much of it is funded by taxes or bonds, is far less important than what it’s being spent on.

Chalmers is about to bring down a budget that has no surpluses in the forward estimates, only deficits and debt.

His “big national conversation” needs to be about why that’s OK, and a good start would be to stop whingeing about the debt and interest."


...likewise that mainstream Guardian journailst who mistakenly thinks he knows something worthwhile knowing about economics.






Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 26th, 2022 at 12:39pm

Bobby. wrote on Oct 26th, 2022 at 10:36am:
https://fee.org/articles/how-modern-monetary-theory-experiment-lost-badly-to-basic-economics/


The only responsible choice is to discard MMT, now clearly a disproven theory,
to the trash heap of history.


MMT has never been implemented; MMT doesn't see currency-issuing govt.  borrowing from private sector money lenders, as is the current convention.

And as Alan Kohler notes:

“Deficits” and “debt” are actually the wrong words – the number simply represents the amount of government spending financed by bonds instead of taxes.


Quote:
Kelton, in her Ted Talk, quoted Margaret Thatcher in an attempt to display fault and antiquation in the Iron Lady’s thinking, but Thatcher’s quote is more relevant to MMT and economics today than ever.

“Let us never forget this fundamental truth. The state has no source of money other than the money people earn themselves,” Thatcher observed.


..which is the current evil convention; the funding requirements of  public sector ("the state")  should be free from the greedy private-sector money lenders who demand interest on loans.

The private sector's money creation and lending activities should be confined to...the private sector.

The state has access to resources which the private sector does not, eg people who want to be teachers in state schools.



Quote:
“If the state wishes to spend more, it can do so only by borrowing your savings or by taxing you more. There is no such thing as public money, there is only taxpayers’ money.”


That's the evil convention**, examined above. The state needs to tax, not in order to fund its social expenditures, but rather to take money out of the economy, if necessary to cool an over-heating private sector.

**evil, because if "there is no such thing as public money" (sic), there will always be poverty c.10% even in rich countries, as we see everywhere in the 1st world.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 26th, 2022 at 7:19pm
https://expose-news.com/2022/10/26/vernon-coleman-now-youre-paying-the-price/




The crazed enthusiasts who supported Modern Monetary Theory

(which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad.

Let us spare a moment for Gordon the Moron (which just happened to be the title of my book about Gordon Brown). Gordon didn’t just sell our gold at the bottom of the market (and tell everyone what he was going to do before he did it) but he also gave the Bank of England independence. That was a brilliant move, too, wasn’t it?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:10am
Prof. Richard Murphy calls for more QE ("money printing") in the UK, to avoid Rishi Sunak's coming 'austerity'.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/austerity-something-britain-simply-cant-28328555

'Austerity is something Britain simply can’t afford - and we will all pay the price'

Two top professors who predicted Liz Truss' downfall have outlined their own plan to help salvage the country's economy and deal with the mounting crises facing the new prime minister.

1 "We would cover whatever the remaining cost of the energy price cap might be by using more quantitative easing. That’s the process of government money creation that paid for Covid – and must pay for this crisis too. Doing that will immediately reduce the pressure on interest rates because less will have to be borrowed. If £65billion of QE was offered only two weeks ago to save pension funds, then the same amount can be offered now to save households from high energy bills".

2 "QE is one way to raise funds. Another is to borrow direct from the public, bypassing financial markets. If National Savings & Investments offered a flexible savings account at a competitive interest rate and this was available in an ISA, we think many tens of billions might be raised to pay for most government investment programmes that will keep the economy afloat at lower cost than bond issues".


and 3 more suggestions, as per the article.

Directly refuting Dr Vernon Coleman's  views on "money printing (and MMT, which QE isn't...).


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:29am

Bobby. wrote on Oct 26th, 2022 at 7:19pm:
https://expose-news.com/2022/10/26/vernon-coleman-now-youre-paying-the-price/




The crazed enthusiasts who supported Modern Monetary Theory

(which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad.

Let us spare a moment for Gordon the Moron (which just happened to be the title of my book about Gordon Brown). Gordon didn’t just sell our gold at the bottom of the market (and tell everyone what he was going to do before he did it) but he also gave the Bank of England independence. That was a brilliant move, too, wasn’t it?


Coleman - another fool who thinks "money printing" describes MMT.

In any case, MMT is not responsible for idiot central bankers who shovelled money out to everyone including those who didn't need it, during the pandemic lockdowns, which has caused (a small part of) the current inflationary episode.

MMT refutes the current convention of government borrowing by selling bonds which enrich financial dealers involved in the buying and selling of bonds in the primary and secondary markets.

Coleman of course, fat and comfortable, demands austerity from governments which results in ongoing entrenched poverty among the most disadvantaged in society.

He is imbued with the evil classical economics concept, reaffirmed by Thatcher's neoliberalism, of scarcity in the face of unlimited wants (or unlimited competitive greed)...as if this is an immutable law of economics. 

It is not.

Entrenched poverty among the most disadvantaged is a political choice , not an economic one: there is no scarcity of the essentials (healthy food, clean housing) in modern AI and IT assisted economies. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:48am

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:29am:

Bobby. wrote on Oct 26th, 2022 at 7:19pm:
https://expose-news.com/2022/10/26/vernon-coleman-now-youre-paying-the-price/




The crazed enthusiasts who supported Modern Monetary Theory

(which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad.

Let us spare a moment for Gordon the Moron (which just happened to be the title of my book about Gordon Brown). Gordon didn’t just sell our gold at the bottom of the market (and tell everyone what he was going to do before he did it) but he also gave the Bank of England independence. That was a brilliant move, too, wasn’t it?


Coleman - another fool who thinks "money printing" describes MMT.

In any case, MMT is not responsible for idiot central bankers who shovelled money out to everyone including those who didn't need it, during the pandemic lockdowns, which has caused (a small part of) the current inflationary episode.

MMT refutes the current convention of government borrowing by selling bonds which enrich financial dealers involved in the buying and selling of bonds in the primary and secondary markets.

Coleman of course, fat and comfortable, demands austerity from governments which results in ongoing entrenched poverty among the most disadvantaged in society.

He is imbued with the evil classical economics concept, reaffirmed by Thatcher's neoliberalism, of scarcity in the face of unlimited wants (or unlimited competitive greed)...as if this is an immutable law of economics. 

It is not.

Entrenched poverty among the most disadvantaged is a political choice , not an economic one: there is no scarcity of the essentials (healthy food, clean housing) in modern AI and IT assisted economies. 



I think you'll find that MMT or QE - money printing or whatever you call it -
actually benefits the rich more than anyone else.
After the Covid crisis - the rich got a lot richer.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:02am

Bobby. wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:48am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 9:29am:

Bobby. wrote on Oct 26th, 2022 at 7:19pm:
https://expose-news.com/2022/10/26/vernon-coleman-now-youre-paying-the-price/




The crazed enthusiasts who supported Modern Monetary Theory

(which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad.

Let us spare a moment for Gordon the Moron (which just happened to be the title of my book about Gordon Brown). Gordon didn’t just sell our gold at the bottom of the market (and tell everyone what he was going to do before he did it) but he also gave the Bank of England independence. That was a brilliant move, too, wasn’t it?


Coleman - another fool who thinks "money printing" describes MMT.

In any case, MMT is not responsible for idiot central bankers who shovelled money out to everyone including those who didn't need it, during the pandemic lockdowns, which has caused (a small part of) the current inflationary episode.

MMT refutes the current convention of government borrowing by selling bonds which enrich financial dealers involved in the buying and selling of bonds in the primary and secondary markets.

Coleman of course, fat and comfortable, demands austerity from governments which results in ongoing entrenched poverty among the most disadvantaged in society.

He is imbued with the evil classical economics concept, reaffirmed by Thatcher's neoliberalism, of scarcity in the face of unlimited wants (or unlimited competitive greed)...as if this is an immutable law of economics. 

It is not.

Entrenched poverty among the most disadvantaged is a political choice, not an economic one: there is no scarcity of the essentials (healthy food, clean housing) in modern AI and IT assisted economies. 



I think you'll find that MMT or QE - money printing or whatever you call it -
actually benefits the rich more than anyone else.
After the Covid crisis - the rich got a lot richer.


Indeed, government selling bonds to fund spending benefits the rich.

MMT refutes selling bonds to fund government spending. 

MMT recognises the currency-issuing state (public sector) can create money, limited by what is available for purchase by the government, to avoid inflation. 

..as opposed to Coleman's ignorant assertion about MMT: "... which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad".





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:10am

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:02am:
Indeed, government selling bonds to fund spending benefits the rich.

MMT refutes selling bonds to fund government spending. 

MMT recognises the currency-issuing state (public sector) can create money, limited by what is available for purchase by the government, to avoid inflation. 

as opposed tp Coleman's ignorant assertion about MMT: "... which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad".



I think the definition of MMT has changed in the vernacular.
It now means - QE - money printing or
issuing Govt. bonds paid for by a Reserve bank etc
It's basically about politicians having a money tree
which of course they will abuse to stay in power.
It encourages reckless spending on all ideas they suddenly come up with.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 27th, 2022 at 1:15pm
Prof. Bill Mitchell commented on Liz Truss's  demise a few posts back ("gyrations of the pound").

Here is prof  Narayana Kocherlakota's take (former Pres. of Minneapolis Fed. Reserve: "The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis is pursuing an economy that works for all of us"). 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/markets-didnt-oust-truss-the-bank-of-england-did/2022/10/26/dd92c4d2-54eb-11ed-ac8b-08bbfab1c5a5_story.html

The much-touted 'independence of reserve banks' is a danger to democracy, they mainly serve the interests of the private banking cabal, not the citizens.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Oct 27th, 2022 at 8:54pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 1:15pm:
Prof. Bill Mitchell commented on Liz Truss's  demise a few posts back ("gyrations of the pound").

Here is prof  Narayana Kocherlakota's take (former Pres. of Minneapolis Fed. Reserve: "The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis is pursuing an economy that works for all of us"). 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/markets-didnt-oust-truss-the-bank-of-england-did/2022/10/26/dd92c4d2-54eb-11ed-ac8b-08bbfab1c5a5_story.html

The much-touted 'independence of reserve banks' is a danger to democracy, they mainly serve the interests of the private banking cabal, not the citizens.



https://steemit.com/cabal/@libertyacademy/the-international-banking-cabal-exposed-4-part-series


According to the whistleblower Mr. Bernard,
there are about 8,000 to 8,500 of these banker elites who run the entire world.


Since we know that money rules the world, we need first to know who creates money. Evidently, it is the banks and their owners who issue and control money; consequently, we can easily argue that it is they who rule the world. The famous banker Baron Nathan Mayer Rothschild once said: “Give me control over a nation’s currency and I care not who makes its laws.” which serves as an accurate testament to how the world really works.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 28th, 2022 at 8:15am
https://theconversation.com/cheaper-gas-and-electricity-prices-are-within-australias-grasp-heres-what-to-do-193388

Cheaper gas and electricity prices are within Australia’s grasp – here’s what to do
Published:
October 27, 2022 5.02pm AEDT


"Australia has by far the highest domestic gas prices of any gas exporting country. No other country would tolerate its gas being exported while its domestic market is paying the same high prices as international customers".

As an aside, note the confusion the govt. and coalition both show re "inflation", when they say assisting those who cannot afford electricity at the current high prices  will cause inflation. 

Evil nonsense, there is no shortage of electricity in Oz.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 28th, 2022 at 8:17am

Bobby. wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 8:54pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 1:15pm:
Prof. Bill Mitchell commented on Liz Truss's  demise a few posts back ("gyrations of the pound").

Here is prof  Narayana Kocherlakota's take (former Pres. of Minneapolis Fed. Reserve: "The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis is pursuing an economy that works for all of us"). 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/markets-didnt-oust-truss-the-bank-of-england-did/2022/10/26/dd92c4d2-54eb-11ed-ac8b-08bbfab1c5a5_story.html

The much-touted 'independence of reserve banks' is a danger to democracy, they mainly serve the interests of the private banking cabal, not the citizens.



https://steemit.com/cabal/@libertyacademy/the-international-banking-cabal-exposed-4-part-series


According to the whistleblower Mr. Bernard,
there are about 8,000 to 8,500 of these banker elites who run the entire world.


Since we know that money rules the world, we need first to know who creates money. Evidently, it is the banks and their owners who issue and control money; consequently, we can easily argue that it is they who rule the world. The famous banker Baron Nathan Mayer Rothschild once said: “Give me control over a nation’s currency and I care not who makes its laws.” which serves as an accurate testament to how the world really works.


Good article.  MMT is attempting to take this money- creation power back for government.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by wombatwoody on Oct 28th, 2022 at 5:14pm
.
all-we-cartoon_1_.jpg (166 KB | 20 )

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Oct 29th, 2022 at 5:20pm

wombatwoody wrote on Oct 28th, 2022 at 5:14pm:
.


"all we have to do is stand up"

So true, but the illusion of money as something of intrinsic value in itself, rather than representative of wealth, has most of us fighting amongst ourselves in silly hyper partisan political disputes over more or less taxes.

Currency-issuing governments don't need to tax in order to spend...but those guys on top of the table - who alone retain the privilege of creating money -  have managed to keep it a secret.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by wombatwoody on Oct 29th, 2022 at 9:46pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 29th, 2022 at 5:20pm:

wombatwoody wrote on Oct 28th, 2022 at 5:14pm:
.


"all we have to do is stand up"

So true, but the illusion of money as something of intrinsic value in itself, rather than representative of wealth, has most of us fighting amongst ourselves in silly hyper partisan political disputes over more or less taxes.

Currency-issuing governments don't need to tax in order to spend...but those guys on top of the table - who alone retain the privilege of creating money -  have managed to keep it a secret.


Indeed.

Hence the book, Secrets of The Federal Reserve.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 2nd, 2022 at 8:43am
Tweet from Neale Jones:

"Recent comments from economists calling for people to lose their jobs in order to bring down inflation is a useful reminder that while the right want us to believe unemployment is an individual moral failure, they actually see it as a necessary feature of our economic system".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 4th, 2022 at 9:36am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50764

RBA has crossed the line – it is now a danger to society

"The heading might sound alarmist and extreme but when you have a central bank governor essentially saying he is prepared to drive the unemployment rate to whatever levels will deliver such mayhem and suffering that price pressures recede then you might take a different view".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 5th, 2022 at 11:43am

Bobby. wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:10am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 27th, 2022 at 10:02am:
Indeed, government selling bonds to fund spending benefits the rich.

MMT refutes selling bonds to fund government spending. 

MMT recognises the currency-issuing state (public sector) can create money, limited by what is available for purchase by the government, to avoid inflation. 

as opposed tp Coleman's ignorant assertion about MMT: "... which suggests that governments can spend as much as they want and then simply print more money to pay for it) have gone very quiet now that their mad scheme has gone bad".



I think the definition of MMT has changed in the vernacular.
It now means - QE - money printing or
issuing Govt. bonds paid for by a Reserve bank etc
It's basically about politicians having a money tree
which of course they will abuse to stay in power.
It encourages reckless spending on all ideas they suddenly come up with.


Here is another article outlining the failure of central bank policy re raising interest rates to control inflation:

https://www.phenomenalworld.org/interviews/inflation-labor/

Re the meaning of 'QE', the article affirms the Fed Reserve buys bonds, but that it is merely an asset swap between liquid assets with little or no effect.

In short the current method of controlling inflation is harmful to those who can least afford it.

"Second, we can’t forget that the Fed is trying to raise unemployment and lower wage growth. That is what interest rate hikes are intended to do. Our demand on the Fed should be very simple: don’t do that. We don’t need some complicated bank shot with conditions attached to bank bailouts, or anything like that. We just want the Fed to stop what it’s doing. We don’t want unemployment to go up. We don’t want wage growth to be slow. We don’t want it to be harder to find a job. We think a good economy is one where workers have an easy time finding a job, and businesses have to scramble to find workers. It’s good for working people, but it’s also good in the long run for productivity growth. It’s good for democratizing the workplace, it’s good for innovation. It’s good, and we want it, and we want the Fed to stop messing with it".


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:07am
https://gimms.org.uk/2021/01/28/happy-25th-birthday-mmt/

Happy 25th birthday, Modern Money Theory!

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:12am

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:07am:
https://gimms.org.uk/2021/01/28/happy-25th-birthday-mmt/

Happy 25th birthday, Modern Money Theory!

A stillbirth.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:52am

Frank wrote on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:12am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 6th, 2022 at 10:07am:
https://gimms.org.uk/2021/01/28/happy-25th-birthday-mmt/

Happy 25th birthday, Modern Money Theory!

A stillbirth.


https://www.rethinkeconomics.org/

"Rethinking Economics is an international network of students and recent graduates building a better economics for the classroom, with the support of academic allies. Through a mixture of campaigning, events and engaging projects, Rethinking Economics connects people globally to enact the change needed for the future."

MMT is very much part of this revolution happening now in the classroom, as students reject the standard economics textbooks by Mankiw et al.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 9th, 2022 at 7:58pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50801

If it's bad it must be because of Brexit or MMT or both...


MMT hate hysteria – a sign of deep insecurity

There is this character Robin Brooks, who works for the important sounding Institute of International Finance (IIF), who cannot stop tweeting and writing about the ‘death of MMT’.

He is ex-IMF, Goldman Sachs etc.

The IIF is a peak body of the ‘financial industry’ and advocates to advance the interests of that lot, including financial market deregulation etc.

Basically, anything that makes more money for the hedge funds will fit into their remit.

The most ridiculous recent ‘contribution’ (used as a null) was published in the Financial Times article (November 4, 2022) – RIP MMT — IIF – complete with gravestone “Modern Monetary Theory 2013-2022 Rest in Peace”.

The author and commentators attributed in the article obviously haven’t read much because to them MMT was ‘born’ in 2013.

We started working on this project together in 1995!

The IIF meanwhile has announced the death of MMT after several years of carping about our work with little but more carping to back them up.

In other words, vacuous, self-aggrandising tweets that say things like ‘see Japan has seen a depreciating yen, MMT must be wrong’.

Any trend they interpret – rightly or wrongly – as a retrograde development – is tied in with the conclusion – MMT must be wrong!

Brooks carries on like this relentlessly, and, in doing so, reveals how insecure he is about our work.







Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 10th, 2022 at 5:00pm
From an exasperated contributor to Prof. Bill Mitchell's blog:

"The oligarchs and their servants in the financial press are desperate for the public to continue to believe that they (the oligarchs) are the ‘rulers of the universe’, if it was not for the taxes that the oligarchs pay the nation would be broke, this is what most people believe due to being repeatedly told this nonsense for 40 years by mainstream press and mainstream economists. MMT lets people know how money and the financial system really works, the reality is the national govt. has the power of the purse, the national govt. sets the laws, the national govt. are the monopoly issuers of the currency. The things we could be doing in terms of clean energy research, disease research, and poverty reduction(job guarantee). Who ever came up with the saying ‘truth is stranger then fiction’ was not kidding. We just keep going on with silly games of ‘how you going to pay for it’ and ‘there is no alternative’ TINA. A truly bizarre world we live in."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 11th, 2022 at 11:11am
A good explanation of why the mainstream Left is  failing the (low income) working class.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/opinion/democrats-averted-disaster-but-the-working-class-did-not/ar-AA13YlcZ?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=6d1c72669c9941d0902aeab19f16f186


"The reason he and other prominent Democrats haven’t done any such thing is that this isn’t the kind of pro-democracy message they have any interest in promoting. As Thomas Frank argued in his indispensable book Listen, Liberal: Or, What Ever Happened to the Party of the People, the current version of the Democratic Party has been thoroughly shaped by the cultural sensibilities and political worldview of affluent middle-class professionals, who see social justice as a matter of removing any barriers to the best and brightest from each demographic group rising to the top—so they can craft the smartest technocratic solutions to our problems.

They believe in democracy in so far as they believe that Democratic politicians shouldn’t have elections stolen from them. But they don’t really believe in asking a bunch of people who don’t have postgraduate degrees (and probably haven’t even read Robin DiAngelo’s White Fragility), how they want to solve society’s problems.


And of course they won't look at a Job Guarantee as a way to eradicate systemic entrenched poverty.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 11th, 2022 at 2:39pm
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/oct/13/time-may-be-running-out-chronicle-of-a-debt-crisis-foretold

Time may be running out’: global debt crisis reaches critical point


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by wombatwoody on Nov 11th, 2022 at 7:00pm
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ameri_irs__5_.png (72 KB | 16 )

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 11th, 2022 at 8:18pm

wombatwoody wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 7:00pm:
.


Ron Paul's assertions are very deceptive.

1. Yes, the Fed was created in 1913 in an attempt to deal with the instability in the US financial system, but it was NOT controlled by congress.

2. A currency-issuing government with its own treasury and central bank does NOT need to tax in order to spend. That's what MMT is all about.

Ron Paul thinks everyone can or should get by without government assistance, the ultimate neoliberal lie.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by wombatwoody on Nov 11th, 2022 at 9:49pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 8:18pm:

wombatwoody wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 7:00pm:
.


Ron Paul's assertions are very deceptive.


That's a simplistic view, meant for all the brainwashed retards here.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 13th, 2022 at 9:30am

wombatwoody wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 9:49pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 8:18pm:

wombatwoody wrote on Nov 11th, 2022 at 7:00pm:
.


Ron Paul's assertions are very deceptive.


That's a simplistic view, meant for all the brainwashed retards here.


Yes.....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 13th, 2022 at 9:44am
Shellenberger abuses Thunberg:

https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/narcissism-in-climate-and-woke-victim

Narcissism In Climate & Woke Victim Movements
Psychologist Sam Vaknin on why we need a politics of overcoming, not victimhood


Michael Shellenberger
Nov 7

“We have transitioned from the age of dignity to the age of victimhood,” argues Israeli psychologist and narcissism expert, Sam Vaknin. “Every single political and social movement nowadays has converted itself into a victimhood movement. Many ideologies, which were not victimhood-oriented, have become victimhood-oriented.”

Such is the case with the climate change movement. “This is all wrong,” said Greta Thunberg at the United Nations. “I shouldn't be up here. I should be back in school on the other side of the ocean. Yet you all come to us, young people for hope. How dare you? You have stolen my dreams and my childhood with your empty words.”

You can probably tell why Vaknin’s warning resonates with me. I have changed my mind about many issues over the last two decades. But for nearly 20 years I have warned that victimhood movements are disempowering, toxic, and dangerous. My essay last year, “Why I am not a progressive,” explained why the Left’s orientation toward victimhood led me to reject that label.


My observation:

The problem with economists like Shellenberger is they are trapped in the neoliberal economics of scarcity, rather than seeing an MMT-based economics of sufficiency, so his concept of "the politics of overcoming" will be crippled from the start. 

Eg, the economics of scarcity insists we can't properly support people on Jobseeker...as Jim Chalmers keeps telling us, because "we have a $1trillion debt".

Gross lies.

And so we have Shellenberger citing "narcissism expert" Sam Vaknin..

The blind leading the blind.








Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 13th, 2022 at 12:28pm
More confusion in a world where self-interest rules:


https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/climate-change-is-serious-but-reparations-to-poorer-nations-is-just-a-money-grabbing-scheme/ar-AA13Zhjb?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=3ea7994a4bc74e929e1f07a026ada399

'Climate change is serious, but reparations to poorer nations is just a money grabbing scheme'


Rishi Sunak made his debut on the world stage at the Cop27 summit in Egypt on Monday, which saw UK negotiators back a last-minute agreement to address “loss and damage” payments to countries badly affected by climate-related disasters.

The proposed pay out of aid cash - at the same time the UK imposes swingeing (?) austerity and tax rises at home - angered readers who do not believe we owe developing nations climate reparations. Others suggest Britain should be proud of the Industrial Revolution and the incalculable benefits it brought to the world.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 14th, 2022 at 11:51am
Tweet today from Stephanie Kelton (author of The Deficit Myth).

It is heartening to see @RichardJMurphy getting such good engagement on this thread (re balanced govt. debt mythology). Batting this stuff down is nearly a full-time job at this point, but he manages to keep pounding** (pun intended) away. Eventually, the damn will break.

**the thread deals with a comment from the new UK chancellor Jeremy Hunt "we cannot max out the national credit card this morning".

Most tweeters who replied to Murphy's refutation of Hunt's "national credit card" comment now agree Hunt  is spouting BS., a good sign for the progress MMT is making in the electorate.    



