Australian Politics Forum - Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster

Captain Nemo

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Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster
Reply #45 - Jul 1^st, 2020 at 12:51pm

Nothing to see here ... Labor should win it ... my guess is a margin of 3% to 4%.

Let's face it:

100 years of stats saying governments don't win by-elections from opposition held seats.

Donkey vote going to Labor.

"Gun lobby" preferences going to Labor.

If Labor loses this one, Albo is toast.

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Captain Nemo Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 8452 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #46 - Jul 1^st, 2020 at 1:37pm Meanwhile ... at Snowy 2.0 ...
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juliar Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 22966	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #47 - Jul 1^st, 2020 at 8:02pm BH, stop trying to sound intelligent. You know you don't have a clue about technical and scientific stuff. But cooking is where you shine. Capt N will go into hiding if Libs win.
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juliar

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Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster
Reply #48 - Jul 2^nd, 2020 at 3:25pm

If Albo loses or just scrapes in EdenMonaro byelection - it seems the only reason he remains ALP Leader will be because
JE Chalmers and Wayne Swan want the heat to go out of the Moselmane and Somyurek issues and some ScoMo popularity to decline before Albo's mulched!!!!

https://twitter.com/i/status/1278545138713677824

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Bam Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 21905 Gender:	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #49 - Jul 3^rd, 2020 at 6:11pm And another one from the Libs' dirty trick department: AFP charges man over scam emails targeting Labor's Eden-Monaro candidate Kristy McBain
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John Smith Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 72271 Gender:	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #50 - Jul 3^rd, 2020 at 7:19pm Bam wrote on Jul 3^rd, 2020 at 6:11pm: And another one from the Libs' dirty trick department: AFP charges man over scam emails targeting Labor's Eden-Monaro candidate Kristy McBain Lets see if Juliar disappears for a few days
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Captain Nemo Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 8452 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #51 - Jul 4^th, 2020 at 11:22am
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John Smith

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Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster
Reply #52 - Jul 4^th, 2020 at 1:08pm

John Smith wrote on Jul 3^rd, 2020 at 7:19pm:

Bam wrote on Jul 3^rd, 2020 at 6:11pm:

And another one from the Libs' dirty trick department:

AFP charges man over scam emails targeting Labor's Eden-Monaro candidate Kristy McBain

Lets see if Juliar disappears for a few days Cheesy

He hasn't been on for a few days ... maybe it really was him Cheesy

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.

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John Smith Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 72271 Gender:	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #53 - Jul 4^th, 2020 at 7:35pm Whilst it's early in the count yet, it looks like labor will win it.
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Captain Nemo

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Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster
Reply #54 - Jul 4^th, 2020 at 10:03pm

Shaping up to be much closer than I expected.

Very interesting that the Greens vote is quite poor.

8.7% last election, this time around 6%

Perhaps Albo's move to "defuse" the Climate Change debate is having some impact?

Labor's Primary vote down about 3%

Not great.

It looks like Labor will win (yes, yes, a win is a win) ... but to fall over the line on the donkey vote; a deal with the "gun lobby" and leakage from the Nats is nothing to crow about. Tongue

Perhaps Albo is going to have a sore neck* for the next year or so? Wink

* Looking over his shoulder quite a bit. Grin

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Bam Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 21905 Gender:	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #55 - Jul 4^th, 2020 at 11:50pm Watch the postal votes. They won't favour the Coalition as much as they have done in previous elections.
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Captain Nemo Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 8452 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #56 - Jul 4^th, 2020 at 11:55pm Bam wrote on Jul 4^th, 2020 at 11:50pm: Watch the postal votes. They won't favour the Coalition as much as they have done in previous elections. That's true. Far more postals than usual and Labor put a lot of effort into them this time round.
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Grappler Truth Teller Feller Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 80330 Proud pre-1850's NO Voter Gender:	Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster Reply #57 - Jul 5^th, 2020 at 1:44am John Smith wrote on Jul 4^th, 2020 at 7:35pm: Whilst it's early in the count yet, it looks like labor will win it. That's sad - I don't want any more sheilas in politics... not party ones, anyway... only honest ones.
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macman

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Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster
Reply #58 - Jul 5^th, 2020 at 9:31am

Grappler Truth Teller Feller wrote on Jul 5^th, 2020 at 1:44am:

John Smith wrote on Jul 4^th, 2020 at 7:35pm:

Whilst it's early in the count yet, it looks like labor will win it.

That's sad - I don't want any more sheilas in politics... not party ones, anyway... only honest ones.

So grap, your sad because another woman has entered the parliament. And are you implying she is dishonest?
After a particular dirty campaign by the libs and the media against labor (as usual), kristy and albo have carried it home for labor. And for a laugh, it was reported on news this morning the libs were claiming victory! Only in the dirty tricks department you scumbags! Grin

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John Smith

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Re: Eden-Monaro: Labor caught with unauthorised poster
Reply #59 - Jul 5^th, 2020 at 9:33am

Grappler Truth Teller Feller wrote on Jul 5^th, 2020 at 1:44am:

John Smith wrote on Jul 4^th, 2020 at 7:35pm:

Whilst it's early in the count yet, it looks like labor will win it.

That's sad - I don't want any more sheilas in politics... not party ones, anyway... only honest ones.

you need to worry about the sheila in your mirror more than the ones in politics.

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.

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