tickleandrose wrote on Apr 1
st, 2021 at 12:11pm:
That is not a likely senario. The cost would be too great. Yes, there is probably very little that Taiwan can do to stop the landing force, and the initial attack. However, what it has as mutually assured destruction. The three gorge dam, and major city hubs like Hong Kong, Shanghai etc are all within missile strike range. If the Chinese attack Taiwan, Taiwan will retaliate. And the resulting damage to the Chinese economy would likely see the break down of the country as whole.
Even if in a very unrealistic senario, to just say they win. Taiwan has a population similar to Australia cramped into a far smaller island. And after its most recent modernization of their army, the Chinese would have perhaps 1.5 to 2 million soldiers. That is not going to be enough to keep 25 million people at bay, at the same time ensure other countries in the region wont do anything funny.
And even if say this happens, and no one did anything. By then, most of the Taiwan's elite / wealthy would have drained their central bank, and flee overseas. Leaving the CPC with nothing but 20 million or so starving and angry population. So whats the point?
True... But this is not being driven by reason...
The taking of Taiwan is a CCP-driven obsession with prostrating itself to the memory of Mao; a mass murderer and serial rapist.
The great irony is, if the mainland was already democratic, Taiwan would have queued, if it had to, to unify with the mainland.
But democracy takes a political maturity that the mainland Chinese do not have, which is why political argument and debate with mainland Chinese people tend to be like those you'd have with a petulant teenager.
The CCP is simply a particularly pernicious extension of China's extinct Imperial system.