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 16th, 2022 at 9:34am
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/16/5908

Funding of the Energy Transition by Monetary Sovereign Countries

If global energy consumption returns to its pre-pandemic growth rate, it will be almost impossible to transition to a zero-emission or net-zero-emission energy system by 2050 in the absence of large-scale CO2 removal. Since relying on unproven technologies for CO2 removal is speculative and risky, this paper considers an energy descent scenario for reaching zero greenhouse gas emissions from energy by 2050. To drive the rapid transition from fossil fuels to carbon-free energy sources and ensure demand reduction, funding is needed urgently in order to implement four strategies: (i) technology change, i.e., implementing the growth of zero-carbon energy production, end-use energy efficiency and ‘green’ energy carriers, together with ongoing R&D on CO2 removal; (ii) reducing climate impacts; (iii) reducing energy consumption by social and behavioural changes; and (iv) improving human wellbeing while increasing social justice. Modern monetary theory explains how monetary sovereign governments, with their own fiat currencies, can create the necessary funding without financial constraints, although constraints do result from the productive capacities of their economies. The energy transition could be part-funded by a significant transfer of resources from monetary sovereign countries of the global North to the global South, financed by currency issuance. (Full text via link).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 19th, 2022 at 9:59am
MMT is catching on in the mainstream...AFR (Australian Financial Review):

https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/the-reserve-bank-can-never-go-broke-20221104-p5bvp8

The Reserve Bank can never go broke
Tim Hext

Nov 6, 2022 – 5.00am

"The pandemic forced the rewriting of conventional economics to fit the real world. For central banks this was a world best described by Modern Monetary Theory – the great economic buzzword of the COVID-19 era, which told us not to always worry about printing money".

Tim has it correct (unlike many MMT critics who say MMT claims the CB can always create more money: .... "not to always worry" about printing money, which is not the same as saying the CB can always create more money without worrying about the consequences). 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 23rd, 2022 at 10:46am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50893

The Autumn Statement – an exercise in absurdity and public harm

"There is a lot of reference to ‘fiscal sustainability’ but no clear articulation as to what it is, other than bringing public debt ratios down via austerity.

But remember, public debt outstanding is just the past fiscal deficits that haven’t been fully taxed away."


A valuable insight; the public sector's deficit is the private sector's surplus.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 24th, 2022 at 11:08pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=50914

Champagne socialists in the banking sector reaping millions from public money

The increasing interest rates are also delivering massive cash injections to the banks who hold reserve accounts at the central banks. Why? Because the quantitative easing programs from the past have resulted in a massive buildup of excess reserves which are liabilities for the central banks. They (CBs) are paying support returns on those reserves, which are scaled against the rising policy target rates. So the payments have escalated significantly and delivering a massive corporate welfare boost to the banks while the same interest rate rises are causing hardship to borrowers, especially those on low incomes. And amazing redistribution of income towards the ‘champagne socialists’ all via our central banks.

Commercial banks 'laughing all the way to the bank' - at our expense.








Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 26th, 2022 at 10:21am
The first ever international tertiary economics course combining ecological sustainability and MMT:

youtu.be/UXtv3rm-i8Q


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Nov 28th, 2022 at 4:57pm
in other words:

1. Wealth creation in the private sector is limited by resources AND money.

2. Wealth creation in the public sector, which issues the nation's currency, is limited only by available resources, NOT money.

3. The division of wealth creation in the private and public sectors should be chosen by the electorate, not wholly determined by "invisible hand" private sector markets.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Dec 2nd, 2022 at 11:00am
Socialism + MMT = Venezuela ... 🔥🔥🔥



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 2nd, 2022 at 11:47am

Frank wrote on Dec 2nd, 2022 at 11:00am:
Socialism + MMT = Venezuela ...


The central bank of Venezuela must have printed too much money, violating the first principle of MMT, namely, public sector money creation is limited by the nation's productivity and available resources.

The drop in the price of oil was a major factor: (wiki)

While some claim that liberalization was the cause of Venezuelan economic difficulties, an over-reliance on oil prices and a fractured political system have been identified to have caused many of the problems.[25] By the mid-1990s under President Rafael Caldera, Venezuela saw annual inflation rates of 50 to 60% from 1993 to 1997, with an exceptional peak of 100% in 1996.[23] The percentage of people living in poverty rose from 36% in 1984 to 66% in 1995,[26] with the country suffering a severe banking crisis in 1994. In 1998, the economic crisis had worsened, with GDP per capita at the same level as it was in 1963 (after adjusting 1963 dollars to 1998 value), down a third from its peak in 1978; the purchasing power of the average salary was a third of its 1978 level.[27]

In other word's the nations' productive capacity was in effect reduced because the value of its production (productivity, measured mainly in oil) and hence ability to pay for imports was slashed.

This shows the need for an international institution to assist nations faced with this type of problem (caused by over reliance of an export commodity).   





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 6th, 2022 at 10:16am
From prof. Stephanie Kelton, author of the The Deficit Myth:

"When I arrived in Washington in 2015, I was the only staffer on the U.S. Senate Budget Committee who looked at the world through the lens of a currency issuer. I knew the federal government wasn’t like a household or a private business. I knew Uncle Sam could never run out of money. I knew that inflation, rather than insolvency, was the relevant punishment for overspending. I also knew I was alone in this thinking.

Everyone else fell into one of two camps: deficit hawks or deficit doves***. While Washington insiders depicted them as polar opposites, I saw them as birds of a feather. Both considered the long-term fiscal outlook a problem that needed to be fixed. Most Republicans wanted to slash entitlements, while most Democrats wanted to raise taxes. Different paths to the same destination".


https://www.milkenreview.org/articles/the-deficit-myth


*** hence the great divide represented by partisan politics.

Her description of herself as a 'Deficit Owl' is informative: keeping a close watch on the nature of the deficit, rather than its size eg the "mutli $trillion US debt". 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 10th, 2022 at 12:21pm
Interestingly, the Oz government has decided to introduce price caps on coal and gas, in order to shield households and businesses from soaring energy prices.

In effect, energy costs of households and businesses will be subsidized by the government, funded by taxation and borrowing.

The price caps will be set at levels allowing the energy producers to continue to make reasonable profits, though of course the producers are screaming like cut snakes....

Government says price caps will reduce inflation, whereas distributing the proceeds from a windfall profits tax on energy companies would increase inflation.

Probably true: we saw the inflationary effects of government throwing money at consumers and businesses who did not need it, during the pandemic.  Government should simply have paid the essential bills of locked-down workers and businesses, funded by direct debt-free money creation in the central bank. 

No money at all should have been deposited in workers' and businesses' own accounts, the government should have directly paid the bills for essential living expenses (food, housing, utilities).

At present, of course, government must raise money by taxation or borrowing from private sector financiers.

And even if the government sells bonds to the primary bond market dealers and then immediately buys the bonds back, there is no doubt still commission fees involved.

The middle men - the primary bond market dealers who on-sell government bonds - need to be cut out of government financing activities, so government CAN directly finance its own spending. 

Note this from Ross Gitttins:

"Philip Lowe at an appearance before a parliamentary committee last year,  replied to a question from Adam Bandt  that he would "push back" against any assertion the Reserve was "financing the government" (when the CB was buying $20 billion a month during the start of the pandemic, to fund locked-down workers' ongoing bills).

Gittins comment: "note the peculiar wording: not that the CB should (finance the government), but that it already was".   

The inference being Lowe is part of the cover-up re government financing.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 17th, 2022 at 12:15pm
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51024

The poorest nations are increasingly beholden to the hedge funds

The richest nations could easily cancel all debts and fund a new multinational agency that was charged with advancing humanity rather than maintaining cosy offices in the big cities and imposing punitive conditionality onto the poorest nations.

Meanwhile, the UN is persisting with its – 2030 Agenda – which has lofty aims, including World peace and the eradication of poverty, and the protection of “the planet from degradation” but hasn’t a hope in hell of succeeding while nations are at the behest of these hedge funds and sociopathic organisations such as the IMF and the World Bank.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by The Grappler on Dec 17th, 2022 at 3:24pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Dec 10th, 2022 at 12:21pm:
Interestingly, the Oz government has decided to introduce price caps on coal and gas, in order to shield households and businesses from soaring energy prices.

In effect, energy costs of households and businesses will be subsidized by the government, funded by taxation and borrowing.

The price caps will be set at levels allowing the energy producers to continue to make reasonable profits, though of course the producers are screaming like cut snakes....

Government says price caps will reduce inflation, whereas distributing the proceeds from a windfall profits tax on energy companies would increase inflation.

Probably true: we saw the inflationary effects of government throwing money at consumers and businesses who did not need it, during the pandemic.  Government should simply have paid the essential bills of locked-down workers and businesses, funded by direct debt-free money creation in the central bank. 

No money at all should have been deposited in workers' and businesses' own accounts, the government should have directly paid the bills for essential living expenses (food, housing, utilities).

At present, of course, government must raise money by taxation or borrowing from private sector financiers.

And even if the government sells bonds to the primary bond market dealers and then immediately buys the bonds back, there is no doubt still commission fees involved.

The middle men - the primary bond market dealers who on-sell government bonds - need to be cut out of government financing activities, so government CAN directly finance its own spending. 

Note this from Ross Gitttins:

"Philip Lowe at an appearance before a parliamentary committee last year,  replied to a question from Adam Bandt  that he would "push back" against any assertion the Reserve was "financing the government" (when the CB was buying $20 billion a month during the start of the pandemic, to fund locked-down workers' ongoing bills).

Gittins comment: "note the peculiar wording: not that the CB should (finance the government), but that it already was".   

The inference being Lowe is part of the cover-up re government financing.


Yup - instead of paying the out of control due to the Robber Baron economy prices directly - the people will be paying them indirectly... and the companies will still be receiving far too much for the basics of life ande exploiting to the max.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 17th, 2022 at 5:39pm

Grappler Truth Teller Feller wrote on Dec 17th, 2022 at 3:24pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Dec 10th, 2022 at 12:21pm:
Interestingly, the Oz government has decided to introduce price caps on coal and gas, in order to shield households and businesses from soaring energy prices.

In effect, energy costs of households and businesses will be subsidized by the government, funded by taxation and borrowing.

The price caps will be set at levels allowing the energy producers to continue to make reasonable profits, though of course the producers are screaming like cut snakes....

Government says price caps will reduce inflation, whereas distributing the proceeds from a windfall profits tax on energy companies would increase inflation.

Probably true: we saw the inflationary effects of government throwing money at consumers and businesses who did not need it, during the pandemic.  Government should simply have paid the essential bills of locked-down workers and businesses, funded by direct debt-free money creation in the central bank. 

No money at all should have been deposited in workers' and businesses' own accounts, the government should have directly paid the bills for essential living expenses (food, housing, utilities).

At present, of course, government must raise money by taxation or borrowing from private sector financiers.

And even if the government sells bonds to the primary bond market dealers and then immediately buys the bonds back, there is no doubt still commission fees involved.

The middle men - the primary bond market dealers who on-sell government bonds - need to be cut out of government financing activities, so government CAN directly finance its own spending. 

Note this from Ross Gitttins:

"Philip Lowe at an appearance before a parliamentary committee last year,  replied to a question from Adam Bandt  that he would "push back" against any assertion the Reserve was "financing the government" (when the CB was buying $20 billion a month during the start of the pandemic, to fund locked-down workers' ongoing bills).

Gittins comment: "note the peculiar wording: not that the CB should (finance the government), but that it already was".   

The inference being Lowe is part of the cover-up re government financing.


Yup - instead of paying the out of control due to the Robber Baron economy prices directly - the people will be paying them indirectly... and the companies will still be receiving far too much for the basics of life ande exploiting to the max.


That's why essential industries like energy should be nationalized - or even 'globalized' in the case of energy, if indeed we have an AGW-CO2 climate emergency on our hands.

Then the BIS/IMF/WORLD BANK can be authorized to create - ex nihilo - the necessary funds to build the required renewables  infrastructure, paying only wages to contractors, not profits to 'robber baron' companies/cartels.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 20th, 2022 at 10:09am

Philip Lowe should be sacked. 

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/fed-interest-rate-increases-counterproductive-all-pain-no-gain-by-joseph-e-stiglitz-2022-12

"All pain and no gain from higher interest rates".

Joseph Stiglitz.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:15am
A glimmer of light among the "psychopaths at the World Bank" (see #320):

https://www.ft.com/content/044b7e7d-84c7-4b9d-90e9-8b2449ae36f5

World Bank chief economist calls for overhaul of government bailouts

Indermit Gill says existing framework offers developing countries ‘too little, too late’.

The World Bank’s chief economist has called for an urgent overhaul of the system for dealing with unsustainable debts, as the institution warns of a coming wave of sovereign defaults by developing countries.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:24am

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 28th, 2022 at 4:57pm:
in other words:

1. Wealth creation in the private sector is limited by resources AND money.

2. Wealth creation in the public sector, which issues the nation's currency, is limited only by available resources, NOT money.

3. The division of wealth creation in the private and public sectors should be chosen by the electorate, not wholly determined by "invisible hand" private sector markets.


Actually that's not true!

Both public and private sectors TODAY rely on resources and productivity in order to create wealth.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:55am

Lisa Jones wrote on Dec 22nd, 2022 at 11:24am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 28th, 2022 at 4:57pm:
in other words:

1. Wealth creation in the private sector is limited by resources AND money.

2. Wealth creation in the public sector, which issues the nation's currency, is limited only by available resources, NOT money.

3. The division of wealth creation in the private and public sectors should be chosen by the electorate, not wholly determined by "invisible hand" private sector markets.


Actually that's not true!

Both public and private sectors TODAY rely on resources and productivity in order to create wealth.


Your statement above is accurate.

So let's look at where the discrepancy arises:

Private sector players (you and me, or private businesses) have to earn money from wages or sales, or by borrowing money from commercial banks.

Whereas wealth creation in the public sector, which issues the nation's currency**, is limited only by available resources, NOT money.

**via the public sector, or 'consolidated government sector' ie, treasury and central bank.

Ok.. we need to replace "is limited" with "should be limited"....because the currency-issuer (the public sector, by definition) can be authorized by the legislature to create money 'ex nihilo', just as commercial banks do when they write loans for (hopefully) credit-worthy private sector customers).

The limit for the public sector currency-issuer being the goods/services which are available for purchase by the government, not money. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 24th, 2022 at 10:47am
From Walther Mathilde@AynRand_is_Dead


https://twitter.com/i/status/1605871182950998016



"America is never going to repay it debt, it doesn't have to, its debts are in its own currency, we can simply print the dollars." 

"Africa's debt is not in its currency, the African debt is in $US dollars, Africa has to earn the US dollars".

"The principle underlying the World Bank is that no country should grow its own food; Africa should only grow export crops which the US and EU needs".


"The most evil institutions in the world today are the World Bank and the IMF" (aka 'Instant Misery Fund' by MMTers...).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 26th, 2022 at 11:06am
Economist Herman Daly died last week, aged 84.

An Economist That Future Economists — And Societies — Will Dare Not Ignore:

Without greater equality, Herman Daly helped us understand, our environment has no real shot at renewal.


https://goodmenproject.com/featured-content/an-economist-that-future-economists-and-societies-will-dare-not-ignore-2/

"Despite this media disinterest, Daly most certainly does figure to get much more attention in the years ahead. Why? The life’s work of this University of Maryland emeritus professor just happens to directly link the two supreme  challenges of our time: environmental collapse and economic inequality.

Herman Daly pioneered the discipline of ecological economics. He gave us a vision — in works always “crystal clear, conceptually compelling” — of a “steady state economy” that featured “redistribution and qualitative improvement instead of perpetual growth” sure to overload and overwhelm our environment.



"I used to be a neoclassical growth economist,” Daly wrote. “I hoped that my contribution to the world would be to help increase the growth rate of GDP, especially in the poor regions of Latin America, but in wealthy countries too. But experience, arguments, and evidence changed my mind, and I became an ecological economist who advocates a steady-state economy with redistribution and qualitative improvement instead of perpetual growth.”

“Might not the same happen to other economists?” Daly went on. “Indeed, is it not now happening, although slowly? Why won’t the same evidence and logic that has convinced me (and a number of others) eventually convince many more?”

He contrasted his “min-max”  (a min. and max. wage) to the conventional economics notion that the poor don’t get hurt when the rich get richer and may actually end up benefiting from the expenditures wealthy people make". etc.



At last,....3 decades after Daly's 1991 book Steady-State Economics,  the first doctorate level course in sustainable economics through an MMT lens is now up and running at Torrens University.

The wheels turn slowly as 'groupthink" in economic orthodoxy holds firm,  while the money lenders have too much power.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 26th, 2022 at 2:29pm
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/out-of-touch-rishi-sunak-criticised-for-asking-homeless-man-if-he-works-in-business/eb15hvtz2

'Out of touch' Rishi Sunak criticised for asking homeless man if he 'works in business'

Interestingly, the Global Times reports the question asked by Sunak as: "would you like to work in finance"

GT: "Sunak's exchange with the homeless man began when the man asks Sunak if he's "sorting the economy out."

When the homeless man then says he is interested in business and finance, Sunak replies that he used to work in finance too, before asking: "Is that something you would like to get into?"



Note: ex-Goldman Sachs' banker Sunak referring to "finance", rather than business,  ie the funny money casino finance industry, rather than business in the real economy which involves resource mobilization, not crooked money mobilization. 

But Sunak should be criticized for a question he did ask, not one he didn't ask....obviously Sunak wouldn't be asking a homeless man "if he works in business".





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Dec 29th, 2022 at 11:44am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51089

Central bankers have created excessive unemployment for decades because they use the wrong theory

In this (neoliberal)  era – 1970s on – full employment as a policy goal was largely abandoned, even though the mainstream economists got around the obvious difficulties in telling people that they had to endure unemployment that policy makers were deliberately creating, by redefining full employment in terms of the NAIRU.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 2nd, 2023 at 9:17am
Steve Keen exposes the errors which the neo classical economists make, as a result of their simplification of real world economics.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q23wwyksdY

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 6th, 2023 at 11:20am
Get Professor Steve Keen's Newest  Book For Free:

'Funny Money' (Mainstream Economists HATE This!)



https://www.stevekeenfree.com/new-funny-money-book-free

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 8th, 2023 at 5:08pm
The revolution in macroeconomics is gaining traction around the world:

University of Barcelona:

https://www.isecoeco.org/postdoc-positions-in-ecological-macroeconomics/

The two postdoctoral researchers will help develop a novel ecological macroeconomic model that will include a wide range of indicators of human well-being and environmental sustainability, in addition to conventional macroeconomic variables. The indicators to be modelled will draw upon the “Doughnut”** of social and planetary boundaries. The model will be used to assess different policy packages aimed at achieving a sustainable post-growth economy.


**refers to Kate Raworth's conceptualization of 'doughnut economics':

The Doughnut, or Doughnut economics, is a visual framework for sustainable development – shaped like a doughnut or lifebelt – combining the concept of planetary boundaries with the complementary concept of social boundaries.
...as an antidote to the insane "infinite growth" theory (on a finite planet) of neoclassical economics. 


Very similar to the recently introduced (in Australia)  Torrens University doctorate level course in sustainable prosperity, from a MMT perspective.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 9th, 2023 at 9:11am
So, why is the ousted Right attacking Brazil's government buildings?

Are they worried the Left might increase taxes, which the govt. might introduce to reduce poverty and inequality in Brazil?

Begs the question: is raising taxes, or increasing govt. debt, the only way to reduce poverty and inequality?

Today on ABC RN  Richard Denniss spoke of the need to increase revenue in Oz, but Hamish Mcdonald simply side-stepped the issue. Useless.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 10th, 2023 at 8:19am
Prof Steve Keen in full flight, setting students (and the public) straight....

https://heterodox.economicblogs.org/video/keen-students-categorically-shorts-economist-economy?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=ReviveOldPost

"Banks create money when they lend out more than they take back in repayments: governments create money when  spending more than they take back in taxation".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 13th, 2023 at 10:21am
Degrowth - with rising living standards.

https://www.newsroom.co.nz/sustainable-future/give-progress-a-chance-embrace-degrowth

Even some progressive economists are making these arguments. This degrowth movement argues for prioritising genuine progress in terms of both human wellbeing and ecological sustainability.  Indeed, these scholars argue that abandoning economic growth is essential for achieving these more important objectives.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 14th, 2023 at 10:19am
Janet Yellon today tells Congress it is vital to raise the nation's 'debt ceiling' to ....$32 trillion....


She is obviously an MMTer; she knows the US treasury and central bank doesn't face a debt constraint**, like you and me.

** the constraint for the currency-issuing government is available resources and the nation's productivity. 


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 17th, 2023 at 12:36pm
Behind the scenes at the world's first Economics of Sustainability course

Ecological economics within an MMT lens.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JBj3pQk4wo

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 21st, 2023 at 9:28am
Using accounting to prove the core propositions of MMT and Endogenous Money

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/using-accounting-to-prove-the-core

The days of conventional central bank monetary operations are numbered...


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by The Grappler on Jan 21st, 2023 at 12:00pm
Another theory.... stick with it long enough and it will become another Holy Grail of 'truth'..... and you wonder why I don't bother with it.  If all these theories worked there would be no problems.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 21st, 2023 at 12:12pm

Grappler Truth Teller Feller wrote on Jan 21st, 2023 at 12:00pm:
Another theory.... stick with it long enough and it will become another Holy Grail of 'truth'..... and you wonder why I don't bother with it.  If all these theories worked there would be no problems.


Patience dear fellow. Eventually we will have a functional national and international economy not dependent on "theory" but based on new national treasury and central bank (including the BIS) monetary operations. 



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 21st, 2023 at 4:39pm
A 'prize' investor with 300K followers on twitter - and doesn't have a clue about macro economics, though she's a pretty good operator in the financial industry casino:

Former $100MM+ Money Manager • Seen on Bloomberg, FOX & VICE • CEO @grit_capital
• Write #1 Finance newsletter on Substack

who tweets this nonsense:

"Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA
@GRDecter
Would you invest in this business?


Total debt: $31 trillion

Assets: $4.8 trillion

Annual revenue: $4.9 trillion

Annual Income: $1.4 trillion Loss

This is the US Government.


Silly woman, the US treasury/Fed can't run out of US dollars, even if US treasuries aren't all that much of an investment at present. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 23rd, 2023 at 9:08am
Professor James Galbraith explores the problem of presenting the facts against "what everyone knows"....

https://www.thenation.com/article/economy/debt-ceiling-congress/

The Debt Ceiling Explained. Once More, With Feeling…
What The New York Times doesn’t know might hit you in the wallet.
By James K. Galbraith


It is in the nature of articles about the debt ceiling that no matter how often one tries to set the record straight, nothing ever gets through. Noting this after reading my most recent effort, a physicist friend chided me for using “facts and logic” against “what everyone knows.” This states the problem precisely. So here I go again, once more, with feeling.

The United States borrows huge sums of money by selling Treasury bonds to investors across the globe and uses those funds to pay existing financial obligations, including military salaries, safety net benefits and interest on the national debt.

No. The United States does not borrow in order to have funds to pay its obligations. It pays its obligations by check (or electronic transfer) as specified by law. It then issues bonds so that “investors across the globe” can save a safe US dollar-denominated asset, the Treasury bond, that pays interest, as cash and bank deposits do not. Cash and bank deposits are not “debt subject to limit” under the law. You can review a full list of what is subject to limit here. Cash and bank deposits are not on that list. It is possible to look these things up.

But eventually, the United States will need to either borrow more money to pay its bills or stop making good on its financial obligations, including possibly defaulting on its debt.


No. The financial obligations of the United States government are, in fact, obligations. This is a legal term. The debt ceiling statute does not authorize the breach of any obligation.


Because the United States runs budget deficits—meaning it spends more than it takes in through taxes and other revenue—it must borrow huge sums of money to pay its bills.

No, on several counts. First, a detail: Borrowing is revenue. It brings back money previously spent, which is the original (French) meaning of the word “revenu.” Since the United States government normally matches debt issue to deficits, revenue and spending normally match closely. But second, and more important, the United States government has no mechanical (or legal) need to “borrow…to pay its bills.” It may issue bonds, but it doesn’t have to. To repeat, the United States pays its bills by issuing checks as specified by law. What happens or doesn’t happen after that is a separate issue.

…lifting the debt ceiling does not authorize any new spending…

This is correct! All public spending, every dime, is authorized (and, if necessary, appropriated) independently of the debt ceiling. At that point, all such spending is an obligation. It is required by law. That includes military salaries, social security payments, interest on bonds: the works.

Once the government exhausts its extraordinary measures and runs out of cash, it would be unable to issue new debt. This means it would not have enough money to pay its bills, including interest and other payments it owes to bondholders.

No. The Federal government can and does create money at will, according to law. It does not need the private investor to provide money. Nor can the private sector legally refuse legal tender payment. Legal tender means that, according to law, the money the government creates is good for all debts, public and private. Once in 2009, at the Council on Foreign Relations, I made this point in the presence of a former secretary of the Treasury, Robert Rubin. He smiled and nodded from the back of the room.

No one knows exactly what would happen if the United States gets to this point but the government could wind up defaulting on its debt if it is unable to make required payments to its bondholders. Economists and Wall Street analysts warn that such a scenario would be economically devastating and could plunge the globe into a financial crisis.

The key phrases in this passage are “no one knows” and “Wall Street analysts.” Indeed, no one knows, because in 233 years the scenario has never occurred—not in civil war, not in depression, not in world war. Never. Moreover, default on United States government obligations is expressly prohibited by 14th Amendment to the Constitution of the United States, adherence to which is not optional by sworn officers of the United States. Which Janet Yellen is. As for “Wall Street analysts”—leaving aside “economists” (because I am one)—that’s a joke, right?

The Treasury could try to prioritize payments, such as paying bond holders first.

No. The Treasury has no legal authority to prioritize payments; to do that would require an Act of Congress, passed by the House and Senate and signed by the president. The Treasury also, to my knowledge, has no technical ability to prioritize payments, of which it makes millions every day. Perhaps someone from Treasury can correct me on this point, which I’ve floated several times. No one has done so yet.

(cont.  follow in link)




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 23rd, 2023 at 9:15am
(cont)The Treasury could try to prioritize payments, such as paying bond holders first.

No. The Treasury has no legal authority to prioritize payments; to do that would require an Act of Congress, passed by the House and Senate and signed by the president. The Treasury also, to my knowledge, has no technical ability to prioritize payments, of which it makes millions every day. Perhaps someone from Treasury can correct me on this point, which I’ve floated several times. No one has done so yet.

If the United States does default on its debt, which would rattle the markets, the Federal Reserve could theoretically step in to buy some of those Treasury bonds.

It’s possible that some doomsday headline could briefly “rattle the markets.” So what? The Federal Reserve rattles the markets every time it meets. But the second clause is wrong: Treasury debt held by the Federal Reserve is subject to the limit. Again, it’s theoretically possible to look this stuff up.

After leaving office, Mr. Obama acknowledged that he and Treasury officials considered several creative contingency plans, such as minting a $1 trillion coin to pay off some of the national debt. In a 2017 interview, he described the idea as ‘wacky’.

This is delightful news**. I was among those urging the trillion-dollar platinum coin. I exchanged e-mails with Obama’s adviser Austan Goolsbee on the concept, but never knew that it reached the president. As for “wacky,” unlike (say) “obligation,” that word is not a legal term of art. The coin is not a phantasm. It is fully authorized by law, and it could be minted overnight. It would solve the debt ceiling problem at a stroke. The idea is not wacky; it’s ingenious.


**the "delightful news" being the trillion dollar coin concept at least made it to the president's ears, not that the prez considered it "wacky"....

Also discussed in Ellen Brown's  article:

https://ellenbrown.com/2023/01/20/solving-the-debt-crisis-the-american-way/

"The idea of minting large denomination coins to solve economic problems was first suggested in the early 1980s by a chairman of the Coinage Subcommittee of the House of Representatives. Not only does the Constitution give Congress the power to coin money and regulate its value, he said, but no limit is put on the value of the coins it creates". 


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 23rd, 2023 at 2:06pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/u-s-treasury-s-yellen-says-irs-needs-to-be-completely-redone/ar-AA16CsOC?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=f021089bc5d5491bb2b69c1132397a20

U.S. Treasury's Yellen says IRS needs to be 'completely redone'

"Yellen, 76, conceded that the split Congress reduced the chances of passing legislation to advance Biden's agenda, but said she still enjoyed the job."

That's the problem with politicians, they enjoy the political bun-fight...... whether they actually achieve positive change or not.

But Jacinda Adern paid the price: her poll ratings sank from stratospherically high to dismal, as homelessness and crime increased during her tenure - which is why she resigned: Labor is set to lose the next NZ election, hence the continuing merry-go-round of parties of the Left and Right promising much, but never achieving.

...and of course Adern's successor, Chris Hipkins, (if he does win the next national election)  will indeed achieve less than making NZ a 'bitter' place.....(sorry, couldn't resist...)

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 24th, 2023 at 8:31am
What happens when the government is forced to fund itself by taxing the citizens:

https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/pwc-partner-leaked-government-tax-plans-to-clients-20230120-p5ceaz

PwC partner leaked government tax plans to clients

The former head of international tax for PwC Australia, Peter Collins, has been deregistered by the Tax Practitioners Board (TPB) for dishonesty and for sharing confidential government briefings with PwC partners and clients.

The TPB, which oversees Australia’s 80,000 tax agents, also sanctioned PwC for failing to regulate conflicts of interest by partners and PwC staff, who knew the confidential information would be used to help clients sidestep new tax laws and to attract new clients.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 26th, 2023 at 10:09am
More obfuscation and political games re the 'debt limit' in the US.

https://prospect.org/power/01-23-2023-janet-yellen-debt-limit-default-coin/

The White House Debt Limit Strategy: Dismiss but Don’t Reject

"Janet Yellen is stating that there’s no alternative but for Congress to increase the borrowing threshold, while giving herself room to take action if they don’t."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 26th, 2023 at 10:21am
The current mainstream Friedman monetary orthodoxy re public debt continues to create chaos around the world:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/cope-with-your-own-debt-china-tells-us-over-zambia-debt-relief/ar-AA16IXPP?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=f139683c113249af85fe93c0ae4c7045

Cope with your own debt’, China tells US over Zambia debt relief.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 28th, 2023 at 10:52am
Economics of sustainability. 

Quality, not quantity, when it comes to "growth":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8SLkJXjAtgs

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Jan 30th, 2023 at 8:50am
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51201

British voters depressingly caught between a rock and a hard place


Conclusion
The point is that both sides of British politics are crippled by the same fictional mania about having to design policies that cover spending with tax revenue, not understanding that to really address the challenges will require substantially larger fiscal deficits for an extended period into the future.



Much the same in Oz: Chalmers, in a recent essay on "values-based capitalism", actually suggests philanthropy(!) as a means of raising the funds to deal with disadvantage.....

Representing a gross dereliction of government, and unbalanced ideological subservience to the private sector.  

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 2nd, 2023 at 3:53pm
How public broadcasters perpetuate the 'government debt is bad' myth.


http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51211

Investigation into BBC bias misses the point really

And the BBC perpetuate that flawed reasoning.

The BBC Report does have a critique on the “household analogies” and states:

That states don’t tend to retire or die, or pay off their debts entirely, is one way national debt is not like household or personal debt, not like a credit card for example …

Which misses the point really.

The state is the currency issuer, the household the currency user.

One has a financial constraint, the other can never be so constrained.

Once you understand that then the questions you ask and the answers you accept become vastly different.

It is not that the states “don’t tend to retire or die, or pay off their debts entirely”.

That is true but not the fundamental point of difference.



Needless to say, both Chalmers and the current shadow treasurer Angus Taylor haven't got a clue about this vital distinction between a nation's real resources and its created money.

[Note: "states" refers to sovereign currency-issuing governments, not states in a federation which are currency users, like households and businesses].


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 2nd, 2023 at 9:14pm
The word spreads, hosted by Macquarie University: :

https://www.mq.edu.au/research/research-centres-groups-and-facilities/groups/radical-centre-reform-lab/about-us

Finding the 'radical centre'
Contemporary policy debate is being hampered by shallow tribalism. Australia’s most pressing policy challenges too often become stuck in zero-sum ideological battles between left and right. Yet the best policy solutions reside in the ‘radical centre’ – in the synthesis between intellectual and ideological opposites and extremes.

The radical centre is not about unambitious compromise. It seeks out the common ground in enduring disagreements to elucidate new and more brilliant ideas – the ambitious ideas that forge unexpected consensus.

Nowhere in Australia is there a reform hub dedicated to hunting the radical centre. The Radical Centre Reform Lab aims to fill this gap. We do this by collaborating across divides and engaging with Australia’s diverse multicultural communities to forge broad consensus for radical centre reform.

Our first project furthers work on a First Nations constitutional voice as advocated by the Uluru Statement – a historic, radical centre proposal for Indigenous constitutional recognition.


Noel Pearson of course is also on board with the Job Guarantee concept, funded via the (debt-free) currency-issuing capacity of the nation's treasury and central bank (ie not funded by taxes or borrowng). 
An idea whose time has come, given the parlous state of aboriginals in Australia.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 3rd, 2023 at 8:52am
Government debt not necessarily inflationary.


https://www.planksip.org/is-government-debt-a-cause-for-inflation-a-systems-thinking-perspective/

Maybe when economists fine-tune their thinking to align in this way, the world around us might be just a little bit better than it is now.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 9th, 2023 at 8:06pm
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-07/ecb-s-schnabel-says-tighter-policy-having-little-impact-so-far?utm_content=economics&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-economics&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&leadSource=uverify%20wall

Schnabel Says ECB Hikes Having Little Impact on Inflation So Far


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 9th, 2023 at 10:20pm
...and in Australia:

https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/02/02/rba-reserve-bank-revamp-kohler/

Alan Kohler: The RBA is fighting for its purpose … and its life



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 10th, 2023 at 9:56am
Allegra Spender spouting conventional economics, after reading the AFR headline: 'Stimulus hangover demands spending cuts or tax rises'.

She tweets: "With inflation at 7.8% and interest rates up to 3.35%, we must accept that running a large Budget deficit is making things worse. The government must slow spending to help bring inflation down. Fiscal policy has a role. The RBA can't do it alone."

As prof. Steven Hail responded:

"This is over-simplistic. Have you considered what is driving inflation and what is happening overseas? Have you looked at interest rates and deficits country to country? You haven't. Just what is a 'large Budget deficit'? Australia now has a very small deficit! Lazy thinking.







Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 10th, 2023 at 11:37am
Prof. Bill Mitchell's take:

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=51237

RBA loses all credibility with further interest rate increases

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 13th, 2023 at 10:11am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/ford-and-edison-the-anti-gold-bugs?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=102482957&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email

Building a New Economics

Ford and Edison, the anti gold bugs

Steve Keen
8 hr ago

"Secondly, rather than talking about money being backed by some other specific commodity—whether energy or gold—what Ford and Edison were arguing was that a national currency is backed by the non-financial assets of that country: its physical wealth, manifest in its raw materials and its infrastructure, were what gave authority to the financial assets it issued".

.....

"When Edison was asked "would not Mr. Ford's suggestion that Muscle Shoals be financed by a currency-issue raise some objection?", he replied:

"Certainly. There is a complete set of misleading slogans kept on hand for just such outbreaks of common sense among the people. The people are so ignorant of what they think are the intricacies of the money system that they are easily impressed by big words. There would be new shrieks of 'fiat money', and 'paper money', and 'greenbackism', and all the rest of it—the same old cries with which the people have been shouted down from the beginning." (Ford and Edison 1921)

Those misleading slogans are alive and well today, as evidenced by our modern-day Henry Ford, Elon Musk:
(tweet)
"bitcoin is almost as bs as fiat money".


the first is correct - bitcoin IS bs  ( a ponzi),  the 2nd incorrect (fiat is backed by the nation's resources and productivity); and this from the world's richest man....obviously not as informed as Ford.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 13th, 2023 at 12:18pm
(follow up from previous post)

To Elon Musk, from prof. Steve Keen:


https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/just-because-you-know-how-to-make?utm_source=direct&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

Just Because You Know How to Make Money, That Doesn’t Mean You Know How to Make Money.






Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 15th, 2023 at 9:17am
The mainstream 'independent' central bank orthodoxy is being increasingly questioned: 

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-02-13/reserve-bank-australia-pushing-us-towards-a-recession-verrender/101963794

Why the Reserve Bank is pushing us towards a recession that we don't need to have
By business editor Ian Verrender


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 15th, 2023 at 3:58pm
...and:

https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/interest-rates-lowe-s-not-the-problem-the-system-is-rotten-20230212-p5cjus.html

Ross Gittins:
"Interest rates: Lowe’s not the problem, the system is rotten".


......though Lowe believes in the system, so he IS part of the problem.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 16th, 2023 at 11:33am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EFM04Rzpewo

MMT insights  for the Global South:  Sovereignty, Resilience, and Sustainable Prosperity.

Fadhel Kaboub


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 16th, 2023 at 4:41pm
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/02/13/reserve-bank-philip-lowe-rates/

Alan Kohler: The undemocratic independent Reserve Bank

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2023 at 7:16am
Warren Buffet broaching MMT:

https://twitter.com/i/status/1626550772455415808


"We've got the right to print our own money...."


(Note: inaccurate terminology, not strictly MMT: funding the public sector for free is not giving money to private citizens for free).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Feb 18th, 2023 at 8:03am

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 18th, 2023 at 7:16am:
Warren Buffet broaching MMT:

https://twitter.com/i/status/1626550772455415808


"We've got the right to print our own money...."


(Note: inaccurate terminology, not strictly MMT: funding the public sector for free is not giving money to private citizens for free).




Such arrogance.

The Weimar Republic and Zimbabwe also had the right to print their own money.    :-[


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 18th, 2023 at 8:15am

Bobby. wrote on Feb 18th, 2023 at 8:03am:
[quote author=AusbetterWorld link=1645944963/364#364 date=1676668568]Warren Buffet broaching MMT:

https://twitter.com/i/status/1626550772455415808


"We've got the right to print our own money...."


(Note: inaccurate terminology, not strictly MMT: funding the public sector for free is not giving money to private citizens for free).




Such arrogance.

The Weimar Republic and Zimbabwe also had the right to print their own money.    :-[/quote]

Bobby, you're not listening: the productivity of the US ensures it will always be able to pay its debts with "printed" money.

Zimbabwe and the Weimar republic had their productivity destroyed by geopolitical events, which were the cause of the hyperinflationary episodes.


And of course the current bout of global inflation is caused by the lingering effects of the covid pandemic,  and war....the current monetary orthodoxy is inadequate to deal with this type of inflation.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 20th, 2023 at 8:42am
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15487733.2022.2108251#:~:text=Daly%20argued%20that%20growth%20should,is%20now%20uneconomic%2C%20Daly%20maintained.

Reflections on Herman Daly’s Economics for a Full World: His Life and Ideas

The benefits of growth are greatest when a poor society gains the capacity to meet basic needs, but as growth continues, the benefits diminish while the costs – both ecological and social costs – grow. Daly argued that growth (in GDP) should cease when decreasing marginal benefits are equaled by increasing marginal costs – the point where the economy has reached its optimal size. That point has already been reached and surpassed in high-income countries, where growth is now uneconomic, Daly maintained.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 20th, 2023 at 8:52am
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2023/02/19/interest-rates-and-inflation-knives-out/

Interest Rates and Inflation: Knives Out

If you’re just tuning in, I’ve spent the last few months debunking some common misconceptions about inflation:

Is inflation a uniform increase in prices?
No. Inflation is wildly differential.

Is inflation driven by an ‘over-heated’ economy?
No. Inflation tends to come with economic stagnation.

Do higher interest rates reduce inflation?
No. Higher interest rates are associated with higher inflation.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 20th, 2023 at 11:04am
Prof. Steve Keen explaining fiat money to Elon Musk, who doesn't have a clue:

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/when-billionaires-collide?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=103899252&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email


"When a government spends more than it gets back in taxes, it puts more money into people's private bank accounts via spending than it takes out via taxes. Therefore, since private bank accounts are part of the money supply, a government deficit creates money."

"A nonfinancial asset is an Asset to its owners, but a liability to no one: things like houses (and even spaceships). The mortgage against your house is a Liability for you and an Asset for the Bank, but the house itself is your Asset and no-one else's Liability: instead, it is part of your total equity".

"This is the reason that the American government can maintain permanent financial deficits: because they're backed by the nonfinancial assets of the country, which have grown with and because of the deficit over time. Over the last 120 years, the average government deficit has been equal to 2.5% of GDP—see Figure 6."

"As Figure 7 shows, the government's red ink becomes the private sector's black ink: the negative financial equity of the government is, dollar for dollar, the positive financial equity of the private sector."

What about government debt?

How does government debt—really, government sale of Treasury Bonds—change this picture? It does three things:

1.It lets the government's account at the Fed—the "Consolidated Revenue Fund"—remain positive, so long as Bond sales are equal to the Deficit plus interest on outstanding bonds;

2.It lets the Federal Reserve maintain non-negative equity, since it has an essentially limitless capacity to buy bonds off the banks in the secondary market. The Asset it accumulates—government bonds—can now match or exceed its liabilities of Reserve accounts and the CRF; and

3.It gives banks an interest income which, customarily, they didn't earn from Reserves, since—before the Global Financial Crisis—The Fed didn't pay interest on Reserve balances."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 24th, 2023 at 10:10am
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/private-super-paul-keatings-innocent-fraud,10086

Private super: Paul Keating’s innocent fraud

(a reference to '7 deadly innocent frauds' by W. Mosler)

"The problem with providing for an ageing population is not the money, it is the real goods and services, writes Dr Steven Hail."


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 24th, 2023 at 10:33am

Speaking of frauds:

http://www.billmitchell.org/blog/

RBA appeal to NAIRU authority is a fraud


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Feb 24th, 2023 at 6:03pm
MMT is silly bollocks.
Money - shells, coins, banknotes, electronic ledger entries, etc, etc - has to stand for something besides itself. It is a symbol of ACTUAL things. That's what money is - a symbol of the value of things BESIDES the symbol itself.

In short, money is NOT about money. That's why governments cant save themselves just by printing more of it. Money is NOT about any government's ability to print symbols. But MMT IS.

Silly, magic pudding nonsense. The fantasy of the undepleatable government coffers.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 25th, 2023 at 11:32am

Frank wrote on Feb 24th, 2023 at 6:03pm:
MMT is silly bollocks.


...though Mosler's work has received meritorious  recognition at tertiary level.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warren_Mosler


Quote:
Money - shells, coins, banknotes, electronic ledger entries, etc, etc - has to stand for something besides itself.


It does: it "stands for" real resources, but money (which is always created ex nihilo - unlike (say) sea shells which nevertheless are presumably numerous enough to be useful as a medium of exchange in primitive societies - is NOT itself a real resource). 


Quote:
It is a symbol of ACTUAL things.


More accurately, money is a MEASURE of the 'value' of actual things - however 'value' is determined (in a market, or by government decree). 


Quote:
That's what money is - a symbol of the value of things BESIDES the symbol itself.


Yes; but as noted above, money is created ex nihilo, and therefore has NO VALUE in itself, the 'value' lays in the real resource.

Note: a glass of water in a desert is worth more than a $1 million note, in a desert.....


Quote:
In short, money is NOT about money.


Oh dear, I suggest you rewrite that sentence, so that the  jarring contradiction isn't so obvious....


Quote:
That's why governments cant save themselves just by printing more of it.


Indeed, governments "can't save themselves just by printing more of it", but that has nothing to do with "money not being about money", it has everything to do with money not being a real resource like food and housing which governments DO require eg, to distribute to low income families, or to educate the populace. 


Quote:
Money is NOT about any government's ability to print symbols. But MMT IS.


MMT is about a currency-issuing government's ability to maximize the economy's productive capacity.

Note: it is possible to conceive of a government maximizing the nation's productive capacity without using money at all, by simply allocating different labour inputs of individuals a certain quantity/quality of resources as reward. 


Quote:
Silly, magic pudding nonsense. The fantasy of the undepleatable government coffers.


Note: the treasury and central bank of a currency-issuing government can, by definition,  NEVER run out of money (ie, IS "undepleatable"); what the government CAN run out of is real resources, goods and services, if the government fails to support the nation's productive capacity, especially when the private sector runs amok (eg, the GFC and before it the Great Depression).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 25th, 2023 at 9:26pm
The ALP - captured by neoliberalism - is almost as useless (but not quite) as the British Labour party:

https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2023/02/24/when-there-is-so-much-need-for-new-thinking-and-when-that-thinking-is-available-we-get-an-offering-as-bad-as-the-one-labour-put-on-the-table-yesterday/

When there is so much need for new thinking – and when that thinking is available – we get an offering as bad as the one Labour put on the table yesterday
Posted on February 24 2023

Keir Starmer launched a new Labour policy initiative yesterday. It managed 20 seconds on Channel 4 news, below the SNP leadership election. And there was good reason for that. It was a total, meaningless word salad.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Feb 25th, 2023 at 10:04pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 25th, 2023 at 11:32am:

Frank wrote on Feb 24th, 2023 at 6:03pm:
MMT is silly bollocks.


...though Mosler's work has received meritorious  recognition at tertiary level.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warren_Mosler


Quote:
Money - shells, coins, banknotes, electronic ledger entries, etc, etc - has to stand for something besides itself.


It does: it "stands for" real resources, but money (which is always created ex nihilo - unlike (say) sea shells which nevertheless are presumably numerous enough to be useful as a medium of exchange in primitive societies - is NOT itself a real resource). 

[quote]It is a symbol of ACTUAL things.


More accurately, money is a MEASURE of the 'value' of actual things - however 'value' is determined (in a market, or by government decree). 


Quote:
That's what money is - a symbol of the value of things BESIDES the symbol itself.


Yes; but as noted above, money is created ex nihilo, and therefore has NO VALUE in itself, the 'value' lays in the real resource.

Note: a glass of water in a desert is worth more than a $1 million note, in a desert.....


Quote:
In short, money is NOT about money.


Oh dear, I suggest you rewrite that sentence, so that the  jarring contradiction isn't so obvious....


Quote:
That's why governments cant save themselves just by printing more of it.


Indeed, governments "can't save themselves just by printing more of it", but that has nothing to do with "money not being about money", it has everything to do with money not being a real resource like food and housing which governments DO require eg, to distribute to low income families, or to educate the populace. 


Quote:
Money is NOT about any government's ability to print symbols. But MMT IS.


MMT is about a currency-issuing government's ability to maximize the economy's productive capacity.

Note: it is possible to conceive of a government maximizing the nation's productive capacity without using money at all, by simply allocating different labour inputs of individuals a certain quantity/quality of resources as reward. 


Quote:
Silly, magic pudding nonsense. The fantasy of the undepleatable government coffers.


Note: the treasury and central bank of a currency-issuing government can, by definition,  NEVER run out of money (ie, IS "undepleatable"); what the government CAN run out of is real resources, goods and services, if the government fails to support the nation's productive capacity, especially when the private sector runs amok (eg, the GFC and before it the Great Depression). [/quote]
Drivel. Amazing, if drivel is fascinating for anyone. Just absolute mindless drivel.

A symbol is not created 'ex nihilio'. It is not random. It couldn't be understood if it was.

Exchange rates express the meaning of value across different symbols of value. Money, like language, is not unrelated to what it symbolises.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:18am

Frank wrote on Feb 25th, 2023 at 10:04pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 25th, 2023 at 11:32am:

Frank wrote on Feb 24th, 2023 at 6:03pm:
MMT is silly bollocks.


...though Mosler's work has received meritorious  recognition at tertiary level.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warren_Mosler


Quote:
Money - shells, coins, banknotes, electronic ledger entries, etc, etc - has to stand for something besides itself.


It does: it "stands for" real resources, but money (which is always created ex nihilo - unlike (say) sea shells which nevertheless are presumably numerous enough to be useful as a medium of exchange in primitive societies - is NOT itself a real resource). 

[quote]It is a symbol of ACTUAL things.


More accurately, money is a MEASURE of the 'value' of actual things - however 'value' is determined (in a market, or by government decree). 

[quote]That's what money is - a symbol of the value of things BESIDES the symbol itself.


Yes; but as noted above, money is created ex nihilo, and therefore has NO VALUE in itself, the 'value' lays in the real resource.

Note: a glass of water in a desert is worth more than a $1 million note, in a desert.....


Quote:
In short, money is NOT about money.


Oh dear, I suggest you rewrite that sentence, so that the  jarring contradiction isn't so obvious....


Quote:
That's why governments cant save themselves just by printing more of it.


Indeed, governments "can't save themselves just by printing more of it", but that has nothing to do with "money not being about money", it has everything to do with money not being a real resource like food and housing which governments DO require eg, to distribute to low income families, or to educate the populace. 


Quote:
Money is NOT about any government's ability to print symbols. But MMT IS.


MMT is about a currency-issuing government's ability to maximize the economy's productive capacity.

Note: it is possible to conceive of a government maximizing the nation's productive capacity without using money at all, by simply allocating different labour inputs of individuals a certain quantity/quality of resources as reward. 


Quote:
Silly, magic pudding nonsense. The fantasy of the undepleatable government coffers.


Note: the treasury and central bank of a currency-issuing government can, by definition,  NEVER run out of money (ie, IS "undepleatable"); what the government CAN run out of is real resources, goods and services, if the government fails to support the nation's productive capacity, especially when the private sector runs amok (eg, the GFC and before it the Great Depression). [/quote]

Drivel. Amazing, if drivel is fascinating for anyone. Just absolute mindless drivel.[/quote]

That's what you said before.

Let's take it more slowly for you....


Quote:
A symbol is not created 'ex nihilio'.


Of course symbols are created 'ex nihilo'; eg,  'points' in a game are created out of nothing, and noted on the score board as a player kicks a goal. The goal is real; the 'points' (numbers on a scoreboard) used to keep a tally of the goals are created out of nothing. 

Note; there is an infinite number of these 'points' available for the scoreboard keeper; he can't "run-out" of points during the course of the game.


Quote:
It is not random. It couldn't be understood if it was.


Here you are confusing the characteristics of a symbol,  (eg the numbers on a scoreboard) with the way in which the symbols are created, eg in a "random" fashion.

Indeed I can create G clefs (which are symbols) at random, on an empty music manuscript page, not knowing beforehand how many staves I will need for the composition. 

After which real music can be performed following the various music symbols on the manuscript page. 


Quote:
Exchange rates express the meaning of value across different symbols of value.


Correct, but note the variability of 'value' compared with the fixed nature of the symbol itself.


Quote:
Money, like language, is not unrelated to what it symbolises.


Of course there is a relation between a symbol and that which it symbolizes.

Yet spoken language is not symbolic, indeed 1st nations' people didn't employ language symbols at all. (Note: the meaning of the spoken sound is not itself a symbol, it is a convention of a particular language).

And money is always created ex nihilo when commercial  banks write loans for credit-worthy customers; or central banks create reserves for the banking system.

Hint: if a nation's population grows, where does the required increase in money supply come from?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:18am:

Frank wrote on Feb 25th, 2023 at 10:04pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 25th, 2023 at 11:32am:

Frank wrote on Feb 24th, 2023 at 6:03pm:
MMT is silly bollocks.


...though Mosler's work has received meritorious  recognition at tertiary level.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warren_Mosler


Quote:
Money - shells, coins, banknotes, electronic ledger entries, etc, etc - has to stand for something besides itself.


It does: it "stands for" real resources, but money (which is always created ex nihilo - unlike (say) sea shells which nevertheless are presumably numerous enough to be useful as a medium of exchange in primitive societies - is NOT itself a real resource). 

[quote]It is a symbol of ACTUAL things.


More accurately, money is a MEASURE of the 'value' of actual things - however 'value' is determined (in a market, or by government decree). 

[quote]That's what money is - a symbol of the value of things BESIDES the symbol itself.


Yes; but as noted above, money is created ex nihilo, and therefore has NO VALUE in itself, the 'value' lays in the real resource.

Note: a glass of water in a desert is worth more than a $1 million note, in a desert.....

[quote]In short, money is NOT about money.


Oh dear, I suggest you rewrite that sentence, so that the  jarring contradiction isn't so obvious....


Quote:
That's why governments cant save themselves just by printing more of it.


Indeed, governments "can't save themselves just by printing more of it", but that has nothing to do with "money not being about money", it has everything to do with money not being a real resource like food and housing which governments DO require eg, to distribute to low income families, or to educate the populace. 


Quote:
Money is NOT about any government's ability to print symbols. But MMT IS.


MMT is about a currency-issuing government's ability to maximize the economy's productive capacity.

Note: it is possible to conceive of a government maximizing the nation's productive capacity without using money at all, by simply allocating different labour inputs of individuals a certain quantity/quality of resources as reward. 


Quote:
Silly, magic pudding nonsense. The fantasy of the undepleatable government coffers.


Note: the treasury and central bank of a currency-issuing government can, by definition,  NEVER run out of money (ie, IS "undepleatable"); what the government CAN run out of is real resources, goods and services, if the government fails to support the nation's productive capacity, especially when the private sector runs amok (eg, the GFC and before it the Great Depression). [/quote]

Drivel. Amazing, if drivel is fascinating for anyone. Just absolute mindless drivel.[/quote]

That's what you said before.

Let's take it more slowly for you....


Quote:
A symbol is not created 'ex nihilio'.


Of course symbols are created 'ex nihilo'; eg,  'points' in a game are created out of nothing, and noted on the score board as a player kicks a goal. The goal is real; the 'points' (numbers on a scoreboard) used to keep a tally of the goals are created out of nothing. 

Note; there is an infinite number of these 'points' available for the scoreboard keeper; he can't "run-out" of points during the course of the game.


Quote:
It is not random. It couldn't be understood if it was.


Here you are confusing the characteristics of a symbol,  (eg the numbers on a scoreboard) with the way in which the symbols are created, eg in a "random" fashion.

Indeed I can create G clefs (which are symbols) at random, on an empty music manuscript page, not knowing beforehand how many staves I will need for the composition. 

After which real music can be performed following the various music symbols on the manuscript page. 


Quote:
Exchange rates express the meaning of value across different symbols of value.


Correct, but note the variability of 'value' compared with the fixed nature of the symbol itself.


Quote:
Money, like language, is not unrelated to what it symbolises.


Of course there is a relation between a symbol and that which it symbolizes.

Yet spoken language is not symbolic, indeed 1st nations' people didn't employ language symbols at all. (Note: the meaning of the spoken sound is not itself a symbol, it is a convention of a particular language).

And money is always created ex nihilo when commercial  banks write loans for credit-worthy customers; or central banks create reserves for the banking system.

Hint: if a nation's population grows, where does the required increase in money supply come from? [/quote]
Drivel is correct.


Every language is a symbol system. Spoken sounds and written signs of those sounds correspond - mean - particular things.
The government doesnt own either what language or money "mean".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:19pm

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am:
Every language is a symbol system.


What are the 'symbols' in a non-written language?

Note: while a particular sound is allocated a meaning in oral (non-written) languages, the sound and the meaning are not symbols, they are real phenomena).

Likewise  while a particular unit of money is a symbol, the value of the resource for  which the unit of money (dollar, yen, yuan etc) is a measure, is not a symbol.


Quote:
Spoken sounds and written signs of those sounds correspond - mean - particular things.


...in written languages, not oral-only ones.  The analogy is trade in a barter system made without recourse to any (symbolic) unit of money at all.  


Quote:
The government doesnt own either what language or money "mean".


Interesting point, but you are lost in the concept of "meaning". Certainly a currency-issuing government can issue its own money (the limit being inflation, NOT government "debt").

In fact it has been shown in anthropological studies that money is an invention of states, to establish and enable  government control of the population.

(Compare Boadicea's Britain with Caesar's Rome, at the time of the invasion; Britain didn't have money, nor indeed a written language). 

So have a shot at answering my question: when the population increases, where does the necessary increase in money supply come from?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:46pm
Heard Angus Taylor today banging on about "Labor always wants your money" - as if tax concessions on super should be handed out to everyone regardless of personal wealth. It's a powerful argument which won them the 2019 election, because they convinced the electorate everyone would pay; hence Labor's current timidity in the face of egregious greed of wealthy people who want support - in the form of tax concessions - from low income people.   

In any case, the "taxpayer money" narrative is a furphy designed to limit government spending to benefit the well-off (aka 'austerity'). 

Labor really does need to press home the point that a currency-issuing government doesn't need "your money"; such a government is limited by inflation, not its capacity to tax or borrow.

Left-progressive parties need to direct the treasury department to ascertain the resource requirements and the economy's productive capacity in relation to each Ministry involved in spending government money.

..so we can all see if the resources needed to (eg) properly fund health and education, are available, and whether said expenditure will be inflationary (due to lack of supply of the necessary resources).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:08pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:19pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am:
Every language is a symbol system.


What are the 'symbols' in a non-written language?


The sounds of words. Letters or ideograms, hieroglyphs, logograms, Morse codes, etc symbolise sounds, words, syllables etc.

Or signs simbolising phrases, like good job or up yours, pal.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:49pm

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:08pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:19pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am:
Every language is a symbol system.


What are the 'symbols' in a non-written language?


The sounds of words.


The sound of a particular word is not a symbol for anything, the sound itself IS the meaning.  Whereas the letter 'a'  etc  IS a symbol.


Quote:
Letters or ideograms, hieroglyphs, logograms, Morse codes, etc symbolise sounds, words, syllables etc.


Letters - A, B, C. etc don't symbolize sounds or words, such letters are themselves symbols. 


Quote:
Or signs simbolising phrases, like good job or up yours, pal.

Addressed above; note the difference between letters which are symbols and ideographs which are not - they have a specific meaning. 

The analogy is the difference between  the general word "money", and a particular symbol used to signify money eg $. etc.

You still haven't told us how the money supply is increased, to match the increase in a nation's population.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Feb 26th, 2023 at 5:18pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:49pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:08pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:19pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am:
Every language is a symbol system.


What are the 'symbols' in a non-written language?


The sounds of words.


The sound of a particular word is not a symbol for anything, the sound itself IS the meaning.


....of what?


The sound - letter, picture etc- is the signifier of the signified.

The same way  money is the signifier of a certain value that is signified. That is why you can translate words and exchange money.

Cheeses, pal, you are thicker than I thought.





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 26th, 2023 at 9:48pm

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 5:18pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:49pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:08pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:19pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am:
Every language is a symbol system.


What are the 'symbols' in a non-written language?


The sounds of words.


The sound of a particular word is not a symbol for anything, the sound itself IS the meaning.


....of what?

The sound - letter, picture etc- is the signifier of the signified.

The same way  money is the signifier of a certain value that is signified. That is why you can translate words and exchange money.

Cheeses, pal, you are thicker than I thought.


So, analogies are tricky and misleading.   

Your statement:  "The same way  money is the signifier of a certain value that is signified" is so circular as to be meaningless.

The facts are:

1. money is created out of nothing whether it is represented by a symbol on paper, eg, the $ sign followed by digits, etc, or digits in a computer, or actual coins with a nominated value stamped on the coin. 

2. a fiat-currency-issuing government can create its own money (whether $ or yen, etc); the limit to government-money creation (by the government, in the nation's currency) is inflation, not debt.

This is the MMT insight.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2023 at 10:58am
NYT: "How to print money"

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/02/26/us/printing-money-treasury.html

........

Boring; as prof Dirk Ehnts tweeted; "the more interesting question would be: How to type money into existence 🤔

eg, Lowe should have simply changed the digits in the bank accounts of locked-down workers ONLY, to pay essential bills, during the pandemic lock-downs.

Thus avoiding a purchasing-power increase, in the accounts of people who didn't need it, as happened when he sprayed money around to everyone.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Feb 28th, 2023 at 11:36am

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 9:48pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 5:18pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:49pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 4:08pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 3:19pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 26th, 2023 at 10:45am:
Every language is a symbol system.


What are the 'symbols' in a non-written language?


The sounds of words.


The sound of a particular word is not a symbol for anything, the sound itself IS the meaning.


....of what?

The sound - letter, picture etc- is the signifier of the signified.

The same way  money is the signifier of a certain value that is signified. That is why you can translate words and exchange money.

Cheeses, pal, you are thicker than I thought.


So, analogies are tricky and misleading.   

Your statement:  "The same way  money is the signifier of a certain value that is signified" is so circular as to be meaningless.

The facts are:

1. money is created out of nothing whether it is represented by a symbol on paper, eg, the $ sign followed by digits, etc, or digits in a computer, or actual coins with a nominated value stamped on the coin. 

2. a fiat-currency-issuing government can create its own money (whether $ or yen, etc); the limit to government-money creation (by the government, in the nation's currency) is inflation, not debt.

This is the MMT insight.

You still don't understand the relationship between sign and signified in language or money (sign) and value( signified).

You bang on about the government issuing the sign and ignore completely what it signifies.
Government issues the sign but not the value.
Government debauched money when it issues more sign than there is value to signify in the economy.

You want to play Monopoly with each player just printing his own monopoly money. Daft.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:10pm

Frank wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 11:36am:
You still don't understand the relationship between sign and signified in language or money (sign) and value( signified).


"Value" is the issue you are being misled by; you keep trying to identify money with 'value', and hence conclude money is a commodity with value.

But money is like the goals used to keep score in a game ie, the supply of goals is infinite (can be created ex nihilo), though of course the goals scored by the players are not, they have to be earned by the players.

The currency-issuing government is like the goal keeper and has the capacity to create money (also for itself, as well as the private sector players) as required, so long as the resources (the 'goals', or 'score')  are available for purchase (in the nation's currency of issue).

Now as to 'value': the fact is the value of a nation's fiat-currency (eg a dollar, yen or yuan) is determined by the nation's productive capacity (related to its stock of factories and educated labor etc  - unlike Bitcoin which is merely a ponzi 'currency').


Quote:
You bang on about the government issuing the sign and ignore completely what it signifies.


Re-read what I have explained, above....and then admit your error.



Quote:
Government issues the sign but not the value.


Wrong: government issues the sign, whose value is determined by the nation's - ie public AND private sector's  - enterprise and productive capacity.

This is one of the major errors of neoclassical orthodoxy, ie denial of the role of the public sector in the issuance of money, and its (ie the public sector's) contribution to the value of that money, measured by the nation's productive capacity and resource output. 

Public education, healthcare, infrastructure,  all contribute to the national wealth. 


Quote:
Government debauche(s) money when it issues more sign than there is value to signify in the economy.


Well....correct, it's the task of government** to limit money supply to the nation's productive capacity (as opposed to a limit by determined by 'debt'). 

** rather than an 'independent" central bank; everyone is seeing the disaster Lowe is causing, especially badly affecting the most vulnerable).     


Quote:
You want to play Monopoly with each player just printing his own monopoly money. Daft.


Wrong: inflation is the first concern of MMT.

MMT enables the release of the public sector (which oversees the private sector 'players') from the grip of the (naturally) greedy private sector financiers, by recognizing the real constraint for the currency-issuing public sector: resources, not money.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:17pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:10pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 11:36am:
You still don't understand the relationship between sign and signified in language or money (sign) and value( signified).


"Value" is the issue you are being misled by; you keep trying to identify money with 'value', and hence conclude money is a commodity with value.

But money is like the goals used to keep score in a game ie, the  supply pf goals is infinite (can be created ex nihilo),  though of course the goals scored by the players are not, they have to be earned by the players.

The currency-issuing government is like the goal keeper and has the capacity to create money as required, so long as the resources (the 'goals', or 'score')  are available for purchase (in the nation's currency of issue).

Now as to 'value': the fact is the value of a nation's fiat-currency (eg a dollar, yen or yuan) is determined by the nation's productive capacity (related to its stock of factories and educated labor etc  - unlike Bitcoin which is merely a ponzi 'currency').


Quote:
You bang on about the government issuing the sign and ignore completely what it signifies.


Re-read what I have explained, above....and then admit your error.


[quote]Government issues the sign but not the value.


Wrong: government issues the sign, whose value is determined by the nation's - ie public AND private sector's  - enterprise and productive capacity.

This is the one of the major errors of neoclassical orthodoxy, ie denial of the role of the public sector in the issuance of money, and its contribution to the value of that money.


Quote:
Government debauched money when it issues more sign than there is value to signify in the economy.


Well....correct, it's the task of government** to limit money supply to the nation's productive capacity (as opposed to a limit by determined by 'debt'). 

** rather than an 'independent" central bank; everyone is seeing the disaster Lowe is causing, especially badly affecting the most vulnerable).     


Quote:
You want to play Monopoly with each player just printing his own monopoly money. Daft.


Wrong: inflation is the first concern of MMT.

MMT enables the release of the public sector (which oversees the private sector 'players') from the grip of the (naturally) greedy private sector financiers, by recognizing the real constraint for the currency-issuing public sector: resources, not money.[/quote]
What does money signify? Value.

Would that thing still exist if all money disappeared? No.

How would people trade it?  By barter.

So what IS money? A sign of a unit of exchangeable value.

Does government create the value? No.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:41pm

Frank wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:17pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 3:10pm:

Frank wrote on Feb 28th, 2023 at 11:36am:
You still don't understand the relationship between sign and signified in language or money (sign) and value( signified).


"Value" is the issue you are being misled by; you keep trying to identify money with 'value', and hence conclude money is a commodity with value.

But money is like the goals used to keep score in a game ie, the  supply pf goals is infinite (can be created ex nihilo),  though of course the goals scored by the players are not, they have to be earned by the players.

The currency-issuing government is like the goal keeper and has the capacity to create money as required, so long as the resources (the 'goals', or 'score')  are available for purchase (in the nation's currency of issue).

Now as to 'value': the fact is the value of a nation's fiat-currency (eg a dollar, yen or yuan) is determined by the nation's productive capacity (related to its stock of factories and educated labor etc  - unlike Bitcoin which is merely a ponzi 'currency').


Quote:
You bang on about the government issuing the sign and ignore completely what it signifies.


Re-read what I have explained, above....and then admit your error.

[quote]Government issues the sign but not the value.


Wrong: government issues the sign, whose value is determined by the nation's - ie public AND private sector's  - enterprise and productive capacity.

This is the one of the major errors of neoclassical orthodoxy, ie denial of the role of the public sector in the issuance of money, and its contribution to the value of that money.

[quote]Government debauched money when it issues more sign than there is value to signify in the economy.


Well....correct, it's the task of government** to limit money supply to the nation's productive capacity (as opposed to a limit by determined by 'debt'). 

** rather than an 'independent" central bank; everyone is seeing the disaster Lowe is causing, especially badly affecting the most vulnerable).     


Quote:
You want to play Monopoly with each player just printing his own monopoly money. Daft.


Wrong: inflation is the first concern of MMT.

MMT enables the release of the public sector (which oversees the private sector 'players') from the grip of the (naturally) greedy private sector financiers, by recognizing the real constraint for the currency-issuing public sector: resources, not money.[/quote]

What does money signify? Value.[/quote]

Correct, so far so good....


Quote:
Would that thing still exist if all money disappeared? No.


Incorrect (didn't take long....) ; food and infrastructure have intrinsic value; even if all money "disappeared". 


Quote:
How would people trade it?  By barter.
 
Not only barter; government decree could also determine "intrinsic" value.


Quote:
So what IS money? A sign of a unit of exchangeable value.


Note: you are proceeding from your error above: ie  "the "value" would disappear  if the money disappeared".  GIGO,  ignoring the reality of 'intrinsic value.


Quote:
Does government create the value? No.


Incorrect; govt. creates the sign AND contributes to its value, alongside value creation in private sector markets (the latter not always 'valuable', but sometimes destructive of health and well-being). 

You completely ignored my points on public sector wealth creation in the previous post, as expected from a neoclassical ideologue.   





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 2nd, 2023 at 2:05pm
'Radio MMT': a new program on radio 3CR, Melbourne.
Fridays 5.30 -6.30PM.

http://www.billmitchell.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bill_Episode_One_Audiogram_.mp4?_=1

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 4th, 2023 at 12:14pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/fed-s-barkin-calls-for-deliberate-rate-hikes-to-fight-exhausting-inflation/ar-AA18c7Z4?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=9d2723e03fb1404ea083ea51ee4e1a5d&ei=19

Fed's Barkin calls for deliberate rate hikes to fight 'exhausting' inflation'

......


He's barkin' mad; should be forced to live on the dole so long as higher interest rates are causing unemployment.

He claims 'lifting interest rates is the "work" the Fed must do'; obviously he hasn't done a day's work in his life....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 5th, 2023 at 9:33am
From a brilliant article by prof. Steve Keen, entitled:

How does JK Galbraith’s 'The New Industrial Estate' hold up after 6 decades?

https://email.telstra.com/webmail/index-rui.jsp?v=1479958955288#app/mail

Even Karl Marx was aware of the evil power possessed by "independent' central banks; here Keen directly quotes Marx:

Talk about centralisation! The credit system, which has its focus in the so-called national banks and the big money-lenders and usurers surrounding them, constitutes enormous centralisation, and gives to this class of parasites the fabulous power, not only to periodically despoil industrial capitalists, but also to interfere in actual production in a most dangerous manner—and this gang knows nothing about production and has nothing to do with it. (Marx 1894, Chapter 33)

Galbraith commented on the sad state of conventional economic theory in the 60s, as outlined by Keen here:

Reading The New Industrial State  (Galbraith 1967) again, six decades after it was first published, highlighted for me just how far economic theory has retreated from reality since the 1960s.

The New Industrial State (hereinafter called TNIS) described the actual structure of a modern industrial economy. It has nothing to do with Alfred Marshall's vision of a market economy, in which a multitude of small entrepreneurial firms sold homogenous goods directly to consumers in anonymous markets, and in which prices were set by the intersection of supply and demand. Instead, the economy is dominated by large corporations, which themselves are run by a bureaucratic "technostructure"—the term Galbraith invented—that attempts to manage everything, from input costs to final consumer demand which they manipulate via marketing. Prices are tamed by long term contracts, and the only source of instability in prices comes from wage demands on the one hand, and the vagaries of agricultural and energy production on the other.

This was the reality of the mid-1960s on which Galbraith commented. At the time he wrote, Galbraith was confident that this reality would supplant the Marshallian fantasy of supply and demand curves, which dominated economic theory.

Fat chance! Galbraith's optimism about his profession of economics was misplaced: faced with a conflict between reality and theory, mainstream economic(s) elevated theory over the inconvenient facts of the real world. The main real-world changes since Galbraith's time have been the crushing of trade unions, which has largely eliminated the capacity of workers to bargain for wage rises, the development of globalization, which has created long and extremely fragile supply chains, with much production occurring offshore rather than in American factories, and the financialization of near everything. But a "technostructure" is still in charge, and the realities of production, management and marketing are the same as he observed in the mid-1960s.

None of this realism has seeped into (neoclassical) economic theory.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 8th, 2023 at 2:38pm
Prof. Bill Mitchell answers a German academic critique of MMT.

https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60685

German Bundestag body’s MMT overview exposes the hidden agenda – the population simply can’t be allowed to understand MMT

eg, The Bundestag (ie, Parliament) discussion paper critique of MMT:

“inflationary developments are to be expected with a permanent and continuous expansion of the money supply.”


Bill answers:

Who advocates a “permanent and continuous expansion of the money supply” without regard to the development of the productive capacity of the economy and the spending and saving decisions of the non-government sector?





Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 9th, 2023 at 8:55am
Dr. Steven Hail, MMT associate professor at Torrens university, today tweeted:

Steven Hail
@StevenHailAus
The world's central bankers are essentially incompetent, because they are biased by their model, which is an unrealistic and abstract one, and are largely immune to an objective assessment of empirical evidence, even when they have gathered that evidence themselves.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:08am
Proving Dr Hail's point that "the world's central bankers are essentially incompetent, because they are biased by their model, which is an unrealistic and abstract one..":

https://www.businessinsider.com/elizabeth-warren-powell-getting-people-fired-interst-rate-hikes-recession-2023-3

Elizabeth Warren asks Fed Chair Powell to 'speak directly' to the people he's 'planning to get fired over the next year' by continuing to hike interest rates

Powell responded that he would "explain to people more broadly that inflation is extremely high and it's hurting the working people of this country badly. All of them, not just 2 million of them, but all of them are suffering under high inflation and we are taking the only measures we have to bring inflation down."

.....Yes, but your model is f**ked, dummy.

Food and energy price rises are currently caused by supply problems; jacking up interest rates won't fix those problems, price controls, rationing and/or food and energy discounts for low income people will.


Note: there is no actual shortage of food or energy in the home market, the problem is based in overseas markets.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?


China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?


China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues.   


Wrong answer I’m afraid.

It’s complicit.

Please conduct more research before commenting.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 11:07am

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?


China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues.   


Wrong answer I’m afraid.

It’s complicit.

Please conduct more research before commenting.


How is China any more complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 12:44pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 11:07am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?


China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues.   


Wrong answer I’m afraid.

It’s complicit.

Please conduct more research before commenting.


How is China any more complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else?


Oh there you are! I’m hoping that Methra has bounced out of that fake shared NotsoGreat id because when Methra talks through it ... it’s always serious next level BS. Of the gastric variety.

Now ... the comment made implies you agree that China IS indeed complicit in the present dysfunctional global system. And that volunteered admission is a great start.

Care to explain how YOU THINK it’s complicit?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:04pm

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 12:44pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 11:07am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?


China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues.   


Wrong answer I’m afraid.

It’s complicit.

Please conduct more research before commenting.


How is China any more complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else?


Oh there you are! I’m hoping that Methra has bounced out of that fake shared NotsoGreat id because when Methra talks through it ... it’s always serious next level BS. Of the gastric variety.


Enough with your BS, let's see if you can actually debate an issue...


Quote:
Now ... the comment made implies you agree that China IS indeed complicit in the present dysfunctional global system. And that volunteered admission is a great start.


No; the comment implies that the whole world post the 1990 demise of the USSR  is ravaged by the current vicious neoliberal/neoclassical orthodoxy. 


Quote:
Care to explain how YOU THINK it’s complicit?


You fraud: misinterpret a comment, and then demand an answer to your bs.

I asked you first:  how is China complicit in the current dysfunctional global neoclassical economic hegemony? 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:21pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:04pm:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 12:44pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 11:07am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?


China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues.   


Wrong answer I’m afraid.

It’s complicit.

Please conduct more research before commenting.


How is China any more complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else?


Oh there you are! I’m hoping that Methra has bounced out of that fake shared NotsoGreat id because when Methra talks through it ... it’s always serious next level BS. Of the gastric variety.


Enough with your BS, let's see if you can actually debate an issue...


Quote:
Now ... the comment made implies you agree that China IS indeed complicit in the present dysfunctional global system. And that volunteered admission is a great start.


No; the comment implies that the whole world post the 1990 demise of the USSR  is ravaged by the current vicious neoliberal/neoclassical orthodoxy. 

[quote]Care to explain how YOU THINK it’s complicit?


You fraud: misinterpret a comment, and then demand an answer to your bs.

I asked you first:  how is China complicit in the current dysfunctional global neoclassical economic hegemony? [/quote]

No. You stated this 👇:

How is China any MORE complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else?

Stop co sharing that id and keep up. Ta.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:27pm

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:21pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:04pm:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 12:44pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 11:07am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?


China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues.   


Wrong answer I’m afraid.

It’s complicit.

Please conduct more research before commenting.


How is China any more complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else?


Oh there you are! I’m hoping that Methra has bounced out of that fake shared NotsoGreat id because when Methra talks through it ... it’s always serious next level BS. Of the gastric variety.


Enough with your BS, let's see if you can actually debate an issue...


Quote:
Now ... the comment made implies you agree that China IS indeed complicit in the present dysfunctional global system. And that volunteered admission is a great start.


No; the comment implies that the whole world post the 1990 demise of the USSR  is ravaged by the current vicious neoliberal/neoclassical orthodoxy. 

[quote]Care to explain how YOU THINK it’s complicit?


You fraud: misinterpret a comment, and then demand an answer to your bs.

I asked you first:  how is China complicit in the current dysfunctional global neoclassical economic hegemony?


No. You stated this 👇:

How is China any MORE complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else? [/quote]

Ok, so have a shot at answering either of them. 


Quote:
Stop co sharing that id and keep up. Ta.


...more of your time wasting BS, deplorable.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:33pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:27pm:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:21pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:04pm:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 12:44pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 11:07am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:23am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:19am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 9:13am:
Why haven’t you mentioned China’s involvement in all this gloom and doom ?


China is no different to everyone else, except it has a policy of "common prosperity" - despised by greedy Western neoclassical 'scarcity' ideologues.   


Wrong answer I’m afraid.

It’s complicit.

Please conduct more research before commenting.


How is China any more complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else?


Oh there you are! I’m hoping that Methra has bounced out of that fake shared NotsoGreat id because when Methra talks through it ... it’s always serious next level BS. Of the gastric variety.


Enough with your BS, let's see if you can actually debate an issue...


Quote:
Now ... the comment made implies you agree that China IS indeed complicit in the present dysfunctional global system. And that volunteered admission is a great start.


No; the comment implies that the whole world post the 1990 demise of the USSR  is ravaged by the current vicious neoliberal/neoclassical orthodoxy. 

[quote]Care to explain how YOU THINK it’s complicit?


You fraud: misinterpret a comment, and then demand an answer to your bs.

I asked you first:  how is China complicit in the current dysfunctional global neoclassical economic hegemony?


No. You stated this 👇:

How is China any MORE complicit in the present dysfunctional global system, than anyone else?


Ok, so have a shot at answering either of them. 


Quote:
Stop co sharing that id and keep up. Ta.


...more of your time wasting BS, deplorable.
[/quote]

Nope! I’m not playing go fetch. You do the research this time. It will give you something constructive to do other than co trolling under a few ids. I’ll come back to this topic later to see what you’ve researched.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:44pm
More evidence of the current crop of neoclassical central bankers' pathology:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/futures-pare-losses-after-jobless-claims-data/ar-AA18pz6X?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=dcb2d4f37a6c48a5c329786d6c4b337a&ei=21

Futures pare losses after jobless claims data

...unemployment increases, so stocks rise on the idea that Powell won't hike rates so sharply.

....rising unemployment is a 'good' thing -  economic orthodoxy gone mad, with no relation to functional economic reality.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:50pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:44pm:
More evidence of the current crop of neoclassical central bankers' pathology:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/futures-pare-losses-after-jobless-claims-data/ar-AA18pz6X?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=dcb2d4f37a6c48a5c329786d6c4b337a&ei=21

Futures pare losses after jobless claims data

...unemployment increases, so stocks rise on the idea that Powell won't hike rates so sharply.

....rising unemployment is a 'good' thing -  economic orthodoxy gone mad, with no relation to functional economic reality.


Central bankers - are they your problem ?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 11th, 2023 at 9:18am

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:50pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 10th, 2023 at 1:44pm:
More evidence of the current crop of neoclassical central bankers' pathology:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/futures-pare-losses-after-jobless-claims-data/ar-AA18pz6X?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=dcb2d4f37a6c48a5c329786d6c4b337a&ei=21

Futures pare losses after jobless claims data

...unemployment increases, so stocks rise on the idea that Powell won't hike rates so sharply.

....rising unemployment is a 'good' thing -  economic orthodoxy gone mad, with no relation to functional economic reality.


Central bankers - are they your problem ?


Yes...and everyone's:

https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2023/03/10/michael-pascoe-serena-wilson-robodebt-coalition/

Michael Pascoe: Coalition had more bullets for the ‘undeserving’ poor.

"The Coalition had a strong view of ‘deserving’ and ‘undeserving’ poor. From the 2014 budget through to the 2018 budget, the vast majority of my work involved identifying savings options to cut social security expenditure.

Why are central bankers the problem, you ask?

Because central bankers are central (excuse the pun) in maintaining the mythology that currency-issuing governments' budgets are like households' budgets, hence the need to "identify savings options" just as households need to do (except the super rich).   

A centuries-old  mythology based on money-lenders (aka bankers) having the sole privilege of money creation.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 12th, 2023 at 3:25pm
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60690

The current inflationary period is not remotely like the 1970s

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 13th, 2023 at 5:06pm
Michael Hudson on the current SVB crisis :

The breakup of banks that is now occurring is the inevitable result of the way in which the Obama Administration bailed out the banks in 2008. When real estate prices collapsed, the Federal Reserve flooded the financial system with fifteen years of Quantitative Easing to re-inflate real estate prices – and with them, stock and bond prices.

    What was inflated were asset prices – above all for the packaged mortgages that banks were holding, but also for stocks and bonds across the board. That is what bank credit does. It made trillions of dollars for holders of financial assets – the One Percent and a bit more. The economy polarized as stock prices recovered, the cost of home ownership soared (on low-interest mortgages) and the U.S. economy experienced the largest bond-market boom in history as interest rates fell below One Percent.

    But in serving the financial sector, the Fed painted itself into a corner: What would happen when interest rates finally rose?

    Rising interest rates cause bond prices to fall. And that is what has been happening under the Fed's fight against "inflation," by which it means rising wage levels. Prices are plunging for bonds, and also for the capitalized value of packaged mortgages and other securities in which banks hold their assets against depositors.

    The result today is similar to the situation that S&Ls found themselves in the 1980s, leading to their demise. S&Ls had made long-term mortgages at affordable interest rates. But in the wake of the Volcker inflation, the overall level of interest rates rose. S&Ls could not pay higher their depositors higher rates, because their revenue from their mortgages was fixed at lower rates. So depositors withdrew their money.

    To obtain the money to pay these depositors, S&Ls had to sell their mortgages. But the face value of these debts was lower, as a result of higher rates. The S&Ls (and many banks) owed money to depositors short-term, but were locked into long-term assets at falling prices.

    This is what is happening to banks today. That is the corner into which the Fed has painted the economy. Recognition of this problem led the Fed to avoid it for as long as it could. But when employment began to pick up and wages began to recover, the Fed could not resist fighting the usual class war against labor. And it has turned into a war against the banking system as well.

    Silverlake was the first to go. It had sought to ride the cryptocurrency wave, by serving as a bank for various brand names. After SBF's vast fraud was exposed, there was a run on cryptocurrencies. Their managers paid by withdrawing the deposits they had at the banks – above all, Silverlake. It went under.

    That was a "special case," given its specialized deposit base. Silicon Valley Bank also was a specialized case, lending to IT startups. And New Republic was also specialized, lending to wealthy depositors in the San Francisco and northern California area. All had seen the market price of their financial securities decline as Chairman Jerome Powell raised the Fed's interest rates. And now, their deposits were being withdrawn, forcing them to sell securities at a loss. Reuters reported on Friday that bank reserves at the Fed were plunging. That hardly is surprising, as banks are paying about 0.2 percent on deposits, while depositors can withdraw their money to buy two-year U.S. Treasury notes yielding 3.8 or almost 4 percent. No wonder well-to-do investors are running from the banks.

    This is the quandary in which banks – and behind them, the Fed – find themselves.

    The obvious question is why the Fed doesn't simply bail them out. The problem is that the falling prices for long-term bank assets in the face of short-term deposit liabilities now looks like the New Normal. The Fed can lend banks for their current short-fall – but how can solvency be resolved without sharply reducing interest rates to restore the 15-year Abnormal Zero Interest-Rate Policy (ZIRP)?

    Interest yields spiked on Friday, March 10. As more workers were being hired than was expected, Mr. Powell announced that the Fed might have to raise interest rates even higher than he had warned. Volatility increased.

    And with it came a source of turmoil that has reached vast magnitudes beyond what caused the 2008 crash of AIG and other speculators: derivatives.

    JP Morgan Chase and other New York banks have tens of dollars trillions of derivatives, that is, casino bets on which way interest rates, bond prices, stock prices and other measures will change. For every winning guess, there is a loser. When trillions of dollars are bet on, some bank trader is bound to wind up with a loss that can easily wipe out the bank's entire net equity.

    There is now a flight to "cash," to a safe haven – something even better than cash: U.S. Treasury securities. Despite the talk of Republicans refusing to raise the debt ceiling, the Treasury can always print the money to pay its bondholders. It looks like the Treasury will become the new depository of choice for those who have the financial resources. Bank deposits will fall. And with them, bank holdings of reserves at the Fed.

    So far, the stock market has resisted following the plunge in bond prices. My guess is that we will now see the Great Unwinding of the Great Fictitious Capital boom of 2008-2015.


Michael Hudson.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:35am
Re the SVB debacle, Dr Steven Hail tweets:

"It is so obvious that rising interest rates drive capital losses on bonds for unhedged institutions needing to sell that it makes Steve's point (in #410) seem very simple.

Our institutions are run by people who are (mis-)educated to ignore the realities of the monetary system."




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:39am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/silicon-valley-bank-the-feds-role?utm_source=twitter&sd=pf

Silicon Valley Bank: The Fed’s Role in its Downfall

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:59am

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:39am:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/silicon-valley-bank-the-feds-role?utm_source=twitter&sd=pf

Silicon Valley Bank: The Fed’s Role in its Downfall


WTF is Steve Keen????

Meantime .... read here 👇 Is this the same entity you’re referring to?


https://www.news.com.au/finance/business/banking/us-bank-silvergate-capital-goes-into-liquidation-a-week-after-stocks-plunge/news-story/43ef85c2d5847f3016c3c3327e0862bb?utm_campaign=EditorialSB&utm_source=news.com.au&utm_medium=Facebook&utm_content=SocialBakers

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:00am

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:59am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:39am:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/silicon-valley-bank-the-feds-role?utm_source=twitter&sd=pf

Silicon Valley Bank: The Fed’s Role in its Downfall


WTF is Steve Keen????

Meantime .... read here 👇

https://www.news.com.au/finance/business/banking/us-bank-silvergate-capital-goes-into-liquidation-a-week-after-stocks-plunge/news-story/43ef85c2d5847f3016c3c3327e0862bb?utm_campaign=EditorialSB&utm_source=news.com.au&utm_medium=Facebook&utm_content=SocialBakers


A major US bank that has been teetering on the edge of collapse in the past week has officially gone under.
On Wednesday local time (Thursday night Australian time), Silvergate Capital announced it had gone into voluntary liquidation.

“In light of recent industry and regulatory developments, Silvergate believes that an orderly wind down of Bank operations and a voluntary liquidation of the Bank is the best path forward,” it said in a statement.m

As part of its winding down proceedings, the bank plans to ensure “full repayment of all deposits” for customers.

Last Friday, news.com.au reported that the Californian-based bank was on the brink of collapse.

Silvergate, a traditional bank founded in 1987 and based in California, increasingly delved into the digital asset space.

The firm lent out most of its funds to crypto exchanges and as a result it was hit hard by the collapse of $32 billion (A$47.45 billion) exchange FTX.

Silvergate is reportedly the first traditional bank to be sucked into the domino effect of FTX’s bankruptcy, dubbed the ‘FTX contagion’.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Lisa Jones on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:07am
Continued from my previous post :

US Senator Elizabeth Warren said the writing had been on the wall for the bank.

She said some of its loans verged on illegal and was not at all surprised by the news of its collapse.

“As the bank of choice for crypto, Silvergate Bank’s failure is disappointing, but predictable,” she wrote.

“Now, customers must be made whole & regulators should step up against crypto risk.”

In the last three months, Silvergate bled US$1 billion (A$1.5 billion), as its losses racked up as panic set in among crypto investors and exchanges.

Just a week earlier, Silvergate had been contemplating its fate.

The firm announced to the country’s corporate regulator, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), that it would not be able to file its annual report to deadline while it deliberated on its ability to survive.

Off the back of the news, 24 hours later, the bank’s share price plummeted a whopping 55 per cent.

Silvergate’s stock is down 67 per cent so far this year.

In total, Silvergate’s stock has fallen 97 per cent from its all-time high in November 2021, 18 months ago.



Ok .... NotsoGreat: I’m listening.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:37am

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:00am:

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:59am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 9:39am:
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/silicon-valley-bank-the-feds-role?utm_source=twitter&sd=pf

Silicon Valley Bank: The Fed’s Role in its Downfall


WTF is Steve Keen????


(quick google)

"Steve Keen is an Australian economist and author. He is a post-Keynesian, criticising neoclassical economics as inconsistent, unscientific and empirically unsupported.

Wikipedia
Born: 28 March 1953 (age 69 years), Sydney
Influenced by: Hyman Minsky, John Maynard Keynes,
Education: UNSW Sydney (1998), UNSW Sydney (1990),
Nationality: Australian
Edited works: Commerce, Complexity, and Evolution: Topics in Economics, Finance, Marketing, and Management: Proceedings of the Twelfth International Symposium in Economic Theory and Econometrics,
Contributions: Mathematical models of financial crises and debt-deflation

[quote]Meantime .... read here 👇

https://www.news.com.au/finance/business/banking/us-bank-silvergate-capital-goes-into-liquidation-a-week-after-stocks-plunge/news-story/43ef85c2d5847f3016c3c3327e0862bb?utm_campaign=EditorialSB&utm_source=news.com.au&utm_medium=Facebook&utm_content=SocialBakers


A major US bank that has been teetering on the edge of collapse in the past week has officially gone under.
On Wednesday local time (Thursday night Australian time), Silvergate Capital announced it had gone into voluntary liquidation.

“In light of recent industry and regulatory developments, Silvergate believes that an orderly wind down of Bank operations and a voluntary liquidation of the Bank is the best path forward,” it said in a statement.m

As part of its winding down proceedings, the bank plans to ensure “full repayment of all deposits” for customers.

Last Friday, news.com.au reported that the Californian-based bank was on the brink of collapse.

Silvergate, a traditional bank founded in 1987 and based in California, increasingly delved into the digital asset space.

The firm lent out most of its funds to crypto exchanges and as a result it was hit hard by the collapse of $32 billion (A$47.45 billion) exchange FTX.

Silvergate is reportedly the first traditional bank to be sucked into the domino effect of FTX’s bankruptcy, dubbed the ‘FTX contagion’.


Silvergate is a different  bank to SVB (Silicon Valley Bank):

"Silvergate, a major lender in the crypto sector, announced plans to liquidate its bank and wind down operations on Wednesday. SVB (Silicon Valley Bank), at the time the 16th largest bank in the country and a key lender in the tech space, collapsed on Friday. Another bank, Signature, followed in its footsteps on Sunday.11 hours ago


and.....

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/13/investing/european-banks-svb-collapse/index.html

EU banking stocks  suffer biggest drop in a year.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:47am

Lisa Jones wrote on Mar 14th, 2023 at 10:07am:
Continued from my previous post :

US Senator Elizabeth Warren said the writing had been on the wall for the bank.

She said some of its loans verged on illegal and was not at all surprised by the news of its collapse.

“As the bank of choice for crypto, Silvergate Bank’s failure is disappointing, but predictable,” she wrote.

“Now, customers must be made whole & regulators should step up against crypto risk.”

In the last three months, Silvergate bled US$1 billion (A$1.5 billion), as its losses racked up as panic set in among crypto investors and exchanges.

Just a week earlier, Silvergate had been contemplating its fate.

The firm announced to the country’s corporate regulator, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), that it would not be able to file its annual report to deadline while it deliberated on its ability to survive.

Off the back of the news, 24 hours later, the bank’s share price plummeted a whopping 55 per cent.

Silvergate’s stock is down 67 per cent so far this year.

In total, Silvergate’s stock has fallen 97 per cent from its all-time high in November 2021, 18 months ago.



Ok .... NotsoGreat: I’m listening.


Good. By now (after post #414) you would know European bankers are ALSO "listening", with EU bank shares suffering falls of 10% overnight (radio news)



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 15th, 2023 at 9:28am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YxJrBR0lg6s

How to Save the Planet: Degrowth vs Green Growth?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 15th, 2023 at 5:38pm
OMG,  the complexity of finance.....and the ultimate method to manage bank f**k- ups is always: 'socialize the losses, and privatize the gains':

https://www.crisesnotes.com/every-complex-banking-issue-all-at-once-the-failure-of-silicon-valley-bank-in-one-brief-summary-and-five-quick-implications/

EVERY COMPLEX BANKING ISSUE ALL AT ONCE: THE FAILURE OF SILICON VALLEY BANK IN ONE BRIEF SUMMARY AND FIVE QUICK IMPLICATIONS


If you look at the world the way Rohan and I do, deposit outflow as a result of digital fiat currency, bank accounts directly provided by the Federal Reserve to the public and/or postal banking is a feature not a bug. Once we separate and clearly distinguish payments processing from bank lending, we can see that all chartered bank deposits do is paper over the fundamental contradiction between the assets we let banks acquire through their own money creation and the lack of official backstop in good times for holding those assets through direct borrowing from the Federal Reserve. It is absolutely perverse to intentionally weaken new technologies and better payment processing options out of fear of banks “losing deposit funding”. The gap between the terms and quantities that banks can access the discount window and the terms and quantities banks can create bank deposits is a gap measuring the extent to which our financial regulatory and banking regime is lying to both ourselves and each other. Why would we want banks to control payments processing and credit to the non-financial economy? If we can separate these businesses, and we can, then we should.

The public sector should not be freed from this nonsense.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 16th, 2023 at 9:25am
More evidence of the madness of the current monetary orthodoxy and associated neoclassical economics:  seen on twitter: 


Heidi N. Moore
@moorehn
·
4h
Replying to
@JStein_WaPo
and
@FionaSmall

I don't know if it's "financial media", though? It's guys like Larry Summers who were calling for higher unemployment to fight inflation, and now are pulling for bank bailouts to...prevent unemployment.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 17th, 2023 at 8:42am
Dr. Steven Hail tweeted:

Exactly! Neoclassical economics - including Nobels - is of no use whatsoever when encountering the monetary system (or the climate system, for that matter).

in response to some sarcasm from  @RomanchukBrian:

"Why don’t they use the Diamond-Dybvig model to solve the problems with Credit Suisse? They won a Nobel* Prize for it, so it has to be very useful".

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 17th, 2023 at 11:39am
Couldn't resist:

https://www.theshovel.com.au/2023/03/16/albo-extras-package-submarines/

Albo admits he got talked into buying extras package on new subs




...but should we be spending limited resources like this?

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 18th, 2023 at 9:24am
Larry Summers shows himself to be a neoclassical ideologyfool.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1636668703692697605


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 18th, 2023 at 9:29am
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/16/svb-signature-bank-failures-yellen-says-us-banking-system-is-stable-and-deposits-remain-safe.html?__

Treasury Secretary Yellen says not all uninsured deposits will be protected in future bank failures

KEY POINTS
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told senators that government refunds of uninsured deposits will not be extended to every bank that fails, only those that pose systemic risk to the financial system.

Yellen has been at the center of an emergency program to refund billions of dollars in uninsured deposits held by clients of the failed Silicon Valley Bank and the shuttered Signature Bank.

But with markets recovering somewhat, lawmakers were concerned these backstops could become a new norm for big banks, giving “too big to fail” banks an unfair advantage over community lenders.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 19th, 2023 at 8:41am
Warren Mosler** tweets: "a good example of the blind leading the blind":

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Senators that government refunds of uninsured deposits will not be extended to every banks that fails, only those that pose systemic risk to the financial system.

**author of 'The 7 deadly innocent frauds of economic policy'.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 19th, 2023 at 12:12pm
Torrens Uni MMT lecturer Dr Steven Hail's comments on inflation, reported by Crikey:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/inflation-is-too-tricky-and-too-sticky-to-be-left-to-the-rba/ar-AA18D9W2?fbclid=IwAR3iWC2w2C0k8GJFDraewn2MEbFTSYK_M_kOOf-i-eL6x9nVeLSMNHJNqC4

Inflation is too tricky and too sticky to be left to the RBA


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 20th, 2023 at 9:06am
Rick Moreno
@Rikreation
·
4h
Replying to
@GOP
Inject billions in tax breaks for the rich, then watch them highjack the stock market, to what end? Try to help the little people and the rich throw a tantrum! Tell me again who causes inflation? Who is in charge of the house? Oh yeah #theyneverlearn #thegreaterfooltheory

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 20th, 2023 at 10:53am
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/us-banks-want-socialism-for-themselves-and-capitalism-for-everyone-else/ar-AA18OgXV?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=e71b1989b19e433bb19d34d2cb838b33&ei=1125

US banks want socialism for themselves - and capitalism for everyone else


Greg Becker, the former CEO of Silicon Valley Bank, sold $3.6m of SBV shares on 27 February, just days before the bank disclosed a large loss that triggered its stock slide and collapse. Over the previous two years, Becker sold nearly $30m of stock.

But Becker won’t rake in the most from this mess. Jamie Dimon, chair and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, the biggest Wall Street bank, will probably make much more.

That’s because depositors in small- and medium-sized banks are now fleeing to the safety of JPMorgan and other giant banks that have been deemed “too big to fail” because the government bailed them out in 2008.


...bankers, the mob with the sole privilege of creating money, while lending it at interest.....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 21st, 2023 at 8:51am
Dr Steve Keen, on the disconnect between neoclassical economics, climate science (debunking Nordhaus), and the  real world experience.

https://vimeo.com/user49871334/review/801907681/0b7a03c835?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 22nd, 2023 at 10:05am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-fractured-fairy-tales-that-led?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=109868037&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email

The Fractured Fairy Tales That Led To Today’s Banking Crisis

"Kenneth D. Garbade, a Vice-President of the New York Fed, explained the origin of the practice of requiring The Fed to only purchase bonds in the secondary market in "Direct Purchases of U.S. Treasury Securities by Federal Reserve Banks" (Garbade 2014). It's hard to read his history and not conclude that the current system—which requires Treasury to sell bonds to private banks and "primary dealers", rather than to The Fed (US central bank)—was based on the rickety pillars of the self-interest of bond traders, and delusional ideas about money held by the mainstream economists who staff The Fed, and misinform our politicians."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 24th, 2023 at 1:41pm
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/the-productivity-commission-wants-wage-bargaining-shifted-further-in-favour-of-employers-20230319-p5ctcp.html

Productivity Commission wants wage bargaining shifted further in favour of employers

Ross Gittins
Economics Editor
March 19, 2023 — 8.00pm

All confirmed by Prof. Bill Mitchell:

https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60734

Latest Productivity Commission report – relies on and exploits our ignorance – to undermine our well-being.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 25th, 2023 at 9:25am
An interesting critique of MMT from 2019, published in Quadrant, a conservative rag.

I will answer the criticisms one by one, over several posts.

This is the first instalment. 

https://quadrant.org.au/magazine/2019/07/unmasking-modern-monetary-theory/

Unmasking Modern Monetary Theory

Government loosed from financial constraints, full employment to the last man and woman willing to work, and all with no inflation to speak of. Welcome to the alluring world of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). My purpose is to deconstruct and demystify MMT; to explain where it fits in macroeconomic theory; to assess its strengths and weaknesses; and to bring out the threat it poses to economic and political freedom. I can’t get close to being exhaustive. However, I believe I can provide a more complete and comprehensible account of MMT than generally appears in the popular press.

OK....so......full employment with no inflation "poses a threat to economic and political freedom", so straight away we know the author's free market ideology.

In brief, MMT is an economic theory which postulates that permanent full employment can be achieved through the application of (whatever-it-takes) expansionary fiscal policy, allied with accommodative monetary policy. Vitally, a third component of MMT is an employment buffer scheme to prevent inflation from getting out of hand. People are taken onto the public payroll during economic downturns and released into the private-sector during upturns. Finally, MMT requires that debt issued to support public spending is denominated in domestic currency; which, of course, governments can create at will, removing any risk of default.

The last sentence masks the fact currency-issuing governments don't need to issue debt to the market, other than as a means of recording the quantum of money creation and corresponding spending, because currency-issuing government can finance its own spending.  See #428.


Professor Stephanie Kelton of Stony Brook University in New York is one of the leading proponents of MMT. She provides a description of MMT in a short video on CNBC (March 4, 2019). It’s a little learning which would leave most watchers still in the dark. I mention it only because of a telling comment in the broadcast. She rejects the idea that MMT uses taxation to fight inflation but adds that people say this all the time. She is right that people mischaracterise MMT in this way. I have read numbers of commentaries which do that. For example, Hettie O’Brien, the New Statesman’s online editor, did it in a piece on February 20 (“The surprise cult of Modern Monetary Theory”) and she quotes Professor Jonathan Portes of King’s College London doing the same thing. The question is why people get something so fundamental so wrong.

Note: Stephanie Kelton has since then published her NYT best seller: "The Deficit Myth".

She would say inflation is caused by excessive demand which itself can be conceived as being caused by inadequate supply; so taxation is not required to control inflation, but price controls on the supply side might be required in some instances - which means nationalization of some essential services like energy may be required. 

Anathema to a free marketeer like Peter Smith (the author of the Quadrant article). 

(to be continued)

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2023 at 8:43am
Oh dear, the mainstream - a case of the blind the leading the blind:

https://www.ft.com/content/fb1254dd-a011-44cc-bde9-a434e5a09fb4?sharetype=blocked

Mariana Mazzucato: ‘The McKinseys and the Deloittes have no expertise in the areas that they’re advising in’

And:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/imf-chief-warns-global-financial-stability-at-risk-from-banking-turmoil/ar-AA196nyT?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=65cc87712d844dde92290df092ee4ce9&ei=12

IMF chief warns global financial stability at risk from banking turmoil

.....she actually gets paid when she opines such obvious comments, because she is part of a dysfunctional system. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 27th, 2023 at 10:02am
MMT Podcast:

https://pileusmmt.libsyn.com/163-l-randall-wray-breaking-banks-the-feds-magical-monetarist-thinking-strikes-again

#163 L. Randall Wray: Breaking Banks - The Fed’s Magical Monetarist Thinking Strikes Again




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 29th, 2023 at 10:34am
Prof. Steve Keen debunks economists William Nordhaus and Richard Tol, on climate economics.

https://www.stevekeenfree.com/fight-failing-economics-private-3


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 30th, 2023 at 10:47am
Even in Australia; the consequences of forcing the government to tax and/or borrow in order to spend:

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/mar/28/one-million-people-are-living-below-the-poverty-line-in-nsw-census-data-has-revealed?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

One million people are living below the poverty line in NSW, census data has revealed


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Mar 31st, 2023 at 11:22am
https://progressive.international/blueprint/ccd13812-0487-4d80-8b8a-629a64563aeb-ghosh/en

Professor Jayati Ghosh delivers an address to the launch event of the New International Economic Order on the opportunities of a fragmented geopolitical order for a new world to flourish in its cracks.

There has never been a more important time to talk about a new multilateralism in a very rapidly changing world. Now that we know that the existing structures of multilateralism are simply not working — not generating either peace or stability or security or economic viability or planetary sustainability — we have to rethink these institutions. We have to think of an international architecture that will work in the current global situation.

This is possible because the world is more fragmented now, for geopolitical reasons and economic reasons. That fragmentation provides an opportunity for all of us who are concerned with much broader economic justice to think of and to work towards generating a genuinely progressive alternative.


Yes, the neoclassical foundations of the current system are buckling under pressure....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 1st, 2023 at 9:27am
Speaking of creating money out of thin air.

https://theconversation.com/how-can-australia-pay-368-billion-for-new-submarines-some-of-the-money-will-be-created-from-thin-air-202150

How can Australia pay $368 billion for new submarines? Some of the money will be created from thin air


...but it's a shame the nation intends to mobilize all that knowhow, labour and resources to build nuclear subs,  because of the "China threat' paranoia....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 3rd, 2023 at 9:31am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-schizophrenic-understanding-of?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=112291889&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email

The schizophrenic understanding of money in economics

Steve Keen
3 hr ago
One of the great ironies of economics is that, while the public regards economists as experts on money, the issue of how money is created is still not settled within economics.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2023 at 3:24pm
Forgotten experiences - relevant to the current "closing the gap" voice debate:

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14427591.1993.9686379

What it means to get off sit‐down money: Community development employment projects (CDEP)
Heather Jensen
Pages 12-18 | Published online: 26 Sep 2011

"CDEP has a two fold purpose: employment creation and community development. Work that the community identifies as important is carried out, and meaningful occupation is provided for individuals, increasing the workers’ skills and reducing boredom and drinking. The main thrust of self determination has been the development of Aboriginal organisations. The success of CDEP is dependent on these organisations which provide culturally appropriate employment, which includes the CDEP scheme. A recent review (ie, in 2011) of the CDEP scheme indicated that 71% of Aboriginal communities surveyed considered that CDEP was helpful in meeting the goals of the community and 82% considered that community members were better off under the scheme

PM John Howard, following disastrous Thatcherite neoliberal market orthodoxy, began dismantling the CDEPs in the 2000s.

Of course we now know Philip Lowe could fund - without taxing or borrowing - a reinstatement of the CDEPs, if he was authorized by the government to do so, because there need  be no "crowding out" of (sensible) private sector claims on available resources.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 7th, 2023 at 8:10pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 3:24pm:
Forgotten experiences - relevant to the current "closing the gap" voice debate:

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14427591.1993.9686379

What it means to get off sit‐down money: Community development employment projects (CDEP)
Heather Jensen
Pages 12-18 | Published online: 26 Sep 2011

"CDEP has a two fold purpose: employment creation and community development. Work that the community identifies as important is carried out, and meaningful occupation is provided for individuals, increasing the workers’ skills and reducing boredom and drinking. The main thrust of self determination has been the development of Aboriginal organisations. The success of CDEP is dependent on these organisations which provide culturally appropriate employment, which includes the CDEP scheme. A recent review (ie, in 2011) of the CDEP scheme indicated that 71% of Aboriginal communities surveyed considered that CDEP was helpful in meeting the goals of the community and 82% considered that community members were better off under the scheme

PM John Howard, following disastrous Thatcherite neoliberal market orthodoxy, began dismantling the CDEPs in the 2000s.

Of course we now know Philip Lowe could fund - without taxing or borrowing - a reinstatement of the CDEPs, if he was authorized by the government to do so, because there need  be no "crowding out" of (sensible) private sector claims on available resources.



https://mobile.twitter.com/DrLoupis/status/1642459300215033858

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2023 at 8:36pm

Frank wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 8:10pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 3:24pm:
Forgotten experiences - relevant to the current "closing the gap" voice debate:

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14427591.1993.9686379

What it means to get off sit‐down money: Community development employment projects (CDEP)
Heather Jensen
Pages 12-18 | Published online: 26 Sep 2011

"CDEP has a two fold purpose: employment creation and community development. Work that the community identifies as important is carried out, and meaningful occupation is provided for individuals, increasing the workers’ skills and reducing boredom and drinking. The main thrust of self determination has been the development of Aboriginal organisations. The success of CDEP is dependent on these organisations which provide culturally appropriate employment, which includes the CDEP scheme. A recent review (ie, in 2011) of the CDEP scheme indicated that 71% of Aboriginal communities surveyed considered that CDEP was helpful in meeting the goals of the community and 82% considered that community members were better off under the scheme

PM John Howard, following disastrous Thatcherite neoliberal market orthodoxy, began dismantling the CDEPs in the 2000s.

Of course we now know Philip Lowe could fund - without taxing or borrowing - a reinstatement of the CDEPs, if he was authorized by the government to do so, because there need  be no "crowding out" of (sensible) private sector claims on available resources.



https://mobile.twitter.com/DrLoupis/status/1642459300215033858


Don't understand money, Frank?

Never mind, even economists trained in the current mainstream obsolete neoclassical orthodoxy don't have a clue.   

As pointed out by Prof. Steve Keen, in #437:

"One of the great ironies of economics is that, while the public regards economists as experts on money, the issue of how money is created is still not settled within economics."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 7th, 2023 at 9:02pm
https://mobile.twitter.com/PriaN77530659/status/1641055103749586944

https://rumble.com/v2ajd0i-5-finger-discount.html

https://mobile.twitter.com/ClownWorld_/status/1643348342133624832

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 7th, 2023 at 9:21pm

Frank wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 9:02pm:
https://mobile.twitter.com/PriaN77530659/status/1641055103749586944

https://rumble.com/v2ajd0i-5-finger-discount.html

https://mobile.twitter.com/ClownWorld_/status/1643348342133624832


All merely displaying your own ignorance.

Keen has actually proved current central bank monetary orthodoxy is wrong, using double entry accounting and Minsky sofware he developed himself: see #428, and #437.

But apparently the neoclassical diehards haven't even looked at it.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:46pm
Labor in danger of a slow inevitable electoral decline:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/state-government-looking-to-make-big-cuts-to-the-public-sector/vi-AA19eIKq?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=cad87957c95e424786673d26a231a3b0&ei=38

State governments (as well as the Commonwealth) "looking to make big cuts to the public sector", owing to obsolete debt and deficit monetary orthodoxy.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 9th, 2023 at 3:35pm

Zimbabwe was printing 100 trillion dollar notes
which were needed to buy a loaf of bread.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 9th, 2023 at 5:56pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 7th, 2023 at 3:24pm:
Forgotten experiences - relevant to the current "closing the gap" voice debate:

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14427591.1993.9686379

What it means to get off sit‐down money: Community development employment projects (CDEP)
Heather Jensen
Pages 12-18 | Published online: 26 Sep 2011

"CDEP has a two fold purpose: employment creation and community development. Work that the community identifies as important is carried out, and meaningful occupation is provided for individuals, increasing the workers’ skills and reducing boredom and drinking. The main thrust of self determination has been the development of Aboriginal organisations. The success of CDEP is dependent on these organisations which provide culturally appropriate employment, which includes the CDEP scheme. A recent review (ie, in 2011) of the CDEP scheme indicated that 71% of Aboriginal communities surveyed considered that CDEP was helpful in meeting the goals of the community and 82% considered that community members were better off under the scheme

PM John Howard, following disastrous Thatcherite neoliberal market orthodoxy, began dismantling the CDEPs in the 2000s.

Of course we now know Philip Lowe could fund - without taxing or borrowing - a reinstatement of the CDEPs, if he was authorized by the government to do so, because there need  be no "crowding out" of (sensible) private sector claims on available resources.

But despite its good intentions, CDEP’s evolution has hindered rather than helped Indigenous people. At the program’s heart is the notion that Indigenous Australians are not capable of holding mainstream employment.
Instead of being a transition to real work, CDEP is an obstacle to employment. Only around 5% of CDEP participants move to mainstream jobs.
CDEP payments are combined with other forms of income assistance such as Newstart Allowance and Parenting Payment. A single mother with six children receiving CDEP for home duties plus welfare can receive nearly $2,000 a fortnight. These payments create a ‘welfare pedestal’ which prevents participants from considering study, training, or work opportunities.  Participants are paid for doing housework, mowing their own lawns, attending funerals, and for doing nothing at all. Consequently, Indigenous people regard CDEP pay contemptuously as ‘sit down’ money.
If CDEP is excluded from employment figures, after thirty years of the CDEP program, the percentage of Indigenous people in ‘real’ employment in ghetto, fringe, and remote areas is only 17%.
CDEP has hidden the crisis in Indigenous education. CDEP participants do not need to know how to read and write, and CDEP training does not qualify them for mainstream jobs. So-called vocational certificates are awarded to participants unable to read, write, or count.
Most Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders, even in remote areas, are located within commuting distance of work in retail, tourism, agriculture, and mining. They cannot access these jobs because they are not literate or numerate, and lack post-school vocational training.
Many people have vested interests in maintaining the status quo:
• CDEP has enabled territory and state governments to abdicate responsibility for providing local government, health, education, and policing services.
• CDEP has encouraged Indigenous organisations to expand their bureaucratic structures to service CDEP and associated activities, rather than stimulating a transition to employment.
• CDEP has enabled some communal enterprises to appear to succeed by subsidising them through the payment of wages and capital grants.
The part that CDEP has played in keeping Indigenous people out of mainstream employment must be addressed if the cycle of Indigenous joblessness, welfare dependence, and family and community dysfunction is to end.

For this and many other reasons, the Howard government decided to end the CDEP scheme. But although the Rudd government continued to phase out CDEP, existing recipients were allowed to remain on the program until July 2011; this was later extended to July 2012. And just last week the Indigenous Affairs Minister, Jenny Macklin, announced that the 4,000 people still receiving CDEP payments will remain on the scheme for another five years.

Macklin argued that many of the people on CDEP have been on the scheme for so long that it would be ‘pointless to move them on.’ The Coalition has criticised this approach, arguing that the Labor government was taking a lazy approach to CDEP by allowing Indigenous people to stay on it for a further five years without reforming it and returning it to its ‘original principles.’

CDEP was originally designed as a replacement for unemployment benefits in remote communities and to provide work and on-the-job training. But despite its good intentions, CDEP ended up hindering rather than helping Indigenous people.

At the program’s heart was the notion that Indigenous Australians are not capable of holding mainstream employment. Inevitably, because it was a separate program for Aboriginal people, lower standards were allowed to creep in and people ended up getting paid for doing very little.

https://www.cis.org.au/commentary/opinion/no-more-dreaming-of-cdep/

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 9th, 2023 at 6:50pm

Frank wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 5:56pm:
But despite its good intentions, CDEP’s evolution has hindered rather than helped Indigenous people.


You are mixing up the timelines: CDEP produced good results  (as shown in the links in my previous post),  UNTIL it was progressively cancelled starting with PM Howard  in the  2000s.


Quote:
At the program’s heart is the notion that Indigenous Australians are not capable of holding mainstream employment.


Correct, though you are also discounting the million or so long-term non-black workers who are ALSO "not capable of holding mainstream employment" ie, in the competitive market-economy job-market. 


Quote:
Instead of being a transition to real work, CDEP is an obstacle to employment.


No; again you apparently have not read the article which directly contradicts this claim.   


Quote:
Only around 5% of CDEP participants move to mainstream jobs.


Now at least you have rejoined the debate; but I have already commented on your irrelevant definition of "mainstream jobs"; JG jobs (and CDEP jobs) aren't "mainstream", by design.


Quote:
CDEP payments are combined with other forms of income assistance such as Newstart Allowance and Parenting Payment. A single mother with six children receiving CDEP for home duties plus welfare can receive nearly $2,000 a fortnight. These payments create a ‘welfare pedestal’ which prevents participants from considering study, training, or work opportunities. 


BS..... taking the example of a single mother with six kids...as if that is reason to condemn the CDEP, for all other worker categories.   


Quote:
Participants are paid for doing housework, mowing their own lawns, attending funerals, and for doing nothing at all. Consequently, Indigenous people regard CDEP pay contemptuously as ‘sit down’ money.
If CDEP is excluded from employment figures, after thirty years of the CDEP program, the percentage of Indigenous people in ‘real’ employment in ghetto, fringe, and remote areas is only 17%.
CDEP has hidden the crisis in Indigenous education. CDEP participants do not need to know how to read and write, and CDEP training does not qualify them for mainstream jobs. So-called vocational certificates are awarded to participants unable to read, write, or count.
Most Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders, even in remote areas, are located within commuting distance of work in retail, tourism, agriculture, and mining. They cannot access these jobs because they are not literate or numerate, and lack post-school vocational training.
Many people have vested interests in maintaining the status quo:
• CDEP has enabled territory and state governments to abdicate responsibility for providing local government, health, education, and policing services.
• CDEP has encouraged Indigenous organisations to expand their bureaucratic structures to service CDEP and associated activities, rather than stimulating a transition to employment.
• CDEP has enabled some communal enterprises to appear to succeed by subsidising them through the payment of wages and capital grants.
The part that CDEP has played in keeping Indigenous people out of mainstream employment must be addressed if the cycle of Indigenous joblessness, welfare dependence, and family and community dysfunction is to end.

For this and many other reasons, the Howard government decided to end the CDEP scheme. But although the Rudd government continued to phase out CDEP, existing recipients were allowed to remain on the program until July 2011; this was later extended to July 2012. And just last week the Indigenous Affairs Minister, Jenny Macklin, announced that the 4,000 people still receiving CDEP payments will remain on the scheme for another five years.

Macklin argued that many of the people on CDEP have been on the scheme for so long that it would be ‘pointless to move them on.’ The Coalition has criticised this approach, arguing that the Labor government was taking a lazy approach to CDEP by allowing Indigenous people to stay on it for a further five years without reforming it and returning it to its ‘original principles.’

CDEP was originally designed as a replacement for unemployment benefits in remote communities and to provide work and on-the-job training. But despite its good intentions, CDEP ended up hindering rather than helping Indigenous people.

At the program’s heart was the notion that Indigenous Australians are not capable of holding mainstream employment. Inevitably, because it was a separate program for Aboriginal people, lower standards were allowed to creep in and people ended up getting paid for doing very little.

https://www.cis.org.au/commentary/opinion/no-more-dreaming-of-cdep/


Neoliberal market ideologues criticizing the CDEP; hence the worthless commentary (but bravo for bothering to do your own research),  contradicted by those who actually participated in and enjoyed the benefits of the CDEP, as outlined in my linked  articles re the CDEP.   

Of course, where there's a will there's a way to eradicate welfare dependency, and that is what the nation MUST do, to close the gap. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 9th, 2023 at 9:08pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 6:50pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 5:56pm:
But despite its good intentions, CDEP’s evolution has hindered rather than helped Indigenous people.


You are mixing up the timelines: CDEP produced good results  (as shown in the links in my previous post),  UNTIL it was progressively cancelled starting with PM Howard  in the  2000s.


Quote:
At the program’s heart is the notion that Indigenous Australians are not capable of holding mainstream employment.


Correct, though you are also discounting the million or so long-term non-black workers who are ALSO "not capable of holding mainstream employment" ie, in the competitive market-economy job-market. 

[quote]Instead of being a transition to real work, CDEP is an obstacle to employment.


No; again you apparently have not read the article which directly contradicts this claim.   


Quote:
Only around 5% of CDEP participants move to mainstream jobs.


Now at least you have rejoined the debate; but I have already commented on your irrelevant definition of "mainstream jobs"; JG jobs (and CDEP jobs) aren't "mainstream", by design.


Quote:
CDEP payments are combined with other forms of income assistance such as Newstart Allowance and Parenting Payment. A single mother with six children receiving CDEP for home duties plus welfare can receive nearly $2,000 a fortnight. These payments create a ‘welfare pedestal’ which prevents participants from considering study, training, or work opportunities. 


BS..... taking the example of a single mother with six kids...as if that is reason to condemn the CDEP, for all other worker categories.   


Quote:
Participants are paid for doing housework, mowing their own lawns, attending funerals, and for doing nothing at all. Consequently, Indigenous people regard CDEP pay contemptuously as ‘sit down’ money.
If CDEP is excluded from employment figures, after thirty years of the CDEP program, the percentage of Indigenous people in ‘real’ employment in ghetto, fringe, and remote areas is only 17%.
CDEP has hidden the crisis in Indigenous education. CDEP participants do not need to know how to read and write, and CDEP training does not qualify them for mainstream jobs. So-called vocational certificates are awarded to participants unable to read, write, or count.
Most Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders, even in remote areas, are located within commuting distance of work in retail, tourism, agriculture, and mining. They cannot access these jobs because they are not literate or numerate, and lack post-school vocational training.
Many people have vested interests in maintaining the status quo:
• CDEP has enabled territory and state governments to abdicate responsibility for providing local government, health, education, and policing services.
• CDEP has encouraged Indigenous organisations to expand their bureaucratic structures to service CDEP and associated activities, rather than stimulating a transition to employment.
• CDEP has enabled some communal enterprises to appear to succeed by subsidising them through the payment of wages and capital grants.
The part that CDEP has played in keeping Indigenous people out of mainstream employment must be addressed if the cycle of Indigenous joblessness, welfare dependence, and family and community dysfunction is to end.

For this and many other reasons, the Howard government decided to end the CDEP scheme. But although the Rudd government continued to phase out CDEP, existing recipients were allowed to remain on the program until July 2011; this was later extended to July 2012. And just last week the Indigenous Affairs Minister, Jenny Macklin, announced that the 4,000 people still receiving CDEP payments will remain on the scheme for another five years.

Macklin argued that many of the people on CDEP have been on the scheme for so long that it would be ‘pointless to move them on.’ The Coalition has criticised this approach, arguing that the Labor government was taking a lazy approach to CDEP by allowing Indigenous people to stay on it for a further five years without reforming it and returning it to its ‘original principles.’

CDEP was originally designed as a replacement for unemployment benefits in remote communities and to provide work and on-the-job training. But despite its good intentions, CDEP ended up hindering rather than helping Indigenous people.

At the program’s heart was the notion that Indigenous Australians are not capable of holding mainstream employment. Inevitably, because it was a separate program for Aboriginal people, lower standards were allowed to creep in and people ended up getting paid for doing very little.

https://www.cis.org.au/commentary/opinion/no-more-dreaming-of-cdep/


Neoliberal market ideologues criticizing the CDEP; hence the worthless commentary (but bravo for bothering to do your own research),  contradicted by those who actually participated in and enjoyed the benefits of the CDEP, as outlined in my linked  articles re the CDEP.   

Of course, where there's a will there's a way to eradicate welfare dependency, and that is what the nation MUST do, to close the gap.  [/quote]

You should change your name to Oblivious.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:04am
Priceless.

Buyer: "the parrot is dead" - seller: ""no, it's only resting"  (Monty Python sketch).

Prof. Steve Keen examines and disposes of the mainstream 'money-multiplier' concept.

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/the-dead-parrot-of-mainstream-economics?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=113653630&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email

The Dead Parrot of Mainstream Economics



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:10am

Frank wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 9:08pm:
You should change your name to Oblivious.


Who is oblivious of the fact the nation has to end welfare dependency among a significant minority, if it wants to close the gap?

Note: even the Alice Springs Police Commissioner recently acknowledged the fact.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 10th, 2023 at 11:44am

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:10am:

Frank wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 9:08pm:
You should change your name to Oblivious.


Who is oblivious of the fact the nation has to end welfare dependency among a significant minority, if it wants to close the gap?

Note: even the Alice Springs Police Commissioner recently acknowledged the fact.

CDEP WAS welfare. Only 5% transitioned to real jobs.
More people move off unemployment benefit than off CDEP.
Payment for mowing your own lawn, doing your laundry and hoovering the house? Ridiculous. You will never transition to a real job from that.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 10th, 2023 at 1:16pm

Frank wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 11:44am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:10am:

Frank wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 9:08pm:
You should change your name to Oblivious.


Who is oblivious of the fact the nation has to end welfare dependency among a significant minority, if it wants to close the gap?

Note: even the Alice Springs Police Commissioner recently acknowledged the fact.




Quote:
CDEP WAS welfare. Only 5% transitioned to real jobs.


That's the false "real jobs" narrative from  neoliberal market ideologues, whereas researchers who know welfare dependency is the cause of the gap, polled  85% of CDEP participants who reported improvement in communities, with reduced alcohol and crime.

[quote]More people move off unemployment benefit than off CDEP.


But unemployment benefits themselves -  aka "sit down money" - are a social disaster, especially in black communities struggling with cultural displacement issues.   

Of course, IF people can move off CDEP jobs into market-based jobs, that is a good thing.

But the first step is to eradicate welfare dependency itself, aka "sit-down money" which engenders boredom, lack of personal agency, and drug/alcohol use.

And the good news is Philip Lowe can fund CDEPs without you or I having to fund them (...until Lowe gets the sack for being the incompetent mainstream buffoon  he is...)


Quote:
Payment for mowing your own lawn, doing your laundry and hoovering the house? Ridiculous. You will never transition to a real job from that.


These are real work, and the first step in progressing from welfare dependency especially in remote and regional communities**, on the path to employment in the market-based economy.

**Mundine claimed today the gap is not between white and black, but between blacks in cities, and those in regional/remote communities.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Frank on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:01pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 1:16pm:

Frank wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 11:44am:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:10am:

Frank wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 9:08pm:
You should change your name to Oblivious.


Who is oblivious of the fact the nation has to end welfare dependency among a significant minority, if it wants to close the gap?

Note: even the Alice Springs Police Commissioner recently acknowledged the fact.




Quote:
CDEP WAS welfare. Only 5% transitioned to real jobs.


That's the false "real jobs" narrative from  neoliberal market ideologues, whereas researchers who know welfare dependency is the cause of the gap, polled  85% of CDEP participants who reported improvement in communities, with reduced alcohol and crime.

[quote]More people move off unemployment benefit than off CDEP.


But unemployment benefits themselves -  aka "sit down money" - are a social disaster, especially in black communities struggling with cultural displacement issues.   

Of course, IF people can move off CDEP jobs into market-based jobs, that is a good thing.

But the first step is to eradicate welfare dependency itself, aka "sit-down money" which engenders boredom, lack of personal agency, and drug/alcohol use.

And the good news is Philip Lowe can fund CDEPs without you or I having to fund them (...until Lowe gets the sack for being the incompetent mainstream buffoon  he is...)

[quote]Payment for mowing your own lawn, doing your laundry and hoovering the house? Ridiculous. You will never transition to a real job from that.


These are real work, and the first step in progressing from welfare dependency especially in remote and regional communities**, on the path to employment in the market-based economy.

**Mundine claimed today the gap is not between white and black, but between blacks in cities, and those in regional/remote communities.


[/quote]
Oblivious is correct.

You are like a yappy dog that will yap the same way no matter where it is, what it's fed, who is with it, what the circumstance,etc.
You are yapping the same shite regardless of what you are told, what situation you are in - re gd ardless of anything.

You just yap, yap, yappity yap, same old uncontrolled, oblivious shite. WHATEVER anyone say, it prompts you to just yap the exact same stupid yappy crap.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2023 at 9:50am

Frank wrote on Apr 10th, 2023 at 10:01pm:
Oblivious is correct.


So ...we have arrived at these competing positions:

You: "CDEP was welfare. Only 5% transitioned to real jobs".

Me: "85% of CDEP participants reported improvement in communities, with reduced alcohol and crime".

My counter-argument points to the error of your ideological conception of "real jobs", meaning market-based jobs. But "real jobs"  include non-market based jobs.

Let's see if we can resolve this difference (and if not, why not....)


Quote:
You are like a yappy dog that will yap the same way no matter where it is, what it's fed, who is with it, what the circumstance,etc.
You are yapping the same shite regardless of what you are told, what situation you are in - re gd ardless of anything.


Hm......not a good start for resolving the substantive issues RE the efficacy of the CDEP, nor understanding the competing views (though I can confidently say it's your  'individual sovereignty/freedom' delusions supporting classical economics - ultimately - which are at fault).


Quote:
You just yap, yap, yappity yap, same old uncontrolled, oblivious shite. WHATEVER anyone say, it prompts you to just yap the exact same stupid yappy crap.


Er... you found the  5% success with CDEP figure  in an anti CDEP article; I found my 85% CDEP approval in a pro CDEP  study.

So obviously, the CDEP needs further examination....

Obviously it's helpful to understand  that currency-issuing government can finance itself if the needed  resources are available, unlike private sector players who have to earn money.....   


Then work which is gainful,  as well as market based,  can both be done, without being bogged down in false considerations re "taxpayer money". 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2023 at 1:23pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 3:35pm:
Zimbabwe was printing 100 trillion dollar notes
which were needed to buy a loaf of bread.




Yet a currency-issuing government can finance its own spending, provided the required resources are available for purchase.

Zimbabwe suffered a large reduction in its food-producing capacity, when Mugabe requisitioned white farms and gave them to inexperienced black farmers.

Re inflation (not hyper-inflation):

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/what-will-all-this-inflation-do-to?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#details



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 11th, 2023 at 8:53pm
Economic benefit going to rich 'inequality on steroids'
Story by Dominic Giannini • 14h ago

A disparity between how much of the economic benefits the vast majority of Australians get compared to the top end of town has been described as "inequality on steroids".

A new report shows 90 per cent of Australians received just seven per cent of the benefits of real economic growth over a decade from 2009.

The top 10 per cent of income earners received 93 per cent of the benefits.

The report from the Australia Institute says stagnating wages, insecure work, soaring corporate profits and an unfair tax system means people are going backwards.

The institute's senior economist Matt Grudnoff said the data showed the economy wasn't working for most Australians.

"From the 1950s to the 1980s Australia was considered the land of the fair go and we saw people benefiting more equally from economic growth," he said.

"Today, that Australian dream has turned into an inequality nightmare, fuelling the cost of living crisis for low and middle-income earners."

The left-leaning think tank is using the report to reignite its push to scrap stage three tax cuts, which would lower the tax rate for people earning over $180,000 a year.

Mr Grudnoff says it will only make inequality worse, instead pushing for a corporate "super profits tax".

"Soaring energy prices have seen gas and electricity bills increase for average Australians, while super profits from Australia's gas and coal go overseas," he said.

"Australians know they are missing out."

The Albanese government has continuously said its position on keeping the (stage 3) tax cuts has not changed.
(end)

But both sides of politics are captured by the current gruesome neoclassical/Friedmanite monetary orthodoxy**, with one blunt tool of economic management - "independent" central bank interest-rate manipulation (monetary policy)  to control inflation and employment.

** meaning debt and deficits are regarded as evil....which the AI's neoclassical economist Grudnoff says can be eliminated with higher taxes.

News flash: Australians don't like higher taxes....even if they "know they are missing out"....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 4:54pm
cont. from #430:

"One of the reasons (for disagreement re whether MMT controls inflation with taxation) is that economic theories hatched within academia are not always clear to those outside of the inner circle. For the most part this doesn’t matter. In this case it does. MMT has escaped from academia. Professor Kelton advised the Bernie Sanders campaign in 2016. The precocious new de-facto leader of far-Left Democrats, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, of Green New Deal notoriety, is apparently a fan of MMT; though how much of it she understands is an open question. Jeremy Corbyn and his shadow chancellor flirted with MMT before reverting to more orthodox Keynesianism. At one point, echoing MMT, he favoured the Bank of England printing money to fund national infrastructure and public housing."

The British govt. SHOULD authorize it, to deal with the current housing crisis, so long as the necessary resources are available in Britain.

It is important to understand the allure of MMT to those with a socialist bent. As I will explain, it might become increasingly alluring to those on the political Left in failing economies locked inside the eurozone. It is a Trojan horse in waiting. At the same time, it is somewhat comforting that a socialist like Corbyn found it too hard to swallow; at least for now.

"Comforting" - for a dyed in the wool neoclassical conservative like the author (Peter Smith).

For the most part I am guided in my absorption of MMT by three of its leading proponents; one of whom, Professor Bill Mitchell of the University of Newcastle (Australia), is credited with having invented the term MMT. The others are Kelton and Professor Randall Wray of the University of Missouri–Kansas City. My main references are Mitchell (Full Employment Abandoned, 2008); Wray (Modern Monetary Theory, 2012); and Kelton (“The Failure of Austerity: Rethinking Fiscal Policy,” in Rethinking Capitalism, 2016).

All good sources, lets continue:

So far as I can tell, those wedded to MMT are a ginger group of Keynesians, or of post-Keynesians as they are equivalently called these days. They accept the principal Keynesian doctrine that aggregate demand drives the economy but do not accept the same limitations on government action as do orthodox Keynesians. An internecine struggle is afoot.

I will start with a very brief account of the claimed provenance of MMT before setting out its main elements. I will then impart context by comparing MMT with orthodox Keynesianism and also with free-market macroeconomics. Finally, I will look more closely at the import and practicality of MMT.


Ok, a good starting point.

(to be cont.)

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 5:15pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 11th, 2023 at 1:23pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 3:35pm:
Zimbabwe was printing 100 trillion dollar notes
which were needed to buy a loaf of bread.





Yet a currency-issuing government can finance its own spending, provided the required resources are available for purchase.

Zimbabwe suffered a large reduction in its food-producing capacity, when Mugabe requisitioned white farms and gave them to inexperienced black farmers.

Re inflation (not hyper-inflation):

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/what-will-all-this-inflation-do-to?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#details




Still - Zimbabwe is a warning to us all.




Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:35pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 5:15pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 11th, 2023 at 1:23pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 3:35pm:
Zimbabwe was printing 100 trillion dollar notes
which were needed to buy a loaf of bread.





Yet a currency-issuing government can finance its own spending, provided the required resources are available for purchase.

Zimbabwe suffered a large reduction in its food-producing capacity, when Mugabe requisitioned white farms and gave them to inexperienced black farmers.

Re inflation (not hyper-inflation):

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/what-will-all-this-inflation-do-to?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#details




Still - Zimbabwe is a warning to us all.




Not really.

The misunderstanding of what inflation is (examined by Keen in the link posted above), and the difference to hyperinflation (very rare) means Zimbabwe has very little  to show us, other than what happens when supply is suddenly reduced, as in the Arab oil embargo in the 70's, which resulted in stagflation - not hyperinflation - in the West.

The fact that Milton Friedman's erroneous monetary policies were adopted in an attempt to deal with the stagflation is another story, and we have been living with government 'austerity' ever since (eg, abandoning public housing, a disaster in Oz...)

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:57pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:35pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 5:15pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 11th, 2023 at 1:23pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 3:35pm:
Zimbabwe was printing 100 trillion dollar notes
which were needed to buy a loaf of bread.





Yet a currency-issuing government can finance its own spending, provided the required resources are available for purchase.

Zimbabwe suffered a large reduction in its food-producing capacity, when Mugabe requisitioned white farms and gave them to inexperienced black farmers.

Re inflation (not hyper-inflation):

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/what-will-all-this-inflation-do-to?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#details




Still - Zimbabwe is a warning to us all.




Not really.

The misunderstanding of what inflation is (examined by Keen in the link posted above), and the difference to hyperinflation (very rare) means Zimbabwe has very little  to show us, other than what happens when supply is suddenly reduced, as in the Arab oil embargo in the 70's, which resulted in stagflation - not hyperinflation - in the West.

The fact that Milton Friedman's erroneous monetary policies were adopted in an attempt to deal with the stagflation is another story, and we have been living with government 'austerity' ever since (eg, abandoning public housing, a disaster in Oz...)



Zimbabwe is still a warning.
Milton Friedman's erroneous monetary policies will lead us to another depression.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Friedman

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:12pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:57pm:
Zimbabwe is still a warning.
Milton Friedman's erroneous monetary policies will lead us to another depression.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Friedman


Another depression? Well I didn't expect Friedman monetary orthodoxy  would be accused of causing a depression, just ongoing govt. 'austerity' - due to the current Friedmanite mainstream debt and deficit mythology, with entrenched poverty and soaring inequality.

But thank goodness we now know central banks can correct a depression by issuing debt-free money... as they should have done during the covid lockdowns, to avoid loading governments with public debt, as at present.

But I'll have a look at your linked article, to see their (anti- Friedman?) recommendations... 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:18pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:12pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 8:57pm:
Zimbabwe is still a warning.
Milton Friedman's erroneous monetary policies will lead us to another depression.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Friedman


Another depression? Well I didn't expect Friedman monetary orthodoxy  would be accused of causing a depression, just ongoing govt. 'austerity' - due to the current Friedmanite mainstream debt and deficit mythology, with entrenched poverty and soaring inequality.

But thank goodness we now know central banks can correct a depression by issuing debt-free money... as they should have done during the covid lockdowns, to avoid loading governments with public debt, as at present.

But I'll have a look at your linked article, to see their (anti- Friedman?) recommendations... 



Except that we should never have had such draconian lockdowns then
we wouldn't have needed to print so much money.
The idea that we can print our way to prosperity is false.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:33pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:18pm:
Except that we should never have had such draconian lockdowns then
we wouldn't have needed to print so much money.
The idea that we can print our way to prosperity is false.


Nonsense. Where were you when the govt. was faced with unemployment queues snaking around entire city blocks in the major cities?

Btw can you point to the  paragraph in the Friedman article showing that  his polices would cause a depression?

I read the first paragraph only to be reminded he was an  originator of today's gruesome neoclassical economics....I despise the man.


So maybe you can point to the relevant passage, which highlights your comment re Frieman causing a depression.


And as for your comment about "printing to prosperity", that is sheer ignorance; learn how money is created, and by whom  (plenty of pages in this thread).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:41pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:33pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:18pm:
Except that we should never have had such draconian lockdowns then
we wouldn't have needed to print so much money.
The idea that we can print our way to prosperity is false.


Nonsense. Where were you when the govt. was faced with unemployment queues snaking around entire city blocks in the major cities?

Btw can you point to the  paragraph in the Friedman article showing that  his polices would cause a depression?

I read the first paragraph only to be reminded he was an  originator of today's gruesome neoclassical economics....I despise the man.


So maybe you can point to the relevant passage, which highlights your comment re Frieman causing a depression.


And as for your comment about "printing to prosperity", that is sheer ignorance; learn how money is created, and by whom  (plenty of pages in this thread).



A "depression" was my own opinion.

I never believed in funny money.
Our money should have been backed by Gold  -
if it was - an ounce of Gold would be worth over   US $100,000
maybe even US$200,000 -
that's how much money they have printed - it's ridiculous.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:55pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:41pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:33pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:18pm:
Except that we should never have had such draconian lockdowns then
we wouldn't have needed to print so much money.
The idea that we can print our way to prosperity is false.


Nonsense. Where were you when the govt. was faced with unemployment queues snaking around entire city blocks in the major cities?

Btw can you point to the  paragraph in the Friedman article showing that  his polices would cause a depression?

I read the first paragraph only to be reminded he was an  originator of today's gruesome neoclassical economics....I despise the man.


So maybe you can point to the relevant passage, which highlights your comment re Frieman causing a depression.


And as for your comment about "printing to prosperity", that is sheer ignorance; learn how money is created, and by whom  (plenty of pages in this thread).



A "depression" was my own opinion.


Aha, glad we sorted that out; reading about neoclassical economics is a complete and utter waste of time.


Quote:
I never believed in funny money.
Our money should have been backed by Gold  -
if it was - an ounce of Gold would be worth over   US $100,000
maybe even US$200,000 -
that's how much money they have printed - it's ridiculous.


Carry on, I can't force you to learn. 

But you ducked addressing the position facing govts. in March 2020...governments like to avoid unemployed mobs rampaging in the streets for food and housing. 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Bobby. on Apr 12th, 2023 at 10:02pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:55pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:41pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:33pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:18pm:
Except that we should never have had such draconian lockdowns then
we wouldn't have needed to print so much money.
The idea that we can print our way to prosperity is false.


Nonsense. Where were you when the govt. was faced with unemployment queues snaking around entire city blocks in the major cities?

Btw can you point to the  paragraph in the Friedman article showing that  his polices would cause a depression?

I read the first paragraph only to be reminded he was an  originator of today's gruesome neoclassical economics....I despise the man.


So maybe you can point to the relevant passage, which highlights your comment re Frieman causing a depression.


And as for your comment about "printing to prosperity", that is sheer ignorance; learn how money is created, and by whom  (plenty of pages in this thread).



A "depression" was my own opinion.


Aha, glad we sorted that out; reading about neoclassical economics is a complete and utter waste of time.


Quote:
I never believed in funny money.
Our money should have been backed by Gold  -
if it was - an ounce of Gold would be worth over   US $100,000
maybe even US$200,000 -
that's how much money they have printed - it's ridiculous.


Carry on, I can't force you to learn. 

But you ducked addressing the position facing govts. in March 2020...governments like to avoid unemployed mobs rampaging in the streets for food and housing. 




No I didn't -
the solution was to not have Draconian lockdowns not print a ship load of funny money.
The virus was nowhere near as bad as they made out.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 12th, 2023 at 10:13pm

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 10:02pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:55pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:41pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:33pm:

Bobby. wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 9:18pm:
Except that we should never have had such draconian lockdowns then
we wouldn't have needed to print so much money.
The idea that we can print our way to prosperity is false.


Nonsense. Where were you when the govt. was faced with unemployment queues snaking around entire city blocks in the major cities?

Btw can you point to the  paragraph in the Friedman article showing that  his polices would cause a depression?

I read the first paragraph only to be reminded he was an  originator of today's gruesome neoclassical economics....I despise the man.


So maybe you can point to the relevant passage, which highlights your comment re Frieman causing a depression.


And as for your comment about "printing to prosperity", that is sheer ignorance; learn how money is created, and by whom  (plenty of pages in this thread).



A "depression" was my own opinion.


Aha, glad we sorted that out; reading about neoclassical economics is a complete and utter waste of time.


Quote:
I never believed in funny money.
Our money should have been backed by Gold  -
if it was - an ounce of Gold would be worth over   US $100,000
maybe even US$200,000 -
that's how much money they have printed - it's ridiculous.


Carry on, I can't force you to learn. 

But you ducked addressing the position facing govts. in March 2020...governments like to avoid unemployed mobs rampaging in the streets for food and housing. 




No I didn't -
the solution was to not have Draconian lockdowns not print a ship load of funny money.
The virus was nowhere near as bad as they made out.


So you claim, but the govt. certainly did not know that at the time, and had to quickly get rid of those centrelink unemployment queues 

Cost: in the $billions, regardless of poorly targeted relief.

But your definition of 'funny money' is wrong; fiat money is backed by the nation's productive capacity, compared with  bitcoin which  IS funny money (based on a ponzi, in fact).

In fact all money is created out of nothing, but that doesn't mean all money is "funny money", just because it isn't backed by gold in the post gold-standard era.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 13th, 2023 at 12:32pm
On the news today:

(Commonwealth Bank) economist warns of collapse in household incomes due to high inflation and interest rates

And Chalmers is bleating about a "trillion dollar debt"- which he could authorize treasury to write-off with a few keystrokes, because a currency-issuing govt. is constrained by resources  not money, obviously.

Labor will be turfed out at the next election if this keeps up, and deservedly so.

Note: interest rates can be maintained near zero; and inflation can be controlled by price controls in conjunction with rationing if required; and govt. subsidies for low income families on food, rent, and electricity can deal with the "collapse in household income" predicted by the  Commonwealth Bank's gruesome neoclassical economist.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 13th, 2023 at 5:24pm
(critique of MMT by Peter Smith; cont. from #456)

"MMT is of very recent origin. It is a twenty-first-century theory; at least it is under the heading of MMT. Gravitas is added to a new theory if its origins can be traced to earlier times. The deeper its roots, the less likely it can be construed as faddish. According to its proponents, elements of MMT can be found in the work of economists of the past. Three are prominent.

The longest intelligible lineage of MMT goes back to “Chartalism”, developed by a German economist, Georg Friedrich Knapp, at the beginning of the twentieth century. Chartalism argues that money is primarily a creature of government and finds its value in exchange and as a store of value because government will accept it in discharge of debts it is owed.

Later in the century, Abba Lerner, a better-known economist in the then newly-minted Keynesian mould of the early 1940s, developed a theory of “functional finance”. Its central idea is that spending, taxing, borrowing and money issuance on the part of government should be “taken with an eye only to the results of these actions on the economy and not to any established traditional doctrine about what is sound or unsound”.


So far,  so good.

Finally, Hyman Minsky, another well-known Keynesian economist, writing from the 1960s to the mid-1990s (he died in 1996), is brought into the frame by Wray in a working paper published by the Levy Institute in January 2018. It is not at all clear to me from Wray’s account that Minsky, if he had lived on, would have supported much of MMT. However, he did refer to circumstances in which there may be “a need to supplement private incomes with socially provided incomes, so that civility and civic responsibility are promoted”. Consistent with this, Wray argues that Minsky supported government having an “employer of last resort” role to reduce unemployment. As I will explain, this idea is an integral part of MMT, as also are the ideas stemming from Chartalism and functional finance.

Some orthodox Keynesians suggest that MMT is either saying things that are wrong or saying well-known things as though they are new. American economist Thomas Palley (“Critics of MMT are right”, Review of Political Economy, 2015) is a leading example. Leaving for now the assertion that MMT is saying things which are wrong, I don’t wholly agree that it is saying things which are all well known. Yes, there is nothing which doesn’t fall out of or can’t be derived from conventional economics. Nevertheless, some things are put in a way that has instructive novelty. This is certainly the case when it comes to taxation.

MMT has a number of interrelated elements. A good place to start is with taxation; specifically, with the proposition that government expenditure provides the wherewithal to pay taxes. Commonly this is put the other way around; that government taxes in order to fund its expenditure. But, MMT has a point and one that I admit to not having until now appreciated.


Well done,  Peter!

To be cont....

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 19th, 2023 at 9:01am
Apparently Warren Mosler, former investment banker and co-founder of MMT, has said "there is no such thing as debt-free money".

But obviously a currency-issuing government with its own treasury and central bank, can finance public sector policies withour taxing or borrowing from the private sector, provided the necessary resources are available for purchase in the nation's own currency. 

I think Warren is applying the banker's double-entry book-keeping debt and credit/liabilities and assets accounting methods, and hence concluding there is no such thing as "debt-free" money.

But he is wrong: the government can finance itself with debt free money as described above, because  the government faces  RESOURCE "opportunity costs",  NOT repayment of bank-created debt-money (debt which must be repaid with interest). 

[Note: most money in the economy is created when private banks write loans for credit-worthy customers (see prof. Keen's examination of this point***); bank managers don't check with their accounts department to see if the bank has sufficient customer deposits before making the loan...]

So I think Warren has quashed the implications of his own MMT discoveries (in his "7 deadly innocent frauds of economc polcy").

Which means he hasn't considered the possibility of controlling inflation, in a full employment, low interest rate scenario, by means of price controls, rationing, and subsidization of low-income households.

......

Today on ABC radio a job-seeker recipient expressed her disappointment with Albo; she noted that the government's exuse for not increasing the job-seeker payment now has been the same for the last 20 years, ie, "can't afford it".

Exposing the silliness of the idea that job seekers spending more money into the economy will cause excessive demand in the economy.

It won't, because supply of essentials is elastic and can quickly rise to meet demand (eg, food is already thrown out in supermarkets, and rent subsidies can be paid by a government issuing debt-free money, as examined above.


***"One of the great ironies of economics is that, while the public regards economists as experts on money, the issue of how money is created is still not settled within economics."






Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 19th, 2023 at 2:44pm
To add to the previous post (#469), namely:


".....the government can finance itself with debt free money as described above, because the government faces  RESOURCE "opportunity costs", NOT repayment of bank-created debt-money (debt which must be repaid with interest).

Iow, 'debt' shown in the Treasury's account ledgers can be made to disappear (magic....), because a money 'debt', unlike a real resource 'debt', is immaterial to a money issuer.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 22nd, 2023 at 10:19am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60793

RBA Review Report ignores the real questions and proposes to entrench the failed Groupthink

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 22nd, 2023 at 3:33pm
Dr. Steven Hail tweeted (re the latest recommendations for the RBA):

Unacceptable in a Democracy:......

"The RBA should continue to have operational independence for monetary policy.

The government should remove the power of the Treasurer to over-rule the RBA's decisions."

ie, rule by gruesome unelected neoclassical economists.

Philip Lowe gets paid big bucks to burden the least wealthy with interest rate rises, unemployment, and rent rises... while Chalmers is free to say "not my fault"....

.......

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 24th, 2023 at 11:36am
"Like it or not, economics has become the language of power. You cannot change the world without understanding it".
— Ha-Joon Chang

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by Ajax on Apr 24th, 2023 at 1:34pm

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:56pm:
A timely discussion of how the economy works in China, the reasons for the West's demonization of China, and the status of MMT in China.

https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5jYXB0aXZhdGUuZm0vbWFjcm9uY2hlZXNlLw/episode/ZTIzYjJmNDgtYmYzNS00NDRiLTlhOWEtOGJiMWYyZWY4YjNm?hl=en-AU&ved=2ahUKEwiqz7iAop_2AhWb7XMBHbn8BYMQieUEegQINhAL&ep=6

Examining China with an MMT Lens with Yan Liang

"Macro and Cheese explores the progressive movement through the lens of Modern Monetary Theory, with hot and irreverent political takes, spotlights in activism, and the razor sharp musings of Real Progressives Founder and host Steve Grumbine".

"This week’s episode is another chapter in our mission to educate ourselves about modern China. Yan Liang specializes in Modern Money Theory, international trade and finance, and economic development, with a special regional focus on China. She is also the wife of friend-of-the-podcast Eric Tymoigne".

"Steve and Yan discuss the truth and misconceptions about the ongoing competition between the US and China. It has created winners and losers, with the working class in both countries affected by globalization. Trade war is class war."

(Spurts of aggressive punk music cease after c.1 mim.)


Do you know how the monetary system in the west works...????


Quote:
"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."

Henry Ford


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 24th, 2023 at 1:58pm

Ajax wrote on Apr 24th, 2023 at 1:34pm:

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 27th, 2022 at 4:56pm:
A timely discussion of how the economy works in China, the reasons for the West's demonization of China, and the status of MMT in China.

https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5jYXB0aXZhdGUuZm0vbWFjcm9uY2hlZXNlLw/episode/ZTIzYjJmNDgtYmYzNS00NDRiLTlhOWEtOGJiMWYyZWY4YjNm?hl=en-AU&ved=2ahUKEwiqz7iAop_2AhWb7XMBHbn8BYMQieUEegQINhAL&ep=6

Examining China with an MMT Lens with Yan Liang

"Macro and Cheese explores the progressive movement through the lens of Modern Monetary Theory, with hot and irreverent political takes, spotlights in activism, and the razor sharp musings of Real Progressives Founder and host Steve Grumbine".

"This week’s episode is another chapter in our mission to educate ourselves about modern China. Yan Liang specializes in Modern Money Theory, international trade and finance, and economic development, with a special regional focus on China. She is also the wife of friend-of-the-podcast Eric Tymoigne".

"Steve and Yan discuss the truth and misconceptions about the ongoing competition between the US and China. It has created winners and losers, with the working class in both countries affected by globalization. Trade war is class war."

(Spurts of aggressive punk music cease after c.1 mim.)


Do you know how the monetary system in the west works...????


Yes.


Quote:
"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."

Henry Ford



Indeed.

I began the first MMT thread at Ozpol with the reference to China, only because:

"This week’s episode is another chapter in our mission to educate ourselves about modern China. Yan Liang specializes in Modern Money Theory"

Perhaps I should have started the thread with prof Stephanie Kelton's book 'The Deficit Myth' exposing the appalling state of current Western monetary orthodoxy.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 25th, 2023 at 9:38am
Prof. Keen mourns the passing of post-Keynesian economist Victoria Chick. 

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/farewell-vicky-chick?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=117040707&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email

"The thought that made Vicki's farewell both poignant and chilling for me was, will the Neoclassical mainstream of economics still be dominant when my day of internment arrives?"

excerpt:

Instead, Neoclassicals developed a twisted tale in which the Great Depression was caused, not by capitalism itself, but by the government. Specifically, they blamed the Federal Reserve for tightening monetary policy. Milton Friedman was the first to make this case, arguing, as Ben Bernanke put it, that:

Federal Reserve policy turned contractionary in 1928, in an attempt to curb stock market speculation… the main lines of causation [of the Great Depression] ran from monetary contraction—the result of poor policy-making and continuing crisis in the banking system—to declining prices and output. (Bernanke 2000)

Bernanke echoed this explanation in an obsequious speech he made at Milton Friedman's 90th birthday function in 2002:

Let me end my talk by abusing slightly my status as an official representative of the Federal Reserve. I would like to say to Milton and Anna: Regarding the Great Depression. You're right, we did it. We're very sorry. But thanks to you, we won't do it again.

"Bollocks. The real cause of the Great Depression was the collapse of a private debt bubble that the economics mainstream completely ignored. The Roaring Twenties roared because of a private-debt-fuelled Ponzi scheme that began in real estate and ended up in the Stock Market. The party came to an end when credit flipped from almost 10% of GDP in 1928 to almost minus 10% in 1933."


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 25th, 2023 at 3:29pm
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-08-18/economists-say-rba-should-have-raised-cash-rate-target-sooner/101343618

The Reserve Bank doesn't have enough information to make accurate interest rate calls, says former board member

Professor McKibbin says the Reserve Bank's understanding of the main drivers of inflation is incomplete and has led to policy error.

This policy error he and other economists say has led to haphazard interest rate decisions that have real-world consequences for millions of mortgage borrowers and renters.


...you're not kidding...

(linking rates to nominal wages rather than CPI, at least in supply-shock scenarios, might a better bet, says McKibbin).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 27th, 2023 at 9:47am
A brief examination of the 'Quantity Theory of Money' (QTM):

http://www.boolean.org.uk/library/SRRIO_QTM.pdf

Theories of money.

(excerpt)

The commonly used QTM, proposed by Irving Fisher,
is as follows:

M.V = P.Y ... (i)
Where:
M is the volume of money;
V is the velocity of money circulation;
P is the average price of goods & services;
Y is the quantity of goods & services or, real income.

John Maynard Keynes, Arthur Pigou and Alfred
Marshall realized savings would reduce amount of
money in circulation and they therefore produced what
is known as the Cambridge Equation.

A version of this is shown below:
(M - s).V = P.Y... (ii)   where s = savings

(cont).

"In 1975 Denis Healey, the Labour government Chancellor, altered macreconomic policy to one placing more emphasis on monetary policy instruments.
Since then investment and productivity in industry and
manufacturing declined and the balance of payments
for goods collapsed.
The aggregate demand paradigm promoted by Keynes
was taken up by monetarists making use of the Quantity Theory of Money identity (QTM) the guiding principle for monetary policy decisions with the objective of steering a path between inflation and deflation in the prices of goods and services.
The net result has been declining real wages and rising wealth of those dealing in asset holdings and asset trading."


..continued under the current crop of gruesome neoclassical economists running central banks.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2023 at 11:17am
https://www.9news.com.au/world/us-debt-budget-what-is-behind-the-looming-x-date-on-the-us-debt-limit/9c9a3ad5-998e-49aa-913c-a0c133496c78?ref=BP_RSS_ninenews_5_what-s-behind-the-looming--x-date--on-the-us-debt-limit-_280423

What's behind the looming 'x-date' on the US debt limit?

Why does the US have a debt limit?
Before World War I, Congress needed to approve each bond issuance.
The debt limit was created as a workaround to finance the war effort without needing a constant series of votes.
Since then, a tool created to make it easier for the government to function has become a source of dysfunction, stoking partisan warfare and creating economic risk as the debt has increased in size over the past 20 years.

How risky is the brinkmanship this time?

It looks alarming - and it's unclear how Biden, McCarthy and the Democratic Senate will find common ground.
A default could cause millions of job losses, a deep recession that would reverberate globally and, ironically, higher interest rates that would make it harder to manage the federal debt.
Biden called the plan that McCarthy unveiled last week "wacko," with a White House analysis showing that the spending caps would hurt schooling for children, healthcare for veterans, food aid for families and seniors and cause housing costs to climb for the country's poorest households.
The president's budget plan announced in March would reduce deficits by nearly $US3 trillion over the next 10 years**, primarily through tax increases on the wealth and corporations.
"America is not a deadbeat nation," Biden said.
"Take default off the table."


**irrelevent; the important thing is that the US economy remain productive.

The blind leading the blind - following neoclassical orthodoxy; and given this orthodoxy, greedy Republicans  insist on paying less tax,  reducing government spending, and hence increasing poverty.


Time is running out for hapless mainstream neoliberal politicians.

Today in Hobart PM Albanese was heckled by protesters for funding a $700 million football oval rather than public housing for homeless citizens.  The 'honeymoon' is coming to an end. 

This 'Left Wing' government  can find half a $trillion to build nuclear subs and missiles to attack China - who has no intention of invading Oz -  for the sole purpose of 'defending democracy' in Taiwan, which is none of our business.

And as poverty increases in Oz, the government will be busy enough defending democracy in Oz.....


 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 29th, 2023 at 2:05pm
Prof. Steven Hail tweeted:

"Planned transition to a sustainable, equitable economy, guided by the economics of Kelton, Raworth and many others, yes.

Unplanned recession, driven by following misconceived neoclassical advice, with the impacts such events have on well-being, no."


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on Apr 30th, 2023 at 1:28pm
Christine Milne AO tweet:

"When the political tide turns, it can be quick and brutal. It happened today in Hobart.

@AlboMP now associated with circuses and right wing shock jocks. Budget will confirm it. #TaxCuts Homelessness and poverty relegated to peripheral issue. He is now scrambling. #auspol"
9:55 PM · Apr 29, 2023.

42.1K
Views


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 1st, 2023 at 11:08am
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/its-not-a-deficit-its-a-fiat?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=118044890&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email

It’s not a deficit, it’s a fiat
Why celebrate a government surplus?

"What is Richardson really celebrating, because the government is now running a surplus?

He's celebrating the government reducing the financial resources of the private sector. He's celebrating the government reducing the money supply. Somehow, this is supposed to make the economy work better."

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by aquascoot on May 1st, 2023 at 5:45pm
hey dufus , go back and look at the end of the dutch gilder and the british pound as world currencies.

you saw money printing and deficits as they went down the slippery slope to failure.

a surplus is a sign of productivity

a deficit is a sign of living beyond your means

if you want to leave a prosperous country to your grandkids, you better get on board with balanced budgets

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 1st, 2023 at 8:14pm

aquascoot wrote on May 1st, 2023 at 5:45pm:
hey dufus , go back and look at the end of the dutch gilder and the british pound as world currencies.


Er...as empires are succeeded by a more powerful nation, their currencies are also eclipsed as 'world currencies'. 


Quote:
you saw money printing and deficits as they went down the slippery slope to failure.


because they lost crippling wars to the newcomer on the block...


Quote:
a surplus is a sign of productivity


Wrong again,  a government surplus is a sign that the government has taxed back more from the private sector than the government has spent into the economy, reducing the private sector's productivity.


Quote:
a deficit is a sign of living beyond your means


Wrong again; you are making the classic mistake of seeing the government's budget in the same way as your household budget. But the government is the ISSUER of the currency, while the private sector (inc. you and me) is the USER of the currency.

iow, a currency-issuing government is concerned with managing the country's resources for maximum good of the country.


Quote:
if you want to leave a prosperous country to your grandkids, you better get on board with balanced budgets


Wrong again...gosh, zero from five...

A prosperous country depends on govt. overseeing the most productive management of the nation's resources, nothing to do with "balanced (government) budgets".

Balanced budgets are for you and me to achieve in our own households (....to avoid debtor's prison).

cf goverment which must ensure demand for goods and services  can always be met by supply, to avoid inflation, nothing to do with 'balanced budgets'.

So...start at page 1 of this thread and educate yourself. :-) 

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 2nd, 2023 at 10:24am
http://billmitchell.org/blog/

A debt jubilee is the only way low-income nations will escape the penury of debt distress (and the IMF/World Bank).

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 10:26am
An American anti-poverty plan:

https://marianne2024.com/issues/the-anti-poverty-plan/

Anti-Poverty Plan

Poverty is not natural, it is a policy choice, and we can end it.


The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little.

- President Franklin Roosevelt

"It is shocking that in the richest country in the world, well over a third of the American people are poor or near-poor. Nearly 70% of Americans would struggle to meet an unexpected expense of $400, according to a report by the Federal Reserve."
..........

Meanwhile in Oz, the gruesome neoclassical ideologue Philip Lowe is deliberately trying to lift unemployment from 3.5% to  c. 4.5%, while trying to avoid a recession - he calls it the "narrow road" - all in the name of managing inflation.

[Note: Alan Kohler refered to this insane 'NAIRU' dogma on TV last night).

In other words, Lowe's plan is to enforce 'welfare' onto those whose can least bear it, to rescue his sorry a*rse.

Sick, disgusting economic theory masquerading as
"management" of an economy.



Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 1:12pm

thegreatdivide wrote on May 1st, 2023 at 8:14pm:

aquascoot wrote on May 1st, 2023 at 5:45pm:
hey dufus , go back and look at the end of the dutch gilder and the british pound as world currencies.


Er...as empires are succeeded by a more powerful nation, their currencies are also eclipsed as 'world currencies'. 


Quote:
you saw money printing and deficits as they went down the slippery slope to failure.


because they lost crippling wars to the newcomer on the block...

[quote] a surplus is a sign of productivity


Wrong again,  a government surplus is a sign that the government has taxed back more from the private sector than the government has spent into the economy, reducing the private sector's productivity.


Quote:
a deficit is a sign of living beyond your means


Wrong again; you are making the classic mistake of seeing the government's budget in the same way as your household budget. But the government is the ISSUER of the currency, while the private sector (inc. you and me) is the USER of the currency.

iow, a currency-issuing government is concerned with managing the country's resources for maximum good of the country.


Quote:
if you want to leave a prosperous country to your grandkids, you better get on board with balanced budgets


Wrong again...gosh, zero from five...

A prosperous country depends on govt. overseeing the most productive management of the nation's resources, nothing to do with "balanced (government) budgets".

Balanced budgets are for you and me to achieve in our own households (....to avoid debtor's prison).

cf goverment which must ensure demand for goods and services  can always be met by supply, to avoid inflation, nothing to do with 'balanced budgets'.

So...start at page 1 of this thread and educate yourself. :-) 
[/quote]

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 2:22pm
The blind leading the blind....
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/other/shares-in-us-banks-plummet-as-crisis-fears-rock-markets/ar-AA1aEscZ?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=710a082e2c48442badc9e809ce5cff77&ei=12

Shares in US banks plummet as crisis fears rock markets

"Wall Street’s banking giants suffered a sell-off last night after the takeover of US regional lender First Republic failed to calm market nerves.

The renewed turmoil intensified pressure on the Federal Reserve, the US’s central bank, ahead of a decision tonight on whether to hike interest rates again even as the crisis among lenders deepens.

Regional banks such as PacWest Bancorp and Metropolitan Bank , down 28 per cent and 20 per cent, suffered the biggest declines.

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 3:07pm
One of the 3 female economists on the Canberra Press Club panel today said: "increasing productivity is very, very hard"...

Only if government is constrained by private sector ideology, and eg,  defunds TAFE, as occurred under the Coalition.   

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 3:22pm
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/sorry-what-the-latest-interest-rates-rise-suggests-the-rba-board-is-completely-lost-to-logic/ar-AA1aF8ZR?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=27ad1735f20d4245ac318f67cdb6f64b&ei=70

Sorry, what? The latest interest rates rise suggests the RBA board is completely lost to logic
Story by Greg Jericho • 4h ago

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 3rd, 2023 at 4:30pm
Waking up.....

rule no. 1: don't borrow in another country's currency...


https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/companies/brazil-working-on-payment-solution-for-exports-to-argentina-says-minister/ar-AA1aDVrJ?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=1f6019a185d3400f956126e21191d696&ei=50

Brazil working on payment solution for exports to Argentina, says minister

Brazilian Finance Minister Fernando Haddad said on Tuesday that the country is working on a solution to ensure that Brazilian exporters are paid for sales to Argentina, which is currently facing a severe economic crisis and a shortage of U.S. dollars.

Haddad emphasized that Brazil does not want to lose its export market share to Argentina, where over 200 Brazilian companies are not exporting or not receiving payments due to the lack of foreign currency, he told journalists.



..... the beginning of the end of the US dollar as the world's reserve currency.







Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2023 at 9:00am
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=60809

RBA loses the plot – Treasurer should use powers under the Act to suspend the RBA Board’s decision making discretion

..........

Dan Andrews is angry too...

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/daniel-andrews-blames-victoria-s-huge-pandemic-debt-on-rba-interest-rates-advice/ar-AA1aFhuf?ocid=msedgntp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=160df3fbaaed4037a5436ab871cd77ed&ei=26

Daniel Andrews blames Victoria’s huge pandemic debt on RBA interest rates advice

“I remember at national cabinet being told, ‘Go and borrow. If you don’t borrow, then we’re going to have 25% unemployment, we’re not going to get through (the pandemic), we will not survive this. And by the way – interest rates won’t be going up’,” he said of the advice on Wednesday.

“That was the message to governments. The same message was applied to households right across our country, that interest rates would not be going up."



Unfortunately for state governments, they are like households when it comes to repaying debt with interest......unlike the federal government which can order the Treasury to return its bonds and cease interest payments. 

As prof. Bill Mitchell says (in the top link):  

So in determining the severity of the sentence (in the recent ATO tax fraud case) , the Judge invoked the ‘taxpayer fiction’ and clearly doesn’t understand how the monetary system works or the role of the currency-issuer in that system.

He obviously thought that by defrauding the Australian government, these criminals have compromised the capacity of the government to spend and the damage caused would result in higher taxes, lower spending and/or higher future borrowing in the future.

The fraud did not compromise the ability of the Australian government to fund services during the pandemic. The government has all the dollars it ever needs to meet demands for its services".







Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2023 at 2:34pm
Chalmers notes "interest on debt" as an "increasing burden on the govt. budget".

Of course the currency-issuing government should not be issuing debt at all; the resources the govt. needs are either available, or they are not.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 4th, 2023 at 5:34pm
More blind leading the blind; it would be funny if it wasn't so tragic:

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/smashing-families-premiers-lead-attacks-on-the-rba-over-rate-rise-20230503-p5d55g.html

Responding to the criticism of the RBA levelled by the Labor premiers, Angus Taylor  said big-spending state governments were adding to the inflation challenge and accused the state leaders of questioning the bank’s independence.

“Dan Andrews and state governments that spend a lot of money are also part of the problem, they are putting upward pressure on inflation,” he said.

“We’ve got an independent Reserve Bank. If they think it should be something different, they should say it. This has been a big success having an independent Reserve Bank.”

Greens leader Adam Bandt, who wants the government to intervene with the independence of the RBA and prevent it from raising rates further, said the central bank made the wrong call and was using everyday Australians as “cannon fodder” in its fight against inflation."


........

None of them understand public debt is the ultimate fraud imposed by private money lenders for whom the privilege of creating money is reserved.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 5th, 2023 at 10:44am
https://www.torrens.edu.au/blog/torrens-university-welcomes-chief-economist-stephanie-kelton

Torrens University welcomes Stephanie Kelton, senior economist and thought leader on money  

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 5th, 2023 at 3:55pm
https://www.australiaremade.org/the-vision

Imagine you have woken up in the Australia of your dreams. What is it like?    

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 6th, 2023 at 9:18am
Prof. Steve Keen explains the idiocy (and failure) of interest on public debt "which must be repaid".

https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/its-not-a-debt-its-a-gift?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=872467&post_id=118517014&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email

It’s not a debt, it’s a gift

How interest payments on bonds create money for the banking sector.
......
I'm going to show why by starting with an operation which, in most countries in the world, is illegal: the Central Bank buying bonds directly from the Treasury. This operation is illegal for the same reason that smoking marijuana is illegal in most countries in the world, while drinking alcohol is not. It's not because the former is more dangerous than the latter, but because legislators followed conventional wisdom rather than scientific research, and banned the safer drug while making the more dangerous one legal.
.......
Unfortunately, stupid laws mean that neither Figure 1 nor Figure 2 is legal. Instead, just like a stoner is forced by stupid laws to buy his dope from a dealer, the Central Bank is forced by stupid laws to buy Treasury Bonds from Private Banks. What actually happens in practice is shown in Figure 3: the Treasury sells to Primary Dealers, and the Central Bank buys off the Dealers.

"Primary Dealers" is a very apt label for private banks, given that they function like drug dealers selling to drug consumers today. They only have a market because stupid laws enable their trade.
.......
The end result of this process is, potentially, equivalent to the direct sale of Bonds by the Treasury to the Central Bank—if the Central Bank bought all the Bonds sold to the private banks. It certainly has no impact on the core fact that the government creates Fiat money by spending more than it gets back in taxation, which in turn increases private sector bank deposit accounts by precisely the same amount.

This changes the situation shown in Figure 1 in one important respect: as well as the Fiat creating money for the private non-bank sector, interest payments on bonds create money for the banking sector.

The reason that I describe the sale of bonds to banks as a gift is that, because of this sale, the Government pays the banks an income stream which it could easily avoid by having the Central Bank buy all the bonds issued by the Treasury.
.......
Why should the government bestow this gift on the banks? One good reason is that the interest payments compensate the private banks for the costs they incur by running the economy's payments system. Without interest on government-created money, the banks would have to profit solely from their dealings with the non-bank public: from charging interest on private debt, fees on depositors, etc. They do that anyway of course, but the higher the income banks make directly from the government, the less is the pressure on them to entice the non-bank public into debt.
.....
If we had people in charge of the monetary system who actually understood how money works, then private debt, not government debt, would be kept low, the Deficit Fiat would be kept at a level commensurate with the needs of the private sector for money for commerce and savings, and the finance sector would be kept in check.

Instead, with the anti-government debt obsession, we have inadequate government spending on vital services, inadequate amounts of Fiat money in circulation, and the Dealers rather than the authorities, are in charge of the joint. The "War on Deficits Fiat" has been about as successful as the "War on Drugs".


Sleepers, awake!

Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 7th, 2023 at 10:40am
This morning 'Macca' noted (on "Oz all over") :

"It's amazing, everyone seems to be raising money for one charity or another these days. 
We are blithely told about the billionaires, and yet there doesn't seem to enough money in our wealthy country".


Poor Macca, like most of the population, can't work out we have a systemic problem - ie,  forcing the currency-issuing Oz govenment to pay for use of private-sector savings ....which means the government can spend even less on social programs, after paying back the money with interest....

[Said interest bill amounting to $100 billion over the next four years, according to Chalmers].


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 8th, 2023 at 7:20pm
Genius comment from a Coalition spokeswoman tonight:

"To deal with cost of living pressures you have to deal with inflation."

Obviously the party-room has decided on the inflation mantra as the answer to all questions from journalists re fiscal policy.


Title: Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Post by thegreatdivide on May 9th, 2023 at 10:28am
These two (or three) ladies know more about inflation than the Reverse ....oops...Reserve Bank. Priceless!

https://twitter.com/i/status/1654981110865223680